UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 8"
Reach 70"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 29
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ivana Petrović
1.91 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
2.05 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
2.12 TD Avg
38.0% TD Acc.
61.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Liang Na
1.99 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
3.95 SApM
36.0% Str. Def.
3.6 TD Avg
58.0% TD Acc.
25.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Ivana Petrović - Fight History
LOSS vs Juliana Miller
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 03, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Juliana Miller 0 22 of 55 40% 54 of 101 3 of 9 33% 0 0 8:10
Ivana Petrović 0 25 of 53 47% 57 of 87 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Juliana Miller 0 4 of 12 33% 11 of 20 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:04
Ivana Petrović 0 7 of 12 58% 32 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:48
2 Juliana Miller 0 4 of 11 36% 24 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:33
Ivana Petrović 0 6 of 15 40% 8 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
3 Juliana Miller 0 14 of 32 43% 19 of 43 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:33
Ivana Petrović 0 12 of 26 46% 17 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Juliana Miller 22 of 55 40% 11 of 41 8 of 11 3 of 3 16 of 46 1 of 3 5 of 6
Ivana Petrović 25 of 53 47% 8 of 33 9 of 12 8 of 8 25 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Juliana Miller 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 9 1 of 3 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 7 of 12 58% 0 of 3 2 of 4 5 of 5 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Juliana Miller 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ivana Petrović 6 of 15 40% 2 of 11 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Juliana Miller 14 of 32 43% 5 of 21 6 of 8 3 of 3 10 of 27 0 of 0 4 of 5
Ivana Petrović 12 of 26 46% 6 of 19 5 of 6 1 of 1 12 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Angelo acknowledges both fighters are low-level and tough, but he expects Ivana Petrović to win because she is more well-rounded and has better grappling. He notes that Juliana Miller is inexperienced and fights on instinct, which often fails her. However, he strongly advises against betting on this fight because the odds are too wide and the outcome is unpredictable.

No bet; odds considered too wide at -275
"Ivana Petrovic is the pick. Zero dollars will be spent on this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 29, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Big Brady picks Ivana Petrović but is not confident, calling it a fight to stay away from. He notes Petrović has a significant striking advantage by default because Miller's striking defense is terrible (32%). However, he worries that both fighters accept bottom position and are submission over position, making the fight potentially messy. He expects a close competitive decision going to the judges, and he questions Miller's motivation after a long layoff and multiple surgeries.

Fight goes the distance
"I'll say Petravvic wins a a a close competitive decision here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Miller is coming off a poor performance but that was against Luana Santos, a different style opponent. She has since changed camps to Sik Jitsu and claims to be healthier than ever. I expect her to take Petrović down and grind out a decision win, surprising many.

"I think this could be one of those situations where we see her bounce back and surprise a lot of people grinding this fight out and winning it on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović because Juliana Miller is 'absolutely awful' and has no business in the UFC. He notes that while Petrović isn't great either, she is more technical, bigger, and stronger. He expects a 30-27 decision win for Petrović.

decision win
"I'm going to go with Ivana Petrovvic. I don't need to explain myself. Why is Juliana Miller still in the UFC?"
LOSS vs Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 29 of 70 41% 50 of 94 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:30
Ivana Petrović 0 25 of 75 33% 67 of 128 2 of 6 33% 0 2 7:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 3 of 8 37% 10 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:02
Ivana Petrović 0 1 of 9 11% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:23
2 Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 10 of 19 52% 21 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Ivana Petrović 0 9 of 25 36% 14 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:43
3 Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 16 of 43 37% 19 of 47 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:06
Ivana Petrović 0 15 of 41 36% 33 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 1 1:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamey-Lyn Horth 29 of 70 41% 17 of 52 11 of 17 1 of 1 21 of 58 8 of 12 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 25 of 75 33% 17 of 64 6 of 9 2 of 2 25 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamey-Lyn Horth 3 of 8 37% 1 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jamey-Lyn Horth 10 of 19 52% 5 of 14 4 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 9 of 25 36% 5 of 19 2 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jamey-Lyn Horth 16 of 43 37% 11 of 32 5 of 11 0 of 0 10 of 35 6 of 8 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 15 of 41 36% 11 of 36 4 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Ivana Petrovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Horth (-205), Petrovic (+170)

