Career Averages - Lucas Alexander
Career Averages - Steven Peterson
Lucas Alexander
Steven Peterson
Lucas Alexander - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Grad | 0 | 46 of 66 | 69% | 59 of 86 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 4:18 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 47 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogdan Grad | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 13 of 20 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 28 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:13 | |
| 2 | Bogdan Grad | 0 | 41 of 57 | 71% | 46 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Grad | 46 of 66 | 69% | 42 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 34 of 44 |
| Lucas Alexander | 34 of 52 | 65% | 19 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 8 | 29 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogdan Grad | 5 of 9 | 55% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucas Alexander | 15 of 23 | 65% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Bogdan Grad | 41 of 57 | 71% | 37 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 34 of 44 |
| Lucas Alexander | 19 of 29 | 65% | 9 of 19 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bogdan Grad because of his well-rounded skills, methodical approach, and high finishing rate (11 stoppages in 14 wins). He notes that Lucas Alexander is dangerous but coming off a KO loss to a low-level opponent. He believes Grad's control and pace will be mistaken for inability to finish, but Grad finds finishes without being reckless.
Big Brady likes Lucas Alexander's striking and thinks he trains with good guys. He notes Alexander has been submitted three times and has questionable takedown defense, but believes Alexander will piece up Bogdan Grad across three rounds. Grad is tough and has heart but is a walking punching bag. Brady would have liked Alexander more at +170 but thinks pick 'em is about accurate.
Alexander's Muay Thai striking and ability to fight from both stances will allow him to pick apart Grad's erratic style. Grad's explosivity and grappling may cause early trouble, but Alexander's technical striking and work off the back foot should secure a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Bogdan Grad, believing he is good enough on the feet to hang with Lucas Alexander and will have a takedown threat advantage. He notes Alexander is coming off a first-round TKO loss and has been out for over a year. He thinks Grad can get the job done early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeka Saragih | 1 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeka Saragih | 1 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeka Saragih | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lucas Alexander | 11 of 16 | 68% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeka Saragih | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lucas Alexander | 11 of 16 | 68% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lucas Alexander, citing his superior technique, BJJ, and high-level experience. He notes that both fighters have one-punch power but believes Lucas is better everywhere. He mentions the odds at 3-to-1 seem a little wide because Jeka could end it at any moment, but still expects Lucas to win.
Big Brady notes that Saragih looked terrible against Anshul Jubilee and that Alexander has heavy kicks, including breaking someone's arm. He thinks Alexander is the much better striker and will break Saragih down with leg kicks, leading to an attritional TKO. He predicts a third-round knockout, noting Saragih is dangerous early but Alexander has never been knocked out.
Cody picks Lucas Alexander confidently, citing his performance against Steve Peterson and Saragih's poor showing against Anheliger. He notes Saragih's one-dimensional striking and poor wrestling. Alexander is stronger, more dynamic, and can win by striking or grappling.
Alexander is a technical striker with good anticipation and counter striking. He uses calf kicks and accurate punches to pick apart opponents. Saragih is reckless and lacks technical acumen, though he has durability. Alexander will chip away from distance and land big shots, likely winning by decision. Saragih's recklessness could lead to a knockout, but Alexander's power may not finish him.
Paul picks Alexander, noting Saragih's flat-footed style and poor takedown defense. He believes Alexander's power and grappling will be too much. Paul thinks Saragih's only chance is a puncher's chance, but Alexander is the better fighter.
The MMA Guru picks Lucas Alexander over Jeka Saragih, despite admitting he doubted Alexander early in his career. He criticizes Saragih as a 'diversity hire' who lost in the Road to UFC tournament final but got into the UFC anyway. He notes Alexander's reach and height advantage and expects him to score a decision win by keeping the fight rangy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 26 of 101 | 25% | 27 of 102 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Steven Peterson | 1 | 85 of 158 | 53% | 86 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 34 | 32% | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 24 of 41 | 58% | 24 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 27 of 54 | 50% | 27 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 7 of 36 | 19% | 8 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Steven Peterson | 1 | 34 of 63 | 53% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Alexander | 26 of 101 | 25% | 8 of 67 | 9 of 18 | 9 of 16 | 25 of 99 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 85 of 158 | 53% | 43 of 108 | 20 of 27 | 22 of 23 | 78 of 142 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Alexander | 11 of 34 | 32% | 2 of 18 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 10 | 10 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 24 of 41 | 58% | 12 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lucas Alexander | 8 of 31 | 25% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 27 of 54 | 50% | 10 of 35 | 6 of 8 | 11 of 11 | 27 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lucas Alexander | 7 of 36 | 19% | 2 of 26 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 34 of 63 | 53% | 21 of 47 | 9 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 |
Angelo picks Peterson, citing his toughness and relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson is never the more skilled fighter but makes up for it with grit. He thinks Peterson will frustrate Alexander, who may not handle the constant forward pressure. However, he says he cannot trust Peterson with his money because he puts himself in danger and could get caught.
