UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Nov 16, 2019 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare Next Fight
Age 36
Height 6' 1"
Reach 78"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 36
Height 6' 3"
Reach 73"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - André Muniz
2.08 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
2.46 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
3.98 TD Avg
48.0% TD Acc.
35.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Antônio Arroyo
2.82 SLpM
66.0% Str. Acc.
2.02 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
1.14 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
41.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
André Muniz - Fight History
KO R1 4:58 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edmen Shahbazyan 1 25 of 50 50% 26 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
André Muniz 0 15 of 38 39% 17 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edmen Shahbazyan 1 25 of 50 50% 26 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
André Muniz 0 15 of 38 39% 17 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edmen Shahbazyan 25 of 50 50% 20 of 45 3 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 27 1 of 2 12 of 21
André Muniz 15 of 38 39% 6 of 20 2 of 10 7 of 8 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edmen Shahbazyan 25 of 50 50% 20 of 45 3 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 27 1 of 2 12 of 21
André Muniz 15 of 38 39% 6 of 20 2 of 10 7 of 8 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Muniz vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Shahbazyan (-290), Muniz (+235)

Round 1
It’s submission vs. striking in this next phrase of the prelims, with both athletes sporting finish rates north of 75% in this middleweight affair. Still just 27 years of age with a few camps behind him at Xtreme Couture, Shahbazyan (15-5, 8-5 UFC) is ready to turn the corner and become “The Golden Boy.” To get there, he will have to surpass grappling ace Muniz (24-7, 6-3 UFC), who no one will forget when he snapped the arm of “Jacare” Souza with a stellar armbar. Referee Mark Smith will be here for the match wherever it takes place, and the 185ers bump gloves to introduce themselves.
Shahbazyan moves to the center of the Octagon and blocks a quick head kick that leads things off, and he hops away from a subsequent sweeping calf kick. Muniz goes high with another kick, and Shahbazyan pitches a calf kick back his way. They jab at one another, and Muniz misses on a short combination of punches. Shahbazyan scores a body kick and takes a low kick on the way out, with the two seemingly trading blows one after the other. Muniz spins with a wheel kick, and when he plants his feet, he shoots for a takedown. Shahbazyan forces him to stand up and knees him in the torso, bullying the grappler against the fence and staying tight to him. Muniz falls to the ground to pursue a leglock, and Shahbazyan steps out of it and makes Muniz stand. Muniz gets back up and is ready to throw hands, and his head kick after bangs into the guard. Shahbazyan responds with a single solid left hook, and he splits the gloves with a right.
Muniz stays committed to body kicks, and he uses one to close the distance only for the younger fighter to push him towards the fencing. Muniz separates without much effort, and he defends a high kick he knows is coming. The Brazilian plants his heel on Shahbazyan’s side from a back kick, and his swinging hooks miss the mark by a matter of feet. Muniz catches a kick and tries to trip Shahbazyan up, but he abandons that and just slugs his way closer. Muniz goes after the calf and swings it out for a moment with Shahbazyan, who takes a right hand and is shaken up for a moment. Shahbazyan plants his feet and takes a body kick, so he backpedals as Muniz puts it on him. Muniz manages to drag Shahbazyan to the floor, and although he cannot keep him there, he does land a kick. Muniz opens up with big punches, and Shahbazyan clips him with a left hook that puts the Brazilian on ice skates.
The sheer momentum of Shahbazyan and his swinging left hands bowl Muniz to the floor, and he starts battering the downed man with punches and elbows. Muniz turns to his side to defend the beating, but Smith is watching closely and not seeing much intelligent defense. As Muniz appears to lose consciousness from the drubbing, Smith steps in to call a halt to the match before the buzzer
. It takes some time for Muniz to come to, but he manages to sit and stand up, and his team and medical professionals seat him on a stool to further recover. Meanwhile, that is three wins in a row for Shahbazyan, who may be knocking on the door of the top 15 again.

The Official Result
Edmen Shahbazyan def. Andre Muniz R1 4:58 via KO (Punches and Elbows)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Angelo sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup. He believes Edmen's striking advantage is wider than André's grappling advantage, and that Edmen can win by keeping the fight on the feet. He notes André's chin is starting to fail and that Edmen has good takedown defense when not tired. He also thinks the fight will not go the distance.

Fight does not go the distance.
"I think Edmond Shabbazian wins this fight... Whoever wins this fight is going to do so in dominant fashion. I think the best bet here is the fight does not go the distance."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Big Brady believes André Muniz has a weak chin, citing his recent knockout losses and a delayed reaction to a shot. He notes that Muniz has been knocked out six times and all his losses are inside the distance. He thinks Shahbazyan has power and will knock out Muniz, likely in the first round. He predicts a first-round knockout for Shahbazyan.

Edmen Shahbazyan by first round knockout.
"Give me Evan Shabbazian to win. And Evan Shabbazian to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
André Muniz

Connor picks Muniz to keep it interesting, seeing a path where Muniz sucks Shahbazyan into a grappling hell early on, making Shahbazyan fight well but have a miserable time, leading to his typical panic and collapse. He notes that Muniz's aggressive grappling could overwhelm Shahbazyan, especially if Muniz commits to wrestling from the start.

Shahbazyan opened at -175, currently -310; Muniz opened at +150, currently +260. Connor comments: 'Crazy considering how often Shabazzian has just self-destructed. It should be close.'
"I'll take Muniz just to keep it interesting. I can totally see the fight that you laid out. I can also see Muniz sucking Shabazzian into hell."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Edmen Shahbazyan

The host is skeptical of Shahbazyan as a chalky favorite due to gas tank issues, but still expects him to walk Munz onto a big shot and win by knockout.

