UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023 · Catchweight (127 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Kleydson Rodrigues
4.58 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
2.29 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.6 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Shannon Ross
5.96 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
7.39 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Kleydson Rodrigues
Moneyline
BetRivers -335
KO/TKO
BetWay +275
Submission
FanDuel +370
Decision
FanDuel +210
Shannon Ross
Moneyline
FanDuel +290
KO/TKO
FanDuel +850
Submission
DraftKings +2200
Decision
BetRivers +650
Kleydson Rodrigues - Fight History
LOSS vs Alateng Heili
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 0 18 of 59 30% 107 of 183 3 of 4 75% 0 0 8:16
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 37 of 88 42% 70 of 126 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 0 3 of 6 50% 49 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:10
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 2 of 4 50% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Alateng Heili 0 8 of 25 32% 24 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 19 of 50 38% 30 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alateng Heili 0 7 of 28 25% 34 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 16 of 34 47% 31 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 18 of 59 30% 14 of 50 3 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 53 0 of 0 3 of 6
Kleydson Rodrigues 37 of 88 42% 15 of 55 10 of 15 12 of 18 37 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 2 of 4 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alateng Heili 8 of 25 32% 6 of 19 1 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 2
Kleydson Rodrigues 19 of 50 38% 9 of 31 3 of 7 7 of 12 19 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alateng Heili 7 of 28 25% 5 of 25 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kleydson Rodrigues 16 of 34 47% 6 of 23 6 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Angelo notes that Alateng Heili struggles with forward pressure and brawlers, and can only do one thing at a time—strike or grapple. Kleydson Rodrigues brings constant forward pressure, versatile striking with kicks, and solid takedown offense from the clinch. However, Rodrigues can be overexposed and taken down. Angelo leans Rodrigues but worries if Heili decides to grapple, which could cause problems.

"I'm still leaning Clayton here CU I do like the pressure and alang doesn't love pressure"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody sees Rodrigues as a potential fraud: he missed weight twice, has poor cardio, and his power may not translate up at bantamweight. Heili is tough, durable, and has never been finished. Cody believes Heili's wrestling defense and forward pressure will wear Rodrigues down, and he expects Heili to win a decision or possibly get a late finish.

"I can try to fade that which I'll try to do here by taking the uh the Chinese fighter at slight plus money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Rodrigues is a former flyweight adjusting to 135 lbs but has superior striking and a BJJ black belt. He should be able to box up Alateng Heili, who over-relied on striking against Chris Gutierrez and lost. Expects Rodrigues to win on the scorecards using his striking advantage.

Line movement noted: some love on the Mongolian fighter, so waiting for better line on Rodrigues.
"I think we'll see Rodriguez utilizes Superior striking threaten enough off of his back but mainly do his best work in the Striking real and then from there he should be able to box up alang halei and win this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Paul notes Heili is durable and has never been finished in the UFC, while Rodrigues has struggled with weight cuts and cardio. He believes Heili's toughness and pressure will be a problem for Rodrigues, who may fade if he doesn't get an early finish. Paul sees value in Heili as a slight underdog.

"Alanga Le will be the pick for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili as an underdog over Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes the odds are incorrect and that Heili is a more consistent and composed fighter with good striking. He criticizes Rodrigues' losses, including a finish by Farid Basharat, and notes that Rodrigues' only UFC win is against Shannon Ross, which he dismisses as unimpressive. He also mentions Heili's takedown ability as a potential factor.

