Career Averages - Blake Bilder
Career Averages - Shane Young
Blake Bilder
Shane Young
Blake Bilder - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 49 of 82 | 59% | 75 of 121 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 19 of 54 | 35% | 36 of 77 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 31 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 9 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 | |
| 2 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 20 of 32 | 62% | 32 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 15 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 | |
| 3 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 12 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 12 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jeong-yeong | 49 of 82 | 59% | 33 of 62 | 14 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 40 | 11 of 11 | 17 of 31 |
| Blake Bilder | 19 of 54 | 35% | 3 of 27 | 2 of 5 | 14 of 22 | 8 of 40 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 19 of 29 | 65% | 11 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 22 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Blake Bilder | 8 of 25 | 32% | 0 of 10 | 0 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 4 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 20 of 32 | 62% | 14 of 26 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 19 |
| Blake Bilder | 6 of 22 | 27% | 1 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 17 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 10 of 21 | 47% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 |
| Blake Bilder | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Blake Bilder as an underdog, citing size advantage and pressure. He notes that Bilder can bully the smaller Lee if he pressures forward and stays busy. He acknowledges Lee's danger and grappling but believes Bilder can squeak out a win.
Big Brady picks Blake Bilder to win by third-round submission. He notes that Lee is dangerous early with power and a sneaky submission game, but his cardio is questionable and he slows down. Bilder is tough as nails, often drops first rounds but builds into the fight. Brady expects Lee to hurt Bilder in the first round, but Bilder will take over and finish him in the third. He suggests live betting Bilder.
Cody picks Lee, citing Bilder's poor takedown accuracy and suspect chin. He notes Lee's explosiveness and power, and thinks Lee can catch Bilder coming forward. He acknowledges Bilder's grit but sees Lee as the more likely winner.
Lee is fully healthy now and has improved his wrestling, which should allow him to stop Bilder's takedowns. Lee's length and striking advantage should be decisive, and he is expected to win by TKO within the first 10 minutes. Bilder has a tendency to get demoralized if his takedowns don't work.
Paul picks Lee, noting Bilder's disappointing performances and lack of finishing instinct. He thinks Lee's power and aggression can get the job done, though he's not fully confident in the price.
The MMA Guru picks Lee Jeong-yeong over Blake Bilder, predicting a first-round TKO. He criticizes Bilder's standup, noting he leaves his chin high. He likes Lee's performance on Road to UFC and believes there is a gap in skill, especially in round one. He also notes Bilder made a competitive fight with Shane Young, which he sees as a negative.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson | 0 | 59 of 126 | 46% | 83 of 150 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 45 of 120 | 37% | 84 of 159 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Nelson | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 28 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 42 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Kyle Nelson | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 23 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 12 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 3 | Kyle Nelson | 0 | 21 of 40 | 52% | 32 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 11 of 39 | 28% | 30 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson | 59 of 126 | 46% | 24 of 76 | 20 of 31 | 15 of 19 | 57 of 124 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Blake Bilder | 45 of 120 | 37% | 26 of 96 | 2 of 4 | 17 of 20 | 45 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Nelson | 19 of 47 | 40% | 10 of 33 | 6 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Blake Bilder | 22 of 51 | 43% | 15 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kyle Nelson | 19 of 39 | 48% | 8 of 24 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blake Bilder | 12 of 30 | 40% | 4 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 8 | 12 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Kyle Nelson | 21 of 40 | 52% | 6 of 19 | 9 of 12 | 6 of 9 | 21 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blake Bilder | 11 of 39 | 28% | 7 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Blake Bilder, citing his superior grappling and technical striking. He notes that Bilder is an aggressive grappler who doesn't take unnecessary risks, and that he should be able to control the fight. He acknowledges Kyle Nelson's decent losses and recent grappling improvements, but still believes Bilder gets the win. He considers Bilder for a safety parlay.
Big Brady picks Blake Bilder to win by third-round TKO. He notes that Bilder is extremely tough and has a high pace, while Kyle Nelson has cardio issues and tends to gas in fast-paced fights. Bilder often gets dropped early but comes back, and Nelson's best chance is wrestling, but his cardio will fail. He expects Bilder to take over late and finish.
