UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen Next Fight
Age 33
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 11"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Trevin Giles
3.17 SLpM
54.0% Str. Acc.
2.39 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
1.07 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Preston Parsons
3.54 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
3.25 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
3.46 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
2.3 Sub. Avg
Trevin Giles
Moneyline
Caesars +110
KO/TKO
BetWay +275
Submission
FanDuel +750
Decision
BetRivers +510
Preston Parsons
Moneyline
BetWay -110
KO/TKO
FanDuel +950
Submission
BetRivers +280
Decision
FanDuel +380
Trevin Giles - Fight History
CANCEL vs Andreas Gustafsson
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, impressed by his relentless pressure and cardio, describing him as a fighter who fights like a man possessed. He criticizes Trevin Giles for not fighting to his strengths, lacking urgency, and having poor durability (gets knocked out often). He expects Gustafsson to land a big elbow in the clinch and finish Giles in the second round.

second round knockout
"I like Gustoson. Very curious to see where this line goes cuz like I said, I I just expect August Gustoson to be a lot bigger of a favorite with how low people are and and quite frankly should be …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

Matt picks Andreas Gustafsson to win by knockout. He notes that Giles is on a three-fight losing streak and seems to have lost durability, allowing opponents to dictate pace. Gustafsson is a strong clinch fighter who wears opponents down. Matt expects Gustafsson to control Giles in the clinch and finish him in the second or third round.

Gustafsson by KO +185, Giles by decision +410, Giles by KO +480
"I have to go with Gustoson. I'm going to go Gustiffson knockout plus 185."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

The MMA Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson by TKO, citing Trevin Giles' lack of durability and full-time commitment (police officer). He notes Giles often takes short-notice fights and has been finished many times. He believes Gustafsson, a full-time fighter, will put Giles away.

TKO finish
"I'm going to have to go against Trevan Giles here and take the full-time fighter of Andreas Gustoson... Andreas Gustoson has put him away with a TKO finish."
LOSS vs Mike Malott
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 59 of 130 45% 59 of 130 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 34 of 78 43% 34 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 12 of 37 32% 12 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Malott 0 28 of 54 51% 28 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 17 of 32 53% 17 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mike Malott 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 8 of 30 26% 8 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 59 of 130 45% 22 of 82 19 of 28 18 of 20 59 of 129 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 34 of 78 43% 23 of 64 3 of 5 8 of 9 34 of 77 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 12 of 37 32% 2 of 24 4 of 7 6 of 6 12 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 9 of 16 56% 4 of 10 0 of 1 5 of 5 9 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 28 of 54 51% 13 of 34 8 of 11 7 of 9 28 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 17 of 32 53% 13 of 28 2 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mike Malott 19 of 39 48% 7 of 24 7 of 10 5 of 5 19 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 8 of 30 26% 6 of 26 1 of 2 1 of 2 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Trevin Giles vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-250), Giles (+205)

Round 1
As it tends to do lately, the UFC has plugged in a fight promising violence in the opener of its main card. Malott (10-2-1, 3-1 UFC) will have the crowd behind him when he battles Houston native Giles (16-6, 7-6 UFC). The former has seen all 10 of his wins end inside the distance, while all of Giles’ pro defeats have come via stoppage. Anything can and often does happen in MMA, so even with Malott one of the largest betting favorites tonight, all that matters is the activity when the cage door closes. When it does, referee Andy Social is installed as the Octagon commander, and he starts the clock while the competitors do not touch gloves. Malott tries to strike first, but his front kick misses the mark. Once more, the Canadians in the building show their lack of support for Justin Trudeau, and the fighters ignore the chants. They measure one another from afar, pitching single strikes at one another and bouncing them off one another’s guard. The enthusiasm of the crowd shifts to “Let’s go Mike,” who promptly kicks Giles upside the head. Giles keeps his jab out to not let Malott get to him, and he chops at the low calf a few times. Malott winds a right hand over the top, and Giles checks a low kick. Giles slams his foot on the front leg of his opponent, and every impact sounds more bone-on-bone than slapping off skin. Malott digs deep with a hard low kick, and the jabs from Giles have reddened up the Canadian’s nose. Malott sprints forward, and when countered, blood trickles out of a cut on the bridge of his nose. Giles targets the new cut with jabs, and Malott chambers and fires three kicks that are all guarded. Giles paws out with a low kick and rifles off a right hand that brushes past his foe’s hair. Giles keeps his guard up to defend head kicks that fly fairly frequently, and Malott mixes things up with a hard calf kick. Giles parries a front kick and absorbs another heavy low kick, and he tries to push out a jab and is countered with a combination of punches. Giles snaps out a mean jab, and he tosses away a high kick and blocks a spinning back kick. The Texan turns his shin towards a calf kick, and he ducks a few looping punches and breathes a sigh of relief. Giles comes up hitting air with an overhand right, and he blocks a head kick right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Giles

Round 2
Malott wants to get right down to business to start the second round, and Giles meets him in the middle with powerful punches. Giles defends a head kick and takes a right hand and a low kick, and he looks for a clubbing right hand over the top that glances off the shoulder. Giles kicks the front leg, and Malott responds with a front kick. When seeing it land, Malott targets the same spot on the abdomen with the ball of his foot, drawing a reaction out of an energized Giles. The Texan connects with a jab and two follow-up punches, and Malott keeps him honest by slinging head kicks at him. Giles wings two huge punches, and a third whooshes past the Canuck. Malott jabs the body with a front kick from either let, and he looses a heavy body kick that Giles catches and sets down. Giles slides back from a high kick, and he lunges in and gets countered with a short right hand. Giles plods ever forward, staying light on his feet to protect himself from kicks, and still keeps a solid base to shut down a takedown effort. Malott kicks the front leg twice, and he chambers and fires a third from the other side. Giles prods out a heavy jab, and he follows one with a wide overhand right. Malott uses front kick after front kick to keep Giles from reaching him with his big punches, but this results in them taking turns. Malott splits the guard with a big right hand, and Giles blinks it out and crouches down to try to defend a low kick. Malott has a head kick zoom past his foe, and Giles looks for a right hand over the top but absorbs a clean spinning back kick to the ribcage. “The Problem” gives Malott a problem to think about in the form of a huge right hand, and Malott welcomes it and slings back. Malott kicks his foe in the ribs, and he tries to spin with it and then turn through with a head kick, but Giles watches them all whiz by his face without concern. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
A Giles jab starts the round, but Malott is quick to hop on his bike and peck away with kicks to all targets. A front kick narrowly misses the jaw, and Giles tries to make him pay with a booming right hand. Malott rolls with it and sticks out a jab, and he bounces up and down and is slapped in the face with a surprise question-mark kick. Malott sinks two leg kicks low, and Giles has to pull his leg back and thinks about changing stances. Malott kicks him in the head, with the impact of the blow knocking him back a step despite it colliding with his glove. Malott drives a leg kick to the calf, and Giles pushes forward swinging hammers but has his hands batted away. Malott uses a jab to open up a front kick from either foot, and he overswings and is lucky to not get caught with a looping strike. Malott brings his shin up quickly, but it is his short left hand when Giles bares down on him that lands more effectively. Giles whiffs, dodges a spin kick and takes a kick on the ribs. Malott’s front kick keeps him at a safe range, and he checks a kick while switching stances. Giles hits nothing but air with huge right hands, and Malott picks his shots carefully and does not expose himself for much. A body kick from the Canadian is caught, and Giles whips a right hand at him but it just grazes off the cheek. Malott drops his hands and looses a head kick that ricochets off the raised guard of his opponent, and he is met with a jab to the body on the way out. Malott freezes up his opponent with his feints and fakes, and he shuts down a body lock attempt and thumps Giles with a calf kick. A head kick goes wide from “Proper Mike,” who properly ends the middling fight with a sharp jab.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Giles)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Trevin Giles via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott despite his recent quit against Neil Magny, calling it a 'quitters discount.' He thinks Malott is better everywhere except the jab, and should be faster, stronger, and a better wrestler. He acknowledges the PTSD from the quit but says Malott should win and is more affordable than he should be. He hesitates to bet due to the quit but thinks it's probably worth betting.