"I'll always be skeptical in terms of playing Shahbazyan as a chalky favorite given his gas tank issues at times... I still think Shahbazyan will be able to walk Munz onto a big shot and win this fight by knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

The MMA Guru picks Edmen Shahbazyan, believing his youth, power, and takedown defense will be key. He notes André Muniz's vulnerability to strikes and poor decision-making. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first-round TKO
"I'm going to go with Edmen Shahbazyan getting this one done by TKO in the first round over Andre Muniz."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Zane picks Shahbazyan because he believes Muniz is a pure grappler who is not good at staying in control of a fight, unlike the fighters who have previously broken Shahbazyan (e.g., Derek Brunson, Jack Hermansson). He notes that Muniz is a risky, chancy grappler who can get a quick submission but is a mess standing, and Shahbazyan is a rangy, sharp shooter with good striking. However, he acknowledges the potential for Shahbazyan to meltdown.

Shahbazyan opened at -175, currently -310; Muniz opened at +150, currently +260. Zane comments: 'Crazy considering how often Shabazzian has just self-destructed. It should be close.'
"I'm going to take Shabazzian here because like I say, I once again, I just think that these kinds of this kind of pure grappler who is not that good at staying in control of a fight... I just don't …"
LOSS vs Ikram Aliskerov
KO R1 4:54 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 1 44 of 68 64% 55 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
André Muniz 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 1 44 of 68 64% 55 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
André Muniz 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 44 of 68 64% 26 of 46 10 of 13 8 of 9 25 of 44 1 of 1 18 of 23
André Muniz 16 of 36 44% 6 of 23 6 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 44 of 68 64% 26 of 46 10 of 13 8 of 9 25 of 44 1 of 1 18 of 23
André Muniz 16 of 36 44% 6 of 23 6 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo is very confident in Ikram Aliskerov, expecting him to dominate with wrestling and pressure. He notes that Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker was a quality loss and that he has strong takedowns and top control. André Muniz is a BJJ specialist who gets beaten up when facing wrestlers who aren't afraid of his jiu-jitsu.

Parlay with Jaqueline Amorim and Zhang Mingyang at -150
"Iram Skirov is going to be the pick. Minus 650 seems crazy, but I have parlayed Icram with Jacqueline Amore."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Big Brady is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, questioning André Muniz's heart, cardio, and durability. He notes Muniz has been finished in all six losses, five by KO. He expects Aliskerov's power to end the fight early, predicting a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"Give me Alaskarov to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov because he believes Aliskerov's striking power and finishing ability will catch Muniz, who has terrible striking defense. Muniz's wild overhands and crashing style leave him open to clean shots. Connor notes that Aliskerov has shown he can knock out opponents with one good strike, as seen against Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves. However, if Muniz makes it a grappling battle, Aliskerov could gas.

"I think Alaskarov is going to catch him. Yeah. Yeah. That's where my gut tell what my gut tells me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The host believes Aliskerov's wrestling will shut down Muniz's jiu-jitsu, keeping the fight standing where Aliskerov will find a big shot as Muniz slows down in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I believe the wrestling of Aliasarov will allow him to shut down the jiu-jitsu game of Munes... eventually find that big shot as Munes slows down probably in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by TKO in round two. He considers Aliskerov a much better fighter, slicker and more dynamic than Muniz. He notes Muniz's takedowns are obvious and slow, and expects Aliskerov to shut down grappling early and land clean shots. He references Aliskerov's short-notice loss to Whittaker as not indicative of his level.

TKO round 2
"I'm going to go with Vikramiskov getting this one done by TKO. Round two. I think there'll be some moments early where Manz has a hold of him against the cage... but I'm going to go Maliskarov getting this one …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Zane picks Muniz as the more proven quantity, noting that Aliskerov is still an unknown with a prospect game at age 32. Muniz's aggressive grappling and submission skills could overwhelm Aliskerov if the fight goes to the ground. Zane also mentions that Aliskerov's gas tank is questionable and he has been submitted before (Kimura losses). However, Muniz's striking is terrible and he could get knocked out.

"The temptation is a very strong and even undeniable to just pick Andre Muniz as the more proven quantity."
CANCEL vs Ikram Aliskerov
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov confidently, stating that outside of a Hail Mary submission, André Muniz has no path to victory. He notes that Aliskerov is a strong wrestler with improving striking, while Muniz has been exposed by fighters who pressure him. He believes Aliskerov will dominate on the feet and can defend takedowns.

"ikal Skov is absolutely the pick and unfortunately these odds don't get insane they're already bad but they're very accurate"
WIN vs JunYong Park
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 27 of 60 45% 52 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 2 2:58
JunYong Park 0 14 of 30 46% 35 of 60 11 of 14 78% 0 1 9:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 13 of 17 76% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:45
JunYong Park 0 3 of 4 75% 10 of 11 5 of 6 83% 0 0 3:07
2 André Muniz 0 6 of 12 50% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
JunYong Park 0 9 of 16 56% 21 of 37 4 of 4 100% 0 0 4:16
3 André Muniz 0 8 of 31 25% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:10
JunYong Park 0 2 of 10 20% 4 of 12 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 27 of 60 45% 21 of 54 3 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 25 0 of 0 16 of 35
JunYong Park 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 29 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 15
JunYong Park 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 André Muniz 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
JunYong Park 9 of 16 56% 9 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 André Muniz 8 of 31 25% 7 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 20
JunYong Park 2 of 10 20% 1 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park Jun-yong, citing his tenacity and cardio. He notes that Park is a go-getter who keeps coming forward and has solid striking and grappling. Cody is concerned about Park's tendency to give up his back when taken down, but he thinks Muniz's heart is questionable. He points out that Muniz has looked terrible in his last two fights and was outworked by Paul Craig. Cody believes Park will outwork Muniz and get a late TKO or decision.

