vs
-350 +300
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Next Fight
Age 36
Height 5' 6"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 33
Height 5' 7"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cody Stamann
4.32 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
3.91 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
2.17 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Luan Lacerda
4.06 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
6.15 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
2.82 TD Avg
39.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Cody Stamann
Moneyline
BetWay -350
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
BetRivers -117
Luan Lacerda
Moneyline
Caesars +300
KO/TKO
BetRivers +3000
Submission
BetRivers +600
Decision
BetMGM +800
Cody Stamann - Fight History
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:19 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 13 of 33 39% 13 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 20 of 44 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 3 0 1:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 13 of 33 39% 13 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 20 of 44 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 3 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da'Mon Blackshear 13 of 33 39% 5 of 21 5 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 20 of 44 45% 15 of 36 3 of 4 2 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 13 of 33 39% 5 of 21 5 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 20 of 44 45% 15 of 36 3 of 4 2 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Angelo believes Da'Mon Blackshear is the better fighter with far better striking and good wrestling. He thinks Cody Stamann will get outstruck and then shoot sloppy takedowns. However, he notes Blackshear is 2-4 in the UFC and hasn't had a key win over a division staple like Stamann, so he is not confident enough to bet. He might consider a plus 3.5 round bet on Stamann if the odds are good.

considering plus 3.5 round bet on Cody Stamann if odds are favorable
"Daman is just the better fighter here in my opinion he's got the far better striking even though Cody's been boxing for a very long time Daman is faster and he's more than just hands"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Big Brady favors Blackshear due to his size, reach, and youth advantage over the 35-year-old Stamann. He believes Blackshear's striking is underrated and his grappling is elite, with a black belt in BJJ. He expects Blackshear to have success wherever the fight goes and predicts a decision win, though he acknowledges the line may be too wide.

Blackshear by decision
"I'm going to take blackshire to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody is high on Stamann as a dog, citing Blackshear's cardio issues and lack of power. He notes Stamann's wrestling credentials and ability to get back up from takedowns. Cody expects a close decision and thinks the +230 line is too wide for a veteran like Stamann.

"I think Cody ston as a doger pass type situation plus 230 on Cody staman like me likey me likey."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor picks Stamann, noting Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it has cost him. He thinks Stamann's neutralizer style will make Blackshear make mistakes. Connor expects a narrow split decision, possibly ugly. He mentions Stamann is the underdog at +217 to +232.

Odds: Stamann +217 to +232, Blackshear -254 to -275. Connor says 'Surprising. I mean, I get that Stamann's coming, you know, he's lost a lot of fights lately, but you can't have to look at, have you seen the fight?'
"I think I have to, I have to pick Stamen. Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it's cost him regularly."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Daniel Vreeland picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his physical advantages (reach, height) and higher aspirations compared to Cody Stamann, who may be nearing retirement. He acknowledges Stamann's takedown defense and ability to make fights close, but believes Blackshear's grappling and motivation give him the edge. Vreeland expects a close fight.

"I'm gonna pick him for that reason but I would not at all be surprised if this was a very close fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Stamann is being overlooked as a +230 underdog. His defensive wrestling should keep him away from Blackshear's BJJ, allowing him to dictate the striking pace and pull away in the second and third rounds as Blackshear slows down. Expect a decision win.

underdog +230, wins by decision
"I do believe staman is being overlooked as he is a plus 230 Underdog I believe his defensive wrestling will allow him to stay away from the BJJ heavy approach of black here allowing him to dictate the pace in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees, questioning how Blackshear can be such a favorite given his recent KO loss and cardio problems. He thinks Stamann's experience and wrestling will keep the fight competitive, and the price is too good to pass up. Paul calls it a clear dogger pass.

"Clear clear dogger pass I will have money on staman as well this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

The Guru picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his size, strength, and youth. He criticizes Cody Stamann's lack of finishing ability and short reach. He notes Blackshear gave Mario Bautista a tough fight and believes he is the better fighter. He mentions the odds might be worth betting on Blackshear as a favorite.

Might be worth some money as a favorite
"I'm very confident he's going to win this fight um I got them on Black Shear I think he's just way better as a fighter"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Stamann, agreeing with Connor. He describes Stamann as a solid defensive striker who can bang in the pocket, but notes he never presses advantages. Zane thinks Blackshear's poor striking and tendency to start from negative positions will allow Stamann to neutralize him. He expects a narrow split decision.

Odds: Stamann +217 to +232, Blackshear -254 to -275. Zane says 'Surprising. I mean, I get that Stamann's coming, you know, he's lost a lot of fights lately, but you can't have to look at, have you seen the fight?'
"I think I have to, I have to pick Stamen. Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it's cost him regularly."
LOSS vs Taylor Lapilus
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taylor Lapilus 0 59 of 143 41% 64 of 150 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:24
Cody Stamann 0 100 of 180 55% 107 of 190 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taylor Lapilus 0 22 of 48 45% 22 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Cody Stamann 0 30 of 58 51% 30 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Taylor Lapilus 0 22 of 49 44% 24 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Cody Stamann 0 35 of 66 53% 40 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
3 Taylor Lapilus 0 15 of 46 32% 18 of 51 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:54
Cody Stamann 0 35 of 56 62% 37 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taylor Lapilus 59 of 143 41% 23 of 101 28 of 33 8 of 9 47 of 125 12 of 18 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 100 of 180 55% 60 of 132 25 of 31 15 of 17 84 of 162 16 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taylor Lapilus 22 of 48 45% 10 of 32 11 of 15 1 of 1 17 of 40 5 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 30 of 58 51% 12 of 37 14 of 16 4 of 5 22 of 50 8 of 8 0 of 0
2 Taylor Lapilus 22 of 49 44% 8 of 33 10 of 11 4 of 5 16 of 41 6 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 35 of 66 53% 21 of 48 7 of 10 7 of 8 29 of 58 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Taylor Lapilus 15 of 46 32% 5 of 36 7 of 7 3 of 3 14 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 35 of 56 62% 27 of 47 4 of 5 4 of 4 33 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Angelo picks Taylor Lapilus, citing his superior kickboxing and outstanding takedown defense. He notes that Cody Stamann is well-rounded but lacks power, and Taylor's ability to work in and out of range should be key. However, he worries that Taylor might be too tentative like in his last fight, where he was afraid of takedowns and didn't throw enough. He thinks Taylor is the better overall fighter but the fight could be close.

