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Age 31
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 37
Height 6' 3"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Michał Oleksiejczuk
5.85 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
4.5 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
1.02 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Chidi Njokuani
5.16 SLpM
61.0% Str. Acc.
3.32 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Michał Oleksiejczuk
Moneyline
BetWay -110
KO/TKO
FanDuel +175
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetMGM +550
Chidi Njokuani
Moneyline
Caesars +115
KO/TKO
BetRivers +230
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
FanDuel +600
Michał Oleksiejczuk - Fight History
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Magomedov (-130); Oleksiejczuk (+110)

Round 1
The main card of UFC Baku kicks off with middleweights Magomedov and Oleksiejczuk, who operate under the auspices of referee Jim Perdios. Oleksiejczuk is southpaw, Magomedov orthodox, and Perdios strikes first with a warning to Magomedov for advancing with his fingers extended. Magomedov kicks the calf. Oleksiejczuk lands an uppercut to the body. Perdios warns Magomedov about the fingers again. Magomedov is active with the low kicks early, and Oleksiejczuk is thus far choosing to eat them and answer with punches. Magomedov clinches and runs Oleksiejczuk to the fence. They pummel for underhooks, and Magomedov hits the Pole with a big knee to the body. Oleksiejczuk shucks him off and they return to space. Magomedov blasts the oncoming Oleksiejczuk with a beautiful elbow that hurts him badly.
Oleksiejczuk stumbles backwards and Magomedov gives chase, dropping a few more punches, then wrapping his foe’s neck in a tight guillotine. Magomedov gets a leg up over the back and the choke is lethal. Oleksiejczuk taps, but goes out before Perdios can get there to stop the fight.
Very impressive work from Abus Magomedov.

The Official Result
Abus Magomedov def. Michal Oleksiejczuk R1 3:25 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

AJ picks Oleksiejczuk as an underdog, believing he has improved his takedown defense with Fighting Nerds and has the cardio advantage. He notes Magomedov fades after the first round and that Oleksiejczuk can put him away with big shots in the later rounds. AJ expects a knockout in round 2 or 3.

Knockout +200
"I think Ole Jchuk is putting him away with big shots. So, I'm going second or third round KO Jchuk."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

AJ picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, believing Magomedov is fragile and has suspect cardio. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's hands are dangerous and that he will come on strong in rounds 2 and 3, while Magomedov fades. He likes Oleksiejczuk by KO in round 2 or 3.

Oleksiejczuk by KO +195; Oleksiejczuk round 2 KO +700; Oleksiejczuk round 3 KO +1000.
"I like Jchuk, dude. Ole Jchuk gang."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

AJ DeVito is confident that Michał Oleksiejczuk will defeat Abusupiyan Magomedov, who he believes is declining and has a weak will to win. He expects Oleksiejczuk to win by KO in round two or three, citing Magomedov's tendency to gas and melt under pressure. He likes the moneyline at -115 and also mentions the KO prop at +175.

Oleksiejczuk by KO at +175; Oleksiejczuk by KO round 2 at +700; round 3 at +1000.
"I really think we're looking at um Avis Momedov kind of in a similar spot to Michelle Pereira, he's falling off... I'm going McColl Juk. I think he wins by KO. Minus 115 is a pretty nice line."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

AJ picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, citing Magomedov's poor cardio and tendency to fade after round one. Oleksiejczuk has improved grappling defense and power, and should survive the first round to take over and finish Magomedov in the second or third.

Over 1.5 rounds -136. Oleksiejczuk +120 underdog.
"I'm going Ole Jchic knockout. I think he sleeps him in the second or third round."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Angelo picks Abus because he has multiple paths to victory (striking and grappling) while Michał only has striking. He notes that both fighters have cardio issues, but Abus can fall back on wrestling. He expects a fun start but a boring finish once Abus starts shooting takedowns.

"Abus can win this fight multiple ways, right? He could potentially be the better striker here. He can definitely be the better grappler here. And McCall only has one path, and that's be the better striker."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Angelo picks Magomedov, citing his multiple paths to victory: he can outstrike Oleksiejczuk, outgrapple him, or weather the early storm and win as Oleksiejczuk fades. He notes both have bad cardio, but Magomedov's is slightly better.

"Aboose is the pick. He has multiple ways to win. He could potentially outstrike MCL. McCall's going to be so much faster, hit so much harder, but Aboose can manage the range. He can certainly outgra and if he just …"
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Angelo is surprised Abus Magomedov has flipped to underdog and thinks he wins the fight. He notes that Michał Oleksiejczuk has dangerous hands but poor cardio and grappling, and has been knocking out bums. Abus is more technical and can wrestle, so if he weathers the early storm and gets grappling going, he should run away with it.

over 1.5 rounds
"Abus Magomedov, I don't know how he flipped to the underdog. I'm surprised. He was the favorite, he's now the dog... and as a dog, I think he wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Big Brady picks Abusupiyan Magomedov to win by submission. He highlights Magomedov's grappling credentials, having taken down and submitted black belts like Bruno Ferreira. Oleksiejczuk has terrible grappling, submitted multiple times. Brady expects Magomedov to take him down early and submit him in round one, though he notes Magomedov's questionable cardio and durability could lead to a second-round knockout loss if he gasses.

win by submission, under probably a good look
"I'm going to pick Abus Magda by submission, but I think like an under probably a good look in this fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov, agreeing with Paul. He highlights Oleksiejczuk's defensive wrestling issues and Magomedov's wrestling pedigree. He thinks Magomedov can take him down and control the fight, though he acknowledges Oleksiejczuk's power and finishing ability.

"I'm going with wrestling over uh I know I've been mostly taking damage over control time, but these guys are middleweights and like the control time will probably outweigh, you know, the half dozen punches that are landed standing."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to upset Abusupiyan Magomedov, citing his improved confidence and training at Fighting Nerds after moving from a garage gym. He notes Oleksiejczuk's marauding pressure, body shots, and recent win streak, while Magomedov has a history of fading in fights. Levi believes Oleksiejczuk's level-up and aggression will be key, though he acknowledges Magomedov's grappling threat.

"I'm going to pick Mihal to come out here, get this upset over Abus Magomedov, Inbaku Azer Bejan, climb the ranks."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Jacob picks Magomedov, calling him one of the better plays on the card. He thinks Magomedov is bigger and can bully Oleksiejczuk, who fades hard after round one. He dismisses Oleksiejczuk's win streak as beating cans and notes his grappling holes.

"I think Aboose minus 130. One of the better plays on this card. I think he has the submission path. He has the knockout path."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Lucrative James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk (Michelle Alex) because he believes Alex has better cardio, heart, will to win, and power. He notes that Abus Magomedov is more skilled technically but tends to crumble when pressured and has poor cardio. He expects Abus to start well and possibly get takedowns, but predicts the momentum will shift and Alex will finish him in round two. He also mentions that if Abus is a big underdog, he might be worth a bet, but his pick is Alex via KO.

If Abus is a big underdog, which I kind of feel like he's going to be a decent underdog, maybe that is a good bet.
"I will pick Michelle Alex to win the fight via KO in round two."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host acknowledges Magomedov's early danger with explosivity and power, but believes in Oleksiejczuk's improvements to avoid an early finish. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's pressure striking style will catch up to Magomedov, leading to a knockout win.

Oleksiejczuk wins by knockout
"I believe in the improvements of Oleksiejczuk enough that he won't get finished early, and I think his pressure striking style is going to catch up to Magomedov leading to Olexiy winning this fight by knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk has elite durability and has improved his striking and cardio with the Fighting Nerds. Magomedov has cardio issues and tends to fade. Oleksiejczuk will deal with early adversity and then walk him down for a knockout.

Oleksiejczuk by knockout
"I'm going to go Ole Shuk here. I think he deals with the early adversity here from Mamedov and then I think he starts walking him down and eventually finds a big knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov, citing his wrestling edge and Oleksiejczuk's poor takedown defense. He notes Oleksiejczuk's cardio issues and tendency to fade, and believes Magomedov can win early rounds and possibly coast. He prefers Magomedov pre-fight but suggests live betting Oleksiejczuk if he survives the first.

"I think like pre-fight flop I got to go with the guy that I think is going to be winning early and might be able to continue it and that's a boost from a live betting perspective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The Guru picks Oleksiejczuk, citing his pressure, boxing, and takedown defense. He believes Oleksiejczuk will mitigate Magomedov's kicks by moving forward and land in exchanges. He expects a finish, possibly in the first round.

"I'm going to go with Michał Oleksiejczuk to get the job done though."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 140 of 221 63% 143 of 225 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:30
Marc-André Barriault 0 77 of 201 38% 79 of 204 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 47 of 73 64% 47 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Marc-André Barriault 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 41 of 68 60% 42 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 33 of 80 41% 34 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 52 of 80 65% 54 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Marc-André Barriault 0 25 of 67 37% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 140 of 221 63% 91 of 161 39 of 49 10 of 11 138 of 218 1 of 1 1 of 2
Marc-André Barriault 77 of 201 38% 57 of 178 16 of 19 4 of 4 59 of 173 18 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 47 of 73 64% 32 of 56 8 of 9 7 of 8 46 of 71 0 of 0 1 of 2
Marc-André Barriault 19 of 54 35% 9 of 44 6 of 6 4 of 4 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 41 of 68 60% 27 of 49 11 of 16 3 of 3 40 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 33 of 80 41% 28 of 74 5 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 60 12 of 20 0 of 0
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 52 of 80 65% 32 of 56 20 of 24 0 of 0 52 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 25 of 67 37% 20 of 60 5 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 59 6 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oleksiejczuk (-330); Barriault (+270)

