UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz · Jan 31, 2015 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
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Age 39
Height 5' 6"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 45
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Miesha Tate
2.62 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.05 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.97 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
56.0% TD Def.
1.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Sara McMann
2.26 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
1.92 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
4.38 TD Avg
65.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Miesha Tate - Fight History
LOSS vs Yana Santos
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 03, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yana Santos 0 66 of 117 56% 87 of 143 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Miesha Tate 0 40 of 115 34% 108 of 204 1 of 7 14% 0 0 5:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yana Santos 0 31 of 61 50% 43 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:25
Miesha Tate 0 22 of 55 40% 33 of 72 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:47
2 Yana Santos 0 31 of 44 70% 39 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Miesha Tate 0 13 of 43 30% 18 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:40
3 Yana Santos 0 4 of 12 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 5 of 17 29% 57 of 84 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yana Santos 66 of 117 56% 37 of 87 15 of 16 14 of 14 47 of 96 19 of 21 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 40 of 115 34% 25 of 88 8 of 17 7 of 10 29 of 100 8 of 10 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yana Santos 31 of 61 50% 14 of 44 9 of 9 8 of 8 19 of 47 12 of 14 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 22 of 55 40% 14 of 43 4 of 7 4 of 5 20 of 52 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Yana Santos 31 of 44 70% 20 of 33 6 of 6 5 of 5 24 of 37 7 of 7 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 13 of 43 30% 6 of 28 4 of 10 3 of 5 7 of 36 6 of 7 0 of 0
3 Yana Santos 4 of 12 33% 3 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 5 of 17 29% 5 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Yana Santos

Angelo picks Yana Santos as the underdog, citing her superior striking and footwork. He believes Miesha Tate is one-dimensional and will struggle to get takedowns. He notes that Santos looked good in her last fight and that Tate has not evolved enough to compete. He also mentions a possible spread bet if available.

Interested in +3.5 spread if available
"Jana's the pick. The sport just passes some people by."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Big Brady picks Miesha Tate, citing a clear path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He notes that Yana Santos has poor takedown defense (42%) and looks bad on bottom, as seen against Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira. Despite Tate's age (38) and inconsistency, her ground game is strong with submissions and ground and pound. He predicts Tate will finish by second-round submission.

Round 2 submission
"I'm going to go Miesa Tate to win this fight. I'll take her to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Connor believes Miesha Tate should win if she comes out with aggression like she did against Julia Avila. He notes that Yana Santos is a neutralizing fighter who is not very good at neutralizing, and that Santos needs a clueless opponent who can't figure out her simple game. He also mentions that Tate could be a bigger favorite than the current odds suggest, but acknowledges that there are versions of Tate that lose this fight.

Tate opened at -147, currently -136; Santos opened at +113, currently +120. Connor thinks Tate could be a bigger favorite.
"I'm definitely going to take Misha Tate. But if Yana Santos finds some kind of way to win this fight, not going to be excited or impressed."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Tate should take advantage of Santos's grappling shortcomings. She will mix up takedowns, get top control, and grind out a decision win.

"I believe we're going to see a great performance from Tate here as she should be able to take advantage of some of the grappling shortcomings in Santos's game."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate, stating that Yana Santos has shown an inability to do anything on the ground. He believes Tate's wrestling and experience will be enough to outwrestle Santos. He criticizes the state of women's bantamweight but expects Tate to get the win.

"I'm going to go with Misha Tate. She's a favorite as well. So actually it's not that crazy."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Zane agrees that Miesha Tate should have a good chance if she comes out with aggression, but he is less confident due to Tate's inconsistency. He notes that Yana Santos is a wholesale neutralizing fighter who is not very good at neutralizing, and that Santos needs a clueless opponent. He also points out that Tate has had many phases in her career where she tried something different, and that she was getting stymied by Lauren Murphy not long before her good performance against Avila.

"Yeah, if she just comes out with some kind of aggression. She should have a good chance of beating Yana Santos."
WIN vs Julia Avila
Submission (face crank) R3 1:15 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miesha Tate 0 32 of 37 86% 127 of 152 4 of 5 80% 1 0 10:55
Julia Avila 0 3 of 11 27% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miesha Tate 0 16 of 18 88% 50 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:54
Julia Avila 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miesha Tate 0 16 of 18 88% 69 of 82 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:50
Julia Avila 0 2 of 7 28% 10 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Miesha Tate 0 0 of 1 0% 8 of 9 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:11
Julia Avila 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miesha Tate 32 of 37 86% 31 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 27 of 29
Julia Avila 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miesha Tate 16 of 18 88% 16 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 14
Julia Avila 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miesha Tate 16 of 18 88% 15 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 15
Julia Avila 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Miesha Tate 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julia Avila 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Cody takes Tate as an underdog. He argues that Tate has fought much higher competition and even in losses she's competitive. He notes Avila's wins are over low-level opponents and she has poor takedown defense. He thinks Tate's experience and wrestling will be the difference, and that Avila's layoff and knee injury are concerns. He believes Tate's back class carries her.

"I will take that plus money on Misha Tate and think the back class carries are through here to get it done one last time"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Lucrative James leans towards Miesha Tate, citing intangibles such as Julia Avila's layoff after having a baby (possibly via C-section) and her previous gym issues. He believes Tate's grappling can neutralize Avila's striking, and that Avila's path to victory is on the feet. He suggests attacking props like Tate by decision rather than the moneyline.

Tate by decision
"I think Misha Tate has got some of the narrative and some of the intangibles going on on this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Tate is a former champion with a strong wrestling base, and she should be able to take Avila down and grind out a win. Avila is aggressive but lacks technical striking and has shown takedown defense issues. Both fighters are returning from long layoffs, but Tate's wrestling advantage and underdog odds make her a good value pick. The fight is expected to get easier for Tate in rounds two and three.

plus 125 underdog
"I think that she's a damn good Underdog spot on this card for two fighters that haven't really been active uh as of late"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Julia Avila

Paul sides with Avila, citing her strength and striking. He thinks Tate's motivation is questionable and that this could be a retirement fight. He notes Avila is the better striker and stronger, but acknowledges Tate's higher level of competition. He has a creeping suspicion that both fighters might retire after this.