Round 1
In July 2019, the promotion last posted up at the Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, with a pay-per-view offering that put a featherweight belt on the line. At night’s end, Max Holloway defended his throne against Frankie Edgar, with the co-headliner seeing Cris Cyborg punish Felicia Spencer. Five and change years later, the UFC comes back to the same building, with a fight card that is far less stacked but still ram-packed with Canadian talent. The night opens with Canadian faithful getting a home country woman in Horth (6-1-1, 1-1 UFC) setting foot in the cage. She battles Norway’s Petrovic (7-1, 1-1 UFC), in a contest between who ladies who each sport a single decision win on their respective ledgers. Referee Blake Grice is on call for the first assignment of the night, and he checks the fight in as the flyweights touch gloves. Petrovic immediately gets behind her jab, and she flicks up a head kick. Horth swipes out with two right hands, but comes up short and is warned for outstretched fingers. Petrovic returns to the center of the cage, catching a body kick and looking for a counter. Petrovic walks square into an overhand right, and she does not like it. Rather than slugging it out, Petrovic meanders forward into a clinch, where she jams Horth up and presses her across the cage to the wall. Clapping and chants for “Let’s go Jamey” come down in support of the local lady, but she is unable to channel their energy to get out of the clinch. Petrovic continues grinding despite the warning for Grice to do something, and when she gets a little too aggressive with a level change, Petrovic is spun around. When Horth starts pressing, she is countered and dumped on her head with a head-and-arm throw. Horth tugs her toes on the fence in hopes of escaping bottom position, while Petrovic lords over her and smacks her occasionally with hammerfists and clubbing strikes. Horth pushes her foe off and fights back to her feet, and she gloms onto Petrovic to bop her in the noggin a few times. Horth threatens with her own trip takedown, and she succeeds in sneaking a hook around when taking the back. Horth snatches hold of a rear-naked choke without both hooks in, and the submission is on the face and Petrovic is standing up trying to wriggle her off the back. Horth loses her grip and falls to her back, where Petrovic sits on top elbowing her in the face. Petrovic stops Horth’s scrambles until the bell sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic

Round 2
The ladies clap hands to start the second stanza, and Petrovic shifts early to the middle of the cage and paws out a side kick. Petrovic reaches out with a left hook that is parried, and she smacks the front leg with a kick. Horth responds with a body kick, and Petrovic grabs it and chucks Horth to the ground like a side of Canadian bacon. When Petrovic assumes top position, Horth throws her legs up and sets up an armbar. Petrovic stacks her opponent up to keep the weight pressed down and safe herself from getting tapped, and Horth smacks her in the gut a few times with awkward hammerfists when the submission leverage dissipates. Petrovic walks from one side to the other, all while maintaining pressure, and she drops elbows down to further irritate the Canadian. Petrovic rests her knees on Horth’s forehead while keeping all the pressure she can muster on top of Horth. Petrovic finally slides her arm out of danger, standing up briefly to lower herself down. Horth scrambles at the right moment, and the ensuing movement results in a brief wardrobe malfunction for Petrovic, who looks to Grice for relief. Grice tells them to fight on, and she gets spun around and pushed to the wall. Horth breaks out of it and kicks her opponent in the ribs, and Petrovic does not make her pay for the naked kick. Petrovic sets up a left hand down the middle, and Horth retaliates with a flurry of punches that redden the Norwegian woman’s nose up. They trade straight strikes one after the other, seeing openings and lowering their defenses to throw more. Petrovic whips a kick to the side and then one up high, and they go after body strikes. Petrovic shoots for a takedown when Horth overswings, and Horth’s sprawl defends her from getting put on her back. Horth jumps for a guillotine, but time expires before anything comes of it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth

Round 3
One final glove touch is shared between the two, and fists are soon to fly after. Petrovic reintroduces herself with a salvo of punches, catching Horth unaware and outdoing her with volume. Horth strides forward intent on forcing a clinch, and she is soon spun around with her back pushed to the wire. As Petrovic imposes her will, Horth explodes out of the tie-up and starts throwing hands. Petrovic backs off, dodging one series of punches but eating the second. Petrovic lands, Horth gives her one back to think about, and Petrovic comes back at her. A Horth high kick glances off the shoulder, and she sets up another with a pair of punches. Petrovic spins with a back fist, and Horth sees it coming and clinches her. With her back against the wall, Petrovic tries to counter her foe with another head-and-arm throw, but Horth sees it coming and shifts. Petrovic tries for another on the other side, and Horth leans against the fencing to not go down. Horth uses a turning Petrovic to toss her to the ground, and she jumps onto Petrovic’s back to set up a submission. Petrovic lowers herself down and shimmies her way out of danger, where she gains top position as Horth closes her guard. Petrovic drops down hammerfists until Horth hits a quick sweep, putting Petrovic on her seat. Both women spring back to their feet and punches their way into a clinch. Horth walks her foe down and kicks her in the side, and Petrovic responds with one of her own. Horth bites down on her mouthpiece and starts slugging it out, and Petrovic retreats and tries to counter but is beaten to the punch a few times. Petrovic fails on a takedown and backs away just enough to dodge a head kick. Horth shoots for a single-leg takedown, and Petrovic turns her about to land on top. Petrovic drops down ground-and-pound until the final horn, and it could be a close one.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)

The Official Result
Jamey-Lyn Horth def. Ivana Petrovic via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth but with low confidence, calling the odds 'insane' as Horth is a 2-to-1 favorite after a year away and a loss. He notes Horth is big and strong, a solid striker with good fight IQ, but was dropped multiple times in her last fight. He thinks Ivana Petrović could win if she closes distance and shoots takedowns, but doubts she will because Horth may be too strong to drag down. He finds the odds baffling and won't bet.

