UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024 · Middleweight · Completed
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Age 28
Height 6' 2"
Reach 79.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mansur Abdul-Malik
3.28 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
4.49 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
1.65 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
83.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Duško Todorović
4.73 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
4.4 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
1.77 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Moneyline
FanDuel -480
KO/TKO
FanDuel -175
Submission
BetRivers +850
Decision
BetWay +700
Duško Todorović
Moneyline
Caesars +400
KO/TKO
BetRivers +900
Submission
DraftKings +1800
Decision
FanDuel +1000
Mansur Abdul-Malik - Fight History
KO R3 3:39 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 16 of 60 26% 16 of 61 3 of 8 37% 0 0 2:07
Yousri Belgaroui 2 94 of 156 60% 107 of 170 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 7 of 24 29% 7 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yousri Belgaroui 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 7 of 20 35% 7 of 21 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:20
Yousri Belgaroui 1 44 of 63 69% 55 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
3 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 16 12% 2 of 16 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:47
Yousri Belgaroui 1 28 of 46 60% 30 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 16 of 60 26% 10 of 45 3 of 9 3 of 6 14 of 55 2 of 5 0 of 0
Yousri Belgaroui 94 of 156 60% 54 of 103 22 of 32 18 of 21 75 of 133 17 of 20 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 7 of 24 29% 3 of 14 1 of 4 3 of 6 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yousri Belgaroui 22 of 47 46% 3 of 18 6 of 13 13 of 16 22 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 7 of 20 35% 5 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 15 2 of 5 0 of 0
Yousri Belgaroui 44 of 63 69% 30 of 47 10 of 12 4 of 4 31 of 46 11 of 14 2 of 3
3 Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 16 12% 2 of 14 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yousri Belgaroui 28 of 46 60% 21 of 38 6 of 7 1 of 1 22 of 40 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Angelo picks Yorgan De Castro (Yousri Belgaroui) after previously making the mistake of picking a powerful wrestler against him. He trusts De Castro's range management and striking, and notes that Mansour has looked vulnerable in past fights. He believes De Castro can win if his takedown defense holds up.

"I'm going to trust my fellow Connecticut brethren. I'm going with Yorgan here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Big Brady picks Yousri Belgaroui to win by decision. He criticizes Mansur Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency and poor striking defense, noting he gets out-landed at distance by lesser opponents. He believes Belgaroui has a good chin and will outwork Malik over 15 minutes. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds prop because Malik often does nothing early.

Belgaroui by decision, over 1.5 rounds
"I like Yousri Belgaroui here. I think he wins this fight by decision just doing more."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Cody picks Belgaroui, citing his improvement, reach advantage, and superior kickboxing. He doubts Abdul-Malik's wrestling will be effective and believes Belgaroui can outpoint him.

"Balgree is a slight underdog, but it's Balgree all day for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Connor picks Belgaroui, impressed by his debut where he used an active jab to control Bekelev. He notes that Belgaroui's kickboxing technique is consistent and can fence off opponents, while Abdul-Malik is low output and sporadic, looking for a moment. However, he acknowledges Abdul-Malik's special athleticism and reach, and that Belgaroui still takes shots and gives openings under pressure.

Odds: Belgaroui opened +120, now -105; Abdul-Malik opened -140, now -115.
"I'm going to pick Belga Rui here."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel believes Abdul-Malik is a freak athlete with one-shot KO power and D1 wrestling. He thinks Belgaroui will engage, giving Abdul-Malik openings to land big shots and regain his hype.

"I'm going to go with my prospect at Manel Kape Abdulmalik to continue the win streak, and to put some hype back on his name."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host gives Abdul-Malik a 65-70% chance to win, citing his explosive power and Belgaroui's defensive vulnerabilities. Belgaroui is a technical counter striker but is hittable and has a 'giraffe neck' that makes him susceptible to knockouts. Abdul-Malik's speed and power should allow him to land big shots, and he may also have success with wrestling. The host is not super confident but sees value at -134.

Not interested in fight spread or over/under; expects a knockout.
"I think Abdul Malik is going to [__] send him to the shadow realm, brutally knock him out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

The host believes Belgaroui's technical striking and improved takedown defense will be key. He expects Belgaroui to use his reach and jab to pick apart Abdul-Malik, who may struggle with cardio if he can't dictate the pace. He notes the line movement towards Belgaroui and sees him winning by decision.

decision
"I think that leads to Belgi winning this fight by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul leans Abdul-Malik, thinking his wrestling and physicality will be the difference. He's hesitant due to Abdul-Malik's inconsistent wrestling usage.

