UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 18, 2020 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie Next Fight
Age 42
Height 6' 3"
Reach 78.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 5' 11"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Maxim Grishin
3.26 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
2.27 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
0.21 TD Avg
16.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Gadzhimurad Antigulov
2.08 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
4.21 SApM
40.0% Str. Def.
5.08 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
1.4 Sub. Avg
Maxim Grishin - Fight History
LOSS vs Philipe Lins
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philipe Lins 0 45 of 106 42% 50 of 113 1 of 3 33% 0 0 8:24
Maxim Grishin 0 41 of 80 51% 103 of 145 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philipe Lins 0 17 of 42 40% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:02
Maxim Grishin 0 16 of 29 55% 27 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
2 Philipe Lins 0 12 of 33 36% 12 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:40
Maxim Grishin 0 14 of 30 46% 36 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Philipe Lins 0 16 of 31 51% 17 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:42
Maxim Grishin 0 11 of 21 52% 40 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philipe Lins 45 of 106 42% 22 of 74 17 of 21 6 of 11 36 of 92 9 of 14 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 41 of 80 51% 20 of 53 6 of 11 15 of 16 29 of 65 12 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philipe Lins 17 of 42 40% 7 of 27 8 of 10 2 of 5 14 of 38 3 of 4 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 16 of 29 55% 8 of 19 2 of 3 6 of 7 13 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Philipe Lins 12 of 33 36% 5 of 24 5 of 6 2 of 3 9 of 29 3 of 4 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 14 of 30 46% 4 of 16 3 of 7 7 of 7 9 of 24 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Philipe Lins 16 of 31 51% 10 of 23 4 of 5 2 of 3 13 of 25 3 of 6 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 11 of 21 52% 8 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 15 4 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Angelo picks Maxim Grishin to win, citing Grishin's calculated striking and ability to rush in when he sees an opening. He notes that Lins is hittable and looked slow in his last knockout win, despite having power and a BJJ black belt. Angelo is concerned about Grishin's takedown defense (taken down 7 times in 4 fights) but still favors Grishin's striking. He is not betting this fight.

"I do think Maxim Christian's gonna win this fight I said that two weeks ago I still feel that way"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Cody picks Grishin, agreeing with Paul. He notes Grishin's volume and cardio should win a boring decision. Cody mentions Grishin's chin has held up and that Lins hasn't shown anything to worry him. He also notes Grishin's withdrawals against Jailton Almeida were good management. Cody expects a low-output fight where Grishin outpoints Lins.

"Christian's chin holds up and I think he just wins this fight on volume in a kind of boring uh three rounds light heavyweight fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Philipe Lins

Connor picks Lins, favoring his dynamic power and ability to end fights suddenly. He notes that Grishin, while difficult to finish, is low-output and often gets outworked. Connor believes Lins' swarming style and improved confidence at light heavyweight could overwhelm Grishin, especially if he lands early. He acknowledges the risk but prefers the chaotic power puncher over the safe neutralizer.

"I'm gonna pick lien's i'm glad I got i'm glad you picked grishan"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Daniel leans Grishin, citing his experience and ability to stifle opponents. He notes that Lins has chin issues and has gassed in fights, while Grishin is a solid, tough guy to look good against. He doesn't rule out a finish from Grishin but sees a decision as likely. He calls it a pass from a betting perspective.

"I lean towards Grisham but not enough to plant my flag or or bet anything in this spot"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Philipe Lins

Jacob picks Philipe Lins, believing Lins' volume and activity will win a decision. He thinks Lins has looked good at 205 and trusts his pressure, while Grishin fights like a slow, methodical heavyweight. Jacob acknowledges Lins is hittable and could get knocked out, but in a decision he favors Lins. He notes Lins' takedowns aren't great and Grishin can wrestle, but still picks Lins as a slight dog.