"I'm going to pick Jamie but two to one is crazy crazy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth to win by decision. He highlights Horth's physical strength and ability to bully Petrović against the cage, stuff takedowns, and get on top. He thinks Horth is the better striker and that Petrović has little to offer on the feet. Brady believes Petrović needs takedowns to win but doubts she can get them.

"I like jimy ly hor here I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her kickboxing background, physicality, and durability. He notes that Petrović relies on takedowns and submissions, but Horth has good takedown defense and will be the stronger striker. He believes Horth's pressure and volume will overwhelm Petrović, and that Petrović's cardio is questionable.

"I like horth."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Daniel Vreeland picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physicality, technical striking, and higher-level experience. He acknowledges Ivana Petrović's improvements but notes she has been taken down in both UFC fights. Vreeland expects Horth's work rate and assertiveness to earn a decision, though he considers the -220 price too high for a confident bet and calls it a pass.

"I'll pick hor to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Horth's physicality and ability to put Petrović in bad spots and keep her there will allow her to grind this fight out and pick up a win by decision.

"I believe Horth's physicality and ability to put Petrović in bad spots and keep her there will allow her to grind this fight out and pick up a win by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Paul also picks Horth, noting that Petrović struggled in her last fight and has poor cardio. He believes Horth's tenacity and striking will be too much, and that Petrović will fade as the fight goes on. He expects Horth to win a decision or late stoppage.

"It's horse for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

The Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Ivana Petrović, reasoning that Horth's split decision loss to Veronica Hardy is more impressive than anything Petrović has done. He notes Horth's technical ability and questions Petrović's level of competition, calling her unproven.

"I'll go Jamie linor she went to a split with Veronica Hardy who's a very technical women's fighter... I rate that over anything Ivana Petrovic has done in her career"
WIN vs Liang Na
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 1:29 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ivana Petrović 0 36 of 73 49% 101 of 150 3 of 4 75% 1 1 5:37
Liang Na 0 24 of 52 46% 49 of 89 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ivana Petrović 0 4 of 10 40% 29 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:58
Liang Na 0 11 of 21 52% 28 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:15
2 Ivana Petrović 0 31 of 60 51% 67 of 105 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:25
Liang Na 0 12 of 28 42% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
3 Ivana Petrović 0 1 of 3 33% 5 of 7 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Liang Na 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ivana Petrović 36 of 73 49% 28 of 63 8 of 10 0 of 0 8 of 33 2 of 4 26 of 36
Liang Na 24 of 52 46% 8 of 34 10 of 11 6 of 7 23 of 48 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ivana Petrović 4 of 10 40% 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1
Liang Na 11 of 21 52% 4 of 13 5 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 18 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Ivana Petrović 31 of 60 51% 24 of 51 7 of 9 0 of 0 5 of 22 1 of 3 25 of 35
Liang Na 12 of 28 42% 4 of 19 5 of 5 3 of 4 12 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ivana Petrović 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Angelo is confident in Ivana Petrović because she is more durable and well-rounded than Liang Na. He notes Liang Na is a good wrestler who gets takedowns but then stops fighting, often getting finished shortly after. He expects Liang Na to look good early with takedowns but then fade and get swept or finished. He also mentions potential prop bets on the under if the round line is 2.5, and suggests PrizePicks plays on Liang Na's takedown numbers.

Under 2.5 rounds (if available); PrizePicks: Liang Na takedowns over/under
"the pick is going to have to be Ivana Petrovic pretty confident in that pick because she's more durable and she's more well-rounded and she doesn't just stop after getting a takedown"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Cody picks Petrović, citing her superior grappling and wrestling. He notes Na gasses quickly and has poor durability. He expects Petrović to win by submission or ground and pound, though he warns about her own cardio issues.

"I'm gonna go with my fellow countrywoman Ivana pedik"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Daniel thinks Na has poor cardio and fades after the first round, while Petrović has good cardio and decent grappling. He leans with the favorite, hoping Vegas is right, but has little interest in the fight.

"I'll lean with the favorite hopefully Vegas is right"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Liang Na

Liang Na is aggressive and does her best work when she can get opponents to the ground, where she can assert dominant position and open up finishing opportunities. Petrović has shown takedown defense issues, especially against a striker like Lana Carolina. I expect Liang Na to get the fight to the mat early and find a finish, possibly in the first round. The 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop is also a good look.