"I am going to leave Taylor lean Taylor I think he's the overall strugling man call hey it's okay man"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Big Brady picks Taylor Lapilus to win by decision. He highlights Lapilus's elite takedown defense and get-up game, as well as a 9-inch reach advantage. He notes that Cody Stamann hasn't wrestled since 2020 and has only completed five takedowns, so the fight will likely stay standing where Lapilus has the edge.

"give me lapis here to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Cody picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has been inactive and has not looked interested in wrestling recently. Lapilus is a smooth striker with good takedown defense. Cody expects Lapilus to outpoint Stamann on the feet and win a decision. He trusts Lapilus' activity and technical striking.

"I'm going to go with Lis but again I think it's just going to be close contentious type spot with Lis he's a smooth Striker Smooth Operator he likes to play to the outside he's got good leg kicks good …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel confidently picks Stamann as a plus-money underdog, arguing that Lapilus fights close decisions and doesn't run through opponents. He notes Stamann is experienced and competitive with everyone, and that the line is too wide. He expects a controversial split decision for Stamann.

controversial split decision
"I'm gonna go Cody Stamann via controversial Split Decision here"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Jacob picks Taylor Lapilus, agreeing with the odds. He notes that Taylor is probably twice the fighter Cody is, with great striking and takedown defense. Cody is tough and has boxing and wrestling, but Jacob thinks Taylor's skills should win the fight, likely by decision. He warns that the -250 odds might make people sweat because Cody is no pushover and could win rounds. He also mentions that Taylor's -3.5 round line might be risky because Taylor is not high volume.

Taylor Lapilus by decision, -3.5 rounds is risky
"I think Taylor is definitely probably the better overall fighter here I you know I do it's it's kind of a weird break down here because I do agree with the odds - 250- 275"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Lapilus has speed and striking advantage from distance, but his takedown defense is a concern. Stamann has a wrestling background but doesn't use it enough. Lapilus should land better strikes and stuff takedowns to win a decision, but the line at -265 is too wide for comfort.

"I still do end up leaning on the tailor lap side just this line is a little bit too wide for me to get comfortable with so I will pick lapis to win this fight I'll pick him to Win …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Paul picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has not used his wrestling in recent fights and seems to have lost interest. Lapilus is the better striker and should win a competitive decision. Paul thinks Stamann's inactivity and lack of urgency will cost him.

"I side with you that like if I I really can't trust in stamman to lean on a wrestling heavy game plan um against lapis and I feel like he's going to need that type of style to win this …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

The Guru picks Lapilus because Stamann is past his prime, hasn't fought in over a year, and struggles to implement his wrestling. Lapilus is tall and rangy, making it difficult for Stamann to find the inside. He thinks Stamann's takedown attempts will be fruitless as Lapilus can frame and get back to his feet. He expects Lapilus to outwork Stamann on the inside with knees.

"Taylor lapilus is tall rangy difficult to find the inside of um and I think that's going to be a problem for Cody ston here"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 54 of 139 38% 66 of 152 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:59
Cody Stamann 0 61 of 178 34% 72 of 189 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:06
Cody Stamann 0 23 of 72 31% 23 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 14 of 44 31% 14 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:21
Cody Stamann 0 21 of 52 40% 21 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 26 of 56 46% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Cody Stamann 0 17 of 54 31% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Douglas Silva de Andrade 54 of 139 38% 40 of 116 9 of 17 5 of 6 49 of 133 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cody Stamann 61 of 178 34% 17 of 108 23 of 43 21 of 27 60 of 175 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 14 of 39 35% 8 of 31 5 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 23 of 72 31% 7 of 42 7 of 15 9 of 15 22 of 69 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 14 of 44 31% 10 of 37 1 of 3 3 of 4 14 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 21 of 52 40% 4 of 30 9 of 14 8 of 8 21 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Douglas Silva de Andrade 26 of 56 46% 22 of 48 3 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 50 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cody Stamann 17 of 54 31% 6 of 36 7 of 14 4 of 4 17 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cody Stamann, citing his wrestling and pace. He notes Douglas Silva de Andrade hits hard and is strong at 135, but Stamann can stick with the pace. He says both are durable and if he bets, it would be over 2.5 rounds. He calls it a slight lean.

Over 2.5 rounds if bet
"I'm gonna give a slight a very slightly in the Cody here because he does have the wrestling he can stick with that pace"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Big Brady sees this as a close fight. He notes Stamann has a volume edge on the feet, but Andrade has a four-inch reach advantage and all the power and finishing upside. He mentions Andrade has good takedown defense and an excellent get-up game, making it hard for Stamann to hold him down. Brady expects a competitive striking match that likely goes to decision, and picks Andrade to win by landing the bigger shots and having the bigger moments, possibly via split decision.

goes to decision
"I'm going to pick andras here to win I think it's a close one I like the power of andrage I like the finishing upside from ultraage I'll take him to win just by Landing the bigger shots across three …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Stamann but is hesitant, noting that Stamann often struggles against opponents he should beat. He points out Stamann's close fight with Luan Lacerda where he was outstruck in damage. He worries about de Andrade's power and takedown defense, and thinks the line is accurate. He expects a close decision.

"I think stamen wins I think statement wins but again I feel like I could get owned on this one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor leans toward Stamann but is less confident, noting that Stamann's new aggressive style still has hitches and that de Andrade's power and unpredictability could cause problems. He thinks Stamann's counterpunching and body work are key, but de Andrade's wild swings could land. Connor sees this as a good test for Stamann's evolution.

"I think it's a very tough test basically of the new Cody stamen game."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann via decision, describing him as a solid, meat-and-potatoes fighter who does just enough to win. He notes that Stamann's fights are usually close, but he consistently edges out opponents. Levi acknowledges Silva de Andrade's power and submission threats, but believes Stamann's takedown defense and point fighting will earn him a narrow decision. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation for betting.

Stamann by decision; Silva de Andrade has finishing upside
"I'm gonna go statement via decision that's historically I always won these fights"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Stamann's speed and footwork will keep him out of danger against the aggressive, powerful Silva de Andrade. He can dart in and out with combinations, mix in takedowns to slow the Brazilian, and pull away later in the fight. Stamann is motivated and will put on a complete performance to win by decision.

