vs
-500 +420
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 29
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - JJ Aldrich
3.96 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
4.32 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Liang Na
1.99 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
3.95 SApM
36.0% Str. Def.
3.6 TD Avg
58.0% TD Acc.
25.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
JJ Aldrich
Moneyline
Caesars -500
KO/TKO
BetRivers +185
Submission
FanDuel +350
Decision
FanDuel +230
Liang Na
Moneyline
FanDuel +420
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1400
Submission
FanDuel +850
Decision
FanDuel +1300
JJ Aldrich - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 50 of 149 33% 52 of 154 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:44
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 70 of 230 30% 73 of 233 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 43 16% 9 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:44
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 21 of 54 38% 23 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 46 34% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 21 of 88 23% 22 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 JJ Aldrich 0 27 of 60 45% 27 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 28 of 88 31% 28 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 50 of 149 33% 35 of 127 5 of 8 10 of 14 50 of 149 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 70 of 230 30% 28 of 158 25 of 48 17 of 24 70 of 230 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 7 of 43 16% 5 of 38 0 of 0 2 of 5 7 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 21 of 54 38% 11 of 33 8 of 15 2 of 6 21 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 16 of 46 34% 11 of 39 2 of 3 3 of 4 16 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 21 of 88 23% 7 of 67 5 of 10 9 of 11 21 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 27 of 60 45% 19 of 50 3 of 5 5 of 5 27 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 28 of 88 31% 10 of 58 12 of 23 6 of 7 28 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her power, range control, and higher fight IQ. He notes that JJ Aldrich is coming off a layoff and was never dangerous, and that Horth's takedown defense is a concern but JJ is not a strong wrestler. He expects Horth to win a shutout decision.

"This should be Jamie Lynn Horth. It should be. Like we have a lot of Canadians on this card for obvious reasons. Some of them have good matchups and some of them absolutely don't."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her size, strength, and physicality. He believes Horth will win in the clinch and grind out a close split decision, despite Aldrich having better striking at distance. He expects an unexciting fight.

split decision
"Give me Jamie Lynn Horth to win a very close split decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physical strength and ability to pressure. He notes that JJ Aldrich has mental toughness issues and tends to fade when pressured. He expects Horth to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I actually just got to take Horth to out muscle her, get her up against the cage, work her a little bit, land the bigger, more impactful blows."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Connor picks Aldrich because she is a much better technician with faster hands and superior skills everywhere. He notes that Horth is not the kind of athlete that beats Aldrich, and Aldrich has beaten similar fighters like Jillian Robertson and Vanessa Demopoulos. However, he expresses concern that Aldrich's tendency to abandon what works could make the fight closer than it should be.

Horth opened at -300, now -160; Aldrich opened at +250, now +140; Connor notes the odds are disrespectful to Aldrich
"I'm going to pick Aldrich just because like I said, this is not the level of athlete that Aldrich tends to lose to."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich is the better fighter everywhere: more technical boxing, southpaw stance, improved takedown defense, and better MMA grappling. Horth has home advantage but poor fight IQ and is an inexperienced striker. Aldrich's main issue is putting her stamp on rounds, but she should do enough to win a close decision. The odds are off; Aldrich should be at least 50%.

plus 3.5 on Aldrich at 3.80; fight likely goes to decision
"I do think Aldrich is a very good bet here. For me, at worst, this fight is 50/50."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

James picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He thinks Aldrich's boxing and takedown defense will keep the fight competitive, and that Horth's advantages are overstated. He predicts a decision win.

"I'll pick JJ Aldridge cuz I'm a sports bet... JJ Aldridge to get this one via decision as another underdog is my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host thinks Aldrich is the superior striker technically and has a strength of schedule advantage. He believes she will land more effective shots and withstand Horton's power. He notes that Horton throws with more power, which gives him pause, but sees value on Aldrich as a live underdog. He predicts Aldrich by decision.

"I still believe that there is good enough value here on Aldrich with her strength of schedule, her crisp boxing, her ability to withstand damage. I think she'll be able to land more effective shots here against Horton, and I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks JJ Aldrich as a slight underdog, citing her experience and plus money. He notes that both fighters are similar but Aldrich has fought better competition. He expects a close decision and likes the value on Aldrich.

"I'd rather have the plus money on on on Aldrich who has frankly fought way way more competition."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Zane agrees with Connor, emphasizing that Aldrich is a good technician and solid grappler who has beaten better fighters than Horth. He notes that Horth's best win is over Vanessa Demopoulos, while Aldrich has wins over better competition. He also points out that Horth is not a reckless fighter like Andrea Lee, so Aldrich may not get easy counters, but she should still win handily.

Horth opened at -300, now -160; Aldrich opened at +250, now +140; Zane calls the odds 'disrespectful'
"I'm going to pick Aldrich just because like I said, this is not the level of athlete that Aldrich tends to lose to."
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 53 of 175 30% 66 of 192 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 74 of 137 54% 77 of 142 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 18 of 57 31% 18 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 21 of 43 48% 23 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
2 Andrea Lee 0 15 of 58 25% 18 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 25 of 46 54% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Andrea Lee 0 20 of 60 33% 30 of 74 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 28 of 48 58% 29 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 53 of 175 30% 13 of 109 25 of 44 15 of 22 52 of 174 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 74 of 137 54% 54 of 114 10 of 13 10 of 10 68 of 130 5 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 18 of 57 31% 1 of 32 8 of 12 9 of 13 18 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 21 of 43 48% 14 of 34 2 of 4 5 of 5 18 of 39 2 of 3 1 of 1
2 Andrea Lee 15 of 58 25% 3 of 35 6 of 14 6 of 9 15 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 25 of 46 54% 17 of 37 4 of 5 4 of 4 25 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andrea Lee 20 of 60 33% 9 of 42 11 of 18 0 of 0 19 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 28 of 48 58% 23 of 43 4 of 4 1 of 1 25 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee despite her five-fight losing streak, arguing that she is still a good striker with quality losses and close decisions. He criticizes JJ Aldrich as inconsistent and lacking in wrestling and striking. He sees value in Lee at +163 odds but warns against betting on this fight due to the unpredictability of both fighters.