Liang Na inside the distance +500; fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to take Leong I think she wins this fight inside the distance I think maybe going Leong round one or petravic round two SL round three not a bad way of approaching this fight but I'm just taking …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Paul picks Petrović, noting Na's three-fight losing streak and tendency to gas. He thinks Petrović is the better all-around fighter and should win, but suggests live betting Na if she has early success.

"Petrovic is the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović, though he admits his reasoning is not very logical. He notes that Petrović is bigger, has more reach, and has a striking background. He criticizes Liang Na for being shorter, less physical, and consistently getting finished in women's MMA, which he sees as a sign of mistakes. He trusts Petrović's composure and ground game, predicting a submission in the later rounds.

submission in the later rounds
"I'm going to go with Lanna uh Ivana Petrovic and I like her ground game she's got reun naked choke she's got uh reversals on the ground so I'll go over her to win this fight by submission in the …"
LOSS vs Luana Carolina
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 22 of 62 35% 77 of 122 2 of 6 33% 2 1 4:11
Ivana Petrović 0 41 of 87 47% 112 of 167 1 of 3 33% 0 0 5:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 3 of 15 20% 18 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:22
Ivana Petrović 0 10 of 22 45% 31 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:08
2 Luana Carolina 0 13 of 32 40% 28 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:58
Ivana Petrović 0 16 of 38 42% 47 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:24
3 Luana Carolina 0 6 of 15 40% 31 of 40 1 of 3 33% 2 0 0:51
Ivana Petrović 0 15 of 27 55% 34 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 22 of 62 35% 15 of 51 5 of 8 2 of 3 16 of 50 4 of 10 2 of 2
Ivana Petrović 41 of 87 47% 18 of 60 11 of 15 12 of 12 27 of 66 7 of 8 7 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 3 of 15 20% 3 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 10 of 22 45% 3 of 14 0 of 1 7 of 7 6 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 9
2 Luana Carolina 13 of 32 40% 9 of 25 4 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 22 4 of 8 2 of 2
Ivana Petrović 16 of 38 42% 6 of 25 7 of 10 3 of 3 11 of 32 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 6 of 15 40% 3 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 15 of 27 55% 9 of 21 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 21 2 of 2 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Angelo picks Ivana Petrović, expecting her grappling to be the difference. He notes she should be able to take down Luana Carolina and either submit or grind out a decision. However, he finds the -200 odds too wide for a UFC debut with only six fights and advises against betting. He warns against the over 2.5 rounds as the fight could end either way.

"Ivana should be able to drag Luanna to the ground and either submit her or just grind out a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady picks Luana Carolina by decision, but is very reluctant. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has solid takedown defense, but notes she has been taken down and put in trouble before. Petrović has a good ground game and could finish if she gets on top. Brady calls it a terrible fight and advises not to bet on it.

"I'll take Carolina by decision oh that was gross oh gonna throw up I'm gonna take Carolina by decision don't bet on this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Cody likes Carolina as a plus-money underdog. He notes Petrović is very green (less than 2 years pro) and has been dropped in fights. Carolina has fought better competition and has a striking advantage. Cody thinks Carolina can keep the fight standing and win a decision, especially if she defends takedowns. He compares it to other recent underdog wins.

"I'm going with the CF dog model myself I thought exact same thing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel picks Luana Carolina as an underdog, citing her experience and takedown defense (2 of 15 allowed against Godinez). He notes Petrović is hittable and unproven at UFC level, and that debuts often disappoint. He sees a close kickboxing match where Carolina's volume and durability could edge her ahead. He is willing to take a shot at plus odds.

"I'm also go with uh Luana let's see what she can do with this opportunity"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul is considering Carolina as a dog. He notes Petrović's wrestling is her only path, but her stand-up is green and she was dropped by a short elbow. Carolina has good balance in the clinch and striking advantage. Paul thinks if Petrović can't get takedowns, Carolina wins. He is watching the market for a better price.

"I am considering uh a bet on Luanna Carolina who I think in the clinch is going to have some nasty elbows"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

The Guru picks Ivana Petrović, citing her undefeated record (6-0) and good cardio shown in a fourth-round submission win. He notes Luana Carolina's losses to Molly McCann and Joanne Calderwood, and while Carolina beat Lupita Godinez, she was much larger. He trusts the undefeated prospect but acknowledges women's MMA is unpredictable.

