Career Averages - Antonina Shevchenko
Career Averages - Lucie Pudilová
Antonina Shevchenko - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 55 of 117 | 47% | 81 of 158 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 33 of 86 | 38% | 80 of 146 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 30 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 35 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 9 of 37 | 24% | 9 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 36 of 60 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 55 of 117 | 47% | 26 of 73 | 15 of 26 | 14 of 18 | 54 of 115 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 33 of 86 | 38% | 17 of 52 | 2 of 7 | 14 of 27 | 28 of 78 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 35 | 45% | 6 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 12 of 20 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 14 | 11 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 24 of 57 | 42% | 9 of 34 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 12 | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 9 of 37 | 24% | 5 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 11 | 9 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Antonina Shevchenko | 15 of 25 | 60% | 11 of 18 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 12 of 29 | 41% | 9 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Antonina Shevchenko as the better striker, expecting the fight to stay on the feet since Cortney Casey has poor takedown offense (no takedowns in 4 years). He notes Antonina has clean technique but real gaps in grappling. He is not betting the moneyline but considers a plus 3.5 round bet on Casey because she is tough and could win one round.
Big Brady picks Antonina Shevchenko but with low confidence, noting that he typically looks to fade her. He explains that Cortney Casey's path to victory would be via takedowns, but she rarely uses her wrestling (only 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes). Since he can't trust Casey to implement that game plan, he expects the fight to stay on the feet where Shevchenko is the better striker. He calls it a close fight and says he doesn't want to bet it.
Cody thinks Shevchenko's striking is world-class and she has a slight wrestling advantage over Casey. He notes Casey is durable but has poor takedown defense. He expects Shevchenko to use her speed and technique to win a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns.
The host does not pick a winner for this fight. He only bets on the fight going to decision (over 2.5 rounds) at -180. He expects Shevchenko to outpoint Casey but notes that Casey could snatch a submission. He does not commit to a side on the moneyline.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Shevchenko. He notes that Casey's wrestling is non-existent and Shevchenko should have a grappling advantage. He thinks the price is reasonable for a women's MMA fight and expects Shevchenko to win.
The Guru picks Cortney Casey as an underdog, calling the fight a coin flip between two inconsistent fighters. He believes oddsmakers overvalue Shevchenko's surname and record. He trusts Casey's volume and grappling to edge out a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 40 of 63 | 63% | 58 of 85 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 52 of 110 | 47% | 128 of 209 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 5:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey O'Neill | 0 | 29 of 41 | 70% | 38 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 26 of 52 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | |
| 2 | Casey O'Neill | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 43 of 77 | 55% | 102 of 157 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey O'Neill | 40 of 63 | 63% | 32 of 55 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 45 | 8 of 8 | 8 of 10 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 52 of 110 | 47% | 46 of 101 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 37 of 52 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey O'Neill | 29 of 41 | 70% | 23 of 35 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 25 | 6 of 6 | 8 of 10 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 27 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | |
| 2 | Casey O'Neill | 11 of 22 | 50% | 9 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 43 of 77 | 55% | 41 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 35 of 48 |
Angelo picks Casey O'Neill confidently, citing her clear path to victory via wrestling and pressure. He notes that O'Neill is a Muay Thai striker with solid wrestling and explosive athleticism, while Shevchenko has poor takedown defense (50% in UFC). Angelo expects O'Neill to win striking exchanges or fall back on takedowns, making her almost a guaranteed win. He considers a moneyline bet at -210 and may include her in DraftKings lineup at $9,000.
Big Brady picks Casey O'Neill to win by decision, but is hesitant due to O'Neill's poor striking defense (38%) and being very hittable. He notes O'Neill will be at a massive disadvantage on the feet against Shevchenko, who has a significant striking advantage. However, Shevchenko has terrible takedown defense (50%) and was taken down multiple times by Andrea Lee, Caitlin Chookagian, and Roxanne Modafferi. Brady expects O'Neill to shoot takedowns early and control the fight on the ground to squeak out a decision. He has serious concerns about O'Neill's striking defense going forward.