Value bet at +163; do not bet heavily
"Andrea Lee at plus 163 are decent odds like this is pretty good ODS there's some good value there and it might be worth a step"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks JJ Aldrich but is hesitant. He acknowledges value on Andrea Lee at +170 but cannot pick her due to her five-fight losing streak and apparent decline. He notes Aldrich's takedown defense and striking should be enough, but expects a close split decision.

Aldrich by split decision
"I'm going to pick JJ Aldridge and I'm going to take Aldridge to win probably by a split decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host leans with Aldrich, believing she can use her striking approach to nullify Lee's kickboxing and shut down any grappling attempts. He expects Aldrich's combination style to earn her a decision win.

"I have to lean with the Aldrich side as I believe that she can go out there and utilize her striking approach to nullify the kickboxing of Lee shut down the grappling that Lee might might look to initiate and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Andrea Lee. He reasons that Andrea Lee is on a five-fight losing streak and declining, while Aldrich is more well-rounded and can get takedowns. He recalls Aldrich's performance against Erin Blanchfield before getting caught in a guillotine. He predicts a split decision win for Aldrich.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over Andrea Lee... she's a little bit more well-rounded than Andrea Lee and she'll probably be able to get a few takedowns in this fight."
LOSS vs Veronica Hardy
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 27 of 63 42% 38 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:09
JJ Aldrich 0 36 of 78 46% 69 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 24 37% 10 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:34
JJ Aldrich 0 14 of 24 58% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 35 42% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 21 47% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 19 36% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 27 of 63 42% 19 of 51 8 of 11 0 of 1 15 of 47 8 of 9 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 36 of 78 46% 22 of 60 3 of 6 11 of 12 30 of 68 6 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 24 37% 8 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 19 4 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 14 of 24 58% 10 of 19 0 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 18 44% 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 35 42% 10 of 28 2 of 3 3 of 4 12 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 10 of 21 47% 6 of 14 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 1 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"the slight lean is going to be JJ Aldrich"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.

"as far as a pick I'm going to go Hardy just because she's younger I think she's going to be more likely to be making improvements"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.

"I think Veronica Hardy keeps the momentum going keeps the win streak going"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.

by decision
"I'm going to go Veronica Hardy to win this decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.

"I'm going to lean Hardy here and I think we see her go out there touch up JJ Aldrich over the course of 15 minutes and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.

"Hardy was the first bet that I made this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.

"I'm actually going to go against Veronica Hardy here... I think JJ Aldridge is a step above her recent competition."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 67 of 204 32% 70 of 209 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 65 of 135 48% 66 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 19 of 55 34% 20 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 JJ Aldrich 0 21 of 63 33% 23 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 20 of 44 45% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 JJ Aldrich 0 27 of 86 31% 27 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Montana De La Rosa 0 26 of 56 46% 27 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 67 of 204 32% 41 of 172 13 of 16 13 of 16 59 of 184 8 of 20 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 65 of 135 48% 55 of 122 9 of 11 1 of 2 58 of 124 7 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 19 of 55 34% 14 of 48 0 of 2 5 of 5 17 of 49 2 of 6 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 19 of 35 54% 18 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 2 16 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 21 of 63 33% 10 of 49 7 of 8 4 of 6 19 of 56 2 of 7 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 20 of 44 45% 15 of 38 5 of 6 0 of 0 18 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 27 of 86 31% 17 of 75 6 of 6 4 of 5 23 of 79 4 of 7 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 26 of 56 46% 22 of 51 4 of 5 0 of 0 24 of 52 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Angelo picks Montana De La Rosa because she is a very good wrestler with a straightforward game plan of taking opponents down. He notes that JJ Aldrich is decent at everything but great at nothing, and that Aldrich was taken down in her last fight. He also mentions that Montana's losses are to quality fighters like Tatiana Suarez, while Aldrich has had poor performances. He placed a half-unit bet on Montana at +135, noting the line has since moved.

Bet 0.5 units at +135; line movement noted
"I put a half a unit on Montana DEA Rosa at plus 135"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Big Brady leans toward Montana De La Rosa, noting that she has a grappling advantage over JJ Aldrich. He believes De La Rosa's wrestling is solid for the division and that she can control the fight on the ground. He mentions that Aldrich has been taken down by lesser grapplers like Liang Na, so De La Rosa should be able to secure takedowns. However, he admits the fight could be close if De La Rosa cannot get the takedown, and he preferred her at plus money. He predicts a decision win.

decision win for Montana De La Rosa
"I do lean the Montana de la Roa side here I liked her a lot more at at plus money because at the end of the day I do think this is going to be a pretty close fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Cody picks De La Rosa, citing her toughness, wrestling, and ability to pressure. He notes that Aldrich has struggled against grapplers and that De La Rosa's tenacity will be key. He expects De La Rosa to make the fight dirty and win a decision.

"final verdict would be Montana Del Rosa... she probably makes this dirty again in Aldridge and wins"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Daniel Levi picks Montana De La Rosa, noting her toughness and improved hands. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich is the cleaner striker but thinks Montana can bully her and take her back. He mentions that the value has shifted to Aldrich now that Montana is favored, but his pure pick is Montana.

notes that those who got Montana at plus money made the right play; suggests hedging with Aldrich plus money
"my pure pick is Montana De la Rosa"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Montana De La Rosa

Lucrative James sees this as a close fight, likely 29-28 either way. He leans Montana De La Rosa because he has seen JJ Aldrich 'flake' a few times against physical opponents like Erin Blanchfield and Bara. He believes De La Rosa's physicality can cause Aldrich to falter, though he acknowledges it's a toss-up.

