UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor · Nov 12, 2016 · Lightweight · Completed
UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 9"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 42
Height 5' 9"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Conor McGregor
5.32 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.66 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.67 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Eddie Alvarez
4.32 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
4.39 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
2.92 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
92.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Conor McGregor - Fight History
SCHED vs Max Holloway
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
LOSS vs Dustin Poirier
TKO (doctor stoppage) R1 5:00 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Poirier 0 36 of 66 54% 36 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:18
Conor McGregor 0 27 of 38 71% 43 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Poirier 0 36 of 66 54% 36 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:18
Conor McGregor 0 27 of 38 71% 43 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Poirier 36 of 66 54% 35 of 62 0 of 2 1 of 2 8 of 20 0 of 0 28 of 46
Conor McGregor 27 of 38 71% 13 of 21 6 of 9 8 of 8 17 of 26 1 of 1 9 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Poirier 36 of 66 54% 35 of 62 0 of 2 1 of 2 8 of 20 0 of 0 28 of 46
Conor McGregor 27 of 38 71% 13 of 21 6 of 9 8 of 8 17 of 26 1 of 1 9 of 11
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

Angelo flips his pick from the last fight, now favoring Conor. He notes that in the first fight, Conor landed everything with power and had Dustin in trouble multiple times, but didn't capitalize due to pacing. He believes Conor will have a plan for the leg kicks this time and will get the job done. He also placed a bet on Conor by KO/TKO for plus odds.

Conor by KO/TKO at plus odds
"I think conor wins the i think he wins this fight i'm flipping my pick from the last go-around"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

Big Brady picks Conor McGregor to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Conor has the X-factor power, being the hardest hitter pound-for-pound, and that Poirier absorbs a lot of strikes (4.17 per minute). He expects Conor to make adjustments, stuff takedowns, check leg kicks, and keep the fight at range. He acknowledges Poirier's durability but believes Conor will land a knockout.

first round knockout
"i'm gonna say conor mcgregor does get a first round knockout here against dustin poirier"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Poirier

Cody picks Poirier based on Conor's fading cardio after the first round, Poirier's durability and leg kicks, and the American Top Team camp. He notes Conor's power early but expects Poirier to take over late. He hasn't bet yet, waiting to see how the press conferences affect Poirier's mindset.

264 to 1 odds on first round KO via DraftKings promo; suggests live betting Poirier after round 1
"my pick for the purposes of the show right now is dustin poirier i haven't put any money on i want to see how the press conferences go"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Poirier

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Poirier to win the trilogy. He emphasizes Poirier's superior cardio, output, and durability, noting that Poirier has the most knockouts in UFC lightweight history and has shown he can overcome adversity. He points out that since 2016, Poirier is 7-1 while McGregor is 1-3, and that McGregor struggles in deep waters and has diminishing durability. He predicts a submission win for Poirier, citing the check right hook, calf kicks, takedowns, and clinch work as key factors.

Poirier by submission
"i'm going with dustin poury i'm gonna say this time by submission"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

Jacob initially favored Dustin but switched to Conor after rewatching the first fight. He notes Conor landed everything in round one but paced himself too much. He thinks Conor will blitz early to avoid calf kicks and finish in the first round. He also mentions a possible staph infection on Conor's elbow, which could affect cardio and push Conor to an early finish.

Conor wins in round 1
"i think conor wins this fight um so i've gone all the way back and i think conor does it i think he does in the first round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Poirier

I'm going with Poirier here, but I have no real confidence. I think Poirier's durability and cardio have improved at 155, and he can eat McGregor's shots now. McGregor might have a new game plan, but I expect Poirier to take over in the later rounds and finish him, probably in the third or fourth round. I'm not betting this fight myself, but I like Poirier inside the distance and the fight not going to decision.

under 3.5 rounds, under 4.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision, Poirier inside the distance, Poirier round 3, Poirier round 4, Poirier round 5
"i'm going to ultimately be on the poirier side here... i think poirier has the confidence now... and really start to put on mcgregor himself and then eventually finish him late in this fight probably in the third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Poirier

Paul picks Poirier, citing Conor's durability issues and long layoffs. He notes Conor's power early but believes Poirier's durability and cardio will prevail. He mentions the distraction of Conor's trash talk and the Colby Covington sparring video, but still favors Poirier.

