Career Averages - Amanda Nunes
Career Averages - Felicia Spencer
Amanda Nunes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 142 of 267 | 53% | 196 of 323 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 7:00 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 41 of 143 | 28% | 57 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 21 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 31 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 11 of 38 | 28% | 11 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 25 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 48 of 77 | 62% | 49 of 78 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 13 of 48 | 27% | 13 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 70 of 79 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 142 of 267 | 53% | 97 of 198 | 28 of 49 | 17 of 20 | 115 of 234 | 5 of 8 | 22 of 25 |
| Irene Aldana | 41 of 143 | 28% | 25 of 118 | 3 of 7 | 13 of 18 | 36 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 56 | 37% | 9 of 35 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 8 of 31 | 25% | 5 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 31 of 61 | 50% | 16 of 40 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 10 | 30 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 11 of 38 | 28% | 4 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 | 11 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 23 of 47 | 48% | 20 of 40 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 |
| Irene Aldana | 8 of 22 | 36% | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 48 of 77 | 62% | 36 of 61 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 45 of 71 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 13 of 48 | 27% | 9 of 41 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 43 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 19 of 26 | 73% | 16 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Irene Aldana | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Amanda Nunes but expresses hesitation. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and should win, but questions her motivation due to her age, wealth, and new family. He thinks she may need to rely on wrestling, and hopes she is in shape. He acknowledges Irene Aldana's technical boxing and takedown defense, but believes Nunes' power and wrestling will prevail.
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is the far superior fighter and that Aldana's wins are against lower-level competition. Aldana struggled with Macy Chiasson and had her back taken. Even if Nunes is not fully motivated, she should dominate. He advises against betting Nunes due to the high price and potential motivation issues, but still picks her to finish early.
Cody picks Amanda Nunes, citing her wrestling game plan as the key. He notes that Holly Holm and Macy Chiasson both took Aldana down multiple times, and if Nunes sticks to that approach, it should be easy work. He acknowledges Aldana's boxing and lateral movement but believes Nunes's takedowns will neutralize her. He also mentions that Nunes's motivation and conditioning looked career-best in the Peña rematch.
Connor believes Nunes will win due to her athletic advantage and wrestling. He notes that Aldana is easy to take down and has a bad habit of pulling guard, similar to Dern. He expects Nunes to use her wrestling to control the fight, as she did against de Randamie.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes, citing that all film and stats point to Nunes having Aldana covered in every part of the game. He notes that the line is driven down by the first Pena fight, but Nunes dominated the rematch. He acknowledges Aldana's power and cleaner hands than Pena, but believes Nunes is the better fighter with more ways to win, including superior wrestling, Jiu-Jitsu, striking, and power. He sees the grappling gap as 10 worlds apart and expects Nunes to finish the fight.
James picks Amanda Nunes to win but is hesitant due to volatility. He notes Nunes is 35, talking about retirement, and had an off night against Pena. He thinks if Nunes is focused, she submits Aldana within three rounds. Aldana is a good boxer but weak elsewhere. James prefers not to bet the moneyline at -350, suggesting props instead. He predicts Nunes finishes in round four or five.
Nunes has a clear grappling advantage and should take Aldana down repeatedly. Aldana's best chance is a knockout on the feet, but Nunes will likely close the distance and control the fight on the mat. The over 2.5 rounds is likely as Aldana is tough off her back. Nunes by decision is the most probable outcome, though the moneyline is accurate.
Paul picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging the line already factors in her inconsistency. He notes that Nunes has a minus-500 skill set but the line is discounted due to her personal life and past performances. He highlights that Aldana doesn't have big KO power, so if Nunes closes distance and gets takedowns, she should dominate. He suggests hedging by betting Nunes and then taking Aldana live after a couple rounds if Nunes fades.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging Aldana's KO power but citing a skill gap. He notes Aldana was schooled by Holly Holm and struggled against Macy Chiasson, while Nunes is a different level. He predicts Nunes will mix in takedowns and finish Aldana via standing TKO in the second round after some back-and-forth on the feet.
