Career Averages - Brady Hiestand
Career Averages - Garrett Armfield
Brady Hiestand
Garrett Armfield
Brady Hiestand - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 42 of 76 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 3 | 0 | 5:36 |
| Garrett Armfield | 1 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 59 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 21 of 33 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:05 | |
| 2 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 17 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Garrett Armfield | 1 | 41 of 64 | 64% | 48 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 3 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand | 22 of 50 | 44% | 14 of 39 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 44 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 49 of 83 | 59% | 41 of 73 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 22 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Hiestand | 8 of 17 | 47% | 4 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 6 of 12 | 50% | 3 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brady Hiestand | 10 of 26 | 38% | 7 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 41 of 64 | 64% | 37 of 59 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 25 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 34 | |
| 3 | Brady Hiestand | 4 of 7 | 57% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Garrett, citing his busy striking, forward pressure, and good takedown defense. He expects the fight to look like Garrett's win over Brad Katona, where he outworks Brady on the feet and wins a decision. He notes Brady struggles with pressure and has not shown he can dominate wrestling or striking.
Cody picks Garrett Armfield, comparing him to last week's Ludovit Klein as a bettable favorite. He notes Armfield's improvement under Trey Ogden at Marathon MMA, his striking advantage, and his takedown defense. Cody believes Armfield can keep the fight standing and outbox Hiestand, who is one-dimensional and lacks activity. He expects a clear decision win for Armfield.
Daniel Vreeland has seen big improvements in Garrett Armfield's game, especially his head movement, boxing, and volume. He notes Armfield hurts everyone he fights with his right hand. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's durability and grinding style but believes if Armfield keeps it standing, he lands the better shots and possibly gets a knockout or wins a decision.
Jacob picks Garrett but expects a close fight. He notes Garrett's low stance and reaction to faints could be exploited by Brady's overhand right. He thinks Garrett's striking should be enough to win a decision, but Brady's relentless wrestling could make it competitive. He believes Garrett has high fight IQ and knows how to win rounds.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that he has backed Hiestand before and got lucky. He points out that Hiestand's takedowns don't lead to damage and judges are not rewarding control time anymore. Paul thinks Armfield can replicate his performance against Katona and win easily.
The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield by second-round TKO. He believes there is a massive boxing composure difference between the two, with Armfield being more composed and able to get back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Armfield's compact frame makes him hard to keep down, and that his win over Brad Katona has aged well. He expects Armfield to push forward and land punches on the feet for a TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand | 0 | 45 of 81 | 55% | 96 of 143 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Danaa Batgerel | 1 | 41 of 134 | 30% | 92 of 200 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 18 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Danaa Batgerel | 0 | 14 of 52 | 26% | 28 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 7 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 |
| Danaa Batgerel | 1 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 54 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:00 | |
| 3 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 71 of 100 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Danaa Batgerel | 0 | 10 of 45 | 22% | 10 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand | 45 of 81 | 55% | 29 of 58 | 11 of 15 | 5 of 8 | 41 of 77 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Danaa Batgerel | 41 of 134 | 30% | 33 of 121 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 29 of 112 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Hiestand | 15 of 28 | 53% | 11 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 15 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danaa Batgerel | 14 of 52 | 26% | 8 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brady Hiestand | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danaa Batgerel | 17 of 37 | 45% | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 5 of 13 | |
| 3 | Brady Hiestand | 26 of 45 | 57% | 16 of 31 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Danaa Batgerel | 10 of 45 | 22% | 8 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Danaa Batgerel, noting his striking speed, volume, and power. He thinks Batgerel will dominate the striking and if taken down, he will scramble well to get back up. He expects Batgerel to win but is not betting yet, waiting to see line movement or possibly betting on a prop like over takedowns on Brady.
