Career Averages - Vitor Petrino
Career Averages - Steven Asplund
Vitor Petrino - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 92 of 161 | 57% | 92 of 162 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Steven Asplund | 1 | 61 of 158 | 38% | 73 of 172 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Steven Asplund | 1 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 32 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Steven Asplund | 0 | 14 of 50 | 28% | 14 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 39 of 72 | 54% | 39 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Asplund | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 92 of 161 | 57% | 59 of 126 | 18 of 18 | 15 of 17 | 92 of 160 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 61 of 158 | 38% | 48 of 140 | 4 of 8 | 9 of 10 | 58 of 154 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 19 of 37 | 51% | 14 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 20 of 45 | 44% | 14 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 34 of 52 | 65% | 25 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 7 | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 14 of 50 | 28% | 12 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 39 of 72 | 54% | 20 of 52 | 13 of 13 | 6 of 7 | 39 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 27 of 63 | 42% | 22 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Steven Asplund despite being an underdog. He criticizes Vitor Petrino's lack of killer instinct and fight IQ, and believes Asplund's incredible cardio, durability, and forward pressure will break Petrino. He notes that Petrino is more athletic and technical, but Asplund's willpower and toughness will be the difference. He is not betting on it due to heavyweight unpredictability.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by first-round submission. He is a fan of Asplund but worries about his takedown defense, citing the Don'Tale Mayes fight where he was dominated. He believes Petrino's wrestling and strength will be too much, and if Asplund hasn't improved his grappling, Petrino will finish him quickly.
Cody picks Asplund as a dog, citing Petrino's poor cardio, questionable chin, and broken hand. He notes Asplund's volume and durability, and thinks he can outwork Petrino and potentially finish him late.
Connor picks Petrino, agreeing that being at heavyweight has emboldened him to be the powerful guy he was at light heavyweight. He notes that the speed of opponents at light heavyweight may have freaked him out, but now he feels like a god against slower heavyweights.
James picks Vitor Petrino to win by submission, highlighting his black belt in BJJ and Asplund's only loss coming by submission. He notes Petrino's grappling advantage and Asplund's tendency to give up his neck. He mentions a possible hand injury for Petrino but still expects a submission win.
The host picks Petrino to win by submission, citing his power and grappling advantage. He expects Petrino to take Asplund down and find a finish, noting that Asplund's lack of athleticism and strength will be exploited. He acknowledges Asplund's cardio could be a factor in deeper waters, but believes Petrino's early power will be decisive.
Paul leans Petrino but is not confident. He notes Petrino's grappling and power, but acknowledges his cardio issues and the broken hand narrative. He thinks Petrino can get takedowns and control, but it's risky.
The Guru picks Vitor Petrino, despite liking Asplund's style. He thinks Petrino's grappling will be the difference, as Asplund may struggle to escape bottom position. He predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke, noting Petrino's success in his debut.
Zane picks Petrino, noting that the heavyweight move seems to be working for him and he is an athletic lightyear ahead of Asplund. He describes Asplund as a volume striker who gets hammered and has already lost to Denzel Freeman regionally.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 2 | 31 of 54 | 57% | 33 of 61 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Thomas Petersen | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 41 of 62 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 1 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 15 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Thomas Petersen | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 22 of 27 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Thomas Petersen | 0 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 1 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Thomas Petersen | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 31 of 54 | 57% | 25 of 46 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 29 | 9 of 12 | 9 of 13 |
| Thomas Petersen | 16 of 35 | 45% | 7 of 25 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 29 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 13 of 20 | 65% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 10 |
| Thomas Petersen | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 14 of 28 | 50% | 8 of 21 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 19 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 1 |
| Thomas Petersen | 13 of 28 | 46% | 7 of 21 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Thomas Petersen | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Vitor Petrino, believing he is better everywhere except for pure grit. He thinks Vitor can find a finish, but acknowledges the risk of Thomas Petersen grinding out a win if he gets top position. He is undecided on betting due to Vitor's lack of true heavyweight size and the possibility of being controlled on the ground.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by second-round knockout. He notes Petrino has filled out at heavyweight and put on muscle, and believes he will win because many heavyweights are not great. He thinks Petersen is more skilled than shown but won't outwrestle or outstrike Petrino. Brady leans toward a knockout, saying Petrino will touch Petersen's chin.
Cody picks Petersen as well, noting Petrino's history of underperforming as a favorite. He highlights Petrino's low volume and poor wrestling, while Petersen is a better wrestler and throws more volume. He expects a close fight but sees value in the underdog.