"I lean Montana de Roa the reason is because I've seen JJ Aldridge kind of flake a few times now... I do think a physical girl can make a flake"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich took this fight on short notice, which suggests she believes she has an edge from training with De La Rosa in the past. She has good takedown defense and superior striking, and should be able to stuff takedowns or work back to her feet. De La Rosa is on a two-fight losing streak and relies on wrestling, but Aldrich has shown she can handle grapplers. Expect Aldrich to land more damage and win by decision.

"give me Aldridge to go out there land more damage to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Paul picks De La Rosa, agreeing with the line movement. He notes that Aldrich has been taken down and controlled by wrestlers, and that De La Rosa's wrestling and heart should be enough. He expects a decision win.

"Montana De la Rosa for me as well... likely wins by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Montana De La Rosa over JJ Aldridge. He believes De La Rosa is underrated and notes her decent performance against Macy Barber and competitive rounds with Tatiana Suarez. He points to a common opponent, Ariane Lipski, who finished De La Rosa but later beat Aldridge, suggesting De La Rosa is stronger. He also mentions a slight reach advantage for De La Rosa and describes Aldridge as 'two hit and miss.'

"I'm gonna go with Montana De la Rosa here I do believe that she's somewhat of an underrated female fighter"
WIN vs Liang Na
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 41 26% 27 of 61 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:38
Liang Na 0 47 of 65 72% 68 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 1 5:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 28 25% 21 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:56
Liang Na 0 11 of 20 55% 18 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
2 JJ Aldrich 0 4 of 13 30% 6 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:42
Liang Na 0 36 of 45 80% 50 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 11 of 41 26% 7 of 30 3 of 8 1 of 3 9 of 36 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 47 of 65 72% 46 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 18 1 of 2 37 of 45
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 7 of 28 25% 6 of 21 1 of 5 0 of 2 5 of 23 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 11 of 20 55% 10 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 5
2 JJ Aldrich 4 of 13 30% 1 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 36 of 45 80% 36 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 34 of 40
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo states that JJ Aldrich is better everywhere but expresses frustration with her last performance against Ariane Lipski, which cost him a bet. He sarcastically considers betting on Liang out of spite but ultimately acknowledges Aldrich should win. He does not recommend betting on Aldrich due to the poor value and his personal distrust.

"JJ's gonna win this fight she's literally better everywhere but she's dead to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is a fan of Liang Na but acknowledges her flaws: she gasses out quickly, has poor durability, and quits when tired. He expects JJ Aldrich to weather an early storm and then take over as Liang fades. He predicts Aldrich will win by second-round knockout due to exhaustion, as Liang will be unable to continue.

second round knockout due to exhaustion
"I think JJ Aldrich wins by by second round knockout due to exhaustion"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, noting her experience and level of competition. He expects Liang to gas out after an early flurry, leading to a finish. Cody likes Aldrich inside the distance at minus 145.

Aldrich inside the distance -145
"this is a a good TKO spot for JJ Aldridge so I think she finishes inside the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich, stating that she should win easily against a lower-level opponent. He notes that Liang Na is not UFC caliber, with poor striking and chin. However, he refuses to lay the heavy price, calling it a pass. He is confident Aldrich wins but sees no betting value.

"I think JJ should should win this fight as the line in the case but you will not catch me dead laying no chalk on JJ Aldrich in a UFC fight period"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
JJ Aldrich

James is confident JJ Aldrich wins, citing her superior striking and Liang Na's lack of UFC-level success. He notes Liang Na has been finished by strikes in both UFC fights and has only one round of cardio. He predicts Aldrich will piece her up on the feet and likely get a finish, possibly in round three. However, he does not bet on the fight due to the short odds and Aldrich's lack of finishing history.

JJ Aldrich in round 3 mentioned as a sneaky prop; over 2.5 rounds at +160 mentioned but not bet
"I do think JJ Aldridge gets to finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host describes Liang Na as a 'die or get carried out' fighter who leaves herself open with wide looping shots and has poor takedown defense. JJ Aldrich is the far more technical striker and the host expects her to anticipate takedowns, counter effectively, and find a knockout. The host notes Aldrich hasn't finished in 7-8 years but believes this matchup is perfect for her to get a finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

under 2.5 rounds
"I expect her to stop the takedowns utilize her full work and her combinations to open up the Striking and eventually find that knockout over Liang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting Liang's poor UFC performances and one-dimensional style. He expects Aldrich to survive the early storm and win by decision or late finish. Paul is not interested in the price but sees Aldrich as a safe pick.

Aldrich by KO/TKO
"Aldrich though she's not an early finisher typically it's like this is the stylistic matchup for you to get the job done early"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Liang Na, calling it a no-brainer. He notes Aldrich's high-level experience in the UFC since 2016 with wins over known fighters like Julian Robertson and Courtney Casey. He dismisses Liang Na as simply not good, having lost to lower-level opponents. He emphasizes Aldrich's superior level of competition.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over naliang ... she's just a different level of women's fighter than Nal Yang is"
LOSS vs Ariane da Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 0 101 of 204 49% 113 of 216 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
JJ Aldrich 0 49 of 99 49% 56 of 106 0 of 12 0% 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 35 of 67 52% 40 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 20 55% 14 of 23 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:25
2 Ariane da Silva 0 35 of 73 47% 35 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 20 of 39 51% 20 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ariane da Silva 0 31 of 64 48% 38 of 71 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
JJ Aldrich 0 18 of 40 45% 22 of 44 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 101 of 204 49% 47 of 134 42 of 56 12 of 14 77 of 176 24 of 28 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 49 of 99 49% 42 of 92 4 of 4 3 of 3 45 of 95 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 35 of 67 52% 17 of 42 15 of 20 3 of 5 22 of 53 13 of 14 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 11 of 20 55% 9 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 35 of 73 47% 15 of 48 15 of 20 5 of 5 30 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 20 of 39 51% 18 of 37 1 of 1 1 of 1 19 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ariane da Silva 31 of 64 48% 15 of 44 12 of 16 4 of 4 25 of 55 6 of 9 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 18 of 40 45% 15 of 37 2 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo is very confident in JJ Aldrich, describing her as a solid, dependable grinder who will stick to a game plan and grind forward. He notes she is dangerous nowhere but good everywhere, and despite breaking his rule against betting on women's MMA, he places a 1.5 unit bet at -220. He believes she will win without taking risks.