"I'm going with heli Len as the underdog here over Clayton Rodriguez I know a lot of people are picking Clayton again but you know what I'm going to do chat I'm not just gon to play the game"
LOSS vs Farid Basharat
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farid Basharat 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 36 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:15
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 7 of 8 87% 25 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farid Basharat 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 36 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:15
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 7 of 8 87% 25 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farid Basharat 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 7 of 8 87% 3 of 4 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farid Basharat 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 7 of 8 87% 3 of 4 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Farid Basharat vs. Kleydson Rodrigues
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-325), Rodrigues (+260)

Round 1
The action continues in the bantamweight division, when undefeated London Shootfighters product Basharat (10-0, 1-0 UFC) tries to keep his pro record unblemished against former flyweight Rodrigues (8-2, 1-1 UFC). A rarity for this fight card, neither competitor is fighting for French honor and glory in this matchup. With referee Loic Pora keeping a watchful eye on the action, the two men touch gloves ahead of their scheduled melee. Basharat moves right to the center of the cage and pushes Rodrigues back, and he ignores a low kick and absorbs one to the body in rapid succession. “K.R.” wraps his foot around the head of his opponent, and Basharat responds with a speedy takedown effort. Rodrigues stifles it and attempts to take the back standing, only to jump around and try to set up an unorthodox submission maneuver. Basharat stays composed and dumps Rodrigues to his back, and he does not waste much time before passing to half guard. Rodrigues responds with a few elbows to the thigh, and Basharat pays them no mind as he steps over to full mount with little effort. Basharat stays tightly pressed to his opponent instead of setting up some offense, and he takes some of the wind out of the explosive Brazilian’s sails with this pressure. Basharat gets off some short ground-and-pound, until Rodrigues bursts out of the bad position, reverses the position and is about to put Basharat on his back. Before he can, Basharat jumps back to his feet, and the two end up in the clinch. Rodrigues sneaks in several effective strikes on the inside, but he cannot stop Basharat from tripping up one leg and placing “K.R.” on his back. Basharat again methodically looks to pass the guard, and he frustrates Rodrigues with effective blows from above. Rodrigues fights back, only to take several elbows right on the jaw.
Basharat uses shoulder pressure and smoothly sets up a kata gatame, and he steps over to the side while Rodrigues is attempting to break the grip. Basharat presses his full body weight down as he completely secures the arm-triangle choke, and there is nothing more that Rodrigues can do at this point. After a few seconds of this dire position, Rodrigues surrenders
, and Basharat keeps his unbeaten record intact with a slick performance over a dangerous opponent.

The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Kleydson Rodrigues R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo picks Farid Basharat but with low confidence, noting the betting lines should be closer. He says Farid is the more technically sound fighter but didn't like pressure from Damon Blackshear, and Kleydson is all pressure. If Kleydson brawls, he can win. Angelo is staying away from the -300 line.

"low confidence pick for freed... he's gonna be the pick but three to one I'm staying away from that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Big Brady picks Basharat, emphasizing his size, striking volume, and wrestling advantage. He notes Rodrigues' past weight issues and tough debut at bantamweight. He expects Basharat to use takedowns and control to win a decision, calling it a tough matchup for Rodrigues.

"I think fari basharat is just going to probably be better you know everywhere this fight goes... I like him to take down clutson Rodriguez control him and ultimately win a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Cody is high on Basharat, calling him a real prospect at 26-0. He likes his movement, striking, and improving wrestling under Jake Shields. Basharat's win over Da'Mon Blackshear is a quality victory. Rodrigues has weight issues (missed weight twice) and is moving up to 135, which will affect his takedown defense. Cody expects Basharat to pick him apart on the feet and mix in takedowns.

Basharat by decision (pick'em); Basharat over 2.5 takedowns (prize picks)
"I really like this kid... sky's the limit for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Daniel Levi picks Farid Basharat with high confidence, having bet him at -245 earlier. He praises Basharat's footwork, jab, fight IQ, and heart, noting that he passed a tough test against Damon Blackshear. Levi believes Basharat's pace and pressure will be too much for Rodrigues, who is explosive but tends to fade and has been taken down by lesser fighters. He expects a second or third round finish, citing Basharat's ground and pound and submission defense.

Basharat wins in round 2 or 3; already bet at -245
"I like everything about Fareed and again when you beat a line by over a dollar like I already have"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

I like the chalk on Basharat. He has a slick boxing/kickboxing game and blends in takedowns well. Rodrigues is moving up in weight and has cardio issues. Basharat should establish range, get the fight to the clinch, and take advantage of Rodrigues' gas tank. I also like Basharat round three as a sprinkle. If the fight escapes the first round, Basharat should dominate later rounds.