Lucrative James picks Vitor Petrino by KO, but is not confident due to Petrino's chin issues and the -310 price. He notes Petrino's power advantage and Petersen's poor striking defense. He acknowledges Petersen's wrestling and cardio could grind out a decision, but sees a knockout as most likely. He mentions he might bet against his pick with a Petersen decision longshot.
Manpreet picks Petersen as an underdog, believing that if Petersen can avoid Petrino's early knockout power, his wrestling and cardio will take over. He notes Petersen's dominant performance against Mayes and expects him to wear Petrino down, potentially finishing in round three. He loves the plus 260 line and also considers the round three prop.
Paul picks Petersen as a dog, citing Petrino's poor wrestling and low volume. He notes Petersen's wrestling credentials and durability, and believes he can outwork Petrino. He calls it a 'dog or pass' fight.
The MMA Guru picks Vitor Petrino over Thomas Petersen, citing Petrino's size, power, and grappling skills. He notes Petersen is out of shape and Petrino showed good jiu-jitsu in his last fight. He predicts a TKO finish in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 17 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Austen Lane | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 17 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Austen Lane | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Austen Lane | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Austen Lane | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Vitor Petrino despite moving up to heavyweight, citing Austen Lane's lack of chin and reliance on grappling. He thinks Petrino's physicality and athleticism will be enough to win, but he despises the -700 odds. He notes Petrino was winning his last fight before getting knocked out, and Lane is chinny.
Big Brady is confident in Vitor Petrino, noting that Austen Lane has been brutally knocked out multiple times and is 37 with a history of concussions. He believes Petrino will knock out Lane in hilarious fashion. He expresses concern for Lane's health and hopes this is his last fight.
Connor picks Petrino easily, calling Austen Lane a person who should not be fighting—he closes his eyes when striking and gets hurt badly every time he trades. He notes that Petrino is moving up to heavyweight but is still a competent wrestler, unlike Robles de Spain who Lane beat. Connor believes this fight says nothing about Petrino's prospects but is a clear win.
The host expects Petrino's power to translate to heavyweight and that he will eventually clip Lane and put him away. However, he advises against betting Petrino at -700, indicating the odds are too steep. The pick is based on Petrino's power and Lane's recent knockout losses.
The MMA Guru picks Vitor Petrino, citing Austen Lane's history of being knocked out (by Greg Hardy, Junior Tafa, Mario Pinto) and his poor striking defense with hands down. He expects Petrino's check hook to catch Lane as he darts in, leading to a first-round TKO. He also notes Petrino's decent scrambles on the ground, unlike Lane's vulnerability.
Zane agrees, calling Lane a 'fundamentally not a fighter' who takes severe damage. He notes that Petrino, despite his flaws, is a competent wrestler and athlete who should handle Lane easily. Zane criticizes the UFC for keeping Lane, comparing it to the Connor Matthews situation.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 40 of 96 | 41% | 40 of 96 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Vitor Petrino | 1 | 45 of 96 | 46% | 47 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 11 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Vitor Petrino | 1 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 40 of 96 | 41% | 27 of 79 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 10 | 40 of 96 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 45 of 96 | 46% | 23 of 69 | 7 of 9 | 15 of 18 | 39 of 87 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 10 of 26 | 38% | 5 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 12 of 32 | 37% | 5 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 8 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dustin Jacoby | 19 of 47 | 40% | 16 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 18 of 36 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 18 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dustin Jacoby | 11 of 23 | 47% | 6 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 15 of 28 | 53% | 10 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Petrino because he hits hard and Jacoby's chin is declining. He notes Petrino's power, evolving grappling, and takedowns, while Jacoby is a high-level kickboxer with okay power and 60% takedown defense. He expresses concern about Petrino's smiling reaction after his submission loss to Anthony Smith, but believes it was a fluke. He thinks Jacoby could turn it into a dogfight but Petrino's power is the difference.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by decision. He thinks Petrino is younger, improving, and has more ways to win, including power and takedowns. He notes Jacoby has been dropped often and was recently knocked out by Reyes. He expects Petrino to mix in takedowns and land big shots, but not finish.
Cody picks Vitor Petrino but with low confidence, noting his poor gas tank and green technique. He believes Petrino will rely on takedowns and top control to win rounds, but Jacoby's striking advantage could be problematic. Cody suggests a live bet on Jacoby after the first round if Petrino tires.
Connor picks Jacoby as well, agreeing that Petrino's new style is ineffective. He notes that Petrino's game is 'empty' and that Jacoby is a good outboxer who can take advantage. However, Connor also worries about Jacoby's durability, citing his knockout loss to Reyes and shaky moments against Alonzo Menifield.
