Career Averages - Jack Shore
Career Averages - Timur Valiev
Jack Shore
Timur Valiev
Jack Shore - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef Zalal | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 10 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Jack Shore | 1 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 21 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Zalal | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 9 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Jack Shore | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 13 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Youssef Zalal | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jack Shore | 1 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef Zalal | 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jack Shore | 13 of 27 | 48% | 9 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Zalal | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jack Shore | 7 of 17 | 41% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Youssef Zalal | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Shore | 6 of 10 | 60% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-258), Shore (+210)
Round 1
What was once an extremely promising resume listed at 16-0 has transformed into 17-2 in the span of two years for Welshman Shore (17-2, 6-2 UFC). A pair of stoppages have turned him away from elite opposition, and he now draws a resurgent Zalal (15-5-1, 5-3 UFC) in what should be a fast-paced and exciting featherweight affair. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Luke Boutin, clocking the fighters in as they share a swift tap of gloves. Zalal immediately sticks out a jab, and Shore’s eye is red instantly. Zalal pushes out a front kick and dodges a jab, and he puts a few leg kicks on his opponent’s front wheel. Shore tries to check one and comes out swinging with an overhand right, and the Zalal jabs have further transformed his face to a redder color. Shore crashes the pocket and shoots for a single, and Zalal leans against the fence to defend it. Zalal watches the video screen to see the other side of his opponent, and Shore wrenches him down to his hands. Shore legally knees Zalal in the face while Zalal’s hands are down, and Zalal drops down to a single knee before blasting to his feet. Shore elevates his man down once more, and Zalal lowers himself to a knee to not get kneed in the face. Zalal works his way up and pushes Shore to the wall, and Shore explodes out of it and whips a kick at “The Moroccan Devil.” Zalal loads up on power strikes, opening him up to a three-punch counter. As the fighters trade hands, the fans again decide it is the right time to voice a political opinion about their current leader. Shore takes a few punches on the chin to push Zalal to the wall, and Zalal uses a kimura to turn Shore around. Zalal uses a body lock to lower Shore to the mat, and he hits the ground in half guard. Zalal wraps his arm around Shore’s head to keep him pinned down to the ground, but Shore still fights out of the choke and nearly gives up his back. Zalal positions himself to where he can get both hooks in, and he turns Shore around and starts hunting for a cranking submission. The neck crank does not get a tap, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Round 2
The two touch gloves, and Zalal opens up with a few jabs. Shore walks into a jab and a right hand, and Zalal’s counters are quicker and he is evasive enough to block the strikes from coming. As Shore ducks down, “The Moroccan Devil” fires off a devilishly powerful knee up the middle that knocks Shore to his seat. Zalal leaps on top into half guard, and he establishes an arm-triangle choke.
Zalal locks down the arm-triangle and does not even need to move to the side, instead pressing his full body weight down while in mount to complete it. Shore hangs on tight, but he has to tap out before getting rendered unconscious.
Boutin gets between them, and Zalal has just notched arguably the largest win in his career while breaking a tough stretch of decisions tonight. That marks three wins in 2024 for the Factory X fighter, all by submission.
The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Jack Shore R2 0:59 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo sees Youssef Zalal as the better wrestler, grappler, and more technical striker in this matchup. He notes Zalal's 2.0 version since returning to the UFC has been a buzzsaw, with improved wrestling and ground control. He mentions Zalal's low striking absorption rate (1.73 per minute) and high fight IQ. He also highlights Zalal's recent submission win over Jarno Errens. Angelo is confident Zalal will win and considers the -225 price affordable.
Big Brady picks Youssef Zalal to win by decision. He notes that Zalal has looked much more aggressive in his second UFC stint, finishing opponents, while Jack Shore is moving up to featherweight and will be undersized. Brady believes Zalal is the better striker and can compete in grappling, stuffing takedowns and possibly getting his own. He expects a close fight but thinks Zalal does enough over 15 minutes.
Cody picks Youssef Zalal, citing his improved grappling and striking since his return to the UFC. He notes that Zalal is younger, faster, and more well-rounded than Shore, who he sees as undersized and struggling against physical opponents. He believes Zalal's movement and takedown ability will be too much for Shore, and expects a dominant performance.
Daniel Vreeland picks Youssef Zalal, citing his resurgence and improved skills since returning to the UFC. He believes Zalal's movement, footwork, and ability to mix in takedowns will be too much for Jack Shore, who is stuck between weight classes. Vreeland notes that Zalal has looked impressive against solid competition and is on a trajectory to face ranked opponents, while Shore is underwhelming and in the wrong division.
Shore is dealing with recency bias as a big underdog, but his relentless wrestling style can still prove fruitful, especially since Zalal doesn't present the athletic and physical dangers that Shore's recent opponents have, allowing Shore to grind out a win and spoil Zalal's winning streak.
