UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · May 11, 2019 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade Next Fight
Age 32
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 5' 7"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Luana Carolina
4.65 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
3.46 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.3 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
68.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Priscila Cachoeira
4.43 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
7.6 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.25 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
69.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Luana Carolina - Fight History
CANCEL vs Melissa Mullins
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Angelo picks Luana Carolina because she is the better striker with solid takedown defense (68%). He notes Melissa Mullins is too hittable with no head movement and her offensive wrestling is not great. He believes Luana should win everywhere and is surprised she is the underdog, expecting the line to flip.

surprised she's a dog; expects line to flip to favorite
"I think Luanna Karolina wins this fight. I think she's the better fighter basically everywhere."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Big Brady picks Melissa Mullins despite her terrible fight IQ, noting that she has a massive advantage on the ground with nasty ground and pound. He points out that Luana Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and that Mullins should be able to take her down and control her. However, he is hesitant because Mullins often refuses to wrestle and instead tests her striking, as seen in her last fight. He predicts a decision win for Mullins.

Melissa Mullins by decision
"I'm going to take Melissa Mullins here for the win, but it's really hard to be confident in her after she pulled an absolute stunt in her last fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Cody agrees, noting Mullins' weight misses and lack of heart. He expects Carolina to win.

"I think Carolina's the side here as well."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Connor picks Melissa Mullins, agreeing that you take the grappler in this matchup. He notes that Mullins is relentlessly aggressive with takedowns and ground control, while Carolina is a volume striker who can be beaten by grappling. Connor also advises against betting on this fight.

Odds comment: Mullins opened -150, now +110; Carolina opened +130, now -130. Connor says don't bet on this one.
"Yeah, in a matchup like that, you take the rest of it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel leans Carolina due to her experience and ability to weasel decisions. He notes Mullins has head-scratching moments and can be finished. However, he acknowledges it's women's MMA and the British fighter might have crowd support.

"That experience gap for Luana Carolina leans me over to her side, but it's women's MMA. The British fighter, you know, might have some pull with the crowd. I'm going to go Carolina."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina to win by decision. He cites her experience and striking prowess, but acknowledges she can be taken down. He expects Carolina to get back to her feet and outpoint Mullins over three rounds.

"I'm going to pick Lana Karolina to come out here and uh win a decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

James picks Luana Carolina but is not confident. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has more UFC experience, but her takedown defense is a concern. He notes that Mullins has poor fight IQ and may not shoot takedowns consistently. He predicts a decision win for Carolina.

"I'm going to pick Lana Karolina in this one. There's no confidence here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The host is hesitant but leans towards Luana Carolina. He notes that Mullins has a grappling advantage but questions whether she will actually wrestle after failing to do so in her last fight. He believes Carolina's striking edge and improved defensive grappling could lead to a decision win. However, he admits he has underrated Carolina in the past and sees this as a potential breakout performance.

"I feel like this might be one of those spots where she could have a breakout performance where she stops the takedowns of Mullins or at least quickly works back to her feet."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul picks Carolina, citing Mullins' poor durability and tendency to quit. He expects Carolina to outwork and finish Mullins.

"For me, it's Lana Karolina all day long."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Mullins over Luana Carolina, though he admits neither fighter has been impressive. He notes Mullins is younger and may show more improvement fight to fight, while Carolina hasn't done much lately and has lost to lower-level opponents. He seems uncertain but goes with Mullins.

"I am going to go with Melissa Mullins to defeat Lanna Karolina here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Zane picks Melissa Mullins, reasoning that in a matchup between a relentless grappler (Mullins) and a volume striker (Carolina), you take the grappler who can control the fight. He notes that Mullins is aggressive with takedowns and ground control, but if she can't get takedowns, she's cooked. Zane advises not betting on this fight.

Odds comment: Mullins opened -150, now +110; Carolina opened +130, now -130. Zane says don't bet on this one.
"I think I'm going to take Mullins. In a matchup like that, you take the rest of it."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michelle Montague 0 41 of 88 46% 99 of 164 5 of 7 71% 0 0 10:43
Luana Carolina 0 48 of 82 58% 75 of 115 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michelle Montague 0 10 of 32 31% 25 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:44
Luana Carolina 0 24 of 36 66% 39 of 52 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Michelle Montague 0 17 of 32 53% 38 of 55 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:42
Luana Carolina 0 15 of 25 60% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michelle Montague 0 14 of 24 58% 36 of 53 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:17
Luana Carolina 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michelle Montague 41 of 88 46% 34 of 77 6 of 9 1 of 2 12 of 36 1 of 1 28 of 51
Luana Carolina 48 of 82 58% 31 of 60 5 of 6 12 of 16 46 of 77 1 of 3 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michelle Montague 10 of 32 31% 8 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 24 0 of 0 5 of 8
Luana Carolina 24 of 36 66% 11 of 20 3 of 4 10 of 12 23 of 34 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Michelle Montague 17 of 32 53% 12 of 25 4 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 12 1 of 1 9 of 19
Luana Carolina 15 of 25 60% 12 of 21 2 of 2 1 of 2 14 of 22 0 of 1 1 of 2
3 Michelle Montague 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 14 of 24
Luana Carolina 9 of 21 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

Angelo picks Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) over Luana Carolina, citing Montague's wrestling and jiu-jitsu background at an international level, her willingness to strike, and her size. He acknowledges Luana Carolina's takedown defense and clinch work but believes Montague's aggression and grappling will be too much. He dismisses the knockout loss to Molly McCann as a fluke.

"Michelle Monte wins this fight. She's going to be the pick. I am surprised to see the line continuing to widen because we do have a proven fighter in the way."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

Big Brady picks Darrell Montague to win by second-round submission. He highlights Montague's submission expertise, noting all six wins are by rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Montague is one-dimensional and has poor striking, but believes she will get a takedown due to her physicality and Carolina's questionable takedown defense. He notes Carolina has been taken down frequently in recent fights.

submission, second round
"I like Montigue here. I like Montigue by submission. I'll say second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

Cody picks Montague, citing her grappling pedigree and size advantage moving down to 135. He notes Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and is moving up in weight, while Montague is a strong grappler with a rear-naked choke streak. He warns about Montague's cardio but thinks she can win the first two rounds.

"Michelle Montigu bigger, stronger, have the fan support, trains at at love it, and probably will get takedowns just like the other ones have done."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michelle Montague

Connor agrees, noting that Montague's recent fights show her shooting immediately for back takes, which will be a problem for Carolina. He also mentions that Carolina's chin is high and she relies on reach, but Montague has the same reach and is bigger. He thinks Montague's grappling will be decisive.

"What we've seen from Montague in her past couple bouts is somebody who goes out immediately and shoots and works for back takes, and I think that'll just wreck Carolina."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

James is confident in Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) due to her massive size advantage and elite back-taking ability. He notes she has submitted every opponent via rear-naked choke and that Luana Carolina is moving up from flyweight, making her vulnerable to grappling. He predicts a submission win.

by submission (rear-naked choke)
"Michelle Montigu via submission is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

The host expresses concern about Montague's weight cut to 135 lbs for the first time, but if successful, expects her to ragdoll Luana Carolina and secure another submission victory. The pick is conditional on making weight.

submission victory
"The weight is a big concern here for Montigue, who's going to be coming down to 135 lbs for the first time in her career, but if she does this successfully, I expect her to go out there and ragd …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

The Guru picks Michelle Montigue (Darrell Montague) confidently, impressed by her consistent first-round submission finishes and amateur experience. He sees Luana Carolina as a potential fraud check but believes Montigue's training at American Top Team and dominant style will lead to another first-round rear-naked choke victory.

first round rear-naked choke
"I'm going to go with Michelle Montigue getting this one done over Lanna Karolina."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michelle Montague

Zane sees Montague as a bigger, stronger fighter who will shoot for takedowns and back takes, which should wreck Carolina. He notes that Carolina's success depends on being taller and longer, but Montague is two inches taller with the same reach and looks more muscular. He also points out that Montague has shown a consistent ability to stay on the back foot and outpoint opponents if needed.

"Montague will be one of the few women Carolina has ever fought who is bigger than her... She may just feel like a much bigger, stronger fighter."
CANCEL vs Montana De La Rosa
UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Angelo picks Luana Carolina, citing her superior striking and solid takedown defense (74%). He believes she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Montana De La Rosa, who relies on wrestling. He notes that Carolina is used to opponents trying to take her down and sees her as a solid bet, possibly worth a stab.

Solid bet; lady over is probably the way to go
"I think this is a pretty straightforward win and I think it's going to be LNA Carolina she's by far the better striker in this matchup and if she can keep this fight standing she absolutely wins"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady leans toward Luana Carolina, impressed by her takedown defense. He notes that Montana De La Rosa will try to wrestle, but if she can't get takedowns, Carolina is the better striker. He expects a close split decision.

fight goes to decision; close split decision
"I slightly got to go to the Luana Carolina side I'm going to pick her to win this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

The host expects De La Rosa's wrestling style to pay off and expose holes in Luana Carolina's game. He looks for De La Rosa to smother her with grappling, possibly opening a submission opportunity, but primarily controlling the fight and winning on the scorecards.

