Career Averages - Luana Carolina
Career Averages - Lucie Pudilová
Luana Carolina - Fight History
Angelo picks Luana Carolina because she is the better striker with solid takedown defense (68%). He notes Melissa Mullins is too hittable with no head movement and her offensive wrestling is not great. He believes Luana should win everywhere and is surprised she is the underdog, expecting the line to flip.
Big Brady picks Melissa Mullins despite her terrible fight IQ, noting that she has a massive advantage on the ground with nasty ground and pound. He points out that Luana Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and that Mullins should be able to take her down and control her. However, he is hesitant because Mullins often refuses to wrestle and instead tests her striking, as seen in her last fight. He predicts a decision win for Mullins.
Cody agrees, noting Mullins' weight misses and lack of heart. He expects Carolina to win.
Connor picks Melissa Mullins, agreeing that you take the grappler in this matchup. He notes that Mullins is relentlessly aggressive with takedowns and ground control, while Carolina is a volume striker who can be beaten by grappling. Connor also advises against betting on this fight.
Daniel leans Carolina due to her experience and ability to weasel decisions. He notes Mullins has head-scratching moments and can be finished. However, he acknowledges it's women's MMA and the British fighter might have crowd support.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina to win by decision. He cites her experience and striking prowess, but acknowledges she can be taken down. He expects Carolina to get back to her feet and outpoint Mullins over three rounds.
James picks Luana Carolina but is not confident. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has more UFC experience, but her takedown defense is a concern. He notes that Mullins has poor fight IQ and may not shoot takedowns consistently. He predicts a decision win for Carolina.
The host is hesitant but leans towards Luana Carolina. He notes that Mullins has a grappling advantage but questions whether she will actually wrestle after failing to do so in her last fight. He believes Carolina's striking edge and improved defensive grappling could lead to a decision win. However, he admits he has underrated Carolina in the past and sees this as a potential breakout performance.
Paul picks Carolina, citing Mullins' poor durability and tendency to quit. He expects Carolina to outwork and finish Mullins.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Mullins over Luana Carolina, though he admits neither fighter has been impressive. He notes Mullins is younger and may show more improvement fight to fight, while Carolina hasn't done much lately and has lost to lower-level opponents. He seems uncertain but goes with Mullins.
Zane picks Melissa Mullins, reasoning that in a matchup between a relentless grappler (Mullins) and a volume striker (Carolina), you take the grappler who can control the fight. He notes that Mullins is aggressive with takedowns and ground control, but if she can't get takedowns, she's cooked. Zane advises not betting on this fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Montague | 0 | 41 of 88 | 46% | 99 of 164 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 48 of 82 | 58% | 75 of 115 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 25 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 39 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 38 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 36 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Montague | 41 of 88 | 46% | 34 of 77 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 51 |
| Luana Carolina | 48 of 82 | 58% | 31 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 46 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Montague | 10 of 32 | 31% | 8 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 36 | 66% | 11 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Michelle Montague | 17 of 32 | 53% | 12 of 25 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 |
| Luana Carolina | 15 of 25 | 60% | 12 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Michelle Montague | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 24 |
| Luana Carolina | 9 of 21 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) over Luana Carolina, citing Montague's wrestling and jiu-jitsu background at an international level, her willingness to strike, and her size. He acknowledges Luana Carolina's takedown defense and clinch work but believes Montague's aggression and grappling will be too much. He dismisses the knockout loss to Molly McCann as a fluke.
Big Brady picks Darrell Montague to win by second-round submission. He highlights Montague's submission expertise, noting all six wins are by rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Montague is one-dimensional and has poor striking, but believes she will get a takedown due to her physicality and Carolina's questionable takedown defense. He notes Carolina has been taken down frequently in recent fights.
Cody picks Montague, citing her grappling pedigree and size advantage moving down to 135. He notes Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and is moving up in weight, while Montague is a strong grappler with a rear-naked choke streak. He warns about Montague's cardio but thinks she can win the first two rounds.