1.5 unit bet at -220
"I've got a one and a half unit bet that's a lot of money on JJ Aldridge but I got a one and a half unit bet at minus 220. I'm just very confident in her ability to go out …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is confident in JJ Aldrich, noting she is the much more technical striker with better footwork. He highlights Lipski's huge hole in her ground game, calling it 'atrocious' and noting she has been finished on the mat multiple times. Brady expects Aldrich to mix takedowns and eventually get a late TKO, though he acknowledges decision is more likely.

win by TKO in round 3
"I like Aldrich to have success in the Striking mixing the takedowns win minutes on the on the feet on the mat and I'm gonna say Aldridge eventually gets a TKO here late late fight uh late third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, citing her training and striking. He notes da Silva's lack of improvement and thinks Aldrich can finish or win a decision. He is cautious about the price but sees Aldrich as a safe parlay piece.

"we're gonna take JJ Aldridge she'll probably be somewhere around like the second or third lot I don't want her on the second"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Connor picks Aldrich confidently, citing her superior striking, takedown ability, and experience. He notes that Lipski has poor takedown defense and tends to focus on punching when pressured, which Aldrich can exploit with clinch work and takedowns. He believes Aldrich is a level above Lipski's previous competition.

Aldrich opened at unknown, now -380 to -450; Lipski +285 to +350. Connor says the odds feel appropriate.
"Aldrich is just too good. Lipsky has yet to beat anybody at this level who even approaches JJ Aldrich's level of ability."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich's footwork, combination striking, and experience should be too much for Lipski. Lipski has struggled against higher-level competition and has been finished in her losses. Aldrich can win on the feet or even on the ground. I expect Aldrich to box her way to a decision victory, controlling the distance and landing the cleaner shots.

"I think a combination of aldrich's output footwork and ability to stay safe at distance is going to overwhelm lipsky here and I think Aldrich boxes her way to a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting her striking advantage and improved wrestling. He thinks she can win standing or on the ground, but is wary of the -450 price. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds prop as interesting.

under 2.5 rounds +165
"JJ Aldridge can win this fight standing she can win this fight to the ground"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich, calling her underrated. He notes she trains with top fighters and performed decently against Blanchfield before getting guillotined. He believes Aldrich is more well-rounded and tougher, and will win a decision by out-grappling and making Ariane da Silva gun-shy.

by decision
"I'm definitely gonna side with JJ Aldridge here being the better more well-rounded fighter overall and a bit tougher"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Zane picks Aldrich, noting that she is a consistent, well-rounded fighter who should handle Lipski's aggressive but flawed style. He points out that Lipski's best win is against Luana Carolina, who is messy, and that Aldrich's takedown threat and counter-striking will be too much.

"Aldrich is just too good. Lipsky has yet to beat anybody at this level who even approaches JJ Aldrich's level of ability."
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:38 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 48 of 100 48% 68 of 121 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:56
JJ Aldrich 0 32 of 71 45% 38 of 77 2 of 6 33% 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 23 of 58 39% 27 of 62 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 43 37% 21 of 48 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 42 59% 41 of 59 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:13
JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 28 57% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 48 of 100 48% 29 of 76 11 of 11 8 of 13 46 of 96 2 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 32 of 71 45% 29 of 66 3 of 5 0 of 0 31 of 68 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 23 of 58 39% 13 of 44 7 of 7 3 of 7 22 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 16 of 43 37% 15 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 25 of 42 59% 16 of 32 4 of 4 5 of 6 24 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 16 of 28 57% 14 of 24 2 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo sees Erin Blanchfield as a nasty grappler with dominant wrestling, and believes her path to victory is through grappling. He notes that JJ Aldrich is a decision machine with decent striking but a negative striking differential, and that the experience gap is not wide enough to matter. He expects Blanchfield to dominate with heavy grappling and may place a moneyline bet depending on the line movement.

may throw a moneyline bet on Blanchfield, waiting to see line movement
"I think it's more of the same from aaron here i think she dominates in a heavy grappling win and betting wise i may throw a money line bet on aaron"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield is a huge favorite at -600 but thinks the line is too high, though he still sees her as one of the safer picks on the card. He expects Blanchfield to take Aldrich down repeatedly and control the fight on the mat, grinding out a dominant decision. He acknowledges Aldrich has good takedown defense but believes Blanchfield's relentless wrestling will be too much.

Blanchfield by decision
"I like blanchfield here do I like the minor 600 no I don't but I do think she is one of the safer picks as far as uh picking a win on this card see me blanchfield give me blanchfield …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield, calling her a real prospect. He notes her wrestling and pressure, and thinks Aldrich's takedown defense has not been tested by a wrestler of Blanchfield's caliber. He expects Blanchfield to win by decision.

Blanchfield by decision
"i'm a bland shield supporter through and through"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and youth. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich's experience but believes Blanchfield's skills will prevail. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the steep price, but picks Blanchfield to win, likely by decision.

"i think that aaron blanchfield's got the skills to pay the bills so i'm gonna go with aaron"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield and has already bet Blanchfield by decision at -138. He notes Blanchfield's relentless grappling and pressure, and Aldrich's durability. He thinks Blanchfield will secure takedowns and grind out a decision.

Blanchfield by decision (minus 138)
"the bet that i did make this week was blanchfield by decision minus 138."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield despite acknowledging JJ Aldrich as a decent underdog. He worries Aldrich might stuff takedowns but notes that Miranda Maverick, who he considers equal or better than Aldrich, couldn't stop Blanchfield's grappling. He expects Blanchfield to dominate on the ground and win by unanimous decision 30-27. However, he strongly dislikes the odds, calling them 'really annoying' and implying they are too wide for his comfort.