quitters discount
"Mike mot's going to be the pick I do have some Vietnam meme style flashbacks of him just quitting with a couple of seconds left so it's hard for me to pull the trigger in a bet but I should …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Malott's questionable chin and cardio but notes that Trevin Giles has a history of finding ways to lose, often by finish (six finish losses). Brady expects Giles to get submitted again, possibly via club and sub. He thinks Malott's power and submission threat will be too much for Giles.

submission in round 2
"give me a Mike mot I'll say submit trevan Giles in the second round maybe even a club and Subs yeah Mike mot second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Mike Malott, citing his athleticism, technical striking, and grappling advantage. He notes that Malott took Giles down easily in a previous grappling match and believes he can do so again. He acknowledges Malott's cardio issues in the Neil Magny fight but trusts that Malott has made adjustments. He also mentions Giles's jab as a concern but believes Malott's speed and wrestling will prevail.

"I got Mike mot I think he'll probably end up on the second line but just a little sliver of uncertainty is going to keep him off the first line likely for me this week."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Vreeland picks Mike Malott, citing Trevin Giles's history of imploding in fights despite looking good early. He references Giles's multiple comeback losses and a previous grappling match where Giles lost after competing early. Vreeland expects Giles to start strong but eventually make a mistake, allowing Malott to secure an opportunistic finish. He notes the price is high but is confident in the pick.

"I'm G pick Mike mot to to get an opportunistic finish"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Lucrative James picks Trevin Giles as a value bet, despite predicting Malott is more likely to win. He notes Malott's questionable durability and that Giles has a real chance to win. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop as a hedge, expecting a finish either way.

fight doesn't go to decision
"small bet on trevan Gils at the price makes sense for me and maybe a bigger bet on the fight doesn't go to decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Malott can land big power and put Giles away, but Giles' striking speed and overall advantage should allow him to put pace on Malott and run away late, getting a finish in the second or third round.

finish in second or third round
"I believe Giles's striking speed and overall Advantage here should allow him to put up pace on Malott and run away late with this matchup and end up getting a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul also picks Malott, noting his familiarity with Giles from their grappling match and his improved mindset after the Magny loss. He believes Malott's speed and technique will overcome Giles's jab, and that Giles's cardio is also questionable. He sees Malott as the rightful favorite and likely a top pick in their PRP.

"I think he's the rightful favor and I figure he probably going to be relatively at the top of your PRP this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The Guru picks Mike Malott over Trevin Giles, citing Malott's grappling advantage and leg kicks. He notes Malott's dominant grappling against Neil Magny and believes he can out-grapple Giles. He predicts a submission win.

submission
"I'm going to go with Mike mallow here I think he'll be able to outg Grapple Trevon Giles and I'll take him by submission"
LOSS vs Carlos Prates
KO (punch) R2 4:03 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Prates 0 68 of 102 66% 70 of 105 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:28
Trevin Giles 1 37 of 72 51% 38 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Prates 0 35 of 55 63% 35 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 24 of 44 54% 24 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Carlos Prates 0 33 of 47 70% 35 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:28
Trevin Giles 1 13 of 28 46% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Prates 68 of 102 66% 25 of 51 2 of 2 41 of 49 67 of 100 1 of 2 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 37 of 72 51% 3 of 24 18 of 26 16 of 22 37 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Prates 35 of 55 63% 10 of 22 0 of 0 25 of 33 35 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 24 of 44 54% 2 of 12 9 of 13 13 of 19 24 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Carlos Prates 33 of 47 70% 15 of 29 2 of 2 16 of 16 32 of 45 1 of 2 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 13 of 28 46% 1 of 12 9 of 13 3 of 3 13 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Trevin Giles vs. Carlos Prates
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-270), Giles (+220)

Round 1
The long preliminary card wraps up with welterweights on the docket, as longtime vet Giles (16-5, 7-5 UFC) enters into his 13th UFC fight against promotional neophyte Prates (17-6, 0-0 UFC)—although the debuting Brazilian holds the overall experience edge at 23 to 21 fights. Both fighters have abilities to finish the fight anywhere, and they have also suffered more stoppage losses than by decision. Referee Mike Beltran draws the charge for this preliminary headliner, and it begins as the 170ers touch ‘em up. Giles introduces himself with a jumping side kick, and he smacks Prates’ front leg with several times in rapid succession. Prates preemptively raises his leg after the early barrage of kicks, looking to check these kicks coming at him, and Giles ignores it and keeps kicking it. Prates quickly chambers and releases a kick to the body, and Giles ignores it and kicks Prates in the knee. Beltran warns them for outstretched fingers, and Prates nods and kicks Giles in the chest. Prates goes high with a kick that bounces off the guard, and Giles plods after him and nails him with a one-two. Prates bounces off the fencing to reset, and he starts jabbing with the ball of his foot. Prates looks to use his rangy legs to keep Giles away from him, and Giles stays ready to block the bigger kicks while getting inside the others. Prates lunges forward with three punches, and Giles ducks away from it. Giles comes out swinging, and Prates defends himself and tries to reply with a kick. Giles cracks Prates with a left hook in the midst of a combination, and Prates wears it well and tries to retaliate with a knee. Giles tosses out two punches and gets away in time to avoid counters, and Prates sweeps out kicks that partially land at best. Giles continues prodding at the lead knee, and he takes a knee on the chest from his opponent. The opening frame wraps as Prates jump at him with a knee, and Giles hops away.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Giles

Round 2
The welterweights tap their gloves together before engaging, and Prates starts off by kicking the chest. Giles gets off two inside leg kicks to stumble Prates, and the taller man regains his composure only to get knocked back by the Texan’s fists. Prates kicks the body and then looks for step-in knee, and Giles grabs him in an effort to take him down. Prates shoves him away and looks for long kicks, while Giles crowds him with short three-punch salvos. Prates takes at least one clean punch each time Giles rushes him, and his counters are limited to a high knee that has not landed cleanly more than once. Giles allows Prates to swing a kick by him so that he can shoot for a double, and the American is unable to complete it. Prates defends with his back to the wall with short strikes, and Giles comes over the top with an elbow that splits the corner of Prates’ right eyebrow. Prates connects with a big knee as he shuts down Giles’ takedown efforts, but he cannot seem to stop Giles from teeing off on him with four punches at a time.
Prates comes in faking with a knee, reaches out with a right hand and rifles a left hand down the pipe. Giles is out before his head hits the mat, and Prates does not need to follow up as he sees Giles is unconscious while Beltran gets between them.
What a stunning moment, staging a mighty comeback and introducing himself to the stacked 170-pound weight class with a vicious knockout.

The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Trevin Giles R2 4:03 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Angelo notes that Carlos Prates is a dangerous striker with big power, good range control, and kicks to all levels, with a stance similar to Alex Pereira. Trevin Giles has a great jab and athleticism, but needs to close distance to land it, which could leave him open to kicks. Angelo thinks Prates will pass the test and win, but acknowledges Giles' jab could be frustrating.

"I do think protest is going to pass that test I do think he wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Big Brady picks Carlos Prates to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Prates has a 78-inch reach and many tools to finish, including a jab that can knock out opponents, head kicks, and knees. He thinks Giles has poor durability and cardio, and has been brutally finished by prospects before. He expects Prates to knock him out early.

first round knockout
"I think proess does knock him out in the first round and I think there will be an officer down come Saturday so G Carlos press to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by first round …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Cody picks Prates, noting his power and length. He criticizes Giles for being lethargic and lacking volume, and points out that Giles has not improved. Prates is a dangerous striker with a good chin. Cody thinks Prates will stand in the pocket and land the bigger shots, though he is not confident enough to bet heavily.