"I'm hesitant, but it's Abdul Malikh for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

The MMA Guru picks Yousri Belgaroui, expressing surprise that he is an underdog. He believes Belgaroui's kickboxing pedigree and recent performance against Boev show he is levels above Abdul-Malik's previous competition. He notes Abdul-Malik's wins are over lower-tier opponents and that Belgaroui's takedown defense and striking will be too much. He predicts a TKO in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I think he should be the favorite and I'm picking him to win."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Belgaroui's active jab and consistent technique will be a problem for Abdul-Malik, whose MMA Masters game is reactive and not built to handle a maintenance strategy. He also mentions that Belgaroui handled a stiff test of defensive wrestling against Bekelev. However, he notes that Abdul-Malik is a special athlete with insane arm length and real kickboxing skills.

Odds: Belgaroui opened +120, now -105; Abdul-Malik opened -140, now -115.
"I'm going to take him as well."
Submission R1 1:09 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.

finish (implied)
"Mansur Abdul-Malik is the pick. It's not worth parlaying at minus 1,000."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.

Abdul-Malik by first round knockout
"This should be Mansur Abdul-Malik all day. ... I think he does it in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"Mansour Abdul Malik is going to beat him. Uh, not only that, they try to run the fight back in February. Tracoli pulls out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.

"Mansur Abdul Malik is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.

"The minus a thousand favorites is going to get a finish here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.

"Mansaw I got him to finish him maybe in round two or something."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"This should be a shellacking courtesy of Abdul Malik, who should be able to run over Trali within a round and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"I think the over one and a half plus 175 is like I think that's a good play."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.

late second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Manser Abdomalik to get this one done. Late second round TKO over Antonio Traola."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.

"Easy pick Malik is in fact opened at minus 800 is currently minus 1200."
Draw vs Cody Brundage
Draw R3 0:36 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 25 of 73 34% 25 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Cody Brundage 0 30 of 67 44% 30 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Brundage 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 10 of 28 35% 10 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Brundage 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Cody Brundage 0 9 of 15 60% 9 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 25 of 73 34% 17 of 55 3 of 13 5 of 5 18 of 60 0 of 0 7 of 13
Cody Brundage 30 of 67 44% 18 of 49 2 of 8 10 of 10 29 of 66 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 4 of 15 26% 2 of 10 0 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Brundage 11 of 21 52% 5 of 12 1 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 10 of 28 35% 5 of 18 2 of 7 3 of 3 10 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Brundage 10 of 31 32% 4 of 22 1 of 4 5 of 5 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mansur Abdul-Malik 11 of 30 36% 10 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 17 0 of 0 7 of 13
Cody Brundage 9 of 15 60% 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Cody Brundage
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Abdul-Malik (-800), Brundage (+500)

Round 1
The line on this middleweight pairing may not be quite as ludicrous as Wellmaker vs. Moutinho, but Abdul-Malik (8-0, 2-0 UFC) is coming in as a favorite anywhere from -950 to -1200, give or take. With eight finishes across his eight victories, prognosticators believe that his battle with Brundage (11-6, 1 NC; 5-5, 1 NC UFC) may not last long, win or lose. Referee Brent McKeehan is distinctly aware of the possibility, and is on his A-game right out of the gate. Fists are bumped before they are traded, and Brundage fires off some early warning kicks to demonstrate he is not going to be such an easy out. He lands a low kick as Abdul-Malik comes towards him, and he connects with a clean right hand. Brundage’s front kick pushes off the chest, and Abdul-Malik’s is much heavier in response. Brundage stands firm and delivers a kick to the body and one to the lead leg, and Abdul-Malik is unable to find his way in. The middleweights trade punches, and Abdul-Malik drives a front kick through the guard that surprises Brundage. Abdul-Malik walks him down but lets him entirely off the hook. Brundage strikes the front leg and fires a front kick down the middle, before lunging with an overhand right. Abdul-Malik swings a body kick and leaps at his foe with a jump knee, and Brundage steels himself and wings a pair of body shots back at him. The cautious round ends, and again fans drown the competitors out with boos.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik

Round 2
After a quick fist bump, the two meet in the middle of the cage without trading. Abdul-Malik tests the waters with a low kick, and he chambers a head kick and is met on the way down with an inside leg kick. Neither fighter is willing to commit to anything, resulting in a lull in action. Abdul-Malik decides to start fighting suddenly, running at Brundage and catching him with a right hand. Brundage retaliates with a flying knee, and Abdul-Malik tags him with another right on the ear as he plants his feet. The blow cuts Brundage behind his ear, which starts bleeding heavily down his neck. He paws at it and pays it little mind, instead winging a right hand at the overwhelming favorite. Abdul-Malik walks into a left hand as he tries to attack with a knee, and then they back off and measure one another for a while. Abdul-Malik eventually pushes out a front kick, and Brundage finds a way in and connects with two punches. Brundage’s overhand right just misses as the crowd gasps, seemingly desperate for a clean, solid strike to land. Brundage crashes the pocket but backs off when taking a low kick. Abdul-Malik spins with a back kick, and Brundage retaliates with an overhand right. The horn sounds to wrap the disappointing round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brundage

