UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · Oct 01, 2016 · Heavyweight · Completed
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Age 44
Height 6' 3"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 235 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 42
Height 6' 5"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 250 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Shamil Abdurakhimov
2.41 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.02 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
1.01 TD Avg
23.0% TD Acc.
45.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Walt Harris
3.05 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
3.33 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.29 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Shamil Abdurakhimov - Fight History
LOSS vs Jailton Almeida
TKO (punches) R2 2:56 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jailton Almeida 0 1 of 1 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 45 of 57 78% 89 of 110 3 of 5 60% 0 0 7:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jailton Almeida 0 1 of 1 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 14 of 17 82% 25 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:45
2 Jailton Almeida 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 31 of 40 77% 64 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jailton Almeida 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 45 of 57 78% 44 of 55 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 5 0 of 0 44 of 52
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jailton Almeida 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 14 of 17 82% 14 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 15
2 Jailton Almeida 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 31 of 40 77% 30 of 38 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 0 30 of 37
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Big Brady is extremely confident in Almeida, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He notes Abdurakhimov has been pulled out of fights repeatedly and is being fed to Almeida. He expects Almeida to take the fight down and finish in the first round, similar to Curtis Blaydes' win over Abdurakhimov but earlier. He says you can't even think about picking Shamil.

first round TKO
"you can't pick Shamil here you can't even think about picking Shamil here it would be a massive upset a massive massive upset give me Charlton gelatin I'll say first round TKO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Cody picks Jailton Almeida confidently, expecting him to take down and smash Abdurakhimov. He notes Almeida's grappling is elite and Abdurakhimov's takedown defense is poor. He mentions Almeida's size disadvantage but thinks his skills overcome it. He says Almeida will win inside the distance, likely by submission. He acknowledges the -900 line is scary but thinks Almeida is the real deal.

considers over 1.5 rounds at +275; mentions Almeida inside the distance props
"I feel like gelatin rolls him up like I don't know that I would say he's minus 900 because again heavyweights heavyweights be heavyweights don't want to go down that road like I get it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Connor agrees, calling Almeida a great athlete with tremendous skill. He notes Abdurakhimov has some trickiness but lacks durability and speed. Almeida should win easily, likely by submission.

"Almeida is a great athlete in stupendous condition and a tremendously skilled wrestler and grappler."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Paul picks Jailton Almeida, noting his grappling and power. He says Almeida will take down and finish Abdurakhimov. He mentions Abdurakhimov's recent losses and poor takedown defense. He thinks Almeida is a future champion at 205 but is dominating heavyweights. He says Almeida inside the distance is a good bet.

mentions Almeida inside the distance; says Almeida by submission is -175
"I got all made I'll chase a better price but going on made it inside the distance I'm made of my submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

The Guru is very confident in Almeida, calling him a 'roid monster' and noting his dominant grappling. He points out that Abdurakhimov is 41, inactive, and coming off a KO loss to Pavlovich. Almeida outgrappled a Dagestani on the contender series and has been competing in grappling tournaments. The Guru predicts a first-round submission by naked choke, calling it a walkover.

submission in first round
"I reckon he's going to win this one via naked choke in the first round again I think this is going to be a walkover for jail tonight made her he's on the source"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Zane picks Almeida confidently, noting his athleticism, wrestling, and grappling are far superior. Abdurakhimov is shop-worn, lacks durability, and is too passive. Almeida should get a takedown and dominate.

Fight doesn't go to decision -1200, Almeida inside distance -550, Almeida by submission -165
"You just have to assume that an athlete like Almeida can literally fumble his way through that dangerous range, eat whatever he's got to eat, get his hands on Shamil and ragdoll him."
TKO (punches) R1 4:03 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sergei Pavlovich 0 17 of 34 50% 17 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 21 of 47 44% 22 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sergei Pavlovich 0 17 of 34 50% 17 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 21 of 47 44% 22 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sergei Pavlovich 17 of 34 50% 4 of 16 4 of 5 9 of 13 17 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 21 of 47 44% 21 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 22 4 of 8 11 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sergei Pavlovich 17 of 34 50% 4 of 16 4 of 5 9 of 13 17 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 21 of 47 44% 21 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 22 4 of 8 11 of 17
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Sergei Pavlovich

