UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Jasmine Jasudavicius
3.7 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.71 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
2.59 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Gabriella Fernandes
3.51 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
5.31 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.42 TD Avg
18.0% TD Acc.
68.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Moneyline
FanDuel +108
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1000
Submission
BetMGM +1000
Decision
BetRivers +175
Gabriella Fernandes
Moneyline
BetRivers -121
KO/TKO
BetRivers +700
Submission
BetRivers +750
Decision
FanDuel +210
Jasmine Jasudavicius - Fight History
WIN vs Karine Silva
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 18 of 76 23% 72 of 138 3 of 5 60% 0 0 8:09
Karine Silva 0 15 of 43 34% 88 of 127 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 1 of 17 5% 5 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:49
Karine Silva 0 7 of 12 58% 36 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 9 of 37 24% 20 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:20
Karine Silva 0 4 of 21 19% 12 of 31 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 8 of 22 36% 47 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:00
Karine Silva 0 4 of 10 40% 40 of 51 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 18 of 76 23% 11 of 65 5 of 9 2 of 2 17 of 74 1 of 2 0 of 0
Karine Silva 15 of 43 34% 5 of 30 1 of 3 9 of 10 14 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 1 of 17 5% 0 of 13 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karine Silva 7 of 12 58% 2 of 6 1 of 1 4 of 5 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 9 of 37 24% 4 of 32 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 35 1 of 2 0 of 0
Karine Silva 4 of 21 19% 2 of 17 0 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 8 of 22 36% 7 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karine Silva 4 of 10 40% 1 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Karine Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-300); Silva (+250)

Round 1
The final women’s bout of the evening could perhaps put the victor closer to a title shot than any other match on the billing. Canada’s own Jasudavicius (14-4, 8-3 UFC) had her momentum blunted last October when Manon Fiorot punched her out, so she will look to put another run together. She starts by facing Fighting Nerds representative Silva (19-6, 5-2 UFC). The referee will be Jerin Valel, who watches over the flyweights that elect to touch gloves.
They are tentative to engage right off the bat, both hovering around the center of the Octagon with little more than a single leg kick to show for it after 30 seconds. Silva strikes with another calf kick after the ensuing lull, and her front kick goes wide. Jasudavicius looks to string a right hand down the pipe, but Silva parries it. It is nothing but shadowboxing for the two for minutes at a time.
Shortly after the midpoint of the round, Silva tries to clinch up and knee, but Jasudavicius pushes her away before long and they resume their staring contest. Jasudavicius considers catching a kick to take the fight down, Silva recoils it in time. This results in a clinch, and when Silva tries to throw her foe down, Jasudavicius counters her and trips her to the mat. The Canadian lowers herself into the guard, and Silva fastens it tightly around her waist. Silva lifts one leg up for a rubber guard, and she brings her other to tie Jasudavicius up and even sit up for an insanely flexible triangle choke setup. Jasudavicius mashes her back down to smother Silva down, but she is still caught in this arms-in triangle choke. Silva has her leg cinched around the right shoulder, the pressure on the back of Jasudavicius’ squeezing her into the chest of the Brazilian. The round ends seconds before the clock said the round was over, possibly saving Jasudavicius from a precarious predicament.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
There are no strikes seriously thrown for the first 25 seconds of the round, until Jasudavicius attempts to string a jab and follow-up behind it. Silva elbows her on the forehead, and Jasudavicius kicks her away. Silva leans and offers up a right hand, and she sways back to evade the expected counter that does not come in full force. Jasudavicius probes with a long front kick as the lulls in the action begin to grow, punctuated with brief exchanges of two or three punches and a possible kick. Silva catches the body kick and knocks her back a step with a right hand, releasing the limb to get more going but nothing follows it. Jasudavicius pinpoints a one-two while Silva ducks down for a possible level change, and she is out of range of a front kick tossed her direction. Jasudavicius marches Silva down and shoots in for a single, and she finds herself in immediate guillotine choke submission danger. Jasudavicius lets go of the takedown, and Silva jumps guard in hopes of locking it down but recovers her footing when Jasudavicius is not going down.
Jasudavicius shakes out of the sub attempt and resets of her own accord, where she proceeds to jab her way forward. The Canadian dives after a double, completing it to put Silva on her back on the corner between the floor and the fencing. Jasudavicius pulls Silva away from the cage to position herself in side control, and Silva wraps her legs around the back of her foe’s head for a potential reverse triangle choke. Jasudavicius frees herself without much concern and drops down punches and knees to the side. Silva pushes her feet off the cage to put herself in a better place than the north-south that has materialized, but Jasudavicius smothers her down and begins drumming on her face with her free right hand. Silva protects her self by placing it under Jasudavicius’ backside until Jasudavicius turns to put herself in a more traditional side control. The round ends with Jasudavicius hacking down with short elbows, and she stands up and raises up her index finger to the crowd.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 3
The first official strike comes seven seconds into the round courtesy of the Brazilian, who chops at the inside and outside of Jasudavicius’ lead leg. Jasudavicius reaches with a right hand and comes up short. Jasudavicius fakes a level change and stands Silva up with an uppercut, appearing to come out more aggressively as she dings Silva with a second uppercut. Jasudavicius shoots in on the hips and places Silva gingerly to her back. Silva uses her rubber guard right leg to wrap it up behind Jasudavicius’ head early, but she does not have the flexibility or gumption at the moment to do the same with her left. This results in nothing but pitter-patter bops to the side of Jasudavicius’ face. Silva slithers her leg up around the shoulder to tie up a triangle choke, and Jasudavicius sits up to keep the pressure off her neck and pitches the legs to the side to climb into side control. From there, the Canadian drops down the shortest of elbows anywhere she can find them, be it the shoulder, face, stomach or elsewhere.
Silva bucks and kicks, bringing Jasudavicius back to half guard but not taking any pressure off herself as Jasudavicius is using heavy shoulder and chest pressure to keep Silva stuck in this position. Jasudavicius is active enough with her offense, nothing overwhelmingly damaging but it is enough to keep Valel at bay. Silva pushes and kicks off the cage, getting warned for hooking her toes in it to move herself around, and she wraps her right leg up and around the back to set up an extremely unorthodox buggy choke. This stifles Jasudavicius from getting off more offense, although the submission danger is not very great from this specific angle. Silva clings to her sub effort until she runs out of steam in her arms and bursts over to flip to her knees. Jasudavicius follows her and keeps her on her back while raining down elbows, and time expires. The judges could go either way here.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Karine Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo confidently picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, using MMA math: Macy Barber took down Karine Silva three times, so Jasmine will do the same. He notes Karine struggles under pressure, while Jasmine never backs down. He dismisses Jasmine's recent loss to Manon Fiorot as a high-level opponent.

"Jasmine Jazzy the vicious, very confident pick here. I think she gets it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady confidently picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, highlighting her size, strength, and vicious ground and pound. He notes Karine Silva's poor takedown defense (20%) and tendency to slow down. Brady predicts Jasudavicius will take Silva down, beat her up with elbows, and eventually find a submission in the third round.

third round submission
"Give me Jasmine Jasudavicius by third round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Karine Silva struggles when taken down and that Jasudavicius has multiple paths to victory. He acknowledges the price is high but expects her to win.

"I got Jasmine Jissius, but is the kind of thing you can put on the top? No, because it is women's MMA, but she's one of those favorites that I'm going to have to bite down and accept the price …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel views Jasudavicius as a top contender who has improved her striking and maintains a relentless pace. He thinks Silva is dangerous but will fade, and that Jasudavicius can avoid submissions and dominate. He picks Jasudavicius to get back in the win column.

"I'm going to pick Jasmine Jasticious to get back in the win column in Canada."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius is a nightmare stylistic matchup for Silva. She is Canadian with home crowd, aggressive, well-rounded, and has a size advantage. Silva has poor takedown defense and gives up position on the ground. Jasudavicius can win standing or on the ground. Very high confidence she wins.

Good parlay piece
"I would be amazed if she were to lose this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

James predicts Jasmine Jasudavicius will win via round three finish. He expects Jasudavicius to survive early submission threats and use her pressure and cardio to gas out Silva, leading to a late TKO. He also suggests a 'round three or decision' prop.

Jasmine Jasudavicius wins in round three
"Jasmine Jazzicious via round three finish is my official prediction for this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The host believes Jasudavicius will be safe enough in the striking realm and that it's a matter of time before the fight hits the mat. He trusts her submission defense and thinks she will grind out Silva from top position, landing big damage. He predicts a decision win, as Silva has shown cardio issues and Jasudavicius can accrue control time and damage.

"I'm going to go Jazmine Vicious by decision as I think she'll be able to accrue enough control time and damage from top position to win this fight in front of her home country."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Paul also picks Jasudavicius but is not heavily invested due to the price. He thinks she wins by decision and notes the Canadian crowd support. He mentions that the line is accurate but sees no value at -300.