Cody picks O'Neill, noting her youth and grappling advantage. He expects her to take Shevchenko down and control her on the ground. He mentions that Shevchenko has poor takedown defense and was submitted by Andrea Lee. He predicts O'Neill wins inside the distance, likely by submission.
Daniel Levi picks Casey O'Neill but is nervous about the striking and clinch advantage of Antonina Shevchenko. He notes O'Neill's path to victory is via takedowns and ground control, where she has a brown belt and has shown improvement. However, Shevchenko has lost only to top-15 opponents and is tough to finish. Levi expects O'Neill to get taken down eventually and grind out a decision or submission, but he will be anxious while the fight is standing.
I think Shevchenko is being undervalued. She has fought much better competition and has a clear striking advantage. O'Neill's grappling is overrated; she got reversed by Shannon Dobson and has been taken down by others. If Shevchenko can stuff takedowns, she will light O'Neill up. I bet Shevchenko moneyline and also Shevchenko by KO at +800.
Paul also picks O'Neill, noting that she is a rising star with good grappling. He acknowledges that she lost the first round against Lara Procopio but rallied. He believes her wrestling and jiu-jitsu will be too much for Shevchenko, who is 36 and past her prime.
The MMA Guru picks Casey O'Neill, citing Antonina Shevchenko's grappling problems. He notes that Shevchenko was submitted by Andrea Lee and controlled by Roxanne Modafferi. O'Neill has a reach advantage and good grappling, and he predicts she will take Shevchenko down and submit her with a rear-naked choke in the second or third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 45 of 62 | 72% | 88 of 108 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 36 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 43 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 34 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 17 of 18 | 94% | 45 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:58 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 45 of 62 | 72% | 32 of 43 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 19 of 35 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 21 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 23 of 41 | 56% | 13 of 30 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 32 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 28 of 44 | 63% | 15 of 25 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 18 of 34 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 22 of 39 | 56% | 13 of 29 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 30 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 17 of 18 | 94% | 17 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 17 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Lee throws high volume (5.58 strikes/min) and has good striking defense. Shevchenko has poor takedown defense and has been taken down by strikers. Lee can mix in takedowns and control the fight. The line has shifted heavily towards Lee, and I think she wins a decision as a slight underdog.
Cody picks Lee, arguing that Shevchenko has no power and Lee's volume will be decisive. He notes that Lee's takedown defense is her weakness, but Shevchenko is not a wrestler. Cody believes Lee will win by decision, using her striking output.
Daniel Levi picks Antonina Shevchenko, citing Andrea Lee's cardio issues and decline since her breakup. He notes that Lee gasses out and becomes flat-footed, while Shevchenko is more disciplined and can clinch and knee. Levi thinks Shevchenko will dominate in the clinch and win a 30-27 decision. He also mentions Shevchenko's improved ground game.
The host picks Shevchenko, giving her the slight advantage in striking. He notes she is the better technical striker and taller, which should help maintain distance. He acknowledges concerns about her grappling defense but thinks Lee is unlikely to implement a wrestling game plan. He predicts a decision win for Shevchenko but says he is not lock confident.
Paul picks Lee, noting that Shevchenko is not her sister and lacks power. He believes Lee's volume and takedown defense will be key, though he is not confident. Paul mentions that Lee has been losing due to takedowns, but Shevchenko is not a wrestler.
The MMA Guru picks Antonina Shevchenko, but with low confidence, admitting he flipped a coin. He thinks Shevchenko is slightly more technical on the feet and benefits from training with her sister Valentina. He acknowledges Andrea Lee has a grappling advantage but predicts a split decision 29-28 for Shevchenko.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 39 of 57 | 68% | 94 of 128 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 7:39 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 25 of 36 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 37 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 29 of 45 | 64% | 57 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 39 of 57 | 68% | 32 of 50 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 26 of 39 |
| Ariane da Silva | 15 of 26 | 57% | 7 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 10 of 12 | 83% | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 10 of 14 | 71% | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 29 of 45 | 64% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 39 |
| Ariane da Silva | 5 of 12 | 41% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady leans Antonina Shevchenko to win by decision. He thinks Shevchenko has a big advantage on the feet, but is concerned about her takedown defense after being dominated by Chookagian. He notes Lipski could win with a wrestling-heavy game plan, but Shevchenko is the pick if it stays standing.