"PES is not super high I guess on my parlays or my my list of confidence but yes he I think he does win the fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Prates has a Muay Thai background with improved takedown defense and a 4-inch reach advantage. He should be able to stuff Giles' early takedowns and then find a knockout in the second or third round as Giles slows down. Giles has durability issues from cutting to welterweight. Prates is experienced enough to handle a grappler.

"I think after stuffing a couple of the early takedowns from Gils we'll see prz really get comfortable in the cage and eventually find a Knockout over JS in the first probably in the the second or third round as …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Paul also picks Prates, noting Giles' inconsistency and low output. He thinks Prates' length and technical striking will be too much. Giles could win if he wrestles, but Paul doubts he will. Prates is the pick, but Paul is not forcing action at -260.

"prus is going to be the pick for me but minus 260 UFC debut versus a veteran I mean there's 14 fights on the card I'm not going to be forcing any action on Carlos prus myself"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Prates because he believes Prates has hit another level in his career, with a wicked winning streak against decent competition. He praises Prates' range, kicks, and a straight right hand with no telegraph. He thinks Prates can kick at range and eventually score a second-round KO. He notes that Trevin Giles has not had impressive performances recently.

second round KO
"I'm going with Carlos prattes over Trevon Giles... I think prattes can kick at him at range bug him with it and eventually get into the boxing and maybe score a second round KO."
LOSS vs Gabriel Bonfim
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 1:13 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:26
Trevin Giles 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:26
Trevin Giles 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 3 of 11 27% 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 3 of 11 27% 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Trevin Giles
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-320), Giles (+265)

Round 1
Concluding the prelims is a 170-pound scrap between two promising fighters age 30 or younger. With welterweight so logjammed, a win tonight for the undefeated Bonfim (14-0, 1-0 UFC) or resilient Giles (16-4, 7-4 UFC) may help raise them to greater heights in the weight class. Before said action, the two men touch ‘em up, and referee Herb Dean is ready to take charge of what comes next. Bonfim walks forward fearlessly, and he blocks a head kick that flies at him immediately. Bonfim comes forward, and he starts throwing hands. Giles gets tagged, throws back with bad intentions, and makes Bonfim reevaluate his current position. Bonfim backs off, measures his way back in and clips Giles with a left hand. Giles, perhaps from the strike or because he is off-balance, gathers himself and moves to the outside. Giles comes at him, and Bonfim grapples him, gets around to take his back, and lifts Giles off his feet and slams him down. Bonfim lands and considers a submission from on top, but he decides to maintain position while Giles is bucking. Giles manages to kick Bonfim off of him, and he leans forward while on his knees.
“Marretinha” welcomes this and licks his chops, as he snatches up and jumps guard with a guillotine choke. The submission is tight as a drum, and Giles sits up but is gurgling and the lights are flickering in his eyes. Giles surrenders, and he appears to go out right as Bonfim is releasing the grip due to Dean’s intervention.
Giles comes to, and Bonfim celebrates the victory that boosts him to 15-0 as a pro with 15 stoppages. Welterweight has one more threatening contender in the works, and Bonfim confidently claims in his post-fight interview that he will be the champion.

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Trevin Giles R1 1:13 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, believing he is the better fighter everywhere with more powerful striking and better grappling. He acknowledges Trevin Giles' incredible jab and athleticism as a concern, but thinks Bonfim's overall game will prevail. He considered putting Bonfim in a parlay but decided against it due to Giles' potential to sneak out a win.

"Gabriel's gonna be the pick I was hoping to put him in the safety parlay right right off the cat I'm like yeah this should happen this should happen."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady picks Gabriel Bonfim to win by first-round submission. He praises Bonfim's opportunistic submission skills and finishing ability, noting 79% of wins by submission. He criticizes Trevin Giles' poor fight IQ and durability, expecting Bonfim to capitalize on a mistake early. He sees Bonfim as dangerous everywhere and predicts a quick finish.

first round submission
"I'm going to take Gabriel bonfim to win this fight I'll say he wins it by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Cody picks Bonfim to win inside 1.5 rounds, betting the under at -125. He sees Bonfim as an opportunistic finisher with power, while Giles has low output and a suspect chin. He notes Giles' career-high significant strikes is only 71, and his cardio is poor, especially at altitude. He plans to fade Bonfim in the future but likes him here.

under 1.5 rounds -125
"I did put some money on the under one and a half at minus 125"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

James rates Bonfim highly, calling him an elite boxer with dangerous submissions. He expects Bonfim to finish Giles early, likely in round one or two. He notes that Bonfim was underrated earlier but the market has corrected, and he believes Bonfim can become a top-15 fighter.

under 1.5 rounds
"I think he's going to finish Trevin Jones I honestly do"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Bonfim is the better striker and has a slick submission game. Giles has durability issues and Bonfim will put pressure on him with combinations. Bonfim is the future and will get another finish, probably in the second round. Giles's experience won't be enough.

"I think bomb female is the truth I think bomb theme is the future and I think he's worth the talk this weekend even against an experienced Skylake Giles look for giles's durability issues to Showcase themselves once again and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Paul picks Bonfim despite the high price, citing Giles' low output and lack of power. He notes Bonfim is faster, sharper, and can take Giles down. He acknowledges Bonfim is hittable but believes Giles doesn't have the volume or power to capitalize. He expects Bonfim to finish or win a clear decision.

"I will take bomb theme but I'm I'm looking to fade this guy in the near future"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevin Giles 0 55 of 108 50% 71 of 129 0 of 1 0% 0 2 4:14
Preston Parsons 0 42 of 95 44% 62 of 130 3 of 11 27% 3 1 5:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevin Giles 0 14 of 26 53% 17 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:26
Preston Parsons 0 14 of 28 50% 23 of 43 0 of 3 0% 2 0 1:52
2 Trevin Giles 0 18 of 40 45% 29 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:23
Preston Parsons 0 13 of 32 40% 18 of 40 1 of 5 20% 0 1 1:30
3 Trevin Giles 0 23 of 42 54% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:25
Preston Parsons 0 15 of 35 42% 21 of 47 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevin Giles 55 of 108 50% 51 of 102 4 of 6 0 of 0 34 of 83 7 of 9 14 of 16
Preston Parsons 42 of 95 44% 24 of 77 6 of 6 12 of 12 34 of 84 7 of 10 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevin Giles 14 of 26 53% 14 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 20 2 of 2 3 of 4
Preston Parsons 14 of 28 50% 9 of 23 2 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Trevin Giles 18 of 40 45% 15 of 36 3 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 31 1 of 3 5 of 6
Preston Parsons 13 of 32 40% 7 of 26 3 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 29 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Trevin Giles 23 of 42 54% 22 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 32 4 of 4 6 of 6
Preston Parsons 15 of 35 42% 8 of 28 1 of 1 6 of 6 13 of 32 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Angelo picks Parsons, noting his slick grappling and the fact that he showed he can go three rounds in his last fight. He thinks Giles is overrated due to the Roman Dolidze win, which he argues Dolidze actually won. He believes Parsons will get the wrestling going and win, possibly inside the distance. He has a half-unit moneyline bet on Parsons at -105.

Half-unit moneyline bet on Parsons at -105; also considering takedown prop bets
"Preston Parsons is gonna be my pick I think he's gonna get the wrestling going."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Big Brady picks Preston Parsons by submission in the second round. He questions Trevin Giles' fight IQ, durability, and volume, noting that Giles has been finished in all four losses. Brady believes Parsons' pressure and cardio will break Giles, and that Giles' weight cut to 170 will hurt his gas tank. He expects Parsons to mix takedowns, get on top, and secure a submission.

