Career Averages - Josh Culibao
Career Averages - Melsik Baghdasaryan
Josh Culibao
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Josh Culibao - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 70 of 127 | 55% | 92 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 27 of 118 | 22% | 39 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 2 of 31 | 6% | 3 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 1 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 36 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 12 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 36 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 15 of 54 | 27% | 24 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 70 of 127 | 55% | 40 of 91 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 26 | 58 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 14 |
| Josh Culibao | 27 of 118 | 22% | 16 of 92 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 15 | 25 of 116 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 10 of 21 | 47% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 2 of 31 | 6% | 1 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 8 | 2 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 34 of 61 | 55% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 16 | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 |
| Josh Culibao | 10 of 33 | 30% | 5 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 26 of 45 | 57% | 18 of 35 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 15 of 54 | 27% | 10 of 43 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 13 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Culibao but is hesitant, acknowledging that Ricardo Ramos is dangerous everywhere and a live underdog. He thinks Culibao is a bit chinny and has mediocre takedown defense, but trusts his cardio and toughness to survive early chaos and find his rhythm. He notes that Ramos was just submitted in the first round but is still very good, and suggests the under 2.5 rounds might be a good bet.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision, but is hesitant. He believes skill-for-skill Ramos can hang on the feet and has all the grappling upside, as he is a BJJ black belt and Culibao has made mistakes on the mat. However, he is terrified because Ramos has a history of quitting and has been finished in all five of his UFC losses, including back-to-back guillotine submissions. He notes Culibao seems tough as nails. He expects a close, competitive fight with Ramos mixing in takedowns, but says he might not bet this one.
Cody sees Ramos as the more skilled fighter with good wrestling and BJJ, and notes that Culibao has poor takedown defense and has been controlled in recent fights. He acknowledges Ramos has been submitted in his last two but believes Culibao doesn't have the same submission threat. Cody calls it a dogger pass and takes the plus money.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, believing he has a clear path to victory via grappling and back takes. He notes that Culibao gives up his back and that Ramos is the more talented fighter, though durability and mental toughness are concerns. Vreeland sees this as a dog-or-pass situation and thinks the line should be closer to pick'em.
The host picks Ramos but with very low confidence, noting his gritty style and ability to dictate pace. He questions Ramos' technical advantages and recent performances, and also doubts Culibao's ability to thrive in wars. He expects a decision win for Ramos, but hopes Culibao wins.
Paul likes Culibao's brawling style and forward pressure, and questions Ramos' weight cut and recent performances. He notes that Culibao has been competitive in losses and that Ramos has been submitted quickly in his last two fights. Paul believes Culibao's volume and pressure will be enough to win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Culibao over Ricardo Ramos. He criticizes Ramos as a quitter who makes dumb decisions, such as rolling for legs and ending up on bottom, or jumping into guillotines. He praises Culibao as consistently good, with a good chin, pace, and rarely getting caught. He notes Culibao doesn't gas out or put himself in bad positions. He expects Ramos to make a mistake and get finished.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Silva | 0 | 87 of 202 | 43% | 89 of 205 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 45 of 107 | 42% | 56 of 119 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 5:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Silva | 0 | 32 of 80 | 40% | 32 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 12 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 2 | Danny Silva | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 13 of 32 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 | |
| 3 | Danny Silva | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 29 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 23 of 49 | 46% | 31 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Silva | 87 of 202 | 43% | 59 of 168 | 20 of 26 | 8 of 8 | 86 of 199 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 45 of 107 | 42% | 28 of 82 | 11 of 18 | 6 of 7 | 44 of 106 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Silva | 32 of 80 | 40% | 23 of 69 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 80 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 11 of 28 | 39% | 6 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Silva | 27 of 55 | 49% | 17 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 11 of 30 | 36% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Silva | 28 of 67 | 41% | 19 of 55 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 64 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 23 of 49 | 46% | 12 of 35 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised the line is -170 for Culibao, but he thinks Culibao is the much better fighter everywhere. Culibao is a solid, aggressive striker who throws with heat and is always live for a knockout, while Silva has clean technique but is not dangerous and can be taken down. He notes Culibao looked terrible in his last loss but still expects him to win, and advises jumping on the line early as it may widen.
Big Brady picks Danny Silva to win by third-round knockout. He likes Silva's relentless pressure and high volume, and thinks he can break Culibao, who has been finished before. He acknowledges Culibao's power but believes Silva's chin and pace will be too much.
Cody picks Danny Silva as the underdog, citing his high volume and durability. He notes Culibao has low output (career high 53 significant strikes) and no takedowns in the UFC. Silva throws volume and can outwork Culibao, though he may get caught. He sees Silva's activity swaying the judges.
The host expects a firefight on the feet but believes Culibao will eventually drag the fight to the ground and implement a submission-heavy game. He predicts Culibao will snatch a submission and mentions that the under 2.5 rounds is likely the best value.
Paul picks Josh Culibao, citing his experience and power. He is not impressed by Silva's regional competition and thinks Culibao can intercept Silva's recklessness with his own power. He acknowledges Silva's volume but believes Culibao's power and experience give him the edge.
The Guru picks Danny Silva, impressed by his contender series performance and pace. He criticizes Culibao's recent wins as unimpressive, noting he was manhandled by Jai Herbert and struggled against low-level opponents. He believes Silva's body shots and power will be key, and that Culibao is 'soft-bodied' and vulnerable. He also mentions Culibao took a beating from Lerone Murphy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerone Murphy | 1 | 59 of 109 | 54% | 87 of 144 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 | 0 | 7:38 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 23 of 59 | 38% | 40 of 77 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lerone Murphy | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 18 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 34 | 32% | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Lerone Murphy | 0 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 24 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 3 | Lerone Murphy | 1 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 45 of 69 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 3:46 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerone Murphy | 59 of 109 | 54% | 37 of 81 | 15 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 24 of 61 | 12 of 14 | 23 of 34 |
| Josh Culibao | 23 of 59 | 38% | 16 of 48 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 5 | 19 of 53 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lerone Murphy | 18 of 37 | 48% | 8 of 25 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 33 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 11 of 34 | 32% | 7 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lerone Murphy | 12 of 23 | 52% | 6 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Culibao | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lerone Murphy | 29 of 49 | 59% | 23 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 21 of 32 |
| Josh Culibao | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo favors Lerone Murphy's fluid striking and power, noting that Josh Culibao gets hit often. He mentions Murphy's takedown defense is low but he scrambles well, and the judges seem to favor him. He has a half-unit bet on Murphy at -145.
Big Brady picks Lerone Murphy by decision. He notes this is a different matchup than Murphy's last fight against a grappler, as Culibao has zero takedowns in the UFC. He thinks Murphy's striking and volume will be key, and he has hometown advantage in London. He believes even if it's close, the judges will favor the undefeated fighter in London.
Cody picks Murphy, noting his well-roundedness, accurate striking, and wrestling. He thinks Murphy's volume and home crowd advantage will secure a decision. He is surprised by the line movement and thinks Murphy is being disrespected.
Daniel leans toward Lerone Murphy, primarily due to potential hometown judging bias in London. He acknowledges Josh Culibao is a tough, scrappy fighter who finds ways to win, but thinks Murphy's volume and well-roundedness give him a slight edge. He notes that if the fight were in neutral territory, he'd view it as a pick'em, but in the UK, he gives Murphy a slight advantage. He expects a close fight, possibly a split decision.
James leans towards Josh Culibao as the underdog side. He thinks the fight is close and likely to go to a split decision. He notes that Culibao may have some advantages like takedowns but is open on the feet. He mentions that Murphy has power but Culibao has good recovery. James says whoever is the underdog is probably the side, and at +130, Culibao has value.
The host leans with Lerone Murphy, citing his physical advantages, explosiveness, speed, and power. He expects Murphy to land big shots and possibly knockdowns to thwart Culibao's pressure. He predicts a decision win but says he'll likely stay off the fight for betting.
Paul picks Murphy, citing his heart and ability to overcome adversity in his last fight. He thinks Murphy's jab and accuracy will win rounds, and that Culibao's level of opposition is low. He expects Murphy to chip away and win.