Dislikes the odds, says 'the odds are really annoying'
"i am going to go there in blanchfield but i don't like the odds the odds are really annoying on a lot of fights on these cards"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 60 of 118 50% 76 of 137 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:07
Gillian Robertson 0 52 of 139 37% 67 of 154 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gillian Robertson 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 JJ Aldrich 0 23 of 44 52% 30 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:16
Gillian Robertson 0 17 of 40 42% 19 of 42 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:24
3 JJ Aldrich 0 18 of 39 46% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:51
Gillian Robertson 0 19 of 42 45% 32 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 60 of 118 50% 56 of 114 3 of 3 1 of 1 49 of 105 9 of 11 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 52 of 139 37% 17 of 81 18 of 36 17 of 22 45 of 131 7 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 19 of 35 54% 17 of 33 1 of 1 1 of 1 18 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 16 of 57 28% 4 of 30 4 of 16 8 of 11 16 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JJ Aldrich 23 of 44 52% 22 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 36 7 of 8 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 17 of 40 42% 7 of 26 7 of 9 3 of 5 15 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 JJ Aldrich 18 of 39 46% 17 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 36 1 of 1 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 19 of 42 45% 6 of 25 7 of 11 6 of 6 14 of 36 5 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Angelo picks Gillian Robertson because she is a well-rounded fighter with a strong wrestling base, averaging almost three takedowns per fight. He believes Robertson will be more physical and work the fight to the ground, as JJ Aldrich has not faced someone as physical or wrestling-heavy. He notes that the -150 odds are spot on and expects the line to move further in Robertson's favor.

Odds comment: -150 is spot on, expects line to move
"I like jillian here and i think these minus 150 odds that the bookmakers are keeping i think those are pretty spot on"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks the underdog JJ Aldrich to win by decision. He praises Aldrich's underrated grappling, takedown defense, and ability to control opponents on the mat, citing her performances against Vanessa Demopoulos and Paulina Viana. He notes Robertson has poor takedown defense (16%) and is content to play off her back, but Aldrich's BJJ is good enough to avoid submissions. He thinks Aldrich has more paths to victory: out-striking or controlling on the ground.

"i'm actually going to take the dog here in orders to win i'm going to take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking advantage. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a bet.

Over 2.5 rounds
"i think the over over two and a half rounds is probably my favorite bet on the card"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel Levi picks JJ Aldrich, arguing that Aldrich's stand-up is way higher than Robertson's and that she keeps her distance well. He believes if Aldrich stuffs the first few takedowns, Robertson will start flopping to her back, allowing Aldrich to take advantage. Levi acknowledges that if Robertson gets on top, Aldrich is a brown belt and can survive, but he sees Aldrich neutralizing Robertson and winning a decision.

"give me jj to kind of neutralize jillian and come out here and win this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich has good boxing and takedown defense, but hasn't faced a relentless grappler like Robertson recently. She can keep the fight standing and use top control if taken down. Robertson is a submission specialist but may struggle to get takedowns. Aldrich is predicted to win via decision, with the over 2.5 rounds also considered.

Over 2.5 rounds at minus 125 is mentioned as a good look.
"I still land up on the JJ Aldrich side. She she's been good to me in the past."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds
"i think the over over two and a half rounds is probably my favorite bet on the card"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Gillian Robertson, going against the grain. He highlights Aldrich's takedown defense, noting she hasn't been taken down since 2019 and pops right back up. He believes Aldrich is capable on the feet, training with Rose Namajunas and Valentina Shevchenko, and that Robertson won't be able to utilize her grappling. He predicts a grinding decision or a late-round TKO, as Aldrich is tough to submit.

decision or late round TKO
"i'm taking jj aldridge i'm going against a grain again here um jj aldridge i believe gets this one done she's very consistent she don't get held down by no one"
Liang Na - Fight History
LOSS vs Ivana Petrović
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 1:29 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ivana Petrović 0 36 of 73 49% 101 of 150 3 of 4 75% 1 1 5:37
Liang Na 0 24 of 52 46% 49 of 89 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ivana Petrović 0 4 of 10 40% 29 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:58
Liang Na 0 11 of 21 52% 28 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:15
2 Ivana Petrović 0 31 of 60 51% 67 of 105 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:25
Liang Na 0 12 of 28 42% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
3 Ivana Petrović 0 1 of 3 33% 5 of 7 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Liang Na 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ivana Petrović 36 of 73 49% 28 of 63 8 of 10 0 of 0 8 of 33 2 of 4 26 of 36
Liang Na 24 of 52 46% 8 of 34 10 of 11 6 of 7 23 of 48 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ivana Petrović 4 of 10 40% 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1
Liang Na 11 of 21 52% 4 of 13 5 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 18 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Ivana Petrović 31 of 60 51% 24 of 51 7 of 9 0 of 0 5 of 22 1 of 3 25 of 35
Liang Na 12 of 28 42% 4 of 19 5 of 5 3 of 4 12 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ivana Petrović 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Angelo is confident in Ivana Petrović because she is more durable and well-rounded than Liang Na. He notes Liang Na is a good wrestler who gets takedowns but then stops fighting, often getting finished shortly after. He expects Liang Na to look good early with takedowns but then fade and get swept or finished. He also mentions potential prop bets on the under if the round line is 2.5, and suggests PrizePicks plays on Liang Na's takedown numbers.

Under 2.5 rounds (if available); PrizePicks: Liang Na takedowns over/under
"the pick is going to have to be Ivana Petrovic pretty confident in that pick because she's more durable and she's more well-rounded and she doesn't just stop after getting a takedown"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Cody picks Petrović, citing her superior grappling and wrestling. He notes Na gasses quickly and has poor durability. He expects Petrović to win by submission or ground and pound, though he warns about her own cardio issues.

"I'm gonna go with my fellow countrywoman Ivana pedik"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Daniel thinks Na has poor cardio and fades after the first round, while Petrović has good cardio and decent grappling. He leans with the favorite, hoping Vegas is right, but has little interest in the fight.