"I'm probably gonna go with Petrovic here over Luana Carolina... she's 6-0 undefeated"
Liang Na - Fight History
LOSS vs Ivana Petrović
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 1:29 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ivana Petrović 0 36 of 73 49% 101 of 150 3 of 4 75% 1 1 5:37
Liang Na 0 24 of 52 46% 49 of 89 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ivana Petrović 0 4 of 10 40% 29 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:58
Liang Na 0 11 of 21 52% 28 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:15
2 Ivana Petrović 0 31 of 60 51% 67 of 105 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:25
Liang Na 0 12 of 28 42% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
3 Ivana Petrović 0 1 of 3 33% 5 of 7 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Liang Na 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ivana Petrović 36 of 73 49% 28 of 63 8 of 10 0 of 0 8 of 33 2 of 4 26 of 36
Liang Na 24 of 52 46% 8 of 34 10 of 11 6 of 7 23 of 48 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ivana Petrović 4 of 10 40% 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1
Liang Na 11 of 21 52% 4 of 13 5 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 18 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Ivana Petrović 31 of 60 51% 24 of 51 7 of 9 0 of 0 5 of 22 1 of 3 25 of 35
Liang Na 12 of 28 42% 4 of 19 5 of 5 3 of 4 12 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ivana Petrović 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Angelo is confident in Ivana Petrović because she is more durable and well-rounded than Liang Na. He notes Liang Na is a good wrestler who gets takedowns but then stops fighting, often getting finished shortly after. He expects Liang Na to look good early with takedowns but then fade and get swept or finished. He also mentions potential prop bets on the under if the round line is 2.5, and suggests PrizePicks plays on Liang Na's takedown numbers.

Under 2.5 rounds (if available); PrizePicks: Liang Na takedowns over/under
"the pick is going to have to be Ivana Petrovic pretty confident in that pick because she's more durable and she's more well-rounded and she doesn't just stop after getting a takedown"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Cody picks Petrović, citing her superior grappling and wrestling. He notes Na gasses quickly and has poor durability. He expects Petrović to win by submission or ground and pound, though he warns about her own cardio issues.

"I'm gonna go with my fellow countrywoman Ivana pedik"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Daniel thinks Na has poor cardio and fades after the first round, while Petrović has good cardio and decent grappling. He leans with the favorite, hoping Vegas is right, but has little interest in the fight.

"I'll lean with the favorite hopefully Vegas is right"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Liang Na

Liang Na is aggressive and does her best work when she can get opponents to the ground, where she can assert dominant position and open up finishing opportunities. Petrović has shown takedown defense issues, especially against a striker like Lana Carolina. I expect Liang Na to get the fight to the mat early and find a finish, possibly in the first round. The 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop is also a good look.

Liang Na inside the distance +500; fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to take Leong I think she wins this fight inside the distance I think maybe going Leong round one or petravic round two SL round three not a bad way of approaching this fight but I'm just taking …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Paul picks Petrović, noting Na's three-fight losing streak and tendency to gas. He thinks Petrović is the better all-around fighter and should win, but suggests live betting Na if she has early success.

"Petrovic is the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović, though he admits his reasoning is not very logical. He notes that Petrović is bigger, has more reach, and has a striking background. He criticizes Liang Na for being shorter, less physical, and consistently getting finished in women's MMA, which he sees as a sign of mistakes. He trusts Petrović's composure and ground game, predicting a submission in the later rounds.

submission in the later rounds
"I'm going to go with Lanna uh Ivana Petrovic and I like her ground game she's got reun naked choke she's got uh reversals on the ground so I'll go over her to win this fight by submission in the …"
LOSS vs JJ Aldrich
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 41 26% 27 of 61 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:38
Liang Na 0 47 of 65 72% 68 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 1 5:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 28 25% 21 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:56
Liang Na 0 11 of 20 55% 18 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
2 JJ Aldrich 0 4 of 13 30% 6 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:42
Liang Na 0 36 of 45 80% 50 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 11 of 41 26% 7 of 30 3 of 8 1 of 3 9 of 36 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 47 of 65 72% 46 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 18 1 of 2 37 of 45
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 7 of 28 25% 6 of 21 1 of 5 0 of 2 5 of 23 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 11 of 20 55% 10 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 5
2 JJ Aldrich 4 of 13 30% 1 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 36 of 45 80% 36 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 34 of 40
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo states that JJ Aldrich is better everywhere but expresses frustration with her last performance against Ariane Lipski, which cost him a bet. He sarcastically considers betting on Liang out of spite but ultimately acknowledges Aldrich should win. He does not recommend betting on Aldrich due to the poor value and his personal distrust.

"JJ's gonna win this fight she's literally better everywhere but she's dead to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is a fan of Liang Na but acknowledges her flaws: she gasses out quickly, has poor durability, and quits when tired. He expects JJ Aldrich to weather an early storm and then take over as Liang fades. He predicts Aldrich will win by second-round knockout due to exhaustion, as Liang will be unable to continue.

second round knockout due to exhaustion
"I think JJ Aldrich wins by by second round knockout due to exhaustion"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, noting her experience and level of competition. He expects Liang to gas out after an early flurry, leading to a finish. Cody likes Aldrich inside the distance at minus 145.

Aldrich inside the distance -145
"this is a a good TKO spot for JJ Aldridge so I think she finishes inside the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich, stating that she should win easily against a lower-level opponent. He notes that Liang Na is not UFC caliber, with poor striking and chin. However, he refuses to lay the heavy price, calling it a pass. He is confident Aldrich wins but sees no betting value.