Basharat round three
"I like the chalk on bash right if I'm being honest if you want to hedge anything here maybe Clayton round one but if this fight escapes that first round I won't have any worries on the free Bachelorette side …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Basharat by decision is basically a pick'em. He notes Rodrigues has never been finished, so a decision is likely. Paul likes Basharat over 2.5 takedowns on prize picks, expecting a takedown per round.

Basharat over 2.5 takedowns (prize picks)
"I'm with you with you through thick and thin there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat, citing his win over Damon Blackshear as having aged well, and noting that Kleydson Rodrigues has losses to CJ Vergara and a win over Shannon Ross. He believes Basharat is more well-rounded and will drown Rodrigues in the second and third rounds, though he acknowledges Rodrigues could land a spinning kick early. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Basharat.

"I'm going with farrid Basher out here this is one of the easier ones on the card to call"
WIN vs Shannon Ross
TKO (punches) R1 0:59 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shannon Ross 1 14 of 22 63% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kleydson Rodrigues 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shannon Ross 1 14 of 22 63% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kleydson Rodrigues 1 of 4 25% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shannon Ross 14 of 22 63% 8 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 14 5 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kleydson Rodrigues 1 of 4 25% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shannon Ross 14 of 22 63% 8 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 14 5 of 7 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Angelo picks Kleydson Rodrigues but with low confidence, noting that Shannon Ross is a tough, hittable fighter who will apply constant pressure. He worries that Rodrigues might fold under pressure and lose a close decision, as in his previous fight. He expects Ross to headhunt for the home crowd, which could play into Rodrigues' hands.

"Clayton's going to be the pick but very low confidence spot in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Big Brady acknowledges Ross's potential but thinks Ross is hittable and not durable. He likes Rodrigues' power and striking, predicting a second-round knockout. He notes that Ross had health issues in his last fight but still expects Rodrigues to get back on track with a finish.

second round knockout
"I do like Rodriguez here to win I do like him to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Cody picks Rodrigues but is wary after Rodrigues lost as a -360 favorite against CJ Vergara. He notes Rodrigues has takedown defense issues and fights to the level of his opponent. He thinks Ross has durability problems after being dropped three times by Vinicius Salvador. He considers the under on rounds or fight doesn't go to decision.

under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision at -145
"I'm gonna side with youth here minus 320 is way too heavy of a price for me"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Connor picks Rodrigues, believing in his potential and power. He notes that Ross is hittable and has durability issues, and that Rodrigues has the power to hurt him. Connor acknowledges that Rodrigues looked timid against Vergara but still threw heat all fight. He thinks Rodrigues can win via athletic cheating, possibly landing a wild kick after losing the first round.

"I'm still going to pick Rodriguez here. This is me. This is me hold the clean to hope clean to life because I think he I think the right experience and the right training and all that like it might …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Ross can replicate Vergara's game plan: crash the pocket, pressure, and grapple. Rodrigues has cardio issues when pressured and prefers kicking from distance. Ross's forward pressure and big punches should wear Rodrigues down as the fight goes on. Durability is a question for Ross, but Rodrigues isn't a heavy hitter with his hands. Ross likely wins a decision after a tough first round.

"I think Ross has some good value as an underdog in this matchup especially if he can stay conscious like I said that's a big hold up for me"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Paul picks Rodrigues but is not confident. He notes Ross's poor durability and the fact that Ross lost to Vinicius Salvador as a favorite. He thinks Rodrigues has better grappling and volume, but the -320 price is too high. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a potential play.

under 2.5 rounds
"I think Rodriguez wins likely inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues over Shannon Ross, criticizing Ross's entry into the UFC after a loss on the contender series. He believes Rodrigues is dangerous on the feet and will find a TKO finish, possibly a head kick in the first round. He notes Ross has been submitted early in his career.

first round TKO
"I'm gonna go with Clayton Rodriguez I reckon you'll find a TKO finish as well"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Zane picks Ross, citing Rodrigues' inexperience and rough style matchup. He notes that Ross is aggressive and will stay in Rodrigues' face, finding wrestling opportunities, while Rodrigues has not learned to deal with pressure and tends to fire off kicks when pressured. Zane acknowledges that Ross is not impressive but thinks Rodrigues is not ready yet.