"She is my pick. I think she wins by decision, but her decision props like minus 150. So, it's just like that's probably about accurate as well."
LOSS vs Manon Fiorot
KO R1 1:14 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manon Fiorot 0 16 of 27 59% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 2 of 14 14% 2 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manon Fiorot 0 16 of 27 59% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 2 of 14 14% 2 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manon Fiorot 16 of 27 59% 16 of 26 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 16 0 of 2 8 of 9
Jasmine Jasudavicius 2 of 14 14% 2 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manon Fiorot 16 of 27 59% 16 of 26 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 16 0 of 2 8 of 9
Jasmine Jasudavicius 2 of 14 14% 2 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Manon Fiorot vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-250); Jasudavicius (+200)

Round 1
As the main card continues, the victor of this match may be arguably closer than any other on the card—besides perhaps Reinier de Ridder should he get it done—to a title shot. Fiorot (12-2, 7-1 UFC) lost in her last time out vying for it, but a win would go a long way in keeping her right in the conversation. On her way up is Canada’s Jasudavicius (14-3, 8-2 UFC), who might punch her ticket for flyweight gold if she pulls off the upset. Referee Dan Miragliotta—the crowd doesn’t like his assignment—will be the first to know who that winner will be, although he does not want to interfere and stays back as the ladies opt not to bump gloves together.
Fiorot gets right behind her jab, peppering the Canadian right out of the gate by doubling and tripling up on it. Fiorot pecks at Jasudavicius and scoots out of the way, beating the Canadian to the punch repeatedly. The quick punches have already started to have an effect on Jasudavicius’s nose. Jasudavicius sells out with a big right hand, and it skims off the shoulder. Fiorot slips to the side and delivers a sneaky left hand on the way out, and she times a sharp one-two that shocks Jasudavicius down to her core. Jasudavicius’ legs nearly give out beneath her like a baby deer on an icy lake, and Fiorot sees her opening and immediately strikes.
The Frenchwoman drives a knee to the stomach, and she puts another on Jasudavicius’ face as she throws her foe to her seat. Fiorot unleashes a fury of left hands to brutalize Jasudavicius, and with Jasudavicius on her knees reaching out with her left arm to Fiorot’s hip, Miragliotta decides that enough is enough and waves the fight off.
The audience is silenced in an instant, except for Jasudavicius screaming at Miragliotta that she was not out and that she was still fighting back. This is a huge win for Fiorot, not only ending her own stretch of decision wins but destroying the win streak of a promising up-and-comer who would have been a fresh new face for flyweight queen Valentina Shevchenko. Much like Joe Benavidez as the unrelenting gatekeeper to Demetrious Johnson’s historic reign, Fiorot eradicates a rising contender with one of the speediest finishes in women’s flyweight history.

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jasmine Jasudavicius R1 1:14 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her size, takedown defense, and striking. He expects her to manage range and stuff Jasudavicius's wrestling. He notes Jasudavicius's wrestling credentials but doubts she can close distance against Fiorot. He prefers Jasudavicius as a fantasy dart due to lower salary.

Fiorot wins decision, low fantasy scoring for both
"I think Manon Fiorot wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is impressed by Jasudavicius's improvements, especially her ground and pound and submissions. He thinks Fiorot's takedown defense hasn't been properly tested and believes Jasudavicius can get takedowns. He predicts Jasudavicius wins two rounds and takes a decision.

"I'm going to say Jasmine wins this fight. Picks up two rounds and wins this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, citing her excellent takedown defense and superior striking. He notes Jasudavicius struggles when she can't get takedowns, as seen against Cortez. Fiorot's lateral movement and volume will keep Jasudavicius at bay. Cody expects Fiorot to win by decision.

Fiorot by decision
"So for me it's a FO pick and a FO by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Connor picks Fiorot, emphasizing her physicality and takedown defense. He notes that Fiorot is difficult to deal with physically and escapes quickly when taken down. Connor thinks Jasudavicius's path to victory is through repeated takedowns, which is hard to envision. He believes Fiorot will outwork Jasudavicius in a scrappy fight, as she has done against other high-volume opponents.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.
"I think that that is really where Giussudevisius is going to land here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

James views this as a striker vs grappler matchup, with Fiorot having elite takedown defense and superior striking. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's ground threat but doubts she can secure takedowns consistently. James notes Fiorot's toughness from her fight with Valentina Shevchenko (broken nose) and predicts a dominant decision win.

"I got to pick man on throw here. Too physical, too much of a better striker, powerful. I don't think she finishes Jazz just cuz Jazz is so effing tough, but I'm picking man on throw here via decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manon Fiorot

The host thinks Fiorot's perpetual movement, footwork, and distance striking will cause Jasudavicius too many problems, leaving her a sitting duck on the feet. He expects a classic Fiorot performance leading to a decision victory.

"I think Fido's perpetual movement, footwork, uh, and her distance striking will cause Jaz Deviscious too many problems."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Fiorot's takedown defense against top grapplers like Blanchfield and Shevchenko. He believes Jasudavicius's striking is a hole and that Fiorot's speed and footwork will be too much. Paul expects Fiorot to win.

"I think it's a horrible stylistic matchup for her. Um Mopia Rose the side for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jasmine Jasudavicius. He notes Fiorot's close fight with Valentina Shevchenko and her takedown defense. He believes Jasudavicius's takedown-heavy style won't work against Fiorot, and that she lacks the striking to beat Fiorot. He predicts Fiorot will stuff takedowns and out-land Jasudavicius for a decision win.

decision win 29-28 or 30-27
"I'm going against Jasudavicius and I'm trusting in Manon Fiorot to get this one done by decision win, 29-28 or 30-27."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Zane picks Fiorot, citing her technical striking and ability to outwork opponents. He notes that Fiorot has consistently outstruck high-volume fighters like Blanchfield and Semenara. Zane believes Jasudavicius, despite her drive and improved takedowns, will struggle to repeatedly take Fiorot down and will be outworked on the feet. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's top game but doubts she can maintain control.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.
"But unfortunately, I think I have to pick Firo."
Submission R1 2:40 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jéssica Andrade 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 11 of 18 61% 27 of 37 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jéssica Andrade 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 11 of 18 61% 27 of 37 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jéssica Andrade 4 of 8 50% 0 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 5 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 11 of 18 61% 9 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jéssica Andrade 4 of 8 50% 0 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 5 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 11 of 18 61% 9 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jessica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-298), Andrade (+240)

Round 1
Andrade (26-13, 17-11 UFC), the winningest female fighter in the company, would like nothing more than to add one more to her ledger. Standing in her way will be significant betting favorite and sentimental local favorite Jasudavicius (13-3, 7-2 UFC), who rides the longest win streak (four) of her career. Referee Jason Herzog clocks the flyweights in as they get down to business, starting off with a glove touch. Andrade takes the center of the Octagon, while Jasudavicius looks for a jab that is out of range early. Andrade rushes out with a right hand and then hops back, and she leans in with kicks on the inside and outside of the lead leg. Jasudavicius kicks her back once, and she tags the Brazilian with a one-two. Andrade smiles at her. Andrade tosses out a right hand and a low kick, and her foe catches her with a long right hand. When Andrade tries to strike back, Jasudavicius lifts her in the air and slams her down hard. Jasudavicius starts beating on the former strawweight champ, landing punches and taking her back. Andrade looks to crawl back up, and Jasudavicius is a 125-pound weight on her back dragging her down. Jasudavicius gets one hook in and starts fishing for a rear-naked choke. When there is no submission, Jasudavicius smacks her on both sides of the head.
Jasudavicius flattens Andrade out, and she wraps up a rear-naked choke that is tight as a drum. Andrade posts off and tries to grit it out, but there is nothing she can do at this point in that position. With her other hand, “Bate Estaca” taps out
, and the roof on the building practically blows off. The Canadian releases the grip and rushes to her corner to celebrate, who award her with her Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt as a prize for the career-best triumph. It was smooth sailing for the Canadian, who barely got touched by one of the most dangerous women to ever grace the cage.

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Jessica Andrade R1 2:40 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo is confident in Jasmine Jasudavicius, calling it a tailor-made fight for her. He notes Jasmine is a wrestler with great hips and cardio, while Andrade is a bully without great takedown defense. He expresses minor concern about Jasmine's win streak and whether she's truly top-tier, but ultimately picks her. He mentions possibly parlaying her with Mike Malott.

Considering parlay with Mike Malott
"This should be Jasmine all day. This is a tailor made fight for her. A smaller girl who doesn't have great takedown defense. Jasmine should be able to come forward and grind."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is confident in Jasudavicius, citing her size, strength, and ground game. He notes Andrade has poor takedown defense and looks like a white belt off her back. He predicts Jasudavicius will dominate on the ground, eventually securing a submission in the second round, possibly a front choke or crucifix TKO.

Jasudavicius wins by submission in round 2
"I'll say second round submission for Jasmine. I think she's going to pound away at Andraj and eventually snatch at the neck."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The host views this as a perfect stylistic matchup for the Canadian Jasudavicius, expecting her to avoid Andrade's power striking and use her size and reach advantage to take the fight to the ground. He predicts she will land big shots from top position and get a TKO victory.