Connor agrees, noting that Montague's recent fights show her shooting immediately for back takes, which will be a problem for Carolina. He also mentions that Carolina's chin is high and she relies on reach, but Montague has the same reach and is bigger. He thinks Montague's grappling will be decisive.
James is confident in Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) due to her massive size advantage and elite back-taking ability. He notes she has submitted every opponent via rear-naked choke and that Luana Carolina is moving up from flyweight, making her vulnerable to grappling. He predicts a submission win.
The host expresses concern about Montague's weight cut to 135 lbs for the first time, but if successful, expects her to ragdoll Luana Carolina and secure another submission victory. The pick is conditional on making weight.
The Guru picks Michelle Montigue (Darrell Montague) confidently, impressed by her consistent first-round submission finishes and amateur experience. He sees Luana Carolina as a potential fraud check but believes Montigue's training at American Top Team and dominant style will lead to another first-round rear-naked choke victory.
Zane sees Montague as a bigger, stronger fighter who will shoot for takedowns and back takes, which should wreck Carolina. He notes that Carolina's success depends on being taller and longer, but Montague is two inches taller with the same reach and looks more muscular. He also points out that Montague has shown a consistent ability to stay on the back foot and outpoint opponents if needed.
Angelo picks Luana Carolina, citing her superior striking and solid takedown defense (74%). He believes she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Montana De La Rosa, who relies on wrestling. He notes that Carolina is used to opponents trying to take her down and sees her as a solid bet, possibly worth a stab.
Big Brady leans toward Luana Carolina, impressed by her takedown defense. He notes that Montana De La Rosa will try to wrestle, but if she can't get takedowns, Carolina is the better striker. He expects a close split decision.
The host expects De La Rosa's wrestling style to pay off and expose holes in Luana Carolina's game. He looks for De La Rosa to smother her with grappling, possibly opening a submission opportunity, but primarily controlling the fight and winning on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina over Montana De La Rosa. He notes that Montana has had takedowns but hasn't established dominant control, while Luana will win on the feet with more grit and determination. He also mentions a psychological edge: Luana will be jealous of Montana's looks and fight with rage. He predicts a split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 94 of 167 | 56% | 114 of 199 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 43 of 114 | 37% | 62 of 145 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 38 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 32 | 18% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 48 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 94 of 167 | 56% | 45 of 101 | 23 of 35 | 26 of 31 | 73 of 142 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 43 of 114 | 37% | 25 of 86 | 16 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 27 of 93 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 33 of 51 | 64% | 14 of 29 | 6 of 9 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 41 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 32 | 18% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 24 of 50 | 48% | 13 of 36 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 41 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 22 of 43 | 51% | 12 of 33 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 37 of 66 | 56% | 18 of 36 | 10 of 17 | 9 of 13 | 32 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 15 of 39 | 38% | 8 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.
Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.
Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.
Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 66 of 136 | 48% | 138 of 230 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:27 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 16 of 59 | 27% | 21 of 68 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 3 | 0 | 3:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 35 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 25 | 24% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 25 of 55 | 45% | 43 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 10 of 28 | 35% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 60 of 89 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 66 of 136 | 48% | 41 of 96 | 15 of 26 | 10 of 14 | 28 of 75 | 13 of 20 | 25 of 41 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 16 of 59 | 27% | 7 of 40 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 9 | 11 of 51 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 12 of 32 | 37% | 6 of 20 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 25 | 24% | 2 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 25 of 55 | 45% | 13 of 38 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 36 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 13 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 10 of 28 | 35% | 5 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 3 | 6 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 29 of 49 | 59% | 22 of 38 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 5 of 10 | 17 of 27 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.
Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.
Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.
Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.
Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 62 | 35% | 77 of 122 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 4:11 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 41 of 87 | 47% | 112 of 167 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 5:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:22 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 28 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 47 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 34 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 62 | 35% | 15 of 51 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 50 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
| Ivana Petrović | 41 of 87 | 47% | 18 of 60 | 11 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 27 of 66 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 10 of 22 | 45% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 13 of 32 | 40% | 9 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 22 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 |
| Ivana Petrović | 16 of 38 | 42% | 6 of 25 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 15 of 27 | 55% | 9 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Ivana Petrović, expecting her grappling to be the difference. He notes she should be able to take down Luana Carolina and either submit or grind out a decision. However, he finds the -200 odds too wide for a UFC debut with only six fights and advises against betting. He warns against the over 2.5 rounds as the fight could end either way.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina by decision, but is very reluctant. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has solid takedown defense, but notes she has been taken down and put in trouble before. Petrović has a good ground game and could finish if she gets on top. Brady calls it a terrible fight and advises not to bet on it.
Cody likes Carolina as a plus-money underdog. He notes Petrović is very green (less than 2 years pro) and has been dropped in fights. Carolina has fought better competition and has a striking advantage. Cody thinks Carolina can keep the fight standing and win a decision, especially if she defends takedowns. He compares it to other recent underdog wins.
Daniel picks Luana Carolina as an underdog, citing her experience and takedown defense (2 of 15 allowed against Godinez). He notes Petrović is hittable and unproven at UFC level, and that debuts often disappoint. He sees a close kickboxing match where Carolina's volume and durability could edge her ahead. He is willing to take a shot at plus odds.
Paul is considering Carolina as a dog. He notes Petrović's wrestling is her only path, but her stand-up is green and she was dropped by a short elbow. Carolina has good balance in the clinch and striking advantage. Paul thinks if Petrović can't get takedowns, Carolina wins. He is watching the market for a better price.
The Guru picks Ivana Petrović, citing her undefeated record (6-0) and good cardio shown in a fourth-round submission win. He notes Luana Carolina's losses to Molly McCann and Joanne Calderwood, and while Carolina beat Lupita Godinez, she was much larger. He trusts the undefeated prospect but acknowledges women's MMA is unpredictable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 131 of 228 | 57% | 177 of 278 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 100 of 199 | 50% | 123 of 222 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 55 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 65 | 58% | 42 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 56 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 53 | 45% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 60 of 106 | 56% | 66 of 112 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 81 | 46% | 48 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 131 of 228 | 57% | 61 of 142 | 46 of 53 | 24 of 33 | 84 of 177 | 46 of 50 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 100 of 199 | 50% | 55 of 144 | 34 of 40 | 11 of 15 | 75 of 165 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 38 of 62 | 61% | 13 of 32 | 17 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 20 of 42 | 18 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 65 | 58% | 15 of 38 | 16 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 50 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 33 of 60 | 55% | 16 of 39 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 48 | 11 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 53 | 45% | 14 of 40 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 60 of 106 | 56% | 32 of 71 | 21 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 43 of 87 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 81 | 46% | 26 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 32 of 71 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.
Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.
Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.
Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.
Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.
Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 85 of 159 | 53% | 99 of 174 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 64 of 132 | 48% | 76 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 56 of 107 | 52% | 61 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 85 of 159 | 53% | 52 of 118 | 28 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 69 of 139 | 14 of 18 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 64 of 132 | 48% | 26 of 88 | 33 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 47 of 113 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 56 of 107 | 52% | 35 of 79 | 19 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 47 of 96 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 52 | 42% | 6 of 32 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 15 of 30 | 50% | 5 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 26 of 51 | 50% | 13 of 37 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 40 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 16 of 29 | 55% | 7 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.
Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.
McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.
Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.
