Career Averages - Maheshate
Career Averages - Gabriel Benítez
Maheshate - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gauge Young | 0 | 66 of 150 | 44% | 79 of 166 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 112 of 200 | 56% | 131 of 221 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gauge Young | 0 | 18 of 44 | 40% | 21 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 31 of 53 | 58% | 34 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 | |
| 2 | Gauge Young | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 27 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 45 of 78 | 57% | 49 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 3 | Gauge Young | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 31 of 63 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 36 of 69 | 52% | 48 of 82 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gauge Young | 66 of 150 | 44% | 42 of 118 | 12 of 18 | 12 of 14 | 60 of 143 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 112 of 200 | 56% | 64 of 138 | 23 of 32 | 25 of 30 | 103 of 189 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gauge Young | 18 of 44 | 40% | 5 of 29 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 8 | 18 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 31 of 53 | 58% | 9 of 25 | 9 of 13 | 13 of 15 | 27 of 49 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gauge Young | 24 of 52 | 46% | 18 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 45 of 78 | 57% | 32 of 59 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 9 | 43 of 75 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Gauge Young | 24 of 54 | 44% | 19 of 44 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 20 of 50 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 36 of 69 | 52% | 23 of 54 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 65 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The top prelim bout at UFC Shanghai, for whatever that distinction is worth on an all-ESPN card, features Midwest lightweight veteran Young against the mononymous Tibetan Maheshate. Referee Herb Dean motions the fighters to go to work and they comply, setting up in matching orthodox stances. Young strikes first with a body kick. Maheshate stalks forward, landing a kick of his own, and snaps Young’s head back with a right cross. Dean cautions the native fighter not to extend his fingers. Maheshate tags Young with another long, straight right hand. Young is bleeding a bit from the brow. Maheshate comes up short with a pair of murderous-looking hooks, and Young nails him on the counter, dropping him to his seat, mostly off balance. Maheshate pops back to his feet and lands a jab. Young with a hard low kick. Dean pauses the action and warns both fighters to watch their fingers. A few seconds later, he stops them again and gives the same warning, but when they go back to work, the fingers are once again extended—especially Maheshate’s. Young changes levels for a nice double-leg, running Maheshate to the cage, where he uses the fence to stand. Maheshate tries a whizzer kick but can’t get Young down. They end up the round tangled against the fence.
10-9 Hayisaer.
Round 2
Maheshate lands the first solid strike of the round, a straight right as Young is coming forward. Young drops down for a takedown attempt, but Maheshate allows himself to be driven to the cage, which keeps him upright. They disengage. Young lands a nice low kick and eats a jab on the counter. Young with another leg kick. Young is doing a solid job getting into range on the faster and much taller fighter. Young snaps back the head of Maheshate with a double jab, takes one in return and then comes back with another. Maheshate steps forward and Young grabs a double collar tie, punishing him with a knee up the middle. Young seems to be building momentum, landing more and better shots than his foe, but with 90 seconds to go in the round, Maheshate plants his feet and lands a solid right. Young shakes it off, comes in behind punches and changes levels for a takedown. He hauls his man down, moves to mount and takes his foe’s back with 10 seconds to go. Maheshate shakes him over the top and gets back to his feet at the horn.
10-9 Young.
Round 3
Young catches Maheshate with a low kick, slips a level elbow inside and then meets a level change head-on and comes out on top in the ensuing scramble. They disengage by mutual assent and go back to work on the feet. Young is suddenly the sharper striker, backing up the taller man and landing accurate punches. Young walks Maheshate into the fence, where he holds him up with an underhook and throws short punches and knees to the body. Maheshate shucks him off, lands a grazing knee and they break up, meeting back in the center of the cage. Half the round is down and the lightweights are exchanging single strikes in the middle of the Octagon. Maheshate runs Young to the fence with a double-leg, switches to a single, but can’t finish the takedown and they come off the fence. Maheshate slips a pair of punches and comes back with a hard right hand. Young clinches, they go careening into the fence and Maheshate tries a hip throw from an overhook. It goes nowhere, and the final horn sounds.
10-9 Young (29-28 Young).
The Official Result
Gauge Young def. Maheshate Hayisaer via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo gives a slight lean to Maheshate, calling him a fun striker who can hang in a firefight and mix in traditional martial arts techniques. He notes that Gauge Young is a well-rounded prospect but hasn't shown success at the UFC level. He admits this is not a confident pick and that he despises tracking picks equally because of low-confidence picks like this.
Big Brady picks Gauge Young to win by decision, though he admits he is not a fan of either fighter. He criticizes Maheshate's low striking accuracy and poor chin, and notes that Young has better volume and durability. He expects a close fight on the feet and believes Young will do enough to win a decision.
The host acknowledges a lot of money has come in on Maheshate, but still believes Young is the superior striker. He thinks Young's durability will help him eat big shots from Maheshate and eventually get to his own volume striking style, leading to a knockout.
The MMA Guru picks Gauge Young, noting that Young looked good on the Contender Series and had a competitive fight with Evan Elder. He admits he doesn't remember much about Maheshate, who has a 50/50 record in the UFC and hasn't beaten anyone good. He believes Young's ability to build as fights go on will be an advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Motta | 0 | 56 of 169 | 33% | 60 of 173 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maheshate | 2 | 78 of 166 | 46% | 87 of 183 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikolas Motta | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maheshate | 1 | 25 of 63 | 39% | 32 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Nikolas Motta | 0 | 24 of 66 | 36% | 24 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 25 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Nikolas Motta | 0 | 16 of 59 | 27% | 20 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maheshate | 1 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 30 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Motta | 56 of 169 | 33% | 29 of 133 | 9 of 13 | 18 of 23 | 53 of 160 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 78 of 166 | 46% | 61 of 144 | 7 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 67 of 147 | 2 of 7 | 9 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikolas Motta | 16 of 44 | 36% | 7 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 25 of 63 | 39% | 18 of 52 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 24 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nikolas Motta | 24 of 66 | 36% | 11 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 12 | 24 of 62 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 25 of 54 | 46% | 19 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 50 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nikolas Motta | 16 of 59 | 27% | 11 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 15 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 28 of 49 | 57% | 24 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 |
Angelo picks Nikolas Motta as an underdog, citing Maheshate's sloppiness and hittability. He believes Motta is faster, more accurate, and a better striker. He notes both are chinny but Motta's technical edge should prevail. He will sprinkle if the line widens to +200 or +250.