"I believe Del Rosa's wrestling style will pay off for a year and it will start to expose the holes that are still in Lana Carolina's game look for delar Rosa to smother her with her grappling maybe open up …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Luana Carolina

The Guru picks Luana Carolina over Montana De La Rosa. He notes that Montana has had takedowns but hasn't established dominant control, while Luana will win on the feet with more grit and determination. He also mentions a psychological edge: Luana will be jealous of Montana's looks and fight with rage. He predicts a split decision.

"I'm going to go with Lana carolina... she'll be able to win this one on the feet and she'll have more grit and heart and determination."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 94 of 167 56% 114 of 199 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:41
Lucie Pudilová 0 43 of 114 37% 62 of 145 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 33 of 51 64% 38 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Lucie Pudilová 0 6 of 32 18% 14 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Luana Carolina 0 24 of 50 48% 28 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Lucie Pudilová 0 22 of 43 51% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
3 Luana Carolina 0 37 of 66 56% 48 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lucie Pudilová 0 15 of 39 38% 21 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 94 of 167 56% 45 of 101 23 of 35 26 of 31 73 of 142 21 of 25 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 43 of 114 37% 25 of 86 16 of 23 2 of 5 27 of 93 16 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 33 of 51 64% 14 of 29 6 of 9 13 of 13 25 of 41 8 of 10 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 6 of 32 18% 5 of 25 1 of 4 0 of 3 5 of 29 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luana Carolina 24 of 50 48% 13 of 36 7 of 9 4 of 5 16 of 41 8 of 9 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 22 of 43 51% 12 of 33 10 of 10 0 of 0 9 of 28 13 of 15 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 37 of 66 56% 18 of 36 10 of 17 9 of 13 32 of 60 5 of 6 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 15 of 39 38% 8 of 28 5 of 9 2 of 2 13 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.

half unit bet at plus money
"Lanna Carolina is going to be the pick she's a plus money Underdog and I have a half a unit bet on her at plus money"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.

"She's the player for me this week."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.

"I see it going all three and uh Lana is going to get the decision here the judges hate uh the judges AB absolutely hate Lucia pudova"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Lucie Pudilová

Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.

"I do think that pudova is the better overall fighter and optically speaking I think she can make it look better for the judges so give me pudilova and Pila by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.

"I think it's Carolina all day to be perfectly honest."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.

"I'm going to go with Lanna Carolina because uh Lucy pyo's garbage"
TKO (punches) R3 4:52 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 66 of 136 48% 138 of 230 2 of 3 66% 0 0 5:27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 16 of 59 27% 21 of 68 1 of 5 20% 3 0 3:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 12 of 32 37% 35 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:04
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 25 24% 6 of 26 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:46
2 Luana Carolina 0 25 of 55 45% 43 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Julija Stoliarenko 0 10 of 28 35% 14 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:12
3 Luana Carolina 0 29 of 49 59% 60 of 89 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:25
Julija Stoliarenko 0 0 of 6 0% 1 of 7 0 of 2 0% 3 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 66 of 136 48% 41 of 96 15 of 26 10 of 14 28 of 75 13 of 20 25 of 41
Julija Stoliarenko 16 of 59 27% 7 of 40 6 of 10 3 of 9 11 of 51 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 12 of 32 37% 6 of 20 3 of 7 3 of 5 7 of 27 4 of 4 1 of 1
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 25 24% 2 of 17 1 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luana Carolina 25 of 55 45% 13 of 38 6 of 9 6 of 8 14 of 36 4 of 6 7 of 13
Julija Stoliarenko 10 of 28 35% 5 of 19 5 of 6 0 of 3 6 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 29 of 49 59% 22 of 38 6 of 10 1 of 1 7 of 12 5 of 10 17 of 27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.

No bet advised; warns against betting on Stoliarenko despite picking her
"I'm going to pick Julia to win because Lena Carolina has been taken down many times... but there's not a world where I spend money on that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.

first round, submission (armbar)
"give me stoia Rano it's weird seeing her as a favorite ... I'll say she does get that armar in the first round and gets the job done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub is the play"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.

Under 2.5 rounds is plus 120 and could cover a Carolina finish, but host expects Stoliarenko by submission.
"I like sto Reno here I wish he was the underdog cuz you know I don't really like to invest too much into a fighter that only has that One path to Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub plus 205 at one book right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.

likely as an underdog
"I'm gonna go with Lanna Carolina over J Juliana Julia steno... I'm going to go with Lanna karolina I reckon she's got some time to improve herself as a fighter... likely as an underdog."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 22 of 62 35% 77 of 122 2 of 6 33% 2 1 4:11
Ivana Petrović 0 41 of 87 47% 112 of 167 1 of 3 33% 0 0 5:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 3 of 15 20% 18 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:22
Ivana Petrović 0 10 of 22 45% 31 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:08
2 Luana Carolina 0 13 of 32 40% 28 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:58
Ivana Petrović 0 16 of 38 42% 47 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:24
3 Luana Carolina 0 6 of 15 40% 31 of 40 1 of 3 33% 2 0 0:51
Ivana Petrović 0 15 of 27 55% 34 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 22 of 62 35% 15 of 51 5 of 8 2 of 3 16 of 50 4 of 10 2 of 2
Ivana Petrović 41 of 87 47% 18 of 60 11 of 15 12 of 12 27 of 66 7 of 8 7 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 3 of 15 20% 3 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 10 of 22 45% 3 of 14 0 of 1 7 of 7 6 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 9
2 Luana Carolina 13 of 32 40% 9 of 25 4 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 22 4 of 8 2 of 2
Ivana Petrović 16 of 38 42% 6 of 25 7 of 10 3 of 3 11 of 32 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 6 of 15 40% 3 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 15 of 27 55% 9 of 21 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 21 2 of 2 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Angelo picks Ivana Petrović, expecting her grappling to be the difference. He notes she should be able to take down Luana Carolina and either submit or grind out a decision. However, he finds the -200 odds too wide for a UFC debut with only six fights and advises against betting. He warns against the over 2.5 rounds as the fight could end either way.

"Ivana should be able to drag Luanna to the ground and either submit her or just grind out a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady picks Luana Carolina by decision, but is very reluctant. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has solid takedown defense, but notes she has been taken down and put in trouble before. Petrović has a good ground game and could finish if she gets on top. Brady calls it a terrible fight and advises not to bet on it.

"I'll take Carolina by decision oh that was gross oh gonna throw up I'm gonna take Carolina by decision don't bet on this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Cody likes Carolina as a plus-money underdog. He notes Petrović is very green (less than 2 years pro) and has been dropped in fights. Carolina has fought better competition and has a striking advantage. Cody thinks Carolina can keep the fight standing and win a decision, especially if she defends takedowns. He compares it to other recent underdog wins.

"I'm going with the CF dog model myself I thought exact same thing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel picks Luana Carolina as an underdog, citing her experience and takedown defense (2 of 15 allowed against Godinez). He notes Petrović is hittable and unproven at UFC level, and that debuts often disappoint. He sees a close kickboxing match where Carolina's volume and durability could edge her ahead. He is willing to take a shot at plus odds.

"I'm also go with uh Luana let's see what she can do with this opportunity"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul is considering Carolina as a dog. He notes Petrović's wrestling is her only path, but her stand-up is green and she was dropped by a short elbow. Carolina has good balance in the clinch and striking advantage. Paul thinks if Petrović can't get takedowns, Carolina wins. He is watching the market for a better price.

"I am considering uh a bet on Luanna Carolina who I think in the clinch is going to have some nasty elbows"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

The Guru picks Ivana Petrović, citing her undefeated record (6-0) and good cardio shown in a fourth-round submission win. He notes Luana Carolina's losses to Molly McCann and Joanne Calderwood, and while Carolina beat Lupita Godinez, she was much larger. He trusts the undefeated prospect but acknowledges women's MMA is unpredictable.

"I'm probably gonna go with Petrovic here over Luana Carolina... she's 6-0 undefeated"
LOSS vs Joanne Wood
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 131 of 228 57% 177 of 278 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:50
Luana Carolina 0 100 of 199 50% 123 of 222 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 38 of 62 61% 55 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
Luana Carolina 0 38 of 65 58% 42 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
2 Joanne Wood 0 33 of 60 55% 56 of 87 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:07
Luana Carolina 0 24 of 53 45% 33 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Joanne Wood 0 60 of 106 56% 66 of 112 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:11
Luana Carolina 0 38 of 81 46% 48 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 131 of 228 57% 61 of 142 46 of 53 24 of 33 84 of 177 46 of 50 1 of 1
Luana Carolina 100 of 199 50% 55 of 144 34 of 40 11 of 15 75 of 165 25 of 34 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 38 of 62 61% 13 of 32 17 of 20 8 of 10 20 of 42 18 of 20 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 38 of 65 58% 15 of 38 16 of 19 7 of 8 25 of 50 13 of 15 0 of 0
2 Joanne Wood 33 of 60 55% 16 of 39 8 of 10 9 of 11 21 of 48 11 of 11 1 of 1
Luana Carolina 24 of 53 45% 14 of 40 9 of 11 1 of 2 18 of 44 6 of 9 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 60 of 106 56% 32 of 71 21 of 23 7 of 12 43 of 87 17 of 19 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 38 of 81 46% 26 of 66 9 of 10 3 of 5 32 of 71 6 of 10 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.

bet placed at -150, now -190
"I do think Joanne wood wins this fight three weeks ago I threw a half a unit on her at minus 150."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.

will not bet this fight
"do I have confidence in Wood no ... but she better win this fight man"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.