Big Brady picks Danaa Batgerel to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Batgerel has incredible power and that Hiestand is very hittable with poor striking defense, having been dropped and knocked out before. He believes Batgerel will land a big shot early and put Hiestand's lights out, as Hiestand's path to victory requires a perfect fight. Brady also mentions that Hiestand trains with Marab and is a 100% wrestling style, but his chin is a massive liability against Batgerel's power.
Cody picks Batgerel, citing his power, volume, and takedown defense. He notes Batgerel has knockout power and good cardio, and has fought at Jackson Wink. He criticizes Hiestand as one-dimensional with wrestling, lacking striking and submission offense. Cody believes Batgerel will stuff takedowns and win on the feet, possibly by knockout.
Connor picks Danaa Batgerel, noting that Hiestand has terrible striking and gasses quickly due to inefficient wrestling. He highlights that Batgerel is a devastating puncher with a good left hook and will put Hiestand on the back foot. Connor recalls Hiestand's knockout loss to Chad Anheliger as a template for how this fight could go.
Brady Hiestand is a strong wrestler with good control and a solid grappling base. He should be able to take Danaa Batgerel down and grind out a decision. Batgerel has power in his strikes but poor takedown defense and cardio. However, Batgerel has been training at Fight Ready and may have improved his wrestling defense. Hiestand may get clipped early but should recover and implement his game plan. Prediction: Hiestand by decision.
Paul also picks Batgerel, agreeing with Cody. He notes he will be adding money on Batgerel. He mentions the market is moving in Batgerel's direction, now minus 155. Paul had previously picked Hiestand as a dog in his last fights but sees this as a tough matchup for him.
The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel to win by KO in the first round. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's decent grappling but believes Batgerel's size and power will be too much. He thinks Hiestand's striking is not yet developed and that Batgerel can shut down takedowns for a round and then do damage on the feet. He expects a vicious first-round TKO finish.
Zane also picks Danaa Batgerel, agreeing that Hiestand is an unfinished product with poor striking and a tendency to gas. He notes that Batgerel is a hard puncher who will pressure Hiestand and put hands on him. Zane mentions that Hiestand's previous fights were against opponents who couldn't hurt him, but Batgerel can.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 56 of 82 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 9:14 |
| Fernie Garcia | 0 | 21 of 44 | 47% | 86 of 125 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
| Fernie Garcia | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 30 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 18 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Fernie Garcia | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 28 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 3 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 25 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Fernie Garcia | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 28 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand | 19 of 34 | 55% | 10 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Fernie Garcia | 21 of 44 | 47% | 13 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Hiestand | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Fernie Garcia | 6 of 11 | 54% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Brady Hiestand | 16 of 23 | 69% | 8 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Fernie Garcia | 14 of 30 | 46% | 9 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brady Hiestand | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Fernie Garcia | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Turcios | 1 | 100 of 171 | 58% | 201 of 281 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:32 |
| Brady Hiestand | 0 | 66 of 134 | 49% | 82 of 152 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 0 | 1 | 7:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Turcios | 0 | 35 of 55 | 63% | 72 of 98 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Brady Hiestand | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 35 of 56 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:14 | |
| 2 | Ricky Turcios | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 42 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0:45 |
| Brady Hiestand | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 16 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 | |
| 3 | Ricky Turcios | 1 | 50 of 83 | 60% | 87 of 123 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Brady Hiestand | 0 | 27 of 60 | 45% | 31 of 64 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Turcios | 100 of 171 | 58% | 83 of 150 | 14 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 67 of 131 | 22 of 27 | 11 of 13 |
| Brady Hiestand | 66 of 134 | 49% | 59 of 124 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 52 of 117 | 8 of 10 | 6 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Turcios | 35 of 55 | 63% | 26 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Brady Hiestand | 24 of 43 | 55% | 20 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Ricky Turcios | 15 of 33 | 45% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 7 |
| Brady Hiestand | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 28 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Ricky Turcios | 50 of 83 | 60% | 42 of 72 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 65 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Brady Hiestand | 27 of 60 | 45% | 24 of 57 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 55 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Turcios, citing his crazy style, pressure, and variety of strikes. He notes Hiestand is formulaic and will struggle with Turcios' unpredictability. He has Turcios in his DraftKings lineup at 8700 and likes the more more on monkey knife fight.