Round 1
Every now and then, the matchmaking plans are glaringly obvious as to what the UFC would like from a particular pairing. This middleweight slugfest is one such bout, as Oleksiejczuk (21-9, 1 NC; 9-7, 1 NC UFC) vs. Barriault (17-10, 1 NC; 6-9, 1 NC UFC) is practically destined for a knockout. Referee Chris Tognoni is ready whether this goes 15 seconds or the whole distance, and he gathers himself as the combatants bump gloves together.
Oleksiejczuk moves himself to the center of the cage and slowly works his way forward, but Barriault strikes first with a hefty body kick. Barriault loops a right hand over the guard, and he gets countered when trying. Oleksiejczuk swipes out a few lefts to wrap them around the raised hands, looking to hand-fight to pull down one glove and open up a big right. Oleksiejczuk stings “Power Bar” with a hard left hand, backing Barriault up to the wall but not pouncing. He swats away a responsive left to chop at the lead leg with a kick, and he leans back to watch punches buzz past him. Barriault clips Oleksiejczuk when Oleksiejczuk loads up on power, and he tosses out a naked kick that has him get his jaw jacked. Oleksiejczuk hammers the body with a kick, and he loops a right hand upstairs to follow. Barriault advances, driving home a knee up the middle and peeling back.
Oleksiejczuk has a leg kick checked, and he nails the body with a resounding thud. Barriault probes out with his jab, trying to disrupt the power flying at his melon, and he zips in an uppercut to keep Oleksiejczuk honest. Oleksiejczuk walks through it to loose a leg kick, and he rolls with a left hook to put two fists on Barriault’s face. Oleksiejczuk keeps his guard up to knock Barriault back with a heavy fist, and Barriault is fighting defensively enough to defend the big stuff upstairs but his midsection is wide open. Oleksiejczuk kicks so low, it practically hits the ankle, and he goes to the body again. Barriault’s looping response is a few feet off, and he gets clubbed with two straight lefts. Oleksiejczuk bloodies up his foe’s nose with his big swings, and he hacks at the lead leg with an inside kick. Oleksiejczuk catches a body kick, lashes out with a left and hurls Barriault to the mat in hopes of pounding on him. Barriault ties him up as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk

Round 2
The middleweights touch gloves, and Oleksiejczuk advances as the initial aggressor. Both men paw out their jabs, and Oleksiejczuk briefly drops Barriault to a knee with a heavy inside low kick. He swipes a right over the top, and he takes a left on the chin that he no-sells. Oleksiejczuk racks up a pair of punches on the chin, and “Power Bar” is hanging in tough and very much in this fight. Barriault swings body to head, and Oleksiejczuk does the same, both men scoring strikes. Barriault keeps his right hand pinned to his melon, and he has his guard split with a jab. Barriault loops a right to the ribs, and he catches Oleksiejczuk at the end of a pair of hooks. Oleksiejczuk slips and rips with a right hand on the jaw, and he meanders out a follow-up right that leads to him getting countered. Oleksiejczuk drives home a one-two, backing Barriault up, and he connects with a body kick with a sound like a 2-by-4 hitting a side of beef. Barriault steels himself and comes out firing, getting Oleksiejczuk’s attention when he swings with everything he has.
Barriault starts landing cleanly on Oleksiejczuk, changing his strategy completely as he walks Oleksiejczuk down. Oleksiejczuk’s power appears to be fading as Barriault ignores blows that would have irritated him the previous round. Barriault loads up, seeing that Oleksiejczuk could be losing steam, and he pressures him relentlessly. Barriault goes to the body and lands an elbow up top that cuts Oleksiejczuk’s forehead. Oleksiejczuk swings wildly with body shots and the occasional one to the head, and Barriault is on top of him forcing him to react. Oleksiejczuk lands a left that may have hit the cup, and he has a spinning back fist glance off the side of the head. Barriault marches forward, not reacting to anything that lands on him while forcing Oleksiejczuk to backpedal. The horn sounds to end a close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barriault
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Barriault
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barriault

Round 3
The middleweights touch ‘em up before commencing the final frame, and it starts like the first round and not the second. Oleksiejczuk plants his feet and pins a one-two on the chin, shoulder-rolling to take some of the sting out of what comes back his way. He swipes out a one-two, and he digs one to the body. Both men are feeling it after their brawl, and Barriault comes out the cleaner as he backs Oleksiejczuk off with a short but effective barrage of punches. Barriault maneuvers himself to the pocket to trade, but this is where Oleksiejczuk wants to be, and he hurls back punches in bunches. Suddenly, the Polish athlete changes things up for a takedown attempt, and Barriault shuts it down as they reset in slugging range.
Both men proceed to trade leather, with Oleksiejczuk ripping body shots while Barriault headhunts. Oleksiejczuk strings three punches together, shooting in for a double behind it and bullying the Canadian to the wall. Barriault shucks it off and swings for the fence, but no one is there to be hit. Oleksiejczuk has backed away to re-engage, and they jab at one another until Oleksiejczuk pitches a high kick that bangs into the raised guard. The clinch tie-up results in a few body shots from Barriault, and a knee on the button freezes Oleksiejczuk. Oleksiejczuk takes a breath and flashes out his power punches, connecting effectively with his left to the liver. Barriault boxes back, and Oleksiejczuk kicks at his lead leg. Barriault lumbers out with a left hand, and they swat at one another with jabs out of range. Oleksiejczuk dips and clubs Barriault upside the head, and not to be outdone, Barriault kicks him in the face. Oleksiejczuk offers a high kick that hits the guard, and they proceed to throw punches, kicks and the kitchen sink at one another until we have—perhaps surprisingly—reached the final bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Oleksiejczuk)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Oleksiejczuk)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Oleksiejczuk)

The Official Result
Michal Oleksiejczuk def. Marc-Andre Barriault via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing his fast hands and power, with 8 knockouts in 9 UFC wins. He notes that Barriault's chin seems to be fading and that Oleksiejczuk hits incredibly hard. He acknowledges Barriault's wrestling could be a problem but thinks Oleksiejczuk's speed and power will prevail. He suggests under 2.5 rounds might be solid.

Under 2.5 rounds might be solid
"I'm going to pick McCall here because I think the chin's kind of fading a little bit on Mark Andre. McCall hits hard as hell."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing that Marc-André Barriault's chin has been cracked recently, with three knockout losses in his last four fights. He believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and power will be too much for Barriault, who has taken a lot of damage. He predicts a first-round finish.

by first round finish
"Mikuel Jose by first round finish."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody agrees, highlighting Oleksiejczuk's 8 first-round KOs in 9 UFC wins. He notes Barriault's history of being knocked out in the first round and his inability to change his game. Cody expects Oleksiejczuk to win by KO or decision, but is confident in the victory.

"He's either going to knock out Mark Andre Barry in the first round or he's going to win a split decision. But I think he wins in either case."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Oleksiejczuk is a good athlete who is not shot, while Barriault is past his prime and gets hurt easily. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will put it all on Barriault and likely hurt him early. He mentions that Barriault's only chance is if Oleksiejczuk's cardio fades.

Same odds discussion.
"I'll take a look at Sajak too."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Lucrative James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by KO in round one. He believes Barriault's chin is compromised and that Oleksiejczuk's power and early-round danger will be too much. James notes that Barriault's style of walking forward plays into Oleksiejczuk's hands, and he expects a quick finish.

KO in round 1
"My official prediction on this fight is Michelle Alex to KO Mar Andre Bariel in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, but notes the line is too wide at -350. He believes Oleksiejczuk's power will eventually find Barriault's chin, but warns that Barriault could make it tough if his chin holds up, using clinch work and cardio to wear Oleksiejczuk down. He suggests a live bet on Barriault in later rounds.

plus 285 on Barriault is worth a sprinkle; live betting Barriault in rounds 2-3
"So the prediction is going to be Ole Shuk by knock. I think he eventually lands that big shot and puts Bario away. But in terms of odds, minus 350 is just far too wide to be confident enough on …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, expecting a first-round knockout. He notes Barriault's recent durability issues and Oleksiejczuk's power, especially since joining Fighting Nerds. Paul believes Oleksiejczuk's improved patience and game planning will lead to an early finish.

"Mikey O knockout round one for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Michał Oleksiejczuk over Marc-André Barriault. He notes Oleksiejczuk has real power at middleweight and a resurgence since joining Fighting Nerds. He thinks Barriault has been on the receiving end of too many TKO losses. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first round TKO
"I think Michał Oleksiejczuk's dusting him up in round one by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Zane picks Oleksiejczuk because he is not physically washed and has a good multi-level striking attack. He notes that Barriault gets hurt too easily and is vulnerable, as seen in his fight against Shara Bullet. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will hurt Barriault quickly, though if it doesn't work out, it could become a hairy fight.

Oleksiejczuk opened at -225, currently -550; Barriault at +400.
"I think I have to take Michael Oksajuk."
KO R1 3:03 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gerald Meerschaert 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gerald Meerschaert 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gerald Meerschaert 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 51 45% 18 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 12 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gerald Meerschaert 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 51 45% 18 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 12 of 20
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oleksiejczuk (-218), Meerschaert (+180)

Round 1
In the battle of surnames that would likely win against any other pair on Scrabble tonight, it should not last terribly long. In the combined 57 pro victories for Meerschaert (37-19, 12-11 UFC) and Oleksiejczuk (20-9, 1 NC; 8-7, 1 NC UFC), they have needed the judges on six of those occasions. Referee Herb Dean—who gets a bigger pop from the crowd than either athlete—will almost certainly be needed, while the scorers might be able to take this one off. Before throwing down, the violent middleweights bump fists.
The marvelously mustached Meerschaert moves to the center of the cage, and he leans back as a huge left hand buzzes past him. Oleksiejczuk looks for another power punch, and Meerschaert is out of range pitching a low kick at him. Meerschaert ducks under a few punches to go after a single, and the former light heavyweight pops him in the chops on the way out. When “GM3” tries for another takedown, the Polish athlete shuts him down and forces him to stand back up. Oleksiejczuk ignores a leg kick that misses him to clip his foe with a left hand, but it is one-and-done. Oleksiejczuk measures his man with an uppercut, and he avoids counters and is ready to stuff a takedown before it comes to light. Oleksiejczuk narrowly avoids a left hook, and he laughs off a failed shot from the submission specialist. Meerschaert gets off a left hand, and Oleksiejczuk answers him with two big punches that shake him to his core. A third uppercut dings him on the jaw when he goes for a takedown, and “step into my parlor” says the spider to the fly.
Meerschaert does not get Oleksiejczuk to oblige him in playing in the guard, instead backing off to make “GM3” strike with him.
Knowing that Meerschaert is in trouble, Oleksiejczuk jacks his foe in the jaw with three punches that send Meerschaert down to the floor again. With Dean watching in closely, Oleksiejczuk unleashes a bombardment of wide-arcing hammerfists to punish “GM3” for ever considering grappling with him. As the punches continue, with no sign of slowing down, Dean has no choice but to get involved and halts the match.
That marks one more dominant win for a Fighting Nerds competitor, and Oleksiejczuk dons the trademark glasses while also handing commentator Joe Rogan a pair as well.