"Park just at works you know he's in a couple bad spots here and there sure but in the end he's going to Tire him out he's gonna beat on him he's gonna land the bigger shots and he's either …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2023 (fight day)
André Muniz

Lucrative James believes the market is too low on Muniz after his recent losses, which he attributes to Paul Craig's unpredictability and a competitive fight against Brendan Allen. He highlights Muniz's powerful double-leg takedown and elite submission skills, noting that Park gets taken down in every fight and has given up his back. He sees a good chance of a submission in rounds 1-2, but acknowledges that if Muniz doesn't finish, Park's cardio could be a problem in later rounds. He agrees with the line movement and picks Muniz outright.

submission in round 1 or 2, points win if he doesn't finish
"I think there's a good chance that mun gets a submission in this spot if he doesn't get a submission yes it's going to be very very dangerous for him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul also picks Park Jun-yong. He notes that Park is looking better than ever and mixes in submission skills. Paul is a little worried about Park giving up his back against a grappler like Muniz, but he thinks Park's volume and cardio will be decisive. He mentions that Uriah Hall survived Muniz's grappling for three rounds, and Park is a better striker. Paul believes the fight on the feet is not close and Park will win.

"I think it's Park Park who's looking better than kind of ever in his last few fights you know he's mixing in some submission skills"
LOSS vs Paul Craig
TKO (elbows) R2 4:40 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Craig 0 40 of 82 48% 54 of 101 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:56
André Muniz 0 24 of 40 60% 31 of 47 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Craig 0 9 of 25 36% 10 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Muniz 0 13 of 23 56% 15 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:45
2 Paul Craig 0 31 of 57 54% 44 of 75 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:56
André Muniz 0 11 of 17 64% 16 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Craig 40 of 82 48% 31 of 66 8 of 15 1 of 1 10 of 32 0 of 0 30 of 50
André Muniz 24 of 40 60% 15 of 30 2 of 3 7 of 7 15 of 27 1 of 1 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Craig 9 of 25 36% 1 of 10 7 of 14 1 of 1 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Muniz 13 of 23 56% 4 of 13 2 of 3 7 of 7 13 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Paul Craig 31 of 57 54% 30 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 30 of 50
André Muniz 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 12
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
André Muniz

Angelo is split between gut and brain. His gut leans toward Paul Craig's toughness and power, but his brain says Muniz has better wrestling and control. He notes Muniz looked old in his last fight but still gives a slight lean to Muniz because he can control with wrestling. He disagrees with the 2-1 odds on Muniz.

"the ever the slightest lean in the history of liens right now is probably towards Andre Muniz because he can control with the wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
André Muniz

Big Brady picks André Muniz to win by first-round submission. He notes Muniz is a much better grappler than Craig, who relies on triangles off his back. He thinks Muniz can take Craig down and submit him, or knock him out on the feet. He mentions Craig's move to middleweight may affect his chin. He is confident Muniz has multiple paths to victory.

first round submission
"give me money is to win this fight I'll say he takes down Paul Craig kind of runs right through him here first round sub for Andre minis in this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
André Muniz

Cody thinks Muniz is a terrible matchup for Craig, with superior BJJ and better striking. He questions Craig's weight cut to 185 and notes Craig's wins often come from being dominated then catching a submission. He expects Muniz to roll.

Muniz over 1.5 takedowns
"I can't think of like a worse matchup for him on the roster than Andre Muniz"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Daniel is uncertain about this fight but sides with Muniz due to his experience at middleweight and his high-level jiu-jitsu. He acknowledges Paul Craig's dangerous guard and submission ability, noting Craig has submitted top light heavyweights. However, he is concerned about Craig dropping to 185 and thinks Muniz's grappling is a level above. He mentions that Muniz's last loss was due to fatigue, not skill, and that Craig's weight cut is a risk. He says he usually takes the dog when unsure but goes with the favorite here.

Daniel says 'I'll go with Muniz' but does not mention a bet. He notes the line is -220 and Craig is +185.
"I just really don't know so I'll go with Muniz but let's see"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
André Muniz

James picks Muniz to win by KO. He has a strong read on Muniz, having bet on him multiple times successfully. He believes Muniz is an elite jiu-jitsu player and that Craig won't be able to submit him. He thinks Muniz will crack Craig's chin, as Craig has a bad chin and Muniz hits hard. James notes that Muniz is dropping down in weight, which often doesn't go well, but he still expects a KO. He mentions that Muniz by KO is +350 on BetOnline and he hopes to find better odds elsewhere.

Muniz by KO at +350 (BetOnline), hopes to find +450 elsewhere
"I think moon is going to kill him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The host picks André Muniz, believing his BJJ black belt will keep him safe on the ground and that he is the better striker. He notes Craig's danger off his back but thinks Muniz can grind him out from top position. He predicts a decision win for Muniz.