"I'll lean with the favorite hopefully Vegas is right"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Liang Na

Liang Na is aggressive and does her best work when she can get opponents to the ground, where she can assert dominant position and open up finishing opportunities. Petrović has shown takedown defense issues, especially against a striker like Lana Carolina. I expect Liang Na to get the fight to the mat early and find a finish, possibly in the first round. The 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop is also a good look.

Liang Na inside the distance +500; fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to take Leong I think she wins this fight inside the distance I think maybe going Leong round one or petravic round two SL round three not a bad way of approaching this fight but I'm just taking …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Paul picks Petrović, noting Na's three-fight losing streak and tendency to gas. He thinks Petrović is the better all-around fighter and should win, but suggests live betting Na if she has early success.

"Petrovic is the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović, though he admits his reasoning is not very logical. He notes that Petrović is bigger, has more reach, and has a striking background. He criticizes Liang Na for being shorter, less physical, and consistently getting finished in women's MMA, which he sees as a sign of mistakes. He trusts Petrović's composure and ground game, predicting a submission in the later rounds.

submission in the later rounds
"I'm going to go with Lanna uh Ivana Petrovic and I like her ground game she's got reun naked choke she's got uh reversals on the ground so I'll go over her to win this fight by submission in the …"
LOSS vs JJ Aldrich
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 41 26% 27 of 61 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:38
Liang Na 0 47 of 65 72% 68 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 1 5:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 28 25% 21 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:56
Liang Na 0 11 of 20 55% 18 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
2 JJ Aldrich 0 4 of 13 30% 6 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:42
Liang Na 0 36 of 45 80% 50 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JJ Aldrich 11 of 41 26% 7 of 30 3 of 8 1 of 3 9 of 36 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 47 of 65 72% 46 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 18 1 of 2 37 of 45
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JJ Aldrich 7 of 28 25% 6 of 21 1 of 5 0 of 2 5 of 23 2 of 5 0 of 0
Liang Na 11 of 20 55% 10 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 5
2 JJ Aldrich 4 of 13 30% 1 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 36 of 45 80% 36 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 34 of 40
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo states that JJ Aldrich is better everywhere but expresses frustration with her last performance against Ariane Lipski, which cost him a bet. He sarcastically considers betting on Liang out of spite but ultimately acknowledges Aldrich should win. He does not recommend betting on Aldrich due to the poor value and his personal distrust.

"JJ's gonna win this fight she's literally better everywhere but she's dead to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is a fan of Liang Na but acknowledges her flaws: she gasses out quickly, has poor durability, and quits when tired. He expects JJ Aldrich to weather an early storm and then take over as Liang fades. He predicts Aldrich will win by second-round knockout due to exhaustion, as Liang will be unable to continue.

second round knockout due to exhaustion
"I think JJ Aldrich wins by by second round knockout due to exhaustion"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, noting her experience and level of competition. He expects Liang to gas out after an early flurry, leading to a finish. Cody likes Aldrich inside the distance at minus 145.

Aldrich inside the distance -145
"this is a a good TKO spot for JJ Aldridge so I think she finishes inside the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich, stating that she should win easily against a lower-level opponent. He notes that Liang Na is not UFC caliber, with poor striking and chin. However, he refuses to lay the heavy price, calling it a pass. He is confident Aldrich wins but sees no betting value.

"I think JJ should should win this fight as the line in the case but you will not catch me dead laying no chalk on JJ Aldrich in a UFC fight period"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
JJ Aldrich

James is confident JJ Aldrich wins, citing her superior striking and Liang Na's lack of UFC-level success. He notes Liang Na has been finished by strikes in both UFC fights and has only one round of cardio. He predicts Aldrich will piece her up on the feet and likely get a finish, possibly in round three. However, he does not bet on the fight due to the short odds and Aldrich's lack of finishing history.

JJ Aldrich in round 3 mentioned as a sneaky prop; over 2.5 rounds at +160 mentioned but not bet
"I do think JJ Aldridge gets to finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host describes Liang Na as a 'die or get carried out' fighter who leaves herself open with wide looping shots and has poor takedown defense. JJ Aldrich is the far more technical striker and the host expects her to anticipate takedowns, counter effectively, and find a knockout. The host notes Aldrich hasn't finished in 7-8 years but believes this matchup is perfect for her to get a finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

under 2.5 rounds
"I expect her to stop the takedowns utilize her full work and her combinations to open up the Striking and eventually find that knockout over Liang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting Liang's poor UFC performances and one-dimensional style. He expects Aldrich to survive the early storm and win by decision or late finish. Paul is not interested in the price but sees Aldrich as a safe pick.

Aldrich by KO/TKO
"Aldrich though she's not an early finisher typically it's like this is the stylistic matchup for you to get the job done early"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Liang Na, calling it a no-brainer. He notes Aldrich's high-level experience in the UFC since 2016 with wins over known fighters like Julian Robertson and Courtney Casey. He dismisses Liang Na as simply not good, having lost to lower-level opponents. He emphasizes Aldrich's superior level of competition.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over naliang ... she's just a different level of women's fighter than Nal Yang is"
KO (punches) R1 1:22 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Silvana Gómez Juárez 0 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Liang Na 1 8 of 12 66% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Silvana Gómez Juárez 0 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Liang Na 1 8 of 12 66% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Silvana Gómez Juárez 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 8 of 12 66% 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Silvana Gómez Juárez 4 of 17 23% 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Liang Na 8 of 12 66% 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Liang Na

Angelo goes with his brain over his gut, picking Liang Na despite Juarez's power. He acknowledges Juarez's striking is deadly but her takedown defense is nonexistent, and Liang Na is a relentless wrestler. However, he notes Liang's record is padded and she has questionable toughness, making this a risky fight to bet on.