"give me Cody stamen Cody statement by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Stamann, expecting him to utilize his wrestling and pace. He notes that Stamann should avoid striking exchanges and take the fight to the ground. He thinks the line should be closer to -200 and sees value at -145. He mentions Stamann's takedown prop on PrizePicks.

over 1.5 takedowns for Stamann on PrizePicks
"I'm gonna side with stamen here I think stamen that one one and a half takedowns on prospects seems a little bit low I think he goes into this matchup and really utilizes his wrestling"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

The MMA Guru leans towards Douglas Silva de Andrade, citing his toughness and dangerous pocket fighting. He notes that Cody Stamann has short reach and must be in the pocket, where Silva de Andrade is more dangerous. He predicts a close decision win.

decision 29-28
"I'm leaning towards Douglas silver deandraj... I think I'm gonna go if Douglas over the androg getting this one done by decision 2928"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Cody Stamann, banking on his durability and newfound aggression. He notes that Stamann has never been knocked out and that his counterpunching and body work could exploit de Andrade's wild style. However, he acknowledges that de Andrade is dangerous and that Stamann's transformation is still incomplete, making this a tough test.

"I have to lean on Cody Stamen, not getting hurt. If he can fight fearlessly, I think he can outwork Douglas De Silva."
WIN vs Luan Lacerda
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 80 of 181 44% 85 of 187 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:34
Luan Lacerda 0 103 of 189 54% 108 of 195 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 29 of 59 49% 29 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luan Lacerda 0 31 of 66 46% 31 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Stamann 0 33 of 78 42% 33 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luan Lacerda 0 52 of 87 59% 52 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Cody Stamann 0 18 of 44 40% 23 of 50 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:34
Luan Lacerda 0 20 of 36 55% 25 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 80 of 181 44% 31 of 113 44 of 61 5 of 7 80 of 181 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 103 of 189 54% 62 of 139 29 of 38 12 of 12 101 of 186 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 29 of 59 49% 9 of 33 17 of 22 3 of 4 29 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 31 of 66 46% 17 of 49 8 of 11 6 of 6 31 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cody Stamann 33 of 78 42% 17 of 53 15 of 23 1 of 2 33 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 52 of 87 59% 31 of 63 17 of 20 4 of 4 50 of 85 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cody Stamann 18 of 44 40% 5 of 27 12 of 16 1 of 1 18 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 20 of 36 55% 14 of 27 4 of 7 2 of 2 20 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Big Brady picks Cody Stamann as the rightful favorite due to fighting much better competition. He notes Lacerda has a legit BJJ black belt but often pulls guard and rolls for submissions, which doesn't work as well in the UFC. He thinks Lacerda won't be able to get takedowns and will have to rely on a Hail Mary submission. Stamann has been submitted twice but against elite grapplers like Sterling and Said. He predicts a decision win for Stamann.

"I gotta go stand in here I think he's the rightful favorite fighting the better competition being the minute winner but lacerda is a dangerous guy for what it's worth but give me a statement for the I'll say decision …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Cody Stamann confidently, noting his wrestling, cardio, and versatility. He says Stamann is a generalist who can do everything well, while Lacerda is a one-dimensional BJJ specialist. He thinks Stamann will neutralize Lacerda's grappling and win on the feet. He mentions Stamann's experience against top competition and his ability to avoid submissions.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann's wrestling is key
"I like Cody's stadium and I actually like him a decent amount uh he's extremely professional good shape shows up got skills everywhere"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor agrees, noting Lacerda is not proactive and Stamann is a tough gatekeeper. Lacerda's style is janky and he may not be able to exploit Stamann's flaws.

"Cody Stamann is a tough dude to take apart."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Cody Stamann, noting his wrestling and striking advantages. He says Stamann is a safe bet among the big favorites on the card. He mentions Lacerda's BJJ is dangerous but thinks Stamann will avoid submissions and win a decision. He says Stamann's experience and versatility will be too much.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann is one of the safer guys
"stamen seems like one of the safer guys going I would say"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The Guru picks Stamann despite acknowledging the risk of decline. He notes Stamann's losses are to top bantamweights like Sterling, Develashvili, and Rivera, and he beat Eddie Wineland convincingly. At 33, Stamann is still hungry and training at Extreme Couture. The Guru believes Lacerda is not on the level of Sayed or Song to submit Stamann, and that Stamann's wrestling and pressure will carry him to a 29-28 decision after surviving an early bad situation.

"I'm going with Cody stamen this is a dangerous one to pick because you know we never really know when a guy like Cody stamen's really going to start showing that decline"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Stamann because Lacerda is too passive and slow-paced. Stamann is a good wrestler who can enforce his game. Lacerda's submissions come from wrestling, but he won't outwrestle Stamann. Stamann is tough and durable.

"I'm going to take Cody Stamann."
TKO (punches) R1 0:59 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 1 27 of 38 71% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 1 27 of 38 71% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 27 of 38 71% 23 of 34 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 16 12 of 16 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 27 of 38 71% 23 of 34 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 16 12 of 16 6 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo picks Cody Stamann, citing his well-rounded skills, wrestling background, and pace. He notes Stamann averages almost 3 takedowns per fight and has no problem getting in his opponent's face. He acknowledges Eddie Wineland's experience and danger but believes Stamann's wrestling and pace will be the difference.

"cody stayman is the pick here but proper respect should be shown to somebody as experienced and as dangerous as eddie weinland"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Big Brady picks Cody Stamann to win by second-round knockout. He acknowledges Stamann is a wrestler but believes he can outstrike Wineland, who has poor striking defense and a weak chin. He notes Wineland's takedown defense is historically good, but Stamann's power and Wineland's decline make a knockout likely.

second round knockout
"I'm actually going to pick stamen to knock out weinland um kind of a hot take but kind of not really"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Stamann, noting his tough competition and advanced skill set. He thinks Wineland's chin and reflexes are gone, and Stamann will win by decision or TKO. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins due to Stamann's weight cut issues.