Parsons by submission in round 2
"I like Parsons to make this a war honestly... I think Parsons eventually gets on top gets into a dominant position and gets a submission winning the second or third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Cody picks Parsons, citing Giles' inconsistency, low output, and recent durability issues. He notes Parsons is younger, improving, and has solid wrestling. He worries about Texas judging but believes Parsons can edge out a decision or get a takedown. He calls it a 50/50 fight but leans Parsons.

Over 2.5 rounds (fight time over 10 minutes on PrizePicks)
"The pick I think would be Preston Parsons barring a bad judge's decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Connor initially hesitates but ultimately sides with Zane's pick of Preston Parsons. He acknowledges that Parsons will eat a lot of straight punches early and that Giles is fast and a good straight puncher, but he doesn't trust Giles's application of his tools or his defensive absence at welterweight. Connor notes that Giles looked okay against Louis Cosce but not great, and he believes Parsons's physical pressure will be enough to exploit Giles's weaknesses.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I guess I'll side with you. I'm not that, I'll side with you."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Jacob also picks Parsons, agreeing that Giles is a good boxer but does not use his jab enough and struggles with pressure. He thinks Parsons will get in Giles' face, disrupt his striking, and win inside the distance. He says he is 'pressing Parsons all the way'.

"I'm pressing Parsons all the way."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

The host likes Parsons' relentless grappling style and believes he can push a pace that Giles may not handle at welterweight. He notes Parsons showed good cardio in his last fight, and expects him to find a finish from top dominant position. He has questions about Giles' energy levels and weight cut.

"I'm gonna go Preston Parsons to win this fight with his Relentless grappling and I'm inevitably a finish from that top dominant position"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

The Guru picks Giles, citing his experience and athleticism. He notes that Parsons hasn't fought since his debut and lacks a standout skill. He expects Giles to win by decision, using his physicality and technique.

"I'm going with Trevin Giles... I just think he's on average more athletic more dangerous and a bit better technically in most areas"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Zane picks Preston Parsons because he believes Trevin Giles's athletic advantages are less pronounced at welterweight and his defensive flaws are more exploitable. Giles backs up with his hands down and is prone to getting hurt, while Parsons is a pressuring bully who will walk through shots and wear Giles down. Zane notes that Giles has not knocked anyone out since 2017 and tends to gas when having success, making him vulnerable to Parsons's relentless pressure.

Odds: Giles opened at -110, currently -111; Parsons opened at -110, currently -111. Zane notes that Giles has not knocked anyone out since 2017 except Bevin Lewis.
"I'm still going to pick Parsons to win. Giles is just too hurtable."
WIN vs Louis Cosce
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevin Giles 0 25 of 46 54% 45 of 66 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:09
Louis Cosce 0 10 of 38 26% 21 of 49 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevin Giles 0 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Louis Cosce 0 2 of 18 11% 2 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Trevin Giles 0 12 of 24 50% 18 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:00
Louis Cosce 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Trevin Giles 0 0 of 1 0% 14 of 15 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:09
Louis Cosce 0 1 of 3 33% 12 of 14 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevin Giles 25 of 46 54% 10 of 29 2 of 4 13 of 13 25 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
Louis Cosce 10 of 38 26% 5 of 29 3 of 5 2 of 4 9 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevin Giles 13 of 21 61% 4 of 12 1 of 1 8 of 8 13 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Louis Cosce 2 of 18 11% 0 of 14 1 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Trevin Giles 12 of 24 50% 6 of 16 1 of 3 5 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Louis Cosce 7 of 17 41% 4 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Trevin Giles 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0
Louis Cosce 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Angelo picks Giles but hates the odds, calling them far too wide. He notes that Giles is athletic with a good jab and should be able to get the fight to the ground, where he has a wide advantage. However, he acknowledges that Cosce is the more powerful striker and could finish early. Angelo suggests an inside the distance/decision no action bet on Cosce at +170.

Suggests inside the distance/decision no action bet on Cosce at +170.
"trevin's gonna be the pick i hate these odds these are far far too wide"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Big Brady picks Trevin Giles to win by late first-round submission, but with hesitation. He acknowledges Giles has poor fight IQ and cardio, but notes that Giles has all the skills—powerful jab, good wrestling, BJJ black belt. Brady expects Louis Cosce to come out aggressively looking for a finish, as he has a 100% finish rate all in the first round. If Giles survives the initial onslaught (2.5-3 minutes), Brady believes Giles will take over and submit Cosce, who gassed in his last fight. Brady also mentions that Giles recently quit his police job to focus on fighting, which could be a positive sign.

late first round submission
"i'm going to say uh jevin giles buy sub i'll say late first round submission for trevin giles"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Louis Cosce

Cody thinks Cosce has a wrestling advantage and power, and that Giles has a questionable chin and low volume. He notes Cosce's two-year layoff could have helped him improve. He calls Cosce 'live' but admits it's a low-confidence pick.

"i think this koski's live is all i would say i'd say he's live the two years off would be good for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Daniel Levi leans Trevin Giles due to his experience and level of competition, but is not interested at the price. He notes Giles has been knocked out in two straight fights and questions his fight IQ, but thinks his jab and takedown mix should be enough to give Cosce a vet lesson. He sees Cosce as unproven with weak competition.

"I'll go trevon giles not interested at the price"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Louis Cosce

Jacob picks Cosce, believing he will get a first-round finish. He notes that Cosce is a dangerous striker with power and pressure, and that Giles can wilt when pressured. Jacob acknowledges Cosce's cardio issues but thinks he will finish early. He suggests live betting Giles if Cosce fades after the first round.

Suggests live betting Giles after first round if Cosce fades.
"i think i picked coast gay because i think he's able to get that first round finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Trevin Giles

Cosce is a first-round finisher with all his wins coming in round one, but he fades if the fight goes longer. Giles is vulnerable early but if he survives, he should take over with his jab and aggression. The fight likely ends inside the distance. I lean Giles surviving and finishing Cosce later, but Cosce by round one at +750 is a live sprinkle.

Fight doesn't go to decision at -190 to -215, Cosce by round 1 at +750 (sprinkle)
"I'm gonna lean Giles surviving that early Onslaught and finishing cozy later but uh cozy round one is absolutely live in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Louis Cosce

Paul picks Cosce but is not confident, calling it 'gross'. He notes Giles' poor takedown numbers and thinks Cosce could have a wrestling advantage. He says he'll blame Cody if it loses.

Trevin Giles under 1.5 takedowns
"i'll pick koski for the purposes of this show woof"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

The MMA Guru picks Trevin Giles by 29-28 decision. He thinks Louis Cosce is athletic but lacks hype, and Giles is bigger with a reach advantage. He expects Giles to use his jab and wear down Cosce, surviving any early power shots. He notes Giles has good grappling and should win the later rounds, possibly losing the first round but coming back to win a decision.

"i'm actually gonna side with trevin giles being a little bit bigger a little bit stronger wearing down on louis koshko staying behind his jab with that reach advantage and eventually winning himself like a 29-28 decision"
LOSS vs Michael Morales
TKO (punches) R1 4:06 · UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Jan 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Morales 1 26 of 42 61% 28 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:05
Trevin Giles 0 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 1 of 4 25% 1 0 1:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Morales 1 26 of 42 61% 28 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:05
Trevin Giles 0 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 1 of 4 25% 1 0 1:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Morales 26 of 42 61% 23 of 39 0 of 0 3 of 3 12 of 24 0 of 0 14 of 18
Trevin Giles 8 of 15 53% 3 of 10 1 of 1 4 of 4 8 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Morales 26 of 42 61% 23 of 39 0 of 0 3 of 3 12 of 24 0 of 0 14 of 18
Trevin Giles 8 of 15 53% 3 of 10 1 of 1 4 of 4 8 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Angelo picks Michael Morales, calling him a killer with national championships in wrestling and Muay Thai. He notes Morales' footwork and jab, and believes he is better everywhere except pace. He sees Trevin Giles as a good measuring stick but expects Morales to win.

