UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Dec 14, 2019 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington Next Fight
Age 38
Height 5' 8"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 42
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Amanda Nunes
4.55 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
2.62 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
2.73 TD Avg
54.0% TD Acc.
82.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Germaine de Randamie
2.57 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
2.0 SApM
65.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Amanda Nunes - Fight History
WIN vs Irene Aldana
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–43) R5 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 142 of 267 53% 196 of 323 6 of 13 46% 0 0 7:00
Irene Aldana 0 41 of 143 28% 57 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 21 of 56 37% 21 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Irene Aldana 0 8 of 31 25% 8 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Amanda Nunes 0 31 of 61 50% 31 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Irene Aldana 0 11 of 38 28% 11 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Amanda Nunes 0 23 of 47 48% 25 of 49 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:05
Irene Aldana 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
4 Amanda Nunes 0 48 of 77 62% 49 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:13
Irene Aldana 0 13 of 48 27% 13 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
5 Amanda Nunes 0 19 of 26 73% 70 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:36
Irene Aldana 0 1 of 4 25% 17 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 142 of 267 53% 97 of 198 28 of 49 17 of 20 115 of 234 5 of 8 22 of 25
Irene Aldana 41 of 143 28% 25 of 118 3 of 7 13 of 18 36 of 133 3 of 3 2 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 21 of 56 37% 9 of 35 9 of 18 3 of 3 21 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 8 of 31 25% 5 of 27 0 of 0 3 of 4 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Amanda Nunes 31 of 61 50% 16 of 40 7 of 11 8 of 10 30 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 11 of 38 28% 4 of 27 0 of 0 7 of 11 11 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Amanda Nunes 23 of 47 48% 20 of 40 3 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 40 1 of 1 4 of 6
Irene Aldana 8 of 22 36% 7 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 2
4 Amanda Nunes 48 of 77 62% 36 of 61 6 of 9 6 of 7 45 of 71 3 of 6 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 13 of 48 27% 9 of 41 2 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 43 3 of 3 0 of 2
5 Amanda Nunes 19 of 26 73% 16 of 22 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 19
Irene Aldana 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Angelo picks Amanda Nunes but expresses hesitation. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and should win, but questions her motivation due to her age, wealth, and new family. He thinks she may need to rely on wrestling, and hopes she is in shape. He acknowledges Irene Aldana's technical boxing and takedown defense, but believes Nunes' power and wrestling will prevail.

"I think Amanda Nunes gets this done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is the far superior fighter and that Aldana's wins are against lower-level competition. Aldana struggled with Macy Chiasson and had her back taken. Even if Nunes is not fully motivated, she should dominate. He advises against betting Nunes due to the high price and potential motivation issues, but still picks her to finish early.

first round submission; advises against betting Nunes due to high price and motivation concerns
"give me Nunez to finish aldana I think it comes in the very first round and I'll say it's by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Cody picks Amanda Nunes, citing her wrestling game plan as the key. He notes that Holly Holm and Macy Chiasson both took Aldana down multiple times, and if Nunes sticks to that approach, it should be easy work. He acknowledges Aldana's boxing and lateral movement but believes Nunes's takedowns will neutralize her. He also mentions that Nunes's motivation and conditioning looked career-best in the Peña rematch.

Over 1.5 takedowns for Nunes on PrizePicks
"if Amanda Nunes comes out here sticks to a game plan that she did in the second fight against Pena I struggle to see how Eldon is able to fight that off"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Connor believes Nunes will win due to her athletic advantage and wrestling. He notes that Aldana is easy to take down and has a bad habit of pulling guard, similar to Dern. He expects Nunes to use her wrestling to control the fight, as she did against de Randamie.

Nunes opened at -360, currently -308; Aldana opened at +308, currently +260. Connor mentions the odds are getting tighter and he would not be surprised if they continue to move.
"I'm still going to pick her."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes, citing that all film and stats point to Nunes having Aldana covered in every part of the game. He notes that the line is driven down by the first Pena fight, but Nunes dominated the rematch. He acknowledges Aldana's power and cleaner hands than Pena, but believes Nunes is the better fighter with more ways to win, including superior wrestling, Jiu-Jitsu, striking, and power. He sees the grappling gap as 10 worlds apart and expects Nunes to finish the fight.

"all indications lead to Amanda having her covered pretty much everywhere"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Amanda Nunes

James picks Amanda Nunes to win but is hesitant due to volatility. He notes Nunes is 35, talking about retirement, and had an off night against Pena. He thinks if Nunes is focused, she submits Aldana within three rounds. Aldana is a good boxer but weak elsewhere. James prefers not to bet the moneyline at -350, suggesting props instead. He predicts Nunes finishes in round four or five.

Amanda Nunes to finish Irene Aldana in round 4 or 5 (official prediction)
"I'm gonna pick Amanda Nunes I think she's clearly the better Striker"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Nunes has a clear grappling advantage and should take Aldana down repeatedly. Aldana's best chance is a knockout on the feet, but Nunes will likely close the distance and control the fight on the mat. The over 2.5 rounds is likely as Aldana is tough off her back. Nunes by decision is the most probable outcome, though the moneyline is accurate.