"i think cody stamen is probably top ticket if not second ticket material"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi confidently picks Cody Stamann, noting Eddie Wineland is damaged goods at 38 and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Stamann is a competent, well-rounded fighter who wins rounds, though he rarely finishes. Levi expects a unanimous decision but acknowledges the -700 price is not worth betting. He simply states Stamann is the pick.

Stamann -700 is too high to bet; expects decision
"cody stamen's the pick you know it doesn't take much courage or smarts to pick a minor 700 favorite"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees, noting Wineland's age and recent KO losses. He thinks the UFC is giving Stamann a favorable matchup and he should win easily. He also suggests waiting for weigh-ins.

"i think the ufc is totally doing the guy a favor"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The MMA Guru confidently picks Cody Stamann, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Eddie Wineland is 37 and has taken a lot of damage, while Stamann is younger and has good grappling. He expects Stamann to use his wrestling to secure takedowns and ride out a 30-27 decision, as Wineland is a veteran unlikely to be submitted but unable to stop the grappling.

"cody stamen's going to get this one done against eddie wineland i just don't see first of all eddie weinland being able to stop the grappling of cody stamen at this point in his career"
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:47 · UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Jan 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Said Nurmagomedov 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Said Nurmagomedov 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Said Nurmagomedov 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 7 of 13 53% 4 of 9 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Said Nurmagomedov 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 7 of 13 53% 4 of 9 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo picks Cody Stamann, expecting his pace and takedowns to frustrate a ring-rusty Nurmagomedov. He compares it to Barcelos vs Nurmagomedov where Barcelos won a decision. He admits it's not a confident pick but likes Cody in that matchup.

"i like cody here cody's the pick it's not like a tent pole underdog pick where i'm a thousand percent sure but i do like cody in that match up"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Big Brady picks Said Nurmagomedov to win by decision, citing his striking advantage, volume, defense, and significant reach and height advantages. He notes that Stamann's path to victory is takedowns, but Stamann struggles to control opponents and Nurmagomedov has good takedown defense and scrambling. He expects the fight to stay on the feet where Nurmagomedov will outpoint Stamann.

Nurmagomedov by decision; mentions the fight will be closer than the line indicates
"give me your margaret off i do think the fight is going to be closer than the line does indicate"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Cody Stamann as a live underdog, arguing that the line is off because people assume Nurmagomedov has grappling like other Nurmagomedovs, but Said is primarily a striker. He notes that Said has been taken down before (e.g., by Bibilatov) and that Stamann has good wrestling and game plans. Cody believes Stamann will use takedowns and top control to win a decision, and likes the plus money.

Cody Stamann by decision +260
"I think Cody Stamann's a live dog here... the line's way off and Cody Stamann definitely has the potential to win based on the grappling."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Daniel Levi leans toward Said Nurmagomedov but is not confident enough to lay the -200 price. He notes Nurmagomedov's explosive striking and six-inch reach advantage, but acknowledges Stamann's wrestling and ability to make fights close. Levi thinks Stamann can be competitive with anyone and that the fight could be a split decision. He ultimately gives a slight edge to Nurmagomedov due to his flashy striking and crowd-pleasing style.

Fight goes to decision; close fight expected
"i kind of think that syed's slightly better so i'm going to lean him but i'm not trying to lay that that big chalk price here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The host believes the line is inflated due to the 'Russian tax' on Nurmagomedov. He argues that Stamann has the wrestling advantage and will be able to take Nurmagomedov down, especially in later rounds. He notes that Nurmagomedov prefers to strike from range, but Stamann can crash the pocket and use his wrestling. He expects Stamann to win a decision by out-grappling and out-working Nurmagomedov.

Stamann by decision
"i think cody stamen wins this fight on optics and takedowns and i think that the judges gave it to him so uh official prediction here is going to be cody steeman pulling off the upset via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Stamann as a live dog. He notes that Said's wrestling hasn't been tested at UFC level and that Stamann is a bigger bantamweight who has fought tough competition. Paul believes Stamann's wrestling and game planning will expose Said's defensive weaknesses. He also mentions that Stamann has scored takedowns in his last four fights.

"I think the line's way off and Cody Stamann definitely has the potential to win based on the grappling."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Said Nurmagomedov, citing his youth, improvements, and recent first-round KO of Mark Striegl. He believes Nurmagomedov can stuff takedowns and outwork Stamann, predicting a second-round spinning back kick to the body TKO. He notes Stamann's recent losses and crying incident as signs of decline.

second round spinning back kick to the body
"i'm actually going to call a second round spinning back kick to the body for saying now mkhmed off here"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Prochazka · May 01, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Merab Dvalishvili 0 71 of 192 36% 178 of 306 5 of 11 45% 1 0 1:42
Cody Stamann 0 48 of 134 35% 73 of 163 1 of 4 25% 0 1 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Merab Dvalishvili 0 26 of 68 38% 34 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:33
Cody Stamann 0 21 of 51 41% 22 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:31
2 Merab Dvalishvili 0 21 of 54 38% 74 of 109 4 of 4 100% 1 0 1:09
Cody Stamann 0 10 of 36 27% 19 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:07
3 Merab Dvalishvili 0 24 of 70 34% 70 of 119 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 17 of 47 36% 32 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Merab Dvalishvili 71 of 192 36% 49 of 158 16 of 25 6 of 9 64 of 183 4 of 6 3 of 3
Cody Stamann 48 of 134 35% 27 of 102 20 of 30 1 of 2 41 of 126 6 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Merab Dvalishvili 26 of 68 38% 20 of 61 5 of 6 1 of 1 24 of 64 2 of 4 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 21 of 51 41% 13 of 38 7 of 11 1 of 2 19 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Merab Dvalishvili 21 of 54 38% 10 of 36 7 of 13 4 of 5 16 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 3
Cody Stamann 10 of 36 27% 3 of 25 7 of 11 0 of 0 6 of 32 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Merab Dvalishvili 24 of 70 34% 19 of 61 4 of 6 1 of 3 24 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 17 of 47 36% 11 of 39 6 of 8 0 of 0 16 of 46 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Big Brady picks Merab Dvalishvili to win by decision. He highlights Merab's relentless pace, pressure, and takedown volume, even if he can't hold opponents down. He believes Merab will wear Stamann down with constant takedown attempts and cage pressure. Brady notes that both fighters are not finishers, so he expects the fight to go to decision. He also suggests Merab by decision as a parlay piece.

fight goes to decision, Merab by decision parlay piece
"i'm going to take rob to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody is intrigued by Cody Stamann as an underdog. He notes that Merab's takedowns are often stuffed by better competition, as seen in the John Dodson fight (2 for 20). He thinks Stamann has the better striking and can stuff takedowns, making it a close competitive fight. He also mentions that Merab's main training partner Aljamain Sterling is out with surgery, which could affect his preparation. He acknowledges the sweat because Merab's grinding style is tough to bet against, but at +215 he finds it generous enough.

