UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024 · Catchweight (156.5 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 9"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 26
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Chris Padilla
4.78 SLpM
54.0% Str. Acc.
3.87 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
1.18 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - James Llontop
5.57 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
4.12 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Chris Padilla - Fight History
Draw vs Marquel Mederos
Draw R3 5:00 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Padilla 0 147 of 271 54% 164 of 291 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:09
Marquel Mederos 0 112 of 180 62% 117 of 186 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Padilla 0 40 of 66 60% 44 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:58
Marquel Mederos 0 27 of 41 65% 28 of 43 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:15
2 Chris Padilla 0 63 of 119 52% 71 of 129 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Marquel Mederos 0 44 of 75 58% 46 of 77 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:01
3 Chris Padilla 0 44 of 86 51% 49 of 91 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:57
Marquel Mederos 0 41 of 64 64% 43 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Padilla 147 of 271 54% 71 of 164 30 of 40 46 of 67 124 of 242 22 of 28 1 of 1
Marquel Mederos 112 of 180 62% 81 of 147 12 of 13 19 of 20 91 of 155 21 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Padilla 40 of 66 60% 20 of 40 8 of 11 12 of 15 31 of 56 9 of 10 0 of 0
Marquel Mederos 27 of 41 65% 14 of 27 6 of 6 7 of 8 20 of 34 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Chris Padilla 63 of 119 52% 23 of 62 11 of 14 29 of 43 61 of 113 2 of 6 0 of 0
Marquel Mederos 44 of 75 58% 32 of 62 3 of 4 9 of 9 42 of 71 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Chris Padilla 44 of 86 51% 28 of 62 11 of 15 5 of 9 32 of 73 11 of 12 1 of 1
Marquel Mederos 41 of 64 64% 35 of 58 3 of 3 3 of 3 29 of 50 12 of 14 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Angelo leans toward Chris Padilla, believing his relentless pressure and smothering style will overwhelm Mark O. Madsen. He notes Madsen's composure and clean technique but thinks Padilla's pace and grinding approach will be too much, similar to how Austin Hubbard troubled Madsen. He expects Padilla to set a higher pace and win.

"Padilla is going to fight like that. Padilla will set twice the pace that Austin Hubbard did, and he has to be the pick for that reason."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Big Brady notes Padilla has been an underdog in all four UFC wins but is now favored. He praises Padilla's pressure, toughness, power, and wrestling. He thinks Padilla will make Medeiros uncomfortable with pressure and takedowns, winning a decision. He dislikes the -195 price but picks Padilla.

decision
"I'm going to take Chris Padilla to get it done. Chris Padilla to get it done by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Cody also picks Padilla, noting his well-rounded game and Mederos' defensive flaws. He thinks Padilla's calf kicks and clinch work will lead to a win.

"I like Taku Padilla on a card of things I'm not so certain about... He's one of the guys I'm gonna have to put some trust into."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chris Padilla

Connor picks Padilla based on his recent surge in confidence and fight IQ. He notes that Padilla has figured out how to win, using pressure and pace to overcome more technical fighters. He acknowledges that Medeiros is a more natural athlete but trusts Padilla's determination and recent trajectory.

"I'm gonna take Padilla where he could just get lucky."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Daniel admits he has been wrong about Padilla before and finally gives him credit. He thinks Padilla will edge a close decision, though he notes Mederos is a solid point fighter.

"I'll pick Padilla to edge out a close decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marquel Mederos

Daniel Vreeland picks Marquel Mederos, believing the odds are skewed. He notes that Padilla sits back and waits for opponents, while Mederos has good footwork, volume, and takedown defense. He thinks Mederos will outpoint Padilla over three rounds, especially if Padilla can't land a big shot.

"I think the odds are nuts. I'm on Medeiros here hugely."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Marquel Mederos

James picks Mederos, believing his leg kicks and range control will be too much for Padilla, who is a late replacement. He thinks Padilla's style is not suited to beat Mederos.

"I will pick Markel Maderos to win this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Padilla's pressure, calf kicks, and Muay Thai should wear down Mederos over time. Mederos is fast and athletic but may fade after a round and a half. Padilla's durability and aggression have carried him in past fights. However, Mederos could win early rounds with speed. Padilla likely wins a decision or late finish, but the line is fair.

Padilla wins by decision
"I think Padilla's aggressiveness, calf kicks, and nasty Muay Thai could catch up to Maderos here. ... the prediction will stay Padilla and Padilla by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Paul is confident in Padilla, praising his veteran savvy, Muay Thai, and cage control. He thinks Padilla's advanced basics will overwhelm the green Mederos.

"I like Taco Padilla, man. This guy's got it... I honestly think Padilla... has got this man's number and is going to hand him a defeat."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chris Padilla

The MMA Guru picks Chris Padilla over Marquel Mederos. He calls Padilla a crafty veteran who has been winning as an underdog, with a nasty elbow finish over Rong Zhu. He notes Mederos had a split decision with Austin Hubbard, and believes Padilla's craftiness and back takes will earn him a 30-27 decision.