Over 2.5 rounds (even money), Nunes wins by decision
"I'm still gonna go with the champion here ... give me Nunes by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Paul picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging the line already factors in her inconsistency. He notes that Nunes has a minus-500 skill set but the line is discounted due to her personal life and past performances. He highlights that Aldana doesn't have big KO power, so if Nunes closes distance and gets takedowns, she should dominate. He suggests hedging by betting Nunes and then taking Aldana live after a couple rounds if Nunes fades.

Hedge suggestion: bet Nunes pre-fight, then bet Aldana live after round 2 or 3 if Nunes gasses
"I honestly feel like the line makers factored that into making this line minus 320 because Amanda Nunez probably should be a minus 500 she's got a minus 500 skill set"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging Aldana's KO power but citing a skill gap. He notes Aldana was schooled by Holly Holm and struggled against Macy Chiasson, while Nunes is a different level. He predicts Nunes will mix in takedowns and finish Aldana via standing TKO in the second round after some back-and-forth on the feet.

prediction of second round TKO, notes Aldana is a decent underdog
"I'm going with Amanda Nunes over Irene aldana"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Zane agrees with Connor that Nunes will win. He emphasizes that Aldana's wrestling is a huge problem, as she gave up three takedowns to Macy Chiasson. He notes that Nunes is not a great wrestler but Aldana is worse, and her instinct to pull guard will be exploited.

"The wrestling is just the crux. Like if she can't stop the takedowns, and really she should be able to. Like Nunez isn't even that good of a wrestler."
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–44, 50–43) R5 5:00 · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 60 of 154 38% 130 of 239 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 3 85 of 152 55% 126 of 201 6 of 8 75% 1 0 11:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 25 of 47 53% 25 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Amanda Nunes 0 25 of 66 37% 31 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 3 19 of 48 39% 24 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
3 Amanda Nunes 0 6 of 21 28% 31 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 14 of 23 60% 23 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:02
4 Amanda Nunes 0 4 of 10 40% 33 of 42 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 16 of 20 80% 34 of 40 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:54
5 Amanda Nunes 0 4 of 6 66% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 11 of 14 78% 20 of 26 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 60 of 154 38% 54 of 144 6 of 10 0 of 0 59 of 151 1 of 3 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 85 of 152 55% 67 of 128 10 of 14 8 of 10 57 of 117 0 of 1 28 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 21 of 51 41% 20 of 49 1 of 2 0 of 0 21 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 25 of 47 53% 17 of 37 3 of 3 5 of 7 25 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Amanda Nunes 25 of 66 37% 21 of 59 4 of 7 0 of 0 24 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 19 of 48 39% 13 of 40 4 of 6 2 of 2 19 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Amanda Nunes 6 of 21 28% 5 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 14 of 23 60% 12 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 1 7 of 9
4 Amanda Nunes 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 16 of 20 80% 15 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 14
5 Amanda Nunes 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 11 of 14 78% 10 of 12 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 10
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is better everywhere and that the first fight was a one-off due to injury or motivation issues. He expects Nunes to finish early, but if it extends, he has concerns about her cardio. He is not betting this fight.

"i'm going to take nunes here... i'll say nunez first round finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julianna Peña

Cody believes Peña is the right pick because she already exposed Nunes' cardio and quit rate. He notes Nunes has suspect cardio, has shown red flags in fights against Germaine de Randamie and Felicia Spencer, and may be unmotivated after becoming a multi-millionaire and mother. He also points out that Peña is durable, pressures well, and the odds (+245) are too juicy to pass up given she just choked Nunes out. He expects Peña to win again, possibly taking a bit longer this time.

Nunes under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks; odds are too juicy for Peña at +245
"i just think that the pace at some point will cause amanda to quit... the odds are just way too juicy to look away here's a girl that just choked her out in the second round standing feels like crap …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julianna Peña

Daniel argues that Julianna Peña's ability to stand up to the bully and absorb Nunes' power is the key factor. He notes that Peña's iron jaw and willpower broke Nunes mentally in the first fight, causing her to tap to a choke that wasn't locked in. He believes Nunes has a history of struggling when opponents don't back down, citing the Cat Zingano fight and the Valentina Shevchenko fights. He acknowledges Nunes could win via calf kicks or a submission, but he trusts Peña's heart and durability. He also points out that long-reigning champions rarely regain their belt in immediate rematches, citing a 11-2 record for the new champion.

1 unit bet at +245; mentions that Peña could win by ground and pound from full mount this time
"I'm taking Juliana Peña. I only put one unit on it, um I think I got it plus 245."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Amanda Nunes

Preet leans Nunes to win but won't lay -260; instead he likes the over 2.5 rounds at +100. He expects a more cautious, methodical fight that goes into the later rounds, noting that rematches of first-round finishes often go the distance. He thinks Nunes will be more disciplined and use leg kicks and combinations, but Peña's durability and pressure could extend the fight.

over 2.5 rounds +100
"the spot that i think that is being overlooked here is the the over uh over one and a half minus 190 not bad but even the over two and a half plus 100"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julianna Peña

Paul picks Peña as well, citing the narrative that Nunes emptied her tank early in the first fight and quit. He thinks Nunes can win a striking match if she paces herself, but he's terrified to bet the fight. He notes that Peña is super durable and that the odds (+245) are attractive. He compares it to Ronda Rousey's loss to Holly Holm, where people still believed in Rousey, but here Peña already beat Nunes.