Paul agrees, noting that Zalal has looked impressive in his second UFC stint and has a well-rounded skill set. He points out that Shore struggles against physically stronger opponents and that Zalal's speed and technique will give him problems. He believes Zalal is the rightful favorite and should win comfortably.
The Guru picks Youssef Zalal over Jack Shore, citing that Shore is not a true featherweight and lacks physicality. He notes Zalal's momentum, improvements in grappling, and recent performances, including a win over Billy Quarantillo as an underdog. He believes Zalal's technical skills and confidence will be key, while Shore's move up in weight is a disadvantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 31 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Jack Shore | 0 | 30 of 56 | 53% | 57 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Jack Shore | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 29 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:31 | |
| 2 | Joanderson Brito | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jack Shore | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 28 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 24 of 40 | 60% | 16 of 32 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 25 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Shore | 30 of 56 | 53% | 4 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 23 | 20 of 46 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Shore | 15 of 31 | 48% | 1 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 13 | 11 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanderson Brito | 15 of 23 | 65% | 11 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Shore | 15 of 25 | 60% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 10 | 9 of 19 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-148), Shore (+124)
Round 1
A place in the top 15 at the talent-rich featherweight division may loom for the victor between Welshman Shore (17-1, 6-1 UFC) and the ultraviolent Chute Boxe fighter Brito (16-3-1, 4-1 UFC). Finish rates of 76% for the former and 87% for the latter mean that the judges might be able to take off this preliminary headliner, while referee Joao Claudio Soares should be ready to step in at a moment’s notice. Before they try to lop the other’s head off at the neck, the heavy hitters bump fists. Brito is the initial aggressor, landing long strikes and finding his range early. Shore throws back to back him away, and he checks a low kick. Brito jabs his way in, and he has another calf kick checked hard. Brito swings for the bleachers, and Shore barely dodges it. The low kick that follows separates Shore from his balance, and he drops to a knee and pops back up. Shore gathers himself and ties the Brazilian up to slow him down, and Brito is quick to turn him around and pepper him with knees. Brito breaks off to throw big hands, and Shore slides away but cannot get away from a heavy leg kick. Brito shreds the front leg again and loads up on power punches, and Shore clinches him up as Brito smiles and sticks his tongue out. Brito pursues a single when turning his man around, kneeing the inner thighs when the takedown is not there. Shore chucks him to the side and looks for a takedown, but Brito hip-checks him and pushes him back to the wire. Shore attempts another level change and hangs on tight to slow Brito down, and they both lower themselves to the ground in a minute when locked up. Brito gets up first and pursues a double, and Shore elbows him in the side of the head to have him knock it off. Brito shoulder strikes his foe while up close and personal in the clinch, and he takes a knee to the belly as the grinding round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Round 2
Brito offers a glove touch that is accepted, and he gets right back to his forward momentum. Brito lands a couple leg kicks, completely no-sells getting kicked in the head by the Welshman, and clinches him up. Brito hammers knees on the legs of his opponent and slings him to the mat, and Shore climbs back up without issue. Brito remains stuck to him like he was made of Saran wrap, and Shore pushes him away with a knee up the middle. Brito scores a couple calf kicks, and he ducks when punches are aimed at his face. Shore tries to check a kick and the skin tears open from the impact, as the swelling and welting makes that left leg a horror show less than halfway through the match. Brito sells out for a takedown, and Shore defends it with elbows on the sides of the head. Brito lands a few more short knees as blood leaks out of Shore’s shin. Brito doggedly presses ahead, and he punches the shin several times to further rip open the cut. The apparent damage is so significant that Soares calls in the doctor, who examines the roughly inch-long wound that is at this point gaping. The physician wipes the blood away and feels the bone beneath it, and determines that the bout should not continue. Soares waves the fight off. It is unclear if there is a broken bone, or what the specific reason for the stoppage is, but it will go down as a technical knockout victory for the Brazilian—who hands Shore his first loss by knockout, however unusual.
The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Jack Shore R2 3:35 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
Angelo picks Brito due to his danger on the feet, but feels the fight is closer to 50/50 than the 2-1 odds suggest. He notes Brito's 50% takedown defense and that Shore could win if he avoids power and gets takedowns. He does not bet on this fight.
Big Brady calls Brito a 'moment winner' with power and finishing ability. He notes Shore's vulnerability to being hurt and questions his takedown success at featherweight. He predicts Brito will land a big shot and knock Shore out in the first round.
Cody picks Brito, citing his physical strength, power, and Brazilian crowd advantage. He notes Shore struggled with physical wrestlers at bantamweight and hasn't looked great at featherweight. Cody expects Brito to land bigger shots and potentially submit Shore.
Daniel Vreeland picks Brito, emphasizing his physicality, power, and multiple finishing threats. He notes that Shore's best wins are against lower-level competition and that Brito has fought tougher opponents. He believes Brito's grappling and striking are superior and that Shore may struggle at featherweight. He considers Brito underpriced and expects him to look like a -600 favorite after the fight.
