Career Averages - Beatriz Mesquita
Career Averages - Montse Rendon
Beatriz Mesquita - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mesquita | 18 of 27 | 66% | 16 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 20 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beatriz Mesquita | 18 of 27 | 66% | 16 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 20 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mesquita (-550); Rendon (+400)
Round 1
Eric McMahon is the referee. Rendon is stumbled by a right and Mesquita goes on the attack, powering her her way into top position and unloading with ground and pound. Rendon scrambles back up only to be ground again. Mesquita gets full mount, where she’s dropping punches and elbows. Mesquita keeps her composure in the dominant position, picking her spots to land punches, hammerfists and elbows. Mesquita remains heavy on top, and she drops a heavy elbow, prompting Rendon to give up her back.
“Bia” wastes no time locking in a rear-naked choke, and Rendon taps out in a matter of seconds.
The Brazilian grappling ace is now 2-0 in the UFC with a pair of finishes to her credit.
The Official Result
Beatriz Mesquita def. Montserrat Rendon via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R1 2:07
Angelo picks Beatriz Mesquita but is not confident. He acknowledges her incredible jiu-jitsu but criticizes her poor striking and wrestling. He thinks if Montse Rendon can keep the fight standing, Mesquita will struggle. However, he picks Mesquita because of her finish upside if the fight goes to the ground. He advises against betting her at -450.
Big Brady picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by first-round submission, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and nasty ground-and-pound. He notes Mesquita can even compete on the feet against Rendon, who is slow and not great at anything. He expects Mesquita to take down Rendon and finish her quickly on the mat.
Cody picks Mesquita, citing her elite BJJ and ability to get takedowns. He notes Rendon's lack of finishing ability and poor striking accuracy. He expects Mesquita to submit or dominate on the ground.
Connor also picks Mesquita, emphasizing that Rendon is glacially slow and Mesquita should be able to take her down and submit her. He notes that Rendon has ideas but lacks the speed to execute them. Connor sees Mesquita's athleticism as the deciding factor.
James picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by submission, highlighting her elite grappling and Rendon's lack of striking. He believes Rendon's only path is to clinch and make it gritty, but Mesquita will likely reverse or submit her. He expects an inside-the-distance win.
The host picks Mesquita to win but is hesitant due to the steep odds. He acknowledges Mesquita's elite BJJ but questions her striking and wrestling against a strong, athletic opponent like Rendon. He expects the fight to go over 1.5 rounds and possibly to a decision, with Mesquita winning by grinding out a decision. He notes that Rendon's physicality and takedown defense could make it competitive, and he sees value in Rendon at plus odds.
Paul picks Mesquita, noting her grappling credentials and Rendon's inability to finish. He thinks Mesquita will get takedowns and control the fight. He mentions the price is steep but justified.
The Guru picks Beatriz Mesquita, calling her a generational jiu-jitsu athlete with dominant ground and pound. He thinks she will get takedowns and submit or ground-and-pound Rendon, though he notes the odds (-750) are too high. He expects Mesquita to get to dominant positions like the back or mount.
Zane picks Beatriz Mesquita, noting that she is a natural athlete with a jiu-jitsu background, while Rendon is one of the slowest fighters in the UFC. He believes Mesquita's speed and grappling will overwhelm Rendon, unless Rendon's size advantage proves too much. He sees Mesquita as able to win on physicality alone.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 36 of 63 | 57% | 61 of 98 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:53 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 6 of 23 | 26% | 17 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 36 of 58 | 62% | 56 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 5 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mesquita | 36 of 63 | 57% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 52 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 6 of 23 | 26% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 6 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beatriz Mesquita | 36 of 58 | 62% | 35 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 52 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 3 of 13 | 23% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Beatriz Mesquita | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mesquita (-600); Alekseeva (+450)
Round 1
The final women’s match of the day comes at 135 pounds between a newcomer and a Russian who likely is on the last fight of her initial four-bout deal with the UFC. Uber-talented grappler Mesquita (5-0, 0-0 UFC)—one of the best female grapplers ever, with more gold medals than Michael Phelps—gets to ply her trade in the Octagon. She faces a foe who calls herself “Russian Ronda,” but Alekseeva (5-3, 1-2 UFC) only sports one armbar in her career to date. What could be an interesting ground-based matchup will be officiated by referee Marc Goddard. The ladies tap their gloves together to engage.
