UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Next Fight
Age 28
Height 5' 3"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 34
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Miranda Maverick
3.22 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
2.25 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
2.16 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
45.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Dione Barbosa
2.21 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
2.4 SApM
64.0% Str. Def.
2.4 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
63.0% TD Def.
1.7 Sub. Avg
Miranda Maverick - Fight History
LOSS vs Rose Namajunas
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rose Namajunas 1 25 of 86 29% 46 of 118 2 of 4 50% 0 0 6:33
Miranda Maverick 0 25 of 74 33% 52 of 108 0 of 2 0% 1 1 1:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rose Namajunas 0 17 of 59 28% 18 of 60 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Miranda Maverick 0 20 of 58 34% 20 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rose Namajunas 0 5 of 17 29% 9 of 26 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:05
Miranda Maverick 0 5 of 14 35% 22 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:45
3 Rose Namajunas 1 3 of 10 30% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:13
Miranda Maverick 0 0 of 2 0% 10 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rose Namajunas 25 of 86 29% 22 of 75 3 of 10 0 of 1 23 of 83 1 of 1 1 of 2
Miranda Maverick 25 of 74 33% 14 of 61 5 of 6 6 of 7 25 of 73 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rose Namajunas 17 of 59 28% 15 of 50 2 of 8 0 of 1 16 of 58 1 of 1 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 20 of 58 34% 11 of 47 4 of 5 5 of 6 20 of 57 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Rose Namajunas 5 of 17 29% 5 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 5 of 14 35% 3 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rose Namajunas 3 of 10 30% 2 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Miranda Maverick 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose because she is the better striker with superior footwork and technique. He acknowledges Miranda's wrestling threat but believes Rose can defend takedowns and out-strike her. He expresses concern about Rose's training situation but hopes she strings it together like she did against Tracy Cortez.

"Rose Namayuma should absolutely be the just better fighter across the board."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas by decision. He believes Rose is the better fighter overall, with superior striking and the ability to get takedowns against Maverick's sub-50% takedown defense. He worries slightly about Maverick's strength but notes Rose has done well at flyweight. He thinks Rose should win at least two rounds in a three-round fight.

"I'll take Rose to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Connor picks Namajunas, agreeing that Maverick is a 'Jake Matthews of women's flyweight'—athletic but aimless, with no clear idea how to win. He notes that Namajunas is much better in the clinch than she used to be and that Maverick's wrestling entries are poor. Connor believes Namajunas's speed, accuracy, and combination punching will allow her to outwork Maverick, and that Maverick's tendency to float and try things without a plan will be her undoing.

Namajunas opened at -289, now -249; Maverick opened at +214, now +220.
"I think this is just a really good style matchup for nami units"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but Namajunas's striking will reign supreme. She may have issues with Maverick's strength and clinch work, but she will get into open space, land more damage, and win a clear decision.

odds comment: closer fight than the odds suggest
"This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but I expect Nama Ununas is striking to reign supreme here..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Rose Namajunas

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, calling her a much better technical martial artist. He notes her grappling defense and standup are superior, and she has size at flyweight. He expects a unanimous decision win, 30-27, as Rose outclasses Maverick everywhere.

"I'm going to go with Rose Namunas. She's a much better martial artist. This is a bit of a mismatch. Um a very big mismatch."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Zane picks Namajunas, citing her superior craft, movement, and jab-heavy striking as a clear advantage over Maverick's aimless, unprincipled game. He notes that Maverick lacks a clear process and often gets caught up striking when she should wrestle, while Namajunas is accurate, fast, and effective at kicking range. Zane believes Namajunas can outpoint Maverick over three rounds, as Maverick has consistently lost to fighters with a strong game plan.

Namajunas opened at -289, now -249; Maverick opened at +214, now +220. Zane thinks the line could get longer.
"I think rose is fully capable of just kind of being much craftier and more consistent than maverick and and taking a decision off of her"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley · Dec 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 24 of 68 35% 61 of 117 2 of 9 22% 0 0 6:50
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 15 of 55 27% 63 of 111 1 of 3 33% 1 1 3:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 8 of 24 33% 20 of 37 0 of 6 0% 0 0 2:49
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 4 of 19 21% 21 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Miranda Maverick 0 3 of 4 75% 15 of 17 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:37
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 2 of 4 50% 22 of 27 1 of 3 33% 1 1 2:54
3 Miranda Maverick 0 13 of 40 32% 26 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:24
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 9 of 32 28% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 24 of 68 35% 12 of 50 5 of 6 7 of 12 23 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 1
Jamey-Lyn Horth 15 of 55 27% 11 of 45 3 of 8 1 of 2 14 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 8 of 24 33% 3 of 15 2 of 2 3 of 7 8 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 4 of 19 21% 2 of 15 1 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 13 of 40 32% 9 of 34 2 of 3 2 of 3 13 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 1
Jamey-Lyn Horth 9 of 32 28% 8 of 27 1 of 4 0 of 1 9 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-470), Horth (+360)

Round 1
Andrew Glenn will referee the final women's MMA fight inside the UFC this year. Horth takes the middle of the cage. Maverick is circling well and entering with combinations, although they've all come up short so far. A series of left hooks lands for Maverick. Horth defends a takedown attempt against the cage. Maverick landing short knees to the leg. Maverick stays with it, locking her hands around the left knee of Horth. Maverick starts eating elbows from Horth. Slow opening round as Maverick has been obsessed with getting a takedown that she couldn't get. Just 30 seconds left. Horth eats some knees but stays upright as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
Maverick complained of shots to the back of the head between rounds. Maverick goes for another takedown, and Horth is up against the cage, defending well. The crowd is booing. Maverick landing some nice knees. Horth tries to jump the back for a second and is now looking for a takedown of her own as she gets back control standing. Maverick gives up her back and is now on the ground. Horth is looking for a rear-naked choke. The decision to grapple and go for nonstop takedown attempts has backfired for Maverick. Horth is cranking the neck currently. Maverick gets back to her feet with two minutes left and finally gets a takedown of her own. Horth gives up her back in a scramble. Maverick gets complacent for a second and is reversed. Horth is in full guard with a minute left. Horth lands a few punches on top before Maverick gets back to her feet.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth

Round 3
Horth eats an overhand left from Maverick to start the round. Maverick has shown a clear advantage on the feet, so her insistence on takedowns has been strange. Maverick keeping her distance and is starting to use her kicks. Horth has a longer reach but isn't using her jab. Horth swings wildly and gets taken down as a result. Maverick is in half-guard and is landing some short punches from top position. Horth needs to show some urgency to get up but isn't doing so. Maverick postures up and tries to pass but can't get side control. Horth scrambles for a leg, but they're mostly just tangled up. One minute left. Maverick is cruising to a decision win by staying on top. Horth finally gets up with 30 seconds left. Maverick lands a nice left straight and is outstriking Horth easily. The fight ends with Maverick clinching her opponent against the cage.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Jamey-Lyn Horth via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Maverick because she can dictate the grappling and get the fight to the ground, exploiting Horth's poor takedown defense. He notes Maverick's pressure, strength, and takedowns, but acknowledges she is not a finisher. He expects the fight to go to decision and suggests the over 2.5 rounds might be a better bet if the odds are close to the moneyline.

Fight goes to decision; considering over 2.5 rounds if odds are favorable.
"Miranda moves forward I think she pressures Jamie and I think she gets this fight to the ground... Miranda is the pick and this fight will go to a decision."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He is confident Maverick is a much better fighter than Horth, noting Horth's close fights with lower-level opponents. He thinks Maverick's losses are to elite fighters and that she was robbed against Barber. He does not see a finish likely, so picks decision.

"Maverick all day every day but the line indicates this Line's gotten smashed"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing her wrestling advantage and Horth's inability to stop takedowns. He notes that Horth is slow and flat-footed, and Maverick's physicality should secure takedowns and control. Cody warns that the line is high but sees Maverick as a safe play.

"Maverick is the play but wait until weigh-ins and you'll see them next to each other."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Maverick is a much better athlete and has been improving her game. He points out that Horth is a slow, uncoordinated fighter who lacks the size and seasoning of Jasmine Jasudavicius, who beat Maverick. As long as Maverick uses her wrestling and doesn't get into unnecessary striking exchanges, she should win easily.

"Maverick really could have and should have beat just suit of easiest. She is a much better athlete."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Vreeland picks Miranda Maverick, noting she has more tools, experience, and better competition. However, he is cautious due to the -600 price and the state of women's MMA judging. He expects Maverick to win but advises proceeding with caution.

"I'm going to pick the minus 600 favorite I think thinks she's better but with these judges proceed with caution"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick's physicality and grinding approach will keep Horth in defensive positions, allowing Maverick to win by decision. The chalky odds are expected to come through.

wins by decision
"I do expect that to come through for her as I believe she'll be able to use her physicality and grinding approach to keep horth and defensive positions allowing her to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul picks Miranda Maverick but avoids the money line due to the high price. He notes that Horth struggles with wrestlers and Maverick is the best wrestler she's faced. Paul expects Maverick to secure takedowns and control, but is not confident enough to bet heavily.

"I'm avoiding this money line like the plague."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick without much elaboration, stating she is well-trained with talent in grappling and striking. He dismisses Jamey-Lyn Horth's recent split decision win over Iana Petrovic, calling Petrovic 'absolute garbage', and notes that Horth's close fight with Veronica Hardy doesn't impress him. He concludes that Maverick is simply a more talented fighter.

"Miranda Maverick is well trained she's got some level of talent in her grappling and striking I don't need to explain myself"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Zane picks Maverick confidently, noting that she is a much better athlete than Horth, faster and stronger. He points out that Maverick has been learning to connect her striking to her wrestling and showed better control in recent fights. Horth is slow, uncoordinated, and barely beat Petrovich, getting taken down at will. As long as Maverick doesn't trip over her own feet, she should win.