Zane agrees with Connor that Nunes will win. He emphasizes that Aldana's wrestling is a huge problem, as she gave up three takedowns to Macy Chiasson. He notes that Nunes is not a great wrestler but Aldana is worse, and her instinct to pull guard will be exploited.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 60 of 154 | 38% | 130 of 239 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 85 of 152 | 55% | 126 of 201 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 11:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 25 of 47 | 53% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 31 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 24 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 33 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 16 of 20 | 80% | 34 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 20 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 60 of 154 | 38% | 54 of 144 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 59 of 151 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 85 of 152 | 55% | 67 of 128 | 10 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 57 of 117 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 51 | 41% | 20 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 25 of 47 | 53% | 17 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 25 of 66 | 37% | 21 of 59 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 19 of 48 | 39% | 13 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 6 of 21 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 14 of 23 | 60% | 12 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 9 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 16 of 20 | 80% | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 11 of 14 | 78% | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is better everywhere and that the first fight was a one-off due to injury or motivation issues. He expects Nunes to finish early, but if it extends, he has concerns about her cardio. He is not betting this fight.
Cody believes Peña is the right pick because she already exposed Nunes' cardio and quit rate. He notes Nunes has suspect cardio, has shown red flags in fights against Germaine de Randamie and Felicia Spencer, and may be unmotivated after becoming a multi-millionaire and mother. He also points out that Peña is durable, pressures well, and the odds (+245) are too juicy to pass up given she just choked Nunes out. He expects Peña to win again, possibly taking a bit longer this time.
Daniel argues that Julianna Peña's ability to stand up to the bully and absorb Nunes' power is the key factor. He notes that Peña's iron jaw and willpower broke Nunes mentally in the first fight, causing her to tap to a choke that wasn't locked in. He believes Nunes has a history of struggling when opponents don't back down, citing the Cat Zingano fight and the Valentina Shevchenko fights. He acknowledges Nunes could win via calf kicks or a submission, but he trusts Peña's heart and durability. He also points out that long-reigning champions rarely regain their belt in immediate rematches, citing a 11-2 record for the new champion.
Preet leans Nunes to win but won't lay -260; instead he likes the over 2.5 rounds at +100. He expects a more cautious, methodical fight that goes into the later rounds, noting that rematches of first-round finishes often go the distance. He thinks Nunes will be more disciplined and use leg kicks and combinations, but Peña's durability and pressure could extend the fight.
Paul picks Peña as well, citing the narrative that Nunes emptied her tank early in the first fight and quit. He thinks Nunes can win a striking match if she paces herself, but he's terrified to bet the fight. He notes that Peña is super durable and that the odds (+245) are attractive. He compares it to Ronda Rousey's loss to Holly Holm, where people still believed in Rousey, but here Peña already beat Nunes.
The MMA Guru predicts Julianna Peña wins by submission (rear-naked choke) in round four. He expects Nunes to win the first two rounds with takedowns and jabs, but Peña will threaten submissions throughout. In round four, Peña times a takedown, passes to half guard, takes the back, and chokes Nunes out.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 46 of 99 | 46% | 58 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 135 | 58% | 90 of 147 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 36 of 85 | 42% | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 74 of 115 | 64% | 74 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 46 of 99 | 46% | 36 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 44 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 135 | 58% | 69 of 122 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 78 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 10 of 14 | 71% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 36 of 85 | 42% | 32 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Nunes | 74 of 115 | 64% | 64 of 103 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 73 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is very confident in Amanda Nunes winning early, likely by first-round submission. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and has advantages everywhere: striking, grappling, and cardio. Peña has poor takedown defense (23%) and was submitted by GDR, which is concerning. Nunes can finish by knockout or submission, and Brady expects a quick finish.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Peña's striking is sloppy and she has been submitted in two of her last four fights. Levi believes Nunes will establish her jab and calf kicks, and when Peña shoots a sloppy takedown, Nunes will sprawl and lock in a d'arce or anaconda choke. He thinks Peña's trash talk will motivate Nunes to make a statement.