The Official Result
Michal Oleksiejczuk def. Gerald Meerschaert R1 3:03 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo notes Oleksiejczuk is a pure striker with power and fast hands, while Meerschaert is a grappler with questionable chin and takedown accuracy. He thinks it's easier for Oleksiejczuk to stay on the feet and land strikes than for Meerschaert to get the fight to the ground. He leans Oleksiejczuk but says he should not be a -225 favorite in such a tricky matchup.

Under no circumstances should he be a minus 225 in a very tricky matchup
"I'm going to lean McCall because I think it's easier for him to stay away from the takedowns while letting his hands fly against a somewhat chinny Gerro Mirard."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by first-round knockout. He notes Oleksiejczuk is a phenomenal striker with bodywork, volume, and power, while Meerschaert is at a massive striking disadvantage. However, he acknowledges the grappling danger: Meerschaert has 30 submission wins and Oleksiejczuk has been submitted six times. He thinks Oleksiejczuk can keep the fight standing and knock out Meerschaert, especially if he has improved his takedown defense. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's ability to get back up when taken down.

Oleksiejczuk by KO, round 1
"I think Oluk knocks out Mirart, and I think he does it in round number one."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Meerschaert. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has a history of getting submitted when he has a little success and then panics. He also points out that Meerschaert's recent losses were to tough opponents (de Ridder, Tavares) and that Oleksiejczuk's game is thin. He expects Meerschaert to capitalize on Oleksiejczuk's mistakes.

"I got to trust Meerschart. The past couple of fights for him have been especially bad match ups that we can credit those opponents for being either, for being not as bad as they, they looked."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host believes Oleksiejczuk's improvements from training with the fighting nerds will carry over, though it may result in a more measured approach. He expects Oleksiejczuk to wear Meerschaert down with striking and secure a finish in the third round.

finish in the third round
"I think he'll eventually be able to muster up a finish in the third round of this fight as he wears Mirard down with his striking approach"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by TKO in the first or second round. He believes Oleksiejczuk has improved since joining the Fighting Nerds and has nasty ground and pound and power. The Guru notes that Meerschaert is on borrowed time and doesn't move his head well, making him vulnerable. He also mentions that Oleksiejczuk has good grappling defense and reversals, so he won't be a fish out of water on the ground.

TKO first or second round; Oleksiejczuk finishes Meerschaert
"I'm going with Macaux. ... TKO first or second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gerald Meerschaert

Zane picks Meerschaert, reasoning that Oleksiejczuk is prone to getting submitted due to his hyper-aggressive style and poor defensive wrestling. He notes that Oleksiejczuk will likely shoot takedowns himself or fall into submissions, and Meerschaert is a dangerous grappler. He acknowledges the risk that Oleksiejczuk could land a big shot early, but trusts Meerschaert's experience.

"I think that that's going to lead him to getting submitted by Gerald Meerschart."
KO R1 2:49 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 34 of 57 59% 34 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 34 of 57 59% 34 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 26 11% 0 of 18 2 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 34 of 57 59% 27 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 27 0 of 0 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sedriques Dumas 3 of 26 11% 0 of 18 2 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 34 of 57 59% 27 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 27 0 of 0 21 of 30
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oleksiejczuk (-192), Dumas (+160)

Round 1
A potential middleweight brawl takes the top spot on the early preliminary card, with referee Marc Goddard standing by to handle it. Dumas (10-2, 3-2 UFC) still has yet to register a finish since joining the roster a couple years ago, while six of seven UFC victories for Oleksiejczuk (19-9, 1 NC; 7-7, 1 NC UFC) came inside the distance. The two opt to touch gloves ahead of their scheduled melee, and Dumas throws the first strike in the form of a blocked head kick. The Floridian tries two more times with this kick, and Oleksiejczuk is on top of it and parries the subsequent front kick. Oleksiejczuk tries to get his hands on his opponent, and he ends up punching the fighter sporting the “Hood Wolf” tattoo in the chest. Oleksiejczuk mixes in body shots when Dumas ducks down, and he absorbs a flush body kick on the way out. Oleksiejczuk jabs his way into attack, and Dumas practically somersaults and sprints away. Oleksiejczuk plods forward like a Polish Terminator, measuring him with a left hook and backing him to the wall where he can further unload. Two punches are all Oleksiejczuk get off before Dumas rushes away, and Dumas’ body language is not positive at the time. Oleksiejczuk connects with a few left hands, and he ignores a head kick that Dumas tosses up half-heartedly.
Oleksiejczuk plants a one-two on the chin, and a clubbing left hand sends Dumas flying to the mat. Oleksiejczuk pounces, and he unleashes a fury of elbows and punches. Dumas stays shelled up on his back, defending and moving but still taking strikes. With Goddard watching closely, Oleksiejczuk bombards his downed foe with one final barrage of punches and elbows
, and Goddard determines that Dumas is no longer intelligently defending himself and waves the fight off. The Floridian immediately protests, motioning that he was moving back and forth, but there is nothing more he can do. Proudly training with former foe Caio Borralho, Oleksiejczuk maximizes his time on the microphone by donning the Fighting Nerds glasses and calling out Paul Craig.

The Official Result
Michael Oleksiejczuk def. Sedriques Dumas R1 2:49 via TKO (Punches and Elbows)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Connor picks Michał Oleksiejczuk out of spite, believing he has faced much better competition than Dumas and should be capable of putting pressure on him. He notes that Oleksiejczuk's game plan should be simple: throw the same one-two, pressure, and not fall in on his strikes. Connor acknowledges that Oleksiejczuk often does something stupid and loses, but hopes he can execute a basic game plan.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think I'm going to pick Olexagic just out of like dogged. Spite."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi was happy to see Michał Oleksiejczuk get a first-round stoppage over Sedriques Dumas. He praises Oleksiejczuk for changing his training environment to the Fighting Nerds and showing maturity and measured striking, outstriking Dumas 34 to 3 in under three minutes.

"What I was really happy about was seeing Mllicha go out there and get that first round stoppage over Cedric's Dumas."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Apr 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Zane picks Sedriques Dumas, reasoning that Oleksiejczuk has a tendency to self-destruct spectacularly, and Dumas' physicality and athleticism will allow him to capitalize on Oleksiejczuk's mistakes. He notes that Oleksiejczuk loves to explode without warning, and Dumas can wait for that to happen. Zane acknowledges Dumas' losses to Josh Fremd and Abu Sultan Rozybaev show he struggles against non-cans, but believes Oleksiejczuk's impulsiveness will be his downfall.

Oleksiejczuk opened at -197, now -194; Dumas opened at +162, now +172.
"I think I have to pick Dumas."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 97 of 178 54% 123 of 209 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 77 of 146 52% 94 of 172 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 40 of 74 54% 42 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 35 of 53 66% 36 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 35 of 64 54% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 24 of 52 46% 28 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 40 55% 44 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 18 of 41 43% 30 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 97 of 178 54% 52 of 112 33 of 52 12 of 14 89 of 163 8 of 15 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 77 of 146 52% 45 of 103 18 of 27 14 of 16 72 of 138 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 40 of 74 54% 16 of 39 17 of 26 7 of 9 38 of 69 2 of 5 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 35 of 53 66% 23 of 38 9 of 11 3 of 4 34 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 35 of 64 54% 24 of 48 7 of 12 4 of 4 33 of 60 2 of 4 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 24 of 52 46% 12 of 35 5 of 9 7 of 8 22 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 40 55% 12 of 25 9 of 14 1 of 1 18 of 34 4 of 6 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 18 of 41 43% 10 of 30 4 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sharabutdin Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Magomedov (-238), Oleksiejczuk (+195)