Daniel picks Lipski as an underdog, citing Antonina's poor takedown defense and one-dimensional striking. He believes Lipski has paid her dues and can exploit Antonina's ground game. He notes Lipski's recent submission win shows improvement and that the fight should be a pick'em.
The host picks Antonina Shevchenko to win by decision. He believes she is cleaner on the feet and has a size advantage, and that Lipski will be outgunned on the feet and unable to have success on the ground. He notes the line is fair but not compelling to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Antonina Shevchenko to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Shevchenko's losses are to better competition (Chookagian, Modafferi) and that Lipski doesn't shoot enough takedowns to pose a threat. He expects Shevchenko to outland Lipski on the feet and win every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 73 of 108 | 67% | 200 of 240 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 10:36 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 25 of 64 | 39% | 37 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 20 of 24 | 83% | 70 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 4:27 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 18 of 21 | 85% | 83 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:53 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 35 of 63 | 55% | 47 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 17 of 54 | 31% | 19 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 73 of 108 | 67% | 55 of 81 | 12 of 18 | 6 of 9 | 22 of 49 | 4 of 4 | 47 of 55 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 25 of 64 | 39% | 14 of 50 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 59 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 20 of 24 | 83% | 17 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 18 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 18 of 21 | 85% | 16 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 5 of 6 | 83% | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 35 of 63 | 55% | 22 of 43 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 20 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 18 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 17 of 54 | 31% | 11 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Antonina Shevchenko to win a very close decision. He initially thought Cerminara should be the favorite due to her recent title fight, but after watching tape, he switched to Shevchenko. He believes Shevchenko is the better striker and will land the harder, more convincing shots. He notes that Cerminara has a path to victory if she uses wrestling, but she hasn't done that in the UFC. He expects a split decision and advises not to bet on this fight.
Daniel edges Antonina, citing her intel from training with her sister Valentina and her ability to control range with knees from the clinch. He notes that Chookagian has zero takedowns in the UFC and that the smaller cage will limit her movement. He expects a split decision.
The MMA Guru picks Katlyn Cerminara to win by unanimous decision. He notes that Antonina Shevchenko hasn't beaten great opposition and lost to Roxanne Modafferi. He believes Cerminara is longer, rangier, and will have a fire lit under her after losing to Valentina Shevchenko. He also mentions the narrative of beating her sister to get a title rematch.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 36 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 12 of 24 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 34 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 11 of 18 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 23 | 69% | 3 of 6 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 21 | 76% | 3 of 4 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 33 of 79 | 41% | 105 of 162 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 2 | 9:00 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 64 of 116 | 55% | 87 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 0:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 11 of 40 | 27% | 30 of 63 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 28 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 44 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 20 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 31 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 3:15 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 39 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 0:50 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roxanne Modafferi | 33 of 79 | 41% | 29 of 73 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 60 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 15 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 64 of 116 | 55% | 50 of 101 | 12 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 49 of 98 | 10 of 11 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roxanne Modafferi | 11 of 40 | 27% | 8 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 26 of 46 | 56% | 23 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Roxanne Modafferi | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 17 of 34 | 50% | 15 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 5 | |
| 3 | Roxanne Modafferi | 8 of 18 | 44% | 7 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 21 of 36 | 58% | 12 of 26 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 33 of 128 | 25% | 85 of 188 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 66 of 134 | 49% | 87 of 167 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 9 of 50 | 18% | 16 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 12 of 46 | 26% | 30 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 24 of 53 | 45% | 29 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 | |
| 3 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 39 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 27 of 46 | 58% | 39 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 33 of 128 | 25% | 18 of 113 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 10 | 26 of 116 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 66 of 134 | 49% | 41 of 101 | 18 of 26 | 7 of 7 | 46 of 106 | 14 of 19 | 6 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 9 of 50 | 18% | 3 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 47 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 15 of 35 | 42% | 10 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 12 of 46 | 26% | 8 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 24 of 53 | 45% | 16 of 41 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 45 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Antonina Shevchenko | 12 of 32 | 37% | 7 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 25 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 27 of 46 | 58% | 15 of 30 | 8 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 28 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 9 |
Lucie Pudilová - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 94 of 167 | 56% | 114 of 199 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 43 of 114 | 37% | 62 of 145 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 38 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 32 | 18% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 48 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 94 of 167 | 56% | 45 of 101 | 23 of 35 | 26 of 31 | 73 of 142 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 43 of 114 | 37% | 25 of 86 | 16 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 27 of 93 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 33 of 51 | 64% | 14 of 29 | 6 of 9 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 41 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 32 | 18% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 24 of 50 | 48% | 13 of 36 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 41 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 22 of 43 | 51% | 12 of 33 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 37 of 66 | 56% | 18 of 36 | 10 of 17 | 9 of 13 | 32 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 15 of 39 | 38% | 8 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.
Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.
Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.
Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ailín Pérez | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 41 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 42 of 74 | 56% | 123 of 180 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 8:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 48 of 64 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:49 | |
| 2 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 66 of 100 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 | |
| 3 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 36 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ailín Pérez | 20 of 42 | 47% | 13 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 25 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 42 of 74 | 56% | 31 of 57 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 10 | 12 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 27 of 41 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ailín Pérez | 2 of 10 | 20% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 12 of 26 | 46% | 7 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | |
| 2 | Ailín Pérez | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 25 of 37 | 67% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 31 | |
| 3 | Ailín Pérez | 16 of 24 | 66% | 10 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Ailín Pérez, citing her incredible cardio and wrestling pressure from her last fight where she set the bantamweight record for takedowns. He notes Lucie Pudilová can be taken down and that -150 feels like a good deal. He plans to bet on her.
Big Brady finds Perez's nickname change to 'Nurmagomedov' hilarious but thinks she earned it with 10 takedowns in her last fight. He sees Perez as a bully who will come forward, push Pudilová against the cage, and take her down repeatedly. He notes Pudilová has better striking but has struggled with takedowns and control in the past. He believes the odds flip is correct and Perez should be the favorite, winning a grinding decision.
Cody picks Ailín Pérez, citing her takedown volume and pressure. He notes that Pudilová has poor takedown defense and low striking volume. Pérez can grind out a decision with takedowns and control. Cody also mentions a PrizePicks play on Pérez over 2.5 takedowns.
Pudilová has improved her grappling significantly since her first UFC stint, now using it offensively. She is the cleaner striker and can cut up Pérez on the feet. Even on the ground, Pudilová can throw up submissions and reverse positions. Pérez relies on strength and bullying, which may not work against a technically better grappler like Pudilová. Pudilová wins by decision.
Paul picks Pérez, noting her physical strength and relentless pressure. He highlights Pudilová's inability to defend takedowns and her tendency to lose decisions. Paul expects Pérez to control the fight with takedowns and cage work.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová over Ailín Pérez, noting Pudilová's height and reach advantage as a rangier striker. He rates Pudilová's wins higher, including a close fight with Joselyne Edwards and a win over Yanan Wu, while criticizing Pérez's decision win over Ashley Evans-Smith as unimpressive. He believes Pudilová's improvement and range will be key if the fight stays standing, and doesn't see Pérez out-grappling her.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 56 of 114 | 49% | 90 of 153 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:29 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 39 of 98 | 39% | 74 of 138 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 7:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:11 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 17 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 | |
| 2 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 23 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 24 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 | |
| 3 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 27 of 56 | 48% | 36 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 19 of 46 | 41% | 33 of 60 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joselyne Edwards | 56 of 114 | 49% | 19 of 65 | 11 of 19 | 26 of 30 | 46 of 98 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 39 of 98 | 39% | 27 of 82 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 21 of 67 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joselyne Edwards | 17 of 36 | 47% | 10 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 8 of 27 | 29% | 5 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | |
| 2 | Joselyne Edwards | 12 of 22 | 54% | 2 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 12 of 25 | 48% | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 13 | |