Alekseeva assumes the center of the cage, while Mesquita keeps a wide berth away from practically anything the Russian tosses at her. Alekseeva gets off a jab or two, probing while the local contingent in the building call for her demise. Mesquita introduces herself a minute in with a chopping kick and a right hand, and she scores another when rushing towards “Russian Ronda” for a clinch to takedown effort. Mesquita presses Alekseeva to the wall, kicks off the fencing to creatively put Alekseeva on her back, and lands in full mount. Mesquita sells out looking for a finish via strikes, beating on Alekseeva like a rented mule. Punches and elbows continue to blast Alekseeva in the face, and a particularly harsh 12-to-6 elbow draws some blood on Alekseeva’s nose.
The grappler has Alekseeva flat on her back, bludgeoning her with punches and elbows as she sees fit, and she calms herself down rather than succumbing to an adrenaline dump hunting for the stoppage. No matter which way Alekseeva twists and bucks, Mesquita is comfortable on top of her making her day a bad one. Mesquita considers an arm-triangle choke, snaking her left arm behind the head, but she instead unloads with blistering elbows as Goddard is watching quite closely. The elbows have split Alekseeva open, and blood starts to pool in her eye socket. Mesquita sits up and considers an armbar, but instead postures up with seconds to go to rain down hellacious punches and elbows. Alekseeva somehow makes it to the bell, but if the second round goes anything like that, it may be a quick night at the office for the Brazilian.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita
Round 2
The Russian cleans up well between rounds, the blood all wiped away but her face undoubtedly showing some swelling…everywhere. Nevertheless, she works her way out of her corner and leads the dance with punches and kicks. With Mesquita constantly circling on the outer edge of the cage, Alekseeva has time to chip and probe with distant strikes. Mesquita clips her with a right hand, and she smoothly elevates and dumps Alekseeva to the floor effortlessly. By the time “Bia” hits the floor, she is somehow already in half guard, able to take side control if she moves just a slight bit up. Instead, her controlling posture shuts down Alekseeva, and she deftly advances to full mount.
Alekseeva bucks and turns to her back, and the textbook rear-naked choke from Mesquita is almost instantly set up. The grappling ace cinches her forearm beneath the chin without much resistance, and she rolls over to her back while leaning against the fencing to put as much pressure on the Russian as she can. Alekseeva’s arms start to show some slack as she stops fighting, and right before she goes out, her nose squirting a stream of blood in a less brutal version of Demian Maia vs. Rick Story, Alekseeva surrenders.
It was one-way traffic for the Brazilian, who makes a splash in her promotional debut and sets her sights on the top of her division.
The Official Result
Beatriz Mesquita def. Irina Alekseeva R2 2:14 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Beatriz Mesquita due to her elite grappling, calling her a 'death touch' on the ground. He believes if the fight goes to the ground, Bia wins. However, he warns against betting at -600 odds, as Irina is tough and has grappling of her own. He suggests waiting for better odds in future fights.
Big Brady picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by second-round TKO. He describes her as one of the best female grapplers in the world with a legit BJJ black belt and vicious ground and pound. He criticizes Irina Alekseeva as one of the worst fighters on the roster, with sloppy striking and no ground game. He expects Mesquita to get the fight down and finish quickly.
Cody picks Mesquita, noting her grappling credentials and Alekseeva's poor judo-based defense. He believes Mesquita will easily take her down and submit her. He calls it a straightforward fight.