suggests betting Poirier live after the first round
"i'm not i wouldn't rule mcgregor out but we got to go party that would be the logical pick especially at this price"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Dustin Poirier

The Guru predicts Poirier will win by TKO in the third round. He expects McGregor to start strong, winning the first two rounds with good striking and body work, but Poirier's calf kicks and clinch work will wear McGregor down. By the third round, McGregor will fatigue, and Poirier will land a big elbow and follow-up shots to finish him against the cage. The Guru notes McGregor will have a more impressive performance than their first fight but the outcome will be the same.

Poirier wins by TKO in round 3
"poirier gets it done but i'm praying for mcgregor to win but i think poirier's gonna get this one done it'll be a more impressive performance by mcgregor but the inevitable outcome will be the same"
LOSS vs Dustin Poirier
TKO (punches) R2 2:32 · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Poirier 1 48 of 91 52% 53 of 98 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:42
Conor McGregor 0 29 of 66 43% 52 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Poirier 0 17 of 37 45% 22 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:40
Conor McGregor 0 15 of 34 44% 38 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:07
2 Dustin Poirier 1 31 of 54 57% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Conor McGregor 0 14 of 32 43% 14 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Poirier 48 of 91 52% 30 of 69 0 of 1 18 of 21 46 of 89 0 of 0 2 of 2
Conor McGregor 29 of 66 43% 23 of 60 4 of 4 2 of 2 27 of 63 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Poirier 17 of 37 45% 8 of 26 0 of 0 9 of 11 17 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Conor McGregor 15 of 34 44% 12 of 31 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Dustin Poirier 31 of 54 57% 22 of 43 0 of 1 9 of 10 29 of 52 0 of 0 2 of 2
Conor McGregor 14 of 32 43% 11 of 29 1 of 1 2 of 2 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

Big Brady picks Conor McGregor to win by first-round knockout, similar to their first fight. He notes McGregor's power and accuracy as key advantages, and believes Poirier's cardio won't be a factor because the fight won't go deep. He acknowledges Poirier could be a live dog but ultimately sides with McGregor's striking superiority.

first round knockout
"i think conor mcgregor is going to do the same thing he did in their last fight i don't think it's going to be as early but i do think he's going to knock out dustin poirier"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

Daniel Levi picks Conor McGregor to win early, citing McGregor's devastating power and ability to finish fights in the first round. He acknowledges Poirier's improved chin at lightweight and his path to victory if he survives the early storm, but believes McGregor's power is too much. Levi expresses personal rooting interest for Poirier but makes a logical pick for McGregor.

McGregor by early finish
"i'm gonna have to go with mcgregor here to get it done early unfortunately"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

McGregor has the precision and power to replicate his first-round knockout from their first fight. Poirier is durable but has been knocked down by lesser power. McGregor's takedown defense is solid, and he should be able to keep the fight on the feet. Poirier's cardio advantage may not matter if McGregor lands early. I see McGregor winning by first-round KO.

McGregor in round 1 (+175), McGregor in round 2 (+350), under 2.5 rounds (-175)
"I'll go with McGregor to win this fight by first round KO."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

The MMA Guru believes Conor McGregor's improved boxing, especially his left hand, will be too much for Dustin Poirier. He notes that Poirier has not thrown many kicks since his hip surgery and will rely on boxing, which plays into McGregor's strengths. He predicts McGregor will land a big left hand in the first round, knocking Poirier out cold around the four-minute mark, similar to the Michael Johnson KO. He dismisses the idea of a 60-second KO but is confident McGregor wins.

