Shane Burgos vs Charles Rosa

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Shane Burgos	0	42 of 80	52%	67 of 116	2 of 7	28%	3	0	6:25
Charles Jourdain	0	113 of 188	60%	161 of 241	0 of 1	0%	0	0	2:08

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Shane Burgos	0	12 of 27	44%	12 of 31	1 of 3	33%	1	0	1:24
Charles Jourdain	0	24 of 41	58%	39 of 59	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:41
2	Shane Burgos	0	4 of 8	50%	28 of 39	1 of 1	100%	2	0	4:02
Charles Jourdain	0	5 of 11	45%	7 of 13	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00
3	Shane Burgos	0	26 of 45	57%	27 of 46	0 of 3	0%	0	0	0:59
Charles Jourdain	0	84 of 136	61%	115 of 169	0 of 0	---	0	0	1:27

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Shane Burgos	42 of 80	52%	16 of 47	6 of 12	20 of 21	28 of 61	13 of 18	1 of 1
Charles Jourdain	113 of 188	60%	72 of 145	36 of 37	5 of 6	68 of 133	41 of 51	4 of 4

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Shane Burgos	12 of 27	44%	3 of 13	4 of 8	5 of 6	6 of 17	6 of 10	0 of 0
Charles Jourdain	24 of 41	58%	10 of 26	10 of 11	4 of 4	14 of 27	9 of 13	1 of 1
2	Shane Burgos	4 of 8	50%	2 of 5	1 of 2	1 of 1	3 of 7	0 of 0	1 of 1
Charles Jourdain	5 of 11	45%	2 of 7	3 of 3	0 of 1	5 of 11	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Shane Burgos	26 of 45	57%	11 of 29	1 of 2	14 of 14	19 of 37	7 of 8	0 of 0
Charles Jourdain	84 of 136	61%	60 of 112	23 of 23	1 of 1	49 of 95	32 of 38	3 of 3

Shane Burgos vs. Charles Jourdain
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Burgos (-170), Jourdain (+145)

Round 1
Mayhem is almost certainly on the menu for this featherweight contest between ferocious strikers Burgos (14-3, 7-3 UFC) and Jourdain (13-4-1, 4-3-1 UFC). Receiving the biggest pop of the evening thus far is New Yorker Burgos, who hopes to channel the crowd’s energy and handle the high-flying Canadian. Referee Keith Peterson has his hands full for the nonsense-free chaos that is likely about to ensue, and the two men light the fuse that is their bout with a glove touch. Burgos immediately begins to walk the Canadian down, and he blocks a head kick from the retreating Jourdain. Burgos reaches Jourdain with a few punches, and Jourdain pushes out several front kicks. A right hand from Burgos shakes Jourdain up, and Jourdain bounces off the wall behind him to reset. Burgos continues his constant forward movement, and he unexpectedly grabs hold of the legs to try a takedown. Burgos manages to get Jourdain down, and he finds himself in guillotine choke danger. “Hurricane Shane” shakes off the choke so that he can move to take the back, and Jourdain stands up and tries to peel Burgos off of him with the wire. Burgos uses this moment to jump on to his back, and he kicks off the fence to pull Jourdain back down. When down on the ground, Burgos latches on to a neck crank, and Peterson checks to make sure that Jourdain is still with it. He is good to go, and he slides his neck out of the crushing grip. Jourdain stands up again, even with Burgos on his back, and he not as much moves out the back door as he does slide out the side, and he lowers Burgos down to the ground. Burgos explodes back to his feet, and when he does, Jourdain meets him with a punch that draws a smile. Jourdain ties his man up and unloads with several knees to the body, and these have a noticeable impact as he slows Burgos down and finds the home with several short yet powerful blows. Burgos strides forward confidently, and Jourdain counters him by trying to sweep the legs. Burgos keeps himself upright and blocks a few kicks, and he plods ahead to throw hands. Jourdain again ties him up and works the midsection with knees until they break. Burgos offers him a glove touch after the multiple successful blows, and he steps in with a leg kick. Burgos winds up with one that lands with a loud slap, and Jourdain grabs him and spams knees. “Air” Jourdain just misses with a flying knee, and the clinch draws out a few strikes before the horn sounds. This round could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 2
The featherweights meet in the middle with a slap of gloves to start off the round, and Jourdain backs off and reaches out with front kicks. Backing up, Jourdain sneaks in a right hand, and Burgos walks through it only to absorb a left hand that makes him smile. Jourdain is throwing leather as he keeps his safe range, and he beats Burgos to the punch in a few exchanges. Burgos rips the body with a right hand, but it is one-and-done as Jourdain escapes on the outside. When Jourdain overthrows on a strike, Burgos moves to take Jourdain from behind. Burgos manages to climb on to the back and lock up a body triangle while Jourdain is standing, leaning Burgos into the wall. Burgos cannot free his hands to hunt for a choke, but he does lean back to pull Jourdain away from the fencing and force Jourdain to bear his full weight. Jourdain bucks suddenly and bends over, and Burgos hands on tight and frees his hands to go after a rear-naked choke. Jourdain rolls all the way over, but Burgos’ body triangle keeps him tightly pressed on his man. The Canadian wriggles and shakes in an effort to get Burgos off of him, but it is to no avail, as Burgos starts to bop him on the sides of the head with very short punches. Burgos isolates the neck and bails on it to flirt with a Suloev Stretch, which makes Jourdain drop to his knees so a kneebar does not come from the position. The back control of Burgos is heavy and smothering, forcing Jourdain back down to his knees and nearly flattening him out. “Air” cannot get some space, and he finds himself in submission danger as Burgos locks on to a rear-naked choke that is just crushing on Jourdain’s jaw right below the nose. Jourdain toughs it out and stops Burgos from tapping him, and Burgos gets the crowd motivated as he smacks Jourdain upside the head until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burgos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Burgos
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Burgos

Round 3
The exciting featherweights meet in the middle, and Burgos chops at the lead leg a few times to open up early. Jourdain responds with similar strikes, and they trade right hands as chants of “USA” rain down for the New Yorker. Burgos walks Jourdain down but eats several jabs on the way forward, and he is fighting in phone booth throwing punches to the body and kicks to the calf. Jourdain meets him with straight punches, and he chains a few punches together to mark Burgos’ face up. The jabs keep splitting the guard, and he backs Burgos up and scores several times without concern. Burgos is right there ready to trade, and he gets beaten to the punch several times as Jourdain’s left finds its home repeatedly. Jourdain strings together a sharp combination, leading to Burgos attempting a single. The Canadian defends it well and drills Burgos with multiple uppercuts, hurting Burgos but not getting him off of him. Burgos tries to pull Jourdain down, but Jourdain turns him around and knees him in the face. Burgos drops down to a knee when absorbing those strikes, and Jourdain rips the body several times. Jourdain lets his hands go as Burgos is reeling, and he is hurting Burgos with several big shots. Jourdain opens up with several hooks and kicks low, and Burgos’ single responses are labored and largely ineffective. Burgos, stuck against the wall, eats big punches and uppercuts, and Jourdain mixes it up with a flying knee. Jourdain unloads on Burgos with knees to the head and body, and his hands do not stop moving as he batters Burgos constantly. Burgos looks at the camera and sticks out his tongue, and Jourdain looses a vicious elbow that staggers Burgos. The New Yorker falls back against the fence, and he rebounds and ducks down to tie Jourdain up from the back. Burgos takes the back and slows the onslaught, and Jourdain grabs the fence to stay afloat. Jourdain yells “come on” as Burgos drags him down, only to spring right back up. With seconds left on the clock, they throw caution to the wind, and Jourdain nails him with a head kick. Burgos swings with everything he has left, as does Jourdain, and Peterson has to get between them when the final bell sounds. What a round for Jourdain, doing to Burgos what Burgos likes to do to people. They go the distance, and this fight could hinge on the first round’s score.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)

The Official Result
Shane Burgos def. Charles Jourdain via Majority Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Angelo picks Shane Burgos, citing his pressure, volume, and body work. He acknowledges Jourdain's power and chin, but believes Burgos's insane output (232 strikes in last fight) will be the difference. He notes the odds are wider than expected and expects a close fight.

predicts fight of the night candidate

"shane is the pick but this will be a fun fight and i do think this will be a very close fight"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Big Brady picks Shane Burgos to win by decision. He highlights Burgos's volume (almost 8 significant strikes per minute) and a 6.5-inch reach advantage as key factors. He acknowledges Burgos's poor striking defense and reliance on his chin, but believes Burgos's skill and volume will outwork Jourdain. He expects a war but thinks Burgos wins on the scorecards.