"give me Munez to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
André Muniz

Paul agrees, citing Muniz's superior Jiu-Jitsu and improved striking. He notes Craig's striking volume is very low and his wrestling is poor. He thinks Muniz will take Craig down and control him, though he doesn't love it as a lock.

Muniz over 1.5 takedowns
"I side with the superior skill set and it belongs to Andre Muniz"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz, arguing that Paul Craig's wins come from opponents taking him down, and Craig has poor stand-up. He believes Muniz will stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing, where he has a striking advantage. The Guru recalls Muniz wobbling Uriah Hall and predicts a KO win. He also notes Craig's chinny nature and lack of submission threats from top position.

KO
"I am gonna have to go if Andre minus the problem is people have been trying to convince me"
LOSS vs Brendan Allen
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:25 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brendan Allen 0 43 of 112 38% 45 of 114 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:15
André Muniz 0 42 of 102 41% 64 of 129 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brendan Allen 0 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
André Muniz 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brendan Allen 0 11 of 34 32% 13 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
André Muniz 0 12 of 28 42% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:44
3 Brendan Allen 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Muniz 0 11 of 27 40% 20 of 39 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brendan Allen 43 of 112 38% 25 of 88 8 of 13 10 of 11 43 of 111 0 of 1 0 of 0
André Muniz 42 of 102 41% 21 of 76 12 of 16 9 of 10 40 of 98 0 of 0 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brendan Allen 16 of 40 40% 7 of 28 5 of 7 4 of 5 16 of 39 0 of 1 0 of 0
André Muniz 19 of 47 40% 8 of 32 6 of 9 5 of 6 19 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brendan Allen 11 of 34 32% 7 of 30 1 of 1 3 of 3 11 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Muniz 12 of 28 42% 6 of 22 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 4
3 Brendan Allen 16 of 38 42% 11 of 30 2 of 5 3 of 3 16 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Muniz 11 of 27 40% 7 of 22 2 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brendan Allen vs. Andre Muniz
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Muniz (-205), Allen (+175)

Round 1
A place among the top 10 at middleweight may loom for the victor of this match now serving as the main event. Muniz (23-4, 5-0 UFC) has yet to taste defeat since making his UFC debut in 2019, and he is fast approaching the company’s armbar record. Against him will be fellow willing grappler Allen (20-5, 8-2 UFC), and thrilling ground exchanges may ensue should this one hit the mat – although sometimes, the ground games cancel out and the two get things done with kickboxing instead. No matter where the fight ends up, referee Jason Herzog will be right there on top of the action. All class, the two 185ers touch gloves ahead of their scheduled melee. The two fighters in opposing stances gauge the range without throwing much of merit, other than a single leg kick on either side. Allen offers another low kick, and Muniz picks his leg up to give a partial check in time. Allen walks into a body kick as he chambers a right hand, and he shrugs it off and fires off another right over the top. Muniz front kicks the knee, and he backs off from a hook kick that whizzes past his face. Allen connects with a one-two that knocks the Brazilian back to the wall, shaking Muniz up briefly. Muniz fires back with a vengeance, swinging hard enough to make Allen think twice about coming in with an exchange. Muniz has two hooks bounce off the guard, and Allen catches him with a straight left and smiles. Allen absorbs a spinning kick to the midsection and bounces back, with Muniz’ corner loudly cheering from the audible impact. Allen recovers and strides forward to back Muniz up to the wall, where he lets go with a left hand and a body kick. Muniz replies with a trio of punches, driving Allen back briefly before Allen steps forward with a low kick and a pair of strikes up top. Muniz lines up a right hand that cracks Allen right on the temple, and Allen wears it well and looks for counters. When Allen scores a kick to the body, he ducks a huge right hand coming back from the Brazilian. Muniz pushes forward, ducking a punch, and he pursues a single and lifts Allen’s leg up to drag him away from the wall. Allen hops away and sprints to the fence to get his balance, and he keeps things upright. Allen overextends on a punch, and he just barely dodges oncoming fire aimed at his head. Muniz releases a body kick, and he pushes his hands out and his fingers scrape on Allen’s right eye. Herzog recognizes the accidental foul immediately, and Allen takes 30 seconds to blink it out before he is good to go. Allen strikes first with a fierce right hand, and he throws two more and has one of those blocked off the guard. Allen spins with a back kick to the body, Muniz answers with a flying knee, and Allen gathers his thoughts and strikes back with a superman punch before the bell sounds to end the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Allen

Round 2
The middleweights greet in the middle with a quick tap of fingers, and Allen reaches out with a right hand to start only to get countered with a body kick. The two trade shins to the midsection, and Muniz goes high with a pair of kicks. Allen rolls with both of them, and he steps through with a one-two down the pipe. The Brazilian measures another body kick, and he lunges with a subsequent right straight to surprise Allen. Allen steps through to spin with a back fist, grazing off the top of Muniz’ head, and Muniz answers with a few punches to the head in response. Allen steps in with a stomp kick to the knee, and Muniz lets three fists fly. Allen backs Muniz up to the wire to engage in a slugfest, and he pops Muniz and mixes in a knee for good measure. Muniz gathers his bearings and sneaks a right hand over the top, and they trade heavy strikes down the middle until “Sergipano” changes levels to take the fight down. When they hit the ground, Allen continues moving, and he manages to sweep Muniz over and put him on his back. Allen postures up to land an elbow, and Muniz wraps him up to prevent any additional blows. Allen pops up again to get off another cheeky elbow, picking his spots and damaging the bridge of Muniz’ nose a little to draw a thin trickle of blood. Allen continues to sneak in elbows as Muniz defends from the rest of the offense, and he uses them to step over into side control. Allen calmly uses presses his elbow on Muniz’ throat to hold him down, frustrating the Brazilian and landing a few punches before the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Allen