"I'm picking Felipe lens because I believe he has the volume in the activity to win this fight I think it's going to be decision fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Grishin is the better overall fighter and better suited for 205 pounds. He can survive Lins' early attacks, then use clinch, grappling, and volume to win by decision. The line dropped from -180 to -130, which is an overcorrection that provides value.

"I'm going to take advantage of that marketing correction here or that over correction I should say uh and take the maximum minus 130."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Paul picks Grishin, citing his better volume and cardio. He notes Lins is untrustworthy and has low output. Paul expects a 15-minute sparring match where Grishin lands the better shots. He acknowledges Grishin's 16-month layoff and age (39) but thinks his chin and submission defense hold up. Paul is not heavily invested but picks Grishin.

"Maxim Christian I would much rather bet maximum Christian in fact that is going to be the official pick here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin over Philipe Lins, citing Grishin's higher level of experience and tougher opponents. He notes that Grishin has fought the best in the division, including Dustin Jacoby (which he arguably should have won), and has a reach advantage. He also mentions Lins' history of failed weight cuts and canceled fights, and questions the quality of Lins' wins over OSP and Prachnio. The Guru believes Grishin's experience at a high level will be the deciding factor.

"I am going to be going with Maxim Grisham here I think he has a lot more experience at a high level"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Maxim Grishin

Zane picks Grishin reluctantly, citing his neutralizing style and ability to avoid being overwhelmed. He notes that Lins is a wild brawler with no structure, and Grishin's low-output, subtractive approach should allow him to tie Lins up and control the fight. Zane acknowledges Grishin is boring and unimpressive, but believes his technical skills and experience will stifle Lins' chaos.

"I'll take gration. I guess because i'm a boring guy"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Feb 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maxim Grishin 0 21 of 68 30% 32 of 79 3 of 9 33% 0 0 2:37
William Knight 0 69 of 89 77% 88 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maxim Grishin 0 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
William Knight 0 27 of 33 81% 27 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Maxim Grishin 0 5 of 26 19% 7 of 28 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:44
William Knight 0 25 of 32 78% 31 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:09
3 Maxim Grishin 0 8 of 23 34% 17 of 32 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:53
William Knight 0 17 of 24 70% 30 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maxim Grishin 21 of 68 30% 9 of 39 5 of 13 7 of 16 16 of 63 5 of 5 0 of 0
William Knight 69 of 89 77% 16 of 32 21 of 24 32 of 33 62 of 81 3 of 4 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maxim Grishin 8 of 19 42% 0 of 4 4 of 7 4 of 8 8 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 27 of 33 81% 1 of 6 6 of 6 20 of 21 27 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Maxim Grishin 5 of 26 19% 3 of 15 0 of 5 2 of 6 5 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 25 of 32 78% 7 of 12 10 of 12 8 of 8 22 of 29 1 of 1 2 of 2
3 Maxim Grishin 8 of 23 34% 6 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 18 5 of 5 0 of 0
William Knight 17 of 24 70% 8 of 14 5 of 6 4 of 4 13 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Angelo picks Grishin because Knight is on short notice and may lack the cardio to push his usual pace. He thinks Knight will come out explosive in the first round, then fade, allowing Grishin to take over. He notes that a full-camp Knight would be his pick, but under these circumstances, Grishin is the choice. He suggests live betting to monitor Knight's cardio.

live betting
"the pick under these circumstances is maxim grisham"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Big Brady is impressed with Grishin's well-rounded game, noting his striking and takedown defense are solid. He criticizes Knight's 36% striking defense and 45% takedown defense, and notes Knight is coming in on short notice. Brady believes Grishin can expose these weaknesses, either by taking Knight down or knocking him out. He picks Grishin to win by second or third round knockout, but acknowledges Knight has power and could win.

Grishin by second or third round knockout
"i think grisham gets it done here... by like a second or third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Cody picks Grishin but is not fully confident. He notes Grishin is inconsistent but looked good against Jacoby. He thinks Knight could land a big shot but Grishin should win on volume and technique.