"I think Paddy is sneaky good in the lightweight division."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chris Padilla

Zane picks Padilla, agreeing that he is figuring things out while Medeiros is still floating. He notes that Medeiros fights like Tony Ferguson, relying on creativity and 50/50 exchanges, which is risky against a determined fighter like Padilla. He acknowledges that Medeiros could click, but Padilla's confidence and game plan give him the edge.

"I'll take a boat of confidence for Chris Padilla continuing to blossom."
WIN vs Ismael Bonfim
KO R2 4:30 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Padilla 0 64 of 109 58% 88 of 134 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:21
Ismael Bonfim 0 42 of 84 50% 47 of 89 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Padilla 0 17 of 31 54% 38 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
Ismael Bonfim 0 14 of 28 50% 18 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
2 Chris Padilla 0 47 of 78 60% 50 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Ismael Bonfim 0 28 of 56 50% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Padilla 64 of 109 58% 33 of 60 10 of 15 21 of 34 43 of 83 6 of 6 15 of 20
Ismael Bonfim 42 of 84 50% 27 of 68 12 of 13 3 of 3 42 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Padilla 17 of 31 54% 8 of 13 4 of 6 5 of 12 15 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ismael Bonfim 14 of 28 50% 9 of 23 4 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chris Padilla 47 of 78 60% 25 of 47 6 of 9 16 of 22 28 of 54 4 of 4 15 of 20
Ismael Bonfim 28 of 56 50% 18 of 45 8 of 9 2 of 2 28 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Angelo picks Ismael Bonfim because he is better everywhere, but he acknowledges the concern about Ismael quitting on the stool in his last fight. He argues that Ismael took a massive shot to the face and was not fully there, so he is not a quitter. He expects Ismael to win but notes that Chris Padilla is tough and a live dog.

"I'm going to be on the Ismael Bonfim side. He's just better everywhere, and as long as he did not quit on that stool, we should be good."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Big Brady thinks Bonfim is the more skilled fighter with good boxing and volume, but worries about his durability as he has been finished in all five losses. He notes Padilla is durable and has heart but doesn't wrestle enough. He favors Bonfim's striking over 15 minutes and predicts a decision win, though he thinks a finish is more likely from Padilla.

decision
"I'm going to go Bonfi here to win a decision. I don't think he's finishing Padilla."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Cody picks Bonfim but is not confident. He notes Padilla's awkward movement and counter-striking, and Bonfim's one-dimensional style and questionable cardio. He thinks Bonfim's volume and aggression might win a decision, but it's a risky bet.

"I guess I got Bonfim, but it's another fight I really don't care for."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Lucrative James leans towards Chris Padilla, though he admits he doesn't have a great read on him. He notes Padilla's dangerous striking and ability to win close fights, while Ismael Bonfim is more predictable. He expects Padilla to land better shots, possibly cutting Bonfim, and predicts a decision win. He also mentions Padilla's finishing upside via submission or doctor stoppage.

"I'm going to go with Chris Padilla. I'm not I haven't got a long breakdown for you guys."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

The host thinks Bonfim has underachieved recently while Padilla has overachieved, and expects a correction. Bonfim should dictate the pace, land more damage, and win on the scorecards in deep water.

"I think Bomb Fee has underachieved in his last few fights. And on the other side, I think Padilla has overachieved. And I think we'll see the course kind of correct itself here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Paul leans Bonfim but is not betting him. He thinks Bonfim's volume could be key, but Padilla's counter-striking and Bonfim's tendency to run into shots are concerns. He mentions a small shot on Padilla KO at plus 600.

"I'm not going to be letting Ismael Bonfim ruin my week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

The Guru picks Chris Padilla as a crafty underdog. He believes Padilla's experience, reach, and versatility (elbows, kicks, spinning attacks) will trouble Ismael Bonfim, who has struggled against gritty opponents. He expects a close decision win for Padilla, 29-28.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to go with Chris Padilla. I'm gonna take a crafty underdog of Chris Padilla here."
WIN vs Jai Herbert
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 38 of 122 31% 59 of 143 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Chris Padilla 0 39 of 98 39% 88 of 147 0 of 6 0% 0 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 3 of 16 18% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Padilla 0 9 of 24 37% 29 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:51
2 Jai Herbert 0 7 of 42 16% 12 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Chris Padilla 0 13 of 32 40% 32 of 51 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:34
3 Jai Herbert 0 28 of 64 43% 30 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Padilla 0 17 of 42 40% 27 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 38 of 122 31% 19 of 92 10 of 19 9 of 11 37 of 120 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 39 of 98 39% 20 of 60 6 of 9 13 of 29 35 of 94 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 3 of 16 18% 0 of 9 1 of 5 2 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 9 of 24 37% 3 of 11 1 of 2 5 of 11 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 7 of 42 16% 4 of 33 0 of 5 3 of 4 7 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 13 of 32 40% 6 of 17 3 of 4 4 of 11 11 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 28 of 64 43% 15 of 50 9 of 9 4 of 5 27 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 17 of 42 40% 11 of 32 2 of 3 4 of 7 15 of 40 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-125), Padilla (+105)