Lucrative James is confident in Beatriz Mesquita, a 10-time BJJ world champion, to submit Irina Alekseeva. He notes that Alekseeva has poor grappling and tends to engage in it despite being outmatched. He expects Mesquita to take her down and finish, likely in round two or three, as Mesquita is not a fast starter. He sees this as a setup fight for Mesquita.
Manpreet is very confident in Mesquita, expecting her to submit Alekseeva early. He notes Alekseeva's poor takedown defense and Mesquita's elite BJJ. He recommends the under 1.5 rounds or Mesquita by submission prop as better bets than the moneyline.
Paul picks Mesquita, calling it a 'CF dot model' fight. He notes her world-class jiu-jitsu and training at American Top Team, while Alekseeva is a fraud with poor striking and takedown defense. He expects a submission win.
The MMA Guru picks Beatriz Mesquita over Irina Alekseeva, highlighting Mesquita's elite BJJ credentials and submission wins over Misha Tate and Jennifer Maia. He notes Alekseeva has lost to lesser competition and is 'double beneath' what he thought. He predicts a submission in the first or second round.
Montse Rendon - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mesquita | 18 of 27 | 66% | 16 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 20 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beatriz Mesquita | 18 of 27 | 66% | 16 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 20 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mesquita (-550); Rendon (+400)
Round 1
Eric McMahon is the referee. Rendon is stumbled by a right and Mesquita goes on the attack, powering her her way into top position and unloading with ground and pound. Rendon scrambles back up only to be ground again. Mesquita gets full mount, where she’s dropping punches and elbows. Mesquita keeps her composure in the dominant position, picking her spots to land punches, hammerfists and elbows. Mesquita remains heavy on top, and she drops a heavy elbow, prompting Rendon to give up her back.
“Bia” wastes no time locking in a rear-naked choke, and Rendon taps out in a matter of seconds.
The Brazilian grappling ace is now 2-0 in the UFC with a pair of finishes to her credit.
The Official Result
Beatriz Mesquita def. Montserrat Rendon via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R1 2:07
Angelo picks Beatriz Mesquita but is not confident. He acknowledges her incredible jiu-jitsu but criticizes her poor striking and wrestling. He thinks if Montse Rendon can keep the fight standing, Mesquita will struggle. However, he picks Mesquita because of her finish upside if the fight goes to the ground. He advises against betting her at -450.
Big Brady picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by first-round submission, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and nasty ground-and-pound. He notes Mesquita can even compete on the feet against Rendon, who is slow and not great at anything. He expects Mesquita to take down Rendon and finish her quickly on the mat.
Cody picks Mesquita, citing her elite BJJ and ability to get takedowns. He notes Rendon's lack of finishing ability and poor striking accuracy. He expects Mesquita to submit or dominate on the ground.
Connor also picks Mesquita, emphasizing that Rendon is glacially slow and Mesquita should be able to take her down and submit her. He notes that Rendon has ideas but lacks the speed to execute them. Connor sees Mesquita's athleticism as the deciding factor.
James picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by submission, highlighting her elite grappling and Rendon's lack of striking. He believes Rendon's only path is to clinch and make it gritty, but Mesquita will likely reverse or submit her. He expects an inside-the-distance win.
The host picks Mesquita to win but is hesitant due to the steep odds. He acknowledges Mesquita's elite BJJ but questions her striking and wrestling against a strong, athletic opponent like Rendon. He expects the fight to go over 1.5 rounds and possibly to a decision, with Mesquita winning by grinding out a decision. He notes that Rendon's physicality and takedown defense could make it competitive, and he sees value in Rendon at plus odds.
Paul picks Mesquita, noting her grappling credentials and Rendon's inability to finish. He thinks Mesquita will get takedowns and control the fight. He mentions the price is steep but justified.
The Guru picks Beatriz Mesquita, calling her a generational jiu-jitsu athlete with dominant ground and pound. He thinks she will get takedowns and submit or ground-and-pound Rendon, though he notes the odds (-750) are too high. He expects Mesquita to get to dominant positions like the back or mount.