KO in first round, around 4-minute mark
"mcgregor's gonna be out landing poirier poirier is gonna get frustrated with losing the round he's gonna come forward with with a big exchange and when he does that he's gonna get ko'd the same way he did against michael …"
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 0:40 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Conor McGregor 1 19 of 26 73% 20 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Donald Cerrone 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Conor McGregor 1 19 of 26 73% 20 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Donald Cerrone 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Conor McGregor 19 of 26 73% 19 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 3 of 3 13 of 16
Donald Cerrone 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Conor McGregor 19 of 26 73% 19 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 3 of 3 13 of 16
Donald Cerrone 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

Daniel picks Conor McGregor to win by knockout, likely in the first round. He notes that McGregor's left hand is a huge factor and that Cerrone has historically folded under big lights. However, he questions McGregor's motivation and fatigue issues, but believes this is a tune-up fight for McGregor.

first round knockout
"I think McGregor is gonna come in fresh... I think he gets the win by knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

The host picks Conor McGregor to win by first-round KO, citing McGregor's range, speed, in-and-out movement, and left hand as key advantages. He believes Cerrone will struggle to deal with these attributes and that McGregor will set up a trap and land a clean left hand. However, he notes that if Cerrone's odds reach +300, he might place a small bet on Cerrone due to value, but his official prediction remains McGregor by first-round KO.

If Cerrone hits +300, might take a bet on Cerrone; under 1.5 rounds at +105 considered; McGregor by KO at -210 considered too steep; official pick is McGregor by first-round KO.
"my official pick'em my prediction is gonna be cornered by first round KO"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Conor McGregor

The host strongly favors Conor McGregor, citing his first-round focus and accuracy against Donald Cerrone's lack of head movement and slow starts. He notes Cerrone's recent KO loss to Justin Gaethje and the short turnaround (4 months), which raises chin concerns. He believes McGregor's takedown defense is underrated and that Cerrone's wrestling won't be effective. He predicts a first-round KO by McGregor.