| 3 | Joselyne Edwards | 27 of 56 | 48% | 7 of 30 | 4 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 26 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 19 of 46 | 41% | 12 of 37 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 15 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pudilova (-135), Edwards (+115)
Round 1
For the first time in six years to the day, the UFC is back in Kansas City, Missouri, with a Fight Night offering. In the building formerly known as the Sprint Center and now the T-Mobile Center, the promotion throws 14 fights in rapid succession at fans in the building and those watching on ESPN and ESPN+. Of note, the prelims will bring eight bouts in the span of three hours, so the pace should be higher. This presumably speedy slate of matches begins outside of normal weight categories, as Edwards (12-4, 3-2 UFC) missed weight ahead of her bantamweight bout with Pudilova (14-7, 3-5 UFC). The 137-pound catchweight affair will be overseen by referee Dwayne Bess, and there is no interest in a glove touch to start off the night. Instead, the ladies immediately begin to brawl, throwing hands in volume and tagging the other right out of the gate. One particular right hand from Edwards draws a telegraphed double-leg attempt from her opponent, and Edwards stuffs it and gets back up. Pudilova counters a leg kick with a right hand, and Edwards loads up on a pair of overhand rights in response. Pudilova scores a low kick and paws at her nose, which is already showing some damage from the few absorbed blows thus far. Pudilova surges forward and lifts Edwards off her feet to take her down to the mat, where she lands right in half guard. Pudilova controls her adversary, flattening her to the floor and not throwing much of note. A few punches to the rib cage do connect for Pudilova, who is dragged back to the guard when Edwards looks to buck her off. Pudilova is comfortable from this position as well, even with Edwards clutching both of her hands, so that she can posture up and drop down some decent ground-and-pound. Pudilova rains down hammerfists from high up until Edwards boots her off, and the Panamanian even gets off an upkick that stuns Pudilova momentarily. Instead of standing, Edwards remains on her back, and Pudilova adjusts her mouthguard and top and dives back down into the half guard. The boos begin to rain down from crowd, and this spurs Pudilova into action. Pudilova looks to pass to a dominant position, and Edwards turns to her side and slides out the back door to stand back up. Pudilova gives chase, and she swings her way into the clinch. The round closes as Edwards tries to toss her foe down.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Round 2
Pudilova advances calmly out of her corner, watching Edwards lob inaccurate bombs at her, until she rushes forward to close up. Edwards shuts down a takedown, and she makes Pudilova pay for it with multiple leg kicks. Pudilova’s offense stalls out while Edwards pecks at her with kicks, and she barely dodges a spinning back fist in time. Edwards sinks in a few body kicks, and Pudilova takes a moment after the second one lands. Pudilova ducks a few punches to pursue a double, and she drags “La Pantera” to the mat while simultaneously turning to land in side control. Pudilova grinds her elbow on Edwards’ face as she maintains heavy top control, with chest-to-chest pressure to keep Edwards flat on her back. Bess asks Pudilova to start working, as the action lulls. Pudilova drops down a few solid elbows on the cheek, and she moves to claim mount. As she does, Edwards flips over to her knees, and Pudilova does not fall off this time. Instead, Pudilova takes her back, where she gets in both hooks and threatens immediately with a rear-naked choke. Edwards fights the hands off from the first choke try, and she attempts to slip Pudilova off of her. Pudilova softens her up with a few punches, and Edwards keeps her stuck from trying anything with a two-on-one wrist lock. Edwards turns to her back, and Pudilova follows her and gets into mount. With 10 seconds to spare, Pudilova sits up and batters Edwards with vicious elbows until the horn saves the Panama native.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Pudilova
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Round 3
The last round opens up with Edwards aiming heavy kicks to the calf and big overhand rights up top. Pudilova stays composed and does not walk into anything harmful, and she flicks out a few jabs to keep Edwards honest. Pudilova shoots in from afar for a double, and she gets stood up as she pushes Edwards to the fence. Edwards slowly muscles her around, but Pudilova breaks off and separates. “La Pantera” shoots for her own takedown, and Pudilova tosses it aside and throws out a few kicks. Edwards strikes with several kicks to the thigh and upper calf, and Pudilova intercepts one with a straight left hand. Edwards punches her way into a spinning back fist, and Pudilova retreats and blocks both strikes. Edwards continues to work on the lead leg with pitter-patter kicks, and she smacks