Round 3
Abdul-Malik runs at his opponent as soon as the round begins, railing Brundage with a flying knee. This immediately devolves in a ludicrous brawl, where both fighters wing hooks with everything they have. Abdul-Malik hurts Brundage, Brundage returns fire, and they proceed to bang it out. Brundage closes in and drives in a knee, and Abdul-Malik turns the corner and rails his opponent with a flush knee to the sternum and a direct head clash. Brundage goes down in a heap, shelling up as Abdul-Malik unloads on him with fiery fists. Abdul-Malik swings with bad intentions, and McKeehan gives Brundage every opportunity to recover before waving the fight off. Brundage immediately protests that he went down because of the clash of heads and not the knee, and the replay official is called upon to show the clear clash of heads. One of the unluckiest fighters in the sport has yet another bizarre ending in his strange tenure with the UFC, and it is up to McKeehan and the officials to send this one to the scorecards for a technical decision due to the fight-ending headbutt and the bout reaching the third round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)

The Official Result
Mansur Abdul-Malik def. Cody Brundage via Technical Decision (Unanimous) R3 0:36
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo picks Mansur because he believes the adversity in his last fight gave him a wake-up call. He expects Mansur to wrestle and avoid a firefight with Cody, who is dangerous early. He notes that if Mansur engages in a firefight, he is screwed.

I'm probably going to stay away from this one
"I'm going to pick Mansour because I think the adversity in his last fight gave him a little bit of a wakeup call."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady picks Mansur Abdul-Malik by first-round knockout. He expects a violent fight where both swing, but believes Malik's power and ground-and-pound will be too much for Brundage. He notes Brundage is dangerous early but has been fed tough opponents, and Malik is the most terrifying yet.

first round knockout
"I'm going to take Mansur Daleik to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, emphasizing the massive reach advantage (79.5 vs 72 inches) and Brundage's tendency to implode when his initial plan fails. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a composed, powerful fighter who will make Brundage work to get inside, leaving him open to counters. Connor thinks Brundage's only chance is an early guillotine, but that is unlikely.

Abdul-Malik opened at -423, now -803; Brundage opened at +287, now +617.
"It's just hard to imagine how he actually loses this fight it really is"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Abdul-Malik's athleticism, explosivity, and power will find a big shot to put Brundage away early. Brundage is expected to break quickly under that pressure.

round 1 knockout
"I think Abdul Malik will utilize his athleticism, explosivity, and power to find that big shot to put Brundage away early here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a powerful prospect who will finish Cody Brundage in the first round. He notes Brundage's tendency to 'tuck up in a ball' when grappling doesn't go his way, as seen against Sedriques Dumas. He expects a TKO, though he acknowledges Brundage could win if he gets a guillotine.

Mansur Abdul-Malik by first-round TKO; also mentioned a prop bet on fight time under 5.5 minutes
"Mansur Abdul Malik is going to [ __ ] up Cody Brundage like what is what is this matchmaking ... I think that Mansur Abdul Malik is going to chin Cody Brundage in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane picks Abdul-Malik confidently, noting that Brundage's shallow game plan and inability to adjust will leave him exposed. He points out that Abdul-Malik is young, powerful, and composed, and that Brundage's only path is to wrestle, but he lacks the depth to maintain it. Zane compares this to the Abdul-Razak Alhassan fight where Brundage was brutally finished.

Abdul-Malik opened at -423, now -803; Brundage opened at +287, now +617. Zane says the odds are too wide but understandable.
"Abdul Malik for sure he's just too powerful and too strong too tireless"
WIN vs Nick Klein
KO R2 3:24 · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Feb 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 29 of 54 53% 32 of 58 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:35
Nick Klein 0 28 of 46 60% 50 of 70 1 of 9 11% 0 0 3:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Nick Klein 0 16 of 26 61% 37 of 49 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:55
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 28 of 46 60% 31 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:27
Nick Klein 0 12 of 20 60% 13 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 54 53% 28 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 20 12 of 19 11 of 15
Nick Klein 28 of 46 60% 5 of 18 2 of 5 21 of 23 26 of 43 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 of 8 12% 0 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nick Klein 16 of 26 61% 3 of 11 0 of 2 13 of 13 14 of 23 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 28 of 46 60% 28 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 12 12 of 19 11 of 15
Nick Klein 12 of 20 60% 2 of 7 2 of 3 8 of 10 12 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Feb 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is extremely confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him probably his most confident pick on the entire card. He highlights Mansur's D1 wrestling, power, and clean takedowns, while noting Nick Klein is a solid grappler but less athletic and powerful. The only concern is a potential BJJ submission from Klein, but Angelo doesn't think Klein will win a scramble.

