UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira Next Fight
Age 27
Height 5' 8"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 6"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Brady Hiestand
2.7 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
3.75 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
4.8 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Garrett Armfield
5.35 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.64 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
1.1 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Brady Hiestand
Moneyline
DraftKings +230
KO/TKO
BetRivers +2400
Submission
BetRivers +1800
Decision
BetRivers +575
Garrett Armfield
Moneyline
BetWay -225
KO/TKO
FanDuel +230
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
FanDuel +190
Brady Hiestand - Fight History
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 1:52 · UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brady Hiestand 0 22 of 50 44% 42 of 76 6 of 13 46% 3 0 5:36
Garrett Armfield 1 49 of 83 59% 59 of 94 0 of 0 --- 1 1 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brady Hiestand 0 8 of 17 47% 21 of 33 3 of 7 42% 2 0 2:47
Garrett Armfield 0 6 of 12 50% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:05
2 Brady Hiestand 0 10 of 26 38% 17 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
Garrett Armfield 1 41 of 64 64% 48 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
3 Brady Hiestand 0 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:17
Garrett Armfield 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brady Hiestand 22 of 50 44% 14 of 39 7 of 10 1 of 1 18 of 44 4 of 6 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 49 of 83 59% 41 of 73 8 of 10 0 of 0 22 of 43 5 of 6 22 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brady Hiestand 8 of 17 47% 4 of 12 3 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 6 of 12 50% 3 of 8 3 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brady Hiestand 10 of 26 38% 7 of 21 3 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 22 2 of 4 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 41 of 64 64% 37 of 59 4 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 25 4 of 5 22 of 34
3 Brady Hiestand 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Angelo picks Garrett, citing his busy striking, forward pressure, and good takedown defense. He expects the fight to look like Garrett's win over Brad Katona, where he outworks Brady on the feet and wins a decision. He notes Brady struggles with pressure and has not shown he can dominate wrestling or striking.

"I am going to pick Garrett Armfield for those reasons"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Cody picks Garrett Armfield, comparing him to last week's Ludovit Klein as a bettable favorite. He notes Armfield's improvement under Trey Ogden at Marathon MMA, his striking advantage, and his takedown defense. Cody believes Armfield can keep the fight standing and outbox Hiestand, who is one-dimensional and lacks activity. He expects a clear decision win for Armfield.

"Armfield feels like this week's Ludovit Klein... the line is a reasonable line, it's a betable line."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Daniel Vreeland has seen big improvements in Garrett Armfield's game, especially his head movement, boxing, and volume. He notes Armfield hurts everyone he fights with his right hand. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's durability and grinding style but believes if Armfield keeps it standing, he lands the better shots and possibly gets a knockout or wins a decision.

"I'm going go uh with Garrett Armfield to win this fight"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Jacob picks Garrett but expects a close fight. He notes Garrett's low stance and reaction to faints could be exploited by Brady's overhand right. He thinks Garrett's striking should be enough to win a decision, but Brady's relentless wrestling could make it competitive. He believes Garrett has high fight IQ and knows how to win rounds.

"I'm going Garrett Armfield here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that he has backed Hiestand before and got lucky. He points out that Hiestand's takedowns don't lead to damage and judges are not rewarding control time anymore. Paul thinks Armfield can replicate his performance against Katona and win easily.

"Garrett Armfield frankly yeah last time out against Katona have that exact same fight here and you should win this fight against Hiestand even easier."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield by second-round TKO. He believes there is a massive boxing composure difference between the two, with Armfield being more composed and able to get back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Armfield's compact frame makes him hard to keep down, and that his win over Brad Katona has aged well. He expects Armfield to push forward and land punches on the feet for a TKO.

