Career Averages - Mark Madsen
Career Averages - Vinc Pichel
Mark Madsen
Vinc Pichel
Mark Madsen - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Gordon | 1 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 54 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 35 of 57 | 61% | 46 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Gordon | 1 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 54 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 35 of 57 | 61% | 46 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Gordon | 36 of 66 | 54% | 27 of 57 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 51 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 4 |
| Mark Madsen | 35 of 57 | 61% | 23 of 44 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 37 | 19 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Gordon | 36 of 66 | 54% | 27 of 57 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 51 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 4 |
| Mark Madsen | 35 of 57 | 61% | 23 of 44 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 37 | 19 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Gordon, reasoning that Gordon's striking is better and he can outwrestle Madsen by implementing his own game plan. He notes Madsen is one-dimensional and older, and Gordon trains with good wrestlers. He is not fully confident due to Gordon's age.
Big Brady picks Jared Gordon by decision. He thinks Gordon has a significant striking advantage, with fast hands and high volume, and better cardio. He notes Madsen is 39 and may need to resort to wrestling, but Gordon has solid takedown defense and get-up game. Brady worries about Gordon's chin but doesn't think Madsen can knock him out.
Cody picks Gordon but is hesitant, suggesting a live bet might be better. He thinks Madsen will win the first round with wrestling but gas out, allowing Gordon to take over. He notes Gordon's durability and pace, but doesn't like the pre-fight line.
Gordon's pace, pressure, and ability to dictate the fight will be the difference. Madsen may have early grappling success, but Gordon's BJJ background will allow him to get back to his feet and overwhelm Madsen with better striking. Expects a close fight early but Gordon to put together a better body of work in the last two rounds and win by decision.
Paul leans Madsen as a dog, having taken him at +167. He thinks Madsen's wrestling pedigree will allow him to get takedowns and control early rounds. He acknowledges Madsen's cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds. He notes Gordon isn't a potent finisher.
The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon, calling Mark Madsen awful. He thinks Gordon is underrated and showed improved striking against Bobby Green before the headbutt. He believes Gordon is more versatile and better on the feet, and that Madsen has no offensive grappling or striking threat.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Dawson | 1 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 73 of 96 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 9:31 |
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 50 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grant Dawson | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 27 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 18 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Grant Dawson | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 13 of 21 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 26 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Grant Dawson | 1 | 26 of 36 | 72% | 33 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Dawson | 33 of 49 | 67% | 17 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 11 | 25 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 |
| Mark Madsen | 15 of 30 | 50% | 11 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grant Dawson | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mark Madsen | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | |
| 2 | Grant Dawson | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| Mark Madsen | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Grant Dawson | 26 of 36 | 72% | 13 of 21 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 9 | 22 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Mark Madsen | 6 of 13 | 46% | 4 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Dawson, citing his better overall striking and wrestling. He notes Madsen is an Olympic wrestler but doesn't always use it, and Dawson has takedowns in every fight. He thinks the extra week of preparation helps Dawson. He does not bet the moneyline but considers a prop on Madsen +3.5.
Big Brady believes the line is off and Madsen is being disrespected. He highlights Madsen's Olympic-level wrestling, improved striking, and cardio, while Dawson is hittable and coming in on short notice. He expects Madsen to keep the fight on the feet, stuff takedowns, and out-strike Dawson to win a decision.
Cody picks Mark Madsen as an underdog, but is on the fence. He notes that Dawson has struggled against strong grapplers, like Leo Santos (close fight) and Ricky Glenn (gassed and got a 10-8 round). Madsen has superior wrestling and could be the one getting takedowns and grinding on Dawson. Cody points out that Madsen's fight against Vince Pichel was close, and he thinks Madsen could win a tight decision by mixing in takedowns and using his jab and leg kicks, as he did against Clay Guida. He sees this as a dog or pass spot.
Daniel Levi picks Mark Madsen as an underdog, citing his top control and ability to neutralize Grant Dawson's guard pulls. He notes Dawson's suspect gas tank in later rounds, as seen in the Rick Glenn fight, and believes Madsen's Olympic-level wrestling and slightly better striking pop can secure a win. He is not super convicted but likes the dog odds.
The host favors Dawson due to youth, athleticism, and superior grappling. He notes Madsen's improved striking but believes Dawson's wrestling and BJJ will be too much. He expects Dawson to mix output on the feet with grappling, potentially getting a late finish or decision. He sees Dawson as parlay material at -230.
Paul is also on the fence but picks Madsen for the show. He argues that Madsen could be live because MMA judging often rewards control time, as seen in the Pichel fight where Madsen got the decision despite being outstruck. In the Apex, Madsen can lay on top and tick away the clock. He thinks Dawson should win, but Madsen's style could lead to a close decision. Paul considers it a dog or pass spot.