"I will have to take Joanne wood reluctantly not reluctantly because I don't want to reluctantly because I know as soon as I bet an MMA women's MMA spot I'm likely screwed"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.

"I'm gonna stick with a desperation pick for Wood of like you should not lose to a fighter this bad."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.

split decision prop considered
"I wouldn't pick either side on this I think it's sloppy I think it's back and forth I think it's close comes down to the judges."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.

"I think wood will shuck off the inevitable takedowns that are coming our way and she will get back to that game that just has made her so successful in the UFC which is cardio footwork output and throwing in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.

Joanne Wood over 63.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"on prize picks they've got a promo code dop they got 65 or 63.5 significant strikes love that prop that's like my my favorite prop this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.

"I'll go with Joanne Calderwood I guess because Luana Carolina lost a Molly McCann"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.

"I'm kind of making a gut pick."
LOSS vs Molly McCann
KO (spinning back elbow) R3 1:52 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 1 85 of 159 53% 99 of 174 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:30
Luana Carolina 0 64 of 132 48% 76 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 0 56 of 107 52% 61 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Luana Carolina 0 22 of 52 42% 23 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
2 Molly McCann 0 15 of 30 50% 23 of 39 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:05
Luana Carolina 0 26 of 51 50% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Molly McCann 1 14 of 22 63% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Luana Carolina 0 16 of 29 55% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 85 of 159 53% 52 of 118 28 of 36 5 of 5 69 of 139 14 of 18 2 of 2
Luana Carolina 64 of 132 48% 26 of 88 33 of 39 5 of 5 47 of 113 17 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 56 of 107 52% 35 of 79 19 of 26 2 of 2 47 of 96 9 of 11 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 22 of 52 42% 6 of 32 13 of 17 3 of 3 16 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Molly McCann 15 of 30 50% 5 of 19 8 of 9 2 of 2 12 of 26 1 of 2 2 of 2
Luana Carolina 26 of 51 50% 13 of 37 12 of 13 1 of 1 16 of 40 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Molly McCann 14 of 22 63% 12 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 16 of 29 55% 7 of 19 8 of 9 1 of 1 15 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.

"i'm siding with the bookies here and i'm just gonna give a tiny tiny slight edge to molly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.

"give me carolina for the upset give me carolina to win a very close probably greasy split decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.

"the pick would be my mccann by decision ever so slightly"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.

"close fight favors uh molly mccann um but i think that molly mccann might turn up on luana carolina maybe even get 130 27 in there too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.

McCann via decision; McCann by submission (+1100)
"I expect her at her optimal level to go out there and outstrike Luana Carolina."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.

"i'll pick carolina for the purposes of this show but uh i don't think i'm gonna get money my money in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.

split decision
"i'm gonna go luanna carolina here... she's longer, she's got good kicks, she was able to stuff takedowns"
Priscila Cachoeira - Fight History
SCHED vs Chelsea Chandler
13
138 MMA Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

The host picks Cachoeira but is hesitant, noting that both fighters are on the chopping block and neither has looked good lately. He acknowledges that if Chandler wrestles hard she could win, but on the feet Cachoeira is tough and comes forward with heavy hands. He says he doesn't feel convicted on either side.

"I'm going to take Cachoeira here, but I fully understand that if Chandler comes out there and just starts trying to take her down or push her against the cage for the whole fight, she can absolutely win that."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

AJ picks Cachoeira by knockout, citing her heavy hands and Chandler's apparent durability issues after weight cut. He notes Chandler looked skinny at weigh-ins and was knocked out by Joselyn Edwards. AJ expects Cachoeira to land a big shot early, possibly a shovel uppercut, and finish in round one.

Cachoeira by KO; under 2.5 rounds plus 100; Cachoeira first round KO
"I'm going Kachoera knockout. I think she's going to put Chelsea Chandler out. Plus 100 for Kachuera."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler, reasoning that she will use her size and strength to push Priscila Cachoeira against the cage and take her down. He notes that Cachoeira has no ground skills and actively works against herself on the ground. He expects Chandler to win by being the 'Jolly Green Giant' and landing on top, possibly finding a finish.

"Chelsea should win this fight just by being the Jolly Green Giant, landing on top and chilling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Big Brady picks Priscila Cachoeira to win by second round knockout. He admits bias but argues that Chelsea Chandler doesn't like getting hit and has poor striking defense, while Cachoeira hits hard and is tough. He worries about Cachoeira's ground game but thinks she can avoid being on her back long enough to land a knockout.

by second round knockout
"I'll take Priscilla by knockout. Why not? You know, I don't think Chelsea Chandler likes getting hit. Priscilla likes getting hit."
BU
Bum MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Both fighters are chinny and not the best, but Priscila Cachoeira is more aggressive and goes all out for a knockout. Chelsea Chandler has declined since her win over Julia Stoliarenko four years ago, losing to Norma Dumont and Joselyne Edwards. Cachoeira is expected to chin Chandler early.

KO in round 1
"Cashera round one KO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody picks Cachoeira as a dog, noting Chandler's poor weight cuts and suspect chin. He believes Cachoeira's pressure and durability could overwhelm Chandler. He calls it a 50/50 fight and prefers the plus money.

"Catcher, is this is this the PRP pick correct? because there's no confidence here. But um it's a 50-50 fight. Was a dog a pass fight? Not take the dog."
FI
Fight Night Picks Expert Lean picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Priscila Cachoeira is picked but with low confidence. She has power in her hands, but her wrestling is a weakness. Chelsea Chandler should wrestle but may not. The host is unsure if Chandler will implement her game plan or get knocked out. Cachoeira is predictable but could land a knockout.

"I'll go Pasha. We'll see how I feel, you know, later uh in the week. I'm not really confident on either side, though."
GR
Greedo Plays MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cachoeira has better striking power and should be able to stuff Chandler's takedowns. Chandler's wrestling isn't at a level to control Cachoeira. Cachoeira wins a decision, as her power has diminished but she can outpoint Chandler.

"I'm going to take her here. We're going to go Priscilla Caterera. For the first time on the channel, I'm taking Priscilla Catoera to win a mixed martial arts fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Lucrative James picks Chelsea Chandler reluctantly, citing her grappling upside as the deciding factor. He acknowledges both fighters are aging and the fight is low-level, but believes Chandler can win via KO ground and pound in round 2. He notes Priscila Cachoeira's power and experience but thinks Chandler's ability to win on the feet or ground gives her an edge.

Chelsea Chandler via KO (ground and pound) round 2; suggests 'doesn't go to decision' prop
"I got to pick Chelsea here. ... Chelsea Chandler via KO ground and pound round two is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Chandler's grappling is the key; she should be able to take Cachoeira down and dominate from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but poor takedown defense and is 37 years old. Chandler likely finishes by submission, and the under 2.5 rounds at +100 is a good bet.

Chandler by submission; under 2.5 rounds (+100)
"I'm going to lean submission for Chandler. I think she'll end up being too strong for Cash Aera, and then I think she'll end up being too slick on the mat."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Paul picks Chandler but is hesitant, noting she should use wrestling to control Cachoeira. He acknowledges Cachoeira's toughness and Chandler's weight issues. He is not betting the fight but leans Chandler on fight IQ.