Shore is the underdog but will put the grind on Brito and win by decision. Brito is dangerous with knockout power and choking ability, but Shore won't make the same mistakes as Jonathan Pearce and will wear on Brito over 15 minutes.
Paul picks Brito, highlighting his power and physicality. He notes Shore's takedown defense and durability are questionable, and Brito's damaging blows will impress judges. Paul expects Brito to win the first two rounds and hold on.
The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito, citing his physicality, fast-twitch athleticism, and momentum. He doubts Jack Shore's strength at featherweight and believes Brito will revel in the pay-per-view moment. He also notes Brito's win over Lucas Alexander has aged well, and that Shore was finished by Ricky Simon.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 45 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 14 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 23 of 32 | 71% | 26 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 5 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 28 of 46 | 60% | 23 of 40 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 10 of 24 | 41% | 6 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 6 of 8 | 75% | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 23 of 32 | 71% | 20 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 4 of 16 | 25% | 3 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Jack Shore, believing he will bounce back from his first loss. He thinks Shore has quality wins and evolving skills. He notes Amirkhani has been getting finished lately and his chin is questionable. He expects Shore to win via takedowns or striking.
Big Brady picks Shore confidently, noting Amirkhani has terrible cardio and is a one-round fighter. He believes Shore can survive the first round and then take over with superior striking and grappling. He predicts a third-round submission as Amirkhani gasses. He sees no path for Amirkhani unless he submits Shore in round one.
Cody picks Shore, noting Amirkhani is a one-round fighter with cardio issues. He thinks Shore can survive the first round, then take over with his high work rate and cardio. He mentions Amirkhani's submission threat in round one is real but low probability. He doesn't love minus 500 and prefers live betting or round three props.
Connor sees Jack Shore as a fundamentally sound, process-driven fighter who will find the most straightforward path to victory. He contrasts Shore's consistency and ability to adjust with Makwan Amirkhani's pattern of gassing after early aggression. Connor believes Shore's jab and pressure will neutralize Amirkhani's wild offense.
Jacob is very confident in Jack Shore, calling him one of his most confident plays on the card. He thinks Amirkhani is broken and quits if his early takedowns fail. He notes Shore defended takedowns well against Ricky Simon and should handle Amirkhani's wrestling. He has bets on Shore for premium members.
Shore is a cardio machine with a grapple-heavy approach, coming off his first loss. Amirkhani is dangerous early with his anaconda choke but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Shore's defensive grappling and pace should allow him to survive the early onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds, likely finishing inside the distance.
Paul picks Shore, citing Amirkhani's cardio issues and Shore's durability. He notes Shore moving up to 145 after a bad cut could help. He thinks if Shore survives round one, he can tire Amirkhani and win by decision or late finish. He says minus 500 is unappealing and prefers a live entry.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore over Makwan Amirkhani, despite the odds. He notes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions but fades as the fight goes on. Shore has composure in grappling and a massive advantage on the feet with straight punches and a nasty knee. He predicts Shore will survive early grappling exchanges and win in later rounds, possibly by finish.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Shore is a consistent, intelligent fighter who makes the right decisions. He points out that Amirkhani is creative but inconsistent, and Shore's fundamental soundness will prevail. Zane expects Shore to let Amirkhani take risks early, then punish him with jabs and counters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 2 | 70 of 107 | 65% | 87 of 128 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 72 of 150 | 48% | 75 of 155 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 26 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 30 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 2 | 29 of 42 | 69% | 38 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 70 of 107 | 65% | 46 of 81 | 15 of 17 | 9 of 9 | 54 of 89 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 11 |
| Timur Valiev | 72 of 150 | 48% | 23 of 83 | 26 of 40 | 23 of 27 | 67 of 144 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 24 of 37 | 64% | 12 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 30 of 58 | 51% | 8 of 27 | 12 of 18 | 10 of 13 | 28 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 17 of 28 | 60% | 9 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 21 of 41 | 51% | 4 of 19 | 7 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 20 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 29 of 42 | 69% | 25 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 11 |
| Timur Valiev | 21 of 51 | 41% | 11 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jack Shore with a slight edge, citing the home crowd advantage and the fact that Trevin Jones was able to take down Valiev, suggesting Shore can too. He notes that both fighters are grapplers who struggled in their last fights, but he trusts Shore's wrestling and thinks the London crowd will give him extra juice.
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev to win a close decision, acknowledging it's an unpopular pick. He favors Valiev on the feet due to his volume and mixing of tools, and believes Valiev's scrambling ability will allow him to get back up if taken down. Brady notes Jack Shore's best win was a split decision against Hunter Azure and that Shore has not faced a step-up in competition like Valiev. He also mentions Valiev's chin is a concern but doesn't think it will be an issue here.