"the pick will be grisham low lower down lower down"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
William Knight

Daniel Levi leans toward William Knight as an underdog, noting Knight's explosive power and ability to change fights with one shot. He acknowledges that Maxim Grishin is more technical and experienced, but Knight's intangibles make him dangerous. Levi is not fully confident and calls it a dog or pass situation.

"i'm going to lean that knight finds one of those moments and takes advantage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Grishin is a big light heavyweight who should be able to control Knight against the cage and outpoint him. Knight's only path to victory is a knockout, but Grishin is disciplined and can stay on the outside. Grishin's cardio is a concern, but he should win a decision if he fights smart. The line is a buy-low spot.

Grishin by decision
"i like the russian in this spot uh maybe uh you know a buy low spot for him as well around that -165 line considering that he in my opinion should be a slightly bigger favorite in the spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Paul picks Grishin, citing his size and reach advantage. He notes Knight is short for the division and relies on a check left hook. He thinks Grishin can pick Knight apart at range and avoid the big shot.

"i think maxine grisham wins this fight on volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
William Knight

The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO, citing his athleticism and power. He accuses Knight of being on steroids and believes Grishin cannot avoid the knockout.

first round ko
"i'm gonna go of william knight he's on roids"
LOSS vs Dustin Jacoby
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 0 57 of 137 41% 60 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Maxim Grishin 2 66 of 156 42% 80 of 172 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 0 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Maxim Grishin 2 21 of 39 53% 32 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:08
2 Dustin Jacoby 0 18 of 48 37% 18 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maxim Grishin 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Dustin Jacoby 0 26 of 57 45% 29 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Maxim Grishin 0 27 of 75 36% 30 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 57 of 137 41% 25 of 88 7 of 15 25 of 34 55 of 133 2 of 4 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 66 of 156 42% 31 of 110 8 of 16 27 of 30 59 of 144 2 of 5 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 13 of 32 40% 4 of 15 3 of 8 6 of 9 11 of 28 2 of 4 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 21 of 39 53% 12 of 26 2 of 6 7 of 7 14 of 27 2 of 5 5 of 7
2 Dustin Jacoby 18 of 48 37% 6 of 33 2 of 4 10 of 11 18 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 18 of 42 42% 7 of 28 4 of 6 7 of 8 18 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dustin Jacoby 26 of 57 45% 15 of 40 2 of 3 9 of 14 26 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 27 of 75 36% 12 of 56 2 of 4 13 of 15 27 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by second-round knockout. He thinks Jacoby is the much faster and crisper striker with higher volume, and that leg kicks will be a big factor in the small cage. He notes Grishin is older, has low volume, and lacks wrestling despite having a potential advantage there. He says the line at -175 is not awful but he is personally passing on betting it.

knockout in round 2
"i'm going to take jacoby here to win i'm going to say by by second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, noting the difference in striking level. He believes Jacoby's kickboxing background and leg kicks will be decisive, as Grishin prefers stand-up but has been knocked out before. Levi acknowledges Grishin's experience but thinks Jacoby's power and technique will secure the win.

"I'm gonna actually go with dustin jacoby here... i think the difference in level here on the feet is big enough to where i'll go with the favorite dustin jacoby to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby's striking, especially his calf kicks, will be a major problem for Grishin, who tends to back up and accept pressure. Jacoby has shown improved confidence and efficiency. Grishin is slow and doesn't excel in any one area. Jacoby should win via TKO in the second round, as Grishin's durability is questionable.

Jacoby inside the distance at +175
"i like jacoby uh personally i'd like better odds on on him too as well i'll probably stay away from this fight but i'd maybe peak the jacobi inside the distance line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin as an upset winner, citing Grishin's grappling advantage and ability to mix in takedowns against the kickboxer Jacoby. He notes Jacoby's time away for kickboxing may have hindered his wrestling development, and expects Grishin to wear him down with clinch work and grappling in the second and third rounds. He acknowledges Jacoby could win the first round but believes Grishin's cardio and pressure will take over. He also mentions Grishin's only recent loss was on short notice at heavyweight to Marcin Tybura, and that he has been successful in PFL.