Round 1
The lone fight without a representative or fan-favorite from the region is an all-Russia battle that total 512 pounds of heavyweight in the cage, not counting referee Dan Movahedi. Abdurakhimov (20-6, 5-4 UFC) and Pavlovich (14-1, 2-1 UFC) will throw down in hopes of keeping their UFC records above .500, but only one will keep that positive record after this fight barring a draw or wacky result. The countrymen touch gloves while the crowd does not appear overly interested in this matchup, and the first strike comes from Abdurakhimov in the form of a light low kick. The pace is very slow early, with only a few leg kicks coming from “Abrek,” and the fans are letting them know. They both wing single punches and are well off the mark, and the tentative staring contest continues until they push out jabs at the same time. Pavlovich counters a leg kick with a straight right hand down the pipe, but it does not have much on it and Abdurakhimov pays it no mind. Abdurakhimov goes for a leg kick, and suddenly Pavlovich springs into action, letting loose with a salvo of punches that knock Abdurakhimov’s head around. Abdurakhimov gathers himself, circles away and dodges an overhand right, and appears no worse for wear. “Abrek” ducks in, and he meets an uppercut on the way in, while still managing to connect with a right hook. They trade jabs, and Pavlovich just misses with a swinging right. Abdurakhimov crashes forward for a takedown entry, and Pavlovich is a stone wall and he stops it in its tracks. Pavlovich measures his left hand out, only to get warned for outstretched fingers, and Abdurakhimov goes back to his slow rhythm of a leg kick every so often.
Out of nowhere, Pavlovich leans forward and rips a shovel uppercut out of the realm of “Mortal Kombat,” knocking Abdurakhimov clean off his feet. Abdurakhimov turns to his knees after hitting the ground, and he turtles up as Pavlovich tries to finish the job with hammerfists. Several blows land to the back of Abdurakhimov’s head, and Movahedi warns Abdurakhimov to keep moving, all while Pavlovich rains down hammers. As Abdurakhimov is about to get back up, Movahedi intervenes to stop the fight, leading “Abrek” to immediately protest what seems to be a premature stoppage.
There is nothing more he can complain about because the fight is over, and Pavlovich strides off to celebrate his victory in his first appearance since 2019.

The Official Result
Sergei Pavlovich def. Shamil Abdurakhimov R1 4:03 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Angelo picks Sergei Pavlovich to win by knockout, assuming he is the same fighter as before his two-year layoff. He notes that Pavlovich has great power and speed, and trusts his chin. He thinks Abdurakhimov will look to wrestle but will struggle to keep Pavlovich down, leading to a knockout. He advises against betting due to the layoff.

prediction: wins by knockout; advice: don't bet
"one of these heavyweights has not fought in two full years this is not the type of fight that you want to take your hard-earned money and throw it down on"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Big Brady picks Sergei Pavlovich to win by first-round knockout. He notes Pavlovich is 11 years younger, has an eight-inch reach advantage, and the fight will stay standing. He believes Shamil Abdurakhimov has taken a lot of damage recently and is 40 years old with health issues. Brady expects Pavlovich to knock him out early.

first round knockout
"i think he does knock out chamill in the first round here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Cody picks Pavlovich, citing his power and Abdurakhimov's age and decline. He thinks Pavlovich's layoff is a concern but believes his power will be too much. He notes Abdurakhimov has been knocked out by lesser fighters and Pavlovich should finish early.

"i got sergey here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Daniel Levi picks Sergei Pavlovich to win by knockout inside the distance. He notes Pavlovich's age advantage (29 vs 40), reach advantage (8 inches), and recent KO wins, while Abdurakhimov has taken brutal beatings in his last two fights. Levi acknowledges the inactivity concern for Pavlovich but believes if he's motivated, he will finish the older fighter. He also mentions that Abdurakhimov's durability has been questioned.

Inside the distance feels like the bet
"give me sergey pavlovic to come out here and knock on shamila abdulrah came off inside the distance feels like the bet"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Pavlovich has power and speed, but his wins over Marcelo Golm and Maurice Greene aren't convincing. Abdurakhimov is disciplined and has decent knockout power, plus a grappling advantage if the fight goes long. Pavlovich in round one at -105 is the best bet, as he tends to finish early. If the fight stretches, Abdurakhimov could surprise. I'm picking Pavlovich via first-round KO, but I can't get behind the -300 line.

Pavlovich in round 1 (-105); Abdurakhimov via decision (+500)
"I will still pick Pavlovic to win this fight but I just can't get behind those odds."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Paul picks Pavlovich, emphasizing his power and Abdurakhimov's lack of durability. He thinks the layoff is a red flag but believes Pavlovich's youth and training at Eagles MMA will help. He notes the price is high but expects a first-round KO.