Maverick opened at -322, now -546; Horth opened at -270, now +419. Zane notes that Maverick is a big favorite, which is unusual for her.
"It is really on maverick to just not trip over her own feet. I kind of like it for that as a matchup to be honest."
WIN vs Dione Barbosa
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 30 of 88 34% 102 of 188 2 of 5 40% 0 0 8:07
Dione Barbosa 0 21 of 52 40% 47 of 85 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 16 of 45 35% 31 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:02
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 21 33% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 7 of 28 25% 30 of 60 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:26
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 16 43% 11 of 20 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:43
3 Miranda Maverick 0 7 of 15 46% 41 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:39
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 15 46% 22 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 30 of 88 34% 9 of 55 7 of 15 14 of 18 23 of 77 2 of 2 5 of 9
Dione Barbosa 21 of 52 40% 19 of 47 1 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 16 of 45 35% 3 of 27 4 of 7 9 of 11 14 of 42 1 of 1 1 of 2
Dione Barbosa 7 of 21 33% 6 of 19 0 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 7 of 28 25% 1 of 16 3 of 8 3 of 4 6 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 1
Dione Barbosa 7 of 16 43% 6 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 7 of 15 46% 5 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 6
Dione Barbosa 7 of 15 46% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dione Barbosa vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-218), Barbosa (+180)

Round 1
Shifting gears back to the flyweight category, the U.S. battles Brazil as Maverick (13-5, 6-3 UFC) looks to bewitch “The Witch” Barbosa (7-2, 1-0 UFC) across their three-round endeavor. With exactly twice as much experience as her opponent, and as many fights in the UFC as Barbosa holds as a pro, Maverick will come into the match five years the younger. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge of this pairing, and he claps the two in as they clap hands. Both women flirt with the middle of the cage, tossing a single strike at one another to test the waters. Maverick kicks the lead leg, and Barbosa replies with a front kick up the middle. Barbosa chops at the front leg, and Maverick replies. The two trade leg kicks, and Maverick grins after an exchange. Both women reach at one another with rangy punches and miss the mark, and then try head kicks that rebound off one another’s guards. They go tit-for-tat after one another, seemingly mirroring one another with attempted strikes. Barbosa picks up her leg after eating a particularly effective low kick, and Maverick targets it once more and ducks away from a sudden wheel kick. Maverick chops at the thigh with a kick, and when the Brazilian closes the distance, she plants two punches on the jaw and slips away. Maverick strikes the lead leg, turning it red less than halfway through Round 1, and she rushes out with jabs outstretched. They both swing and miss on distance strikes, their corners celebrating whether they land or not. Maverick continues to work the calf at the end of combinations, and Barbosa preemptively lifts her leg until crashing forward to take the fight down. Maverick reverses her and tosses the Brazilian to her back, and she fights through a leglock to lower herself down in half guard. Barbosa keeps a high guard to threaten from her back, but Maverick pushes through it to stay out of danger. Barbosa closes the high guard briefly, trying to control Maverick while Maverick controls her. Maverick’s offense dwindles to a few strikes and a knee to the posterior as seconds peel off the clock with little to show for them. Maverick raps her left hand over the top a few times to stay busy, working the head and body before hammering Barbosa with a few elbows. Barbosa looks for a submission setup, and Maverick shrugs it off to continue her ground-and-pound until the bell intervenes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The women try to clap hands to begin the second round and miss, and say heck with it and start swinging at one another. Maverick picks and pokes with low kicks before mixing it up with a head kick, and when that nearly gets through, she tries another seconds later. Barbosa defends a low single and tosses Maverick aside to kick her in the cheek, and she rushes forward to press the Missouri native against the fencing. Barbosa succeeds in hitting a throw to chuck Maverick to the floor, and Maverick is quick to climb back to her feet despite the head lock toss. Maverick breaks away from the clinch and eats a sudden spinning elbow, and she reaches out with a kick and is countered with one from the Brazilian. Maverick jabs to the head and body, keeping her hands up to block a head kick and crashing forward at the same time as her opponent to hit a takedown. Barbosa defends with a takedown, and Maverick pushes her against the wall, unconcerned by the choke, to trip “The Witch” to the canvas. Barbosa is stuck on her back absorbing sporadic punches, and Maverick stays tightly pressed to not let Barbosa sneak anything up on her. Barbosa turns to set up an armbar, and Maverick tosses Barbosa to the side and gets back on top. Barbosa uses the butterfly hooks from allowing Maverick to get her flat, but Maverick keeps to this position while kneeing Barbosa in the backside once. Maverick drops down short right hands as she assumes half guard, and she elbows Barbosa and smacks her with her shoulder before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 3
They do touch gloves to open up the last stanza, and fists are soon to fly. Maverick sits down on three punches, and she leans back as a head kick buzzes her hair. Barbosa works her way forward and reaches out with a right hand after taking a low kick, and she connects with two more before Maverick’s back hits the wall. Barbosa tries to change levels, but Maverick’s takedown defends keeps her upright. As Maverick breaks off, she lands another calf kick and a right hand behind it, and Barbosa walks her down ready to throw leather. Maverick shoots in for a single, and Barbosa scrambles effectively to flip Maverick over and even set up a kneebar. Maverick fights through it and winds up on top, moving into the butterfly guard of her opponent. Maverick keeps tight and composed from above to put Barbosa flat on her back, and she grinds with an elbow to irritate the Brazilian. Maverick gets bucked off briefly, and she remains on top while getting in elbows until Barbosa turns for an armbar. Maverick no-sells it and pulls out of it, and she relocates herself in Barbosa’s guard. Maverick lands a shoulder strike, and it appears she may have headbutted Barbosa in the chest as well, but nothing comes of it. Maverick’s 125-pound-plus frame feels like 500 pounds as Barbosa cannot get enough space, try as she might. Maverick retains control and fully embraces the grind, sliding over to half guard and using her elbow to frame up and land shots. Maverick remains active from this position, doing so until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Dione Barbosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is a pressure fighter with solid takedowns and strength, and Dione Barbosa has poor takedown defense. He notes that Barbosa is a judoka who wants to clinch, but Maverick will shoot takedowns instead of tying up. He is waiting for prop bets to place a wager, as he doesn't love the moneyline.

waiting for prop bets
"Miranda Maverick is going to be the pick I'm going to be betting on her in some capacity I'm waiting for the prop bets I don't love the money line right now"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Maverick, emphasizing her youth (27), cardio, and full camp. He notes Barbosa is on short notice and gassed in her last fight. He expects Maverick to lose the first round but take over in the second and third with takedowns and volume. He suggests live betting Maverick after round one.

"I think you live bet this one after Miranda Maverick either loses the first round or that it's a very competitive first round."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Daniel Vreeland picks Dione Barbosa as an upset, citing her superior Jiu-Jitsu and improving striking. He notes that Maverick struggles when she cannot be the bully, and Barbosa's size and grappling advantage will be key. Vreeland believes Barbosa can submit Maverick or win a decision, and considers the odds off.

"I think Deon Barbosa can actually spook her on the feet a bit with with her ever improving standup and then when she gets it to the mat I would not be surprised if she was the first one to …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a heavy favorite at -220. She has improved striking and strong grappling, and her physicality should be too much for Barbosa. Barbosa relies on takedowns and BJJ, but Maverick has good submission defense and has never been finished. Maverick will make Barbosa work early and then pull away with her striking and top control. Even at -220, Maverick is worth a shot.

"even at minus 220 I think she is worth a shot and should be able to give Marosa her first UFC loss"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Maverick's submission win over Priscila Cachoeira and her ability to go three rounds. He thinks Barbosa's cardio is a major issue and that Maverick will cruise to a decision or late stoppage. He also mentions the altitude training with Rose Namajunas as a plus.

"I would have loved Maverick at minus 150... but you make a lot of good points there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her longer training and recent win over Andrea Lee. He notes Dione Barbosa's win over Nesta Carter is not impressive, and believes Maverick's grappling defense will give her an advantage on the feet. He also mentions Maverick's close fight with Maycee Barber, which he thought she won, as a positive sign.

"I'm gonna go with uh Miranda Maverick I think longer training she's been doing it for longer now she's 27"
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 36 of 102 35% 59 of 126 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:42
Andrea Lee 0 66 of 136 48% 106 of 180 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:40
Andrea Lee 0 24 of 43 55% 31 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
2 Miranda Maverick 0 9 of 34 26% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Andrea Lee 0 23 of 48 47% 47 of 74 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
3 Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 37 40% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 19 of 45 42% 28 of 55 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 36 of 102 35% 14 of 72 13 of 19 9 of 11 32 of 96 3 of 3 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 66 of 136 48% 28 of 89 16 of 25 22 of 22 60 of 128 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 12 of 31 38% 4 of 20 4 of 6 4 of 5 9 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 24 of 43 55% 9 of 25 5 of 8 10 of 10 23 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 9 of 34 26% 4 of 26 3 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 23 of 48 47% 11 of 34 4 of 6 8 of 8 21 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 15 of 37 40% 6 of 26 6 of 8 3 of 3 14 of 34 0 of 0 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 19 of 45 42% 8 of 30 7 of 11 4 of 4 16 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 11, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick, citing her pressure, takedowns, and toughness. He notes that Andrea Lee has fought tougher competition but is on a three-fight skid. He cautions that the moneyline is juiced and recommends the over 2.5 rounds as a lock.

over 2.5 rounds
"I am going to pick Miranda Maverick here... I think the over two and a half in this fight is probably the lock of the card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win, citing her youth (26 vs 35) and physical strength as key advantages. He notes Andrea Lee's poor takedown defense (54%) and history of being taken down by lesser wrestlers, expecting Maverick to get the fight to the mat and grind out a decision. He acknowledges Lee's underrated striking but believes Maverick's wrestling and control will be too much. He mentions the line is moving but says he's probably not betting this one.

Maverick by decision
"I do like Maverick here to win this fight... Maverick by decision is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Lee, noting her high volume striking (100+ significant strikes) compared to Maverick's lower output. He questions Maverick's takedown effectiveness and believes Lee can win on the feet. He sees plus 170 as good value and picks Lee.

"Andrea Lee is the pick for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel picks Miranda Maverick but expresses hesitation about the betting line. He notes that Andrea Lee is physically strong and that Maverick's striking is her weakest area. He worries that Lee's strength could cause problems, but ultimately believes Maverick's grappling advantage will prevail. He says he is staying away from the line.

"I'm on Maverick here but I'm probably this is probably a line I'm staying away from."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Daniel Vreeland passes on this fight, noting Andrea Lee's decline and Miranda Maverick's inconsistency. He considered taking the dog on Lee but decided against it given her recent performances.

"Pass for me also."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Jeff picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Andrea Lee is on a three-fight skid and hasn't won since 2021. He believes Maverick is a younger, stronger fighter who can impose her will. He acknowledges Lee's physical strength but thinks Maverick's grappling and overall game will be too much. He is not betting the line, however, as he finds it unappealing.

"Maverick is is my pick here as well yeah you can't really put any any faith in Lee at this point in her career and she's going to have a big strong younger fighter on her case here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is younger, stronger, and will dominate in the clinch and on the ground. Lee may be the better technical striker but has a history of breaking under pressure. Maverick grinds out a decision win.

"I expect Maverick to be competitive in that realm but eventually drag this fight into the clinch position and to the ground where Maverick should be able to control it and suck the energy out of Lee"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Paul picks Lee, arguing that the line is inflated by Maverick's recent win over low-level competition. He notes Lee has fought tougher opponents and has better volume striking. He believes Maverick's wrestling is not as effective against higher-level grapplers, and Lee can outwork her on the feet. He sees Lee as a clear underdog value.

Lee by decision (suggested)
"it just has to be an auto bet on the underdog so I will take Andre Le to win by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her youth, improvement at Team Elevation, and full focus on MMA now that she's done with education. He notes Andrea Lee's frustration when taken down and lack of calmness on bottom. He believes Maverick's grappling will be key, though he acknowledges Lee's stronger strength of schedule and mentions he might advise betting on Lee if her odds become bigger underdog.