Big Brady picks Maheshate to win by second-round knockout. He notes Maheshate is seven years younger, has a height and reach advantage, and is the more active striker. He highlights that Nikolas Motta has been finished in all five of his losses, including four by knockout, while Maheshate has only one knockout loss. Brady believes both have knockout power but Maheshate has better durability.
Cody picks Maheshate, citing his power and youth. He notes that Motta has been knocked out multiple times and fades in later rounds. Maheshate's durability and improving cardio should allow him to win by knockout or decision. He expects a violent finish in Maheshate's favor.
Daniel Vreeland acknowledges Motta's devastating knockout power, noting 10 of his 14 wins are by KO. However, he believes Maheshate has more tools on the feet and can win a decision if he avoids getting knocked out. He leans towards Maheshate due to his youth, size, and more diverse striking, but admits Motta always has a puncher's chance.
Paul picks Maheshate but is hesitant, noting that both have power and can finish. He thinks Motta has more power but less heart, and Maheshate's volume and durability will be key. He suggests a live bet on Motta by KO early, but expects Maheshate to win if it goes past the first round.
The MMA Guru initially considered Maheshate due to his size and reach, but changed his mind after noting Maheshate's split decision win over Gabriel Benitez, which he views as unimpressive. He believes Motta won't get knocked out early and will warm into the fight, ultimately picking Motta to start the card. However, he acknowledges Maheshate's knockout of Steve Garcia, showing hesitation.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maheshate | 0 | 121 of 295 | 41% | 121 of 296 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 97 of 312 | 31% | 97 of 312 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maheshate | 0 | 23 of 69 | 33% | 23 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 21 of 66 | 31% | 21 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Maheshate | 0 | 51 of 104 | 49% | 51 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 43 of 116 | 37% | 43 of 116 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Maheshate | 0 | 47 of 122 | 38% | 47 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 33 of 130 | 25% | 33 of 130 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maheshate | 121 of 295 | 41% | 81 of 247 | 13 of 21 | 27 of 27 | 120 of 291 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 97 of 312 | 31% | 67 of 261 | 26 of 47 | 4 of 4 | 93 of 304 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maheshate | 23 of 69 | 33% | 9 of 51 | 4 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 23 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 21 of 66 | 31% | 13 of 49 | 6 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maheshate | 51 of 104 | 49% | 35 of 87 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 13 | 51 of 103 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 43 of 116 | 37% | 29 of 100 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 42 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maheshate | 47 of 122 | 38% | 37 of 109 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 46 of 119 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 33 of 130 | 25% | 25 of 112 | 8 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 123 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maheshate but with very low confidence, calling it 'the tiniest sliver of confidence.' He notes Maheshate is young (24), faster, and stronger, but makes young mistakes and lets opponents dictate the pace. The pick is driven largely by recency bias, as Gabriel Benítez looked poor in his last fight after a layoff. Angelo acknowledges Benítez is a good underdog value because he may have shaken off ring rust.
Cody picks Benítez as a dog, citing his technical striking and volume. He notes Maheshate is low-volume and relies on one-punch power. He believes Benítez's experience and durability (if chin holds) will allow him to outwork Maheshate.
Daniel believes Maheshate belongs at UFC level, while Benítez is a gatekeeper who loses to fighters who belong. He notes Maheshate's right-side strikes (hand, high kick, knee) will be key against the southpaw Benítez. He predicts a knockout from the right side, possibly a right hand or high kick.
Maheshate has a 4-inch height advantage and similar reach, and his ability to establish range with footwork and straight shots down the middle will cause Benítez trouble. He has aligned himself with Fight Ready MMA, which has solid striking coaches. I expect Maheshate to counter Benítez effectively and line up a knockout shot, putting him back into winning ways.
Paul also picks Benítez, noting his high volume and takedown defense. He thinks Maheshate's low output plays into Benítez's hands, and that Benítez can win by decision if he avoids Maheshate's power. He acknowledges Benítez's chin issues but believes his volume will carry him.
The MMA Guru picks Maheshate to win by TKO in the third round. He notes that Maheshate has shown composure and a willingness to do whatever it takes to win, including eye pokes and takedowns when being outstruck. He criticizes Gabriel Benítez for falling apart in fights and lacking finishing ability, as seen in his failure to put away Billy Quarantillo. The Guru believes Maheshate is hungrier and more technical on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 0 | 32 of 109 | 29% | 33 of 110 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maheshate | 3 | 85 of 148 | 57% | 85 of 148 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viacheslav Borshchev | 0 | 22 of 70 | 31% | 23 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maheshate | 1 | 57 of 100 | 57% | 57 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Viacheslav Borshchev | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 10 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maheshate | 2 | 28 of 48 | 58% | 28 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 32 of 109 | 29% | 26 of 100 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 29 of 99 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 85 of 148 | 57% | 40 of 99 | 17 of 19 | 28 of 30 | 69 of 118 | 11 of 18 | 5 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viacheslav Borshchev | 22 of 70 | 31% | 17 of 63 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 67 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 57 of 100 | 57% | 23 of 64 | 11 of 12 | 23 of 24 | 49 of 81 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 7 | |
| 2 | Viacheslav Borshchev | 10 of 39 | 25% | 9 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 32 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 28 of 48 | 58% | 17 of 35 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 5 |
Angelo picks Borshchev because in a striking match he should win easily, but he is concerned about Borshchev's poor takedown defense (31%) and the possibility that Maheshate could wrestle. He notes Borshchev is tough and never stops working, but is waiting for props before betting.