second round punches TKO
"I'm going to say second round punches TKO on the feet for Garett Armfield here"
TKO (punches) R3 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brady Hiestand 0 45 of 81 55% 96 of 143 3 of 7 42% 0 0 4:09
Danaa Batgerel 1 41 of 134 30% 92 of 200 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brady Hiestand 0 15 of 28 53% 18 of 31 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:34
Danaa Batgerel 0 14 of 52 26% 28 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brady Hiestand 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 12 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:49
Danaa Batgerel 1 17 of 37 45% 54 of 89 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:00
3 Brady Hiestand 0 26 of 45 57% 71 of 100 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Danaa Batgerel 0 10 of 45 22% 10 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brady Hiestand 45 of 81 55% 29 of 58 11 of 15 5 of 8 41 of 77 0 of 0 4 of 4
Danaa Batgerel 41 of 134 30% 33 of 121 2 of 5 6 of 8 29 of 112 7 of 9 5 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brady Hiestand 15 of 28 53% 11 of 21 3 of 4 1 of 3 15 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 14 of 52 26% 8 of 43 2 of 4 4 of 5 14 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Brady Hiestand 4 of 8 50% 2 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 16 7 of 8 5 of 13
3 Brady Hiestand 26 of 45 57% 16 of 31 6 of 9 4 of 5 22 of 41 0 of 0 4 of 4
Danaa Batgerel 10 of 45 22% 8 of 41 0 of 1 2 of 3 10 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Angelo picks Danaa Batgerel, noting his striking speed, volume, and power. He thinks Batgerel will dominate the striking and if taken down, he will scramble well to get back up. He expects Batgerel to win but is not betting yet, waiting to see line movement or possibly betting on a prop like over takedowns on Brady.

No bet yet, considering prop bets like over takedowns on Brady.
"Dena's gonna be the pick here... no bet just yet I'm gonna watch that line movement."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Big Brady picks Danaa Batgerel to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Batgerel has incredible power and that Hiestand is very hittable with poor striking defense, having been dropped and knocked out before. He believes Batgerel will land a big shot early and put Hiestand's lights out, as Hiestand's path to victory requires a perfect fight. Brady also mentions that Hiestand trains with Marab and is a 100% wrestling style, but his chin is a massive liability against Batgerel's power.

first round knockout
"give me the not back hurry I'm going to take him to win by first round knockout I think his power is going to give a very hittable and green Brady he's stand a lot of problems"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Cody picks Batgerel, citing his power, volume, and takedown defense. He notes Batgerel has knockout power and good cardio, and has fought at Jackson Wink. He criticizes Hiestand as one-dimensional with wrestling, lacking striking and submission offense. Cody believes Batgerel will stuff takedowns and win on the feet, possibly by knockout.

"I gotta go with uh back Curry I think to get the job done he just seems like he's got a little more in his toolbox"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Connor picks Danaa Batgerel, noting that Hiestand has terrible striking and gasses quickly due to inefficient wrestling. He highlights that Batgerel is a devastating puncher with a good left hook and will put Hiestand on the back foot. Connor recalls Hiestand's knockout loss to Chad Anheliger as a template for how this fight could go.

"I really instantly favor Dana here because, uh, as much as, I mean, I think he himself has had some issues with gassing out, but he's a lot more directed in what he wants to do."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Brady Hiestand

Brady Hiestand is a strong wrestler with good control and a solid grappling base. He should be able to take Danaa Batgerel down and grind out a decision. Batgerel has power in his strikes but poor takedown defense and cardio. However, Batgerel has been training at Fight Ready and may have improved his wrestling defense. Hiestand may get clipped early but should recover and implement his game plan. Prediction: Hiestand by decision.

"I fully expect him to to get clipped early in this matchup but I'm hoping that his reactive response... is quick enough for him to get in on a double leg drag the fight back to the ground... grinding this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Paul also picks Batgerel, agreeing with Cody. He notes he will be adding money on Batgerel. He mentions the market is moving in Batgerel's direction, now minus 155. Paul had previously picked Hiestand as a dog in his last fights but sees this as a tough matchup for him.

"beckery Dena is the pick for me as well I'm gonna be adding some money on Bakery Dena"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel to win by KO in the first round. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's decent grappling but believes Batgerel's size and power will be too much. He thinks Hiestand's striking is not yet developed and that Batgerel can shut down takedowns for a round and then do damage on the feet. He expects a vicious first-round TKO finish.

KO in the first round
"I'm gonna be leaning towards Dana batcarell here I think he gets this one done by KO in the first round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Zane also picks Danaa Batgerel, agreeing that Hiestand is an unfinished product with poor striking and a tendency to gas. He notes that Batgerel is a hard puncher who will pressure Hiestand and put hands on him. Zane mentions that Hiestand's previous fights were against opponents who couldn't hurt him, but Batgerel can.

