Career Averages - Sara McMann
Career Averages - Lauren Murphy
Sara McMann - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 24 of 41 | 58% | 73 of 100 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 10:27 |
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 26 of 43 | 60% | 92 of 120 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 31 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:44 |
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 31 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:45 |
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 35 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 52 of 67 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 24 of 41 | 58% | 15 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 21 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 12 |
| Karol Rosa | 26 of 43 | 60% | 20 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 25 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 10 of 15 | 66% | 8 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Karol Rosa | 7 of 11 | 63% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Karol Rosa | 6 of 12 | 50% | 3 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 9 of 13 | 69% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 5 |
| Karol Rosa | 13 of 20 | 65% | 12 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 8 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Once an undefeated title challenger, now at the age of 41 having lost three of her last four, McMann (12-6, 6-6 UFC) will be fighting now to keep her UFC record above the .500 mark when she takes on surging Brazilian Rosa (15-3, 4-0 UFC). The Octagon ranger for this bantamweight battle and preliminary headliner will be Chad Trukovich, and the two ladies show nothing but respect as they touch ‘em up first. McMann takes the center of the cage and starts off with a kick to the knee, and she wades forward with a pair of punches to the midsection. The two are tentative to engage with much else, as Rosa swings and misses with a pair of punches. The ladies whiff on punches, until McMann closes the distance and rips an uppercut up close. Rosa tries to reply, and McMann shoots through to hit a double and set the Brazilian on the canvas. Rosa looks to try to scramble and sweep her, but McMann uses this to nearly take her back and then place her flat on her back. McMann works with a few elbows in half guard, using heavy shoulder pressure to keep Rosa stuck without a way up. Rosa flails with strikes off her back, and McMann completely ignores them to isolate an arm and punch Rosa in the body repeatedly. McMann smothers her foe and smashes her in the face before isolating a wrist in search of a keylock. Rosa scrambles just enough to free her arm, but she is nowhere near getting off her back as the Olympian holds her down with ease. McMann grinds with elbows as she makes Rosa’s life miserable, posturing up every so often to land a few strikes before lowering herself down. McMann goes after another Americana briefly before letting it go to slash with a few elbows, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 McMann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Round 2
Rosa comes out of her corner to claim the center of the cage in Round 2, and she throws a high front kick that misses early. McMann bullies her way into a clinch, scoring a stern knee to the solar plexus, before Rosa pushes away and tries to gain space. McMann ducks a strike to throw three to the head and body. Rosa tries to counter, inaccurately doing so, and she takes a right hand to the body. The Brazilian fights off a single-leg takedown try, and as soon as McMann gets a hold of her, she elevates Rosa and tosses her down to the mat. From there, Rosa surrenders her back, with McMann getting both hooks in very quickly. Rosa looks to spin, but cannot, as McMann keeps wrist control. This position stalls out, with McMann easily holding dominant position but doing little else with it besides racking up riding time. Rosa is stuck and throws a few punches from behind her head, and McMann does not change her strategy one bit. The crowd begins to grow restless as McMann hangs on in back control, and McMann answers this by hooking up a body triangle. The Brazilian keeps a tight grip on her own wrists when McMann tries to isolate one in search of an armbar, and McMann throws her legs up in a full-throated effort for the armbar. Rosa winces as she is stuck in a very precarious position, and she stacks the Olympian up to protect herself from the greatest submission danger. McMann keeps that armbar locked down, and Rosa knees her in the side a few times while she remains in this predicament. Luckily for Rosa, she is able to keep her weight pressed on McMann to not succumb to the submission, but she can do little else until the bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 McMann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Round 3