Cody leans toward Hiestand as a live underdog, impressed by his takedowns and knockout of Vince Murdock on TUF. He thinks Hiestand's wrestling could neutralize Turcios, but acknowledges Turcios' experience and scrambling ability. Cody is worried about Turcios' takedown defense and thinks Hiestand could control the fight. He calls Hiestand a prospect and says the plus-140 line is not terrible.
Jacob picks Turcios but is hesitant, noting Hiestand's good takedowns and Turcios' defensive movement issues. He worries if Hiestand gets a hold of Turcios, it could be one-sided. He relies on Turcios' movement and volume to win.
Lock picks Hiestand as an underdog, citing his wrestling-heavy approach and ability to implement a game plan. He thinks Hiestand's jiu-jitsu is good enough to avoid submissions from Turcios. Lock is concerned about Hiestand's striking and cardio but believes he can secure takedowns and win rounds. He likes Hiestand by decision at +300 and considers him a potential dog of the night.
Paul picks Hiestand as a dog, noting his quick takedown entries and potential. He thinks Turcios' veteran savvy will neutralize Hiestand's striking, but he likes the over 2.5 rounds as a parlay piece. Paul is not fully confident in Hiestand's hands but sees value at plus-140.
The Guru picks Ricky Turcios by TKO in the later rounds, expecting Hiestand to grapple early but fade due to cardio. He notes Turcios' experience against better competition and Hiestand's lack of finishing ability. The Guru predicts a third-round TKO as Turcios pours on pressure.
Garrett Armfield - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serhiy Sidey | 0 | 68 of 144 | 47% | 75 of 151 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0:47 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 71 of 142 | 50% | 77 of 148 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 4:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serhiy Sidey | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 23 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 2 | Serhiy Sidey | 0 | 39 of 86 | 45% | 40 of 87 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 43 of 92 | 46% | 44 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Serhiy Sidey | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:12 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 9 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serhiy Sidey | 68 of 144 | 47% | 40 of 106 | 22 of 31 | 6 of 7 | 60 of 131 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Garrett Armfield | 71 of 142 | 50% | 57 of 127 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 65 of 133 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serhiy Sidey | 20 of 41 | 48% | 8 of 27 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 24 of 40 | 60% | 20 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Serhiy Sidey | 39 of 86 | 45% | 28 of 68 | 9 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 37 of 84 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 43 of 92 | 46% | 34 of 83 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 89 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Serhiy Sidey | 9 of 17 | 52% | 4 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Garrett Armfield | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Serhiy Sidey but admits he doesn't love Garrett Armfield for illogical reasons. He notes Sidey is tall and long, can grapple, but is chinny and was dropped in his last fight. He thinks Armfield has power and volume, but questions his durability. He expects a close fight and likely won't bet on it, though he notes Armfield is a good dog if on his side.
Big Brady picks Garrett Armfield as a dog to win by close decision. He acknowledges Sidey's volume and pressure but favors Armfield's power advantage, noting that Sidey has been dropped before. Brady worries about Armfield's cardio but notes he has improved his strength and conditioning. He expects a striking battle that goes the distance, with Armfield's power being the difference.
Cody picks Garrett Armfield, citing his wrestling background, jab, and experience. He notes that Sidey has poor takedown defense and takes too many shots, while Armfield has shown good volume and power. He believes Armfield's wrestling will be the difference, and that Sidey's face will get busted up. He also mentions Armfield's plus money value.
