vs
-190 +220
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 34
Height 5' 11"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Trevor Peek
4.39 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.88 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
1.45 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Erick Gonzalez
2.4 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
8.08 SApM
40.0% Str. Def.
6.0 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Trevor Peek
Moneyline
DraftKings -190
KO/TKO
BetRivers -105
Submission
FanDuel +850
Decision
BetRivers +800
Erick Gonzalez
Moneyline
FanDuel +220
KO/TKO
BetRivers +320
Submission
FanDuel +1700
Decision
FanDuel +950
Trevor Peek - Fight History
LOSS vs Yanal Ashmouz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yanal Ashmouz 0 55 of 107 51% 63 of 115 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Trevor Peek 0 42 of 66 63% 85 of 124 9 of 18 50% 0 0 8:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yanal Ashmouz 0 16 of 33 48% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Trevor Peek 0 4 of 11 36% 12 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:29
2 Yanal Ashmouz 0 22 of 33 66% 23 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Trevor Peek 0 10 of 16 62% 36 of 48 6 of 9 66% 0 0 2:41
3 Yanal Ashmouz 0 17 of 41 41% 22 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Trevor Peek 0 28 of 39 71% 37 of 53 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yanal Ashmouz 55 of 107 51% 29 of 78 18 of 21 8 of 8 48 of 99 7 of 8 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 42 of 66 63% 26 of 48 9 of 11 7 of 7 19 of 41 18 of 20 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yanal Ashmouz 16 of 33 48% 6 of 21 4 of 6 6 of 6 15 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 4 of 11 36% 4 of 9 0 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 8 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Yanal Ashmouz 22 of 33 66% 11 of 21 9 of 10 2 of 2 17 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 10 of 16 62% 7 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 10 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Yanal Ashmouz 17 of 41 41% 12 of 36 5 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 28 of 39 71% 15 of 26 7 of 7 6 of 6 12 of 23 11 of 11 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yanal Ashmouz

Angelo picks Yanal Ashmouz because he is the better fighter skill-for-skill, with technique everywhere, but he is hesitant because Trevor Peek is incredibly durable and has insane pressure. He notes that Yanal is still a dog and he has a bet on him, but he has buyer's remorse after watching Peek's toughness. He hopes Yanal doesn't break.

Angelo mentions he has a bet on Yanal Ashmouz as a dog.
"I am ultimately going to pick the better fighter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Yanal Ashmouz

Big Brady picks Yanal Ashmouz as the underdog but says he wants nothing to do with betting on this fight. He describes it as a chaotic, back-and-forth war that likely goes to decision, with both guys having moments. Brady likes Ashmouz's ability to land big shots and mix in takedowns, but admits the fight could go either way.

"I'm actually going to take oshmo to win here just because I don't know you know Peak"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody echoes Paul's sentiment, praising Peek's chin, heart, and relentless pressure. He notes Ashmouz's lack of grappling and tendency to get taken down, while Peek's wrestling has improved. He expects Peek to walk through Ashmouz's strikes and land a knockout.

Trevor Peek by KO
"sign me up for Peak baby"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel is a fan of Trevor Peek's fighting style and believes Ashmouz is KO-or-bust. He criticizes Ashmouz's low volume and reliance on one big shot, and thinks Peek can outwork him to a decision or catch him. He notes that Ashmouz struggled when he couldn't get the knockout against Chris Duncan. Daniel sees multiple paths to victory for Peek.

"I really think ashm is KO or bust in this spot and I think that Trevor Peak has multiple pass to Victory... I'm going Trevor Peak to outwork yanal ashm and get this dub."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Peek is durable, aggressive, and has never been finished. Ashmouz hits hard but may struggle to keep the fight at range. In a pocket exchange, Peek's power and chin could prevail. However, the host prefers to watch rather than bet heavily, as this fight reveals ceilings for both.