"i'm gonna go with the brain on this pick i i think nalian can probably get those takedowns and then win from there but don't bet on this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Liang Na

Big Brady picks Liang Na to submit Silvana Gómez Juárez in the first round. He highlights Liang Na's clear path to victory via takedown and submission, as Juárez has 16% takedown defense and has been submitted in both UFC losses. He notes that if the fight goes past the first round, Liang Na's poor cardio could lead to a knockout loss, but he expects an early finish.

submission in round 1, fight doesn't go to decision
"I think Liang Na goes out here and submits her early... I'm gonna take another dog here two in a row give me Liang Na to come out here and submit Juarez in that very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Liang Na

Cody picks Liang as an underdog, citing her grappling and armbar threat. He notes Gómez Juárez has been submitted quickly in the past and thinks Liang can take her down and submit her. He is not confident but sees value.

Liang by submission (armbar); over 1.5 rounds considered
"i'll take naliang as a pick... maybe maybe it gets to a decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Liang Na

Daniel Levi picks Liang Na but is not confident. He cannot get past the fact that Gómez Juárez has been finished in the first round twice in a row yet is favored. He thinks Liang has the grappling advantage and could get an early submission, but worries about her cardio and striking defense. He is not betting the fight.

"if I don't [ __ ] know I'll go with the dog Liang butts"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Liang Na

Liang Na is a grappler with submission skills, while Gómez Juárez is a 37-year-old boxer who lost her last two by armbar. Liang Na's path to victory is a submission, likely early. The matchup heavily favors the grappler, and the plus money is great value. I'll take Liang Na straight up and also like the submission prop.

Liang Na by submission (+215), Liang Na round 1 (+200)
"I'm on the liang side here I usually favor the grappler more often than not and I think that we're going to see it here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Liang Na

Paul also picks Liang, agreeing that her grappling and size advantage could be key. He notes Gómez Juárez's poor grappling defense and thinks Liang can get a takedown and submit her. He is not confident but takes the dog.

Liang by submission (armbar)
"dogger pass naliang... plus 130"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Liang Na

The MMA Guru picks Liang Na over Silvana Gómez Juárez, citing that Gómez Juárez is 37 and likely near the end of her career, with losses to Lupita Godinez and Vanessa Demopoulos. He notes that Liang Na is younger (25) and has a streak of armbar submissions, though against lower-level competition. He predicts Liang Na will win by armbar submission, as Gómez Juárez has lost by armbar twice in a row. He admits it's a difficult fight to pick due to limited information.

armbar submission
"i'm going to trust that she's going to get an arm bar here against sylvana gomez juarez in all honesty"
TKO (punches) R2 1:28 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane Carnelossi 0 19 of 27 70% 36 of 47 3 of 4 75% 1 2 2:48
Liang Na 0 24 of 32 75% 91 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 3 2:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane Carnelossi 0 13 of 19 68% 26 of 34 2 of 3 66% 1 2 2:25
Liang Na 0 16 of 20 80% 65 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 2 1:55
2 Ariane Carnelossi 0 6 of 8 75% 10 of 13 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Liang Na 0 8 of 12 66% 26 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane Carnelossi 19 of 27 70% 13 of 21 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 17 7 of 7 2 of 3
Liang Na 24 of 32 75% 23 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 11 5 of 5 13 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane Carnelossi 13 of 19 68% 9 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 11 5 of 5 2 of 3
Liang Na 16 of 20 80% 16 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 4 of 4 8 of 10
2 Ariane Carnelossi 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
Liang Na 8 of 12 66% 7 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ariane Carnelossi vs. Na Liang

Round 1
This historic night topped off by a title tripleheader will begin in the lightest division in the company, as Carnelossi (12-2, 0-1 UFC) aims for her first UFC win against the debuting “Dragon Girl” Liang (15-4, 0-0 UFC). Whether Liang holds 13 wins or 15 on her ledger may be of some dispute, but she does bring a 100 percent finish rate into this contest, and referee James Folsom may have his work cut out for him early. There is no touch of gloves as the two fighters would prefer introduce one another with their fists, and with a huge pop from the crowd – remember, we are in Jacksonville, Fla., with a packed house -- we are now underway! The two women come out like a house on fire, going berserk with a wild striking flurry. Both women tag the other, and Liang is the one who gets the advantage of the position as she powers through and bullies the Brazilian to her canvas. Liang steps over to secure an arm-triangle choke as she sits in half guard, and Carnelossi kicks off and reverses the position. Liang drags her back down, but “Sorriso” powers up to her feet and tags Liang with a right hand. “Dragon Girl” does not let her off the hook, charging into a takedown attempt as she furiously throws hands. The strikes do enough to keep Carnelossi busy defending, so that Liang can hit a body lock takedown and throw the Brazilian on the canvas again. Carnelossi keeps her guard closed tight, and Liang lifts her up and slams her down hard. Carnelossi opens up and throws her legs up for an armbar, and although she cannot land it, she is able to sweep Liang and put her on her back. Liang threatens with an armbar of her own, and Carnelossi shrugs it off to start raining down strikes from on top. Liang catches an arm when Carnelossi is hammering her with shots, and she locks up an armbar. Carnelossi muscles her way through to break the grip, and Liang is able to turn her over and put the Brazilian on her back. Carnelossi rolls to her knees as she grabs a leg on Liang, and through sheer force of will, she lifts Liang in the air and slams her down. Liang rolls to her knees and gets clubbed in the side of the head, and Carnelossi circles around to take her back. Carnelossi attempts a rear-naked choke, but Liang wildly scrambles and bursts to her feet. Liang does not stay upright for long, as she nails Carnelossi with punches from on top. Carnelossi snags a triangle choke from her back, and she uses it to mount and put Liang on her back. Carnelossi lands serious strikes from above, and she clubs Liang repeatedly until the bell sounds. Liang survives, but she is extremely fatigued just five minutes in.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi

Round 2
The pace is nowhere near as insane to start off the second frame, as Liang lands a few strikes from a distance. When Carnelossi counters, Liang flips her foot up and slaps Carnelossi in the face. Carnelossi grabs hold of her foe and looks to take the fight down, but Liang is able to put her down. Carnelossi keeps a hook in and is able to retain back control, and she takes the back and hunts for a choke. Liang twists and turns to break the grip, but she falls to her back as Carnelossi climbs into guard and starts with hammerfists.
Carnelossi keeps smashing her growingly exhausted adversary with a barrage of hammerfists, and before long, Folsom intervenes as Liang is no longer able to intelligently defend herself.
Although the stoppage might seem premature to some, the defeated Liang is gasping for air and completely thrashed after that torrid affair. If this performance is any indication, we will be in for quite a night.