Big Brady picks Steven Peterson by submission, calling it a sneaky way to attack the fight. He notes Peterson's ability to get takedowns and his submission skills (42% of wins by sub), though he hasn't submitted anyone in the UFC. Brady thinks Peterson has more ways to win, especially if he gets the fight to the mat, and predicts a third-round submission. He acknowledges Alexander's striking advantage on the feet but favors Peterson's toughness and experience.
Cody leans towards Alexander as a dog, citing his kickboxing advantage and physicality. He notes Peterson is a forward-pressure fighter but not high-level, and that Alexander could have more time to work in his comfort zone. He expects a close, possibly split decision, and sees value in the plus money.
Connor also picks Steven Peterson, agreeing with Zane that Alexander is too inexperienced to handle Peterson's relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson's technical flaws don't matter if he just keeps coming, and that Alexander has shown he can be cornered and flustered. Connor says he would not be shocked if Alexander wins by landing a big shot, but he sees Peterson as the more reliable pick given Alexander's rawness.
Jacob picks Peterson but is not confident, noting that Peterson's toughness is his main attribute. He thinks Peterson should out-tough Alexander but that Alexander is dangerous and could land a big shot. He says there are better places to put money on this card.
The host is surprised to see Alexander as an underdog, believing his speed, slick striking, and calf kicking game will be too much for Peterson. He notes Alexander's performance against Jacob Kilburn showed he can pick apart a similar gritty opponent. He expects Alexander to win by decision, as Peterson is tough to put away.
The Guru picks Peterson, calling it a lock. He criticizes Alexander's lack of finishing ability and poor performance against Britto. He highlights Peterson's durability (only finished once in 2013) and expects a dominant decision win.
Zane picks Steven Peterson because he sees Lucas Alexander as a raw, undercooked fighter who lacks fight management and is easily overwhelmed by relentless pressure. Peterson is insanely durable and aggressive, and Zane believes his veteran pace and toughness will be too much for Alexander, who has shown he can be backed up and flustered. Zane notes that if Alexander wins, it would prove something he hasn't seen yet, whereas a Peterson win would just be expected.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucas Alexander | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucas Alexander | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-350), Alexander (+255)
Round 1
The action ticks up one notch as we move to the featherweight division. After a veritable revolving door of opponents, heavy-handed Brazilian finisher Brito (13-3-1, 1-1 UFC) now squares off against fellow countryman Alexander (7-2, 0-0 UFC) in the latter’s UFC debut. While both are the same age, Brito holds greater high-level experience, having fought up through the LFA to DWCS and then the UFC. Meanwhile, his opponent comes in on a five-fight win streak, with most of those victories coming in Florida-based leagues. The third man in the Octagon is referee Chris Tognoni, and there is a touch of gloves to get things started. Brito immediately starts racing forward, and he wings a low kick that comes up short. Alexander responds with one that lands, but he already finds himself backed up to the cage and ducking a haymaker. Brito bears down on him and loads up on right hands, and he ducks a head kick by a matter of millimeters and allows Alexander to fall to the mat. Brito lifts his man up and slams him down, and then does this a second time when Alexander gets to his knees. Brito knees the thigh a few times before scooping “The Lion” up and dropping him down once more. When Alexander moves back to his feet, Brito jumps on his back to serve as a malicious backpack, while setting up some form of a rear-naked choke.
Brito tightens his legs around the waist and switches his arms to sink his right forearm under the chin. The choke is instantly tight and Brito has plenty of energy to crush it like a vice, and he drags the newcomer from behind down to the ground to make the submission purely academic. Barely one second after they hit the mat, and Alexander taps out frantically from the maneuver, as he would likely go out if the grip remained tight for too much longer.