"I'm going to side with Avala here I I have a creeping suspicion that this could be like if Avala wins both Fighters get the uh get the microphone at the end and there's some gloves down in the cage …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate as an underdog, noting her competitive fights against top competition like Ketlen Vieira and Lauren Murphy. He believes Julia Avila's inactivity and unimpressive last performance make Tate a live dog. He expects Tate to win by decision.

underdog, decision win
"I'm taking the underdog of Miesha Tate... she went to a pretty close fight with Ketlen Vieira... I'm going to go Miesha Tate as an underdog... win by decision."
LOSS vs Lauren Murphy
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 102 of 184 55% 128 of 211 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:18
Miesha Tate 0 85 of 164 51% 121 of 201 0 of 7 0% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 26 of 48 54% 35 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
Miesha Tate 0 25 of 47 53% 38 of 60 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:04
2 Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 66 57% 53 of 82 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:41
Miesha Tate 0 32 of 55 58% 46 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 70 54% 40 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Miesha Tate 0 28 of 62 45% 37 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 102 of 184 55% 77 of 154 24 of 29 1 of 1 68 of 142 31 of 39 3 of 3
Miesha Tate 85 of 164 51% 61 of 122 18 of 34 6 of 8 67 of 138 18 of 26 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 26 of 48 54% 17 of 37 9 of 11 0 of 0 15 of 33 11 of 15 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 25 of 47 53% 12 of 26 10 of 18 3 of 3 16 of 34 9 of 13 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 38 of 66 57% 31 of 57 6 of 8 1 of 1 26 of 52 9 of 11 3 of 3
Miesha Tate 32 of 55 58% 27 of 44 4 of 9 1 of 2 25 of 46 7 of 9 0 of 0
3 Lauren Murphy 38 of 70 54% 29 of 60 9 of 10 0 of 0 27 of 57 11 of 13 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 28 of 62 45% 22 of 52 4 of 7 2 of 3 26 of 58 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Angelo picks Miesha Tate but is hesitant due to her flyweight debut. He believes Tate's wrestling and grappling will be key, and that she can avoid being bullied by Murphy. He notes Murphy's losses came via grappling dominance, and assumes Tate will be strong at 125. He is unsure about betting.

unsure about betting
"so i'm gonna go with misha tate here anybody complaining that she's a little old she's 35 she's a younger fighter in this matchup so misha tate one big brother and i think she's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Big Brady picks Miesha Tate to win by decision. He notes that Tate is the more skilled fighter overall and can get takedowns to control the fight on the mat. He is not impressed by Murphy's wins and thinks the striking will be competitive. He says he would not bet Tate at -220 odds but picks her to win.

decision win; odds comment: minus 220 too high
"i'll take misha tate but minus 220. there's no way i would touch that but gimishita misha tate bye decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Cody picks Tate, citing her wrestling advantage, strength, and experience. He notes that Tate has been preparing for this fight for a long time and has been in great shape. He believes Tate's clinch work and takedowns will be too much for Murphy, and that Murphy's only path is to bully Tate, which he doubts she can do.

"i gotta go with cupcake tate i know that you haven't eight minus one five"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Daniel Levi leans Miesha Tate but expresses disinterest in the fight. He notes Tate is past her prime and coming off a loss, while Murphy is coming off a title fight loss and has health issues. He considers it a dog-or-pass situation and won't lay the -220 price on Tate.

dog-or-pass; not laying the chalk
"i'll say it's dog or pass at the betting window you know with a price like that i'll lean misha tate"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Lauren Murphy

Paul leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing the uncertainty of Tate's weight cut to 125 and the fact that Murphy is a natural 125er. He notes that Murphy has decent striking and could potentially outwork Tate. However, he admits he is not confident and will wait until weigh-ins before betting.

"i think it's a very very clear dogger pass lauren murphy for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate over Lauren Murphy, criticizing Murphy's lack of skill and Tate's experience. He believes Tate will win grappling exchanges and has slightly better striking. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Tate, with Tate winning the first two rounds clearly before slowing down due to weight cut.

"i'm gonna go with misha tate here lauren murphy has no idea what she's doing she's terrible at fighting"
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 113 of 263 42% 156 of 313 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Miesha Tate 0 122 of 276 44% 145 of 302 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 14 of 38 36% 18 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 13 of 38 34% 16 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:52
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 29 of 54 53% 29 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 21 of 54 38% 21 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 20 of 55 36% 28 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 24 of 57 42% 26 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
4 Ketlen Vieira 0 20 of 43 46% 50 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Miesha Tate 0 31 of 54 57% 44 of 70 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:34
5 Ketlen Vieira 0 30 of 73 41% 31 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 33 of 73 45% 38 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 113 of 263 42% 95 of 243 14 of 16 4 of 4 105 of 254 8 of 9 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 122 of 276 44% 52 of 175 60 of 88 10 of 13 110 of 260 12 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 14 of 38 36% 12 of 36 1 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 36 1 of 2 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 13 of 38 34% 8 of 24 4 of 11 1 of 3 13 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 29 of 54 53% 24 of 48 2 of 3 3 of 3 29 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 21 of 54 38% 14 of 42 6 of 10 1 of 2 21 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 20 of 55 36% 18 of 52 2 of 3 0 of 0 20 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 24 of 57 42% 4 of 28 15 of 24 5 of 5 21 of 54 3 of 3 0 of 0
4 Ketlen Vieira 20 of 43 46% 16 of 39 4 of 4 0 of 0 15 of 38 5 of 5 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 31 of 54 57% 8 of 27 21 of 25 2 of 2 24 of 45 7 of 9 0 of 0
5 Ketlen Vieira 30 of 73 41% 25 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0 28 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 33 of 73 45% 18 of 54 14 of 18 1 of 1 31 of 70 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ketlen Vieira vs. Miesha Tate