Nunes under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks; odds are too juicy for Peña at +245
"i'll pick pena if i was going to bet but like i'm terrified to bet this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Julianna Peña

The MMA Guru predicts Julianna Peña wins by submission (rear-naked choke) in round four. He expects Nunes to win the first two rounds with takedowns and jabs, but Peña will threaten submissions throughout. In round four, Peña times a takedown, passes to half guard, takes the back, and chokes Nunes out.

submission in round 4
"juliana pena choked her around on round four"
LOSS vs Julianna Peña
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:26 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julianna Peña 0 46 of 99 46% 58 of 112 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:35
Amanda Nunes 0 79 of 135 58% 90 of 147 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julianna Peña 0 10 of 14 71% 22 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:35
Amanda Nunes 0 5 of 20 25% 16 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Julianna Peña 0 36 of 85 42% 36 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Amanda Nunes 0 74 of 115 64% 74 of 115 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julianna Peña 46 of 99 46% 36 of 85 1 of 3 9 of 11 44 of 97 0 of 0 2 of 2
Amanda Nunes 79 of 135 58% 69 of 122 10 of 13 0 of 0 78 of 134 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julianna Peña 10 of 14 71% 4 of 7 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2
Amanda Nunes 5 of 20 25% 5 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Julianna Peña 36 of 85 42% 32 of 78 0 of 1 4 of 6 36 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Amanda Nunes 74 of 115 64% 64 of 103 10 of 12 0 of 0 73 of 114 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady is very confident in Amanda Nunes winning early, likely by first-round submission. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and has advantages everywhere: striking, grappling, and cardio. Peña has poor takedown defense (23%) and was submitted by GDR, which is concerning. Nunes can finish by knockout or submission, and Brady expects a quick finish.

Nunes by submission in round 1
"i think amanda nunez is going to get it done i think she's going to get it done early very early in the first round whether it's a first round knockout or a first round submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Peña's striking is sloppy and she has been submitted in two of her last four fights. Levi believes Nunes will establish her jab and calf kicks, and when Peña shoots a sloppy takedown, Nunes will sprawl and lock in a d'arce or anaconda choke. He thinks Peña's trash talk will motivate Nunes to make a statement.

submission, first round, d'arce or anaconda choke
"i think that amanda nunes is going to sprawl on her and i'm thinking a darcer anaconda choke finish in the first round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Nunes is the far superior fighter and should win, but the method is uncertain. Peña will try to grapple, which could slow the fight and push it past 1.5 rounds. Nunes has KO power, but Peña's durability and grappling could extend the fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a lean, but Nunes inside the distance is the most likely outcome.

over 1.5 rounds, Nunes inside the distance
"i'm going nunez nunes by let's say third round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round TKO, dismissing Julianna Peña's chances. He criticizes Peña's striking technique and notes she was submitted by a standing guillotine against Jermaine de Randamie. He believes Nunes is on a different level in strength and skill.

first-round TKO
"i'm gonna go with amanda nunez here she's on a different level she's too strong she's too manly she's too lesbian juliana pena is too heterosexual i'm going with amanda nunez by tko in the first round"
Submission (triangle armbar) R1 2:03 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 18 of 25 72% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:42
Megan Anderson 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 18 of 25 72% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:42
Megan Anderson 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 18 of 25 72% 15 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 10 of 16 0 of 0 8 of 9
Megan Anderson 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 18 of 25 72% 15 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 10 of 16 0 of 0 8 of 9
Megan Anderson 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes confidently, citing her massive advantages in striking volume, takedown ability, and competition level. He notes Anderson's poor striking defense (38%) and takedown defense (53%). He predicts a first-round submission, but passes on betting the moneyline due to the high price.

first round submission
"give me a man of nunes here give me a man of nunes i'm gonna say first round um submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel picks Amanda Nunes, stating she is on a completely different level than Megan Anderson. He notes Anderson's weakness on the mat and suggests looking at the under for betting, expecting an early stoppage.

under
"she's just on a completely different level than uh megan anderson so for that reason she's winning this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Nunes is the greatest female fighter ever and should dominate everywhere. Anderson's only chance is a lucky KO, but Nunes's takedowns and ground game are too much. The host predicts a submission in the second round and recommends the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds minus 220, fight does not start round three minus 175, round two nunes plus 300
"i think that the lock of the night play for ufc 259 would easily be the under two and a half in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win, likely by decision. He dismisses Megan Anderson's competition and notes Nunes has improved her grappling, taking down top opponents. He believes Nunes will take Anderson down and outgrapple her, as Anderson was ragdolled by Holly Holm and Felicia Spencer.