Nunes is the far superior fighter and should win, but the method is uncertain. Peña will try to grapple, which could slow the fight and push it past 1.5 rounds. Nunes has KO power, but Peña's durability and grappling could extend the fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a lean, but Nunes inside the distance is the most likely outcome.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round TKO, dismissing Julianna Peña's chances. He criticizes Peña's striking technique and notes she was submitted by a standing guillotine against Jermaine de Randamie. He believes Nunes is on a different level in strength and skill.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Megan Anderson | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Megan Anderson | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 18 of 25 | 72% | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
| Megan Anderson | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 18 of 25 | 72% | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
| Megan Anderson | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes confidently, citing her massive advantages in striking volume, takedown ability, and competition level. He notes Anderson's poor striking defense (38%) and takedown defense (53%). He predicts a first-round submission, but passes on betting the moneyline due to the high price.
Daniel picks Amanda Nunes, stating she is on a completely different level than Megan Anderson. He notes Anderson's weakness on the mat and suggests looking at the under for betting, expecting an early stoppage.
Nunes is the greatest female fighter ever and should dominate everywhere. Anderson's only chance is a lucky KO, but Nunes's takedowns and ground game are too much. The host predicts a submission in the second round and recommends the under 2.5 rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win, likely by decision. He dismisses Megan Anderson's competition and notes Nunes has improved her grappling, taking down top opponents. He believes Nunes will take Anderson down and outgrapple her, as Anderson was ragdolled by Holly Holm and Felicia Spencer.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 124 of 214 | 57% | 132 of 222 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 | 0 | 8:01 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 42 of 130 | 32% | 70 of 161 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 34 | 61% | 24 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 24 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 12 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 29 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 10 of 46 | 21% | 11 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 34 of 59 | 57% | 35 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 17 of 25 | 68% | 20 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 24 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 124 of 214 | 57% | 90 of 170 | 13 of 20 | 21 of 24 | 91 of 173 | 1 of 1 | 32 of 40 |
| Felicia Spencer | 42 of 130 | 32% | 24 of 106 | 7 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 36 of 118 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 34 | 61% | 14 of 26 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 15 |
| Felicia Spencer | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 23 of 39 | 58% | 17 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Felicia Spencer | 11 of 26 | 42% | 5 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 29 of 57 | 50% | 21 of 44 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 10 of 46 | 21% | 6 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 42 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 34 of 59 | 57% | 24 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Felicia Spencer | 13 of 37 | 35% | 8 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 17 of 25 | 68% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 13 |
| Felicia Spencer | 6 of 13 | 46% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady confidently picks Amanda Nunes by third-round knockout, believing her striking and power will overwhelm Spencer. He notes Spencer's striking is poor and she is overrated for lasting with Cyborg. He expects Nunes to finish early, though he acknowledges Spencer's toughness and top game could be a concern if it goes late. He sees no reason to pick against the GOAT.
Daniel sees a complete mismatch on the feet, with Nunes' striking far superior. He notes that people overlook Nunes' black belt, but she submitted Miesha Tate and has serious grappling credentials. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to Nunes vs Rousey, and dismisses Spencer's path to victory via grappling because Nunes is also a black belt.