"Probably my most confident pick on the entire card is Mansur Abdul-Malik."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him the biggest favorite on the card at -900. He notes that Nick Klein is hittable and coming in on short notice, and that Abdul-Malik has nasty ground-and-pound. He struggles to see Klein getting the fight to the ground or surviving on the feet, predicting a brutal first-round knockout.

by first round knockout
"I just see maner knocking him out brutally in the first round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host expects Abdul-Malik to shut down Klein's grappling with superior wrestling and scrambling, then walk him down and land big shots for a first-round finish.

"I think Abdul Malik will be able to shut down the grapple heavy approach of Klein utilizing Superior wrestling and scrambling and eventually walking Klein down and Landing Big Shots putting him away in the first round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru calls this a layup for Abdul-Malik, noting his size, athleticism, and training at MMA Masters. He acknowledges Klein's submission win on the Contender Series but says taking the fight on short notice hurts his chances. He predicts a first round TKO for Abdul-Malik, also citing that crowds lead to more early finishes.

first round KO
"I'm gonna have to go with Manor Abdul Malik I think he'll probably get a TKO early here I'm gonna go first round KO for man mansur Abdul Malik"
TKO (knee and punches) R1 2:44 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.

included in a parlay
"I love moner in this spot I love the highlevel wrestling experience I will always favor wrestlers I love the explosiveness I love the fact that he works when he's on top he's not just hanging out racking up minutes …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.

Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'm taking maner Abdul Malik to get this done I think it's a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.

"I think manur just uses his wrestling credentials drops under takes him down now you got todorovic who is technically a blackbell but he's no good off his back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.

"I think Mansour Abdul Malik is going to come out here Saturday night and get his first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.

wins by KO
"I believe that's going to cause him a lot of issues to try to wipe off that ring Rush against the large explosive and Powerful opponent like Abdul Malik... which will lead to a knockout victory for the UFC newcomer"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.

"There's just too many red flags for me to get behind him as an underdog when there's some better looking ones later on in the show."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.

Great value on Todorović as underdog, should be closer to 2-1 favorite but is 3-1
"I'm still going to go mansur Abdul DUS goes too easily hit he's been out for a year and a bit a year and a half now um and he's coming off an ACL te and manur can wrestle offensively"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
Duško Todorović - Fight History
Submission R1 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
José Daniel Medina 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 16 of 24 66% 27 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 José Daniel Medina 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 16 of 24 66% 27 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
José Daniel Medina 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 3 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 José Daniel Medina 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 3 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Dusko because he is the more well-rounded guy and has fought better competition. He calls the odds 'stupid as hell' and says there's no way Dusko wins 74 out of 100 times. He notes Medina is a ground-and-pound fighter with decent striking but not particularly fast or powerful, while Dusko is a technical striker with power and takedowns, though his chin is questionable. He says neither guy is very good.

Odds are stupid as hell
"I'm going to pick Dusco because he is the more well-rounded guy. He's fought the better slate of competition."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Todorović despite his poor chin and striking defense, because Medina is even worse. He notes Todorović has good wrestling and ground-and-pound, while Medina has 31% takedown defense and no ground game. He predicts Todorović wins by second-round TKO via ground-and-pound.

Second round TKO
"I'm going to say Dusk wins this fight and wins it by second round TKO."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Despite Todorovic's durability issues, the host sees this as a winnable matchup. He expects Todorovic to utilize his grappling, control Medina from top position, and eventually secure a submission.

win by submission
"I think we'll see him get to his grappling, look to control Medina from that top position, and I think it's just a matter of time before he ends up pulling off a submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

The MMA Guru confidently picks Duško Todorović, noting he is a -325 favorite in 2025, which he sees as a clear sign. He dismisses José Medina as lacking power, athleticism, grappling, and jiu-jitsu, calling him a 'flabby big Latin guy' who shouldn't be in the UFC. He believes Todorović is more well-rounded and a better fighter.