Daniel Vreeland picks Vitor Petrino to get back on track after his loss to Anthony Smith. He acknowledges Dustin Jacoby's technical kickboxing but worries about Jacoby's durability and tendency to get hurt. Vreeland believes Petrino's freak athleticism and power can change the fight with one shot, even if he's being outpointed. He also notes Petrino can mix in takedowns if needed.
Lucrative James picks Vitor Petrino to win, citing Petrino's multiple paths to victory including knockout and grappling. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing background and takedown defense, but believes Petrino's physicality and raw power will be too much. He expresses low interest in betting the fight unless prop odds are wide, but confidently predicts Petrino as the winner.
Petrino will crash the pocket effectively and land big shots on Jacoby, who struggles against opponents with big power. The finish is expected within the first two rounds.
Paul picks Dustin Jacoby as an underdog, citing Petrino's struggles against strikers and Jacoby's striking volume. He notes that Petrino's takedowns are his only path, but Jacoby's takedown defense and ability to get back up could neutralize that. Paul is surprised Petrino is such a big favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby as an underdog, questioning why he is such a big underdog. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing experience and ability to invest in strikes, though he acknowledges Jacoby's chin has let him down. He believes Petrino's win over Smith was unimpressive (guillotine) and that Jacoby's layers and conditioning will give him an edge. He admits the oddsmakers might know something he doesn't.
Zane picks Jacoby because Petrino has abandoned his effective bullying style for a technical out-fighting game that doesn't work. He notes that Petrino's recent losses to Anthony Smith and Tyson Pedro show he has no plan, and Jacoby should have plenty of time and space to outbox him. However, Zane is concerned about Jacoby's chin and age.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Smith | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith | 11 of 20 | 55% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 10 of 22 | 45% | 4 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Smith | 11 of 20 | 55% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 10 of 22 | 45% | 4 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Petrino due to youth, size, and strength, despite Smith being the better technical fighter. He notes Smith has taken too much damage and is past his prime, while Petrino is evolving. He calls it a 'changing of the guard' fight.
Big Brady favors Petrino's youth and momentum, noting his ability to win by knockout or decision. He thinks Smith is past his prime and has taken too much damage. He predicts Petrino wins by grinding decision, possibly taking Smith down.
Cody picks Petrino, citing his physical strength, takedown ability, and power. He notes Smith's durability is questionable after the Krylov loss. However, Cody won't bet at -600 due to lack of value.
Daniel Vreeland picks Petrino, noting his physicality, wrestling, and youth advantage over the aging Smith. He highlights Petrino's takedowns in every UFC fight and his ability to push a high pace. He warns that Smith could capitalize on a mistake with a submission, but believes Petrino is the much better wrestler and more likely to win minutes. He does not lay the -600 price but is confident in Petrino's victory.
Daniel Vreeland agrees with Jeff Fox on Vitor Petrino. He also notes the risk due to Petrino's cardio and Smith's submission threat. Vreeland says he is staying away from betting the -500 line because Anthony Smith has screwed bettors over before when written off. He acknowledges Smith's grappling skills but thinks Petrino will knock him out if he fights smart.
Jeff Fox picks Vitor Petrino but is wary of betting the -500 line. He believes Petrino will knock out Anthony Smith if he keeps his distance and throws bombs, as Smith has no chin left. However, Fox notes that Petrino got tired in his last fight, and Smith still has great jiu-jitsu. If Petrino grapples and tires himself out, he could get submitted. Fox calls it an IQ test for Petrino and says he is staying away from parlays involving this fight due to the risk.
Petrino is 11-0 and has developed in every aspect of his MMA game. He came in as a power puncher but now implements a grapple-heavy approach. He will put big punches on Smith, take him down, and grind him out over 15 minutes, showing that Smith is over the hill.
Paul picks Petrino but with hesitation, noting Petrino is still green, makes mistakes, and hasn't faced high-level competition. He thinks Smith is washed but could be competitive. Paul sees Petrino as a fade candidate at this price but expects him to win.