The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy, initially considering Josh Culibao but reasoning that Murphy's poor performance against Gabriel Santos was due to short notice and injuries. He believes Murphy's composure and technical striking will outpoint Culibao, and notes the UK crowd advantage. The Guru also mentions Murphy's ability to find top position and his difficulty to finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 18 of 30 | 60% | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 16 of 45 | 35% | 3 of 24 | 3 of 8 | 10 of 13 | 15 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 26 of 44 | 59% | 6 of 19 | 8 of 10 | 12 of 15 | 24 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 11 of 31 | 35% | 1 of 15 | 1 of 5 | 9 of 11 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 18 of 30 | 60% | 3 of 12 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 5 of 14 | 35% | 2 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 8 of 14 | 57% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Culibao (-120), Baghdasaryan (+100)
Round 1
Featherweights take center stage next in a matchup where neither man has ever landed a submission, so fists and feet are sure to fly. Repping his home country, Culibao (10-1-1, 2-1-1 UFC) collides with one of Glendale Fighting Club’s few remaining members in a major organization, Baghdasaryan (7-1, 2-0 UFC). Chins are sure to be tested early and often, so referee Peter Hickmott has strapped on his hard hat and is ready for the action. Despite the bad blood that developed on fight week, fists are bumped before they are swung. Baghdasaryan leads off with a leg kick, and he fires off a second in rapid succession. Culibao loops a head kick back in response, and he comes up short. Baghdasaryan pokes at the calf with his shin again, and Culibao winds up to make him pay with two of his own. The two trade low kicks one after the other, and Culibao changes stances after taking a particularly solid one. Culibao goes up high with a kick that is blocked, and he gets spun around from a chopping kick from “The Gun.” Culibao tries to close in and swipe out with a left hook, but Baghdasaryan is out of the way before it reaches him. Baghdasaryan digs a kick right to the liver, and Culibao winds up with one up high to respond but is just short. Baghdasaryan kicks the body again, and he settles down with a right hand when recoiling. Baghdasaryan gest off a low kick before Culibao can catch him back, and Culibao peppers him with three more as Baghdasaryan nods and smiles at him. The two get fired up and launch big left hooks, and Culibao begins to start checking the kick. Baghdasaryan goes up top with a kick and pulls back before Culibao can reach him in a reply. The two are trapped in a form of a mirror match, where one lands and the other tries to give the same blow back almost immediately. Baghdasaryan connects with a clean right hand to draw a stream of blood out of the nose, and he checks an oncoming low kick to follow. Baghdasaryan times a low kick to launch a left hand over the top, and Culibao just barely rolls it. Baghdasaryan spins with a back kick, and the heel smashes square into the cup and Culibao hits the mat in excruciating pain. Hickmott splits them up and informs Culibao he has five minutes to recover. Baghdasaryan tries to signal that it was not a groin shot, but on replay, he is informed of the foul. Baghdasaryan goes to apologize, and Culibao, still in agony, recognizes it was not at all intentional and holds no ill will. Culibao signals that after about two minutes, he is good to go, and the doctor is ushered out of the cage. Upon restart, Culibao lets fly a head kick, Baghdasaryan does the same, and the latter uses the momentum to fire off a tornado kick right before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 2
Baghdasaryan offers a fist bump, and Culibao accepts it. Baghdasaryan comes up short by a matter of inches with an axe kick, and they crash together in an exchange and clash heads. Culibao protests, and Hickmott to tells them to fight on as Culibao reels. Baghdasaryan does not give chase, and instead appears to take a little time to clear his own head. Baghdasaryan reaches out with his right hand outstretched to hand-fight, and Culibao winds up with two kicks that make Baghdasaryan nod at him. They trade low kicks, and Baghdasaryan targets the body with his shin. Baghdasaryan kicks low, and
Culibao stabs out a jab and tackles him over to the floor to grab hold of his man in an instant. Baghdasaryan turns to his knees to stand back up, but this is the worst decision he can make, as Culibao takes his back and latches on to a rear-naked choke. The forearm begins to crush Baghdasaryan’s bottom jaw with the Californian’s mouth open, and Culibao sneakily slides it under the chin to cinch it up completely. Baghdasaryan does not need more than a second or two before he surrenders,
and Culibao has now landed the first submission of his career. The crowd goes wild, and Culibao leaps atop the cage and motions to the crowd to give him a beer. “Kuya” does not end up getting one in time, but he will likely be treated to many on the way out and more celebrating tonight.
The Official Result
Joshua Culibao def. Melsik Baghdasaryan R2 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo leans towards Josh Culibao, citing his impressive striking defense in his last fight and speed advantage. He notes that Melsik Baghdasaryan has raw power but struggled against a short-notice opponent. He expects a close fight and suggests betting on the plus 3.5 points line for the underdog, as it's likely a 29-28 decision.
Big Brady thinks this is a close fight and has no strong lean. He picks Baghdasaryan as the better striker with more tools on the feet, but notes Baghdasaryan's cardio issues. He expects a close decision, possibly split, and acknowledges Culibao's underrated skills.
Cody picks Culibao, noting he is young (28) and has shown power and wrestling. He thinks Culibao can mix in takedowns and pressure, and has the crowd on his side. He is not confident because Culibao is even money and he doesn't like betting him at that price. He sees Baghdasaryan as one-dimensional and injury-prone.
Connor picks Culibao, emphasizing that Baghdasaryan's kicks are not a great way to maintain distance and that Culibao can pressure him, put a pace on him, and work his boxing. He notes that Baghdasaryan resets after every strike, giving Culibao opportunities to counter. Connor also points out that Culibao has remarkable poise and determination, and that Baghdasaryan's fights often look closer than they should because he doesn't finish people.
Baghdasaryan has heavy hands and good power. Culibao's pressure style could walk into a knockout. Baghdasaryan has shown discipline and patience, finishing Colin England in round two. Culibao is durable but has been hurt before. Baghdasaryan's power should be the difference early. If it goes longer, Culibao's pressure could cause issues, but Baghdasaryan likely lands a big shot in the first round.
Paul slightly leans Baghdasaryan if the fight becomes a 15-minute standup battle, citing his more complex striking and higher volume. He notes Culibao's low output in recent fights. However, he is not betting the fight and rates neither fighter's wrestling highly.
The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan over Josh Culibao, noting that Culibao's success comes from opponents getting wild, while Baghdasaryan is composed and fundamental. He expects a tactical fight with Baghdasaryan winning by decision 29-28, landing more strikes without getting into scrambles.
Zane picks Culibao because he is a prepared and disciplined fighter who sticks to his game plan. He notes that Culibao has a knack for creating gritty wins and that Baghdasaryan's kicking-heavy style is vulnerable to pressure and clinch work. Zane believes Culibao can crash through Baghdasaryan's range, take him down, or grind him against the fence, and that Baghdasaryan's finishing ability has dried up at the UFC level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 46 of 163 | 28% | 64 of 184 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
| SeungWoo Choi | 2 | 51 of 111 | 45% | 69 of 132 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 17 of 62 | 27% | 18 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| SeungWoo Choi | 1 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 16 of 59 | 27% | 16 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| SeungWoo Choi | 1 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 13 of 42 | 30% | 30 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| SeungWoo Choi | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 46 of 163 | 28% | 29 of 137 | 6 of 14 | 11 of 12 | 39 of 147 | 4 of 10 | 3 of 6 |
| SeungWoo Choi | 51 of 111 | 45% | 40 of 97 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 40 of 95 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 17 of 62 | 27% | 13 of 56 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 58 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| SeungWoo Choi | 23 of 47 | 48% | 20 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 17 of 36 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 7 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 16 of 59 | 27% | 10 of 50 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 56 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| SeungWoo Choi | 19 of 43 | 44% | 16 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Josh Culibao | 13 of 42 | 30% | 6 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 33 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 |
| SeungWoo Choi | 9 of 21 | 42% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Choi, expecting him to keep the fight technical and avoid a brawl. He notes Culibao is tough and has power but is willing to fight dirty, which could be dangerous. However, he believes Choi's technical striking and ability to mix in takedowns will secure a decision win.
Big Brady picks SeungWoo Choi to win by decision. He notes that Choi is a very good Muay Thai striker with power, while Culibao has zero takedown accuracy in the UFC and is unlikely to take Choi down. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Choi has the advantage.