"I think he's going to, he's going to pressure him. He's going to put hands on him."
WIN vs Fernie Garcia
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brady Hiestand 0 19 of 34 55% 56 of 82 3 of 8 37% 1 0 9:14
Fernie Garcia 0 21 of 44 47% 86 of 125 1 of 2 50% 1 1 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brady Hiestand 0 3 of 9 33% 13 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:25
Fernie Garcia 0 6 of 11 54% 30 of 38 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:53
2 Brady Hiestand 0 16 of 23 69% 18 of 26 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:25
Fernie Garcia 0 14 of 30 46% 28 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
3 Brady Hiestand 0 0 of 2 0% 25 of 32 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:24
Fernie Garcia 0 1 of 3 33% 28 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brady Hiestand 19 of 34 55% 10 of 23 4 of 5 5 of 6 16 of 31 2 of 2 1 of 1
Fernie Garcia 21 of 44 47% 13 of 36 1 of 1 7 of 7 20 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brady Hiestand 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Fernie Garcia 6 of 11 54% 4 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Brady Hiestand 16 of 23 69% 8 of 14 3 of 4 5 of 5 13 of 20 2 of 2 1 of 1
Fernie Garcia 14 of 30 46% 9 of 25 1 of 1 4 of 4 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Brady Hiestand 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Fernie Garcia 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Ricky Turcios
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Aug 28, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Turcios 1 100 of 171 58% 201 of 281 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:32
Brady Hiestand 0 66 of 134 49% 82 of 152 6 of 11 54% 0 1 7:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Turcios 0 35 of 55 63% 72 of 98 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Brady Hiestand 0 24 of 43 55% 35 of 56 2 of 4 50% 0 1 3:14
2 Ricky Turcios 0 15 of 33 45% 42 of 60 1 of 2 50% 0 1 0:45
Brady Hiestand 0 15 of 31 48% 16 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:43
3 Ricky Turcios 1 50 of 83 60% 87 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:32
Brady Hiestand 0 27 of 60 45% 31 of 64 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Turcios 100 of 171 58% 83 of 150 14 of 18 3 of 3 67 of 131 22 of 27 11 of 13
Brady Hiestand 66 of 134 49% 59 of 124 6 of 9 1 of 1 52 of 117 8 of 10 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Turcios 35 of 55 63% 26 of 46 6 of 6 3 of 3 25 of 43 6 of 6 4 of 6
Brady Hiestand 24 of 43 55% 20 of 39 3 of 3 1 of 1 19 of 37 1 of 1 4 of 5
2 Ricky Turcios 15 of 33 45% 15 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 23 2 of 3 7 of 7
Brady Hiestand 15 of 31 48% 15 of 28 0 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 25 3 of 4 2 of 2
3 Ricky Turcios 50 of 83 60% 42 of 72 8 of 11 0 of 0 36 of 65 14 of 18 0 of 0
Brady Hiestand 27 of 60 45% 24 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0 23 of 55 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Angelo picks Turcios, citing his crazy style, pressure, and variety of strikes. He notes Hiestand is formulaic and will struggle with Turcios' unpredictability. He has Turcios in his DraftKings lineup at 8700 and likes the more more on monkey knife fight.

"ricky's the pick ricky's in my draftkings lineup i love him at 8 700"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brady Hiestand

Cody leans toward Hiestand as a live underdog, impressed by his takedowns and knockout of Vince Murdock on TUF. He thinks Hiestand's wrestling could neutralize Turcios, but acknowledges Turcios' experience and scrambling ability. Cody is worried about Turcios' takedown defense and thinks Hiestand could control the fight. He calls Hiestand a prospect and says the plus-140 line is not terrible.

"i'm a little bit worried about this brady kid he could definitely come in and cash and what's he's currently sitting at plus 140 right so not even a terrible line on him"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Jacob picks Turcios but is hesitant, noting Hiestand's good takedowns and Turcios' defensive movement issues. He worries if Hiestand gets a hold of Turcios, it could be one-sided. He relies on Turcios' movement and volume to win.