Cody picks Blake Bilder, but suggests live betting him after the first round because Nelson may come out aggressively and could knock Bilder out early. He notes that Bilder has good cardio and a solid one-two, but his defense is shaky. He expects Bilder to take Nelson down and outwork him as Nelson tires. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds in this fight.
Connor picks Blake Bilder but is hesitant, noting that the test will come immediately while Bilder is still cold, which could be a prospect loss. He points out that Nelson is a very hard puncher with long reach, and that Bilder's only good sign was against Shane Young, who is not a high-level test. Connor acknowledges that Nelson's opponents tend to be fragile and get knocked out early, but since Bilder hasn't been knocked out yet, he won't pick against him. He thinks the odds movement toward Bilder is notable.
Daniel Levi picks Blake Bilder, citing that Bilder has better boxing, pace, and conditioning than Kyle Nelson. He notes that Nelson has low output and fades, while Bilder has shown a dog mentality and can push a high volume. He acknowledges that Bilder has a questionable chin and has been dropped before, but believes Nelson is too slow and telegraphed to capitalize. He warns against using Bilder as a heavy parlay piece.
James picks Blake Bilder to win but is not confident at -250. He thinks Bilder is more well-rounded and should get takedowns, possibly finding a submission in round two. However, he notes Kyle Nelson has more UFC experience, hits hard early, and is fighting for his job in Canada. James wouldn't be surprised if Nelson gets an early knockout or a split decision. He advises against laying -250 on Bilder as he's not a minus-250 type fighter.
Bilder has excellent lateral movement and a well-rounded game, while Nelson's only path is a puncher's chance. Nelson's attempts to grapple have failed due to poor cardio, and Bilder is the superior grappler. Expect Bilder to use his movement to set up takedowns, eventually finding a late submission. The stylistic matchup heavily favors Bilder.
Paul picks Blake Bilder, noting that Nelson has poor cardio and wrestling. He believes Bilder is the better wrestler and will take Nelson down, especially as Nelson fades. He expects a finish in the second or third round. He also mentions that Nelson's best chance is an early KO, but he thinks Bilder will survive and take over.
The MMA Guru picks Blake Bilder over Kyle Nelson, arguing that Nelson has shown his limit with poor performances and losses to low-level competition. He notes Bilder is undefeated and well-rounded, with a good ground and stand-up game. He believes Bilder's potential is unknown and worth gambling on, expecting him to outpoint Nelson.
Zane picks Blake Bilder, noting that Kyle Nelson is a heavy-handed puncher with good takedowns but tenses up and gasses quickly. He believes Bilder is not as breakable as Nelson's previous opponents, having shown grit against Shane Young by fighting back when pressured. Zane thinks Nelson's grappling safety valve won't work against Bilder, who is a good athlete with surprising power. He acknowledges that Bilder is raw and could face early scares, but trusts his durability.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 80 of 196 | 40% | 81 of 197 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 111 of 190 | 58% | 126 of 206 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blake Bilder | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 27 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 | |
| 2 | Blake Bilder | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 37 of 54 | 68% | 37 of 54 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Blake Bilder | 0 | 37 of 100 | 37% | 37 of 100 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 55 of 103 | 53% | 62 of 110 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Bilder | 80 of 196 | 40% | 42 of 151 | 21 of 28 | 17 of 17 | 79 of 194 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 111 of 190 | 58% | 62 of 134 | 11 of 17 | 38 of 39 | 107 of 182 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blake Bilder | 16 of 30 | 53% | 3 of 17 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 19 of 33 | 57% | 8 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 10 | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Blake Bilder | 27 of 66 | 40% | 15 of 49 | 8 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 37 of 54 | 68% | 15 of 27 | 6 of 10 | 16 of 17 | 35 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Blake Bilder | 37 of 100 | 37% | 24 of 85 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 37 of 99 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 55 of 103 | 53% | 39 of 85 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 54 of 101 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Blake Bilder, believing his aggressive grappling will be too much for Shane Young, who is returning after a layoff and losses. He notes that Young is a solid striker but likely cannot keep the fight standing against Bilder's takedowns. He compares the situation to Al Iaquinta vs Bobby Green, suggesting Young is on the card for hometown reasons rather than a career resurgence.