"i think morales is going to win this fight i think he's better everywhere except the actual pace and my only concern is that trevin may just march forward stay in morales face which could give him a hard time …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Big Brady picks Michael Morales to win a close decision, citing his volume, reach advantage, and well-rounded game. He heavily criticizes Trevin Giles for poor fight IQ, cardio, and low volume, and notes Giles is cutting to 170 which is a concern. He acknowledges Giles has a grappling advantage but doesn't trust him to fight smart. He expects Morales to outpoint Giles in a close fight.

Morales by decision; mentions Giles cutting weight and poor fight IQ
"i'm gonna take michael morales to win a decision here but i think it's gonna be very very close"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Cody picks Trevin Giles as an underdog, citing Giles' experience against higher-level competition and his well-rounded skills. He notes that Giles has fought at 205 and 185, and moving to 170 may benefit him. Cody acknowledges Giles' cardio issues and past submissions, but believes his boxing and grappling are superior to Morales'. He sees this as a dog-or-pass situation.

"I would say this is a dog or pass situation... I'm going to go with the underdog Trevin Giles here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jan 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Daniel Levi picks Michael Morales but admits he is hesitant and will not bet the fight. He acknowledges the classic spot where an unproven prospect faces a grizzled vet at dog money, which often goes the vet's way. However, his gut tells him Morales is the more talented fighter and will get it done. Levi notes that Giles has a history of making mistakes and getting choked out, but also that Morales could suffer from debut nerves. He compares it to the Ignacio vs Makdessi fight where the better fighter didn't win.

No bet; straight pick only
"my gut was telling me morales is going to get this one done but my gout also told me that ignacio would beat macdessey"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

The host is skeptical of Morales being a favorite given his unproven competition. He notes that Giles is a tested veteran with fast hands and good movement, and that Morales has not faced anyone like Giles. He thinks Giles can use his jab and movement to discourage Morales and win a decision. However, he admits he is not a big Giles fan and may not bet it, but his prediction is Giles by decision.

Giles by decision
"i'm actually leaning giles on the spot i'm not a big jobs guy myself so i don't think i'll actually be placing a bet on it but in terms of a prediction it's hard to pick against a guy that's …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Paul picks Michael Morales, noting his youth (22) and wrestling from the contender series. He acknowledges that Morales' striking is a work in progress but believes his ceiling is higher. Paul is not a fan of Trevin Giles, citing his underwhelming UFC run and cardio issues. However, he is not highly confident and suggests this fight could be passed.

"I'm going with the kid 22 years old... I've never been a Trevin Giles guy and I won't be today."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Michael Morales

The MMA Guru picks Michael Morales, praising his stand-up, grappling, and all-around skills. He notes Giles' recent KO loss and poor performance against James Krause on short notice. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision, with Morales schooling Giles on the feet for three rounds.

"i'm going to go with michael morales 3027 unanimous decision winning every single round on the feet"
KO (punches) R2 1:41 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dricus du Plessis 0 10 of 32 31% 10 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Trevin Giles 1 25 of 48 52% 26 of 49 2 of 4 50% 0 1 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dricus du Plessis 0 6 of 20 30% 6 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Trevin Giles 0 14 of 29 48% 15 of 30 2 of 3 66% 0 1 1:31
2 Dricus du Plessis 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 1 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dricus du Plessis 10 of 32 31% 6 of 26 3 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 25 of 48 52% 7 of 23 7 of 10 11 of 15 22 of 43 0 of 0 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dricus du Plessis 6 of 20 30% 4 of 16 1 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 14 of 29 48% 2 of 12 4 of 5 8 of 12 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Dricus du Plessis 4 of 12 33% 2 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 11 of 19 57% 5 of 11 3 of 5 3 of 3 8 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Dricus du Plessis

Angelo picks du Plessis, citing his striking advantage and movement to avoid takedowns. He thinks du Plessis will piece up Giles on the feet and potentially get a late stoppage. He notes Giles is a grappler but du Plessis can avoid being pressed against the cage.

"i really like um driskus in this fight he's definitely my pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Big Brady picks Trevin Giles to win by second-round knockout. He thinks Giles is the better fighter everywhere, with better striking and grappling. He notes Giles' power and finishing ability (79% finish rate). However, he has concerns about Giles' fight IQ, cardio, and output. He acknowledges du Plessis is dangerous with fight-changing power, but believes Giles can keep distance and land. He mentions Giles' losses are both third-round submissions, so he expects an early finish.

second round knockout
"i'm gonna take giles to win i'm gonna say giles wins by i'm gonna say second round knockout there"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dricus du Plessis

Cody leans toward du Plessis. He notes du Plessis' power and submission game, and Giles' history of being submitted by guillotine. He thinks du Plessis can finish inside the distance. He calls it a dog or pass.

under 2.5 rounds
"i'll pick the deplesis for this but i got nothing on it yet"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Daniel Levi leans toward Trevin Giles. He notes Giles' UFC experience, speed, and lightning-fast jab, and believes Giles will win the minutes. However, he warns that Giles can make mental mistakes and get caught, while du Plessis is extremely durable and has opportunistic finishing ability with submissions and knockout power. He sees value on both sides but slightly favors Giles.

"i'ma go with giles though"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Jacob picks Giles, noting his intelligence and ability to win close rounds. He references Giles' previous lock of the week win over Roman Rodriguez. He thinks Giles can find a way to win, possibly by stealing rounds late. He almost made Giles his lock of the week again.

"i like trevin giles in his fight not lock of the week but he is a former winner"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

I lean towards Giles by decision. He has a speed and jab advantage, and I expect him to out-strike du Plessis on the feet. Du Plessis is too patient and gives up his back foot. Giles' cardio is a concern, but I think he can win rounds with his striking. I don't have high confidence, but I like Giles to get it done via decision.

"i do actually end up leaning on the trevin java side of things... i do like jobs to get it done and done via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dricus du Plessis

Paul leans toward du Plessis. He notes du Plessis' leg kicks and submission threat, and Giles' cardio issues. He thinks du Plessis can win by finish. He calls it a volatile fight.

"the official pick will be drake's two places"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Dricus du Plessis

The Guru predicts du Plessis will win by third-round guillotine choke. He expects du Plessis to chew up Giles' lead leg with kicks in the first round, while Giles is boxing-heavy. Giles will have a better second round, but du Plessis will continue chopping the leg. In the third round, Giles' leg will be damaged, and du Plessis will land good shots. Giles will panic and shoot a takedown, putting his neck in a guillotine, which du Plessis will capitalize on. The Guru notes Giles has been choked out twice before when panicking.

du Plessis wins by submission (guillotine) in round 3
"dracus de plessis has some nasty leg kicks ... giles is going to shoot a panic take down ... and get guillotined by drinkers to plexus in the third round"
Preston Parsons - Fight History
LOSS vs Jacobe Smith
KO (punches) R1 1:13 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacobe Smith 0 7 of 14 50% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Preston Parsons 1 12 of 23 52% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacobe Smith 0 7 of 14 50% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Preston Parsons 1 12 of 23 52% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacobe Smith 7 of 14 50% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Preston Parsons 12 of 23 52% 8 of 17 2 of 3 2 of 3 11 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacobe Smith 7 of 14 50% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Preston Parsons 12 of 23 52% 8 of 17 2 of 3 2 of 3 11 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Angelo picks Jacobe Smith (Andreas Gustofson) but with very low confidence. He believes Smith is the better pure wrestler and that his wrestling will be the difference, as Preston Parsons is clueless if he can't get takedowns. However, he notes that Smith is a UFC debutant and a 2-to-1 favorite, which he considers a bad bet. He thinks Smith's jiu-jitsu is good enough to avoid submissions. He advises against betting on Smith.

