Career Averages - Jalin Turner
Career Averages - Brad Riddell
Jalin Turner
Brad Riddell
Jalin Turner - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edson Barboza | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:07 |
| Jalin Turner | 2 | 39 of 66 | 59% | 43 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edson Barboza | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:07 |
| Jalin Turner | 2 | 39 of 66 | 59% | 43 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edson Barboza | 10 of 20 | 50% | 4 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jalin Turner | 39 of 66 | 59% | 29 of 55 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 53 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edson Barboza | 10 of 20 | 50% | 4 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jalin Turner | 39 of 66 | 59% | 29 of 55 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 53 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 3 |
Angelo picks Jalin Turner despite concerns about his mental state after retiring following a couple of losses. He acknowledges Turner's advantages in height, range, and striking, and believes he is the better fighter at this stage. However, he questions whether Turner returned for the right reasons or just for a paycheck. Angelo ultimately trusts that Turner is focused and will win, but expresses hesitation.
Big Brady picks Jalin Turner, citing his dangerous striking and 100% finish rate. He believes Barboza is washed and lacks durability, and that Turner will keep the fight standing. He expects Turner to win by first-round knockout, though he questions Turner's mentality.
Cody picks Turner, citing his size, power, and youth. He notes that Turner has knocked down top lightweights and has a significant reach advantage. He believes Barboza is past his prime and that Turner will finish him early. He is confident despite Turner's recent loss and retirement talk.
Connor picks Jalin Turner hesitantly, citing Turner's fight-ending power and Barboza's age and recent decline. He notes that Barboza has looked hesitant and unable to pull the trigger, while Turner has more instantaneous power. However, Connor is concerned about Turner's mental state after his last performance and retirement talk.
Daniel is undecided, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation. He sees Turner's physical advantages and power but questions his heart and recent losses. Barboza's toughness and experience are assets, but his age (39) is a concern. He plans to make a pick on fight week.
Lucrative James thinks Jalin Turner will finish Edson Barboza early. He notes Barboza has looked washed and vulnerable in recent fights, often getting wobbled. He believes Turner's length, power, and viciousness will overwhelm Barboza. He acknowledges concerns about Turner's mental state after retirement but sees this as a favorable stylistic matchup.
The host believes Turner, returning from a short retirement, will be dialed in and take advantage of Barboza's deteriorating durability. He expects Turner to finish the fight within a round and a half.
Paul picks Turner, noting his size and power advantage. He believes Barboza is done and that Turner will overwhelm him. He mentions that Turner's only losses are to top competition and that he has the ability to finish early. He thinks Turner wins by TKO.
The Guru picks Jalin Turner to beat Edson Barboza, noting Barboza's decline and damage accumulation. He believes Turner's range and grappling will be key, and that Barboza cannot pull the trigger like before. The Guru predicts a first-round TKO finish.
Zane picks Jalin Turner hesitantly, noting that Turner has more instantaneous fight-ending power than Barboza. He acknowledges Barboza's age and recent performances where he couldn't pull the trigger. Zane is concerned about Turner's mental state but believes his power gives him the edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 |
| Jalin Turner | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 |
| Jalin Turner | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Connor picks Turner because he sees a clear level gap: Bahamondes has never beaten a good UFC fighter and is a classic tall man who doesn't like fighting at distance, while Turner is a long-range striker with fast, straight shots. Connor notes that Bahamondes has poor defense and will struggle against Turner's reach and power. He also points out that Turner has fought much better competition and performed well in close fights.
Lucrative James picks Turner as an underdog, citing Turner's early power and finishing ability. He thinks Turner will land big shots early and potentially finish, as Bahamondes is hittable. He notes Turner's cardio issues but believes he can win by stoppage or even decision if he hurts Bahamondes early. He admits he needs more tape study but leans Turner.
Zane picks Turner, agreeing with Connor that Bahamondes is not a good range fighter and has poor defense. He notes that Turner is a nuclear puncher who is much faster and has a flexible striking game. Zane acknowledges Turner's occasional mental lapses but believes Bahamondes lacks the talent to exploit them. He is surprised by the betting line favoring Bahamondes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Moicano | 1 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 36 of 67 | 53% | 87 of 128 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 5:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renato Moicano | 1 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 32 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 | |
| 2 | Renato Moicano | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 28 of 51 | 54% | 55 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Moicano | 16 of 40 | 40% | 10 of 32 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jalin Turner | 36 of 67 | 53% | 32 of 60 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 43 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renato Moicano | 9 of 25 | 36% | 4 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jalin Turner | 8 of 16 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Renato Moicano | 7 of 15 | 46% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jalin Turner | 28 of 51 | 54% | 26 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 38 |
Angelo is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his phenomenal striking, length, and takedown defense. He notes Moicano's BJJ is dangerous but Turner should piece him up and potentially finish. He mentions Turner has never won a decision, so a finish is likely.
