Fight card

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis

February 20, 2021 UFC Apex Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Derrick Lewis

Derrick Lewis W

29-13
KO (punch) R2 1:26
Fight 1 VS Heavyweight Completed

Derrick Lewis

Moneyline
DraftKings +320
KO/TKO
BetWay +500
Submission
BetWay +1400
Decision
BetWay +1200

Curtis Blaydes

Moneyline
FanDuel -390
KO/TKO
BetWay -138
Submission
BetWay +900
Decision
BetWay +275
Fighter Stats

Derrick Lewis

Age41
Height6' 3"
Reach79.0"
Weight260 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Curtis Blaydes

Age35
Height6' 4"
Reach80.0"
Weight265 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Derrick Lewis

2.46SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
2.57SApM
39.0%Str. Def.
0.55TD Avg
26.0%TD Acc.
52.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Curtis Blaydes

3.56SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
2.0SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
5.38TD Avg
48.0%TD Acc.
31.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

Daniel Levi acknowledges Derrick Lewis's knockout power and improved get-up game, but believes Curtis Blaydes will stick to his game plan of relentless takedowns. He notes Blaydes' ability to chain takedowns even when tired, as seen against Volkov. Levi expects Blaydes to grind out a decision or possibly a late ground-and-pound stoppage, calling it a horrendous stylistic matchup for Lewis.

"I got to go with curtis blades here man yeah grinding this one out whether it's a decision whether it's a ground and pound tko just stylistically this is a horrendous matchup for derrick lewis"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

YA

Yana Kunitskaya W

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 2 VS Catchweight (138 lb) Completed

Yana Kunitskaya

Moneyline
FanDuel +245
KO/TKO
BetWay +1000
Submission
BetWay +1400
Decision
BetWay +320

Ketlen Vieira

Moneyline
BetWay -275
KO/TKO
BetWay +650
Submission
BetWay +400
Decision
BetWay -118
Fighter Stats

Yana Kunitskaya

Age36
Height5' 6"
Reach68"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ketlen Vieira

Age34
Height5' 8"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Yana Kunitskaya

4.41SLpM
57.0%Str. Acc.
3.12SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.78TD Avg
47.0%TD Acc.
51.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ketlen Vieira

2.76SLpM
40.0%Str. Acc.
3.75SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
1.33TD Avg
44.0%TD Acc.
90.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Daniel Levi highlights Ketlen Vieira's black belts in jiu-jitsu and judo, and her ability to trip and control opponents on the ground. He notes Yana Kunitskaya's chin issues, recalling she was dropped by Aspen Ladd and had her face bloodied against Miranda. Levi believes Vieira is the better fighter across the board and expects her to win by decision or submission, though he acknowledges Kunitskaya can score points on the feet.

"I'm going with caitlyn vieira to win this fight bottom line either decision or submission"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Darrick Minner

Darrick Minner W

26-14
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 29–27) R3 5:00
Fight 3 VS Featherweight Completed

Darrick Minner

Moneyline
FanDuel +168
KO/TKO
BetWay +1000
Submission
BetWay +350
Decision
BetWay +400

Charles Rosa

Moneyline
BetWay -188
KO/TKO
BetWay +700
Submission
BetWay +130
Decision
BetWay +400
Fighter Stats

Darrick Minner

Age36
Height5' 7"
Reach69.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Charles Rosa

Age39
Height5' 9"
Reach69.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Career Averages - Darrick Minner

2.63SLpM
65.0%Str. Acc.
2.28SApM
35.0%Str. Def.
2.4TD Avg
72.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
2.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Charles Rosa

3.08SLpM
36.0%Str. Acc.
3.86SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
1.67TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
38.0%TD Def.
1.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Charles Rosa

Daniel Levi respects Darrick Minner's 20 first-round submissions and his ability to finish quickly, but notes Charles Rosa has never been submitted and survived deep submission attempts against Yair Rodriguez and Bryce Mitchell. Levi thinks if Minner doesn't get the finish in the first round, Rosa's work rate and kicks will overwhelm Minner in the later rounds. He is hesitant to lay the -200 chalk on Rosa but sees more paths to victory for him.