The MMA Guru picks Grant Dawson, citing Madsen's close wins and age (38). He believes Dawson's unorthodox striking and kicks will give Madsen problems, and that Madsen won't be able to take him down. He predicts a 29-28 decision, noting the age difference favors the younger fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 68 of 123 | 55% | 88 of 144 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 39 of 87 | 44% | 57 of 110 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 24 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 18 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 22 of 41 | 53% | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 15 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 39 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 24 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 68 of 123 | 55% | 32 of 78 | 21 of 30 | 15 of 15 | 53 of 106 | 10 of 11 | 5 of 6 |
| Vinc Pichel | 39 of 87 | 44% | 27 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 78 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 24 of 50 | 48% | 7 of 25 | 8 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 21 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Vinc Pichel | 18 of 38 | 47% | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 9 | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 22 of 41 | 53% | 11 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 13 of 34 | 38% | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 22 of 32 | 68% | 14 of 24 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 |
| Vinc Pichel | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Mark Madsen despite being surprised that Pichel is the favorite. He notes Madsen's Olympic wrestling background and improved striking, as shown in his win over Clay Guida. He expects Madsen to use takedowns similar to Gregor Gillespie's approach, though he acknowledges Pichel's movement could trouble Madsen on the feet.
Big Brady picks Mark Madsen to win a close decision, likely split. He notes Madsen's Olympic-level wrestling should dominate early rounds, but his cardio is a concern as he faded in the third round against Austin Hubbard. Pichel has terrible takedown defense (25%) but is tough and wins the third round. Brady thinks Madsen edges the second round to win.
Cody is on the same page as Paul, picking Pichel. He notes Madsen's wrestling is explosive but lacks top control, leading to gassing. Cody points out Madsen's susceptibility to leg kicks and Pichel's nasty low kick. He thinks Pichel's chaos and pressure will break Madsen, similar to how he broke Austin Hubbard. Cody expects Pichel to win, possibly by decision but hopes for a third-round finish.
Levi believes Mark Madsen is improving with each fight, showing better cardio and striking. He notes Vinc Pichel's takedown defense is not great and that Madsen's wrestling should be a big advantage. He thinks the fight should be a pick'em, so at plus money he is taking Madsen to win a decision by securing the first two rounds.
I think Pichel is the much better striker and has improving wrestling. Madsen needs to get an early finish or he will fade. Pichel has a good gas tank and will wear on Madsen. I see Pichel finding a knockout later in the fight, likely in the third round.
Paul is confident in Pichel, having already bet him at -122 and -127. He notes Madsen's poor cardio and inability to hold opponents down, as seen against Clay Guida. Paul emphasizes Pichel's leg kicks targeting Madsen's lead leg, which Madsen leaves exposed. He predicts Pichel wins by TKO in round 3, as Madsen fades. Paul also likes Pichel round 3 at +1600.
The MMA Guru picks Vinc Pichel, unimpressed by Mark Madsen's grappling. He expects Madsen to win the first round via takedowns but fade, with Pichel's cardio and ability to get up leading to a 29-28 decision. He notes that Pichel beat Austin Hubbard more convincingly than Madsen did.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 72 of 212 | 33% | 72 of 212 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Clay Guida | 0 | 98 of 192 | 51% | 101 of 198 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 15 of 50 | 30% | 15 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Clay Guida | 0 | 32 of 52 | 61% | 35 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 26 of 72 | 36% | 26 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Clay Guida | 0 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 31 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 31 of 90 | 34% | 31 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Clay Guida | 0 | 35 of 82 | 42% | 35 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 72 of 212 | 33% | 30 of 161 | 5 of 13 | 37 of 38 | 64 of 203 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Clay Guida | 98 of 192 | 51% | 70 of 159 | 17 of 21 | 11 of 12 | 80 of 172 | 18 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 15 of 50 | 30% | 7 of 38 | 0 of 3 | 8 of 9 | 13 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Clay Guida | 32 of 52 | 61% | 17 of 33 | 12 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 36 | 14 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 26 of 72 | 36% | 10 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 13 | 22 of 67 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Clay Guida | 31 of 58 | 53% | 24 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 31 of 90 | 34% | 13 of 67 | 2 of 7 | 16 of 16 | 29 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Clay Guida | 35 of 82 | 42% | 29 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 33 of 80 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Mark Madsen, but is concerned about his gas tank. He notes Madsen has slowed down in previous fights, while Guida has endless cardio. However, he believes Madsen's wrestling is elite and he can get a finish early. He predicts a first-round submission.