Trevor Peek by knockout
"I'm going to lean Peak here Peak by knockout but I'd rather sit back and watch this on the sidelines."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul is a fan of Peek's style and believes his durability, pressure, and power will overwhelm Ashmouz, who is more technical but lacks grappling and has shown vulnerability to pressure. He notes Ashmouz's poor takedown defense and tendency to fade. He picks Peek by KO.

Trevor Peek by KO
"give me TR Peak by KO and yeah this is actually just like greediness and toughness overcoming a slight speed and Technical Advantage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Yanal Ashmouz

The MMA Guru picks Yanal Ashmouz over Trevor Peek. He praises Ashmouz's power and notes he fought Chris Duncan with a broken arm and still went to a decision. He believes Peek is too hittable and that Ashmouz is primed to land big KO blows. He predicts a TKO win for Ashmouz, though he admits he will be rooting for Peek.

TKO prediction
"I'm going to go with Yan Al ASAS getting this one done probably by TKO"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charlie Campbell 0 47 of 97 48% 62 of 118 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:15
Trevor Peek 0 54 of 100 54% 100 of 153 4 of 10 40% 0 1 5:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charlie Campbell 0 19 of 41 46% 19 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:05
Trevor Peek 0 27 of 50 54% 43 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Charlie Campbell 0 24 of 45 53% 33 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:16
Trevor Peek 0 24 of 39 61% 35 of 53 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:49
3 Charlie Campbell 0 4 of 11 36% 10 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Trevor Peek 0 3 of 11 27% 22 of 34 2 of 4 50% 0 1 3:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charlie Campbell 47 of 97 48% 32 of 77 6 of 11 9 of 9 34 of 81 10 of 11 3 of 5
Trevor Peek 54 of 100 54% 20 of 50 18 of 29 16 of 21 40 of 80 13 of 18 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charlie Campbell 19 of 41 46% 10 of 28 2 of 6 7 of 7 17 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2
Trevor Peek 27 of 50 54% 7 of 21 9 of 13 11 of 16 22 of 44 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Charlie Campbell 24 of 45 53% 18 of 38 4 of 5 2 of 2 14 of 33 8 of 9 2 of 3
Trevor Peek 24 of 39 61% 11 of 20 9 of 15 4 of 4 16 of 29 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Charlie Campbell 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 3 of 11 27% 2 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 2 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.

Angelo suggests 'inside the distance - no action' bet because finishing Peek is almost impossible; he may bet moneyline if line moves further
"Trevor Peak is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.

win by second round KO
"I'm going to pick Peak with like no confidence... I think Peak starts to to get it together and maybe find a finish in that second round so I'll take Trevor Peak to win this fight by second round KO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.

by KO
"Trevor Peak knockout one... let's get it Trevor ever Peak fight week baby"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.

"I'm going to go Trevor Peek to take over late."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.

Campbell by decision; fight starts round two
"I am going to lean with Campbell in this matchup I think he's the technically better and Slicker fighter here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.

by KO
"Trevor Peak is that dog... if this is 50/50 or Trevor Peak is the favorite you might be reconsidering it but a plasman this is a do pass all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.

