Career Averages - Nate Diaz
Career Averages - Donald Cerrone
Nate Diaz - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 101 of 217 | 46% | 101 of 217 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tony Ferguson | 0 | 80 of 172 | 46% | 80 of 172 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tony Ferguson | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 19 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 28 of 59 | 47% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tony Ferguson | 0 | 20 of 51 | 39% | 20 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tony Ferguson | 0 | 30 of 51 | 58% | 30 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 25 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tony Ferguson | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 101 of 217 | 46% | 71 of 178 | 21 of 30 | 9 of 9 | 99 of 214 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tony Ferguson | 80 of 172 | 46% | 23 of 106 | 23 of 27 | 34 of 39 | 80 of 172 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 22 of 51 | 43% | 12 of 36 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tony Ferguson | 19 of 45 | 42% | 5 of 28 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 19 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 28 of 59 | 47% | 19 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tony Ferguson | 20 of 51 | 39% | 5 of 35 | 6 of 6 | 9 of 10 | 20 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nate Diaz | 26 of 56 | 46% | 21 of 48 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 53 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tony Ferguson | 30 of 51 | 58% | 12 of 31 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 15 | 30 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Nate Diaz | 25 of 51 | 49% | 19 of 45 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tony Ferguson | 11 of 25 | 44% | 1 of 12 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Li Jingliang, citing Tony Ferguson's recent knockout and fast turnaround. He thinks Ferguson's chin is compromised and Jingliang's power and feints will confuse him. He notes Ferguson looked good against Chandler but was put out badly, and the three-month turnaround is too soon.
Big Brady picks Li Jingliang to win by first-round knockout, expressing concern for Tony Ferguson's durability after taking massive damage in recent fights. He notes Ferguson is 38, moving up in weight, and has been knocked out brutally by Chandler. He highlights Li's power, having knocked out tough fighters like Ponzinibbio and Salikhov, and predicts an early finish.
Cody is confident that Khamzat Chimaev will win, noting that Chimaev is a massive favorite and that Nate Diaz is an undersized former 155-pounder. He believes Chimaev's size and strength will be too much, and that Diaz's jiu-jitsu won't be a factor. Cody mentions that the only value is in props like Chimaev over 1.5 takedowns, and he doesn't see Diaz winning even one out of ten times.
Daniel Levi picks Khamzat Chimaev to win, citing Chimaev's wrestling and power as key factors. He acknowledges Diaz's durability and ability to survive, but believes Chimaev's improvements and pacing will lead to victory. Levi notes that Diaz's age and scar tissue could be issues, and he expects Chimaev to dominate with ground and pound. He is not betting the moneyline due to the heavy juice, but is confident in Chimaev's win.
Jacob picks Li Jingliang, emphasizing his feints and angles will give Ferguson PTSD. He thinks Ferguson will be gun-shy and react big to feints. He notes Ferguson could wrestle but doubts he will, and even if he does, Jingliang's takedown defense may hold. He calls it a bad matchup for Ferguson.
The host is extremely confident in Khamzat Chimaev, expecting him to take Nate Diaz down immediately and smash him on the ground. He dismisses Diaz's durability and jiu-jitsu, citing Chimaev's wrestling and size. He took under 1.5 rounds at +120 and suggests Chimaev round one at +165.
Paul picks Chimaev to win but expresses concerns about his cardio and persona. He notes that Chimaev's fight with Gilbert Burns showed he is human and may have cardio issues, and that the five-round fight could favor Diaz if Chimaev tires. However, he believes Chimaev has learned from that fight and will hold down Diaz more easily. Paul also mentions the over 1.5 rounds and over on takedowns as props.