"i have ricky in my lineup um i'm not quite as confident as i would like to be"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Brady Hiestand

Lock picks Hiestand as an underdog, citing his wrestling-heavy approach and ability to implement a game plan. He thinks Hiestand's jiu-jitsu is good enough to avoid submissions from Turcios. Lock is concerned about Hiestand's striking and cardio but believes he can secure takedowns and win rounds. He likes Hiestand by decision at +300 and considers him a potential dog of the night.

Hiestand by decision +300
"i do like high stand in this spot he is kind of in the running right now for my dog than i play for for this weekend"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brady Hiestand

Paul picks Hiestand as a dog, noting his quick takedown entries and potential. He thinks Turcios' veteran savvy will neutralize Hiestand's striking, but he likes the over 2.5 rounds as a parlay piece. Paul is not fully confident in Hiestand's hands but sees value at plus-140.

parlayed over 2.5 rounds (-175) with something else
"if i was forced to pick a side it would be he stand at plus 140 but i like the over uh two and a half minus 175 as a parlay piece"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

The Guru picks Ricky Turcios by TKO in the later rounds, expecting Hiestand to grapple early but fade due to cardio. He notes Turcios' experience against better competition and Hiestand's lack of finishing ability. The Guru predicts a third-round TKO as Turcios pours on pressure.

Turcios by TKO in round 3
"i'm gonna go over ricky turquoise by tko in the later rounds i'm i'm gonna go third round tko for ricky turquoise"
Garrett Armfield - Fight History
LOSS vs Serhiy Sidey
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Serhiy Sidey 0 68 of 144 47% 75 of 151 0 of 4 0% 3 1 0:47
Garrett Armfield 0 71 of 142 50% 77 of 148 4 of 5 80% 1 0 4:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Serhiy Sidey 0 20 of 41 48% 23 of 44 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:35
Garrett Armfield 0 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:57
2 Serhiy Sidey 0 39 of 86 45% 40 of 87 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Garrett Armfield 0 43 of 92 46% 44 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Serhiy Sidey 0 9 of 17 52% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:12
Garrett Armfield 0 4 of 10 40% 9 of 15 3 of 3 100% 1 0 3:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Serhiy Sidey 68 of 144 47% 40 of 106 22 of 31 6 of 7 60 of 131 7 of 12 1 of 1
Garrett Armfield 71 of 142 50% 57 of 127 9 of 10 5 of 5 65 of 133 4 of 7 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Serhiy Sidey 20 of 41 48% 8 of 27 8 of 10 4 of 4 17 of 34 3 of 7 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 24 of 40 60% 20 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 1 22 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Serhiy Sidey 39 of 86 45% 28 of 68 9 of 15 2 of 3 37 of 84 2 of 2 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 43 of 92 46% 34 of 83 6 of 6 3 of 3 42 of 89 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Serhiy Sidey 9 of 17 52% 4 of 11 5 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 13 2 of 3 1 of 1
Garrett Armfield 4 of 10 40% 3 of 8 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Angelo picks Serhiy Sidey but admits he doesn't love Garrett Armfield for illogical reasons. He notes Sidey is tall and long, can grapple, but is chinny and was dropped in his last fight. He thinks Armfield has power and volume, but questions his durability. He expects a close fight and likely won't bet on it, though he notes Armfield is a good dog if on his side.

"I'm going to pick Siri though because I don't know if Garrett is durable enough to survive what Siri can send his way"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Big Brady picks Garrett Armfield as a dog to win by close decision. He acknowledges Sidey's volume and pressure but favors Armfield's power advantage, noting that Sidey has been dropped before. Brady worries about Armfield's cardio but notes he has improved his strength and conditioning. He expects a striking battle that goes the distance, with Armfield's power being the difference.

dog money
"I got to go Armfield here as a dog I'll take him to win this fight by a very close decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Cody picks Garrett Armfield, citing his wrestling background, jab, and experience. He notes that Sidey has poor takedown defense and takes too many shots, while Armfield has shown good volume and power. He believes Armfield's wrestling will be the difference, and that Sidey's face will get busted up. He also mentions Armfield's plus money value.