Cody picks Choi, citing his length, Muay Thai background, and improved takedown defense. He thinks Choi's striking will be too much for Culibao, who is shorter and less technical. He expects Choi to win by decision or late stoppage.
Daniel Levi picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his physicality, knockout power, and technical striking. He is not fully convinced about Josh Culibao's ceiling and sees Choi as the better athlete. He notes that Culibao's best chance is to win competitive striking exchanges, but Choi's advantages should prevail. He is not betting the fight.
Choi is the better striker with range and power. Culibao wants to brawl, but Choi can stay on the outside and pick him apart. Culibao's chin is granite, so a decision is likely. Choi is a solid parlay piece. I think Choi wins by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Choi's length and striking advantage. He thinks Culibao's takedowns won't be effective and that Choi will control the distance. He sees Choi as the rightful favorite.
The MMA Guru picks SeungWoo Choi by 29-28 decision, but warns not to sleep on Josh Culibao. He acknowledges Culibao's skills and close fight with Jordan, but believes Choi's superior stand-up, reach advantage, and Muay Thai credentials will give him the edge. He expects Choi to win the first two rounds clearly, with Culibao possibly taking the third due to volume. He rates Choi's chances at 6.5-7 out of 10, not higher.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 53 of 104 | 50% | 87 of 140 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 0 | 17 of 63 | 26% | 23 of 71 | 2 of 14 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 6:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 0 | 6 of 18 | 33% | 9 of 21 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 21 of 44 | 47% | 34 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 0 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 5 of 22 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 32 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 0 | 6 of 24 | 25% | 9 of 28 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 53 of 104 | 50% | 34 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 21 | 51 of 101 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 17 of 63 | 26% | 13 of 55 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 4 | 12 of 53 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 11 of 14 | 78% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 6 of 18 | 33% | 4 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 12 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 21 of 44 | 47% | 12 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 11 | 20 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 5 of 21 | 23% | 4 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Josh Culibao | 21 of 46 | 45% | 16 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 6 of 24 | 25% | 5 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Culibao based on superior competition and a strong performance against Charles Jourdain (a draw he thought Culibao won). He expects a decision win but notes a knockout wouldn't shock him. He acknowledges Nuerdanbieke's solid wrestling and striking but questions his level of opposition.
Cody Saftic picks Josh Culibao, noting that Nuerdanbieke's record is built on low-level Chinese competition and that he looked out of place in his UFC debut. He believes Culibao's boxing and takedown defense will be enough to win, likely by knockout. Saftic is interested in the under 2.5 rounds at plus money, as he expects a finish.
Daniel Levi picks Josh Culibao, noting that Culibao has faced tough competition in the UFC (Jalin Turner, Charles Jourdain) and has paid his dues training with Volkanovski. He believes Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is not ready for the UFC, citing the poor performances of Chinese male prospects and the difficulty of the long flight from China. He expects Culibao to get his first UFC win.
Matt picks Josh Culibao by KO, but is not betting the fight due to the high price (-250). He thinks Culibao's toughness and pressure will be too much for Shayilan, who has faced weak competition. He notes Chinese fighters have not performed well in the UFC recently. He sees Culibao landing better strikes and possibly mixing in takedowns, and likes the KO prop at +350.
Paul Shaughnessy picks Culibao, echoing Saftic's concerns about Nuerdanbieke's level of competition. He notes that Culibao has fought tougher opponents and that his boxing looked improved in his last fight. He believes Culibao will win by knockout or decision, but prefers the under 2.5 rounds as a bet.
The MMA Guru predicts Josh Culibao will win by first-round TKO via a straight right hand. He believes Culibao will be too fast and powerful in the opening round, and that Nuerdanbieke's only chance is a first-round finish. Culibao will land a straight right down the pipe to put Nuerdanbieke down and finish him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jourdain | 0 | 44 of 101 | 43% | 68 of 126 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Josh Culibao | 1 | 46 of 124 | 37% | 51 of 130 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Jourdain | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Josh Culibao | 1 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 10 of 34 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 | |
| 2 | Charles Jourdain | 0 | 16 of 43 | 37% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Charles Jourdain | 0 | 21 of 44 | 47% | 37 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:59 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 20 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jourdain | 44 of 101 | 43% | 17 of 63 | 10 of 19 | 17 of 19 | 34 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 |
| Josh Culibao | 46 of 124 | 37% | 19 of 78 | 22 of 40 | 5 of 6 | 40 of 115 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Jourdain | 7 of 14 | 50% | 0 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Culibao | 10 of 34 | 29% | 4 of 17 | 3 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Charles Jourdain | 16 of 43 | 37% | 4 of 24 | 5 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 15 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Josh Culibao | 21 of 55 | 38% | 9 of 37 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Charles Jourdain | 21 of 44 | 47% | 13 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 19 |
| Josh Culibao | 15 of 35 | 42% | 6 of 24 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Churning right along to a featherweight contest between two men hungry for a win, massive favorite “Air” Jourdain (10-3, 1-2 UFC) takes on Culibao (8-1, 0-1 UFC) in a scrap that has only seen them go the distance three times across their 18 wins. Referee Jason Herzog is charge of the cage for this one, and a glove touch precedes the action. Jourdain embraces his nickname by flying out of his corner with a flying kick that would make Liu Kang proud. Culibao evades it and backs off, and Jourdain is on him throwing kicks and a flying knee. Culibao grabs hold of him as he blocks part of the knee, pushing the Canadian into the cage and pursuing a trip takedown. Jourdain keeps his balance as he hops around while Culibao locks up a knee, and the two push off. Culibao throws up a head kick that gets blocked, and “Air” Jourdain slaps the lead leg with his own kick. They punch at the same time, and Jourdain targets the leg again. Culibao fires back with kicks to the body and head, and Jourdan walks through them but takes another kick to his waist. Jourdain hammers a leg kick that makes Culibao stumble, and Culibao blasts Jourdain in the face with a right hand to send the Canadian crashing to the ground. When Jourdain stands up, he gives up his neck and Culibao snatches on with a choke. Jourdain stands up as his nose is busted, and Culibao pushes him to the cage. Jourdain defends it by sprawling and fishing for a guillotine choke of his own, and Culibao pulls his head out and falls back into the same place. Jourdan wrenches him down and locks up the mounted guillotine choke before rolling to north-south position. Culibao scrambles wildly, bucking and yanking his neck out of danger. Jourdain gets up and allows his foe to stand, where he fires off one last kick to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Culibao
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Culibao
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Culibao
Round 2
Jourdain attacks the body in the early going, landing a few shots and avoiding a flying strike from the Aussie. Culibao connects with a right hand, and then a left-right catches Jourdain on the chin. Jourdain lures him in and leaps forward with a knee, but Culibao evades it in time. Jourdain switches to a pair of body kicks, and Culibao comes back at him with a lunging left hand. Culibao sticks out a few jabs and gets kicked in the leg, where Jourdain follows through with a left to the gut. Jourdain fires off a head kick and ducks a left hand, and he commits to another left head kick. Jourdain pushes off, and Culibao clutches his eye. When the action pauses as Culibao rubs his eye, Culibao admits that he poked himself in the eye. A surprised Herzog restarts the fight immediately, and Williams charges in and throws a few kicks. Culibao is ready waiting for him with a few thumping body kicks, and Jourdain presses forward but gets countered coming in. “Air” Jourdain lands another leg kick, and he barely blocks a one-two that comes screaming at his face. Culibao jumps forward with a few punches, and Jourdain slings a wild left hook. Three punches from Culibao end with a punch to the body, and Culibao stumbles and falls forward. Trying to turn this into a takedown, Jourdain latches on to the neck and turns Culibao over. Jourdain cannot sink the choke in as Culibao gets back to his knees, so Jourdain stays content to work the body until the horn halts the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Culibao
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Round 3
When the third round begins, Culibao kicks the body and pushes forward to press Jourdain into the cage wall. The Aussie pursues a body lock takedown, but he cannot secure it and the Canadian frees himself from his grip. Jourdain bites down on his mouthpiece and wings a right hand, where he hurts Culibao. Jourdain pours it on as he swings with reckless abandon in the form of wild punches and flying knees. Culibao backs to the fence and turtles up, where he waits for Jourdain to stop striking so he can unleash a few punches. Culibao manages to get him backed off, but Jourdain kicks at him a few times. Culibao lands a kick to the groin, but Jourdain is amped up and asks to keep going. Culibao shoots in low for a takedown, and Jourdain goes hunting for the guillotine choke again. The Canadian jumps down with the choke on top, but it is not tight, so he breaks the grip and lands some punches from half guard. When Jourdain tries to get off some more strikes from on top, Culibao recovers full guard and defends against most of the strikes that come his way. Jourdain postures up after scoring a few punches to the body by landing some huge shots. Culibao rolls over in pain, and Herzog thinks it might have been an illegal blow so he does not stop the fight. Jourdain hops on top to grab hold of an armbar, and while he is looking to secure it, he hammers Culibao on the top of the head with elbows. Jourdain tightens up his legs to turn the submission into a triangle armbar, and Culibao powers his way out and miraculously gets to his feet. Jourdain stumbles a little as he might have gassed his legs, and Culibao comes out firing. Jourdain leaps and misses with a pair of flying knees as Culibao points to the center of the cage to embody Max Holloway. The two oblige, trading right to the final bell to end this close fight with a flourish.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Culibao)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
The Official Result
Charles Jourdain vs. Joshua Culibao is ruled a Split Draw (30-27, 28-29, 28-28)
Big Brady confidently picks Charles Jourdain to win by knockout. He highlights Jourdain's durability, power, and technical striking, while noting Culibao was dominated by Jalen Turner and is not UFC caliber. He sees Jourdain as better everywhere.