Round 1
The latest hot commodity out of Russia for the UFC, Magomedov (13-0, 2-0 UFC) has a stiff test in front of him in the power-punching Pole Oleksiejczuk (19-8, 1 NC; 7-6, 1 NC UFC). “Shara Bullet” has passed every previous exam set before him, winning most thus far via strikes. Together, they have performed 25 knockouts, so referee Dan Movahedi is prepped and ready for the potential of a 26th. Interested in lopping the other’s head off at the stem, they pass right by touching gloves. Bouncing towards and away from one another in alternating stances, Oleksiejczuk is the first to reach his opponent. Oleksiejczuk reaches his foe with a right and a left while Magomedov kicks. Oleksiejczuk jabs and defends a right hand and a trio of kicks. Oleksiejczuk knocks his man off his seat with a left hand, and Magomedov pulls on the fence to stand back up. Oleksiejczuk bears down on him with two left hooks, and he aims a left to the body while Magomedov kicks him twice in the side. Oleksiejczuk connects with a left hand and eats a left hand counter, and he digs a left to the torso. Magomedov chips with two kicks and absorbs another flush left hand, and Oleksiejczuk aims another heavy left at the ribs. Magomedov tries to spin with a punch, and he catches Oleksiejczuk coming in with a knee. Oleksiejczuk windmills a left hand, and the second he throws lands flush. Magomedov replies with a short few punches, and an elbow gets Oleksiejczuk’s attention and shreds him open. Magomedov knees him and pushes Oleksiejczuk away, but Oleksiejczuk walks right towards him again and parries two high kicks. Oleksiejczuk digs a left to the side and absorbs a clean knee and a side kick to the same spot, and he loops a right hand over the guard. Magomedov lands a body kick and pulls on the top of the head, getting off a head kick and taking a left hand off the forehead. Magomedov lands and gets tagged, but his knee connects cleanly as Oleksiejczuk tries to tie him up. There is a brief Thai clinch, and they separate as Oleksiejczuk swarms with left hooks. Oleksiejczuk kicks the front leg and tries to catch a side kick, as Magomedov buzzes him with spinning back elbow. Magomedov skirts away and pitches out side kicks, and he has a leg kick checked. Oleksiejczuk wings a left up high when a head kick flies at him, and he backs Magomedov of with a second left. Oleksiejczuk pounds on the body with a knee and a kick, and he swipes out with a right hand. Oleksiejczuk drills the chest with a straight left, and he lumbers forward swinging lefts. Magomedov gets off a body kick and ducks a swinging punch, and he dodges the worst of the wild punches except for one. The Russian misses a head kick right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 2
Oleksiejczuk is so amped up to go, Movahedi has to back him up halfway across the cage. They practically sprint out of their corners to start fighting again, with Oleksiejczuk backing the Russian off immediately. Magomedov snipes at his opponent while backing off, with a side kick, low kick and check left hook. Oleksiejczuk lumbers at him with looping punches, and Magomedov’s head movement keeps him largely safe. Magomedov scores with front kicks, and Oleksiejczuk lands a left to the body and then one up top. Magomedov stuns his foe with a Superman punch, and Oleksiejczuk turns him around with a left hand. Magomedov fakes a spin, and his front leg gets kicked when recovering. Oleksiejczuk uses a body lock to try to take the fight down, and Magomedov blatantly grabs the fence to stay on his feet and is not called because Movahedi is on the wrong side. Oleksiejczuk releases him and eats a right to the body and a right to the head that briefly shakes him up. Blood flows from the left side of his head on multiple wounds, and he still is headhunting and throwing everything he has. Oleksiejczuk kicks the front leg and whiffs on a left hook, and he walks into a check hook and a jab. Oleksiejczuk responds with a clean left hand, and Magomedov stands firm and answers with a straight right hand down the pipe. They both throw hands at the same time, with Oleksiejczuk landing cleaner as he dodges the sneaky front-leg head kick. Oleksiejczuk gets in a left hand as Magomedov bounces and moves, and he has a massive left hand miss him by a matter of millimeters. Oleksiejczuk rips a left to the side as he jabs his way forward, and a left hook brushes the beard. Oleksiejczuk blocks a head kick as the crowd oohs, and Magomedov is quick to throw another low kick. Magomedov jumps into his offense, and he lines up several knees before Oleksiejczuk can push him away. Oleksiejczuk reaches his foe with a left and a right, and he takes a deep breath. Magomedov slips a punch and zips a counter up high, and he remains in perpetual motion while not staying in the same spot for long. Oleksiejczuk kicks the front leg and loops a left over the top, and he dodges a left hook and counters cleanly. Magomedov connects with a head kick, and Oleksiejczuk throws him to the floor and hops onto the back when they hit the mat. Oleksiejczuk sneaks a single hook in and considers a choke, but Magomedov hand-fights to prevent anything from materializing. Oleksiejczuk fastens one arm beneath the chin, and Magomedov punches him from behind until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 3
The middleweights meet in the middle after 10 minutes of blood and guts battle. Magomedov misses with a knee, and Oleksiejczuk belts him in the jaw. “Shara Bullet” mocks him, asking if that is all he has, and Oleksiejczuk swings hard in response. Oleksiejczuk loops a left over the top, and he gets kicked in the guts while wading forward. Oleksiejczuk telegraphs a left hand that Magomedov is able to block, and speed is on the side of the Russian at this point. Magomedov delivers a kick to the body, and he laughs off the attacks from Oleksiejczuk. Oleksiejczuk whiffs on looping shots as he walks forward, and Magomedov keeps his hands down and moves from side toe side. Oleksiejczuk is an inch out of range from a brutal left hand, and he follows him around and scores one. Magomedov knees him in the face and then side kicks him square on the jaw, and Oleksiejczuk can do nothing but tank it. Magomedov connects with a side kick, and Oleksiejczuk punches him in the body back. Magomedov swats with left hands and side kicks, and he leans back when Oleksiejczuk loads up on his left hand. Magomedov hammers the body with several knees, and he kicks the Polish fighter in the head, who does not budge. Oleksiejczuk lands a leg kick and wings a left hook, and Magomedov once more boots him upside the head. Oleksiejczuk grabs hold of him and throws him to the canvas in response, and Magomedov wall-walks and keeps his balance to prevent the mat return. Oleksiejczuk attempts a double, and Magomedov stops it. Magomedov stands him up and slashes him with an elbow, and Oleksiejczuk keeps his chin tucked and unleashes a left hand. With a minute to go, Oleksiejczuk sprints forward and grabs hold of a single, dumping “Shara Bullet” to the canvas. Magomedov lands several rabbit punches to the back of the head, and Movahedi warns him for the fouls. Magomedov hacks with elbows from his back, and these may have cut Oleksiejczuk a few more times. Oleksiejczuk tries to mount some offense, and they proceed to trade strikes right to the final horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)

The Official Result
Sharabudtin Magomedov def. Michal Oleksiejczuk via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Magomedov despite concerns about his recent activity and lack of killer instinct. He thinks Magomedov is still very powerful and should be good enough to win, especially as Oleksiejczuk fades late. He notes Magomedov's busy schedule and possible lack of camp, but still expects a win.

Over 1.5 rounds if line available
"Char marov is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady is confident in Sharabutdin due to Oleksiejczuk's concerning situation: he is not with a team, training in his garage, talking about retirement, and has been finished quickly in recent fights. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's heart is not in it and he will fold after the first few minutes, predicting a first-round knockout for Sharabutdin.

"I got to go sh here I I'm not sure what's going on with meluk but whatever is going on it's it's super weird"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, noting that Michał Oleksiejczuk has one foot out the door, training in his garage and talking about retirement. He believes Shara is still improving and has more upside, while Oleksiejczuk has stagnated. Cody thinks Shara's cardio and grappling will improve fight to fight, and that Oleksiejczuk's only path is an early knockout. He also mentions Shara is being fed winnable opponents.

"Char is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel believes Shara has a superior striking arsenal and will capitalize on Oleksiejczuk's overly aggressive style. He notes that Oleksiejczuk makes bonehead mistakes on the mat and likes to brawl, which plays into Shara's hands. He thinks Shara will blast the body and take advantage of openings, and that the time to fade Shara is not now but against a real grappler.

"give me Shara there to come out here and get the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk will crowd Magomedov, causing issues for his kicking game. If he reins in his durability, he should land big power and possibly knock out Magomedov in the first two rounds.

knockout in first two rounds
"ol shj has a little bit of a durability issue but if he can Reign it in for this matchup and really keep Mago medov on the back foot he should be able to land that big Power and I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing Oleksiejczuk's poor cardio and submission losses. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has been submitted multiple times and that Shara's striking is good enough to outvolume him. Paul expects Shara to finish late or win a decision, and mentions a potential Shara late finish prop. He also points out that Oleksiejczuk has no cardio and poor grappling.

Shara late finish prop
"I'd be interested in like um Mega mov late prop maybe this squeez into the third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Magomedov's superior striking and low kicks. He notes Oleksiejczuk's poor mindset, having commented that he will probably lose. He thinks Magomedov's technical outside work will be enough, despite his weak ground game. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's vulnerability to low kicks while moving backwards.

"I'm going to pick Shara magedov to win this fight I think he's better than maau Alex Atri on the feet"
LOSS vs Kevin Holland
Technical Submission (armbar) R1 1:34 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 8 of 18 44% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 8 of 18 44% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 8 of 18 44% 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 8 of 18 44% 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kevin Holland vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Holland (-265), Oleksiejczuk (+215)

Round 1
After a while at welterweight, the ultra-active Holland (25-11, 1 NC; 12-8, 1 NC UFC) is bouncing back to 185 pounds for a relatively short-notice affair. He takes on powerful Polish slugger Oleksiejczuk (19-7, 1 NC; 7-5, 1 NC UFC) in a fight between two men with finish rates around 80%. Referee Herb Dean has donned his hard hat for what’s about to come, as it could end quickly and violently. The fighters share a swift fist bump ahead of the melee, and Holland is backed off in a hurry from a heavy right hand from the Polish man. Holland slides away from another, and Oleksiejczuk is headhunting and loaded for bear. Holland stays on his bike, keeping just out of reach, and he sits down on a kick and pushes Oleksiejczuk away. At the same time, Oleksiejczuk unleashes a left hand, and he knocks Holland to his seat. Holland falls to his back, getting pounded on from hammerfists, and he clears his head and snatches up an armbar in the blink of an eye. Oleksiejczuk tries to step over, and in the process, Holland rolls his foe over, wrenching on it with all his might. Oleksiejczuk tries to sit up, and Holland tells Dean that he broke Oleksiejczuk’s arm. Dean looks down at the damaged limb, and he has immediate flashbacks of Tim Sylvia against Frank Mir and waves the fight off when seeing the elbow is backwards and something appears to be protruding that should not be doing that. Oleksiejczuk protests, but he cannot raise his arm and it is clearly in dire straits. An elated “Trailblazer” climbs up and jumps out of the cage to share words with Trump, White, Hunter Campbell and matchmakers Sean Shelby and Mick Maynard. Holland proudly declares himself the ultimate gatekeeper—his words, not ours—and he says he will fight anyone at 170, 185 or higher.

The Official Result
Kevin Holland def. Michal Oleksiejczuk R1 1:34 via Technical Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Angelo picks Kevin Holland despite the short notice, believing his range, accuracy, and experience will overcome Michał Oleksiejczuk's early power. He notes that Holland is the bigger fighter and has a massive advantage on the ground. He is a little worried about Oleksiejczuk's fast hands but is confident Holland will win.

"Kevin Holland is going to be the pick I'm pretty confident in him to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 31, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Holland

Big Brady likes Kevin Holland a lot, stating he should not only win but win dominantly by finish (KO or submission). He believes Holland has advantages everywhere and that Oleksiejczuk is a round-one knockout bust if the fight goes to the second. He acknowledges Holland's poor fight IQ but thinks this is a big step down in competition. He expects a finish, possibly in the first round.

Kevin Holland wins inside the distance, finish in first round possible
"I like Holland here and he's not too expensive he's only 9k I think he's live for a finish it could be early as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Cody picks Holland, calling Oleksiejczuk a 'glass cannon' who fades after the first round. He notes Oleksiejczuk's six first-round KOs but argues his wins are over low-level opposition. Cody believes Holland's durability, volume, and pace will be too much, and that Holland's frame at 185 lbs is fine. He suggests Holland is a better value at -280 than Makhachev at -700.