Amanda Nunes is the women's GOAT with power and a black belt in jiu-jitsu. Felicia Spencer is tough and has a grappling-heavy approach, but Nunes should be able to stuff takedowns and win on the feet. However, Spencer's durability and clinch game could make it a long fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a better bet than Nunes straight at -600.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes over Felicia Spencer. He dismisses Spencer's wins as coming against weak competition in a shallow women's featherweight division. He believes Nunes has too much power and skill on the feet, and that Spencer's only chance is to push Nunes against the cage, which he doubts she can do. He expects Nunes to dominate and win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 184 | 42% | 199 of 337 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 18:29 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 40 of 73 | 54% | 126 of 175 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 42 of 87 | 48% | 43 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 33 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 29 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 47 of 80 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:21 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 22 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 28 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 54 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:46 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 30 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 184 | 42% | 63 of 162 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 15 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 62 of 135 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 40 of 73 | 54% | 19 of 48 | 11 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 19 of 42 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 42 of 87 | 48% | 38 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 70 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 11 of 23 | 47% | 2 of 11 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 10 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 9 of 26 | 34% | 4 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 16 of 30 | 53% | 10 of 24 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 16 of 44 | 36% | 13 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 36 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 8 of 10 | 80% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 19 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Holly Holm | 11 of 14 | 78% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Holly Holm | 11 of 14 | 78% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cristiane Justino | 2 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cristiane Justino | 2 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 3 of 15 | 20% | 1 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristiane Justino | 13 of 21 | 61% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 3 of 15 | 20% | 1 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristiane Justino | 13 of 21 | 61% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Felicia Spencer - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 56 of 78 | 71% | 227 of 275 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 11:58 |
| Leah Letson | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 69 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felicia Spencer | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 75 of 95 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Leah Letson | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 28 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Felicia Spencer | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 71 of 77 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:21 |
| Leah Letson | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 16 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Felicia Spencer | 0 | 28 of 35 | 80% | 81 of 103 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 3:15 |
| Leah Letson | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 25 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicia Spencer | 56 of 78 | 71% | 44 of 65 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 39 of 45 | 12 of 16 |
| Leah Letson | 17 of 36 | 47% | 10 of 27 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 29 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felicia Spencer | 17 of 29 | 58% | 14 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 16 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
| Leah Letson | 6 of 13 | 46% | 2 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Felicia Spencer | 11 of 14 | 78% | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Leah Letson | 5 of 8 | 62% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Felicia Spencer | 28 of 35 | 80% | 24 of 31 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 14 of 14 | 12 of 16 |
| Leah Letson | 6 of 15 | 40% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Felicia Spencer to win inside the distance, having placed a prop bet at +190. He notes Spencer's strong grappling and top pressure, and that Letson has a three-year layoff and holes on the ground. Angelo expects Spencer to ragdoll Letson and finish via TKO or submission.
Big Brady picks Felicia Spencer but notes she is overrated and the line is too wide. He acknowledges Spencer's ground game is phenomenal (black belt BJJ) but her wrestling to get it there is questionable. He expects Spencer to take down Letson and get a submission, but warns that if she doesn't wrestle, it could be competitive.
Cody agrees with Paul's concerns about Spencer's wrestling. He notes that Letson has a long layoff and a poor resume. He thinks Spencer should win but is not confident enough to bet heavily. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Daniel Levi picks Felicia Spencer, citing her black belt jiu-jitsu and ability to get takedowns and control on the mat. He notes that Leah Letson has been out for three years and lacks the striking power to hurt Spencer, who has a proven chin against Cyborg and Nunes. Levi expects a submission or ground-and-pound TKO, though he acknowledges the price is steep.
Jacob picks Felicia Spencer to dominate, agreeing with the inside distance bet. He notes that Spencer had good moments against Nunes and that Letson is not on that level. Jacob thinks Spencer will get the takedown and finish.
Paul is worried that Spencer's wrestling is poor and she has a reluctance to grapple, as seen in the Dumont fight where she attempted zero takedowns. He thinks she should dominate on the ground but might make it harder by striking. He still picks Spencer but with low confidence.