"I just kind of take this as a Rodriguez's inexperience combined with a rough style matchup."
LOSS vs C.J. Vergara
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
C.J. Vergara 0 81 of 143 56% 93 of 156 2 of 7 28% 1 2 3:14
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 71 of 127 55% 155 of 221 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 C.J. Vergara 0 48 of 88 54% 52 of 92 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 27 of 51 52% 54 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 C.J. Vergara 0 13 of 17 76% 20 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:09
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 26 of 39 66% 65 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:58
3 C.J. Vergara 0 20 of 38 52% 21 of 40 1 of 3 33% 1 1 2:11
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 18 of 37 48% 36 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
C.J. Vergara 81 of 143 56% 39 of 91 32 of 40 10 of 12 70 of 131 6 of 7 5 of 5
Kleydson Rodrigues 71 of 127 55% 42 of 89 18 of 25 11 of 13 45 of 92 7 of 10 19 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 C.J. Vergara 48 of 88 54% 20 of 52 18 of 24 10 of 12 44 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0
Kleydson Rodrigues 27 of 51 52% 12 of 31 8 of 11 7 of 9 25 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 C.J. Vergara 13 of 17 76% 8 of 11 5 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 3
Kleydson Rodrigues 26 of 39 66% 21 of 32 3 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 14 1 of 1 18 of 24
3 C.J. Vergara 20 of 38 52% 11 of 28 9 of 10 0 of 0 17 of 34 1 of 2 2 of 2
Kleydson Rodrigues 18 of 37 48% 9 of 26 7 of 9 2 of 2 13 of 30 4 of 6 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

Angelo picks C.J. Vergara despite the bookies favoring Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes Vergara can get inside Rodrigues' looping punches and beat him to the punch. He notes that Vergara is a beast in the clinch but worries about Rodrigues' takedowns from the clinch. He references Vergara's striking output in his UFC debut.

"I think cj can get inside of them and literally beat clayton to the punch"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Big Brady picks Kleydson Rodrigues to win by decision. He is impressed by Rodrigues' striking volume, mixing kicks to the legs, body, and head. Vergara is tough and had a close fight with Ode Osbourne, but Rodrigues is a much tougher matchup on the feet. Rodrigues has good get-up game if taken down. Brady thinks Rodrigues has more tools and will outwork Vergara over three rounds, though the -280 price is steep. He expects a decision win for Rodrigues.

decision
"I like clinton rodriguez here quite a bit ... I like rodriguez here and I like him quite a bit and I'm excited to see him make his debut"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Cody picks Kleydson Rodrigues, calling him a promising prospect with excellent technique. He notes Rodrigues' knees, elbows, and cardio, and that he improves as the fight goes on. Cody contrasts Vergara's straight-line movement and poor footwork. He believes Rodrigues will outwork Vergara and likely win a decision.

"i would think i'm leaning towards decision for clayton rodriguez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Daniel Levi picks Kleydson Rodrigues confidently, though he does not bet due to the high price. He likes Rodrigues' athleticism, kicks, and takedown defense, and thinks he has a much higher ceiling than Vergara. He acknowledges Vergara's toughness and cardio but expects Rodrigues to win. He does not bet at -350.

Daniel does not bet this fight. He mentions possibly putting Rodrigues in a parlay but does not.
"My pick is Clayton. I think he's got the much higher ceiling. I think he's the much more potential. But CJ, he's got that spirit about him. So it's gonna be a good fight but give me Clayton to get …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

The host is very high on Kleydson Rodrigues, calling him a future top 5-7 flyweight. He praises his striking and jiu-jitsu, though notes cardio is questionable. He dismisses C.J. Vergara as a solid striker but not UFC caliber, pointing to Vergara's close decisions and draws on the regional scene. He expects Rodrigues to win via decision, as Vergara is durable. He might include Rodrigues in a parlay.