Round 1
At long last, we have reached the main event. It’s been a journey tonight. Vieira (11-2, 5-2 UFC) will try to get back in the win column against former champ Tate (19-7, 6-4 UFC). The cage commander for this final fight of the night is referee Jason Herzog, and both with an eye on a crack at the bantamweight belt in the future touch hands to start things out. Vieira captures the center of the cage in the early going, but they keep a very safe range from the other to not land punches or kicks. They take turns following the other, until Vieira sits down with a right hand to smack Tate in the face. Tate tries to jab the body a few times, and Vieira is there to pop her with a left hand over the top. Tate swings, misses, and gets countered by the Brazilian. Vieira sticks out a crisp jab, and her range is giving Tate pause at how to get in on her. When Tate jumps forward into a one-two, Vieira swats it out of the way and dances back when Tate aims a kick at her leg. Tate appears jittery as she hops back and forth to try to get in on Vieira, throwing a single front kick to the body. Vieira tags Tate with a right hand when Tate closes in on her, and the former champ lands a pair of successful punches. Caught celebrating her work a little too long, Vieira counters her with heavier blows before Tate can escape. The distance between the two is vast, and Tate resorts to staggering and stutter-stepping her way in. Tate chases Vieira down and slugs her in the face with a combination, and when Vieira tries to answer her with strikes of her own, Tate ties her up and presses her into the wall. Although Vieira separates, Tate knees her once to the body. Tate ducks a punch combination to push Vieira back into the wire, and like before, Vieira is able to separate without issue. From a distance, Vieira shoots in for a takedown, and Tate is able to stop it from succeeding. They end the round in an awkward position with Tate’s hand on her foe’s backside.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tate
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Tate
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tate

Round 2
A tense exchange begins the second round, and Vieira lands cleanly on Tate’s left eye, forcing some reddening and immediate swelling. Tate pays it no mind as she kicks Vieira in the head, but it is only a glancing blow as the Brazilian rolls with it. Tate keeps reaching out to try to get in on her opponent, and she eats a Vieira punch so that she can score a solid right hand. The former champ plants the fall of her foot on Vieira’s torso, interrupting Vieira from landing a strike. Tate winds up with a stiff right hand, nailing Vieira and forcing her to reel. In response, Vieira scores a left hand down the pipe. Vieira chops at the leg, and they both start trading heavy leather in front of one another. Tate lands, and Vieira is stuck countering instead of leading the exchanges. This allows Tate to land on her first before replying. Tate connects with a big kick to Vieira’s face, and she sees that it has done some damage as she follows it with a chain of punches. Tate strings together a few one-twos, and Vieira shakes it off and lands her own thudding left hook on the side of Tate’s head. The woman formerly known as “Takedown” attempts one in the open cage, and Vieira stuffs it without issue. She tries again, and Vieira stops that one as well and separates. Tate walks Vieira down with kicks and punches, while not appearing too worried about the single counters that come back at her. Tate scores with a pair of clean right hands, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tate
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tate

Round 3
Tate comes out firing to start off the second round, surprising the Brazilian early with a short blitz of blows. Backing away before the counters follow suit, Tate changes things up with an inside leg kick and then one on the outside. Vieira leans into a left hand, and after a lull in the action, Tate reaches out with a left hand to stop a punch and she pokes Vieira square in the eyeball. Herzog acknowledges this and brings in the doctor, and after a minute to clear things out, Vieira is ready to go again. Tate wants to capitalize on this accident by chasing Vieira down with jabs and follow-up right hands. Tate keeps a low stance, and she punches the body while Vieira is sitting firmly on counters. Tate punches, slips the response and jabs out again. Tate gives chase, and a big right hand gets caught under Vieira’s armpit. Tate lands a right, tries to clinch up and eats a short right hand for her effort. Tate goes up high with a kick, and when it collides off of Vieira’s guard, Vieira aims a right hand down the middle. Tate advances, and Vieira swings a pair of looping hooks to keep Tate honest. The former champ lands a single strike, while Vieira’s prepared counter of an uppercut and a right hand knocks Tate back. The Brazilian lands cleanly in another exchange, forcing Tate to change levels and pursue a takedown. Vieira defends it well and separates without going down to her knees. When Vieira gets up, Tate meets her outstretched leg with a kick, and Vieira lances her with a right hand in a sharp retort. Tate rushes forward to clinch her up to end the round, and she holds on to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Tate
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 4
They meet and touch gloves in the center of the cage to initiate the championship rounds. Tate starts off aggressively, chasing her opponent down and landing punches. Tate clubs her opponent with a crisp right hand, and she escapes when Vieira sets up a counter. The Brazilian lands a few punches from a distance, and they trade heavily suddenly. Tate mixes things up with a takedown attempt, and she finally hits it and gets Vieira down. As “Fenomeno” stands up, Tate takes her back and looks to hit a mat return by tripping Vieira down. Clinched up, Tate gives up on the takedown entry so that she can land short strikes to the body and head. Staying tight keeps Tate away from eating any counters, and she presses her full body weight on her opponent that had never before fought beyond the third round. Vieira grits her teeth and pushes Tate away, and she starts lunging out with jabs. Tate marks her up with a big punch, and Vieira blasts her right back. Both women wear it well, and Tate kicks Vieira in the body from afar. Tate lands a few punches before coming in to clinch, and she knees Vieira in the body once. Vieira gives several punches back to the midsection, until Tate has had enough of that and pushes away. A Tate leg kick is met with a straight left hand, and Vieira catches Tate coming in with a string of punches. Vieira loads up on a right hand, and she elbows Tate when Tate tries to clinch. Vieira welcomes the clinch again in the open cage, as she repeatedly punches Tate in the side as she did before. Tate holds on tight with a clinch, and she releases a knee to the head. Another knee scores for the former champ, who ends the round in the Thai clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tate