Lucie Pudilová - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 94 of 167 | 56% | 114 of 199 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 43 of 114 | 37% | 62 of 145 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 38 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 32 | 18% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 48 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 94 of 167 | 56% | 45 of 101 | 23 of 35 | 26 of 31 | 73 of 142 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 43 of 114 | 37% | 25 of 86 | 16 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 27 of 93 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 33 of 51 | 64% | 14 of 29 | 6 of 9 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 41 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 32 | 18% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 24 of 50 | 48% | 13 of 36 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 41 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 22 of 43 | 51% | 12 of 33 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 37 of 66 | 56% | 18 of 36 | 10 of 17 | 9 of 13 | 32 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 15 of 39 | 38% | 8 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.
Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.
Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.
Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ailín Pérez | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 41 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 42 of 74 | 56% | 123 of 180 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 8:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 48 of 64 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:49 | |
| 2 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 66 of 100 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 | |
| 3 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 36 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ailín Pérez | 20 of 42 | 47% | 13 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 25 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 42 of 74 | 56% | 31 of 57 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 10 | 12 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 27 of 41 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ailín Pérez | 2 of 10 | 20% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 12 of 26 | 46% | 7 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | |
| 2 | Ailín Pérez | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 25 of 37 | 67% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 31 | |
| 3 | Ailín Pérez | 16 of 24 | 66% | 10 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Ailín Pérez, citing her incredible cardio and wrestling pressure from her last fight where she set the bantamweight record for takedowns. He notes Lucie Pudilová can be taken down and that -150 feels like a good deal. He plans to bet on her.
Big Brady finds Perez's nickname change to 'Nurmagomedov' hilarious but thinks she earned it with 10 takedowns in her last fight. He sees Perez as a bully who will come forward, push Pudilová against the cage, and take her down repeatedly. He notes Pudilová has better striking but has struggled with takedowns and control in the past. He believes the odds flip is correct and Perez should be the favorite, winning a grinding decision.
Cody picks Ailín Pérez, citing her takedown volume and pressure. He notes that Pudilová has poor takedown defense and low striking volume. Pérez can grind out a decision with takedowns and control. Cody also mentions a PrizePicks play on Pérez over 2.5 takedowns.
Pudilová has improved her grappling significantly since her first UFC stint, now using it offensively. She is the cleaner striker and can cut up Pérez on the feet. Even on the ground, Pudilová can throw up submissions and reverse positions. Pérez relies on strength and bullying, which may not work against a technically better grappler like Pudilová. Pudilová wins by decision.
Paul picks Pérez, noting her physical strength and relentless pressure. He highlights Pudilová's inability to defend takedowns and her tendency to lose decisions. Paul expects Pérez to control the fight with takedowns and cage work.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová over Ailín Pérez, noting Pudilová's height and reach advantage as a rangier striker. He rates Pudilová's wins higher, including a close fight with Joselyne Edwards and a win over Yanan Wu, while criticizing Pérez's decision win over Ashley Evans-Smith as unimpressive. He believes Pudilová's improvement and range will be key if the fight stays standing, and doesn't see Pérez out-grappling her.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 56 of 114 | 49% | 90 of 153 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:29 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 39 of 98 | 39% | 74 of 138 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 7:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:11 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 17 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 | |
| 2 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 23 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 24 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 | |
| 3 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 27 of 56 | 48% | 36 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 19 of 46 | 41% | 33 of 60 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joselyne Edwards | 56 of 114 | 49% | 19 of 65 | 11 of 19 | 26 of 30 | 46 of 98 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 39 of 98 | 39% | 27 of 82 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 21 of 67 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joselyne Edwards | 17 of 36 | 47% | 10 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 8 of 27 | 29% | 5 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | |
| 2 | Joselyne Edwards | 12 of 22 | 54% | 2 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 12 of 25 | 48% | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 13 | |
| 3 | Joselyne Edwards | 27 of 56 | 48% | 7 of 30 | 4 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 26 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 19 of 46 | 41% | 12 of 37 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 15 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pudilova (-135), Edwards (+115)