The Official Result
Ariane Carnelossi def. Na Liang R2 1:28 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Big Brady picks Carnelossi to win by second-round KO. He notes Carnelossi's takedown defense is strong and she is aggressive, while Liang Na is one-dimensional, always going for takedowns and gassing out if she doesn't get a quick submission. He expects Carnelossi to stuff takedowns and eventually land a knockout after Liang Na tires.

Carnelossi by KO in round 2
"i'm going to take carnal lossy to stuff the takedowns... i see a carne lucy i'm going to say second round uh ko win for carlos"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Cody picks Carnelossi, noting her strength and experience against tougher competition. He thinks Liang's grappling attempts will be neutralized by Carnelossi's physicality. He expects Carnelossi to win by decision or TKO.

"i like her in this spot again i know what they're trying to do and i think zoo wrong does come through and i think that whaley zhang does retain but as far as nalian goes"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Daniel picks Ariane Carnelossi because she is a powerful striker who can bully Liang Na on the feet. He notes that Liang Na is a one-dimensional grappler who sells out for submissions, and Carnelossi's brown belt should help her avoid getting caught. He expects Carnelossi to keep the fight standing and possibly get a finish.

"i'm going to go with arianne carnolosi to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Liang Na

I'm picking Liang Na with very little confidence. I think she'll get her grappling game going and possibly pull off a submission in the second or third round. Carnelossi is a brawler like John Lineker, swinging bombs, but Liang has never been knocked out and has been improving at the UFC Performance Institute. Carnelossi's takedown defense and submission game are questionable, so Liang's grappling could be the difference.

Liang by submission +450
"i got liang with very little confidence i think she'll get her grappling game going and possibly pull off a submission in the second or third round here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Paul picks Carnelossi, citing her physical strength and power. He notes Liang's weak competition and struggles against stronger opponents. He thinks Carnelossi will keep the fight standing and use her strength to overpower Liang. He expects Carnelossi to win by KO or decision.

"i think ariana crossing is too physically strong she'll be able to keep the fight standing when the fight is start to stay standing she'll be able to just muscle her up and beat her up a little bit"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

The MMA Guru picks Ariane Carnelossi over Liang Na. He notes that Carnelossi has known about the matchup longer and is more proven, having kept up with Angela Hill before a cut stoppage. He thinks Liang Na is young and has potential but is taking the fight on short notice and has losses to lesser competition. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Carnelossi.

"i'm going to go with ariana canelosi here"
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo states that JJ Aldrich is better everywhere but expresses frustration with her last performance against Ariane Lipski, which cost him a bet. He sarcastically considers betting on Liang out of spite but ultimately acknowledges Aldrich should win. He does not recommend betting on Aldrich due to the poor value and his personal distrust.

"JJ's gonna win this fight she's literally better everywhere but she's dead to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is a fan of Liang Na but acknowledges her flaws: she gasses out quickly, has poor durability, and quits when tired. He expects JJ Aldrich to weather an early storm and then take over as Liang fades. He predicts Aldrich will win by second-round knockout due to exhaustion, as Liang will be unable to continue.

second round knockout due to exhaustion
"I think JJ Aldrich wins by by second round knockout due to exhaustion"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, noting her experience and level of competition. He expects Liang to gas out after an early flurry, leading to a finish. Cody likes Aldrich inside the distance at minus 145.

Aldrich inside the distance -145
"this is a a good TKO spot for JJ Aldridge so I think she finishes inside the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich, stating that she should win easily against a lower-level opponent. He notes that Liang Na is not UFC caliber, with poor striking and chin. However, he refuses to lay the heavy price, calling it a pass. He is confident Aldrich wins but sees no betting value.

"I think JJ should should win this fight as the line in the case but you will not catch me dead laying no chalk on JJ Aldrich in a UFC fight period"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
JJ Aldrich

James is confident JJ Aldrich wins, citing her superior striking and Liang Na's lack of UFC-level success. He notes Liang Na has been finished by strikes in both UFC fights and has only one round of cardio. He predicts Aldrich will piece her up on the feet and likely get a finish, possibly in round three. However, he does not bet on the fight due to the short odds and Aldrich's lack of finishing history.

JJ Aldrich in round 3 mentioned as a sneaky prop; over 2.5 rounds at +160 mentioned but not bet
"I do think JJ Aldridge gets to finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host describes Liang Na as a 'die or get carried out' fighter who leaves herself open with wide looping shots and has poor takedown defense. JJ Aldrich is the far more technical striker and the host expects her to anticipate takedowns, counter effectively, and find a knockout. The host notes Aldrich hasn't finished in 7-8 years but believes this matchup is perfect for her to get a finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

under 2.5 rounds
"I expect her to stop the takedowns utilize her full work and her combinations to open up the Striking and eventually find that knockout over Liang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting Liang's poor UFC performances and one-dimensional style. He expects Aldrich to survive the early storm and win by decision or late finish. Paul is not interested in the price but sees Aldrich as a safe pick.

Aldrich by KO/TKO
"Aldrich though she's not an early finisher typically it's like this is the stylistic matchup for you to get the job done early"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Liang Na, calling it a no-brainer. He notes Aldrich's high-level experience in the UFC since 2016 with wins over known fighters like Julian Robertson and Courtney Casey. He dismisses Liang Na as simply not good, having lost to lower-level opponents. He emphasizes Aldrich's superior level of competition.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over naliang ... she's just a different level of women's fighter than Nal Yang is"