"if it hits the score cards i think 29 28 rosa if it's a late finish i think rosa if it's an early finish winner so more paths for rosa so i'll take rosa here but i would …"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Chris Daukaus

Chris Daukaus W

12-7
TKO (punches) R1 1:55
Fight 4 VS Heavyweight Completed

Chris Daukaus

Moneyline
DraftKings -190
KO/TKO
BetWay -125
Submission
BetWay +2000
Decision
BetWay +600

Aleksei Oleinik

Moneyline
FanDuel +162
KO/TKO
BetWay +1000
Submission
BetWay +225
Decision
BetWay +700
Fighter Stats

Chris Daukaus

Age36
Height6' 3"
Reach76.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Aleksei Oleinik

Age48
Height6' 2"
Reach80.0"
Weight240 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Chris Daukaus

6.05SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
4.64SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Aleksei Oleinik

3.29SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
3.8SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
1.82TD Avg
46.0%TD Acc.
37.0%TD Def.
1.9Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Daniel Levi is impressed with Chris Daukaus's hand speed and accuracy, noting his quick knockouts of Parker Porter and Nascimento. He believes Daukaus only needs 20-30 seconds of pocket exchanges to knock out Oleinik, who is a liability standing. Levi acknowledges Oleinik's 45 submission wins but thinks Daukaus has the grappling skills to avoid submissions and keep the fight standing. He expects a first-round knockout and sees Daukaus as a rising heavyweight prospect.

first round knockout
"i'm going with chris dyches by first round starching of alexia olynyk getting into that top ten"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Phil Hawes

Phil Hawes W

12-6
Decision (majority) (28–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 5 VS Middleweight Completed

Phil Hawes

Moneyline
BetWay -125
KO/TKO
BetWay +120
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +600

Nassourdine Imavov

Moneyline
FanDuel +110
KO/TKO
BetWay +400
Submission
BetWay +500
Decision
BetWay +350
Fighter Stats

Phil Hawes

Age37
Height6' 0"
Reach77.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Nassourdine Imavov

Age30
Height6' 3"
Reach75.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Phil Hawes

5.33SLpM
59.0%Str. Acc.
3.72SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
2.11TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
90.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Nassourdine Imavov

4.28SLpM
54.0%Str. Acc.
3.17SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
0.74TD Avg
32.0%TD Acc.
81.0%TD Def.
1.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Phil Hawes

Daniel Levi argues that Phil Hawes's early career was mismanaged, being thrown in with tough opponents too soon, but now he has matured and learned to pace himself. He highlights Hawes's D1 wrestling, one-punch knockout power, and improved defense. Levi believes Hawes will be too physical and explosive for Imavov, who fights with his hands down. He predicts a first-round knockout, noting that Imavov was pushed around by the smaller Jordan Williams.

first round knockout
"i'm going phil has to be a first round knockout"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Tom Aspinall

Tom Aspinall W

15-3
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:09
Fight 6 VS Heavyweight Completed

Tom Aspinall

Moneyline
BetWay -250
KO/TKO
BetWay -125
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +350

Andrei Arlovski

Moneyline
FanDuel +260
KO/TKO
BetWay +900
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay +300
Fighter Stats

Tom Aspinall

Age33
Height6' 5"
Reach78.0"
Weight256 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Andrei Arlovski

Age47
Height6' 3"
Reach77.0"
Weight240 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Tom Aspinall

7.63SLpM
67.0%Str. Acc.
3.62SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
2.62TD Avg
80.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
1.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Andrei Arlovski

3.82SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
3.22SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.37TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
76.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tom Aspinall

Daniel Levi dismisses the narrative that Aspinall gasses after the first round, noting his only real loss was a heel hook in 2015 and a DQ due to an illegal elbow. He praises Aspinall's physical traits: 6'5", 265 lbs, 78-inch reach, and straight punches down the pipe. Levi believes Aspinall's sparring with Tyson Fury and training at Team Cowboy have elevated his game. He expects Aspinall to knock out Arlovski in the first round, comparing it to when Jairzinho Rozenstruik knocked out Arlovski.