"i'm gonna say burgos wins this fight um based off of the volume here it's gonna be a war it's gonna be fun give me shane burgos to win this fight by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Cody picks Burgos, citing his high volume and experience against elite competition. He notes that Burgos lands a massive number of significant strikes and has fought top featherweights, while Jourdain's wins are over lower-level opponents. Cody acknowledges Burgos' chin issues but believes his forward pressure and output will overwhelm Jourdain.

Fight of the Night (plus 600)

"i think it's going to be an absolute scrap burgos could get knocked out we need to recognize that he fights reckless he fights dangerous"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Daniel Levi picks Shane Burgos, believing Burgos is slightly ahead of Jourdain at this stage. He praises Burgos's boxing, pressure, and durability, but notes his defensive flaws and tendency to fight with his hands down. Levi thinks Jourdain is improving but not ready yet, and expects Burgos to win via pressure and pocket boxing.

concerns about Burgos's chin and defense

"i'm gonna pick shane burgos to win it's just the concerns are the guy fights with his hands down his chin up"

Half the Battle

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Paul agrees with Cody, stating that Burgos' volume and durability will be key. He notes that Burgos has fought and performed well against top-tier opponents, while Jourdain's resume is less impressive. Paul expects a high-paced war but believes Burgos' experience and output will carry him to victory.

"i totally agree not even gonna add anything to it"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

The MMA Guru picks Shane Burgos over Charles Jourdain, citing Burgos's durability and Jourdain's tendency to fade. He references Jourdain's loss to Julian Erosa, who walked him down, and believes Burgos's chin and pressure will be too much. He predicts Burgos will finish Jourdain by TKO in the third round with body shots and ground-and-pound.

predicts third-round TKO

"i think he's going to get a finish in round three by tko to ground and pound finishing off charles jordan"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Billy Quarantillo

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Nov 06, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Shane Burgos	0	193 of 288	67%	232 of 329	0 of 0	---	0	0	2:26
Billy Quarantillo	0	164 of 349	46%	196 of 383	0 of 14	0%	0	0	2:09

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Shane Burgos	54 of 81	66%	68 of 96	0 of 0	---	0:51
1	Billy Quarantillo	63 of 131	48%	81 of 150	0 of 2	0%	0:19
2	Shane Burgos	82 of 114	71%	85 of 117	0 of 0	---	0:35
2	Billy Quarantillo	54 of 130	41%	57 of 133	0 of 2	0%	0:32
3	Shane Burgos	57 of 93	61%	79 of 116	0 of 0	---	1:00
3	Billy Quarantillo	47 of 88	53%	58 of 100	0 of 10	0%	1:18

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Shane Burgos	193 of 288	67%	133 of 219	32 of 37	28 of 32	162 of 252	30 of 35	1 of 1
Billy Quarantillo	164 of 349	46%	129 of 301	28 of 39	7 of 9	145 of 322	19 of 27	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Shane Burgos	54 of 81	66%	37 of 61	8 of 9	9 of 11	53 of 79	1 of 2	0 of 0
1	Billy Quarantillo	63 of 131	48%	49 of 109	11 of 17	3 of 5	54 of 120	9 of 11	0 of 0
2	Shane Burgos	82 of 114	71%	55 of 84	14 of 17	13 of 13	71 of 100	11 of 14	0 of 0
2	Billy Quarantillo	54 of 130	41%	43 of 116	8 of 11	3 of 3	52 of 125	2 of 5	0 of 0
3	Shane Burgos	57 of 93	61%	41 of 74	10 of 11	6 of 8	38 of 73	18 of 19	1 of 1
3	Billy Quarantillo	47 of 88	53%	37 of 76	9 of 11	1 of 1	39 of 77	8 of 11	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Angelo picks Shane Burgos, but acknowledges Billy Quarantillo as a live underdog. He notes Burgos's high volume, body work, and chin, but also his high strike absorption rate. He believes Burgos's takedown defense (89%) will be tested, but that Burgos has shown he can get back up. He thinks the longer the fight goes, the more Burgos's body shots will pay off.

"i very narrowly am going to side with shane here because even though billy has the better striking stats at this point in his career shane's chin is still holding up"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Big Brady picks Shane Burgos to win by decision. He notes Burgos's striking volume and power, while Quarantillo is hittable and may struggle to get takedowns. Brady acknowledges Burgos's durability and takedown defense, but also his recent knockout loss and short turnaround. He thinks Quarantillo's wrestling won't be effective against Burgos, and the fight will be a war with Burgos winning on the feet.

win by decision

"i'll go decision i'll say shane burgos does win by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Cody picks Burgos, citing his superior striking and takedown defense. He believes Burgos will keep the fight standing, chip away, and win a decision. He notes Quarantillo's cardio and toughness but doubts his power to hurt Burgos. He recommends Burgos by decision at +175.

Burgos by decision (+175)

"i got to go with shane burgos and if i'm trying to improve that line i go with burgos by decision"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Billy Quarantillo

Daniel Levi picks Billy Quarantillo as a plus 170 dog, fading Shane Burgos because Burgos fights with his hands down and hasn't learned his lesson. Levi believes Quarantillo is a dog who will capitalize on that weakness, and that Burgos's last fight against Edson Barboza was uncomfortable to watch. He notes that Quarantillo leveled up after the Gavin Tucker loss and ran through Gabriel Benitez. Levi expects a dogfight where Quarantillo thrives.

plus 170 dog

"give me billy q for the upset"

Half the Battle

Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Jacob picks Shane Burgos, emphasizing his grappling skills as a black belt and his body shots. He believes Burgos is no slouch on the ground and can handle Quarantillo's grappling. He thinks the fight could turn into a grappling match, but Burgos is well-rounded. He likes Burgos all the way, though he is unsure about the DraftKings price.

"i'm shane all the way you know at 9 000 i don't know if i love that 9 000 mark for for draftkings"

We Want Picks

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Shane Burgos

The host picks Burgos by decision, believing his technical striking and movement will outclass Quarantillo's pressure. He notes Burgos' chin and durability should hold up. He considered Burgos' decision prop at +200 but thinks it's a sweat.

"i like shane burgos here i think his chin holds up his durability holds up and he showcases that he's the much better technical striker"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Paul agrees with Cody, seeing Burgos as the better striker. He notes Quarantillo needs to get the fight to the mat to win, but Burgos's takedown defense should keep it standing. He doesn't love the price but thinks Burgos wins.