Zane picks Beatriz Mesquita, noting that she is a natural athlete with a jiu-jitsu background, while Rendon is one of the slowest fighters in the UFC. He believes Mesquita's speed and grappling will overwhelm Rendon, unless Rendon's size advantage proves too much. He sees Mesquita as able to win on physicality alone.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 45 of 166 | 27% | 60 of 185 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Alice Pereira | 0 | 37 of 117 | 31% | 43 of 123 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montse Rendon | 0 | 11 of 40 | 27% | 15 of 44 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alice Pereira | 0 | 14 of 41 | 34% | 14 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Montse Rendon | 0 | 20 of 62 | 32% | 31 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Alice Pereira | 0 | 10 of 42 | 23% | 10 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Montse Rendon | 0 | 14 of 64 | 21% | 14 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Alice Pereira | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 19 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montse Rendon | 45 of 166 | 27% | 31 of 136 | 6 of 14 | 8 of 16 | 43 of 163 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Alice Pereira | 37 of 117 | 31% | 29 of 103 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 35 of 115 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montse Rendon | 11 of 40 | 27% | 6 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 8 | 10 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alice Pereira | 14 of 41 | 34% | 7 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Montse Rendon | 20 of 62 | 32% | 16 of 55 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 20 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alice Pereira | 10 of 42 | 23% | 9 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Montse Rendon | 14 of 64 | 21% | 9 of 53 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alice Pereira | 13 of 34 | 38% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo buys into the hype on Alice, a 19-year-old striker with good speed, power, and takedown defense. He notes she is a hyped prospect and the UFC is promoting her heavily. However, he is concerned about her limited MMA experience and the matchup against a grappler with takedowns. He says he would pick Montserrat if he hadn't watched her get out-struck despite getting takedowns in her last fight. He says he cannot bet here.
Big Brady picks Rendon because she has UFC experience and can wrestle/grapple, while Pereira is a complete unknown with poor competition. However, he calls it a '1-800 gambler matchup' and says he would never bet on it. He notes Pereira looked good but only against mall security-level opponents.
Pereira is seen as a promising prospect despite being young and wild. The host expects her to fend off Rendon's grappling and use her power to win by knockout, making a dominant statement in her UFC debut.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Alice Pereira, acknowledging her youth and the risk of fading women's MMA prospects. He notes Pereira has power to finish on the feet and consistent finishes, but her last performance was weak. He contrasts her with Montse Rendon, who he sees as unimpressive with only moderate grappling. He trusts Pereira's well-roundedness as a slight favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daria Zhelezniakova | 0 | 25 of 147 | 17% | 28 of 156 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:24 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 57 of 150 | 38% | 73 of 171 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daria Zhelezniakova | 0 | 6 of 37 | 16% | 7 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 18 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Daria Zhelezniakova | 0 | 14 of 66 | 21% | 16 of 70 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 24 of 72 | 33% | 24 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Daria Zhelezniakova | 0 | 5 of 44 | 11% | 5 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 |
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 23 of 46 | 50% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daria Zhelezniakova | 25 of 147 | 17% | 19 of 134 | 4 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 137 | 0 of 8 | 0 of 2 |
| Montse Rendon | 57 of 150 | 38% | 36 of 125 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 51 of 144 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daria Zhelezniakova | 6 of 37 | 16% | 3 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Montse Rendon | 10 of 32 | 31% | 7 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Daria Zhelezniakova | 14 of 66 | 21% | 12 of 61 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 2 |
| Montse Rendon | 24 of 72 | 33% | 16 of 62 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Daria Zhelezniakova | 5 of 44 | 11% | 4 of 40 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 40 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Montse Rendon | 23 of 46 | 50% | 13 of 34 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zheleznykova (-218), Rendon (+180)
Round 1