Cody is high on Turner's potential. He notes Turner's length (6'3", 77-inch reach), solid takedown defense (75%), and nasty power. Moicano lacks volume and offensive wrestling; his wins often come by quick submission or low-volume decisions. Cody points out that Moicano was a 145er and Turner is a big lightweight who could even be a middleweight. He believes Turner's power and reach will be too much, and he expects a finish, possibly a first-round knockout. Cody mentions Turner's cardio issues in past fights but thinks Moicano doesn't have the pressure to exploit them.
Connor picks Turner, emphasizing that Moicano's counter-punching and wrestling will not be enough. He notes that Turner is difficult to take down and works well from his back, while Moicano's confidence often breaks when pressured. Connor believes Turner's reach and power will be too much for Moicano to handle over three rounds.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jalin Turner, citing his improved striking, range management, and takedown defense. He believes Turner's power and length will be too much for Moicano, and that Turner will knock him out. Vreeland notes Moicano's submission threat but doubts his chin can hold up.
Turner has a striking advantage and power, but Moicano will grab a body lock and drag the fight to the ground. Moicano's BJJ will reign supreme, opening a back take opportunity for a rear-naked choke submission. Moicano pulls off the upset as a +195 underdog.
Paul agrees, noting Moicano's last performance against Drew Dober was a problem—he got a takedown in round three but did little with it. Paul points out that Moicano's wrestling should have dominated Dober but didn't. He also mentions Turner is a big lightweight, while Moicano moved up from 145. Paul thinks Turner's power will be decisive and expects a finish, possibly a first-round knockout. He notes that Moicano's cardio wasn't great in the Dober fight either.
The MMA Guru picks Renato Moicano to submit Jalin Turner via rear-naked choke in round one. He notes that Moicano has submission ability and that Turner has been taken down and controlled by grapplers like Mateusz Gamrot. He believes Moicano will find Turner's hips, take his back, and sink in the choke.
Zane picks Turner confidently, despite disliking his style. He notes that Turner's reach and power make him dangerous early, and Moicano is hittable and prone to losing confidence. Zane argues that Moicano's clinch wrestling will not work against Turner's size and defensive grappling. He expects Turner to knock Moicano out early or win a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 1 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 33 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| King Green | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 1 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 33 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| King Green | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 33 of 60 | 55% | 26 of 48 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 18 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 19 |
| King Green | 15 of 26 | 57% | 5 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 14 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 33 of 60 | 55% | 26 of 48 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 18 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 19 |
| King Green | 15 of 26 | 57% | 5 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 14 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jalin Turner despite short notice, citing his size advantage and danger everywhere. He thinks Turner's reach and height will be a problem for Green, and that Green's hands-down style could get him caught. He expects an early finish but notes cardio concerns if the fight extends. He calls it a step down in competition for Turner.
Cody is torn but tentatively picks Turner. He acknowledges Turner's weight cut issues and short notice, but thinks Turner is faster, longer, and the better striker. He worries about Turner's cardio in later rounds but believes if Turner minds his distance, he can win. He considers waiting for weigh-ins and possibly betting Green live after the first round.
Lucrative James leans towards Bobby Green as a dog, noting that Jalin Turner has never won a decision and has a questionable chin. He believes if Green survives round one, the fight becomes 50-50, with Green having an edge in later rounds. He is not confident but sees value in Green at plus money.
Green is on a two-fight winning streak and has a volume-heavy style that could overwhelm Turner. Turner has lost two in a row and has had weight issues, plus he took this fight on short notice. Green's durability and pressure should allow him to outwork Turner, especially if the fight goes into deep waters. A decision win is predicted.
Paul already bet Bobby Green at plus money. He cites Green's durability, cardio, and the fact that Turner missed weight last time and is on short notice. He thinks Green can go hard three rounds and that Turner's cardio falls off. He also likes Green round three prop at +2000. He notes Green is historically a slow starter but believes he can take over late.