"i would say that this seriously favors pavlovic"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

The Guru picks Sergei Pavlovich, impressed by his physical attributes (84-inch reach, 6'2"). He notes Abdurakhimov has been KO'd multiple times and taken damage. He believes Pavlovich's power and speed will be too much, predicting a first-round KO. He compares Pavlovich favorably to Shamil and thinks he has real potential in the heavyweight division.

first round KO
"i am going to go have sergey pavlovich here... i'm going to call a first round ko for him"
LOSS vs Chris Daukaus
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 1:23 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Daukaus 0 23 of 63 36% 23 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 2 38 of 93 40% 38 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Daukaus 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 28 of 65 43% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
2 Chris Daukaus 0 4 of 16 25% 4 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 10 of 28 35% 10 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Daukaus 23 of 63 36% 13 of 48 6 of 11 4 of 4 22 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 38 of 93 40% 34 of 88 2 of 3 2 of 2 18 of 58 2 of 5 18 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Daukaus 19 of 47 40% 9 of 32 6 of 11 4 of 4 18 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 28 of 65 43% 25 of 62 1 of 1 2 of 2 12 of 39 2 of 5 14 of 21
2 Chris Daukaus 4 of 16 25% 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 10 of 28 35% 9 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Angelo picks Daukaus, citing his speed, technical boxing, and combination striking. He notes that Abdurakhimov has more power but is less clean and hasn't fought in two years. Angelo believes Daukaus will use his speed and angles to put Abdurakhimov away, though he acknowledges the unknown of Daukaus' takedown defense.

Angelo likes Daukaus at $8,000 in DraftKings and suggests a moneyline bet or inside the distance. He also mentions the line has moved to -210 and recommends inside the distance decision no action at -170.
"Chris Dawkins wins this"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Big Brady picks Chris Daukaus to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Shamil Abdurakhimov is 40 years old, has a two-year layoff, and has health issues, while Daukaus has improved significantly and has power. He believes Daukaus will stuff takedowns and land a knockout.

first round knockout
"give me chris dawkins to win and chris stock is to get another first round at knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Cody picks Daukaus, citing his speed advantage, youth, and recent improvements. He notes Abdurakhimov is 40, hasn't fought in two years, and was throttled by Blaydes. He expects Daukaus to finish him, possibly inside the distance.

Daukaus inside the distance (+100)
"i expect uh darkest to get the job done"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Daniel Levi picks Chris Daukaus, citing his fast hands for a heavyweight and his black belt in jiu-jitsu. He notes that Daukaus has finished opponents quickly but has been finished himself when fights go past the first round. Levi is curious to see how Daukaus handles the second round but believes his speed and momentum will be enough against Shamil Abdurakhimov, who has been out for a while.

"i gotta go with chris dawkis the age gap the the speed the momentum all that"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Jacob picks Daukaus, calling him a real deal heavyweight prospect. He notes that Abdurakhimov's wrestling is not effective and that Daukaus has a ton of first-round finishes. Jacob believes this is a setup win for Daukaus and expects a finish.

Jacob likes Daukaus by KO/TKO at +120 and plans to include him in DraftKings lineup. He calls it a 'quadruple lock of the week' and mentions knockout Kings.
"Chris Dawkins honestly is a real deal Prodigy in the heavyweight Division"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Chris Daukaus

The host picks Chris Daukaus by first-round knockout. He believes Daukaus' striking is improving fight by fight and his speed and movement will keep Abdurakhimov at bay. He expects Daukaus to land crisp straight shots down the middle and eventually find the knockout blow. He notes that Abdurakhimov has the grappling advantage but Daukaus' striking is too good to fade.

"official prediction for this fight will be darkest and i'm going to take him to one by first round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Paul picks Daukaus, noting his speed, boxing advantage, and youth. He mentions Abdurakhimov's age, layoff, and recent loss. He expects Daukaus to win but is unsure about the over/under rounds.

"i think dog is just dances around shamil um and honestly chamill is basically uh almost on the level with like olynyk at this point"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Chris Daukaus

The MMA Guru picks Chris Daukaus over Shamil Abdurakhimov, citing Daukaus' speed and power, and Abdurakhimov's two-year layoff and history of being knocked out. He notes that Daukaus showed good takedown defense against Alexei Oleinik and is a fast starter. He expects Abdurakhimov to be hesitant early due to ring rust, and Daukaus to land a counter blow and finish with a TKO in the first round.