Round 1
Lukasz Bosacki will ref this featured preliminary bout at lightweight. It’s a very deliberate opening minute. Padilla lands a right over the top during an initial exchange. Halfway through the round and not much in the way of offense has landed. A Herbert kick hits Padilla’s forearm. A kick from Herbert lands below the belt, but Padilla doesn’t need a pause. A front kick finds the range for Herbert. Padilla shoots for a takedown and pushes Herbet into the fence. Padilla with some knees to the thighs late in the round. Padilla keeps the position, landing periodic knees until the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Padilla

Round 2
Herbert probes with a front kick. A Herbert head kick partially lands as Padilla throws a body kick at the same time. Padilla steps in with a body kick. Once again, offense is coming at a premium. Padilla sticks a jab. Padilla grabs a body lock after an ill-advised spinning kick by Herbert. Padilla has underhooks against the fence and he’s content to grind away her. Herbert tries for a hip toss, and while it doesn’t work, it gets the fight to the center of the cage. Herbert pumps out his jab and Padilla claims his eyes are poked, but there’s no stop in the fight. Herbert steps in with a right. An inside leg kick lans for the Brit, but Padilla shoves his foe into the cage. Padilla with some short punches and knees in close. Herbert lands a knee as they separate, but he can’t find the range on anything else before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Padilla

Round 3
Herbert opens with a pair of inside low kicks. A right over the top gets through for Padilla. Herbert threatens with a leaping knee but Padilla sidesteps without issue. Padilla shoots after a Herbert low kick and pushes his adversary into the fence. Padilla lands a short elbow on the break. Herbert lands a 1-2 as he stalks his foe. Herbert has picked up his volume this round, which isn’t saying much. Herbert pressures and is putting some straight punches together. Padilla lands a body kick. Padilla changes levels and secures a body lock. Herbert defends the takedown against the fence, briefly threatening with a guillotine. Herbert lands a knee in the clinch as Padilla drops low for a takedown. Herbert revreses and sperarates. Herbert follows a jab with a knee. The Englishman is doing better mixing in punches and knees, but Padilla, who was busted open at some point during the round, stumbles his foe with an overhand right on the temple during an exchange. Herbert doesn’t seem any worse for wear, though, as he keeps the pressure on. They trade leg kicks as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)

The Official Result
Chris Padilla def. Jai Herbert via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Angelo picks Chris Padilla, calling Jai Herbert overrated and noting his mediocre takedown defense. He believes Padilla's pressure, durability, and explosiveness will be key. He hopes Padilla wrestles more in this fight. He mentions the line is moving and he's picking Padilla while he's still a slight underdog.

"I keep picking Chris Pilla here... I'm picking him now while he's a slight Underdog"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Brady sees Padilla as a live dog who has improved a lot. He notes Herbert is hesitant and low-volume now, and Padilla has finishing upside with grappling and durability. Brady predicts a close decision win for Padilla, possibly with big moments and takedowns.

Padilla by decision
"give me taba to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by a very close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The host disagrees with the betting public moving towards Padilla. He believes Herbert is a cleaner striker with improved striking defense and durability, allowing him to operate at distance and win on the scorecards.

"I think Herbert is a cleaner striker and I think we've been seeing an improvement in his striking defense and durability as of late."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

The Guru leans towards Chris Padilla as a slight underdog, citing his finishing streak and ability to get to dominant positions. He notes that Jai Herbert often has close decisions and may be nearing the end of his career at 36. He believes Padilla's dynamism and finishing potential will be the difference, and that Herbert's tendency to let fights get away will cost him.

"I'm going to take a slight Underdog of Chris Padilla to be honest with you"
WIN vs Rong Zhu
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 4:14 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Padilla 0 49 of 88 55% 49 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Rong Zhu 0 68 of 105 64% 73 of 110 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Padilla 0 27 of 54 50% 27 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rong Zhu 0 35 of 53 66% 35 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Padilla 0 22 of 34 64% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Rong Zhu 0 33 of 52 63% 38 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Padilla 49 of 88 55% 26 of 61 12 of 13 11 of 14 43 of 81 6 of 7 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 68 of 105 64% 36 of 51 8 of 12 24 of 42 62 of 98 6 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Padilla 27 of 54 50% 15 of 38 4 of 5 8 of 11 27 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 35 of 53 66% 16 of 22 4 of 7 15 of 24 35 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chris Padilla 22 of 34 64% 11 of 23 8 of 8 3 of 3 16 of 27 6 of 7 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 33 of 52 63% 20 of 29 4 of 5 9 of 18 27 of 45 6 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Angelo picks Chris Padilla as an underdog because he is well-rounded, explosive, and composed, with multiple ways to win. He notes that Rong Zhu's wins are on the regional scene and he headhunts, while Chris can scramble and snatch submissions. He plans to wait for prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.