"I'm picking Chelsea Chandler. I just I can't do this Cab game anymore."
LOSS vs Klaudia Syguła
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Klaudia Syguła 0 151 of 335 45% 159 of 349 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 0 99 of 219 45% 102 of 222 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Klaudia Syguła 0 61 of 136 44% 62 of 137 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 0 34 of 71 47% 34 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Klaudia Syguła 0 40 of 94 42% 40 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 0 33 of 71 46% 34 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Klaudia Syguła 0 50 of 105 47% 57 of 118 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 0 32 of 77 41% 34 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Klaudia Syguła 151 of 335 45% 121 of 288 24 of 40 6 of 7 150 of 332 1 of 3 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 99 of 219 45% 72 of 188 8 of 11 19 of 20 99 of 216 0 of 1 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Klaudia Syguła 61 of 136 44% 48 of 123 11 of 11 2 of 2 60 of 134 1 of 2 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 34 of 71 47% 21 of 57 4 of 4 9 of 10 34 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Klaudia Syguła 40 of 94 42% 30 of 73 7 of 17 3 of 4 40 of 94 0 of 0 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 33 of 71 46% 26 of 63 2 of 3 5 of 5 33 of 70 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Klaudia Syguła 50 of 105 47% 43 of 92 6 of 12 1 of 1 50 of 104 0 of 1 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 32 of 77 41% 25 of 68 2 of 4 5 of 5 32 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Klaudia Sygula
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sygula (-140); Cachoeira (+115)

Round 1
Fights? Fights. Let’s skip the usual pleasantries where we would normally yammer on about the UFC-slash-Meta Apex cards, the overall perceived decline in quality of events and get right to it. We have 13 fights to cover, with six on the main card even though five seems like a more reasonable number. Two bantamweights who cannot afford another defeat toe the line in the card opener, where Sygula (7-2, 1-1 UFC) will try to go “Walking Dead” on “Zombie Girl” Cachoeira (13-7, 5-7 UFC). Referee Keith Peterson takes charge of the cage to start what hopefully is a nonsense-free evening, and the ladies clap hands together.
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They get right after it, with Cachoeira marching forward and busting Sygula in the face. The Polish woman fires right back, but her right eye turns a shade red after a few impacts. Cachoeira sits down on her right hand, headhunting and even managing to open a cut on the right cheek of her foe’s face about 45 seconds in. They take turns lashing out at one another, letting go with short bursts of combinations largely all upstairs. Cachoeira gets the better of them, but she too is showing some redness on her face from taking fire. Cachoeira leaps forward with a right hand, and Sygula dances out of the way and jabs her in the body with a kick. She follows that with an overhand right, and Cachoeira frowns and resets. The Brazilian counters with a right hand when absorbing a blow or two, as Sygula regularly throws punches in bunches. Cachoeira kicks the lead leg and then releases a hard right to the body, and Sygula slips to the side and scores her own calf kick.
Cachoeira puts some mustard into a big right hand, briefly shaking her foe up but not slowing her one iota. Sygula is quick to get right back being speedy combinations, and she busts open Cachoeira’s nose with a volley. Cachoeira thumps the lead leg of her adversary with a kick, and Sygula’s constant head shots are marking up the Brazilian consistently. Cachoeira’s own offense starts to diminish to single efforts, while Sygula strings them together to decent effect. It results in a brief bull-matador situation when Cachoeira swings for the fences while Sygula is more content to touch and build on her successes. One instance of significant success for the Polish fighter comes when she jabs and opens up an overhand right that smears blood all over the face of “Zombie Girl,” assisting her in embodying her nickname. Sygula touches her with the jab and nearly fills the room with uppercuts, landing a heavy one that jacks Cachoeira’s jaw and chaining a few swings after it until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula

Round 2
When Sygula is about to offer a glove touch to start the round, she pulls it back when seeing that Cachoeira is recoiling her right hand about to fire it. Sygula pecks and pokes with her jab early, forcing some swelling on Cachoeira’s left cheek and being the much quicker of the two. Cachoeira sells out with a charging right, and Sygula is two feet away before the Brazilian can swing her fist. It does not take long for the peppering jab of the Polish woman to bloody up Cachoeira’s nose, but as she stands and trades, she gains confidence and starts to stand in the pocket further. Cachoeira welcomes this and busts her in the chops with a huge right hand, and Sygula has to take a quick count of her teeth and gets back to her preferred distance strategy of staying out of range. She looses a front kick to the sternum, and gets countered as her mouthpiece flops out of her mouth. Peterson allows her to replace it without issue, and they two get back to it within seconds. Seeing her kick game is working, Sygula pushes out further front kicks to the midsection, and this long distance runaround works until Cachoeira pins her down and beans her with two clubbing fists.
Cachoeira’s blows have marked up Sygula’s face fairly quickly, as both ladies are leaking from their noses and more than willing to trade. Sygula connects with a few punches and grazes with a knee, and Cachoeira stumbles off-balance and falls to the floor. Sygula lets her back up so she can stick that jab in her face, and she allows Cachoeira to load up so she can prod away with speedy, straight counters. Cachoeira puts big arc into her swings, while Sygula’s numbers like dwarf hers and the damage shows. Cachoeira’s nose is dripping crimson fluid on the mat as she tries to chase down the woman who once trained out of FitFabric Shark Top Team, and she pays it no mind and continues to swing for the bleachers. She gets Sygula’s attention with her reckless charges and hurled strikes, but she is paying for it much of the time. As Cachoeira coils back a big right, the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula

Round 3
After 10 minutes of slugging and getting drilled in the face, Cachoeira is all smiles for the last period. Her smile walks directly into a right hand from her opponent, and although she counters, it is her nose that immediately starts to bleed from the connect. Sygula’s jab stifles Cachoeira, forcing the Brazilian to whiff while she is having target practice out there. Cachoeira looks for scooping uppercuts and one-hitter quitters, but Sygula is able to see them coming and stay beyond the end of them. Cachoeira calms herself down to stick out a few straight punches that actually score, but it does not take long for her to have the right hand lobbed and whizzing past her foe’s face. Cachoeira sinks in a low kick, strafing to the left to avoid the expected counter, and she clips Sygula with a hooking left hand on the way out. Sygula ducks a whopper of a right hand and pins her jab in the Brazilian’s face, with swelling and blood making her look every bit of her “Zombie Girl” signature.
When Cachoeira lands another low kick, Sygula reaches down for it, signaling she is not liking taking that kick as she goes for a feeble takedown shot. Cachoeira pushes her away and keeps slugging, and she dings Sygula a few times but takes her fair share of offense as well. Sygula brings up body kicks and jabs the horror show of the Brazilian’s nose, and Cachoeira continues to move ever forward. Sygula uses this against her by intercepting her with jabs and front kicks, and Cachoeira starts to get desperate and run through the offense. She expects that she will get hit, but hopes that her power will be the difference maker. Sygula backpedals in a hurry, with Cachoeira emptying her energy tank with a constant stream of telegraphed overhand rights that would make Roy Nelson blush. Sygula trips when looking to escape, and she uses her upkicks to defend her from the worst of what Cachoeira lobs at her towards the end. Cachoeira drops down a big punch or two while leaking blood all over Sygula, and the match comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula (30-27 Sygula)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira (29-28 Sygula)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula (30-27 Sygula)

The Official Result
Klaudia Sygula def. Priscila Cachoeira via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Angelo picks Klaudia Syguła, calling her the better fighter skill-wise. He notes Priscila Cachoeira is powerful but has a negative striking differential and fades. He thinks Syguła can avoid early chaos and take over as Cachoeira fades. He disagrees with the odds, saying this is a 50/50 fight and should be -110. He warns that if Syguła tries to trade overhands early, it could be bad.

"I'm going to pick Sigula here. I don't agree with these odds. To me, this is minus 110 minus 110. Like, I get minus 135 isn't crazy, but this is as 50/50 as you're going to get on this card."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Big Brady picks Priscila Cachoeira because he believes the fight will be a striking match, where Cachoeira's brawling style and power give her an edge. He notes Syguła's ground game is bad and Cachoeira won't have to worry about takedowns. He expects Cachoeira to win by knockout, as she is a dog who comes forward and hits harder.

by knockout
"I'm going to go Priscilla. I think she wins this fight probably by knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Cody agrees, highlighting Cachoeira's lack of defense and durability. He notes Syguła's ability to land volume and avoid damage. Cody expects Syguła to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I will take Sigula, but you know, it's women's MMA."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Connor picks Syguła, but with low confidence. He notes that Syguła can throw long straight strikes but gets messy under pressure, and that Cachoeira might be at the end of the line. He says 'who cares' and picks Syguła because 'whatever'.

Cachoeira opened at +250, currently +130; Syguła opened at -300, currently -150
"I guess I'll take Segula. Yeah. We'll just say that maybe Cashaware has reached the end of the line. She's 37 years old."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Lucrative James picks Klaudia Syguła to win. He believes Syguła is younger and improving, while Cachoeira is aging and has poor jiu-jitsu. James expects Syguła to take Cachoeira down and expose her grappling weaknesses, possibly securing a submission or dominant decision.

"My pick will be Claudia Sigula here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

The host picks Syguła but with very low confidence, noting she is not trustworthy at minus 150. He expects Syguła to use footwork and pivoting to avoid Cachoeira's power, then look for takedowns in later rounds. He believes Syguła's active submission game could lead to a finish, but he is more confident in the fight ending inside the distance rather than a specific winner.

under 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to go with the pole. I think Shigula gets the submission, but very low confidence. I would rather take the uh violent spot instead."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Paul picks Klaudia Syguła, citing Cachoeira's declining durability and poor defense. He notes Syguła's youth and volume, and expects her to outwork Cachoeira. Paul admits he hopes Cachoeira wins but bets against her.