first round KO
"I think Conor McGregor gets it done in the first round by KO viciously viciously"
Submission (neck crank) R4 3:03 · UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · Oct 06, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khabib Nurmagomedov 0 70 of 119 58% 104 of 157 3 of 7 42% 1 0 12:14
Conor McGregor 0 51 of 81 62% 96 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khabib Nurmagomedov 0 7 of 9 77% 18 of 21 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:08
Conor McGregor 0 6 of 7 85% 39 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Khabib Nurmagomedov 0 41 of 60 68% 58 of 78 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:22
Conor McGregor 0 5 of 13 38% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Khabib Nurmagomedov 0 15 of 37 40% 17 of 39 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:47
Conor McGregor 0 34 of 52 65% 44 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Khabib Nurmagomedov 0 7 of 13 53% 11 of 19 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:57
Conor McGregor 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khabib Nurmagomedov 70 of 119 58% 58 of 105 11 of 13 1 of 1 24 of 53 1 of 3 45 of 63
Conor McGregor 51 of 81 62% 34 of 60 16 of 19 1 of 2 35 of 65 10 of 10 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khabib Nurmagomedov 7 of 9 77% 7 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 8
Conor McGregor 6 of 7 85% 6 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 5
2 Khabib Nurmagomedov 41 of 60 68% 33 of 52 8 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 36 of 51
Conor McGregor 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Khabib Nurmagomedov 15 of 37 40% 12 of 33 2 of 3 1 of 1 14 of 34 1 of 3 0 of 0
Conor McGregor 34 of 52 65% 22 of 39 12 of 13 0 of 0 25 of 43 9 of 9 0 of 0
4 Khabib Nurmagomedov 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 4
Conor McGregor 6 of 9 66% 3 of 5 2 of 2 1 of 2 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Eddie Alvarez
TKO (punches) R2 3:04 · UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor · Nov 12, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Conor McGregor 0 9 of 41 21% 12 of 46 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:57
Eddie Alvarez 3 32 of 84 38% 40 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Conor McGregor 0 6 of 29 20% 6 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Eddie Alvarez 2 18 of 57 31% 20 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:52
2 Conor McGregor 0 3 of 12 25% 6 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:57
Eddie Alvarez 1 14 of 27 51% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Conor McGregor 9 of 41 21% 2 of 27 6 of 10 1 of 4 9 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 32 of 84 38% 24 of 71 7 of 11 1 of 2 24 of 67 3 of 5 5 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Conor McGregor 6 of 29 20% 1 of 18 4 of 7 1 of 4 6 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 18 of 57 31% 15 of 51 3 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 45 1 of 2 4 of 10
2 Conor McGregor 3 of 12 25% 1 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 14 of 27 51% 9 of 20 4 of 5 1 of 2 11 of 22 2 of 3 1 of 2
WIN vs Nate Diaz
Decision (majority) (48–47, 47–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · Aug 20, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Conor McGregor 0 166 of 343 48% 252 of 435 1 of 7 14% 0 0 5:50
Nate Diaz 3 164 of 286 57% 197 of 322 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Conor McGregor 0 25 of 73 34% 25 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nate Diaz 1 34 of 58 58% 34 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Conor McGregor 0 37 of 76 48% 51 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Nate Diaz 2 34 of 70 48% 36 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
3 Conor McGregor 0 49 of 87 56% 79 of 117 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:31
Nate Diaz 0 26 of 45 57% 37 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
4 Conor McGregor 0 36 of 63 57% 48 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:07
Nate Diaz 0 46 of 76 60% 56 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
5 Conor McGregor 0 19 of 44 43% 49 of 77 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:42
Nate Diaz 0 24 of 37 64% 34 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Conor McGregor 166 of 343 48% 107 of 256 50 of 71 9 of 16 88 of 227 77 of 112 1 of 4
Nate Diaz 164 of 286 57% 98 of 212 26 of 29 40 of 45 137 of 253 27 of 32 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Conor McGregor 25 of 73 34% 11 of 49 6 of 11 8 of 13 25 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nate Diaz 34 of 58 58% 14 of 35 3 of 4 17 of 19 34 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Conor McGregor 37 of 76 48% 22 of 58 14 of 16 1 of 2 24 of 54 13 of 21 0 of 1
Nate Diaz 34 of 70 48% 19 of 54 5 of 5 10 of 11 31 of 67 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Conor McGregor 49 of 87 56% 40 of 72 9 of 15 0 of 0 18 of 42 31 of 45 0 of 0
Nate Diaz 26 of 45 57% 17 of 35 4 of 4 5 of 6 22 of 41 4 of 4 0 of 0
4 Conor McGregor 36 of 63 57% 22 of 45 14 of 18 0 of 0 17 of 36 19 of 27 0 of 0
Nate Diaz 46 of 76 60% 30 of 59 11 of 12 5 of 5 33 of 58 13 of 17 0 of 1
5 Conor McGregor 19 of 44 43% 12 of 32 7 of 11 0 of 1 4 of 22 14 of 19 1 of 3
Nate Diaz 24 of 37 64% 18 of 29 3 of 4 3 of 4 17 of 29 7 of 8 0 of 0
LOSS vs Nate Diaz
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:09 · UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz · Mar 05, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Diaz 0 61 of 140 43% 66 of 145 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:39
Conor McGregor 0 77 of 152 50% 89 of 169 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Diaz 0 28 of 74 37% 32 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:35
Conor McGregor 0 23 of 62 37% 26 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
2 Nate Diaz 0 33 of 66 50% 34 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Conor McGregor 0 54 of 90 60% 63 of 101 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Diaz 61 of 140 43% 47 of 117 7 of 11 7 of 12 56 of 133 3 of 4 2 of 3
Conor McGregor 77 of 152 50% 65 of 131 9 of 13 3 of 8 62 of 133 10 of 12 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Diaz 28 of 74 37% 18 of 58 4 of 6 6 of 10 26 of 71 0 of 0 2 of 3
Conor McGregor 23 of 62 37% 16 of 50 5 of 6 2 of 6 23 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Nate Diaz 33 of 66 50% 29 of 59 3 of 5 1 of 2 30 of 62 3 of 4 0 of 0
Conor McGregor 54 of 90 60% 49 of 81 4 of 7 1 of 2 39 of 72 10 of 12 5 of 6
Eddie Alvarez - Fight History
LOSS vs Dustin Poirier
TKO (punches and elbow) R2 4:05 · UFC on Fox: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Poirier 0 26 of 76 34% 35 of 88 0 of 3 0% 1 0 2:27
Eddie Alvarez 1 54 of 115 46% 76 of 138 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Poirier 0 18 of 47 38% 18 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Eddie Alvarez 0 20 of 63 31% 20 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dustin Poirier 0 8 of 29 27% 17 of 41 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:27
Eddie Alvarez 1 34 of 52 65% 56 of 75 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Poirier 26 of 76 34% 10 of 53 10 of 15 6 of 8 21 of 67 1 of 3 4 of 6
Eddie Alvarez 54 of 115 46% 44 of 101 4 of 6 6 of 8 47 of 108 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Poirier 18 of 47 38% 5 of 29 9 of 12 4 of 6 17 of 44 1 of 3 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 20 of 63 31% 13 of 53 1 of 2 6 of 8 19 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Dustin Poirier 8 of 29 27% 5 of 24 1 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 23 0 of 0 4 of 6
Eddie Alvarez 34 of 52 65% 31 of 48 3 of 4 0 of 0 28 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0
KO (knee) R3 3:59 · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 02, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 1 155 of 356 43% 162 of 366 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Justin Gaethje 0 122 of 237 51% 124 of 240 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 42 of 123 34% 42 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Justin Gaethje 0 39 of 89 43% 40 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Eddie Alvarez 0 73 of 154 47% 75 of 156 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Gaethje 0 51 of 94 54% 51 of 95 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Eddie Alvarez 1 40 of 79 50% 45 of 87 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:14
Justin Gaethje 0 32 of 54 59% 33 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 155 of 356 43% 113 of 299 36 of 49 6 of 8 128 of 325 24 of 28 3 of 3
Justin Gaethje 122 of 237 51% 69 of 180 16 of 17 37 of 40 106 of 218 15 of 16 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 42 of 123 34% 27 of 100 12 of 19 3 of 4 41 of 122 1 of 1 0 of 0
Justin Gaethje 39 of 89 43% 22 of 72 2 of 2 15 of 15 38 of 86 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Eddie Alvarez 73 of 154 47% 52 of 128 18 of 22 3 of 4 60 of 139 13 of 15 0 of 0
Justin Gaethje 51 of 94 54% 31 of 73 11 of 12 9 of 9 41 of 83 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Eddie Alvarez 40 of 79 50% 34 of 71 6 of 8 0 of 0 27 of 64 10 of 12 3 of 3
Justin Gaethje 32 of 54 59% 16 of 35 3 of 3 13 of 16 27 of 49 5 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Eddie Alvarez vs. Justin Gaethje