Tubular work for "Tubarao" Brito, who now posts an even number of knockouts and submissions on his ledger while lifting his finish rate above 85%.
The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Lucas Alexander R1 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Cody picks Brito confidently, noting he is a powerhouse and coming off a career-best win. He points out that Alexander has missed weight multiple times and is taking the fight on short notice, which could affect his performance. He expects Brito to press forward and score takedowns.
Paul also picks Brito, noting he is a solid prospect and Alexander is a late replacement with questionable credentials. He thinks Brito's aggression and takedowns will be too much, and Alexander may struggle to make weight.
The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito by first-round KO, citing his full camp and the short-notice replacement Lucas Alexander. He believes Alexander will be overly aggressive early, which will be his downfall against Brito. He notes that Brito's win over Andre Fili has aged well, and he trusts Brito's power and timing.
Steven Peterson - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 26 of 101 | 25% | 27 of 102 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Steven Peterson | 1 | 85 of 158 | 53% | 86 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 34 | 32% | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 24 of 41 | 58% | 24 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 27 of 54 | 50% | 27 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 7 of 36 | 19% | 8 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Steven Peterson | 1 | 34 of 63 | 53% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Alexander | 26 of 101 | 25% | 8 of 67 | 9 of 18 | 9 of 16 | 25 of 99 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 85 of 158 | 53% | 43 of 108 | 20 of 27 | 22 of 23 | 78 of 142 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Alexander | 11 of 34 | 32% | 2 of 18 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 10 | 10 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 24 of 41 | 58% | 12 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lucas Alexander | 8 of 31 | 25% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 27 of 54 | 50% | 10 of 35 | 6 of 8 | 11 of 11 | 27 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lucas Alexander | 7 of 36 | 19% | 2 of 26 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 34 of 63 | 53% | 21 of 47 | 9 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 |
Angelo picks Peterson, citing his toughness and relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson is never the more skilled fighter but makes up for it with grit. He thinks Peterson will frustrate Alexander, who may not handle the constant forward pressure. However, he says he cannot trust Peterson with his money because he puts himself in danger and could get caught.
Big Brady picks Steven Peterson by submission, calling it a sneaky way to attack the fight. He notes Peterson's ability to get takedowns and his submission skills (42% of wins by sub), though he hasn't submitted anyone in the UFC. Brady thinks Peterson has more ways to win, especially if he gets the fight to the mat, and predicts a third-round submission. He acknowledges Alexander's striking advantage on the feet but favors Peterson's toughness and experience.
Cody leans towards Alexander as a dog, citing his kickboxing advantage and physicality. He notes Peterson is a forward-pressure fighter but not high-level, and that Alexander could have more time to work in his comfort zone. He expects a close, possibly split decision, and sees value in the plus money.
Connor also picks Steven Peterson, agreeing with Zane that Alexander is too inexperienced to handle Peterson's relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson's technical flaws don't matter if he just keeps coming, and that Alexander has shown he can be cornered and flustered. Connor says he would not be shocked if Alexander wins by landing a big shot, but he sees Peterson as the more reliable pick given Alexander's rawness.
Jacob picks Peterson but is not confident, noting that Peterson's toughness is his main attribute. He thinks Peterson should out-tough Alexander but that Alexander is dangerous and could land a big shot. He says there are better places to put money on this card.
The host is surprised to see Alexander as an underdog, believing his speed, slick striking, and calf kicking game will be too much for Peterson. He notes Alexander's performance against Jacob Kilburn showed he can pick apart a similar gritty opponent. He expects Alexander to win by decision, as Peterson is tough to put away.
The Guru picks Peterson, calling it a lock. He criticizes Alexander's lack of finishing ability and poor performance against Britto. He highlights Peterson's durability (only finished once in 2013) and expects a dominant decision win.