The MMA Guru picks Tony Ferguson to win by 48-47 decision. He predicts Ferguson wins rounds 1, 2, and 4, while Diaz wins round 3, and round 5 is a stalemate. Ferguson chews up Diaz's leg and body with teeps and front kicks, lands elbows that cut Diaz, and freestyles with 360 body shots. Diaz has moments, including a takedown in round 3, but Ferguson scrambles out and lands more. The fight ends with both swinging, but Ferguson's output edges him the win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Edwards | 0 | 77 of 132 | 58% | 83 of 139 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 4:59 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 76 of 162 | 46% | 130 of 223 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leon Edwards | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 14 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Leon Edwards | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 18 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 13 of 30 | 43% | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Leon Edwards | 0 | 13 of 15 | 86% | 17 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 4 | Leon Edwards | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 20 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 5 | Leon Edwards | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 31 of 52 | 59% | 42 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Edwards | 77 of 132 | 58% | 48 of 97 | 6 of 12 | 23 of 23 | 68 of 118 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 8 |
| Nate Diaz | 76 of 162 | 46% | 52 of 129 | 16 of 21 | 8 of 12 | 66 of 152 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leon Edwards | 13 of 19 | 68% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Nate Diaz | 10 of 23 | 43% | 4 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 9 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Leon Edwards | 17 of 30 | 56% | 10 of 21 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 16 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Nate Diaz | 13 of 30 | 43% | 6 of 20 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Leon Edwards | 13 of 15 | 86% | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
| Nate Diaz | 3 of 12 | 25% | 1 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Leon Edwards | 18 of 36 | 50% | 10 of 26 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Nate Diaz | 19 of 45 | 42% | 13 of 36 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Leon Edwards | 16 of 32 | 50% | 11 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nate Diaz | 31 of 52 | 59% | 28 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 25 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Leon Edwards to win by TKO or cut stoppage, citing Edwards' youth, striking advantage, and well-rounded game. He notes Diaz is past his prime and has taken significant damage. He expects Edwards to mix in takedowns and potentially finish Diaz, possibly due to a cut.
Cody is confident Edwards wins, likely by decision, as he is a decision machine and Diaz is durable. He likes the decision prop at +135 and notes Edwards' clinch work and ring IQ. He also mentions the possibility of a cut stoppage but thinks Edwards will systematically pick Diaz apart.
Daniel Levi picks Leon Edwards to win by decision, possibly via cut stoppage. He notes Edwards' technical striking and takedowns, and Diaz's tendency to cut easily. He warns that Edwards must not get into a brawl and should manage his cardio. He respects Diaz's toughness but thinks Edwards is too well-rounded.
Edwards is superior everywhere: striking, wrestling, and clinch work. He can take Diaz down and control him, or outstrike him at range. Diaz's only path is cumulative damage in later rounds, but Edwards' cardio is solid. Edwards likely wins a decision, as Diaz is durable and hard to finish. The line is wide for a reason.
Paul is also confident in Edwards, calling him the anchor of parlays. He thinks Edwards wins by decision and likes the decision prop. He notes Edwards' excellent clinch work and high ring IQ, and believes he will systematically pick apart Diaz.