"I think I think we're at the end of the line for catch a beating. And the pick for me is Claudia Sigula."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Priscila Cachoeira

The host picks Priscila Cachoeira over Klaudia Syguła (referred to as Claudia Gadelha, likely a mistake). He notes Cachoeira is more masculine with more knockout power, while Syguła is technical but has losses. He acknowledges Cachoeira has lost many fights but believes she will easily win.

"I'm going to go with Priscilla Cachoeira getting this one done a lot more masculine a lot more experience against good opponents."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Zane picks Cachoeira, reasoning that Syguła gets messy under pressure and will likely brawl, which favors Cachoeira. He notes that Cachoeira is 37 and has been finished in three of her last four, but still thinks she can win a brawl. Zane is not confident.

Cachoeira opened at +250, currently +130; Syguła opened at -300, currently -150
"I think I'm going to pick Cashaware though."
KO R1 2:24 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joselyne Edwards 1 26 of 44 59% 26 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Priscila Cachoeira 0 18 of 50 36% 18 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joselyne Edwards 1 26 of 44 59% 26 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Priscila Cachoeira 0 18 of 50 36% 18 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joselyne Edwards 26 of 44 59% 16 of 29 5 of 10 5 of 5 24 of 42 0 of 0 2 of 2
Priscila Cachoeira 18 of 50 36% 15 of 47 1 of 1 2 of 2 18 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joselyne Edwards 26 of 44 59% 16 of 29 5 of 10 5 of 5 24 of 42 0 of 0 2 of 2
Priscila Cachoeira 18 of 50 36% 15 of 47 1 of 1 2 of 2 18 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Joselyne Edwards
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Edwards (-300); Cachoeira (+250)

Round 1
With the division wide open, it is not unconscionable to suggest that the victor here tonight could be a few wins away from a crack at gold. Edwards (15-6, 6-4 UFC) is currently the one of the two who is riding a win streak, although the bantamweight still struggles to make weight and initially missed before coming back an hour later to hit 136. She battles controversial ex-flyweight Cachoeira (13-6, 5-6 UFC), a woman who many believe should have been released from her contract after gouging Gillian Robertson’s eyes on the way to getting submitted. Nevertheless, they do battle with referee Herb Dean standing by. Gloves are touched before they are traded.
Cachoeira takes to the center of the cage, where she swats her hands out to try to find her target. The taller, longer Edwards is able to land jabs on her and the occasional low kick. Cachoeira drives home an uppercut that knocks Edwards back, and she follows with a left hook. Cachoeira hammers the front leg with a kick that stumbles Edwards, who shoots for a takedown. Cachoeira pushes off and pokes her opponent in the eye. Dean calls time, and Edwards takes 30 seconds to clear her vision. When they resume, both ladies lob hammers at one another, and it is Cachoeira who lands cleaner as she clips the Panamanian in a salvo of fists. Cachoeira stands in the pocket and bangs, taking away the reach advantage of her and marking her up with uppercuts. Edwards wings a left hand over the top, and they nail one another with hard left hooks.
Edwards, the larger and stronger of the two, rips a right hand and then a ferocious left that shakes Cachoeira to her core. Cachoeira stands still, frozen in time, until she slumps back to the mat with her hands at her side. While her eyes may be open, they are closed the moment Edwards dives at her and detonates a few right hands on the Brazilian’s chin.
Dean sprints in to call a halt to the bludgeoning, and the frazzled Cachoeira switches back on and grips hold of the closest thing she can find. That happens to be Dean’s leg, who has to pull the dazed former flyweight off of him. That makes three in a row for the UFC’s ranked bantamweight, who says she has finally figured things out and is ready to make some moves.

The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Priscila Cachoeira R1 2:24 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards as a technical striker with good kickboxing and range management. He notes Priscila Cachoeira is a powerful brawler with heavy pressure but gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks Joselyne's ability to shoot takedowns and manage range with kicks will get her the win, but he doesn't love the 2-to-1 odds and may only bet if odds tighten.

Odds comment: not loving the 2-to-1 odds, will keep an eye on tightening.
"I'm a big Joselyn supporter... I think Jeline is going to get the win here. I'm not loving the two to one odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Big Brady is confident in Joselyne Edwards, noting her recent improvements training with Valentina Shevchenko. He highlights Edwards' takedown ability and ground game, which he believes will exploit Cachoeira's lack of takedown defense and submission defense. Brady expects Edwards to fight smart, take the fight to the ground, and find a submission. He predicts a third-round submission for Edwards.

third round submission
"I'm going to take Jaws Edwards here. I think she's going to win this fight by third round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The host notes Edwards' growing confidence and back-to-back finishes, expecting her to take a grapple-heavy approach to avoid Cachoeira's berserker striking. He predicts a submission victory under two and a half rounds.

submission, under 2.5 rounds
"I think that trend continues this weekend as she takes a grapple heavy approach to stay away from the berserker striking style of Cashua. And I think that'll eventually lead to a Edwards submission victory under two and a half …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The MMA Guru picks Joselyne Edwards, mainly because Priscila Cachoeira took the fight on short notice. He notes Edwards is underrated with improving striking and grappling, while Cachoeira has taken a lot of damage and has scar tissue. He predicts a close 29-28 decision win for Edwards.

"I'm going with Joselyn Edwards. Uh mainly because Priscilla Kakawera took this fight on short notice."
WIN vs Josiane Nunes
KO R1 2:46 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josiane Nunes 0 31 of 67 46% 31 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 1 37 of 76 48% 39 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josiane Nunes 0 31 of 67 46% 31 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 1 37 of 76 48% 39 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josiane Nunes 31 of 67 46% 17 of 49 7 of 11 7 of 7 31 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 37 of 76 48% 31 of 70 4 of 4 2 of 2 37 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josiane Nunes 31 of 67 46% 17 of 49 7 of 11 7 of 7 31 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 37 of 76 48% 31 of 70 4 of 4 2 of 2 37 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Josiane Nunes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nunes (-185), Cachoeira (+154)

Round 1
Keeping to the women’s weight categories, bantamweights take center stage next in a must-win for either lady. Stout, power-punching Nunes (10-3, 3-2 UFC) has dropped two straight, while Cachoeira (12-6, 4-6 UFC) should have been released with prejudice after repeatedly gouging
Gillian Robertson
’s eyes in 2021. One of these two struggling fighters has to win, and referee Chris Tognoni will know first who that is. They touch gloves before getting down to business, and Cachoeira keeps a wide stance as she walks to the middle of the Octagon and punches Nunes square in the face. Nunes loves this idea, and she does the same. The fight immediately devolves into an all-offense fist frenzy, where the two countrywoman blast one another with unguarded power punches. They trade blows without concern for health or well-being, but as the strikes continue to mount, it is the fiery Nunes who is getting the worst of it. Nunes shoots for a desperate double after getting stung, and Cachoeira shuts it down and backs her off with a one-two. Nunes changes things up with a couple heavy low kicks, and she uses the leg kicks to try to open up one to the head. The more compact Nunes cannot quite get her foot up high enough, so she settles for brawling. Cachoeira tags Nunes, Nunes swings back, and the pendulum keeps swinging. With more range on her side, Cachoeira is able to occasionally land and circle away. Nunes keeps her guard up after taking a few especially damaging blows, and she rushes in with a swarm of fists.
Cachoeira dances out of the way, bounces off the fence and plants a one-two on the mug. Seeing that Nunes is stunned, “Zombie Girl” opens up with a monstrous uppercut that completely separates Nunes from her senses. “Josi” hits the ground on her face like a sack of bricks, and Cachoeira knows her work her is done and strides away
, pounding her chest and raising her arms in the air. It takes a couple seconds for Nunes to come to, and Tognoni has to let her know that she got knocked the heck out. The night is two for two in sweet knockouts from the ladies, and post-fight bonus checks could already be in the mail.

The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira
def.
Josiane Nunes
R1 2:46 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Angelo picks Josiane Nunes over Priscila Cachoeira. He notes both are similar power-punchers, but Nunes hits harder, is tougher, and doesn't absorb as many strikes. He suggests the under 2.5 rounds as a potential bet since Cachoeira could get finished.

Under 2.5 rounds
"josean nunz should win this fight she hits a little harder she's a little tougher she's a little more solid she doesn't get hit with seven significant strikes per minute so josean Nunes is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 10, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Big Brady picks Josiane Nunes but with very low confidence, stating he would never bet on this fight. He acknowledges Priscila Cachoeira's toughness and durability but notes she absorbs a lot of strikes (43% striking defense) and is very hittable. Brady thinks Nunes is the better fighter, younger, and will land more significant shots, possibly hurting Cachoeira. However, he does not trust either fighter and expects a competitive brawl. He predicts Nunes wins by decision, calling it a potential Fight of the Night.

Nunes by decision
"I'm going Nunes here but I would never in a million years bet on this fight... give me Nunes by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Eric McConico as a dog, citing Cody Brundage's tendency to quit and his uncoachable nature. He notes that Brundage has low volume and poor cardio, while McConico has a deep gas tank and can take over late. He believes McConico can survive early rounds and win by decision or late finish.