"i was kind of seeing it the same way didn't really love the price"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

The Guru picks Shane Burgos, citing his reach advantage and improved grappling defense. He believes Burgos will pick Quarantillo apart at range with body shots and leg kicks, and that Quarantillo lacks the power to KO Burgos. The Guru predicts a 29-28 decision, with Burgos winning two rounds clearly.

"I'm gonna go shane burgos here."

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Edson Barboza

KO (punches) R3 1:16 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Edson Barboza	0	80 of 180	44%	80 of 180	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:03
Shane Burgos	1	98 of 191	51%	98 of 191	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:03

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Edson Barboza	0	33 of 79	41%	33 of 79	0 of 0	---	0:03
1	Shane Burgos	0	41 of 83	49%	41 of 83	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Edson Barboza	0	40 of 83	48%	40 of 83	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Shane Burgos	0	39 of 82	47%	39 of 82	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Edson Barboza	0	7 of 18	38%	7 of 18	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Shane Burgos	1	18 of 26	69%	18 of 26	0 of 0	---	0:03

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Edson Barboza	80 of 180	44%	41 of 131	24 of 33	15 of 16	80 of 179	0 of 1	0 of 0
Shane Burgos	98 of 191	51%	51 of 134	14 of 17	33 of 40	96 of 189	0 of 0	2 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Edson Barboza	33 of 79	41%	20 of 65	10 of 11	3 of 3	33 of 78	0 of 1	0 of 0
1	Shane Burgos	41 of 83	49%	19 of 55	5 of 5	17 of 23	41 of 83	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Edson Barboza	40 of 83	48%	19 of 55	14 of 21	7 of 7	40 of 83	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Shane Burgos	39 of 82	47%	23 of 63	8 of 10	8 of 9	39 of 82	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Edson Barboza	7 of 18	38%	2 of 11	0 of 1	5 of 6	7 of 18	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Shane Burgos	18 of 26	69%	9 of 16	1 of 2	8 of 8	16 of 24	0 of 0	2 of 2

Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Burgos has a phenomenal chin, high volume (7.31 strikes/min), and excellent cardio. Barboza struggles with pressure and has low output. Burgos will pressure Barboza, land more strikes, and wear him down. I expect a late knockout in the third round as the damage accumulates.

by KO round 3

"I'm gonna take burgos to win here i'm gonna take him to win by um i'll say i'll say third round knockout for shane burgos"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Cody is a Burgos fan and picks him confidently. He argues that Barboza has taken too much damage over his career and is slowing down. Cody believes Burgos will walk Barboza down, out-volume him, and win a decision. He notes that Burgos is younger and his wrestling and ground game are improving.

"i'm obviously a burgos guy first and foremost like what he brings to the table these tigers shulman guys i mean universally across the board they're doing some excellent stuff"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Daniel Levi picks Shane Burgos, emphasizing his high work rate, forward pressure, and durability. He notes that Barboza fades in later rounds and has been outworked by pressure fighters like Dan Ige. Levi thinks Burgos's chin can hold up to Barboza's early power, and that his constant pressure will break Barboza. He predicts a 29-27 decision or late TKO for Burgos.

mentions Burgos's underrated kicks and Barboza's chin issues

"i got to go with burgos here because of the pressure the output and the non-stop forward pressure"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

The host picks Burgos with relatively high confidence after watching tape. He notes Burgos's pressure and forward movement will trouble Barboza, who struggles when backed up. He thinks Burgos has better volume and versatility, and that Barboza's leg kicks are a concern but Burgos can eat them. He predicts a decision win for Burgos.

Burgos by decision

"i'll go burgos and i'll go with burgers by decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Paul picks Burgos, noting that Barboza is past his prime and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Burgos will out-volume Barboza and win a decision. Paul mentions that Barboza's chin is questionable and he slows down in later rounds. He expects a close first round, then Burgos pulling away.

"the pick would be burgos but it's like you know this is an all-action fight between two strikers"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

The MMA Guru picks Shane Burgos over Edson Barboza, citing Burgos's youth, reach advantage, and excellent chin. He believes Barboza will win the first round but slow down, allowing Burgos to take over in the second and third. He predicts a 29-27 decision for Burgos and suggests betting on a draw as a prop.

Bet on a draw (prop bet mentioned)

"i'm going with hurricane shane burgos"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Josh Emmett

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Jun 20, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Josh Emmett	2	127 of 266	47%	136 of 275	1 of 1	100%	0	0	1:24
Shane Burgos	0	128 of 250	51%	148 of 270	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Josh Emmett	0	36 of 88	40%	36 of 88	1 of 1	100%	0:08
1	Shane Burgos	0	46 of 66	69%	46 of 66	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Josh Emmett	0	40 of 88	45%	40 of 88	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Shane Burgos	0	48 of 90	53%	48 of 90	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Josh Emmett	2	51 of 90	56%	60 of 99	0 of 0	---	1:16
3	Shane Burgos	0	34 of 94	36%	54 of 114	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Josh Emmett	127 of 266	47%	98 of 232	16 of 21	13 of 13	111 of 243	0 of 0	16 of 23
Shane Burgos	128 of 250	51%	68 of 174	20 of 32	40 of 44	121 of 243	7 of 7	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Josh Emmett	36 of 88	40%	26 of 76	5 of 7	5 of 5	36 of 88	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Shane Burgos	46 of 66	69%	20 of 33	8 of 14	18 of 19	39 of 59	7 of 7	0 of 0
2	Josh Emmett	40 of 88	45%	33 of 81	2 of 2	5 of 5	40 of 88	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Shane Burgos	48 of 90	53%	28 of 66	7 of 9	13 of 15	48 of 90	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Josh Emmett	51 of 90	56%	39 of 75	9 of 12	3 of 3	35 of 67	0 of 0	16 of 23
3	Shane Burgos	34 of 94	36%	20 of 75	5 of 9	9 of 10	34 of 94	0 of 0	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2020 (3 days before fight)

Josh Emmett

Big Brady picks Josh Emmett to win by knockout in the second round, citing Emmett's tremendous power and Burgos' tendency to absorb a lot of strikes. He thinks the small cage will help Emmett engage more and land a clean shot. He notes that on paper Burgos looks great, but Emmett's power is a game-changer.

pick by knockout in second round; suggests betting Emmett by KO prop

"I am picking Josh Emmett to win here by knockout I know Burgos is probably a popular bet this week but I just see in my head when this plays out just Emmett cracking them at some point and knocking …"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 18, 2020 (2 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Daniel Levi leans toward Shane Burgos, citing his superior technique, variety of strikes, and size advantage. He acknowledges Josh Emmett's one-punch knockout power and notes that Burgos fights with his hands down, which is risky. Levi sees Burgos winning a decision if it goes the distance but admits Emmett could knock him out at any time. He calls it a pass from a betting perspective.

pass from betting perspective

"I'm going to lean with Shane Burgos here."

Half the Battle

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2020 (6 days before fight)

Shane Burgos

Burgos has a great chin and recovery, as seen in the Calvillo fight. He stalks opponents, cuts off the cage, and rips to the body. The smaller cage benefits his pressure style. He will eat Emmett's power shots, make him gas, and get a TKO in the third round.