"Dasco Toddovich has been given an opponent in the UFC and he is a minus 325 favorite. ... If that don't tell you Dusco is going to win, I don't know what does."
LOSS vs Zachary Reese
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 50 of 108 46% 73 of 135 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:19
Duško Todorović 0 35 of 65 53% 73 of 109 4 of 13 30% 1 1 5:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 6 of 11 54% 19 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:06
Duško Todorović 0 10 of 15 66% 31 of 38 3 of 4 75% 1 1 3:01
2 Zachary Reese 0 17 of 30 56% 25 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 8 of 16 50% 18 of 29 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:10
3 Zachary Reese 0 27 of 67 40% 29 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Duško Todorović 0 17 of 34 50% 24 of 42 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 50 of 108 46% 21 of 72 20 of 23 9 of 13 43 of 98 7 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 35 of 65 53% 22 of 50 8 of 10 5 of 5 22 of 50 6 of 6 7 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 6 of 11 54% 3 of 7 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 10 of 15 66% 8 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 8
2 Zachary Reese 17 of 30 56% 7 of 19 7 of 7 3 of 4 15 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 8 of 16 50% 2 of 10 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 11 4 of 4 0 of 1
3 Zachary Reese 27 of 67 40% 11 of 46 10 of 12 6 of 9 26 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 17 of 34 50% 12 of 28 3 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Zachary Reese but is hesitant due to Reese's tendency to play jiu-jitsu off his back and give up positions. He acknowledges Reese's power and size advantages and Todorović's questionable chin, but worries Reese might make bad decisions. He rates it as medium confidence on the website.

"Zach Reese is going to be the pick. He should be able to get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady fades Zachary Reese despite being a favorite, citing Reese's poor takedown defense (33%) and tendency to get finished. He notes Todorović has good ground-and-pound and can take Reese down. Although Todorović has terrible striking defense, Brady thinks Reese lacks the power to knock him out. He picks Todorović by second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'll take Dusco to to get the fight down to the ground, get on top of Zack Reese and and pound pound him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Reese because Todorović is a technical mess and easy to hit. He notes that Reese is also flawed but has more aggression and power. Connor emphasizes that this is a low-level fight and hard to pick with confidence.

"I agree. Yeah. Reese is a sizable favorite open to minus two 89 is currently minus two 27. Todorovich opened it plus two 14th kind of a plus one 96 people betting on these fights. Do you think really like, …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Matt picks Zachary Reese to win by knockout in round one. He expects a short fight, noting that Reese is explosive and violent with 7 of 8 wins in the first round, while Todorović has deteriorating durability and often gets finished. Matt likes the under 1.5 rounds and Reese round one knockout prop, and also mentions Reese by submission round one as a long shot.

under 1.5 rounds -170, Reese round one +155, Reese round one KO +230, Reese round one submission +900, Todorović round one KO +900
"I fully expect this fight to finish in the first round. The under one and a half at minus 170 is a spot I very much like."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese by first-round TKO, very confident. He notes Reese's size advantage (6'4") and Todorović's poor durability and chin. He mentions Todorović has been KO'd many times and Reese's pace is strong. He also had a PrizePicks bet on Reese under 5.25 minutes.

First round TKO; PrizePicks: fight less than 5.25 minutes
"I've never smelt a more obvious first round KO for Zachary Ree... I really see a first round finish for Zachary Ree here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese because he thinks Reese still has unchecked aggression and faith in his game, whereas Todorović seems to have lost confidence after a brutal loss. He notes that both fighters are low-level, but Todorović's tendency to knock himself out and his poor technical game make him the riskier pick.

"I guess I'll take Reese. Cause I think that he's still, I think that his, his aggression is still unchecked. I think he still has a lot of faith in his game. Even after probably that fact, we'll find out …"
TKO (knee and punches) R1 2:44 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.

included in a parlay
"I love moner in this spot I love the highlevel wrestling experience I will always favor wrestlers I love the explosiveness I love the fact that he works when he's on top he's not just hanging out racking up minutes …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.

Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'm taking maner Abdul Malik to get this done I think it's a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.

"I think manur just uses his wrestling credentials drops under takes him down now you got todorovic who is technically a blackbell but he's no good off his back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.

"I think Mansour Abdul Malik is going to come out here Saturday night and get his first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.

wins by KO
"I believe that's going to cause him a lot of issues to try to wipe off that ring Rush against the large explosive and Powerful opponent like Abdul Malik... which will lead to a knockout victory for the UFC newcomer"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.

"There's just too many red flags for me to get behind him as an underdog when there's some better looking ones later on in the show."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.

Great value on Todorović as underdog, should be closer to 2-1 favorite but is 3-1
"I'm still going to go mansur Abdul DUS goes too easily hit he's been out for a year and a bit a year and a half now um and he's coming off an ACL te and manur can wrestle offensively"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
TKO (knee injury) R1 1:52 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo thinks Christian Leroy Duncan will win by coming forward and bombing on Todorović, who has a questionable chin. He notes Duncan is a powerful striker with pressure and creativity, while Todorović is more technical but can be chinny. He is not betting but likes the does not go the distance prop.

does not go the distance
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan should win this fight I think he's gonna bomb away find that Chin dusko's Chin is not the best."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Duncan, noting his power and Todorović's poor striking defense and chin. He acknowledges Todorović has good top game but poor wrestling (12% takedown accuracy). He believes Duncan can get back up if taken down and find a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO, calling Todorović's wins unimpressive.