Round 5
The bantamweights touch hands and then come in to hug to commence the last round. Vieira lets her hands go when they start fighting, and she connects cleanly with power punches as Tate looks to be safe. They come together in a clinch, and Tate works the body before Vieira separates. Vieira tags her opponent with an uppercut and a left hand, and Tate is forced to back off and gather her thoughts. When she does, the ex-champ kicks the body and then tries to get a knee off to the chest. Tate kicks the body, but Vieira is there to bang with her as she starts throwing hard. As Tate backs off, Vieira leans on a long jab, and she busts Tate’s nose open with a powerful knee and a few punches up top. Tate misses on one-twos as Vieira appears to be the fresher, more composed woman right now. Tate springs back and forth, jabbing out but not throwing nearly as much as she did before the nose got cracked. Tate sneaks a right hand over the top, but Vieira throws three back at her that are much heavier. They trade single jabs, and Tate steps forward into a one-two that knocks Vieira back. Vieira returns fire with jabs that continue to pound into Tate’s bloodied nose, and the former champion’s face has transformed into a crimson mask. Hardly recognizable, Tate does not care, as she continues to swing punches while Vieira is tight and crisp with her boxing. The jabs have shut Tate’s left eye as well as making her nose bleed furiously, and Tate marches on and kicks her in the side. Tate continues to pour it on as Vieira stays on her bicycle, successfully scoring with laser-accurate strikes that barely register for Tate. The fight comes to an end after 25 minutes of action, and it could be anyone’s guess who wins this fight based on how close most of the rounds were. UFC Fight Night 198, and a consecutive weekend stretch of 10 UFC cards, comes to an end with an event that brought 10 decisions in 11 bouts. We all could use a week off, and we will have it. When the UFC returns in December, it will be on ESPN for U.S. audiences with a barnburner of a main event between Rob Font and Jose Aldo. We will be here for it, and we hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (48-47 Vieira)
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (48-47 Vieira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (48-47 Tate)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Miesha Tate via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ketlen Vieira

Angelo picks Ketlen Vieira, citing her power, size, and solid takedown defense (92%). He notes Miesha Tate's striking is poor and she relies on takedowns, but Vieira has stuffed takedowns from Olympic wrestler Sarah McMahon. He expects Vieira to win by decision or late stoppage, and placed a moneyline bet at even money (+100). He also mentions live betting opportunities.

Moneyline bet at +100, 1 unit; DraftKings price 7900; monkey knife fight more/more; mentions live betting if Tate has takedown success early
"caitlyn is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Big Brady picks Miesha Tate to win by late finish (4th or 5th round). He notes that Ketlen Vieira has never fought five rounds and tends to slow down in the third round, as seen in fights against Eubanks and Kanutsukai. He believes Tate's improved striking and wrestling will allow her to survive early and take over as Vieira fades. He sees a late stoppage as very live.

win by TKO or submission, fourth or fifth round
"I'm gonna take misha tate to win give me like a fourth or fifth round late late round uh later on stoppage here for tate"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Cody believes Miesha Tate is undervalued as a slight underdog. He points to Tate's championship pedigree, improved striking, and excellent conditioning for a five-round fight. He highlights Ketlen Vieira's history of gassing in the third round of her fights, including against Yana Kunitskaya where she was out-struck 44-7. Cody argues that Tate's wrestling is good enough to stuff takedowns and that if the fight stays standing, Tate has the advantage. He expects Tate to take over in rounds four and five as Vieira fades.

"what am i missing here paul like what i don't under 100 and understand why uh it's misha tate's slight underdog status versus ket and vieira"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Ketlen Vieira

Daniel Levi picks Ketlen Vieira despite her history of mental lapses and cardio issues. He notes that Vieira has superior skills across the board, including judo and power, but worries about her hitting a wall in later rounds. He believes Miesha Tate is stiff and slow, and that Vieira has no pressure on her in this fight. However, he acknowledges Tate's toughness and comeback ability, making this a hesitant pick.

"i think vieira's the better fighter honestly across the board... i'm gonna go with kellen vieira she's been very quiet very business business-minded approach this week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Lock sees this as a classic early Vera vs late Tate fight. He thinks Vera gasses badly after round two, and Tate will take over with takedowns and top control. He notes Tate is hunting a finish and might get it late. Lock likes the under 4.5 rounds at +140 and Tate inside the distance at +375. He also sprinkled Tate round 4 and round 5 props.

Under 4.5 rounds +140, Miesha Tate inside the distance +375, Miesha Tate round 4 +2500, Miesha Tate round 5 +3000, Ketlen Vieira by KO +600
"I like the under four and a half at plus 140ish... I think those takedowns will come a little bit easier for tate as the fight wears on."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Paul agrees with Cody's assessment, noting that Vieira's gas tank is a major concern, especially in a five-round fight. He references the Yana Kunitskaya fight where Vieira missed weight and gassed hard at the end of round three. Paul believes that if Vieira cannot put Tate away early, Tate will take over late. He also mentions that this could be a good live bet opportunity if Vieira slows down in round three and Tate is still available at plus money.

Paul mentions this could be an even better live bet if we get into round three and Vieira starts slowing down; he notes Tate was plus money (-105) at DraftKings.
"i'm gonna have some money on misha tape straight up but i feel like potentially this could be an even better live bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate over Ketlen Vieira. He notes that Vieira slows down in later rounds, as seen against Yana Kunitskaya and Sijara Eubanks. He highlights Tate's championship experience, composure, and conditioning. He expects a stalemate on the feet early, but Tate to win scrambles and land ground and pound in the later rounds, finishing with a fourth-round TKO.