"nunez is going to get the job done taking her down out grappling her it's food chain stuff"
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Jun 06, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 124 of 214 57% 132 of 222 6 of 7 85% 1 0 8:01
Felicia Spencer 0 42 of 130 32% 70 of 161 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 21 of 34 61% 24 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:05
Felicia Spencer 0 2 of 8 25% 8 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
2 Amanda Nunes 0 23 of 39 58% 24 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Felicia Spencer 0 11 of 26 42% 12 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Amanda Nunes 0 29 of 57 50% 29 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:07
Felicia Spencer 0 10 of 46 21% 11 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Amanda Nunes 0 34 of 59 57% 35 of 60 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:34
Felicia Spencer 0 13 of 37 35% 15 of 41 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
5 Amanda Nunes 0 17 of 25 68% 20 of 28 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:41
Felicia Spencer 0 6 of 13 46% 24 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 124 of 214 57% 90 of 170 13 of 20 21 of 24 91 of 173 1 of 1 32 of 40
Felicia Spencer 42 of 130 32% 24 of 106 7 of 9 11 of 15 36 of 118 4 of 9 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 21 of 34 61% 14 of 26 5 of 6 2 of 2 9 of 18 1 of 1 11 of 15
Felicia Spencer 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Amanda Nunes 23 of 39 58% 17 of 30 3 of 5 3 of 4 18 of 33 0 of 0 5 of 6
Felicia Spencer 11 of 26 42% 5 of 19 3 of 3 3 of 4 10 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 1
3 Amanda Nunes 29 of 57 50% 21 of 44 2 of 6 6 of 7 29 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Felicia Spencer 10 of 46 21% 6 of 40 1 of 1 3 of 5 9 of 42 1 of 4 0 of 0
4 Amanda Nunes 34 of 59 57% 24 of 48 3 of 3 7 of 8 29 of 53 0 of 0 5 of 6
Felicia Spencer 13 of 37 35% 8 of 30 1 of 2 4 of 5 11 of 34 1 of 2 1 of 1
5 Amanda Nunes 17 of 25 68% 14 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 12 0 of 0 11 of 13
Felicia Spencer 6 of 13 46% 4 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady confidently picks Amanda Nunes by third-round knockout, believing her striking and power will overwhelm Spencer. He notes Spencer's striking is poor and she is overrated for lasting with Cyborg. He expects Nunes to finish early, though he acknowledges Spencer's toughness and top game could be a concern if it goes late. He sees no reason to pick against the GOAT.

Nunes by third-round knockout
"I'm gonna go man in Nunez give me a third-round knockout I just think she's in a good Spencer out of here I think Spencer's very tough but I don't think she's going to withstand all the all the volume …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel sees a complete mismatch on the feet, with Nunes' striking far superior. He notes that people overlook Nunes' black belt, but she submitted Miesha Tate and has serious grappling credentials. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to Nunes vs Rousey, and dismisses Spencer's path to victory via grappling because Nunes is also a black belt.

finish within three rounds, first round knockout
"I think it's gonna be a first round knockout man I think Amanda Nunez is gonna come out here tee off on her calf kicks the boxing pop her head back stuff every takedown attempt go out there put her …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Amanda Nunes is the women's GOAT with power and a black belt in jiu-jitsu. Felicia Spencer is tough and has a grappling-heavy approach, but Nunes should be able to stuff takedowns and win on the feet. However, Spencer's durability and clinch game could make it a long fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a better bet than Nunes straight at -600.

Over 1.5 rounds (-190); Amanda Nunes by decision
"i still will pick amanda nunes i think that she'll be able to you know uh stifle the takedowns um i think that she'll be able to to win off of points"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes over Felicia Spencer. He dismisses Spencer's wins as coming against weak competition in a shallow women's featherweight division. He believes Nunes has too much power and skill on the feet, and that Spencer's only chance is to push Nunes against the cage, which he doubts she can do. He expects Nunes to dominate and win.