TKO win predicted
"I'm GNA go Charlie Campbell I know Alex Reyes isn't that good but I urge you guys to watch that fight he had really good striking accuracy"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevor Peek 0 43 of 92 46% 47 of 96 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:24
Mohammad Yahya 0 61 of 97 62% 83 of 123 4 of 7 57% 0 0 5:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevor Peek 0 8 of 13 61% 12 of 17 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:18
Mohammad Yahya 0 16 of 25 64% 25 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:13
2 Trevor Peek 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 0 23 of 39 58% 23 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
3 Trevor Peek 0 14 of 33 42% 14 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Mohammad Yahya 0 22 of 33 66% 35 of 50 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevor Peek 43 of 92 46% 28 of 70 14 of 21 1 of 1 41 of 90 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 61 of 97 62% 32 of 61 16 of 23 13 of 13 50 of 83 6 of 9 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevor Peek 8 of 13 61% 5 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 16 of 25 64% 6 of 13 4 of 6 6 of 6 13 of 20 1 of 3 2 of 2
2 Trevor Peek 21 of 46 45% 16 of 35 5 of 11 0 of 0 20 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 23 of 39 58% 12 of 26 6 of 8 5 of 5 21 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Trevor Peek 14 of 33 42% 7 of 25 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 22 of 33 66% 14 of 22 6 of 9 2 of 2 16 of 27 3 of 3 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Angelo picks Trevor Peek after initially wanting to bet on Yahya. He notes Yahya gets hit too often and doesn't wrestle well, while Peek has a granite chin and relentless pressure. He thinks Peek's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, even though Peek is not very skilled.

"Trevor peak's going to be the pick he has had the biggest line movement on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek to win by first round knockout. He describes Peek as a wild, durable brawler with incredible toughness and cardio, while Yahya is just okay and has been finished in all three of his losses. Brady expects Peek to set a pace Yahya cannot handle and win a chaotic brawl. He also likes the prop of Peek over 77.5 fantasy score on PrizePicks.

first round knockout, over 77.5 fantasy score
"give me Trevor Peak to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody picks Peek, emphasizing his toughness and power. He notes that Yahya is a one-dimensional striker with no grappling, and that Peek's pressure will eventually land. Cody expects a KO, possibly in the second round after Yahya tires.

Peek by KO, under 1.5 rounds
"I'm in on Peak too he's my boy I'm not going to go against my boy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel picks Trevor Peek to win, describing him as an elite brawler with durability and power. He notes that Mohammad Yahya has been dropped by lower-level competition and thinks Peek's firepower will be too much. He acknowledges that Peek can fade and is not technically sound, but believes Peek's durability and brawling style will prevail. He also mentions the possibility of hometown judging but thinks a finish would negate that.

Peek minus 155, Yahya plus 130; mentions possibility of Peek fading but still winning
"I think Trevor peak's gonna win this fight... I think that the durability of Trevor Peak is GNA be a big difference here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Yahya is hittable and leaves his chin on the center line, which plays into Peek's power. Peek is durable and has better grappling defense than expected. Expects Peek to land big shots and find a knockout within the first two rounds. However, he feels queasy playing Peek at short odds due to his skill shortage.

inside the distance, round 1 or 2
"I feel like Peak is going to go out there and and find that chin probably within the first two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul picks Peek, noting that Yahya is a local fighter with limited skills and poor grappling. He believes Peek's pressure, durability, and power will overwhelm Yahya, who has a weak chin and no plan B. Paul expects a KO finish, likely in the first two rounds.

Peek by KO (+120), under 1.5 rounds
"I also think Trevor Peek could take him down the thing is is I don't think Trevor Peek has got great top control yet so like even though he can get takedowns they're mostly muscle"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

The MMA Guru picks Trevor Peek by first-round KO. He was initially leaning towards Yahya but was unimpressed by Yahya's regional fight where he was dropped and outgrappled. He trusts Peek's chin and believes the fight will be a sloppy brawl that favors Peek. He notes Peek has good takedown defense and Yahya's grappling isn't good enough to win.