first round knockout
"i think he knocks out andre arlovski in the first round saturday night"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Jared Gordon

Jared Gordon W

21-9
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 7 VS Catchweight (150 lb) Completed

Jared Gordon

Moneyline
FanDuel +108
KO/TKO
BetWay +1200
Submission
BetWay +700
Decision
BetWay +175

Danny Chavez

Moneyline
DraftKings -124
KO/TKO
BetWay +225
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay +240
Fighter Stats

Jared Gordon

Age37
Height5' 9"
Reach68.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Danny Chavez

Age39
Height5' 8"
Reach67.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Jared Gordon

5.64SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
4.14SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.78TD Avg
32.0%TD Acc.
60.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Danny Chavez

2.86SLpM
38.0%Str. Acc.
3.83SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
1.95TD Avg
60.0%TD Acc.
87.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

Daniel Levi acknowledges Danny Chavez's impressive debut and explosive calf kicks, but worries about Chavez's pace and whether he can maintain it. He thinks if Jared Gordon can survive the first round without taking fight-changing damage, his pressure and takedowns can wear down Chavez in the later rounds. Levi notes Gordon's experience against top competition and believes he is being disrespected. He picks Gordon to win a gritty decision, but admits he might be wrong and Chavez could knock him out.

"i'mma go with jared gordon to win a very gritty decision here uh down the stretch"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

John Castañeda

John Castañeda W

21-8-1
TKO (punches) R1 4:44
Fight 8 VS Bantamweight Completed

John Castañeda

Moneyline
FanDuel -120
KO/TKO
BetWay +500
Submission
BetWay +700
Decision
BetWay +163

Eddie Wineland

Moneyline
FanDuel +102
KO/TKO
BetWay +500
Submission
BetWay +600
Decision
BetWay +240
Fighter Stats

John Castañeda

Age34
Height5' 6"
Reach71"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Eddie Wineland

Age41
Height5' 7"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - John Castañeda

4.42SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
4.94SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
1.68TD Avg
37.0%TD Acc.
73.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Eddie Wineland

3.4SLpM
29.0%Str. Acc.
3.76SApM
68.0%Str. Def.
0.34TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
86.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
John Castañeda

Daniel Levi respects Eddie Wineland's career but notes he fights with his hands down and has been knocked out badly in recent fights. He thinks Castañeda, though not overwhelming, can be slightly more active and durable. Levi believes Wineland might be gun-shy coming off the knockout loss to Sean O'Malley. He picks Castañeda to edge a decision, but acknowledges that a prime Wineland would smoke him.

"i'm gonna go with john castaneda here look i know that he's not an overwhelming fighter i know that you know he's not gonna blow anyone away but i think he can just slightly be a little more …"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Julian Erosa

Julian Erosa W

31-14
TKO (flying knee) R1 0:56
Fight 9 VS Featherweight Completed

Julian Erosa

Moneyline
FanDuel +128
KO/TKO
BetWay +450
Submission
BetWay +400
Decision
BetWay +275

Nate Landwehr

Moneyline
DraftKings -124
KO/TKO
BetWay +275
Submission
BetWay +1000
Decision
BetWay +300
Fighter Stats

Julian Erosa

Age36
Height6' 1"
Reach74.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Nate Landwehr

Age37
Height5' 9"
Reach72.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Julian Erosa

6.18SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
6.31SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
1.73TD Avg
43.0%TD Acc.
61.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Nate Landwehr

5.63SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
5.83SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.76TD Avg
41.0%TD Acc.
71.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Daniel Levi praises Nate Landwehr's toughness, iron chin, and ability to survive bad positions, noting his M-1 Global championship run in Russia. He contrasts that with Julian Erosa's durability issues, having been knocked out five times. Levi thinks Landwehr will be more threatened by Erosa's length than he was by Darren Elkins, but still expects Landwehr's durability to be the deciding factor. He sees value in Landwehr at pick'em odds and predicts a win, possibly by decision.