"I like Duncan here I like Duncan to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody picks Todorović as a dog, noting his top game and ground-and-pound are strong if he can get takedowns. He thinks Duncan's takedown defense is questionable and he may get taken down. He acknowledges Todorović's chin is a liability and he could get knocked out, but he's taking a small sniff at the dog. He says the fight likely doesn't go the distance.

fight doesn't go the distance
"I will actually take the bite on dusco todorovich and live to regret it heavily I'm sure"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, describing him as a big bully with powerful striking but poor grappling. He notes that Todorović is hittable and has struggled against aggressive fighters. Connor expects a messy fight where Duncan's power and durability will overcome Todorović's wrestling, as Duncan is comfortable in chaotic exchanges.

"I'm kind of gonna pick Duncan. It's gonna be a really stupid messy fight, but I think Duncan's pretty comfortable in those."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Jacob placed this as his first moneyline bet on the card, getting early value for premium members. He thinks Duncan has a huge advantage in striking and cardio, while Todorović needs to wrestle but has poor takedown control and gasses. He expects Duncan to dominate in front of the home crowd and likely finish.

bet placed early at better odds
"this was the first moneyline bet I placed because I think it's still good value I got it early for the premium members."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is an unorthodox striker with power and a good gas tank, able to conserve energy early and explode later. Todorović has a grappling-heavy approach but tends to slow down if he doesn't get a finish. Duncan's speed and striking should be too much, and he will likely pull away in the second and third rounds. A knockout victory is predicted, possibly in the third round.

"I think he's just way too unorthodox in the Striking realm for todorovich to get a beat on"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, noting he looks good on tape as a Cage Warriors champion with training in Thailand. He thinks Duncan's striking and finishing ability are real, and Todorović's chin is a massive liability. He says if Todorović can't get wrestling going, he gets knocked out. He initially bet Todorović by mistake but cashed out after realizing it was the wrong Duncan.

Christian Duncan by knockout (potential)
"I'm gonna pick Christian Duncan who I think actually has some decent potential moving forward"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by TKO, highlighting his impressive prospect pedigree and experience against tough competition. He notes Todorović has not beaten any UFC-level opponents and has been finished by everyone still in the UFC. Duncan's size, stand-up, and takedown defense are key advantages, and he predicts a highlight-reel finish via head kick or flying knee.

Duncan wins by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Christian Leroy Duncan over dusco todrovic"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Duncan's disdain for grapplers and his counter-striking will be effective. He points out that Todorović is not a great athlete and has been exposed by similar fighters. Zane believes Duncan's power and willingness to trade will be too much for Todorović.

"I gotta pick Duncan."
WIN vs Jordan Wright
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 25 of 41 60% 66 of 83 3 of 5 60% 1 0 5:03
Jordan Wright 0 61 of 80 76% 107 of 132 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 17 of 20 85% 58 of 62 3 of 3 100% 1 0 4:24
Jordan Wright 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Duško Todorović 0 8 of 21 38% 8 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Jordan Wright 0 58 of 77 75% 103 of 128 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 25 of 41 60% 20 of 35 5 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 18 7 of 9 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 61 of 80 76% 49 of 68 12 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 29 28 of 31 14 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 17 of 20 85% 16 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 5 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Duško Todorović 8 of 21 38% 4 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 17 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 58 of 77 75% 48 of 67 10 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 26 of 29 14 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.

"I'm confident in dusko but if Jordan pushes a wrestling heavy game plan like he attempted to in his last fight he actually could have some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.

Todorović wins by first-round ground-and-pound
"give me dasco todorovich I'll say first round grounded pound finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.

under 1.5 rounds -220; parlayed with Rodriguez/Jackson under 1.5 at +102
"I have a lot of money on the under one and a half rounds here... it's my biggest bet in a while."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.

"I'm picking Dushko Todorovich."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.

Under 1.5 rounds (juiced to -200 to -240), Todorović by KO round 1
"I am still going to go with todorovich I think he's the one that lands that big strike here and gets that finish first round knockout but the Ender is likely the play to go here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.

Jordan Wright by KO
"I gotta kind of think maybe PRP pick this week that I go Jordan right because listen it's gonna be a banger like you said and why can't he land a shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.

Jordan Wright is a 2-to-1 underdog
"Underdog time juicy two to one Underdog time I'm going with Jordan Wright"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.

"I'm picking Jordan right."
LOSS vs Chidi Njokuani
KO (elbow) R1 4:48 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 1 14 of 17 82% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:50
Duško Todorović 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 1 14 of 17 82% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:50
Duško Todorović 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 14 of 17 82% 3 of 4 8 of 10 3 of 3 5 of 7 9 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 14 of 17 82% 3 of 4 8 of 10 3 of 3 5 of 7 9 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani because of his power, speed, and distance control. He notes that Todorović has questions about his chin and that Njokuani has solid takedown defense. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside the distance, as he expects a finish.