"I'm going to take McConno. I'm just going to bite down."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 31, 2024 (409 days before fight)

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

The host leans with Cachoeira, citing she has more tools in the shed, especially in striking, and her durability is good. He expects her to land nasty strikes and win on the scorecards.

"I have to lean with cashara as I believe she has a little bit more tools in the shed especially when it comes to the Striking R usually her durability is quite good too and I look for her to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Paul also picks McConico, noting that Brundage has a history of quitting and is moving up to 205, which may affect his cardio. He believes McConico's body work and volume will wear on Brundage. He sees value in the dog price and expects McConico to win if he can avoid an early knockout.

"I can't bet Brundage either. So, this is what this is why I'm going to take McConno. I'm just going to bite down."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Josiane Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Josiane Nunes, describing her as a 'menacing little Goblin' with dangerous punching power. He expects her to either knock out Priscila Cachoeira or beat her down over three rounds. He criticizes Cachoeira's chin and recent losses, including to Molly McCann, and notes she missed weight against Robertson. He doesn't see Cachoeira effectively outgrappling Nunes, so he's confident in Nunes getting the win.

"I'm gonna go with josian Nunes she's just a menacing little Goblin really really dangerous stuff um I reckon she'll go out there and if not Chomp a finger off of Priscilla kakera probably take her out with some big …"
Submission (anaconda choke) R3 4:21 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 1 93 of 120 77% 326 of 398 2 of 5 40% 3 0 11:25
Priscila Cachoeira 0 24 of 50 48% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 32 of 43 74% 138 of 173 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:36
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 11 36% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 1 34 of 40 85% 110 of 129 0 of 0 --- 2 0 4:38
Priscila Cachoeira 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 27 of 37 72% 78 of 96 1 of 4 25% 1 0 2:11
Priscila Cachoeira 0 18 of 34 52% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 93 of 120 77% 84 of 109 6 of 8 3 of 3 23 of 34 2 of 3 68 of 83
Priscila Cachoeira 24 of 50 48% 19 of 44 3 of 4 2 of 2 20 of 45 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 32 of 43 74% 32 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 31 of 40
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 11 36% 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 34 of 40 85% 33 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 32 of 38
Priscila Cachoeira 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 27 of 37 72% 19 of 27 5 of 7 3 of 3 20 of 29 2 of 3 5 of 5
Priscila Cachoeira 18 of 34 52% 16 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 31 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-395), Cachoeira (+310)

Round 1
Jasudavicius will look to get the host country in the win column against Brazil’s Cachoeira, in a fight that was moved from 125 to 135 pounds apparently at Cachoeira's request. Referee Matt Rocca is the third person in the cage. The ersatz bantamweights set up in matching orthodox stances, and after a moment of cautious feeling-out, Cachoeira lands a sweeping hook. Jasudavicius steps in and takes Cachoeira down easily, dumping her onto her back near the fence. Jasudavicius sets up in the Brazilian’s half guard and rains down hammerfists from above. Cachoeira turns to the side and Jasudavicius takes the back with a single hook, then flattens her out with both hooks. Jasudavicius throws big punches to the head from back mount as the referee looks on closely. Cachoeira turns to her back, giving up full mount. Jasudavicius keeps throwing punches. Cachoeira manages to block a few with her arms, but most are getting through with varying degrees of impact. Ninety seconds left and Jasudavicius is in total control, thrashing the Brazilian with both hands. Cachoeira doesn’t even seem to be doing anything to escape the position, though she traps the left hand of Jasudavicius with her right arm, briefly slowing the assault. In the final 30 seconds, the pace slows, but Cachoeira remains flat on her back with Jasudavicius in full mount, throwing punches. The horn sounds on as one-sided a full round as you’ll see all year.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius

Round 2
Cachoeira, apparently not having learned her lesson, charges straight at Jasudavicius to open Round 2. Cachoeira lands a low kick and gets countered over the top with a right hand that drops her in the middle of the Octagon. Jasudavicius dives into half guard and resumes raining down punches and elbows. Jasudavicius moves to side control, then to mount, while keeping Cachoeira on the defensive with a steady stream of ground-and-pound. Cachoeira locks her arms behind Jasudavicius’ back, trying to control her posture, and Jasudavicius slides to side control, then places a knee on the belly of Cachoeira. Halfway into the round, Jasudavicius locks up a brabo choke from top position. Cachoeira’s hand hovers, appearing on the point of tapping, but she survives. Jasudavicius adjusts her position and attacks with the choke again. It looks very tight, but there is no tap forthcoming. Sixty seconds to go and Jasudavicius releases the choke, takes mount and goes right back to dropping elbows. Cachoeira is in survival mode, weakly trying to block the offense coming from the pissed-off Canadian. The horn sounds and we have a “Beatdown of the Year” candidate in the works here, folks.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius

Round 3
Cachoeira flicks out the jab once, twice. She changes stance and lands a left hand. Jasudavicius tries a double-leg takedown but Cachoeira manages to stay upright. Jasudavicius comes forward for another takedown and is met with a right hand that knocks her down off-balance. Cachoeira’s hands are at her waist, but she is landing punches and has thus far fought off both of Jasudavicius’ takedown attempts. Third time is the charm, however, as Jasudavicius hauls her down on her third try and moves instantly to side control, then to a mounted crucifix, there she begins dropping leather. Jasudavicius pivots to almost a north-south position, near to an inverted choke setup, but gives it up and goes back to dropping punches and elbows from top position. A minute left and Jasudavicius is basically sitting on Cachoeira’s head, knocking the cashews out of her with body punches.
Out of nowhere, Jasudavicius slaps on a modified, mounted guillotine choke and cranks. The tap comes in seconds, capping off 14 minutes of one-way traffic.
Wow.

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 4:21 via Submission (Anaconda Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo is extremely confident in Jasudavicius, calling her his most confident pick on the card. He highlights her wrestling background, pressure, and ability to take down opponents, noting that Cachoeira is vulnerable to wrestlers. He believes Jasudavicius will dominate via takedowns and control, and considers her at minus 400 to be great value.

Parlay piece; great value at minus 400
"this is my most confident pick on the card just straight up and it's Jasmine"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is confident in Jasudavicius due to her wrestling base and physical strength. He notes that Cachoeira struggles against wrestlers and is helpless on her back. He expects Jasudavicius to take her down repeatedly and win a decision. He also mentions Cachoeira's history of cheating but doesn't think it will matter.

decision
"give me Jasmine Jazz The Vicious to win this fight I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling and pace. He thinks she will mix in takedowns and control the fight, avoiding a brawl. He notes Cachoeira's vulnerability to wrestling and expects a clear decision or late stoppage for Jasudavicius.

"I think she'll utilize both things to beat Jasmine... a clear-cut decision or a late stoppage."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Jasudavicius is relentless with takedowns and physical, while Cachoeira has power and will cheat. He expects Jasudavicius to dominate on top and win a decision or get a finish, but acknowledges Cachoeira's threat on the feet.

"I'm gonna go Jasmine Jaz deicious here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Jasudavicius vs Cachoeira.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

I fully expect Jasudavicius to have no trouble getting this fight to the mat and then dominate with her wrestling. She has great scrambles and control from top position. However, I'm not 100% sold on her getting a finish, as Cachoeira might show enough resistance to grind out a decision. The moneyline at -370 is chalky but I feel the advantage is so far in Jasudavicius's favor that I might as well throw it into a parlay. I see this as a shoo-in spot for her to be dominant with her wrestling.

parlay, decision victory
"I fully expect Jaz de visus to have no trouble getting this fight to the mat and then it all depends on will the fighter that normally does not get finishes be dominant enough on the mat that she can …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul picks Cachoeira as a sentimental underdog, having bet her at +330. He hopes for a brawl and a KO, but acknowledges Jasudavicius is the more likely winner. He admits it's a heart pick.

"I'm not going to let cab fight in my country and not have at least a little ticket for it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her higher level of competition and technical skill compared to Priscila Cachoeira. He notes Jasudavicius's win over Miranda Maverick and her durability, while acknowledging Cachoeira's power advantage. He also mentions Jasudavicius's reach advantage and the home crowd factor in Canada.