The MMA Guru picks Vitor Petrino, citing his physicality, takedown defense, and knockout power. He believes Anthony Smith struggles against athletic, powerful opponents and often shells up under pressure. He notes Petrino's composed striking and low kicks, and expects him to exploit Smith's weaknesses, possibly finishing him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 33 of 82 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 5:24 |
| Tyson Pedro | 0 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 33 of 64 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 10 of 28 | 35% | 10 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tyson Pedro | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 11 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 10 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Tyson Pedro | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 13 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:08 |
| Tyson Pedro | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 27 of 75 | 36% | 16 of 59 | 4 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Tyson Pedro | 30 of 60 | 50% | 3 of 29 | 11 of 15 | 16 of 16 | 29 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 10 of 28 | 35% | 5 of 20 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tyson Pedro | 11 of 24 | 45% | 0 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 11 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 10 of 30 | 33% | 6 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tyson Pedro | 14 of 22 | 63% | 1 of 6 | 5 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 13 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Tyson Pedro | 5 of 14 | 35% | 2 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Vitor Petrino, calling it a fraud check fight but believing Petrino passes. He notes Petrino's power, athleticism, and wrestling, though he can be sloppy. He thinks Petrino's advantages in power and speed should be enough to win.
Big Brady picks Petrino due to Pedro's poor cardio and 0-3 record in fights that reach the second round. He notes Petrino has excellent cardio, a good chin, and can mix in takedowns, while Pedro is a first-round bust with all 10 wins coming in the first round. He expects Petrino to survive an early storm and finish Pedro late second or third round by TKO.
Cody also picks Petrino, citing his superior wrestling and ground game as the key. He notes Pedro's takedown defense is poor (52%) and he's faced almost no wrestlers. Cody believes Petrino can strike with Pedro but also take him down and smother him. He acknowledges Petrino's cardio could be a concern but thinks Pedro's cardio is equally poor, evening things out.
Petrino is an undefeated prospect with great punching power and improving grappling. He has excellent awareness to avoid bad positions and can explode out of them. Pedro has slick submissions but Petrino's takedown defense and ability to reverse positions should nullify that. Petrino will dictate where the fight takes place and land the bigger, better strikes. The host expects a finish, likely by knockout in the second round.
Paul likes Petrino's development and well-rounded skills, noting his solid striking, takedowns, and improving cardio. He believes Petrino will take over if Pedro doesn't catch him early, and that Petrino has a big advantage in the later rounds. He mentions Petrino's chin has been tested but he's only 26 and learning on the job.
The MMA Guru picks Petrino, noting his KO of Modestas Bukauskas while Pedro lost to Bukauskas on short notice. He expects a close first round but Petrino to take over in the second, muscling forward for a TKO. He mentions if it goes past round one, he leans Petrino and suggests checking odds after round one.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 1 | 8 of 26 | 30% | 14 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Modestas Bukauskas | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 12 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Modestas Bukauskas | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 1 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Modestas Bukauskas | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 8 of 26 | 30% | 6 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 |
| Modestas Bukauskas | 9 of 19 | 47% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 6 of 21 | 28% | 4 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 |
| Modestas Bukauskas | 5 of 12 | 41% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Modestas Bukauskas | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Petrino (-218), Bukauskas (+180)
Round 1
The second of three undefeated Brazilians on the card takes center stage next, as Petrino (9-0, 2-0 UFC) aims to pick up his 10th win as a pro at the expense of Bukauskas (15-5, 3-3 UFC). Fists and feet are sure to fly shortly between these two light heavyweights, but before they do, referee Marc Goddard has to clock them in. A brief tap of the gloves leads to a faked kick from Bukauskas, who looks for his range and manages to plant his shin on Petrino’s calf early. Bukauskas fires off a head kick to follow, and Petrino’s guard is up well in time to defend. Bukauskas comes up short with another high kick, and he parries a jab and whiffs with a low kick. Bukauskas protects his face from an oncoming head kick, and he pokes at the lead calf. Petrino paws out a jab and absorbs a thumping calf kick, and he tosses another high kick that does not find its target. Jabs are attempted from both sides, and Bukauskas reaches out with a left hook and blocks a kick aimed at his temple. Petrino doubles up on a jab and fires off a left hook that grazes the hair, and they reset with a jab from both men. Petrino sneaks in a jab, and he takes a calf kick and attempts a takedown. When he trips Bukauskas up, the Brazilian elects to lift Bukauskas in the air and slam him down with a powerbomb seen in the professional wrestling circuits. When Bukauskas looks to scramble, Petrino continues maintaining top position while shifting into half guard. Bukauskas defends himself from any ground-and-pound by hanging onto Petrino’s forearms, and the subsequent inactivity prompts Goddard to issue a warning. Petrino scores a pair of punches, and Bukauskas bucks off and starts striking back. A few more short punches from Petrino end the low-paced frame.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petrino
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Petrino
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petrino
Round 2
The light heavyweights touch gloves, and Goddard steps in 15 seconds into the round to command that Bukauskas get his mouthpiece replaced, and that the commission get it together. When they resume after the awkward pause, both men go for big strikes, and they partially connect.