Round 1
For the first time in six years to the day, the UFC is back in Kansas City, Missouri, with a Fight Night offering. In the building formerly known as the Sprint Center and now the T-Mobile Center, the promotion throws 14 fights in rapid succession at fans in the building and those watching on ESPN and ESPN+. Of note, the prelims will bring eight bouts in the span of three hours, so the pace should be higher. This presumably speedy slate of matches begins outside of normal weight categories, as Edwards (12-4, 3-2 UFC) missed weight ahead of her bantamweight bout with Pudilova (14-7, 3-5 UFC). The 137-pound catchweight affair will be overseen by referee Dwayne Bess, and there is no interest in a glove touch to start off the night. Instead, the ladies immediately begin to brawl, throwing hands in volume and tagging the other right out of the gate. One particular right hand from Edwards draws a telegraphed double-leg attempt from her opponent, and Edwards stuffs it and gets back up. Pudilova counters a leg kick with a right hand, and Edwards loads up on a pair of overhand rights in response. Pudilova scores a low kick and paws at her nose, which is already showing some damage from the few absorbed blows thus far. Pudilova surges forward and lifts Edwards off her feet to take her down to the mat, where she lands right in half guard. Pudilova controls her adversary, flattening her to the floor and not throwing much of note. A few punches to the rib cage do connect for Pudilova, who is dragged back to the guard when Edwards looks to buck her off. Pudilova is comfortable from this position as well, even with Edwards clutching both of her hands, so that she can posture up and drop down some decent ground-and-pound. Pudilova rains down hammerfists from high up until Edwards boots her off, and the Panamanian even gets off an upkick that stuns Pudilova momentarily. Instead of standing, Edwards remains on her back, and Pudilova adjusts her mouthguard and top and dives back down into the half guard. The boos begin to rain down from crowd, and this spurs Pudilova into action. Pudilova looks to pass to a dominant position, and Edwards turns to her side and slides out the back door to stand back up. Pudilova gives chase, and she swings her way into the clinch. The round closes as Edwards tries to toss her foe down.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Round 2
Pudilova advances calmly out of her corner, watching Edwards lob inaccurate bombs at her, until she rushes forward to close up. Edwards shuts down a takedown, and she makes Pudilova pay for it with multiple leg kicks. Pudilova’s offense stalls out while Edwards pecks at her with kicks, and she barely dodges a spinning back fist in time. Edwards sinks in a few body kicks, and Pudilova takes a moment after the second one lands. Pudilova ducks a few punches to pursue a double, and she drags “La Pantera” to the mat while simultaneously turning to land in side control. Pudilova grinds her elbow on Edwards’ face as she maintains heavy top control, with chest-to-chest pressure to keep Edwards flat on her back. Bess asks Pudilova to start working, as the action lulls. Pudilova drops down a few solid elbows on the cheek, and she moves to claim mount. As she does, Edwards flips over to her knees, and Pudilova does not fall off this time. Instead, Pudilova takes her back, where she gets in both hooks and threatens immediately with a rear-naked choke. Edwards fights the hands off from the first choke try, and she attempts to slip Pudilova off of her. Pudilova softens her up with a few punches, and Edwards keeps her stuck from trying anything with a two-on-one wrist lock. Edwards turns to her back, and Pudilova follows her and gets into mount. With 10 seconds to spare, Pudilova sits up and batters Edwards with vicious elbows until the horn saves the Panama native.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Pudilova
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Round 3
The last round opens up with Edwards aiming heavy kicks to the calf and big overhand rights up top. Pudilova stays composed and does not walk into anything harmful, and she flicks out a few jabs to keep Edwards honest. Pudilova shoots in from afar for a double, and she gets stood up as she pushes Edwards to the fence. Edwards slowly muscles her around, but Pudilova breaks off and separates. “La Pantera” shoots for her own takedown, and Pudilova tosses it aside and throws out a few kicks. Edwards strikes with several kicks to the thigh and upper calf, and Pudilova intercepts one with a straight left hand. Edwards punches her way into a spinning back fist, and Pudilova retreats and blocks both strikes. Edwards continues to work on the lead leg with pitter-patter kicks, and she smacks Pudilova with a clean left. “Bullet” charges for a takedown, and Edwards stands her up and kicks her in the body with a spinning kick. Edwards circles away on the outside, countering the advancing Pudilova and landing effectively. Pudilova crashes the pocket briefly with an overhand right, and Edwards is met with a knee before she swings a right hand back. Pudilova slams Edwards in the face with a knee, and she level changes to grab hold of Edwards. Edwards turns around, and Pudilova drags her to the floor. Edwards springs back up instantly, and the two remain clinched up. Pudilova misses with an elbow on the break, and Edwards tags her with two right hands. Pudilova surges forward with a few punches, and they trade short shots until the final bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-28 Pudilova)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-27 Pudilova)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-28 Pudilova)
The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Lucie Pudilova via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards based on her range management and volume striking. He notes that Edwards is a good kickboxer who uses range well, and her 63% takedown defense should ward off Pudilová's takedown attempts. He expects a boring fight but sees Edwards winning with volume and distance control. He is super confident in her but probably won't include her in a parlay.