"I am going to go of Jasmine Juda vicious I think she's lost to better opponents than Priscilla kakua"
Submission (armbar) R3 2:11 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 36 of 51 70% 105 of 132 3 of 9 33% 1 0 8:54
Priscila Cachoeira 0 11 of 23 47% 13 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 16 of 25 64% 46 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:29
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 9 44% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 11 of 16 68% 43 of 56 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:48
Priscila Cachoeira 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Miranda Maverick 0 9 of 10 90% 16 of 17 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:37
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 36 of 51 70% 23 of 37 8 of 8 5 of 6 16 of 29 2 of 2 18 of 20
Priscila Cachoeira 11 of 23 47% 7 of 18 2 of 3 2 of 2 10 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 16 of 25 64% 9 of 18 5 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 14 0 of 0 9 of 11
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 9 44% 1 of 5 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 11 of 16 68% 7 of 11 1 of 1 3 of 4 6 of 11 1 of 1 4 of 4
Priscila Cachoeira 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 9 of 10 90% 7 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 5
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-305), Cachoeira (+240)

Round 1
Every now and then, a fight card comes around that makes the community pause for a second to admire its impressive stature. The excitement around the MMA sphere is refreshingly genuine, especially for an otherwise costly event that has no actual, real belts on the line. When the lights go down in the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, the anticipation will build throughout the night to a crescendo. Even if the product does not deliver respective to how it looks on paper, the main attraction is one that will entice even the most jaded of fight fans. Before we get to that mega rematch, we start on the early preliminary card with six prelims as appetizers ahead of the hearty $80 meal. The first fight on the billing also happens to be the lone women’s match of the evening, and it comes between late replacement Maverick (11-5, 4-3 UFC) and the much-maligned Cachoeira (12-4, 4-4 UFC). This contest of wrestler vs. striker will be officiated by referee Dave Seljestad. The flyweights start the show without a touch of gloves, and here we go. Maverick bobs and shifts forward, and she reaches out with a left hook and a pair of punches soon to follow. Cachoeira swats back at her and comes up short, and Maverick gets to a safe range and lands a low kick. Maverick shoots in for a takedown from afar, and before she can get close, Cachoeira pushes her back and catches her with an overhand right. Maverick fakes a level change, and she goes up high with a kick that surprises the Brazilian. Cachoeira chops down at the inside leg, and Maverick responds and gets countered with a right hand. Maverick leaps forward with a Superwoman punch, and she wraps her foot on the side of the head. When Cachoeira tries to take advantage of an off-balance Maverick, she closes the distance, and Maverick uses the momentum to spin Cachoeira and drag her to her seat. Cachoeira leans against the fence in hopes of wall-walking, and Maverick isolates her foe’s right leg to keep Cachoeira grounded. Cachoeira posts off on her right arm while using her other to push Maverick’s head down, and this stops Maverick from advancing to a top position. “Zombie Girl” musters her way to her knee and is briefly upright, but Maverick pulls her down and smacks her a few times with her left fist. Maverick imposes her weight on Cachoeira to keep her trapped in this awkward position, and Cachoeira still muscles her way back up. The second she does, Maverick strips her legs back out and dumps her to her back. This allows Maverick to move to side control, and she drives a knee to the midsection before lowering herself down. Maverick scores short punches to fluster the Brazilian, sitting comfortably in half guard, and Cachoeira is not making any overt effort to stand back up. Maverick traps Cachoeira’s right arm beneath her legs for a partial crucifix, and she hammers Cachoeira with thudding elbows. Cachoeira tugs her toes on the fence to try to escape, and Seljestad slaps them a few times to prevent the fence grabbing. Maverick rides out the remainder of the round, dropping down a few elbows and hammerfists.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The second round kicks off with an aggressive Maverick, who swarms with a big left hook and a few follow-up punches. When Cachoeira misses on the counter, Maverick reaches out and pops her with a left hook. Maverick drops down for a single-leg takedown, and Cachoeira shuts it down and misses with a short counter by a matter of inches. Cachoeira thwarts another takedown, although an uppercut from Maverick after it gets stifled busted her nose up. Maverick thwacks the inside leg of her opponent, and Cachoeira draws it back briefly. Cachoeira commits to defending the oncoming takedown, and she grips her left arm under the chin to potentially threaten with a guillotine choke. Cachoeira grabs the fence with her other hand instead of securing the submission, and Maverick doubles down on the attempt. Maverick slides her neck out of the dangerous position and slowly drags Cachoeira to the ground. Cachoeira has her hands slapped by Seljestad for grabbing the inside of Maverick’s gloves and then the cage, warned sternly for her fouls. Maverick secures the takedown and sits down in half guard, smothering Cachoeira and frustrating her with little left hands and elbows. Maverick smartly traps Cachoeira between the corner of the fence and the floor to disallow Cachoeira from going anywhere, and she tries to jump to the side and winds up falling into full mount. Maverick opens up with ground-and-pound, and Cachoeira bucks with all her might to get out of the precarious position. Cachoeira pulls on the fence with her fingers and toes, and the fouls allow her to turn all the way through and nearly get back up. Maverick, concerned only on her gameplan and not what the Brazilian is doing, wrenches Cachoeira to her back again. Maverick hacks down with a crisp elbow, and her grinding attack allows her to conclude this frame in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 3
Knowing Cachoeira is likely to come out guns blazing, Maverick keeps her distance early in the last round with multiple front kicks. Cachoeira swings for the bleachers with right hooks, and Maverick times this inaccurate strike to shoot in for a takedown. When this fails, Maverick redoubles her effort, scoring a clean right hand to set it up and perfectly deposit Cachoeira to the canvas courtesy of a double-leg takedown. When they hit the ground, Cachoeira’s arm inadvertently slides beneath one of Maverick’s shoulder straps, and it forces a brief wardrobe malfunction that Seljestad resets. Maverick, glad to be on top in side control, drops down a few strikes before shifting gears to north-south. When there is no submission to come from it, Maverick keeps moving and jumps into full mount. As Cachoeira defends from any oncoming fire, she leaves her right arm out just a little too long.
Maverick snatches it up and rolls to the side, setting the hook and wrenching down. Cachoeira taps out, and then taps a second time. Seljestad, watching very closely, does not intervene. Instead, Cachoeira taps out several more times, and he finally steps in.
Maverick could have cranked the elbow much harder, but out of sportsmanship decided not to destroy the arm of “Zombie Girl.” This one-side victory is an important one for Maverick, who reminds the rest of the flyweight division she is still a threat.

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 2:11 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick but with very low confidence. He notes that Miranda is the better fighter overall and should be able to get takedowns and grind out a win, but he is concerned about her coming off a bad loss and the short notice. He thinks the odds are too high at -315 and is not betting on her, advising others to avoid it as well.

odds comment: -315 is crazy, she just took your money
"Miranda Maverick is the better fighter here Miranda should win super low confidence in that pick I'm spending absolutely no money on this and you shouldn't either minus 315 is crazy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by submission in the second round. He notes that Maverick has a clear path to victory by taking the fight to the mat, where Cachoeira is a fish out of water with poor takedown defense and submission grappling. He warns that if Maverick strikes, she risks getting caught by Cachoeira's power, but expects her to fight smart and capitalize on the matchup taken on short notice.

second round submission
"I like Miranda Maverick to win this fight by sub I'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody picks Cachoeira at plus money, citing her power, reach advantage, and grit. He questions Maverick's wrestling after her loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, where she was controlled. He notes Cachoeira's durability and ability to land big shots. He already bet her at +270.

"I grabbed it at plus 270"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

James sees this as a setup spot for Maverick, who has strong takedown ability and jiu-jitsu to exploit Cachoeira's grappling deficiency. He notes Cachoeira's recent wins are against lower-level competition and that her only correlated loss was a submission to Gillian Robertson. He expects Maverick to take her down and submit her, likely via rear-naked choke, though he acknowledges Cachoeira is tough and may survive to a decision.

under 2.5 rounds at -115
"I think Miranda Maverick gets her down and submits her just like Jillian Robertson did"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a strong grappler who will get takedowns and work from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but isn't ready for Maverick's overall game. Maverick will eventually open up a finishing opportunity. I'm taking Maverick to win inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds is not a bad spot.

inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds
"I'm taking Miranda Maverick to win inside the distance under two and a half not a bad spot either"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul leans Cachoeira, noting Maverick's poor striking and recent grappling struggles. He believes Cachoeira's power and volume on the feet can win rounds, especially if Maverick can't get takedowns. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.

"why not take that plus money flyer"
TKO (punches) R1 1:05 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Priscila Cachoeira 1 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Ariane da Silva 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Priscila Cachoeira 1 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Ariane da Silva 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Priscila Cachoeira 20 of 35 57% 15 of 27 4 of 5 1 of 3 6 of 17 0 of 0 14 of 18
Ariane da Silva 4 of 15 26% 3 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Priscila Cachoeira 20 of 35 57% 15 of 27 4 of 5 1 of 3 6 of 17 0 of 0 14 of 18
Ariane da Silva 4 of 15 26% 3 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Ariane Lipski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lipski (-195), Cachoeira (+165)

Round 1
This is another rescheduled fight from last week’s event, with both women moving up a division to keep the bout intact. After a rough start to her UFC tenure, Brazil’s Cachoeira is building momentum with three wins in her last four outings. A former KSW champ, Lipski has been up and down since signing with the Las Vegas-based promotion. Herb Dean is in charge of the contest. Lipski catches Cachoeira with a counter right. Cachoeira lands a right of her own. “Zombie Girl” moves forward to force the brawl she desires and Lipski obliges. That turns out to be the wrong decision, as a left hook from Cachoeira backs up “The Violence Queen.” Cachoeira forces the issue, landing more shots.
Lipski is firing back but leaving herself exposed, and eventually the onslaught from Cachoeira drops her opponent — puncutated by a right to the chin. Cachoeira smells blood, and a barrage of punches and hammerfists on the canvas on a defenseless Lipski brings the show to a close.