Cody leans Valiev, citing his speed and striking advantage. He thinks Shore's wrestling might be neutralized and that Valiev's chin is a concern but he has good recovery. He is surprised by line movement and may wait for weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, citing his undefeated record, strong grappling stats (5 takedowns per 15 minutes, 100% takedown defense), and the hometown advantage in the UK. He believes Valiev's best chance is a close decision, but judges will favor Shore in a close fight. Levi also notes that Valiev has been knocked down before and that Shore's submission threat is real. He expects a submission or dominant decision.
Jack Shore is a 15-0 prospect with excellent wrestling and top control, able to drag fights to the ground and dominate. Valiev is more of a flashy striker but can grapple if needed, though he lacks crazy knockout power. Shore's takedowns should be effective, and he can grind out a decision. The line movement from +150 to +100 reflects public support, and I understand why. I like Shore to grind out Valiev over 15 minutes.
Paul picks Shore, emphasizing his undefeated streak, excellent wrestling, and pace. He thinks Valiev has cardio and chin issues, and that Shore's volume and pressure will win rounds. He believes the British judges will favor Shore in a close fight.
The Guru picks Jack Shore as an underdog, citing his grappling pressure and reach advantage. He believes Timur Valiev slows down in fights, as seen against Trevin Jones and Chris Gutierrez. He predicts Shore will grind on Valiev against the cage, take his back, and secure a rear-naked choke in round three. He notes Shore's youth and undefeated record.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 92 of 155 | 59% | 104 of 168 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 4:28 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 0 | 19 of 92 | 20% | 33 of 108 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 24 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 0 | 2 of 20 | 10% | 14 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 33 of 57 | 57% | 36 of 61 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 0 | 7 of 33 | 21% | 8 of 34 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 0 | 43 of 70 | 61% | 44 of 71 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 11 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 92 of 155 | 59% | 59 of 116 | 11 of 14 | 22 of 25 | 80 of 138 | 8 of 12 | 4 of 5 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 19 of 92 | 20% | 13 of 85 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 89 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 16 of 28 | 57% | 10 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 2 of 20 | 10% | 1 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 33 of 57 | 57% | 19 of 41 | 5 of 6 | 9 of 10 | 32 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 7 of 33 | 21% | 4 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 43 of 70 | 61% | 30 of 54 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 37 of 61 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 10 of 39 | 25% | 8 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jack Shore to win by third-round submission, very confident. He believes Shore is superior everywhere: better wrestling, better grappling (BJJ black belt), and better striking. Sholinian is sloppy on takedowns, hittable, and low volume. Coming in on short notice makes it even harder for Sholinian. Brady expects Shore to put on a pace and finish in the third round.
Cody is a big fan of Shore, citing his chain wrestling, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He thinks Shore outclasses Sholinian everywhere, especially in wrestling and boxing. He expects Shore to grind out a decision or get a late finish, and likes the over 2.5 rounds.
I'm all over Jack Shore. He's a much better grappler than Sholinian, and grappling is low variance. Shore is a finisher who actively looks for submissions and ground-and-pound. Sholinian's path to victory is control, but he's not on Shore's level. Even on the feet, I think Shore is better. I expect Shore to dominate and finish inside the distance. I like Shore inside the distance at -110 and Shore round 2 at +475.
Paul is not betting Shore at -510, finding the price too high. He acknowledges Shore's skills but is nervous about laying heavy juice. He prefers to stay away or consider the over 2.5 rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore to win by second-round rear-naked choke. He praises Shore's grappling, comparing him to a Dagestani wrestler, and notes his technical and safe approach. He believes Shore's length and reactionary takedowns will be too much for Sholinian, who is a pressure fighter that walks into punishment. He expects Shore to dominate on the ground and get the submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 45 of 80 | 56% | 78 of 121 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 4:02 |
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 36 of 57 | 63% | 57 of 84 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 0 | 1 | 5:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 20 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:01 |
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 15 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 41 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 22 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 20 of 28 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 45 of 80 | 56% | 12 of 37 | 14 of 19 | 19 of 24 | 35 of 64 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 5 |
| Hunter Azure | 36 of 57 | 63% | 24 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 11 | 27 of 43 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 14 of 27 | 51% | 2 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Hunter Azure | 11 of 17 | 64% | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 23 of 37 | 62% | 7 of 15 | 7 of 10 | 9 of 12 | 18 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Hunter Azure | 14 of 23 | 60% | 9 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 8 of 16 | 50% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Hunter Azure | 11 of 17 | 64% | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Shore to win by third-round submission, but he is not overly confident and is passing on betting. He notes Azure has good takedown defense early but poor cardio, while Shore has excellent cardio and grappling. Brady expects Shore to wear Azure down and secure a late submission, as Azure has faded in past fights. He would have bet Shore at the opener (-110) but not at the current -160.
Cody picks Shore, praising his wrestling, cardio, and durability. He notes Azure's cardio issues and tendency to fade. He thinks Shore will grind Azure down and get a late submission or decision.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, but expects a closely contested battle. He notes that Shore is a submission specialist from Wales with good fight IQ, but Hunter Azure is a strong wrestler with power. Levi thinks Shore's stand-up will be tested and that Azure's power could change the momentum. He suggests it might be a dog-or-pass situation at the betting window.