"I'm going to pick Andreas here the confidence is insanely low two to one favorite on a UFC debut who's fighting the best person he's ever fought before is not a good bet do not bet on Andreas"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Big Brady is very high on Jacobe Smith, calling him a top-three contender series prospect. He praises Smith's wrestling, devastating ground and pound, and power. He notes Parsons is hittable and has poor performances when he can't get takedowns, like against Oban Elliott. Brady predicts Smith will outwrestle Parsons and land a big shot, winning by second-round TKO.

second round knockout
"give me uh jacobe Smith to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Cody is confident in Smith, citing his elite wrestling pedigree and physicality. He notes Parsons's struggles against strong wrestlers like Oban Elliott. He expects Smith to dominate with takedowns and control.

"I do have jacobe to get the job done and probably hopefully go out there and put on a statement type performance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Daniel is high on Smith's wrestling credentials (D1 from Oklahoma State) and KO power, but notes the -525 price and short notice are concerns. He thinks Smith's wrestling and power will be too much for Parsons, who is chinny and lost to Trevin Giles. He picks Smith but passes on betting due to lack of value.

pass on betting due to -525 price
"as a pure pick I'll go jacobe Smith here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Smith is making his UFC debut on very short notice but is a much better wrestler and grappler than Parsons. He will keep Parsons in bad positions and grind out a decision win.

"I think he's still way better of a wrestler and Grappler than Parsons and I think he'll be able to keep Parson in bad positions and eventually grind this fight out to win on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Paul also picks Smith, calling him a real deal prospect. He notes Smith's violent Contender Series performance and All-American wrestling. He believes Smith will impose his will and move up the ranks quickly.

"Smith seems like the real deal and a guy to watch 04 in 2025 to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

The Guru picks Smith, impressed by his contender series performance and offensive grappling. He thinks Smith's athleticism and relentlessness will out-hustle Parsons, who he considers not fast enough to lead. He notes Parsons has given trouble to fighters like Matthew Semelsberger and Trevin Giles but believes Smith's grappling will be the difference.

"I'm going with Jacob Smith this was one of the uh prospects on the contender Series this season"
LOSS vs Oban Elliott
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Oban Elliott 0 44 of 125 35% 49 of 142 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:56
Preston Parsons 0 36 of 93 38% 71 of 133 1 of 9 11% 0 0 1:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Oban Elliott 0 9 of 35 25% 12 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:56
Preston Parsons 0 12 of 34 35% 25 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
2 Oban Elliott 0 13 of 46 28% 14 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:54
Preston Parsons 0 16 of 29 55% 23 of 38 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:18
3 Oban Elliott 0 22 of 44 50% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:06
Preston Parsons 0 8 of 30 26% 23 of 45 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Oban Elliott 44 of 125 35% 36 of 116 4 of 5 4 of 4 41 of 122 3 of 3 0 of 0
Preston Parsons 36 of 93 38% 15 of 66 4 of 9 17 of 18 31 of 85 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Oban Elliott 9 of 35 25% 6 of 32 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
Preston Parsons 12 of 34 35% 3 of 21 2 of 5 7 of 8 9 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Oban Elliott 13 of 46 28% 9 of 42 2 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Preston Parsons 16 of 29 55% 7 of 18 2 of 4 7 of 7 15 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Oban Elliott 22 of 44 50% 21 of 42 0 of 1 1 of 1 21 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
Preston Parsons 8 of 30 26% 5 of 27 0 of 0 3 of 3 7 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Angelo picks Preston Parsons, expecting him to dive for takedowns and either submit or decision Oban Elliott. He notes that Oban is well-rounded but not dangerous, and Parsons has 9 submissions in 11 wins. Angelo acknowledges the fight could be boring but believes Parsons will get the grappling going and win.

"I'm going to go with Preston I think he's diving at legs I think he gets it to the ground probably 50/50 if he subs or decisions"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Cody picks Preston Parsons, citing his relentless pressure, grappling, and power. He notes that Oban Elliott was taken down by Val Woodburn, which is a red flag, and that Parsons has better wrestling and cardio. Cody believes Parsons can grind out a win or even knock Elliott out.

"I gotta go with Preston Parsons uh honestly he's got some legitimate skills guy that shows up every time and he's just a go go go go type guy."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Daniel thinks Preston Parsons is more battle-tested and has faced better competition. He notes Oban Elliott is unathletic and boring but tough. He picks Parsons but not confidently, citing potential jet lag and judging issues.

"I'm gonna pick Preston Parsons but not confidently"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Daniel picks Modestas Bukauskas inside the distance as his prop. He notes Bukauskas has good takedowns and back-takes from his Cage Warriors days, and expects him to work his grappling. He thinks there's a real chance of a ground-and-pound finish, and the inside distance line at +240 offers value.

Modestas Bukauskas inside the distance +240; also mentions submission line +1800 as tempting but not official
"I'm gonna take his inside the distance because even if he takes him down a bunch I think there's a real chance he gets a ground and pound finish instead"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Elliott's takedown defense is questionable and that Parsons' wrestling will be the difference. He mentions that Parsons has a clear game plan and that Elliott's love from the betting market is unwarranted.

"I don't really understand the OB and Elliott love to be perfectly honest."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

The MMA Guru picks Preston Parsons, believing he is the better fighter with tougher competition. He notes Parsons' well-rounded game, including grappling and submission attempts, and his impressive win over Matthew Semelsberger. The Guru is less impressed with Oban Elliott's striking, calling it slow, and thinks Parsons will mix things up effectively. He acknowledges Elliott's size and potential but trusts Parsons' experience and skill.

"I just think Preston Parsons is better than him to be honest with you and I think Preston Parsons has fought better competition"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Jan 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Preston Parsons 0 28 of 69 40% 33 of 77 1 of 2 50% 2 0 3:08
Matthew Semelsberger 0 47 of 87 54% 116 of 165 7 of 11 63% 2 1 6:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Preston Parsons 0 11 of 29 37% 15 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
Matthew Semelsberger 0 20 of 35 57% 45 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:21
2 Preston Parsons 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:30
Matthew Semelsberger 0 17 of 31 54% 36 of 53 4 of 5 80% 1 0 2:24
3 Preston Parsons 0 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:54
Matthew Semelsberger 0 10 of 21 47% 35 of 50 2 of 3 66% 1 1 3:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Preston Parsons 28 of 69 40% 18 of 55 4 of 8 6 of 6 23 of 60 3 of 7 2 of 2
Matthew Semelsberger 47 of 87 54% 25 of 62 9 of 11 13 of 14 25 of 59 11 of 13 11 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Preston Parsons 11 of 29 37% 5 of 20 1 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 27 0 of 2 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 20 of 35 57% 5 of 19 7 of 8 8 of 8 17 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 1
2 Preston Parsons 9 of 21 42% 6 of 18 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 15 2 of 4 2 of 2
Matthew Semelsberger 17 of 31 54% 10 of 22 2 of 3 5 of 6 6 of 19 8 of 9 3 of 3
3 Preston Parsons 8 of 19 42% 7 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 10 of 21 47% 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 8 of 11
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 6, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Angelo picks Preston Parsons as a slight underdog, hoping he can weather an early storm and get takedowns like Jeremiah Wells did. He acknowledges Parsons' cardio issues and Semelsberger's one-punch knockout power, which is why his bet is only a quarter unit. He also plans to bet Semelsberger inside the distance as a prop, believing Parsons won't submit him.