"i believe we're gonna start this card off with an upset win with grisham getting the job done against dustin jacoby"
TKO (punches) R2 4:58 · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maxim Grishin 0 12 of 23 52% 31 of 44 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:39
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 34 of 76 44% 66 of 126 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maxim Grishin 0 6 of 10 60% 18 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:13
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 11 of 18 61% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Maxim Grishin 0 6 of 13 46% 13 of 22 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:26
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 23 of 58 39% 49 of 102 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maxim Grishin 12 of 23 52% 5 of 15 4 of 5 3 of 3 8 of 17 3 of 5 1 of 1
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 34 of 76 44% 20 of 61 6 of 7 8 of 8 22 of 45 3 of 6 9 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maxim Grishin 6 of 10 60% 2 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 11 of 18 61% 1 of 7 3 of 4 7 of 7 9 of 15 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Maxim Grishin 6 of 13 46% 3 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 8 2 of 4 1 of 1
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 23 of 58 39% 19 of 54 3 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 30 1 of 3 9 of 25
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Big Brady picks Grishin due to his size advantage (height and reach), experience, solid takedown defense, and get-up game. He notes Antigulov is dangerous early but has a very small window to win, and if he doesn't finish in the first couple minutes, he gasses out and likely gets knocked out. He predicts a late first-round knockout for Grishin.

under 1.5 rounds at -125
"grisham is the pick i'm going to pick him to win by like a first round late first round knockout there should be a very exciting fight for as long as it lasts though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin because he sees Antigulov as a disappointing fighter who fails often, while Grishin is blooming later in his career with good PFL competition. He notes Grishin's size, reach, and athletic advantages, and expects a grinding unanimous decision win.

"i feel like maxine grisham is going to get the job done i see him getting it done by unanimous decision grinding himself out the win"
LOSS vs Marcin Tybura
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Jul 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marcin Tybura 0 24 of 52 46% 70 of 119 3 of 7 42% 0 0 9:25
Maxim Grishin 0 18 of 32 56% 54 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marcin Tybura 0 9 of 20 45% 27 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:45
Maxim Grishin 0 9 of 13 69% 21 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 Marcin Tybura 0 7 of 15 46% 19 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:42
Maxim Grishin 0 5 of 9 55% 24 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Marcin Tybura 0 8 of 17 47% 24 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:58
Maxim Grishin 0 4 of 10 40% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marcin Tybura 24 of 52 46% 15 of 36 5 of 9 4 of 7 14 of 37 6 of 11 4 of 4
Maxim Grishin 18 of 32 56% 9 of 20 4 of 5 5 of 7 14 of 27 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marcin Tybura 9 of 20 45% 6 of 13 0 of 2 3 of 5 5 of 15 4 of 5 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 9 of 13 69% 3 of 5 3 of 3 3 of 5 8 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Marcin Tybura 7 of 15 46% 3 of 10 4 of 4 0 of 1 5 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Marcin Tybura 8 of 17 47% 6 of 13 1 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 3 4 of 4
Maxim Grishin 4 of 10 40% 3 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Big Brady picks Marcin Tybura by decision, citing Grishin's size disadvantage moving up from light heavyweight. He thinks Tybura's wrestling and BJJ will be key, and he can get takedowns and control Grishin. He notes the line flipped from Grishin being favorite, which he agrees with.

submission prop at good odds mentioned
"i like tybura here i'm probably gonna be in the minority here but i like tybura ... give me tybura uh decision um and would not be surprised if we did see a submission as well so i will be …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Daniel Levi leans toward Maxim Grishin, calling this one of the toughest fights to call on the card. He notes Grishin's experience (39 pro fights) and win over Alexander Volkov, while questioning Tybura's suspect chin and gas tank. He sees Grishin as well-rounded enough to potentially upset Tybura, but is not highly confident.