Zane picks Steven Peterson because he sees Lucas Alexander as a raw, undercooked fighter who lacks fight management and is easily overwhelmed by relentless pressure. Peterson is insanely durable and aggressive, and Zane believes his veteran pace and toughness will be too much for Alexander, who has shown he can be backed up and flustered. Zane notes that if Alexander wins, it would prove something he hasn't seen yet, whereas a Peterson win would just be expected.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 155 of 291 | 53% | 163 of 300 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 148 of 247 | 59% | 174 of 276 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 45 of 96 | 46% | 49 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 39 of 71 | 54% | 41 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 48 of 103 | 46% | 50 of 105 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 59 of 96 | 61% | 63 of 100 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 62 of 92 | 67% | 64 of 95 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 50 of 80 | 62% | 70 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 155 of 291 | 53% | 120 of 242 | 30 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 141 of 270 | 9 of 16 | 5 of 5 |
| Steven Peterson | 148 of 247 | 59% | 113 of 204 | 15 of 17 | 20 of 26 | 133 of 227 | 15 of 19 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 45 of 96 | 46% | 35 of 84 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 43 of 94 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 39 of 71 | 54% | 22 of 48 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 19 | 37 of 69 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julian Erosa | 48 of 103 | 46% | 40 of 87 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 42 of 92 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 59 of 96 | 61% | 48 of 83 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 49 of 83 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Julian Erosa | 62 of 92 | 67% | 45 of 71 | 16 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 56 of 84 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 5 |
| Steven Peterson | 50 of 80 | 62% | 43 of 73 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 47 of 75 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Julian Erosa for his violent striking and volume. He notes Erosa is hittable but has a solid chin, and his range striking should outwork Peterson. Peterson is tough and willing to take risks, but Erosa's pressure and volume are key. Angelo expects a fun brawl with Erosa getting the win.
Cody is high on Erosa, noting his deep gas tank, volume striking, and improved wrestling. He points out that Erosa has been an underdog in his recent wins and has shown he can take a punch and come back. He thinks Peterson's only path is a knockout, but Peterson doesn't have that power. He is confident Erosa wins but understands the price is steep.
Daniel Levi picks Julian Erosa but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Erosa has been dropped in every fight but often comes back to win. Peterson is a tough veteran who can knock people out, but he gets hit a lot. Levi thinks Erosa's volume and reach advantage will lead to target practice, but he's worried about Peterson's power. He says the pick is Erosa but advises against betting the -310 line.
Lock of the Night picks Erosa, citing his stylistic advantage with range and kicks. He notes Peterson's durability but believes Erosa can stick and move for a decision. He references the Caceres fight as a blueprint. He likes Erosa by decision at +150.
Paul thinks Erosa is way better than Peterson. He notes Erosa's length, volume, and improved grappling. He acknowledges Erosa has chin issues but believes Peterson doesn't have the power to exploit that. He is confident Erosa wins but says the minus 300 price is too high to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Julian Erosa, noting his wins have aged well and he is 'really about that life'. He expects Erosa to land body shots and knees, leading to a bad takedown from Peterson and a d'arce choke submission in the third round. He references Erosa's previous third-round choke win over Charles Jourdain.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 98 of 132 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 2 | 1 | 2:55 |
| Chase Hooper | 0 | 49 of 68 | 72% | 102 of 124 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 7:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Peterson | 0 | 13 of 24 | 54% | 17 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 1:15 |
| Chase Hooper | 0 | 24 of 32 | 75% | 34 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 | |
| 2 | Steven Peterson | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 35 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Chase Hooper | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 36 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:30 | |
| 3 | Steven Peterson | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 46 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Chase Hooper | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 32 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Peterson | 31 of 61 | 50% | 21 of 51 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Chase Hooper | 49 of 68 | 72% | 38 of 56 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 25 of 26 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Peterson | 13 of 24 | 54% | 9 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Chase Hooper | 24 of 32 | 75% | 19 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 17 | |
| 2 | Steven Peterson | 11 of 18 | 61% | 8 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Hooper | 14 of 21 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 9 | |
| 3 | Steven Peterson | 7 of 19 | 36% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Hooper | 11 of 15 | 73% | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Steven Peterson, emphasizing Peterson's 75% takedown defense and strong get-up game, which should neutralize Hooper's grappling. He notes Hooper's poor takedown accuracy (7%) and striking defense, and believes Peterson will out-strike Hooper on the feet. He expects a decision win.
Cody picks Peterson, citing his experience, takedown defense, and wild striking that will be effective against Hooper. He thinks Hooper is too green and one-dimensional, and that Peterson will win by decision or TKO. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper, despite acknowledging Hooper's poor striking and being a punching bag. He notes that Hooper has a path to victory by using his length and kicks to keep Peterson at range, and that Hooper has been training with Wonderboy Thompson. Levi is underwhelmed by Peterson's tape and thinks Hooper's toughness and submission ability could be factors. He admits Peterson has more experience but trusts Hooper's improvements.