Round 3
There is a respectful bow and an embrace between the two sudden headliners, who are ready for one final round. Muniz spins with a back kick, and when it grazes off Allen’s forearm, Allen motions to it to poke fun at him. Muniz lets his hands go, drilling Allen in the head with a right hook. Allen takes it flush and fires back, and Muniz keeps throwing and marking Allen’s face up. The Brazilian backs off to measure his range, and he scores with a one-two and a body kick in rapid succession. Muniz kicks low and swings a left hand with a wide arc when Allen advances, and he knocks Allen off-balance in a combination. Allen gains his footing and shakes his finger at him. Muniz strings together a few punches, and Allen lands one square on the button. Muniz does not budge and instead throws back with a vengeance until Allen disengages. Muniz throws a kick, and Allen snatches it out of the air, scoops him up and throws him to the mat. The American lands in side control, and he quickly moves to full mount and pursues an arm-triangle choke. Muniz rolls to give up his back, and Allen changes to get both hooks in and pursue a rear-naked choke. Muniz hand-fights to keep himself safe from choke danger, and Allen switches his grip and goes for a rear-naked choke on the other side.
Incredibly, the forearm of “All In” slides all under the chin, and Muniz is in serious jeopardy. Allen squeezes with all his might with both hooks in, and Muniz realizes his goose is cooked. For the first time in his professional career, the Brazilian taps out, surrendering to the choke with less than a minute to go in the fight.
What a spectacular win for Allen, who catapults himself up the middleweight rankings by doing what very few expected. In his victorious post-fight interview, Allen calls for the UFC to travel to Louisiana, and he is ready for the final question by calling for fights against Sean Strickland, Chris Curtis, Jack Hermansson or Dricus Du Plessis. Whether any of those matches materialize, we will be there for them. Next week, however, we have a massive pay-per-view UFC event in Las Vegas, featuring the return of Jon Jones against Ciryl Gane for the vacant heavyweight strap. We will undoubtedly be here for UFC 285, and we hope you are too.

The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Andre Muniz R3 4:25 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Muniz because he is a little too good for Allen. He notes that Allen has gotten lucky battling through bad positions, but this is where that luck runs out. Connor emphasizes Muniz's technical grappling and ability to force submissions, and while Allen is a confident grappler, Muniz's pressure and chain wrestling will be decisive.

Muniz opened at -110, dropped to -181, currently -226. Allen opened +110, jumped to +156, now +183.
"It feels like we've seen Allen really get good luck battling through really bad positions a lot in his fights. And this feels like the point where that luck runs out to me. Muniz is just a little too good."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Zane picks Muniz because of his superior positional grappling and chain wrestling. He notes that Muniz is a much better back-taker than Jacob Malcolm, who repeatedly took Allen down with single legs. Zane highlights Muniz's ability to cut through guards and create pressure, and while Allen is a tough grappler who scrambles well, Muniz's technical edge should prevail. He also mentions Muniz's tendency to gas in the third round but believes his early dominance will be enough.

Muniz opened at -110, dropped to -181, currently -226. Allen opened +110, jumped to +156, now +183.
"I think the point that Brendan Allen gets owned on the ground and it hasn't happened for a long time. But the principal thing I got to look at here is the fact that as you say, Allen is sort …"
WIN vs Uriah Hall
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 6 of 26 23% 24 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:18
Uriah Hall 0 17 of 39 43% 99 of 185 4 of 10 40% 0 0 10:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 0 of 8 0% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uriah Hall 0 7 of 17 41% 29 of 58 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:41
2 André Muniz 0 6 of 15 40% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Uriah Hall 0 5 of 13 38% 52 of 86 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:28
3 André Muniz 0 0 of 3 0% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:11
Uriah Hall 0 5 of 9 55% 18 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 6 of 26 23% 6 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 17 0 of 0 3 of 9
Uriah Hall 17 of 39 43% 11 of 31 2 of 3 4 of 5 12 of 32 0 of 1 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 0 of 8 0% 0 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uriah Hall 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 13 0 of 1 2 of 3
2 André Muniz 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 9
Uriah Hall 5 of 13 38% 4 of 11 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 André Muniz 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uriah Hall 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
André Muniz

Angelo leans toward Muniz, highlighting his dangerous BJJ and clean striking entries. He worries that Uriah Hall may be timid and slow to let his hands go, giving Muniz openings. He notes that Hall has never been submitted but Muniz broke Jacare's arm, and calls the odds wide at 3-to-1, suggesting Hall could be a live underdog.

Odds are wide at 3-to-1; Hall may be a live underdog
"I need to lean moonies here because i think he's going to waste zero time striking immediately look to grapple"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
André Muniz

Big Brady is confident in André Muniz, citing his impressive submission wins over Jacare Souza and others. He believes Muniz will submit Uriah Hall in the first round, despite Hall never being submitted. He notes Muniz's suspect cardio and chin, but thinks the fight ends early on the mat.

Muniz by first round submission
"give me andermen needs to win by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
André Muniz

Cody thinks Muniz's BJJ is world-class and he will submit Hall if he gets top position. He notes Muniz's striking is poor and he's been knocked out before, so he prefers the submission prop over the moneyline.