Bukauskas looks to settle down with a jab, and as soon as he sits down on it, Petrino slides to the side and uncorks a short but lethal left hook that completely flatlines Bukauskas. The back of Bukauskas’ head clatters off the floor as his eyes roll back, and an attentive Goddard leaps in before Petrino can clobber him with any additional strikes.
Bukauskas tries to get back to his feet and motion that he was just flash knocked down, but he needs help standing up as commission and medical officials rush to his aid. This is a massive victory for the still-undefeated Petrino, who has performed finishes in eight of his 10 pro wins to date.
The Official Result
Vitor Petrino def. Modestas Bukauskas R2 1:03 via KO (Punch)
Angelo picks Petrino but is not super confident. He notes Petrino is dangerous with power and athleticism, but can be sloppy and dropped. Bukauskas is a good striker with decent takedown defense. Angelo thinks Petrino's relentless aggression will win him the fight, but he leaves Petrino out of parlays because Bukauskas could play spoiler at plus money.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by knockout in the second round. He criticizes Bukauskas as a boring point fighter and praises Petrino's evolving skillset, including takedowns and cardio. He believes Petrino can win by any method but prefers the knockout. He notes Petrino's physical strength and ability to go 15 minutes.
Daniel Levi picks Vitor Petrino, describing him as a physical freak with one-punch knockout power, strong wrestling, and submission skills. He notes that Petrino is still evolving and should be able to steamroll Bukauskas. Levi points out Bukauskas' poor striking defense, with his chin often in the air, and his history of being knocked out. He sees Bukauskas as a low-volume kickboxer who can be overwhelmed. Levi expects Petrino to finish the fight, possibly in the second round.
James is quite confident in Petrino, stating he has all the upside in every aspect of the fight: knockout, submission, and decision. He believes Petrino deserves to be a big favorite and that Bukauskas' only path to victory is if Petrino gasses or if it becomes a low-volume point striking affair, which he does not see happening. He does not specify a method of victory but is confident Petrino gets the win.
Petrino has shown a solid gas tank for light heavyweight and is working on his jiu-jitsu, as seen in his last fight. He has speed, power, and explosiveness that will trouble Bukauskas. Petrino can either knock him out or use his grappling advantage to take him down and grind him out. The -200 range is a good spot to jump in.
The MMA Guru picks Modestas Bukauskas as an underdog over Vitor Petrino. He highlights Bukauskas' experience and reach advantage, and notes his impressive performance against Tyson Pedro on short notice. The Guru believes Bukauskas is underrated and that Petrino may struggle with the reach and stand-up. He also mentions Bukauskas was arguably robbed against Marcin Prachnio. The Guru likes Bukauskas' odds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 44 of 81 | 54% | 72 of 111 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 8:39 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 55 of 88 | 62% | 147 of 185 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 16 of 33 | 48% | 20 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 32 of 44 | 72% | 66 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 30 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:38 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 56 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 22 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 21 of 39 | 53% | 25 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 44 of 81 | 54% | 32 of 68 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 22 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 55 of 88 | 62% | 25 of 54 | 21 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 73 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 16 of 33 | 48% | 9 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 32 of 44 | 72% | 12 of 23 | 14 of 15 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 32 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 11 of 15 | 73% | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 11 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 17 of 33 | 51% | 13 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 21 of 39 | 53% | 12 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Petrino but warns against including him in parlays, citing the recent trend of undefeated prospects losing. He notes Petrino's power and offensive wrestling but poor takedown defense. Prachnio has veteran savvy and power, but his chin is questionable. He sees Petrino having multiple ways to win but lacks confidence.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by first-round knockout. He was impressed by Petrino's wrestling in his last fight, taking down Anton Turkalj seven times. He notes that Prachnio has been knocked out by lesser strikers and has poor durability. He believes Petrino can knock him out on the feet or take him down and finish him. He mentions that Prachnio's path to victory is leg kicks and running away, but he doesn't think the fight goes to decision.
Cody picks Petrino, citing his power and youth. He notes Prachnio has a questionable chin and has been knocked out early in the UFC. He thinks Petrino will crack him early. He says there's no value at -300 but Petrino should win.
Connor picks Petrino because he is too violent for Prachnio, who has become a safe fighter after being knocked out. Petrino's reckless pressure and durability will force Prachnio out of his comfort zone. However, Prachnio could win if he takes Petrino down or lands a switch kick, but Petrino's ability to keep coming makes him the pick.