Peek wins in round 1 by KO
"I'm going Trevor Peak by KO so I'm going to go by I'm going to go Trevor Peak their Rens in odds and I'm going to take him by KO here in the first round over Muhammad Yaya"
LOSS vs Chepe Mariscal
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 51 of 125 40% 65 of 140 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:23
Trevor Peek 0 71 of 117 60% 145 of 203 4 of 12 33% 1 1 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 24 of 59 40% 29 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Trevor Peek 0 26 of 51 50% 45 of 71 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:49
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 13 of 22 59% 16 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:52
Trevor Peek 0 12 of 17 70% 44 of 54 1 of 4 25% 0 1 2:33
3 Chepe Mariscal 0 14 of 44 31% 20 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Trevor Peek 0 33 of 49 67% 56 of 78 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 51 of 125 40% 25 of 91 23 of 31 3 of 3 39 of 105 12 of 20 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 71 of 117 60% 51 of 94 11 of 14 9 of 9 41 of 78 20 of 23 10 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 24 of 59 40% 14 of 45 8 of 12 2 of 2 19 of 50 5 of 9 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 26 of 51 50% 18 of 41 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 32 7 of 8 7 of 11
2 Chepe Mariscal 13 of 22 59% 6 of 12 7 of 10 0 of 0 6 of 12 7 of 10 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 12 of 17 70% 6 of 11 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 6 5 of 6 3 of 5
3 Chepe Mariscal 14 of 44 31% 5 of 34 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 43 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 33 of 49 67% 27 of 42 3 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 40 8 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his superior experience and skills. He notes Chepe is a fantastic grappler who can duck under Trevor Peek's chaos and get takedowns. He mentions the line has moved from +170 to +155 and he has a quarter unit on Chepe at +155. He also strongly recommends the 'does not go the distance' prop as a safer bet.

does not go the distance; quarter unit on Chepe at +155
"I'm gonna pick chepe to win here he's got more experience more actual skills"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Mariscal is probably the better fighter with tougher competition. He compares it to the Torres-Moda fight where the better striker lost to a big shot. He trusts Peek's chin and toughness, noting Peek took a beating on the Contender Series and came back to finish. He also notes Mariscal is moving up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I like Trevor Peak here and I like Trevor Peak to make this an absolute war and knock out mariscal in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody picks Peek, citing his durability and power. He thinks Peek's pressure will eventually overwhelm Mariscal, who has questionable durability. He notes Peek's size advantage and the rumor of a quick turnaround if he wins.

Peek by KO mentioned.
"I think at some point the dog's gonna come out of peak peek's gonna land something put him away."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Connor picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging he is a terrible technician. He loves Peek's insane confidence and recklessness, which makes him effective. Connor notes that Peek is a great athlete with fast and powerful strikes, and his chaotic style overwhelms opponents. He thinks Mariscal is not technical enough to cross that confidence and will get drawn into a messy brawl. Connor admits he will keep picking Peek until and probably after he loses because he enjoys watching him fight.

"I'm going to keep picking Trevor Peak until and probably after he loses because I just love it."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel Levi picks Trevor Peek, citing his physicality, power, and ability to take a shot. He thinks Mariscal is smaller and has been knocked out before. He believes Peek's brute strength and fight-changing power will be too much, especially as the fight goes on. He notes Peek's improved training after quitting his job.

"I think Trevor's gonna catch him um at some point in this fight so let's go Trevor"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The host picks Chepe Mariscal to win, possibly by finish. He believes Mariscal is more experienced and talented overall, with a solid grappling and striking game. He notes Peek's brawling style and durability but thinks Mariscal can take advantage of Peek's aggression. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop, but is cautious about Mariscal's durability.

fight doesn't go to decision
"give me Jose chepe mariscal to pull off the upset here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul leans towards Mariscal, citing his technical kickboxing and speed. He thinks Mariscal can outpoint Peek and avoid his power. He acknowledges Peek's toughness but believes Mariscal's technique will prevail.

Fight of the Night considered.
"I'll lean towards chapter mariscal mostly just to trigger you."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

The Guru picks Trevor Peek, calling him the 'Derek Lewis of the lightweight division' with good get-ups from takedowns and dangerous first-round power. He believes Mariscal, making his UFC debut on short notice, may have octagon jitters and get smoked. He predicts Peek will march forward, get up from takedowns, and finish with a standing hammerfist.