The MMA Guru is extremely confident in Leon Edwards, calling it the fight he'd pick with his life on the line. He cites Edwards' superior striking, cardio, and grappling, and notes Diaz's lack of power at 170 and decline in cardio since going vegan. He predicts a third-round TKO via body kick, as Edwards will want a finish to secure a title shot.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Masvidal | 2 | 112 of 179 | 62% | 114 of 184 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:56 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 43 of 104 | 41% | 125 of 194 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge Masvidal | 1 | 35 of 54 | 64% | 37 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Jorge Masvidal | 1 | 39 of 58 | 67% | 39 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 34 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 3 | Jorge Masvidal | 0 | 38 of 67 | 56% | 38 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 19 of 46 | 41% | 57 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Masvidal | 112 of 179 | 62% | 78 of 136 | 27 of 35 | 7 of 8 | 52 of 92 | 20 of 25 | 40 of 62 |
| Nate Diaz | 43 of 104 | 41% | 23 of 74 | 12 of 21 | 8 of 9 | 33 of 91 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge Masvidal | 35 of 54 | 64% | 21 of 34 | 12 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 15 | 7 of 9 | 18 of 30 |
| Nate Diaz | 13 of 27 | 48% | 7 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jorge Masvidal | 39 of 58 | 67% | 29 of 47 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 32 | 11 of 13 | 10 of 13 |
| Nate Diaz | 11 of 31 | 35% | 4 of 21 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jorge Masvidal | 38 of 67 | 56% | 28 of 55 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 24 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 19 |
| Nate Diaz | 19 of 46 | 41% | 12 of 34 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 69 of 133 | 51% | 86 of 153 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 2 | 1:49 |
| Anthony Pettis | 1 | 114 of 201 | 56% | 205 of 306 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 5:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Pettis | 0 | 22 of 42 | 52% | 62 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 40 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Pettis | 0 | 54 of 100 | 54% | 65 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 3 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 1:49 |
| Anthony Pettis | 1 | 38 of 59 | 64% | 78 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 69 of 133 | 51% | 54 of 111 | 10 of 12 | 5 of 10 | 46 of 102 | 20 of 27 | 3 of 4 |
| Anthony Pettis | 114 of 201 | 56% | 94 of 172 | 16 of 23 | 4 of 6 | 51 of 109 | 43 of 63 | 20 of 29 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 14 of 31 | 45% | 9 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 9 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Pettis | 22 of 42 | 52% | 15 of 33 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 10 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 36 of 66 | 54% | 28 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 26 of 54 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Pettis | 54 of 100 | 54% | 45 of 87 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 29 of 63 | 25 of 37 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nate Diaz | 19 of 36 | 52% | 17 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 24 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 4 |
| Anthony Pettis | 38 of 59 | 64% | 34 of 52 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 23 | 12 of 17 | 13 of 19 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 166 of 343 | 48% | 252 of 435 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 5:50 |
| Nate Diaz | 3 | 164 of 286 | 57% | 197 of 322 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 25 of 73 | 34% | 25 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nate Diaz | 1 | 34 of 58 | 58% | 34 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 37 of 76 | 48% | 51 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Nate Diaz | 2 | 34 of 70 | 48% | 36 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 49 of 87 | 56% | 79 of 117 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 37 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 4 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 36 of 63 | 57% | 48 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 46 of 76 | 60% | 56 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 5 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 19 of 44 | 43% | 49 of 77 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 34 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 166 of 343 | 48% | 107 of 256 | 50 of 71 | 9 of 16 | 88 of 227 | 77 of 112 | 1 of 4 |
| Nate Diaz | 164 of 286 | 57% | 98 of 212 | 26 of 29 | 40 of 45 | 137 of 253 | 27 of 32 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 25 of 73 | 34% | 11 of 49 | 6 of 11 | 8 of 13 | 25 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nate Diaz | 34 of 58 | 58% | 14 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 19 | 34 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Conor McGregor | 37 of 76 | 48% | 22 of 58 | 14 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 24 of 54 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 1 |
| Nate Diaz | 34 of 70 | 48% | 19 of 54 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 11 | 31 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Conor McGregor | 49 of 87 | 56% | 40 of 72 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 42 | 31 of 45 | 0 of 0 |
| Nate Diaz | 26 of 45 | 57% | 17 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 22 of 41 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Conor McGregor | 36 of 63 | 57% | 22 of 45 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 36 | 19 of 27 | 0 of 0 |
| Nate Diaz | 46 of 76 | 60% | 30 of 59 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 33 of 58 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 1 | |
| 5 | Conor McGregor | 19 of 44 | 43% | 12 of 32 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 22 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 3 |