Quarter unit on Parsons moneyline at +105; plans to bet Semelsberger inside the distance (decision no action)
"I still picked him to win and I do have a small quarter of a unit bet on him at those plus 105 odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Big Brady sees this as a striker vs. grappler matchup. He highlights Semelsberger's incredible power, having knocked down opponents in 7 of 9 UFC fights. He believes if Semelsberger stuffs takedowns, he will knock out Parsons brutally. Parsons' path is via submission, but Brady favors the power of Semelsberger.

first round knockout
"I'm going to take simburger to knock out Preston Parsons very brutally and do it in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Cody picks Parsons, citing his wrestling advantage and full camp, while Semelsberger is on short notice. He notes Semelsberger's suspect chin and cardio due to weight cuts, and that Parsons can take him down and hold him down. He admits it's not a high-confidence play but likes the dog at plus money.

"the plus 110 on Preston Parsons I'll take it"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Daniel Vreeland leans with Matthew Semelsberger to knock out Preston Parsons. He acknowledges Semelsberger's power and knockdown rate, but worries about his tendency to end up on his back. Vreeland thinks if Semelsberger can avoid getting taken down, he will bust up Parsons standing. He hopes Semelsberger has fixed the mental issues that held him back.

"I think he's going to knock out Preston Parsons."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Oct 1, 2025 (fight day)

James does not discuss this fight in the transcript.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Preston Parsons is a pressure grappler who uses relentless forward movement and takedowns to control opponents. He has a strong wrestling base and can grind out decisions. Matthew Semelsberger has power but has struggled against grapplers, as seen in the Jeremiah Wells fight where he was controlled on the mat. Parsons' pace and grappling should neutralize Semelsberger's striking. At plus 110, Parsons is a good value pick, and I expect him to win by decision through control and pressure.

Parsons by decision
"plus 110 I got to go with the dog here I think we're going to see Parsons go out there pick this fight up uh win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Parsons as the wrestler on a full camp at plus money. He notes that Semelsberger has never impressed him and that Parsons has a clear path via wrestling. He mentions that Semelsberger's weight cut and short notice could be factors.

"give me the wrestler who's actually been on a full camp at plus 110"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 9, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

The MMA Guru picks Matthew Semelsberger despite acknowledging his tendency to mess up TKO finishes. He notes Semelsberger's size, reach, and power, and believes he has a high likelihood of landing a big KO shot. He is not impressed by Preston Parsons, except for his win over Trevin Giles, which he attributes to Giles' mistakes.

likes the odds
"I'm going to go seberger much larger much longer reach as well dangerous on the feet... I'm going to go again against Preston Parsons and pick Matthew semelsberger here"
LOSS vs Trevin Giles
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevin Giles 0 55 of 108 50% 71 of 129 0 of 1 0% 0 2 4:14
Preston Parsons 0 42 of 95 44% 62 of 130 3 of 11 27% 3 1 5:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevin Giles 0 14 of 26 53% 17 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:26
Preston Parsons 0 14 of 28 50% 23 of 43 0 of 3 0% 2 0 1:52
2 Trevin Giles 0 18 of 40 45% 29 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:23
Preston Parsons 0 13 of 32 40% 18 of 40 1 of 5 20% 0 1 1:30
3 Trevin Giles 0 23 of 42 54% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:25
Preston Parsons 0 15 of 35 42% 21 of 47 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevin Giles 55 of 108 50% 51 of 102 4 of 6 0 of 0 34 of 83 7 of 9 14 of 16
Preston Parsons 42 of 95 44% 24 of 77 6 of 6 12 of 12 34 of 84 7 of 10 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevin Giles 14 of 26 53% 14 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 20 2 of 2 3 of 4
Preston Parsons 14 of 28 50% 9 of 23 2 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Trevin Giles 18 of 40 45% 15 of 36 3 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 31 1 of 3 5 of 6
Preston Parsons 13 of 32 40% 7 of 26 3 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 29 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Trevin Giles 23 of 42 54% 22 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 32 4 of 4 6 of 6
Preston Parsons 15 of 35 42% 8 of 28 1 of 1 6 of 6 13 of 32 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Angelo picks Parsons, noting his slick grappling and the fact that he showed he can go three rounds in his last fight. He thinks Giles is overrated due to the Roman Dolidze win, which he argues Dolidze actually won. He believes Parsons will get the wrestling going and win, possibly inside the distance. He has a half-unit moneyline bet on Parsons at -105.

Half-unit moneyline bet on Parsons at -105; also considering takedown prop bets
"Preston Parsons is gonna be my pick I think he's gonna get the wrestling going."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Big Brady picks Preston Parsons by submission in the second round. He questions Trevin Giles' fight IQ, durability, and volume, noting that Giles has been finished in all four losses. Brady believes Parsons' pressure and cardio will break Giles, and that Giles' weight cut to 170 will hurt his gas tank. He expects Parsons to mix takedowns, get on top, and secure a submission.

Parsons by submission in round 2
"I like Parsons to make this a war honestly... I think Parsons eventually gets on top gets into a dominant position and gets a submission winning the second or third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Cody picks Parsons, citing Giles' inconsistency, low output, and recent durability issues. He notes Parsons is younger, improving, and has solid wrestling. He worries about Texas judging but believes Parsons can edge out a decision or get a takedown. He calls it a 50/50 fight but leans Parsons.

Over 2.5 rounds (fight time over 10 minutes on PrizePicks)
"The pick I think would be Preston Parsons barring a bad judge's decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Connor initially hesitates but ultimately sides with Zane's pick of Preston Parsons. He acknowledges that Parsons will eat a lot of straight punches early and that Giles is fast and a good straight puncher, but he doesn't trust Giles's application of his tools or his defensive absence at welterweight. Connor notes that Giles looked okay against Louis Cosce but not great, and he believes Parsons's physical pressure will be enough to exploit Giles's weaknesses.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I guess I'll side with you. I'm not that, I'll side with you."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Jacob also picks Parsons, agreeing that Giles is a good boxer but does not use his jab enough and struggles with pressure. He thinks Parsons will get in Giles' face, disrupt his striking, and win inside the distance. He says he is 'pressing Parsons all the way'.

"I'm pressing Parsons all the way."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

The host likes Parsons' relentless grappling style and believes he can push a pace that Giles may not handle at welterweight. He notes Parsons showed good cardio in his last fight, and expects him to find a finish from top dominant position. He has questions about Giles' energy levels and weight cut.

"I'm gonna go Preston Parsons to win this fight with his Relentless grappling and I'm inevitably a finish from that top dominant position"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

The Guru picks Giles, citing his experience and athleticism. He notes that Parsons hasn't fought since his debut and lacks a standout skill. He expects Giles to win by decision, using his physicality and technique.

"I'm going with Trevin Giles... I just think he's on average more athletic more dangerous and a bit better technically in most areas"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Zane picks Preston Parsons because he believes Trevin Giles's athletic advantages are less pronounced at welterweight and his defensive flaws are more exploitable. Giles backs up with his hands down and is prone to getting hurt, while Parsons is a pressuring bully who will walk through shots and wear Giles down. Zane notes that Giles has not knocked anyone out since 2017 and tends to gas when having success, making him vulnerable to Parsons's relentless pressure.