If more money comes in on Miranda Maverick and Andrea Lee becomes even bigger of an underdog, I might advise people to put some money on her.
"I think Miranda Maverick is the more improving fighter she's the younger fighter she's training at Team elevation... I think she'll be able to outgrapple Andrea Lee in this fight."
Submission (armbar) R3 2:11 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 36 of 51 70% 105 of 132 3 of 9 33% 1 0 8:54
Priscila Cachoeira 0 11 of 23 47% 13 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 16 of 25 64% 46 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:29
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 9 44% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 11 of 16 68% 43 of 56 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:48
Priscila Cachoeira 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Miranda Maverick 0 9 of 10 90% 16 of 17 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:37
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 36 of 51 70% 23 of 37 8 of 8 5 of 6 16 of 29 2 of 2 18 of 20
Priscila Cachoeira 11 of 23 47% 7 of 18 2 of 3 2 of 2 10 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 16 of 25 64% 9 of 18 5 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 14 0 of 0 9 of 11
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 9 44% 1 of 5 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 11 of 16 68% 7 of 11 1 of 1 3 of 4 6 of 11 1 of 1 4 of 4
Priscila Cachoeira 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 9 of 10 90% 7 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 5
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-305), Cachoeira (+240)

Round 1
Every now and then, a fight card comes around that makes the community pause for a second to admire its impressive stature. The excitement around the MMA sphere is refreshingly genuine, especially for an otherwise costly event that has no actual, real belts on the line. When the lights go down in the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, the anticipation will build throughout the night to a crescendo. Even if the product does not deliver respective to how it looks on paper, the main attraction is one that will entice even the most jaded of fight fans. Before we get to that mega rematch, we start on the early preliminary card with six prelims as appetizers ahead of the hearty $80 meal. The first fight on the billing also happens to be the lone women’s match of the evening, and it comes between late replacement Maverick (11-5, 4-3 UFC) and the much-maligned Cachoeira (12-4, 4-4 UFC). This contest of wrestler vs. striker will be officiated by referee Dave Seljestad. The flyweights start the show without a touch of gloves, and here we go. Maverick bobs and shifts forward, and she reaches out with a left hook and a pair of punches soon to follow. Cachoeira swats back at her and comes up short, and Maverick gets to a safe range and lands a low kick. Maverick shoots in for a takedown from afar, and before she can get close, Cachoeira pushes her back and catches her with an overhand right. Maverick fakes a level change, and she goes up high with a kick that surprises the Brazilian. Cachoeira chops down at the inside leg, and Maverick responds and gets countered with a right hand. Maverick leaps forward with a Superwoman punch, and she wraps her foot on the side of the head. When Cachoeira tries to take advantage of an off-balance Maverick, she closes the distance, and Maverick uses the momentum to spin Cachoeira and drag her to her seat. Cachoeira leans against the fence in hopes of wall-walking, and Maverick isolates her foe’s right leg to keep Cachoeira grounded. Cachoeira posts off on her right arm while using her other to push Maverick’s head down, and this stops Maverick from advancing to a top position. “Zombie Girl” musters her way to her knee and is briefly upright, but Maverick pulls her down and smacks her a few times with her left fist. Maverick imposes her weight on Cachoeira to keep her trapped in this awkward position, and Cachoeira still muscles her way back up. The second she does, Maverick strips her legs back out and dumps her to her back. This allows Maverick to move to side control, and she drives a knee to the midsection before lowering herself down. Maverick scores short punches to fluster the Brazilian, sitting comfortably in half guard, and Cachoeira is not making any overt effort to stand back up. Maverick traps Cachoeira’s right arm beneath her legs for a partial crucifix, and she hammers Cachoeira with thudding elbows. Cachoeira tugs her toes on the fence to try to escape, and Seljestad slaps them a few times to prevent the fence grabbing. Maverick rides out the remainder of the round, dropping down a few elbows and hammerfists.
Advertisement

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The second round kicks off with an aggressive Maverick, who swarms with a big left hook and a few follow-up punches. When Cachoeira misses on the counter, Maverick reaches out and pops her with a left hook. Maverick drops down for a single-leg takedown, and Cachoeira shuts it down and misses with a short counter by a matter of inches. Cachoeira thwarts another takedown, although an uppercut from Maverick after it gets stifled busted her nose up. Maverick thwacks the inside leg of her opponent, and Cachoeira draws it back briefly. Cachoeira commits to defending the oncoming takedown, and she grips her left arm under the chin to potentially threaten with a guillotine choke. Cachoeira grabs the fence with her other hand instead of securing the submission, and Maverick doubles down on the attempt. Maverick slides her neck out of the dangerous position and slowly drags Cachoeira to the ground. Cachoeira has her hands slapped by Seljestad for grabbing the inside of Maverick’s gloves and then the cage, warned sternly for her fouls. Maverick secures the takedown and sits down in half guard, smothering Cachoeira and frustrating her with little left hands and elbows. Maverick smartly traps Cachoeira between the corner of the fence and the floor to disallow Cachoeira from going anywhere, and she tries to jump to the side and winds up falling into full mount. Maverick opens up with ground-and-pound, and Cachoeira bucks with all her might to get out of the precarious position. Cachoeira pulls on the fence with her fingers and toes, and the fouls allow her to turn all the way through and nearly get back up. Maverick, concerned only on her gameplan and not what the Brazilian is doing, wrenches Cachoeira to her back again. Maverick hacks down with a crisp elbow, and her grinding attack allows her to conclude this frame in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 3
Knowing Cachoeira is likely to come out guns blazing, Maverick keeps her distance early in the last round with multiple front kicks. Cachoeira swings for the bleachers with right hooks, and Maverick times this inaccurate strike to shoot in for a takedown. When this fails, Maverick redoubles her effort, scoring a clean right hand to set it up and perfectly deposit Cachoeira to the canvas courtesy of a double-leg takedown. When they hit the ground, Cachoeira’s arm inadvertently slides beneath one of Maverick’s shoulder straps, and it forces a brief wardrobe malfunction that Seljestad resets. Maverick, glad to be on top in side control, drops down a few strikes before shifting gears to north-south. When there is no submission to come from it, Maverick keeps moving and jumps into full mount. As Cachoeira defends from any oncoming fire, she leaves her right arm out just a little too long.
Maverick snatches it up and rolls to the side, setting the hook and wrenching down. Cachoeira taps out, and then taps a second time. Seljestad, watching very closely, does not intervene. Instead, Cachoeira taps out several more times, and he finally steps in.
Maverick could have cranked the elbow much harder, but out of sportsmanship decided not to destroy the arm of “Zombie Girl.” This one-side victory is an important one for Maverick, who reminds the rest of the flyweight division she is still a threat.

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 2:11 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick but with very low confidence. He notes that Miranda is the better fighter overall and should be able to get takedowns and grind out a win, but he is concerned about her coming off a bad loss and the short notice. He thinks the odds are too high at -315 and is not betting on her, advising others to avoid it as well.

odds comment: -315 is crazy, she just took your money
"Miranda Maverick is the better fighter here Miranda should win super low confidence in that pick I'm spending absolutely no money on this and you shouldn't either minus 315 is crazy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by submission in the second round. He notes that Maverick has a clear path to victory by taking the fight to the mat, where Cachoeira is a fish out of water with poor takedown defense and submission grappling. He warns that if Maverick strikes, she risks getting caught by Cachoeira's power, but expects her to fight smart and capitalize on the matchup taken on short notice.

second round submission
"I like Miranda Maverick to win this fight by sub I'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody picks Cachoeira at plus money, citing her power, reach advantage, and grit. He questions Maverick's wrestling after her loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, where she was controlled. He notes Cachoeira's durability and ability to land big shots. He already bet her at +270.

"I grabbed it at plus 270"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

James sees this as a setup spot for Maverick, who has strong takedown ability and jiu-jitsu to exploit Cachoeira's grappling deficiency. He notes Cachoeira's recent wins are against lower-level competition and that her only correlated loss was a submission to Gillian Robertson. He expects Maverick to take her down and submit her, likely via rear-naked choke, though he acknowledges Cachoeira is tough and may survive to a decision.

under 2.5 rounds at -115
"I think Miranda Maverick gets her down and submits her just like Jillian Robertson did"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a strong grappler who will get takedowns and work from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but isn't ready for Maverick's overall game. Maverick will eventually open up a finishing opportunity. I'm taking Maverick to win inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds is not a bad spot.

inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds
"I'm taking Miranda Maverick to win inside the distance under two and a half not a bad spot either"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul leans Cachoeira, noting Maverick's poor striking and recent grappling struggles. He believes Cachoeira's power and volume on the feet can win rounds, especially if Maverick can't get takedowns. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.

"why not take that plus money flyer"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 63 of 127 49% 68 of 132 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Miranda Maverick 0 67 of 158 42% 115 of 235 1 of 1 100% 0 0 7:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 20 of 27 74% 25 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Miranda Maverick 0 10 of 23 43% 18 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:48
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 15 of 30 50% 15 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Miranda Maverick 0 12 of 33 36% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:21
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 28 of 70 40% 28 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Miranda Maverick 0 45 of 102 44% 50 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 63 of 127 49% 33 of 94 17 of 18 13 of 15 56 of 120 7 of 7 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 67 of 158 42% 52 of 140 15 of 18 0 of 0 53 of 138 13 of 18 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 20 of 27 74% 5 of 12 9 of 9 6 of 6 13 of 20 7 of 7 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 10 of 23 43% 6 of 19 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 19 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 15 of 30 50% 9 of 23 2 of 2 4 of 5 15 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 12 of 33 36% 7 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 28 of 70 40% 19 of 59 6 of 7 3 of 4 28 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 45 of 102 44% 39 of 93 6 of 9 0 of 0 40 of 91 4 of 9 1 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-295), Jasudavicius (+245)