The Guru picks Felicia Spencer by first-round TKO via ground and pound. He expects Spencer to take Letson down, advance to mount and back mount, and land heavy shots until the referee stops it. He compares it to a previous finish where a fighter pounded from back mount.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norma Dumont | 0 | 47 of 114 | 41% | 70 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 68 of 135 | 50% | 88 of 155 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norma Dumont | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 14 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Norma Dumont | 0 | 20 of 51 | 39% | 23 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 35 of 60 | 58% | 41 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Norma Dumont | 0 | 16 of 26 | 61% | 33 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:10 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 26 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norma Dumont | 47 of 114 | 41% | 27 of 76 | 14 of 27 | 6 of 11 | 38 of 102 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 68 of 135 | 50% | 40 of 100 | 14 of 20 | 14 of 15 | 59 of 123 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norma Dumont | 11 of 37 | 29% | 7 of 25 | 2 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 21 of 46 | 45% | 11 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 18 of 43 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Norma Dumont | 20 of 51 | 39% | 12 of 35 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 19 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 35 of 60 | 58% | 23 of 45 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Norma Dumont | 16 of 26 | 61% | 8 of 16 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 19 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 12 of 29 | 41% | 6 of 20 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 23 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In what could be the final women’s featherweight contest in UFC history depending on how things shake out, former title challenger Spencer (8-2, 2-2 UFC) will try to put the nickname of “The Immortal” Dumont (5-1, 1-1 UFC) to the test. Gloves are not touched in front of referee Chris Tognoni, as the two women look to handle their business. Neither is willing to engage in the early going, with both in the center of the cage but not within striking range. When Dumont reaches out a jab, Spencer rushes at her with a few punches and a side kick. The Canadian blitzes forward to throw strikes, and Dumont rolls with them and tries to counter. Spencer again loads up with a few shots, and Dumont can do little but take them on the nose. The Brazilian lands a single inside leg kick, and the action stalls out again until Dumont slaps with another. Spencer comes up just short with a hook kick, and Dumont is on her bike avoiding the bigger strikes. Spencer walks through a leg kick to try to land, and Dumont is sitting back with counters and inside leg kicks. Spencer switches stances and checks a kick, and she reaches out with a side kick. A follow-up right hand scores effectively for Spencer, and the two women trade hands in a brief but heavy exchange in the middle. An inaccurate high kick from Spencer leads to a wild flurry from both women, and Spencer chains a few strikes into a body lock takedown attempt. Dumont stands tall against the fence, and she breaks the grip thanks to knee up the middle. Spencer misses with a big elbow, but a front kick pierces the guard. Dumont responds in kind, and she sits down on a kick to the knee that lands with an audible slap. Spencer connects in an exchange, scoring an elbow and backing off. Dumont chases after her with a punch, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Spencer
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Spencer
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Spencer
Round 2
Spencer rushes out of her corner, and when she launches a front kick, Dumont is there with a leg kick and a jab. The Brazilian peppers Spencer with leg kicks as Spencer looks for an angle to come in, with Spencer’s responsive head kick coming up short. The two trade punches, and Spencer slaps her foe in the face with a lead hook kick. Spencer rushes in with a potential takedown, and Dumont shoves her away and waves her finger at her and points to the ground to strike. Spencer walks through a few big punches, and Dumont rocks her with a trio of huge hooks. Ever the tough woman, Spencer walks forward like a Terminator and intercepts a Dumont kick with her own leg kick. The Canadian gets off a straight right hand as Dumont backs off, with Dumont sticking her leg out with a front kick to get Spencer off of her. Spencer sits down on a big punch, but Dumont blasts her back with a stunning overhand right. Spencer aims a kick to the calf, and she barely dodges a head kick that soars at her. Both women come together to trade, and Dumont gets a right hand off to the head and a left to the body. Spencer absorbs the strikes and wades forward to clinch up, but Dumont is not having it, backing off to wing a huge right hand. A hook kick comes up short for Spencer, and she pushes in to grind Dumont into the chain-link fence like a cheese grater. Dumont delivers a solid knee up the middle to break free, and Spencer pays her back with a side kick to the face. A quick head kick finds its home for Spencer, who backs away from a punch to the body. The second frame ends with a tense staring contest.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Round 3
Spencer rushes out with a front kick to the chest, and she digs to the body with a liver kick shortly thereafter. The Canadian just barely gets out of the way from a salvo that flies at her, and Spencer reaches with an axe kick and a side kick to get Dumont to back away. Dumont crashes in when Spencer puts her foot down to take Spencer down, where the Brazilian lands in half guard. Before Dumont can get any strikes off, Spencer recovers her guard and threatens with a possible triangle choke. Dumont ignores it and fights off the potential kimura setup, where she thinks about passing guard but bails on it all to stand back up. Spencer thanks her with a punch in the face, where she follows the strike with a few more. A big kick up the middle leads to a counter from Dumont, and Dumont hits a trip but cannot get top position. As Spencer pushes her against the fencing, she elbows Dumont in the face and knees her in the breadbasket. A few more elbows from Spencer get Dumont’s attention, as Spencer presses her full body weight on the Brazilian. Dumont fights her off and tries to trip her down, but gets reversed and allows Spencer to wind up on top. “The Immortal” locks her down with a tight guard, and Spencer wriggles her arms out to land a couple elbows. Spencer squeezes with a can opener in the waning seconds of the fight, and this close fight comes to an end in this position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Spencer (29-28 Spencer)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Spencer (29-28 Spencer)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Spencer (29-28 Spencer)
The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Felicia Spencer via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Spencer based on her superior level of competition (fought Nunes and Cyborg) and grappling advantage, expecting her to get takedowns and work ground-and-pound. He notes Dumont's limited tape and unknown takedown defense, but worries if Dumont stuffs takedowns, Spencer's striking could be exposed. He predicts a decision win.