| Nate Diaz | 24 of 37 | 64% | 18 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 61 of 140 | 43% | 66 of 145 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 77 of 152 | 50% | 89 of 169 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 28 of 74 | 37% | 32 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:35 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 23 of 62 | 37% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 33 of 66 | 50% | 34 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 54 of 90 | 60% | 63 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 61 of 140 | 43% | 47 of 117 | 7 of 11 | 7 of 12 | 56 of 133 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
| Conor McGregor | 77 of 152 | 50% | 65 of 131 | 9 of 13 | 3 of 8 | 62 of 133 | 10 of 12 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 28 of 74 | 37% | 18 of 58 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 10 | 26 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Conor McGregor | 23 of 62 | 37% | 16 of 50 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 6 | 23 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 33 of 66 | 50% | 29 of 59 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 30 of 62 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Conor McGregor | 54 of 90 | 60% | 49 of 81 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 39 of 72 | 10 of 12 | 5 of 6 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 103 of 301 | 34% | 104 of 303 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Michael Johnson | 0 | 153 of 300 | 51% | 157 of 304 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 30 of 94 | 31% | 30 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Michael Johnson | 0 | 21 of 66 | 31% | 21 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 37 of 99 | 37% | 37 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Michael Johnson | 0 | 69 of 124 | 55% | 69 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 36 of 108 | 33% | 37 of 110 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Michael Johnson | 0 | 63 of 110 | 57% | 67 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 103 of 301 | 34% | 44 of 185 | 28 of 69 | 31 of 47 | 103 of 300 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Michael Johnson | 153 of 300 | 51% | 135 of 273 | 7 of 13 | 11 of 14 | 148 of 295 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 30 of 94 | 31% | 5 of 45 | 10 of 28 | 15 of 21 | 30 of 94 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Michael Johnson | 21 of 66 | 31% | 17 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 21 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 37 of 99 | 37% | 18 of 61 | 10 of 23 | 9 of 15 | 37 of 98 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Michael Johnson | 69 of 124 | 55% | 64 of 118 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 67 of 122 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nate Diaz | 36 of 108 | 33% | 21 of 79 | 8 of 18 | 7 of 11 | 36 of 108 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Michael Johnson | 63 of 110 | 57% | 54 of 97 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 60 of 107 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 77 of 119 | 64% | 129 of 175 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:47 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 13 of 104 | 12% | 51 of 145 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 25 of 49 | 51% | 36 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 9 of 61 | 14% | 14 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 30 of 42 | 71% | 34 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 4 of 39 | 10% | 10 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 22 of 28 | 78% | 59 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 27 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael dos Anjos | 77 of 119 | 64% | 46 of 81 | 5 of 9 | 26 of 29 | 37 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 39 of 51 |
| Nate Diaz | 13 of 104 | 12% | 12 of 98 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 103 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael dos Anjos | 25 of 49 | 51% | 13 of 32 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 12 | 16 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 14 |
| Nate Diaz | 9 of 61 | 14% | 8 of 55 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rafael dos Anjos | 30 of 42 | 71% | 13 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 15 | 19 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 11 |
| Nate Diaz | 4 of 39 | 10% | 4 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafael dos Anjos | 22 of 28 | 78% | 20 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 26 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Donald Cerrone - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Miller | 0 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 35 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 21 of 33 | 63% | 24 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Miller | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 32 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 17 of 26 | 65% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:08 | |
| 2 | Jim Miller | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Miller | 24 of 36 | 66% | 16 of 28 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Donald Cerrone | 21 of 33 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 21 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Miller | 21 of 29 | 72% | 15 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Donald Cerrone | 17 of 26 | 65% | 10 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 17 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jim Miller | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jim Miller based on his recent knockout wins over prospects, while noting that Cerrone is stepping in on short notice and may not be in peak form. He acknowledges Cerrone's technical advantage but believes Miller's toughness and momentum give him the edge. He also mentions that Cerrone at +200 might be worth a small sprinkle.
Big Brady is confident in Jim Miller, stating Donald Cerrone looks washed and doesn't want to be there. He notes Miller's power and first-round finishing ability, predicting a first-round knockout. He mentions Cerrone's recent struggles and weight cuts, while Miller is still active and motivated.
Cody thinks Miller's improved boxing and fast starts will overwhelm Cerrone, who has looked poor recently. He notes Miller's wrestling and submissions are also threats. He expects Miller to finish early.