Rosa charges out of her corner like a woman possessed, jumping out with a flying knee and surprising McMann. The 41-year-old wrestler quickly gathers herself and shoots in for a double, where she successfully puts Rosa down to the mat. Rosa climbs back to her knees, and as she does, McMann hops on to her back to serve as a 135-pound backpack. McMann gets both of her hooks in when the Brazilian stands up, as McMann remains piggybacked on her. Rosa wriggles to shake McMann off of her, and as soon as McMann’s feet hit the ground, she throws Rosa down to the mat with emphasis. Rosa cannot get McMann off of her, even when she stands back up again, and an attempted mat return from McMann goes south. McMann gets flipped over to her back, and she starts frantically scrambling to push Rosa off of her. When Rosa is above her, McMann nails her with a few upkicks, until Rosa lowers herself back to the guard. Rosa stands back up again to try to pass to a better position, blocking the upkicks that come at her this time. Rosa gets on top and starts dropping down strikes wildly, only to get kicked off again. McMann starts to engage in a slugfest from her back, and Rosa once more stands and begins to kick at McMann’s legs. McMann replies with a few more upkicks, and she sits up quickly to grab hold of a single. Rosa defends by standing up with her back to the wall, and she begins to slam elbows in the side of McMann’s head. McMann may be stunned from these blows, and Rosa stops throwing them for some reason. This allows McMann to clear her head if she was hurt, and she hits a throw to put Rosa down to the mat. Rosa turns the corner and looks for her own takedown, but there is nothing there. The final bell sounds, and they hug it out and immediately begin to discuss some of the events that transpired in their 15 minutes of combat.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 McMann)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-26 McMann)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann (30-27 McMann)
The Official Result
Sara McMann def. Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Sara McMann as a big underdog, acknowledging it could be a sucker bet. He believes McMann's wrestling will be the difference, as Karol Rosa lacks the offensive BJJ to submit her or the power to knock her out. He notes Rosa's high striking volume and takedown defense but thinks McMann can push the wrestling pace and win.
Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by third-round KO. He expects McMann to have early success with her wrestling, winning the first round, but then fade due to her age (41) and poor cardio. He believes Rosa will weather the storm and finish McMann late. He notes that McMann has been submitted four times in the UFC, but here he predicts a KO. He suggests live betting McMann in the first round.
Cody picks Rosa, expecting McMann to get takedowns early but fade. He notes McMann's history of blowing leads and getting submitted. He thinks Rosa is active off her back and will take over as the fight goes on. He likes Rosa at -225 better than Grasso at the same price.
Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa confidently, highlighting her incredible striking volume (over 100 significant strikes in multiple fights) and youth. He breaks down McMann's flaws: poor fight IQ, questionable durability, and tendency to fade. He notes Rosa has improved her submission defense since early losses and earned a black belt. He expects Rosa to break McMann down as the fight progresses, possibly finishing her. He parlayed Rosa with Khizriev at -108.
The host picks McMann despite her age and gas tank issues, believing her wrestling and strength will be the difference. He notes Rosa's takedown defense hasn't been tested at UFC level and that McMann can grind out a decision. However, he admits he's not confident enough to bet it, calling it a 50/50 fight.
Paul picks Rosa but is hesitant. He notes McMann's elite wrestling and early takedowns, but expects her to fade. He thinks Rosa can out-volume her on the feet and possibly submit her. He suggests live betting Rosa after round one if McMann tires.
The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa over Sara McMann, citing McMann's age (41) and inactivity since early 2021. He acknowledges McMann's grappling but believes Rosa is younger, more athletic, and technically sound, with a reach advantage. The Guru expects Rosa to control the fight against the cage and win a unanimous decision, as she doesn't leave herself out of position for takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 38 of 76 | 50% | 140 of 192 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:55 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 28 of 63 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 37 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 15 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 70 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 20 of 27 | 74% | 33 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 38 of 76 | 50% | 27 of 65 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 57 | 10 of 10 | 8 of 9 |
| Sara McMann | 21 of 54 | 38% | 10 of 39 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 12 of 30 | 40% | 7 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 13 of 29 | 44% | 7 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 3 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 20 of 27 | 74% | 15 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 9 |
| Sara McMann | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sara McMann by decision, citing her wrestling advantage and Peña's poor takedown defense (28%). He notes McMann lands 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes with 60% accuracy. He expects McMann to control Peña on the ground for at least two rounds. He is not confident enough to bet but leans towards McMann.
Daniel Levi picks Sara McMann, highlighting her superior wrestling and power. He criticizes Julianna Peña's poor takedown defense (28%) and lack of submissions. Levi believes McMann can dominate with top control and avoid Peña's comeback attempts, as long as she stays focused for 15 minutes.