"clayton i think this guy is the [ __ ] i think he truly has the potential to be a top five to seven guy in this division"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Paul picks Kleydson Rodrigues, impressed by his defensive capabilities and well-rounded game. He notes that Rodrigues barely got hit on the Contender Series and has good striking defense. Paul believes Vergara is limited, throwing looping left hooks, and that Rodrigues will cover the price tag. He acknowledges the debut nerves but is confident.

"i'm picking clayton to win in this spot i do think that he's uh he's a real decent uh prospect coming up into this division"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues, praising his unorthodox style and power. He believes Rodrigues' movement and kicks will keep Vergara guessing, and that Vergara may become overwhelmed. He predicts Rodrigues will win the first two rounds, possibly scoring a knockdown, and win 29-28. He notes Rodrigues is a big, powerful flyweight at 26 years old.

Rodrigues 29-28
"i'm gonna go i've played some rodriguez 29-28 winning the first two rounds on his unorthodoxy and his power"
Shannon Ross - Fight History
LOSS vs Park Hyun-sung
TKO (knee and punches) R2 3:59 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Park Hyun-sung 2 50 of 124 40% 65 of 154 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:21
Shannon Ross 0 47 of 115 40% 61 of 135 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Park Hyun-sung 1 24 of 48 50% 38 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:58
Shannon Ross 0 16 of 39 41% 27 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Park Hyun-sung 1 26 of 76 34% 27 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Shannon Ross 0 31 of 76 40% 34 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Park Hyun-sung 50 of 124 40% 33 of 101 11 of 15 6 of 8 36 of 88 6 of 14 8 of 22
Shannon Ross 47 of 115 40% 25 of 88 9 of 12 13 of 15 46 of 107 1 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Park Hyun-sung 24 of 48 50% 17 of 40 3 of 3 4 of 5 14 of 31 4 of 4 6 of 13
Shannon Ross 16 of 39 41% 10 of 30 4 of 5 2 of 4 15 of 34 1 of 5 0 of 0
2 Park Hyun-sung 26 of 76 34% 16 of 61 8 of 12 2 of 3 22 of 57 2 of 10 2 of 9
Shannon Ross 31 of 76 40% 15 of 58 5 of 7 11 of 11 31 of 73 0 of 3 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Cody picks Park Hyun-sung, though he is not high on him. He notes that Shannon Ross has an atrocious chin and gets knocked out by anyone. Cody points out that Ross was knocked out by Jesus Aguilar, who had no prior KOs. He thinks Park, even as a grappler, can land a shot and finish. Cody is interested in Park by submission at plus money but acknowledges the knockout prop is also possible. He feels forced to pick Park because Paul would never let him hear the end of it if Ross loses quickly.

Park by submission at +200; Park by KO at +120
"I guess I'm forced at taking a guy I don't really like other Park"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Paul picks Park Hyun-sung emphatically. He states that Shannon Ross has one of the worst chins in UFC history and cannot take a punch. Paul notes that Ross was knocked out by Jesus Aguilar, who had no prior KOs. He believes anyone against Ross is live to win by knockout. Paul is not interested in the moneyline due to the price but thinks there is value on Park by submission or KO props.

Park by submission or KO prop
"anybody against Shannon Ross in the UFC is live to win by knockout"
LOSS vs Jesus Aguilar
KO (punch) R1 0:17 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jesus Aguilar 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shannon Ross 1 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jesus Aguilar 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shannon Ross 1 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jesus Aguilar 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shannon Ross 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jesus Aguilar 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shannon Ross 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jesus Santos Aguilar vs. Shannon Ross
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aguilar (-140), Ross (+120)