first round tko
"i'm going to be going with chris dalcause here by first round tko over shimila abdurakimov"
LOSS vs Curtis Blaydes
TKO (elbow and punches) R2 2:22 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Curtis Blaydes 0 25 of 43 58% 46 of 74 5 of 5 100% 0 0 6:08
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Curtis Blaydes 0 12 of 24 50% 25 of 43 4 of 4 100% 0 0 4:02
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Curtis Blaydes 0 13 of 19 68% 21 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:06
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Curtis Blaydes 25 of 43 58% 23 of 41 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 10 0 of 0 23 of 33
Shamil Abdurakhimov 3 of 8 37% 3 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Curtis Blaydes 12 of 24 50% 10 of 22 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 10 of 17
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Curtis Blaydes 13 of 19 68% 13 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 16
Shamil Abdurakhimov 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Marcin Tybura
TKO (punches) R2 3:15 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 28 of 70 40% 28 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marcin Tybura 1 36 of 87 41% 36 of 87 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 14 of 36 38% 14 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marcin Tybura 0 19 of 53 35% 19 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 14 of 34 41% 14 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marcin Tybura 1 17 of 34 50% 17 of 34 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Abdurakhimov 28 of 70 40% 17 of 58 6 of 7 5 of 5 26 of 65 2 of 5 0 of 0
Marcin Tybura 36 of 87 41% 24 of 72 10 of 13 2 of 2 26 of 74 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 14 of 36 38% 10 of 31 2 of 3 2 of 2 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marcin Tybura 19 of 53 35% 11 of 43 6 of 8 2 of 2 14 of 47 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Shamil Abdurakhimov 14 of 34 41% 7 of 27 4 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 29 2 of 5 0 of 0
Marcin Tybura 17 of 34 50% 13 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 27 5 of 7 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · Sep 15, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 18 of 58 31% 27 of 71 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:19
Andrei Arlovski 0 32 of 70 45% 67 of 108 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 9 of 22 40% 11 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrei Arlovski 0 5 of 16 31% 25 of 38 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:00
2 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 5 of 17 29% 9 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
Andrei Arlovski 0 16 of 23 69% 30 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
3 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 4 of 19 21% 7 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrei Arlovski 0 11 of 31 35% 12 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Abdurakhimov 18 of 58 31% 8 of 45 6 of 9 4 of 4 9 of 39 6 of 13 3 of 6
Andrei Arlovski 32 of 70 45% 19 of 50 9 of 16 4 of 4 12 of 41 6 of 11 14 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 9 of 22 40% 3 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 4 of 11 3 of 7 2 of 4
Andrei Arlovski 5 of 16 31% 3 of 13 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 6 2 of 4 2 of 6
2 Shamil Abdurakhimov 5 of 17 29% 2 of 13 2 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 11 2 of 4 1 of 2
Andrei Arlovski 16 of 23 69% 12 of 17 3 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 7 2 of 4 12 of 12
3 Shamil Abdurakhimov 4 of 19 21% 3 of 16 1 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0
Andrei Arlovski 11 of 31 35% 4 of 20 4 of 8 3 of 3 9 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0
WIN vs Chase Sherman
KO (punch) R1 1:24 · UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · Nov 25, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 5 of 13 38% 5 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 1 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 5 of 13 38% 5 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 1 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Abdurakhimov 5 of 13 38% 4 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 6 of 10 60% 5 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Abdurakhimov 5 of 13 38% 4 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 6 of 10 60% 5 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Derrick Lewis
TKO (punches) R4 3:42 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · Dec 09, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Derrick Lewis 0 39 of 90 43% 46 of 97 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:42
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 15 of 37 40% 77 of 106 4 of 11 36% 1 0 7:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Derrick Lewis 0 1 of 7 14% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 4 of 11 36% 23 of 31 1 of 5 20% 1 0 2:37
2 Derrick Lewis 0 7 of 14 50% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 9 of 11 81% 43 of 47 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:00
3 Derrick Lewis 0 4 of 22 18% 6 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 1 of 8 12% 8 of 19 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:18
4 Derrick Lewis 0 27 of 47 57% 28 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:10
Shamil Abdurakhimov 0 1 of 7 14% 3 of 9 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Derrick Lewis 39 of 90 43% 32 of 81 5 of 7 2 of 2 8 of 46 4 of 7 27 of 37
Shamil Abdurakhimov 15 of 37 40% 5 of 23 5 of 6 5 of 8 5 of 23 5 of 7 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Derrick Lewis 1 of 7 14% 0 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 5 3 of 4 1 of 2
2 Derrick Lewis 7 of 14 50% 4 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 2 of 4 3 of 4
Shamil Abdurakhimov 9 of 11 81% 2 of 4 5 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 2 4 of 5
3 Derrick Lewis 4 of 22 18% 3 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 of 8 12% 0 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Derrick Lewis 27 of 47 57% 25 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 12 2 of 2 24 of 33
Shamil Abdurakhimov 1 of 7 14% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Derrick Lewis vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov

Round 1
Referee Dan Miragliotta is the third man in the cage for tonight's heavyweight main event. Lewis starts out in the center of the cage, slowly pressing outward toward Abdurakhimov, who cuts short angles around the perimeter. Abdurakhimov catches hold of Lewis' first kick and takes the "Black Beast" to the ground in the center of the cage. Straight to side control goes Abdurakhimov, leaning left to right across Lewis' body to frame up a keylock. Lewis rolls to his left, instantly relieving pressure on the arm and allowing him to stand up. Abdurakhimov stays with him, holding a rear waistlock until he's able to push Lewis against the fence. Lewis throws a knee, has the leg caught but keeps his balance and stays standing, while Abdurakhimov goes back to muscling him against the wall. Abdurakhimov gets double underhooks as they hit the midway point of round one, but Lewis pushes him away with a forearm to the face. With 90 seconds on the clock, Lewis initiates a clinch on the fence, but he's quickly spun around by Abdurakhimov. The big men split with one minute on the clock, but Abdurakhimov comes back for a late takedown and finishes the round in full mount.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov

Round 2
Both men throw big right hands at the start of round two, and they wind up clinching with over-unders in the center of the cage. Lewis gives Abdurakhimov a shot to the body before the Russian presses him against the fence. Referee Miragliotta warns Abdurakhimov for grabbing the fence behind Lewis' back, and seconds later, Lewis nearly tosses Abdurakhimov to the side. The ref separates the fighters and brings them back to the center after a few seconds of ineffective clinching. Lewis slings a big right hand but it's deflected by the arms of Abdurakhimov as he steps inside to clinch again with three minutes left. Lewis breaks away, nearly slips to the ground throwing a high kick, now walks forward on Abdurakhimov once again. Lewis lands a body kick, but it's caught by Abdurakhimov and converted to another takedown. Abdurakhimov works from Lewis' wide open guard with 90 seconds on the clock, but there's not much happening on the ground, drawing boos from the Albany crowd. Lewis gets hold of a leg and drops back to try a heel hook; Abdurakhimov escapes and latches onto Lewis' left leg as he stands. Lewis hops backward to the fence, socking Abdurakhimov in the face with a few punches before ultimately being taken down again in the closing seconds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov

Round 3
Lewis steps in with a knee, caught by Abdurakhimov and turned into another takedown. This time, Lewis springs back to his feet and starts firing punches at Abdurakhimov, keeping the Russian on the outside through the first minute of the round. Abdurakhimov shoots an ugly shot, gets pushed away and clipped by an uppercut from Lewis, who steps back to reset in the center of the cage. Lewis is walking in slow, small steps, not expending a lot of energy as he follows Abdurakhimov around the perimeter. This time, it's Lewis who ducks inside, pushes Abdurakhimov to the fence and drops for a double-leg. Abdurakhimov easily blocks the takedown attempt and circles away. Abdurakhimov whiffs on a spinning backfist, dodges Lewis' counter right hand and goes low to drive "The Black Beast" back to the canvas. Under two minutes left in the round as Abdurakhimov works from Lewis' closed guard. After almost a minute of inactivity, referee Miragliotta stands up the fighters. Lewis plods forward slowly as boos rain down again; Abdurakhimov, who continues to back away, receives a verbal warning from the referee for failing to engage.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Lewis
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-10
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Abdurakhimov

Round 4
Lewis tries to go upstairs with a left high kick, but his leg is grabbed by Abdurakhimov once again. The heavyweights tangle up on the fence for a few seconds, then Lewis snuffs out an Abdurakhimov double-leg shot. Abdurakhimov resets and then comes right back to hold Lewis on the wall. Almost immediately, referee Miragliotta tells the fighters to "get busy," and Abdurakhimov obliges by breaking off the clinch with an elbow strike. Halfway through the round, Lewis pulls down Abdurakhimov's head in the Thai clinch and partially lands with a knee. Lewis changes levels and scores a takedown at the fence, and suddenly it's Abdurakhimov on his back, covering up as Lewis postures up to land big right hands. Lewis goes knee-on-belly, then over to full mount; Abdurakhimov bucks and rolls underneath, trying to escape, but Lewis is relentless and smashes away with punches until the referee stops the fight.

The Official Result
Derrick Lewis def. Shamil Abdurakhimov via TKO (Punches) R4 3:42
Walt Harris - Fight History
LOSS vs Marcin Tybura
TKO (punches) R1 4:06 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marcin Tybura 0 23 of 40 57% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Walt Harris 0 4 of 10 40% 59 of 71 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marcin Tybura 0 23 of 40 57% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Walt Harris 0 4 of 10 40% 59 of 71 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marcin Tybura 23 of 40 57% 17 of 33 6 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 35 4 of 5 0 of 0
Walt Harris 4 of 10 40% 2 of 6 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marcin Tybura 23 of 40 57% 17 of 33 6 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 35 4 of 5 0 of 0
Walt Harris 4 of 10 40% 2 of 6 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Big Brady thinks Tybura is the better fighter with more ways to win, including higher output on the feet and a superior ground game. He notes Harris has 100% finish rate by KO but poor cardio and a weak ground game. He believes Tybura can survive the early storm, take Harris down as he tires, and get a late finish. He predicts a third-round TKO for Tybura.