Muniz by submission -110
"I'm actually probably gonna add Moonies by submission to my card right now"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Daniel Levi confidently picks André Muniz, citing his improved wrestling and submission game. He notes that Muniz has shown blast doubles and submissions, including submitting Jacare. Levi believes Muniz will take Hall down and become the first to submit him in the UFC. He acknowledges Hall's explosive power but notes his low output and inconsistency.

"i'm gonna go with andre muniz to come out here take down uriah hall one time and be the first man in ufc history to submit them"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Uriah Hall

Hall has never been submitted and showed great grappling defense against ACJ. Muniz's cardio looked poor in the Antonio Arroyo fight. Hall has knockout power and could put Muniz away early. The line is too wide; Hall's submission defense and striking give him a live dog shot.

Hall by KO prop; round 3 KO
"i gotta take a shot on a hulk here this line is just too crazy to me"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
André Muniz

Paul agrees with Cody that Muniz by submission is the play. He notes Hall has never been submitted in the UFC but thinks Muniz's BJJ is on another level. He has a half unit on Muniz by sub at -110.

Muniz by submission -110
"I've got like a half unit on Moonies by sub at minus 110"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by submission in the first round via rear-naked choke. He emphasizes Uriah Hall's inconsistency and poor grappling defense, noting that Sean Strickland took Hall down four times. He believes Muniz's power on the feet and athleticism will set up takedowns, and once on the ground, Muniz's submission game will be too much for Hall.

submission in round 1
"i can just see it so clearly both guys landing some decent shots on the feet uriah hall lands something good feels good about himself starts coming forward andre miniz times the double leg uriah hall gives his back up …"
WIN vs Eryk Anders
Submission (armbar) R1 3:13 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 8 of 16 50% 12 of 20 2 of 5 40% 2 0 2:18
Eryk Anders 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 8 of 16 50% 12 of 20 2 of 5 40% 2 0 2:18
Eryk Anders 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 8 of 16 50% 6 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 2
Eryk Anders 3 of 13 23% 0 of 8 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 8 of 16 50% 6 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 2
Eryk Anders 3 of 13 23% 0 of 8 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Big Brady picks Eryk Anders as an underdog, but with low confidence. He notes that Muniz is a phenomenal grappler with a wizard-like BJJ, but his striking is poor and he has been knocked out in all four losses. Anders has good takedown defense (76%) and power, and if he can stuff takedowns and extend the fight, he can finish Muniz by knockout. However, if the fight hits the mat, Muniz is extremely dangerous. Brady is concerned about Muniz's cardio and Anders' fight IQ.

Anders by knockout
"i'm going to go with eric anders here to stuff the takedowns get into the second round the third round and eventually finish andre minis and give him his fifth knockout loss"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Daniel Levi picks Eryk Anders to upset André Muniz. He argues that Muniz will have difficulty taking Anders down due to Anders' size and strength, and that Anders' jiu-jitsu is good enough to survive on the mat. Levi notes that Anders has never been submitted and rarely taken down. On the feet, he believes Anders throws more and has knockout power. Levi acknowledges Muniz's elite jiu-jitsu but thinks Anders can sprawl-and-brawl to a decision or KO.

"give me eric anders to upset someone i respect very much in andre muniz"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by first-round submission (rear-naked choke). He highlights Muniz's dangerous grappling, as seen in his armbar win over Jacaré. He notes Anders is taking the fight on short notice and has been taken down before. He suggests a live bet on Anders if the fight goes to the third round, as Muniz has slowed down in the past.

first-round rear-naked choke; live bet on Anders in third round if Muniz fails to secure early submission
"i think he's going to get this one done on draymond is by the way by real naked choke in the in the first round"
Antônio Arroyo - Fight History
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
KO (punches) R3 2:26 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 1 41 of 102 40% 45 of 107 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:18
Antônio Arroyo 0 21 of 46 45% 30 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 0 15 of 44 34% 15 of 44 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:08
Antônio Arroyo 0 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Joaquin Buckley 0 12 of 31 38% 15 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:55
Antônio Arroyo 0 10 of 18 55% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Joaquin Buckley 1 14 of 27 51% 15 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Antônio Arroyo 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 41 of 102 40% 12 of 59 12 of 22 17 of 21 34 of 95 2 of 2 5 of 5
Antônio Arroyo 21 of 46 45% 4 of 22 10 of 17 7 of 7 21 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 15 of 44 34% 2 of 24 5 of 11 8 of 9 13 of 42 1 of 1 1 of 1
Antônio Arroyo 6 of 18 33% 1 of 10 3 of 6 2 of 2 6 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Joaquin Buckley 12 of 31 38% 2 of 17 3 of 6 7 of 8 11 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Antônio Arroyo 10 of 18 55% 1 of 7 4 of 6 5 of 5 10 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Joaquin Buckley 14 of 27 51% 8 of 18 4 of 5 2 of 4 10 of 23 0 of 0 4 of 4
Antônio Arroyo 5 of 10 50% 2 of 5 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Antonio Arroyo vs. Joaquin Buckley