Odds: Giles opened at -110, currently -111; Parsons opened at -110, currently -111. Zane notes that Giles has not knocked anyone out since 2017 except Bevin Lewis.
"I'm still going to pick Parsons to win. Giles is just too hurtable."
WIN vs Evan Elder
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Preston Parsons 0 75 of 112 66% 121 of 160 4 of 6 66% 5 1 7:48
Evan Elder 0 27 of 60 45% 34 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 2 1:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Preston Parsons 0 16 of 28 57% 23 of 35 2 of 2 100% 2 0 2:16
Evan Elder 0 12 of 22 54% 15 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:35
2 Preston Parsons 0 16 of 25 64% 40 of 49 2 of 2 100% 2 1 2:55
Evan Elder 0 7 of 15 46% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:52
3 Preston Parsons 0 43 of 59 72% 58 of 76 0 of 2 0% 1 0 2:37
Evan Elder 0 8 of 23 34% 11 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Preston Parsons 75 of 112 66% 60 of 94 9 of 11 6 of 7 33 of 58 7 of 11 35 of 43
Evan Elder 27 of 60 45% 12 of 43 11 of 12 4 of 5 26 of 58 1 of 1 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Preston Parsons 16 of 28 57% 13 of 24 2 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 23 2 of 3 2 of 2
Evan Elder 12 of 22 54% 5 of 15 6 of 6 1 of 1 11 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Preston Parsons 16 of 25 64% 12 of 21 2 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 15 0 of 2 7 of 8
Evan Elder 7 of 15 46% 3 of 11 2 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Preston Parsons 43 of 59 72% 35 of 49 5 of 6 3 of 4 12 of 20 5 of 6 26 of 33
Evan Elder 8 of 23 34% 4 of 17 3 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Angelo picks Evan Elder (referred to as Luis Cose, but likely Evan Elder given the matchup). He likes Elder's power and pressure, and thinks Parsons' takedowns aren't good enough to be a constant threat. He sees it as a sprawl-and-brawl matchup where Elder can settle in and let his hands go. He notes Elder was dominating his last fight before gassing.

"i like kosei to win a sprawl and brawl match up here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Cody picks Elder, citing his striking and preparation for a grappler. He notes Parsons' one-dimensional grappling and tendency to get knocked out. He thinks Elder will stuff takedowns and land a knockout.

"the pick would be evan elder"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Evan Elder

The host picks Evan Elder in his quick picks list and includes the fight in his totals parlay under 1.5 rounds. He does not provide detailed reasoning for the pick.

Included in totals parlay under 1.5 rounds.
"evan elder"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Paul agrees, noting Elder's training at Sanford MMA and preparation for a wrestler. He thinks Elder's striking will be too much for Parsons. He suggests Elder should be around -185 favorite.

"i would say that evan elder would probably be somewhere in the neighborhood of a minus 185 minus 200 favorite"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Evan Elder

The MMA Guru picks Evan Elder (referred to as 'Louis Coskey' in transcript, likely a mispronunciation) over Preston Parsons. He describes Elder as explosive and dangerous early, noting his debut loss but good performance. He criticizes Parsons for being unimpressive and easily handled by Daniel Rodriguez. He predicts Elder will be more patient this time and get a first-round KO, citing power difference. He mentions Elder's recent KO loss but believes he will bounce back.

first round KO
"i am going to be going with louis coskey here a very explosive guy in the early rounds very dangerous in the early rounds"
TKO (punches) R1 3:47 · UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moises · Jul 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Rodriguez 0 45 of 83 54% 46 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Preston Parsons 0 23 of 43 53% 24 of 44 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Rodriguez 0 45 of 83 54% 46 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Preston Parsons 0 23 of 43 53% 24 of 44 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Rodriguez 45 of 83 54% 36 of 72 2 of 4 7 of 7 38 of 69 1 of 2 6 of 12
Preston Parsons 23 of 43 53% 14 of 33 4 of 5 5 of 5 23 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Rodriguez 45 of 83 54% 36 of 72 2 of 4 7 of 7 38 of 69 1 of 2 6 of 12
Preston Parsons 23 of 43 53% 14 of 33 4 of 5 5 of 5 23 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Cody is very confident in Daniel Rodriguez, noting his superior boxing, 10th Planet jiu-jitsu, and experience. He believes Preston Parsons is a can-crusher who has struggled against UFC-level competition. Cody has parlayed Rodriguez with Islam Makhachev, indicating high confidence.

parlay with Makhachev
"I don't really understand it all that much preston parsons obviously coming on short notice you go through his record you go through some of his fights and he looks very very dominant in some of his fights but it's …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Paul sides with Daniel Rodriguez's experience and striking advantage, but he acknowledges that Preston Parsons is a physically strong grappler who could pose problems if he gets takedowns. He notes Rodriguez's questionable cardio and lack of tested grappling defense, but ultimately believes Rodriguez should win.

"I think you got to side with the experience of daniel rodriguez."
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Angelo picks Parsons, noting his slick grappling and the fact that he showed he can go three rounds in his last fight. He thinks Giles is overrated due to the Roman Dolidze win, which he argues Dolidze actually won. He believes Parsons will get the wrestling going and win, possibly inside the distance. He has a half-unit moneyline bet on Parsons at -105.

Half-unit moneyline bet on Parsons at -105; also considering takedown prop bets
"Preston Parsons is gonna be my pick I think he's gonna get the wrestling going."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Big Brady picks Preston Parsons by submission in the second round. He questions Trevin Giles' fight IQ, durability, and volume, noting that Giles has been finished in all four losses. Brady believes Parsons' pressure and cardio will break Giles, and that Giles' weight cut to 170 will hurt his gas tank. He expects Parsons to mix takedowns, get on top, and secure a submission.

Parsons by submission in round 2
"I like Parsons to make this a war honestly... I think Parsons eventually gets on top gets into a dominant position and gets a submission winning the second or third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Cody picks Parsons, citing Giles' inconsistency, low output, and recent durability issues. He notes Parsons is younger, improving, and has solid wrestling. He worries about Texas judging but believes Parsons can edge out a decision or get a takedown. He calls it a 50/50 fight but leans Parsons.

Over 2.5 rounds (fight time over 10 minutes on PrizePicks)
"The pick I think would be Preston Parsons barring a bad judge's decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Connor initially hesitates but ultimately sides with Zane's pick of Preston Parsons. He acknowledges that Parsons will eat a lot of straight punches early and that Giles is fast and a good straight puncher, but he doesn't trust Giles's application of his tools or his defensive absence at welterweight. Connor notes that Giles looked okay against Louis Cosce but not great, and he believes Parsons's physical pressure will be enough to exploit Giles's weaknesses.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I guess I'll side with you. I'm not that, I'll side with you."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Jacob also picks Parsons, agreeing that Giles is a good boxer but does not use his jab enough and struggles with pressure. He thinks Parsons will get in Giles' face, disrupt his striking, and win inside the distance. He says he is 'pressing Parsons all the way'.

"I'm pressing Parsons all the way."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

The host likes Parsons' relentless grappling style and believes he can push a pace that Giles may not handle at welterweight. He notes Parsons showed good cardio in his last fight, and expects him to find a finish from top dominant position. He has questions about Giles' energy levels and weight cut.

"I'm gonna go Preston Parsons to win this fight with his Relentless grappling and I'm inevitably a finish from that top dominant position"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

The Guru picks Giles, citing his experience and athleticism. He notes that Parsons hasn't fought since his debut and lacks a standout skill. He expects Giles to win by decision, using his physicality and technique.

"I'm going with Trevin Giles... I just think he's on average more athletic more dangerous and a bit better technically in most areas"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Preston Parsons

Zane picks Preston Parsons because he believes Trevin Giles's athletic advantages are less pronounced at welterweight and his defensive flaws are more exploitable. Giles backs up with his hands down and is prone to getting hurt, while Parsons is a pressuring bully who will walk through shots and wear Giles down. Zane notes that Giles has not knocked anyone out since 2017 and tends to gas when having success, making him vulnerable to Parsons's relentless pressure.

Odds: Giles opened at -110, currently -111; Parsons opened at -110, currently -111. Zane notes that Giles has not knocked anyone out since 2017 except Bevin Lewis.
"I'm still going to pick Parsons to win. Giles is just too hurtable."