Wins by TKO
"I believe this is a perfect stylistic matchup for the Canadian as I expect her to really stay away from the power striking of Andraj eventually work to get this fight to the ground."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The MMA Guru picks Jasudavicius, noting her recent dominance and improvement. He thinks Andrade loses presence at flyweight and can be overwhelmed by a scrappy, larger opponent. He expects Jasudavicius to mix striking and grappling, eventually securing takedowns and control, winning by decision.

decision
"I'm going to go with Jasmine Jasuda Vicious. She's been very very good recently in her career. She's actually been quite dominant recently in her career as well."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 56 of 105 53% 164 of 229 3 of 5 60% 0 0 7:11
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 37 of 72 51% 41 of 76 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 14 of 25 56% 35 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:48
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 10 of 18 55% 10 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 30 of 54 55% 62 of 88 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:20
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 21 of 38 55% 24 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 12 of 26 46% 67 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:03
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 6 of 16 37% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 56 of 105 53% 23 of 66 20 of 26 13 of 13 48 of 94 8 of 10 0 of 1
Mayra Bueno Silva 37 of 72 51% 23 of 53 8 of 12 6 of 7 30 of 64 7 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 14 of 25 56% 5 of 14 5 of 7 4 of 4 13 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 10 of 18 55% 4 of 10 2 of 3 4 of 5 10 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 30 of 54 55% 14 of 36 9 of 11 7 of 7 27 of 49 3 of 4 0 of 1
Mayra Bueno Silva 21 of 38 55% 15 of 29 4 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 32 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 12 of 26 46% 4 of 16 6 of 8 2 of 2 8 of 21 4 of 5 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 6 of 16 37% 4 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius

Round 1
Attention next shifts to the 125-pound weight class, where Bueno Silva (10-4-1, 5-4-1 UFC) awaits Jasudavicius (12-3, 6-2 UFC) in a compelling women’s flyweight affair. Mark Smith officiates. No glove touch. Bueno Silva rushes to the center and stars with a leg kick. Rear-leg front kick to the midsection from the Brazilian. Jasudavicius fires of a two-punch volley and circles off the fence. They trade and separate. Bueno Silva sneaks in a left hook and backs it up with two leg kicks, followed by a one-two. Jasudavicius circles, then secures a takedown. Bueno Silva catches a guillotine. Jasudavicius breaks the grip and sets up in full guard. Two minutes to go. Jasudavicius passes side control and lands in a topside crucifix. Short elbows fall. Bueno Silva frees herself briefly, but the Canadian cuts off her escape and powers into half guard. Bueno Silva mostly neutralizing her from the bottom, but Jasudavicius still manages to sneak in a few shots. Bueno Silva makes a pass at a leg lock as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicus
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicus

Round 2
Bueno Silve emerges with a significant hematoma above her left eye. They circle one another in the center. One-twos from Jasudavicius. Bueno Silva threatens with a standing guillotine but releases the choke. The Brazilian grabs the Thai clinch and throws a few knees. Nice counter right hand over the top from Jasudavicius. Bueno Silva stalks forward and connects with two vicious left hooks to the body. Now, the Brazilian gets her jab in gear. Powerful one-two from Jasudavicius, followed by a front kick to the body. Midway through the round. Bueno Silva closes the distance and fires elbows from both sides. Right hand over the top from Jasudavicius. The Canadian clinches and lands an elbow on the break. Jasudavicius secures a takedown, scores with shoulder strikes, controls the scramble and scores with ground-and-pound. Bueno Silva hunts a leg lock. No luck. Jasudavicius closes with ground-and-pound.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 3
Jasudavicius likely enters the final round with a lead. Bueno Silva’s movements labored now. Jasudavicius circles. Bueno Silva cuts loose with a combo and mixes in a nice elbow. The Brazilian stalks, lands another elbow and then eats a few knees. They trade, with neither woman gaining a discernible advantage. Jasudavicius feints a takedown, resets and swoops in four a successful double-leg. Bueno Silva looks discouraged, as the action stalls. Jasudavicius passes to half guard and steps over into full mount. She frames an arm-triangle choke but bails on it. Bueno Silva surrenders her back. Jasudavicius pounding away with punches to the body and head. Back to mount for the Canadian. Jasudavicius stays busy with ground-and-pound and draws a warning for a head butt. Bueno Silva flirts with an armbar, only to eat more punishment before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius (30-26 Jasudavicius)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Mayra Bueno Silva—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling pedigree and ability to control where the fight goes. He acknowledges Mayra Bueno Silva's toughness and dangerous ground game, but notes that Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler. He mentions that public comments overwhelmingly favor Jasudavicius, which has increased his confidence, though he admits he's unsure if that's influencing him.

"Jasmine Jaz divicious is the pick I think she wins I'm more confident now than I was a few weeks ago"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady believes Jasmine Jasudavicius needs to get the fight to the ground, where she can control Mayra Bueno Silva. He notes Silva has poor takedown defense and doesn't mind being on her back, but is dangerous with submissions. Brady thinks Jasudavicius will be smart on top and win a decision, though Silva could be live for a submission. He predicts a 30-27 Jasudavicius decision.

decision
"Jasmine Jaz divicious by decision I think is the most likely outcome here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius's grappling will be the key to victory, allowing her to grind out a decision. She may also showcase improved striking from her Thailand camp, but her wrestling will bail her out of bad spots.

"I believe the grappling of Jasudavicius will prevail for her here... look for the grappling of Jasudavicius to bail her out of bad spots and that will allow her to grind this fight out and win it on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog, noting she has competitive fights with top-level fighters and wins that Jasudavicius could only dream of. He believes Silva's physicality, clinch work, and grappling will be key, and that she will be bigger at flyweight. He also suggests she may miss weight but still win.

"I'm G to go with Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog... she's a very physical female fighter... I think she will beat jaser vicious"
Submission (brabo choke) R3 2:28 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 42 of 92 45% 43 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 36 of 84 42% 130 of 218 3 of 5 60% 1 0 5:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 27 of 57 47% 27 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 13 of 46 28% 20 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 9 of 20 45% 10 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 17 of 28 60% 83 of 120 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:42
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 6 of 10 60% 27 of 38 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 42 of 92 45% 26 of 65 15 of 23 1 of 4 41 of 88 1 of 4 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 36 of 84 42% 29 of 76 5 of 6 2 of 2 24 of 70 1 of 1 11 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 27 of 57 47% 17 of 39 10 of 15 0 of 3 27 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 13 of 46 28% 10 of 42 2 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 9 of 20 45% 4 of 13 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 17 of 28 60% 15 of 26 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 16 0 of 0 10 of 12
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 6 of 15 40% 5 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 11 1 of 4 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 6 of 10 60% 4 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo is confident Jasmine wins, citing her superior wrestling and pressure. He disagrees with those who think Ariane da Silva is a bad matchup for Jasmine. He notes Ariane has improved but Jasmine is a better wrestler than Karini Silva, who outwrestled Ariane. He expects Jasmine to get takedowns and win, though he wishes the line were more affordable. He may add action as the week goes on.

"Jasmine wins this fight she is minus 184 wish she was a little more affordable than that but I am confident she gets the takedown confident she gets the win and we'll have some action on her as the week …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win by decision, but with some concern. He acknowledges that Ariane da Silva has improved her takedown defense significantly, stuffing many takedowns in recent fights. However, Brady believes Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler than those opponents and will get takedowns. He notes that if Jasudavicius can't get takedowns, she is in trouble on the feet, but he leans toward her wrestling winning out.

"I'll take Jasmine here to win this fight by decision could get sketchy she's probably going to eat some big shots but I'll take Jaz deicious to win this fight by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, expecting her to spam takedowns and rack up control time. He notes that Ariane Lipski has been taken down frequently in the past, and Jasudavicius's wrestling should be enough to win a decision. He acknowledges that Jasudavicius's striking is not elite but believes her grappling will be the difference.

"I expect her to go out there spam take Downs get rack up a whole bunch of control time and probably win a very convincing decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to pace Ariane da Silva, but notes it's a pass at the betting line. He acknowledges da Silva's recent improvements in maturity and output, but believes Jasudavicius's relentless pace and pressure will be too much. Vreeland expects Jasudavicius to push the pace and potentially get a finish, though he's not confident enough to bet at -225.

"I'm picking Jasmine jici is to come out here and the pace Arian lipsky"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius will put a grind on da Silva, put her in uncomfortable positions, chain wrestling attempts together, and win on the scorecards. Da Silva's defensive grappling improvements were against lower-level grapplers, and she struggled against more impressive grapplers like Jasudavicius.

"Jasudavicius should be able to put that grind on her put her in uncomfortable positions chain wrestling attempts together and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul picks Ariane Lipski as an underdog, arguing that her takedown defense has improved significantly since joining American Top Team, stuffing 21 straight takedown attempts before facing Karine Silva. He believes Lipski is the better striker and can keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes that Jasudavicius struggled to takedown Tracy Cortez and was out struck in that fight.

"I take a flyer on the underdog here for lipsky."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Ariane da Silva, noting Jasudavicius's recent decent performances and size advantage. He questions da Silva's consistency and believes Jasudavicius's momentum and reach will carry her to a win.

"I'm going to go Jasmine judicious little bit bigger as well little bit rangier that goes a long way in these lower divisions"
WIN vs Fatima Kline
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 40 of 89 44% 93 of 165 4 of 6 66% 1 0 7:48
Fatima Kline 0 39 of 81 48% 48 of 94 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 10 of 23 43% 31 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:32
Fatima Kline 0 4 of 12 33% 6 of 14 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:37
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 17 of 29 58% 29 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:25
Fatima Kline 0 16 of 31 51% 19 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 13 of 37 35% 33 of 61 2 of 4 50% 1 0 2:51
Fatima Kline 0 19 of 38 50% 23 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 40 of 89 44% 25 of 65 9 of 18 6 of 6 27 of 70 4 of 6 9 of 13
Fatima Kline 39 of 81 48% 32 of 73 5 of 6 2 of 2 33 of 74 3 of 4 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 10 of 23 43% 7 of 17 0 of 3 3 of 3 5 of 15 0 of 0 5 of 8
Fatima Kline 4 of 12 33% 2 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 17 of 29 58% 9 of 18 6 of 9 2 of 2 11 of 22 4 of 5 2 of 2
Fatima Kline 16 of 31 51% 13 of 27 3 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 25 2 of 3 3 of 3
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 13 of 37 35% 9 of 30 3 of 6 1 of 1 11 of 33 0 of 1 2 of 3
Fatima Kline 19 of 38 50% 17 of 36 2 of 2 0 of 0 18 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Fatima Kline
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kline (-122), Jasudavicius (+102)