fourth round TKO via ground and pound
"i'm going with misha tate as the favorite here i reckon she's got this one in the bag"
WIN vs Marion Reneau
TKO (punches) R3 1:53 · UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moises · Jul 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miesha Tate 0 25 of 64 39% 48 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marion Reneau 0 65 of 120 54% 110 of 183 3 of 6 50% 0 0 5:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miesha Tate 0 15 of 37 40% 30 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marion Reneau 0 25 of 43 58% 34 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:36
2 Miesha Tate 0 8 of 18 44% 16 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marion Reneau 0 22 of 40 55% 45 of 64 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:01
3 Miesha Tate 0 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marion Reneau 0 18 of 37 48% 31 of 67 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miesha Tate 25 of 64 39% 16 of 54 7 of 8 2 of 2 15 of 49 7 of 9 3 of 6
Marion Reneau 65 of 120 54% 44 of 93 16 of 20 5 of 7 32 of 74 8 of 8 25 of 38
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miesha Tate 15 of 37 40% 8 of 29 5 of 6 2 of 2 7 of 26 6 of 8 2 of 3
Marion Reneau 25 of 43 58% 15 of 31 9 of 10 1 of 2 19 of 37 5 of 5 1 of 1
2 Miesha Tate 8 of 18 44% 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 3
Marion Reneau 22 of 40 55% 15 of 29 3 of 6 4 of 5 8 of 25 0 of 0 14 of 15
3 Miesha Tate 2 of 9 22% 1 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Marion Reneau 18 of 37 48% 14 of 33 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 12 3 of 3 10 of 22
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Miesha Tate

Cody is confident in Miesha Tate despite the five-year layoff, citing her excellent physical shape and the fact that Marion Reneau is on a four-fight losing streak and has announced her retirement. He believes Tate's wrestling and grappling will be the difference, and he is surprised the odds are not wider. He acknowledges the red flags but thinks the matchup is favorable.

"Miesha Tate I got it like minus 122 I think minus 135 is still more than fair in this spot."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert pick date unknown

Paul expresses significant doubts about Miesha Tate's return, citing the five-year layoff, her split with longtime coach Brian Caraway, and her lackluster performances before retiring. He notes that Marion Reneau is durable and has experience, but ultimately he has no confidence in either fighter and passes on betting the fight. He does not make a clear pick.

"I have no confidence on the fight okay so just because dude he just talked about mirror no having a shot doesn't matter okay I'm just either pass."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor · Nov 12, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raquel Pennington 0 21 of 65 32% 48 of 93 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:26
Miesha Tate 0 43 of 77 55% 111 of 156 1 of 1 100% 3 0 6:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raquel Pennington 0 7 of 29 24% 12 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:35
Miesha Tate 0 8 of 21 38% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:20
2 Raquel Pennington 0 13 of 32 40% 26 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:36
Miesha Tate 0 24 of 37 64% 55 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:57
3 Raquel Pennington 0 1 of 4 25% 10 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Miesha Tate 0 11 of 19 57% 42 of 55 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raquel Pennington 21 of 65 32% 8 of 34 11 of 28 2 of 3 11 of 47 10 of 18 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 43 of 77 55% 31 of 65 8 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 46 13 of 15 11 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raquel Pennington 7 of 29 24% 2 of 13 3 of 13 2 of 3 7 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 8 of 21 38% 7 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Raquel Pennington 13 of 32 40% 5 of 17 8 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 14 10 of 18 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 24 of 37 64% 16 of 29 8 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 22 13 of 15 0 of 0
3 Raquel Pennington 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 11 of 19 57% 8 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 3 0 of 0 11 of 16
LOSS vs Amanda Nunes
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:16 · UFC 200: Tate vs. Nunes · Jul 09, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 3 of 15 20% 3 of 15 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 40 of 63 63% 40 of 63 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 3 of 15 20% 3 of 15 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 40 of 63 63% 40 of 63 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 3 of 15 20% 2 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 40 of 63 63% 35 of 54 3 of 5 2 of 4 30 of 50 3 of 5 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 3 of 15 20% 2 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 40 of 63 63% 35 of 54 3 of 5 2 of 4 30 of 50 3 of 5 7 of 8
WIN vs Holly Holm
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R5 3:30 · UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz · Mar 05, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miesha Tate 0 59 of 142 41% 68 of 151 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
Holly Holm 0 40 of 104 38% 65 of 132 2 of 9 22% 2 0 5:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miesha Tate 0 14 of 28 50% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Holly Holm 0 7 of 27 25% 7 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Miesha Tate 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Holly Holm 0 11 of 18 61% 29 of 36 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:30
3 Miesha Tate 0 13 of 41 31% 13 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Holly Holm 0 7 of 23 30% 8 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Miesha Tate 0 14 of 40 35% 22 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Holly Holm 0 7 of 22 31% 12 of 29 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
5 Miesha Tate 0 17 of 31 54% 18 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Holly Holm 0 8 of 14 57% 9 of 16 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miesha Tate 59 of 142 41% 35 of 109 16 of 21 8 of 12 57 of 139 2 of 3 0 of 0
Holly Holm 40 of 104 38% 29 of 83 7 of 12 4 of 9 26 of 88 4 of 4 10 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miesha Tate 14 of 28 50% 8 of 19 5 of 5 1 of 4 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Holly Holm 7 of 27 25% 7 of 23 0 of 2 0 of 2 6 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Miesha Tate 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Holly Holm 11 of 18 61% 10 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 12
3 Miesha Tate 13 of 41 31% 9 of 35 2 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Holly Holm 7 of 23 30% 3 of 16 2 of 3 2 of 4 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Miesha Tate 14 of 40 35% 8 of 30 3 of 6 3 of 4 12 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
Holly Holm 7 of 22 31% 6 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 20 2 of 2 0 of 0
5 Miesha Tate 17 of 31 54% 10 of 24 5 of 5 2 of 2 17 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Holly Holm 8 of 14 57% 3 of 8 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sara McMann - Fight History
WIN vs Karol Rosa
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 24 of 41 58% 73 of 100 4 of 6 66% 0 0 10:27
Karol Rosa 0 26 of 43 60% 92 of 120 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 10 of 15 66% 31 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:44
Karol Rosa 0 7 of 11 63% 31 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sara McMann 0 5 of 13 38% 7 of 15 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:45
Karol Rosa 0 6 of 12 50% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:00
3 Sara McMann 0 9 of 13 69% 35 of 48 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:58
Karol Rosa 0 13 of 20 65% 52 of 67 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 24 of 41 58% 15 of 28 6 of 8 3 of 5 7 of 21 7 of 8 10 of 12
Karol Rosa 26 of 43 60% 20 of 36 4 of 4 2 of 3 13 of 25 7 of 7 6 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 10 of 15 66% 8 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 6 of 7
Karol Rosa 7 of 11 63% 5 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sara McMann 5 of 13 38% 1 of 7 4 of 5 0 of 1 3 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Sara McMann 9 of 13 69% 6 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 3 5 of 5 4 of 5
Karol Rosa 13 of 20 65% 12 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 6 6 of 6 3 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sara McMann vs. Karol Rosa