Round 1
A place among the top 15 at flyweight looms for these next two women. Bolstered by her entrance to the “Top Gun” theme, Maverick (11-4, 4-2 UFC) is ready to disappoint the Canadian audience by handing Ontario’s Jasudavicius (8-2, 2-1 UFC) a defeat. This pairing will be joined by referee Jerin Valel, and they want to get right to it and blow past touching gloves. Maverick hops forward with a leg kick and hops away before she gets reached. The Canadian checks a leg kick and sticks out a jab, and Maverick moves around and scores one on either side of the inside calf. Jasudavicius flicks out a few punches, and Maverick retaliates with a solid body kick that leads to a clinch. Maverick aims punches and knees to the body when they are tied up in the middle of the cage, and Jasudavicius responds with some clinch strikes. Maverick frames off with an elbow and a right hand to break off, and she reaches a left to the body when she circles. Jasudavicius reaches her foe with a rangy right hand, and Maverick is on her bike chipping with kicks. Jasudavicius blocks a head kick, and she nearly hits a split to stuff a takedown from the Missouri native. Jasudavicius turns her around and throws her to her back, and Maverick is quick to set up a high guard with one leg on top of her foe’s shoulder. Maverick transitions to an armbar, and she sneaks her legs around to isolate Jasudavicius’s right arm and places the Canadian in the Danger Zone. Jasudavicius stacks Maverick up and presses her knee on Maverick’s neck to counter her uncomfortably. With Jasudavicius keeping her opponent squeezed awkwardly against the fencing, the leverage from Maverick is not right to secure the submission. Maverick holds on in this position until the horn stops the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle of the Octagon, and Jasudavicius leads off with a head kick. Maverick keeps her left arm high to block it, and she gets knocked back by a pair of punches from the Canadian. Maverick goes back to chipping at the lead wheel of her foe, working it from both sides and staying out of the way of the longer reaching Jasudavicius. The Canadian does get off a left hand and she aims a front kick, and Maverick stands in front of her and pops her with two crisp punches. Maverick gets off a few punches, and Jasudavicius from up close manages to smack Maverick in the face with a head kick. Maverick is shaken up, and this allows Jasudavicius to press her to the fence and knee her a few times. Maverick breaks away with an uppercut, and she just manages to dodge a head kick. When she resets and advances, Jasudavicius meets her coming in with a one-two. Maverick shoots from afar for a single, and Jasudavicius sweeps Maverick and dumps her to her back. Jasudavicius transitions to the side, only to get dragged back to the guard of the American. Jasudavicius keeps moving, and she takes mount and is tossed to half guard in a quick series of shifts. Maverick turns to her side and she eats several short punches, and elects to lay on her back. Jasudavicius steps over to secure mount, and she lets Maverick turn over to take Maverick’s back and get a hook in. Jasudavicius rolls along with Maverick and locks down the body triangle, and she starts smacking Maverick with left hands. Maverick gets her arm trapped, and Jasudavicius slithers her arm around the chin in pursuit of a rear-naked choke. Maverick barrel rolls, but Jasudavicius follows her every step of the way and gets the body triangle locked up again. Maverick spins to reverse the position, and Jasudavicius is slick and keeps her dominant position. Jasudavicius gets off several left hands when she takes mount back with seconds to spare, and this is where she ends the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 3
The last round begins with a Superwoman punch from Maverick, and Jasudavicius defends against it and flicks out a few jabs. Maverick spins with an elbow that is blocked, and she keeps her momentum going to kick the ribs. Jasudavicius grimaces and swipes out with a left hand, and Maverick targets the liver again. Jasudavicius walks Maverick down, and Maverick leans over to punch the same spot. Jasudavicius backs her up with long, straight punches, and she snaps the head back with a left. Jasudavicius attempts a head kick, and Maverick closes the distance to not let it catch her up to. Maverick times an advancing Jasudavicius with an uppercut, and this fires Jasudavicius up. Jasudavicius unleashes a fire and fury in the form of a long string of punches, and Maverick ricochets off the fence and retreats from that salvo of blows. Maverick reaches a left hand over the guard, and Jasudavicius tags her with a combination. Jasudavicius walks Maverick down and chains a knee to a few punches to an elbow. Jasudavicius grows some swelling around the eye of the American quickly from her heavy shots, and Maverick stops her in her tracks for a second with a step-in elbow. Maverick dodges a front kick to the face, responds with a high kick that slaps in the armpit, and she gets knocked back with a right hand. Maverick shoots for an ill-advised takedown, and like the previous rounds, Jasudavicius is the one to come up with the better position. Maverick turns to her knees and looks to wall-walk when Jasudavicius has her hands clasped from behind. Maverick stands, and Jasudavicius has her from behind and lets Maverick turn to the wall. With seconds to spare, Jasudavicius lays into Maverick with a series of punches, and she ignores one coming back from Maverick when Maverick escapes with seconds to spare. Jasudavicius pops Maverick once more before the final bell rings, and Canada may have another winner tonight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Miranda Maverick via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a significant underdog. He highlights her high-level wrestling credentials as a Canadian national champion, and believes she can outwrestle Miranda Maverick. He notes that Miranda's game plan will be to outwrestle a national champion, which he doubts will work. He placed a quarter unit bet on Jasmine at +250.

Bet: 0.25 units on Jasmine Jasudavicius moneyline at +250
"I threw a quarter of a unit on her at plus 250"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick but is hesitant due to the high price. He notes that Jasudavicius has a path to victory via takedowns and top control, which is concerning. However, Maverick is younger, a better striker, and a black belt in BJJ. He expects Maverick to keep the fight standing or scramble back up if taken down, winning a decision. He cautions against betting at -290.

caution against betting at -290
"I would caution anybody wanting to go out there and lay minus 290 on Maverick I think that's pretty ridiculous but if you're looking for a winner I think she wins the fight and I'll say she wins this fight …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing advantages in speed, distance management, and wrestling. He notes that Jasudavicius likes to stand and brawl, but Maverick is fleet-footed and can stay in and out of the pocket. He believes Maverick can win standing or on the ground, and expects a decision. He also likes the over on Maverick's significant strikes.

Over 45.5 significant strikes for Maverick on PrizePicks; fight goes to decision
"I would have to same random Maverick who's not a finisher by no stretch and Jasmine's Rock Solid durability uh durable so FICO is the distance"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Connor also picks Miranda Maverick, emphasizing her physical edge: she is harder hitting, stronger, and more mobile. He notes that Maverick has a straightforward game plan to win easily and can afford to make more mistakes than Jasudavicius. However, he warns that if Jasudavicius gets underhooks first and takes Maverick down, she will do a lot of damage and narrow the room for error. Connor believes Maverick's athleticism and improved instruction will carry her.

Maverick opened -261, now -291; Jasudavicius opened +225, now +247
"Yeah, I'm going to take maverick as well. I mean, I think it starts with just having a fairly obvious physical edge."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Levi picks Jasmine Jasudavicius for value, noting that she moves better than Maverick and has a longer reach. He thinks if she can stuff takedowns, she can win with volume. He is concerned about her cardio in round three, but sees Maverick's striking as awkward and slow. He believes the line is too wide and that Jasudavicius has a real path to victory, possibly by decision.

likes the spread bet on Jasudavicius
"I think there's a ton of value to be had with jazz here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

James picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a live underdog at +250. He thinks the line is inflated; he would line Maverick at -165. He acknowledges Maverick is better or equal in most areas but by slim margins. Jasudavicius has higher pace and aggression, and James believes she can win rounds and possibly land takedowns. He expects a close back-and-forth fight that could go to a split decision. He also mentions the plus-3.5 spread as a potential bet.

Jasmine Jasudavicius by points (buy points) in degenerate parlay
"I think Jasmine's a good spot here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius has a size and wrestling advantage, and she showed improved striking setups in her last fight. Maverick struggles against grapplers who can take her down, as seen in the Blanchfield loss. However, Maverick's jiu-jitsu off her back is dangerous, and Jasudavicius must maintain top pressure without gassing. The odds are closer than implied, making Jasudavicius a live underdog.

"give me Jazz divisius I think she wins this fight by decision low confidence"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Jasudavicius' typical clinch and wrestling advantages won't work against Maverick's strength and leverage. He believes Maverick's speed and footwork will allow her to outpoint Jasudavicius on the feet, and she can also score takedowns. He expects a decision win for Maverick.

Fight goes to decision
"I think Maverick's able to secure takedowns just use that physicality and win a decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her solid grappling and competitive losses to top fighters like Erin Blanchfield and Macy Barber (where he believes she was robbed). He thinks Jasudavicius is primarily a striker and cannot out-grapple Maverick. He expects Maverick to mix in grappling and win a decision.

"gotta go with Miranda Maverick here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Zane picks Miranda Maverick, citing her physical advantages: she is faster, stronger, and more mobile than Jasudavicius. He notes that Maverick has a lot of room for error due to her athleticism, and that she has shown good signs of taking her career seriously at Team Elevation. However, he worries that Jasudavicius has figured out her game faster—using pressure and body lock takedowns—and that if she gets top position, she can do a lot of damage. Zane thinks Maverick can win by staying at range and not letting Jasudavicius tie up.

Maverick opened -261, now -291; Jasudavicius opened +225, now +247
"I'm gonna pick maverick, but like it really is a case for her with her where it's just like just tighten it up."
WIN vs Shanna Young
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 63 of 108 58% 172 of 240 5 of 8 62% 1 0 9:14
Shanna Young 0 29 of 82 35% 29 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 22 of 52 42% 41 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Shanna Young 0 18 of 48 37% 18 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 22 of 30 73% 52 of 67 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:39
Shanna Young 0 6 of 19 31% 6 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Miranda Maverick 0 19 of 26 73% 79 of 99 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:08
Shanna Young 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 63 of 108 58% 43 of 85 14 of 16 6 of 7 38 of 80 3 of 3 22 of 25
Shanna Young 29 of 82 35% 20 of 73 5 of 5 4 of 4 29 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 22 of 52 42% 13 of 40 3 of 5 6 of 7 20 of 50 0 of 0 2 of 2
Shanna Young 18 of 48 37% 13 of 43 2 of 2 3 of 3 18 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 22 of 30 73% 13 of 21 9 of 9 0 of 0 8 of 15 3 of 3 11 of 12
Shanna Young 6 of 19 31% 4 of 17 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 19 of 26 73% 17 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 15 0 of 0 9 of 11
Shanna Young 5 of 15 33% 3 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo is very confident in Maverick, expecting her to come forward, get takedowns, and bully her way to a win similar to her last fight. He notes Young is a solid boxer but lacks takedowns in the UFC and has BJJ gaps. He calls Maverick a parlay piece and says the odds will be stupid wide, advising to bet early.

I think Maverick is a parlay piece even at the odds that she is now she's absolutely gonna win this fight I think these odds are going to be stupid stupid wide come fight night so I would hop on Miranda Maverick
"I see Maverick coming forward working inside getting the takedowns and just bullying her way to a win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady recalls their previous fight where Maverick submitted Young in the first round in Invicta. He believes Maverick is the better striker and grappler, and Young's takedown defense is not enough to stop Maverick. He expects a repeat performance with a first-round submission.

Maverick wins by submission in round 1
"I like Maverick to win here I like Maverick to win instead of the distance and I'm gonna take Maverick to win by once again first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Miranda Maverick, noting that she already finished Young in the first round in Invicta. He acknowledges that Young has improved since moving to Las Vegas and getting a win over Gina Mazany, but he doesn't see where Young wins. Maverick is more physical, has superior ground game, and is training with top competition. He predicts Maverick will submit Young, likely in the second or early third round. He is not excited about the -650 moneyline but likes Maverick by submission.

Miranda Maverick by submission
"I'm leaning towards Maverick by submission I think it probably happens sometime in the second maybe early in the third likely late in the second"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Connor agrees with Zane, adding that Maverick is comfortable pressuring and converting clinch into takedowns. He notes that Shanna Young is a poor matchup for Maverick because she lacks the defensive wrestling to stop takedowns, and Maverick's recent improvements make this a gimme.