"Shane Burgos gets it done the reach advantage to size advantage it's just all too much to bet against Shane Burgos here... eventual third round TKO"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Makwan Amirkhani

TKO (punches) R3 4:32 · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · Nov 02, 2019

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Shane Burgos	1	105 of 155	67%	161 of 217	0 of 0	---	0	0	3:31
Makwan Amirkhani	0	22 of 48	45%	23 of 49	3 of 19	15%	1	0	4:19

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Shane Burgos	0	6 of 17	35%	16 of 27	0 of 0	---	0	0:36
1	Makwan Amirkhani	0	8 of 14	57%	9 of 15	3 of 10	30%	1	2:45
2	Shane Burgos	0	27 of 44	61%	61 of 83	0 of 0	---	0	1:12
2	Makwan Amirkhani	0	5 of 16	31%	5 of 16	0 of 5	0%	0	1:16
3	Shane Burgos	1	72 of 94	76%	84 of 107	0 of 0	---	0	1:43
3	Makwan Amirkhani	0	9 of 18	50%	9 of 18	0 of 4	0%	0	0:18

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Shane Burgos	105 of 155	67%	61 of 108	41 of 43	3 of 4	39 of 78	15 of 17	51 of 60
Makwan Amirkhani	22 of 48	45%	21 of 46	1 of 2	0 of 0	21 of 47	0 of 0	1 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Shane Burgos	6 of 17	35%	4 of 15	2 of 2	0 of 0	5 of 15	1 of 2	0 of 0
1	Makwan Amirkhani	8 of 14	57%	8 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0	7 of 13	0 of 0	1 of 1
2	Shane Burgos	27 of 44	61%	11 of 25	14 of 16	2 of 3	14 of 28	1 of 1	12 of 15
2	Makwan Amirkhani	5 of 16	31%	5 of 16	0 of 0	0 of 0	5 of 16	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Shane Burgos	72 of 94	76%	46 of 68	25 of 25	1 of 1	20 of 35	13 of 14	39 of 45
3	Makwan Amirkhani	9 of 18	50%	8 of 16	1 of 2	0 of 0	9 of 18	0 of 0	0 of 0

WIN vs Cub Swanson

Decision (split) (30–27, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · May 04, 2019

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Shane Burgos	0	129 of 256	50%	132 of 260	0 of 2	0%	0	0	1:37
Cub Swanson	0	134 of 268	50%	147 of 282	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Shane Burgos	37 of 73	50%	37 of 73	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Cub Swanson	41 of 81	50%	41 of 81	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Shane Burgos	43 of 96	44%	43 of 96	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Cub Swanson	48 of 95	50%	48 of 95	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Shane Burgos	49 of 87	56%	52 of 91	0 of 2	0%	1:37
3	Cub Swanson	45 of 92	48%	58 of 106	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Shane Burgos	129 of 256	50%	66 of 167	14 of 26	49 of 63	113 of 239	11 of 12	5 of 5
Cub Swanson	134 of 268	50%	82 of 208	18 of 25	34 of 35	128 of 260	6 of 8	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Shane Burgos	37 of 73	50%	18 of 42	5 of 11	14 of 20	37 of 73	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Cub Swanson	41 of 81	50%	24 of 60	5 of 9	12 of 12	40 of 80	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Shane Burgos	43 of 96	44%	26 of 73	5 of 9	12 of 14	41 of 94	2 of 2	0 of 0
2	Cub Swanson	48 of 95	50%	31 of 75	5 of 7	12 of 13	48 of 95	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Shane Burgos	49 of 87	56%	22 of 52	4 of 6	23 of 29	35 of 72	9 of 10	5 of 5
3	Cub Swanson	45 of 92	48%	27 of 73	8 of 9	10 of 10	40 of 85	5 of 7	0 of 0

WIN vs Kurt Holobaugh

Submission (armbar) R1 2:11 · UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Nov 03, 2018

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Shane Burgos	0	17 of 24	70%	17 of 24	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00
Kurt Holobaugh	1	21 of 51	41%	26 of 57	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:13

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Shane Burgos	0	17 of 24	70%	17 of 24	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00
1	Kurt Holobaugh	1	21 of 51	41%	26 of 57	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:13

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Shane Burgos	17 of 24	70%	13 of 19	2 of 3	2 of 2	17 of 24	0 of 0	0 of 0
Kurt Holobaugh	21 of 51	41%	14 of 40	1 of 2	6 of 9	19 of 48	1 of 2	1 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Shane Burgos	17 of 24	70%	13 of 19	2 of 3	2 of 2	17 of 24	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Kurt Holobaugh	21 of 51	41%	14 of 40	1 of 2	6 of 9	19 of 48	1 of 2	1 of 1

LOSS vs Calvin Kattar

TKO (punches) R3 0:32 · UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Jan 20, 2018

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Calvin Kattar	1	85 of 194	43%	86 of 195	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:13
Shane Burgos	0	89 of 186	47%	91 of 188	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Calvin Kattar	0	40 of 76	52%	40 of 76	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Shane Burgos	0	33 of 78	42%	33 of 78	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Calvin Kattar	0	35 of 94	37%	36 of 95	0 of 1	0%	0:07
2	Shane Burgos	0	55 of 101	54%	57 of 103	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Calvin Kattar	1	10 of 24	41%	10 of 24	0 of 0	---	0:06
3	Shane Burgos	0	1 of 7	14%	1 of 7	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Calvin Kattar	85 of 194	43%	73 of 174	5 of 10	7 of 10	79 of 182	1 of 2	5 of 10
Shane Burgos	89 of 186	47%	46 of 126	25 of 38	18 of 22	86 of 182	3 of 4	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Calvin Kattar	40 of 76	52%	32 of 66	4 of 5	4 of 5	40 of 76	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Shane Burgos	33 of 78	42%	21 of 61	8 of 12	4 of 5	33 of 78	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Calvin Kattar	35 of 94	37%	31 of 84	1 of 5	3 of 5	34 of 92	1 of 2	0 of 0
2	Shane Burgos	55 of 101	54%	25 of 60	17 of 25	13 of 16	52 of 97	3 of 4	0 of 0
3	Calvin Kattar	10 of 24	41%	10 of 24	0 of 0	0 of 0	5 of 14	0 of 0	5 of 10
3	Shane Burgos	1 of 7	14%	0 of 5	0 of 1	1 of 1	1 of 7	0 of 0	0 of 0

View all 11 fights

Charles Rosa - Fight History

LOSS vs Nathaniel Wood

Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Nathaniel Wood	0	97 of 159	61%	102 of 166	1 of 1	100%	0	0	1:25
Charles Rosa	0	51 of 167	30%	54 of 170	2 of 9	22%	1	0	0:52

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Nathaniel Wood	39 of 62	62%	43 of 66	0 of 0	---	0	0:03
1	Charles Rosa	25 of 63	39%	25 of 63	1 of 2	50%	1	0:42
2	Nathaniel Wood	31 of 51	60%	31 of 51	1 of 1	100%	0	0:15
2	Charles Rosa	12 of 42	28%	12 of 42	0 of 3	0%	0	0:00
3	Nathaniel Wood	27 of 46	58%	28 of 49	0 of 0	---	0	1:07
3	Charles Rosa	14 of 62	22%	17 of 65	1 of 4	25%	0	0:10

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Nathaniel Wood	97 of 159	61%	62 of 111	4 of 13	31 of 35	87 of 144	5 of 7	5 of 8
Charles Rosa	51 of 167	30%	21 of 120	18 of 29	12 of 18	43 of 156	6 of 9	2 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Nathaniel Wood	39 of 62	62%	27 of 44	3 of 7	9 of 11	38 of 61	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Charles Rosa	25 of 63	39%	9 of 43	10 of 13	6 of 7	22 of 59	2 of 3	1 of 1
2	Nathaniel Wood	31 of 51	60%	18 of 33	1 of 4	12 of 14	26 of 43	1 of 2	4 of 6
2	Charles Rosa	12 of 42	28%	6 of 29	2 of 5	4 of 8	11 of 41	1 of 1	0 of 0
3	Nathaniel Wood	27 of 46	58%	17 of 34	0 of 2	10 of 10	23 of 40	3 of 4	1 of 2
3	Charles Rosa	14 of 62	22%	6 of 48	6 of 11	2 of 3	10 of 56	3 of 5	1 of 1

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Nathaniel Wood

Angelo picks Nathaniel Wood, citing his superior striking and takedown defense. He notes Wood's 75% takedown defense and high volume of strikes, while Charles Rosa is a BJJ specialist who struggles when taken down. He mentions the Casey Kenny loss as a concern but still believes Wood gets it done and will be a parlay piece.

likely parlay piece

"i still think wood gets it done and he is likely a parlay piece so nathaniel wood probably going to be the first leg of one of my parlays"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Nathaniel Wood

Big Brady picks Nathaniel Wood to win by decision. He notes Wood is moving up in weight but has a massive speed and volume advantage on the feet. Rosa's path to victory is a submission off his back, but Wood has good takedown defense. Rosa is tough to finish, so Wood wins a decision.