Round 1
Once an undefeated title challenger, now at the age of 41 having lost three of her last four, McMann (12-6, 6-6 UFC) will be fighting now to keep her UFC record above the .500 mark when she takes on surging Brazilian Rosa (15-3, 4-0 UFC). The Octagon ranger for this bantamweight battle and preliminary headliner will be Chad Trukovich, and the two ladies show nothing but respect as they touch ‘em up first. McMann takes the center of the cage and starts off with a kick to the knee, and she wades forward with a pair of punches to the midsection. The two are tentative to engage with much else, as Rosa swings and misses with a pair of punches. The ladies whiff on punches, until McMann closes the distance and rips an uppercut up close. Rosa tries to reply, and McMann shoots through to hit a double and set the Brazilian on the canvas. Rosa looks to try to scramble and sweep her, but McMann uses this to nearly take her back and then place her flat on her back. McMann works with a few elbows in half guard, using heavy shoulder pressure to keep Rosa stuck without a way up. Rosa flails with strikes off her back, and McMann completely ignores them to isolate an arm and punch Rosa in the body repeatedly. McMann smothers her foe and smashes her in the face before isolating a wrist in search of a keylock. Rosa scrambles just enough to free her arm, but she is nowhere near getting off her back as the Olympian holds her down with ease. McMann grinds with elbows as she makes Rosa’s life miserable, posturing up every so often to land a few strikes before lowering herself down. McMann goes after another Americana briefly before letting it go to slash with a few elbows, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 McMann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann

Round 2
Rosa comes out of her corner to claim the center of the cage in Round 2, and she throws a high front kick that misses early. McMann bullies her way into a clinch, scoring a stern knee to the solar plexus, before Rosa pushes away and tries to gain space. McMann ducks a strike to throw three to the head and body. Rosa tries to counter, inaccurately doing so, and she takes a right hand to the body. The Brazilian fights off a single-leg takedown try, and as soon as McMann gets a hold of her, she elevates Rosa and tosses her down to the mat. From there, Rosa surrenders her back, with McMann getting both hooks in very quickly. Rosa looks to spin, but cannot, as McMann keeps wrist control. This position stalls out, with McMann easily holding dominant position but doing little else with it besides racking up riding time. Rosa is stuck and throws a few punches from behind her head, and McMann does not change her strategy one bit. The crowd begins to grow restless as McMann hangs on in back control, and McMann answers this by hooking up a body triangle. The Brazilian keeps a tight grip on her own wrists when McMann tries to isolate one in search of an armbar, and McMann throws her legs up in a full-throated effort for the armbar. Rosa winces as she is stuck in a very precarious position, and she stacks the Olympian up to protect herself from the greatest submission danger. McMann keeps that armbar locked down, and Rosa knees her in the side a few times while she remains in this predicament. Luckily for Rosa, she is able to keep her weight pressed on McMann to not succumb to the submission, but she can do little else until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 McMann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann

Round 3
Rosa charges out of her corner like a woman possessed, jumping out with a flying knee and surprising McMann. The 41-year-old wrestler quickly gathers herself and shoots in for a double, where she successfully puts Rosa down to the mat. Rosa climbs back to her knees, and as she does, McMann hops on to her back to serve as a 135-pound backpack. McMann gets both of her hooks in when the Brazilian stands up, as McMann remains piggybacked on her. Rosa wriggles to shake McMann off of her, and as soon as McMann’s feet hit the ground, she throws Rosa down to the mat with emphasis. Rosa cannot get McMann off of her, even when she stands back up again, and an attempted mat return from McMann goes south. McMann gets flipped over to her back, and she starts frantically scrambling to push Rosa off of her. When Rosa is above her, McMann nails her with a few upkicks, until Rosa lowers herself back to the guard. Rosa stands back up again to try to pass to a better position, blocking the upkicks that come at her this time. Rosa gets on top and starts dropping down strikes wildly, only to get kicked off again. McMann starts to engage in a slugfest from her back, and Rosa once more stands and begins to kick at McMann’s legs. McMann replies with a few more upkicks, and she sits up quickly to grab hold of a single. Rosa defends by standing up with her back to the wall, and she begins to slam elbows in the side of McMann’s head. McMann may be stunned from these blows, and Rosa stops throwing them for some reason. This allows McMann to clear her head if she was hurt, and she hits a throw to put Rosa down to the mat. Rosa turns the corner and looks for her own takedown, but there is nothing there. The final bell sounds, and they hug it out and immediately begin to discuss some of the events that transpired in their 15 minutes of combat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 McMann)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-26 McMann)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann (30-27 McMann)

The Official Result
Sara McMann def. Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Sara McMann

Angelo picks Sara McMann as a big underdog, acknowledging it could be a sucker bet. He believes McMann's wrestling will be the difference, as Karol Rosa lacks the offensive BJJ to submit her or the power to knock her out. He notes Rosa's high striking volume and takedown defense but thinks McMann can push the wrestling pace and win.

"i'm going with the big underdog here ... i'm going sarah mcmahon"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karol Rosa

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by third-round KO. He expects McMann to have early success with her wrestling, winning the first round, but then fade due to her age (41) and poor cardio. He believes Rosa will weather the storm and finish McMann late. He notes that McMann has been submitted four times in the UFC, but here he predicts a KO. He suggests live betting McMann in the first round.

Karol Rosa wins by KO in round 3; live bet McMann in round 1
"I'm gonna take carol hosa for a late like second or third round finish against sarah mcmahon... I'll say a third round ko for carol hoza."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karol Rosa

Cody picks Rosa, expecting McMann to get takedowns early but fade. He notes McMann's history of blowing leads and getting submitted. He thinks Rosa is active off her back and will take over as the fight goes on. He likes Rosa at -225 better than Grasso at the same price.