Daniel picks Jourdain, citing his higher level of competition and flashy striking style. He expects Jourdain to either stop Culibao or style on him, noting that Culibao will look better at featherweight but Jourdain's pace and spirit will take over late. He mentions Jourdain's wrestling defense is shaky but believes his striking will be the difference.
The host acknowledges Jourdain's skill advantage but is concerned about his poor takedown defense, which could be exploited by Culibao. He predicts a first or second-round KO for Jourdain but finds the -440 line too steep to bet. He suggests inside the distance at -140 as a better option.
The Guru picks Charles Jourdain, praising his last performance against Andre Fili and his improved wrestling defense. He criticizes Culibao's competition and believes Jourdain will win in dominant fashion, predicting a TKO in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 55 of 91 | 60% | 90 of 129 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 4:21 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 12 of 30 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 25 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Jalin Turner | 0 | 33 of 52 | 63% | 65 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 55 of 91 | 60% | 38 of 65 | 17 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 37 | 9 of 15 | 32 of 39 |
| Josh Culibao | 12 of 28 | 42% | 7 of 21 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 22 of 39 | 56% | 9 of 19 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 9 |
| Josh Culibao | 8 of 18 | 44% | 4 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jalin Turner | 33 of 52 | 63% | 29 of 46 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 30 |
| Josh Culibao | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel Levi picks Josh Culibao for the upset, citing Jalin Turner's questionable chin and takedown defense. He notes that Turner has been knocked out multiple times and takes unnecessary hard shots. Levi believes Culibao, despite being undersized, has knockout power and can exploit Turner's defensive flaws. He predicts Culibao will get a knockout win and possibly a Performance of the Night bonus.
The host picks Josh Culibao, initially unsure but after learning Culibao is a featherweight, he sticks with him. He calls Jalin Turner 'complete trash' with an 8-5 record, and believes Culibao will get the job done despite being smaller.
Melsik Baghdasaryan - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 1 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 1 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 18 of 27 | 66% | 11 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 7 of 25 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 18 of 27 | 66% | 11 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 7 of 25 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The action continues with a potential featherweight banger as Silva (14-2, 3-0 UFC) looks to push his win streak to 12 at the expense of Baghdasaryan (8-2, 3-1 UFC). Both men are capable and willing to author a dramatic knockout, and referee Kevin MacDonald needs to mind his P’s and Q’s for as long as it lasts. There is a calm glove touch to get started, and Baghdasaryan bounces back and forth to engage. Silva lets rip a body kick, and he sways back to avoid one aimed at his upper chest. The two present in alternate stances, out of range of one another. Baghdasaryan whiffs on a big kick, and Silva offers him a glove touch with a big grin. Silva fires off a booming kick that is blocked in the nick of time, and he is all smiles thus far. Silva goes high again with a kick, and he wraps one around the waist only to get popped with a right hook. A one-two from Baghdasaryan misses the mark, and Silva throws one back and follows it with a body kick. Silva crashes forward, and nothing results from the clash. Silva intercepts his opponent with a left hook and spins with a back kick to the body, prompting Baghdasaryan to fire a few big punches and a head kick at him. Silva lets the shin skim his forehead so he can ducks down and jab to the body, and he steps in with an elbow. Silva walks into a right hand, and he slaps Baghdasaryan in the face. They high-five and motion for the crowd to get interested, and
Silva opens up with a huge one-two. The Brazilian knocks Baghdasaryan clean off his feet, and he lords over his opponent looking to MacDonald to intervene. When MacDonald does not step in, a confused Baghdasaryan looks around on his back and shells up. One final assault from Silva is all that is required—who did not even want to cause any further harm—as he lays into the doomed Baghdasaryan with punches and 12-6 elbows to the body.
This is enough for MacDonald to step in, and the smile from “Lord” stretches from ear to ear on not only him but his whole Fighting Nerds team. That makes it 12 in a row for the Brazilian, including four wins in the UFC all by stoppage.
The Official Result
Jean Silva def. Melsik Baghdasaryan R1 4:15 via TKO (Punches and Elbows)
Angelo picks Jean Silva confidently but notes the line may be inflated due to Silva's recent success and Baghdasaryan's layoff. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan is a real striker with a long kickboxing background, not a sloppy brawler like Drew Dober. He thinks the fight likely goes to decision and considers the over 2.5 rounds prop.
Big Brady picks Jean Silva despite the wide line (-560), noting that Melsik Baghdasaryan has major cardio and ground game liabilities. He thinks Baghdasaryan is a high-level kickboxer for the first seven minutes but fades, and his submission defense is poor. He expects Silva to pressure, potentially take him down, and finish him in the second round, either by knockout or submission. He notes that Baghdasaryan is coming off a torn labrum and a year and a half off.
Connor picks Silva, agreeing that Baghdasaryan is a bad style matchup for Silva. He notes that Baghdasaryan has a lot of blank space and discomfort in the pocket, which Silva can exploit. Connor compares Silva's ability to Yoel Romero, where he can just decide to end the fight with one punch.
The host thinks the line is too wide but still picks Silva. He expects Silva's activity and power to overcome Baghdasaryan, who may be slow and rusty after a 1.5-year layoff and torn labrum. He predicts Silva wins on the scorecards and suggests the over 1.5 rounds is interesting.
The Guru picks Silva by TKO, but warns that Baghdasaryan is tricky and may be winning before the finish. He predicts Baghdasaryan edges the first round, then Silva catches him in the second with his bruiser style, using elbows and knees in the pocket. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan's technical skill but gives Silva the X-factor.
