Career Averages - Molly McCann
Career Averages - Luana Carolina
Molly McCann
Luana Carolina
Molly McCann - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 17 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 17 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 21 | 52% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 21 | 52% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann as a plus 150 underdog, having bet on her at that price. He initially thought Molly was in trouble but after tape study, he believes Alexia Thainara is not very good and her record is misleading. He thinks Molly's toughness, forward pressure, and takedowns will secure a hometown win. He notes the line movement was crazy and he suspects people are just looking at Alexia's record.
Brady likes Thainara's improved striking and BJJ black belt. He notes Molly McCann has been submitted multiple times and had her back taken in her last fight. Brady thinks if the fight hits the mat, McCann is in trouble. He predicts a first-round submission, either armbar or rear-naked choke.
Connor picks Thainara, arguing that McCann is capable of losing to anyone and Thainara's wrestling and submissions could be the key. He notes Thainara's athleticism and ability to take McCann down, where McCann is suicidal on the ground. However, he admits Thainara is raw and may not execute the right game plan.
The host sees this as a solid spot for Thainara to utilize her overall game. McCann may be more powerful, but Thainara will get the fight into grappling, keep McCann on her back, and open up a submission or win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Alexia Thainara, praising her power, physicality, and reach advantage. He notes that she 'punches like a man' and has strong takedowns. He expects her to be too much for Molly McCann, possibly holding her down and beating her up on the ground for a TKO win. He also mentions that Thainara will be hungrier.
Zane picks McCann despite acknowledging Thainara's athleticism and grappling potential. He believes Thainara is too raw and will likely engage in striking, where McCann's volume and aggression can overwhelm her. However, he notes McCann's tendency to lose fights she should win and Thainara's ability to wrestle could be a problem.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 57 of 84 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 44 of 74 | 59% | 63 of 99 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 5:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 30 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 17 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 32 of 56 | 57% | 19 of 38 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 28 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Molly McCann | 44 of 74 | 59% | 20 of 46 | 22 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 32 of 56 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 10 of 21 | 47% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 25 of 38 | 65% | 8 of 18 | 15 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 5 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 19 | 57% | 6 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 15 | 73% | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann despite originally leaning toward Bruna Brasil. He explains that Bruna has the tools but is too low volume and doesn't pull the trigger, while Molly's forward pressure, output, and crowd energy will be decisive. He acknowledges that Bruna has power and could win, but believes Molly's aggression will earn a close decision.
Cody picks Molly McCann, citing her motivation after dropping to strawweight and her improved performance in her last fight. He notes that Bruna Brasil has shown poor grappling defense and was taken down easily by Denise Gomes and Loma Lookboonmee. Cody believes McCann's size, strength, and pressure will be too much, and she can win by decision or late finish.
Daniel believes Molly McCann will bully Bruna Brasil with pressure, takedowns, and ground control. He notes Bruna's poor chin and lack of heart, while Molly is the more physical fighter. He predicts a dominant win by submission, TKO, or decision.
Paul also picks McCann, noting that Bruna Brasil hasn't shown any reason to believe she can compete at this level. He points out that McCann's grappling and pressure will be key, and that the hometown crowd will support her. Paul expects McCann to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, citing her physicality advantage at strawweight and her finishing ability. He notes that McCann has KO power and a spinning elbow KO, which is rare for women's MMA. He believes Bruna Brasil is not a grappler and may struggle on the back foot. The Guru expects McCann to pressure and eventually get a TKO later in the fight, though he admits it's a tricky matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 0 | 42 of 91 | 46% | 43 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 77 | 37% | 29 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 42 of 91 | 46% | 43 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 77 | 37% | 29 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 42 of 91 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 77 | 37% | 9 of 46 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 42 of 91 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 77 | 37% | 9 of 46 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann, expecting her to dominate in a dirty slugfest. He notes that Diana Belbiţă is more well-rounded but McCann's pressure and brawling style should prevail. He warns that McCann has poor submission defense but Belbiţă is not a good grappler. He does not bet on this fight.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by second-round submission. He notes that this is a rematch from 2019 where McCann dominated Belbiţă, nearly finishing her multiple times. He believes McCann will come in with a chip on her shoulder after two embarrassing losses. However, he cautions that Belbiţă has improved and McCann is moving down to strawweight for the first time at age 33, so the weight cut is a concern. If she makes weight, he expects a finish.