"I got nothing. I think you hit all the appropriate nails on their respective heads."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating she is simply outmatched and the odds reflect that. He notes Maverick's country girl strength, improved striking-to-takedown flow, and intelligence, while Shanna Young may be hungry but is outclassed.

"give me a Miranda Maverick to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The host is very high on Maverick, citing her improving skills, new gym (Elevation Fight Team), and superior ground game. He expects her to dominate Young, who is a decent striker but weak on the ground. He predicts a finish inside the distance and may bet the under 2.5 rounds if plus money.

Maverick inside the distance; under 2.5 rounds if plus money
"I really like Maverick in this spot and I think she cruises"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul agrees with Cody and is loading up on the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at -110. He notes that Maverick already finished Young in the first round, so he likes the prop over the moneyline. He thinks Maverick will get the job done inside the distance again.

fight doesn't go to decision -110
"I'm just loading up one of my sports books that's open up ... because I want to go fight doesn't go to decision is minus 110 there it's just like they've already fought and she finished her in the first …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, calling her underrated and noting she clearly beat Maycee Barber. He highlights her training at Elevation Fight Team, age 25, and wrestling skills. He dismisses Shanna Young's win over Gina Mazany and believes Maverick will win a 30-27 unanimous decision, outclassing Young.

30-27 unanimous decision
"I'm going with Miranda Maverick I think she's very underrated... I'll go with her winning this by 30-27 unanimous decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Zane is confident Maverick will dominate, citing her pressure, clinch work, and takedowns. He notes that Shanna Young was easily controlled by Gina Mazany, and Maverick is a better athlete and grappler. Maverick's recent move to a new camp had a rough transition but looked better against Mazo, and Young will give her free rein to work her clinch and takedowns.

"Miranda Maverick is going to absolutely trounce Shanna Young. And that's all you need to know."
WIN vs Sabina Mazo
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 48 31% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 19 of 50 38% 45 of 85 4 of 7 57% 1 0 4:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 5 of 17 29% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 21 42% 35 of 56 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:46
2 Miranda Maverick 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 15 of 48 31% 8 of 37 1 of 4 6 of 7 15 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 19 of 50 38% 10 of 36 2 of 6 7 of 8 16 of 43 0 of 1 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 5 of 17 29% 2 of 11 0 of 2 3 of 4 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 9 of 21 42% 5 of 14 0 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 14 0 of 1 3 of 6
2 Miranda Maverick 10 of 31 32% 6 of 26 1 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 10 of 29 34% 5 of 22 2 of 3 3 of 4 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.

"I think miranda maverick is too strong and has too much forward pressure for mazzo here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).

"i'll say she uh she grinds out a decision here some decision random maverick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.

i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of price on miranda maverick
"i still think she gets it done i still think she's slightly uh more physical and has more paths to victory so i'm gonna pick her for that reason i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.

Inside the distance line is mentioned as a potential play; predicted third-round TKO via ground and pound.
"I like Maverick a lot in this spot. I think she cruises pretty easily. So, let's go ... I'm going to go Miranda Maverick second or third round let's call it third round TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.

30-27 decision or rear-naked choke
"i am going to go with miranda maverick here over sabine marzo i think miranda maverick's got a good grappling advantage here"
Dione Barbosa - Fight History
WIN vs Melissa Gatto
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 04, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dione Barbosa 0 30 of 67 44% 108 of 154 3 of 6 50% 1 1 6:06
Melissa Gatto 0 33 of 67 49% 64 of 109 3 of 12 25% 0 1 4:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dione Barbosa 0 16 of 37 43% 35 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
Melissa Gatto 0 21 of 48 43% 27 of 59 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:11
2 Dione Barbosa 0 9 of 20 45% 34 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:20
Melissa Gatto 0 5 of 7 71% 23 of 30 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:55
3 Dione Barbosa 0 5 of 10 50% 39 of 45 1 of 1 100% 1 1 2:31
Melissa Gatto 0 7 of 12 58% 14 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dione Barbosa 30 of 67 44% 19 of 53 9 of 12 2 of 2 16 of 49 5 of 7 9 of 11
Melissa Gatto 33 of 67 49% 14 of 40 9 of 15 10 of 12 30 of 62 2 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dione Barbosa 16 of 37 43% 12 of 31 2 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 30 3 of 5 1 of 2
Melissa Gatto 21 of 48 43% 7 of 26 7 of 13 7 of 9 20 of 45 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Dione Barbosa 9 of 20 45% 6 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 4
Melissa Gatto 5 of 7 71% 2 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Dione Barbosa 5 of 10 50% 1 of 5 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 5
Melissa Gatto 7 of 12 58% 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dione Barbosa vs. Melissa Gatto
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barbosa (-145); Gatto (+125)

Round 1
The night presses on as a pair of women’s flyweights meet in hopes of keeping or lifting their respective promotional record above .500. Barbosa (8-4, 2-2 UFC) would like a victory to elevate it over that midpoint mark, while bantamweight part-timer Gatto (9-2-2, 3-2 UFC) is looking for success back in her natural weight class. Referee Chris Tognoni draws the charge for this preliminary contest, one that does not open with a glove touch.
The ladies measure one another in the early going, testing out their jabs while not committing to much else. Gatto opens up a bit more with her overhand right, and when she finally scores one, she has to back off when a one-two pinpoints her nose. Gatto slings her right hand down the pipe, faking a takedown shot and ultimately walk into a spinning back kick counter. Barbosa gets her attention with a left hand after the kick connects, and she is greeted with a stern right hand. Barbosa shakes it off and offers a low kick followed by two punches, and the two start trading hands in a brief exchange with Barbosa landing at the beginning and ending. Gatto works her way behind her right hand, and she shoots in for takedown that is shut down before it can come close to materializing.
Barbosa bullies the taller woman to the wall, pressing her shoulder tightly before kneeing her a couple times to the stomach. Barbosa trips Gatto up to drag her to the floor, and Gatto springs back up with the fencing behind her. Barbosa stomps Gatto’s toes, and Gatto breaks off with a knee. Gatto takes a punch and times the spin she sees coming to grab Barbosa from behind and wrangle her to the mat. Gatto advances to an awkward position that places her in leglock danger, but she is close to securing the mount position. Barbosa hacks with elbows off her back, and she uses butterfly hooks to stave Gatto from claiming a dominant posture. Gatto lowers herself down maintain control, and Barbosa’s leg slides up an around to snatch up an armbar. Gatto leans to her side to free the pressure on her limb, and she drills Barbosa with a number of hammerfists as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gatto
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gatto
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gatto

Round 2
Gatto assumes control of the center of the cage to get going first, pushing out her jab a few times before snatching up a Barbosa low kick to trip her up and take her to the mat. Barbosa flips her all the way over to wind up on top, and Gatto is stuck flat on her back. Gatto keeps a high guard when Barbosa postures up, but Barbosa does not fall into a trap and stands back up. Gatto turns to her knees to stand back up, and Barbosa blasts her with an illegal soccer kick to the neck and chin that knocks Gatto completely out. Barbosa walks off celebrating, as if she thinks that she has won the fight, while Gatto is splayed out lifelessly in an eerie scene reminiscent of Maycee Barber getting knocked out last week. As a medical professional or two rush in to tend to Gatto, she comes to and has to be told what happened. The replay official flips the light to signal that they are going to use instant replay to review the footage, but it appeared that Gatto’s knee was down right before she took the soccer kick that rendered her unconscious. Tognoni discusses his options with the officiating team, and he deducts one point from Barbosa for the foul. Shockingly, the fight somehow continues, even though Gatto was knocked unconscious from the strike. This is complete nonsense. This fight should be over, period. What happened to fighter safety being the primary concern of officials? Gatto, who apparently is back with her wits again, runs forward at the restart to take the fight down. Barbosa is grounded for a time before fighting her way back up, and she turns the tables to take Gatto down.
Gatto works her way up after absorbing some hammerfists, and she breaks out of the clinch to take a spinning back fist on the chin. Gatto shakes it out and tackles Barbosa to the floor. Thankfully, with Gatto on top, it means she is not currently absorbing much brain trauma after being knocked out from the illegal soccer kick that only resulted in a single point being deducted. Barbosa fights off her back with a high guard in hopes of catching Gatto in something, and she grips hold of a triangle armbar but is punched out of it. The round somehow ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 9-9
Tyler Treese scores the round: 9-9

Round 3
Between rounds, it is explained that the officials and medical staff determined Gatto was able to continue a fistfight despite already getting knocked all the way out. What are rules anymore? It does not take long for the ladies to go for grappling, and Barbosa succeeds in taking Gatto to the mat. Gatto keeps her left leg wrapped on the side in hopes of setting something up, and Barbosa ignores it and starts elbowing her in the side. Gatto turns to her side with a two-on-one wrist control of Barbosa, who counters her by rolling all the way over to snatch up an armbar.
Gatto turns over to stack Barboza up, squeezing her elbow and forearm on the throat while exerting as much pressure down as she can to stifle the submission. Barbosa cannot hold the submission much longer as she is getting squished, and Gatto breaks out of it and busts her in the chops with a strong right hand. Barbosa sits up and flips her opponent over to her back, and she starts hunting for a leglock. Gatto sits up to stop it, and she tries to muscle Barbosa over and use a kimura grip to reverse position. She succeeds in turning Barbosa over and keeps control of the limb, and she steps over the body with her rear leg to establish herself in top control. As the ladies roll around on the mat looking for positional advantages, Gatto snags hold of the left arm of her opponent to hunt for her own armbar. Barbosa elbows Gatto on the back of the calf, and this fight somehow makes it 15 minutes. This is not a good day for the Nevada State Athletic Commission. A draw may be in play, but that depends on the scoring of the first round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)

The Official Result
Dione Barbosa def. Melissa Gatto via Majority Decision (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Angelo picks Dione Barbosa, citing her superior takedown ability as a judoka. He notes that Melissa Gatto has poor takedowns and that Barbosa can close the distance, take her down, and control on top. He worries about potential judging bias similar to Barbosa's last loss but believes Barbosa will win a close decision.

"Dion Barbosa is going to be the pick. We probably end up in a 2928 type situation."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Big Brady picks Melissa Gatto as a slight underdog. He notes Barbosa has power and can get takedowns early, but fades as the fight goes on. He likes Gatto's cardio, volume, and kicks, and expects her to take over in later rounds. He predicts a close decision win for Gatto.

Gatto by decision
"I'll take Gatto here. I like the cardio, I like the kicks, I like the volume."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Cody picks Gatto, citing her youth, improved skills, and ability to scramble and strike. He expects her to win a decision, as Barbosa's grappling-heavy style may not score well.

"It's got by decision for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Connor leans toward Barbosa, agreeing that she is more disciplined. He notes that Gatto's footwork is worse and she tends to collapse when pressured, leading her to wrestle. Barbosa is as big as Gatto and a better grappler, which should neutralize Gatto's advantages.