"I think JJ should should win this fight as the line in the case but you will not catch me dead laying no chalk on JJ Aldrich in a UFC fight period"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
JJ Aldrich

James is confident JJ Aldrich wins, citing her superior striking and Liang Na's lack of UFC-level success. He notes Liang Na has been finished by strikes in both UFC fights and has only one round of cardio. He predicts Aldrich will piece her up on the feet and likely get a finish, possibly in round three. However, he does not bet on the fight due to the short odds and Aldrich's lack of finishing history.

JJ Aldrich in round 3 mentioned as a sneaky prop; over 2.5 rounds at +160 mentioned but not bet
"I do think JJ Aldridge gets to finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host describes Liang Na as a 'die or get carried out' fighter who leaves herself open with wide looping shots and has poor takedown defense. JJ Aldrich is the far more technical striker and the host expects her to anticipate takedowns, counter effectively, and find a knockout. The host notes Aldrich hasn't finished in 7-8 years but believes this matchup is perfect for her to get a finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

under 2.5 rounds
"I expect her to stop the takedowns utilize her full work and her combinations to open up the Striking and eventually find that knockout over Liang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting Liang's poor UFC performances and one-dimensional style. He expects Aldrich to survive the early storm and win by decision or late finish. Paul is not interested in the price but sees Aldrich as a safe pick.

Aldrich by KO/TKO
"Aldrich though she's not an early finisher typically it's like this is the stylistic matchup for you to get the job done early"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Liang Na, calling it a no-brainer. He notes Aldrich's high-level experience in the UFC since 2016 with wins over known fighters like Julian Robertson and Courtney Casey. He dismisses Liang Na as simply not good, having lost to lower-level opponents. He emphasizes Aldrich's superior level of competition.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over naliang ... she's just a different level of women's fighter than Nal Yang is"
KO (punches) R1 1:22 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Silvana Gómez Juárez 0 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Liang Na 1 8 of 12 66% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Silvana Gómez Juárez 0 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Liang Na 1 8 of 12 66% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Silvana Gómez Juárez 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 8 of 12 66% 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Silvana Gómez Juárez 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 8 of 12 66% 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Liang Na

Angelo goes with his brain over his gut, picking Liang Na despite Juarez's power. He acknowledges Juarez's striking is deadly but her takedown defense is nonexistent, and Liang Na is a relentless wrestler. However, he notes Liang's record is padded and she has questionable toughness, making this a risky fight to bet on.

"i'm gonna go with the brain on this pick i i think nalian can probably get those takedowns and then win from there but don't bet on this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Liang Na

Big Brady picks Liang Na to submit Silvana Gómez Juárez in the first round. He highlights Liang Na's clear path to victory via takedown and submission, as Juárez has 16% takedown defense and has been submitted in both UFC losses. He notes that if the fight goes past the first round, Liang Na's poor cardio could lead to a knockout loss, but he expects an early finish.

submission in round 1, fight doesn't go to decision
"I think Liang Na goes out here and submits her early... I'm gonna take another dog here two in a row give me Liang Na to come out here and submit Juarez in that very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Liang Na

Cody picks Liang as an underdog, citing her grappling and armbar threat. He notes Gómez Juárez has been submitted quickly in the past and thinks Liang can take her down and submit her. He is not confident but sees value.

Liang by submission (armbar); over 1.5 rounds considered
"i'll take naliang as a pick... maybe maybe it gets to a decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Liang Na

Daniel Levi picks Liang Na but is not confident. He cannot get past the fact that Gómez Juárez has been finished in the first round twice in a row yet is favored. He thinks Liang has the grappling advantage and could get an early submission, but worries about her cardio and striking defense. He is not betting the fight.

"if I don't [ __ ] know I'll go with the dog Liang butts"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Liang Na

Liang Na is a grappler with submission skills, while Gómez Juárez is a 37-year-old boxer who lost her last two by armbar. Liang Na's path to victory is a submission, likely early. The matchup heavily favors the grappler, and the plus money is great value. I'll take Liang Na straight up and also like the submission prop.

Liang Na by submission (+215), Liang Na round 1 (+200)
"I'm on the liang side here I usually favor the grappler more often than not and I think that we're going to see it here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Liang Na

Paul also picks Liang, agreeing that her grappling and size advantage could be key. He notes Gómez Juárez's poor grappling defense and thinks Liang can get a takedown and submit her. He is not confident but takes the dog.