"Oleksiejczuk is a front runner... his game just totally falls apart when the fight extends beyond the first round... Kevin Holland is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel fades Holland due to his tendency to fool around and rely on physical gifts. He believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and durability will break Holland, citing his fights with Krylov and Jacoby. He worries about Holland's neck attacks but sees value in the underdog.

"I'm gonna go on a limb here and actually take the underdog"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Daniel Vreeland picks Kevin Holland despite being unhappy about it. He argues that Holland doesn't walk into shots on the feet and has survived fights with excellent strikers like Jack Della Maddalena and Michael Venom Page without being knocked out. Vreeland doesn't see Oleksiejczuk as the guy to finally tag Holland, nor does he think Oleksiejczuk can win a decision. He acknowledges Holland fights stupidly but sees no path for Oleksiejczuk.

"I don't see a way that Ola shck gets his hands on him"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Jeff Fox picks Oleksiejczuk because he has no faith in Kevin Holland fighting smart. He notes Holland has lost two straight and tends to eat shots. Fox points to Oleksiejczuk's knockout of Sam Alvey and his power, believing he can catch Holland. He dismisses Holland's durability against top strikers, saying Oleksiejczuk is the type to land a big shot.

"I don't have any faith in Kevin Holland I'm taking here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

The host expects Holland to use his length and footwork to keep Oleksiejczuk at range and eventually find a finish. Oleksiejczuk's pressure style may be nullified by Holland's striking and sneaky submission game. However, the host notes that Holland is tough to trust at -260, but if he fights smart, he should win inside the distance.

inside the distance
"I'm going to go Holland and Holland inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Paul picks Holland, noting his incredible chin and durability. He expects Oleksiejczuk to have early success but fade, and Holland to find his groove and finish via submission (club and sub). He mentions Holland's submission skills and Oleksiejczuk's poor cardio. Paul likes Holland by submission at +275.

Holland by submission (+275)
"Holland for all his flaws his chin is incredible... I feel like Oleksiejczuk will have some big time success early and then Holland will find his groove... I kind of see this ending in a club and sub type of …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, though he is hesitant. He believes Kevin Holland has lost his snap and grit, and that Oleksiejczuk will have a weight advantage at 185. He notes Oleksiejczuk's underrated grappling and ability to outgrapple Holland. He worries about Holland's motivation and thinks Oleksiejczuk has more drive.

"I'm going to go with maau atrick though I think he's got more drive"
LOSS vs Michel Pereira
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 1:01 · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 11 of 15 73% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 11 of 15 73% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Michel Pereira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pereira (-148), Oleksiejczuk (+124)

Round 1
A casual observer might look at this battle of Michel vs. Michal and not immediately know which one competed at light heavyweight recently. By the size of Pereira (29-11, 2 NC; 7-2 UFC), he does not look like the kind of person that made welterweight in 2022. On the other hand, Oleksiejczuk (19-6, 1 NC; 7-4, 1 NC UFC) appears well-suited for his newer, lighter weight class, and his knockout last year over Chidi Njokuani shines on his ledger. Pereira is psyched to compete in Miami, and he brings his cousin with him to do a synchronized, choreographed dance before walking out. This potentially wild 185-pound affair will be officiated by referee Dan Miragliotta, and there is a quick glove touch from the competitors to get it going. Pereira hops back and forth, changing stances, and he dodges a right hand and rips two kicks to the body. Oleksiejczuk goes over the top with a right hook, and Pereira backs off and skirts to the side. Pereira lands two speedy punches before springing to the side, and he drives a right hand on the solar plexus and hurts Oleksiejczuk. Oleksiejczuk backs off to the fence, bent over but trying to remain on his feet, and Pereira charges at him and knees him twice in the same spot to buckle the Polish fighter’s knees.
Oleksiejczuk slumps to the ground, and Pereira leaps around to take his back and grab hold of a rear-naked choke without even bothering to get a hook in. The Brazilian locks down the choke and his forearm slides beneath the chin, and he squeezes with all his might. Oleksiejczuk does not once consider tapping, and he fades into unconsciousness as the submission puts him all the way out.
Miragliotta pulls them apart when recognizing Oleksiejczuk is out cold, and Pereira rushes to the center of the cage and breakdances to celebrate. What a performance for Pereira, who has now won seven in a row and may soon be a contender at his new weight class of middleweight.

The Official Result
Michel Pereira def. Michal Oleksiejczuk R1 1:01 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira, citing his better cardio, power, and grappling. He notes Oleksiejczuk has a great chin but can fade. He has a half-unit bet on Pereira at -130, but keeps it small because Oleksiejczuk could survive early and outpoint him.

Half unit bet on Pereira at -130.
"I still think P wins this fight and I do like the odds at minus 130 I've got a little bit of a bet on that as well half a unit on P here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by decision. He notes that while Pereira has a BJJ black belt, he doesn't wrestle often and lacks the cardio to grapple for 15 minutes. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Oleksiejczuk's forward pressure, body work, and volume will wear down Pereira and win the later rounds.

win by decision
"I'm going to go Mel o to win this fight Win It by decision I think the bodyw work's going to come into play the cardio the volume is all going to come into play"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody notes that Pereira has matured and now fights more conservatively, using his accuracy and wrestling. He thinks Oleksiejczuk is a reckless brawler with poor takedown defense, and Pereira will counter him and mix in takedowns to win a decision.

"I will go with Pereira"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk has great durability and forward pressure, marching forward and breaking opponents with his boxing. He has eaten clean shots and continued to push. Pereira is dangerous early with his unorthodox power, but Oleksiejczuk's durability should allow him to weather the early storm. As the fight goes on, Oleksiejczuk will start to catch Pereira, coral him against the cage, and land combinations. I expect Oleksiejczuk to get a finish in the second or third round, possibly by knockout.

Oleksiejczuk by knockout, live betting Oleksiejczuk after first round
"I have to lean with the O shuk side here as I believe that his durability will allow him to kind of just way through the early threat that Pera normally uh implements in his fights and from there I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul agrees, highlighting Pereira's improved fight IQ and the fact that he looked great at 185. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's wrestling is exploitable and that Pereira has multiple ways to win.

"Pereira is the pick for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing concerns about Michel Pereira's finishing ability and cardio. He notes Pereira failed to finish chinny fighters like Andre Fialho and Nico Price, and that Oleksiejczuk is extremely tough and has power. He predicts Oleksiejczuk will pressure Pereira, take him down, and finish with a body shot TKO in round two.

round two body shot TKO
"I'm GNA say round two body shot TKO from maau Alex huk"
Chidi Njokuani - Fight History
SCHED vs Geoff Neal
LOSS vs Carlos Leal
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 0 120 of 205 58% 124 of 210 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Carlos Leal 0 115 of 276 41% 126 of 287 0 of 5 0% 0 0 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 0 46 of 70 65% 46 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Leal 0 60 of 131 45% 60 of 131 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chidi Njokuani 0 22 of 35 62% 26 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Carlos Leal 0 5 of 20 25% 16 of 31 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:17
3 Chidi Njokuani 0 52 of 100 52% 52 of 100 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Carlos Leal 0 50 of 125 40% 50 of 125 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 120 of 205 58% 45 of 110 39 of 57 36 of 38 105 of 187 14 of 16 1 of 2
Carlos Leal 115 of 276 41% 71 of 226 29 of 35 15 of 15 112 of 271 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 46 of 70 65% 8 of 23 19 of 27 19 of 20 39 of 62 7 of 8 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 60 of 131 45% 28 of 95 21 of 25 11 of 11 58 of 128 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Chidi Njokuani 22 of 35 62% 6 of 16 9 of 11 7 of 8 17 of 29 5 of 5 0 of 1
Carlos Leal 5 of 20 25% 4 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chidi Njokuani 52 of 100 52% 31 of 71 11 of 19 10 of 10 49 of 96 2 of 3 1 of 1
Carlos Leal 50 of 125 40% 39 of 112 8 of 10 3 of 3 49 of 123 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani, noting he bet him at +165 and the line has moved. He praises Njokuani's striking, speed, power, and distance control, while criticizing Carlos Leal's porous defense and recent knockout loss. He expects Njokuani to chew up Leal's legs and win a striking match.

Bet on Chidi at +165; mentions line movement.
"I'm picking Cheaty, for [__] sake."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Big Brady picks Carlos Leal to defeat Chidi Njokuani, citing Njokuani's poor durability and tendency to quit under adversity. He notes Njokuani has been finished nine times and cannot battle through bad spots. He trusts Leal's chin more, despite a recent knockout loss to Muslim Salikhov, as that was the first time Leal was ever hurt. He predicts Leal will break Njokuani late in the first round with a knockout.

Carlos Leal by first-round knockout
"I got to go Carlos Leal in this type of fight... I think Carlos Leal's going to come out here and make it a war. ... Give me Carlos Leal by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Cody is tempted to follow the line movement and pick Njokuani, but ultimately leans Leal because of his forward pressure and power. He thinks Leal's style will overwhelm Njokuani, who has tall man defense and has been knocked out before. He expects a TKO finish within a round and a half.

Leal under 1.5 rounds
"Leel under one and a half. Leel by TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Leal. He notes that Njokuani is all over the place under pressure—easy to take down, breaks stance and posture against the fence. Connor also mentions Njokuani's 'Paul Felder syndrome' of waiting for the perfect strike instead of doing damage, which costs him rounds.

"I think i'll ride with you. I would really like to see I always enjoy seeing cheetie win... but i'll take leal. I I trust him to just go in there and run at and jacwani"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host believes Chidi Njokuani has a significant striking advantage due to his size, reach, and technical precision. He highlights Carlos Leal's reckless style, poor head movement, and defensive flaws, which have led to him being knocked out by lesser strikers. The host caps Njokuani's win probability at 60-65%, giving a 13-18% margin over the implied probability of 47% from the odds. He acknowledges Njokuani's age (37) and ground game weakness but considers them mitigated by Leal's lack of wrestling.

Njokuani by KO/TKO is likely; host mentions he could knock Leal out by punishing his recklessness.
"I would personally cap Chidi Enja Kawwani at 60 to 65% in this matchup based on the footage I'm about to show you which gives us a very nice you know 13% plus margin over the bookies as high as …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

James picks the underdog Chidi Njokuani to win by KO in round one, citing Njokuani's elite Muay Thai clinch and knees. He notes that Carlos Leal Miranda's aggressive style leaves him open to being caught, as seen in his last fight. James believes Njokuani's range and clinch work will nullify Miranda's boxing and lead to a finish.