Cody picks Belbiţă, arguing she has improved significantly since their first fight while McCann has stagnated. He notes Belbiţă's better kickboxing, improved takedown defense, and youth. He thinks McCann's chin and cardio are declining, and Belbiţă can outwork her.
McCann should use her takedowns and top control to grind out Belbiţă, who lacks takedown defense. However, the host is hesitant to trust McCann as a -305 favorite given her history of losing as a big favorite. The pick is McCann by decision.
Paul picks Belbiţă, calling the plus-220 price a mistake. He notes her improvements under coach Krzysztof Alin, especially in wrestling, and her youth advantage. He thinks she can outpoint McCann or even finish her.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann over Diana Belbiţă, despite acknowledging McCann's recent struggles. He argues Belbiţă is not capable of inflicting damage, having no TKO wins on her record (though he later finds one early in her career). He believes McCann's aggression and power advantage will be the difference in a scrappy fight, predicting a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 9 of 29 | 31% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 9 of 29 | 31% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Molly McCann, calling this a showcase fight. He believes she will win, possibly by stoppage, and suggests she could be parlayed. He notes the odds are -400 but thinks she could be even more favored.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by first-round knockout, but predicts Stoliarenko will miss weight. He notes Stoliarenko is dangerous on the ground with armbars but has no striking or wrestling. He thinks McCann will keep it standing and knock her out. He calls it a setup fight for McCann in London. He is concerned if the fight goes to the mat.
Cody thinks McCann wins by out-volume and avoiding takedowns. He notes Stoliarenko's path is submission only, and the sub prop at +350 is too short for him. He would only bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better.
Daniel is very confident Molly McCann will win, calling Stoliarenko 'one of the worst fighters on the roster'. He believes Molly is better on the feet and can take Stoliarenko down as long as she avoids the armbar. He expects a highlight-reel finish and notes the line at -190 is good value to fade Stoliarenko. He dismisses comparisons to high-level grapplers like Erin Blanchfield, stating Stoliarenko is not on that level.
The host picks Molly McCann, citing her speed, striking advantage, and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges the danger of Stoliarenko's armbar but believes McCann can avoid it. He predicts a knockout win and mentions waiting for a better price around -200.
Paul sees this as a setup for McCann, noting Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the UFC and her only win is over a retired fighter. He thinks McCann is popular in the UK and will be re-motivated after a loss to Blanchfield. He expects McCann to roll, though he jokes about a first-round armbar loss.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, noting Dana White's investment in Barstool fighters. He praises McCann's toughness, chin, and scrappy style, and believes she can keep the fight on the feet. He criticizes Julija Stoliarenko's recent losses and lack of success unless she gets the fight to the ground. The Guru predicts McCann will win a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 93 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 93 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 25 of 38 | 65% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Molly McCann | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 25 of 38 | 65% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Molly McCann | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Blanchfield is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling, but he is concerned about her struggles in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He notes that McCann is gritty, experienced, and could break a young prospect. He picks Blanchfield to win via takedowns and control, but does not expect a submission. He suggests the bet might be on McCann inside the distance (decision no action) because McCann could avoid takedowns and win by stoppage, while a decision loss would refund the bet.
Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by submission, calling it a terrible matchup for Molly McCann. He notes McCann's 46% takedown defense and how she was ragdolled by Laura Procopio. He compares Blanchfield's dominance over Miranda Maverick (7 takedowns) to that fight. He believes Blanchfield will take McCann down repeatedly and likely finish her, as McCann has been submitted before (by Gillian Robertson). He questions why McCann took the fight.
Cody leans towards McCann strictly because of the plus money. He notes that Blanchfield struggled to get takedowns against JJ Aldrich and was taken down herself, which raises questions. He thinks if Blanchfield can't get the fight to the mat, McCann's striking could make it competitive. However, he acknowledges McCann's takedown defense is poor and Blanchfield is a strong wrestler, so he is not confident.
Connor picks Blanchfield, citing McCann's inability to solve problems in fights and her tendency to get taken down easily. He notes that McCann's recent wins were against limited opponents, and that Blanchfield is a good opportunist who can take advantage of McCann's overaggression. Connor also mentions that McCann's best work is on the back foot, but she often presses forward and walks into danger.
Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take McCann down and control her. He notes that McCann struggles to get back up when taken down, and Blanchfield is a black belt. However, he is not interested in betting at -390 because he wants guarantees and worries that Blanchfield might stand and trade, giving McCann a chance. He respects McCann's heart and spirit but believes Blanchfield's path to victory is through grappling.