Big Brady picks Viacheslav Borshchev to knock out Maheshate in the first round. He is happy the UFC is giving Borshchev a striker, as his takedown defense is terrible but he is a beautiful striker with power. He expects Maheshate to stand and trade, which favors Borshchev. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody argues that Borshchev's takedown defense is poor, but Maheshate has never attempted a takedown in the UFC. He expects a striking match where Borshchev's volume and power will prevail. He notes Borshchev's ability to get up from takedowns and finish opponents.
Connor picks Maheshate because he believes Borshchev is more hurtable and can be caught with a big counter hook or knee. He notes that Maheshate is bigger, more well-rounded, and has never been knocked out. Connor also mentions the possibility of Maheshate out-grappling Borshchev, who is bad on the ground. He admits part of his pick is to avoid being trolled by a Twitter account claiming to be Maheshate.
Daniel Levi picks Viacheslav Borshchev, assuming the fight stays standing. He notes Borshchev has a clear striking advantage and is the more experienced kickboxer, while Maheshate has attempted zero takedowns in his UFC/Contender Series appearances. Levi acknowledges Borshchev's poor takedown defense but thinks Maheshate won't exploit it. He sees this as a striking match and favors Borshchev's cleaner technique.
The host picks Viacheslav Borshchev, expecting a striking battle where Borshchev's cleaner technique and body work will be key. He thinks Borshchev will slow Maheshate with body kicks and punches, then find a knockout. He likes the under and predicts a TKO victory.
Paul is intrigued by Maheshate's power and durability, and notes that Borshchev's takedown defense is a liability. He thinks Maheshate could land a knockout if Borshchev stands with him. He takes the underdog for value.
The MMA Guru picks Borshchev, believing he is better on the feet and that Maheshate won't be able to dominate him on the ground. He notes Borshchev has been working on his grappling and had moments against Mike Davis. He expects a stand-up fight and predicts Borshchev will finish via late-round TKO to the body. He is not impressed by Maheshate's win over Steve Garcia.
Zane picks Borshchev primarily for his aggression and body punching. He notes that Borshchev is more hittable and easier to get to, but his liver hunting could be a key factor against Maheshate, who has never been knocked out but may not withstand a clean shot to the liver. Zane sees this as a very 50/50 fight and is hesitant, but leans toward Borshchev's offensive pressure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa García | 0 | 49 of 98 | 50% | 79 of 138 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 6:10 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 25 of 141 | 17% | 30 of 148 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa García | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 11 of 62 | 17% | 11 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafa García | 0 | 13 of 36 | 36% | 27 of 54 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 8 of 52 | 15% | 8 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rafa García | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 36 of 53 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Maheshate | 0 | 6 of 27 | 22% | 11 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa García | 49 of 98 | 50% | 29 of 70 | 11 of 17 | 9 of 11 | 28 of 64 | 11 of 13 | 10 of 21 |
| Maheshate | 25 of 141 | 17% | 16 of 110 | 8 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 23 of 138 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa García | 16 of 29 | 55% | 8 of 17 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 15 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maheshate | 11 of 62 | 17% | 7 of 47 | 3 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rafa García | 13 of 36 | 36% | 8 of 28 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 20 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 10 |
| Maheshate | 8 of 52 | 15% | 5 of 42 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafa García | 20 of 33 | 60% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 11 |
| Maheshate | 6 of 27 | 22% | 4 of 21 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Rafa García, noting that Maheshate gets taken down easily and Rafa has 18 takedowns in his last four fights. He likes Rafa's chin and offensive grappling to get the job done. He mentions the line has flipped from Maheshate being favorite to near even money, and he has already placed a moneyline bet on Rafa for premium members.
Big Brady picks Rafa García but is very hesitant due to lack of information on Maheshate. He notes García's path to victory is takedowns, but his top control is poor and he has cardio issues. Maheshate has a size advantage and may have improved takedown defense. Brady says it's a tough fight to call and he's staying away from betting, but leans García by decision.
Cody picks Garcia, noting his grinding style and cardio improvements. He thinks Garcia will take Maheshate down and grind him out. He notes Maheshate is a slow starter and Garcia has a good chin. He expects a decision win for Garcia.
Connor picks Garcia, noting he is the well-rounded fighter and should win if he wrestles. He thinks Garcia is tough and can out-wrestle Maheshate, whose defensive wrestling is questionable. He acknowledges Garcia can lose random fights but expects him to win.
Paul picks Maheshate as an underdog, noting his size and striking skills. He is concerned about Garcia's takedowns but thinks Maheshate can land a big shot. He sees value at plus money and is willing to take a shot. He makes it a Shoei bet with Cody.
The MMA Guru picks Rafa García over Hayisaer Maheshate, going against the majority. He notes García's close fight with Jai Herbert and his submission win over Genesis Ronson. He questions Maheshate's competition and KO rate, pointing out that Maheshate took a decision against a 10-15 opponent. He expects García to pressure with a good chin and mix in grappling, potentially getting a late submission or decision win. He also mentions that Maheshate lost to a grappler in M1.