Big Brady picks Joselyne Edwards as a dog, citing her striking volume and improved takedown defense. He doubts Lucie Pudilová's wrestling, which she only showed in her last fight, and doesn't trust her as a favorite. He expects Edwards to win by decision, but is not betting on the fight.
Cody notes Pudilová has improved her grappling and wrestling, and her aggression and volume should overwhelm Edwards. He thinks Edwards' pitter-patter striking won't be enough. He likes Pudilová by decision.
Connor picks Pudilová because he likes a newly controlled fighter who relies on her reach intelligently. He notes that Pudilová has takedowns and Edwards is a bad wrestler. He acknowledges that Edwards is powerful and the fight could get chaotic, but thinks Pudilová's experience in crazy fights will help.
Pudilová's improved grappling and BJJ will be key against Edwards, who struggles when taken down. Edwards relies on kicks and distance, but Pudilová is a good enough striker to close the distance and get takedowns. Pudilová's submission defense and top control should allow her to grind out a decision. She has evolved her game since returning to the UFC.
Paul agrees, noting Pudilová's improved grappling and the fact that Edwards' wins are over low-level competition. He thinks Pudilová's aggression and takedowns will secure a decision.
The MMA Guru leans toward Lucie Pudilová, citing her improved grappling and overall development since her return to the UFC. He notes Edwards' striking volume but thinks Pudilová's X-factor of potentially using grappling could edge a close decision. He calls it a close fight and says the line is accurate.
Zane picks Edwards because he hasn't seen Pudilová handle physical pushback well. He believes Edwards is tough and strong, and will land the bigger shots. He acknowledges that Edwards doesn't do enough work continually but thinks she'll land more damaging shots.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 32 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 39 of 81 | 48% | 51 of 96 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 16 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 | |
| 2 | Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 13 of 24 | 54% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 30 of 59 | 50% | 35 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucie Pudilová | 26 of 42 | 61% | 7 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 14 of 16 | 22 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 39 of 81 | 48% | 29 of 65 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 9 | 14 of 50 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 27 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucie Pudilová | 13 of 18 | 72% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 9 of 22 | 40% | 6 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Lucie Pudilová | 13 of 24 | 54% | 3 of 11 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 13 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 30 of 59 | 50% | 23 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 12 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 23 |
Angelo picks Wu Yanan over Lucie Pudilová. He notes that Pudilová is a UFC vet on a second stint but had a four-fight losing skid before being cut. He believes Wu is genuinely better everywhere, with better striking and grappling, and that her losses were competitive against higher-level competition. However, he expresses caution about betting low-level women's MMA and says he might only bet if the odds move to plus money around +200.