Daniel Levi leans toward Donald Cerrone as the underdog, citing the price (+165) and the fact that Cerrone has beaten Miller before via head kick. He notes that Miller tends to slow down after the first round, and if Cerrone can weather the early storm, he can take over. Levi acknowledges that Cerrone is past his prime and has lost to lesser opponents, but he sees value in the dog price. He does not bet it himself.
Cerrone is the better fighter with more tools, and the line is too wide. Miller is a quick starter but if he doesn't finish early, Cerrone takes over. Cerrone at 170 lbs benefits him. The host predicts Cerrone by decision, noting Miller's cardio is not as bad as some claim.
Paul is torn, calling it a 50-50 fight. He likes Cerrone's chances if he survives the first round, especially at welterweight, but won't bet Miller at -185. He might sprinkle on a Cerrone late finish prop.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Donald Cerrone as an underdog, citing the fight being at welterweight where Cerrone won't have to cut as much weight, preserving his chin and cardio. He thinks Miller's power may not translate up a division and that Cerrone can survive the first round and rally in later rounds. He calls it a 50/50 fight and predicts a 29-28 decision for Cerrone.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 0 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 35 of 84 | 41% | 41 of 90 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 0 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 35 of 84 | 41% | 41 of 90 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 17 of 35 | 48% | 5 of 23 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 35 of 84 | 41% | 28 of 74 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 30 of 73 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 17 of 35 | 48% | 5 of 23 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 35 of 84 | 41% | 28 of 74 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 30 of 73 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady believes Cerrone is the better fighter everywhere, despite being past his prime. He notes Cerrone has fought much better competition and should have an edge on the feet and on the mat. Brady thinks Cerrone can mix in takedowns against Morono's poor takedown defense (47%). He predicts a decision win for Cerrone but says the line at -185 is too high to bet. He acknowledges Morono's high volume but thinks Cerrone's level of competition gives him the edge.
Daniel Levi picks Donald Cerrone, stating there are levels to this and Morono is not a top 25 guy. He highlights Cerrone's superior striking, grappling, and cardio, and notes Morono's inability to get up from bottom. He expects Cerrone to outclass Morono, possibly via blast double or high kick, and predicts a decision win. He mentions Cerrone's durability in the Nico Price fight as a positive sign.
The host is confident in Donald Cerrone, believing he has advantages in striking, wrestling, and jiu-jitsu. He expects Cerrone to piece up Morono and win a decision, noting Morono's cardio issues and short notice. He likes Cerrone by decision prop.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 113 of 230 | 49% | 113 of 230 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 150 of 312 | 48% | 167 of 330 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 37 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 55 of 115 | 47% | 63 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 2 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 38 of 89 | 42% | 38 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 57 of 112 | 50% | 57 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 38 of 75 | 50% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 38 of 85 | 44% | 47 of 95 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Cerrone | 113 of 230 | 49% | 69 of 181 | 38 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 101 of 216 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
| Niko Price | 150 of 312 | 48% | 80 of 225 | 30 of 42 | 40 of 45 | 129 of 284 | 18 of 24 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Cerrone | 37 of 66 | 56% | 20 of 49 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 54 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Niko Price | 55 of 115 | 47% | 40 of 96 | 11 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 38 of 93 | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Donald Cerrone | 38 of 89 | 42% | 22 of 69 | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 38 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Niko Price | 57 of 112 | 50% | 21 of 68 | 17 of 23 | 19 of 21 | 56 of 111 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Donald Cerrone | 38 of 75 | 50% | 27 of 63 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Niko Price | 38 of 85 | 44% | 19 of 61 | 2 of 6 | 17 of 18 | 35 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Big Brady picks Niko Price, citing Cerrone's decline and recent knockout losses to top competition. He notes Price is faster and a slow starter, while Cerrone has taken a lot of damage. He expects Price to get a first-round knockout, though he admits Cerrone is better on paper everywhere except durability.