McMann is the better wrestler and should be able to get takedowns and control Peña on the ground. Peña has poor takedown defense and her jiu-jitsu off her back is not great. However, McMann is 40 years old and has cardio issues, which is a concern. I think McMann grinds out a decision, but I'm not confident enough to bet on her.
The MMA Guru picks Sara McMann to win by controlling Peña on the ground with top control. He criticizes Peña's submission game, noting she hasn't submitted anyone of note and has been submitted herself. He believes McMann's wrestling and top control will be effective, especially since women's fights are not stood up quickly. He predicts a 30-27 decision via ground control.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 38 of 50 | 76% | 62 of 84 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 13:22 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 36 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 22 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 15 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 0 | 18 of 22 | 81% | 25 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 38 of 50 | 76% | 22 of 32 | 15 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 41 |
| Lina Länsberg | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 10 of 12 | 83% | 0 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 10 of 16 | 62% | 4 of 8 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Lina Länsberg | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 18 of 22 | 81% | 18 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 20 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Lina Länsberg for the upset, predicting that McMann will dominate the first round but then fade and get cut open by elbows in the second. He notes that McMann has a history of quitting and that Länsberg has improved her takedown defense. He expects a cut stoppage in the second round.
The MMA Guru picks Lina Länsberg based on recency and activity, noting Sara McMann is 49 years old and hasn't fought since 2018. He acknowledges the women's bantamweight division is mixed but believes Länsberg's recency and ability to hold McMann against the cage will be key.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marion Reneau | 0 | 9 of 49 | 18% | 76 of 120 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 37 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marion Reneau | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 68 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:00 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marion Reneau | 0 | 6 of 35 | 17% | 8 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 32 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marion Reneau | 9 of 49 | 18% | 5 of 42 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 23 of 39 | 58% | 23 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marion Reneau | 3 of 14 | 21% | 2 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marion Reneau | 6 of 35 | 17% | 3 of 29 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 21 of 36 | 58% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 13 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 5:32 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 35 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 26 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 14 of 17 | 82% | 23 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 29 of 58 | 50% | 25 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 19 of 38 |
| Sara McMann | 17 of 21 | 80% | 16 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 14 of 14 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 20 of 44 | 45% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 38 |
| Sara McMann | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 9 of 14 | 64% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 14 of 17 | 82% | 13 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 14 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
McMann swings a right hand at the body of Vieira, but it's only a cover for the wrestler to dive at Vieira and work for a takedown. Vieira stays standing, pressed against the cage by McMann with over-unders. One minute into the round, McMann completes the takedown and sets up in Vieira's closed guard. Vieira is looking to trap an arm, but McMann pulls herself free to slam the Brazilian with a heavy elbow to the face. More elbows fall on the grill of Vieira, who's still trying to creep up her guard to snare McMann in a submission attempt. The elbows of McMann have raised an enormous hematoma on the forehead of Vieira, but it's not stopping Vieira from hunting for a triangle. McMann ably defends the triangle setup and steps over to side control on Vieira's right side. McMann threatens with an arm-triangle choke, then releases and steps over to full mount. Vieira is dodging most of McMann's punches, and now she shrimps underneath to grab for a leg. Vieira finishes the round going for a kneebar, but McMann stays safe to see round two.
Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 McMann
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 McMann
Round 2
McMann tries to repeat her approach from round one, charging Vieira with her head down and using punches to set up a takedown. This time, Vieira is ready for it and plunks the wrestler with a right hand counter. McMann's next attempt yields a single-leg attempt against the fence, but Vieira defends well and drills the side of McMann's head with elbows and punches. McMann releases the leg in favor of holding Vieira against the wall; Vieira reverses to the outside, and now the bantamweights clinch in a neutral position on the fence. McMann digs an underhook and drives a hard knee into the body of Vieira. Suddenly, Vieira hits a trip takedown and comes down atop McMann in half guard. Now it's Vieira looking for an arm-triangle choke, and it looks like she may have it. McMann scoots her left side tight to the fence, but Vieira's squeeze from half guard is enough for force a tap from the American.