"i gotta say kyle rosa gets the job done but it's another wide line"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karol Rosa

Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa confidently, highlighting her incredible striking volume (over 100 significant strikes in multiple fights) and youth. He breaks down McMann's flaws: poor fight IQ, questionable durability, and tendency to fade. He notes Rosa has improved her submission defense since early losses and earned a black belt. He expects Rosa to break McMann down as the fight progresses, possibly finishing her. He parlayed Rosa with Khizriev at -108.

Rosa by TKO/KO in rounds 2-3, parlayed with Khizriev at -108
"I think carl jose breaks her down the stretch... I parlayed his riff and uh carl hosa and -108"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Sara McMann

The host picks McMann despite her age and gas tank issues, believing her wrestling and strength will be the difference. He notes Rosa's takedown defense hasn't been tested at UFC level and that McMann can grind out a decision. However, he admits he's not confident enough to bet it, calling it a 50/50 fight.

McMann by decision at +400; also mentions possibility of a draw or Rosa round 3 at +1000
"i'm gonna go mcmahon as my prediction i think she wins this fight via decision plus 400 is that line"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Karol Rosa

Paul picks Rosa but is hesitant. He notes McMann's elite wrestling and early takedowns, but expects her to fade. He thinks Rosa can out-volume her on the feet and possibly submit her. He suggests live betting Rosa after round one if McMann tires.

live betting after round one
"i like rosa to win here but sarah mcmahon is an elite wrestler"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karol Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa over Sara McMann, citing McMann's age (41) and inactivity since early 2021. He acknowledges McMann's grappling but believes Rosa is younger, more athletic, and technically sound, with a reach advantage. The Guru expects Rosa to control the fight against the cage and win a unanimous decision, as she doesn't leave herself out of position for takedowns.

"i'm gonna go with carol rosa over sarah mcmahon"
LOSS vs Julianna Peña
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:39 · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julianna Peña 0 38 of 76 50% 140 of 192 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:55
Sara McMann 0 21 of 54 38% 28 of 63 3 of 3 100% 0 0 7:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julianna Peña 0 5 of 20 25% 37 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sara McMann 0 12 of 30 40% 15 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:58
2 Julianna Peña 0 13 of 29 44% 70 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Sara McMann 0 8 of 17 47% 11 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
3 Julianna Peña 0 20 of 27 74% 33 of 42 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:47
Sara McMann 0 1 of 7 14% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julianna Peña 38 of 76 50% 27 of 65 11 of 11 0 of 0 20 of 57 10 of 10 8 of 9
Sara McMann 21 of 54 38% 10 of 39 7 of 10 4 of 5 12 of 43 6 of 6 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julianna Peña 5 of 20 25% 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sara McMann 12 of 30 40% 7 of 23 3 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 27 2 of 2 1 of 1
2 Julianna Peña 13 of 29 44% 7 of 23 6 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 23 6 of 6 0 of 0
Sara McMann 8 of 17 47% 3 of 10 3 of 4 2 of 3 2 of 9 4 of 4 2 of 4
3 Julianna Peña 20 of 27 74% 15 of 22 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 14 4 of 4 8 of 9
Sara McMann 1 of 7 14% 0 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sara McMann

Big Brady picks Sara McMann by decision, citing her wrestling advantage and Peña's poor takedown defense (28%). He notes McMann lands 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes with 60% accuracy. He expects McMann to control Peña on the ground for at least two rounds. He is not confident enough to bet but leans towards McMann.

"give me sarah mcmahon 29 28 maybe 30 27"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sara McMann

Daniel Levi picks Sara McMann, highlighting her superior wrestling and power. He criticizes Julianna Peña's poor takedown defense (28%) and lack of submissions. Levi believes McMann can dominate with top control and avoid Peña's comeback attempts, as long as she stays focused for 15 minutes.

"i'll go with sarah just stay in it for 15 straight minutes keep your head on straight and you win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Sara McMann

McMann is the better wrestler and should be able to get takedowns and control Peña on the ground. Peña has poor takedown defense and her jiu-jitsu off her back is not great. However, McMann is 40 years old and has cardio issues, which is a concern. I think McMann grinds out a decision, but I'm not confident enough to bet on her.

"I'm going with Sara McMann to win this fight via decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sara McMann

The MMA Guru picks Sara McMann to win by controlling Peña on the ground with top control. He criticizes Peña's submission game, noting she hasn't submitted anyone of note and has been submitted herself. He believes McMann's wrestling and top control will be effective, especially since women's fights are not stood up quickly. He predicts a 30-27 decision via ground control.

30-27 unanimous decision, ground control
"i'm going to go sarah mcmahon smushing her on the ground in half guard with top control the entire round landing total strikes winning herself to fight that way"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. dos Santos · Jan 25, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 38 of 50 76% 62 of 84 3 of 5 60% 1 0 13:22
Lina Länsberg 0 1 of 5 20% 36 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 10 of 12 83% 22 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:29
Lina Länsberg 0 0 of 2 0% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sara McMann 0 10 of 16 62% 15 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:11
Lina Länsberg 0 1 of 2 50% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sara McMann 0 18 of 22 81% 25 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:42
Lina Länsberg 0 0 of 1 0% 16 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 38 of 50 76% 22 of 32 15 of 17 1 of 1 1 of 8 1 of 1 36 of 41
Lina Länsberg 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 10 of 12 83% 0 of 2 9 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 10
Lina Länsberg 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sara McMann 10 of 16 62% 4 of 8 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 11
Lina Länsberg 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sara McMann 18 of 22 81% 18 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 17 of 20
Lina Länsberg 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Lina Länsberg

Daniel picks Lina Länsberg for the upset, predicting that McMann will dominate the first round but then fade and get cut open by elbows in the second. He notes that McMann has a history of quitting and that Länsberg has improved her takedown defense. He expects a cut stoppage in the second round.

cut stoppage in the second round due to elbows
"I'm gonna take Lina in Landsberg for an upset"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Lina Länsberg

The MMA Guru picks Lina Länsberg based on recency and activity, noting Sara McMann is 49 years old and hasn't fought since 2018. He acknowledges the women's bantamweight division is mixed but believes Länsberg's recency and ability to hold McMann against the cage will be key.