Zane picks Silva because he believes Silva's timing and accuracy are exceptional, comparing him to prime Anderson Silva. He notes that Baghdasaryan is uncomfortable in the pocket and relies on range striking, which Silva can exploit by luring him into mistakes. Zane expects Silva to land a devastating knockout, similar to his win over Drew Dober.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 36 of 109 | 33% | 41 of 115 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:19 |
| Tucker Lutz | 0 | 64 of 108 | 59% | 74 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 13 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Tucker Lutz | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 21 of 64 | 32% | 22 of 65 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Tucker Lutz | 0 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 28 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 3 of 18 | 16% | 6 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Tucker Lutz | 0 | 25 of 40 | 62% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 36 of 109 | 33% | 14 of 71 | 16 of 28 | 6 of 10 | 34 of 105 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tucker Lutz | 64 of 108 | 59% | 32 of 66 | 30 of 40 | 2 of 2 | 50 of 88 | 11 of 16 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 12 of 27 | 44% | 4 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tucker Lutz | 11 of 19 | 57% | 4 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 21 of 64 | 32% | 10 of 40 | 8 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 20 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tucker Lutz | 28 of 49 | 57% | 16 of 34 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 3 of 18 | 16% | 0 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tucker Lutz | 25 of 40 | 62% | 12 of 23 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 25 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Baghdasaryan (-165), Lutz (+140)
Round 1
The prelims come to a close with the first combatant of the night sporting a winning record inside the Octagon. Baghdasaryan (7-2, 2-1 UFC) did get choked out back in February, so he hopes to get back in the win column at the expense of the skidding Lutz (12-3, 1-2 UFC). In this featherweight contest of “The Gun” vs. “Top Gun,” respectively, expect a potential firefight. Referee Jacob Montalvo dons his bulletproof armor, and the fighters touch ‘em up before pulling the trigger. Baghdasaryan reaches out with a body kick to introduce himself, and he kicks the lead leg to follow. Lutz responds with two leg kicks, and he swats away a reverse crescent kick and has his guard up to block a subsequent high kick. Baghdasaryan’s shin bounces right off Lutz’ chin, and Lutz tanks it and kicks Baghdasaryan in the ribs twice. They both paw at one another with straight right hands, and Lutz is ripping kicks to the body while Baghdasaryan is aiming them high. Lutz strings three punches together that clatter off the forehead, and he chambers and looses another kick to the side. Baghdasaryan pays him back with one, leading Lutz to offer up a takedown attempt. “Top Gun” is able to complete the takedown he seeks, sucking Baghdasaryan’s legs out beneath him and hooking his own legs around Baghdasaryan’s. This keeps Baghdasaryan on his seat without a way to get up, and try as he might, Baghdasaryan cannot stand. Lutz is primarily focused on position over any other offense, as Baghdasaryan is leaned with his back to the cage. Baghdasaryan slowly scoots his leg free from the triangle that kept him stuck, and he stands up. Lutz is quick to drag him right back down, and he ignores an elbow that bounces off the side of the head. Baghdasaryan explodes to his knees, but Lutz yanks him back out again. Baghdasaryan returns to his feet while Lutz is clinging to him, and Lutz looks to trip him out from behind. Lutz lifts Baghdasaryan up, and Baghdasaryan grabs the fence a few times to prevent him from getting grounded. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lutz
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Lutz
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lutz
Round 2
The fighters either touch gloves or stick out alternating jabs at the same time to start off the round, and they get going with kicks one after the other. Lutz slaps a kick to the upper thigh, and he springs out of the way from a jab to the body from his opponent. Baghdasaryan splits the lowered guard with a front kick on the belly, and he drills Lutz in the face with a reverse crescent kick. In an exchange, Baghdasaryan connects with a few punches including a stiff uppercut, hurting Lutz and sending him backpedaling. This puts the Baghdasaryan in the driver’s seat, who leaps in the air and kicks at Lutz like Josh Thomson against Nate Diaz. Lutz defends from the blow and the subsequent strikes enough to gather his wits, and he starts to fire back with bad intentions. Lutz slams his shin to the belly a few times, and he eats two jabs that snap his head back. Baghdasaryan wings a left hand that bounces off the cup, and it pounds square into Lutz’ cup. Lutz doubles over and clutches his groin, and Baghdasaryan does not pause as he kicks Lutz upside the head before Montalvo can reach him. Lutz takes the time he needs to recover, and he is ready to re-engage in a brawl. Catching Baghdasaryan with a right hand and a knee, Lutz gets backed away with a front kick. Lutz spams leg kicks, and he is driven back with a solid one-two. Lutz throws a naked body kick, and Baghdasaryan counters him and shuts down a takedown attempt from the surging Lutz. Baghdasaryan lands one body kick, and Lutz reaches him with two. Both men trade hands, and the Glendale Fighting Club fighter’s head movement is minimal as he gets tagged by Lutz. Baghdasaryan has the power to surprise Lutz, which defends him from Lutz surges. Baghdasaryan rifles off a piston-like jab that Lutz takes right on the nose to knock his head back, forcing Lutz into takedown mode. Lutz grabs hold of his foe and deposits Baghdasaryan to the floor with 30 seconds left in the round. Lutz hangs on tight, riding out the remainder of the round in this position without doing anything else with it but catching his breath.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 3
The featherweights touch ‘em up to start off the last round, and Lutz races forward throwing leather. Baghdasaryan shoves him back, and two of his fingers jab deep into Lutz’ eye socket. Lutz yelps in pain as he backs away, and Montalvo calls time. Lutz states the he is good to go within a minute, answering the doctor that he can see just fine. Montalvo warns Baghdasaryan sternly for fouls, and the two restart after 75 seconds away. Lutz springs right into action, and Baghdasaryan does just the same, knocking Lutz back with a few punches. Lutz responds with a loud body kick, and he tags Baghdasaryan with a left hand. Baghdasaryan responds with an axe kick that misses the mark by a foot, and Lutz steps in with a right hand that lands on the chin. Baghdasaryan strings three punches together to rock Lutz, and Lutz drops to his knees to hunt for a takedown. Lutz clasps his hands and lowers Baghdasaryan to his knee, and Baghdasaryan stays busy with elbows to the side. Lutz sells out for a single, and he trips Baghdasaryan down and takes his back even as Baghdasaryan grabs the fence repeatedly. Montalvo even slaps Baghdasaryan’s hands out of the fence, and Lutz snakes his right arm around the chest as he gets one hook in. Baghdasaryan wriggles and through sheer force of will, he works out of the position and stands up. In a close clinch, Baghdasaryan slams his knees on the midsection, and Lutz winces in pain – possibly because one glanced off his cup during the exchange. Baghdasaryan keeps spamming knees even when he is turned around against the wire, and Lutz searches for a single-leg takedown. Baghdasaryan elbows Lutz on the side of the head and stifles Lutz from getting it, and he delivers a few more knees to the body for good measure. With 25 seconds to spare, Baghdasaryan pushes off and spins with a back kick to the body. Baghdasaryan races after his opponent, belting Lutz in the face with a left hand. The two tie back up, with Baghdasaryan initiating the clinch so that he can open up with knees and elbows up close. Lutz breaks off and evades a spin kick to his midsection, and Baghdasaryan steps in with a knee. Lutz lands a right hand over the top, and the horn sounds to end this 15-minute engagement.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
The Official Result
Melsik Baghdasaryan def. Tucker Lutz via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Tucker Lutz as the underdog, citing a wider wrestling and grappling skill gap than the striking gap. He believes Tucker can keep a tight guard, come forward, and look to wrestle, needing a perfect 15-minute fight to avoid getting knocked out. He notes that Melsik is dangerous late, having gotten a third-round KO after giving up takedowns, so Tucker must be cautious. Angelo is surprised Melsik is a 2-to-1 favorite and thinks the fight could be a boring wrestling match.
Big Brady picks Tucker Lutz as a slight underdog, acknowledging it's a close fight. He notes Baghdasaryan is the better striker with power, but Lutz has solid wrestling and cardio. He expects Lutz to get takedowns and control time, while Baghdasaryan may have bigger moments on the feet. He thinks it goes to a close decision and sides with the dog, though he missed the better plus money earlier.
Cody reluctantly picks Lutz as an underdog, citing his wrestling advantage if he uses it. He notes Baghdasaryan is a dangerous striker but has poor takedown defense, as seen in the Culibao fight. He acknowledges Lutz has looked bad recently, getting chin-checked by Pineda, but thinks the plus money is worth a shot. He has zero confidence but sees an angle.
James is leaning towards Tucker Lutz as an underdog. He notes that Melsik Baghdasaryan has grappling deficiencies and was submitted quickly in his last fight. He questions whether Lutz has the offensive wrestling and cardio to exploit those weaknesses, but thinks the line may offer value on the dog side. He plans to watch tape to confirm.
The host expects a pissed-off Baghdasaryan to take out his aggression on Lutz, using his combinations and power to stifle Lutz. He notes Lutz has broken before and thinks Baghdasaryan can win by decision, though he's not certain about a finish.
Paul leans toward Baghdasaryan, citing his striking advantage and Lutz's poor striking defense. He notes the market moved from -200 to -160, making it less valuable. He thinks Baghdasaryan can exploit Lutz's defensive flaws and land big shots. He is not convinced in Lutz's wrestling ability and sees this as a stay-away fight at current odds.