Round 1
Gaethje begins pressing the action immediately, forcing Alvarez to the outside with punches and heavy low kicks. Alvarez swings back with a hard right hand, but Gaethje cracks him with a counter on the other side. Alvarez catches a kick and trips Gaethje to the ground, then narrowly avoids kicking the ex-WSOF champion in the head as he stands up. Alvarez begins switching between stances after absorbing some nasty leg kicks; he tries to give Gaethje some kicks in return, but they don't have the same zip behind them. Halfway through the round, Gaethje nearly buckles Alvarez's left leg with another hard chop. Alvarez is still swinging, though, and now catches another kick to trip Gaethje to the floor. Gaethje rolls through and stands up, but Alvarez greets him with a ripping body shot. Alvarez digs into the body again, this time with a pair of hooks. The body work seems to be bothering Gaethje now, but he tags Alvarez back with a left hand. Alvarez wags his finger to say the shot didn't faze him, then blitzes Gaethje with a body shot and more hooks to the midsection. Gaethje is cut on the outside of his left eye, while Alvarez has some damage underneath his left eye. Alvarez tries to surprised Gaethje with a cartwheel kick just before the horn and winds up on his back.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Alvarez
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Alvarez
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Alvarez

Round 2
It's a slower start to round two, as Gaethje strikes from a little further out, picking at Alvarez's damaged lead leg. Gaethje presses forward with snappy jabs, while Alvarez blasts back with a big uppercut to the body. Alvarez rocks Gaethje's head with a nasty jab, changes levels to dodge Gaethje's return fire, but Gaethje times a clean right hand over the top. Gaethje jacks the jaw of Alvarez with a lead uppercut as the 155ers continue to try and knock off one another's heads. Alvarez seems to be the fresher and busier fighter at the midway point of the round, but every time it looks like Gaethje is hurt, the Coloradoan comes storming back with an uppercut or left hand. Alvarez's body blows are starting to take a toll in the latter half of the round; Gaethje goes back to his leg-kicking, briefly forcing Alvarez to switch to southpaw. Alvarez connects with a series of uppercuts, dodges a big left hook from Gaethje and then digs into the body again. Body-head goes Alvarez, now catching a kick and flipping Gaethje head-over-heels to the floor at the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Alvarez
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Alvarez
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Alvarez