The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Sara McMann via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) R2 4:16
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 25 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 55 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 21 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 51 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:50 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 14 of 36 | 38% | 11 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Alexis Davis | 21 of 29 | 72% | 17 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 12 of 30 | 40% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Alexis Davis | 17 of 21 | 80% | 14 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 56 of 88 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 8:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 19 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 19 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 26 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:52 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 22 of 51 | 43% | 8 of 34 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 29 | 11 of 13 | 8 of 9 |
| Jessica Eye | 10 of 24 | 41% | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 10 of 24 | 41% | 0 of 12 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 13 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 7 of 19 | 36% | 4 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Jessica Eye | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Jessica Eye | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Lauren Murphy - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 38 of 145 | 26% | 67 of 179 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 64 of 235 | 27% | 74 of 248 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 6 of 33 | 18% | 13 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 19 of 58 | 32% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 11 of 51 | 21% | 27 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 20 of 77 | 25% | 22 of 79 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 27 of 68 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 2 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 25 of 100 | 25% | 26 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 38 of 145 | 26% | 38 of 144 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 34 of 140 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 64 of 235 | 27% | 52 of 221 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 12 | 64 of 234 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 6 of 33 | 18% | 6 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 19 of 58 | 32% | 14 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 11 of 51 | 21% | 11 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 20 of 77 | 25% | 17 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 77 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 21 of 61 | 34% | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 25 of 100 | 25% | 21 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 100 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Eduarda Moura is younger, faster, and a better grappler than the 41-year-old Lauren Murphy, who hasn't fought in two years. He thinks Murphy's toughness won't be enough against Moura's aggressive grappling and solid takedowns. He hates the -600 odds but thinks Moura wins 95% of the time and is okay to parlay.
Big Brady is disgusted by the -600 line on Eduarda Moura. He notes Moura's poor cardio and low volume, and Lauren Murphy's 70% takedown defense. However, he picks Moura by decision because Murphy is 41, hasn't fought in 2.5 years, and this is her retirement fight. He is not confident in the line.
The host is hesitant about this pick, noting that he doesn't understand why Moura is such a heavy favorite. He acknowledges Moura's grappling strength but also points out that Murphy has a physicality and striking advantage and could make the fight close. Ultimately, he expects Moura to win bits and pieces of the fight and get her hand raised on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Eduarda Moura, citing her better grappling entries and fight IQ in knowing when to shoot for takedowns. He heavily criticizes Lauren Murphy's last performance against Jessica Andrade, where she took a record amount of damage and had no answer. He notes Murphy's long layoff and age, and expects Moura to outwrestle and outstrike her for a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 100 of 293 | 34% | 103 of 296 | 0 of 15 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 231 of 369 | 62% | 237 of 375 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 22 of 91 | 24% | 24 of 93 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 61 of 107 | 57% | 62 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 29 of 95 | 30% | 29 of 95 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 75 of 121 | 61% | 78 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 49 of 107 | 45% | 50 of 108 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 95 of 141 | 67% | 97 of 143 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 100 of 293 | 34% | 81 of 268 | 14 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 90 of 276 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 231 of 369 | 62% | 161 of 292 | 23 of 27 | 47 of 50 | 208 of 338 | 22 of 30 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 22 of 91 | 24% | 17 of 85 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 22 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 61 of 107 | 57% | 31 of 75 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 29 | 58 of 101 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 29 of 95 | 30% | 21 of 83 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 86 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 75 of 121 | 61% | 52 of 96 | 12 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 62 of 103 | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 49 of 107 | 45% | 43 of 100 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 45 of 100 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 95 of 141 | 67% | 78 of 121 | 8 of 11 | 9 of 9 | 88 of 134 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Andrade with good confidence, noting she has only lost to the best (Valentina, Rose, Zhang, Weili). He is not high on Murphy, calling her lucky and noting she has lost fights that went her way. Andrade is younger, more powerful, has takedown upside, and will pressure with volume. He respects Murphy's toughness and durability, predicting a decision win for Andrade, but won't lay -450.
Cody picks Jéssica Andrade confidently, expecting her to smash Lauren Murphy. He notes Andrade's power, aggression, strength, and well-rounded skills. He says Murphy is scrappy but not on Andrade's level, and that Andrade will either finish via guillotine or win a brawl. He warns about women's MMA and big favorites, but thinks Andrade's skill advantage is clear. He also mentions Andrade's cardio is not half bad.