Big Brady picks the underdog Wu Yanan. He sees the fight as extremely close on the feet, slightly favoring Lucie Pudilová, but notes that Wu Yanan has shown takedown ability in recent fights. He believes Wu Yanan can mix in a takedown to seal a round and win a close decision. He mentions that Pudilová has poor takedown defense and no answer when taken down. Brady is not confident but sees a sneaky path for Wu Yanan.
Cody also picks Wu Yanan, agreeing with Paul that grappling will be key. He notes Pudilova's limited takedown defense and thinks Wu Yanan can take her down. He is not confident and says he won't bet it heavily.
Pudilová is the better striker with more power, but the fight is a toss-up. The host would only bet if Pudilová becomes plus money, and would then consider a small play on her by decision. He is not confident enough to bet at current odds.
Paul picks Wu Yanan, citing her grappling edge and the fact that Pudilova has poor takedown defense. He notes it's a low-level women's MMA fight and expects grappling to be key. He admits he's not confident and calls it a 'dogger pass'.
The Guru initially forgot his pick and had to check, eventually settling on Lucie Pudilová by decision. He thinks she will minorly outstrike Yanan in every round and mix in takedowns at the end of rounds to secure them. He calls her very good and underrated, and believes her experience against decent competition will allow her to win 27-30 via unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 62 of 129 | 48% | 66 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 29 of 143 | 20% | 47 of 165 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 46 | 23% | 17 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 51 | 21% | 16 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 7 of 46 | 15% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 62 of 129 | 48% | 17 of 70 | 16 of 23 | 29 of 36 | 50 of 108 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 29 of 143 | 20% | 22 of 131 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 137 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 21 of 43 | 48% | 5 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 46 | 23% | 7 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 23 of 41 | 56% | 6 of 20 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 51 | 21% | 9 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 18 of 45 | 40% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 14 | 14 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 7 of 46 | 15% | 6 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Justine Kish to win by decision, believing she is motivated and can return to her early UFC form with forward pressure. He notes that Pudilová has lapses in her fights and that Kish has experience against top-15 opponents. He thinks Kish's intensity will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová, citing her better record and lesser reach advantage. He doesn't show much interest in the fight, noting the women's flyweight division is thin and that being in the top 15 is basically the standard.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 36 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 12 of 24 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 34 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 11 of 18 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 23 | 69% | 3 of 6 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 21 | 76% | 3 of 4 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 40 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 5:59 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 33 of 105 | 31% | 57 of 133 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 25 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 8 of 35 | 22% | 9 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 30 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Carmouche | 14 of 29 | 48% | 3 of 12 | 4 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 33 of 105 | 31% | 13 of 77 | 3 of 6 | 17 of 22 | 15 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liz Carmouche | 4 of 4 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 20 | 30% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Liz Carmouche | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 8 of 35 | 22% | 4 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | |
| 3 | Liz Carmouche | 7 of 15 | 46% | 1 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 19 of 50 | 38% | 4 of 30 | 0 of 2 | 15 of 18 | 7 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 12 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 119 of 226 | 52% | 121 of 228 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 105 of 329 | 31% | 110 of 336 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 27 of 51 | 52% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 28 of 102 | 27% | 28 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 27 of 92 | 29% | 28 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 56 of 102 | 54% | 56 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 50 of 135 | 37% | 54 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Aldana | 119 of 226 | 52% | 80 of 164 | 10 of 23 | 29 of 39 | 111 of 216 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 105 of 329 | 31% | 81 of 289 | 11 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 99 of 319 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irene Aldana | 27 of 51 | 52% | 18 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 28 of 102 | 27% | 20 of 90 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 8 | 25 of 98 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Irene Aldana | 36 of 73 | 49% | 21 of 50 | 4 of 8 | 11 of 15 | 34 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 27 of 92 | 29% | 20 of 79 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 7 | 26 of 90 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Irene Aldana | 56 of 102 | 54% | 41 of 75 | 4 of 11 | 11 of 16 | 52 of 96 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 50 of 135 | 37% | 41 of 120 | 5 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 48 of 131 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.
Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.
Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.
Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.
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