Round 1
The main card opener should begin with a bang, as the UFC puts the win-or-lose highlight-reel creator Buckley (12-4, 2-2 UFC) against durable Brazilian Arroyo (9-4, 0-2 UFC). All of Buckley’s stoppage wins have come by knockout, while Arroyo has never been stopped with strikes. On the other hand, Arroyo has recorded his last few finishes by submission, and Buckley has never been tapped. Anything could happen, and referee Mark Smith has his head on a swivel for the middleweight action. They do not touch gloves, and Buckley hops forward and sweeps with a low kick that comes up short. A subsequent kick scores, and he tries to plant a side kick to the midsection but Arroyo is well out of the way. The Brazilian spins with a sudden wheel kick, and Buckley sees it coming and gets out of the way. Both men swing and miss with powerful strikes, until Buckley lands kicks on the in and outside of his foe’s leg. Arroyo lands a straight right hand that sends “New Mansa” flying back to the cage, but it appears to have been a stumble and not from the damaging blow. Buckley comes back with a head kick, and they both miss with head kicks that would separate their heads from their respective shoulders. Buckley ducks square into a front kick as he unleashes a right hand, but it is Arroyo that falls to his back after delivering the blow. The Brazilian uses an upkick to back Buckley away, and he gets back to his feet. The power strikes are inaccurate towards one another, and an inside leg kick from Buckley slaps into Arroyo’s cup. Arroyo centers himself after 30 seconds, and the fight resumes as they touch hands. Arroyo goes after a low kick and then follows it with a high kick, and Buckley absorbs some of it and wears it well. “New Mansa” lets loose with a head kick that is at least a foot off the mark, but his inside calf kick connects cleanly. Arroyo steps in with a side kick to the knee, leading Buckley to respond with a question mark kick. Arroyo times an advancing Buckley to sit down on a high kick that nails Buckley in the chest. Buckley tries to get off a flying knee, but midair, Arroyo pushes him back. Buckley goes after a kick, and he falls over as he misses. Arroyo tries to get on top and work him over, but Buckley springs back to his feet and blocks a head kick that comes right after. The American suddenly changes levels, drags Arroyo down to a knee, but cannot keep him there before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Arroyo
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Arroyo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Arroyo

Round 2
Buckley comes out of his corner charging, but all he comes up with is a leg kick. Arroyo pays him one back, so Buckley springs to action with one more. Buckley strides ahead with a pair of jabs to the longer man, and he flings a head kick that is easily blocked. The middleweights go tit-for-tat with leg kicks, and their head kicks are either protected or avoided entirely. Buckley turns his hips into an inside leg kick, causing a momentary grimace on the face of the Brazilian as his thigh turns a brilliant shade of red. As Arroyo tries to back off, he goes for a back kick, and the kick clacks into Buckley’s cup. Buckley does not want to slow down, so he waves the foul off and continues pushing forward with short combinations. One salvo of strikes leads them to clinch up, and Arroyo backs him off with a knee to the sternum. Arroyo keeps his hands down and he lands a leg kick, following it up with a stiff jab as his hands go back to his waist. His feints have Buckley jumping away from him, and Buckley finally bites down to attack and is forced to block a high kick. Buckley tries to launch one back at him, but when it comes up hitting air, he whacks the lead leg. Buckley advances, and Arroyo times a perfect flying knee that collides directly into his chin. “New Mansa” eats it like St. Louis barbeque and presses in to clinch, but nothing can come from it. Buckley backs off as Arroyo stands, seemingly bored, in the center of the cage. The round ends as Arroyo goes for a jumping switch kick, only to pull it back before it connects so that it does not land after the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Arroyo
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Arroyo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Arroyo

Round 3
Arroyo offers a touch of gloves, but Buckley is not interested in that. Instead, he chops down the inside thigh of his opponent, and Arroyo nearly falls over reaching after him with something. Buckley steps in with a head kick, but he cannot get it high enough to land where he intends. Buckley fires a heavy leg kick, and it gets checked as he takes a funny step. Suddenly, Buckley shoots in for a takedown, and Arroyo stuffs it and circles around to take his back. Buckley explodes back to his feet and lands a right hand, and Arroyo backs him off with a low kick. As a hematoma forms around his right temple, Buckley blitzes forward with looping right hooks, and a sharper, short left hand surprises “New Mansa.” The American continues to attack, keeping Arroyo on his heels and forced to defend.
Buckley wings a right hand that goes around the side of Arroyo’s head, hurting him, and an uppercut practically lifts Arroyo off the ground before sending him face-down to the ground. Buckley knows this is his moment, so with everything he has left, he leaps down and pummels Arroyo with right hammerfists.
The sledgehammers continue to lay waste to Arroyo until he goes limp with his hands at his sides. Smith recognizes that the Brazilian is out, and he rushes in to stop the fight. Very possibly down on the scorecards, Buckley scores yet another fantastic knockout, doing so against an opponent that had never before been knocked out.

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Antonio Arroyo R3 2:26 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Angelo picks Joaquin Buckley confidently. He likes Buckley's power and pressure against the taller, taekwondo-based Arroyo. He thinks Buckley will work the body and land big shots, and that Arroyo's bouncy style won't keep Buckley at range. He considers a bet on Buckley inside the distance.

Inside the distance (considering)
"i have buckley winning this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Big Brady picks Joaquin Buckley, citing Antônio Arroyo's terrible cardio and takedown defense. He notes Arroyo is good for only about three minutes before gassing, and Buckley can survive the first round and take over. He predicts a second-round knockout after Arroyo gasses.

second round knockout
"i'll take buckley to win by second round knockout after antonia ohio does gas out"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Cody picks Buckley, noting his power and that Arroyo has poor cardio and was exhausted in his last fight. He believes Buckley's takedown defense will hold up and that Arroyo is not a threat on the feet. Cody acknowledges Buckley's questionable chin but thinks Arroyo lacks the power to exploit it.