The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner, citing his reach advantage, versatility, and ability to chop the legs and body. He believes Bobby Green struggles without a reach advantage and that Turner's dynamic striking will be too much. He expects a decision win for Turner, 30-27.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Hooker | 0 | 100 of 177 | 56% | 113 of 191 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jalin Turner | 1 | 125 of 197 | 63% | 172 of 247 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 3:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Hooker | 0 | 34 of 69 | 49% | 34 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 38 of 54 | 70% | 39 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Dan Hooker | 0 | 34 of 60 | 56% | 34 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 44 of 81 | 54% | 48 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Dan Hooker | 0 | 32 of 48 | 66% | 45 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jalin Turner | 1 | 43 of 62 | 69% | 85 of 107 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Hooker | 100 of 177 | 56% | 63 of 128 | 30 of 37 | 7 of 12 | 78 of 152 | 18 of 21 | 4 of 4 |
| Jalin Turner | 125 of 197 | 63% | 77 of 139 | 25 of 32 | 23 of 26 | 100 of 157 | 19 of 31 | 6 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Hooker | 34 of 69 | 49% | 16 of 47 | 13 of 14 | 5 of 8 | 30 of 64 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jalin Turner | 38 of 54 | 70% | 16 of 29 | 8 of 9 | 14 of 16 | 35 of 51 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dan Hooker | 34 of 60 | 56% | 23 of 44 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 4 | 25 of 51 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jalin Turner | 44 of 81 | 54% | 27 of 59 | 9 of 13 | 8 of 9 | 38 of 70 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dan Hooker | 32 of 48 | 66% | 24 of 37 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 37 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 |
| Jalin Turner | 43 of 62 | 69% | 34 of 51 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 36 | 10 of 17 | 6 of 9 |
Angelo is confident in Turner, calling him a 'pretty easy pick'. He notes Turner's excellent boxing, range management, and well-roundedness (3 of last 4 wins by submission). Hooker is durable but Angelo thinks he'll be a step behind. He is only slightly concerned about Hooker turning it into a wrestling match, but believes Turner can handle it. He recommends Turner for parlays.
Big Brady picks Jalin Turner to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Turner is very dangerous with scary power, and Hooker has been knocked out recently by Michael Chandler and Arnold Allen. He believes Hooker will try to wrestle but doesn't have the takedown game to exploit Turner's takedown defense. He expects a striking match where Turner finishes Hooker early. He mentions that Turner is five years younger and more in his prime.
Cody picks Turner but is hesitant at -260. He thinks Turner's length and power will be too much for Hooker, who has taken a lot of damage. He notes Hooker's durability may be fading. He considers the under 1.5 rounds but doesn't feel great about it. He mentions Turner's cardio issues in the past but expects an early knockout.
Connor picks Turner, emphasizing that Hooker's game relies on being the taller fighter with reach, which he won't have here. He notes that Turner's pressure and collar-tie game will be effective, and that Hooker's slow starts and reactive style play into Turner's hands. Connor sees Turner as younger, faster, and more powerful, making this a bad matchup for Hooker.
Daniel Levi picks Turner, noting that he has improved his range management and defense, and that Hooker has taken too much damage throughout his career. Levi points out that Hooker will be the shorter man for the first time, facing a three-inch reach disadvantage. He acknowledges that the minus-260 price is high but believes Turner is catching Hooker at the right time. Levi also mentions that Turner has been training outside his comfort zone, including in Abu Dhabi with Khamzat Chimaev, which shows his dedication to improvement.
James picks Jalin Turner to win by knockout. He notes Turner is on an upward trajectory while Hooker is on a downward one. He praises Turner's improved speed, accuracy, and range management. He acknowledges Turner's chin is questionable and Hooker could land, but thinks Hooker will have to endure too much punishment. He also mentions Turner missed weight but doesn't think it was intentional.
Turner has dangerous striking and a strong submission game, while Hooker is hittable and has durability concerns. Hooker may have a technical striking advantage and output, but Turner's power and ability to club and sub will eventually catch Hooker. Fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.
Paul picks Turner but struggles with the price. He notes Hooker's durability has declined after many wars. He thinks Turner likely finishes him early but doesn't see value at -260. He would consider the under 1.5 rounds but isn't confident. He mentions Hooker's size and experience as potential factors.
The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by second-round TKO. He criticizes Hooker's lack of head movement and declining chin, noting that Turner has a similar reach and will land clean shots. He believes Turner's patience and power will overwhelm Hooker, who has shown slower reaction times recently.
Zane picks Turner, citing his size, speed, and pressure. He notes that Hooker struggles when faced with bigger, more determined fighters who march him down, as seen against Arnold Allen and Michael Chandler. Zane believes Turner's pressure and power will make Hooker uncomfortable, and that Hooker's game as the shorter man is untested and likely to fail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 29 of 42 | 69% | 89 of 109 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:52 |
| Jalin Turner | 1 | 40 of 97 | 41% | 62 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 14 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
| Jalin Turner | 1 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 60 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 19 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 15 of 21 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 20 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | 29 of 42 | 69% | 18 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 9 | 21 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 |
| Jalin Turner | 40 of 97 | 41% | 23 of 72 | 14 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 33 of 90 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 9 of 14 | 64% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Jalin Turner | 12 of 31 | 38% | 8 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Mateusz Gamrot | 13 of 17 | 76% | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Jalin Turner | 18 of 48 | 37% | 11 of 37 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Mateusz Gamrot | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Jalin Turner | 10 of 18 | 55% | 4 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident in Mateusz Gamrot, citing his relentless wrestling, cardio, and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Jalin Turner has been taken down by lesser wrestlers and that Gamrot's speed and ankle picks will be too much. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Gamrot at -190.