Liang by submission (armbar)
"dogger pass naliang... plus 130"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Liang Na

The MMA Guru picks Liang Na over Silvana Gómez Juárez, citing that Gómez Juárez is 37 and likely near the end of her career, with losses to Lupita Godinez and Vanessa Demopoulos. He notes that Liang Na is younger (25) and has a streak of armbar submissions, though against lower-level competition. He predicts Liang Na will win by armbar submission, as Gómez Juárez has lost by armbar twice in a row. He admits it's a difficult fight to pick due to limited information.

armbar submission
"i'm going to trust that she's going to get an arm bar here against sylvana gomez juarez in all honesty"
TKO (punches) R2 1:28 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane Carnelossi 0 19 of 27 70% 36 of 47 3 of 4 75% 1 2 2:48
Liang Na 0 24 of 32 75% 91 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 3 2:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane Carnelossi 0 13 of 19 68% 26 of 34 2 of 3 66% 1 2 2:25
Liang Na 0 16 of 20 80% 65 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 2 1:55
2 Ariane Carnelossi 0 6 of 8 75% 10 of 13 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Liang Na 0 8 of 12 66% 26 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane Carnelossi 19 of 27 70% 13 of 21 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 17 7 of 7 2 of 3
Liang Na 24 of 32 75% 23 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 11 5 of 5 13 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane Carnelossi 13 of 19 68% 9 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 11 5 of 5 2 of 3
Liang Na 16 of 20 80% 16 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 4 of 4 8 of 10
2 Ariane Carnelossi 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
Liang Na 8 of 12 66% 7 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ariane Carnelossi vs. Na Liang

Round 1
This historic night topped off by a title tripleheader will begin in the lightest division in the company, as Carnelossi (12-2, 0-1 UFC) aims for her first UFC win against the debuting “Dragon Girl” Liang (15-4, 0-0 UFC). Whether Liang holds 13 wins or 15 on her ledger may be of some dispute, but she does bring a 100 percent finish rate into this contest, and referee James Folsom may have his work cut out for him early. There is no touch of gloves as the two fighters would prefer introduce one another with their fists, and with a huge pop from the crowd – remember, we are in Jacksonville, Fla., with a packed house -- we are now underway! The two women come out like a house on fire, going berserk with a wild striking flurry. Both women tag the other, and Liang is the one who gets the advantage of the position as she powers through and bullies the Brazilian to her canvas. Liang steps over to secure an arm-triangle choke as she sits in half guard, and Carnelossi kicks off and reverses the position. Liang drags her back down, but “Sorriso” powers up to her feet and tags Liang with a right hand. “Dragon Girl” does not let her off the hook, charging into a takedown attempt as she furiously throws hands. The strikes do enough to keep Carnelossi busy defending, so that Liang can hit a body lock takedown and throw the Brazilian on the canvas again. Carnelossi keeps her guard closed tight, and Liang lifts her up and slams her down hard. Carnelossi opens up and throws her legs up for an armbar, and although she cannot land it, she is able to sweep Liang and put her on her back. Liang threatens with an armbar of her own, and Carnelossi shrugs it off to start raining down strikes from on top. Liang catches an arm when Carnelossi is hammering her with shots, and she locks up an armbar. Carnelossi muscles her way through to break the grip, and Liang is able to turn her over and put the Brazilian on her back. Carnelossi rolls to her knees as she grabs a leg on Liang, and through sheer force of will, she lifts Liang in the air and slams her down. Liang rolls to her knees and gets clubbed in the side of the head, and Carnelossi circles around to take her back. Carnelossi attempts a rear-naked choke, but Liang wildly scrambles and bursts to her feet. Liang does not stay upright for long, as she nails Carnelossi with punches from on top. Carnelossi snags a triangle choke from her back, and she uses it to mount and put Liang on her back. Carnelossi lands serious strikes from above, and she clubs Liang repeatedly until the bell sounds. Liang survives, but she is extremely fatigued just five minutes in.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi

Round 2
The pace is nowhere near as insane to start off the second frame, as Liang lands a few strikes from a distance. When Carnelossi counters, Liang flips her foot up and slaps Carnelossi in the face. Carnelossi grabs hold of her foe and looks to take the fight down, but Liang is able to put her down. Carnelossi keeps a hook in and is able to retain back control, and she takes the back and hunts for a choke. Liang twists and turns to break the grip, but she falls to her back as Carnelossi climbs into guard and starts with hammerfists.
Carnelossi keeps smashing her growingly exhausted adversary with a barrage of hammerfists, and before long, Folsom intervenes as Liang is no longer able to intelligently defend herself.
Although the stoppage might seem premature to some, the defeated Liang is gasping for air and completely thrashed after that torrid affair. If this performance is any indication, we will be in for quite a night.

The Official Result
Ariane Carnelossi def. Na Liang R2 1:28 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Big Brady picks Carnelossi to win by second-round KO. He notes Carnelossi's takedown defense is strong and she is aggressive, while Liang Na is one-dimensional, always going for takedowns and gassing out if she doesn't get a quick submission. He expects Carnelossi to stuff takedowns and eventually land a knockout after Liang Na tires.