Wood by decision

"give me nathaniel wood nathaniel wood to win by a decision here"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Nathaniel Wood

Cody picks Nathaniel Wood, noting he can win wherever the fight goes. He highlights Wood's superior boxing, volume, and footwork. Cody thinks Rosa's only chance is a fluke submission, but Wood's takedown defense and submission defense are solid. He also likes Wood over 75.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Wood over 75.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks

"i think nathaniel wood can win the fight however he wants"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Nathaniel Wood

Daniel Levi picks Nathaniel Wood, citing a massive speed advantage and excellent leg kicks. He notes that Charles Rosa is slow, hittable, and easy to take down. Levi warns that Wood should avoid getting caught in a submission or cut, but overall sees this as a good introductory fight for Wood at featherweight.

"i think he's got a massive speed advantage here he's got some of the best leg kicks abandoned weight now he's moving up to featherweight"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Nathaniel Wood

Wood is the better striker and should touch Rosa up from the outside. Rosa is durable and has good submission defense, but Wood can win a decision. The move up to 145 is a concern, but Rosa isn't a grappler who will exploit the size gap. Wood glides to a decision.

"wood will be the pick"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Nathaniel Wood

Paul picks Nathaniel Wood, stating he should cruise. He notes Rosa flops to his back and Wood can box him up. Paul thinks Wood's volume and striking are superior. He also likes Wood over 75.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Wood over 75.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks

"nathaniel wood should absolutely cruise here"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Nathaniel Wood

The MMA Guru confidently picks Nathaniel Wood to win by TKO in the second round. He praises Wood's takedown defense, leg kicks, and speed. Charles Rosa is 35 and hasn't looked good recently. Wood will chop at the legs, stuff takedowns, and eventually brutalize Rosa for a TKO finish.

second round TKO

"i'm gonna go with nathaniel wood getting this one done and i think he gets it done by tko in the second round"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs T.J. Brown

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
T.J. Brown	0	58 of 99	58%	88 of 141	6 of 8	75%	3	2	7:39
Charles Rosa	0	46 of 107	42%	71 of 132	0 of 0	---	1	1	2:42

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	T.J. Brown	35 of 67	52%	38 of 70	3 of 4	75%	1	0	1:36
1	Charles Rosa	34 of 73	46%	39 of 78	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:07
2	T.J. Brown	16 of 23	69%	29 of 43	1 of 1	100%	2	2	3:34
2	Charles Rosa	9 of 24	37%	24 of 39	0 of 0	---	1	1	0:26
3	T.J. Brown	7 of 9	77%	21 of 28	2 of 3	66%	0	0	2:29
3	Charles Rosa	3 of 10	30%	8 of 15	0 of 0	---	0	0	2:09

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
T.J. Brown	58 of 99	58%	46 of 85	10 of 12	2 of 2	49 of 87	2 of 5	7 of 7
Charles Rosa	46 of 107	42%	21 of 76	5 of 10	20 of 21	42 of 99	1 of 2	3 of 6

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	T.J. Brown	35 of 67	52%	26 of 56	8 of 10	1 of 1	31 of 60	2 of 5	2 of 2
1	Charles Rosa	34 of 73	46%	14 of 49	5 of 9	15 of 15	34 of 72	0 of 1	0 of 0
2	T.J. Brown	16 of 23	69%	14 of 21	2 of 2	0 of 0	13 of 20	0 of 0	3 of 3
2	Charles Rosa	9 of 24	37%	4 of 17	0 of 1	5 of 6	7 of 21	0 of 0	2 of 3
3	T.J. Brown	7 of 9	77%	6 of 8	0 of 0	1 of 1	5 of 7	0 of 0	2 of 2
3	Charles Rosa	3 of 10	30%	3 of 10	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 6	1 of 1	1 of 3

Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)

T.J. Brown

Big Brady questions T.J. Brown's fight IQ, recalling his poor game plan against Danny Chavez. However, he notes Brown's striking improvements and training at Glory MMA with Bryce Mitchell. He thinks Brown can win if he mixes in takedowns against Benitez's 56% takedown defense, but he cannot trust Brown enough to bet him. He picks Brown as a dog pick but is not confident.

"give me tj brown as far as a dog pick"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)

T.J. Brown

Cody leans toward Brown, citing the blueprint of taking Rosa down and holding him there. He notes Brown's wrestling should be effective. However, he is wary of Brown's low fight IQ and the short notice change. He calls -280 too risky for parlays.

"laying minus 280 on t.j brown it's too much risky risky risky biz man"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)

T.J. Brown

Daniel Levi picks T.J. Brown, though he is uncomfortable laying -250. He notes that Brown is better than he has shown, but his chin is questionable and he gets dropped often. However, Levi believes Brown will outwork Charles Rosa, who is on short notice and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Brown's physicality and wrestling will be key, and that Rosa's best days are behind him. Levi expects Brown to win, possibly by finish.

possible finish

"i still am picking him to win this fight"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)

The host picks Gabriel Benitez, praising his southpaw striking, body kicks, and leg kicks. He expects Benitez to use his technical striking to outwork T.J. Brown, who is more chaotic and less technical. The host notes Brown's power and BJJ but believes Benitez's cardio and striking accuracy will secure a decision. He compares the matchup to Brown's loss to Danny Chavez, where leg kicks were effective.

"i'm gonna go with gabrielle benitez and i'll take him to win this fight via decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Paul leans toward Rosa as a dog, citing his win-loss streak pattern and submission threat. He notes Rosa's takedown defense is poor but Brown's fight IQ is low. He expects Rosa might catch Brown in a submission. He advises waiting for weigh-ins and possibly better odds.

Rosa by submission (if prop becomes available)

"i think it's dog or pass here a hundred percent"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Charles Rosa (Gabriel Benitez) to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Benitez has devastating kicks, especially calf kicks, which will slow Brown down early. Brown has shown problems with kicks in the past (e.g., against Danny Chavez). He expects Benitez to chop at the legs and body, then clip Brown with a big shot when Brown tries to make something happen. He predicts a first-round TKO, with Brown getting dropped with no base.