Big Brady picks Mateusz Gamrot, citing his wrestling machine style with high takedown volume. He notes Turner's takedown defense is not elite and Gamrot has the cardio to attempt many takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Gamrot, though he acknowledges Turner's power and submission threat.
Cody is tempted by Turner as an underdog. He sees a path for Turner if he can keep the fight standing and use his reach. He notes Gamrot's wrestling is elite but that he has been in close fights and can fatigue. He says if he takes Turner, he'll be the PRP pick.
Connor leans Gamrot, citing his relentless wrestling, cardio, and scrambling ability. He notes Turner's dangerous striking and guillotine threats, but believes Gamrot's takedowns and top control will neutralize Turner's offense. He mentions Turner's tendency to play guard rather than explode up, which may allow Gamrot to hold him down. However, he acknowledges Turner's one-shot knockout power makes this risky.
Jacob picks Mateusz Gamrot, praising his relentless pressure and unique ankle pick takedowns. He believes Turner will not be able to defend the takedowns and that Gamrot will drown him. Jacob has hedges with Turner by knockout but is confident in Gamrot.
Gamrot is a high-level scrambler and wrestler who wants to drag fights to the ground. Turner is dangerous with submissions but has questionable takedown defense and struggles off his back. Gamrot will secure takedowns and grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks Gamrot but is cautious. He thinks Gamrot's wrestling will be enough to secure takedowns and win rounds, but he has questions about Turner's cardio and reach. He expects a close fight and is not confident in the pick.
The MMA Guru picks Mateusz Gamrot, citing Turner's loss to Matt Frevola via grappling. He believes Gamrot can implement a wrestling-heavy game plan and win a 30-27 decision, noting Turner's preparation for a striker.
Zane also leans Gamrot, emphasizing his toughness and wrestling. He notes Turner's danger in transitions and his ability to land fight-ending strikes, but believes Gamrot's pressure and scrambling will wear Turner down. He points out that Turner's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Gamrot's low single may bypass Turner's guillotine attempts.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jalin Turner, citing his length, raw power, and superior grappling. He notes that Turner mixes in kicks well and has higher volume and takedown accuracy than Riddell. He believes Riddell may be more technically sound but Turner's physical advantages will prevail.
Big Brady is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his massive size advantage (8-inch height, 4-inch reach) and 100% finish rate. He believes Turner's length and power will be too much for Brad Riddell, despite Turner's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round finish.
Cody thinks Riddell is a slow starter but has great cardio and technical kickboxing. He expects Turner to win the first round but tire, allowing Riddell to take over. He recommends betting Riddell live after the first round for a better price.
Daniel Levi leans toward Jalin Turner, citing his impressive improvements and physical attributes (6'3" with 77" reach). He notes Turner's variety of strikes and submission threat, and believes he is ready to usher out the old guard. However, he acknowledges that Brad Riddell is a world champion kickboxer and that the fight is a tough call. He considers the value on Riddell at +125 but ultimately leans Turner without placing a bet.
Turner has length, speed, and creativity. He uses his lead right hook effectively from southpaw. Riddell needs to close distance to land, but Turner can counter him. Turner's cardio is a concern if the fight goes long, but he likely finishes early. The submission prop at +700 is good value.
Paul is waiting for a better price on Riddell, possibly +150 or more. He likes Riddell's durability and pressure, and thinks he can win if he survives the first round. He plans to bet live.
The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by TKO, citing his massive height and reach advantage at lightweight (6'3" with 75.5" reach). He notes Turner's power and unorthodox striking, and that Brad Riddell has been hurt in fights before. He expects Turner to hurt Riddell in the late second round and finish him with a flurry of strikes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 1 | 52 of 111 | 46% | 53 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 35 of 59 | 59% | 45 of 70 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 0 | 39 of 87 | 44% | 40 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 33 of 53 | 62% | 43 of 64 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 | |
| 2 | Jalin Turner | 1 | 13 of 24 | 54% | 13 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 52 of 111 | 46% | 34 of 86 | 17 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 44 of 96 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 10 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 35 of 59 | 59% | 22 of 41 | 7 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 39 of 87 | 44% | 24 of 65 | 15 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 35 of 82 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 33 of 53 | 62% | 20 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 28 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | |
| 2 | Jalin Turner | 13 of 24 | 54% | 10 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jalin Turner, believing his volume and accuracy will overcome Mullarkey's takedowns. He notes Turner has never won a decision but thinks he can get his first here. He mentions Mullarkey's recent striking success but thinks Turner is the better striker. He also plans to bet over 1.5 rounds if the line drops.