"I'm gonna go with Garett Armfield."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Daniel Vreeland picks Serhiy Sidey, citing his height and reach advantage (5'11" vs 5'6") and improved maturity after training with top bantamweights. He believes Sidey can keep the fight at range and out-volume Armfield, who has a history of gassing late. Vreeland acknowledges Armfield's power and ability to hurt opponents, but thinks Sidey's length and smart fight IQ will secure a win, possibly by decision.

"I'm gonna pick him to win this uh win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Sidey has the clear striking advantage, and as long as his defensive grappling improvements showcase, he should keep the fight in the striking realm, batter Armfield, and finish him in the second or third round.

finish in second or third round
"Sidey will have the clear striking Advantage but as long as his defensive grappling improvements showcase here he should be able to keep this fight in the Striking room batter Armfield and finish him in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Paul also picks Armfield but is hesitant due to a video showing Armfield injuring his arm in a side-by-side accident. He believes Armfield is the better striker and wrestler, but questions his health. He notes that if Armfield is healthy, he should win, but the injury concern gives him pause.

"Armfield may even have a wrestling Advantage for plus 130 he would definitely be the pick."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

The Guru picks Serhiy Sidey over Garrett Armfield, noting Sidey's reach advantage and prospect status. He was unimpressed by Armfield's last performance against Brady Hiestand, where he was choked out. He expects a scrappy fight on the feet and believes Sidey's straight shots will be effective.

"I'm going to go with Siri City getting this one done straight straight shots down the pipe"
LOSS vs Brady Hiestand
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 1:52 · UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brady Hiestand 0 22 of 50 44% 42 of 76 6 of 13 46% 3 0 5:36
Garrett Armfield 1 49 of 83 59% 59 of 94 0 of 0 --- 1 1 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brady Hiestand 0 8 of 17 47% 21 of 33 3 of 7 42% 2 0 2:47
Garrett Armfield 0 6 of 12 50% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:05
2 Brady Hiestand 0 10 of 26 38% 17 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
Garrett Armfield 1 41 of 64 64% 48 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
3 Brady Hiestand 0 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:17
Garrett Armfield 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brady Hiestand 22 of 50 44% 14 of 39 7 of 10 1 of 1 18 of 44 4 of 6 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 49 of 83 59% 41 of 73 8 of 10 0 of 0 22 of 43 5 of 6 22 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brady Hiestand 8 of 17 47% 4 of 12 3 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 6 of 12 50% 3 of 8 3 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brady Hiestand 10 of 26 38% 7 of 21 3 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 22 2 of 4 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 41 of 64 64% 37 of 59 4 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 25 4 of 5 22 of 34
3 Brady Hiestand 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Angelo picks Garrett, citing his busy striking, forward pressure, and good takedown defense. He expects the fight to look like Garrett's win over Brad Katona, where he outworks Brady on the feet and wins a decision. He notes Brady struggles with pressure and has not shown he can dominate wrestling or striking.

"I am going to pick Garrett Armfield for those reasons"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Cody picks Garrett Armfield, comparing him to last week's Ludovit Klein as a bettable favorite. He notes Armfield's improvement under Trey Ogden at Marathon MMA, his striking advantage, and his takedown defense. Cody believes Armfield can keep the fight standing and outbox Hiestand, who is one-dimensional and lacks activity. He expects a clear decision win for Armfield.

"Armfield feels like this week's Ludovit Klein... the line is a reasonable line, it's a betable line."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Daniel Vreeland has seen big improvements in Garrett Armfield's game, especially his head movement, boxing, and volume. He notes Armfield hurts everyone he fights with his right hand. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's durability and grinding style but believes if Armfield keeps it standing, he lands the better shots and possibly gets a knockout or wins a decision.

"I'm going go uh with Garrett Armfield to win this fight"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Jacob picks Garrett but expects a close fight. He notes Garrett's low stance and reaction to faints could be exploited by Brady's overhand right. He thinks Garrett's striking should be enough to win a decision, but Brady's relentless wrestling could make it competitive. He believes Garrett has high fight IQ and knows how to win rounds.

"I'm going Garrett Armfield here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that he has backed Hiestand before and got lucky. He points out that Hiestand's takedowns don't lead to damage and judges are not rewarding control time anymore. Paul thinks Armfield can replicate his performance against Katona and win easily.