Zane picks Maheshate as a random chance pick, partly to avoid being mocked by a Twitter account he thinks might be Maheshate. He admits Garcia should win but thinks Maheshate could knock him out early. He notes Maheshate has good timing and hand speed.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maheshate | 2 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Steve Garcia | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maheshate | 2 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Steve Garcia | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maheshate | 7 of 10 | 70% | 6 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steve Garcia | 7 of 19 | 36% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maheshate | 7 of 10 | 70% | 6 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steve Garcia | 7 of 19 | 36% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Garcia (-180), Hayisaer (+155)
Round 1
Two victors from seasons of Dana White’s Contender Series collide for this lightweight matchup, when “Mean Machine” Garcia (12-4, 1-1 UFC) welcomes Maheshate (8-1, 0-0 UFC) to the UFC. The youngster Maheshate holds eight wins on his ledger, not six as other sources may list, due to a pair of 2019 victories discovered when Fight Finder staff members deciphered a typo in the promotion itself misspelling his name. Referee Marc Goddard will be on top of the action in this 155-pound affair, and there is a no glove touch from the two competitors to seal the cage around them. Maheshate throws out a front kick, and Garcia leaps back as Maheshate bears down on him. They both trade ferocious leather, and Garcia hurts Maheshate with a right hand. The Chinese competitor replies with a power punch that knocks Garcia down, and Garcia is able to get his wits about him and jam Maheshate into the wall and score several short right hands. Garcia cannot keep his foe pressed to the wall, and Maheshate jumps back.
Maheshate retreats as “Mean Machine” crashes towards him recklessly, and Garcia wings a left hand that comes up short. In response, Maheshate counters with a short but brutal right hand that lands right on the button and completely disables Garcia. The American falls face-first to the mat, totally unconscious.
Maheshate knows his work here is done, and looks down but does not strike as Goddard reaches him to pull him away. Maheshate celebrates with his team after his outstanding UFC debut, as he becomes the first fighter to knock out the UFC and Bellator vet Garcia.
The Official Result
Maheshate Hayisaer def. Steve Garcia R1 1:14 via KO (Punch)
Angelo is confident in Steve Garcia, citing his grappling advantage and experience. He notes Maheshate is young and inexperienced, and Garcia has a clear path to victory by pressuring and using takedowns. He thinks the odds are close but the fighters are worlds apart in grappling and experience.
Big Brady picks Steve Garcia to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Maheshate has poor takedown defense and get-up game, while Garcia is the better striker and wrestler. He expects Garcia to take Maheshate down and finish him with ground and pound, though he acknowledges Garcia's chin is a concern after being dropped multiple times by Charlie Ontiveros.
Cody picks Maheshate as an underdog, believing he is the wrong fighter favorite. He notes Maheshate's youth, durability, and power, and thinks Garcia's wrestling is overrated. He made a bet on Maheshate at +135 and is willing to do a prop bet with Paul.
Daniel Levi confidently picks Steve Garcia, believing Maheshate does not belong in the UFC yet. He notes Garcia's experience against better competition, including a win over Ronnie Lawrence. He acknowledges Garcia's vulnerability to getting hurt but thinks Garcia's wrestling and volume will be too much. He is only concerned about jet lag and judges favoring the Asian fighter.
Garcia has the grappling edge and can take the fight to the ground if needed. He has UFC experience and has fought tougher competition. Maheshate is young and unproven, with wins over low-level opponents. Garcia should be able to grind out a win or find a finish. I'll be on Garcia side but no bet.
Paul picks Garcia, citing his wrestling and top pressure. He thinks Garcia can take Maheshate down and grind out a decision. He acknowledges Garcia's shaky performance against Charlie Ontiveros but believes his grappling will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Steve Garcia to win by late second or third round TKO via ground and pound. He criticizes Maheshate's competition level and suggests he was given a UFC contract for marketability. He notes Garcia's experience (fighting since 2012) and better opposition, including fights with Ricky Turcios and Louis Pena. He believes Garcia's pace and pressure will break Maheshate, who is too young and inexperienced. He also doubts Maheshate's ability to knock Garcia out.
Gabriel Benítez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maheshate | 0 | 121 of 295 | 41% | 121 of 296 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 97 of 312 | 31% | 97 of 312 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maheshate | 0 | 23 of 69 | 33% | 23 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 21 of 66 | 31% | 21 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Maheshate | 0 | 51 of 104 | 49% | 51 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 43 of 116 | 37% | 43 of 116 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Maheshate | 0 | 47 of 122 | 38% | 47 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 33 of 130 | 25% | 33 of 130 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maheshate | 121 of 295 | 41% | 81 of 247 | 13 of 21 | 27 of 27 | 120 of 291 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 97 of 312 | 31% | 67 of 261 | 26 of 47 | 4 of 4 | 93 of 304 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maheshate | 23 of 69 | 33% | 9 of 51 | 4 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 23 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 21 of 66 | 31% | 13 of 49 | 6 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maheshate | 51 of 104 | 49% | 35 of 87 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 13 | 51 of 103 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 43 of 116 | 37% | 29 of 100 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 42 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maheshate | 47 of 122 | 38% | 37 of 109 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 46 of 119 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 33 of 130 | 25% | 25 of 112 | 8 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 123 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maheshate but with very low confidence, calling it 'the tiniest sliver of confidence.' He notes Maheshate is young (24), faster, and stronger, but makes young mistakes and lets opponents dictate the pace. The pick is driven largely by recency bias, as Gabriel Benítez looked poor in his last fight after a layoff. Angelo acknowledges Benítez is a good underdog value because he may have shaken off ring rust.
Cody picks Benítez as a dog, citing his technical striking and volume. He notes Maheshate is low-volume and relies on one-punch power. He believes Benítez's experience and durability (if chin holds) will allow him to outwork Maheshate.