Cody picks Madsen but with hesitation due to red flags: Madsen's broken jaw, infection, wife's MS, layoff, and cardio issues. He notes Madsen's elite wrestling but poor striking and potential to gas. He thinks Madsen's wrestling is enough to beat a 38-year-old Guida, but warns of submission danger from Guida's neck exposure.
Madsen has cardio issues and has never faced a pace like Guida's. Guida's work rate and scrambling will be too much for Madsen in the later rounds. If Madsen doesn't get an early submission, Guida takes over. I'm picking Guida by decision, and he's a great live bet after round one.
Paul picks Madsen, citing his Olympic-level wrestling and training with Henry Cejudo at Fight Ready. He acknowledges Guida's cardio and durability but believes Madsen can turn it into a wrestling match and win. He notes Guida's tendency to leave his neck exposed, making a submission possible.
The MMA Guru picks Mark Madsen to win by 29-28 unanimous decision. He expects Madsen to win the first two rounds with wrestling and grappling, then Guida to rally in the third but fall short. He notes Madsen's Olympic-level wrestling and size advantage, but questions his cardio.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 15 of 58 | 25% | 20 of 65 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 8:01 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 41 of 75 | 54% | 45 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 0 of 9 | 0% | 2 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 11 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:41 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 6 of 28 | 21% | 7 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 27 of 39 | 69% | 28 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 15 of 58 | 25% | 14 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 42 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 11 |
| Austin Hubbard | 41 of 75 | 54% | 25 of 48 | 8 of 14 | 8 of 13 | 37 of 67 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 |
| Austin Hubbard | 6 of 14 | 42% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 9 of 21 | 42% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 7 |
| Austin Hubbard | 8 of 22 | 36% | 3 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 6 of 28 | 21% | 5 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Austin Hubbard | 27 of 39 | 69% | 19 of 29 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel slightly leans Madsen, acknowledging his wrestling advantage and Olympic credentials. However, he notes that Madsen hasn't been truly challenged and that Hubbard has earned his way with legitimate wins. He thinks Madsen will win a close decision but from a betting perspective it's a pass.
Hubbard has decent wrestling to neutralize Madsen's Olympic-level takedowns. He has better striking and kicks, and his cardio should hold up. Madsen's gas tank is a question after 7.5 minutes. Hubbard can win by decision or late finish. The host likes the value at +190 and may bet 0.75 units.
The MMA Guru picks Mark Madsen, an Olympic medalist wrestler with a 9-0 record. He believes Madsen will rag doll Austin Hubbard, who is on a two-fight losing streak, and finish him in the first round. He mentions Madsen's age (35) and 'old man anger' as motivating factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 22 of 29 | 75% | 24 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Danilo Belluardo | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 22 of 29 | 75% | 24 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Danilo Belluardo | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 22 of 29 | 75% | 22 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 26 |
| Danilo Belluardo | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 22 of 29 | 75% | 22 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 26 |
| Danilo Belluardo | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Vinc Pichel - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa García | 0 | 64 of 120 | 53% | 76 of 136 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 79 of 182 | 43% | 88 of 191 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa García | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 19 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafa García | 0 | 21 of 49 | 42% | 24 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 32 of 70 | 45% | 32 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rafa García | 0 | 31 of 47 | 65% | 33 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 34 of 74 | 45% | 35 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa García | 64 of 120 | 53% | 49 of 102 | 12 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 59 of 114 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Vinc Pichel | 79 of 182 | 43% | 32 of 116 | 27 of 43 | 20 of 23 | 74 of 174 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa García | 12 of 24 | 50% | 7 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 13 of 38 | 34% | 7 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Rafa García | 21 of 49 | 42% | 16 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 32 of 70 | 45% | 12 of 43 | 13 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafa García | 31 of 47 | 65% | 26 of 41 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Vinc Pichel | 34 of 74 | 45% | 13 of 43 | 12 of 21 | 9 of 10 | 33 of 71 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Garcia (-485), Pichel (+370)
Round 1