Round 1
The first of five combatants from the Oceanic region of Australia and New Zealand sets foot in the cage next, as Ross (12-7, 0-1 UFC) hopes to make the most of a second chance for his first impression. Similarly, Mexico’s Aguilar (8-2, 0-1 UFC) is also hoping to prevail in the Octagon for the first time in his sophomore effort. Something’s gotta give, and referee Jason Herzog will try his best to keep up with these two flyweights. The two charge at one another instead of touching gloves, and Aguilar is the aggressor as he swings a low kick first. Ross responds with a body kick, and he backs up.
Aguilar is on him like a dog chasing a hare, and he dips down, loops an enormous overhand right over the top, and completely short-circuits Ross. The back of the Aussie’s head clatters off the mat, and he is all the way gone.
Aguilar stands over his fallen foe, not throwing an additional strike because he knows his work here is done. Herzog shoves him out of the way, and Aguilar runs around the cage to elicit cheers from the crowd. The Mexican fans in the building, and the rest of the audience as well, goes crazy for the highlight-reel destruction. Aguilar has picked the perfect time to register his first career knockout, posterizing Ross and sending a message to the rest of the flyweight division. What a shot!

The Official Result
Jesus Santos Aguilar def. Shannon Ross R1 0:17 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Angelo picks Aguilar but lacks confidence, noting that Ross is extremely hittable (9 significant strikes absorbed per minute). Aguilar is a solid grappler with a knack for guillotines, but can be wild. He thinks Aguilar will likely win by finish and expects the under on 2.5 rounds. He waits for props.

Waiting for props, expects under 2.5 rounds
"Jesus is going to be the pick here we'll wait for those props let's get a two and a half line and uh we'll hit the under on that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Big Brady picks Jesus Aguilar to win by second-round submission (guillotine). He notes that Aguilar has a deadly guillotine and nearly submitted Tatsuro Taira with it. He questions Shannon Ross's durability, as Ross has been knocked down multiple times and finished quickly in his UFC debut. He believes Aguilar will grab Ross's neck and submit him, as Ross is not UFC caliber.

submission in round 2 (guillotine)
"I'll say second round submission win for Jesus Aguilar"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Cody picks Aguilar but is not confident. He notes Ross has a terrible chin and has been finished many times. He thinks Aguilar's wrestling and durability will be key. He says it's a better live bet opportunity as Ross may have early success.

"Aguilar will be the pick for me I think it's probably a better life betting opportunity"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Connor picks Aguilar because Ross is a quadruple-A level fighter who cannot hang physically in the UFC. Aguilar is raw but explosive and aggressive, and Ross's lack of a complex game means he will likely get overwhelmed. However, Aguilar's poor technique could allow Ross to win a war, but Ross's durability issues make Aguilar the safer pick.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I got to take a Aguilar, but there's no reason that Aguilar won't just shoot in on him and end up pulling guard."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Daniel Levi picks Aguilar, arguing that Shannon Ross has a tendency to make average fighters look like world-beaters. He cites Ross's losses to Erceg and Vinicius Salvador as examples. Levi notes that Aguilar has a nasty guillotine choke and is aggressive in closing distance. He expects Aguilar to submit Ross, possibly by guillotine. Levi acknowledges that the line has moved due to sharp action on Ross but still prefers Aguilar.

Guillotine choke
"I Think Jesus Aguilar is going to come out here and Guillotine choke this guy."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Shannon Ross

James picks Shannon Ross to win by TKO in the third round, despite Aguilar never being knocked out. He thinks Ross pushes a heavy pace and will overcome early adversity. However, he is not confident enough to bet the moneyline, as he caps the fight near a pick'em and lacks a strong read. He notes Aguilar's dangerous guillotine choke but believes Ross's durability and striking will prevail.

Shannon Ross wins by TKO in round 3
"I'm going to say Shannon Ross wins the fight and I'm going to say he actually gets a TKO"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Aguilar is a dangerous power puncher with a lethal guillotine choke. Ross is fragile and tends to panic under pressure. Aguilar will push forward, land big strikes, and force a desperation takedown from Ross, allowing Aguilar to latch onto the neck and secure a submission. The under 2.5 rounds is also a strong play.

under 2.5 rounds, Aguilar by submission
"I'm gonna go Jesus by submission let's call it second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Paul picks Ross as an underdog, noting Aguilar has never knocked anyone out. He thinks Ross's striking and cardio are good, and his chin may hold up against a non-power puncher. He mentions the UFC is giving Ross a favorable matchup. He takes a small flyer.