"i gotta go with buckley is he as trustworthy as he once was maybe not but i'll give him a pass in the dicharico fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Antônio Arroyo

Daniel Levi picks Antônio Arroyo for the upset. He argues that Buckley is a solid brawler but not worth laying -200 on. He says Arroyo's first two UFC fights were against a jiu-jitsu ace (Andre Muniz) and a credentialed wrestler (Daron Winn), so he shouldn't be judged harshly. He thinks Arroyo's gas tank won't be as big an issue here because the fight will be more striking-based, and Arroyo's length and kicks pose problems for the shorter Buckley. He calls it a closer fight than the line indicates.

upset pick; might give as a free bet
"i see this being a closer fight than the line indicates and honestly i'ma come out here and pick antonio ahoyo for the upset and you might even see me giving that out as a free bet here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Preet picks Buckley because he believes Buckley's pressure and power will overwhelm Arroyo, who has a poor gas tank and questionable chin. He expects Buckley to find a knockout later in the fight and likes Buckley by KO at +100 and round 3 at +850.

Joaquin Buckley by KO +100, Buckley round 3 +850
"I do like buckley I do like buckley by ko as well I do think he's going to eventually find that gin"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Paul leans toward Buckley but is wary of his durability issues. He notes that Arroyo hasn't shown much and that Buckley has power. Paul is not betting this fight due to concerns about Buckley's chin.

"my pick would be buckley but i am worried about... durability issues here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The MMA Guru picks Joaquin Buckley by first-round KO, despite skepticism about Buckley's overall skill. He notes Arroyo's low hands and poor cardio, predicting Buckley will land a big shot over the top. He mentions Buckley's explosivity and reach advantage.

first round KO
"buckley by first round ko arroyo is just so technically unsound"
LOSS vs Deron Winn
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Deron Winn 0 20 of 38 52% 64 of 89 12 of 16 75% 0 0 9:29
Antônio Arroyo 0 45 of 62 72% 70 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Deron Winn 0 9 of 15 60% 9 of 15 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:21
Antônio Arroyo 0 26 of 30 86% 33 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
2 Deron Winn 0 6 of 12 50% 30 of 39 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:41
Antônio Arroyo 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Deron Winn 0 5 of 11 45% 25 of 35 4 of 4 100% 0 0 3:27
Antônio Arroyo 0 10 of 18 55% 23 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Deron Winn 20 of 38 52% 10 of 26 5 of 7 5 of 5 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 1
Antônio Arroyo 45 of 62 72% 29 of 45 11 of 12 5 of 5 43 of 60 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Deron Winn 9 of 15 60% 4 of 10 2 of 2 3 of 3 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Antônio Arroyo 26 of 30 86% 19 of 23 4 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 29 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Deron Winn 6 of 12 50% 3 of 8 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 1
Antônio Arroyo 9 of 14 64% 5 of 9 3 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Deron Winn 5 of 11 45% 3 of 8 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Antônio Arroyo 10 of 18 55% 5 of 13 4 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Antônio Arroyo

Big Brady picks Antônio Arroyo over Deron Winn, citing Arroyo's size advantage (9 inches taller, 3.5 inch reach) and the catchweight at 195 lbs favoring him. He notes Arroyo's solid jiu-jitsu and striking (leg kicks, body kicks), while Winn has been unimpressive in the UFC and may struggle with the size disadvantage. Brady predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"i'm gonna pick him to win by first round knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Antônio Arroyo

The host leans Arroyo due to his size and striking advantage, believing his leg kicks and range will be too much for the smaller Winn. He notes Winn's cardio issues and struggles against larger opponents. He predicts a decision win for Arroyo.

"the lean here is antonio hoyo"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Deron Winn

The Guru picks Deron Winn but is undecided. He believes Arroyo has poor cardio and that Winn can outlast him in the first two rounds. He notes Winn's wrestling and that Arroyo hasn't shown finishing ability. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Winn, with Arroyo possibly winning the third round.

"i think the romwin gets it done... i'll say bye decision 29 28 i think arroyo win will win the third round but the romwin is going to have enough in his tank in the first two rounds to get …"
LOSS vs André Muniz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Nov 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 29 of 47 61% 47 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 1 5:02
Antônio Arroyo 0 22 of 42 52% 85 of 128 3 of 7 42% 2 0 5:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 16 of 26 61% 17 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:18
Antônio Arroyo 0 13 of 25 52% 20 of 33 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:47
2 André Muniz 0 8 of 13 61% 16 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:57
Antônio Arroyo 0 7 of 14 50% 23 of 45 1 of 3 33% 1 0 2:12
3 André Muniz 0 5 of 8 62% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:47
Antônio Arroyo 0 2 of 3 66% 42 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 29 of 47 61% 20 of 35 5 of 7 4 of 5 21 of 36 0 of 0 8 of 11
Antônio Arroyo 22 of 42 52% 12 of 30 8 of 10 2 of 2 20 of 40 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 16 of 26 61% 10 of 18 3 of 5 3 of 3 16 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Antônio Arroyo 13 of 25 52% 8 of 19 4 of 5 1 of 1 12 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 André Muniz 8 of 13 61% 6 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 4 of 5
Antônio Arroyo 7 of 14 50% 4 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 André Muniz 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 6
Antônio Arroyo 2 of 3 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0