Barbosa opened +105, now -127; Gatto opened -125, now +107.
"Barboza actually has some a little bit of boxing footwork... Gatto just doesn't know how to like keep herself lined up."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

James leans toward Melissa Gatto as the underdog, citing her striking kicks and cardio advantage, while noting Barbosa's tendency to tire. He admits he hasn't done tape study and is unsure about the grappling dynamics. He predicts a decision win for Gatto but emphasizes low confidence and the need for further analysis.

"I'll say Melissa Gate. She's the underdog. I lean to the underdog in a fight like this where I think it's very close."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The host picks Gatto as a dog, citing her damage-based striking and grappling advantage. He notes Barbosa's recent loss where control wasn't enough, and trusts Gatto's volume and damage to win on the scorecards despite a two-year layoff. He sees a good stylistic matchup for Gatto.

"I feel like Gateau is the perfect dog to start off this card."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Paul leans towards Gatto, noting her two-year layoff may have helped her improve. He expects her to win a close decision due to her striking and scrambling.

"I do have Melissa God. I think Melissa is a decent fighter."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Dione Barbosa

The MMA Guru picks Dione Barbosa but seems hesitant, acknowledging that her win over Diana Belbita isn't impressive. He notes that Melissa Gatto has a body kick KO win but lost to Tracy Cortez. He thinks Barbosa is slightly more well-rounded but doesn't sound fully convinced.

"I think she'll win this one, though. I think she'll beat Melissa Gatto, okay? Don't grill me on it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Zane leans toward Barbosa, noting she is more disciplined and has better footwork. He thinks Gatto has good tools but doesn't stick to them, and tends to win when opponents make catastrophic mistakes. Barbosa's boxing footwork and grappling should allow her to keep the fight in her favor.

Barbosa opened +105, now -127; Gatto opened -125, now +107.
"I'm tempted to pick Barboza. I think she's a little more... she's just a more disciplined fighter."
LOSS vs Karine Silva
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karine Silva 0 26 of 70 37% 90 of 154 1 of 3 33% 2 1 2:23
Dione Barbosa 0 31 of 87 35% 67 of 132 3 of 4 75% 1 1 5:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karine Silva 0 10 of 30 33% 11 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dione Barbosa 0 15 of 41 36% 19 of 47 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:44
2 Karine Silva 0 9 of 18 50% 49 of 68 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:24
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 16 43% 23 of 34 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:29
3 Karine Silva 0 7 of 22 31% 30 of 55 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:59
Dione Barbosa 0 9 of 30 30% 25 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karine Silva 26 of 70 37% 11 of 50 9 of 14 6 of 6 22 of 66 4 of 4 0 of 0
Dione Barbosa 31 of 87 35% 11 of 62 15 of 19 5 of 6 26 of 80 4 of 5 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karine Silva 10 of 30 33% 6 of 24 3 of 5 1 of 1 10 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dione Barbosa 15 of 41 36% 4 of 27 7 of 9 4 of 5 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Karine Silva 9 of 18 50% 1 of 9 5 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0
Dione Barbosa 7 of 16 43% 4 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 1
3 Karine Silva 7 of 22 31% 4 of 17 1 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0
Dione Barbosa 9 of 30 30% 3 of 23 6 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 27 2 of 2 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dione Barbosa vs. Karine Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-218), Barbosa (+180)

Round 1
Moving to the standard fights with no extra stipulations beyond win and move up/lose and move down, Silva (18-5, 4-1 UFC) learned last November about the latter when she lost her nine-fight win streak. Barbosa (8-3, 2-1 UFC) too had a good stretch halted last year, although she turned things around by throttling Diana Belbita. The flyweights will be joined in the cage by referee Rob Madrigal, who observes the countrywomen meeting in the middle without sharing a fist bump.
Silva takes to the center of the cage, and within 15 seconds of inactivity, the crowd is already fussing at the two athletes. Barbosa tosses out a half-hearted low kick to quell the woo birds, and Silva comes back with one-two out of range. Barbosa flicks out a few jabs and parries a front kick, and she comes back to aim a straight shot to the torso. They do not do much other than potshot one another for a good minute until Barbosa steels herself and fires off two heavy punches.
The inactivity generally continues for both ladies, other than the occasional shot from either side as if they are taking turns. Barbosa scores well with body shots, staying just busy enough while Silva is stuck in first gear whiffing. Silva does reach one or two of her strikes, and she fails on a takedown shot and stands back up to get caught with a right hand. Barbosa sneaks in an elbow, and she digs kicks to the body. Silva responds with her own jab to knock her back, and she backpedals but is in a bad spot almost immediately. Barbosa hits a beautiful trip to hurl her countrywoman to the floor, and she zips down to secure the back, get both hooks in and fish for a rear-naked choke. The forearm gets beneath the chin for a moment, but Barbosa bails on it to transition into an armbar. She rolls with the armbar at the last second, and Silva is saved by the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa

Round 2
The Brazilians rush out to meet one another to start the second round, and Silva wants to keep Barbosa away from her early by throwing high kicks in bunches. Silva mixes in a body shot, and she swats down a one-two aimed at her. Barbosa pecks and pokes with her jab, beating Silva to the punch most of the time and keeping her guard up to block the worst of a punch combo. Barbosa uses a knee shield to block body kicks, and she wraps her foot up and around Silva’s head. Silva catches the kick and tackles Barbosa to the floor, with Barbosa not too upset about this decision. Barbosa decides that she does not want to be on her back, so she explodes back up but is still grabbed by Silva. Barbosa turns her foe around and starts kneeing her to the body, grinding out “Killer” on the cage wall.
Barbosa gets off a knee to the body or two before Silva spins her around, and when she gives a knee back, Barbosa spins her about once more. Silva tries to hit a takedown, and Barbosa falls on top of her. Silva lifts her legs up to set up a high guard, and Barbosa stays tightly pressed to her opponent to not give up anything. Silva hunts for a triangle choke and grabs hold of both arms as well, and she starts hacking with elbows while Barbosa is trapped with her arms in. Barbosa stacks Silva up and keeps taking elbows on the top of her head, and she lands a few punches to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 3
Silva walks her adversary down to open the last round, and Barbosa backs off and probes her with jabs. The jabs continue to score as one of the few effective weapons on either side, and when Silva considers bending over for a takedown, Barbosa knees her in the gut a few times. Silva lets go with a big right hand, and she hurls a left after it to get Barbosa’s attention. Another two punches land for Silva, only to take a right hand on the chin in a counter. They tie up, and Barbosa shoulder-throws her foe flat to her back. Silva hits her back and employs rubber guard to wrap her right leg around the back of the neck, and Barbosa lifts her up to slam her out of it. With Silva attempting a surprise Gogoplata as she was slipping her shin around to get under the neck, Barbosa has to scramble suddenly, and she turns to her knees.
“Killer” attacks with a killer power guillotine choke, using it to push Barbosa over in an attempt to get to mount. Barbosa fights out of the submission but is still stuck on her knees, and she elects to roll to her back so she can spin around and find top position. All the while, Silva slashes with elbows until she is placed on her back again. Of the two, Silva is the more active member striking, with Barbosa getting off little more than a couple hammerfists. Barbosa is warned for putting her fingers in the eyes while she smothers Silva’s mouth, and she drops 12-to-6 elbows to the body and chest. Fans are not amused as Barbosa smothers out the rest of the fight, but it is in the books and the lingering question may be how the judges score the second stanza. It could be a close one.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (29-28 Barbosa)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (29-28 Barbosa)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (29-28 Barbosa)

The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Dione Barbosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Angelo acknowledges Karine Silva is a strong grappler and a favorite, but notes her takedown defense is lacking and she hasn't finished at the UFC level. He trusts Dione Barbosa's strength, pressure, and ability to stay safe, though he has concerns about her cardio on short notice. He leans toward the dog, calling it an easy plus money bet but says he won't touch it if it becomes -250.

plus money bet, but won't touch if -250
"I'm going to lean the dog. I think Dion Barbosza has a genuine legitimate chance to win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Karine Silva

Big Brady picks Karine Silva to win by decision. He notes Silva has more power on the feet and is a dangerous grappler, while Barbosa is also a dangerous grappler but Silva is a higher level. He mentions Silva's experience advantage with 23 fights compared to Barbosa's 11, and that Silva has fought tougher competition in the UFC. He acknowledges Silva's last fight against Vivian Araujo wasn't great but thinks Araujo is underrated. He expects Silva to mix in takedowns and land better shots, but doesn't think she'll finish Barbosa due to Barbosa's black belt and decent chin.

Silva by decision
"I'm going to take Silva to win this fight and take her to win this fight by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Dione Barbosa

The host notes this is a rematch from six years ago where Barbosa won. He believes Barbosa will nullify Silva's aggressive BJJ approach, grind her out from top position, and win by decision on short notice.

"I think that we'll see Barbosa nullify the aggressive BJJ approach of Silva, grind her out from that top position and pull off the upset on short notice by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Karine Silva

The Guru picks Karine Silva to win, noting that Dione Barbosa is coming off a win but on a quick turnaround without a training camp. He believes Silva will have the advantage due to Barbosa's lack of preparation.

"I'm going to go with Karine Silva to win. Dion Barbosza is coming off a win four months ago by triangle. ... She was not in a training camp for this fight whatsoever."
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:13 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diana Belbiţă 0 20 of 69 28% 23 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dione Barbosa 0 27 of 50 54% 35 of 58 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diana Belbiţă 0 20 of 69 28% 23 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dione Barbosa 0 27 of 50 54% 35 of 58 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diana Belbiţă 20 of 69 28% 6 of 43 6 of 17 8 of 9 20 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dione Barbosa 27 of 50 54% 23 of 46 2 of 2 2 of 2 25 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diana Belbiţă 20 of 69 28% 6 of 43 6 of 17 8 of 9 20 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dione Barbosa 27 of 50 54% 23 of 46 2 of 2 2 of 2 25 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dione Barbosa vs. Diana Belbita
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barbosa (-500), Belbita (+340)

Round 1
Of all the fights tonight, this one will see the widest betting line between favorite and underdog. Having won just twice in seven UFC offerings, it makes some sense that Belbita (15-9, 2-5 UFC) should serve with plus money, but +625 is where she stands. About to close as one of the most heavily favored UFC fighters this year, Barbosa (7-3, 1-1 UFC) is expected to power through while accompanied by -1000 odds. Never tell “Warrior Princess” the odds. Referee Keith Peterson will be the overseer for this flyweight contest, one that opens up with a respectful clap of hands and no nonsense in sight. They both lob low kicks at one another and pull them back. Barbosa strikes first with a jab, and she skirts away from the counter. The Brazilian scores an overhand right, and Belbita is there to pay her back this time with a long left and a ripping left to the body. She goes for the body shot a few more times, ignoring what Barbosa puts on her to connect cleanly. The face of “Warrior Princess” ducks into punches and throws back in hopes of clipping Barbosa with a counter. Barbosa parries a head kick, and she races back to avoid several punches chained into a head kick. Barbosa flashes her jab, and she stays in the pocket too long and gets popped with an overhand right. Belbita attacks the body again, making sure to fighting in flurries, and she times another big right hand up top. Belbita ends a combo with a low kick, and she absorbs anything the Brazilian hurls at her without batting an eye. Belbita goes to the body, opening up an overhand right to the head. She jams the ball of her foot on Barbosa’s stomach, and dings her with a few right hands. Barbosa pressures her against the fencing and spins with an elbow that clips her. When Belbita leans over to try to shake it off, Barbosa hits the level change she suddenly wants and lands practically in full mount.
Barbosa leans her weight down, and she locks up an arm-triangle choke before long. Belbita pumps her hips back and forth, but she cannot buck the Brazilian off of her. As Barbosa presses down with all she has, Belbita has no choice but to surrender.
Just like that, Barbosa lifts her submission rate as a pro to 50%, while landing the first arm-triangle of her career.