"Garrett Armfield frankly yeah last time out against Katona have that exact same fight here and you should win this fight against Hiestand even easier."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield by second-round TKO. He believes there is a massive boxing composure difference between the two, with Armfield being more composed and able to get back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Armfield's compact frame makes him hard to keep down, and that his win over Brad Katona has aged well. He expects Armfield to push forward and land punches on the feet for a TKO.

second round punches TKO
"I'm going to say second round punches TKO on the feet for Garett Armfield here"
WIN vs Brad Katona
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Garrett Armfield 0 64 of 155 41% 76 of 172 4 of 9 44% 0 0 4:35
Brad Katona 0 105 of 168 62% 130 of 193 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Garrett Armfield 0 20 of 48 41% 23 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Brad Katona 0 31 of 51 60% 31 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Garrett Armfield 0 25 of 66 37% 27 of 71 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:27
Brad Katona 0 41 of 66 62% 41 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Garrett Armfield 0 19 of 41 46% 26 of 49 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:54
Brad Katona 0 33 of 51 64% 58 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Garrett Armfield 64 of 155 41% 49 of 138 8 of 9 7 of 8 46 of 126 17 of 28 1 of 1
Brad Katona 105 of 168 62% 74 of 131 21 of 27 10 of 10 99 of 162 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Garrett Armfield 20 of 48 41% 14 of 41 1 of 2 5 of 5 14 of 39 6 of 9 0 of 0
Brad Katona 31 of 51 60% 16 of 33 8 of 11 7 of 7 31 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Garrett Armfield 25 of 66 37% 20 of 60 4 of 4 1 of 2 20 of 58 5 of 8 0 of 0
Brad Katona 41 of 66 62% 28 of 50 10 of 13 3 of 3 41 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Garrett Armfield 19 of 41 46% 15 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 29 6 of 11 1 of 1
Brad Katona 33 of 51 64% 30 of 48 3 of 3 0 of 0 27 of 45 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Angelo picks Katona, citing his footwork, volume, and cardio as advantages. He expects Katona to take over as Armfield slows down, predicting a 29-28 decision. He initially thought the odds were wide but talked himself into confidence, planning to place a bet.

Will bet on Katona
"Brad Katana should win this fight and I just talked myself to being even more confident in him probably going to throw a bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Big Brady picks Katona, expecting him to fight smart and use wrestling. He notes Armfield has poor takedown defense and has lost by submission twice. He believes Katona's fight IQ and experience against better competition will lead to a decision win. He thinks Katona won't brawl like he did against Cody Gibson.

decision
"I think he gets it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Cody picks Katona due to his well-rounded skills, technical boxing, and experience. He thinks Armfield lacks the grappling to stick with Katona and will break under pressure. He predicts a late stoppage or decision win for Katona.

"I think Katona wins... maybe a late stoppage win for Brad Katona."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Brad Katona but hopes he is wrong. He notes Katona's experience and ability to slow down younger fighters, but worries about his recent war with Cody Gibson and potential decline. Armfield has heavy hands and could knock Katona out, but Vreeland expects Katona to grind out a decision or get a submission.

"I'm a lean Katona a little bit but i' I'd love to see Garrett Armfield win"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Armfield vs Katona.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Brad Katona

I'm taking Katona to win by decision. He has a huge experience advantage and higher fight IQ. He can blend his wrestling behind his striking to catch Armfield by surprise. I think Armfield will be surprised by the pace Katona sets. Katona will give Armfield different looks and outpoint him. However, Armfield has potential and could showcase he's ready for this level, but I'm still going with Katona.

decision victory
"I think Kona comes out on the winning end here and gets his hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Paul picks Katona, noting his intelligence and well-rounded game. He jokes about Katona's fake Irish accent but respects his skills. He thinks Katona will use takedowns and top control to win a decision.