Big Brady picks Jalin Turner to win by knockout in the first or second round. He highlights Turner's size and reach advantage for lightweight, as well as his power and well-rounded skills. Brady notes that Mullarkey has poor striking defense and may struggle with Turner's length. He also thinks Turner is the better grappler and could submit Mullarkey if the fight goes to the mat. Brady acknowledges Mullarkey's toughness but believes Turner's skill set is superior.
Cody sees Turner's upside as higher, with crazy power, length, and technical striking. He notes Turner's grappling improvement but questions his cardio beyond 8 minutes. Cody bet the under in this fight, expecting an early finish, and leans Turner but is not fully confident.
Daniel Levi picks Jalin Turner to knock out Jamie Mullarkey. He highlights Turner's long reach and range tools, and believes Turner's composure and distance management have improved. He notes that Mullarkey is tough but gets hit too much, and Turner's size and weapons (knees, kicks, hands) will be too much. He thinks Turner will finish Mullarkey, possibly by knockout.
Turner has improved his grappling and killer instinct, as seen in his recent wins. Mullarkey is durable and has a good clinch game, but Turner's length and kickboxing from the outside should be key. Turner can nullify Mullarkey's takedowns and get back to striking. Mullarkey's only path is a big punch or relentless grappling, but Turner's growth makes him the pick.
Paul argues Mullarkey is a live underdog with great cardio, toughness, and pressure. He notes Turner's wins are over low-level opponents and he struggled against the one wrestler he faced (Matt Frevola). Paul believes Mullarkey will weather Turner's early speed and take over in rounds 2 and 3 with grinding wrestling and pace, similar to his win over Devonte Smith.
The MMA Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey as an underdog over Jalin Turner, citing Mullarkey's improvement since training with Alexander Volkanovski. He believes pressure fighters do well against Turner, referencing the close Matt Frevola fight. He predicts Mullarkey will lose the first round but use his toughness and body shots to finish Turner in the third round via TKO against the cage. He notes Turner's long torso makes him vulnerable to body shots.
Brad Riddell - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Moicano | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 14 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 11 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renato Moicano | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 14 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 11 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Moicano | 14 of 25 | 56% | 6 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 10 of 33 | 30% | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renato Moicano | 14 of 25 | 56% | 6 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 10 of 33 | 30% | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Riddell is the better striker and expects the fight to stay standing. He notes that Moicano's losses are mostly to strikers who out-struck him, and his chin is questionable. He thinks Riddell can mix in takedowns if needed and protect his neck. He will wait for props to drop before betting.
Big Brady picks Renato Moicano to win by submission. He notes Moicano's height and reach advantage, and that his ground game is excellent with many submissions. He believes Moicano will take the fight to the mat, where he has a clear advantage. He points out Riddell's 62% takedown defense and that he has been finished before (by Jalin Turner and Rafael Fiziev). He trusts Moicano to wrestle and get the submission.
Cody picks Brad Riddell by decision, but is not confident. He notes that Riddell at his best wins this fight as the better striker with good takedown defense, but he has concerns about Riddell's recent performances, including being gun-shy against Fiziev and getting submitted by Turner. Cody thinks Riddell's confidence may be an issue, but he still sees a path to victory by staying at range and countering.
Connor picks Brad Riddell because Riddell's counter-punching style and ability to gather data over the course of a fight make him more reliable. He notes that Moicano has shown a tendency to shut down when hurt, as seen in the Alex Hernandez fight, and that Riddell consistently improves round to round. Connor also mentions that Moicano's submission threats are unlikely to work against Riddell, who has never been submitted.
Daniel Levi leans toward Brad Riddell as a slight underdog, believing Riddell's kickboxing combinations can exploit Moicano's tall-man's defense and chin. He notes that Moicano has been clipped before and that Riddell's striking is more technical and powerful. However, he is worried about Moicano's back-taking ability and submissions if the fight goes to the ground. Levi thinks the line should be flipped with Riddell as a slight favorite, and he is considering a bet at plus money.
The host expects violence and an early finish, likely by Riddell via KO. He notes Moicano's early submission threat but believes Riddell's takedown defense and striking advantage will prevail as the fight goes on. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds at -110 over betting Riddell's moneyline, expecting a finish from Riddell's power.
Paul picks Moicano, noting that Riddell leans on his wrestling when things get shaky, which could be a recipe for disaster against Moicano's grappling. He is impressed by Moicano's recent improvements, especially his takedowns against Herbert and Hernandez. Paul does not see crazy power from Riddell and thinks Moicano's chin is a concern, but he leans slightly to Moicano unless a good submission prop appears.