"I'm actually gonna take Shannon Ross couple reasons none of them particularly all that interesting"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

The MMA Guru picks Jesus Aguilar to win by TKO. He notes Aguilar's speed and awkwardness, and Ross coming off two KO losses. He believes Ross will hesitate, and at flyweight that is fatal. He also mentions Aguilar's guillotine threat but thinks his speed will be the key factor.

wins by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Jesus Aguilar timing him at some point with a TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Zane picks Aguilar because Ross lacks the physicality and durability for the UFC, as shown by his loss to Oshkon Maktarian and knockout by Clinton Rodriguez. Aguilar is a raw but explosive athlete who can overwhelm Ross with aggression. However, Aguilar's lack of structure and poor wrestling could give Ross chances, but Ross's physical limitations are too big a liability.

Ross opened at +185, currently +126; Aguilar opened at -244, currently -140. Zane says lines should be close because Aguilar doesn't hold on to anything well.
"I am still going to pick Aguilar because being not a physical or durability level to hang in the UFC is just too big a liability."
TKO (punches) R1 0:59 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shannon Ross 1 14 of 22 63% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kleydson Rodrigues 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shannon Ross 1 14 of 22 63% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kleydson Rodrigues 1 of 4 25% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shannon Ross 14 of 22 63% 8 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 14 5 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kleydson Rodrigues 1 of 4 25% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shannon Ross 14 of 22 63% 8 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 14 5 of 7 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Angelo picks Kleydson Rodrigues but with low confidence, noting that Shannon Ross is a tough, hittable fighter who will apply constant pressure. He worries that Rodrigues might fold under pressure and lose a close decision, as in his previous fight. He expects Ross to headhunt for the home crowd, which could play into Rodrigues' hands.

"Clayton's going to be the pick but very low confidence spot in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Big Brady acknowledges Ross's potential but thinks Ross is hittable and not durable. He likes Rodrigues' power and striking, predicting a second-round knockout. He notes that Ross had health issues in his last fight but still expects Rodrigues to get back on track with a finish.

second round knockout
"I do like Rodriguez here to win I do like him to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Cody picks Rodrigues but is wary after Rodrigues lost as a -360 favorite against CJ Vergara. He notes Rodrigues has takedown defense issues and fights to the level of his opponent. He thinks Ross has durability problems after being dropped three times by Vinicius Salvador. He considers the under on rounds or fight doesn't go to decision.

under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision at -145
"I'm gonna side with youth here minus 320 is way too heavy of a price for me"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Connor picks Rodrigues, believing in his potential and power. He notes that Ross is hittable and has durability issues, and that Rodrigues has the power to hurt him. Connor acknowledges that Rodrigues looked timid against Vergara but still threw heat all fight. He thinks Rodrigues can win via athletic cheating, possibly landing a wild kick after losing the first round.

"I'm still going to pick Rodriguez here. This is me. This is me hold the clean to hope clean to life because I think he I think the right experience and the right training and all that like it might …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Ross can replicate Vergara's game plan: crash the pocket, pressure, and grapple. Rodrigues has cardio issues when pressured and prefers kicking from distance. Ross's forward pressure and big punches should wear Rodrigues down as the fight goes on. Durability is a question for Ross, but Rodrigues isn't a heavy hitter with his hands. Ross likely wins a decision after a tough first round.