Merab by decision (alternative play at -125)
"i'm looking at cody stamen as an underdog play but i understand the sweat it's going to be because davash really just fights the style that we love"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Daniel Levi picks Merab Dvalishvili to win, emphasizing his relentless pressure, takedown volume, and improved striking. He notes that Stamann is solid but tends to be a point fighter who may be outworked. Levi believes Dvalishvili's aggression and cardio will lead to a decision win.

"i'm gonna go with morab de welsh wheelie to outwork cody stamen to be a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

The host picks Merab Dvalishvili by decision, citing his relentless pace and takedown volume. He notes that Stamann is a good wrestler but expects Dvalishvili's motor to be too much. He believes the fight goes the distance and Dvalishvili wins on volume.

Merab Dvalishvili by decision at -135; Fight goes the distance at +300
"I'm expecting to murab to be a step ahead pretty much at all times and i think that he gets the decision victory here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Paul is leaning toward Merab, noting that he has made tons of improvements and is a grinding machine. He acknowledges that Stamann is a better striker and has decent wrestling, but Merab's relentless takedown pace could overwhelm him. He mentions that Merab's takedown numbers are impressive (11-13 per fight) and that even if Stamann gets up, Merab will drag him back down. However, he is not convinced Merab can dominate wrestling exchanges against Stamann, and he prefers the 'Merab by decision' prop at -125.

Merab by decision at -125
"if i was gonna play anything and i haven't played it but it would be marab by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

The MMA Guru picks Merab Dvalishvili over Cody Stamann, citing Dvalishvili's superior grappling and pace. He notes that Dvalishvili controlled John Dodson, who has great takedown defense, and that Stamann has struggled in grappling exchanges. He predicts Dvalishvili will win a 29-28 unanimous decision, with Stamann possibly winning the first round on strikes but Dvalishvili taking over in the later rounds.

"i'm going with marab de velashvali i like cody stamen i think he's a good fighter i think marab has proven that he's above the rest"
LOSS vs Jimmie Rivera
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige · Jul 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jimmie Rivera 0 48 of 89 53% 90 of 134 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:59
Cody Stamann 0 26 of 72 36% 62 of 108 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jimmie Rivera 0 15 of 25 60% 27 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:33
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 16 43% 14 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:20
2 Jimmie Rivera 0 15 of 23 65% 21 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Cody Stamann 0 11 of 28 39% 28 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:27
3 Jimmie Rivera 0 18 of 41 43% 42 of 65 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:34
Cody Stamann 0 8 of 28 28% 20 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jimmie Rivera 48 of 89 53% 16 of 44 13 of 16 19 of 29 32 of 68 12 of 16 4 of 5
Cody Stamann 26 of 72 36% 13 of 55 8 of 11 5 of 6 18 of 61 8 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jimmie Rivera 15 of 25 60% 5 of 11 1 of 1 9 of 13 11 of 17 1 of 4 3 of 4
Cody Stamann 7 of 16 43% 5 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 3 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jimmie Rivera 15 of 23 65% 7 of 11 5 of 6 3 of 6 10 of 18 4 of 4 1 of 1
Cody Stamann 11 of 28 39% 4 of 19 5 of 7 2 of 2 7 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Jimmie Rivera 18 of 41 43% 4 of 22 7 of 9 7 of 10 11 of 33 7 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 8 of 28 28% 4 of 23 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jimmie Rivera

Big Brady picks Jimmie Rivera, believing he is the better striker and faster fighter. He thinks Rivera's 95% takedown defense will neutralize Stamann's wrestling, and that Rivera will land more and harder strikes. He predicts a decision win, noting neither fighter is a finisher, and suggests betting on Rivera by decision or the fight going to decision.

Might bet on Rivera at -135; suggests Rivera by decision or fight goes to decision as potential bets
"I like Jimmie Rivera here I really do I think this is a great stylistic matchup for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann as a live underdog, citing his versatility, fight IQ, and ability to fight in multiple stances. He believes Rivera has an old-school style and hasn't evolved, while Stamann can outpoint and outwork him, possibly even knocking him down.

"I actually think Cody statements are live underdog here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Jimmie Rivera

The Guru picks Jimmie Rivera, noting his losses are to elite fighters (Petr Yan, Aljamain Sterling, Marlon Moraes) while his wins include John Dodson, Thomas Almeida, and Urijah Faber. He believes Rivera's takedown defense and reach advantage will be key. Cody Stamann's best win is over Song Yadong, but that win has lost value. Rivera is a level above and should win by decision.

decision
"I think Jimmy rivera wins short a guy reach advantage hard to get on the inside of great takedown defense Cody stamen I mean other than somebody losses Jimmy Rivera's had which you can't really blame him for I mean …"
Luan Lacerda - Fight History
LOSS vs Hecher Sosa
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luan Lacerda 0 62 of 168 36% 72 of 182 4 of 11 36% 0 0 3:06
Hecher Sosa 0 104 of 221 47% 137 of 263 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luan Lacerda 0 19 of 43 44% 22 of 47 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:44
Hecher Sosa 0 22 of 50 44% 33 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Luan Lacerda 0 23 of 64 35% 24 of 67 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:34
Hecher Sosa 0 42 of 90 46% 49 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Luan Lacerda 0 20 of 61 32% 26 of 68 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:48
Hecher Sosa 0 40 of 81 49% 55 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luan Lacerda 62 of 168 36% 35 of 118 22 of 44 5 of 6 53 of 150 9 of 18 0 of 0
Hecher Sosa 104 of 221 47% 67 of 170 25 of 37 12 of 14 88 of 189 16 of 32 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luan Lacerda 19 of 43 44% 9 of 24 7 of 15 3 of 4 13 of 36 6 of 7 0 of 0
Hecher Sosa 22 of 50 44% 15 of 37 2 of 8 5 of 5 20 of 44 2 of 6 0 of 0
2 Luan Lacerda 23 of 64 35% 15 of 48 8 of 16 0 of 0 22 of 60 1 of 4 0 of 0
Hecher Sosa 42 of 90 46% 25 of 68 13 of 17 4 of 5 34 of 80 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Luan Lacerda 20 of 61 32% 11 of 46 7 of 13 2 of 2 18 of 54 2 of 7 0 of 0
Hecher Sosa 40 of 81 49% 27 of 65 10 of 12 3 of 4 34 of 65 6 of 16 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Hecher Sosa