Round 1
Originally expecting to face Viviane Araujo, powerful Canadian Jasudavicius (10-3, 4-2 UFC) will now meet the debuting Kline (6-0, 0-0 UFC). The unbeaten Kline, who held titles at two divisions in Cage Fury FC, steps up on extremely short notice as she previously planned on appearing on the Contender Series this season. Keeping tabs on the flyweights will be referee Joel Ojeda, and there is no glove touch to commence the matchup. Kline moves in and out to get going, changing stances frequently and ultimately landing with a leg kick for the first strike of the match. Jasudavicius answers a second low kick with a right hand counter, and she brings her leg up to check another kick. When Kline reaches her, Jasudavicius counters with a sharp left that knocks Kline back. Jasudavicius nearly sweeps the leg with a low calf kick, and she parries a jab coming back her way. Jasudavicius fires off a head kick that slams into the raised guard of her foe, and Kline pays it no mind and does not appear to hear the “USA” chants in support of her ringing through the cage. Kline crashes forward, walking through a low kick and tackles the Canadian to the mat as they possibly clash heads. Jasudavicius uses butterfly guard in hopes of a sweep, and she prevents Kline from getting on top. Kline tries to leap over her to get a better position, but Jasudavicius fights it off and turns the corner to lift the newcomer up and muscle her to the floor. Kline crawls to the corner of the cage wall, and Jasudavicius rains down right hands and an elbow that slams into the back of the head. Jasudavicius is warned for the illegal blow, and she stays heavy on top with one hook in and hunts for a rear-naked choke that results in a face crank. Kline pulls the arm away, and Jasudavicius hangs on from behind to trap Kline’s left arm from defending herself. Jasudavicius keeps working from on top until Kline lowers herself to her back, in part due to “The Archangel” fighting out of a rear-naked choke setup. Jasudavicius gets away with a knee that bumps into Kline’s face, and she unleashes some serious ground-and-pound including at least one more shot to the back of the head. Kline shifts and turns to stay active, and Jasudavicius mauls her until the bell ends the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 2
The women zoom out of their corners and pass one another, and Kline strikes first with a front kick. Jasudavicius replies with a low kick, and Kline splits the guard with a left hand. Jasudavicius fires off a head kick and backpedals to avoid two leaping punches coming her way. Kline beats Jasudavicius to the punch with a one-two, and she does this a second time as the Canadian staggers for a second and gathers her thoughts. The crowd is lathered up by the striking exchanges, and Jasudavicius reaches her foe with a right hand to calm them. Jasudavicius sneaks a right hand over the guard, and she shrugs off a body kick and resets. Jasudavicius takes a right hand and gives one back, and she snaps out a jab and pushes off with the ball of her foot. The two fight in a phone booth, and Kline gets her with an uppercut before breaking. Jasudavicius steps in with an elbow and backs away when a one-two finds the mark, and she paws out a left hook when Kline comes at her. Jasudavicius targets the body, and Kline retreats and tries to set up a trap to release an elbow while jumping. Jasudavicius ties her opponent up, and Kline circles around and hops on to take the back for a split second. Jasudavicius starts blasting the body with knees after turning Kline back around, and Kline’s body language changes and she is dragged down to a knee from the Canadian. Jasudavicius imposes her weight and puts Kline down, briefly flattening her out and hanging on in dominant position while blasting the unbeaten woman with elbows and punches. As Jasudavicius rides, she has one hook in and loops left hands behind and on the ear. Ojeda warns the Niagara Top Team fighter for another strike to the back of the head, and Kline turns around and ends up giving up her back. Jasudavicius welcomes this and hooks up the body triangle almost immediately, and she begins softening Kline up with body shots. Jasudavicius searches for a choke as Kline hand-fights effectively, and she occasionally gets off strikes as Kline twists and turns. Kline goes to her knees, and Jasudavicius flips around to snatch up an armbar. Kline bucks her off and smacks her with three hammerfists before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 3
Jasudavicius appears the fresher of the two as she jogs out of her corner to begin the last round, while Kline takes to the center of the cage and prods out a front kick. Jasudavicius jabs her back to the belly, and this fires Kline up. Kline lashes out with two mighty one-twos, stumbling the Canadian, but Jasudavicius rises and lets her have it with retaliatory blows. The two women go punch-for-punch and kick-for-kick, and Kline’s handiwork excites the fans enough to cheer for her again. Jasudavicius lets Kline bounce fists off her guard so she can loop strikes back, and Kline still manages to reach her with a few blows. Jasudavicius stays behind a jab and stings her foe with an uppercut, and they clash heads as they come together. Jasudavicius scores a right hand and a left, and when Kline backs off, Jasudavicius steps forward with an elbow. They tie up, and Kline tries to throw the Canadian to the floor but gives her back up standing. Jasudavicius wrenches Kline to the floor, and she lands on top and jacks Kline in the jaw with an elbow. Jasudavicius moves herself to half guard and quickly is able to assume full mount, but Kline’s scrambling ability allows her to stand up. This victory is short-lived, as Jasudavicius slings her back down to the floor like a sack of potatoes. Jasudavicius lands and immediately presses down heavily to trap Kline from bucking, and she smothers the newcomer and lands occasional body shots. Kline tugs her toes off the fencing to try to improve her position, and Ojeda tells her to knock it off. Kline closes her guard, and Jasudavicius does not mind as she continues to work Kline over with ground strikes. Kline turns her back, and Jasudavicius sells out for a rear-naked choke. Kline backwards somersaults, and Jasudavicius lets her do this so she can fasten the choke under the chin. Time expires before the submission lands, but Jasudavicius drills her with one thudding elbow after the fight ends. There is no ill will for the strike landing at 15:01, and they hug it out to conclude the flyweight pairing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Fatima Kline via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius despite Fatima Kline's line movement from underdog to favorite. He believes Jasmine's superior wrestling, full fight camp, size advantage, and elevation experience will be key. He notes that Fatima is dangerous and a bad stylistic matchup as she also wants to wrestle, but Jasmine's offensive wrestling and pressure should prevail. Angelo is monitoring the line and may bet on Jasmine if the odds become favorable, possibly using a plus 3.5 round handicap.

Watching line movement; may bet on Jasmine at plus 3.5 rounds if available.
"I still think Jasmine wins I'm still going to pick Jasmine here because I think she's the better wrestler"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Fatima Kline

Cody picks Kline, citing her superior grappling and back-taking ability. He believes she can take Jasudavicius down and control the fight on the ground. He notes Jasudavicius's brawling style and thinks Kline's jiu-jitsu will be the difference.

Kline by decision (implied)
"I think Klein just makes it a grappling type fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Fatima Kline

Daniel Vreeland picks Fatima Kline to win her debut. He was initially skeptical but after watching tape, he believes Kline is a legitimate prospect with well-rounded skills. He notes her high-level training with Aaron Blanchfield and thinks she is technically superior to Jasudavicius. He acknowledges the short notice and altitude but is impressed by her tape.

"I'm actually gonna pick Fatima on short notice to come out here and beat uh Jasmine Jaz deicious in Colorado."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Fatima Kline

Fatima Kline is taking this fight on short notice but is a complete enough fighter to handle Jasudavicius' grappling-heavy approach. Kline has a slight striking advantage and will showcase she deserves to be at this level, winning by decision.

"I think she will have enough skills and a good enough overall game to deal with the grapple heavy approach of Jaz duv visus and get the better of the Striking real where I believe Klein has a smidgen of …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Paul picks Jasudavicius, citing her full camp and altitude preparation. He notes Kline's short notice and weight class jump, and believes Jasudavicius's experience and volume will be key. He expects a decision win for Jasudavicius.

"I'll ever so slightly side with Jasmine in this fight."
Submission (anaconda choke) R3 4:21 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 1 93 of 120 77% 326 of 398 2 of 5 40% 3 0 11:25
Priscila Cachoeira 0 24 of 50 48% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 32 of 43 74% 138 of 173 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:36
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 11 36% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 1 34 of 40 85% 110 of 129 0 of 0 --- 2 0 4:38
Priscila Cachoeira 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 27 of 37 72% 78 of 96 1 of 4 25% 1 0 2:11
Priscila Cachoeira 0 18 of 34 52% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 93 of 120 77% 84 of 109 6 of 8 3 of 3 23 of 34 2 of 3 68 of 83
Priscila Cachoeira 24 of 50 48% 19 of 44 3 of 4 2 of 2 20 of 45 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 32 of 43 74% 32 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 31 of 40
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 11 36% 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 34 of 40 85% 33 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 32 of 38
Priscila Cachoeira 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 27 of 37 72% 19 of 27 5 of 7 3 of 3 20 of 29 2 of 3 5 of 5
Priscila Cachoeira 18 of 34 52% 16 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 31 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-395), Cachoeira (+310)

Round 1
Jasudavicius will look to get the host country in the win column against Brazil’s Cachoeira, in a fight that was moved from 125 to 135 pounds apparently at Cachoeira's request. Referee Matt Rocca is the third person in the cage. The ersatz bantamweights set up in matching orthodox stances, and after a moment of cautious feeling-out, Cachoeira lands a sweeping hook. Jasudavicius steps in and takes Cachoeira down easily, dumping her onto her back near the fence. Jasudavicius sets up in the Brazilian’s half guard and rains down hammerfists from above. Cachoeira turns to the side and Jasudavicius takes the back with a single hook, then flattens her out with both hooks. Jasudavicius throws big punches to the head from back mount as the referee looks on closely. Cachoeira turns to her back, giving up full mount. Jasudavicius keeps throwing punches. Cachoeira manages to block a few with her arms, but most are getting through with varying degrees of impact. Ninety seconds left and Jasudavicius is in total control, thrashing the Brazilian with both hands. Cachoeira doesn’t even seem to be doing anything to escape the position, though she traps the left hand of Jasudavicius with her right arm, briefly slowing the assault. In the final 30 seconds, the pace slows, but Cachoeira remains flat on her back with Jasudavicius in full mount, throwing punches. The horn sounds on as one-sided a full round as you’ll see all year.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius

Round 2
Cachoeira, apparently not having learned her lesson, charges straight at Jasudavicius to open Round 2. Cachoeira lands a low kick and gets countered over the top with a right hand that drops her in the middle of the Octagon. Jasudavicius dives into half guard and resumes raining down punches and elbows. Jasudavicius moves to side control, then to mount, while keeping Cachoeira on the defensive with a steady stream of ground-and-pound. Cachoeira locks her arms behind Jasudavicius’ back, trying to control her posture, and Jasudavicius slides to side control, then places a knee on the belly of Cachoeira. Halfway into the round, Jasudavicius locks up a brabo choke from top position. Cachoeira’s hand hovers, appearing on the point of tapping, but she survives. Jasudavicius adjusts her position and attacks with the choke again. It looks very tight, but there is no tap forthcoming. Sixty seconds to go and Jasudavicius releases the choke, takes mount and goes right back to dropping elbows. Cachoeira is in survival mode, weakly trying to block the offense coming from the pissed-off Canadian. The horn sounds and we have a “Beatdown of the Year” candidate in the works here, folks.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius

Round 3
Cachoeira flicks out the jab once, twice. She changes stance and lands a left hand. Jasudavicius tries a double-leg takedown but Cachoeira manages to stay upright. Jasudavicius comes forward for another takedown and is met with a right hand that knocks her down off-balance. Cachoeira’s hands are at her waist, but she is landing punches and has thus far fought off both of Jasudavicius’ takedown attempts. Third time is the charm, however, as Jasudavicius hauls her down on her third try and moves instantly to side control, then to a mounted crucifix, there she begins dropping leather. Jasudavicius pivots to almost a north-south position, near to an inverted choke setup, but gives it up and goes back to dropping punches and elbows from top position. A minute left and Jasudavicius is basically sitting on Cachoeira’s head, knocking the cashews out of her with body punches.
Out of nowhere, Jasudavicius slaps on a modified, mounted guillotine choke and cranks. The tap comes in seconds, capping off 14 minutes of one-way traffic.
Wow.

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 4:21 via Submission (Anaconda Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo is extremely confident in Jasudavicius, calling her his most confident pick on the card. He highlights her wrestling background, pressure, and ability to take down opponents, noting that Cachoeira is vulnerable to wrestlers. He believes Jasudavicius will dominate via takedowns and control, and considers her at minus 400 to be great value.

Parlay piece; great value at minus 400
"this is my most confident pick on the card just straight up and it's Jasmine"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is confident in Jasudavicius due to her wrestling base and physical strength. He notes that Cachoeira struggles against wrestlers and is helpless on her back. He expects Jasudavicius to take her down repeatedly and win a decision. He also mentions Cachoeira's history of cheating but doesn't think it will matter.

decision
"give me Jasmine Jazz The Vicious to win this fight I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling and pace. He thinks she will mix in takedowns and control the fight, avoiding a brawl. He notes Cachoeira's vulnerability to wrestling and expects a clear decision or late stoppage for Jasudavicius.

"I think she'll utilize both things to beat Jasmine... a clear-cut decision or a late stoppage."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Jasudavicius is relentless with takedowns and physical, while Cachoeira has power and will cheat. He expects Jasudavicius to dominate on top and win a decision or get a finish, but acknowledges Cachoeira's threat on the feet.

"I'm gonna go Jasmine Jaz deicious here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Jasudavicius vs Cachoeira.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

I fully expect Jasudavicius to have no trouble getting this fight to the mat and then dominate with her wrestling. She has great scrambles and control from top position. However, I'm not 100% sold on her getting a finish, as Cachoeira might show enough resistance to grind out a decision. The moneyline at -370 is chalky but I feel the advantage is so far in Jasudavicius's favor that I might as well throw it into a parlay. I see this as a shoo-in spot for her to be dominant with her wrestling.

parlay, decision victory
"I fully expect Jaz de visus to have no trouble getting this fight to the mat and then it all depends on will the fighter that normally does not get finishes be dominant enough on the mat that she can …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul picks Cachoeira as a sentimental underdog, having bet her at +330. He hopes for a brawl and a KO, but acknowledges Jasudavicius is the more likely winner. He admits it's a heart pick.

"I'm not going to let cab fight in my country and not have at least a little ticket for it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her higher level of competition and technical skill compared to Priscila Cachoeira. He notes Jasudavicius's win over Miranda Maverick and her durability, while acknowledging Cachoeira's power advantage. He also mentions Jasudavicius's reach advantage and the home crowd factor in Canada.

"I am going to go of Jasmine Juda vicious I think she's lost to better opponents than Priscilla kakua"
LOSS vs Tracy Cortez
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 103 of 212 48% 116 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 77 of 206 37% 95 of 225 2 of 10 20% 0 0 3:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 39 of 75 52% 39 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 24 of 63 38% 25 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
2 Tracy Cortez 0 28 of 61 45% 29 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 18 of 56 32% 32 of 71 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:52
3 Tracy Cortez 0 36 of 76 47% 48 of 88 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 35 of 87 40% 38 of 90 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 103 of 212 48% 63 of 164 16 of 23 24 of 25 91 of 198 12 of 14 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 77 of 206 37% 43 of 148 25 of 47 9 of 11 58 of 176 19 of 30 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 39 of 75 52% 20 of 55 6 of 6 13 of 14 34 of 70 5 of 5 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 24 of 63 38% 14 of 47 6 of 12 4 of 4 20 of 57 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Tracy Cortez 28 of 61 45% 16 of 46 7 of 10 5 of 5 22 of 53 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 18 of 56 32% 11 of 40 5 of 13 2 of 3 14 of 48 4 of 8 0 of 0
3 Tracy Cortez 36 of 76 47% 27 of 63 3 of 7 6 of 6 35 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 35 of 87 40% 18 of 61 14 of 22 3 of 4 24 of 71 11 of 16 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tracy Cortez vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortez (-120), Jasudavicius (+100)

Round 1
Women’s flyweights step into the spotlight, as Cortez (10-1, 4-0 UFC) looks to build on a 10-fight winning streak and continue her climb on the 125-pound ladder. Jasudavicius (9-2, 3-1 UFC) steps into the Octagon on the strength of back-to-back victories over Gabriella Fernandes and Miranda Maverick. Jason Herzog serves as the referee. Jasudavicius turns down the glove tap, preferring to get right down to business. They paw at one another with jabs, as Cortez unleashes an inside leg kick and eats a counter right hand from the Canadian. Cortez connects in combination, setting up her attacks with the jab. Jasudavicius lands with a heavy outside leg kick and nearly spins around the Arizonan. Cortez’s hands look considerably sharper. Jasudavicius lands on occasion but lacks the necessary oomph to give her opponent pause. Cortez sneaks in a right hand over the top, fires more punches and finishes a combination with a clean left hook. Cortez shuts down a takedown attempt, threatens the neck and delivers a knee on the exit. Jasudavicius clinches but gets nowhere, and the flyweight separate. Cortez continues to connect in combination until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortez

Round 2
Cortez re-asserts herself with a sharp one-two to start the middle stanza. She keeps a safe distance with a push kick to the body, scores with a leg kick and exits into open space. Cortez delivers a knee up the middle at close range and snaps the Canadian’s head sideways with a searing left hook. Jasudavicius needs a change of pace. She backs up Cortez with a pair of head kicks, then throw punches down the middle. Cortez goes headhunting and leaves herself open for a takedown. Jasudavicius takes top position midway through the second round. Cortez, however, wall walks to an upright position but allows her opponent to sneak behind her. Jasudavicius powers her way to another takedown and moves to half guard before chipping away with punches. Cortez builds a base again and gets back to her feet, bracing herself against the fence. Jasudavicius lingers in the clinch for too long and ends up with her back to the cage. They move into open space with 20 seconds left and exchange.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 3
It looks to be anyone’s fight as Round 3 gets underway. Cortez connects with a right hand over the top and follows it with a leg kick. Jasudavicius presses forward, shoots on the hips and clinches. She works hard for a takedown, only to fail initially. The Canadian pesters Cortez with knees to the head in close quarters but allows her to move to the center of the cage. A clean one-two from Cortez backs up Jasudavicius, energizing the crowd with her efforts. They exchange in the center of the cage. Jasudavicius moves into clinch once more and connects with a knee on the break. Cortez spending too much time moving backward but continues to land, especially with her right hand. Fatigue becoming a factor for both women. Jasudavicius follows a knee with a partially blocked head kick and punches. Trash talk ensues after Jasudavicius gets away with pulling the hair in the center of the cage. Cortez keeps her hands busy in the waning seconds. This one could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortez (29-29 Cortez)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortez (29-28 Cortez)

The Official Result
Tracy Cortez def. Jasmine Jasudavicius—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her superior wrestling credentials and ability to keep the fight standing. He notes Tracy Cortez has poor striking and relies on takedowns, but Jasmine's wrestling defense is strong. He acknowledges Cortez could win if she initiates takedowns, but favors Jasmine's toughness and recent form. He has a half-unit bet on her at +100.

half unit bet at +100
"I like Jasmine to win I have a half a unit on her at plus one plus 100 much better odds now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady picks Cortez but acknowledges the fight could be close. He believes Cortez has better striking and grappling, especially top control, and that Jasudavicius has been outlanded at distance. He expects a decision and notes the crowd support for Cortez. However, he is hesitant due to the close line and the possibility of a wrestling stalemate.

goes to decision
"give me Cortez to win this fight I'll take Cortez to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasudavicius, noting her wrestling base, grit, and improvement. He points out Cortez's inactivity, weight issues, and vulnerability in recent fights. He believes Jasudavicius can stuff takedowns and outwork Cortez on the feet.