Big Brady is not a big fan of this matchup from a betting perspective. He likes Young's pressure and volume, and thinks Young can stuff takedowns and be the better striker. However, he notes Bilder is dangerous on the ground and leaves openings. He picks Young by decision but with low confidence.
Cody picks Bilder as an underdog, citing his power, athleticism, and aggression. He notes Young has looked disinterested and lacks physicality, while Bilder is a wild man who can knock people out or submit them. He thinks Young's two-year layoff and poor recent performances are concerning. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop.
Connor picks Bilder, believing that despite his passive style and awkward defense, he is a great athlete who can take Young's back at some point. He notes that Young has a habit of drifting out of fights when pressured, and that Bilder's athleticism and ability to capitalize on mistakes could lead to a win. However, Connor is not confident because Bilder's game is very limited.
Young is the crisper striker with better movement and takedown defense. Bilder's path to victory is grappling, but Young's improving takedown defense and ability to get back up will keep the fight standing. Young's speed and precision will allow him to land combinations and eventually find a knockout. Bilder has been hurt in fights before. Young, returning after a layoff, will want to make a statement. Expect a second-round KO.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that he took the fight doesn't go to decision at -125. He notes Bilder is a wrecking ball and Young has never been impressive. He thinks the fight will be high volatility and likely end inside the distance.
The MMA Guru picks Blake Bilder over Shane Young, citing Young's poor performances and long layoff. He believes Bilder's momentum from the contender series and his experience will lead to a first-round finish. He notes Young has let him down too many times.
Zane picks Young, citing that Bilder is a passive fighter who starts slow and doesn't do much, allowing opponents to crush him. He notes that Young has a nice off-speed boxing game and can land power shots. However, Zane is hesitant because Young can shut down when he feels physicality he isn't prepared for, and Bilder is a great athlete who could win by accident.
Shane Young - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Miranda | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Miranda | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Miranda | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Miranda | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Shane Young because he trusts his cardio and takedown defense. He notes that Shane looked stiff in his last fight after a layoff but defended six takedowns before giving one up. The ground gap is big if Gabriel gets it to the mat, but Angelo thinks Shane's takedown defense should hold up.
Big Brady picks Shane Young but is hesitant due to the price. He notes Miranda's early success but fades quickly, and Young's takedown defense should keep it standing. He thinks Young's striking is superior and will pick apart Miranda as the fight goes on. He predicts a second-round knockout.
Cody picks Miranda as a value underdog, noting that Young is a limited kickboxer with poor takedown defense. He believes Miranda's grappling and size advantage will be the difference, and that he can win by submission or decision. Cody sees this as a dog pick and likes the plus money.
Daniel Levi picks Shane Young confidently, citing his durability, cardio, and high volume. He notes that Miranda has never won a decision and tends to wilt in later rounds. Levi believes if Miranda doesn't submit Young in the first round, Young will take over and win by decision. He references Young's ability to survive against top competition like Volkanovski.
Lucrative James thinks Shane Young will win but is not confident enough to bet at the current juice. He notes Young often goes to decision and doesn't push pace anymore, while Miranda fights like a madman and could force a finish. James considered the 'doesn't go to decision' prop at -170 but didn't like the odds. He mentions Young decision at +200 as not bad, but overall he doesn't have a great read on the fight.
Shane Young is on a three-fight losing streak but faces Gabriel Miranda who has poor gas tank management and tends to fade after the first round. Miranda is aggressive early but if he doesn't secure a submission, he gasses and Young will have target practice. Young should avoid early grappling onslaught and finish in the first or second round. The fight doesn't go to decision is a favorite spot.