Daniel Levi picks Petrino, citing his knockout power and aggressive style. He notes that Prachnio has a questionable chin, having been knocked out three times in the UFC. Levi acknowledges Petrino's cardio concerns due to his high-energy approach but believes he will expose Prachnio's chin early. He is not interested in betting at minus-300 but picks Petrino to win.
James believes Petrino has all the advantages: youth, power, physicality, durability, and strength. He thinks Prachnio may be the better technical mixed martial artist, but Petrino's raw attributes will overwhelm him. He predicts a first-round knockout, as he expects Petrino to land on Prachnio's chin and finish the fight.
Petrino has big knockout power and durability, and he can cut off the cage to prevent Prachnio from using his karate style. Prachnio is not a good enough grappler to hold Petrino down, and Petrino will eventually land a knockout, likely early in the fight.
Paul picks Petrino, noting his power and wrestling. He thinks Prachnio has only beaten low-level competition and will be overwhelmed. He mentions Petrino's cardio looked good in his last fight. He expects a finish or a clear decision.
The MMA Guru picks Vitor Petrino to win by KO, citing Prachnio's poor chin and lack of finishing potential. He notes Prachnio was KO'd by Sam Alvey and others, while Petrino is a physical freak with dangerous striking. He acknowledges Petrino's grappling issues but believes his finishing power is decisive.
Zane picks Petrino because he is a bully and brawler who doesn't gas easily and has a great chin. Prachnio is a technical karate fighter who has become safe after being knocked out, and Petrino's relentless pressure and power should overwhelm him. However, Petrino is a mess and could be taken down or knocked out, but his violence is likely too much for Prachnio.
Steven Asplund - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 92 of 161 | 57% | 92 of 162 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Steven Asplund | 1 | 61 of 158 | 38% | 73 of 172 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Steven Asplund | 1 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 32 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Steven Asplund | 0 | 14 of 50 | 28% | 14 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 39 of 72 | 54% | 39 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Asplund | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 92 of 161 | 57% | 59 of 126 | 18 of 18 | 15 of 17 | 92 of 160 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 61 of 158 | 38% | 48 of 140 | 4 of 8 | 9 of 10 | 58 of 154 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 19 of 37 | 51% | 14 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 20 of 45 | 44% | 14 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 34 of 52 | 65% | 25 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 7 | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 14 of 50 | 28% | 12 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 39 of 72 | 54% | 20 of 52 | 13 of 13 | 6 of 7 | 39 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 27 of 63 | 42% | 22 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Steven Asplund despite being an underdog. He criticizes Vitor Petrino's lack of killer instinct and fight IQ, and believes Asplund's incredible cardio, durability, and forward pressure will break Petrino. He notes that Petrino is more athletic and technical, but Asplund's willpower and toughness will be the difference. He is not betting on it due to heavyweight unpredictability.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by first-round submission. He is a fan of Asplund but worries about his takedown defense, citing the Don'Tale Mayes fight where he was dominated. He believes Petrino's wrestling and strength will be too much, and if Asplund hasn't improved his grappling, Petrino will finish him quickly.
Cody picks Asplund as a dog, citing Petrino's poor cardio, questionable chin, and broken hand. He notes Asplund's volume and durability, and thinks he can outwork Petrino and potentially finish him late.
Connor picks Petrino, agreeing that being at heavyweight has emboldened him to be the powerful guy he was at light heavyweight. He notes that the speed of opponents at light heavyweight may have freaked him out, but now he feels like a god against slower heavyweights.
James picks Vitor Petrino to win by submission, highlighting his black belt in BJJ and Asplund's only loss coming by submission. He notes Petrino's grappling advantage and Asplund's tendency to give up his neck. He mentions a possible hand injury for Petrino but still expects a submission win.
The host picks Petrino to win by submission, citing his power and grappling advantage. He expects Petrino to take Asplund down and find a finish, noting that Asplund's lack of athleticism and strength will be exploited. He acknowledges Asplund's cardio could be a factor in deeper waters, but believes Petrino's early power will be decisive.
Paul leans Petrino but is not confident. He notes Petrino's grappling and power, but acknowledges his cardio issues and the broken hand narrative. He thinks Petrino can get takedowns and control, but it's risky.
The Guru picks Vitor Petrino, despite liking Asplund's style. He thinks Petrino's grappling will be the difference, as Asplund may struggle to escape bottom position. He predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke, noting Petrino's success in his debut.