Connor picks Andrade, noting that Murphy is glacially slow and Andrade is much faster and harder hitting. He thinks Andrade's physicality will be too much, even if she can't overpower Murphy in the clinch. Connor also points out that good athletes can take Murphy down, and Andrade is a good athlete.
Paul picks Jéssica Andrade but with some hesitation. He notes Andrade's power, aggression, and strength, and says Murphy's best version still struggles with Andrade's worst. He mentions Murphy's durability and cardio but thinks Andrade's skill set is superior. He warns about women's MMA and big favorites, and says there is a world where Andrade gets tired. He thinks Andrade wins but wouldn't put a huge bet on her.
The Guru confidently picks Andrade, saying she 'throws punches like a man' and has finished top competition like Chookagian, Calvillo, and Lemos in the first round. He criticizes Murphy's fighting ability, calling her 'fighting blind.' Despite Murphy doing better against Shevchenko on paper, the Guru sees a clear difference in performance and predicts Andrade will KO Murphy.
Zane picks Andrade but with hesitation. He notes Andrade has made wrong moves lately, regressing to a cautious style, but her physicality, speed, and power should be enough against the slower Murphy. Zane worries about Andrade's approach and Murphy's strength and durability, but believes Andrade is more likely to finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 102 of 184 | 55% | 128 of 211 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 85 of 164 | 51% | 121 of 201 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 35 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 25 of 47 | 53% | 38 of 60 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 38 of 66 | 57% | 53 of 82 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 32 of 55 | 58% | 46 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 38 of 70 | 54% | 40 of 72 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 28 of 62 | 45% | 37 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 102 of 184 | 55% | 77 of 154 | 24 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 68 of 142 | 31 of 39 | 3 of 3 |
| Miesha Tate | 85 of 164 | 51% | 61 of 122 | 18 of 34 | 6 of 8 | 67 of 138 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 26 of 48 | 54% | 17 of 37 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 33 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Miesha Tate | 25 of 47 | 53% | 12 of 26 | 10 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 34 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 38 of 66 | 57% | 31 of 57 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 52 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 |
| Miesha Tate | 32 of 55 | 58% | 27 of 44 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 25 of 46 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 38 of 70 | 54% | 29 of 60 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 57 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Miesha Tate | 28 of 62 | 45% | 22 of 52 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 26 of 58 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miesha Tate but is hesitant due to her flyweight debut. He believes Tate's wrestling and grappling will be key, and that she can avoid being bullied by Murphy. He notes Murphy's losses came via grappling dominance, and assumes Tate will be strong at 125. He is unsure about betting.
Big Brady picks Miesha Tate to win by decision. He notes that Tate is the more skilled fighter overall and can get takedowns to control the fight on the mat. He is not impressed by Murphy's wins and thinks the striking will be competitive. He says he would not bet Tate at -220 odds but picks her to win.
Cody picks Tate, citing her wrestling advantage, strength, and experience. He notes that Tate has been preparing for this fight for a long time and has been in great shape. He believes Tate's clinch work and takedowns will be too much for Murphy, and that Murphy's only path is to bully Tate, which he doubts she can do.
Daniel Levi leans Miesha Tate but expresses disinterest in the fight. He notes Tate is past her prime and coming off a loss, while Murphy is coming off a title fight loss and has health issues. He considers it a dog-or-pass situation and won't lay the -220 price on Tate.
Paul leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing the uncertainty of Tate's weight cut to 125 and the fact that Murphy is a natural 125er. He notes that Murphy has decent striking and could potentially outwork Tate. However, he admits he is not confident and will wait until weigh-ins before betting.