"I'm actually going to pick the underdog in this one, boys. I'm going to overall pick Chitty and Juani via KO in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Njokuani is the more skilled striker with a significant reach advantage, and he has good durability at welterweight. Leal is a power puncher but was knocked out in his last fight and may be hesitant. Njokuani can eat shots and counter, and his Muay Thai should allow him to land damaging elbows and knees. Expect a knockout within two rounds.

"I expect this fight to last maybe a round and a half, maybe two rounds tops. But I think Angela Kawani is constantly going to be able to thwart the forward pressure of Laya, land those counters, and eventually one …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Paul notes the significant line movement and thinks there may be an undisclosed injury to Leal. He prefers to avoid the fight but picks Njokuani based on reach and Muay Thai. He admits it's a low-confidence pick.

"I'm still going with cheaty."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani by TKO, noting that Leal is coming off a KO loss and may be gun-shy. He believes Njokuani's tight hook can catch Leal, who has a tendency to come forward with his hands wide. He also thinks Leal won't grapple offensively, playing into Njokuani's striking strengths.

TKO in round one or two
"I'm going to go with Chidi Njokuani TKO'ing Carlos Leal in round one or two."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Zane picks Leal because he trusts Leal to pressure Njokuani relentlessly. He notes that Njokuani tends to fall apart under sustained pressure, getting finished in most of his losses. Zane believes Leal will be in the fight all the way, while Njokuani could spiral if things go wrong.

"i'm gonna pick leal still just because and jacwani does get finished so often when he loses"
LOSS vs Jake Matthews
Submission R1 1:09 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jake Matthews 0 3 of 7 42% 5 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:29
Chidi Njokuani 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jake Matthews 0 3 of 7 42% 5 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:29
Chidi Njokuani 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jake Matthews 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 5 of 10 50% 0 of 2 3 of 6 2 of 2 4 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jake Matthews 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 5 of 10 50% 0 of 2 3 of 6 2 of 2 4 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jake Matthews vs. Chidi Njokuani
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Njokuani (-150); Matthews (+125)

Round 1
Don’t look now, but Matthews (21-7, 14-7 UFC) is about to turn 31 and enter into his 22nd UFC appearance. His assignment tonight is the brick-fisted ex-middleweight Njokuani (25-10, 1 NC; 5-3 UFC), who had issues making weight but still hit 170.5 after coming back within the extra hour allotment. Knowing this one could last five minutes or five seconds, referee Jimmy Neely is prepped and ready for what’s to come. The fighters touch gloves.
Njokuani instantly capitalizes on his considerable reach advantage by letting fly a number of vicious kicks off the guard of his opponent. One or two get through, and Matthews proves he has a chin on him early. Njokuani fights Matthews back, and Matthews trips him to the mat and takes his back while Njokuani is on his knees.
Matthews starts looking for a short choke from behind, and Njokuani stands up and leans against the cage to take some of the weight off of him. “The Celtic Kid” clings to and changes his grip, keeping his forearm beneath the chin, and his rear-naked choke is tight as a tiger. Njokuani nearly shakes Matthews off of his back, but with Matthews clinging on the side choking the life out of him, “Chidi Chidi Bang Bang” is forced to surrender.
Matthews lets go and apologizes to Njokuani for finishing him, and calmly walks away to chat with announcer Bruce Buffer.

The Official Result
Jake Matthews def. Chidi Njokuani R1 1:09 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

Angelo likes Jake Matthews as an underdog, noting his durability, good chin, and ability to wrestle. He thinks Chidi Njokuani cuts too much weight, may have a fading chin, and can be taken down if you get to his legs. He emphasizes that if Matthews chooses to wrestle, he can win, but his fight IQ is questionable. He also suggests a 'win inside distance' prop as a possible bet.

Suggests 'win inside distance' prop (decision no action) as a possible bet.
"I like Jake Matthews here if he chooses to wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

Big Brady is torn on this fight. He notes Chidi Njokuani is dangerous when things go his way but quits under adversity, especially if taken down. Jake Matthews has a clear path via wrestling, but is hit or miss. If Matthews wrestles, he can finish Chidi. Brady picks Matthews by second-round submission but says he may not bet on it and wants to see weigh-ins.

second round submission
"Give me Jake Matthews by submission. I'll say second round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Connor agrees with Zane, pointing out that Matthews' recent approach of range kickboxing plays into Njokuani's strengths. He notes that Njokuani is a hyper-dangerous clinch fighter and that Matthews' tendency to put himself in awkward positions could lead to getting head-kicked. Connor also mentions that both fighters have shown improvement in volume, but he favors Njokuani's style matchup.

Njokuani -155
"I think Injo Kawani too... the fight like that Zaleski fight was Zaleski realizing he didn't want to be outside at all and just selling out wholehearted to try and get into the pocket blind from distance and he just …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host expects Njokuani to continue his winning streak since moving to welterweight. He believes Njokuani will stuff Matthews' takedowns and use his Muay Thai advantage to batter Matthews on the feet, winning a decision. Matthews is on a winning streak but Njokuani is streaking as well.

"Matthews finally is on a winning streak for the first time in 5 years. Unfortunately, he's going up against a streaking Chitty Kawani who was undefeated since going down to 170 lbs. And I expect him to keep that winning …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani, arguing that Jake Matthews is too reliant on his hands and lacks finishing potential compared to Njokuani's rangy striking with kicks and knees. He notes Matthews' inconsistency and tendency to get caught by strikers, citing his fight with Matthew Semelsberger where he was knocked down every round. He expects Njokuani to keep Matthews at range with teeps and low kicks, then catch him in the clinch for a second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'm gonna go with Chidina Jiquani over Jake Matthews. ... I think Chidino Jiuani is going to score a TKO win here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Zane notes that Jake Matthews has trapped himself in an ineffective out-fighting game, while Njokuani has improved his volume and variety of kicks. He thinks Matthews' reliance on speed and dynamism makes him vulnerable to Njokuani's rangy striking and clinch work. Zane is not overwhelmingly confident due to Njokuani's inconsistency, but sees this as a favorable matchup for him.

Matthews opened -110, now +135; Njokuani opened -110, now -155
"I was definitely already prepared to pick Injo Kawani coming in... I mean if Injo Kawani can go out there like he did against Zaleski and just throw some front snapping kicks..."
KO R2 2:19 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 1 46 of 87 52% 46 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 17 of 49 34% 19 of 54 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 0 23 of 45 51% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 9 of 25 36% 11 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:14
2 Chidi Njokuani 1 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 46 of 87 52% 17 of 38 16 of 32 13 of 17 36 of 71 2 of 3 8 of 13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 17 of 49 34% 5 of 28 2 of 5 10 of 16 13 of 44 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 23 of 45 51% 3 of 12 13 of 23 7 of 10 22 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 9 of 25 36% 3 of 13 0 of 2 6 of 10 5 of 20 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Chidi Njokuani 23 of 42 54% 14 of 26 3 of 9 6 of 7 14 of 27 1 of 2 8 of 13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 8 of 24 33% 2 of 15 2 of 3 4 of 6 8 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Angelo picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos over Chidi Njokuani. He acknowledges Njokuani is a better striker and younger, but he's concerned about Njokuani's volume being a one-off. Angelo trusts Zaleski's durability and wrestling, noting he almost finished Rakhmonov late. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside distance with decision no action as a possible alternative.

Chidi Njokuani win inside distance, decision no action
"I'm still going to stay on the zeleski side but only because he's so damn durable."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, noting that despite being 38, he still has good performances left. He highlights Zaleski's durability, cardio, and grappling advantage, and points out that Chidi Njokuani has a history of quitting when faced with adversity, especially when taken down. Brady believes if Zaleski gets on top or hurts Njokuani, the fight will end quickly. He predicts a second-round finish, either by KO or submission.

Zaleski dos Santos second round KO
"I like zeleski here and I think he finishes cheaty... second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Erceg despite the high price, citing his level of competition and size advantage. He acknowledges Ode Osborne's reach and speed could cause early problems, but expects Erceg to take over as Osborne fades due to short notice. He is wary of the minus 600 line but still sees Erceg winning.

"Ersig's going to be the pick, but minus 600 is a walk in the park. And I I think that Joseé Osborne is a different tricky type of style fighter that Ursk hasn't really necessarily have to deal with lately."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Njokuani's desire to brawl in the pocket is exactly what Zaleski wants. He notes that Zaleski has a good chin and can outlast brawlers, and that Njokuani's range fighting is not his natural game. He also mentions that Zaleski can take the fight to the ground if needed.

Odds: Zaleski opened -188, now -193; Njokuani opened +155, now +167.
"I have to pick Zaleski here."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 31, 2024 (409 days before fight)

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host believes Njokuani can replicate what Randy Brown did against Zaleski, using a distance striking approach and mixing in clinch Muay Thai. He expects Njokuani to land more damage and win at least two of three rounds on the scorecards.

"I believe en kuani should be able to replicate what Randy Brown was able to do against aleski utilizing a distance striking approach maybe even mixing it up in the clinch a little bit with his Muay Thai but I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Paul also picks Erceg, noting his superior technique and experience against top competition. He mentions Ode Osborne's power and submission threat but believes Erceg will outclass him. He considers an Ode Osborne KO prop but prefers Erceg on the moneyline.

"The cleaner, better, more technical fighter is is Ersz. I expect to win. Um, I expect him to outclass OD, who I mean, outside of small moments tends to, you know, wilt fall apart a little bit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani, citing his physical presence, 7-inch reach advantage, and nasty clinch effectiveness. He thinks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, a rangy kicker, will struggle with Njokuani's size and pressure. He notes Zaleski dos Santos often wins close decisions and is 38, while Njokuani is a slight underdog with good value. He predicts a 2-1 decision or a Njokuani finish.

Njokuani is a slight underdog; good value.
"I'm going to go chiding at Jani here I think he's a slight Underdog and I think there's good value on that so uh check it out"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zane picks Zaleski because Njokuani is a phone booth fighter who wants to brawl in the clinch, which plays into Zaleski's strengths. He notes that Zaleski is durable, can out-grapple Njokuani, and has a path to victory if he mixes in takedowns. He also points out that Njokuani has poor takedown defense and is too content to play guard.