Angelo says he will wait for prop bets such as Chris Padilla plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance (decision no action).
"I'm going out on a limb I'm picking the dog Chris Padilla"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Big Brady picks Rong Zhu to win by decision. He notes Zhu is a big favorite at -265 and is improving at 24 years old. Brady thinks Zhu is the much better striker and his takedown defense is improving. He acknowledges Padilla can wrestle but lacks top control, so he expects Zhu to keep it on the feet and win a decision.

"I'll go rangu to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Cody picks Padilla, arguing that Zhu's competition on Road to UFC is weak and he has been taken down by lesser fighters. He notes Padilla's wrestling and submission skills, and believes he can neutralize Zhu's striking. He sees the -220 line on Zhu as too wide and takes the plus money.

"I'm G take Chris Padilla this is another PRP type long shot play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Daniel thinks Rong Zhu has matured since his first UFC stint and is now ready. He believes Zhu's takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing, and that his volume, calf kicks, and athleticism will overwhelm Padilla. He expects Zhu to stuff takedowns and chip away at Padilla, possibly winning a decision.

"I think Rong zoo is gonna stuff this man's takedowns and bust him up... I'm going Rong zooo here to get back on track."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Rong Zhu is a dangerous striker with improved takedown defense and get-ups. Padilla is a power puncher who relies on grappling, but Rong Zhu should nullify that and find a finish within two rounds. The host sees a more mature version of Rong Zhu now.

Rong Zhu by finish within 2 rounds
"I'm going to go uh wrong zuu here and I think he eventually finds the Finish within possibly two rounds or so."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Paul is interested in Padilla's submission prop at +600, noting his recent submission wins and wrestling advantage. He believes Padilla can take Zhu down and control him, as Zhu has been taken down by lesser competition. He sees value at plus money and picks Padilla as an underdog.

Chris Padilla by submission +600 (playable)
"Padilla I was interested in his submission prop it's obviously early in the week so numbers aren't the greatest six plus 600 is the best on Market which I think is like playable"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

The MMA Guru picks Rong Zhu over Chris Padilla. He criticizes Padilla's recent losses and long career, while praising Zhu's youth (24), activity, and evolution as a fighter. He notes Zhu has been fighting higher-level competition and is on a streak since being cut from the UFC. He expects Zhu to have a good performance.

"I think he's going to go out there and have a good performance against Chris Pilla... I think he's going to get this one done over Chris Padilla"
WIN vs James Llontop
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:33 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Padilla 0 19 of 40 47% 19 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 12 of 26 46% 14 of 29 3 of 3 100% 1 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Padilla 0 19 of 40 47% 19 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 12 of 26 46% 14 of 29 3 of 3 100% 1 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Padilla 19 of 40 47% 7 of 25 2 of 4 10 of 11 19 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Llontop 12 of 26 46% 6 of 18 1 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Padilla 19 of 40 47% 7 of 25 2 of 4 10 of 11 19 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Llontop 12 of 26 46% 6 of 18 1 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Cody picks Llontop, citing his youth, cardio, and pressure style. He notes Padilla has lost all four step-up fights and is on short notice. He expects Llontop to overwhelm Padilla with volume and eventually finish him.

"long top rightful favorite"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Daniel likes Llontop's takedown defense, clean striking, and solid output. He views Padilla as a regional journeyman who only got the fight on short notice. He picks Llontop to win, possibly by knockout, but won't lay -400.

"I got to go Lop here to to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
James Llontop

Llontop is a pressure-heavy fighter who loves to move forward, grind opponents in the clinch, and take them down. He has good cardio and pace. Padilla is on short notice and has mediocre competition wins. I expect Llontop to walk through Padilla's early power, then overwhelm him with volume and output, finishing him in the second or third round.

"I think that lawn toop will just be too much for him in the spot and I think he ends up overwhelming him and finishing him in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Paul agrees, noting Llontop's win over Malik Lewis and Padilla's struggles against higher-level competition. He thinks Llontop's pace and power will be too much, and expects a knockout or clear decision.

"James laop is another one of your good picks this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
James Llontop

The MMA Guru picks James Llontop, comparing his composure to JDM and Max Holloway. He notes Llontop's technical striking, counter right hand, and ability to stay composed in the pocket. He criticizes Chris Padilla for coming from a low-level promotion and taking the fight on short notice, which may affect his weight cut. The Guru also mentions that Llontop had a full training camp and is more prepared.