The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate over Lauren Murphy, criticizing Murphy's lack of skill and Tate's experience. He believes Tate will win grappling exchanges and has slightly better striking. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Tate, with Tate winning the first two rounds clearly before slowing down due to weight cut.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 98 of 170 | 57% | 132 of 204 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:04 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 11 of 91 | 12% | 19 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 24 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 3 of 24 | 12% | 3 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 30 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 1 of 18 | 5% | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 21 of 48 | 43% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 5 of 30 | 16% | 6 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 47 of 66 | 71% | 53 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 2 of 19 | 10% | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 98 of 170 | 57% | 62 of 126 | 19 of 24 | 17 of 20 | 72 of 137 | 6 of 8 | 20 of 25 |
| Lauren Murphy | 11 of 91 | 12% | 4 of 73 | 3 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 91 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 20 of 39 | 51% | 9 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 3 of 24 | 12% | 2 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 10 of 17 | 58% | 6 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lauren Murphy | 1 of 18 | 5% | 1 of 15 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 21 of 48 | 43% | 9 of 33 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 5 of 30 | 16% | 0 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 47 of 66 | 71% | 38 of 56 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 38 | 4 of 6 | 18 of 22 |
| Lauren Murphy | 2 of 19 | 10% | 1 of 14 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Shevchenko, calling her one of the best fighters ever. He highlights her technical striking, grappling, and championship composure. He notes that Murphy's path to victory is narrow and that Shevchenko can win anywhere. Angelo expects a dominant performance.
Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko has every advantage: striking, wrestling, and grappling. He notes Murphy is tough and has never been finished, but she has never faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to find a finish late in the fight.
Cody is confident Shevchenko wins anywhere the fight goes, citing her superior kickboxing, speed, footwork, and grappling. He notes Murphy's durability and never being knocked out, but believes Shevchenko's patience and skill will lead to a late stoppage, possibly becoming the first to finish Murphy. He leans over 2.5 rounds due to Murphy's toughness.
Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, stating that Lauren Murphy's toughness and durability are not enough to overcome the massive skill gap. He notes that Murphy has never been finished, but Shevchenko's technique is superior. Levi believes it would take a fluke for Murphy to win, and he expects Shevchenko to win, though he is unsure whether it will be by decision or finish.
Jacob picks Shevchenko, noting she's running out of opponents and should fight Nunes again. He praises her judo and grappling. Jacob is confident Shevchenko wins easily.
The host picks Valentina Shevchenko by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko will eventually set up the crucifix position and finish Murphy. He notes that Murphy is durable and may survive early, but Shevchenko's pressure will increase. He likes the over 2.5 rounds at even money. He thinks Murphy's takedown success will be temporary and Shevchenko will adapt.
Paul picks Shevchenko confidently, noting her dominance and the large talent gap. He mentions she could finish inside the distance but also acknowledges she can be patient. He is unsure about betting the moneyline due to the price and considers the over 2.5 rounds, but has no bet yet.
The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko over Lauren Murphy, citing Shevchenko's vast superiority in all areas. He notes that Murphy is on a five-fight winning streak but lost her last two fights (split decisions) and is 38 years old. He expects Shevchenko to win by second-round crucifix TKO, similar to her fight against Andrade, as Murphy will likely shoot for a takedown and get reversed. He dismisses Murphy's chances entirely.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 80 of 148 | 54% | 121 of 195 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 4:54 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 123 of 228 | 53% | 153 of 259 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 55 of 97 | 56% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 43 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 26 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 38 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 59 of 114 | 51% | 63 of 118 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 80 of 148 | 54% | 66 of 131 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 55 of 119 | 10 of 13 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 123 of 228 | 53% | 62 of 137 | 30 of 41 | 31 of 50 | 99 of 201 | 23 of 25 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 29 of 57 | 50% | 25 of 51 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 52 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 55 of 97 | 56% | 22 of 50 | 16 of 22 | 17 of 25 | 43 of 85 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 16 of 22 | 72% | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 9 of 17 | 52% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 35 of 69 | 50% | 27 of 60 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 61 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 59 of 114 | 51% | 36 of 78 | 13 of 16 | 10 of 20 | 48 of 101 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.
Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.
Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.
Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 22 of 85 | 25% | 32 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 0 | 23 of 75 | 30% | 27 of 80 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 12 of 48 | 25% | 18 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 0 | 15 of 47 | 31% | 16 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 10 of 37 | 27% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 11 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 22 of 85 | 25% | 16 of 78 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 72 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 23 of 75 | 30% | 7 of 45 | 7 of 17 | 9 of 13 | 23 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 12 of 48 | 25% | 10 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 41 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 15 of 47 | 31% | 4 of 27 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 8 | 15 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 10 of 37 | 27% | 6 of 32 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 8 of 28 | 28% | 3 of 18 | 1 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Lauren Murphy but is hesitant due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Murphy's experience against better competition and good takedown defense, but acknowledges Shakirova looks decent on tape. He predicts a decision win.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy confidently, noting her transformation under a new doctor and her recent knockout wins. He believes Shakirova is a talented newcomer but is outclassed and outsized, and that Murphy's pressure and clinch work will be too much. He expects a unanimous decision or a TKO stoppage.
The host picks Lauren Murphy but is not confident, citing her experience, volume, and physicality. He notes that Shakirova is making her UFC debut on short notice and may struggle with the step up in competition. He sees value on Shakirova if she is a big dog.
The MMA Guru picks Lauren Murphy to win, noting that Shakirova is taking the fight on short notice and has lost to a fighter with a 4-4 record. He respects Murphy's technical fighting style and believes she will get the job done.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 44 of 174 | 25% | 71 of 206 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 4:08 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 72 of 158 | 45% | 92 of 178 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 12 of 54 | 22% | 18 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 10 of 45 | 22% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:44 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 23 of 48 | 47% | 36 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 22 of 75 | 29% | 33 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 30 of 62 | 48% | 34 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 44 of 174 | 25% | 34 of 152 | 5 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 39 of 163 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 72 of 158 | 45% | 46 of 127 | 8 of 12 | 18 of 19 | 65 of 150 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 12 of 54 | 22% | 9 of 46 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 19 of 48 | 39% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 10 of 45 | 22% | 8 of 37 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 41 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 23 of 48 | 47% | 13 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 18 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 22 of 75 | 29% | 17 of 69 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 71 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 30 of 62 | 48% | 22 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady favors Lauren Murphy to win by decision, believing she can stuff Roxanne Modafferi's takedowns and out-strike her on the feet. He notes Murphy's strong takedown defense and ability to get back up if taken down. He acknowledges Modafferi's recent wins as an underdog but thinks Murphy is the better striker and will land more shots.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy, arguing that Modafferi is one-dimensional and relies on takedowns. He believes Murphy's improved aggression and takedown defense will be key. Levi notes that Murphy looked great against Andrea Lee and should be a slight favorite, not an underdog. He expects a close decision win for Murphy.
Modafferi has better grappling and a reach advantage. She was winning against Barber before the injury. Murphy hasn't shown much. Modafferi will win by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 80 of 197 | 40% | 107 of 228 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:31 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 104 of 267 | 38% | 107 of 271 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 32 of 80 | 40% | 33 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 43 of 104 | 41% | 44 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 33 of 73 | 45% | 41 of 84 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 38 of 103 | 36% | 39 of 104 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 15 of 44 | 34% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:40 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 24 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 80 of 197 | 40% | 70 of 181 | 9 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 75 of 190 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 104 of 267 | 38% | 51 of 194 | 34 of 51 | 19 of 22 | 99 of 261 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 32 of 80 | 40% | 28 of 74 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 43 of 104 | 41% | 18 of 74 | 16 of 20 | 9 of 10 | 41 of 101 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 33 of 73 | 45% | 30 of 68 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 31 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 38 of 103 | 36% | 21 of 77 | 11 of 20 | 6 of 6 | 38 of 103 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 15 of 44 | 34% | 12 of 39 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 23 of 60 | 38% | 12 of 43 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 20 of 57 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel Levi picks Andrea Lee by decision, stating she is the better striker with more volume. He notes that Lauren Murphy has improved but still has a basic fighting style. He warns against betting at -365, but expects Lee to win a decision, possibly with close rounds.
The host picks Andrea Lee by decision, citing her speed, striking, and improved grappling. He believes she is the quicker fighter and can outpoint Lauren Murphy, though he is not willing to bet her straight at -340. He considers her as a parlay piece with Jon Jones.
The MMA Guru picks Andrea Lee because she is younger, more technical, and will light up Lauren Murphy with combinations on the feet. He notes Murphy's questionable losses and expects Lee to win a unanimous decision.
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