The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan over Tucker Lutz, citing Baghdasaryan's superior striking skill and fluidity compared to Lutz's awkward, rigid style. He notes Lutz has lost two in a row and questions his ability to outgrapple Baghdasaryan, who hasn't been exposed on the ground aside from a submission loss to Joshua Culibao after winning the fight. He trusts Baghdasaryan's prior performances, including a 3-0 streak and a Contender Series win, and predicts a decision victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 18 of 30 | 60% | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 16 of 45 | 35% | 3 of 24 | 3 of 8 | 10 of 13 | 15 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 26 of 44 | 59% | 6 of 19 | 8 of 10 | 12 of 15 | 24 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 11 of 31 | 35% | 1 of 15 | 1 of 5 | 9 of 11 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 18 of 30 | 60% | 3 of 12 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 5 of 14 | 35% | 2 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 8 of 14 | 57% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Culibao (-120), Baghdasaryan (+100)
Round 1
Featherweights take center stage next in a matchup where neither man has ever landed a submission, so fists and feet are sure to fly. Repping his home country, Culibao (10-1-1, 2-1-1 UFC) collides with one of Glendale Fighting Club’s few remaining members in a major organization, Baghdasaryan (7-1, 2-0 UFC). Chins are sure to be tested early and often, so referee Peter Hickmott has strapped on his hard hat and is ready for the action. Despite the bad blood that developed on fight week, fists are bumped before they are swung. Baghdasaryan leads off with a leg kick, and he fires off a second in rapid succession. Culibao loops a head kick back in response, and he comes up short. Baghdasaryan pokes at the calf with his shin again, and Culibao winds up to make him pay with two of his own. The two trade low kicks one after the other, and Culibao changes stances after taking a particularly solid one. Culibao goes up high with a kick that is blocked, and he gets spun around from a chopping kick from “The Gun.” Culibao tries to close in and swipe out with a left hook, but Baghdasaryan is out of the way before it reaches him. Baghdasaryan digs a kick right to the liver, and Culibao winds up with one up high to respond but is just short. Baghdasaryan kicks the body again, and he settles down with a right hand when recoiling. Baghdasaryan gest off a low kick before Culibao can catch him back, and Culibao peppers him with three more as Baghdasaryan nods and smiles at him. The two get fired up and launch big left hooks, and Culibao begins to start checking the kick. Baghdasaryan goes up top with a kick and pulls back before Culibao can reach him in a reply. The two are trapped in a form of a mirror match, where one lands and the other tries to give the same blow back almost immediately. Baghdasaryan connects with a clean right hand to draw a stream of blood out of the nose, and he checks an oncoming low kick to follow. Baghdasaryan times a low kick to launch a left hand over the top, and Culibao just barely rolls it. Baghdasaryan spins with a back kick, and the heel smashes square into the cup and Culibao hits the mat in excruciating pain. Hickmott splits them up and informs Culibao he has five minutes to recover. Baghdasaryan tries to signal that it was not a groin shot, but on replay, he is informed of the foul. Baghdasaryan goes to apologize, and Culibao, still in agony, recognizes it was not at all intentional and holds no ill will. Culibao signals that after about two minutes, he is good to go, and the doctor is ushered out of the cage. Upon restart, Culibao lets fly a head kick, Baghdasaryan does the same, and the latter uses the momentum to fire off a tornado kick right before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 2
Baghdasaryan offers a fist bump, and Culibao accepts it. Baghdasaryan comes up short by a matter of inches with an axe kick, and they crash together in an exchange and clash heads. Culibao protests, and Hickmott to tells them to fight on as Culibao reels. Baghdasaryan does not give chase, and instead appears to take a little time to clear his own head. Baghdasaryan reaches out with his right hand outstretched to hand-fight, and Culibao winds up with two kicks that make Baghdasaryan nod at him. They trade low kicks, and Baghdasaryan targets the body with his shin. Baghdasaryan kicks low, and
Culibao stabs out a jab and tackles him over to the floor to grab hold of his man in an instant. Baghdasaryan turns to his knees to stand back up, but this is the worst decision he can make, as Culibao takes his back and latches on to a rear-naked choke. The forearm begins to crush Baghdasaryan’s bottom jaw with the Californian’s mouth open, and Culibao sneakily slides it under the chin to cinch it up completely. Baghdasaryan does not need more than a second or two before he surrenders,
and Culibao has now landed the first submission of his career. The crowd goes wild, and Culibao leaps atop the cage and motions to the crowd to give him a beer. “Kuya” does not end up getting one in time, but he will likely be treated to many on the way out and more celebrating tonight.
The Official Result
Joshua Culibao def. Melsik Baghdasaryan R2 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo leans towards Josh Culibao, citing his impressive striking defense in his last fight and speed advantage. He notes that Melsik Baghdasaryan has raw power but struggled against a short-notice opponent. He expects a close fight and suggests betting on the plus 3.5 points line for the underdog, as it's likely a 29-28 decision.
Big Brady thinks this is a close fight and has no strong lean. He picks Baghdasaryan as the better striker with more tools on the feet, but notes Baghdasaryan's cardio issues. He expects a close decision, possibly split, and acknowledges Culibao's underrated skills.
Cody picks Culibao, noting he is young (28) and has shown power and wrestling. He thinks Culibao can mix in takedowns and pressure, and has the crowd on his side. He is not confident because Culibao is even money and he doesn't like betting him at that price. He sees Baghdasaryan as one-dimensional and injury-prone.
Connor picks Culibao, emphasizing that Baghdasaryan's kicks are not a great way to maintain distance and that Culibao can pressure him, put a pace on him, and work his boxing. He notes that Baghdasaryan resets after every strike, giving Culibao opportunities to counter. Connor also points out that Culibao has remarkable poise and determination, and that Baghdasaryan's fights often look closer than they should because he doesn't finish people.
Baghdasaryan has heavy hands and good power. Culibao's pressure style could walk into a knockout. Baghdasaryan has shown discipline and patience, finishing Colin England in round two. Culibao is durable but has been hurt before. Baghdasaryan's power should be the difference early. If it goes longer, Culibao's pressure could cause issues, but Baghdasaryan likely lands a big shot in the first round.
Paul slightly leans Baghdasaryan if the fight becomes a 15-minute standup battle, citing his more complex striking and higher volume. He notes Culibao's low output in recent fights. However, he is not betting the fight and rates neither fighter's wrestling highly.
The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan over Josh Culibao, noting that Culibao's success comes from opponents getting wild, while Baghdasaryan is composed and fundamental. He expects a tactical fight with Baghdasaryan winning by decision 29-28, landing more strikes without getting into scrambles.