Angelo picks Hecher Sosa confidently, praising his clean striking, range management, and leg kicks. He notes that Luan Lacerda is a dangerous grappler but Sosa's takedown defense should be good enough. He thinks Sosa will be the much better striker and should win, calling the -230 line a potential bargain.

"So, Hetch is going to be the pick. ... minus 230 might be like, 'Damn, dude, that was the bargain of the card.'"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Hecher Sosa

Big Brady picks Hecher Sosa to win by second-round knockout. He praises Sosa's well-rounded game, including solid striking and grappling, and notes his impressive Contender Series performance. He questions Lacerda's cardio and durability, calling him 'submission or bust' and expecting Sosa to dictate the fight on the feet and eventually knock him out.

"Give me Hector Souza to win this fight. I'll take him going to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Hecher Sosa

Cody picks Sosa confidently, citing his regional success, well-rounded game, and durability. He notes Lacerda's poor performance against Simon Olivera and lack of improvement. He expects Sosa to take him down and dominate.

"I like Hector Sosa. All I do."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Lacerda. He describes Sosa as awkward and ropey, with poor technical know-how. He believes Lacerda's aggression will be too much for Sosa, who is not used to facing fighters who are willing to engage. Connor calls it a bad bantamweight fight.

Sosa opened at -200, currently -240; Lacerda opened at +170, currently +205
"Yeah, that sounds about right to me. Yeah. I got to take Lacerda, but this is, yeah, not interesting for Bantam weight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Hecher Sosa

James picks Hecher Sosa to win inside the distance, citing his well-rounded game and ability to adapt. He notes Lacerda's submission threat but believes Sosa's strength and defensive wrestling will prevail. He expects Sosa to finish Lacerda, who has been finished in his losses.

"I got Hetcha Sosa for the win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Hecher Sosa

The host favors Sosa due to his well-roundedness and ability to shut down Lacerda's submission game. He expects Sosa to outstrike Lacerda and take him down, where he can land damage and avoid submissions. He predicts a decision win for Sosa, noting that Lacerda's only real threat is submissions, which Sosa can neutralize.

"I like Sosa a fair deal here. I feel like he dominates. I feel like he shuts down Lerta's submission game."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Hecher Sosa

Paul picks Sosa, noting his impressive wins and readiness for the UFC. He thinks Lacerda is a step down in competition. He expects Sosa to win.

"Everything's pointing towards this guy being ready to compete in the UFC."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2026 (fight day)
Hecher Sosa

The Guru picks Hecher Sosa, citing his recent TKO wins and physicality advantage. He believes Sosa is entering his prime and that Lacerda has been unimpressive in the UFC, with losses to Damon Blackshear and Cody Stamann. He predicts a competitive decision, 29-28.

"I am going to go with Hecher Sosa... by a competitive decision, 29-28."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Zane picks Luan Lacerda, noting that Hecher Sosa is a mediocre athlete who throws single strikes with little defense. He believes Lacerda's functional aggression will overwhelm Sosa, who is used to being the bigger fighter. Zane sees Lacerda as more willing to throw shots and take advantage of Sosa's lack of combination work.

Sosa opened at -200, currently -240; Lacerda opened at +170, currently +205
"I got to take Lacerda, but this is, yeah, not interesting for Bantam weight."
Submission R2 3:55 · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luan Lacerda 0 24 of 39 61% 60 of 85 3 of 4 75% 1 0 6:06
Saimon Oliveira 0 21 of 34 61% 33 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 2 1:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luan Lacerda 0 10 of 20 50% 26 of 42 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:38
Saimon Oliveira 0 6 of 8 75% 14 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 1 0:58
2 Luan Lacerda 0 14 of 19 73% 34 of 43 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:28
Saimon Oliveira 0 15 of 26 57% 19 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luan Lacerda 24 of 39 61% 13 of 26 10 of 12 1 of 1 6 of 13 6 of 8 12 of 18
Saimon Oliveira 21 of 34 61% 14 of 21 3 of 7 4 of 6 8 of 17 2 of 3 11 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luan Lacerda 10 of 20 50% 3 of 11 7 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 6 6 of 8 3 of 6
Saimon Oliveira 6 of 8 75% 1 of 1 3 of 4 2 of 3 4 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luan Lacerda 14 of 19 73% 10 of 15 3 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 12
Saimon Oliveira 15 of 26 57% 13 of 20 0 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 12 0 of 0 11 of 14
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Angelo picks Luan Lacerda based on his raw notes from watching their last fights. He describes Luan as 'incredibly dangerous' and constantly working towards submissions, while his notes for Saimon simply say 'sucks.' He acknowledges the layoff for Luan but believes he is fighting a lesser opponent and should win. He also suggests the odds might be a discount.

odds might be a discount
"Luan Lacerda is the pick. I hate the layoff, but he's fighting a suck."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Big Brady picks Luan Lacerda by default, as he is not picking Saimon Oliveira to beat anyone in the UFC. He notes Oliveira has no takedown defense, no cardio, and no durability, and that he almost died in a training accident. Lacerda is 0-2 in the UFC but has taken a two-year layoff; Brady expects him to get takedowns at will and potentially find a submission or win a decision. He calls the fight sketchy with two fighters who arguably shouldn't be in the UFC.

"I got to go Lera here by default. I mean, you know, I'm not picking Simon Oliver to beat literally anybody in the UFC."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Cody picks Lacerda, citing Oliveira's poor durability and technique. He notes Lacerda's body work and wrestling, and expects him to wear Oliveira down. He suggests live betting if Lacerda starts slow.