Peterson is a veteran with superior striking and serviceable takedown defense. Hooper is still green and relies on jiu-jitsu, but Peterson has never been submitted in his career. Peterson should keep the fight standing and outpoint Hooper, likely winning a decision. Hooper's durability means a finish is unlikely.
Paul picks Peterson but is not betting it. He thinks Hooper's striking is a massive work in progress and Peterson's durability and experience will be key. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a safer play.
The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper, believing Peterson is the best possible matchup for him due to Peterson's lack of KO power and recent inactivity. He compares Hooper's style to Luis Pena, who beat Peterson, and notes Hooper's improvements and youth. He predicts a submission win in the second round, citing Peterson's vulnerability to submissions as seen in the Pena fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 86 of 199 | 43% | 93 of 206 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Martin Bravo | 1 | 49 of 105 | 46% | 53 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Peterson | 0 | 69 of 159 | 43% | 74 of 164 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Martin Bravo | 0 | 35 of 75 | 46% | 39 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Steven Peterson | 0 | 17 of 40 | 42% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Martin Bravo | 1 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 14 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Peterson | 86 of 199 | 43% | 60 of 157 | 20 of 33 | 6 of 9 | 85 of 198 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Martin Bravo | 49 of 105 | 46% | 33 of 84 | 12 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 46 of 98 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Peterson | 69 of 159 | 43% | 48 of 123 | 15 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 69 of 159 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Martin Bravo | 35 of 75 | 46% | 20 of 56 | 11 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | |
| 2 | Steven Peterson | 17 of 40 | 42% | 12 of 34 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Martin Bravo | 14 of 30 | 46% | 13 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caceres | 0 | 94 of 197 | 47% | 95 of 198 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 67 of 218 | 30% | 87 of 241 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Caceres | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 20 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 19 of 54 | 35% | 25 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 | |
| 2 | Alex Caceres | 0 | 43 of 74 | 58% | 43 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 24 of 87 | 27% | 25 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alex Caceres | 0 | 31 of 82 | 37% | 32 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 24 of 77 | 31% | 37 of 92 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caceres | 94 of 197 | 47% | 63 of 154 | 27 of 39 | 4 of 4 | 91 of 194 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 67 of 218 | 30% | 41 of 171 | 13 of 32 | 13 of 15 | 65 of 214 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Caceres | 20 of 41 | 48% | 14 of 31 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 19 of 54 | 35% | 9 of 38 | 3 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 19 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alex Caceres | 43 of 74 | 58% | 30 of 60 | 11 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 40 of 71 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 24 of 87 | 27% | 16 of 70 | 4 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alex Caceres | 31 of 82 | 37% | 19 of 63 | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 82 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 24 of 77 | 31% | 16 of 63 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 22 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Peña | 0 | 52 of 112 | 46% | 66 of 127 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 4:47 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 34 of 85 | 40% | 57 of 109 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 5:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Peña | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 21 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:14 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 21 of 40 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 2 | Luis Peña | 0 | 23 of 57 | 40% | 26 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 14 of 41 | 34% | 20 of 47 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | |
| 3 | Luis Peña | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 19 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:11 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 16 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Peña | 52 of 112 | 46% | 43 of 102 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 83 | 12 of 24 | 4 of 5 |
| Steven Peterson | 34 of 85 | 40% | 15 of 63 | 9 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 27 of 75 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Peña | 16 of 29 | 55% | 13 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 16 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 |
| Steven Peterson | 13 of 31 | 41% | 2 of 18 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luis Peña | 23 of 57 | 40% | 19 of 52 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 46 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 14 of 41 | 34% | 8 of 34 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luis Peña | 13 of 26 | 50% | 11 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
| Steven Peterson | 7 of 13 | 53% | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 57 of 141 | 40% | 88 of 177 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:33 |
| Matt Bessette | 0 | 74 of 175 | 42% | 115 of 220 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 7:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Peterson | 0 | 25 of 60 | 41% | 38 of 73 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Matt Bessette | 0 | 22 of 60 | 36% | 32 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:21 | |