The host is high on Shore, citing his great wrestling, top control, and cardio. He expects Shore to pressure Azure, suck his gas tank, and potentially get a third-round finish. He notes that Azure has questionable cardio and has slowed down in past fights. He picks Shore to win by third-round submission, and mentions that -160 is a good price.
Paul picks Shore, noting his grappling advantage and Azure's poor cardio. He thinks Shore will lean on Azure and tire him out. He took Shore by submission and round 3 props.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore by second-round rear-naked choke, though he admits worry. He notes Shore's grappling is not wrestling-based but uses body locks and cage pressure. He thinks Azure's muscular build will lead to openings in the second round, allowing Shore to take his back. He also mentions Shore's reach advantage and good knees and kicks.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 29 of 45 | 64% | 42 of 59 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 5:25 |
| Aaron Phillips | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 22 of 35 | 62% | 26 of 40 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
| Aaron Phillips | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 16 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Aaron Phillips | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 29 of 45 | 64% | 19 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 16 of 25 |
| Aaron Phillips | 6 of 15 | 40% | 1 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 22 of 35 | 62% | 16 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 20 |
| Aaron Phillips | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 7 of 10 | 70% | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Aaron Phillips | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jack Shore, calling him a beast and very high on him. He believes Shore can take Phillips down easily and dominate on the ground. He predicts a third-round submission, as Phillips has never been finished but hasn't faced anyone like Shore. He says Shore will be a known name soon.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore by submission, noting that Shore is a Welsh phenom who doesn't waste time and knows his strengths. He believes Shore will take the fight to the ground and finish quickly, as Aaron Phillips has historically struggled to stuff takedowns.
Jack Shore is a highly touted prospect with a 12-0 amateur record and 12-0 pro record, showing elite grappling and submission skills. He completely dominated his UFC debut against Nohelin Hernandez, landing few strikes but securing a submission in the third round. His opponent Aaron Phillips is a short-notice replacement who has lost both of his previous UFC fights. The Guru expects Shore to get an easy submission in the first two rounds, likely a rear-naked choke.
Timur Valiev - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 2 | 70 of 107 | 65% | 87 of 128 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 72 of 150 | 48% | 75 of 155 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 26 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 30 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 2 | 29 of 42 | 69% | 38 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 70 of 107 | 65% | 46 of 81 | 15 of 17 | 9 of 9 | 54 of 89 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 11 |
| Timur Valiev | 72 of 150 | 48% | 23 of 83 | 26 of 40 | 23 of 27 | 67 of 144 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 24 of 37 | 64% | 12 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 30 of 58 | 51% | 8 of 27 | 12 of 18 | 10 of 13 | 28 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 17 of 28 | 60% | 9 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 21 of 41 | 51% | 4 of 19 | 7 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 20 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 29 of 42 | 69% | 25 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 11 |
| Timur Valiev | 21 of 51 | 41% | 11 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jack Shore with a slight edge, citing the home crowd advantage and the fact that Trevin Jones was able to take down Valiev, suggesting Shore can too. He notes that both fighters are grapplers who struggled in their last fights, but he trusts Shore's wrestling and thinks the London crowd will give him extra juice.
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev to win a close decision, acknowledging it's an unpopular pick. He favors Valiev on the feet due to his volume and mixing of tools, and believes Valiev's scrambling ability will allow him to get back up if taken down. Brady notes Jack Shore's best win was a split decision against Hunter Azure and that Shore has not faced a step-up in competition like Valiev. He also mentions Valiev's chin is a concern but doesn't think it will be an issue here.
Cody leans Valiev, citing his speed and striking advantage. He thinks Shore's wrestling might be neutralized and that Valiev's chin is a concern but he has good recovery. He is surprised by line movement and may wait for weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, citing his undefeated record, strong grappling stats (5 takedowns per 15 minutes, 100% takedown defense), and the hometown advantage in the UK. He believes Valiev's best chance is a close decision, but judges will favor Shore in a close fight. Levi also notes that Valiev has been knocked down before and that Shore's submission threat is real. He expects a submission or dominant decision.
Jack Shore is a 15-0 prospect with excellent wrestling and top control, able to drag fights to the ground and dominate. Valiev is more of a flashy striker but can grapple if needed, though he lacks crazy knockout power. Shore's takedowns should be effective, and he can grind out a decision. The line movement from +150 to +100 reflects public support, and I understand why. I like Shore to grind out Valiev over 15 minutes.
Paul picks Shore, emphasizing his undefeated streak, excellent wrestling, and pace. He thinks Valiev has cardio and chin issues, and that Shore's volume and pressure will win rounds. He believes the British judges will favor Shore in a close fight.