Twelve years separate the next two competitors, with the younger man a heavy betting favorite. Garcia (16-4, 4-4 UFC) gets a huge pop from the crowd as the first Mexican-born athlete to hit the stage today, while the leisurely paced Pichel (14-4, 7-4 UFC) is showered in boos. The lightweights with a fairly similar amount of combat experience touch gloves before referee Raul Porrata. Pichel keeps his distance early, parrying any incoming fire and letting the energy in favor of Garcia wash over them both. Garcia breaks the silence with a huge overhand right and rips a left to the liver. Pichel responds with a left hook that makes the Mexican fighter back off for a moment, and Garcia measures him with a thudding right hand that makes Pichel have to blink it out repeatedly. Garcia crowds him with a pair of hooks, and he swats away a head kick. Garcia crashes through a low kick to hurl punches, and Pichel keeps a wide berth and stabs out a front kick. Garcia comes up short with haymakers, allowing the elder Pichel to potshot him from a safe distance. When Pichel kicks low, Garcia wings a right hand over the top. Pichel fires back with a vengeance, and Garcia shrugs it off and stays close in front of him but not too close. Garcia scores a single low kick and is jabbed back, and he raises his guard in the nick of time to block an overhand right. Garcia swings wide to the body, forcing Pichel to ricochet off the wall, and he hammers the front leg with a kick. Pichel loads up with a body kick, and Garcia smiles at him and continues to crowd him. Garcia pushes a front kick out of the way to crowd the older fighter, pressing him against the wall while stomping on his toes. Garcia lifts Pichel’s legs up and is about to deposit him to the ground, but Pichel regains his balance. Perhaps in a poor bit of decisionmaking, Pichel spins for a back elbow while tightly pressed to his foe, and this allows Garcia to hit a clean double on him. Garcia rides out the round on top.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Round 2
The athletes get right back down to business, trading leather early and often. Pichel sneaks in a right hand and slips to the side, and he dips to fire off an uppercut and jogs away to reset. Pichel’s stance switches and awkward movement prevents Garcia from blitzing him on the regular, and he keeps his head on a swivel to not get caught with anything flush. Garcia nevertheless walks him down and blasts him in the face with a crisp right hand, and then chains two more fists behind it. Pichel flashes out his jab, pop pop bang, to keep Garcia from going at him. Pichel pushes off while trying to push his foe’s arm out of the way, and his thumb slides deep into Garcia’s eye socket. Pichel immediately apologizes before Porrata gets between them, and he gives Garcia all the time he needs to recover. Garcia takes it, accepts Pichel’s fervent apology and gets back to walking the aging fighter down. Pichel uses his knee to frame off, and he strings a few punches together behind it. Pichel tosses up a head kick that is blocked in time, and he probes out a right hand before getting his head snapped back with a one-two. Pichel tries to jump his way forward, and he pushes off Garcia’s face and slams his shin on Garcia’s calf. Garcia grimaces and wraps Pichel up in hopes of taking him down. Pichel leans against the wall to keep himself upright, and he postures off and breaks free, where he puts punches and kicks together in rapid succession. Pichel fakes to the body to open up a head shot, and Garcia can only swing big right hands back at him. A few of those get through, and Pichel beans him with a counter overhand right to make him think twice about entering the pocket with his hands low. Pichel comes up swinging with a huge uppercut, and he hand-fights to parry most of the blows aimed at him. Pichel jabs to the head and body, and he splits the guard with a front kick, toes extended towards the target. Garcia lumbers forward swinging heavy leather, and Pichel skirts to the slide and flicks out a few low kicks to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Round 3
Pichel is fired up to start up the last round, and he channels that energy with frenetic punches and kicks that stop Garcia from getting through to him. Pichel strings a few punches together up top, and Garcia clutches his eye as if he was poked. Pichel claims it was a closed fist that did the damage, and he unloads with flying fists until Garcia steels himself and comes back out swinging. Pichel counters the flailing strikes, but he is taking shots to the body and taking heavy breaths. Garcia continues to put everything behind every one of his swings, while Pichel is more than content to jab and prod. When Garcia looks to charge, Pichel pushes him back with jabs and front kicks, but Garcia decides to pour it on and tags Pichel a few times. Pichel rebounds off the fencing and uses his push kick to redden up Garcia’s midsection. Pichel probers out with straight punches until getting tagged, and he starts swinging back with arc on his punches when not mixing in his front kick. Pichel further keeps things interesting by shooting for a takedown, and Garcia just stands before him and smiles at him. A Pichel front kick bumps the cup, and Garcia wants to keep going so it goes uncalled. Pichel loads up on body kicks and walks through three left hands, kicking Garcia constantly while keeping his distance. The leg kicks to the thigh and calf keep landing for “From Hell,” until Garcia is sick of taking them and just lifts Pichel up and deposits him down to the mat like a sack of potatoes. Pichel scoots his way towards the wall in hopes of walking up it, while Garcia tries to smother him and threaten with an arm-triangle choke. Pichel turns to his knees and stands, and Garcia slugs him in the face with numerous unanswered right hands. Pichel frees himself with seconds to go, and he lets Garcia have it with all his remaining energy. Punches, kicks and knees fly every which way until the final horn blares, signaling an end to what turned into an entertaining scrap.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (29-28 Garcia)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (29-28 Garcia)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (29-28 Garcia)
The Official Result
Rafa Garcia def. Vinc Pichel via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Connor picks García, noting his high-output, new-school wrestle-boxing style will overwhelm the aging Pichel. He acknowledges Pichel's toughness and low kicks as potential wrinkles but believes García's pace and boxing will be too much. He is surprised by the wide odds, given García's loss to Chris Gruetzemacher.