Daniel Vreeland picks Serhiy Sidey, citing his height and reach advantage (5'11" vs 5'6") and improved maturity after training with top bantamweights. He believes Sidey can keep the fight at range and out-volume Armfield, who has a history of gassing late. Vreeland acknowledges Armfield's power and ability to hurt opponents, but thinks Sidey's length and smart fight IQ will secure a win, possibly by decision.
Sidey has the clear striking advantage, and as long as his defensive grappling improvements showcase, he should keep the fight in the striking realm, batter Armfield, and finish him in the second or third round.
Paul also picks Armfield but is hesitant due to a video showing Armfield injuring his arm in a side-by-side accident. He believes Armfield is the better striker and wrestler, but questions his health. He notes that if Armfield is healthy, he should win, but the injury concern gives him pause.
The Guru picks Serhiy Sidey over Garrett Armfield, noting Sidey's reach advantage and prospect status. He was unimpressed by Armfield's last performance against Brady Hiestand, where he was choked out. He expects a scrappy fight on the feet and believes Sidey's straight shots will be effective.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 42 of 76 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 3 | 0 | 5:36 |
| Garrett Armfield | 1 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 59 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 21 of 33 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:05 | |
| 2 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 17 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Garrett Armfield | 1 | 41 of 64 | 64% | 48 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 3 | Brady Hiestand | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand | 22 of 50 | 44% | 14 of 39 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 44 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 49 of 83 | 59% | 41 of 73 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 22 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Hiestand | 8 of 17 | 47% | 4 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 6 of 12 | 50% | 3 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brady Hiestand | 10 of 26 | 38% | 7 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 41 of 64 | 64% | 37 of 59 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 25 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 34 | |
| 3 | Brady Hiestand | 4 of 7 | 57% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Garrett, citing his busy striking, forward pressure, and good takedown defense. He expects the fight to look like Garrett's win over Brad Katona, where he outworks Brady on the feet and wins a decision. He notes Brady struggles with pressure and has not shown he can dominate wrestling or striking.
Cody picks Garrett Armfield, comparing him to last week's Ludovit Klein as a bettable favorite. He notes Armfield's improvement under Trey Ogden at Marathon MMA, his striking advantage, and his takedown defense. Cody believes Armfield can keep the fight standing and outbox Hiestand, who is one-dimensional and lacks activity. He expects a clear decision win for Armfield.
Daniel Vreeland has seen big improvements in Garrett Armfield's game, especially his head movement, boxing, and volume. He notes Armfield hurts everyone he fights with his right hand. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's durability and grinding style but believes if Armfield keeps it standing, he lands the better shots and possibly gets a knockout or wins a decision.
Jacob picks Garrett but expects a close fight. He notes Garrett's low stance and reaction to faints could be exploited by Brady's overhand right. He thinks Garrett's striking should be enough to win a decision, but Brady's relentless wrestling could make it competitive. He believes Garrett has high fight IQ and knows how to win rounds.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that he has backed Hiestand before and got lucky. He points out that Hiestand's takedowns don't lead to damage and judges are not rewarding control time anymore. Paul thinks Armfield can replicate his performance against Katona and win easily.
The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield by second-round TKO. He believes there is a massive boxing composure difference between the two, with Armfield being more composed and able to get back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Armfield's compact frame makes him hard to keep down, and that his win over Brad Katona has aged well. He expects Armfield to push forward and land punches on the feet for a TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 64 of 155 | 41% | 76 of 172 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 105 of 168 | 62% | 130 of 193 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Armfield | 0 | 20 of 48 | 41% | 23 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 31 of 51 | 60% | 31 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Garrett Armfield | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 27 of 71 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 41 of 66 | 62% | 41 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Garrett Armfield | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 26 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 58 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Armfield | 64 of 155 | 41% | 49 of 138 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 8 | 46 of 126 | 17 of 28 | 1 of 1 |
| Brad Katona | 105 of 168 | 62% | 74 of 131 | 21 of 27 | 10 of 10 | 99 of 162 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Armfield | 20 of 48 | 41% | 14 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 39 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 31 of 51 | 60% | 16 of 33 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 31 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Garrett Armfield | 25 of 66 | 37% | 20 of 60 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 20 of 58 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 41 of 66 | 62% | 28 of 50 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 41 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Garrett Armfield | 19 of 41 | 46% | 15 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 29 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Brad Katona | 33 of 51 | 64% | 30 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 45 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Katona, citing his footwork, volume, and cardio as advantages. He expects Katona to take over as Armfield slows down, predicting a 29-28 decision. He initially thought the odds were wide but talked himself into confidence, planning to place a bet.