Paul picks Miranda, agreeing that Young is uninspiring and that Miranda's grappling should be the key. He notes that Miranda had a tough debut but should be better with a full camp at 145. Paul believes Miranda can get takedowns and control the fight.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Miranda over Shane Young, citing that Young is one of the weaker members of the City Kickboxing team. He notes that Miranda showed heart in his debut loss to Benoit Saint-Denis and has a good ground game, with submissions in the first round. He believes Miranda's grappling will be a problem for Young, who has historically struggled when opponents mix in grappling. He predicts Miranda will secure a rear-naked choke in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Bilder | 0 | 80 of 196 | 40% | 81 of 197 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 111 of 190 | 58% | 126 of 206 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blake Bilder | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 27 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 | |
| 2 | Blake Bilder | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 37 of 54 | 68% | 37 of 54 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Blake Bilder | 0 | 37 of 100 | 37% | 37 of 100 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 55 of 103 | 53% | 62 of 110 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Bilder | 80 of 196 | 40% | 42 of 151 | 21 of 28 | 17 of 17 | 79 of 194 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 111 of 190 | 58% | 62 of 134 | 11 of 17 | 38 of 39 | 107 of 182 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blake Bilder | 16 of 30 | 53% | 3 of 17 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 19 of 33 | 57% | 8 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 10 | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Blake Bilder | 27 of 66 | 40% | 15 of 49 | 8 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 37 of 54 | 68% | 15 of 27 | 6 of 10 | 16 of 17 | 35 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Blake Bilder | 37 of 100 | 37% | 24 of 85 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 37 of 99 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 55 of 103 | 53% | 39 of 85 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 54 of 101 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Blake Bilder, believing his aggressive grappling will be too much for Shane Young, who is returning after a layoff and losses. He notes that Young is a solid striker but likely cannot keep the fight standing against Bilder's takedowns. He compares the situation to Al Iaquinta vs Bobby Green, suggesting Young is on the card for hometown reasons rather than a career resurgence.
Big Brady is not a big fan of this matchup from a betting perspective. He likes Young's pressure and volume, and thinks Young can stuff takedowns and be the better striker. However, he notes Bilder is dangerous on the ground and leaves openings. He picks Young by decision but with low confidence.
Cody picks Bilder as an underdog, citing his power, athleticism, and aggression. He notes Young has looked disinterested and lacks physicality, while Bilder is a wild man who can knock people out or submit them. He thinks Young's two-year layoff and poor recent performances are concerning. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop.
Connor picks Bilder, believing that despite his passive style and awkward defense, he is a great athlete who can take Young's back at some point. He notes that Young has a habit of drifting out of fights when pressured, and that Bilder's athleticism and ability to capitalize on mistakes could lead to a win. However, Connor is not confident because Bilder's game is very limited.
Young is the crisper striker with better movement and takedown defense. Bilder's path to victory is grappling, but Young's improving takedown defense and ability to get back up will keep the fight standing. Young's speed and precision will allow him to land combinations and eventually find a knockout. Bilder has been hurt in fights before. Young, returning after a layoff, will want to make a statement. Expect a second-round KO.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that he took the fight doesn't go to decision at -125. He notes Bilder is a wrecking ball and Young has never been impressive. He thinks the fight will be high volatility and likely end inside the distance.
The MMA Guru picks Blake Bilder over Shane Young, citing Young's poor performances and long layoff. He believes Bilder's momentum from the contender series and his experience will lead to a first-round finish. He notes Young has let him down too many times.
Zane picks Young, citing that Bilder is a passive fighter who starts slow and doesn't do much, allowing opponents to crush him. He notes that Young has a nice off-speed boxing game and can land power shots. However, Zane is hesitant because Young can shut down when he feels physicality he isn't prepared for, and Bilder is a great athlete who could win by accident.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Morales | 0 | 46 of 105 | 43% | 59 of 120 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 69 of 144 | 47% | 74 of 150 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omar Morales | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 11 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 | |
| 2 | Omar Morales | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 18 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 28 of 61 | 45% | 28 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Omar Morales | 0 | 20 of 54 | 37% | 33 of 69 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 34 of 69 | 49% | 35 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Morales | 46 of 105 | 43% | 17 of 65 | 19 of 26 | 10 of 14 | 40 of 99 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 69 of 144 | 47% | 48 of 120 | 7 of 10 | 14 of 14 | 59 of 133 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omar Morales | 8 of 14 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 7 of 14 | 50% | 2 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Omar Morales | 18 of 37 | 48% | 5 of 20 | 9 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 17 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 28 of 61 | 45% | 19 of 50 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Omar Morales | 20 of 54 | 37% | 10 of 40 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 34 of 69 | 49% | 27 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 29 of 64 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Omar Morales to win by second-round knockout, likely via head kick. He notes Morales' power and body kicks, and that Young is very hittable with poor striking defense (56% striking defense, absorbs 5.15 strikes per minute). He references Young's last fight where he was hurt by a head kick. He believes Morales is levels above Young technically and will put him away.