"i'll go with third round tko for martine tyburo"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Cody picks Tybura, agreeing with Paul. He notes Tybura's momentum and that Harris is hittable and has cardio issues. Cody expects Tybura to use body kicks and takedowns to wear Harris down. He mentions Harris's power is a threat but Tybura's chin has held up recently. Cody also likes the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds -125
"i like the under two and a half rounds minus 125. got my money already"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Daniel picks Tybura despite wanting to see Harris win. He notes that Tybura is in the best point of his career, has more ways to win (takedowns, clinch, grinding), and can mix in wrestling to tire Harris out. Daniel acknowledges Harris's first-round knockout power but believes if Harris doesn't finish early, Tybura will take over with his grappling and pressure. He also mentions that Tybura has been hurt in the first round before but has shown resilience. Daniel hopes he is wrong and would love to see Harris have his moment, but objectively he favors Tybura.

"i gotta go with tybura but i i hope i hope i'm dead wrong on this man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Harris is a one-round fighter with poor cardio. Tybura has good body work and grappling. If Tybura survives the first round, he will take over and finish Harris in the second or third.

Tybura round 2 +600, Tybura round 3 +1000, under 2.5 rounds -125
"I'm going taiboro uh uh the props tyburn inside the distance uh tabora round two and round three"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Paul picks Tybura, noting his recent momentum and wrestling advantage. He expects Tybura to weather Harris's early power, then take over as Harris fades. Paul highlights Tybura's body work and takedowns, similar to the Greg Hardy fight. He acknowledges Harris's one-round KO power but believes Tybura can survive and win.

under 2.5 rounds -125 (already bet)
"i'm going to go with tie board i don't think the line's crazy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

The Guru picks Marcin Tybura, highlighting Harris's cardio issues shown in losses to Overeem and Volkov. He believes Tybura can survive Harris's early flurries and then take over with grappling as Harris gasses. He predicts Tybura will win by TKO in the second round via ground and pound, noting Tybura has improved defensively after previous KO losses.

TKO round 2, ground and pound
"i think taibura is going to get this one done by tko in the second round to ground and pound on a gassed out walt harris"
TKO (body kick and punches) R2 1:15 · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Oct 24, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexander Volkov 0 45 of 73 61% 45 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Walt Harris 0 16 of 58 27% 16 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexander Volkov 0 39 of 64 60% 39 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Walt Harris 0 15 of 54 27% 15 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexander Volkov 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Walt Harris 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexander Volkov 45 of 73 61% 32 of 59 11 of 11 2 of 3 42 of 69 3 of 4 0 of 0
Walt Harris 16 of 58 27% 7 of 45 5 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 56 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexander Volkov 39 of 64 60% 27 of 51 10 of 10 2 of 3 36 of 60 3 of 4 0 of 0
Walt Harris 15 of 54 27% 6 of 41 5 of 9 4 of 4 15 of 52 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Alexander Volkov 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Walt Harris 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Walt Harris vs. Alexander Volkov

Round 1
Up to heavyweight, former Bellator champ Volkov (31-8, 5-2 UFC) comes to blows with heavy-handed Harris (13-8, 1 NC; 6-7, 1 NC UFC). “Drago” posts 20 career knockouts on his ledger, but Harris maintains a 100 percent knockout rate in victory, so this one might not go the distance. Referee Lukasz Bosacki will take the reins on this potential slugfest, but there is a sporting glove touch before they get down to business. Volkov ducks a looping left hand as they both start throwing, and Harris flings a high kick that gets blocked. Volkov walks him down and gets jabbed to the body, and the two heavyweights trade stabbing kicks to the midsection. Harris swings and misses with lethal shots, and Volkov keeps his distance and slaps away a front kick. Harris gets clipped with a straight right as he walks in, and the two clasps hands when trying to find their range. “The Big Ticket” jabs to the body a few times and then throws up another high kick, but Volkov is the one to score with a jab and a left hand that rings Harris’ bell. Harris keeps handfighting and takes a leg kick, but loads up on a big right hand that barely misses. Volkov ducks and moves to return fire, and Harris’ chin holds up. Volkov jab at the body with a kick as he closes the distance, and Harris cracks him with a big right hand. Volkov keeps his composure and walks Harris down, landing strikes and blocking the winging hooks in time. Volkov continues to work front kicks to the body, and he slaps his shin off Harris’ calf. A right hand opens a small cut around Volkov’s right eye, and Harris lets loose a leg kick and a head kick that does not find the target. Volkov stalks him down and evades a left hand, and sees a right hook coming over the top. “Drago” blasts in the body and makes Harris double over, so the Russian charges at him and pours it on to search for a finish. Harris ducks down and tries to slam big hooks in the side of Volkov’s head, attempting to pull off what Scott Smith did to Pete “Drago” Sell with a body shot that led to a knockout. Volkov is wise to it, lets a few bounce off his shoulder, and ends the round with a few more strikes but cannot get the finish he is looking for.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Volkov