Odds: Zaleski opened -188, now -193; Njokuani opened +155, now +167. Zane says Zaleski could be a bigger favorite but understands age concerns.
"I have to pick Zaleski here."
WIN vs Jared Gooden
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 0 105 of 148 70% 162 of 207 0 of 0 --- 0 0 9:16
Jared Gooden 0 20 of 50 40% 81 of 121 2 of 8 25% 1 0 2:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 0 21 of 28 75% 46 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:38
Jared Gooden 0 3 of 5 60% 23 of 28 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:06
2 Chidi Njokuani 0 52 of 65 80% 67 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:15
Jared Gooden 0 11 of 27 40% 38 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Chidi Njokuani 0 32 of 55 58% 49 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
Jared Gooden 0 6 of 18 33% 20 of 36 1 of 4 25% 1 0 1:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 105 of 148 70% 49 of 81 47 of 57 9 of 10 28 of 48 56 of 65 21 of 35
Jared Gooden 20 of 50 40% 13 of 37 5 of 10 2 of 3 14 of 42 5 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 21 of 28 75% 5 of 7 16 of 21 0 of 0 3 of 6 18 of 22 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 3 of 5 60% 1 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Chidi Njokuani 52 of 65 80% 20 of 29 24 of 27 8 of 9 16 of 25 36 of 40 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 11 of 27 40% 7 of 20 2 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Chidi Njokuani 32 of 55 58% 24 of 45 7 of 9 1 of 1 9 of 17 2 of 3 21 of 35
Jared Gooden 6 of 18 33% 5 of 14 1 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 14 1 of 2 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani, but with hesitation due to Njokuani's slow starts. He notes that Njokuani should dominate if he throws with more volume, but a slow start could be dangerous against Jared Gooden's early power. Angelo expects to be biting his nails in the first round but ultimately believes Njokuani is safe.

"I'm still going cheaty... I think he is safe but I'm gonna be biting my nails for the first five minutes."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady picks Jared Gooden to win by second-round knockout. He criticizes Chidi Njokuani's brutal weight cut to welterweight, his poor performance against Rhys McKee, and his history of quitting when hurt. He notes Gooden is more durable and has more heart. Although Njokuani is the better striker with more power, Brady expects Gooden to weather the early storm and finish him in the second round. He thinks Njokuani's weight cut and tendency to look for a way out will be his downfall.

Gooden by second-round knockout
"give me good in to weather the early storm and get a finish in the second round by Knockouts"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Connor also picks Njokuani but is hesitant, noting that Gooden is tough and has a good chin, but his defensive flaws make him vulnerable. He compares the matchup to Njokuani's fight with Dusko Todorovic, where Njokuani landed a fight-ending elbow. Connor thinks Njokuani's opportunistic striking will find the mark, but he's not fully confident due to Njokuani's inconsistency.

Same odds commentary.
"I think probably a decent parallel for this matchup is maybe cheetie's fight with dusko todorovich. Here's a super hittable but very aggressive opponent."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Njokuani is slicker and has a height and reach advantage. At welterweight, this is a great spot for him as long as the weight cut doesn't drain his durability. He should keep Gooden's power punching at bay with kicks up the middle and straight shots, picking him apart and winning on the scorecards.

"look for kicks up the middle and straight shots down the pipe for Njokuani to keep Gooden at distance and from there he should be able to pick him apart and win this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani, citing his size, range, and athleticism. He notes that Njokuani has a better chance of a sudden finish than Jared Gooden, who he questions why is still in the UFC. He acknowledges Njokuani's inconsistent record but favors his ability to land a knockout out of nowhere.

"I'm going to go with chiding n jwani getting this one done long rangy sniper athletic more athletic than Jared Gooden"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Zane picks Njokuani but is hesitant because Njokuani is inconsistent and a pure opportunist. He notes that Gooden is hittable and aggressive, which should provide opportunities for Njokuani to land a knockout. However, Zane acknowledges that Njokuani can lose if he doesn't seize the moment or if Gooden's toughness carries him.

Njokuani opened at -196, now -196; Gooden opened at +138, now +138. Zane says the line shouldn't get wider.
"Cheaty in that fight. Yeah, I think he might just get a knockout bowl of opportunities. He will provide."
WIN vs Rhys McKee
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 0 64 of 98 65% 96 of 139 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:53
Rhys McKee 0 30 of 93 32% 40 of 105 0 of 7 0% 0 0 6:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 0 23 of 34 67% 29 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rhys McKee 0 16 of 43 37% 17 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:17
2 Chidi Njokuani 0 15 of 21 71% 37 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Rhys McKee 0 9 of 21 42% 11 of 25 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:37
3 Chidi Njokuani 0 26 of 43 60% 30 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Rhys McKee 0 5 of 29 17% 12 of 36 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 64 of 98 65% 17 of 40 18 of 25 29 of 33 46 of 75 18 of 23 0 of 0
Rhys McKee 30 of 93 32% 21 of 80 5 of 8 4 of 5 28 of 90 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 23 of 34 67% 1 of 7 5 of 7 17 of 20 19 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 0
Rhys McKee 16 of 43 37% 12 of 37 0 of 2 4 of 4 15 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Chidi Njokuani 15 of 21 71% 5 of 6 4 of 8 6 of 7 9 of 13 6 of 8 0 of 0
Rhys McKee 9 of 21 42% 5 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Chidi Njokuani 26 of 43 60% 11 of 27 9 of 10 6 of 6 18 of 33 8 of 10 0 of 0
Rhys McKee 5 of 29 17% 4 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 1 5 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo is confident Chidi Njokuani will win, citing his speed, power, and reach advantage. He dismisses Rhys McKee as one-dimensional ('tall'). He worries about Njokuani's three-fight losing streak and tendency to get caught after dominating, but believes he should win.

"chei should be the better Striker he should be faster he should hit harder he's longer and he can work in takedowns if he wants to"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady picks Chidi Njokuani to win by first-round knockout. He notes Njokuani is a dangerous striker with power, while McKee is very hitable with poor striking defense. Brady expects Njokuani to land heavy shots early and finish McKee, though he mentions McKee's toughness and ability to survive. He also suggests a live bet on McKee if he survives the first round.

live bet on McKee if he survives first round
"I kind of see cheaty knocking him out in the first round I think this is a great live bet spot if ree mck is able to somehow survive these first five minutes live bet him"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Cody is fading Njokuani due to his weight cut to 170, age, and cardio issues. He believes McKee's volume, durability, and pressure will overwhelm Njokuani, especially if the fight goes past the first round. He sees McKee as a live dog and even likes a round 3 TKO prop.

round 3 TKO +1400
"I think RZ mck is one of them round three for mcke it's plus 1400"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Daniel Vreeland picks Rhys McKee, citing his durability and grit. He notes Njokuani is on a losing streak, moving down to welterweight for the first time in years, and has cardio and mental questions. He thinks McKee can absorb Njokuani's early offense and take over as the fight goes on, possibly by submission or late finish.

"Give me Rees mcke here uh grit and Guillotines baby the Irish way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Njokuani drops to welterweight at 35, which is a concern, but he has a reach advantage and slick Muay Thai. McKee relies on volume but has been hurt by power punchers. Njokuani's straight shots and speed could break McKee's chin. However, the weight cut is a question mark; final decision after weigh-ins. Prediction: Njokuani by knockout.

Njokuani by knockout
"I'm going to go anwani I'm going to switch my prediction from by decision to knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Paul agrees with Cody's concerns about Njokuani's weight cut and lack of wrestling. He notes McKee's ability to absorb damage and keep up volume, making him a solid underdog play. He also likes the round 3 prop.

round 3 TKO
"mcke round three I've done stupider things with a Sprinkle B than that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host picks Chidi Njokuani, despite wanting to pick Rhys McKee. He thinks Njokuani is more explosive and powerful, and that McKee may have flashbacks to fighting larger opponents like Khamzat Chimaev. He predicts Njokuani will win by KO in the first round.

KO in the first round
"I'm going to go chido Jani I think he's more explosive more powerful more finishing ability"
TKO (punches) R1 4:16 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 29 of 57 50% 30 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Chidi Njokuani 0 44 of 72 61% 54 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 29 of 57 50% 30 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Chidi Njokuani 0 44 of 72 61% 54 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 29 of 57 50% 7 of 21 18 of 32 4 of 4 19 of 37 10 of 20 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 44 of 72 61% 31 of 59 12 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 36 4 of 5 23 of 31
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 29 of 57 50% 7 of 21 18 of 32 4 of 4 19 of 37 10 of 20 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 44 of 72 61% 31 of 59 12 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 36 4 of 5 23 of 31
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chidi Njokuani vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oleksiejczuk (-115), Njokuani (-105)

Round 1
The middleweight strikers go to work at the behest of referee Thomas Fan. Njokuani immediately grabs a thai clinch and punishes Oleksiejczuk with knees up the middle. Njokuani fires off a salvo of push kicks. Oleksiejczuk closes the distance and Njokuani grabs another clinch, then fires off more knees. Oleksiejczuk lands a body punch. Njokuani clinches, but gives up his back standing. Njokuani breaks the grip and escapes. Njokuani lands a kick, then an ill-advised takedown attempt which the Pole pancakes, taking top position. Oleksiejczuk returns to the feet and Njokuani catches him with an intercepting knee, then a head kick that rocks him badly. Njokuani gives chase, punishing Oleksiejczuk with short elbows and knees. Oleksiejczuk throws back a right hand that lands flush and Njokuani is on wobbly legs.
Oleksiejczuk pursues, grounds Njokuani and pours on a stream of punches as Njokuani covers up. Referee Fan looks on closely, and after Njokuani rolls onto his side, intervenes for the stoppage.
Wild end to a wild one-round fight.

The Official Result
Michal Oleksiejczuk def. Chidi Njokuani R1 4:16 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo likes Njokuani's speed, power, and distance control, but worries about his low volume and tendency to let others dictate pace. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has a solid chin but gets hit, and Njokuani could fall behind on scorecards. He picks Njokuani but with low to medium confidence and plans to stay away from betting or check props.