Cody leans towards Young as an underdog, noting that Morales is 35 and may have peaked. He thinks Young's volume and pace could be key, and that Morales was hesitant in his last fight. He is tentatively picking Young for the parlay, but is not fully confident.
The host is confident in Omar Morales to win by second-round KO. He notes Morales' power, pressure, and durability, and believes Shane Young will struggle with Morales' ferocity and size. He compares Young's losses to fighters who pressured him, like Volkanovski and Ludovit Klein, and expects Morales to do the same. He calls Morales his 'strongest lean' on the card and thinks he will overwhelm Young with strikes and possibly a takedown.
Paul also leans towards Young, citing Morales' poor game plan against Giga Chikadze and his reluctance to wrestle. He thinks Young's pressure and cardio could be too much for Morales, who has shown low volume. He is not fully confident but likes the underdog value.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shane Young | 1 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shane Young | 1 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ľudovít Klein | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 9 of 13 | 69% | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ľudovít Klein | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 9 of 13 | 69% | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady is high on Klein, impressed by his head kicks and power. He thinks Young is too hittable and doesn't play defense, making him vulnerable to a head kick knockout. He notes Klein is an underdog but looks legit, and the line has moved in his favor.
Daniel Levi picks Ľudovít Klein, praising his southpaw style, jab, body shots, and signature high kick. He believes Klein's takedown defense and ability to get back up are good, and that Shane Young's iron chin and forward pressure will eventually be his downfall as Klein finds an opening for a knockout. He notes Klein is the first Slovakian UFC fighter.
The host picks Ľudovít Klein, citing his higher output, cleaner striking, and recent activity compared to Shane Young. He believes Klein's aggressiveness will be key and that Young's confidence may falter if he can't establish his game early. He predicts a second-round KO for Klein.
The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein because he is the number two guy out of Eastern Europe, a tough region, and Klein has a more aggressive style. He notes Klein is naturally bigger, fought at lightweight before, and has been active in 2020, while Shane Young hasn't fought since February 2019. He believes Klein is a live dog and could win by finish, possibly a head kick KO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Young | 1 | 120 of 308 | 38% | 121 of 309 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Austin Arnett | 0 | 77 of 209 | 36% | 78 of 210 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane Young | 0 | 39 of 108 | 36% | 40 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Austin Arnett | 0 | 21 of 65 | 32% | 21 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Shane Young | 0 | 41 of 94 | 43% | 41 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Austin Arnett | 0 | 30 of 72 | 41% | 31 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Shane Young | 1 | 40 of 106 | 37% | 40 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Austin Arnett | 0 | 26 of 72 | 36% | 26 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Young | 120 of 308 | 38% | 69 of 237 | 32 of 46 | 19 of 25 | 119 of 307 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Arnett | 77 of 209 | 36% | 72 of 201 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 76 of 208 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane Young | 39 of 108 | 36% | 19 of 80 | 12 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 38 of 107 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Arnett | 21 of 65 | 32% | 19 of 62 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Shane Young | 41 of 94 | 43% | 22 of 70 | 11 of 15 | 8 of 9 | 41 of 94 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Arnett | 30 of 72 | 41% | 27 of 67 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 29 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Shane Young | 40 of 106 | 37% | 28 of 87 | 9 of 12 | 3 of 7 | 40 of 106 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Arnett | 26 of 72 | 36% | 26 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Young | 0 | 57 of 152 | 37% | 58 of 153 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rolando Dy | 0 | 104 of 215 | 48% | 116 of 230 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane Young | 0 | 24 of 71 | 33% | 25 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rolando Dy | 0 | 52 of 97 | 53% | 54 of 101 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 2 | Shane Young | 0 | 33 of 81 | 40% | 33 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rolando Dy | 0 | 52 of 118 | 44% | 62 of 129 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Young | 57 of 152 | 37% | 41 of 131 | 13 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 49 of 