The largest betting favorite of the evening comes in this preliminary women’s bantamweight tilt. Heavy underdog Rendon (6-0, 1-0 UFC) will try to land an upset again powerful Russian Zheleznyakova (8-1, 0-0 UFC), with the latter coming in around -250 depending on the book. Whether the lines can be trusted or if all bets are off, they will have 15 minutes to figure it out. Joining them in the cage will be referee Jason Herzog, who sits back as Zheleznyakova cruises forward ready to throw down. The Russian tags her unbeaten opponent in the mouth with an overhand right, and she backs her off with a pair of punches to follow. Rendon throws back but is out of range, as Zheleznyakova zips in and out to find her own shots. Zheleznyakova connects with a powerful right hand, and Rendon counters inaccurately. Rendon sits down on a right hand after eating a one-two, and she presses forward and takes Zheleznyakova down to the mat with a body lock. Zheleznyakova scoots her way to put her back to the wall, and she wall-walks and grabs the fence to do so. Rendon presses hard on her and searches for a mat return with various trips, and she eats a knee right on the solar plexus that stands her up momentarily. Rendon tries with all her might to secure another body lock takedown, but Zheleznyakova breaks free and jabs her in the face. Zheleznyakova sticks and moves as Rendon comes up shy of the mark with an overhand right, and she is in and out to land another right. Rendon scores at the end of a right hand, and she races forward as Zheleznyakova circles away. Zheleznyakova aims a right to the ribs and meets a blitzing Rendon with a knee to the sternum, shutting down Rendon’s takedown effort. Zheleznyakova overswings on a right hand, leading Rendon to snag hold of her and push her to the fence. Rendon completes the outside trip with her body lock and places Zheleznyakova flat on her back. Rendon lands in half guard, and she hangs on until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova
Round 2
Zheleznyakova starts off the second round aggressively, with several punches down the middle. Rendon lets fly her own strikes but is out of range again, as Zheleznyakova keeps her at the end of her punches and knocks her back with a long left hand and a body kick. Zheleznyakova lands a right hand and shuts down a takedown effort with a pair of punches. Rendon scores straight punches that bust open a cut on the Russian’s nose. Rendon pushes forward to pursue a takedown, and she fails to get it and eats a few punches on the nose. Zheleznyakova decides to start slugging it out, her nose leaking red down her face. Zheleznyakova surges forward to land a few, and Rendon has found her home with her power punches. Zheleznyakova spins with a strike and is stopped with a right hand, and Rendon clips her again as she tries to spin. Rendon crashes the pocket in pursuit of a takedown, and Zheleznyakova grabs the fence and has her hand slapped. The close round ends in the clinch.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rendon
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rendon
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rendon
Round 3
Zheleznyakova is cleared to compete in the last round, and they proceed to swing it out inaccurately. Zheleznyakova lobs a big left hand and brushes past the cheek, and she knocks Rendon back with a jab. Rendon crowds her but does not tie her up, instead backing up when she cannot find the right angle for a takedown. Zheleznyakova snaps the head back with a jab, and aims a right hand to the body and just misses a left over the top. Rendon sprints at her recklessly, dodging a strike and tying Zheleznyakova up to go after some kind of awkward takedown. Zheleznyakova shuts it all down and escapes out the side, and she pops out her jab to decent effect. When settling down with a big right hand, she gets backed off, but lands on the chest. Zheleznyakova goes high with a left and low with a right, and she snipes a charging Rendon with shots as Rendon runs at her. Rendon looks for a body lock and a trip, and she gets Zheleznyakova down to a knee for a moment before Zheleznyakova gets right back up. Rendon wrenches her down to a knee again, and she keeps her body weight pressed on the Russian to nullify any other offense. Zheleznyakova aims knees to the body as she tries to escape the clinch, and Rendon hooks her legs between her opponent’s. Zheleznyakova breaks free and lands a jab and a spinning back fist. Zheleznyakova spins with another back fist, and when that misses, she follows with a left that nails the unbeaten fighter. Rendon spins back with a fist that lands, and Zheleznyakova spins two more times to end the bantamweight bout.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova (29-28 Zheleznyakova)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova (29-28 Zheleznyakova)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova (29-28 Zheleznyakova)
The Official Result
Dariya Zheleznyakova def. Montserrat Rendon via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Montse Rendon as a very low confidence pick, citing her ground game as the deciding factor. He notes that Rendon can weather the storm, move forward, and grind out a win on the ground, similar to her win over Tamires Vidal. He sees a wide skill gap on the ground favoring Rendon, but acknowledges Daria's striking power. He considers a plus 3.5 round bet if the odds are favorable.