The Official Result
Dione Barbosa def. Diana Belbita R1 4:13 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Angelo is very confident that Dione Barbosa will dominate Diana Belbiţă. He highlights Dione's Judo background and grappling, while noting Diana has zero power, low fight IQ, and has been vocal about not caring about her career. He believes Diana is just showing up for a paycheck and will get bullied in all exchanges. Angelo calls it a 'mly whopping' and says Dione runs through her.

"I think deani Barbosa runs through di Bita I don't think it's competitive at all I think she beats the absolute [__] out of her."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Big Brady is very confident in Dione Barbosa, citing her judo and BJJ black belts against Diana Belbiţă, who has been submitted five times. He believes Barbosa will take the fight to the ground and submit Belbiţă, likely via rear-naked choke or armbar in the first round.

first round submission
"give me Barbosa give me Barbosa by by first round submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Barbosa's BJJ prowess and Belbiţă's poor takedown defense will lead to Barbosa finding a submission. The pick is a lean based on grappling advantage.

submission
"I have to lean with the BJJ prowess of Barbosa and the poor takedown defense of Bita which will lead to Barbosa eventually finding that submission and getting the tap."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

The Guru picks Dione Barbosa based on physicality, strength, and power, contrasting her muscular build with Diana Belbiţă's lack of snap or pop. He believes Belbiţă cannot impose damage on anyone and that Barbosa will be too strong and powerful, likely getting takedowns and finishing inside the distance.

Dione Barbosa wins inside the distance
"Dion Barbosa is going to be too strong, too big, too powerful. She takes out Dannabel Bea inside the distance."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 30 of 88 34% 102 of 188 2 of 5 40% 0 0 8:07
Dione Barbosa 0 21 of 52 40% 47 of 85 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 16 of 45 35% 31 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:02
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 21 33% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 7 of 28 25% 30 of 60 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:26
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 16 43% 11 of 20 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:43
3 Miranda Maverick 0 7 of 15 46% 41 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:39
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 15 46% 22 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 30 of 88 34% 9 of 55 7 of 15 14 of 18 23 of 77 2 of 2 5 of 9
Dione Barbosa 21 of 52 40% 19 of 47 1 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 16 of 45 35% 3 of 27 4 of 7 9 of 11 14 of 42 1 of 1 1 of 2
Dione Barbosa 7 of 21 33% 6 of 19 0 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 7 of 28 25% 1 of 16 3 of 8 3 of 4 6 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 1
Dione Barbosa 7 of 16 43% 6 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 7 of 15 46% 5 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 6
Dione Barbosa 7 of 15 46% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dione Barbosa vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-218), Barbosa (+180)

Round 1
Shifting gears back to the flyweight category, the U.S. battles Brazil as Maverick (13-5, 6-3 UFC) looks to bewitch “The Witch” Barbosa (7-2, 1-0 UFC) across their three-round endeavor. With exactly twice as much experience as her opponent, and as many fights in the UFC as Barbosa holds as a pro, Maverick will come into the match five years the younger. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge of this pairing, and he claps the two in as they clap hands. Both women flirt with the middle of the cage, tossing a single strike at one another to test the waters. Maverick kicks the lead leg, and Barbosa replies with a front kick up the middle. Barbosa chops at the front leg, and Maverick replies. The two trade leg kicks, and Maverick grins after an exchange. Both women reach at one another with rangy punches and miss the mark, and then try head kicks that rebound off one another’s guards. They go tit-for-tat after one another, seemingly mirroring one another with attempted strikes. Barbosa picks up her leg after eating a particularly effective low kick, and Maverick targets it once more and ducks away from a sudden wheel kick. Maverick chops at the thigh with a kick, and when the Brazilian closes the distance, she plants two punches on the jaw and slips away. Maverick strikes the lead leg, turning it red less than halfway through Round 1, and she rushes out with jabs outstretched. They both swing and miss on distance strikes, their corners celebrating whether they land or not. Maverick continues to work the calf at the end of combinations, and Barbosa preemptively lifts her leg until crashing forward to take the fight down. Maverick reverses her and tosses the Brazilian to her back, and she fights through a leglock to lower herself down in half guard. Barbosa keeps a high guard to threaten from her back, but Maverick pushes through it to stay out of danger. Barbosa closes the high guard briefly, trying to control Maverick while Maverick controls her. Maverick’s offense dwindles to a few strikes and a knee to the posterior as seconds peel off the clock with little to show for them. Maverick raps her left hand over the top a few times to stay busy, working the head and body before hammering Barbosa with a few elbows. Barbosa looks for a submission setup, and Maverick shrugs it off to continue her ground-and-pound until the bell intervenes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The women try to clap hands to begin the second round and miss, and say heck with it and start swinging at one another. Maverick picks and pokes with low kicks before mixing it up with a head kick, and when that nearly gets through, she tries another seconds later. Barbosa defends a low single and tosses Maverick aside to kick her in the cheek, and she rushes forward to press the Missouri native against the fencing. Barbosa succeeds in hitting a throw to chuck Maverick to the floor, and Maverick is quick to climb back to her feet despite the head lock toss. Maverick breaks away from the clinch and eats a sudden spinning elbow, and she reaches out with a kick and is countered with one from the Brazilian. Maverick jabs to the head and body, keeping her hands up to block a head kick and crashing forward at the same time as her opponent to hit a takedown. Barbosa defends with a takedown, and Maverick pushes her against the wall, unconcerned by the choke, to trip “The Witch” to the canvas. Barbosa is stuck on her back absorbing sporadic punches, and Maverick stays tightly pressed to not let Barbosa sneak anything up on her. Barbosa turns to set up an armbar, and Maverick tosses Barbosa to the side and gets back on top. Barbosa uses the butterfly hooks from allowing Maverick to get her flat, but Maverick keeps to this position while kneeing Barbosa in the backside once. Maverick drops down short right hands as she assumes half guard, and she elbows Barbosa and smacks her with her shoulder before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 3
They do touch gloves to open up the last stanza, and fists are soon to fly. Maverick sits down on three punches, and she leans back as a head kick buzzes her hair. Barbosa works her way forward and reaches out with a right hand after taking a low kick, and she connects with two more before Maverick’s back hits the wall. Barbosa tries to change levels, but Maverick’s takedown defends keeps her upright. As Maverick breaks off, she lands another calf kick and a right hand behind it, and Barbosa walks her down ready to throw leather. Maverick shoots in for a single, and Barbosa scrambles effectively to flip Maverick over and even set up a kneebar. Maverick fights through it and winds up on top, moving into the butterfly guard of her opponent. Maverick keeps tight and composed from above to put Barbosa flat on her back, and she grinds with an elbow to irritate the Brazilian. Maverick gets bucked off briefly, and she remains on top while getting in elbows until Barbosa turns for an armbar. Maverick no-sells it and pulls out of it, and she relocates herself in Barbosa’s guard. Maverick lands a shoulder strike, and it appears she may have headbutted Barbosa in the chest as well, but nothing comes of it. Maverick’s 125-pound-plus frame feels like 500 pounds as Barbosa cannot get enough space, try as she might. Maverick retains control and fully embraces the grind, sliding over to half guard and using her elbow to frame up and land shots. Maverick remains active from this position, doing so until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Dione Barbosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is a pressure fighter with solid takedowns and strength, and Dione Barbosa has poor takedown defense. He notes that Barbosa is a judoka who wants to clinch, but Maverick will shoot takedowns instead of tying up. He is waiting for prop bets to place a wager, as he doesn't love the moneyline.

waiting for prop bets
"Miranda Maverick is going to be the pick I'm going to be betting on her in some capacity I'm waiting for the prop bets I don't love the money line right now"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Maverick, emphasizing her youth (27), cardio, and full camp. He notes Barbosa is on short notice and gassed in her last fight. He expects Maverick to lose the first round but take over in the second and third with takedowns and volume. He suggests live betting Maverick after round one.

"I think you live bet this one after Miranda Maverick either loses the first round or that it's a very competitive first round."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Daniel Vreeland picks Dione Barbosa as an upset, citing her superior Jiu-Jitsu and improving striking. He notes that Maverick struggles when she cannot be the bully, and Barbosa's size and grappling advantage will be key. Vreeland believes Barbosa can submit Maverick or win a decision, and considers the odds off.

"I think Deon Barbosa can actually spook her on the feet a bit with with her ever improving standup and then when she gets it to the mat I would not be surprised if she was the first one to …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a heavy favorite at -220. She has improved striking and strong grappling, and her physicality should be too much for Barbosa. Barbosa relies on takedowns and BJJ, but Maverick has good submission defense and has never been finished. Maverick will make Barbosa work early and then pull away with her striking and top control. Even at -220, Maverick is worth a shot.

"even at minus 220 I think she is worth a shot and should be able to give Marosa her first UFC loss"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Maverick's submission win over Priscila Cachoeira and her ability to go three rounds. He thinks Barbosa's cardio is a major issue and that Maverick will cruise to a decision or late stoppage. He also mentions the altitude training with Rose Namajunas as a plus.

"I would have loved Maverick at minus 150... but you make a lot of good points there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her longer training and recent win over Andrea Lee. He notes Dione Barbosa's win over Nesta Carter is not impressive, and believes Maverick's grappling defense will give her an advantage on the feet. He also mentions Maverick's close fight with Maycee Barber, which he thought she won, as a positive sign.