Predicts standing hammerfist KO in the first round.
"I'm going to be going with Trevor Peak here I'm going with the standing hammerfist KO in the first round let's keep the meme alive"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Zane picks Mariscal, reasoning that while Peek is fun to watch, his technique is terrible and he is a bad fighter. Zane notes that Mariscal has more technique and is always on the borderline of throwing it all away to brawl, but that inconsistency is a problem. However, Zane thinks Mariscal's ability to be a messy scrapper who can overwhelm opponents gives him the edge. He acknowledges that Peek's confidence and athleticism make him dangerous, but ultimately believes Mariscal's slightly better technique will prevail.

"I don't think that that serves him better. You know, not knowing or not being able to have the kind of fight you want. Is against somebody like Trevor Peak. That just gives me more pause about your ability to …"
KO (punches) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevor Peek 0 7 of 29 24% 11 of 35 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:15
Erick Gonzalez 2 51 of 86 59% 51 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevor Peek 0 7 of 29 24% 11 of 35 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:15
Erick Gonzalez 2 51 of 86 59% 51 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevor Peek 7 of 29 24% 5 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
Erick Gonzalez 51 of 86 59% 38 of 70 8 of 11 5 of 5 36 of 67 9 of 12 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevor Peek 7 of 29 24% 5 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
Erick Gonzalez 51 of 86 59% 38 of 70 8 of 11 5 of 5 36 of 67 9 of 12 6 of 7
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erick Gonzalez

Connor picks Gonzalez, noting that he has a five-inch reach advantage and should be able to stick at range with jabs and kicks. He acknowledges that Gonzalez doesn't maintain range well and gets into the pocket, but he believes Gonzalez is trying to be a good fighter and has better structure than Peek. Connor also points out that Gonzalez's early career losses were not by knockout, which is a good sign for his durability here.

Peek opened at -200, dropped to -172, now -199. Gonzalez opened +170, dropped to +144, now +164.
"I'll take guns all us to get this one I think you know generally for him the fighters who beat him are pretty good they're not complete messes most of the time"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Zane picks Peek because Gonzalez is made of glass and his style pushes him forward into the pocket, where Peek can land. He notes that Gonzalez is uncomfortable at range and gets clipped, while Peek is a messy brawler who will storm the castle. Zane admits Peek could get knocked out in the process, but he picks him to get the knockout.

Peek opened at -200, dropped to -172, now -199. Gonzalez opened +170, dropped to +144, now +164.
"I'm gonna pick him really yeah he's a messy brawler and Eric Gonzalez certainly has something to him yeah but he is made of glass"
Erick Gonzalez - Fight History
LOSS vs Trevor Peek
KO (punches) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevor Peek 0 7 of 29 24% 11 of 35 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:15
Erick Gonzalez 2 51 of 86 59% 51 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevor Peek 0 7 of 29 24% 11 of 35 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:15
Erick Gonzalez 2 51 of 86 59% 51 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevor Peek 7 of 29 24% 5 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
Erick Gonzalez 51 of 86 59% 38 of 70 8 of 11 5 of 5 36 of 67 9 of 12 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevor Peek 7 of 29 24% 5 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
Erick Gonzalez 51 of 86 59% 38 of 70 8 of 11 5 of 5 36 of 67 9 of 12 6 of 7
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erick Gonzalez

Connor picks Gonzalez, noting that he has a five-inch reach advantage and should be able to stick at range with jabs and kicks. He acknowledges that Gonzalez doesn't maintain range well and gets into the pocket, but he believes Gonzalez is trying to be a good fighter and has better structure than Peek. Connor also points out that Gonzalez's early career losses were not by knockout, which is a good sign for his durability here.

Peek opened at -200, dropped to -172, now -199. Gonzalez opened +170, dropped to +144, now +164.
"I'll take guns all us to get this one I think you know generally for him the fighters who beat him are pretty good they're not complete messes most of the time"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Zane picks Peek because Gonzalez is made of glass and his style pushes him forward into the pocket, where Peek can land. He notes that Gonzalez is uncomfortable at range and gets clipped, while Peek is a messy brawler who will storm the castle. Zane admits Peek could get knocked out in the process, but he picks him to get the knockout.