Round 2
The two big men clap hands to start the round, and Harris fakes a takedown to try to get off a big right hand, but the Russian sees it coming and stops it. Harris backs off and changes levels to pursue a takedown, and Volkov stuffs it without issue. Harris sticks out a few jabs, but Volkov greets him with a much cleaner right hand. Volkov pierces the midsection with a kick, and Harris doubles over in pain – the commentary team questions whether the strike was to the groin but it appeared to land square on the liver. Volkov senses that the finish is around the corner, and he rushes in to swarm him and force a stoppage. As “Drago” clubs Harris in the head and side with four or five punches, Bosacki calls a stop to the fight as Harris is no longer intelligently defending himself. This is an important win for Volkov, who bounces back from a tough loss with an impressive knockout win.

The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Walt Harris R2 1:15 via TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Big Brady is confident in Alexander Volkov, citing his technical striking, range management, and high output. He notes Harris is dangerous early but has low output and suspect cardio. He predicts a third-round knockout, but acknowledges Harris could win with an early KO.

third round knockout
"i'm pretty confident that alexander volkov is going to get the win i'm going to say third round knockout for volkov here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Oct 23, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Daniel Levi picks Volkov as a pure pick, citing his disciplined point-fighting style and height/reach advantage. He notes that Volkov should keep the fight on the outside and win a decision, but he is concerned about Volkov coming in 18 pounds heavier than his last fight (265 lbs), which could affect his movement. He also mentions that as a fan he hopes Harris wins, but stylistically Volkov is the safer pick.

Volkov came in 18 pounds heavier than the Curtis Blaydes fight, which is alarming for a mover; Harris weighed in at 254 lbs, his lightest since the Spitz fight
"my pure pick will be alexander volkov but just as a fan and emotionally i really hope all harris gets this done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

The host picks Alexander Volkov confidently, citing his reach, volume, and cardio advantage. He notes that Walt Harris is a one-round fighter with poor takedown defense and that Volkov will pick him apart from distance. He expects a third-round stoppage.

Volkov by TKO in round 3
"i'm personally i'm going to go with third-round stoppage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

The MMA Guru picks Alexander Volkov to win by late second or third round TKO. He notes that Volkov is more experienced (31-8 vs 13-8), has good takedown defense (shown against Curtis Blaydes), and will use front kicks to gas out Harris. He compares Harris unfavorably to Derrick Lewis, who struggled to land on Volkov for most of their fight.

late second or third round TKO
"i'm gonna go with alexander volkov getting the job done... by late second or third round tko"
TKO (punches) R2 3:00 · UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Harris · May 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 1 68 of 85 80% 97 of 115 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:22
Walt Harris 1 25 of 48 52% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 0 27 of 33 81% 48 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:56
Walt Harris 1 24 of 42 57% 24 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:47
2 Alistair Overeem 1 41 of 52 78% 49 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Walt Harris 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 68 of 85 80% 58 of 75 8 of 8 2 of 2 7 of 10 1 of 1 60 of 74
Walt Harris 25 of 48 52% 19 of 41 6 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 19 1 of 3 18 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 27 of 33 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 4 1 of 1 23 of 28
Walt Harris 24 of 42 57% 18 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 13 1 of 3 18 of 26
2 Alistair Overeem 41 of 52 78% 37 of 48 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 37 of 46
Walt Harris 1 of 6 16% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Walt Harris

Big Brady picks Walt Harris by first-round knockout, citing Overeem's diminished chin and Harris' power. He notes that Overeem is likely the better fighter overall but cannot be trusted due to his chin, which has been knocked out 13 times. He believes Harris will land one shot and finish the fight. He acknowledges that Overeem could win if he takes Harris down, but doubts his wrestling is good enough. He mentions the emotional motivation for Harris after his daughter's passing.