"I'm gonna lean when Maxine Girish and I feel like he's well-rounded enough to come in here and upset ty Bora"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Grishin has more experience, better technique, and is an overall better fighter. He has punching power and should be able to hurt Tybura on the feet. Both are similar in size, so Tybura won't have a size advantage. Picks Grishin to win by decision, but wouldn't be surprised by a finish.

"Grishin has punching power so he could definitely hurt Tiber on the feet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)

The Guru does not discuss this fight in the transcript. No pick is made.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov - Fight History
LOSS vs Maxim Grishin
TKO (punches) R2 4:58 · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maxim Grishin 0 12 of 23 52% 31 of 44 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:39
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 34 of 76 44% 66 of 126 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maxim Grishin 0 6 of 10 60% 18 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:13
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 11 of 18 61% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Maxim Grishin 0 6 of 13 46% 13 of 22 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:26
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 23 of 58 39% 49 of 102 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maxim Grishin 12 of 23 52% 5 of 15 4 of 5 3 of 3 8 of 17 3 of 5 1 of 1
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 34 of 76 44% 20 of 61 6 of 7 8 of 8 22 of 45 3 of 6 9 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maxim Grishin 6 of 10 60% 2 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 11 of 18 61% 1 of 7 3 of 4 7 of 7 9 of 15 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Maxim Grishin 6 of 13 46% 3 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 8 2 of 4 1 of 1
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 23 of 58 39% 19 of 54 3 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 30 1 of 3 9 of 25
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Big Brady picks Grishin due to his size advantage (height and reach), experience, solid takedown defense, and get-up game. He notes Antigulov is dangerous early but has a very small window to win, and if he doesn't finish in the first couple minutes, he gasses out and likely gets knocked out. He predicts a late first-round knockout for Grishin.

under 1.5 rounds at -125
"grisham is the pick i'm going to pick him to win by like a first round late first round knockout there should be a very exciting fight for as long as it lasts though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin because he sees Antigulov as a disappointing fighter who fails often, while Grishin is blooming later in his career with good PFL competition. He notes Grishin's size, reach, and athletic advantages, and expects a grinding unanimous decision win.

"i feel like maxine grisham is going to get the job done i see him getting it done by unanimous decision grinding himself out the win"
LOSS vs Paul Craig
Submission (triangle choke) R1 2:06 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till · Jul 26, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Craig 0 2 of 5 40% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 11 of 16 68% 16 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Craig 0 2 of 5 40% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 11 of 16 68% 16 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Craig 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 11 of 16 68% 9 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Craig 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 11 of 16 68% 9 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 14
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 22, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Paul Craig

Big Brady picks Paul Craig because he has better cardio and can survive Antigulov's early storm. He notes Antigulov gasses quickly and hasn't been out of the first round since 2014. He expects a finish inside the distance and predicts Craig by submission. He says the fight is ugly and not worth betting either side.

Fight doesn't go to decision (minus 400); under 1.5 rounds (minus 120); Craig by submission
"I'm picking paul craig I guess I think he has the better cardio he has the cardio to at least go you know past the first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Paul Craig

Daniel leans Paul Craig because Antigulov fades after the first round and Craig is a comeback finisher. He notes Craig's improving stand-up but poor takedown defense. He thinks if it goes past the first round, Antigulov's gas tank issues favor Craig. However, he admits laying chalk on Craig is sketchy.

"i'm gonna lean with paul craig it's just that laying chalk on a guy like paul craig sounds like a sketchy uh situation to me but i'm gonna still lean him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Paul Craig

Antigulov has terrible cardio and will likely gas quickly if he doesn't get an early finish. Craig is durable and dangerous off his back with submissions. The fight is expected to end inside 1.5 rounds due to Antigulov's aggressive but low-gas style. Craig can capitalize on Antigulov's fatigue and secure a submission.