"Nunez gets the job done over Felicia Spencer she's too much too much power too much"
Decision (unanimous) (49–44, 49–46, 49–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Dec 14, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 79 of 184 42% 199 of 337 8 of 11 72% 2 0 18:29
Germaine de Randamie 0 40 of 73 54% 126 of 175 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 42 of 87 48% 43 of 88 2 of 2 100% 2 0 2:53
Germaine de Randamie 0 11 of 23 47% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
2 Amanda Nunes 0 9 of 26 34% 33 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:13
Germaine de Randamie 0 16 of 30 53% 29 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
3 Amanda Nunes 0 16 of 44 36% 47 of 80 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:21
Germaine de Randamie 0 8 of 10 80% 17 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
4 Amanda Nunes 0 12 of 24 50% 22 of 39 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:16
Germaine de Randamie 0 4 of 6 66% 28 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
5 Amanda Nunes 0 0 of 3 0% 54 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:46
Germaine de Randamie 0 1 of 4 25% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 79 of 184 42% 63 of 162 4 of 6 12 of 16 15 of 46 2 of 3 62 of 135
Germaine de Randamie 40 of 73 54% 19 of 48 11 of 15 10 of 10 19 of 42 12 of 13 9 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 42 of 87 48% 38 of 81 1 of 1 3 of 5 4 of 16 1 of 1 37 of 70
Germaine de Randamie 11 of 23 47% 2 of 11 4 of 7 5 of 5 4 of 9 4 of 4 3 of 10
2 Amanda Nunes 9 of 26 34% 4 of 20 0 of 0 5 of 6 5 of 17 1 of 1 3 of 8
Germaine de Randamie 16 of 30 53% 10 of 24 5 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 22 7 of 8 0 of 0
3 Amanda Nunes 16 of 44 36% 13 of 39 1 of 2 2 of 3 2 of 8 0 of 0 14 of 36
Germaine de Randamie 8 of 10 80% 5 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 5
4 Amanda Nunes 12 of 24 50% 8 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 19
Germaine de Randamie 4 of 6 66% 2 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1
5 Amanda Nunes 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2
Germaine de Randamie 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2
WIN vs Holly Holm
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 4:10 · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 06, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 1 17 of 35 48% 17 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Holly Holm 0 11 of 14 78% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 1 17 of 35 48% 17 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Holly Holm 0 11 of 14 78% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 17 of 35 48% 8 of 23 6 of 9 3 of 3 11 of 27 3 of 4 3 of 4
Holly Holm 11 of 14 78% 3 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 9 11 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 17 of 35 48% 8 of 23 6 of 9 3 of 3 11 of 27 3 of 4 3 of 4
Holly Holm 11 of 14 78% 3 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 9 11 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
KO (punch) R1 0:51 · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 29, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 3 of 15 20% 3 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cristiane Justino 2 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 3 of 15 20% 3 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cristiane Justino 2 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 3 of 15 20% 1 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cristiane Justino 13 of 21 61% 12 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 3 of 15 20% 1 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cristiane Justino 13 of 21 61% 12 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
Germaine de Randamie - Fight History
LOSS vs Norma Dumont
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 0 11 of 29 37% 49 of 76 6 of 8 75% 0 0 10:04
Germaine de Randamie 0 16 of 33 48% 91 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 0 of 5 0% 15 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:49
Germaine de Randamie 0 3 of 4 75% 23 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Norma Dumont 0 8 of 18 44% 28 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:44
Germaine de Randamie 0 9 of 20 45% 32 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:12
3 Norma Dumont 0 3 of 6 50% 6 of 13 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:31
Germaine de Randamie 0 4 of 9 44% 36 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 11 of 29 37% 6 of 21 5 of 7 0 of 1 4 of 20 5 of 6 2 of 3
Germaine de Randamie 16 of 33 48% 7 of 21 7 of 8 2 of 4 8 of 24 8 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 0 of 5 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
Germaine de Randamie 3 of 4 75% 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Norma Dumont 8 of 18 44% 3 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 10 5 of 6 2 of 2
Germaine de Randamie 9 of 20 45% 4 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 11 8 of 9 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Germaine de Randamie 4 of 9 44% 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Germaine de Randamie vs. Norma Dumont
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-175), de Randamie (+145)

Round 1
For the first time in years, Dumont (10-2, 6-2 UFC) successfully made the bantamweight limit, hitting the scales at 136 pounds. In her return to the division still maintained by the organization, she draws former featherweight champ de Randamie (10-4, 7-2 UFC), who is coming back after nearly a four-year layoff. The victor could be right in the title picture, and they have the next 15 minutes or less to make their case. Referee Keith Peterson will keep things on the up-and-up and not allow any nonsense in the Apex, and the bout starts with a sporting clap of hands. De Randamie leads off with a front kick up the middle, and she follows it with a low kick after Dumont misses with a right up top. Dumont whiffs on a leg kick, and de Randamie steps in and spins her around with a thudding calf kick. Dumont flicks out a jab, and she catches a leg kick and tackles de Randamie down to the ground. De Randamie hits her back and threatens with a heel hook, but the Brazilian is quick to push past it and climb into the half guard. Dumont keeps de Randamie pressed flat on her back, and de Randamie tries to scoot her way towards the fence to sit up. The Dutchwoman regains full guard and closes it, and Dumont tries to break out of it with a short burst of ground-and-pound. Dumont leans one side to pursue an arm-triangle choke, but the leverage is not right and she bails on it. Dumont keeps smothering without landing any offense, and de Randamie shrugs and looks to Peterson to do something. Peterson asks for more activity from the Brazilian, and she stands up and tries to pass guard but is stopped from getting anywhere while lowering herself down. Dumont steps over at the same time that de Randamie explodes back to her feet, and she dumps de Randamie down to the ground to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 2
The ladies clap hands to get things started, and de Randamie follows it with a jab. Dumont sits down on a big right hand, and she shoots in for a takedown. De Randamie stands her up and pops her with a jab, and when she looks to come after it with an overhand right, Dumont shoots in on her hips. The Dutchwoman again thwarts the takedown, and she turns Dumont towards the wall and starts landing short knees to the thigh and body. Dumont gives her one back before attempting to turn and throw her, but she bails when de Randamie keeps her balance. De Randamie finds the midsection with a few knees, and Dumont keeps a knee shield up to defend from a few more of them. De Randamie opens up with two clean right hands that make Dumont turn around, and Dumont gets away with a fence grab to turn herself in a more advantageous position. De Randamie keeps working the body with knees, and Dumont’s efforts to free herself or turn the tables largely fall short. Dumont does manage to put “The Iron Lady” and her back to the cage, but de Randamie responds with a knee up the middle that makes Dumont rethink her approach. De Randamie walks Dumont down and kicks her in the head, and Dumont shakes her head at her. De Randamie chains a few punches together, and she allows Dumont to throw hands because hers are more accurate and powerful. De Randamie looses a body kick, and the Brazilian catches it and slings her to the mat. Dumont lands and hacks down with an elbow, and she lifts de Randamie up and slams her on her back again to open up the guard around her waist. De Randamie maintains a high guard to keep Dumont honest, all while throwing elbows or punches off her back. De Randamie looks for butterfly hooks, and Dumont stands up and finds herself in immediate armbar danger. The round ends with Dumont surviving the sudden submission setup.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie

Round 3
The bantamweights hug it out to start the final frame, and de Randamie is ready and willing to strike from her preferred range. Dumont swings back with bad intentions, but the straight, sharp strikes from the Dutchwoman keep her at bay. Dumont charges like a bull, grabbing hold of a double leg and sending de Randamie from one side of the cage to the other. De Randamie urgently moves to her knees and stands up with the wall at her back, and Dumont manages to hit a body lock and trip to dump her back down. De Randamie gives up her back when escaping, and Dumont sets up a rear-naked choke and stays with it while de Randamie turns to her back. Dumont lets the choke go and shifts to side control, where she sets up an arm-triangle choke. Dumont presses her shoulder down when the choke is not locked up, as she is on the other side. Dumont looks to pass as de Randamie turns to her side, and in the process she gives her back up. Dumont jumps on and sneaks a hook in, and she hand-fights while de Randamie protects against a potential choke. De Randamie keeps moving, turning all the way around and back to her knees. The Dutchwoman nearly slides Dumont off of her, but she manages to work to her feet and lean against the fence. Dumont laces one leg between her foe’s and wrangles de Randamie back down to the mat. A desperate de Randamie hacks with elbows or punches as Dumont lays on her, and this continues until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Germaine de Randamie via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont but acknowledges that Germaine de Randamie is much better than people give her credit for, with only losses to Amanda Nunes and wins over three champions. However, he notes that those wins are old (3.5 to 7 years ago) and that Germaine is 39. He thinks Norma's technical striking and sound takedown defense will be enough. He also mentions that Germaine might be a good plus 3.5 spread bet if she can win one round.

Angelo mentions Germaine de Randamie as a potential plus 3.5 spread bet (buying points) if she can win one round
"I got to go Norma here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Big Brady picks Germaine de Randamie despite a 3.5-year layoff and many question marks. He notes that de Randamie has only lost to Amanda Nunes in the last 10 years and is the better striker. However, he worries about her takedown defense and the layoff, and acknowledges that the line has moved from +180 to +115, making it less attractive. He is not confident and would not bet on this fight.

"I still think I'm going with gdr here the 39y old with a three and a half year layoff"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Cody agrees, noting Dumont's low output and reliance on clinch control, which doesn't score well. He highlights de Randamie's striking, body work, and improved cardio. Cody also mentions that Dumont will likely miss weight, which could affect her performance. He sees de Randamie as the better athlete and striker.

"I think it's gdr all day... it's a total dogger pass situation"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Daniel Vreeland picks Germaine de Randamie despite her four-year layoff, citing her championship-level resume and improvements in takedown defense before the break. He notes Norma Dumont has been dropped by lesser fighters like Megan Anderson and has only one path to win: extended top control. Vreeland believes even 70% of de Randamie is enough to beat Dumont, given the massive step down in competition.

"I think that Germaine de Randamie might have a little something for her so I'm going with the former champ here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

De Randamie is more skilled overall with striking advantages and improved grappling. She has size and reach advantages and can keep the fight upright. However, the three-and-a-half-year layoff and recent pregnancy are major concerns. If she comes in shape, she should win by decision.

de Randamie by decision
"give me durandy and toand me by decision um not a bad Underdog shot but be wary about all the things that I just laid out for you guys"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Paul picks de Randamie as a dog, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Dumont is a decision fighter with low volume and no power, and that she will likely miss weight. Paul thinks de Randamie's cardio and durability are solid, and that her striking will be the difference. He calls it a quintessential dogger pass.

"it's a total dogger pass situation and Jermain randomy you could be doing a lot worse"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The host uses a mayonnaise bottle flip to decide, but then provides reasoning. He notes Dumont had a close fight with Macy Chiasson, nearly finishing her, showing good grappling. He criticizes de Randamie for being 39, inactive since 2020, and not impressive on the feet. He predicts Dumont will take her down and win on the ground.

"Norma's probably going to win she had a close fight with Macy chasson who I think is actually pretty good of a fighter and has good grappling so Norma jamont arguably nearly beat her"
Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R3 3:25 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Germaine de Randamie 0 37 of 91 40% 57 of 119 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:48
Julianna Peña 0 27 of 91 29% 58 of 125 3 of 6 50% 0 0 5:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Germaine de Randamie 0 20 of 58 34% 23 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 8 of 43 18% 12 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
2 Germaine de Randamie 0 6 of 9 66% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:48
Julianna Peña 0 11 of 23 47% 30 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:41
3 Germaine de Randamie 0 11 of 24 45% 15 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 8 of 25 32% 16 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Germaine de Randamie 37 of 91 40% 32 of 86 5 of 5 0 of 0 32 of 84 4 of 6 1 of 1
Julianna Peña 27 of 91 29% 19 of 79 7 of 10 1 of 2 18 of 75 2 of 2 7 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Germaine de Randamie 20 of 58 34% 18 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0 20 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 8 of 43 18% 7 of 39 0 of 2 1 of 2 8 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Germaine de Randamie 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 2 1 of 1
Julianna Peña 11 of 23 47% 6 of 17 5 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 0 7 of 14
3 Germaine de Randamie 11 of 24 45% 8 of 21 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 8 of 25 32% 6 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Big Brady leans towards Germaine de Randamie to win by decision. He notes the striking discrepancy favors de Randamie, and while Peña's path is takedowns, he thinks de Randamie can stop them. He is worried about cage control but expects the fight to stay on the feet.