"Chidi will be the pick here because while McCall does have a solid chin he gets hit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady likes both fighters but is concerned about Oleksiejczuk's size disadvantage, as Njokuani has a six-inch reach advantage and will tower over him. He thinks the fight will stay standing and Njokuani's power and reach will be key. He acknowledges Oleksiejczuk's body work and chin but picks Njokuani to land a big shot early. He calls it his least confident pick.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna pick Chidi and jaquani here to to land a big shot early"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody picks Oleksiejczuk, noting his power and forward pressure. He thinks Njokuani is vulnerable and may fade. Cody expects a finish inside the distance, likely by knockout.

fight ends inside distance
"I just feel like maybe he's vulnerable and uh a guy like Michael Alexa check can go out there and capitalize"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing his insane pressure and body work. He notes that Chidi doesn't like pressure fighters and has a questionable gas tank. He mentions that Michał is hittable but comes forward relentlessly. He is not confident, calling it a slight lean, and thinks the fight ends inside the distance. He suggests betting both KO props for profit.

Fight ends inside the distance (minus 280), Chidi by KO +215, Michał by KO +190
"I like Nicole here I'm waiting The Lion King people keep betting chitty so I'm just gonna wait as this line goes down and I'm gonna try to hit Nicole hopefully at the bottom"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk after initially leaning the other way. He believes Chidi Njokuani can be a flake if things don't go his way, and his cardio drops when he's not dominating. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's pressure, volume, and boxing will break Njokuani late, and he also has round one knockout upside. He notes Oleksiejczuk has never been finished and is dropping to a better weight class.

bet on Michał Oleksiejczuk moneyline
"I've got a bet on Michelle here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host acknowledges Chidi Njokuani's Muay Thai and speed advantage, but believes he does not handle pressure well. He expects Michał Oleksiejczuk's forward pressure and body work to break Njokuani down, leading to a finish in the second or third round. The host notes that Oleksiejczuk has improved his grappling defense and that Njokuani is primarily a striker, so the Pole won't have to worry about takedowns.

"I feel like Olex will break into kawani and then find that finished in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Oleksiejczuk, citing his better durability and power. He notes Njokuani's takedown defense issues and expects a brawl. Paul is not highly confident but leans Oleksiejczuk.

fight ends inside distance
"The pick is mikeyo confidence isn't very high"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Njokuani's significant reach and height advantage (80-inch reach vs 74). He believes the fight will be mostly stand-up, where Njokuani's frame and presence will be imposing. He notes Oleksiejczuk's split decisions and less impressive wins, while Njokuani had close fights against Albert Duraev and Gregory Rodrigues. He predicts a TKO win for Njokuani.

TKO finish predicted
"I'm gonna have to go with Chinese here ... I like the frame of chidina jaquani here the imposure the presence in the cage"
LOSS vs Albert Duraev
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Albert Duraev 0 40 of 99 40% 44 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chidi Njokuani 0 45 of 123 36% 68 of 159 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Albert Duraev 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chidi Njokuani 0 12 of 26 46% 31 of 58 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:25
2 Albert Duraev 0 14 of 36 38% 14 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chidi Njokuani 0 16 of 46 34% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Albert Duraev 0 22 of 55 40% 23 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chidi Njokuani 0 17 of 51 33% 21 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Albert Duraev 40 of 99 40% 18 of 68 15 of 21 7 of 10 39 of 98 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 45 of 123 36% 21 of 90 2 of 6 22 of 27 34 of 101 0 of 0 11 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Albert Duraev 4 of 8 50% 0 of 1 3 of 5 1 of 2 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 12 of 26 46% 11 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 22
2 Albert Duraev 14 of 36 38% 9 of 25 1 of 5 4 of 6 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 16 of 46 34% 7 of 33 0 of 2 9 of 11 16 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Albert Duraev 22 of 55 40% 9 of 42 11 of 11 2 of 2 21 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 17 of 51 33% 3 of 32 2 of 4 12 of 15 17 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Njokuani, citing his striking power, speed, and solid takedown defense. He notes that Duraev is a takedown machine but not relentless, and that Njokuani can find the chin if Duraev gives him time. He mentions that Njokuani showed good takedown defense and adversity management in his last fight. He is interested in a takedown prop bet for Duraev but thinks Njokuani wins.

Takedown prop bet on Duraev (potential)
"I do like cheating to win this fight I think he can get his hands going."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady picks Chidi Njokuani by first-round knockout, citing his size advantage (height and reach) and power. He notes Duraev's chinny history (all four losses by KO) and questions his wrestling ability. Brady believes if Duraev doesn't get a takedown in the first round, he gets knocked out. He acknowledges Njokuani's past cardio and quit issues but thinks he finishes early.

Njokuani by KO/TKO in round 1
"give me Chidi Chidi first round knockout should be an absolute Banger"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Cody picks Njokuani, noting his improved grappling and BJJ black belt, which makes him a dual threat. He believes Duraev will struggle to get takedowns and will tire as the fight goes on, allowing Njokuani to take over in rounds 2 and 3. He mentions Njokuani's height advantage and durability. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds regardless of winner.

Over 1.5 rounds; live bet Njokuani if he loses first round
"The pick is cheating shaquani and I'm also going to have an uh an eye on the live um Market"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Connor picks Njokuani because Duraev's striking is a mess and he likes to strike, which plays into Njokuani's dangerous counter-striking. He notes Duraev's takedowns are often from too far out and he gets hit. He thinks Njokuani's athleticism and kill-shot mentality will prevail, though Duraev could grind out a win.

Mentions odds: Njokuani opened +145, currently -165; Duraev opened -170, currently +136. Notes line getting thinner.
"I think Chidi is just on a, he's a, he's an athletic Cheetier. Um, he's, he's on a higher athletic tier than Duryev. He's, his, his game is just designed to be more dangerous."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Jacob also picks Njokuani, noting his strong takedown defense and ability to work through adversity. He thinks Duraev may not be as relentless as needed and that Njokuani will stuff takedowns early and find a knockout. He mentions that Njokuani is a big guy who can overpower in scrambles.

"I think he's able to stuff the takedown's early and find the chin of Albert."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host is hesitant to take chalk on Njokuani but ultimately picks him by knockout. He notes Njokuani's improving takedown defense and superior striking, but acknowledges Duraev's grappling threat. He thinks the fight likely ends inside the distance, with Njokuani finding an opening in the striking realm. He also mentions 'fight doesn't go to decision' as a good prop.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to go with chidiyanja kawani to get his hand raised by knockout"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The Guru picks Njokuani, citing his power, takedown defense, and experience. He criticizes Duraev's chin and inability to implement his grappling. He predicts a first-round KO via knee after stuffing a takedown.

first round KO
"I'm gonna call a knee to the face from chidino jakwani I think he's gonna stuff a takedown from derive and knee him straight in the mush and finish him off in the first round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Zane picks Njokuani because Duraev is slow and gets hit easily. He notes Duraev's striking is awkward and he doesn't react quickly, while Njokuani is dangerous with reactive strikes. He thinks Njokuani will get chances to hurt Duraev and finish, though Duraev could get top control.

Mentions odds: Njokuani -165, Duraev +136. Notes line getting thinner.
"I just don't think he just can't react quickly enough. Yeah. Yeah. So that's the thing. I think Chidi is just on a, he's a, he's an athletic Cheetier."
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo likes Njokuani's speed, power, and distance control, but worries about his low volume and tendency to let others dictate pace. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has a solid chin but gets hit, and Njokuani could fall behind on scorecards. He picks Njokuani but with low to medium confidence and plans to stay away from betting or check props.

"Chidi will be the pick here because while McCall does have a solid chin he gets hit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady likes both fighters but is concerned about Oleksiejczuk's size disadvantage, as Njokuani has a six-inch reach advantage and will tower over him. He thinks the fight will stay standing and Njokuani's power and reach will be key. He acknowledges Oleksiejczuk's body work and chin but picks Njokuani to land a big shot early. He calls it his least confident pick.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna pick Chidi and jaquani here to to land a big shot early"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody picks Oleksiejczuk, noting his power and forward pressure. He thinks Njokuani is vulnerable and may fade. Cody expects a finish inside the distance, likely by knockout.

fight ends inside distance
"I just feel like maybe he's vulnerable and uh a guy like Michael Alexa check can go out there and capitalize"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing his insane pressure and body work. He notes that Chidi doesn't like pressure fighters and has a questionable gas tank. He mentions that Michał is hittable but comes forward relentlessly. He is not confident, calling it a slight lean, and thinks the fight ends inside the distance. He suggests betting both KO props for profit.

Fight ends inside the distance (minus 280), Chidi by KO +215, Michał by KO +190
"I like Nicole here I'm waiting The Lion King people keep betting chitty so I'm just gonna wait as this line goes down and I'm gonna try to hit Nicole hopefully at the bottom"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk after initially leaning the other way. He believes Chidi Njokuani can be a flake if things don't go his way, and his cardio drops when he's not dominating. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's pressure, volume, and boxing will break Njokuani late, and he also has round one knockout upside. He notes Oleksiejczuk has never been finished and is dropping to a better weight class.

bet on Michał Oleksiejczuk moneyline
"I've got a bet on Michelle here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host acknowledges Chidi Njokuani's Muay Thai and speed advantage, but believes he does not handle pressure well. He expects Michał Oleksiejczuk's forward pressure and body work to break Njokuani down, leading to a finish in the second or third round. The host notes that Oleksiejczuk has improved his grappling defense and that Njokuani is primarily a striker, so the Pole won't have to worry about takedowns.

"I feel like Olex will break into kawani and then find that finished in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Oleksiejczuk, citing his better durability and power. He notes Njokuani's takedown defense issues and expects a brawl. Paul is not highly confident but leans Oleksiejczuk.

fight ends inside distance
"The pick is mikeyo confidence isn't very high"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Njokuani's significant reach and height advantage (80-inch reach vs 74). He believes the fight will be mostly stand-up, where Njokuani's frame and presence will be imposing. He notes Oleksiejczuk's split decisions and less impressive wins, while Njokuani had close fights against Albert Duraev and Gregory Rodrigues. He predicts a TKO win for Njokuani.

TKO finish predicted
"I'm gonna have to go with Chinese here ... I like the frame of chidina jaquani here the imposure the presence in the cage"