"I think Ross has some good value as an underdog in this matchup especially if he can stay conscious like I said that's a big hold up for me"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Paul picks Rodrigues but is not confident. He notes Ross's poor durability and the fact that Ross lost to Vinicius Salvador as a favorite. He thinks Rodrigues has better grappling and volume, but the -320 price is too high. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a potential play.

under 2.5 rounds
"I think Rodriguez wins likely inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues over Shannon Ross, criticizing Ross's entry into the UFC after a loss on the contender series. He believes Rodrigues is dangerous on the feet and will find a TKO finish, possibly a head kick in the first round. He notes Ross has been submitted early in his career.

first round TKO
"I'm gonna go with Clayton Rodriguez I reckon you'll find a TKO finish as well"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Zane picks Ross, citing Rodrigues' inexperience and rough style matchup. He notes that Ross is aggressive and will stay in Rodrigues' face, finding wrestling opportunities, while Rodrigues has not learned to deal with pressure and tends to fire off kicks when pressured. Zane acknowledges that Ross is not impressive but thinks Rodrigues is not ready yet.

"I just kind of take this as a Rodriguez's inexperience combined with a rough style matchup."
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Angelo picks Kleydson Rodrigues but with low confidence, noting that Shannon Ross is a tough, hittable fighter who will apply constant pressure. He worries that Rodrigues might fold under pressure and lose a close decision, as in his previous fight. He expects Ross to headhunt for the home crowd, which could play into Rodrigues' hands.

"Clayton's going to be the pick but very low confidence spot in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Big Brady acknowledges Ross's potential but thinks Ross is hittable and not durable. He likes Rodrigues' power and striking, predicting a second-round knockout. He notes that Ross had health issues in his last fight but still expects Rodrigues to get back on track with a finish.

second round knockout
"I do like Rodriguez here to win I do like him to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Cody picks Rodrigues but is wary after Rodrigues lost as a -360 favorite against CJ Vergara. He notes Rodrigues has takedown defense issues and fights to the level of his opponent. He thinks Ross has durability problems after being dropped three times by Vinicius Salvador. He considers the under on rounds or fight doesn't go to decision.

under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision at -145
"I'm gonna side with youth here minus 320 is way too heavy of a price for me"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Connor picks Rodrigues, believing in his potential and power. He notes that Ross is hittable and has durability issues, and that Rodrigues has the power to hurt him. Connor acknowledges that Rodrigues looked timid against Vergara but still threw heat all fight. He thinks Rodrigues can win via athletic cheating, possibly landing a wild kick after losing the first round.

"I'm still going to pick Rodriguez here. This is me. This is me hold the clean to hope clean to life because I think he I think the right experience and the right training and all that like it might just be that it'll be five years of hell that …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Ross can replicate Vergara's game plan: crash the pocket, pressure, and grapple. Rodrigues has cardio issues when pressured and prefers kicking from distance. Ross's forward pressure and big punches should wear Rodrigues down as the fight goes on. Durability is a question for Ross, but Rodrigues isn't a heavy hitter with his hands. Ross likely wins a decision after a tough first round.

"I think Ross has some good value as an underdog in this matchup especially if he can stay conscious like I said that's a big hold up for me"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

Paul picks Rodrigues but is not confident. He notes Ross's poor durability and the fact that Ross lost to Vinicius Salvador as a favorite. He thinks Rodrigues has better grappling and volume, but the -320 price is too high. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a potential play.

under 2.5 rounds
"I think Rodriguez wins likely inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kleydson Rodrigues

The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues over Shannon Ross, criticizing Ross's entry into the UFC after a loss on the contender series. He believes Rodrigues is dangerous on the feet and will find a TKO finish, possibly a head kick in the first round. He notes Ross has been submitted early in his career.

first round TKO
"I'm gonna go with Clayton Rodriguez I reckon you'll find a TKO finish as well"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shannon Ross

Zane picks Ross, citing Rodrigues' inexperience and rough style matchup. He notes that Ross is aggressive and will stay in Rodrigues' face, finding wrestling opportunities, while Rodrigues has not learned to deal with pressure and tends to fire off kicks when pressured. Zane acknowledges that Ross is not impressive but thinks Rodrigues is not ready yet.

"I just kind of take this as a Rodriguez's inexperience combined with a rough style matchup."