"give me drain derandomy to win this fight by uh by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Daniel picks de Randamie, emphasizing the massive striking gap and Peña's ugly stand-up. He believes de Randamie will clip Peña coming in and possibly knock her out, similar to the Aspen Ladd fight. He acknowledges concern if Peña gets on top but thinks de Randamie's takedown defense has improved and she will pull the trigger.

de Randamie by knockout; mentions the striking gap is bigger than the grappling gap; notes Peña's horrendous stand-up
"i'm gonna roll with jermaine duran maybe a knockout in this spot it kind of reminds me of the aspen lad fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Julianna Peña

The host picks Peña as the underdog, believing her wrestling and trip takedowns will be effective against de Randamie's takedown defense. He notes that de Randamie has struggled against grapplers like Nunes and that Peña's style is similar. He predicts a decision win for Peña and thinks the line should be closer to -120.

"i love juliana pena in this situation i'm kind of surprised at the amount of love that's coming in on jermaine duranomy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

The Guru picks Germaine de Randamie, believing she can survive on the ground and will keep the fight standing to beat Peña with leg kicks and eventually finish by TKO. He notes Peña couldn't submit Nico Montano and thinks de Randamie is too big and dangerous.

Prediction: TKO
"i'm going to go to jeremy i think she can survive on the ground and i think she'll keep it standing and beat up juliana pena on the feet with some brutal leg kicks eventually finishing by tko"
LOSS vs Amanda Nunes
Decision (unanimous) (49–44, 49–46, 49–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Dec 14, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 79 of 184 42% 199 of 337 8 of 11 72% 2 0 18:29
Germaine de Randamie 0 40 of 73 54% 126 of 175 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 42 of 87 48% 43 of 88 2 of 2 100% 2 0 2:53
Germaine de Randamie 0 11 of 23 47% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
2 Amanda Nunes 0 9 of 26 34% 33 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:13
Germaine de Randamie 0 16 of 30 53% 29 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
3 Amanda Nunes 0 16 of 44 36% 47 of 80 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:21
Germaine de Randamie 0 8 of 10 80% 17 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
4 Amanda Nunes 0 12 of 24 50% 22 of 39 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:16
Germaine de Randamie 0 4 of 6 66% 28 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
5 Amanda Nunes 0 0 of 3 0% 54 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:46
Germaine de Randamie 0 1 of 4 25% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 79 of 184 42% 63 of 162 4 of 6 12 of 16 15 of 46 2 of 3 62 of 135
Germaine de Randamie 40 of 73 54% 19 of 48 11 of 15 10 of 10 19 of 42 12 of 13 9 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 42 of 87 48% 38 of 81 1 of 1 3 of 5 4 of 16 1 of 1 37 of 70
Germaine de Randamie 11 of 23 47% 2 of 11 4 of 7 5 of 5 4 of 9 4 of 4 3 of 10
2 Amanda Nunes 9 of 26 34% 4 of 20 0 of 0 5 of 6 5 of 17 1 of 1 3 of 8
Germaine de Randamie 16 of 30 53% 10 of 24 5 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 22 7 of 8 0 of 0
3 Amanda Nunes 16 of 44 36% 13 of 39 1 of 2 2 of 3 2 of 8 0 of 0 14 of 36
Germaine de Randamie 8 of 10 80% 5 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 5
4 Amanda Nunes 12 of 24 50% 8 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 19
Germaine de Randamie 4 of 6 66% 2 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1
5 Amanda Nunes 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2
Germaine de Randamie 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2
WIN vs Aspen Ladd
TKO (punch) R1 0:16 · UFC Fight Night: de Randamie vs. Ladd · Jul 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Germaine de Randamie 1 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Aspen Ladd 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Germaine de Randamie 1 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Aspen Ladd 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Germaine de Randamie 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Aspen Ladd 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Germaine de Randamie 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Aspen Ladd 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Germaine de Randamie 0 24 of 84 28% 52 of 130 0 of 8 0% 0 0 6:05
Raquel Pennington 0 42 of 107 39% 91 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Germaine de Randamie 0 4 of 11 36% 14 of 24 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:45
Raquel Pennington 0 9 of 22 40% 29 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:01
2 Germaine de Randamie 0 12 of 37 32% 20 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:27
Raquel Pennington 0 13 of 45 28% 24 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Germaine de Randamie 0 8 of 36 22% 18 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:53