Carnelossi by KO in round 2
"i'm going to take carnal lossy to stuff the takedowns... i see a carne lucy i'm going to say second round uh ko win for carlos"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Cody picks Carnelossi, noting her strength and experience against tougher competition. He thinks Liang's grappling attempts will be neutralized by Carnelossi's physicality. He expects Carnelossi to win by decision or TKO.

"i like her in this spot again i know what they're trying to do and i think zoo wrong does come through and i think that whaley zhang does retain but as far as nalian goes"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Daniel picks Ariane Carnelossi because she is a powerful striker who can bully Liang Na on the feet. He notes that Liang Na is a one-dimensional grappler who sells out for submissions, and Carnelossi's brown belt should help her avoid getting caught. He expects Carnelossi to keep the fight standing and possibly get a finish.

"i'm going to go with arianne carnolosi to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Liang Na

I'm picking Liang Na with very little confidence. I think she'll get her grappling game going and possibly pull off a submission in the second or third round. Carnelossi is a brawler like John Lineker, swinging bombs, but Liang has never been knocked out and has been improving at the UFC Performance Institute. Carnelossi's takedown defense and submission game are questionable, so Liang's grappling could be the difference.

Liang by submission +450
"i got liang with very little confidence i think she'll get her grappling game going and possibly pull off a submission in the second or third round here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Paul picks Carnelossi, citing her physical strength and power. He notes Liang's weak competition and struggles against stronger opponents. He thinks Carnelossi will keep the fight standing and use her strength to overpower Liang. He expects Carnelossi to win by KO or decision.

"i think ariana crossing is too physically strong she'll be able to keep the fight standing when the fight is start to stay standing she'll be able to just muscle her up and beat her up a little bit"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

The MMA Guru picks Ariane Carnelossi over Liang Na. He notes that Carnelossi has known about the matchup longer and is more proven, having kept up with Angela Hill before a cut stoppage. He thinks Liang Na is young and has potential but is taking the fight on short notice and has losses to lesser competition. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Carnelossi.

"i'm going to go with ariana canelosi here"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Angelo is confident in Ivana Petrović because she is more durable and well-rounded than Liang Na. He notes Liang Na is a good wrestler who gets takedowns but then stops fighting, often getting finished shortly after. He expects Liang Na to look good early with takedowns but then fade and get swept or finished. He also mentions potential prop bets on the under if the round line is 2.5, and suggests PrizePicks plays on Liang Na's takedown numbers.

Under 2.5 rounds (if available); PrizePicks: Liang Na takedowns over/under
"the pick is going to have to be Ivana Petrovic pretty confident in that pick because she's more durable and she's more well-rounded and she doesn't just stop after getting a takedown"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Cody picks Petrović, citing her superior grappling and wrestling. He notes Na gasses quickly and has poor durability. He expects Petrović to win by submission or ground and pound, though he warns about her own cardio issues.

"I'm gonna go with my fellow countrywoman Ivana pedik"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Daniel thinks Na has poor cardio and fades after the first round, while Petrović has good cardio and decent grappling. He leans with the favorite, hoping Vegas is right, but has little interest in the fight.

"I'll lean with the favorite hopefully Vegas is right"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Liang Na

Liang Na is aggressive and does her best work when she can get opponents to the ground, where she can assert dominant position and open up finishing opportunities. Petrović has shown takedown defense issues, especially against a striker like Lana Carolina. I expect Liang Na to get the fight to the mat early and find a finish, possibly in the first round. The 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop is also a good look.

Liang Na inside the distance +500; fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to take Leong I think she wins this fight inside the distance I think maybe going Leong round one or petravic round two SL round three not a bad way of approaching this fight but I'm just taking Leong straight up at uh uh her inside the distance …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Paul picks Petrović, noting Na's three-fight losing streak and tendency to gas. He thinks Petrović is the better all-around fighter and should win, but suggests live betting Na if she has early success.

"Petrovic is the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović, though he admits his reasoning is not very logical. He notes that Petrović is bigger, has more reach, and has a striking background. He criticizes Liang Na for being shorter, less physical, and consistently getting finished in women's MMA, which he sees as a sign of mistakes. He trusts Petrović's composure and ground game, predicting a submission in the later rounds.

submission in the later rounds
"I'm going to go with Lanna uh Ivana Petrovic and I like her ground game she's got reun naked choke she's got uh reversals on the ground so I'll go over her to win this fight by submission in the later rounds"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Liang off the mark quick to single leg takedown. Fails grapples against the fence. Singular strikes from both. Petrovic goes for the takedown. gets its. Scrambles. Belly down armbar attempt. Rd2 Liang initiates the grappling again. Petrovic stuffs get a takedown of her own. Side control. Petrovic is active from top. Working the gnp and trying different/advancing. Definitely her best ability. Rd3 Petrovic gets the weak single leg takedown. Half side arm / rear naked choke. Nice job .