The MMA Guru picks Renato Moicano, citing Riddell's vulnerability after being KO'd by Fiziev and rocked by Dober. He believes Moicano will pressure, find a scramble, take Riddell's back, and choke him out. He notes Riddell's lack of offensive grappling and Moicano's experience and submission skills, predicting a rear-naked choke in the second or third round.
Zane picks Brad Riddell, emphasizing that Riddell's ability to rally from bad rounds is proven, while Moicano's recent rally against Alex Hernandez was against a fighter prone to breaking. He notes that Moicano has been knocked out by various heavy-handed punchers and that Riddell's training with Fiziev could be instructive. Zane also points out that Moicano's submission wins come from guillotines, which are unlikely against Riddell.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalin Turner | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalin Turner | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jalin Turner, citing his length, raw power, and superior grappling. He notes that Turner mixes in kicks well and has higher volume and takedown accuracy than Riddell. He believes Riddell may be more technically sound but Turner's physical advantages will prevail.
Big Brady is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his massive size advantage (8-inch height, 4-inch reach) and 100% finish rate. He believes Turner's length and power will be too much for Brad Riddell, despite Turner's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round finish.
Cody thinks Riddell is a slow starter but has great cardio and technical kickboxing. He expects Turner to win the first round but tire, allowing Riddell to take over. He recommends betting Riddell live after the first round for a better price.
Daniel Levi leans toward Jalin Turner, citing his impressive improvements and physical attributes (6'3" with 77" reach). He notes Turner's variety of strikes and submission threat, and believes he is ready to usher out the old guard. However, he acknowledges that Brad Riddell is a world champion kickboxer and that the fight is a tough call. He considers the value on Riddell at +125 but ultimately leans Turner without placing a bet.
Turner has length, speed, and creativity. He uses his lead right hook effectively from southpaw. Riddell needs to close distance to land, but Turner can counter him. Turner's cardio is a concern if the fight goes long, but he likely finishes early. The submission prop at +700 is good value.
Paul is waiting for a better price on Riddell, possibly +150 or more. He likes Riddell's durability and pressure, and thinks he can win if he survives the first round. He plans to bet live.
The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by TKO, citing his massive height and reach advantage at lightweight (6'3" with 75.5" reach). He notes Turner's power and unorthodox striking, and that Brad Riddell has been hurt in fights before. He expects Turner to hurt Riddell in the late second round and finish him with a flurry of strikes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 59 of 115 | 51% | 62 of 118 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 66 of 123 | 53% | 66 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 30 of 59 | 50% | 30 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 18 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 59 of 115 | 51% | 23 of 72 | 20 of 26 | 16 of 17 | 59 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 66 of 123 | 53% | 36 of 78 | 22 of 30 | 8 of 15 | 64 of 121 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 21 of 41 | 51% | 9 of 28 | 7 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 19 of 35 | 54% | 10 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 7 | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 22 of 50 | 44% | 8 of 30 | 8 of 13 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 30 of 59 | 50% | 14 of 38 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 57 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 16 of 24 | 66% | 6 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 17 of 29 | 58% | 12 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Fiziev, citing his volume and diversity of strikes. He notes Riddell has more power but waits for the perfect shot, while Fiziev will already have landed kicks. Angelo is nervous about Riddell's power but sticks with Fiziev.
Big Brady picks Brad Riddell as a slight underdog, but with low confidence. He notes the fight is very even and should be a pick'em. He highlights Fiziev's tendency to slow down in later rounds, while Riddell maintains his pace. He also notes Riddell may mix in takedowns, though Fiziev has 100% takedown defense. Brady thinks Riddell's volume and cardio advantage could be key, but acknowledges Fiziev lands harder shots. He sides with Riddell slightly.
Cody also picks Riddell, emphasizing his volume and technical striking. He points out that Fiziev's power shots led to him gassing out against Bobby Green, while Riddell has superior cardio and accuracy. Cody believes Riddell's takedown defense has improved and that he can win by outworking Fiziev, especially in the later rounds.
Daniel Levi picks Rafael Fiziev by a close decision, acknowledging that Fiziev is explosive and accurate in the first two rounds but tends to slow down and get hit more in the third. He notes that Fiziev's output remains high throughout, but his defense deteriorates. He expects Fiziev to win the first two rounds and edge out a decision, though he admits it could go either way.
Jacob picks Fiziev, noting his wild style may impress judges. He thinks Fiziev's aggression and volume will sway scorecards in a close fight. Jacob acknowledges it's a coin toss but leans Fiziev.