Cody Saftic picks Felicia Spencer but is hesitant due to the price. He notes that Spencer is tough and durable, with a grappling advantage, but her striking is rudimentary and she struggles to get takedowns against good wrestlers. Dumont is also a grappler, and the fight could be close. Saftic worries that if the fight stays standing, Spencer could lose a decision. He prefers the underdog Dumont at plus money.
Daniel Levi picks Norma Dumont, citing concerns about Felicia Spencer being a one-trick pony with submission grappling and poor striking. He notes Dumont's physicality, power, and that she has been training in Las Vegas with John Wood and Joanne Calderwood, even hitting takedowns on college wrestler Evan Smith. He believes Dumont can keep the fight standing and piece Spencer up.
Matt picks Felicia Spencer to win by decision, though a submission wouldn't surprise him. He highlights Spencer's durability, having gone 25 minutes with Amanda Nunes and 50 minutes with Cris Cyborg without being finished. He believes Spencer's top game and grinding style will overwhelm Dumont, whose ground game is unknown. He notes Dumont may have better striking, but Spencer's pressure and takedowns should control the fight. He also mentions Spencer by KO at +900 as a potential prop due to ground-and-pound.
Paul Shaughnessy leans toward Norma Dumont as a dog, noting that the line has moved from +265 to +150, indicating value. He believes Dumont's grappling is comparable to Spencer's, and that the fight is close to 50-50. He points out that Spencer's only claim to fame is going five rounds with Amanda Nunes, but she lost every minute. He thinks Dumont's short notice and weight issues are concerns, but at plus money, she is worth a play.
The MMA Guru predicts Felicia Spencer will win by first-round arm triangle submission. He expects Spencer to get Dumont down against the cage after a clinch exchange, then sink in the submission. He envisions Spencer using underhooks to push Dumont back, securing a takedown with a slam and finishing with the arm triangle.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 124 of 214 | 57% | 132 of 222 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 | 0 | 8:01 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 42 of 130 | 32% | 70 of 161 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 34 | 61% | 24 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 24 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 12 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 29 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 10 of 46 | 21% | 11 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 34 of 59 | 57% | 35 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 17 of 25 | 68% | 20 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 24 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 124 of 214 | 57% | 90 of 170 | 13 of 20 | 21 of 24 | 91 of 173 | 1 of 1 | 32 of 40 |
| Felicia Spencer | 42 of 130 | 32% | 24 of 106 | 7 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 36 of 118 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 34 | 61% | 14 of 26 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 15 |
| Felicia Spencer | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 23 of 39 | 58% | 17 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Felicia Spencer | 11 of 26 | 42% | 5 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 29 of 57 | 50% | 21 of 44 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 10 of 46 | 21% | 6 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 42 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 34 of 59 | 57% | 24 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Felicia Spencer | 13 of 37 | 35% | 8 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 17 of 25 | 68% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 13 |
| Felicia Spencer | 6 of 13 | 46% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady confidently picks Amanda Nunes by third-round knockout, believing her striking and power will overwhelm Spencer. He notes Spencer's striking is poor and she is overrated for lasting with Cyborg. He expects Nunes to finish early, though he acknowledges Spencer's toughness and top game could be a concern if it goes late. He sees no reason to pick against the GOAT.