| 2 | Steven Peterson | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 33 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Matt Bessette | 0 | 38 of 89 | 42% | 42 of 93 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 | |
| 3 | Steven Peterson | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 17 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:21 |
| Matt Bessette | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 41 of 57 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 3:58 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Peterson | 57 of 141 | 40% | 42 of 121 | 12 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 45 of 125 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 2 |
| Matt Bessette | 74 of 175 | 42% | 44 of 141 | 19 of 23 | 11 of 11 | 46 of 136 | 16 of 25 | 12 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Peterson | 25 of 60 | 41% | 17 of 50 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 51 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
| Matt Bessette | 22 of 60 | 36% | 9 of 46 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 48 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Steven Peterson | 28 of 69 | 40% | 22 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 24 of 64 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Matt Bessette | 38 of 89 | 42% | 28 of 77 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 74 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 8 | |
| 3 | Steven Peterson | 4 of 12 | 33% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Matt Bessette | 14 of 26 | 53% | 7 of 18 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 5 of 6 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 73 of 286 | 25% | 82 of 296 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 114 of 285 | 40% | 119 of 291 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Davis | 0 | 26 of 109 | 23% | 26 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 39 of 106 | 36% | 39 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brandon Davis | 0 | 20 of 72 | 27% | 29 of 82 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 28 of 70 | 40% | 33 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 | |
| 3 | Brandon Davis | 0 | 27 of 105 | 25% | 27 of 105 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 47 of 109 | 43% | 47 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Davis | 73 of 286 | 25% | 55 of 257 | 12 of 18 | 6 of 11 | 65 of 271 | 6 of 12 | 2 of 3 |
| Steven Peterson | 114 of 285 | 40% | 83 of 243 | 12 of 19 | 19 of 23 | 108 of 278 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Davis | 26 of 109 | 23% | 17 of 97 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 7 | 26 of 109 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 39 of 106 | 36% | 19 of 80 | 6 of 10 | 14 of 16 | 39 of 106 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brandon Davis | 20 of 72 | 27% | 12 of 60 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 58 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 3 |
| Steven Peterson | 28 of 70 | 40% | 24 of 64 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 23 of 64 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Brandon Davis | 27 of 105 | 25% | 26 of 100 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 27 of 104 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 47 of 109 | 43% | 40 of 99 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 46 of 108 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Peterson, citing his toughness and relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson is never the more skilled fighter but makes up for it with grit. He thinks Peterson will frustrate Alexander, who may not handle the constant forward pressure. However, he says he cannot trust Peterson with his money because he puts himself in danger and could get caught.
Big Brady picks Steven Peterson by submission, calling it a sneaky way to attack the fight. He notes Peterson's ability to get takedowns and his submission skills (42% of wins by sub), though he hasn't submitted anyone in the UFC. Brady thinks Peterson has more ways to win, especially if he gets the fight to the mat, and predicts a third-round submission. He acknowledges Alexander's striking advantage on the feet but favors Peterson's toughness and experience.
Cody leans towards Alexander as a dog, citing his kickboxing advantage and physicality. He notes Peterson is a forward-pressure fighter but not high-level, and that Alexander could have more time to work in his comfort zone. He expects a close, possibly split decision, and sees value in the plus money.
Connor also picks Steven Peterson, agreeing with Zane that Alexander is too inexperienced to handle Peterson's relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson's technical flaws don't matter if he just keeps coming, and that Alexander has shown he can be cornered and flustered. Connor says he would not be shocked if Alexander wins by landing a big shot, but he sees Peterson as the more reliable pick given Alexander's rawness.
Jacob picks Peterson but is not confident, noting that Peterson's toughness is his main attribute. He thinks Peterson should out-tough Alexander but that Alexander is dangerous and could land a big shot. He says there are better places to put money on this card.
The host is surprised to see Alexander as an underdog, believing his speed, slick striking, and calf kicking game will be too much for Peterson. He notes Alexander's performance against Jacob Kilburn showed he can pick apart a similar gritty opponent. He expects Alexander to win by decision, as Peterson is tough to put away.
The Guru picks Peterson, calling it a lock. He criticizes Alexander's lack of finishing ability and poor performance against Britto. He highlights Peterson's durability (only finished once in 2013) and expects a dominant decision win.
Zane picks Steven Peterson because he sees Lucas Alexander as a raw, undercooked fighter who lacks fight management and is easily overwhelmed by relentless pressure. Peterson is insanely durable and aggressive, and Zane believes his veteran pace and toughness will be too much for Alexander, who has shown he can be backed up and flustered. Zane notes that if Alexander wins, it would prove something he hasn't seen yet, whereas a Peterson win would just be expected.
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