"I'm gonna go with uh Miranda Maverick I think longer training she's been doing it for longer now she's 27"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dione Barbosa 0 39 of 71 54% 87 of 124 2 of 11 18% 1 1 3:51
Ernesta Kareckaitė 0 53 of 156 33% 100 of 220 1 of 1 100% 0 3 3:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dione Barbosa 0 11 of 17 64% 34 of 43 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:47
Ernesta Kareckaitė 0 5 of 23 21% 7 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:17
2 Dione Barbosa 0 8 of 17 47% 26 of 37 1 of 3 33% 0 1 0:57
Ernesta Kareckaitė 0 14 of 44 31% 49 of 93 1 of 1 100% 0 2 2:02
3 Dione Barbosa 0 20 of 37 54% 27 of 44 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:07
Ernesta Kareckaitė 0 34 of 89 38% 44 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dione Barbosa 39 of 71 54% 21 of 49 14 of 17 4 of 5 33 of 65 2 of 2 4 of 4
Ernesta Kareckaitė 53 of 156 33% 39 of 127 8 of 15 6 of 14 44 of 132 1 of 1 8 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dione Barbosa 11 of 17 64% 6 of 9 2 of 4 3 of 4 7 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 4
Ernesta Kareckaitė 5 of 23 21% 4 of 21 0 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Dione Barbosa 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 2 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ernesta Kareckaitė 14 of 44 31% 8 of 30 2 of 2 4 of 12 8 of 25 0 of 0 6 of 19
3 Dione Barbosa 20 of 37 54% 10 of 27 10 of 10 0 of 0 19 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ernesta Kareckaitė 34 of 89 38% 27 of 76 6 of 12 1 of 1 32 of 85 1 of 1 1 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dione Barbosa vs. Ernesta Kareckaite
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barbosa (-205), Kareckaite (+170)

Round 1
In the next matchup on the early prelims, a classic battle of Brazil vs. Lithuania plays out in the women’s flyweight category. Two women signed on the 2023 season of Dana White’s Contender Series will test their mettle against one another, as “The Witch” Barbosa (6-2, 0-0 UFC) looks to bewitch the heavy-handed Kareckaite (5-0-1, 0-0 UFC). Striker faces grappler, while referee Fernando Portella watches on. The ladies share a cordial tap of the gloves before getting after it. They both try to find their range with jabs early, and Barbosa strikes first with a sweeping low kick. Kareckaite reaches out with a right hand, and she comes up short and hops away from another leg kick. The two whiff on their strikes until Barbosa connects with a loud body kick, and she slides out of the way of the long punches of the Lithuanian. Barbosa jabs the body and sticks Kareckaite with a straight right hand, and Kareckaite is surprised and needs a moment to blink it out. Kareckaite gets off a right hand around the guard, and they both land sing leg kicks. Barbosa tosses out a one-two and shoots in for takedown, and she rushes Kareckaite to the fence and looks for a trip and throw. The Brazilian easily slings her to the mat despite Kareckaite grabbing the cage, and she slips around to take Kareckaite’s back in a hurry. Before Kareckaite knows what is going on, Barbosa sneaks an arm under the chin, and Kareckaite has to fight it off while a body triangle cinches around her waist. Kareckaite sits up to break up the body lock, and Barbosa floats along and lands a number of short right hands before hunting for another choke. When Kareckaite defends, she leans over and tries to slide Barbosa out the back door. Barbosa hunts for a rear-naked choke and softens Kareckaite up with punches, and she keeps hooks in to thwart the turning Kareckaite from bucking her off. The Brazilian keeps smacking Kareckaite with short but effective right hands, and she turns over willingly to snatch up an armbar. Kareckaite keeps her stacked up and rides out the round in the position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa

Round 2
The ladies quickly bump fists before getting back to it, and Kareckaite lunges forward almost immediately with long punches. Barbosa strings together a short combination to wobble the long legs of her opponent, and she spins with a back elbow that hurts Kareckaite and drops her down to both hands. Kareckaite pushes off the mat, and Barbosa pushes forward to take her down. Kareckaite grabs the fence to stay upright, and Portella warns her for the foul. Kareckaite manages to break out of the position, and Barbosa rushes forward to strike the body and fake a spinning strike. Barbosa does a delayed step forward and surprises Kareckaite with a takedown effort, successfully grounding the Lithuanian. Kareckaite turns the corner and reverses the position, and she stands back up and starts smacking Barbosa’s legs with kicks. This exchange continues for quite some time, as Portella stands there instead of forcing Barbosa to stand up. Kareckaite keeps kicking until Portella finally gets between them. Barbosa stands up, and Kareckaite catches her with a clean one-two. Kareckaite looks for a right hand over the top, and she gets popped with another spinning back elbow. Kareckaite uses the momentum of her opponent to bowl her over to the ground, and Barbosa hits her back and snags hold of a heel hook. Kareckaite lowers herself down and turns the right way to get away from the leglock, but Barbosa speedily takes her back. Kareckaite attempts to turn through it, and Barbosa lines up an armbar setup. Kareckaite maintains heavy top pressure to disallow Barbosa from locking the armbar down, and she shucks the arms and legs out of the way to move into the guard. The horn sounds with them in this place.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kareckaite
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa

Round 3
The women go strike-for-strike when the round begins, with one landing and the other responding. As Kareckaite gets off a solid right hand, Barbosa shoots for a telegraphed takedown. Kareckaite is able to sprawl effectively to shut it down, and she stands up and allows Barbosa to do so and flicks a head kick at her. Barbosa gets her guard up in time, but she gets backed up by the striking of her opponent. Kareckaite stings the Brazilian with a one-two, and Barbosa shoots in again. The takedown shot fails, and Kareckaite backs away and lands a few more times. A failed level change from Barbosa makes her just stumble, but she regains her footing and spins with a back kick that lands square on the ribcage. Kareckaite ignores it and slings a head kick at her and a series of long, rangy punches. Kareckaite shuts down another takedown, lets Barbosa up and rings her up with a hard one-two. Four quick punches land flush from the Lithuanian, and Barbosa is showing serious signs of fatigue. Kareckaite marches her down, tagging her with crisp punches and stopping Barbosa in her tracks from attempting takedowns. Kareckaite pushes Barbosa away after another takedown try, and she puts fists to face as Barbosa swings back. Barbosa comes up short on another takedown, but a second effort puts them down on the mat. Kareckaite turns through and winds up on top, where Barbosa hunts for a leglock almost immediately. Kareckaite holds onto the fence while turning herself through it, and she stands up and steps around to lower down two heavy punches on the jaw. Barbosa goes for another submission, but Kareckaite backs off and motions for her to stand up. Kareckaite walks face-first into a right hand, and she wings a right hand back that grazes the cheek. Kareckaite loads up on a right hand and forces Barbosa to dip down into a head kick. The Brazilian shoots desperately for a takedown at the 10-second slapper, and Kareckaite stifles her until the final horn blares. This could be a close one.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kareckaite (29-28 Kareckaite)
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Kareckaite (29-28 Barbosa)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kareckaite (29-28 Barbosa)

The Official Result
Dione Barbosa def. Ernesta Kareckaite via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Angelo picks Barbosa as the grappler, noting she can control where the fight goes. He acknowledges her struggles closing distance and that Kareckaitė is the better striker, but believes Barbosa's grappling will prevail. He strongly advises against betting on this fight due to its low level.

Angelo says 'save your money' and 'I don't even think the round line is worth touching'
"diona Barbosa is the pick but for the love of God save your we have 14 fights on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

Big Brady sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup. He likes Kareckaitė's high volume striking and cardio, and thinks her takedown defense is good enough to survive and win a volume-based decision. He notes Barbosa's BJJ but is not confident in her ability to get takedowns.

"I'm going to slightly lean with Ernesta here to get the job done."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Cody picks Barbosa but is not super confident. He notes Barbosa's grappling advantage and Kareckaitė's lack of ground game. He expects Barbosa to mix takedowns and win a decision, but acknowledges it could be close.

"Dione Barbosa I'll pick her but not a fight that I'm super confident in..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Daniel Vreeland picks Barbosa, citing her judo background and superior grappling. He notes that Kareckaitė has good conditioning and volume on the feet, but Barbosa is nearly as good a striker and has a massive ground advantage. He expects Barbosa to get takedowns and control the fight, potentially by submission or decision.

"I like Barbosa a lot here I bet her uh I laid juice on her money line I think she gets the job done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Dione Barbosa

This is a grappler versus striker matchup. Barbosa, a judo and BJJ black belt, should be able to get the fight to the ground and put Kareckaitė in bad positions, potentially leading to a submission. However, the ultimate prediction is Barbosa by decision.

submission threat, but pick is decision
"I think it could potentially lead to a submission but the the ultimate prediction I'm going to go with here is Barbosa by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Paul picks Barbosa, citing her grappling and takedown ability. He notes Kareckaitė has a reach advantage but poor ground game. Paul expects Barbosa to neutralize the striking and win on the ground.

"Dione Barbosa probably tries to figure things out and kickbox... but I think she just neutralizes her takedowns out grapples her..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

The MMA Guru initially leans toward Ernesta Kareckaitė due to her kickboxing background and undefeated record, but after reviewing footage of Dione Barbosa taking down Josiane Nunes, he switches to Barbosa. He notes Barbosa's strength and win over Karine Silva as key factors, though he remains hesitant due to limited information.

"I'm actually going to go with Deon baroza seems strong enough to get Josan Nunes to the ground"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is a pressure fighter with solid takedowns and strength, and Dione Barbosa has poor takedown defense. He notes that Barbosa is a judoka who wants to clinch, but Maverick will shoot takedowns instead of tying up. He is waiting for prop bets to place a wager, as he doesn't love the moneyline.

waiting for prop bets
"Miranda Maverick is going to be the pick I'm going to be betting on her in some capacity I'm waiting for the prop bets I don't love the money line right now"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Maverick, emphasizing her youth (27), cardio, and full camp. He notes Barbosa is on short notice and gassed in her last fight. He expects Maverick to lose the first round but take over in the second and third with takedowns and volume. He suggests live betting Maverick after round one.

"I think you live bet this one after Miranda Maverick either loses the first round or that it's a very competitive first round."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Daniel Vreeland picks Dione Barbosa as an upset, citing her superior Jiu-Jitsu and improving striking. He notes that Maverick struggles when she cannot be the bully, and Barbosa's size and grappling advantage will be key. Vreeland believes Barbosa can submit Maverick or win a decision, and considers the odds off.

"I think Deon Barbosa can actually spook her on the feet a bit with with her ever improving standup and then when she gets it to the mat I would not be surprised if she was the first one to submit um Miranda Maverick in the UFC"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a heavy favorite at -220. She has improved striking and strong grappling, and her physicality should be too much for Barbosa. Barbosa relies on takedowns and BJJ, but Maverick has good submission defense and has never been finished. Maverick will make Barbosa work early and then pull away with her striking and top control. Even at -220, Maverick is worth a shot.

"even at minus 220 I think she is worth a shot and should be able to give Marosa her first UFC loss"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Maverick's submission win over Priscila Cachoeira and her ability to go three rounds. He thinks Barbosa's cardio is a major issue and that Maverick will cruise to a decision or late stoppage. He also mentions the altitude training with Rose Namajunas as a plus.

"I would have loved Maverick at minus 150... but you make a lot of good points there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her longer training and recent win over Andrea Lee. He notes Dione Barbosa's win over Nesta Carter is not impressive, and believes Maverick's grappling defense will give her an advantage on the feet. He also mentions Maverick's close fight with Maycee Barber, which he thought she won, as a positive sign.

"I'm gonna go with uh Miranda Maverick I think longer training she's been doing it for longer now she's 27"