Daniel believes Maheshate belongs at UFC level, while Benítez is a gatekeeper who loses to fighters who belong. He notes Maheshate's right-side strikes (hand, high kick, knee) will be key against the southpaw Benítez. He predicts a knockout from the right side, possibly a right hand or high kick.
Maheshate has a 4-inch height advantage and similar reach, and his ability to establish range with footwork and straight shots down the middle will cause Benítez trouble. He has aligned himself with Fight Ready MMA, which has solid striking coaches. I expect Maheshate to counter Benítez effectively and line up a knockout shot, putting him back into winning ways.
Paul also picks Benítez, noting his high volume and takedown defense. He thinks Maheshate's low output plays into Benítez's hands, and that Benítez can win by decision if he avoids Maheshate's power. He acknowledges Benítez's chin issues but believes his volume will carry him.
The MMA Guru picks Maheshate to win by TKO in the third round. He notes that Maheshate has shown composure and a willingness to do whatever it takes to win, including eye pokes and takedowns when being outstruck. He criticizes Gabriel Benítez for falling apart in fights and lacking finishing ability, as seen in his failure to put away Billy Quarantillo. The Guru believes Maheshate is hungrier and more technical on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Miller | 0 | 80 of 140 | 57% | 96 of 157 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:55 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 80 of 182 | 43% | 84 of 188 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Miller | 0 | 32 of 64 | 50% | 33 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 32 of 77 | 41% | 32 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Jim Miller | 0 | 28 of 38 | 73% | 42 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 26 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jim Miller | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 21 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 26 of 57 | 45% | 26 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Miller | 80 of 140 | 57% | 50 of 108 | 10 of 12 | 20 of 20 | 67 of 125 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 8 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 80 of 182 | 43% | 51 of 145 | 13 of 21 | 16 of 16 | 79 of 181 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Miller | 32 of 64 | 50% | 17 of 47 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 10 | 30 of 60 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 32 of 77 | 41% | 18 of 56 | 7 of 14 | 7 of 7 | 31 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jim Miller | 28 of 38 | 73% | 19 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 7 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 22 of 48 | 45% | 17 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jim Miller | 20 of 38 | 52% | 14 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 26 of 57 | 45% | 16 of 47 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 26 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Miller (-120), Benitez (+100)
Round 1
It’s Miller (36-17, 1 NC; 25-16, 1 NC UFC) time. The storied veteran takes on Benitez (23-10, 7-6 UFC) and already has his next date on the calendar circled: April 13. Before then, he has to get past the fiery “Moggly,” who should not just serve as a heavy bag. The co-main event will be covered by referee Dan Miragliotta. The lightweights have all the respect in the world for one another, they touch ‘em up before engaging, and there’s a bad moon on the rise. Miller parries a jab and takes a one-two on the chin, and he walks Benitez down. Benitez tries to back him off with a front kick, and he scores a low kick. Miller gives him one back immediately, and he scores three punches up top and a left to the body. Miller scores a low kick, and he aims a right to the body. Miller walks his foe down and unloads with punches, and Benitez is marked up already and defends with a knee. They trade leg kicks, with Miller throwing harder. Miller chops down the lead leg of his opponent, and Benitez drives a one-two down the pipe. Benitez gets off another one-two, and Miller pushes a front kick out of the way to make Benitez slip. Benitez jumps back up, and he swings heavy punches including a left hand that marks up Miller’s right eye. They connect with right hands at the same time, and Miller blitzes forward to back Benitez off. Miller blasts the body with two loud knees, and Benitez escapes on the outside and gets back to striking range. Miller follows him and swings, and he gets clipped with a left hand. Benitez scores a low kick, Miller fires it back and walks through a jab. Miller plods ahead with punches and an inside leg kick, and he gets one off on the other side. Benitez sticks out a few jabs, and Miller crowds him but does not land flush in an exchange. Miller keeps coming forward, getting off a left hand and a knee up the middle. Benitez ties him up, and Miller aims a body shot before the two split up. Benitez goes to the body, and Miller goes up top. Benitez flicks out a few jabs and gets backed off with a hefty low kick, and he reaches Miller with a long left. Miller loads up on a high kick, and Benitez springs into action with several punches and a body kick. Benitez tags his foe with a left hand, and Miller blinks it out and keeps his guard up to defend another one-two that soars at him at high speed. Miller leaps ahead with a right hook, and he gets met on the way in with a left hand and a low kick. Benitez gets off several jabs and a left hook follows the fourth, and Miller is on him with his own combination to end the spirited round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Round 2
The lightweights touch ‘em up to get started, and fists meet faces shortly thereafter. Benitez wades through a few punches and then backs off, but Miller is right on him and nails him with two leg kicks. Benitez connects with a clean left hand to shake Miller up, and he eats a few punches as Miller is right on him. Miller blasts him with a left hand, lands another, drives up a knee and pounds Benitez with another short left. Miller slashes out an elbow, and Benitez is no worse for wear as he backs away. Miller keeps the high pace and whips down low kicks that have welted up the Mexican’s legs. Benitez looks to get his jab going frequently, and the low kicks from Miller make Benitez lift his leg up preemptively to block them. They land powerful punches, and Miller strides forward confidently to nail Benitez with an elbow. Miller changes things up and hits an easy takedown, and Benitez turns to one side in an effort to set up an armbar. Miller sees it coming and shuts it down, and he stacks Benitez up and works the body. Miller continues to strike, and Benitez moves his legs up to set up a high guard to for a potential submission setup. Miller breaks out of it by connecting with two nasty elbows, and Benitez rolls frantically to grab hold of Miller’s arm and lock down an armbar. Miller moves the proper way through it and gets out of danger, and he again holds himself on top of Benitez and hammers him with standing-to-ground punches. As Benitez turns after absorbing a particularly heavy blow, Miller takes his back and secures a body triangle. Benitez hand-fights to prevent any rear-naked choke, and Miller uses one left to break the wrist lock so that he can isolate Benitez’ neck. Benitez survives to the end of the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Round 3
The fighters clap hands together as the last round opens, and they are just as willing to slug it out as ever. They stand in the center of the Octagon and trade leather briefly, and Miller targets the busted lead leg of his foe with a kick. Benitez stands firm and throws punches, and he comes up short with a high kick. Miller punches high and kicks low in response, as his corner cheers the kick as if he were in a muay thai contest. Miller sneaks two left hands around the guard, and Benitez is tough as nails but his nose starts leaking. Miller lands a heavy leg kick, and when Benitez backs him off with a few punches, Miller comes back firing with a kick he turns his hip towards. Benitez walks forward to throw hard, and Miller’s eyes begin to close from swelling. Benitez continues to pepper him with punches and kicks, and Miller staggers him with a straight right hand. Miller wades forward without a care in the world, and Benitez’s volume is starting to frustrate his opponent. Miller connects with another vicious low kick, and he shoots for a double that lands him in half guard easily. Benitez looks to scramble, and he gives his back up.