140 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Rolando Dy | 104 of 215 | 48% | 74 of 183 | 20 of 22 | 10 of 10 | 89 of 191 | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane Young | 24 of 71 | 33% | 14 of 59 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 67 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Rolando Dy | 52 of 97 | 53% | 29 of 72 | 15 of 17 | 8 of 8 | 49 of 93 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Shane Young | 33 of 81 | 40% | 27 of 72 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 73 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Rolando Dy | 52 of 118 | 44% | 45 of 111 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 40 of 98 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkanovski | 0 | 68 of 114 | 59% | 79 of 128 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 8:21 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 18 of 81 | 22% | 20 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkanovski | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 21 of 40 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 7 of 33 | 21% | 8 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkanovski | 0 | 29 of 47 | 61% | 32 of 50 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:31 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 8 of 41 | 19% | 8 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexander Volkanovski | 0 | 19 of 28 | 67% | 26 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
| Shane Young | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkanovski | 68 of 114 | 59% | 36 of 78 | 11 of 13 | 21 of 23 | 40 of 71 | 14 of 25 | 14 of 18 |
| Shane Young | 18 of 81 | 22% | 11 of 67 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 15 of 75 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkanovski | 20 of 39 | 51% | 6 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 11 | 16 of 29 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Shane Young | 7 of 33 | 21% | 3 of 27 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkanovski | 29 of 47 | 61% | 17 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 9 |
| Shane Young | 8 of 41 | 19% | 7 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexander Volkanovski | 19 of 28 | 67% | 13 of 20 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 9 |
| Shane Young | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Blake Bilder, believing his aggressive grappling will be too much for Shane Young, who is returning after a layoff and losses. He notes that Young is a solid striker but likely cannot keep the fight standing against Bilder's takedowns. He compares the situation to Al Iaquinta vs Bobby Green, suggesting Young is on the card for hometown reasons rather than a career resurgence.
Big Brady is not a big fan of this matchup from a betting perspective. He likes Young's pressure and volume, and thinks Young can stuff takedowns and be the better striker. However, he notes Bilder is dangerous on the ground and leaves openings. He picks Young by decision but with low confidence.
Cody picks Bilder as an underdog, citing his power, athleticism, and aggression. He notes Young has looked disinterested and lacks physicality, while Bilder is a wild man who can knock people out or submit them. He thinks Young's two-year layoff and poor recent performances are concerning. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop.
Connor picks Bilder, believing that despite his passive style and awkward defense, he is a great athlete who can take Young's back at some point. He notes that Young has a habit of drifting out of fights when pressured, and that Bilder's athleticism and ability to capitalize on mistakes could lead to a win. However, Connor is not confident because Bilder's game is very limited.
Young is the crisper striker with better movement and takedown defense. Bilder's path to victory is grappling, but Young's improving takedown defense and ability to get back up will keep the fight standing. Young's speed and precision will allow him to land combinations and eventually find a knockout. Bilder has been hurt in fights before. Young, returning after a layoff, will want to make a statement. Expect a second-round KO.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that he took the fight doesn't go to decision at -125. He notes Bilder is a wrecking ball and Young has never been impressive. He thinks the fight will be high volatility and likely end inside the distance.
The MMA Guru picks Blake Bilder over Shane Young, citing Young's poor performances and long layoff. He believes Bilder's momentum from the contender series and his experience will lead to a first-round finish. He notes Young has let him down too many times.
Zane picks Young, citing that Bilder is a passive fighter who starts slow and doesn't do much, allowing opponents to crush him. He notes that Young has a nice off-speed boxing game and can land power shots. However, Zane is hesitant because Young can shut down when he feels physicality he isn't prepared for, and Bilder is a great athlete who could win by accident.
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