"i'm gonna trust gabriel benitez to get this one done i think he's just that next step up in competition"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Damon Jackson

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · Oct 09, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Damon Jackson	0	34 of 87	39%	116 of 181	2 of 3	66%	0	1	1:18
Charles Rosa	0	41 of 87	47%	53 of 101	6 of 12	50%	2	3	10:24

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Damon Jackson	22 of 61	36%	30 of 70	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00
1	Charles Rosa	19 of 47	40%	24 of 53	1 of 3	33%	0	0	2:41
2	Damon Jackson	8 of 22	36%	27 of 46	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:06
2	Charles Rosa	19 of 37	51%	26 of 45	4 of 8	50%	1	1	4:05
3	Damon Jackson	4 of 4	100%	59 of 65	1 of 2	50%	0	1	1:12
3	Charles Rosa	3 of 3	100%	3 of 3	1 of 1	100%	1	2	3:38

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Damon Jackson	34 of 87	39%	17 of 66	4 of 8	13 of 13	26 of 76	5 of 8	3 of 3
Charles Rosa	41 of 87	47%	33 of 77	6 of 8	2 of 2	20 of 58	3 of 3	18 of 26

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Damon Jackson	22 of 61	36%	8 of 46	4 of 5	10 of 10	18 of 55	4 of 6	0 of 0
1	Charles Rosa	19 of 47	40%	15 of 42	3 of 4	1 of 1	9 of 37	3 of 3	7 of 7
2	Damon Jackson	8 of 22	36%	5 of 16	0 of 3	3 of 3	7 of 20	1 of 2	0 of 0
2	Charles Rosa	19 of 37	51%	15 of 32	3 of 4	1 of 1	10 of 20	0 of 0	9 of 17
3	Damon Jackson	4 of 4	100%	4 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 1	0 of 0	3 of 3
3	Charles Rosa	3 of 3	100%	3 of 3	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 1	0 of 0	2 of 2

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Damon Jackson

Angelo picks Damon Jackson despite stats favoring Charles Rosa. He likes Jackson's will, determination, and willingness to scrap. He thinks Jackson's fight IQ and grappling can survive Rosa's jiu-jitsu, and his striking could catch Rosa. He also placed a bet on Charles Rosa inside the distance decision no action at plus 125 as a Hail Mary submission play.

Charles Rosa inside the distance decision no action at +125 (0.5 units)

"I did um Charles Rosa inside the distance decision no action. So, Charles Rosa can pull off a submission, I'll get paid. If Charles Rosa loses, a could be a murdering of a decision or even wins a decision, I …"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 5, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Damon Jackson

Big Brady picks Damon Jackson, citing Charles Rosa's poor takedown defense and inability to get up. He references Rosa's fights against Bryce Mitchell and Derrick Minor, where they controlled him with takedowns. Brady believes Jackson can implement a similar game plan, taking Rosa down and controlling him for a decision. He notes he would not bet the line at -180/-190, but thinks Jackson can win comfortably via decision.

win by decision

"give me damage jackson to win by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Cody picks the underdog Rosa, arguing that Jackson's striking is not elite and Rosa's BJJ and counter-striking could be effective. He notes Rosa's durability and ability to win close fights. He believes the line is too wide and Rosa has a live path to victory via decision or submission.

"i'm gonna go with the underdog charles rosa"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Daniel Levi leans toward Charles Rosa as a dog because he views the fight as a 'dog or pass' situation. He notes Rosa's ability to survive submissions and make fights close, but acknowledges his tendency to spend too much time on his back. He expects a close, possibly controversial split decision win for Rosa.

split decision

"i'm gonna lean with charles rosa via close maybe controversial split decision"

Half the Battle

Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Damon Jackson

Jacob leans towards Damon Jackson but is intrigued by Charles Rosa as an underdog at plus 145. He thinks Rosa's grappling is next-level and could cause problems. He expects a close fight and sees Rosa as an interesting underdog play. He would pick Jackson but might bet Rosa.

Charles Rosa at +145 (possible bet)

"I'm kind of leaning towards Rosa for a betting at 145 cuz I think it's a pretty close fight. But if I were to pick, it would probably be Jackson."

We Want Picks

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Damon Jackson

The host picks Damon Jackson, citing his superior grappling and pressure. He notes Jackson's excellent cardio and ability to control opponents, while Rosa has good submission defense but may be outgrappled. He predicts a decision win for Jackson, which would be only the second decision of Jackson's career, due to Rosa's durability.

"I do like damon jackson in this fight i do think he has great cardio i do think he has the better jits"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Damon Jackson

Paul picks Jackson, citing his better striking and pressure. He notes Rosa's tendency to flop to his back and lack of a striking game plan. He believes Jackson can win on the feet and avoid Rosa's submission threats, though he admits it's not a high-confidence pick.

"damon jackson is the pick"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 5, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Damon Jackson

The MMA Guru picks Damon Jackson to win by unanimous decision. He trusts Jackson's defensive grappling and guillotine threats to keep the fight standing, where Jackson has a significant advantage in striking and reach. He dismisses Rosa's striking as poor.

Jackson by unanimous decision

"i'm gonna go with uh damon jackson here over charles roser... i feel like damon jackson wins this one on the feet and i think he wins it by a very lackluster unanimous decision win"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Justin Jaynes

Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Jun 26, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Charles Rosa	0	51 of 182	28%	114 of 258	2 of 2	100%	2	1	3:37
Justin Jaynes	0	44 of 92	47%	51 of 101	2 of 2	100%	2	3	2:53

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Charles Rosa	35 of 119	29%	36 of 121	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:27
1	Justin Jaynes	19 of 41	46%	19 of 41	0 of 0	---	0	1	0:05
2	Charles Rosa	3 of 15	20%	57 of 78	0 of 0	---	1	1	1:21
2	Justin Jaynes	6 of 12	50%	10 of 17	1 of 1	100%	0	2	1:16
3	Charles Rosa	13 of 48	27%	21 of 59	1 of 1	100%	1	0	1:49
3	Justin Jaynes	19 of 39	48%	22 of 43	1 of 1	100%	2	0	1:32

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Charles Rosa	51 of 182	28%	33 of 156	8 of 15	10 of 11	47 of 173	0 of 0	4 of 9
Justin Jaynes	44 of 92	47%	32 of 79	9 of 9	3 of 4	42 of 89	2 of 2	0 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Charles Rosa	35 of 119	29%	22 of 101	5 of 9	8 of 9	34 of 116	0 of 0	1 of 3
1	Justin Jaynes	19 of 41	46%	13 of 34	3 of 3	3 of 4	19 of 41	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Charles Rosa	3 of 15	20%	1 of 12	0 of 1	2 of 2	2 of 13	0 of 0	1 of 2
2	Justin Jaynes	6 of 12	50%	5 of 11	1 of 1	0 of 0	5 of 10	1 of 1	0 of 1
3	Charles Rosa	13 of 48	27%	10 of 43	3 of 5	0 of 0	11 of 44	0 of 0	2 of 4
3	Justin Jaynes	19 of 39	48%	14 of 34	5 of 5	0 of 0	18 of 38	1 of 1	0 of 0

Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Angelo picks Charles Rosa, believing Rosa's jiu-jitsu is fantastic and that he can avoid Jaynes's early storm and take over in later rounds. He notes that Jaynes is not Derrick Minner and that styles make fights. However, he admits he is not confident enough to place a bet on it.

"i think charles rose has the pick here at least for me uh i don't have a bet on it i'm not that confident but i do think charles rose wins this fight"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Big Brady picks Charles Rosa to win by third round submission, citing Jaynes's poor cardio and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Rosa's durability (only one KO loss) and well-rounded skills, while Jaynes is a one-round fighter with 33% takedown defense. He expects Rosa to weather the early storm and take over as Jaynes gasses.

by submission, third round

"i'm going to take charles rosa to win by third round submission"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Cody picks Rosa, noting that Jaynes has zero takedown accuracy and is a brawler who fades. Rosa's takedown defense is a liability, but Jaynes doesn't wrestle. Rosa's striking and cardio should allow him to outwork Jaynes. Cody thinks Rosa is untrustworthy but the style matchup favors him. He notes Rosa is coming off a loss, which historically makes him more reliable.