Pudilova with a clean left. “Bullet” charges for a takedown, and Edwards stands her up and kicks her in the body with a spinning kick. Edwards circles away on the outside, countering the advancing Pudilova and landing effectively. Pudilova crashes the pocket briefly with an overhand right, and Edwards is met with a knee before she swings a right hand back. Pudilova slams Edwards in the face with a knee, and she level changes to grab hold of Edwards. Edwards turns around, and Pudilova drags her to the floor. Edwards springs back up instantly, and the two remain clinched up. Pudilova misses with an elbow on the break, and Edwards tags her with two right hands. Pudilova surges forward with a few punches, and they trade short shots until the final bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-28 Pudilova)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-27 Pudilova)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-28 Pudilova)
The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Lucie Pudilova via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards based on her range management and volume striking. He notes that Edwards is a good kickboxer who uses range well, and her 63% takedown defense should ward off Pudilová's takedown attempts. He expects a boring fight but sees Edwards winning with volume and distance control. He is super confident in her but probably won't include her in a parlay.
Big Brady picks Joselyne Edwards as a dog, citing her striking volume and improved takedown defense. He doubts Lucie Pudilová's wrestling, which she only showed in her last fight, and doesn't trust her as a favorite. He expects Edwards to win by decision, but is not betting on the fight.
Cody notes Pudilová has improved her grappling and wrestling, and her aggression and volume should overwhelm Edwards. He thinks Edwards' pitter-patter striking won't be enough. He likes Pudilová by decision.
Connor picks Pudilová because he likes a newly controlled fighter who relies on her reach intelligently. He notes that Pudilová has takedowns and Edwards is a bad wrestler. He acknowledges that Edwards is powerful and the fight could get chaotic, but thinks Pudilová's experience in crazy fights will help.
Pudilová's improved grappling and BJJ will be key against Edwards, who struggles when taken down. Edwards relies on kicks and distance, but Pudilová is a good enough striker to close the distance and get takedowns. Pudilová's submission defense and top control should allow her to grind out a decision. She has evolved her game since returning to the UFC.
Paul agrees, noting Pudilová's improved grappling and the fact that Edwards' wins are over low-level competition. He thinks Pudilová's aggression and takedowns will secure a decision.
The MMA Guru leans toward Lucie Pudilová, citing her improved grappling and overall development since her return to the UFC. He notes Edwards' striking volume but thinks Pudilová's X-factor of potentially using grappling could edge a close decision. He calls it a close fight and says the line is accurate.
Zane picks Edwards because he hasn't seen Pudilová handle physical pushback well. He believes Edwards is tough and strong, and will land the bigger shots. He acknowledges that Edwards doesn't do enough work continually but thinks she'll land more damaging shots.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 32 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 39 of 81 | 48% | 51 of 96 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 16 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 | |
| 2 | Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 13 of 24 | 54% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 30 of 59 | 50% | 35 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucie Pudilová | 26 of 42 | 61% | 7 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 14 of 16 | 22 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 39 of 81 | 48% | 29 of 65 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 9 | 14 of 50 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 27 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucie Pudilová | 13 of 18 | 72% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 9 of 22 | 40% | 6 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Lucie Pudilová | 13 of 24 | 54% | 3 of 11 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 13 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 30 of 59 | 50% | 23 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 12 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 23 |
Angelo picks Wu Yanan over Lucie Pudilová. He notes that Pudilová is a UFC vet on a second stint but had a four-fight losing skid before being cut. He believes Wu is genuinely better everywhere, with better striking and grappling, and that her losses were competitive against higher-level competition. However, he expresses caution about betting low-level women's MMA and says he might only bet if the odds move to plus money around +200.