"i'm going nate landwear and i do think that there's some value at the pick and prize shack"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Casey O'Neill

Casey O'Neill W

11-2
TKO (punches) R2 3:41
Fight 10 VS Women's Flyweight Completed

Casey O'Neill

Moneyline
FanDuel -158
KO/TKO
BetWay +800
Submission
BetWay +700
Decision
BetWay +130

Shana Dobson

Moneyline
DraftKings +135
KO/TKO
BetWay +600
Submission
BetWay +900
Decision
BetWay +195
Fighter Stats

Casey O'Neill

Age28
Height5' 6"
Reach69.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Shana Dobson

Age37
Height5' 6"
Reach69.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Casey O'Neill

7.89SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
5.53SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
1.4TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
70.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Shana Dobson

3.34SLpM
37.0%Str. Acc.
5.2SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.84TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
14.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Shana Dobson

Daniel Levi is skeptical of Casey O'Neill's competition level, calling her opponents 'soccer moms' and noting she was knocked out twice in amateur fights. He believes Shana Dobson, despite her poor record, has faced much better competition and has more experience. Levi thinks Dobson's confidence from her last win could carry her, and he sees O'Neill as overhyped. He picks Dobson for the upset, but admits it wouldn't surprise him if O'Neill wins.

"i'm actually going to pick shayna dobson in this one i feel like this is a little bit too good to be true"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Aiemann Zahabi

Aiemann Zahabi W

14-2
KO (punch) R1 3:05
Fight 11 VS Catchweight (140.5 lb) Completed

Aiemann Zahabi

Moneyline
FanDuel +188
KO/TKO
BetWay +750
Submission
BetWay +600
Decision
BetWay +240

Drako Rodriguez

Moneyline
BetWay -188
KO/TKO
BetWay +550
Submission
BetWay +400
Decision
BetWay +150
Fighter Stats

Aiemann Zahabi

Age38
Height5' 8"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Drako Rodriguez

Age29
Height5' 8"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Aiemann Zahabi

4.54SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.08SApM
69.0%Str. Def.
0.12TD Avg
14.0%TD Acc.
83.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Drako Rodriguez

3.37SLpM
36.0%Str. Acc.
4.4SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
2.93TD Avg
66.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Drako Rodriguez

Daniel Levi is low on Aiemann Zahabi, believing he hasn't been the same since a devastating knockout loss to Ricardo Ramos in 2017. He notes Zahabi looked gun-shy against Vince Morales, who he considers low-level. Levi thinks Drako Rodriguez has more fighting spirit and opportunistic finishing ability, though he cautions that Rodriguez is not the second coming of Christ. He picks Rodriguez to win via something opportunistic, but is not confident enough to bet heavily.

"i got to go with draco via something opportunistic but i'm not you know running to the betting window you know all convicted"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Serghei Spivac

Serghei Spivac W

18-6
TKO (punches) R2 4:32
Fight 12 VS Heavyweight Completed

Serghei Spivac

Moneyline
BetWay -250
KO/TKO
BetWay +500
Submission
BetWay +400
Decision
BetWay +150

Jared Vanderaa

Moneyline
FanDuel +215
KO/TKO
BetWay +300
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +900
Fighter Stats

Serghei Spivac

Age31
Height6' 3"
Reach78.0"
Weight260 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Jared Vanderaa

Age34
Height6' 4"
Reach80.0"
Weight265 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Serghei Spivac

3.57SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.23SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
3.82TD Avg
59.0%TD Acc.
63.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Jared Vanderaa

4.96SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
5.67SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
0.18TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
20.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Daniel Levi praises Serghei Spivac's tough competition in the UFC, having faced Walt Harris, Tai Tuivasa, Marcin Tybura, and Carlos Felipe. He believes Vanderaa is the first 'softball' of Spivac's UFC run and expects Spivac to handle him decisively. Levi notes Spivac's versatility, whether by head kick, schoolyard headlock, or grinding out a decision. He is confident in Spivac's skills and training at Extreme Couture.

"i got uh the moldovan sergey spivak to win this fight shaq"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.