I like Riddell. He is the better boxer with better cardio and tends to get stronger as fights go on. Fiziev starts fast but slows down, and he has lost round three in every fight. Riddell will punish Fiziev's naked kicks and land cleaner shots. I expect Riddell to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 190 is solid. A round three finish is also live.
Paul picks Riddell, citing his volume and technical kickboxing. He notes that Fiziev was out-struck by Bobby Green and faded in the third round, while Riddell has shown cardio and takedown defense improvements. Paul believes Riddell's familiarity with Fiziev from training together gives him an edge, and that Riddell can win by outworking him over three rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Brad Riddell to win by 29-28 decision. He expects Fiziev to win the first round with kicks and takedown defense, but Riddell's body shots and takedown pressure will wear Fiziev down. Riddell will take over in the second and third, landing heavy body hooks and knees, winning the last two rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 73 of 168 | 43% | 78 of 173 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 1:05 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 89 of 137 | 64% | 113 of 161 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 37 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 28 of 48 | 58% | 28 of 48 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 21 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 27 of 38 | 71% | 36 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 3 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 20 of 45 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:22 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 34 of 51 | 66% | 49 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Riddell | 73 of 168 | 43% | 52 of 144 | 18 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 67 of 161 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Drew Dober | 89 of 137 | 64% | 66 of 100 | 15 of 28 | 8 of 9 | 78 of 125 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Riddell | 32 of 71 | 45% | 24 of 61 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 28 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Drew Dober | 28 of 48 | 58% | 21 of 36 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brad Riddell | 21 of 52 | 40% | 14 of 44 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 20 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Drew Dober | 27 of 38 | 71% | 20 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 26 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brad Riddell | 20 of 45 | 44% | 14 of 39 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Drew Dober | 34 of 51 | 66% | 25 of 36 | 7 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 7 |
Big Brady picks Brad Riddell, emphasizing his better cardio, output, and potential takedown game against Dober's weak takedown defense (55%). He notes Riddell has secured a takedown in every UFC fight and expects him to win a close decision, possibly using wrestling to edge out rounds.
Cody leans towards Riddell as an underdog, citing his combination punching and volume. He thinks Riddell's takedown defense and get-up game will be enough to keep the fight standing, and that he will edge out a decision. He notes Dober's power but believes Riddell's slickness and output will win out.
Daniel Levi picks Brad Riddell by close decision, citing Riddell's better decision-making and counter-striking in later rounds. He acknowledges Dober's power and speed but thinks Riddell's kickboxing IQ and cardio will be key. He notes that Dober may fatigue and that Riddell has shown a second wind in fights. He calls it a 50-50 fight.
Dober has more experience and power, and he can mix in takedowns to disrupt Riddell's Muay Thai. Riddell is a talented striker but may struggle with Dober's pressure and clinch work. Dober's cardio and ability to land impactful shots should give him the edge. The fight likely goes to a decision, as both are durable.
Paul leans towards Dober but is not confident. He notes Dober's power and recent improvements, but acknowledges Riddell's skills. He sees it as a pick'em and is not betting it.
The MMA Guru picks Brad Riddell, citing his youth, better cardio, and versatility. He expects Dober to win the first round by headhunting, but Riddell will take over in later rounds with body work and volume. He sees a stand-up war with Riddell winning by decision or late finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 67 of 166 | 40% | 86 of 185 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Alex da Silva Coelho | 0 | 54 of 112 | 48% | 70 of 133 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 5:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 13 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Alex da Silva Coelho | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 19 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 3:22 | |
| 2 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 25 of 59 | 42% | 37 of 71 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Alex da Silva Coelho | 0 | 18 of 43 | 41% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 | |
| 3 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 36 of 90 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Alex da Silva Coelho | 0 | 23 of 49 | 46% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Riddell | 67 of 166 | 40% | 47 of 142 | 13 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 61 of 158 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
| Alex da Silva Coelho | 54 of 112 | 48% | 35 of 91 | 10 of 12 | 9 of 9 | 49 of 105 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Riddell | 7 of 18 | 38% | 4 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex da Silva Coelho | 13 of 20 | 65% | 6 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Brad Riddell | 25 of 59 | 42% | 16 of 49 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 54 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex da Silva Coelho | 18 of 43 | 41% | 10 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brad Riddell | 35 of 89 | 39% | 27 of 78 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 32 of 86 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Alex da Silva Coelho | 23 of 49 | 46% | 19 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Riddell, impressed by his hands and pace. He thinks da Silva's competition is weak and that Riddell will out-strike him, forcing bad takedowns and finishing in the third round. He acknowledges da Silva's submission threat but believes Riddell's get-up game is strong.
Daniel Levi leans Brad Riddell because he has been more impressed with his precision, calmness, and improvements in takedown defense. He notes Alex da Silva Coelho has not shown his Muay Thai in the UFC and may not be confident striking. He is not sure about laying -340 but picks Riddell to win.