Raquel Pennington 0 20 of 40 50% 38 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Germaine de Randamie 24 of 84 28% 4 of 55 11 of 17 9 of 12 13 of 71 11 of 13 0 of 0
Raquel Pennington 42 of 107 39% 17 of 73 17 of 24 8 of 10 25 of 84 17 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Germaine de Randamie 4 of 11 36% 0 of 7 3 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 8 3 of 3 0 of 0
Raquel Pennington 9 of 22 40% 3 of 13 5 of 7 1 of 2 4 of 15 5 of 7 0 of 0
2 Germaine de Randamie 12 of 37 32% 4 of 25 1 of 3 7 of 9 9 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0
Raquel Pennington 13 of 45 28% 9 of 37 3 of 6 1 of 2 9 of 39 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Germaine de Randamie 8 of 36 22% 0 of 23 7 of 11 1 of 2 3 of 29 5 of 7 0 of 0
Raquel Pennington 20 of 40 50% 5 of 23 9 of 11 6 of 6 12 of 30 8 of 10 0 of 0
WIN vs Holly Holm
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC 208: Holm vs. de Randamie · Feb 11, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Germaine de Randamie 0 77 of 182 42% 122 of 235 0 of 9 0% 0 0 8:16
Holly Holm 0 80 of 150 53% 144 of 223 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Germaine de Randamie 0 18 of 42 42% 19 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Holly Holm 0 12 of 25 48% 15 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Germaine de Randamie 0 13 of 30 43% 28 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:21
Holly Holm 0 19 of 34 55% 36 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
3 Germaine de Randamie 0 18 of 42 42% 19 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Holly Holm 0 16 of 39 41% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
4 Germaine de Randamie 0 12 of 34 35% 19 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:33
Holly Holm 0 16 of 26 61% 32 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
5 Germaine de Randamie 0 16 of 34 47% 37 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:39
Holly Holm 0 17 of 26 65% 42 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Germaine de Randamie 77 of 182 42% 18 of 99 21 of 37 38 of 46 61 of 161 16 of 21 0 of 0
Holly Holm 80 of 150 53% 28 of 88 34 of 40 18 of 22 49 of 113 31 of 36 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Germaine de Randamie 18 of 42 42% 4 of 25 2 of 3 12 of 14 17 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Holly Holm 12 of 25 48% 5 of 16 3 of 4 4 of 5 11 of 22 1 of 2 0 of 1
2 Germaine de Randamie 13 of 30 43% 2 of 17 6 of 7 5 of 6 7 of 23 6 of 7 0 of 0
Holly Holm 19 of 34 55% 8 of 20 10 of 13 1 of 1 9 of 21 10 of 13 0 of 0
3 Germaine de Randamie 18 of 42 42% 3 of 21 4 of 8 11 of 13 18 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Holly Holm 16 of 39 41% 8 of 30 3 of 3 5 of 6 12 of 34 4 of 5 0 of 0
4 Germaine de Randamie 12 of 34 35% 1 of 15 6 of 12 5 of 7 8 of 27 4 of 7 0 of 0
Holly Holm 16 of 26 61% 1 of 7 11 of 13 4 of 6 8 of 18 8 of 8 0 of 0
5 Germaine de Randamie 16 of 34 47% 8 of 21 3 of 7 5 of 6 11 of 29 5 of 5 0 of 0
Holly Holm 17 of 26 65% 6 of 15 7 of 7 4 of 4 9 of 18 8 of 8 0 of 0
WIN vs Anna Elmose
TKO (knee to the body and punches) R1 3:46 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Arlovski · May 08, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Germaine de Randamie 1 18 of 29 62% 23 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Anna Elmose 0 6 of 10 60% 32 of 43 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Germaine de Randamie 1 18 of 29 62% 23 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Anna Elmose 0 6 of 10 60% 32 of 43 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Germaine de Randamie 18 of 29 62% 9 of 19 9 of 10 0 of 0 7 of 16 11 of 13 0 of 0
Anna Elmose 6 of 10 60% 2 of 3 2 of 5 2 of 2 2 of 4 4 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Germaine de Randamie 18 of 29 62% 9 of 19 9 of 10 0 of 0 7 of 16 11 of 13 0 of 0
Anna Elmose 6 of 10 60% 2 of 3 2 of 5 2 of 2 2 of 4 4 of 6 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R2 2:02 · UFC 185: Pettis vs. dos Anjos · Mar 14, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Germaine de Randamie 0 8 of 60 13% 13 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Larissa Pacheco 0 29 of 84 34% 31 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Germaine de Randamie 0 6 of 43 13% 11 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Larissa Pacheco 0 16 of 57 28% 18 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Germaine de Randamie 0 2 of 17 11% 2 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Larissa Pacheco 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Germaine de Randamie 8 of 60 13% 4 of 48 1 of 4 3 of 8 8 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Larissa Pacheco 29 of 84 34% 26 of 76 0 of 2 3 of 6 28 of 83 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Germaine de Randamie 6 of 43 13% 4 of 38 0 of 0 2 of 5 6 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Larissa Pacheco 16 of 57 28% 14 of 50 0 of 2 2 of 5 15 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Germaine de Randamie 2 of 17 11% 0 of 10 1 of 4 1 of 3 2 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Larissa Pacheco 13 of 27 48% 12 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1 13 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0