The host believes Niko Price's power and explosiveness will be too much for Donald Cerrone, who is on a losing streak and has shown durability issues. He notes Price's ability to finish from any position and Cerrone's tendency to get stopped early. He predicts a first-round KO for Price, and likes the under 1.5 rounds at -105.
The host picks Niko Price over Donald Cerrone, citing Price's size, power, and ability to start fast. He notes that Cerrone has struggled against fighters who come out aggressively, and that Price was competitive against Vicente Luque. He predicts a KO win for Price.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Pettis | 0 | 63 of 113 | 55% | 81 of 133 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 62 of 148 | 41% | 62 of 148 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Pettis | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 17 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 2 | Anthony Pettis | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 33 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 20 of 52 | 38% | 20 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 3 | Anthony Pettis | 0 | 27 of 48 | 56% | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 25 of 65 | 38% | 25 of 65 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Pettis | 63 of 113 | 55% | 44 of 84 | 10 of 18 | 9 of 11 | 60 of 110 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Donald Cerrone | 62 of 148 | 41% | 31 of 112 | 18 of 22 | 13 of 14 | 59 of 143 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Pettis | 15 of 27 | 55% | 7 of 13 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Donald Cerrone | 17 of 31 | 54% | 10 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Anthony Pettis | 21 of 38 | 55% | 13 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 20 of 52 | 38% | 8 of 38 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Anthony Pettis | 27 of 48 | 56% | 24 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 25 of 65 | 38% | 13 of 51 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 62 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Donald Cerrone, but with low confidence. He notes both fighters are past their prime and have shown signs of quitting. He believes Cerrone has a step down in competition and more heart, but worries about his durability. He predicts a decision win for Cerrone.
Daniel Levi picks Donald Cerrone, arguing that Pettis is not the same fighter as in 2013 and lacks sustainability. He believes if Cerrone avoids an early fight-ending blow, he will take over with takedowns and pressure. Levi notes that Cerrone is a slow starter but should dominate if he gets to the second round, and that Pettis tends to quit when pressured.
Matt picks Pettis but is not confident, citing both fighters' mental fragility and recent losses. He thinks Pettis can establish pressure and leg kicks early to get a finish, but he doesn't trust either guy. He calls the fight a pass for betting and suggests Cerrone as the value side if forced to bet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 1 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 20 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 1 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 20 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 19 of 26 | 73% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 16 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 19 of 26 | 73% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 16 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Conor McGregor to win by knockout, likely in the first round. He notes that McGregor's left hand is a huge factor and that Cerrone has historically folded under big lights. However, he questions McGregor's motivation and fatigue issues, but believes this is a tune-up fight for McGregor.
The host picks Conor McGregor to win by first-round KO, citing McGregor's range, speed, in-and-out movement, and left hand as key advantages. He believes Cerrone will struggle to deal with these attributes and that McGregor will set up a trap and land a clean left hand. However, he notes that if Cerrone's odds reach +300, he might place a small bet on Cerrone due to value, but his official prediction remains McGregor by first-round KO.