"I'm going with the activity I'm going with the recency and I'm going with Lena Landsberg getting the job done"
LOSS vs Marion Reneau
Submission (triangle choke) R2 3:40 · UFC on Fox: Emmett vs. Stephens · Feb 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marion Reneau 0 9 of 49 18% 76 of 120 2 of 5 40% 0 0 5:10
Sara McMann 0 23 of 39 58% 37 of 55 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marion Reneau 0 3 of 14 21% 68 of 83 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:00
Sara McMann 0 2 of 3 66% 5 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marion Reneau 0 6 of 35 17% 8 of 37 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:10
Sara McMann 0 21 of 36 58% 32 of 48 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marion Reneau 9 of 49 18% 5 of 42 2 of 5 2 of 2 6 of 45 3 of 4 0 of 0
Sara McMann 23 of 39 58% 23 of 38 0 of 1 0 of 0 11 of 24 1 of 2 11 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marion Reneau 3 of 14 21% 2 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sara McMann 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Marion Reneau 6 of 35 17% 3 of 29 2 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
Sara McMann 21 of 36 58% 21 of 35 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 21 1 of 2 11 of 13
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 4:16 · UFC 215: Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 29 of 58 50% 36 of 67 1 of 5 20% 0 0 5:32
Sara McMann 0 17 of 21 80% 35 of 45 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 20 of 44 45% 26 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:07
Sara McMann 0 3 of 4 75% 12 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 9 of 14 64% 10 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:25
Sara McMann 0 14 of 17 82% 23 of 30 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 29 of 58 50% 25 of 52 2 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 9 9 of 11 19 of 38
Sara McMann 17 of 21 80% 16 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 14 of 14 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 20 of 44 45% 19 of 42 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 4 1 of 2 19 of 38
Sara McMann 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3
2 Ketlen Vieira 9 of 14 64% 6 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 5 8 of 9 0 of 0
Sara McMann 14 of 17 82% 13 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 14 of 14 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sara McMann vs. Ketlen Vieira

Round 1
McMann swings a right hand at the body of Vieira, but it's only a cover for the wrestler to dive at Vieira and work for a takedown. Vieira stays standing, pressed against the cage by McMann with over-unders. One minute into the round, McMann completes the takedown and sets up in Vieira's closed guard. Vieira is looking to trap an arm, but McMann pulls herself free to slam the Brazilian with a heavy elbow to the face. More elbows fall on the grill of Vieira, who's still trying to creep up her guard to snare McMann in a submission attempt. The elbows of McMann have raised an enormous hematoma on the forehead of Vieira, but it's not stopping Vieira from hunting for a triangle. McMann ably defends the triangle setup and steps over to side control on Vieira's right side. McMann threatens with an arm-triangle choke, then releases and steps over to full mount. Vieira is dodging most of McMann's punches, and now she shrimps underneath to grab for a leg. Vieira finishes the round going for a kneebar, but McMann stays safe to see round two.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 McMann
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 McMann

Round 2
McMann tries to repeat her approach from round one, charging Vieira with her head down and using punches to set up a takedown. This time, Vieira is ready for it and plunks the wrestler with a right hand counter. McMann's next attempt yields a single-leg attempt against the fence, but Vieira defends well and drills the side of McMann's head with elbows and punches. McMann releases the leg in favor of holding Vieira against the wall; Vieira reverses to the outside, and now the bantamweights clinch in a neutral position on the fence. McMann digs an underhook and drives a hard knee into the body of Vieira. Suddenly, Vieira hits a trip takedown and comes down atop McMann in half guard. Now it's Vieira looking for an arm-triangle choke, and it looks like she may have it. McMann scoots her left side tight to the fence, but Vieira's squeeze from half guard is enough for force a tap from the American.

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Sara McMann via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) R2 4:16
WIN vs Gina Mazany
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 1:14 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Feb 19, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:02
Gina Mazany 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:02
Gina Mazany 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 9
Gina Mazany 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 9
Gina Mazany 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Alexis Davis
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 2:52 · The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · Dec 03, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 14 of 36 38% 25 of 47 2 of 2 100% 1 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 21 of 29 72% 55 of 66 0 of 0 --- 1 0 6:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 12 of 30 40% 21 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 17 of 21 80% 51 of 58 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:50
2 Sara McMann 0 2 of 6 33% 4 of 8 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 14 of 36 38% 11 of 32 2 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 29 0 of 0 6 of 7
Alexis Davis 21 of 29 72% 17 of 25 1 of 1 3 of 3 11 of 19 0 of 0 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 12 of 30 40% 10 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 23 0 of 0 6 of 7
Alexis Davis 17 of 21 80% 14 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 11 0 of 0 10 of 10
2 Sara McMann 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Jessica Eye
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Garbrandt · May 29, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 22 of 51 43% 56 of 88 2 of 5 40% 1 0 8:00
Jessica Eye 0 10 of 24 41% 19 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 10 of 24 41% 11 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:41
Jessica Eye 0 4 of 9 44% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sara McMann 0 7 of 19 36% 19 of 32 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:27
Jessica Eye 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sara McMann 0 5 of 8 62% 26 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:52
Jessica Eye 0 4 of 7 57% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 22 of 51 43% 8 of 34 12 of 15 2 of 2 3 of 29 11 of 13 8 of 9
Jessica Eye 10 of 24 41% 6 of 20 1 of 1 3 of 3 9 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 10 of 24 41% 0 of 12 10 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 13 10 of 11 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 4 of 9 44% 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sara McMann 7 of 19 36% 4 of 15 2 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 12 1 of 2 4 of 5
Jessica Eye 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sara McMann 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 4
Jessica Eye 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1