Big Brady picks Katona, expecting him to fight smart and use wrestling. He notes Armfield has poor takedown defense and has lost by submission twice. He believes Katona's fight IQ and experience against better competition will lead to a decision win. He thinks Katona won't brawl like he did against Cody Gibson.
Cody picks Katona due to his well-rounded skills, technical boxing, and experience. He thinks Armfield lacks the grappling to stick with Katona and will break under pressure. He predicts a late stoppage or decision win for Katona.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Brad Katona but hopes he is wrong. He notes Katona's experience and ability to slow down younger fighters, but worries about his recent war with Cody Gibson and potential decline. Armfield has heavy hands and could knock Katona out, but Vreeland expects Katona to grind out a decision or get a submission.
This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Armfield vs Katona.
I'm taking Katona to win by decision. He has a huge experience advantage and higher fight IQ. He can blend his wrestling behind his striking to catch Armfield by surprise. I think Armfield will be surprised by the pace Katona sets. Katona will give Armfield different looks and outpoint him. However, Armfield has potential and could showcase he's ready for this level, but I'm still going with Katona.
Paul picks Katona, noting his intelligence and well-rounded game. He jokes about Katona's fake Irish accent but respects his skills. He thinks Katona will use takedowns and top control to win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Brad Katona, calling him underrated and noting his wins over undefeated fighters in Brave CF. He criticizes Garrett Armfield's level of competition and questions his consistency. He highlights Katona's toughness, kicks, and takedown ability. He predicts a submission win via rear-naked choke in round two.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 1 | 45 of 77 | 58% | 45 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Armfield | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 1 | 45 of 77 | 58% | 45 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Armfield | 15 of 31 | 48% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 45 of 77 | 58% | 36 of 67 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Armfield | 15 of 31 | 48% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 45 of 77 | 58% | 36 of 67 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 |
Angelo sees Armfield as more well-rounded but notes that he often fights to his opponent's style instead of imposing his own. He acknowledges Kazama's slick BJJ and chin issues, but leans toward Armfield due to his technical striking and takedown defense. He is not betting on this fight, just watching.
Big Brady notes that Garrett Armfield has struggled with wrestlers and grapplers in his losses, being submitted twice. He sees Toshiomi Kazama as a dangerous grappler who can take the fight to the mat and submit Armfield. He also mentions the long flight to Singapore as a potential disadvantage for Armfield. He forgives Kazama for his quick loss to Rinya Nakamura and believes this is a winnable fight for him.
Cody picks Armfield, citing his well-rounded skills and training at Kill Cliff FC. He notes Kazama's chinny history and one-dimensional grappling. Cody expects Armfield to improve after moving to his natural weight class and training with top partners.
Daniel picks Garrett Armfield, noting that he is faster, more accurate, and more technically sound. He mentions that Kazama has a terrible chin and is a one-trick pony with submissions. He is confident Armfield can keep the fight standing and win by striking. He bet 2 units at -147 and is confident in the pick, though he acknowledges the submission threat.
James picks Garrett Armfield as the better all-around MMA fighter. He believes Armfield is the superior striker and that Kazama's wrestling is not good enough to take Armfield down consistently. He notes Kazama's Jiu-Jitsu is a lower-percentage path from the bottom, and Armfield should be able to avoid submissions and win on the feet.