The host strongly favors Conor McGregor, citing his first-round focus and accuracy against Donald Cerrone's lack of head movement and slow starts. He notes Cerrone's recent KO loss to Justin Gaethje and the short turnaround (4 months), which raises chin concerns. He believes McGregor's takedown defense is underrated and that Cerrone's wrestling won't be effective. He predicts a first-round KO by McGregor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 1 | 40 of 61 | 65% | 40 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Gaethje | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 1 | 40 of 61 | 65% | 40 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 17 of 52 | 32% | 12 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 40 of 61 | 65% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 13 of 15 | 36 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Gaethje | 17 of 52 | 32% | 12 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 40 of 61 | 65% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 13 of 15 | 36 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The main event is here, between two men that have combined for 24 post-fight bonuses, as Cerrone (36-12, 1 NC; 23-9 UFC) tussles with Gaethje (20-2, 3-2 UFC) at lightweight. The referee for this headliner that virtually guarantees action is Jerin Valel. The two touch gloves and we are underway. Cerrone starts with a push kick to the body, and Gaethje replies with a few sharp leg kicks. Gaethje whiffs on another leg kick, and Cerrone brings his knee up to check them. Gaethje presses forward and swings wildly, but nothing connects of significance. Gaethje ducks down to throw a big right hand and misses, but he does crack him with another few leg kicks for good measure. "The Highlight" tags Cerrone coming on, and backs way while launching a few more leg kicks, although "Cowboy" is starting to check them. Gaethje swings with all he has and "Cowboy" barely evades it, and tying up Gaethje tags Cerrone again. Cerrone leaps forward with a left hand, and then throws his own leg kick. A three-punch combination from "Cowboy" lands, and Gaethje cracks him with a counter left hand. As Gaethje swings, Cerrone responds with a body kick. The two men crash together, and Gaethje gets the better of this exchange. "Cowboy" ducks down and Gaethje times an uppercut, and then throws another leg kick that appears to stymie the movement of Cerrone slightly.
Gaethje blasts "Cowboy" right a right hand when coming in, halting the Colorado native in his tracks and dropping him to a knee. Gaethje cracks him with a few more short shots, until "Cowboy" falls to the ground
. "The Highlight" looks to Valel for a stoppage, but he does not get it so he clubs Cerrone with a few more punches until Valel calls the fight. Cerrone pops back up and protests the stoppage, but the fight is over. On the post-fight interview, the two celebrate and Cerrone is all smiles as he congratulates the victor.
The Official Result
Justin Gaethje def. Donald Cerrone R1 4:18 via TKO (Punches)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Ferguson | 0 | 104 of 200 | 52% | 104 of 200 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 68 of 185 | 36% | 68 of 185 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Ferguson | 0 | 52 of 104 | 50% | 52 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 38 of 95 | 40% | 38 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tony Ferguson | 0 | 52 of 96 | 54% | 52 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 30 of 90 | 33% | 30 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Ferguson | 104 of 200 | 52% | 65 of 144 | 25 of 37 | 14 of 19 | 103 of 198 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 68 of 185 | 36% | 43 of 152 | 15 of 23 | 10 of 10 | 68 of 184 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Ferguson | 52 of 104 | 50% | 31 of 76 | 14 of 20 | 7 of 8 | 51 of 102 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 38 of 95 | 40% | 28 of 82 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 38 of 95 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tony Ferguson | 52 of 96 | 54% | 34 of 68 | 11 of 17 | 7 of 11 | 52 of 96 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 30 of 90 | 33% | 15 of 70 | 9 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 90 of 223 | 40% | 90 of 223 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 2 | 138 of 361 | 38% | 140 of 363 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 19 of 58 | 32% | 19 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 24 of 59 | 40% | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 21 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 18 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 1 | 28 of 78 | 35% | 29 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 4 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 1 | 26 of 72 | 36% | 27 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 5 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 20 of 47 | 42% | 20 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 43 of 98 | 43% | 43 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Cerrone | 90 of 223 | 40% | 49 of 165 | 23 of 38 | 18 of 20 | 90 of 223 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 138 of 361 | 38% | 87 of 302 | 17 of 25 | 34 of 34 | 129 of 344 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Cerrone | 19 of 58 | 32% | 10 of 42 | 6 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 20 of 45 | 44% | 12 of 35 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Donald Cerrone | 24 of 59 | 40% | 11 of 41 | 5 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 21 of 68 | 30% | 11 of 57 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Donald Cerrone | 18 of 39 | 46% | 9 of 29 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 28 of 78 | 35% | 15 of 64 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 25 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | |
| 4 | Donald Cerrone | 9 of 20 | 45% | 6 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 26 of 72 | 36% | 17 of 61 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 65 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | |
| 5 | Donald Cerrone | 20 of 47 | 42% | 13 of 38 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 43 of 98 | 43% | 32 of 85 | 2 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 42 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!