The host believes Blanchfield's superior grappling and trips will eventually get the fight to the ground, where she can submit McCann. He notes McCann's improved striking and confidence could make it competitive on the feet, but Blanchfield's grappling is the difference. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +180 for finishing potential. He is not betting the moneyline at -390.
Paul picks Blanchfield by decision, highlighting her relentless pressure and grappling. He notes that McCann has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down 12 times in her two losses. Paul believes Blanchfield will take McCann down and control her on the mat, and that McCann's only chance is a spinning elbow knockout. He thinks Blanchfield's wrestling and top control will secure a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield, highlighting her dominant grappling win over Miranda Maverick, who has since ragdolled others. He notes McCann's history of being outgrappled and believes the threat of takedowns will diminish McCann's striking. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with McCann possibly doing decent in the third round but lacking power to finish.
Zane picks Blanchfield, noting that McCann's grappling deficiencies were exposed against Laura Procopio, who took her down easily. He points out that Blanchfield is a decent clinch wrestler and opportunist, and that McCann's tendency to overextend and get countered makes her vulnerable. Zane also mentions that Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldrich showed she can take shots and keep pressing for takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 9 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 1 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 9 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 24 of 52 | 46% | 20 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
| Hannah Goldy | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 24 of 52 | 46% | 20 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
| Hannah Goldy | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann, citing her hometown crowd advantage and technical boxing. He is surprised by the -400 odds, noting Goldy is likely stronger and faster with better striking differential. He suggests a prop bet on Molly by decision or a 'plus 3.5' round handicap bet, as Molly is not a finisher.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He thinks the line is too wide but McCann should win, especially with the crowd behind her in London. He notes the striking could be close, but McCann can mix in takedowns. He expects a decision win for McCann.
Cody confidently picks Molly McCann, stating she can win any way she wants. He highlights her excellent cardio, high volume striking, and pressure fighting. Cody notes Goldie's striking is not good and she was dropped by Balbita. He thinks McCann's takedown defense is sufficient and that Goldie won't be able to grapple with her. Cody suggests McCann by TKO at +425 as a prop.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, comparing her to a female Frankie Edgar with a volume boxing style and ability to mix in takedowns. He sees Hannah Goldy as inactive and not winning minutes, relying on opportunistic submissions. Levi expects McCann to outwork and overwhelm Goldy with pace.
McCann is not a -400 fighter. Her wrestling is overrated and she has poor takedown defense. Goldy can make it competitive, has output, and can take it to the grappling realm. I'm throwing a half-unit shot on Goldy. The fight will be closer than the odds suggest.
Paul picks Molly McCann but won't bet at -425. He thinks the line will grow to -500 by fight night due to fan support. He notes McCann has made significant improvements and is a grinder, but went life and death with Ketchup. Paul believes if rounds are close, McCann will get the decision in the UK. He considers a flyer on Goldie but can't bring himself to bet her.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He states it's a no-brainer, citing McCann's experience and toughness. He criticizes Hannah Goldy's level of competition and believes McCann's grappling has improved. On the feet, McCann is scrappy and tough. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with Goldy having a moment in the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 85 of 159 | 53% | 99 of 174 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 64 of 132 | 48% | 76 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 56 of 107 | 52% | 61 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 85 of 159 | 53% | 52 of 118 | 28 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 69 of 139 | 14 of 18 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 64 of 132 | 48% | 26 of 88 | 33 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 47 of 113 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 56 of 107 | 52% | 35 of 79 | 19 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 47 of 96 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 52 | 42% | 6 of 32 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 15 of 30 | 50% | 5 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 26 of 51 | 50% | 13 of 37 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 40 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 16 of 29 | 55% | 7 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.
Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.
McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.
Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 0 | 127 of 272 | 46% | 130 of 275 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 122 of 361 | 33% | 134 of 374 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 23 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 24 of 75 | 32% | 35 of 87 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 51 of 101 | 50% | 51 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 42 of 124 | 33% | 42 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 0 | 55 of 120 | 45% | 56 of 121 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 56 of 162 | 34% | 57 of 163 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 127 of 272 | 46% | 110 of 249 | 16 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 126 of 270 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 122 of 361 | 33% | 87 of 316 | 24 of 33 | 11 of 12 | 114 of 349 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 21 of 51 | 41% | 17 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 24 of 75 | 32% | 15 of 63 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 64 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 51 of 101 | 50% | 43 of 93 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 51 of 101 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 42 of 124 | 33% | 27 of 106 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 42 of 124 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 55 of 120 | 45% | 50 of 111 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 54 of 118 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 56 of 162 | 34% | 45 of 147 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 55 of 161 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision, citing her superior striking accuracy (50% vs Kim's 34%) and volume. He notes Kim has a 10-inch reach advantage but doesn't use it effectively and misses a lot. McCann can also mix in takedowns against Kim, who has poor takedown defense (42%). Brady points out that McCann's losses have come against grapplers, while Kim is not a wrestler. He expects McCann to win a decision.
Cody slightly leans McCann, noting her wrestling and ground-and-pound against lower-level opposition. He acknowledges Kim's 10-inch reach advantage and better striking, but thinks McCann can get takedowns and grind out a decision. He is not confident and may flip depending on weigh-ins.
I like Kim here. She has a huge size advantage—10-inch reach and 3-inch height advantage. She's fought much better competition like Antonina Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso and had moments standing with them. McCann's wins are over low-level opponents, and she lost to the only decent fighters she faced. Kim's takedown defense has been a concern, but McCann isn't a great wrestler and her control time is weak. I think Kim wins the stand-up easily and can even finish. I'm sprinkling Kim by KO at +1160.
Paul is high on Kim, calling her the best bet on the card. He cites the 10-inch reach advantage and Kim's superior striking. He doubts McCann can sustain wrestling for three rounds and thinks Kim will win on the feet. He plans to bet Kim.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann to win by close decision. He calls it a pick'em fight but trusts McCann's toughness and grit to push the pace and finish rounds strong. He notes McCann's wins over Ariane Lipski, Diana Belbita, and Priscila Cachoeira as evidence of her ability to grind out decisions. He expects a split decision 29-28.
Luana Carolina - Fight History
Angelo picks Luana Carolina because she is the better striker with solid takedown defense (68%). He notes Melissa Mullins is too hittable with no head movement and her offensive wrestling is not great. He believes Luana should win everywhere and is surprised she is the underdog, expecting the line to flip.
Big Brady picks Melissa Mullins despite her terrible fight IQ, noting that she has a massive advantage on the ground with nasty ground and pound. He points out that Luana Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and that Mullins should be able to take her down and control her. However, he is hesitant because Mullins often refuses to wrestle and instead tests her striking, as seen in her last fight. He predicts a decision win for Mullins.
Cody agrees, noting Mullins' weight misses and lack of heart. He expects Carolina to win.
Connor picks Melissa Mullins, agreeing that you take the grappler in this matchup. He notes that Mullins is relentlessly aggressive with takedowns and ground control, while Carolina is a volume striker who can be beaten by grappling. Connor also advises against betting on this fight.
Daniel leans Carolina due to her experience and ability to weasel decisions. He notes Mullins has head-scratching moments and can be finished. However, he acknowledges it's women's MMA and the British fighter might have crowd support.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina to win by decision. He cites her experience and striking prowess, but acknowledges she can be taken down. He expects Carolina to get back to her feet and outpoint Mullins over three rounds.
James picks Luana Carolina but is not confident. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has more UFC experience, but her takedown defense is a concern. He notes that Mullins has poor fight IQ and may not shoot takedowns consistently. He predicts a decision win for Carolina.
The host is hesitant but leans towards Luana Carolina. He notes that Mullins has a grappling advantage but questions whether she will actually wrestle after failing to do so in her last fight. He believes Carolina's striking edge and improved defensive grappling could lead to a decision win. However, he admits he has underrated Carolina in the past and sees this as a potential breakout performance.
Paul picks Carolina, citing Mullins' poor durability and tendency to quit. He expects Carolina to outwork and finish Mullins.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Mullins over Luana Carolina, though he admits neither fighter has been impressive. He notes Mullins is younger and may show more improvement fight to fight, while Carolina hasn't done much lately and has lost to lower-level opponents. He seems uncertain but goes with Mullins.