"It's the Brad Katona style... you're not going to love it watching it typically but it's effective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Brad Katona

The MMA Guru picks Brad Katona, calling him underrated and noting his wins over undefeated fighters in Brave CF. He criticizes Garrett Armfield's level of competition and questions his consistency. He highlights Katona's toughness, kicks, and takedown ability. He predicts a submission win via rear-naked choke in round two.

submission, round 2
"I'm going to go with Brad katuna the weirdest accented man in the UFC I think he's better than Garrett Armfield"
TKO (punches) R1 4:16 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Garrett Armfield 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Toshiomi Kazama 1 45 of 77 58% 45 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Garrett Armfield 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Toshiomi Kazama 1 45 of 77 58% 45 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Garrett Armfield 15 of 31 48% 8 of 24 3 of 3 4 of 4 15 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Toshiomi Kazama 45 of 77 58% 36 of 67 9 of 10 0 of 0 40 of 68 0 of 0 5 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Garrett Armfield 15 of 31 48% 8 of 24 3 of 3 4 of 4 15 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Toshiomi Kazama 45 of 77 58% 36 of 67 9 of 10 0 of 0 40 of 68 0 of 0 5 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Angelo sees Armfield as more well-rounded but notes that he often fights to his opponent's style instead of imposing his own. He acknowledges Kazama's slick BJJ and chin issues, but leans toward Armfield due to his technical striking and takedown defense. He is not betting on this fight, just watching.

"I am still gonna slightly gear it here because he's just a more well-rounded fighter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Toshiomi Kazama

Big Brady notes that Garrett Armfield has struggled with wrestlers and grapplers in his losses, being submitted twice. He sees Toshiomi Kazama as a dangerous grappler who can take the fight to the mat and submit Armfield. He also mentions the long flight to Singapore as a potential disadvantage for Armfield. He forgives Kazama for his quick loss to Rinya Nakamura and believes this is a winnable fight for him.

submission in round 2
"give me a toshiyami Kazama to win this fight I'll take him to win by second round submission in this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Cody picks Armfield, citing his well-rounded skills and training at Kill Cliff FC. He notes Kazama's chinny history and one-dimensional grappling. Cody expects Armfield to improve after moving to his natural weight class and training with top partners.

"I kind of been leaning him he's the actual mixed martial arts"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Daniel picks Garrett Armfield, noting that he is faster, more accurate, and more technically sound. He mentions that Kazama has a terrible chin and is a one-trick pony with submissions. He is confident Armfield can keep the fight standing and win by striking. He bet 2 units at -147 and is confident in the pick, though he acknowledges the submission threat.

"I took Armfield at -147 a couple days ago I played him to win two units here's why"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Garrett Armfield

James picks Garrett Armfield as the better all-around MMA fighter. He believes Armfield is the superior striker and that Kazama's wrestling is not good enough to take Armfield down consistently. He notes Kazama's Jiu-Jitsu is a lower-percentage path from the bottom, and Armfield should be able to avoid submissions and win on the feet.

"I'm going with Garrett Armfield"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

The host describes Kazama as a BJJ black belt with poor striking who relies on pulling guard and sweeps. He believes Armfield will use his wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing and utilize his speed and striking advantage to damage Kazama. The host expects Armfield to eventually get a knockout due to accumulative damage, noting that Kazama leaves many openings.

"I think that was CRM field eventually get the finish here to get his hand raised by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Toshiomi Kazama

Paul picks Kazama as an underdog, citing the Asian fighter advantage in Singapore and jet lag concerns for Armfield. He notes Kazama's submission skills but acknowledges his poor chin. Paul is not confident but likes the value.

Kazama by submission +300
"I'm gonna be taking the Asian underdogs in Asian in uh China or in Singapore"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield over Toshiomi Kazama, trusting the American regional scene and Kill Cliff FC training over Kazama's Japanese scene. He notes Armfield's tough debut against David Onama but believes he is more well-rounded. He criticizes Kazama's KO loss to a 2-2 opponent and unimpressive Road to UFC win. He predicts Armfield's superior substance of competition will prevail.