Chidi Njokuani wins inside the distance
"chidi ninja kawani to win inside the distance is probably a pretty safe prop bet in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady picks Chidi Njokuani to win by first-round knockout, citing Todorović's horrendous striking defense and tendency to keep his hands down. He notes Njokuani has power and improved takedown defense. He acknowledges Njokuani has been finished in the past but believes he has improved. He expects the fight to stay standing and Njokuani to land a knockout early.

first round knockout
"chidi first round knockout for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Cody is impressed with Njokuani's improvements in grappling and cardio, noting his recent knockout of Marc-André Barriault. He highlights Todorović's poor head movement and susceptibility to getting hit, as seen in the Punahele Soriano fight. He believes Njokuani's striking acumen and upgraded ground game will lead to a finish, likely in the first two rounds.

Under 1.5 rounds
"i got chidi has just even with that price tag he's not a a first ticket top guy right yeah he hasn't proved that he's not still that apple pie [ __ ] from the past it's that he's on …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
Duško Todorović

The host predicts Duško Todorović via decision. He expects Todorović to control the fight by keeping Njokuani still and against the cage, leading to a potentially boring fight with a lot of control time. He is not fully confident, as he questions the pick slightly when discussing totals, but his official prediction is Todorović by decision.

under 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"my official prediction for that fight was duesco via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Njokuani's striking and improved cardio should be enough. He notes Todorović's defensive liabilities and that Njokuani likely lands a big strike in the first two rounds. He hates the moneyline at -220 but still picks Chidi.

Under 1.5 rounds
"chidi probably touches them up lands a big strike at some point in the first two rounds and there and there she blows but uh yeah chidi will be the pick for me hate the money line at minus 220."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru is very confident in Chidi Njokuani, citing his reach advantage and experience. He notes Duško Todorović leaves his chin up when exiting exchanges, and Njokuani's reach will allow him to land cleanly. He predicts a first-round KO for Njokuani.

first round KO
"i think chidina jaquani is gonna win this one yeah"
WIN vs Maki Pitolo
TKO (punches) R1 4:34 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Angelo picks Maki Pitolo but does not bet the moneyline; instead he takes inside the distance/decision no action at +140. He notes Maki has power, solid takedowns, and a tough chin, and that Dusko's chin is questionable. He believes Maki can win by stoppage, and if not, he gets a refund.

Inside the distance/decision no action at +140
"i like maki there i think he can win by stoppage and if he doesn't i'll get a full refund"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Big Brady picks Maki Pitolo as a dog, but with low confidence. He notes that neither fighter is reliable, but he likes Pitolo's game plan in his last fight against Julian Marquez, where he fought smart and used takedowns. He criticizes Todorović's terrible striking defense (48%) and poor takedown defense (50%), and believes Pitolo can exploit those weaknesses. However, he acknowledges Pitolo's inconsistency and loss to Callan Potter as red flags.

by decision
"i'm gonna take the dog and maki vitolo to win... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Cody also picks Pitolo, emphasizing Todorović's defensive flaws and Pitolo's sharper hands. He thinks Pitolo can beat him to the punch and potentially knock him out. Cody notes that Pitolo has cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds.

"so i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Daniel Levi leans towards Duško Todorović, citing his body work, clinch fighting, dirty boxing, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Todorović fights with his hands down and relies on head movement, which could be exploited by Pitolo's power. He acknowledges that Pitolo can crack and that Todorović leaves his chin up, making him vulnerable. He thinks Todorović can make the right decisions in a close fight.

"I lean dusko because i think if it's 1-1 going in that third round that dusko can make the right decisions to to make it happen"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Jacob picks Dusko Todorovic, noting his striking confidence and head movement. He thinks Dusko can win by submission at +285, but the odds are too short. He believes Maki's path is wrestling but he will gas, and Dusko's guard is active. Jacob likes Dusko all the way.

Dusko by submission at +285 (considered but not played)
"i like desco here i think he does win by sub but... the path to victory for mako is to wrestle and control him but i just don't think he's able to do that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Maki Pitolo

I like Pitolo here. He is better on the feet, throws more volume, and has better striking stats across the board. Todorović has defensive issues and tends to lose minutes. Pitolo should win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. I expect him to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 450 offers great value.

Pitolo by decision +450
"i like pitolo here i like him by decision as well i do think he'll kind of get the favor of the judges being the one kind of pushing the pace"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Paul picks Pitolo, citing his cleaner boxing and power. He notes that Todorović is a defensive liability with poor head movement and has been rocked in recent fights. Paul thinks Pitolo can knock him out or win a decision, but worries about Pitolo's cardio in the third round.