Zane picks Petrino, noting that the heavyweight move seems to be working for him and he is an athletic lightyear ahead of Asplund. He describes Asplund as a volume striker who gets hammered and has already lost to Denzel Freeman regionally.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Sharaf | 0 | 66 of 153 | 43% | 66 of 154 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Asplund | 0 | 170 of 292 | 58% | 172 of 294 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Sharaf | 0 | 43 of 89 | 48% | 43 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Asplund | 0 | 71 of 137 | 51% | 72 of 138 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Sean Sharaf | 0 | 23 of 64 | 35% | 23 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Asplund | 0 | 99 of 155 | 63% | 100 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Sharaf | 66 of 153 | 43% | 50 of 134 | 15 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 66 of 149 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 170 of 292 | 58% | 154 of 276 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 10 | 166 of 285 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Sharaf | 43 of 89 | 48% | 32 of 76 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 43 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 71 of 137 | 51% | 61 of 127 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 7 | 70 of 136 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean Sharaf | 23 of 64 | 35% | 18 of 58 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 60 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Asplund | 99 of 155 | 63% | 93 of 149 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 96 of 149 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Asplund (-220); Sharaf (+180)
Round 1
Just like that, we’re back to a pair of heavyweights that many believe are a bit green for a UFC pickup, but nonetheless are about to throw down. Much like the previous heavyweight encounter tonight, these two come into this battle with all but one of their combined stoppages via strikes—and a doctor stoppage. “The Smoke” Sharaf (4-1, 0-1 UFC) got smoked by Junior Tafa over a year ago for his first career defeat, while LFA veteran Asplund (6-1, 0-0 UFC) graduated from its confines and punched out Anthony Guarascio in 16 seconds in September. There is no truth to the rumor that the cage was reinforced due to the combined 512 pounds of fighter in there now, not counting referee Mark Smith along for the wild ride. There is a glove touch that precedes the action.
Sharaf comes out immediately swinging big, but he throws himself off-balance and Asplund tees off on him. Asplund bounces away from looping right hands to hurt Sharaf with a pair of elbows, so Sharaf retaliates with a pair of vicious looping hooks. Sharaf rips a left hand over and around the guard, and Asplund has to reset from the blow and lands a low kick on his way out. Both fighters flash jabs at one another, and Sharaf loads up and drills Asplund with an elbow. Asplund dances out of the way when Sharaf lets more fists fly, and he pecks at the Xtreme Couture product with jabs that set up rights. Sharaf is loading up with everything he has with every swing, and Asplund is not avoiding them all. Sharaf plants a one-two on the chin, and Asplund replies with a string of punches that largely bang into the guard. Asplund sinks a heavy calf kick home, and Smith asks for the fighters to close their fists. Sharaf goes to the body in the midst of an exchange, and Asplund pays him back with a thudding right.
Asplund splits the guard with a front kick, and he is forced to retreat when Sharaf chains a few punches together. The two take turns bashing one another’s brains in, and Asplund snaps out a jab that splits the skin between Sharaf's eyebrows wide open. Blood flows down his face, allowing Asplund to target it and further bust it up. Asplund sways to evade a pair of hooks, but Sharaf rips a left to the liver that gets his attention. Asplund leans back to barely avoid a big right, and he cracks the bloody man with a crushing uppercut. Sharaf is tough as a two-dollar steak, and he has a veritable axe wound on his face, but he takes upright when Asplund rocks him and tries to punch him out. Sharaf backs away to get away from the bludgeoning, and Asplund chases him down and tosses a head kick at him. Asplund falls over when he misses the kick, and he springs back up. The two heavyweights brawl it out to the bell, and it’s anyone’s guess as to whether Sharaf will be allowed to continue the fight when the doctor checks out his massive forehead gash.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Asplund
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Asplund
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Asplund
Round 2
Sharaf is cleared to keep fighting after all, although the cutman is unable to close the wound. Knowing he might be on borrowed time, Sharaf comes out firing, backing Asplund to the wall when he hurls bombs. Asplund bounces off the cage to throw back, and he walks into a standing elbow. Asplund loops a pair of rights over the guard, tagging “Head Wound Harry” and forcing Smith to ask Sharaf to fight back. Sharaf obliges him, swinging with all his might, but his lobs are labored and only a few land because of how telegraphed they are. Asplund takes them on the chin and keeps marching Sharaf down, putting fists to his face. Asplund brings up a low kick that pounds into the cup, the sound echoing through the Apex, and Smith calls time and immediately brings in the doctor—to check on the cut, and not because of the groin shot. Once more, Sharaf can go on because the cut is positioned between his eyes and not above them, thus not seriously obscuring his vision. After 70 seconds, Sharaf signals he is good to go, and they resume. Asplund goes right after him, planting jab after jab on the cut to open up follow-up right hands. Asplund prefers to touch rather than load up, while Sharaf is swinging for the bleachers. One such huge blow knocks Asplund back a few steps, but he gathers a full head of steam and continues to peck and probe at Sharaf’s face with straight strikes.