Round 3
Alvarez comes out for the final round with the entire right side of his mouth swollen. Gaethje eats a few shots from the ex-Bellator champ to walk forward and land a leg kick. The first kick of the round nearly takes the legs out from underneath Alvarez, who tries to pull guard after absorbing a few more kicks. Alvarez switches to southpaw again to protect his left leg, but he flips back to orthodox as he tries to mount an attack. Gaethje blasts Alvarez with an uppercut, but Alvarez responds with a clinch knee to the body. Two more heavy kicks land to Alvarez's left knee, but he just keeps coming forward. Alvarez ducks under a punch from Gaethje and spins to take his back, then rides him to the floor, but Gaethje quickly climbs back to his feet. Gaethje goes straight back to leg-kicking, trying to chop down Alvarez, now inside the final three minutes of this brutal bout. A clinch from Alvarez offers a brief respite for a suddenly exhausted Gaethje, who looks like he's barely staying standing, wobbling all around the cage. Alvarez walks into the pocket and gets his jaw jacked by a Gaethje uppercut. Standing in the center of the cage, Alvarez pulls down Gaethje's head in the Thai clinch and blasts him with a clean knee to the jaw. Gaethje hits the deck in a daze, and a few follow-up punches from Alvarez is all referee Herb Dean needs to see before stopping the fight. Eddie Alvarez becomes the first man to finish Justin Gaethje in an instant classic and "Fight of the Year" contender.