"I'm going to go with James Lono over Chris Pilla"
James Llontop - Fight History
LOSS vs Maurício Ruffy
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurício Ruffy 1 67 of 113 59% 74 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
James Llontop 0 90 of 236 38% 112 of 260 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurício Ruffy 0 21 of 31 67% 21 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 19 of 63 30% 19 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Maurício Ruffy 1 24 of 42 57% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
James Llontop 0 26 of 78 33% 28 of 80 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:19
3 Maurício Ruffy 0 22 of 40 55% 28 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
James Llontop 0 45 of 95 47% 65 of 117 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurício Ruffy 67 of 113 59% 53 of 97 6 of 8 8 of 8 57 of 101 3 of 3 7 of 9
James Llontop 90 of 236 38% 29 of 143 39 of 62 22 of 31 75 of 215 15 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurício Ruffy 21 of 31 67% 13 of 23 3 of 3 5 of 5 21 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Llontop 19 of 63 30% 6 of 36 7 of 14 6 of 13 19 of 62 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Maurício Ruffy 24 of 42 57% 21 of 39 0 of 0 3 of 3 16 of 32 1 of 1 7 of 9
James Llontop 26 of 78 33% 8 of 49 10 of 19 8 of 10 25 of 76 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Maurício Ruffy 22 of 40 55% 19 of 35 3 of 5 0 of 0 20 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
James Llontop 45 of 95 47% 15 of 58 22 of 29 8 of 8 31 of 77 14 of 18 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
James Llontop (166.2: Missed Weight) vs. Mauricio Ruffy
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ruffy (-800), Llontop (+550)

Round 1
One of the largest betting favorites on the card—but still trailing the top name in a huge way tonight—will be Fighting Nerds export Ruffy (10-1, 1-0 UFC), who battles the skidding Llontop (14-4, 0-2 UFC) instead of Charlie Campbell. “Goku” might be in for a rough night, facing an adversary with a 100% knockout rate compared to his own at 50%. There will be no energy blasts allowed in this catchweight contest, so “Goku” will need to rely on his strikes alone. Before hitting the cage, the underdog required accommodations to shift this lightweight match to one at 165, pounds, and he still could not reach that limit. Seeing that Llontop’s back is against the wall, referee Kevin MacDonald checks the fight in, and observes a quick fist bump. Ruffy moves directly to the center of the cage, hopping out of the way of a leg kick and then dodging a second. Ruffy slowly edges forward, measuring a counter right hand but not letting it go. No strike lands until Ruffy connects with a jab 45 seconds in. Llontop whiffs on the counter, and Ruffy jabs him in the belly. Ruffy kicks the front leg and slides out of the way. Llontop surges forward, and Ruffy easily parries the strikes and gets kicked in the midsection at the end. Ruffy connects with a sharp jab and absorbs a low kick, and both men get behind a jab. Ruffy swings for the bleachers with a monstrous right hand, and he only buzzes past the hair of his adversary. The Brazilian smoothly dodges winging punches coming his way, and a few jabs get in on him. Ruffy uses his own jab to break up a big swing, and Llontop goes to the body to follow. Llontop prods out with jabs, and his body kick slips under the elbow. Llontop looses three big punches, and the right hand in the middle of it clips the favorite. Ruffy fires back, only to miss the mark. Two hard leg kicks from Ruffy draw a reaction out of his opponent, who surges into action with a lunging right. Llontop kicks the body and then the front leg, and Ruffy sits down on a shovel uppercut that nearly detaches Llontop’s head from his body. Llontop manages to avoid it in the nick of time, and he kicks the body of his adversary. Ruffy rips a right hand over the top, and he nails the underdog with a big left. Ruffy times a massive right hand that hurts Llontop, and he spins with a tornado kick and falls over. Llontop allows him to stand so he can blast him in the face with a right hand. Ruffy takes it on the chin and lands a punch and spins with a back kick to the ribs. Llontop kicks the front leg once before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy

Round 2
Before the round begins, the crowd chants “USA” but it is unclear who they are supporting between the Brazilian and the Peruvian. They get right to business after tapping gloves, and Ruffy starts promisingly with a spinning kick to the lead leg. Llontop chews up Ruffy’s front leg with a few kicks, and they both connect with jabs. Ruffy tries to time a jab with a spinning back fist, and Llontop is able to block it. Llontop walks the Brazilian down and pitches out a front kick, and he mixes things up with a leg kick and a few punches. Ruffy laughs it off and decks “Goku” with a ferocious left hand, and Llontop rolls around on the ground to regain his composure and work his to his feet. Llontop’s left eye begins swelling in a hurry, and he tries for a takedown but is shoved out of the way. Llontop doubles up on a jab, and Ruffy has his hands low and dodges back to avoid anything further. Ruffy blasts his foe in the face with a right hand from the depths of Hades, and Llontop is tough as nails and keeps on coming forward. Ruffy slips several jabs and a head kick with his hand on his hip, so Llontop goes after the front leg with kicks. Ruffy narrowly misses a big left hand counter when Llontop rushes forward, and he connects with a perfect right hand on the busted eye that stuns Llontop completely. Llontop shakes out the cobwebs, and he goes back to attacking with heavy punches. Ruffy busts him open with his mean right hand, and he lets Llontop dive after a takedown so he can counter him. Ruffy backs off, parrying and blocking a few punches, and Llontop is busy as can be. Ruffy times counters and hops away from big punches so he can pay Llontop back in spades. Ruffy throws everything he has, and he stops after missing and puts both hands on his hips. It is unclear if he is tired or trying to goad Llontop on, but the round ends before anything comes of it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy

Round 3
There is a clap of hands to open up the last round, and Llontop is ready and rearing to go. Ruffy gets behind his jab early, using it to set up and draw out strikes. Llontop kicks the side of his opponent, and Ruffy tries to slip away but is grabbed by the Peruvian. Llontop dirty boxes until Ruffy turns him around, and he misses with an elbow on the break. “Goku” is fighting just as aggressively as before, pushing the pace and not fearing Ruffy’s attacks. Ruffy’s volume diminishes as he looks for single home run strikes, and one big left misses. Llontop drives knees to the body when he ties the favorite up, and a right hand from Ruffy on the break skims the side of his head. Ruffy scores two punches and Llontop kicks his front leg on the kneecap twice. Ruffy goes wide with booming right hands, his hands low when not striking. Llontop beats on Ruffy’s front leg with kicks, and Ruffy gets sick of taking these kicks and punches Llontop in the face a few times. Llontop kicks low and then high, and he drops down after a single that fails. Llontop tries again, and when the takedown comes up short, he knees Ruffy in the chest. Two hard inside leg kicks from Llontop get Ruffy’s attention, and the Peruvian is picking it up while Llontop is flagging. Llontop stomps on the toes when he gets up tight, grinding on Ruffy and working the body with knees and punches up top. Ruffy dodges and slides away when Llontop tries to trap him, and he appears somewhat compromised when his leg gets kicked hard. Ruffy goofs around and dances in place, lifting up a no-look elbow when he sees Llontop coming at him. Ruffy connects with a blistering right hand when Llontop approaches, and he is swinging for the fences. Llontop does the same, and they let one another have it until the final horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Llontop (29-28 Ruffy)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Llontop (29-28 Ruffy)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Llontop (29-28 Ruffy)

The Official Result
Mauricio Ruffy def. James Llontop via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Angelo is very confident in Maurício Ruffy, describing him as an insanely good striker with movement like prime Conor McGregor. He expects Ruffy to defend takedowns and pick apart James Llontop, who is tough but not very technical. He predicts a showcase win for Ruffy.

"very confident in Mauricio ruffy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Big Brady picks Maurício Ruffy, though he thinks the line is too wide. He notes that Ruffy is a very good striker with length, speed, and power, but sometimes starts slow. He believes James Llontop has never been finished but will likely eat big shots due to his aggressive style. Brady predicts a third-round knockout, as Ruffy has a 100% finish rate.

"I like kouy 100% finish rate I think he keeps that intact I'll take huy to win this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Cody picks Maurício Ruffy by knockout, citing his power and finishing ability. He notes Ruffy has knocked out all his opponents and is a product of the Fighting Nerds gym. Cody likes Ruffy by knockout at minus 145 or better, and is not worried about the money line.

by knockout
"ruy or ruy by knockout is uh minus 200 at cool bet so it's kind of been a little bit steam there but there's still like minus 135s minus 150s out there seems like the play to me"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Connor also picks Ruffy confidently, agreeing that Llontop is slow and cumbersome, while Ruffy is a fast counter striker. He expects Ruffy to land clean counters and finish the fight. Connor criticizes the matchup as a squash match.

Ruffy wins via KO/TKO
"mariso hoofy is gonna win me... He's going to murder yon top with a couple of really well timed counters."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Vreeland picks Ruffy because he hits very hard and Llontop takes too many punches. Even if Llontop is durable and doesn't get knocked out, Vreeland believes the early violence will be bad enough that Llontop will be down two rounds and cannot finish Ruffy. He expects Ruffy to throw an absurd amount of strikes and win by decision or late finish. He also notes that Llontop took 15 minutes of damage from Slava Claus, and Ruffy hits harder.

Maurício Ruffy higher than 40.5 significant strikes (Underdog fantasy)
"I think the violence early is going to be bad enough for him... I don't see him finishing Huffy so like Mauricio Huffy is my pick"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Daniel Vreeland picks Maurício Ruffy, highlighting his size, counter-striking ability, and potential to submit or ground-and-pound. He notes Llontop's slow speed and tendency to leave openings, and believes Ruffy can win by knockout, submission, or decision. He mentions Ruffy's training at Fighting Nerds and his well-rounded game.

"I think huy is gonna do his thing here man and move on and uh take another step up the ladder"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Fox picks Ruffy because he is a heavy favorite and Llontop is taking the fight on short notice, which is bad against a powerful striker. He notes Ruffy's knockout power and Llontop's recent losses. Fox is confident Ruffy will win, though he acknowledges the line is steep.