"i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Maki Pitolo

The MMA Guru picks Maki Pitolo to win by split decision. He expects a back-and-forth war where Todorović may drop Pitolo in the first but uses too much energy. Pitolo will grind out the second and third rounds with better pacing, landing knees and takedowns. He calls it a close fight, 29-28 split decision.

"i'm going to go with mackie patolo via decision i'm going to go split decision"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gregory Rodrigues 0 37 of 120 30% 46 of 133 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:26
Duško Todorović 0 71 of 150 47% 73 of 153 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gregory Rodrigues 0 10 of 36 27% 12 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
Duško Todorović 0 20 of 46 43% 22 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Gregory Rodrigues 0 13 of 37 35% 16 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:25
Duško Todorović 0 23 of 44 52% 23 of 44 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:12
3 Gregory Rodrigues 0 14 of 47 29% 18 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Duško Todorović 0 28 of 60 46% 28 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gregory Rodrigues 37 of 120 30% 23 of 103 10 of 13 4 of 4 27 of 106 10 of 14 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 71 of 150 47% 49 of 120 19 of 24 3 of 6 63 of 136 8 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gregory Rodrigues 10 of 36 27% 8 of 33 1 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 20 of 46 43% 14 of 39 4 of 5 2 of 2 19 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Gregory Rodrigues 13 of 37 35% 6 of 29 5 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 31 3 of 6 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 23 of 44 52% 16 of 35 6 of 7 1 of 2 19 of 40 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Gregory Rodrigues 14 of 47 29% 9 of 41 4 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 40 6 of 7 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 28 of 60 46% 19 of 46 9 of 12 0 of 2 25 of 52 3 of 8 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Big Brady sees many red flags in Todorović's striking defense (45%) and notes he fights with his hands down and chin up. He points out Todorović was knocked out by Punahele Soriano after getting clipped repeatedly. He believes Rodrigues hits very hard and will knock Todorović out, likely in the first round. He acknowledges both have poor defense but favors Rodrigues' power.

"give me rodriguez for the win here i'm going to say he wins by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody picks Dusko but is hesitant, noting his poor defense and tendency to get hit. He thinks Dusko's output and cardio could win if he survives the first round. Cody also mentions Gregory Rodrigues' BJJ background but notes he prefers striking. He likes the under 1.5 rounds as a live bet opportunity.

under 1.5 rounds +100
"my pick is going to be dusko but i think this one's a very interesting live bet opportunity"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Daniel leans Todorović due to his UFC experience and full camp, but acknowledges the fight could go either way. He praises Todorović's boxing in the pocket, ground and pound, and athleticism, but criticizes his habit of fighting with his hands down and relying on head movement. Daniel notes that Gregory Rodrigues hits hard and has good jiu-jitsu, but questions his cardio and competition level. He expects a close fight, possibly a split decision, and is not confident enough to bet on Todorović at chalk.

"i'm leaning doucheco just because of the ufc experience he's had the full camp here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Paul picks Dusko but is hesitant due to both fighters' suspect chins. He notes Dusko's output and cardio but worries about his durability after the Soriano knockout. Paul thinks Dusko can win if he survives the early exchanges. He also likes the under 1.5 rounds.

under 1.5 rounds +100
"i'll go with dusko here but i don't know if he's getting my money"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

The Guru picks Duško Todorović but expresses worry about his defensive flaws, particularly the way he rears his head back. He thinks Gregory Rodrigues hasn't fought good competition and lost to Jordan Williams on the contender series. He believes Todorović will wear Rodrigues down and finish by TKO in the second round, but acknowledges a chance Rodrigues catches him early due to Todorović's weird striking defense.

TKO round 2
"i'm going with dusko trojovic but i worry about him"
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.

included in a parlay
"I love moner in this spot I love the highlevel wrestling experience I will always favor wrestlers I love the explosiveness I love the fact that he works when he's on top he's not just hanging out racking up minutes he's doing damage"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.

Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'm taking maner Abdul Malik to get this done I think it's a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.

"I think manur just uses his wrestling credentials drops under takes him down now you got todorovic who is technically a blackbell but he's no good off his back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.

"I think Mansour Abdul Malik is going to come out here Saturday night and get his first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.

wins by KO
"I believe that's going to cause him a lot of issues to try to wipe off that ring Rush against the large explosive and Powerful opponent like Abdul Malik... which will lead to a knockout victory for the UFC newcomer"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.

"There's just too many red flags for me to get behind him as an underdog when there's some better looking ones later on in the show."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.

Great value on Todorović as underdog, should be closer to 2-1 favorite but is 3-1
"I'm still going to go mansur Abdul DUS goes too easily hit he's been out for a year and a bit a year and a half now um and he's coming off an ACL te and manur can wrestle offensively"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."