"I'll take low on Lerta."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Lucrative James picks Luan Lacerda to win, noting that Lacerda has shown better performances in the UFC despite being 0-2, and believes he should be 1-1. He highlights Lacerda's superior grappling and submission game, with six submission wins leading up to his UFC debut. He also mentions Lacerda's dangerous leg lock game but warns about his tendency to roll for leg locks, which got him knocked out in his last fight. He expects a finish inside the distance, likely by submission, but passes on betting due to the -245 price tag and layoff concerns.

inside the distance (no value at -180), under 1.5 rounds (+120)
"I kind of like Luan Lerta to win this one. He's minus 245 favorite. So, I can't really do business with him at that price tag."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Manpreet picks Lacerda but is wary of the long layoff and chalky odds. He believes Lacerda's BJJ will be the difference, expecting a submission win. However, he notes that Oliveira's grappling defense is not as dangerous as previous opponents, and the layoff makes Lacerda tough to trust at minus 260.

Lacerda by submission
"I'm going to go Lacerda. I think he probably wraps up a submission here and forces the tap from Oliveira, but very tough to trust him at minus 260 considering the long layoff."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Paul picks Lacerda, calling Oliveira the worst guy on the roster. He notes Oliveira's 0-3 record and reckless style, while Lacerda has faced better competition. He expects Lacerda to win, possibly by knockout or decision.

"Luan Lasser is a pick for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

The MMA Guru picks Luan Lacerda over Saimon Oliveira, citing toughness and durability advantages. He notes Oliveira seems 'soy' and easy to break, with a losing streak and finishes. Lacerda trains at a better gym (Nova União) and has had time off to develop. He predicts a late-round finish by TKO or submission.

"I'm going to go with Lan Lerta getting this one done. I think he's likely to get a finish here by TKO or submission in the later rounds."
TKO (punches) R2 3:54 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 66 of 135 48% 85 of 158 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:14
Luan Lacerda 0 28 of 64 43% 31 of 67 1 of 4 25% 1 1 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 30 of 60 50% 44 of 76 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:29
Luan Lacerda 0 17 of 34 50% 20 of 37 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:20
2 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 36 of 75 48% 41 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:45
Luan Lacerda 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da'Mon Blackshear 66 of 135 48% 42 of 103 11 of 17 13 of 15 38 of 96 8 of 13 20 of 26
Luan Lacerda 28 of 64 43% 16 of 42 9 of 19 3 of 3 25 of 61 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 30 of 60 50% 17 of 41 4 of 8 9 of 11 19 of 43 8 of 13 3 of 4
Luan Lacerda 17 of 34 50% 11 of 24 5 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 31 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Da'Mon Blackshear 36 of 75 48% 25 of 62 7 of 9 4 of 4 19 of 53 0 of 0 17 of 22
Luan Lacerda 11 of 30 36% 5 of 18 4 of 10 2 of 2 11 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Angelo picks Blackshear, impressed by his toughness and performance in his loss to Fareed. He thinks Blackshear is better than his winless UFC record and can defend Lacerda's takedowns, noting Lacerda is not the wrestler Fareed was. Angelo acknowledges Lacerda is dangerous everywhere but believes Blackshear's speed and accuracy will be key. He placed a $20 bet on Blackshear at +111.

Bet $20 on Blackshear moneyline at +111.
"I think Damon's gonna win this fight I think he's better than his winless UFC record"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Cody picks Lacerda, agreeing with Paul. He notes Lacerda looked like a problem in his debut against Stamann, showing strong takedown defense and striking. Cody highlights Blackshear's poor takedown defense and inability to get back to his feet. He thinks Lacerda's physicality and grappling will be too much, and that -150 is fair.

"minus 150 seems more than fair for Luan lucerta in this spot"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Luan Lacerda

Connor fully agrees with Zane, praising Lacerda's assertiveness and well-rounded skills. He compares Lacerda favorably to a more aggressive version of Hacran Dias, noting that Lacerda knows how to lead and break opponents down methodically. Connor believes Blackshear's lack of striking comfort and tendency to give up the initiative will be exploited by Lacerda's pressure and takedowns.

"I just I really like the look of lasserta"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Daniel picks Lacerda, praising his elite Jiu-Jitsu and ability to sweep and take backs. He notes that Blackshear is explosive and athletic but makes defensive mistakes and puts himself in deep submissions. He believes Lacerda's consistency and grappling will be the difference, and he wouldn't be surprised by a submission win.

"pure pic lacera and I cannot wait"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Jacob picks Lacerda, believing he is the better striker with more power and Muay Thai kicks. He thinks Lacerda is next level on the ground and Blackshear will be outclassed everywhere. Jacob notes Lacerda struggled against Cody's elusive style but Blackshear will be more in front of him. He does not see a finish but expects Lacerda to out-grapple and out-strike Blackshear to win a decision.

"I absolutely have viserada in this fight I believe in the Striking he's a better Striker he's a more powerful Striker"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Lacerda is a BJJ black belt who gets most of his work done on the mat with submissions. Blackshear has cardio issues and his efficiency drops after the first two rounds. Lacerda will land takedowns, establish dominant control, and find a submission in the latter half of the fight.

submission round 2
"give me Luan lacerda via submission let's call it round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

Paul picks Lacerda confidently, calling him the most value on the card at -150. He notes Lacerda's strong grappling and physicality, and that Blackshear cannot fight off his back. Paul recalls Lacerda's impressive UFC debut against Cody Stamann, where he nearly won. He thinks Lacerda's second fight will show an even better version, and that he has the tools to submit or dominate Blackshear.

"I feel like Lucerne is probably the most value on the card at -150 to be honest with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Luan Lacerda

The MMA Guru leans towards Luan Lacerda, acknowledging it's a tough matchup to predict. He notes Lacerda had a competitive fight with Cody Stamann, a tough veteran, and that Lacerda is more talented and had momentum coming into the UFC. He also mentions that Blackshear had a close fight with Farid Basharat and made big mistakes. The Guru thinks Lacerda will mix in grappling and get takedowns, but warns that Blackshear could win by finish as an underdog.