"i gotta make the play on a few of them and i think that styles make fights i've always said that this is this is a style clash that would favor him for a change"

Bookie Beatdown

Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Jacob picks Charles Rosa by submission or decision, noting that Rosa always gets submissions or loses decisions. He thinks Jaynes will try to wrestle, which will be a mistake, and Rosa will find a submission. Jacob is not confident enough to put Rosa in his lineup at 8600 but believes Rosa wins.

"yeah so i have charles rosa listed as submission or decision because it seems like he always gets submissions or he loses decisions"

We Want Picks

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 24, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Rosa is my lock of the night. Jaynes is not UFC caliber and has no defense. Rosa has durability, striking technique, and can take Jaynes down. He should invest in body shots early to slow Jaynes down, then find a submission in the second round. Rosa's only kryptonite is being ground out, but Jaynes can't do that. Rosa should be a much bigger favorite.

Rosa by submission plus 210; Rosa inside the distance plus 145; under 2.5 rounds minus 125

"Charles rosa is actually my locker then i played for this week... I truly believe that justin james is not a ufc caliber fighter"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Paul picks Rosa but lost trust after his loss to Minor. He notes Rosa's pattern of alternating wins and losses. He thinks Rosa should stick to grappling and avoid brawling. He acknowledges Jaynes' power but thinks Rosa's experience and durability will carry him.

"i'll pick charles rosa but uh losing against men or he uh he lost my trust"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2021 (5 days before fight)

Justin Jaynes

The MMA Guru picks Justin Jaynes as a big upset, citing his ferocity and early-round finishing ability. He criticizes Charles Rosa's striking defense and believes Jaynes will expose those holes, predicting a first-round KO. He notes Rosa's decline after his Shane Burgos fight and considers Jaynes the fresher fighter at 31.

first round KO

"i think he's gonna crack charles rosa on the chin and i'm gonna go with justin james with a big upset"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Darrick Minner

Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Darrick Minner	0	15 of 25	60%	40 of 51	0 of 1	0%	2	0	0:00
Charles Rosa	1	45 of 60	75%	96 of 117	4 of 5	80%	3	0	12:34

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Darrick Minner	0	6 of 11	54%	11 of 17	0 of 0	---	1	0:00
1	Charles Rosa	0	23 of 35	65%	49 of 66	2 of 3	66%	1	3:03
2	Darrick Minner	0	2 of 4	50%	9 of 11	0 of 0	---	1	0:00
2	Charles Rosa	1	15 of 16	93%	32 of 33	1 of 1	100%	2	4:46
3	Darrick Minner	0	7 of 10	70%	20 of 23	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
3	Charles Rosa	0	7 of 9	77%	15 of 18	1 of 1	100%	0	4:45

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Darrick Minner	15 of 25	60%	9 of 17	4 of 4	2 of 4	8 of 17	0 of 0	7 of 8
Charles Rosa	45 of 60	75%	35 of 49	5 of 5	5 of 6	21 of 31	5 of 7	19 of 22

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Darrick Minner	6 of 11	54%	1 of 4	3 of 3	2 of 4	6 of 11	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Charles Rosa	23 of 35	65%	18 of 29	2 of 2	3 of 4	10 of 17	4 of 6	9 of 12
2	Darrick Minner	2 of 4	50%	1 of 3	1 of 1	0 of 0	2 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Charles Rosa	15 of 16	93%	12 of 13	2 of 2	1 of 1	6 of 7	1 of 1	8 of 8
3	Darrick Minner	7 of 10	70%	7 of 10	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 2	0 of 0	7 of 8
3	Charles Rosa	7 of 9	77%	5 of 7	1 of 1	1 of 1	5 of 7	0 of 0	2 of 2

Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Charles Rosa

Daniel Levi respects Darrick Minner's 20 first-round submissions and his ability to finish quickly, but notes Charles Rosa has never been submitted and survived deep submission attempts against Yair Rodriguez and Bryce Mitchell. Levi thinks if Minner doesn't get the finish in the first round, Rosa's work rate and kicks will overwhelm Minner in the later rounds. He is hesitant to lay the -200 chalk on Rosa but sees more paths to victory for him.

"if it hits the score cards i think 29 28 rosa if it's a late finish i think rosa if it's an early finish winner so more paths for rosa so i'll take rosa here but i would be a …"

Half the Battle

WIN vs Kevin Aguilar

Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Eye vs. Calvillo · Jun 13, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Charles Rosa	0	69 of 173	39%	69 of 173	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00
Kevin Aguilar	0	53 of 135	39%	53 of 135	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:04

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Charles Rosa	20 of 56	35%	20 of 56	0 of 1	0%	0:00
1	Kevin Aguilar	14 of 37	37%	14 of 37	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Charles Rosa	22 of 50	44%	22 of 50	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Kevin Aguilar	17 of 39	43%	17 of 39	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Charles Rosa	27 of 67	40%	27 of 67	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Kevin Aguilar	22 of 59	37%	22 of 59	0 of 2	0%	0:04

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Charles Rosa	69 of 173	39%	33 of 119	15 of 26	21 of 28	69 of 173	0 of 0	0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar	53 of 135	39%	34 of 109	17 of 22	2 of 4	50 of 130	3 of 5	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Charles Rosa	20 of 56	35%	5 of 34	5 of 9	10 of 13	20 of 56	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Kevin Aguilar	14 of 37	37%	10 of 29	4 of 7	0 of 1	11 of 32	3 of 5	0 of 0
2	Charles Rosa	22 of 50	44%	10 of 30	6 of 11	6 of 9	22 of 50	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Kevin Aguilar	17 of 39	43%	11 of 31	5 of 6	1 of 2	17 of 39	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Charles Rosa	27 of 67	40%	18 of 55	4 of 6	5 of 6	27 of 67	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Kevin Aguilar	22 of 59	37%	13 of 49	8 of 9	1 of 1	22 of 59	0 of 0	0 of 0

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2020 (5 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Charles Rosa, noting that he shouldn't be judged by his loss to Bryce Mitchell. He highlights Rosa's jiu-jitsu and striking, recalling that Rosa out-struck Shane Burgos in their fight. He believes Rosa will finish Aguilar by head kick, as Aguilar is coming off a KO loss and a short turnaround.

Rosa wins by KO (head kick)

"Charles Rosa was beating shame Burgos on the feet. He's a jujitsu guy, he was clearly out striking Shane Burgos."