The host picks Alex da Silva as a live underdog, believing the line on Riddell is too wide. He notes that da Silva has a solid path to victory via grappling and that Riddell's wins are not dominant. He expects a close fight and predicts da Silva wins by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Brad Riddell, emphasizing his experience against high-level UFC competition, including a win over Magomed Mustafaev. He thinks Riddell is one fight away from a ranked opponent and will make a statement with a TKO finish. He notes Alex da Silva has lost to gatekeepers and hasn't jumped that level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Riddell | 1 | 38 of 72 | 52% | 60 of 97 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Magomed Mustafaev | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 36 of 56 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 0 | 0 | 7:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Riddell | 1 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Magomed Mustafaev | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 15 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 | |
| 2 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 20 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Magomed Mustafaev | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 15 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 | |
| 3 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 31 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Magomed Mustafaev | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Riddell | 38 of 72 | 52% | 21 of 49 | 12 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 24 |
| Magomed Mustafaev | 28 of 46 | 60% | 10 of 23 | 7 of 11 | 11 of 12 | 12 of 27 | 8 of 10 | 8 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Riddell | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Magomed Mustafaev | 12 of 17 | 70% | 2 of 4 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 8 | |
| 2 | Brad Riddell | 17 of 29 | 58% | 8 of 17 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Magomed Mustafaev | 12 of 22 | 54% | 6 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Brad Riddell | 18 of 38 | 47% | 10 of 28 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 23 |
| Magomed Mustafaev | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel Levi picks Magomed Mustafaev, citing his explosive striking and dynamic kicks. He believes Mustafaev is the more seasoned fighter and will knock out Brad Riddell in the first round. Levi notes that Riddell was dropped by Jamie Mullarkey, who lacks knockout power, and that Mustafaev's power is a serious threat. He acknowledges Riddell's path to victory in later rounds if Mustafaev gasses, but expects an early finish.
The host hesitantly picks Brad Riddell, expressing confusion about Dagestani fighters. He notes Mustafaev lost to Kevin Lee, which is not a bad loss, but he can't trust Dagestanis. He predicts an upset victory for Riddell without strong conviction.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 91 of 153 | 59% | 104 of 167 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:01 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 36 of 95 | 37% | 41 of 100 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 1 | 1 | 3:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 13 of 35 | 37% | 13 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 2 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:15 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 10 of 19 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 1:58 | |
| 3 | Brad Riddell | 0 | 61 of 87 | 70% | 71 of 98 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 17 of 42 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Riddell | 91 of 153 | 59% | 70 of 129 | 14 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 63 of 121 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 29 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 36 of 95 | 37% | 25 of 83 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 35 of 93 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Riddell | 13 of 35 | 37% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 13 of 38 | 34% | 8 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brad Riddell | 17 of 31 | 54% | 12 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 8 of 17 | 47% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Brad Riddell | 61 of 87 | 70% | 52 of 78 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 39 of 61 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 24 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 15 of 40 | 37% | 12 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Jalin Turner, citing his length, raw power, and superior grappling. He notes that Turner mixes in kicks well and has higher volume and takedown accuracy than Riddell. He believes Riddell may be more technically sound but Turner's physical advantages will prevail.
Big Brady is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his massive size advantage (8-inch height, 4-inch reach) and 100% finish rate. He believes Turner's length and power will be too much for Brad Riddell, despite Turner's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round finish.
Cody thinks Riddell is a slow starter but has great cardio and technical kickboxing. He expects Turner to win the first round but tire, allowing Riddell to take over. He recommends betting Riddell live after the first round for a better price.
Daniel Levi leans toward Jalin Turner, citing his impressive improvements and physical attributes (6'3" with 77" reach). He notes Turner's variety of strikes and submission threat, and believes he is ready to usher out the old guard. However, he acknowledges that Brad Riddell is a world champion kickboxer and that the fight is a tough call. He considers the value on Riddell at +125 but ultimately leans Turner without placing a bet.
Turner has length, speed, and creativity. He uses his lead right hook effectively from southpaw. Riddell needs to close distance to land, but Turner can counter him. Turner's cardio is a concern if the fight goes long, but he likely finishes early. The submission prop at +700 is good value.
Paul is waiting for a better price on Riddell, possibly +150 or more. He likes Riddell's durability and pressure, and thinks he can win if he survives the first round. He plans to bet live.
The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by TKO, citing his massive height and reach advantage at lightweight (6'3" with 75.5" reach). He notes Turner's power and unorthodox striking, and that Brad Riddell has been hurt in fights before. He expects Turner to hurt Riddell in the late second round and finish him with a flurry of strikes.
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