"I am going to lean towards lacerda because he was doing... he did okay against Cody stamen"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Luan Lacerda

Zane picks Lacerda based on his assertive, front-foot style and well-rounded game. He notes that Blackshear is a good scrambler but tends to let opponents be first, which is dangerous against Lacerda's pressure. Lacerda's solid Muay Thai, power, and wrestling (he even took down Kody Stamann) should allow him to control the fight. Zane believes Blackshear's passive approach will lead to him being outworked and outgrappled.

"luon lasserta is not a fighter you want to let be first"
LOSS vs Cody Stamann
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 80 of 181 44% 85 of 187 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:34
Luan Lacerda 0 103 of 189 54% 108 of 195 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 29 of 59 49% 29 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luan Lacerda 0 31 of 66 46% 31 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Stamann 0 33 of 78 42% 33 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luan Lacerda 0 52 of 87 59% 52 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Cody Stamann 0 18 of 44 40% 23 of 50 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:34
Luan Lacerda 0 20 of 36 55% 25 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 80 of 181 44% 31 of 113 44 of 61 5 of 7 80 of 181 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 103 of 189 54% 62 of 139 29 of 38 12 of 12 101 of 186 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 29 of 59 49% 9 of 33 17 of 22 3 of 4 29 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 31 of 66 46% 17 of 49 8 of 11 6 of 6 31 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cody Stamann 33 of 78 42% 17 of 53 15 of 23 1 of 2 33 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 52 of 87 59% 31 of 63 17 of 20 4 of 4 50 of 85 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cody Stamann 18 of 44 40% 5 of 27 12 of 16 1 of 1 18 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 20 of 36 55% 14 of 27 4 of 7 2 of 2 20 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Big Brady picks Cody Stamann as the rightful favorite due to fighting much better competition. He notes Lacerda has a legit BJJ black belt but often pulls guard and rolls for submissions, which doesn't work as well in the UFC. He thinks Lacerda won't be able to get takedowns and will have to rely on a Hail Mary submission. Stamann has been submitted twice but against elite grapplers like Sterling and Said. He predicts a decision win for Stamann.

"I gotta go stand in here I think he's the rightful favorite fighting the better competition being the minute winner but lacerda is a dangerous guy for what it's worth but give me a statement for the I'll say decision …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Cody Stamann confidently, noting his wrestling, cardio, and versatility. He says Stamann is a generalist who can do everything well, while Lacerda is a one-dimensional BJJ specialist. He thinks Stamann will neutralize Lacerda's grappling and win on the feet. He mentions Stamann's experience against top competition and his ability to avoid submissions.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann's wrestling is key
"I like Cody's stadium and I actually like him a decent amount uh he's extremely professional good shape shows up got skills everywhere"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor agrees, noting Lacerda is not proactive and Stamann is a tough gatekeeper. Lacerda's style is janky and he may not be able to exploit Stamann's flaws.

"Cody Stamann is a tough dude to take apart."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Cody Stamann, noting his wrestling and striking advantages. He says Stamann is a safe bet among the big favorites on the card. He mentions Lacerda's BJJ is dangerous but thinks Stamann will avoid submissions and win a decision. He says Stamann's experience and versatility will be too much.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann is one of the safer guys
"stamen seems like one of the safer guys going I would say"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The Guru picks Stamann despite acknowledging the risk of decline. He notes Stamann's losses are to top bantamweights like Sterling, Develashvili, and Rivera, and he beat Eddie Wineland convincingly. At 33, Stamann is still hungry and training at Extreme Couture. The Guru believes Lacerda is not on the level of Sayed or Song to submit Stamann, and that Stamann's wrestling and pressure will carry him to a 29-28 decision after surviving an early bad situation.

"I'm going with Cody stamen this is a dangerous one to pick because you know we never really know when a guy like Cody stamen's really going to start showing that decline"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Stamann because Lacerda is too passive and slow-paced. Stamann is a good wrestler who can enforce his game. Lacerda's submissions come from wrestling, but he won't outwrestle Stamann. Stamann is tough and durable.

"I'm going to take Cody Stamann."
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Big Brady picks Cody Stamann as the rightful favorite due to fighting much better competition. He notes Lacerda has a legit BJJ black belt but often pulls guard and rolls for submissions, which doesn't work as well in the UFC. He thinks Lacerda won't be able to get takedowns and will have to rely on a Hail Mary submission. Stamann has been submitted twice but against elite grapplers like Sterling and Said. He predicts a decision win for Stamann.

"I gotta go stand in here I think he's the rightful favorite fighting the better competition being the minute winner but lacerda is a dangerous guy for what it's worth but give me a statement for the I'll say decision win for Cody stamen"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Cody Stamann confidently, noting his wrestling, cardio, and versatility. He says Stamann is a generalist who can do everything well, while Lacerda is a one-dimensional BJJ specialist. He thinks Stamann will neutralize Lacerda's grappling and win on the feet. He mentions Stamann's experience against top competition and his ability to avoid submissions.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann's wrestling is key
"I like Cody's stadium and I actually like him a decent amount uh he's extremely professional good shape shows up got skills everywhere"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor agrees, noting Lacerda is not proactive and Stamann is a tough gatekeeper. Lacerda's style is janky and he may not be able to exploit Stamann's flaws.

"Cody Stamann is a tough dude to take apart."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Cody Stamann, noting his wrestling and striking advantages. He says Stamann is a safe bet among the big favorites on the card. He mentions Lacerda's BJJ is dangerous but thinks Stamann will avoid submissions and win a decision. He says Stamann's experience and versatility will be too much.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann is one of the safer guys
"stamen seems like one of the safer guys going I would say"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The Guru picks Stamann despite acknowledging the risk of decline. He notes Stamann's losses are to top bantamweights like Sterling, Develashvili, and Rivera, and he beat Eddie Wineland convincingly. At 33, Stamann is still hungry and training at Extreme Couture. The Guru believes Lacerda is not on the level of Sayed or Song to submit Stamann, and that Stamann's wrestling and pressure will carry him to a 29-28 decision after surviving an early bad situation.

"I'm going with Cody stamen this is a dangerous one to pick because you know we never really know when a guy like Cody stamen's really going to start showing that decline"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Stamann because Lacerda is too passive and slow-paced. Stamann is a good wrestler who can enforce his game. Lacerda's submissions come from wrestling, but he won't outwrestle Stamann. Stamann is tough and durable.

"I'm going to take Cody Stamann."