Peek opened at -200, dropped to -172, now -199. Gonzalez opened +170, dropped to +144, now +164.
"I'm gonna pick him really yeah he's a messy brawler and Eric Gonzalez certainly has something to him yeah but he is made of glass"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:17 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 18 of 37 48% 23 of 42 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:52
Erick Gonzalez 0 9 of 16 56% 10 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 18 of 37 48% 23 of 42 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:52
Erick Gonzalez 0 9 of 16 56% 10 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 18 of 37 48% 15 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0 14 of 32 3 of 3 1 of 2
Erick Gonzalez 9 of 16 56% 6 of 11 1 of 2 2 of 3 9 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 18 of 37 48% 15 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0 14 of 32 3 of 3 1 of 2
Erick Gonzalez 9 of 16 56% 6 of 11 1 of 2 2 of 3 9 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo is confident in Terrance McKinney despite his recent loss to Drew Dober. He emphasizes that McKinney dropped Dober multiple times and looked incredible before gassing, and believes Erick Gonzalez cannot survive that same onslaught. He expects McKinney to be more reserved but still win, and suggests he could be a parlay piece if his price isn't too high.

If he's at minus six great minus nine leave him out of your parlays
"I expect terence to come out probably be a little more reserved right he's coming off that that was bad that knockout or that stoppage so he'll probably be a little more reserved but he's absolutely the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady is confident in Terrance McKinney, noting his 100% finish rate and the fact that he is a massive favorite. He highlights McKinney's power and underrated wrestling, and points out that Erick Gonzalez has poor takedown defense and has been submitted twice. He predicts a first-round submission win for McKinney, though he acknowledges that if the fight extends, McKinney has slowed down in the past.

first round submission prediction, 100% finish rate mentioned
"i will take mckinney to win by submission but i do think mckinney whatever he does i think he does it pretty quickly here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody also picks McKinney, highlighting his explosive power and wrestling. He notes that McKinney's reckless style could lead to a counter, but Gonzalez has been knocked out before. Cody thinks the fight won't go past one round, but the odds offer no value. He jokes about McKinney's motivation to finish quickly.

McKinney wins in round 1 (minus 200); under 1.5 rounds (minus 245)
"McKinney probably finishes him in round one... at minus 1000 it adds nothing to my top ticket."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Daniel Levi picks McKinney but refuses to lay -900, citing McKinney's one-round cardio and tendency to fade or get caught if the fight extends. He acknowledges McKinney's athleticism and speed should overwhelm Gonzalez, but the price is too steep for a fighter with cardio issues. He recommends passing on the bet.

"I got Terence McKinney I'm just not willing to lay minus 900"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Paul picks McKinney but notes the line is unbeatable. He mentions McKinney's all-action style and tendency to finish early. Paul is concerned about McKinney's recklessness but believes he will likely finish Gonzalez in the first round. He suggests the over 1.5 rounds at +195 as a potential play if Gonzalez can survive.

McKinney wins in round 1 (steam to -250); over 1.5 rounds at +195
"McKinney probably finishes him in round one... it's a straight up pass."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney by first-round TKO, calling Erick Gonzalez a layup. He notes Gonzalez's KO loss to Jim Miller and lackluster regional record. He believes McKinney's speed and explosiveness will overwhelm Gonzalez, who may freeze up after his first KO loss. He acknowledges Gonzalez's size and reach but thinks McKinney is too quick.