Daniel sees a complete mismatch on the feet, with Nunes' striking far superior. He notes that people overlook Nunes' black belt, but she submitted Miesha Tate and has serious grappling credentials. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to Nunes vs Rousey, and dismisses Spencer's path to victory via grappling because Nunes is also a black belt.
Amanda Nunes is the women's GOAT with power and a black belt in jiu-jitsu. Felicia Spencer is tough and has a grappling-heavy approach, but Nunes should be able to stuff takedowns and win on the feet. However, Spencer's durability and clinch game could make it a long fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a better bet than Nunes straight at -600.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes over Felicia Spencer. He dismisses Spencer's wins as coming against weak competition in a shallow women's featherweight division. He believes Nunes has too much power and skill on the feet, and that Spencer's only chance is to push Nunes against the cage, which he doubts she can do. He expects Nunes to dominate and win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 40 of 64 | 62% | 68 of 98 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Zarah Fairn | 0 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felicia Spencer | 0 | 40 of 64 | 62% | 68 of 98 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Zarah Fairn | 0 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicia Spencer | 40 of 64 | 62% | 38 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 39 |
| Zarah Fairn | 13 of 28 | 46% | 12 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felicia Spencer | 40 of 64 | 62% | 38 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 39 |
| Zarah Fairn | 13 of 28 | 46% | 12 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiane Justino | 0 | 122 of 216 | 56% | 138 of 234 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 38 of 85 | 44% | 64 of 115 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristiane Justino | 0 | 45 of 77 | 58% | 54 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 2 | Cristiane Justino | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 29 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 21 of 32 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Cristiane Justino | 0 | 53 of 96 | 55% | 55 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 21 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiane Justino | 122 of 216 | 56% | 59 of 147 | 43 of 48 | 20 of 21 | 81 of 160 | 34 of 42 | 7 of 14 |
| Felicia Spencer | 38 of 85 | 44% | 21 of 64 | 9 of 13 | 8 of 8 | 31 of 70 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristiane Justino | 45 of 77 | 58% | 22 of 53 | 18 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 59 | 15 of 16 | 0 of 2 |
| Felicia Spencer | 10 of 19 | 52% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cristiane Justino | 24 of 43 | 55% | 11 of 28 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 25 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 12 |
| Felicia Spencer | 10 of 19 | 52% | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 5 | |
| 3 | Cristiane Justino | 53 of 96 | 55% | 26 of 66 | 16 of 19 | 11 of 11 | 39 of 76 | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 18 of 47 | 38% | 7 of 32 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 40 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Megan Anderson | 0 | 22 of 31 | 70% | 25 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felicia Spencer | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Megan Anderson | 0 | 22 of 31 | 70% | 25 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicia Spencer | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Megan Anderson | 22 of 31 | 70% | 13 of 17 | 0 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 13 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felicia Spencer | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Megan Anderson | 22 of 31 | 70% | 13 of 17 | 0 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 13 of 15 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady confidently picks Amanda Nunes by third-round knockout, believing her striking and power will overwhelm Spencer. He notes Spencer's striking is poor and she is overrated for lasting with Cyborg. He expects Nunes to finish early, though he acknowledges Spencer's toughness and top game could be a concern if it goes late. He sees no reason to pick against the GOAT.
Daniel sees a complete mismatch on the feet, with Nunes' striking far superior. He notes that people overlook Nunes' black belt, but she submitted Miesha Tate and has serious grappling credentials. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to Nunes vs Rousey, and dismisses Spencer's path to victory via grappling because Nunes is also a black belt.
Amanda Nunes is the women's GOAT with power and a black belt in jiu-jitsu. Felicia Spencer is tough and has a grappling-heavy approach, but Nunes should be able to stuff takedowns and win on the feet. However, Spencer's durability and clinch game could make it a long fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a better bet than Nunes straight at -600.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes over Felicia Spencer. He dismisses Spencer's wins as coming against weak competition in a shallow women's featherweight division. He believes Nunes has too much power and skill on the feet, and that Spencer's only chance is to push Nunes against the cage, which he doubts she can do. He expects Nunes to dominate and win.
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