Miller gets the body lock he was looking for, and he immediately starts pursuing the choke. Benitez turns to his side, but Miller has him locked down and fishing for rear-naked choke grip. Miller cranks down with his forearm on Benitez’ jaw, and he does not even bother to slide it under the chin before he starts squeezing. Knowing that he has no way out, Benitez surrenders to the face crank, and Miller has done it.
He adds to his record with the most victories in UFC history, and hardcore fans around the world are elated at the grizzled veteran getting it done by stoppage once more. Pleasing the crowd and commentator Michael Bisping, Miller proudly declares that he has his sights set on UFC 300 in April, with three names in mind: Paul Felder, Matt Brown and Brock Lesnar.
The Official Result
Jim Miller def. Gabriel Benitez R3 3:25 via Submission (Face Crank)
Angelo picks Jim Miller but with low confidence due to his age (40). He notes Miller's late-career power and toughness, but acknowledges Gabriel Benítez is a dangerous striker with power. He thinks Miller's wrestling and grit could get the win, but won't bet on a 40-year-old.
Big Brady likes Jim Miller's recent form, noting he's been active and knocking people out. He questions Benítez's durability and inactivity, as Benítez has been knocked out multiple times and hasn't fought in over a year. Brady predicts Miller will knock out Benítez in the first round, possibly via a club-and-sub.
Cody picks Benítez, citing his solid takedown defense from training with elite wrestlers, his volume striking, and leg kicks that can immobilize Miller. He notes Miller's lack of volume and takedown attempts in recent fights, and believes Benítez can sprawl and keep the fight standing to win by volume.
Daniel Vreeland leans with Gabriel Benítez, citing his youth and durability. He expects a competitive first round, but if it goes past that, Benítez's kicks and knees will wear down Jim Miller. Vreeland acknowledges Miller's finishing ability but thinks Benítez's chin issues are mitigated by the fact that only heavy hitters have knocked him out.
James does not discuss this fight in the transcript. He only covers fights from the card he mentions, and Jim Miller vs Gabriel Benítez is not mentioned.
Gabriel Benítez is a technical striker with a strong kicking game, especially to the body, and trains at AKA. He has a significant layoff but looked impressive in his last win over Charlie Ontiveros. Jim Miller is 40 years old and tends to fade in later rounds if he doesn't get an early finish. Benítez's technical striking advantage should allow him to outwork Miller from distance and potentially hurt him to the body. I expect Benítez to win by decision, but I'm cautious about the layoff and Miller's power. I'd wait for better odds on Benítez, ideally plus 140 or higher.
Paul leans towards Benítez as the number climbs, noting that Jim Miller's recent wins are against low-level competition and that Benítez has a speed advantage and kicks very hard. He mentions that if the line moves to +150, he would take a shot on Benítez, but he's not heavily invested.
The MMA Guru picks Jim Miller, admitting bias but citing Miller's consistency and activity. He notes Gabriel Benítez has been inactive for nearly two years and lost to David Onama. He believes Miller still has fast-twitch muscle and finishing ability, predicting a TKO finish in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 37 of 60 | 61% | 47 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Charlie Ontiveros | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 28 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 37 of 60 | 61% | 47 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Charlie Ontiveros | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 28 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Benítez | 37 of 60 | 61% | 26 of 46 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 26 | 2 of 4 | 21 of 30 |
| Charlie Ontiveros | 22 of 47 | 46% | 17 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Benítez | 37 of 60 | 61% | 26 of 46 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 26 | 2 of 4 | 21 of 30 |
| Charlie Ontiveros | 22 of 47 | 46% | 17 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gabriel Benítez, citing his technical kickboxing, speed, and better grappling. He notes Ontiveros has chin issues and low-level competition. Benítez is a safe parlay piece despite being a big favorite.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Benítez to win by first-round knockout. He calls Ontiveros the least durable fighter in the UFC, noting he has been finished eight times and has quit in fights. Benítez has power and durability, though his chin is questionable. Brady expects a stand-up war where Benítez lands a big shot early, possibly a body kick, and finishes Ontiveros.
Cody picks Benítez, calling Ontiveros a 'never was' and noting Benítez's experience and leg kicks. He acknowledges Benítez's durability may be fading but believes Ontiveros' chin is completely gone. Cody thinks Benítez will land clean and finish him early.
Daniel Levi picks Gabriel Benítez, but with caution. He notes that Benítez should win easily due to his experience and heart, but he is coming off a brutal knockout loss. Ontiveros has a puncher's chance in the first two minutes, but if he doesn't land, Benítez will break him down. Levi is not rushing to bet on Benítez at these odds.