Big Brady picks Daria Zhelezniakova, impressed by her striking, hand speed, and power. He notes her takedown defense is a potential hole but believes she can win enough minutes on the feet. He mentions that judges are scoring damage over control time, which favors Zhelezniakova if Rendon takes her down but does nothing. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks Zhelezniakova, citing her striking advantage and power. He notes that Rendon is a grappler who may struggle to get takedowns and hold position. Cody acknowledges the price is high but believes Zhelezniakova's skills on the feet will carry her.
Daniel Vreeland picks Daria Zhelezniakova by decision, praising her striking speed and technique. He notes Rendon's wrestling is limited to catching kicks and that Zhelezniakova can box her up. He expects Zhelezniakova to win all three rounds on the feet.
Rendon has solid basics, good physicality, and a BJJ brown belt. She showed improvement in her last fight by mixing in takedowns. Zhelezniakova is a UFC newcomer with questionable takedown defense and doesn't do anything exceptionally well. Rendon's strength and one-two down the pipe could be the difference. However, the line may move, and Rendon is only a lean at current odds.
Paul picks Zhelezniakova but notes the line has moved too much. He thinks her striking and improved takedown defense will be enough. Paul expects a decision win for Zhelezniakova.
The MMA Guru picks Daria Zhelezniakova over Montse Rendon, believing she is a much better striker. He references the Christian Rodriguez vs. Isaac Dulgarian fight to argue that control time doesn't matter to judges; damage does. He thinks Zhelezniakova will land more shots and win on damage, even if she ends up on bottom. He notes her loss to Melissa Mullins but sees her as the younger, more technical fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montse Rendon | 0 | 60 of 109 | 55% | 78 of 131 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Tamires Vidal | 0 | 69 of 182 | 37% | 112 of 240 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 4:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montse Rendon | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 31 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Tamires Vidal | 0 | 17 of 54 | 31% | 27 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Montse Rendon | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 21 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tamires Vidal | 0 | 25 of 61 | 40% | 35 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 | |
| 3 | Montse Rendon | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 26 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tamires Vidal | 0 | 27 of 67 | 40% | 50 of 97 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montse Rendon | 60 of 109 | 55% | 17 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 40 of 47 | 60 of 108 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tamires Vidal | 69 of 182 | 37% | 45 of 148 | 11 of 18 | 13 of 16 | 55 of 151 | 1 of 2 | 13 of 29 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montse Rendon | 23 of 40 | 57% | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 17 | 23 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tamires Vidal | 17 of 54 | 31% | 13 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Montse Rendon | 21 of 38 | 55% | 5 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 19 | 21 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tamires Vidal | 25 of 61 | 40% | 17 of 50 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 12 | |
| 3 | Montse Rendon | 16 of 31 | 51% | 5 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 11 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tamires Vidal | 27 of 67 | 40% | 15 of 51 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 18 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 17 |
Angelo believes Vidal is better than Rendon at Rendon's best skill. He notes Vidal hits harder, is stronger, has more experience, and should be a much heavier favorite. He sees no path to victory for Rendon and considers Vidal parlayable.
Big Brady picks Tamires Vidal, citing her youth (25), improvements, brown belt in BJJ, and power on the feet. He notes she knocked out Ramona Pascual, who is tough, and believes Vidal can win by KO, sub, or decision. He is not betting at -220 but confidently picks her to win, predicting a second-round submission.