Zane picks Culibao because he is a prepared and disciplined fighter who sticks to his game plan. He notes that Culibao has a knack for creating gritty wins and that Baghdasaryan's kicking-heavy style is vulnerable to pressure and clinch work. Zane believes Culibao can crash through Baghdasaryan's range, take him down, or grind him against the fence, and that Baghdasaryan's finishing ability has dried up at the UFC level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 75 of 124 | 60% | 77 of 126 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Bruno Souza | 0 | 46 of 103 | 44% | 47 of 104 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 23 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Bruno Souza | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 12 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 31 of 43 | 72% | 31 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Bruno Souza | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruno Souza | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 75 of 124 | 60% | 26 of 63 | 25 of 32 | 24 of 29 | 68 of 117 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Souza | 46 of 103 | 44% | 27 of 70 | 13 of 24 | 6 of 9 | 41 of 96 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 21 of 36 | 58% | 4 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 12 | 18 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Souza | 11 of 24 | 45% | 5 of 14 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 31 of 43 | 72% | 13 of 21 | 8 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 29 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Souza | 16 of 37 | 43% | 12 of 27 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 14 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 23 of 45 | 51% | 9 of 28 | 9 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 21 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Souza | 19 of 42 | 45% | 10 of 29 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 38 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Just like the last fight, a newcomer trying to introduce themselves to the promotion misses weight, as Souza (10-1, 0-0 UFC) clocked in at 148.4 pounds for his featherweight tilt against Baghdasaryan (6-1, 1-0 UFC). The young man out of Glendale Fighting Club will undoubtedly try to make the Brazilian pay for coming in heavy, but there is still a slight sign of respect when they touch gloves. Referee Todd Anderson takes charge of the cage, and Baghdasaryan starts off with a sweeping leg kick. The two strikers get back to kicking range, with Baghdasaryan swiping out low with leg kicks. Souza leads off with a right hand and ducks away before getting countered. The Brazilian lets loose with a body kick, and he loudly kiais after throwing it. Baghdasaryan targets the calf of his opponent with a thudding kick, and he ducks when Souza swings a right hand at him. Baghdasaryan calmly walks towards his opponent, making the newcomer circle around the cage as the crowd is not enjoying the lack of action. Out of nowhere, Souza leaps in the air with a flying knee, and it gets blocked and he returns to circling away. As Souza throws a body kick, Baghdasaryan counters him with a clean left hand. Baghdasaryan’s advancement has led to him dropping his hands, not afraid of what Souza throws at him. Baghdasaryan gets off a single punch to the body, and he just misses with a high kick. Souza fires a pair of kick at his opponent to back him away, but Baghdasaryan continues stalking him and slings a spinning back kick. “The Gun” shoots off a leg kick, and Souza’s lead leg is showing some serious damage. A big leg kick from Baghdasaryan makes Souza shoot in for a single, and he picks Baghdasaryan’s leg up in the air while Baghdasaryan tries to defend with a choke attempt. Souza ties his foe’s leg up but he cannot hit the trip he is seeking, and instead eats a few knees for his effort. Baghdasaryan gets away with a fence grab, and Anderson slaps his hand away from it to let go. This forces them to break apart, and Souza scores a stabbing body kick and a right hand on his way outside. Souza spins with a wheel kick, and although it gets blocked, the impact of the strike knocks Souza into the wall as he stumbles back. Souza gets back up and lands a body kick, and he fires a right hand that misses. Baghdasaryan slaps him in the face – open-handed strikes are so hot right now – and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 2
They think to touch gloves, but instead, Baghdasaryan is ready to throw a kick at him. This allows Souza to preemptively tag him in the face with a right hand and wobble his legs. Souza pushes through a kick to knock Baghdasaryan on his back, but he lets him up instead of pursuing any ground strikes of merit. A kick from Baghdasaryan makes Souza take several steps back, as if he is hurt, but the Brazilian is quick to get back to his active movement and circling. The strategic nature of Souza’s style has grown ire from the crowd, as the lack of engagement is boring to their eyes. The chess match continues as Souza keeps circling and taking potshots, while Baghdasaryan swings and misses. A low kick grazes into Souza’s cup, but he does not want to slow down. Instead, he swarms Baghdasaryan with punches, and Baghdasaryan greets him with a right hand counter to stop that salvo in its tracks. They come together, and Baghdasaryan just misses with a knee. Baghdasaryan continues to sporadically target the lead leg with kicks, and Souza’s leg appears badly damaged. One kick from “The Gun” makes Souza’s knee buckle, and he falls forward to try to take the fight down. When it is not there, he hops back and is limping. Baghdasaryan crashes the pocket, and he gets stopped when Souza defends with a standing guillotine choke. They resume distance kickboxing range, and Baghdasaryan clips his opponent with a left hand after Souza misses with strikes. Souza boots the body with his shin, and he sticks out a sharp jab to intercept a kicking Baghdasaryan. They both kick at the same time, and Souza lands and gets off a straight right hand. Baghdasaryan has his fingers outstretched, and Anderson has gotten tired warning him for it. This lights a fire under Souza, who starts throwing caution to the wind and tagging Baghdasaryan. The Californian by way of Armenia returns fire and staggers Souza with a right hand, but he does not follow it up and lets Souza get himself back in the fight. The round ends as Baghdasaryan retreats.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 3
Anderson gives Baghdasaryan one final warning for outstretched fingers before the start of the round, and they get after it. Souza throws kicks with body legs, and he eats a left hand and starts grinning. Two heavy punches slam into Baghdasaryan’s chin from a one-two, and Souza backs away before counters can reach him. Baghdasaryan goes over the top with a kick, and he misses by an inch. Souza chips away with leg kicks and stays elusive, as fans and Baghdasaryan are similarly frustrated by his approach. Souza darts in, lands a punch, and backs off. Suddenly, he sneaks in with a takedown try, but Baghdasaryan stops it standing and pushes him away. A big leg kick from Baghdasaryan draws a visible reaction out of his opponent, and Souza chomps on his gumshield to sling a pair of wide hooks. Baghdasaryan targets the lead leg again, and Souza takes it back before returning to southpaw for more punishment. The Brazilian steps in with a knee, and they exchange hands, with Baghdasaryan answering with a knee after they trade. Souza blitzes forward with punches, and they hit nothing but air. Baghdasaryan swings a kick to the body, and when it misses, Souza returns fire with one that connects. Souza is able to block a head kick, and he counters a subsequent kick try with a left hand over the top. Souza stays on his bike away from the more dangerous strikes that come at him, ducking and dodging strikes before ducking into a single. Souza lifts his foe’s leg up, but he cannot ground him, with Baghdasaryan hopping out of harm’s way and returning to the middle of the Octagon. Souza swings wildly, and Baghdasaryan sees the blows coming and avoids them. The number of inaccurate strikes by both men has drawn unease from the crowd, as they are giving it to them during inactive stretches. Souza swings a high kick and tags Baghdasaryan with a right hand, only to get nailed with one of his own on the way out. Souza eats a punch and returns with one of his own, and when the final horn bells and they hug it out, the crowd rains down boos.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
The Official Result
Melsik Baghdasaryan def. Bruno Souza via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Bruno Souza, the counter-striker with a karate style, to weather Baghdasaryan's early storm and win a decision. He notes Souza's timing, takedowns, submissions, and champion experience. However, he admits he is not confident enough to place a moneyline bet, as Baghdasaryan's power and forward pressure are real threats. He sees this as a clash of styles where Souza's matador approach could work.
Big Brady is high on Melsik Baghdasaryan, praising his striking and power. He notes Baghdasaryan's takedown defense and get-up game are solid, and he doesn't think Bruno Souza will pose a threat on the feet. Brady watched four of Souza's fights and was unimpressed, calling him a low-volume, kick-heavy fighter who doesn't go for takedowns. He predicts Baghdasaryan will knock Souza out, as the line could be even wider.
Cody picks Baghdasaryan, citing his power and finishing ability. He notes Souza's hittable karate style and lack of power. He expects Baghdasaryan to catch Souza and KO him inside the distance.
Daniel Levi picks Melsik Baghdasaryan, favoring his Muay Thai over Bruno Souza's karate style. He notes that Baghdasaryan is a K-1 striker with over 100 kickboxing matches, and that his left kick and straight left are powerful. Levi acknowledges that Souza is a Machida protege with good experience, but believes Baghdasaryan has a higher ceiling and can handle grappling. He expects a late knockout or decision win.
Jacob strongly disagrees with Angelo, picking Melsik Baghdasaryan. He calls Souza a 'weirdo' with a slow, awkward karate style, noting that three of his wins are split decisions and one is a DQ. He believes Baghdasaryan's aggression, power, and finishing ability will overwhelm Souza, especially if he pressures him against the fence where the karate stance becomes ineffective. Jacob expects an early finish.
The host likes Baghdasaryan's power and aggression but worries about his gas tank. He thinks Baghdasaryan will likely win by knockout early, but if it goes past the first round, Souza's elusiveness could cause problems. He prefers the KO prop at +150 or round 1 prop at +300 rather than the moneyline. He also considers a small sprinkle on Souza round 3 at +2000.
Paul picks Baghdasaryan, expecting a KO. He notes Souza's hittable style and Baghdasaryan's power. He bets under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision, and Baghdasaryan by KO.