Cortez over 1.5 takedowns (Prize Picks)
"I got a women's MMA Underdog in the main event I'm gonna double up here and take a second one."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Levi picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her relentless pace and 'dog' mentality. He worries about Tracy Cortez's long layoff and mental health issues, and believes Jasmine will push the pace and potentially break Cortez in the later rounds. Levi acknowledges Cortez's technical wrestling advantage but thinks Jasmine's pressure and volume can win two rounds if she avoids being neutralized.

"I think that Jasmine she's got that dog in her and I think she's gonna push that pace"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Cortez is one of the best wrestlers in the division, with excellent takedowns and top pressure. Jasudavicius is coming off an upset win over Miranda Maverick, but I think there's recency bias; Cortez is a step up in wrestling. Cortez should close the distance and impose her will, winning by decision. I've already bet her at minus 170 and think she's still a good spot up to that range.

"I've already pulled the trigger and I feel like she's still a good spot up to that minus uh minus 170 ish range I think she'll have a decided advantage in the grappling and we'll see it on full display …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Paul leans toward Jasudavicius as an underdog, citing her wrestling, durability, and recent wins as a dog. He notes Cortez's inactivity, weight cut issues, and close fights. He likes Jasudavicius's pace and thinks she can outwork Cortez.

Cortez over 1.5 takedowns (Prize Picks)
"I'm kind of leaning towards the Canadian here in Jasmine."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Tracy Cortez, despite most people favoring Cortez. He believes Jasudavicius is more game, stronger, and tougher. He notes Cortez's split decision win over Justine Kish as a poor performance and highlights Jasudavicius's recent grappling dominance over Miranda Maverick. He expects Jasudavicius to win in the second and third rounds via stand-up fight.

"I'm gonna go with Jasmine just sudavicious over Tracy Cortez I think she's more game than Tracy Cortez"
Gabriella Fernandes - Fight History
LOSS vs Casey O'Neill
KO R1 3:11 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Casey O'Neill 1 25 of 66 37% 25 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriella Fernandes 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Casey O'Neill 1 25 of 66 37% 25 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriella Fernandes 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Casey O'Neill 25 of 66 37% 16 of 54 3 of 6 6 of 6 25 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriella Fernandes 8 of 33 24% 3 of 27 3 of 3 2 of 3 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Casey O'Neill 25 of 66 37% 16 of 54 3 of 6 6 of 6 25 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriella Fernandes 8 of 33 24% 3 of 27 3 of 3 2 of 3 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Angelo leans towards Gabriella Fernandes, citing her power and physicality, and Casey O'Neill's long layoff which might make her timid. He acknowledges Casey's volume and wrestling but thinks Gabriella's power could be the difference. He says it's not a hill he's willing to die on.

"I'm going to lean Gabriella here because I think the threat of power and Casey's long layoff... might have her a little timid."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Big Brady leans toward Gabriella Fernandes to win by decision. He likes Casey O'Neill's volume and submission game but is concerned about her long layoff due to injuries and her durability. He thinks Fernandes is the better striker and more physical, and if O'Neill can't get the fight to the ground, Fernandes will win. He notes Fernandes' poor performance against Stoliarenko but believes she is better than that.

Fernandes by decision
"I'm going to lean Fernandez here. ... I think she wins it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Cody believes O'Neill's grappling and volume will overwhelm Fernandes, who has poor takedown defense. He sees O'Neill as the better prospect and expects her to win.

"Casey O'Neill for me. I think she gets the win here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Connor also picks O'Neill, trusting her to play her game. He notes that Fernandes is inconsistent and can be wrapped up by aggressive fighters. He acknowledges that O'Neill's striking is crude but her pace is reliable.

"I'll take O'Neal too. At least I do feel I can trust her to play her game."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Daniel leans towards Fernandes due to her improved takedown defense, physicality, and activity, while O'Neill has had multiple layoffs. He sees it as close but favors Fernandes.

"I'm going to lean ever so slightly towards the physicality, the activity and the ever-improving and evolving game of Gabriella Fernandez to be the difference here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

The host expects O'Neill to learn from past losses and crash the pocket more effectively, mixing in grappling at opportune moments. He thinks O'Neill's top control will be key, leading to either a submission or a decision win. He notes O'Neill's layoff and training camp changes but believes she can dictate the pace and grind out a win.

decision
"I'm going to go with the latter of the two here as O'Neal wins by judges decision pulling off the upset there."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Paul picks Fernandes, citing her knockout power and O'Neill's inactivity. He has low conviction but thinks Fernandes can land a big shot.

"I'll pick Gabriela Fernandes, but I have next to no conviction there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The MMA Guru picks Gabriella Fernandes as a slight underdog, citing her momentum and physicality. He believes Fernandes has more power and damage advantage, while Casey O'Neill lacks power and relies on volume. He notes O'Neill's recent inactivity and cosmetic surgeries as potential distractions. He predicts Fernandes wins by decision.

decision
"I am going to go with Gabriella Fernandez, though."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Zane picks O'Neill because of her high output and ability to swarm, creating ugly clinches and dominant positions. He notes that Fernandes has been beaten by aggressive fighters who wrap her up, and O'Neill fits that mold. He also mentions that O'Neill's striking is ineffective but her pace wins rounds.

"I have to pick O'Neal here. Just to swarm, create ugly clinches and make one of those clinches work."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriella Fernandes 0 59 of 114 51% 59 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 61 of 161 37% 64 of 167 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriella Fernandes 0 19 of 45 42% 19 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 49 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Gabriella Fernandes 0 23 of 38 60% 23 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 18 of 43 41% 19 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
3 Gabriella Fernandes 0 17 of 31 54% 17 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 24 of 71 33% 26 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriella Fernandes 59 of 114 51% 38 of 91 15 of 17 6 of 6 58 of 112 1 of 2 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 61 of 161 37% 28 of 117 13 of 20 20 of 24 56 of 154 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriella Fernandes 19 of 45 42% 10 of 35 9 of 10 0 of 0 19 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 19 of 47 40% 9 of 32 1 of 3 9 of 12 19 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Gabriella Fernandes 23 of 38 60% 14 of 28 4 of 5 5 of 5 23 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 18 of 43 41% 9 of 32 1 of 3 8 of 8 18 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gabriella Fernandes 17 of 31 54% 14 of 28 2 of 2 1 of 1 16 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 24 of 71 33% 10 of 53 11 of 14 3 of 4 19 of 66 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Angelo picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her powerful striking and decent jiu-jitsu. He notes that Julija Stoliarenko is a dangerous grappler but has sloppy striking and is either armbar or nothing. Angelo believes if Gabriella can defend takedowns, she will beat Julija up and potentially finish her. He started with low confidence but moved to medium confidence.

"I think Gabriella, assuming she could defend the takedowns here, is going to beat the hell out of Julia and potentially finish her."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Big Brady is confident in Gabriella Fernandes, describing Julija Stoliarenko as the most one-dimensional fighter in the UFC with only an armbar threat. He notes Stoliarenko has no striking, no wrestling, and has been finished multiple times. Brady believes Fernandes will dominate on the feet and can also do damage on top if the fight goes to the ground. He predicts Fernandes will knock out Stoliarenko in the second round.

second round knockout
"I like Fernandez here. I think she knocks out Ranken. I'll say second round knockout for Gabriella Fernandez."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The host highlights Fernandes' striking advantage and physicality, expecting her to keep the fight standing and pick apart Stoliarenko from distance. He predicts a headkick knockout, showing confidence in a finish.

by KO (headkick)
"I think the striking advantage and physicality of Fernandez will allow her to keep this fight standing where she'll be able to pick apart stolen from distance and eventually line up a headkick to produce a knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The MMA Guru picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her recent win over Wang Cong and her solid jiu-jitsu. He believes Stoliarenko is a finish-or-be-finished fighter but Fernandes has the grappling to avoid submissions. He predicts a first or second round finish for Fernandes.

Fernandes wins by finish in round 1 or 2; also bet on Fernandes fight time under 10 minutes as part of a parlay
"I think she will find the finish in the first or second round here."
WIN vs Wang Cong
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:49 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriella Fernandes 0 46 of 111 41% 48 of 113 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Wang Cong 1 18 of 59 30% 19 of 61 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriella Fernandes 0 23 of 56 41% 25 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Wang Cong 0 6 of 26 23% 7 of 28 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
2 Gabriella Fernandes 0 23 of 55 41% 23 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Wang Cong 1 12 of 33 36% 12 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriella Fernandes 46 of 111 41% 15 of 66 21 of 32 10 of 13 46 of 111 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wang Cong 18 of 59 30% 13 of 50 2 of 3 3 of 6 18 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriella Fernandes 23 of 56 41% 7 of 30 12 of 19 4 of 7 23 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wang Cong 6 of 26 23% 5 of 22 0 of 1 1 of 3 6 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gabriella Fernandes 23 of 55 41% 8 of 36 9 of 13 6 of 6 23 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wang Cong 12 of 33 36% 8 of 28 2 of 2 2 of 3 12 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Angelo is very confident in Wang Cong, citing her kickboxing background and power. He believes Fernandes will struggle with Wang's power and resort to desperate takedowns. He calls it one of his most confident picks on the card.

"Wang should absolutely smoke her here the power is nuts"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Big Brady picks Wang Cong to win by decision. He thinks Wang is the better striker and also has a sneaky path to victory via takedowns, as Fernandes can be taken down and controlled on the mat. Despite the massive -800 line, Brady expects Wang to get it done, likely on the feet or with grappling.

"I like Wong here I think this this Line's crazy but you know Wong should get it done and probably by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Cody agrees, calling Wang a legitimate prospect with world-class kickboxing. He notes that Fernandes has been taken down and outstruck in recent fights, and Wang's physicality in the clinch will be too much. He expects Wang to win big, possibly by knockout or even submission, as she continues to develop her grappling.