Cody picks Tamires Vidal as a live underdog, citing Rendon's age (34), poor wrestling, and close decisions. He notes Vidal's youth (25), explosiveness, and physicality. He thinks Vidal can mix in takedowns and win a decision or finish.
Daniel picks Rendon as a dog, believing the odds are off. He criticizes Vidal's performance against Ailin Perez (a loss) and notes she was outstruck by a can. He thinks Rendon is tough, has decent volume, and can win a decision. He sees this as a low-level fight where the underdog has value.
Lucrative James explicitly says he hasn't taped this fight and is not going to speak about it. He skips it entirely, so no pick is made.
The host picks Rendon as a plus 185 underdog, questioning Vidal's skills and calling her a 'poor woman's Priscilla Cachoeira.' He notes Rendon's athleticism, tight boxing, and straight shots down the pipe to counter Vidal's wide hooks. He worries about Vidal's grappling but believes Rendon's strength and BJJ brown belt will keep the fight standing. He predicts a decision win.
Paul has no clear pick for this fight. He is interested in Vidal under 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks, noting she is more of a striker and was dominated on the ground by Eileen Perez. He does not commit to a winner.
The MMA Guru picks Tamires Vidal to win by TKO, citing her aggression and knockout power. He criticizes Montse Rendon's late start in MMA and unimpressive regional wins, including a split decision over a 4-4 opponent. He notes Vidal's only loss is to Carol Rosa and that she is 2-0 in the UFC, showing confidence from her team. He believes Vidal's power and aggression will overwhelm Rendon.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Beatriz Mesquita but is not confident. He acknowledges her incredible jiu-jitsu but criticizes her poor striking and wrestling. He thinks if Montse Rendon can keep the fight standing, Mesquita will struggle. However, he picks Mesquita because of her finish upside if the fight goes to the ground. He advises against betting her at -450.
Big Brady picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by first-round submission, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and nasty ground-and-pound. He notes Mesquita can even compete on the feet against Rendon, who is slow and not great at anything. He expects Mesquita to take down Rendon and finish her quickly on the mat.
Cody picks Mesquita, citing her elite BJJ and ability to get takedowns. He notes Rendon's lack of finishing ability and poor striking accuracy. He expects Mesquita to submit or dominate on the ground.
Connor also picks Mesquita, emphasizing that Rendon is glacially slow and Mesquita should be able to take her down and submit her. He notes that Rendon has ideas but lacks the speed to execute them. Connor sees Mesquita's athleticism as the deciding factor.
James picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by submission, highlighting her elite grappling and Rendon's lack of striking. He believes Rendon's only path is to clinch and make it gritty, but Mesquita will likely reverse or submit her. He expects an inside-the-distance win.
The host picks Mesquita to win but is hesitant due to the steep odds. He acknowledges Mesquita's elite BJJ but questions her striking and wrestling against a strong, athletic opponent like Rendon. He expects the fight to go over 1.5 rounds and possibly to a decision, with Mesquita winning by grinding out a decision. He notes that Rendon's physicality and takedown defense could make it competitive, and he sees value in Rendon at plus odds.
Paul picks Mesquita, noting her grappling credentials and Rendon's inability to finish. He thinks Mesquita will get takedowns and control the fight. He mentions the price is steep but justified.
The Guru picks Beatriz Mesquita, calling her a generational jiu-jitsu athlete with dominant ground and pound. He thinks she will get takedowns and submit or ground-and-pound Rendon, though he notes the odds (-750) are too high. He expects Mesquita to get to dominant positions like the back or mount.
Zane picks Beatriz Mesquita, noting that she is a natural athlete with a jiu-jitsu background, while Rendon is one of the slowest fighters in the UFC. He believes Mesquita's speed and grappling will overwhelm Rendon, unless Rendon's size advantage proves too much. He sees Mesquita as able to win on physicality alone.
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