first-round knockout, fight ends inside distance -425, emotional motivation
"I'm gonna go with Walt Harris here... I think it takes one shot to knockout over him and I think Walt Harris has that shot one of the hardest hitters in the heavyweight division so I like Walt Harris to …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 16, 2020 (fight day)
Walt Harris

Daniel Levi picks Walt Harris via vicious knockout. He believes Harris has turned a corner, putting things together, and has the proper technique and power to put away Overeem. He notes that Overeem is the more skilled fighter but has a small margin for error and is in denial about his recent KO loss. Levi emphasizes that Harris should stay composed and not fight too emotionally.

vicious knockout
"I got Walt Harris via vicious knockout I think he is gonna have that moment I think he will touch the chin of Overeem"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Alistair Overeem

The host is torn but ultimately picks Overeem, citing his experience and ability to adjust after the Rozenstruik fight. He believes Overeem will be elusive, avoid Harris's early power, and take the fight to the ground for a TKO. He admits he's rooting for Harris due to his personal story but thinks Overeem's skills and tools will prevail.

Overeem by TKO in the third round
"I think I'm gonna go of Alistair Overeem win him by a second-round TKO I think he's gonna ground and pound Walt Harris"
KO (knee and punches) R1 0:12 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Walt Harris 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksei Oleinik 1 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Walt Harris 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksei Oleinik 1 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Walt Harris 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Walt Harris 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2
TKO (knees and punches) R1 0:50 · UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · May 04, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Walt Harris 1 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Serghei Spivac 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Walt Harris 1 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Serghei Spivac 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Walt Harris 17 of 28 60% 17 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 18 3 of 4 5 of 6
Serghei Spivac 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Walt Harris 17 of 28 60% 17 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 18 3 of 4 5 of 6
Serghei Spivac 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Andrei Arlovski
No Contest (overturned) R3 5:00 · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 29, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Walt Harris 0 44 of 93 47% 48 of 97 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Andrei Arlovski 0 24 of 93 25% 26 of 95 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Walt Harris 0 15 of 36 41% 17 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Andrei Arlovski 0 13 of 40 32% 14 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Walt Harris 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrei Arlovski 0 7 of 21 33% 8 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
3 Walt Harris 0 12 of 29 41% 14 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrei Arlovski 0 4 of 32 12% 4 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Walt Harris 44 of 93 47% 20 of 60 11 of 17 13 of 16 43 of 90 1 of 3 0 of 0
Andrei Arlovski 24 of 93 25% 13 of 72 11 of 20 0 of 1 21 of 85 3 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Walt Harris 15 of 36 41% 8 of 25 1 of 4 6 of 7 14 of 33 1 of 3 0 of 0
Andrei Arlovski 13 of 40 32% 8 of 30 5 of 9 0 of 1 10 of 34 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Walt Harris 17 of 28 60% 7 of 17 5 of 5 5 of 6 17 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrei Arlovski 7 of 21 33% 2 of 15 5 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Walt Harris 12 of 29 41% 5 of 18 5 of 8 2 of 3 12 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrei Arlovski 4 of 32 12% 3 of 27 1 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Daniel Spitz
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · Jun 01, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Walt Harris 1 29 of 79 36% 30 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Daniel Spitz 0 17 of 42 40% 17 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Walt Harris 0 11 of 32 34% 11 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Spitz 0 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Walt Harris 1 18 of 47 38% 19 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Daniel Spitz 0 10 of 26 38% 10 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Walt Harris 29 of 79 36% 19 of 61 6 of 14 4 of 4 18 of 66 2 of 2 9 of 11
Daniel Spitz 17 of 42 40% 1 of 17 5 of 13 11 of 12 17 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Walt Harris 11 of 32 34% 5 of 21 3 of 8 3 of 3 10 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Daniel Spitz 7 of 16 43% 0 of 5 4 of 8 3 of 3 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Walt Harris 18 of 47 38% 14 of 40 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 35 1 of 1 9 of 11
Daniel Spitz 10 of 26 38% 1 of 12 1 of 5 8 of 9 10 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Mark Godbeer
DQ (illegal head kick) R1 4:29 · UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · Nov 04, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mark Godbeer 0 21 of 38 55% 34 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:11
Walt Harris 0 3 of 15 20% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mark Godbeer 0 21 of 38 55% 34 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:11
Walt Harris 0 3 of 15 20% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mark Godbeer 21 of 38 55% 17 of 31 4 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 19 1 of 1 15 of 18
Walt Harris 3 of 15 20% 2 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mark Godbeer 21 of 38 55% 17 of 31 4 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 19 1 of 1 15 of 18
Walt Harris 3 of 15 20% 2 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0