The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira def. Ariane Lipski via TKO (Punches) R1 1:05
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Angelo switched his pick from Lipski to Cachoeira due to Lipski's weight cut issues and medical problems. He notes Cachoeira is the more dangerous fighter with heavy pressure and power, and Lipski may not be at 100% after cutting weight twice in a short period.

"i'm full on switching my pick i'm going priscilla cachera here she was always the more dangerous fighter in this matchup"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Big Brady picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) to win by first-round submission. He notes that Cachoeira absorbs an absurd 7.91 significant strikes per minute with 45% striking defense, calling her the definition of blocking punches with her face. Lipski hits hard and has a good submission game, and Cachoeira has been submitted twice in the UFC. Brady believes Lipski will take the fight down and submit her easily in the first round.

first round submission
"i think lipski takes the path of release resistance get this fight down to the mat and submits catch aware in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Cody picks Lipski, criticizing Cachoeira's technique and durability. He notes Cachoeira missed weight and had lingering COVID symptoms, which are bad signs. Cody thinks Lipski is better standing and in the clinch, and he cannot bet Cachoeira.

"there's just no world that exists that i want to bet priscilla cachuera it just does it's not happening"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul picks Cachoeira, having already bet her at +150 and a round three prop at 20-1. He acknowledges she missed weight and had COVID issues but still believes she can win. Paul is sticking with his bet despite the line moving against him.

Cachoeira round three +2000; Cachoeira moneyline +150
"i'm already on catch awara plus 150 the market is moving against me i'm already on catch aware uh 20 to one in round three"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

The host picks Ariane Lipski (Ariane da Silva) over Priscila Cachoeira, citing Cachoeira's weak UFC wins and losses to fighters like Molly McCann and Luana Carolina. He expects Lipski to take the fight to the ground and secure a submission in the first or second round, referencing Lipski's previous dominant submission win over Luana Carolina who also beat Cachoeira.

submission in first or second round
"i can see ariana lipski getting this one to the ground and finding herself a submission victory in the first or second round"
WIN vs Ji Yeon Kim
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Priscila Cachoeira 0 170 of 375 45% 171 of 376 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ji Yeon Kim 0 102 of 218 46% 102 of 218 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Priscila Cachoeira 0 31 of 83 37% 31 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ji Yeon Kim 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
2 Priscila Cachoeira 0 54 of 128 42% 54 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ji Yeon Kim 0 32 of 77 41% 32 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Priscila Cachoeira 0 85 of 164 51% 86 of 165 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ji Yeon Kim 0 52 of 99 52% 52 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Priscila Cachoeira 170 of 375 45% 151 of 351 9 of 12 10 of 12 167 of 367 3 of 8 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 102 of 218 46% 78 of 185 20 of 28 4 of 5 91 of 205 11 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Priscila Cachoeira 31 of 83 37% 22 of 72 2 of 3 7 of 8 31 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 18 of 42 42% 13 of 36 2 of 3 3 of 3 18 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Priscila Cachoeira 54 of 128 42% 48 of 120 4 of 5 2 of 3 54 of 127 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 32 of 77 41% 20 of 59 11 of 17 1 of 1 30 of 75 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Priscila Cachoeira 85 of 164 51% 81 of 159 3 of 4 1 of 1 82 of 157 3 of 7 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 52 of 99 52% 45 of 90 7 of 8 0 of 1 43 of 88 9 of 11 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ji Yeon Kim vs. Priscila Cachoeira

Round 1
Keith Peterson will oversee this clash of women’s flyweights. Kim dodges a massive overhand and lands a counter. Cachoeira is already swinging for the fences. A Kim jab counters a low kick. Cachoeira with a kick to her foe’s lead leg. Kim follows a leg kick with a combination, but it’s just out of range. Another inside leg kick lands for Kim. They trade briefly in the pocket and both fighters land significant shots. A left hook lnads for Cachoeira, but Kim fires back with a combination. Cahoeira is swinging wildly, pursuing her opponent. Kim angles out and lands a right hand. A jab lands for Kim, who avoids her foe’s follow-up. Km with a couple inside leg kicks and Cachoeira shots for a takedown before the horn. Kim is down to a knee but stands before the end of the frame.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira

Round 2
Kim opens with a one-two. Kim counters an overhand right by Cachoeira, who steps in with a left hook that connects. A straight right snaps Cachoeira’s head back. A right cross finds the mark for Cachoeira. Kim sticks her jab but misses a right hand. A right hand backs up Cachoeira briefly. Kim with a counter left hook. Cachoeira tries to force a brawl but Kim wisely angles out of danger without taking too much damage. Kim goes back to pumping her jab, moving in and out. The flyweights trade low kicks. Another jab connects for Kim. Kim counters after a wild right from Cachoeira. The Brazilian lands a crisp jab. Cachoeira moves forward, swinging away, but she’s missing the mark. Cachoeira pressues and lands a right, but Kim tags her with a combination. They trade in close quarters, but Kim is still using her jab effectively at range.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kim
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kim

Round 3
Kim with a nice three-punch combo to start. Cachoeira forces a brawl and they’re swinging wildly in the pocket. Kim connects during the exchange and Cachoeira is stunned. Kim inexplicably forces a tie-up with her dazed opponent. They separate in relatively short order and are back in the center of the cage. Kim seems to be landing more and more during the wild exchanges, while Cachoeira’s big movements are coming up empty. Kim tags Cachoeira with a few jabs, then eats a right hand. More jabs from Kim, and Cachoeira’s face is marked up. Cachoeira walks right into another jab, but she does step in and land a right. A solid right sends Cachoeira backward momentarily. Kim with another jab and then a right hand. A one-two and then a clean right tags Cachoeira. Cachoeira is unfazed, and she’s lunging forward with elbows. One of those lands and cuts Kim on her cheek, but Cachoeira is eating punches in bunches for her efforts. Cachoeira has decides to throw only elbows, and quite a few are landing. The Brazilian measures a right haymaker and connects near the fence. They are just brawling in a phone both, both trading heavy punches. Cachoeira marches forward, landing a pair of jumping knees. A standing elbow on the break lands for Cachoeira, and that one also cuts Kim. A spirited ending for Cachoeira, who appeared dead in the water earlier in the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)

The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira def. Ji Yeon Kim via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Big Brady picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by decision. He notes Kim has a seven-inch reach advantage and throws high volume, while Cachoeira absorbs 6.97 significant strikes per minute with terrible defense. He calls Cachoeira 'ketchup cheating' and says she is very hittable. Brady thinks Kim is more defensively sound and will outwork Cachoeira, though he acknowledges both fighters are low level and the fight is on the main card surprisingly.

Kim by decision
"I gotta go with um jinyoung kim i guess i think the seven inches is huge she's the more defensively sound at least with kim she's not going to block punches with her face"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody leans toward Cachoeira as a dog, noting her pressure and power could overwhelm Kim, who lacks takedown ability. He mentions Kim's reach advantage but doubts her power to keep Cachoeira off. Cody calls it a 'dog or pass' fight and suggests Cachoeira inside the distance at +400 as a possible bet.

Cachoeira inside distance +400
"cab inside the distance like plus 400. that may be something"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Daniel Levi picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by decision. He notes Kim has a reach and volume advantage, and that she has been training in Vegas to avoid jet lag. Levi is concerned that Kim's fights sometimes play out too close, but believes her durability and technical boxing will overcome Cachoeira's power. He mentions Cachoeira is predictable and lacks ground game.

"i think that jion kim lands the more volume on her picks her apart and wins this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

The host leans with Kim due to her more refined striking and better technique, expecting her to stay on the back foot and land jabs and one-twos while avoiding Cachoeira's power shots. He notes Cachoeira is flat-footed and lacks speed, which could be her downfall. However, he is not confident enough to bet at -165, saying the margin for error is thin for Kim. He predicts a decision win for Kim.

"i do still lean on the kim's side i do lean the girl with the technique and the more precise striking"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Paul leans toward Kim, citing her improved volume and defense in recent fights, especially against Molly McCann. He notes Cachoeira's poor technique and tendency to gas, and believes Kim's volume will take over as the fight progresses. However, he acknowledges women's MMA volatility and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"i would lean towards kim i'm not betting it i don't think though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

The MMA Guru picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by 30-27 unanimous decision. He cites Kim's significant reach advantage (72 inches vs 66-67) and believes the fight will stay on the feet, where Kim's range and cardio will allow her to outpoint Cachoeira. He references their common opponent Molly McCann, noting that Kim had a closer fight with McCann than Cachoeira did. The Guru expects competitive rounds but sees Kim pulling ahead as the fight progresses.

30-27 unanimous decision
"i'm going to go with you on kim 30 27 decision"