first round tko
"i'm picking terrence mckinney shock over eric gonzalez... i think it's a recipe for eric gonzalez to freeze up early on and then get smacked out by terence mckinney by tko in the first round"
LOSS vs Jim Miller
KO (punch) R2 0:14 · UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Oct 16, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jim Miller 1 32 of 48 66% 43 of 60 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:55
Erick Gonzalez 0 14 of 37 37% 22 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jim Miller 0 27 of 41 65% 38 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:52
Erick Gonzalez 0 13 of 34 38% 21 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:02
2 Jim Miller 1 5 of 7 71% 5 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Erick Gonzalez 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jim Miller 32 of 48 66% 25 of 41 4 of 4 3 of 3 18 of 30 8 of 10 6 of 8
Erick Gonzalez 14 of 37 37% 10 of 30 3 of 5 1 of 2 11 of 33 2 of 2 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jim Miller 27 of 41 65% 20 of 34 4 of 4 3 of 3 16 of 27 8 of 10 3 of 4
Erick Gonzalez 13 of 34 38% 9 of 27 3 of 5 1 of 2 10 of 30 2 of 2 1 of 2
2 Jim Miller 5 of 7 71% 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 4
Erick Gonzalez 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jim Miller vs. Erick Gonzalez

Round 1
East coast meets west in this lightweight clash with the widest discrepancy in Octagon experience ever. Soon-to-be 38-fight vet Miller (32-16, 1 NC; 21-15, 1 NC UFC) out of New Jersey will be introducing “Ghost Pepper” Gonzalez (14-5, 0-0 UFC) to the organization. Winless since June 2020, Miller will try to right the ship and stave off conversations about retirement for another day, and referee Mark Smith will be right there should anything go awry. Ever the sportsman, Miller offers a glove touch, and the newcomer is happy to accept. Miller comes out with a few right hands, and Gonzalez keeps his left hand outstretched to keep the vet at bay. The newcomer connects with an overhand left, and he gets the inside of his leg kicked. Miller scores a solid left hand and a head kick, and he uses the momentum to press Gonzalez into the fence. Miller gets off a knee to the body and a right hand as he stays up close, and Gonzalez torques his foe around and throws him to the mat. Gonzalez claims half guard, and Miller attacks with hacking elbows from his back. Miller closes his guard tightly, Gonzalez breaks the legs and backs away. Miller gets back to his feet and keeps his guard up, blocking a head kick that comes right at him. A spicy combination from “The Ghost Pepper” cracks Miller, and the longtime vet is hurt and dives in for a takedown try to clear his head. He lands it, and now it is the newcomer who closes his guard as Miller hacks at him. Miller is unable to keep him down for long, and Gonzalez muscles his way back up to his feet as they slug it out. Miller gets tagged from a few punches, and he fires back to rock Gonzalez with a left hand down the middle. A leg kick from Miller forces Gonzalez to take his leg back, and he times another left that staggers Gonzalez. Miller continues to find the home for his left hand, rocking the newcomer badly as he goes from a smile to a grimace when the damage is done. Miller continues to rail into his opponent, but Gonzalez ties him up to keep himself in the game. Miller throws him down, blitzes him with a left, a right and a knee, but Gonzalez survives to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Miller

Round 2
The lightweights touch gloves to start off the second round, and Gonzalez lands a front kick that connects to the jaw.
When Gonzalez throws a half-hearted reverse crescent kick, “A-10” Miller launches a missile of a left hand that instantly separates Gonzalez from his consciousness. Like a puppet that had its strings cut, Gonzalez falls lifelessly to his knees and crumbles face-first to the ground.
Any follow-up strikes are merely academic as Smith sprints towards the fallen fighter to rescue him from further harm. What a knockout from Jim “Expletive Deleted” Miller, his first since UFC 200 over five years ago, who keeps his career very much alive with a vintage performance. As he explains deftly in his post-fight interview, “old dog, new tricks, I got a knockout.”