The host describes Kazama as a BJJ black belt with poor striking who relies on pulling guard and sweeps. He believes Armfield will use his wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing and utilize his speed and striking advantage to damage Kazama. The host expects Armfield to eventually get a knockout due to accumulative damage, noting that Kazama leaves many openings.
Paul picks Kazama as an underdog, citing the Asian fighter advantage in Singapore and jet lag concerns for Armfield. He notes Kazama's submission skills but acknowledges his poor chin. Paul is not confident but likes the value.
The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield over Toshiomi Kazama, trusting the American regional scene and Kill Cliff FC training over Kazama's Japanese scene. He notes Armfield's tough debut against David Onama but believes he is more well-rounded. He criticizes Kazama's KO loss to a 2-2 opponent and unimpressive Road to UFC win. He predicts Armfield's superior substance of competition will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Onama | 0 | 29 of 72 | 40% | 46 of 95 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 21 of 72 | 29% | 29 of 83 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Onama | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 34 of 66 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 12 of 48 | 25% | 20 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 2 | David Onama | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 12 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Onama | 29 of 72 | 40% | 16 of 55 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
| Garrett Armfield | 21 of 72 | 29% | 15 of 61 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Onama | 20 of 49 | 40% | 11 of 37 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 46 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Garrett Armfield | 12 of 48 | 25% | 10 of 44 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | David Onama | 9 of 23 | 39% | 5 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Garrett Armfield | 9 of 24 | 37% | 5 of 17 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 20 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Cody is very high on Onama, citing his dynamic striking, footwork, and finishing ability. He notes Onama already beat Armfield as an amateur and that Armfield is not UFC quality yet. He thinks Onama will win easily, possibly by finish.
The host takes a small 0.5 unit shot on Garrett Armfield at +572. He sees Armfield as a solid wrestler who could cause problems for Onama if he employs his grappling. He notes that Onama is great on the feet but if he can't get his power going due to being stuck under Armfield, the upset is possible. He also suggests that if betting Onama, the KO prop is better than the moneyline.
Paul thinks Onama is a great prospect and that the price, though high, is justified. He notes Armfield is taking the fight on short notice and is limited. He expects Onama to win, possibly by decision since Armfield has never been knocked out.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Garrett, citing his busy striking, forward pressure, and good takedown defense. He expects the fight to look like Garrett's win over Brad Katona, where he outworks Brady on the feet and wins a decision. He notes Brady struggles with pressure and has not shown he can dominate wrestling or striking.
Cody picks Garrett Armfield, comparing him to last week's Ludovit Klein as a bettable favorite. He notes Armfield's improvement under Trey Ogden at Marathon MMA, his striking advantage, and his takedown defense. Cody believes Armfield can keep the fight standing and outbox Hiestand, who is one-dimensional and lacks activity. He expects a clear decision win for Armfield.
Daniel Vreeland has seen big improvements in Garrett Armfield's game, especially his head movement, boxing, and volume. He notes Armfield hurts everyone he fights with his right hand. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's durability and grinding style but believes if Armfield keeps it standing, he lands the better shots and possibly gets a knockout or wins a decision.
Jacob picks Garrett but expects a close fight. He notes Garrett's low stance and reaction to faints could be exploited by Brady's overhand right. He thinks Garrett's striking should be enough to win a decision, but Brady's relentless wrestling could make it competitive. He believes Garrett has high fight IQ and knows how to win rounds.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that he has backed Hiestand before and got lucky. He points out that Hiestand's takedowns don't lead to damage and judges are not rewarding control time anymore. Paul thinks Armfield can replicate his performance against Katona and win easily.
The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield by second-round TKO. He believes there is a massive boxing composure difference between the two, with Armfield being more composed and able to get back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Armfield's compact frame makes him hard to keep down, and that his win over Brad Katona has aged well. He expects Armfield to push forward and land punches on the feet for a TKO.
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