Zane picks García, agreeing that his pace and pressure will be decisive. He notes Pichel's old-school style and lack of speed, comparing him to an aged Jan Błachowicz. Zane thinks García's boxing and wrestling defense are solid, and that Pichel's low kicks are a minor threat.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 111 of 216 | 51% | 112 of 217 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 61 of 142 | 42% | 64 of 147 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 34 of 66 | 51% | 34 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 18 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 36 of 75 | 48% | 36 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 22 of 54 | 40% | 22 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 41 of 75 | 54% | 42 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim | 111 of 216 | 51% | 80 of 176 | 13 of 20 | 18 of 20 | 107 of 209 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
| Vinc Pichel | 61 of 142 | 42% | 26 of 93 | 14 of 24 | 21 of 25 | 60 of 140 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismael Bonfim | 34 of 66 | 51% | 19 of 47 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 15 | 34 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 18 of 47 | 38% | 5 of 29 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ismael Bonfim | 36 of 75 | 48% | 29 of 66 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 36 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 22 of 54 | 40% | 9 of 37 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 12 | 22 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ismael Bonfim | 41 of 75 | 54% | 32 of 63 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 37 of 69 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Vinc Pichel | 21 of 41 | 51% | 12 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 20 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident in Bonfim, citing his youth, power, and aggressive style against the 41-year-old Pichel who hasn't fought in two years. He references the trend of older fighters getting finished at UFC Vegas 91. He advises betting early before odds move.
Big Brady highlights Bonfim's youth and striking advantage, noting Pichel's age (41) and long layoff as major concerns. He believes Bonfim will stuff takedowns and dominate on the feet, leading to a one-sided decision. He acknowledges Pichel's submission threat but doubts he can implement it.
Cody picks Bonfim, citing his sharp striking, takedown defense, and cardio. He notes Pichel is 41, inactive, and has no submission wins. Cody expects Bonfim to win, possibly by decision or late finish.
Daniel Vreeland picks Bonfim by decision, citing his youth, volume striking, and experience despite his age. He notes that Pichel is durable and has low mileage for his age, but Bonfim's boxing and takedown defense should allow him to win minutes on the feet. He believes Bonfim's finishing equity is overrated and that a decision is likely.
Bonfim stumbled in his last fight against Benoit Saint-Denis but is expected to have a better showing against the 41-year-old Pichel, who has been two years away from the cage. Bonfim is the slicker striker and can stay competitive in grappling if Pichel takes it there. His striking will start to chip away at Pichel and allow him to find a finish in the second or third round.
Paul picks Bonfim, highlighting his explosive striking and takedown defense. He notes Pichel's inactivity and age are concerns. Paul expects Bonfim to win but acknowledges Pichel's grit could make it competitive.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Ismael Bonfim, predicting a first-round TKO. He expects Bonfim to push Pichel against the cage and bait him with feints, while noting Pichel's age (41) and over two years of inactivity as key factors. He also mentions Bonfim's good jiu-jitsu and the favorable matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 0 | 68 of 123 | 55% | 88 of 144 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 39 of 87 | 44% | 57 of 110 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 24 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 18 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 22 of 41 | 53% | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 15 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 0 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 39 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 24 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Madsen | 68 of 123 | 55% | 32 of 78 | 21 of 30 | 15 of 15 | 53 of 106 | 10 of 11 | 5 of 6 |
| Vinc Pichel | 39 of 87 | 44% | 27 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 78 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Madsen | 24 of 50 | 48% | 7 of 25 | 8 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 21 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Vinc Pichel | 18 of 38 | 47% | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 9 | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mark Madsen | 22 of 41 | 53% | 11 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinc Pichel | 13 of 34 | 38% | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mark Madsen | 22 of 32 | 68% | 14 of 24 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 |
| Vinc Pichel | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Mark Madsen despite being surprised that Pichel is the favorite. He notes Madsen's Olympic wrestling background and improved striking, as shown in his win over Clay Guida. He expects Madsen to use takedowns similar to Gregor Gillespie's approach, though he acknowledges Pichel's movement could trouble Madsen on the feet.
Big Brady picks Mark Madsen to win a close decision, likely split. He notes Madsen's Olympic-level wrestling should dominate early rounds, but his cardio is a concern as he faded in the third round against Austin Hubbard. Pichel has terrible takedown defense (25%) but is tough and wins the third round. Brady thinks Madsen edges the second round to win.