Under 1.5 rounds (-130)
"i do know it's going to happen under one and a half rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Paul Craig

The MMA Guru picks Paul Craig, citing his youth, size, and grappling skills. He notes Antigulov is coming off two TKO losses and a long layoff, and is not a big light heavyweight. He predicts Craig will rock Antigulov and then submit him, finishing in the first or second round.

submission in first or second round
"Paul Craig gets it done over Antigulov. I think he gets it done by rocking him and then putting him in a submission."
KO (punches) R1 0:44 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 3 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 3 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 6 of 13 46% 5 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 6 of 13 46% 5 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 4
LOSS vs Ion Cuțelaba
TKO (punches and elbows) R1 4:25 · UFC on Fox: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ion Cuțelaba 0 12 of 18 66% 16 of 22 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:20
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 40 of 46 86% 40 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ion Cuțelaba 0 12 of 18 66% 16 of 22 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:20
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 40 of 46 86% 40 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ion Cuțelaba 12 of 18 66% 8 of 14 3 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 2 9 of 10 3 of 6
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 40 of 46 86% 27 of 31 13 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 4 38 of 42 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ion Cuțelaba 12 of 18 66% 8 of 14 3 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 2 9 of 10 3 of 6
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 40 of 46 86% 27 of 31 13 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 4 38 of 42 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs. Ion Cutelaba

Round 1
Referee Marc Goddard has to start work early as the light heavyweights try to go face-to-face in the center of the cage during their introductions. Once the fight really begins, it's only a matter of seconds before Antigulov changes levels and plants Cutelaba on his back in the center of the cage. The Moldovan scoots backward to the fence, where he's able to climb back to his feet, but Antigulov stays glued to him and secures another takedown moments later. Cutelaba avoids any major damage on the ground and, after about a minute, gets back on his feet again. Antigulov doesn't give him much breathing room, first trapping him on the fence and then clinching to deliver a pair of uppercuts. Cutelaba swings a left hand in return, but he's quickly put on the defensive as Antigulov goes for his legs again. Cutelaba lands a hard knee to the midsection of Antigulov, who's having major trouble on his latest takedown attempt. After eating another pair of knees, Antigulov spins Cutelaba to the ground with a single-leg. Cutelaba jumps back up, keeps his balance to thwart another single, then
begins teeing off with uppercuts and knees. Suddenly, Antigulov is in deep trouble, wobbling around the edge of the fence as Cutelaba unloads with a variety of strikes.
Referee Goddard is taking a close look as Antigulov eats uppercuts, knees and elbows. With Antigulov barely defending himself and Cutelaba showing no signs of stoppage, referee Goddard mercifully calls a halt to the bout.

The Official Result
Ion Cutelaba def. Gadzhimurad Antigulov via TKO (Punches and Elbows) R1 4:25
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:21 · UFC 211: Miocic vs. dos Santos 2 · May 13, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joachim Christensen 0 2 of 4 50% 7 of 12 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joachim Christensen 0 2 of 4 50% 7 of 12 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joachim Christensen 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gadzhimurad Antigulov 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joachim Christensen 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 1:07 · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira 2 · Nov 19, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 2 of 6 33% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:21
Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gadzhimurad Antigulov 0 2 of 6 33% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:21
Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0
Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gadzhimurad Antigulov 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0
Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (2)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Big Brady picks Grishin due to his size advantage (height and reach), experience, solid takedown defense, and get-up game. He notes Antigulov is dangerous early but has a very small window to win, and if he doesn't finish in the first couple minutes, he gasses out and likely gets knocked out. He predicts a late first-round knockout for Grishin.

under 1.5 rounds at -125
"grisham is the pick i'm going to pick him to win by like a first round late first round knockout there should be a very exciting fight for as long as it lasts though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin because he sees Antigulov as a disappointing fighter who fails often, while Grishin is blooming later in his career with good PFL competition. He notes Grishin's size, reach, and athletic advantages, and expects a grinding unanimous decision win.

"i feel like maxine grisham is going to get the job done i see him getting it done by unanimous decision grinding himself out the win"