The Official Result
Eddie Alvarez def. Justin Gaethje via KO (Knee) R3 3:59
LOSS vs Dustin Poirier
No Contest (illegal knees) R2 4:12 · UFC 211: Miocic vs. dos Santos 2 · May 13, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 0 44 of 127 34% 44 of 128 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:16
Dustin Poirier 0 73 of 144 50% 79 of 150 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 17 of 55 30% 17 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Poirier 0 29 of 75 38% 29 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Eddie Alvarez 0 27 of 72 37% 27 of 73 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:16
Dustin Poirier 0 44 of 69 63% 50 of 75 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 44 of 127 34% 32 of 111 11 of 13 1 of 3 36 of 112 5 of 12 3 of 3
Dustin Poirier 73 of 144 50% 61 of 128 7 of 11 5 of 5 61 of 127 12 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 17 of 55 30% 9 of 44 7 of 9 1 of 2 17 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Poirier 29 of 75 38% 19 of 62 5 of 8 5 of 5 28 of 74 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Eddie Alvarez 27 of 72 37% 23 of 67 4 of 4 0 of 1 19 of 57 5 of 12 3 of 3
Dustin Poirier 44 of 69 63% 42 of 66 2 of 3 0 of 0 33 of 53 11 of 16 0 of 0
LOSS vs Conor McGregor
TKO (punches) R2 3:04 · UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor · Nov 12, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Conor McGregor 0 9 of 41 21% 12 of 46 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:57
Eddie Alvarez 3 32 of 84 38% 40 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Conor McGregor 0 6 of 29 20% 6 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Eddie Alvarez 2 18 of 57 31% 20 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:52
2 Conor McGregor 0 3 of 12 25% 6 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:57
Eddie Alvarez 1 14 of 27 51% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Conor McGregor 9 of 41 21% 2 of 27 6 of 10 1 of 4 9 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 32 of 84 38% 24 of 71 7 of 11 1 of 2 24 of 67 3 of 5 5 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Conor McGregor 6 of 29 20% 1 of 18 4 of 7 1 of 4 6 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 18 of 57 31% 15 of 51 3 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 45 1 of 2 4 of 10
2 Conor McGregor 3 of 12 25% 1 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 14 of 27 51% 9 of 20 4 of 5 1 of 2 11 of 22 2 of 3 1 of 2
TKO (punches) R1 3:49 · UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · Jul 07, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Rafael dos Anjos 0 45 of 78 57% 49 of 83 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Rafael dos Anjos 0 45 of 78 57% 49 of 83 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 12 of 41 29% 9 of 38 2 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rafael dos Anjos 45 of 78 57% 34 of 67 8 of 8 3 of 3 20 of 45 22 of 30 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 12 of 41 29% 9 of 38 2 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rafael dos Anjos 45 of 78 57% 34 of 67 8 of 8 3 of 3 20 of 45 22 of 30 3 of 3
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs. Cruz · Jan 17, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 0 56 of 109 51% 109 of 164 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 42 of 90 46% 74 of 129 6 of 15 40% 0 0 7:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 11 of 23 47% 35 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 4 of 10 40% 18 of 26 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:07
2 Eddie Alvarez 0 25 of 55 45% 32 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 16 of 44 36% 18 of 48 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:08
3 Eddie Alvarez 0 20 of 31 64% 42 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 22 of 36 61% 38 of 55 3 of 6 50% 0 0 3:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 56 of 109 51% 33 of 79 13 of 20 10 of 10 50 of 97 6 of 12 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 42 of 90 46% 20 of 61 12 of 18 10 of 11 36 of 82 3 of 4 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 11 of 23 47% 3 of 13 7 of 9 1 of 1 8 of 17 3 of 6 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 4 of 10 40% 0 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Eddie Alvarez 25 of 55 45% 17 of 43 2 of 6 6 of 6 24 of 53 1 of 2 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 16 of 44 36% 7 of 31 4 of 7 5 of 6 15 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Eddie Alvarez 20 of 31 64% 13 of 23 4 of 5 3 of 3 18 of 27 2 of 4 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 22 of 36 61% 13 of 24 6 of 9 3 of 3 18 of 31 1 of 1 3 of 4
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 188: Velasquez vs. Werdum · Jun 13, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 0 37 of 129 28% 93 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Melendez 0 31 of 64 48% 43 of 79 3 of 11 27% 0 0 3:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 15 of 53 28% 15 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Melendez 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Eddie Alvarez 0 6 of 31 19% 26 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Melendez 0 9 of 17 52% 18 of 27 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
3 Eddie Alvarez 0 16 of 45 35% 52 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Melendez 0 14 of 30 46% 17 of 35 2 of 8 25% 0 0 2:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 37 of 129 28% 33 of 119 4 of 10 0 of 0 36 of 123 1 of 6 0 of 0
Gilbert Melendez 31 of 64 48% 16 of 47 8 of 10 7 of 7 29 of 61 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 15 of 53 28% 13 of 47 2 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Melendez 8 of 17 47% 0 of 8 5 of 6 3 of 3 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Eddie Alvarez 6 of 31 19% 5 of 28 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gilbert Melendez 9 of 17 52% 6 of 14 1 of 1 2 of 2 8 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Eddie Alvarez 16 of 45 35% 15 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 41 0 of 4 0 of 0
Gilbert Melendez 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 2 of 3 2 of 2 13 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0
LOSS vs Donald Cerrone
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 178: Johnson vs. Cariaso · Sep 27, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Donald Cerrone 1 88 of 166 53% 101 of 182 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:57
Eddie Alvarez 0 48 of 138 34% 64 of 157 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Donald Cerrone 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Eddie Alvarez 0 23 of 63 36% 28 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
2 Donald Cerrone 0 27 of 57 47% 27 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Eddie Alvarez 0 16 of 36 44% 18 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Donald Cerrone 1 42 of 62 67% 55 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:37
Eddie Alvarez 0 9 of 39 23% 18 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Donald Cerrone 88 of 166 53% 34 of 104 28 of 35 26 of 27 65 of 132 17 of 23 6 of 11
Eddie Alvarez 48 of 138 34% 36 of 111 10 of 24 2 of 3 34 of 114 14 of 24 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Donald Cerrone 19 of 47 40% 6 of 31 8 of 11 5 of 5 16 of 42 3 of 5 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 23 of 63 36% 17 of 50 5 of 12 1 of 1 12 of 44 11 of 19 0 of 0
2 Donald Cerrone 27 of 57 47% 5 of 30 11 of 15 11 of 12 20 of 47 7 of 10 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 16 of 36 44% 10 of 27 5 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Donald Cerrone 42 of 62 67% 23 of 43 9 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 43 7 of 8 6 of 11
Eddie Alvarez 9 of 39 23% 9 of 34 0 of 4 0 of 1 7 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0