Cody is on the same page as Paul, picking Pichel. He notes Madsen's wrestling is explosive but lacks top control, leading to gassing. Cody points out Madsen's susceptibility to leg kicks and Pichel's nasty low kick. He thinks Pichel's chaos and pressure will break Madsen, similar to how he broke Austin Hubbard. Cody expects Pichel to win, possibly by decision but hopes for a third-round finish.
Levi believes Mark Madsen is improving with each fight, showing better cardio and striking. He notes Vinc Pichel's takedown defense is not great and that Madsen's wrestling should be a big advantage. He thinks the fight should be a pick'em, so at plus money he is taking Madsen to win a decision by securing the first two rounds.
I think Pichel is the much better striker and has improving wrestling. Madsen needs to get an early finish or he will fade. Pichel has a good gas tank and will wear on Madsen. I see Pichel finding a knockout later in the fight, likely in the third round.
Paul is confident in Pichel, having already bet him at -122 and -127. He notes Madsen's poor cardio and inability to hold opponents down, as seen against Clay Guida. Paul emphasizes Pichel's leg kicks targeting Madsen's lead leg, which Madsen leaves exposed. He predicts Pichel wins by TKO in round 3, as Madsen fades. Paul also likes Pichel round 3 at +1600.
The MMA Guru picks Vinc Pichel, unimpressed by Mark Madsen's grappling. He expects Madsen to win the first round via takedowns but fade, with Pichel's cardio and ability to get up leading to a 29-28 decision. He notes that Pichel beat Austin Hubbard more convincingly than Madsen did.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 71 of 160 | 44% | 96 of 187 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 56 of 152 | 36% | 66 of 171 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 27 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 22 of 58 | 37% | 24 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 34 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 19 of 52 | 36% | 24 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 35 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 15 of 42 | 35% | 18 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 71 of 160 | 44% | 28 of 108 | 16 of 23 | 27 of 29 | 59 of 145 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 3 |
| Austin Hubbard | 56 of 152 | 36% | 29 of 110 | 17 of 31 | 10 of 11 | 51 of 145 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 21 of 55 | 38% | 4 of 34 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 13 | 20 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Hubbard | 22 of 58 | 37% | 9 of 38 | 8 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 27 of 63 | 42% | 11 of 44 | 8 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 59 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Hubbard | 19 of 52 | 36% | 10 of 36 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 23 of 42 | 54% | 13 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 15 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 3 |
| Austin Hubbard | 15 of 42 | 35% | 10 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Vinc Pichel, citing his grappling advantage. He notes Pichel averages 3.83 takedowns per 15 minutes with 60% accuracy, and believes he will win the grappling exchanges. He is concerned about Pichel's age (38) but thinks his gas tank is fine. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks Pichel, having already bet him. He highlights Pichel's cardio, top control, and BJJ black belt, and notes Hubbard's tendency to fade in later rounds. He believes Pichel's wrestling and pressure will be key, and mentions the value on Pichel by submission at 20-1.
Pichel is a grappler who should have success taking Hubbard down, especially by catching Hubbard's kicks. Hubbard has only fought grapplers recently and has struggled. Pichel's age (38) is a concern but he has low fight mileage. I'm picking Pichel by decision, but the moneyline at even odds is fine.
Paul picks Pichel, citing his strong top game and ability to grind out wins. He notes Pichel's slow starts but finishing strong, and Hubbard's susceptibility to takedowns. He mentions Pichel's training at Factory X and believes his cardio will hold up.