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Bryce Mitchell

Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–24) R3 5:00 · UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · May 09, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Bryce Mitchell	0	40 of 49	81%	60 of 74	3 of 3	100%	5	0	12:51
Charles Rosa	0	5 of 10	50%	12 of 17	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Bryce Mitchell	11 of 13	84%	12 of 14	1 of 1	100%	3	3:22
1	Charles Rosa	1 of 1	100%	2 of 2	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
2	Bryce Mitchell	17 of 21	80%	28 of 32	1 of 1	100%	2	4:37
2	Charles Rosa	3 of 4	75%	4 of 5	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
3	Bryce Mitchell	12 of 15	80%	20 of 28	1 of 1	100%	0	4:52
3	Charles Rosa	1 of 5	20%	6 of 10	0 of 0	---	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Bryce Mitchell	40 of 49	81%	27 of 36	13 of 13	0 of 0	0 of 3	0 of 0	40 of 46
Charles Rosa	5 of 10	50%	2 of 7	1 of 1	2 of 2	4 of 8	0 of 0	1 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Bryce Mitchell	11 of 13	84%	8 of 10	3 of 3	0 of 0	0 of 1	0 of 0	11 of 12
1	Charles Rosa	1 of 1	100%	1 of 1	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 1
2	Bryce Mitchell	17 of 21	80%	12 of 16	5 of 5	0 of 0	0 of 1	0 of 0	17 of 20
2	Charles Rosa	3 of 4	75%	0 of 1	1 of 1	2 of 2	3 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Bryce Mitchell	12 of 15	80%	7 of 10	5 of 5	0 of 0	0 of 1	0 of 0	12 of 14
3	Charles Rosa	1 of 5	20%	1 of 5	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 1

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Charles Rosa vs. Bryce Mitchell

Round 1
Dropping down to the featherweight division, we are treated to a matchup between two solid prospects in American Top Team’s Rosa (12-3, 3-3 UFC) and the undefeated Mitchell (12-0, 3-0 UFC). Our referee for this bout is Keith Peterson, and uncharacteristically he is allowing some nonsense by not wearing a mask. The two elect not to touch gloves to kick off their match, and Mitchell immediately stalks Rosa down against the fence. Rosa tries to keep away and throw kicks, but Mitchell is unconcerned and hits a quick single leg takedown. Mitchell ties up the legs to keep Rosa grounded, and Mitchell circles around to take the back. Rosa spins out but is immediately is in the danger zone. Mitchell sets up an arm-triangle choke, and Rosa’s head is changing colors rapidly and thinks about tapping. Rosa continues to flail and almost taps again, but somehow manages to pull his head free. Mitchell is on him like glue, taking the back before hunting for an arm-triangle choke again. Rosa throws his legs up to hunt for an inverted triangle choke, and Mitchell is unconcerned as he spins free. The ensuing exchange miraculously leads to Mitchell setting up a twister, and the commentary booth is losing it. Rosa struggles, turns and tries to survive, and manages to get out for a moment, only to give it up again. In an impressive showing of submission defense, Rosa pulls his body out but surrenders another arm-triangle choke. This time, it’s tight, and Mitchell squeezes with all he has. Rosa’s head turns red quickly once more, but he powers free and remains on his back. Mitchell tries to set up one last submission, but the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Mitchell
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Mitchell
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Mitchell

Round 2
Rosa opens the round with a few head kicks, and keep Mitchell at bay for a few seconds. “Thug Nasty” gathers his thoughts and shoots in for a takedown, and immediately passes guard and takes three-quarter mount. Rosa is unable to get any offense going as Mitchell nullifies him, and gives up mount as Mitchell tries to set up another arm-triangle. While Mitchell continues to style on Rosa, the commentary booth ponders the true location of Fight Island -- none of them know. Mitchell drops down a few heavy elbows and punches on top, and Rosa uses that aggression against his opponent to pull for a leglock. Mitchell practically ignores it, before stepping back to mount. He steps over to get an arm-triangle choke, and Rosa stays calm and defends it well enough before Mitchell bails to return to mount. Rosa turns over, and Mitchell thinks about taking his back before setting up another twister. This is unquestionably the record for the most twister attempts in a UFC fight before, and this time it’s tight as a drum. Unfortunately for Mitchell, the horn sounds before he can get the tap, but this is all one-way traffic from “Thug Nasty.”

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Mitchell
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Mitchell
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-8 Mitchell

Round 3
Within 15 seconds, Mitchell dives into a takedown and incredibly sets up another twister. Rosa locks his arm up to hold on tight, but Mitchell pulls on the right arm of Rosa to twist him the other direction. Rosa pushes with all his might to get free, and while he gets out of the bad situation, he is still grounded. “Boston Strong” tries to set up a guillotine off his back, and Mitchell thinks about going after a Von Preux choke until thinking about the arm-triangle choke again. The unbeaten fighter chains submission together one after the other, and props to Rosa for surviving, but it is total domination. Rosa gives up his back, defends a choke and rolls back over. Ever vigilant, Mitchell returns to mount before hunting for the arm-triangle once more. Rosa is cursing out Mitchell for “laying on me” but is not showing the defense to get out of harm’s way. Mitchell takes a high mount and thinks about blasting him with a few shots on top, but Rosa rolls out just in time. Mitchell hops out, turns around and dives back in to secure top position. Mitchell rolls through a crucifix, hammers down a few elbows, takes top position with Rosa’s feet trying to kick off the cage. He successfully does so with seconds to spare, but he is spent -- Mitchell crashes forward to strike him and clinch up, but the round, and fight, is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Mitchell (30-24 Mitchell)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Mitchell (30-25 Mitchell)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-8 Mitchell (30-25 Mitchell)

The Official Result
Bryce Mitchell def. Charles Rosa via Unanimous Decision (30-25, 30-25, 30-24)

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2020 (9 days before fight)

Bryce Mitchell

Big Brady picks Bryce Mitchell, citing his youth, size, and overall superiority on the ground and feet. He downplays Rosa's submission win over Manny Bermudez, calling Bermudez a fraud. He thinks the line at minus 175 is a bit wide and sees little value but still expects Mitchell to win.

Mitchell minus 175; line is a little wide

"I actually like Bryce Mitchell quite a bit here. Uh he's the younger fighter. He's the bigger fighter. I think he's really going to give problems to Rosa um on the ground and on the feet."

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 5, 2020 (4 days before fight)

Bryce Mitchell

Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Bryce Mitchell, citing his athleticism and youth. He notes that Mitchell has holes in his game and may fatigue, but Rosa is a finished product who isn't getting better. Levi thinks Mitchell can get the job done by being younger and fresher, possibly with a late finish.

Mitchell by late finish

"I'll slightly lean with Bryce Mitchell because of the athleticism the youth and things among those lines but it would not surprise me at all if Rosa came out here and got the upset"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 6, 2020 (3 days before fight)

Charles Rosa

Matt initially considered Mitchell as a lock but after tape review, he favors Rosa as a live dog. He highlights Rosa's leg kicks, offensive guard, and ability to keep the fight standing, while questioning Mitchell's striking development and the impact of training camps during the pandemic. He picks Rosa by decision.

"I think that Charles Rosa definitely is a live dog... I'm going to say Charles Rosa by decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

WIN vs Manny Bermudez

Verbal Submission (armbar) R1 2:46 · UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Weidman · Oct 18, 2019

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Charles Rosa	0	6 of 8	75%	8 of 11	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00
Manny Bermudez	0	27 of 38	71%	37 of 49	1 of 1	100%	0	0	2:17

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Charles Rosa	0	6 of 8	75%	8 of 11	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00
1	Manny Bermudez	0	27 of 38	71%	37 of 49	1 of 1	100%	0	0	2:17

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Charles Rosa	6 of 8	75%	1 of 3	2 of 2	3 of 3	6 of 8	0 of 0	0 of 0
Manny Bermudez	27 of 38	71%	25 of 36	2 of 2	0 of 0	1 of 5	0 of 1	26 of 32

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Charles Rosa	6 of 8	75%	1 of 3	2 of 2	3 of 3	6 of 8	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Manny Bermudez	27 of 38	71%	25 of 36	2 of 2	0 of 0	1 of 5	0 of 1	26 of 32

View all 13 fights

Shane Burgos

Charles Rosa

Career Averages - Shane Burgos

Career Averages - Charles Rosa

Shane Burgos - Fight History

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Charles Rosa - Fight History

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