"obviously I'm taking hoofy I'm not taking someone on short notice especially against guy probably gonna have to do a a uh a quick weight cut... against a guy who rattles your brain around in hoofy"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Lucrative James leans toward Maurício Ruffy to win but is skeptical of the -800 price, which he attributes to hype and recency bias from Ruffy's viral scissor sweep. He acknowledges Ruffy's dynamic striking and finishing upside but notes Ruffy has been knocked out before. He thinks Llontop can make it close and that the true line should be around -300. He will not bet on Ruffy at -800 but picks him to win before doing full tape study.

"I'll pick ruffy to win before doing research I do think he will get the win here but I don't think he should be- 800."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Maurício Ruffy

The host thinks the odds are too wide but believes Ruffy is the slicker striker. He expects Llontop's aggressiveness to get him countered, but notes Llontop has solid durability, so the fight likely goes over 1.5 rounds with Ruffy winning on the scorecards.

over 1.5 rounds
"odds way too wide in my opinion here but I do believe that ruffy is the Slicker striker of the two fighters here laop's aggressiveness will get him countered and touched up but laop has shown solid durability throughout his …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Paul picks James Llontop as an underdog, citing his durability, cardio from training at altitude, and volume striking. He notes Ruffy has been knocked out before and has never gone to the third round, while Llontop has a deep gas tank and has never been knocked out. Paul thinks Llontop can take Ruffy's shots and outwork him late, possibly winning a decision.

"I'm in minus 240 I'm in minus 310 I start to question a little bit but yeah he would be my pick minus 900 woof I'm not"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

The MMA Guru picks Maurício Ruffy, expecting a first-round TKO. He notes Llontop took heavy damage in his last fight and is fighting on short notice. He believes Ruffy's flow state striking and power will overwhelm Llontop.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Mauricio Huffy getting this one done first round TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Zane picks Ruffy confidently, noting that Llontop is slow and hittable, while Ruffy is a fast counter striker. He thinks Ruffy will land well-timed counters and finish Llontop. Zane criticizes the matchup as a squash match.

Ruffy wins via KO/TKO
"mariso hoofy is gonna win me... He's going to murder yon top with a couple of really well timed counters."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 96 of 229 41% 97 of 230 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
James Llontop 0 93 of 249 37% 97 of 253 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 26 of 61 42% 27 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 26 of 63 41% 26 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 37 of 85 43% 37 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
James Llontop 0 25 of 77 32% 25 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 33 of 83 39% 33 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 42 of 109 38% 46 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viacheslav Borshchev 96 of 229 41% 49 of 172 30 of 38 17 of 19 92 of 223 3 of 4 1 of 2
James Llontop 93 of 249 37% 40 of 168 27 of 44 26 of 37 91 of 244 1 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 26 of 61 42% 9 of 39 11 of 14 6 of 8 24 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
James Llontop 26 of 63 41% 10 of 41 5 of 9 11 of 13 24 of 60 1 of 2 1 of 1
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 37 of 85 43% 19 of 63 11 of 15 7 of 7 36 of 83 0 of 0 1 of 2
James Llontop 25 of 77 32% 11 of 56 9 of 12 5 of 9 25 of 76 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Viacheslav Borshchev 33 of 83 39% 21 of 70 8 of 9 4 of 4 32 of 81 1 of 2 0 of 0
James Llontop 42 of 109 38% 19 of 71 13 of 23 10 of 15 42 of 108 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Viacheslav Borshchev as the better striker, but expresses concerns about his chin after being dropped by Chase Hooper. He thinks this should be a striking matchup and Borshchev is more technical. However, he says the bet will be on James Llontop to win inside the distance (decision no action) because Llontop could exploit Borshchev's questionable chin. He notes that if Llontop loses a decision, the bet is refunded.

James Llontop wins inside the distance (decision no action)
"VAV borchev is going to be the pick James could absolutely win this fight and honestly the bet is going to be James yop wins inside the distance decision no action"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Cody leans towards Borshchev because he is the better striker and this is likely a striking match. He notes that Llontop has poor takedown defense and gives up his back, but Borshchev won't wrestle. He thinks Borshchev's power and technique will be too much, but he is concerned about Borshchev's chin and recent damage. He says it's a tough fight to bet at -250.

"I kind of lean boref because he's just such a better Striker right such more refined polished Striker at 250 man I'm having trouble"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Daniel Vreeland picks Viacheslav Borshchev, arguing that without a takedown threat from Llontop, Borshchev will get the kickboxing match he wants and is the better striker. He notes Borshchev has taken damage but believes he will pick Llontop apart.