The Guru trusts Melsik Baghdasaryan, noting his kickboxing and boxing background, and his impressive Contender Series wins. He believes Baghdasaryan is superior on the feet and has adequate ground game to work back up. He also factors in Souza taking the fight on short notice, which may affect his cardio. The Guru predicts a TKO finish for Baghdasaryan.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 28 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Collin Anglin | 1 | 44 of 75 | 58% | 51 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 23 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Collin Anglin | 0 | 34 of 53 | 64% | 41 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Collin Anglin | 1 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 25 of 51 | 49% | 14 of 34 | 9 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 43 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Collin Anglin | 44 of 75 | 58% | 28 of 52 | 12 of 15 | 4 of 8 | 32 of 62 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 20 of 40 | 50% | 13 of 28 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Collin Anglin | 34 of 53 | 64% | 21 of 36 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 42 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 5 of 11 | 45% | 1 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Collin Anglin | 10 of 22 | 45% | 7 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
A pair of once-beaten newcomers coming off of decision wins on Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2020 are about to dance, when Anglin (8-1, 0-0 UFC) and Baghdasaryan (5-1, 0-0 UFC) square off at featherweight. Both hold impressive knockout rates above 50 percent without a submission between them, and the strikes will almost certainly fly before referee Mark Smith. The UFC neophytes opt not to touch gloves before looking to knock the other’s head off, and Baghdasaryan starts off with kicks. He looses a head kick and several leg kicks, but Anglin is there to meet him with heavy punches. Both men land hard on each other, and Anglin walks forward with his right hand ready to unload on the chin. Anglin ties his foe up, but Baghdasaryan pushes off to free himself. Anglin holds tight, knees Baghdasaryan on the jaw twice, and Baghdasaryan yanks himself out. This clinch-to-knee exchange happens again, with Anglin scoring effectively with another knee. When Baghdasaryan gains some space, he gets off a one-two and a left hand down the pipe. Baghdasaryan reaches with a head kick, and he misses with a punch but follows it with a crisp left hand. Baghdasaryan knocks Anglin into the fence with another, but Anglin is ready to turn him about and set up a knee. Baghdasaryan rips the body with a knee, and he chains a knee into his combination to the same spot. Baghdasaryan clinches up, and Anglin welcomes it as he knees his foe in the face. Baghdasaryan slings a body kick as Anglin hobbles back, until he crashes forward and hits a takedown to put the Glendale Fighting Club on his back. Baghdasaryan scrambles and gets to a knees before standing up, and he tries to land strikes in the clinch but hands on to the cage and gets warned. Anglin plants his foot on the stomach a few times until Baghdasaryan has had enough and lays into him with a big left hand. He drills Anglin with another as the two get pressed into the wire again, leading to Anglin kneeing him a few times. The break comes courtesy of an Anglin elbow, and he mixes up his strikes with kicks and long punches to make Baghdasaryan reset. Baghdasaryan fires off a front kick and a left hand, and he wings a few standing hammerfists that land on the back of Anglin’s head as Anglin is rocked badly. Anglin hangs on tight to tie him up, and he just barely avoids a spinning back elbow on the break. Anglin pops him with a left hand, and he drops his hands and celebrates his handiwork as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 2
Both featherweights are fired up to pick up where they left off, and Smith has to hold them back until he clocks them in. Baghdasaryan takes the center of the cage as his foe circles around him, and the two trade calf kicks. They turn those low kicks into front kicks to the body, with one landing and the other answer. Anglin snipes him with a cracking body kick, and his foe paws out his fingers and may have poked the eye. There is no break, and Baghdasaryan instead lands his own body kick. Anglin steps in with a knee, and Baghdasaryan blasts him with a counter left hand that may have been a slap and not a punch. He throws this same strike again, a loud slap, as if his hand may be damaged from throwing it so hard, so often in the first round.
His feet are fine, and he proves this by launching a head kick that cracks Anglin behind the ear and sends him down to the ground in a heap. Anglin absorbs one flush hammerfist before Smith can reach him to stop the fight, as the kick was enough to knock the screws loose
. This knockout for Baghdasaryan ends a long stretch of decisions with a bang, while he became the first man to beat Anglin inside the distance.
The Official Result
Melsik Baghdasaryan def. Collin Anglin R2 1:50 via KO (Head Kick)
Big Brady picks Melsik Baghdasaryan, impressed by his kickboxing background and knockout power. He believes Baghdasaryan will catch Anglin early, as Anglin may try to strike before grappling. Brady notes Baghdasaryan's takedown defense looked solid on the Contender Series and that he has cardio from his kickboxing career. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody leans towards Melsik Baghdasaryan, praising his striking credentials including kickboxing and boxing experience. He notes that Baghdasaryan showed he can go three rounds in his Contender Series fight, adjusting his pace. Cody believes Baghdasaryan's striking will be too much for Anglin, who has a wrestling advantage but may not be able to get takedowns. He is not completely writing off Anglin but favors Baghdasaryan.
Levi views this as a coin-flip fight. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan's power and impressive finishes on the regional scene but questions his level of competition and how he will handle extended fights or takedowns. Anglin is the more well-rounded fighter with proven wrestling and the ability to push a hard pace. Levi is concerned about Anglin being hittable but goes with Anglin due to his versatility and experience.
Baghdasaryan has devastating power and technical striking from his kickboxing background. He throws heavy leg kicks, body kicks, and punches down the middle. Even when he gasses, he still throws with power. Anglin has decent experience but hasn't faced someone with this level of striking. Baghdasaryan's speed and precision should find Anglin's chin early.
Paul does not make a clear pick on the moneyline but instead bets on the fight not going the distance. He notes that both fighters have high finish rates and that Baghdasaryan comes out aggressively while Anglin has shown finishing ability. He placed a small bet on under 2.5 rounds and fight doesn't go the distance, seeing it as a 50/50 proposition.
The MMA Guru picks Collin Anglin over Melsik Baghdasaryan, stating that Anglin has fought better opponents and has an amateur MMA background, making him more well-rounded. He notes that Baghdasaryan is a crossover from boxing/kickboxing and hasn't faced credible competition. He expects Anglin to mix in grappling and win via his well-rounded skills.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo leans towards Josh Culibao, citing his impressive striking defense in his last fight and speed advantage. He notes that Melsik Baghdasaryan has raw power but struggled against a short-notice opponent. He expects a close fight and suggests betting on the plus 3.5 points line for the underdog, as it's likely a 29-28 decision.
Big Brady thinks this is a close fight and has no strong lean. He picks Baghdasaryan as the better striker with more tools on the feet, but notes Baghdasaryan's cardio issues. He expects a close decision, possibly split, and acknowledges Culibao's underrated skills.
Cody picks Culibao, noting he is young (28) and has shown power and wrestling. He thinks Culibao can mix in takedowns and pressure, and has the crowd on his side. He is not confident because Culibao is even money and he doesn't like betting him at that price. He sees Baghdasaryan as one-dimensional and injury-prone.
Connor picks Culibao, emphasizing that Baghdasaryan's kicks are not a great way to maintain distance and that Culibao can pressure him, put a pace on him, and work his boxing. He notes that Baghdasaryan resets after every strike, giving Culibao opportunities to counter. Connor also points out that Culibao has remarkable poise and determination, and that Baghdasaryan's fights often look closer than they should because he doesn't finish people.
Baghdasaryan has heavy hands and good power. Culibao's pressure style could walk into a knockout. Baghdasaryan has shown discipline and patience, finishing Colin England in round two. Culibao is durable but has been hurt before. Baghdasaryan's power should be the difference early. If it goes longer, Culibao's pressure could cause issues, but Baghdasaryan likely lands a big shot in the first round.
Paul slightly leans Baghdasaryan if the fight becomes a 15-minute standup battle, citing his more complex striking and higher volume. He notes Culibao's low output in recent fights. However, he is not betting the fight and rates neither fighter's wrestling highly.
The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan over Josh Culibao, noting that Culibao's success comes from opponents getting wild, while Baghdasaryan is composed and fundamental. He expects a tactical fight with Baghdasaryan winning by decision 29-28, landing more strikes without getting into scrambles.
Zane picks Culibao because he is a prepared and disciplined fighter who sticks to his game plan. He notes that Culibao has a knack for creating gritty wins and that Baghdasaryan's kicking-heavy style is vulnerable to pressure and clinch work. Zane believes Culibao can crash through Baghdasaryan's range, take him down, or grind him against the fence, and that Baghdasaryan's finishing ability has dried up at the UFC level.
Comments (1)
Kicked Culibao in the dick with a spinning back kick and then denied it. Scumbag. Headbutt in clinch lol
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!