The MMA Guru picks Austin Hubbard as an underdog. He cites Hubbard's takedown defense and volume striking as keys. He notes Pichel is 38 and coming off a year layoff, while Hubbard is younger and has shown improvement. He expects Hubbard to win the later rounds via decision, possibly 29-28.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 26 of 57 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 5:10 |
| Jim Miller | 0 | 41 of 78 | 52% | 84 of 124 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 6:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 11 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Jim Miller | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Jim Miller | 0 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 39 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:47 |
| Jim Miller | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 26 of 42 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 14 of 39 | 35% | 6 of 30 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 27 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 6 |
| Jim Miller | 41 of 78 | 52% | 27 of 64 | 11 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 35 | 9 of 11 | 17 of 32 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 11 of 29 | 37% | 4 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 24 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jim Miller | 12 of 24 | 50% | 5 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Jim Miller | 12 of 23 | 52% | 11 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 |
| Jim Miller | 17 of 31 | 54% | 11 of 25 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 12 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Competing atop the preliminary card is the most active fighter in UFC history in Miller (32-14, 1 NC; 21-13, 1 NC UFC) against “From Hell” Pichel (12-2, 5-2 UFC) in the lightweight division. Pichel made his UFC debut in 2012 and this will be his eighth fight with the promotion, while Miller will have competed 23 times in that same span when the night ends. Referee Herb Dean will keep a watchful eye on this preliminary headliner, and there is a touch of gloves before these two get down to it. The two try to find their way in, and Pichel lands first with a left hand. Miller charges back at him and catches him with a left, and nearly clips him with a knee up the middle. Pichel fires back, and lands a body kick. Miller again races towards him with a string of punches, and he ends a combination with a hard leg kick. A sharp uppercut stings Pichel, and Miller tosses a low kick that grazes the cup and halts the action briefly. Miller takes a shot to the cup as well but he fights through it as they swing for the bleachers. Miller walks him down and clinches up, landing a knee to the torso before trying to trip Pichel’s legs out. Miller commits to a single but Pichel keeps them upright, so Miller drills him in the breadbasket with a knee. Miller hacks at him with elbows and pair of knees until Pichel breaks free. Miller flips up a head kick and Pichel blocks it without countering. Miller walks him down with another head kick and a low kick, and Pichel’s hands are by his waist possibly to stop a takedown. The hand position does not help him stuff the takedown that soon follows, and Miller instantly takes Pichel’s back to get his hooks in. “From Hell” tries with all his might to lean to the fence to try to stave off the submission, and he nearly spins out but almost falls into submission danger. Pichel turns about so Miller switches to a guillotine choke, which he uses to take top position as Pichel holds on tight. Miller rolls and traps the calf of his opponent for a calf slicer, but time expires before he can secure a tap.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Round 2
They touch gloves at the start of the round, and Pichel rushes in with a head kick but Miller eats it like a sandwich and hits a takedown with relative ease. Miller works him from the top while Pichel scoots back to the fence, and Miller takes the moment to get to half guard and stand up to land some strikes. Pichel kicks off and just misses an upkick, and springs back up to mash Miller against the cage. Pichel changes levels to get Miller down, and his neck is quickly in danger for a guillotine choke. “From Hell” calmly pulls his neck free, and he keeps Miller pressed to the wall while Miller throws his legs up for some submission. Pichel wrests his arms free from what looks like a double armbar, and he steps over into half guard while Miller keeps attacking. Pichel steps over and Miller latches on to a heel hook, and Pichel turns out and nails Miller with a pair of heavy elbows to step into half guard again. Pichel sets up an arm-triangle choke and swipes at Miller’s forehead with a few elbows as he grinds him out. Pichel postures up and lands a punch, but Miller ties him up again. Pichel stays heavy and keeps Miller trapped on his back, landing sporadic punches and racking up control time. Pichel gets off a few more punches as the horn sounds to wrap up the second frame.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Pichel
Round 3
The two lightweights greet with one final glove touch, and Pichel rings home a right hand and a body kick before setting up a takedown. Miller tries to defend against it, but he falls to his back as Pichel fishes for a kimura. Miller yanks his arm free, but in the process, Pichel advances to side control and drops down a few elbows as Miller attempts to roll for a leg lock. Pichel steps out of it and circles around to take Miller’s back, landing a few punches and securing his hooks. Miller twists and turns as Pichel hunts for a rear-naked choke, and “A-10” powers his way up and around to go after a guillotine choke while Pichel is on his knees. A wild scramble puts Pichel on his back as Miller starts to put a few punches together. Pichel walks up the cage wall to his knee, and Miller frees a trapped leg to take Pichel’s back and drags him down. Pichel rolls along with Miller in that instance to buck Miller off, and Pichel now has Miller’s back. The exciting grappling continues as they both keep scrambling and get back to their feet. Miller presses him to the fence as he looks for a single, allowing Pichel to knee him in the chin. Another knee from Pichel backs Miller out of the clinch, and Pichel walks forward to land some punches before changing levels for a single leg takedown. Miller stuffs it and gets kneed several times. When they separate, Pichel boots him in the head, and Miller shakes off the cobwebs, pulls guard and cinches up a guillotine choke. It is incredibly tight, and Pichel is in a bad way, but he grits it out and pulls his neck out of the rough position. Pichel lands a few hard shots on top to bloody up his opponent, and the final horn concludes this exciting lightweight scrap.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pichel (29-28 Pichel)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pichel (29-28 Pichel)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Pichel (29-28 Pichel)
The Official Result
Vinc Pichel def. Jim Miller via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
Big Brady expects Jim Miller to get the fight to the ground and submit Pichel in the first round. He notes Pichel's poor takedown defense and thinks Miller is dangerous early. He sees value on Miller as an underdog.
Daniel Levi leans toward Jim Miller. He thinks Miller is the better fighter and can win a decision if he doesn't empty his gas tank in the first round. He notes that Pichel is a point fighter who doesn't push a high pace, which may not gas Miller out. However, he acknowledges Pichel's toughness and that Miller historically loses when fights go past the first round.