"I think slava's gonna pick this man apart and get the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Brevin picks Slava Claus, noting his good boxing and power, and that Llontop stands in the pocket too long, opening himself to counters. He mentions Slava's loss to Chase Hooper but downplays it. JP agrees, emphasizing Slava's power and Llontop's tendency to stand still after throwing, which will lead to Slava putting his lights out.

"I'm going to take slavkos in this one I think he's just more powerful um look for liver shot so these body shots he throws a nice left hand I like slavkos"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Paul picks Borshchev because he thinks Llontop is prone to poor decision-making and has a neck tattoo. He notes that Llontop was a favorite against Chris Padilla and looked terrible. He believes Borshchev's striking will be the difference in a stand-up fight. He also mentions that Borshchev's chin is starting to go, but Llontop doesn't have the wrestling to exploit it.

"I think it's borchev I think he's a rightful favorite here I would usually never bet borchev as a favorite but all all signals are pointing towards a striking Affair"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev despite being hesitant. He was disappointed by James Llontop's debut loss and calls him 'skinny fat'. He expects a standup fight and trusts Borshchev's striking, predicting a late TKO or decision. However, he acknowledges Borshchev was destroyed by Chase Hooper, which gives him pause.

TKO late or decision 29-28
"I'll go Bev I think he's better um better on the feet and it's going to be a stand up fight probably so I trust in VL Bev TKO late maybe a decision 2928 scrap"
LOSS vs Chris Padilla
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:33 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Padilla 0 19 of 40 47% 19 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 12 of 26 46% 14 of 29 3 of 3 100% 1 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Padilla 0 19 of 40 47% 19 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 12 of 26 46% 14 of 29 3 of 3 100% 1 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Padilla 19 of 40 47% 7 of 25 2 of 4 10 of 11 19 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Llontop 12 of 26 46% 6 of 18 1 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Padilla 19 of 40 47% 7 of 25 2 of 4 10 of 11 19 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Llontop 12 of 26 46% 6 of 18 1 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Cody picks Llontop, citing his youth, cardio, and pressure style. He notes Padilla has lost all four step-up fights and is on short notice. He expects Llontop to overwhelm Padilla with volume and eventually finish him.

"long top rightful favorite"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Daniel likes Llontop's takedown defense, clean striking, and solid output. He views Padilla as a regional journeyman who only got the fight on short notice. He picks Llontop to win, possibly by knockout, but won't lay -400.

"I got to go Lop here to to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
James Llontop

Llontop is a pressure-heavy fighter who loves to move forward, grind opponents in the clinch, and take them down. He has good cardio and pace. Padilla is on short notice and has mediocre competition wins. I expect Llontop to walk through Padilla's early power, then overwhelm him with volume and output, finishing him in the second or third round.

"I think that lawn toop will just be too much for him in the spot and I think he ends up overwhelming him and finishing him in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Paul agrees, noting Llontop's win over Malik Lewis and Padilla's struggles against higher-level competition. He thinks Llontop's pace and power will be too much, and expects a knockout or clear decision.

"James laop is another one of your good picks this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
James Llontop

The MMA Guru picks James Llontop, comparing his composure to JDM and Max Holloway. He notes Llontop's technical striking, counter right hand, and ability to stay composed in the pocket. He criticizes Chris Padilla for coming from a low-level promotion and taking the fight on short notice, which may affect his weight cut. The Guru also mentions that Llontop had a full training camp and is more prepared.

"I'm going to go with James Lono over Chris Pilla"
Expert Picks (5)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Cody picks Llontop, citing his youth, cardio, and pressure style. He notes Padilla has lost all four step-up fights and is on short notice. He expects Llontop to overwhelm Padilla with volume and eventually finish him.

"long top rightful favorite"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Daniel likes Llontop's takedown defense, clean striking, and solid output. He views Padilla as a regional journeyman who only got the fight on short notice. He picks Llontop to win, possibly by knockout, but won't lay -400.

"I got to go Lop here to to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
James Llontop

Llontop is a pressure-heavy fighter who loves to move forward, grind opponents in the clinch, and take them down. He has good cardio and pace. Padilla is on short notice and has mediocre competition wins. I expect Llontop to walk through Padilla's early power, then overwhelm him with volume and output, finishing him in the second or third round.

"I think that lawn toop will just be too much for him in the spot and I think he ends up overwhelming him and finishing him in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
James Llontop

Paul agrees, noting Llontop's win over Malik Lewis and Padilla's struggles against higher-level competition. He thinks Llontop's pace and power will be too much, and expects a knockout or clear decision.

"James laop is another one of your good picks this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
James Llontop

The MMA Guru picks James Llontop, comparing his composure to JDM and Max Holloway. He notes Llontop's technical striking, counter right hand, and ability to stay composed in the pocket. He criticizes Chris Padilla for coming from a low-level promotion and taking the fight on short notice, which may affect his weight cut. The Guru also mentions that Llontop had a full training camp and is more prepared.

"I'm going to go with James Lono over Chris Pilla"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Does James have any jiu jitsu, nice rear choke by Chris,