The Official Result
Jim Miller def. Erick Gonzalez R2 0:14 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Angelo picks Jim Miller confidently, noting his veteran savvy, toughness, and superior grappling. Gonzalez is a long striker who relies on range, but Miller will close the distance, make it dirty, and take the fight to the ground where he has a huge advantage. Miller's path is clear: get in Gonzalez's face, grind him against the cage, and work for a submission or control. Angelo likes Miller at 8700 in DraftKings and the more more on monkey knife fight.

Jim Miller wins inside the distance, more more on monkey knife fight
"I love jim miller at 8 700 bucks i do think they'll be takedown control time potentially a submission so jim miller 8 700 is probably pretty good play"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Big Brady picks Jim Miller by first-round submission, citing Gonzalez's poor takedown defense and Miller's recent first-round submissions. He notes Miller's gas tank is a concern if the fight goes longer, but expects an early finish. Gonzalez has been taken down easily in past fights.

by submission in round 1
"i'm gonna take jim miller here to win i'm gonna take him to win by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Cody picks Jim Miller to win by submission, noting that Gonzalez has poor grappling and has been wrestle-pounded in the past. He believes Miller's jiu-jitsu will dominate on the ground, and he likes the prop bets of Miller inside the distance, by submission, and a sprinkle on Miller round one. He is less inclined to bet the moneyline at -225 due to Miller's age and recent COVID recovery.

Miller by submission (+240), Miller inside the distance, Miller round one (+400)
"i like jim miller jim miller to win by sub"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Daniel picks Jim Miller to win by first-round submission, believing this is Miller's retirement fight. He notes Miller's nasty submission game and ability to go balls-to-the-wall in the first round, though his cardio fades after due to Lyme disease. He expects Miller to take Gonzalez down, take his back, and choke him out, leaving his gloves in the octagon.

First-round submission
"give me jim miller via first round submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)

The host is conflicted; he sees Fiorot as more technical but questions her grappling and durability against Silva's pressure. He leans toward Silva as a live underdog but ultimately wants to watch and learn. No clear pick is made.

Over 2.5 rounds -120, Fiorot by decision +205, Silva by submission +1100
"i just want to sit back and watch this fight because this for me is the test in terms of seeing where fyro's truly at"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Paul picks Jim Miller, emphasizing the massive experience gap and Miller's ability to secure takedowns and control the fight on the ground. He notes that Gonzalez's grappling has let him down repeatedly and that Miller should be able to exploit that. He also mentions that Miller is always in shape despite his age and health issues.

"i do have jim miller"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jim Miller

The MMA Guru picks Jim Miller by first-round guillotine choke, citing Gonzalez's lackluster competition and short-notice fight. He notes Miller's experience and ability to beat decent fighters, predicting he will catch Gonzalez with a counter and submit him. He dismisses Gonzalez's record as padded.

first round submission, guillotine choke
"i'm gonna go with jim miller here i think you'll get a guillotine choke"
Expert Picks (2)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erick Gonzalez

Connor picks Gonzalez, noting that he has a five-inch reach advantage and should be able to stick at range with jabs and kicks. He acknowledges that Gonzalez doesn't maintain range well and gets into the pocket, but he believes Gonzalez is trying to be a good fighter and has better structure than Peek. Connor also points out that Gonzalez's early career losses were not by knockout, which is a good sign for his durability here.

Peek opened at -200, dropped to -172, now -199. Gonzalez opened +170, dropped to +144, now +164.
"I'll take guns all us to get this one I think you know generally for him the fighters who beat him are pretty good they're not complete messes most of the time"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Zane picks Peek because Gonzalez is made of glass and his style pushes him forward into the pocket, where Peek can land. He notes that Gonzalez is uncomfortable at range and gets clipped, while Peek is a messy brawler who will storm the castle. Zane admits Peek could get knocked out in the process, but he picks him to get the knockout.

Peek opened at -200, dropped to -172, now -199. Gonzalez opened +170, dropped to +144, now +164.
"I'm gonna pick him really yeah he's a messy brawler and Eric Gonzalez certainly has something to him yeah but he is made of glass"