"I'm gonna trust a kill Cliff FC Prospect I'm going with Gara Armfield here over to Yoshi Kazama even if his record does look a little bit worse I think it's against better substance"
LOSS vs David Onama
Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 3:13 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Onama 0 29 of 72 40% 46 of 95 2 of 6 33% 1 0 2:35
Garrett Armfield 0 21 of 72 29% 29 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Onama 0 20 of 49 40% 34 of 66 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:34
Garrett Armfield 0 12 of 48 25% 20 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
2 David Onama 0 9 of 23 39% 12 of 29 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:01
Garrett Armfield 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Onama 29 of 72 40% 16 of 55 13 of 17 0 of 0 27 of 66 1 of 3 1 of 3
Garrett Armfield 21 of 72 29% 15 of 61 4 of 9 2 of 2 20 of 68 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Onama 20 of 49 40% 11 of 37 9 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 46 1 of 3 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 12 of 48 25% 10 of 44 2 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 David Onama 9 of 23 39% 5 of 18 4 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 3
Garrett Armfield 9 of 24 37% 5 of 17 2 of 5 2 of 2 8 of 20 1 of 4 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Cody is very high on Onama, citing his dynamic striking, footwork, and finishing ability. He notes Onama already beat Armfield as an amateur and that Armfield is not UFC quality yet. He thinks Onama will win easily, possibly by finish.

Mentions over 2.5 rounds at plus money as a possible play.
"david o'nama was going to take on austin lingo fun fight but he would have chewed up lingo was a good spot for him ufc knows what they're doing this kid's got a bright future"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)
Garrett Armfield

The host takes a small 0.5 unit shot on Garrett Armfield at +572. He sees Armfield as a solid wrestler who could cause problems for Onama if he employs his grappling. He notes that Onama is great on the feet but if he can't get his power going due to being stuck under Armfield, the upset is possible. He also suggests that if betting Onama, the KO prop is better than the moneyline.

0.5 units at +572. Also mentions over 1.5 rounds at -120 to -130 as a possibility.
"lastly I took a degenerate 0.5 unit shot at Plus 572. the Fate David onama uh Garrett Armfield I got plus 572 like I said half unit shot there solid wrestler if he can employ that here things could get …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Paul thinks Onama is a great prospect and that the price, though high, is justified. He notes Armfield is taking the fight on short notice and is limited. He expects Onama to win, possibly by decision since Armfield has never been knocked out.

Mentions over 2.5 rounds at plus money as a possible play.
"minus 700 even if this guy's coming that guy he's taking on is coming in on short notice like that's just a absurd price tag"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Angelo picks Garrett, citing his busy striking, forward pressure, and good takedown defense. He expects the fight to look like Garrett's win over Brad Katona, where he outworks Brady on the feet and wins a decision. He notes Brady struggles with pressure and has not shown he can dominate wrestling or striking.

"I am going to pick Garrett Armfield for those reasons"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Cody picks Garrett Armfield, comparing him to last week's Ludovit Klein as a bettable favorite. He notes Armfield's improvement under Trey Ogden at Marathon MMA, his striking advantage, and his takedown defense. Cody believes Armfield can keep the fight standing and outbox Hiestand, who is one-dimensional and lacks activity. He expects a clear decision win for Armfield.

"Armfield feels like this week's Ludovit Klein... the line is a reasonable line, it's a betable line."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Daniel Vreeland has seen big improvements in Garrett Armfield's game, especially his head movement, boxing, and volume. He notes Armfield hurts everyone he fights with his right hand. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's durability and grinding style but believes if Armfield keeps it standing, he lands the better shots and possibly gets a knockout or wins a decision.

"I'm going go uh with Garrett Armfield to win this fight"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Jacob picks Garrett but expects a close fight. He notes Garrett's low stance and reaction to faints could be exploited by Brady's overhand right. He thinks Garrett's striking should be enough to win a decision, but Brady's relentless wrestling could make it competitive. He believes Garrett has high fight IQ and knows how to win rounds.

"I'm going Garrett Armfield here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that he has backed Hiestand before and got lucky. He points out that Hiestand's takedowns don't lead to damage and judges are not rewarding control time anymore. Paul thinks Armfield can replicate his performance against Katona and win easily.

"Garrett Armfield frankly yeah last time out against Katona have that exact same fight here and you should win this fight against Hiestand even easier."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield by second-round TKO. He believes there is a massive boxing composure difference between the two, with Armfield being more composed and able to get back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Armfield's compact frame makes him hard to keep down, and that his win over Brad Katona has aged well. He expects Armfield to push forward and land punches on the feet for a TKO.

second round punches TKO
"I'm going to say second round punches TKO on the feet for Garett Armfield here"