The Guru picks Jack Shore as an underdog, citing his grappling pressure and reach advantage. He believes Timur Valiev slows down in fights, as seen against Trevin Jones and Chris Gutierrez. He predicts Shore will grind on Valiev against the cage, take his back, and secure a rear-naked choke in round three. He notes Shore's youth and undefeated record.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timur Valiev | 2 | 69 of 131 | 52% | 81 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 77 of 190 | 40% | 77 of 190 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 18 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Timur Valiev | 2 | 35 of 60 | 58% | 47 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 28 of 59 | 47% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 31 of 84 | 36% | 31 of 84 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timur Valiev | 69 of 131 | 52% | 50 of 110 | 8 of 10 | 11 of 11 | 53 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 18 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 77 of 190 | 40% | 38 of 137 | 18 of 28 | 21 of 25 | 73 of 185 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timur Valiev | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 18 of 47 | 38% | 7 of 32 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 44 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Timur Valiev | 35 of 60 | 58% | 29 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 18 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 28 of 59 | 47% | 13 of 40 | 9 of 11 | 6 of 8 | 27 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Timur Valiev | 22 of 45 | 48% | 15 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 31 of 84 | 36% | 18 of 65 | 3 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 31 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
One of the more highly anticipated matchups of the fight card will treat fans next, as two men on lengthy unbeaten streaks in Barcelos (16-1, 5-0 UFC) with nine and Valiev (17-2, 1 NC; 1-0, 1 NC UFC) with eight lock horns. The bantamweight horn-locking will draw oversight from referee Mike Beltran, who sees the two rising stars avoid touching horns – gloves, rather – before coming out swinging. Barcelos feints and fakes his way in, and his movements alone draw reactions out of the Dagestan native. Valiev flings a head kick that is well off the mark, and there is a tense staring contest playing out in the middle of the cage. Valiev finally reaches out with a string of jabs, and only one finds its target. Valiev shrugs off a leg kick and loads up on a right hand, but he is met with a high kick. Valiev gives him one back, and Barcelos marches in to throw but comes up short. The Brazilian scores a quick counter right hand when Valiev charges him, and he gets off a solid jab as well. They clash together without much of note, and Valiev zips a body kick out before Barcelos can stop it. Valiev attacks the calf before blitzing in with a pair of strikes, and Barcelos sees him coming and swipes him away. Barcelos whiffs with an uppercut and pushes Valiev into the wire, where he grinds him for a moment before they break apart. Both trade body kicks, and Barcelos is able to follow his with one to the inside leg. A front kick from Valiev lands straight to the body, and he steps back to avoid counter punches. Valiev chops down the lead leg, only to absorb a kick to his liver. Barcelos rings home a right hand, and he gets popped with a sudden superman punch but does not show any immediate concern. Valiev tries to dodge a few punches, and when he does, Barcelos kicks his leg. Valiev shoots in from a distance for a takedown, and the Brazilian stuffs him with his back against the cage. Valiev holds on to this position in the waning seconds, and gets off a knee to break free right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Valiev
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Valiev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Valiev
Round 2
Barcelos is the first to lead off with a leg kick in the beginning of the round, and when a soaring head kick comes up short, Valiev hops forward to kick his inside leg. Barcelos tries to pin a one-two on the chin, but the Russian is out of harm’s way in time. Valiev ducks down to threaten a takedown, and Barcelos stops it and lands a right hand. Valiev ducks a huge punch and tries to fire back, and the bantamweights are elusive and energetic as they dodge and weave. Valiev sneaks in a few leg kicks, and he ducks the punches that come his way. “Lucky” scores a huge punch that was not lucky right on the chin, and Barcelos eats it like an acai bowl and stuffs the subsequent takedown attempt. Valiev tries to pin him down with another one of these looping shots, but this time, Barcelos sees it coming and evades it. Barcelos reaches out with a front kick, and Valiev responds with one to his foe’s lead leg. Single strikes are largely the method of attack so far, with one landing and the other trying to give it back. Barcelos gets cracked with a right hand in a combination, and he walks through it to score a stiff uppercut. Barcelos looks to capitalize on that with another, but it hits nothing but air. Valiev looses a leg kick and a high kick before Barcelos can react, and Barcelos is aiming with power punches that have some heat on them. Valiev hops forward and gets countered, but he slips a punch and lands one of his own. Both trade body kicks, and Valiev catches it and tries to take his man down. Barcelos rolls through and gets up, where they deliver kicks to the body. Barcelos cracks Valiev with a huge right hand, and Valiev gets knocked off his feet and chased to the ground. As Valiev sits up, Barcelos blasts him with an uppercut that nearly separates Valiev from his consciousness. Beltran implores Valiev to fight back, and Barcelos continues his barrage of strikes from on top as he climbs into half guard. Valiev survives to the bell, and struggles to get back to his feet but makes it to his corner.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Round 3