"Everybody Wang Kong tonight I agree let's just keep the party rolling"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Connor also picks Wang, comparing her to a more athletic Yan Xiaonan with less experience. He notes that Fernandes is not a great grappler but a physical fighter, and Wang's athleticism and striking should prevail. Connor acknowledges that Wang's ground game could implode under pressure but thinks it's unlikely against Fernandes. He agrees the odds are too wide.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I gotta agree with the Wang pick. It is too wide. Wang has had six pro fights and the best fighter she ever fought was Wu Yanan, who is terribly unathletic."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Daniel Vreeland picks Wang Cong despite the steep -800 line. He highlights her clean kickboxing, having beaten Valentina Shevchenko in a kickboxing match, and her well-rounded game including takedowns. He acknowledges Gabriella Fernandes' power and improving get-up game but sees a clear technique gap. He expects Wang Cong to pick her apart, though not necessarily with a highlight-reel KO.

"I will pick Hong Wong to get this dub I simply think she's cleaner"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

James leans towards Wang Cong as a real prospect, but admits he hasn't done full tape study. He notes Wang's striking and thinks Fernandes is not a great fighter, but the -800 price is too high to bet. He may look for a decision or KO prop after further research.

"right now the pick is Kong Wang I think she could be the real deal"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Paul picks Wang Cong confidently, noting her elite striking and improving grappling. He points out that Fernandes is not a strong grappler and has been outmuscled in the clinch. He expects Wang to win by knockout, possibly early, and sees this as a showcase fight to build her up.

Wang Cong by knockout
"Wang Kong is the pick Wang Kong by knockout probably"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Wang Cong

The MMA Guru picks Wang Cong confidently, citing her aura, power, KO ability, and kickboxing background. He mentions she knocked out Victoria Leonardo and beat Valentina Shevchenko in kickboxing. He acknowledges Gabriella Fernandes is strong and athletic but lost to Jazzy Decious and Theresa Bleda. He predicts a KO win for Wang Cong.

KO
"I'm GNA have to go with Kong Wang to win this fight and I'm going to say that she gets the KO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Zane picks Wang Cong, citing her superior striking speed, power, and form. He notes that Fernandes is a cumbersome striker who will likely get countered repeatedly. Zane also mentions that Wang showed composure when grappled in previous fights, which should help against Fernandes' physical but not elite grappling. However, he warns that Wang is untested and the odds are too wide.

Wang opened -667, now -862; some books as wide as -1200. Fernandes opened +418, now +605. Zane says 'it is too wide' and notes Wang has only had six pro fights.
"I gotta take Wang. It is really hard for me to see Fernandes walking forward throwing arm punches by the bucket and not think that she will get countered over and over again really hard."
WIN vs Carli Judice
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriella Fernandes 0 169 of 323 52% 186 of 345 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:04
Carli Judice 0 119 of 234 50% 126 of 245 2 of 8 25% 0 0 2:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriella Fernandes 0 63 of 143 44% 64 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carli Judice 0 43 of 91 47% 44 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
2 Gabriella Fernandes 0 27 of 51 52% 40 of 69 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:45
Carli Judice 0 41 of 67 61% 45 of 73 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:52
3 Gabriella Fernandes 0 79 of 129 61% 82 of 132 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Carli Judice 0 35 of 76 46% 37 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriella Fernandes 169 of 323 52% 110 of 251 42 of 55 17 of 17 149 of 297 20 of 26 0 of 0
Carli Judice 119 of 234 50% 89 of 198 21 of 25 9 of 11 95 of 200 24 of 34 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriella Fernandes 63 of 143 44% 41 of 114 14 of 21 8 of 8 55 of 133 8 of 10 0 of 0
Carli Judice 43 of 91 47% 36 of 81 5 of 7 2 of 3 34 of 77 9 of 14 0 of 0
2 Gabriella Fernandes 27 of 51 52% 19 of 40 6 of 9 2 of 2 23 of 45 4 of 6 0 of 0
Carli Judice 41 of 67 61% 32 of 58 7 of 7 2 of 2 28 of 51 13 of 16 0 of 0
3 Gabriella Fernandes 79 of 129 61% 50 of 97 22 of 25 7 of 7 71 of 119 8 of 10 0 of 0
Carli Judice 35 of 76 46% 21 of 59 9 of 11 5 of 6 33 of 72 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Angelo picks Gabriella but calls it a razor-thin fight that should be 50/50. He notes Gabriella is a powerful, technical striker but has poor takedown defense, though Carli is not a wrestler. He thinks Carli's volume and forward pressure could be effective, but Gabriella's power and experience should prevail. He advises caution after last week's underdog women wins.

"Gabriella is going to be the pick but this is a razor thin fight that should be 50/50"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Cody picks Gabriella Fernandes, arguing that she has been matched against wrestlers and spent most of her fights on her back, but against Judice, who is a brawler, she will have a chance to strike. He notes that Fernandes has cleaner striking and more power, while Judice has volume but may tire. Cody expects a competitive fight and thinks Fernandes can win a decision.

"I'm going to take Gabrielle Fernandez to have a coming out party for once instead of spending 12 minutes off her back."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Daniel Vreeland picks Gabriella Fernandes, noting her physicality and knockout power. He acknowledges her weakness against wrestlers but believes Carli Judice is not a takedown threat. He expects Fernandes to have the bigger moments and win a decision, while Judice may outland in volume but lacks impact.

"I think that Gabriela Fernandez uh gets back on track here"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Jacob picks Gabriella, believing this fight is tailor-made for her as a striker against someone who won't shoot takedowns. He notes Carli showed toughness in her Contender Series fight but is inexperienced. He thinks Gabriella is the cleaner, more powerful striker and should win, though Carli could steal a round.

"This should be a Gabriella play"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Fernandes' power, explosiveness, and physicality will be the difference in the striking realm. Both have holes in grappling, but the fight will stay standing and Fernandes will land more damage to get the victory.

"I do think the power explosiveness and physicality of Fernandez will end up being the Difference Maker in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carli Judice

Paul picks Judice by default (CF do - 'when in doubt, CF do'), but admits he has no strong opinion. He notes that Judice showed high volume in her Contender Series fight and that Fernandes has not faced a volume striker. However, he is not confident and calls it a pass.

"for me it's going to be CF do win in doubt CF do."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 11, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Carli Judice

The MMA Guru struggles with this pick, admitting he did research but can't remember details. He notes Carli Judice is younger (25) and has a reach advantage (68 inches vs 66), and that she had a great war on the Contender Series. He mentions Gabriella Fernandes has no takedowns in her career and is 30, but his reasoning is flimsy and he ultimately picks Judice almost arbitrarily.

"I'll go Karly judis over gabriellea Fernandez"
LOSS vs Tereza Bledá
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tereza Bledá 0 57 of 99 57% 181 of 235 3 of 10 30% 0 0 10:51
Gabriella Fernandes 0 23 of 47 48% 47 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tereza Bledá 0 13 of 35 37% 56 of 84 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:02
Gabriella Fernandes 0 6 of 13 46% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tereza Bledá 0 14 of 21 66% 38 of 47 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:29
Gabriella Fernandes 0 2 of 4 50% 16 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Tereza Bledá 0 30 of 43 69% 87 of 104 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:20
Gabriella Fernandes 0 15 of 30 50% 22 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tereza Bledá 57 of 99 57% 38 of 70 12 of 18 7 of 11 17 of 56 7 of 7 33 of 36
Gabriella Fernandes 23 of 47 48% 11 of 34 5 of 6 7 of 7 22 of 45 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tereza Bledá 13 of 35 37% 5 of 21 3 of 7 5 of 7 7 of 29 2 of 2 4 of 4
Gabriella Fernandes 6 of 13 46% 1 of 8 2 of 2 3 of 3 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tereza Bledá 14 of 21 66% 9 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 6 5 of 5 9 of 10
Gabriella Fernandes 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Tereza Bledá 30 of 43 69% 24 of 35 4 of 5 2 of 3 10 of 21 0 of 0 20 of 22
Gabriella Fernandes 15 of 30 50% 10 of 24 3 of 4 2 of 2 14 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Angelo is torn on this fight. He notes that Tereza Bledá has the grappling blueprint to win, but she is only 21 and could get overzealous. Gabriella Fernandes is a powerful striker and a plus 235 underdog, which feels wide. Angelo mentions a prop bet idea: if Jasmine wins, bet on Gabriella inside the distance/decision no action. He hasn't pulled the trigger yet and is waiting for props to drop.

if Jasmine wins bet on Gabriella inside the distance decision no action
"Gabriella Fernandez honestly might be a solid Underdog here at plus 235 because she's got the hands and Teresa Blazer is only 21 years old"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Tereza Bledá

Big Brady picks Tereza Bledá to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Fernandes is skilled on the feet with fast kicks and power, but has terrible takedown defense and ground game. Bledá can wrestle and grapple, and her ground and pound is dangerous. Brady recalls that Jasmine Jasudavicius almost finished Fernandes from crucifix, and Bledá is more dangerous than Jasudavicius. However, he worries about Bledá's cardio after she gassed in her UFC debut. If her cardio holds or she gets an early finish, she should win easily.

"I'll say blade does get that first round finish takes his fight down to the mat and finishes Gabriella Fernandez shortly after."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tereza Bledá

Cody picks Bledá but is not confident at the price. He notes she is very strong, can bulldoze into the clinch, and has a path to victory by pressing Fernandes against the cage and scoring takedowns. However, she is only 21, green, and has zero striking. He compares her to Miranda Maverick, who had all pre-fight advantages but none in the fight. He thinks the price is too high for a risky grappling-dependent fighter.