Asplund appears to finally hurt Sharaf with a long series of punches, and he backs Sharaf to the wall. Sharaf tries to fight back by hurling uppercuts at him, and Asplund dodges them and keeps working Sharaf over.
Smith implores Sharaf to fight back, and he does but is constantly under fire and barely still on his feet. Asplund strings a lengthy series of punches together, knocking Sharaf’s head around like a speed bag. Sharaf’s toughness is off the charts, but as Asplund continues to beat him relentlessly, Smith saves Sharaf from himself and waves the fight off.
The victorious Asplund celebrates by tweaking his nipples—Rashad Evans is pointing at the screen from the analyst booth like Leonardo DiCaprio in the infamous meme—and telling the camera that fat people can make a change and transform themselves like he did. His subsequent post-fight interview is one that those watching will remember for quite some time, so if you missed it, be sure to stick around after the bloodbath concludes to hear his inspiring message, his beautiful words for his family and his unadulterated joy and pride in doing what he loves.
The Official Result
Steven Asplund def. Sean Sharaf R2 3:49 via TKO (Punches)
Cody picks Asplund, citing his mobility, reach, and cardio. He expects Sharaf to fade after the first round, allowing Asplund to take over and get a TKO. He suggests a round two prop.
Connor agrees with Asplund, but is equally hesitant. He describes Asplund as a fighter who fights like he's on fire for two minutes then gasses, but keeps trying. Sharaf, on the other hand, quits when hit clean. He calls it a crime against humanity and says neither fighter should engender confidence.
Lucrative James picks Steven Asplund confidently, citing his size advantage as a true heavyweight. He believes Sean Sharaf is a light heavyweight who will struggle with Asplund's size and power, and predicts Asplund will win via TKO from top position. He projects Asplund as a -250 favorite.
Paul is hesitant but leans Asplund, noting his mobility and youth. He worries about Asplund's takedown defense but thinks he can survive early and take over later. He prefers live betting or a round two prop.
Zane picks Asplund hesitantly, noting that Asplund gets tired quickly but keeps fighting aggressively, while Sharaf quits when not winning. He points out that Asplund has wins outside the first round, whereas Sharaf has only one fight outside the first round and lost it. He calls it a terrible fight that could go either way.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Steven Asplund despite being an underdog. He criticizes Vitor Petrino's lack of killer instinct and fight IQ, and believes Asplund's incredible cardio, durability, and forward pressure will break Petrino. He notes that Petrino is more athletic and technical, but Asplund's willpower and toughness will be the difference. He is not betting on it due to heavyweight unpredictability.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by first-round submission. He is a fan of Asplund but worries about his takedown defense, citing the Don'Tale Mayes fight where he was dominated. He believes Petrino's wrestling and strength will be too much, and if Asplund hasn't improved his grappling, Petrino will finish him quickly.
Cody picks Asplund as a dog, citing Petrino's poor cardio, questionable chin, and broken hand. He notes Asplund's volume and durability, and thinks he can outwork Petrino and potentially finish him late.
Connor picks Petrino, agreeing that being at heavyweight has emboldened him to be the powerful guy he was at light heavyweight. He notes that the speed of opponents at light heavyweight may have freaked him out, but now he feels like a god against slower heavyweights.
James picks Vitor Petrino to win by submission, highlighting his black belt in BJJ and Asplund's only loss coming by submission. He notes Petrino's grappling advantage and Asplund's tendency to give up his neck. He mentions a possible hand injury for Petrino but still expects a submission win.
The host picks Petrino to win by submission, citing his power and grappling advantage. He expects Petrino to take Asplund down and find a finish, noting that Asplund's lack of athleticism and strength will be exploited. He acknowledges Asplund's cardio could be a factor in deeper waters, but believes Petrino's early power will be decisive.
Paul leans Petrino but is not confident. He notes Petrino's grappling and power, but acknowledges his cardio issues and the broken hand narrative. He thinks Petrino can get takedowns and control, but it's risky.
The Guru picks Vitor Petrino, despite liking Asplund's style. He thinks Petrino's grappling will be the difference, as Asplund may struggle to escape bottom position. He predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke, noting Petrino's success in his debut.
Zane picks Petrino, noting that the heavyweight move seems to be working for him and he is an athletic lightyear ahead of Asplund. He describes Asplund as a volume striker who gets hammered and has already lost to Denzel Freeman regionally.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!