Valiev begins the round with a leg kick, and he might not have his wits about him but he is throwing hard right out of the gate. Valiev ducks down for a takedown, and Barcelos staves it off and aims a counter uppercut that glances off Valiev’s chin. The Russian falls off-balance throwing a right hand, and a leg kick scores shortly after. Blocking a head kick, Valiev continues to chip at his opponent’s lead leg a few more times. Valiev walks face-first into another uppercut, and Barcelos has timed the strike and watches Valiev’s head bob to land it a few times. As Valiev succeeds with a right hand, Barcelos nearly kicks Valiev’s leg out from beneath him with a kick that he turns his hips into. Valiev plants a one-two on the chin, and Barcelos’ face is showing some damage but his resolve is not shaken. Valiev puts several punches together, and he ends a combination with an elbow as Barcelos marches him down. Barcelos’ head movement keeps him out of harm’s way, but he reaches out with a right hand and gets snared into a double leg takedown attempt. The Brazilian hops his way to the fence and yanks his leg free, and Valiev circles on the outside before trying again. Barcelos stops it with ease, but he absorbs a right hand. Valiev keeps volume going, with punches, kicks, spinning back fists and whatever he can come up with at the time. Both men land power punches at the same time, and Valiev gets the worst of the exchange but it does not hurt him. The Russian backs off with a leg kick, and Barcelos replies in kind. As Barcelos lands a strike, Valiev is able to get off two or three in the same span, even if they may not be as individually damaging. Barcelos stings him with a right hand, and a left gets Valiev’s attention. Valiev is not concerned, throwing back with quick punches to keep his man at bay. Both leap at one another at the same time, and when they land, that is the last bit of offense until the final horn concludes the match.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Valiev (29-28 Valiev)
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Valiev (29-28 Valiev)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Valiev (29-28 Valiev)
The Official Result
Timur Valiev def. Raoni Barcelos via Majority Decision (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Timur Valiev, calling him the best underdog on the card. He believes the line is too wide and that Valiev is very good. He has a moneyline bet and a prop bet on Valiev. He notes that Valiev will definitely win a round, so the +3.5 bet is a good play.
Big Brady picks Raoni Barcelos to win by decision, calling him the real deal with no holes in his game except maybe cardio. He notes Barcelos's excellent striking defense (67%), positive strike differential, and strong wrestling/ground game. He thinks Barcelos will mix in takedowns and control the fight, while Valiev is a good striker but has been taken down before. He expects a high-level fight but Barcelos to win the first two rounds and get a decision.
Cody is a big fan of Barcelos, calling him a 'created character' with elite striking, wrestling, BJJ, cardio, and chin. He criticizes the UFC for not giving Barcelos ranked opponents. He acknowledges Valiev's early pressure and unorthodox strikes but believes Barcelos's durability, cardio, and ring IQ will allow him to take over after the first round. He suggests live betting after the first round if Valiev looks competitive.
Jacob picks Timur Valiev, stating he was going to pick the underdog regardless because he thinks it's an even matchup. He notes Barcelos' grappling ability but believes Valiev's striking is good enough to win. Jacob has Valiev in his lineup.
Barcelos is a notch ahead in striking, especially with his Muay Thai. He throws great combinations ending with leg kicks, while Valiev is more explosive in bursts. Barcelos' volume and impactful shots will outwork Valiev's wild spinning attacks. Both have good grappling, so the fight stays standing, and Barcelos' style is more efficient. The line is too wide but Barcelos still wins.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Barcelos. He notes Barcelos's well-rounded skills and that Valiev fades after the first round. He thinks Barcelos's durability and pace will be too much for Valiev, who has lost as a big favorite before. Paul also mentions that Barcelos has been matched tough but always finds a way.
The MMA Guru picks Raoni Barcelos by close unanimous decision (29-28), citing his experience and leg kicks reminiscent of Jose Aldo. He notes Valiev's hesitancy after his no-contest with Trevin Jones and believes Barcelos will grind out a win by landing more damaging blows. He expects a razor-close scrap but favors Barcelos' proven track record.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 55 of 76 | 72% | 115 of 149 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 11:19 |
| Martin Day | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 28 of 37 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Martin Day | 0 | 3 of 16 | 18% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 25 | 84% | 57 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Martin Day | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 18 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 30 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Martin Day | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timur Valiev | 55 of 76 | 72% | 37 of 53 | 4 of 7 | 14 of 16 | 20 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 43 |
| Martin Day | 8 of 28 | 28% | 7 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timur Valiev | 12 of 18 | 66% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Martin Day | 3 of 16 | 18% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Timur Valiev | 21 of 25 | 84% | 18 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 18 |
| Martin Day | 4 of 6 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Timur Valiev | 22 of 33 | 66% | 16 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 22 |
| Martin Day | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev, citing his higher output, better fight IQ, and advantages everywhere on the feet and on the mat. He notes that Valiev was winning his last fight before getting caught, and that Martin Day is 0-3 in the UFC with questionable fight IQ. He expects Valiev to win a dominant decision, but warns that the odds may be too high to bet.