"I'm gonna pick her I think she gets the win but I think if you ran it through Pac-Man's model of plus money underdogs and deal with wmma this is a bad price tag for Teresa Plata"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Connor picks Fernandes, noting that while both fighters are limited, Fernandes is more polished on the feet and has shown decent takedown defense. He worries about Bledá's gas tank and believes if Fernandes can avoid being taken down early, she can outwork Bledá over three rounds. Connor acknowledges Bledá's physical strength but thinks Fernandes's technique and patience will be the difference.

"I think Fernandez has an understanding of some of the basics."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tereza Bledá

Daniel Levi leans toward Tereza Bledá, citing her takedown ability and top control. He notes Fernandes's poor takedown defense and get-up game. However, he is hesitant because Fernandes has dangerous striking and Bledá's top game may not be as good as Jasmine's. He expects Bledá to win via control but won't bet at the current price.

"I think bladea should get it off top control"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tereza Bledá

Bledá is far superior to Fernandes and will eventually get takedowns and grind her out. Fernandes is a striker who struggles off her back. Bledá's cardio is a concern but she should have an easier time corralling Fernandes than she did against Natalia Silva. Bledá wins inside the distance, likely by submission in round 2.

Bledá wins inside the distance, round 2
"I'm gonna go with her winning inside the distance but uh inside the distance probably by round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tereza Bledá

Paul is hesitant, noting that Bledá's path to victory is to muscle Fernandes against the cage and hold her there, which is risky and relies on judges appreciating cage control. He thinks the price is too high for such a one-dimensional approach. He picks Bledá but is not interested in betting.

"you're kind of like it's a risky you're hoping the judges uh cage side are digging the the cage control"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tereza Bledá

The MMA Guru essentially flips a coin for this fight, admitting he has no logical breakdown. He notes Tereza Bledá is 21 with time to improve, and her losses to Jasmine Jasudavicius and Natalia Silva are not bad. He decides to pick Bledá after a failed coin flip, but with no confidence.

"I'm flipping a Sprite can for it... well forget it then we'll go with uh Teresa blader"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Zane picks Fernandes, citing her sharper striking and movement compared to Bledá's raw physicality. He notes that Bledá is young and strong but lacks technique, and Fernandes has the power to hurt her. Zane is concerned about Fernandes's grappling defense but believes she can stuff takedowns and let Bledá tire herself out. He expects Fernandes to win by decision or late TKO if she stays patient.

"I guess for now I'm just going to take that rail to Fernandez until I see something else out of Blader."
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 24 of 54 44% 149 of 215 4 of 8 50% 0 0 11:31
Gabriella Fernandes 0 26 of 56 46% 54 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 8 of 22 36% 44 of 68 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:58
Gabriella Fernandes 0 12 of 27 44% 19 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 6 of 12 50% 58 of 80 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:22
Gabriella Fernandes 0 9 of 13 69% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 10 of 20 50% 47 of 67 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:11
Gabriella Fernandes 0 5 of 16 31% 16 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 24 of 54 44% 17 of 46 3 of 4 4 of 4 16 of 40 1 of 1 7 of 13
Gabriella Fernandes 26 of 56 46% 10 of 37 8 of 10 8 of 9 25 of 55 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 8 of 22 36% 5 of 19 0 of 0 3 of 3 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriella Fernandes 12 of 27 44% 5 of 17 3 of 5 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 6 of 12 50% 2 of 7 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gabriella Fernandes 9 of 13 69% 3 of 7 4 of 4 2 of 2 8 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 13
Gabriella Fernandes 5 of 16 31% 2 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hermogenes (-125), Jasudavicius (+105)

Round 1
Keeping the prelims pushing forward, two flyweights will enter the cage as Jasudavicius (7-2, 1-1 UFC) collides with Fernandes (8-1, 0-0 UFC). Neither woman has ever been finished, so referee Chris Tognoni is in this for the potential long haul. Although the Brazilian fighter offers a clap of hands, Jasudavicius has no interest in meeting it. The newcomer comes out throwing feet, reaching Jasudavicius a few times with head kicks that collide off the guard but still have an impact. Fernandes scores a solid one-two that shakes up Jasudavicius, but the Canadian gathers her thoughts and plods forward. Jasudavicius scores a single right hand, only to be met with a speedy high kick. Circling on the outside, Fernandes picks at her foe with kicks and reaching punches, all while staying out of the way from most of the offense coming back her way. Fernandes dings the Canadian with a left hand, and she sinks another one in before Jasudavicius rushes forward in pursuit of a clinch. Jasudavicius secures a body lock and looks to take Fernandes for a ride, but the Brazilian fighter keeps her balance and muscles her way to remain standing. While Jasudavicius cannot ground her opponent on the first or second attempt, she doggedly continues to push for it until she drags Fernandes to the mat. Jasudavicius climbs into an awkward half-guard position to keep Fernandes pinned down, and she drops down short left hands to stave off any referee intervention. Fernandes scoots all the way to put her seat against the fence and push off the wall, and Jasudavicius steps over to get to the side and drop down strikes. Before she can unload, Fernandes ties her down with a reverse triangle, keeping her there until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fernandes
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 2
Jasudavicius looks to push the pace to begin the round, only to get stood straight up when absorbing a fierce barrage of punches and high kicks to drive her back and loosen her top. Jasudavicius resets it against the fence, and she times a clean right hand down the pipe to rock Fernandes. The Brazilian woman blinks the stars out and powers Jasudavicius around in the clinch, but she gets bullied back to the wall before long. Like the last round, Jasudavicius calmly works until securing the takedown, and she lands in half guard to flatten Fernandes out. Jasudavicius covers her foe’s mouth and uses shoulder pressure to fluster Fernandes, all while staving off guard recovery attempts from the Brazilian. Jasudavicius slides into side control and grinds her elbow or palm on the face and staying heavy as possible. Fernandes bucks and kicks, but Jasudavicius manages to work a knee up to isolate Fernandes’ right arm and set up a crucifix. Jasudavicius unleashes a storm of short but pummeling elbows on Fernandes’ forehead, doing so until Fernandes partially recovers position. Jasudavicius gets the crucifix again and fastens her legs around Fernandes’ left arm to lock it down further, where she can open up with more elbows on the dome. Each elbow is not individually damaging, but they add up fast and force Tognoni to take a very close look at the action. Fernandes explodes frantically, forcing Jasudavicius to stand up right as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius

Round 3
The ladies start off the final frame swinging ferociously. Fernandes lands with heavy power, getting Jasudavicius’ respect early, but not slowing her down. Jasudavicius plows forward to try to trip Fernandes down, but Fernandes circles on the outside and pops her with a right hand. The Canadian is a woman possessed when going for a takedown, and she scoops Fernandes up with a single and gingerly deposits her on the floor. Fernandes defends with an arm under the neck but no serious guillotine choke, and she sits up against the fence to try to stand up. The Brazilian leans back to try to cinch up the guillotine, and Jasudavicius stays completely calm and punches the side a few times without too much concern for the choke. Jasudavicius moves to side control on the opposite side while Fernandes hangs on, and the Canadian has a possible Von Preux choke should she wish to secure it. Fernandes lets the grip go, and Jasudavicius slides right to half guard to keep the Brazilian flat on her back. This positional control, with light ground-and-pound with a left hand every so often, allows Jasudavicius to peel precious seconds off the clock and virtually guarantee herself a victorious evening. Fernandes defends from most of the ground strikes, keeping her face from eating unnecessary strikes, and she bucks her hips and pushes her feet off the chest to push Jasudavicius back to her feet. Jasudavicius turns the corner and drops down with a surge of powerful hammerfists, and she sways past an upkick and lands hammerfists right to the bell. When time expires, Jasudavicius graciously lifts her former opponent back to her feet, and she runs off triumphantly with her hands in the air.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-26 Jasudavicius)

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Gabriella Fernandes via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Fernandes. He emphasizes that Jasudavicius needs to develop a more aggressive mindset to walk through punches and get to her clinch, but she hasn't shown that. He notes that Jasudavicius was put off by Silva's speed and couldn't time her punches, and that she needs a 'Julianna Peña' mentality. He also mentions that Jasudavicius's other loss to Alyssa Kraus is further evidence of her getting scared off her game.

"I'll stick with you on this and go with Fernandez as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Zane picks Fernandes despite acknowledging Jasudavicius has a clear wrestling advantage. He notes that Jasudavicius is a slow, ponderous striker with awkward form, and that Fernandes manages distance well and has good output. He believes Jasudavicius will struggle to close the distance and get to her top game, and that Fernandes is solid enough on the ground to survive. He also points out that Jasudavicius has a history of being put off by opponents who fire back, as seen against Natalia Silva.

"I guess I will take Fernandez, which is unusual when I'm looking at a matchup where one person seems to have a clear wrestling advantage."
Expert Picks (2)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Fernandes. He emphasizes that Jasudavicius needs to develop a more aggressive mindset to walk through punches and get to her clinch, but she hasn't shown that. He notes that Jasudavicius was put off by Silva's speed and couldn't time her punches, and that she needs a 'Julianna Peña' mentality. He also mentions that Jasudavicius's other loss to Alyssa Kraus is further evidence of her getting scared off her game.

"I'll stick with you on this and go with Fernandez as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Zane picks Fernandes despite acknowledging Jasudavicius has a clear wrestling advantage. He notes that Jasudavicius is a slow, ponderous striker with awkward form, and that Fernandes manages distance well and has good output. He believes Jasudavicius will struggle to close the distance and get to her top game, and that Fernandes is solid enough on the ground to survive. He also points out that Jasudavicius has a history of being put off by opponents who fire back, as seen against Natalia Silva.

"I guess I will take Fernandez, which is unusual when I'm looking at a matchup where one person seems to have a clear wrestling advantage."