The host is high on Ontiveros as a dog, expecting a first-round KO. He mentions that he wants to bet 'fight doesn't go to decision' and under 1.5 rounds, but notes the line is juiced to -240. He also mentions a possible bet on Ontiveros round one at +800. He calls Ontiveros his 'dog of the card' and believes he gets the KO.
Paul picks Benítez, expecting a first-round knockout. He notes Ontiveros has been knocked out 8-9 times and is made of glass. Paul is shocked the under 1.5 rounds is -240, but still thinks Benítez will smash him. He also likes Benítez over 104.5 fantasy points on PrizePicks.
The host picks Gabriel Benítez, expecting him to survive an early onslaught and secure a late second-round TKO against the cage. He notes Ontiveros's loss to Steve Garcia Jr. as a red flag and believes Benítez can hold the gate one more time. He mentions Ontiveros as a good underdog for a first-round KO bet but ultimately sides with Benítez's experience.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Onama | 0 | 46 of 96 | 47% | 46 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 1 | 36 of 94 | 38% | 36 of 94 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Onama | 0 | 46 of 96 | 47% | 46 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 1 | 36 of 94 | 38% | 36 of 94 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Onama | 46 of 96 | 47% | 19 of 68 | 17 of 18 | 10 of 10 | 45 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 36 of 94 | 38% | 30 of 86 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Onama | 46 of 96 | 47% | 19 of 68 | 17 of 18 | 10 of 10 | 45 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 36 of 94 | 38% | 30 of 86 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks David Onama, citing his speed, power, and versatility advantage in a kickboxing match. He notes Benitez has grappling tools but rarely uses them (only one takedown in 11 UFC fights). He acknowledges Onama's grappling struggles but believes Benitez won't exploit them.
Big Brady picks David Onama but is not very confident, warning against overrating Onama's performance against Mason Jones. He notes Benitez has excellent striking defense and could pull off an upset. However, he likes Onama's youth, size, reach, and cardio, and predicts a late knockout as Benitez slows down.
Cody picks Onama, believing he is a legitimate prospect. He highlights Onama's impressive performance against Mason Jones, where he showed great cardio, durability, and the ability to get up from takedowns. Cody notes that Benítez is a gatekeeper on the decline, with low volume and questionable durability after being dropped by Billy Q. He thinks Onama will out-strike Benítez and possibly finish him.
Levi is confident in Onama, citing Benitez's decline after wars and weight issues. He notes Onama's impressive short-notice performance against Mason Jones and believes his African power will be too much for Benitez's chin. Levi compares this to other prospects beating faded veterans and expects Onama to find a clean knockout.
Benítez is the seasoned veteran with cleaner striking and a strong kicking game. Onama's hype is based on beating a low-level opponent; Benítez's durability is overstated as a concern. Benítez should outpoint Onama with his southpaw kicks and experience. The under 2.5 rounds and Benítez by KO at +500 are also live.
Paul picks Onama, impressed by his ferocity and durability in the Mason Jones fight. He notes that Onama will be massive at 145 and that Benítez's durability is questionable after being dropped by Billy Q. Paul thinks Onama's pace and power will be too much for Benítez.
The MMA Guru picks David Onama to win by first-round KO. He notes Onama's close fight with Mason Jones on short notice and believes Onama is a great prospect with a big reach advantage. He thinks Gabriel Benitez's durability has declined after several KO losses and that Onama will crack his chin early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Quarantillo | 1 | 57 of 110 | 51% | 67 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:50 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 1 | 100 of 156 | 64% | 179 of 259 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 8:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Quarantillo | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:15 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 1 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 60 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 | |
| 2 | Billy Quarantillo | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 53 of 79 | 67% | 72 of 104 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:58 | |
| 3 | Billy Quarantillo | 1 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 47 of 69 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Quarantillo | 57 of 110 | 51% | 38 of 89 | 13 of 15 | 6 of 6 | 44 of 89 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 12 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 100 of 156 | 64% | 73 of 126 | 20 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 61 of 107 | 11 of 12 | 28 of 37 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Quarantillo | 12 of 26 | 46% | 7 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 25 of 38 | 65% | 17 of 30 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | |
| 2 | Billy Quarantillo | 23 of 45 | 51% | 14 of 34 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 37 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 53 of 79 | 67% | 39 of 62 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 35 of 58 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 12 | |
| 3 | Billy Quarantillo | 22 of 39 | 56% | 17 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 22 of 39 | 56% | 17 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 8 |
Cody is confident in Gabriel Benítez, citing his physical strength, advanced striking, and leg kicks. He believes Billy Quarantillo's lack of strength and power will be exposed, as seen in the Gavin Tucker fight. Cody thinks Benítez's pressure and durability will overwhelm Quarantillo, and he expects a finish or a clear decision.
Paul is picking against his favorite Billy Quarantillo for the first time. He notes that Benítez is a brick wall with superior strength and striking, and that Quarantillo's cardio and heart won't be enough against a physically stronger opponent. He expects Benítez to win, possibly by decision or late finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Benítez | 1 | 38 of 104 | 36% | 38 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justin Jaynes | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Benítez | 1 | 38 of 104 | 36% | 38 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justin Jaynes | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Benítez | 38 of 104 | 36% | 20 of 83 | 10 of 12 | 8 of 9 | 34 of 99 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Justin Jaynes | 22 of 52 | 42% | 16 of 44 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Benítez | 38 of 104 | 36% | 20 of 83 | 10 of 12 | 8 of 9 | 34 of 99 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Justin Jaynes | 22 of 52 | 42% | 16 of 44 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Gabriel Benítez, noting the line flipped from Benítez opening as an underdog to now being a heavy favorite. He likes Benítez's leg kicks and overall striking, and believes if Benítez survives Jaynes's early storm, he will take over. He predicts a second-round knockout, as Jaynes has never been knocked out but Benítez has finishing ability. He notes Jaynes is a 'one-round and bust' fighter with poor cardio.