Miller has the jiu-jitsu advantage and can catch Pichel from the bottom or hurt him on the feet. Pichel has ring rust and Miller is active. The fight likely ends inside the distance, with Miller by submission or Pichel by TKO. Miller's submission threat is real, and he has power in his hands. Confidence is low, but Miller gets the nod.
The MMA Guru picks Jim Miller by submission in the first round, citing Miller's recent activity and veteran experience. He believes Pichel fights infrequently and may not be fully committed, while Miller is in shape and has a submission win over a common opponent.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 31 of 87 | 35% | 34 of 90 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 60 of 101 | 59% | 81 of 122 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 5:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 17 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 18 of 29 | 62% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 13 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 21 of 37 | 56% | 29 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:35 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 30 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 31 of 87 | 35% | 22 of 75 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 26 of 80 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 60 of 101 | 59% | 29 of 55 | 16 of 26 | 15 of 20 | 26 of 62 | 14 of 16 | 20 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 17 of 43 | 39% | 10 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 38 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 18 of 29 | 62% | 3 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 20 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 10 of 30 | 33% | 8 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 21 of 37 | 56% | 8 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 9 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 21 of 35 | 60% | 18 of 27 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 14 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Gillespie | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 30 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 2 | 0 | 7:51 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 35 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregor Gillespie | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 20 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 4:06 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Gregor Gillespie | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 10 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 3:45 |
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 23 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Gillespie | 13 of 26 | 50% | 11 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 8 |
| Vinc Pichel | 7 of 22 | 31% | 6 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregor Gillespie | 8 of 17 | 47% | 7 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 3 |
| Vinc Pichel | 3 of 12 | 25% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gregor Gillespie | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Vinc Pichel | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 60 of 186 | 32% | 62 of 188 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 45 of 100 | 45% | 54 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 28 of 100 | 28% | 29 of 101 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 28 of 54 | 51% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 60 of 186 | 32% | 24 of 135 | 15 of 21 | 21 of 30 | 50 of 174 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 45 of 100 | 45% | 30 of 79 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 44 of 97 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 13 of 38 | 34% | 3 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 19 of 48 | 39% | 9 of 30 | 3 of 8 | 7 of 10 | 17 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 11 of 30 | 36% | 7 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 28 of 100 | 28% | 12 of 80 | 9 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 23 of 94 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 28 of 54 | 51% | 20 of 44 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Mark Madsen despite being surprised that Pichel is the favorite. He notes Madsen's Olympic wrestling background and improved striking, as shown in his win over Clay Guida. He expects Madsen to use takedowns similar to Gregor Gillespie's approach, though he acknowledges Pichel's movement could trouble Madsen on the feet.
Big Brady picks Mark Madsen to win a close decision, likely split. He notes Madsen's Olympic-level wrestling should dominate early rounds, but his cardio is a concern as he faded in the third round against Austin Hubbard. Pichel has terrible takedown defense (25%) but is tough and wins the third round. Brady thinks Madsen edges the second round to win.
Cody is on the same page as Paul, picking Pichel. He notes Madsen's wrestling is explosive but lacks top control, leading to gassing. Cody points out Madsen's susceptibility to leg kicks and Pichel's nasty low kick. He thinks Pichel's chaos and pressure will break Madsen, similar to how he broke Austin Hubbard. Cody expects Pichel to win, possibly by decision but hopes for a third-round finish.
Levi believes Mark Madsen is improving with each fight, showing better cardio and striking. He notes Vinc Pichel's takedown defense is not great and that Madsen's wrestling should be a big advantage. He thinks the fight should be a pick'em, so at plus money he is taking Madsen to win a decision by securing the first two rounds.
I think Pichel is the much better striker and has improving wrestling. Madsen needs to get an early finish or he will fade. Pichel has a good gas tank and will wear on Madsen. I see Pichel finding a knockout later in the fight, likely in the third round.
Paul is confident in Pichel, having already bet him at -122 and -127. He notes Madsen's poor cardio and inability to hold opponents down, as seen against Clay Guida. Paul emphasizes Pichel's leg kicks targeting Madsen's lead leg, which Madsen leaves exposed. He predicts Pichel wins by TKO in round 3, as Madsen fades. Paul also likes Pichel round 3 at +1600.
The MMA Guru picks Vinc Pichel, unimpressed by Mark Madsen's grappling. He expects Madsen to win the first round via takedowns but fade, with Pichel's cardio and ability to get up leading to a 29-28 decision. He notes that Pichel beat Austin Hubbard more convincingly than Madsen did.
Tempo, chunky work from Gordan. Knocked him out end of rd1