Daniel Levi picks Timur Valiev confidently, citing his dynamic and well-rounded game. He notes Valiev's loss to Trevin Jones was due to gassing out while trying to finish, and expects a more measured approach. He believes Valiev's striking and takedown ability will overwhelm Martin Day.
Valiev is a well-rounded fighter with good kicks and solid wrestling. Day has lost three straight and makes poor decisions, like leaving his neck exposed in submissions. Valiev's striking and grappling should be too much. However, the line is expected to be very high (around -400), so there is no betting value. I expect Valiev to win by decision.
The MMA Guru is very confident in Timur Valiev, calling this a 'lamb for slaughter'. He notes Valiev's high-level competition and only two losses, one a split decision to Chris Gutierrez which he avenged. He believes Martin Day is on a losing streak and took this fight on short notice, predicting a first-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Jones | 1 | 66 of 93 | 70% | 66 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Timur Valiev | 1 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 31 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Jones | 1 | 53 of 74 | 71% | 53 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 12 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 2 | Trevin Jones | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Timur Valiev | 1 | 18 of 26 | 69% | 19 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Jones | 66 of 93 | 70% | 28 of 50 | 25 of 29 | 13 of 14 | 60 of 86 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 26 of 50 | 52% | 21 of 44 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Jones | 53 of 74 | 71% | 26 of 43 | 21 of 25 | 6 of 6 | 47 of 67 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 8 of 24 | 33% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Trevin Jones | 13 of 19 | 68% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 18 of 26 | 69% | 16 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 17 |
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev to win by decision. He acknowledges that Trevin Jones has good wrestling and might get a takedown or two, but Valiev is better everywhere—on the feet and on the mat. Jones made mistakes on the mat against lower-level guys, getting reversed and swept, which Valiev will capitalize on. Brady finds it hard to see a path to victory for Jones.
Daniel Levi picks Timur Valiev to win by unanimous decision. He notes Valiev is well-rounded, fast, and has a Russian coast style that is hard to prepare for on short notice. Levi points out that Trevin Jones is taking the fight on short notice after a year layoff, and that Valiev has been in a training rhythm. He expects Jones to be hesitant and frustrated, losing a decision.
Valiev is the more proven fighter with a judge-friendly style, but the line is too wide. Striegl is a promising newcomer with a huge frame and decent skills, but his competition has been weak. Valiev should win by decision, but there are too many question marks to bet him confidently. Avoid parlaying Valiev.
The MMA Guru picks Timur Valiev, citing his superior competition history, including fights in PFL and WSOF, and a longer camp due to originally being scheduled against Jamal Emmers. He notes Valiev's strength advantage at bantamweight and considers him a top prospect. He dismisses Mark Streagle's competition level as inferior.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Jack Shore with a slight edge, citing the home crowd advantage and the fact that Trevin Jones was able to take down Valiev, suggesting Shore can too. He notes that both fighters are grapplers who struggled in their last fights, but he trusts Shore's wrestling and thinks the London crowd will give him extra juice.
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev to win a close decision, acknowledging it's an unpopular pick. He favors Valiev on the feet due to his volume and mixing of tools, and believes Valiev's scrambling ability will allow him to get back up if taken down. Brady notes Jack Shore's best win was a split decision against Hunter Azure and that Shore has not faced a step-up in competition like Valiev. He also mentions Valiev's chin is a concern but doesn't think it will be an issue here.
Cody leans Valiev, citing his speed and striking advantage. He thinks Shore's wrestling might be neutralized and that Valiev's chin is a concern but he has good recovery. He is surprised by line movement and may wait for weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, citing his undefeated record, strong grappling stats (5 takedowns per 15 minutes, 100% takedown defense), and the hometown advantage in the UK. He believes Valiev's best chance is a close decision, but judges will favor Shore in a close fight. Levi also notes that Valiev has been knocked down before and that Shore's submission threat is real. He expects a submission or dominant decision.
Jack Shore is a 15-0 prospect with excellent wrestling and top control, able to drag fights to the ground and dominate. Valiev is more of a flashy striker but can grapple if needed, though he lacks crazy knockout power. Shore's takedowns should be effective, and he can grind out a decision. The line movement from +150 to +100 reflects public support, and I understand why. I like Shore to grind out Valiev over 15 minutes.
Paul picks Shore, emphasizing his undefeated streak, excellent wrestling, and pace. He thinks Valiev has cardio and chin issues, and that Shore's volume and pressure will win rounds. He believes the British judges will favor Shore in a close fight.
The Guru picks Jack Shore as an underdog, citing his grappling pressure and reach advantage. He believes Timur Valiev slows down in fights, as seen against Trevin Jones and Chris Gutierrez. He predicts Shore will grind on Valiev against the cage, take his back, and secure a rear-naked choke in round three. He notes Shore's youth and undefeated record.
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