Daniel picks Gabriel Benítez but with hesitation, noting that Justin Jaynes has first-round power and has scored knockdowns in both his UFC fights. He believes if Benítez can survive the first round, his body kicks and experience will take over. He cites Javier Mendez calling Benítez the hardest kicker he's ever held pads for, harder than Luke Rockhold or Cain Velasquez. However, he acknowledges Benítez's suspect chin and the emotional weight on Jaynes fighting for his sick father, which historically hasn't favored fighters.
The host picks Gabriel Benítez to win by third round TKO. He highlights Benítez's leg kicks, technical striking, and cardio advantage over Justin Jaynes, who has a narrow path to victory and questionable gas tank. He believes Benítez will chew up the lead leg and finish late as Jaynes fades. He is very confident, giving Benítez a 75% chance of winning.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Benítez by unanimous decision, expecting him to weather Justin Jaynes' first-round onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds as Jaynes gasses. He notes Benítez has a good chin and has faced tough competition, while Jaynes showed cardio issues in his loss to Gavin Tucker. He predicts a 29-28 scorecard.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Morales | 0 | 50 of 179 | 27% | 50 of 179 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 63 of 215 | 29% | 63 of 215 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omar Morales | 0 | 15 of 53 | 28% | 15 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 12 of 55 | 21% | 12 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Omar Morales | 0 | 13 of 53 | 24% | 13 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 20 of 60 | 33% | 20 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Omar Morales | 0 | 22 of 73 | 30% | 22 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 0 | 31 of 100 | 31% | 31 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Morales | 50 of 179 | 27% | 17 of 133 | 21 of 28 | 12 of 18 | 50 of 179 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 63 of 215 | 29% | 36 of 178 | 20 of 28 | 7 of 9 | 61 of 210 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omar Morales | 15 of 53 | 28% | 6 of 39 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 15 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 12 of 55 | 21% | 7 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Omar Morales | 13 of 53 | 24% | 4 of 39 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 13 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 20 of 60 | 33% | 9 of 45 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Omar Morales | 22 of 73 | 30% | 7 of 55 | 11 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 31 of 100 | 31% | 20 of 84 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 29 of 96 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Omar Morales due to Benítez moving up in weight, making Morales the much bigger fighter. He believes Morales can take Benítez down at will and win a comfortable decision, possibly by knockout. He notes Benítez has been knocked out before and that Morales is very green but should dominate due to the size difference.
Daniel Levi picks Omar Morales, predicting a knockout via right high kick or counter. He criticizes Benítez's predictable offense (straight left, left kick) and suspect chin, noting that Morales is a former kickboxer with cleaner technique and power. He believes Morales will move to 2-0 in the UFC.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Benítez, stating he is not sold on Omar Morales after his lackluster UFC debut against Dong Hyun Ma. He notes that Benítez is in his prime at 31 and has had good showings in the UFC, including rocking Sadiq Yusuf. He predicts Benítez will win by decision or TKO, calling Morales an 'old man' making his debut too late.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodiq Yusuff | 0 | 24 of 72 | 33% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 1 | 34 of 79 | 43% | 34 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sodiq Yusuff | 0 | 24 of 72 | 33% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 1 | 34 of 79 | 43% | 34 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodiq Yusuff | 24 of 72 | 33% | 11 of 55 | 4 of 8 | 9 of 9 | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 34 of 79 | 43% | 25 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sodiq Yusuff | 24 of 72 | 33% | 11 of 55 | 4 of 8 | 9 of 9 | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Benítez | 34 of 79 | 43% | 25 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 7 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Maheshate but with very low confidence, calling it 'the tiniest sliver of confidence.' He notes Maheshate is young (24), faster, and stronger, but makes young mistakes and lets opponents dictate the pace. The pick is driven largely by recency bias, as Gabriel Benítez looked poor in his last fight after a layoff. Angelo acknowledges Benítez is a good underdog value because he may have shaken off ring rust.
Cody picks Benítez as a dog, citing his technical striking and volume. He notes Maheshate is low-volume and relies on one-punch power. He believes Benítez's experience and durability (if chin holds) will allow him to outwork Maheshate.
Daniel believes Maheshate belongs at UFC level, while Benítez is a gatekeeper who loses to fighters who belong. He notes Maheshate's right-side strikes (hand, high kick, knee) will be key against the southpaw Benítez. He predicts a knockout from the right side, possibly a right hand or high kick.
Maheshate has a 4-inch height advantage and similar reach, and his ability to establish range with footwork and straight shots down the middle will cause Benítez trouble. He has aligned himself with Fight Ready MMA, which has solid striking coaches. I expect Maheshate to counter Benítez effectively and line up a knockout shot, putting him back into winning ways.
Paul also picks Benítez, noting his high volume and takedown defense. He thinks Maheshate's low output plays into Benítez's hands, and that Benítez can win by decision if he avoids Maheshate's power. He acknowledges Benítez's chin issues but believes his volume will carry him.
The MMA Guru picks Maheshate to win by TKO in the third round. He notes that Maheshate has shown composure and a willingness to do whatever it takes to win, including eye pokes and takedowns when being outstruck. He criticizes Gabriel Benítez for falling apart in fights and lacking finishing ability, as seen in his failure to put away Billy Quarantillo. The Guru believes Maheshate is hungrier and more technical on the feet.
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