Zane picks Melissa Mullins, reasoning that in a matchup between a relentless grappler (Mullins) and a volume striker (Carolina), you take the grappler who can control the fight. He notes that Mullins is aggressive with takedowns and ground control, but if she can't get takedowns, she's cooked. Zane advises not betting on this fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Montague | 0 | 41 of 88 | 46% | 99 of 164 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 48 of 82 | 58% | 75 of 115 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 25 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 39 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 38 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 36 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Montague | 41 of 88 | 46% | 34 of 77 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 51 |
| Luana Carolina | 48 of 82 | 58% | 31 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 46 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Montague | 10 of 32 | 31% | 8 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 36 | 66% | 11 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Michelle Montague | 17 of 32 | 53% | 12 of 25 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 |
| Luana Carolina | 15 of 25 | 60% | 12 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Michelle Montague | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 24 |
| Luana Carolina | 9 of 21 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) over Luana Carolina, citing Montague's wrestling and jiu-jitsu background at an international level, her willingness to strike, and her size. He acknowledges Luana Carolina's takedown defense and clinch work but believes Montague's aggression and grappling will be too much. He dismisses the knockout loss to Molly McCann as a fluke.
Big Brady picks Darrell Montague to win by second-round submission. He highlights Montague's submission expertise, noting all six wins are by rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Montague is one-dimensional and has poor striking, but believes she will get a takedown due to her physicality and Carolina's questionable takedown defense. He notes Carolina has been taken down frequently in recent fights.
Cody picks Montague, citing her grappling pedigree and size advantage moving down to 135. He notes Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and is moving up in weight, while Montague is a strong grappler with a rear-naked choke streak. He warns about Montague's cardio but thinks she can win the first two rounds.
Connor agrees, noting that Montague's recent fights show her shooting immediately for back takes, which will be a problem for Carolina. He also mentions that Carolina's chin is high and she relies on reach, but Montague has the same reach and is bigger. He thinks Montague's grappling will be decisive.
James is confident in Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) due to her massive size advantage and elite back-taking ability. He notes she has submitted every opponent via rear-naked choke and that Luana Carolina is moving up from flyweight, making her vulnerable to grappling. He predicts a submission win.
The host expresses concern about Montague's weight cut to 135 lbs for the first time, but if successful, expects her to ragdoll Luana Carolina and secure another submission victory. The pick is conditional on making weight.
The Guru picks Michelle Montigue (Darrell Montague) confidently, impressed by her consistent first-round submission finishes and amateur experience. He sees Luana Carolina as a potential fraud check but believes Montigue's training at American Top Team and dominant style will lead to another first-round rear-naked choke victory.
Zane sees Montague as a bigger, stronger fighter who will shoot for takedowns and back takes, which should wreck Carolina. He notes that Carolina's success depends on being taller and longer, but Montague is two inches taller with the same reach and looks more muscular. He also points out that Montague has shown a consistent ability to stay on the back foot and outpoint opponents if needed.
Angelo picks Luana Carolina, citing her superior striking and solid takedown defense (74%). He believes she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Montana De La Rosa, who relies on wrestling. He notes that Carolina is used to opponents trying to take her down and sees her as a solid bet, possibly worth a stab.
Big Brady leans toward Luana Carolina, impressed by her takedown defense. He notes that Montana De La Rosa will try to wrestle, but if she can't get takedowns, Carolina is the better striker. He expects a close split decision.
The host expects De La Rosa's wrestling style to pay off and expose holes in Luana Carolina's game. He looks for De La Rosa to smother her with grappling, possibly opening a submission opportunity, but primarily controlling the fight and winning on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina over Montana De La Rosa. He notes that Montana has had takedowns but hasn't established dominant control, while Luana will win on the feet with more grit and determination. He also mentions a psychological edge: Luana will be jealous of Montana's looks and fight with rage. He predicts a split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 94 of 167 | 56% | 114 of 199 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 43 of 114 | 37% | 62 of 145 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 38 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 32 | 18% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 48 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 94 of 167 | 56% | 45 of 101 | 23 of 35 | 26 of 31 | 73 of 142 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 43 of 114 | 37% | 25 of 86 | 16 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 27 of 93 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 33 of 51 | 64% | 14 of 29 | 6 of 9 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 41 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 32 | 18% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 24 of 50 | 48% | 13 of 36 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 41 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 22 of 43 | 51% | 12 of 33 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 37 of 66 | 56% | 18 of 36 | 10 of 17 | 9 of 13 | 32 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 15 of 39 | 38% | 8 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.
Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.
Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.
Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 66 of 136 | 48% | 138 of 230 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:27 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 16 of 59 | 27% | 21 of 68 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 3 | 0 | 3:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 35 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 25 | 24% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 25 of 55 | 45% | 43 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 10 of 28 | 35% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 60 of 89 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 66 of 136 | 48% | 41 of 96 | 15 of 26 | 10 of 14 | 28 of 75 | 13 of 20 | 25 of 41 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 16 of 59 | 27% | 7 of 40 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 9 | 11 of 51 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 12 of 32 | 37% | 6 of 20 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 25 | 24% | 2 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 25 of 55 | 45% | 13 of 38 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 36 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 13 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 10 of 28 | 35% | 5 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 3 | 6 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 29 of 49 | 59% | 22 of 38 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 5 of 10 | 17 of 27 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.
Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.
Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.
Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.
Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 62 | 35% | 77 of 122 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 4:11 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 41 of 87 | 47% | 112 of 167 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 5:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:22 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 28 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 47 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 34 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 62 | 35% | 15 of 51 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 50 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
| Ivana Petrović | 41 of 87 | 47% | 18 of 60 | 11 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 27 of 66 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 10 of 22 | 45% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 13 of 32 | 40% | 9 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 22 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 |
| Ivana Petrović | 16 of 38 | 42% | 6 of 25 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 15 of 27 | 55% | 9 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Ivana Petrović, expecting her grappling to be the difference. He notes she should be able to take down Luana Carolina and either submit or grind out a decision. However, he finds the -200 odds too wide for a UFC debut with only six fights and advises against betting. He warns against the over 2.5 rounds as the fight could end either way.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina by decision, but is very reluctant. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has solid takedown defense, but notes she has been taken down and put in trouble before. Petrović has a good ground game and could finish if she gets on top. Brady calls it a terrible fight and advises not to bet on it.
Cody likes Carolina as a plus-money underdog. He notes Petrović is very green (less than 2 years pro) and has been dropped in fights. Carolina has fought better competition and has a striking advantage. Cody thinks Carolina can keep the fight standing and win a decision, especially if she defends takedowns. He compares it to other recent underdog wins.
Daniel picks Luana Carolina as an underdog, citing her experience and takedown defense (2 of 15 allowed against Godinez). He notes Petrović is hittable and unproven at UFC level, and that debuts often disappoint. He sees a close kickboxing match where Carolina's volume and durability could edge her ahead. He is willing to take a shot at plus odds.
Paul is considering Carolina as a dog. He notes Petrović's wrestling is her only path, but her stand-up is green and she was dropped by a short elbow. Carolina has good balance in the clinch and striking advantage. Paul thinks if Petrović can't get takedowns, Carolina wins. He is watching the market for a better price.
The Guru picks Ivana Petrović, citing her undefeated record (6-0) and good cardio shown in a fourth-round submission win. He notes Luana Carolina's losses to Molly McCann and Joanne Calderwood, and while Carolina beat Lupita Godinez, she was much larger. He trusts the undefeated prospect but acknowledges women's MMA is unpredictable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 131 of 228 | 57% | 177 of 278 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 100 of 199 | 50% | 123 of 222 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 55 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 65 | 58% | 42 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 56 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 53 | 45% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 60 of 106 | 56% | 66 of 112 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 81 | 46% | 48 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 131 of 228 | 57% | 61 of 142 | 46 of 53 | 24 of 33 | 84 of 177 | 46 of 50 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 100 of 199 | 50% | 55 of 144 | 34 of 40 | 11 of 15 | 75 of 165 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 38 of 62 | 61% | 13 of 32 | 17 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 20 of 42 | 18 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 65 | 58% | 15 of 38 | 16 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 50 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 33 of 60 | 55% | 16 of 39 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 48 | 11 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 53 | 45% | 14 of 40 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 60 of 106 | 56% | 32 of 71 | 21 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 43 of 87 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 81 | 46% | 26 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 32 of 71 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.
Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.
Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.
Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.
Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.
Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 85 of 159 | 53% | 99 of 174 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 64 of 132 | 48% | 76 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 56 of 107 | 52% | 61 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 85 of 159 | 53% | 52 of 118 | 28 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 69 of 139 | 14 of 18 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 64 of 132 | 48% | 26 of 88 | 33 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 47 of 113 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 56 of 107 | 52% | 35 of 79 | 19 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 47 of 96 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 52 | 42% | 6 of 32 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 15 of 30 | 50% | 5 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 26 of 51 | 50% | 13 of 37 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 40 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 16 of 29 | 55% | 7 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.
Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.
McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.
Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.
Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.
McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.
Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.
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