Big Brady picks the underdog Wu Yanan. He sees the fight as extremely close on the feet, slightly favoring Lucie Pudilová, but notes that Wu Yanan has shown takedown ability in recent fights. He believes Wu Yanan can mix in a takedown to seal a round and win a close decision. He mentions that Pudilová has poor takedown defense and no answer when taken down. Brady is not confident but sees a sneaky path for Wu Yanan.
Cody also picks Wu Yanan, agreeing with Paul that grappling will be key. He notes Pudilova's limited takedown defense and thinks Wu Yanan can take her down. He is not confident and says he won't bet it heavily.
Pudilová is the better striker with more power, but the fight is a toss-up. The host would only bet if Pudilová becomes plus money, and would then consider a small play on her by decision. He is not confident enough to bet at current odds.
Paul picks Wu Yanan, citing her grappling edge and the fact that Pudilova has poor takedown defense. He notes it's a low-level women's MMA fight and expects grappling to be key. He admits he's not confident and calls it a 'dogger pass'.
The Guru initially forgot his pick and had to check, eventually settling on Lucie Pudilová by decision. He thinks she will minorly outstrike Yanan in every round and mix in takedowns at the end of rounds to secure them. He calls her very good and underrated, and believes her experience against decent competition will allow her to win 27-30 via unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 62 of 129 | 48% | 66 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 29 of 143 | 20% | 47 of 165 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 46 | 23% | 17 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 51 | 21% | 16 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 7 of 46 | 15% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 62 of 129 | 48% | 17 of 70 | 16 of 23 | 29 of 36 | 50 of 108 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 29 of 143 | 20% | 22 of 131 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 137 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 21 of 43 | 48% | 5 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 46 | 23% | 7 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 23 of 41 | 56% | 6 of 20 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 51 | 21% | 9 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 18 of 45 | 40% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 14 | 14 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 7 of 46 | 15% | 6 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Justine Kish to win by decision, believing she is motivated and can return to her early UFC form with forward pressure. He notes that Pudilová has lapses in her fights and that Kish has experience against top-15 opponents. He thinks Kish's intensity will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová, citing her better record and lesser reach advantage. He doesn't show much interest in the fight, noting the women's flyweight division is thin and that being in the top 15 is basically the standard.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 36 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 12 of 24 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 34 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 11 of 18 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 23 | 69% | 3 of 6 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 21 | 76% | 3 of 4 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 40 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 5:59 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 33 of 105 | 31% | 57 of 133 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 25 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 8 of 35 | 22% | 9 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 30 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Carmouche | 14 of 29 | 48% | 3 of 12 | 4 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 33 of 105 | 31% | 13 of 77 | 3 of 6 | 17 of 22 | 15 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liz Carmouche | 4 of 4 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 20 | 30% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Liz Carmouche | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 8 of 35 | 22% | 4 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | |
| 3 | Liz Carmouche | 7 of 15 | 46% | 1 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 19 of 50 | 38% | 4 of 30 | 0 of 2 | 15 of 18 | 7 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 12 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 119 of 226 | 52% | 121 of 228 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 105 of 329 | 31% | 110 of 336 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 27 of 51 | 52% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 28 of 102 | 27% | 28 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 27 of 92 | 29% | 28 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 56 of 102 | 54% | 56 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 50 of 135 | 37% | 54 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Aldana | 119 of 226 | 52% | 80 of 164 | 10 of 23 | 29 of 39 | 111 of 216 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 105 of 329 | 31% | 81 of 289 | 11 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 99 of 319 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irene Aldana | 27 of 51 | 52% | 18 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 28 of 102 | 27% | 20 of 90 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 8 | 25 of 98 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Irene Aldana | 36 of 73 | 49% | 21 of 50 | 4 of 8 | 11 of 15 | 34 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 27 of 92 | 29% | 20 of 79 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 7 | 26 of 90 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Irene Aldana | 56 of 102 | 54% | 41 of 75 | 4 of 11 | 11 of 16 | 52 of 96 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 50 of 135 | 37% | 41 of 120 | 5 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 48 of 131 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
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