Career Averages - Carlos Condit
Career Averages - Court McGee
Carlos Condit - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Griffin | 0 | 63 of 176 | 35% | 66 of 179 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Condit | 1 | 93 of 171 | 54% | 95 of 173 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Griffin | 0 | 13 of 42 | 30% | 13 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Condit | 1 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 34 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Max Griffin | 0 | 28 of 68 | 41% | 28 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 29 of 48 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Max Griffin | 0 | 22 of 66 | 33% | 25 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 30 of 62 | 48% | 31 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Griffin | 63 of 176 | 35% | 35 of 134 | 17 of 30 | 11 of 12 | 61 of 173 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 93 of 171 | 54% | 59 of 129 | 6 of 11 | 28 of 31 | 81 of 153 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Griffin | 13 of 42 | 30% | 3 of 27 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 34 of 61 | 55% | 18 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 19 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 16 | |
| 2 | Max Griffin | 28 of 68 | 41% | 17 of 51 | 7 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 28 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 29 of 48 | 60% | 18 of 34 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 28 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Max Griffin | 22 of 66 | 33% | 15 of 56 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 30 of 62 | 48% | 23 of 54 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The prelims will be capped off by a welterweight battle that sees “The Natural Born Killer” Condit (32-13, 9-9 UFC) try to go on a three-fight win streak against the heavy-handed Griffin (17-8, 5-6 UFC). Depending on the result, either Condit will fall below .500 in the UFC or Griffin will rise to that level, barring an unusual turn of events. Referee Marc Goddard will keep a watchful eye on the violence that is about to be bestowed in the cage, and the fighters do not touch gloves before inflicting said violence. Griffin charges out of his corner to attack, with a low kick and several high kicks to sends the former WEC champ backing away. Condit greets him with a few punches to back him off, and he puts together a combination and a head kick that gets slapped away. Griffin chops down Condit’s lead leg multiple times, and Condit’s calf is already reddening from them. Condit fires off a body kick, and he cannot get out of the way from another leg kick. Griffin walks through a punch to land a heavier one, and his leg kick that follows spins Condit around. “The Natural Born Killer” does not block the kicks or check them, and he tries to go after Griffin with his own but Griffin is right there with another. Condit turns about with another few kicks, and the damage is mounting fast as Condit appears to be struggling with it. Condit chips at the calf and then the body, but he absorbs one more low kick. Condit is forced to switch stances, and Griffin greets the change of position with one on the other leg. Condit marches forward to attack, only to get his lead leg chopped down beneath him. Condit ducks down into a right hand, and Griffin slips it and comes back with an overhand right. Condit just comes up short with a counter right hand when Griffin advances, and he does kick the body successful on the way out. Griffin’s leg kick makes Condit pick it up and try to move with it, and the ex-champ strides in and kicks the body. Condit’s calves are swelling up fast, and he tries to connect with a spinning kick but gets pushed back. Griffin blasts him with a right hand, sending Condit crashing into the wall and down to the ground. Griffin looks for a finish, delivering some heavy ground-and-pound, but Condit threatens with an offensive guard and survives to fight his way back to his feet. Condit jumps at his foe with a flying knee, and Griffin sits down on a leg kick and takes a right hand on the chin. Condit marches forward to brawl, and Griffin is there to greet him until he ducks out of the way to avoid most of the danger before the bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Round 2
The second round begins with both fighters meeting in the center of the Octagon, but neither commit to any strikes until Condit launches a head kick. Griffin blocks it and targets Condit’s lead leg with impunity, and the former champ can do nothing but take it. Condit takes a traditional martial arts stance as he looks to wind up a side kick, and he steps in to clinch and drill Griffin in the chin with a knee. Condit catches Griffin on the end of a right hand to send “Pain” staggering back, but it is likely out of balance and not damage. Griffin gains his composure and fires off a right hand, and he beats Condit to the punch with a follow-up jab. Condit ducks down into a leg kick, and he gets off a body kick but is countered on the way out. Condit checks a leg kick for the first time, and he whiffs on a body kick but sprints forward with a trip and throw takedown. Griffin manages to get back to his feet, only to meet a right hand from Condit. Condit sits down on a right hand as well, and a left to the body follows. Griffin keeps his right hand up high to counter Condit, and he takes a kick to the body while watching Condit’s movement. Condit’s pace appears to be growing while Griffin’s is decreasing, and Condit advances with a spinning kick that bounces off his intended target. Griffin scores a leg kick, and Condit ducks down to trip his foe but cannot achieve it. Condit unloads with several punches to the head and body, and he marks up Griffin with a clean right hand. Condit reaches forward with an elbow, a right hand, and a cartwheel kick that comes up short. Condit ignores a low kick to crack Griffin on the chin, and “The Natural Born Killer” ignores a leg kick so that he can continue to strike. Griffin times Condit when Condit darts forward with a right hand, and Condit leads the dance and boots “Pain” in the side with a kick. Griffin pushes Condit away and the two jab at the same time, and Condit slips and delivers a right hand. Condit dips in with a left hand and a head kick, and the round ends when Griffin kicks him back.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Condit
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Condit
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Condit
Round 3
Between rounds, we can see the damage on Condit’s nose, but he pays it no mind and is ready for the final frame. Condit offers a glove touch, and Griffin pushes his hand away and tries to get off an overhand right. Condit ducks down and clocks Griffin in the chin with a head kick, but the Californian eats it like a steak. Griffin blitzes forward to attack, and he clubs Condit with a few punches to make “The Natural Born Killer” fall into the cage wall. Condit catches a body kick, and he pushes Griffin over to force Griffin to roll through and get back up. As Griffin tries to stand up, Condit batters him with strikes, until Griffin gathers his thoughts and starts to land hard hooks. Griffin scores single punches square on the chin, and Condit walks through them and throws right back at him. Condit slips one such punch to land a left hand, and Griffin stands tall and scores again. A three-punch combination stands Condit up, but Condit is not concerned and instead is fired up as he strings together a length combination to back Griffin up. At the end of a salvo, Condit tags Griffin with a right hand, and Griffin looks for a right hand counter but comes up short. Condit jabs out and flusters Griffin for a moment, before stepping in with an elbow. Condit advances with long, stinging jabs, and he walks face-first into a right hand that he completely ignores. Condit digs a left hand to the body and draws a pained reaction out of “Pain,” and he shoots in for a takedown to keep Griffin guessing. The takedown does not succeed, but Condit is able to knee in the body a few times. Griffin smashes Condit in the face with a right hand, and he bullies Condit into the fence and hits a takedown. Griffin takes half guard, but Condit rolls and is able to stand up after briefly threatening with an armbar. Griffin clings on to him for one final takedown try, and Condit attacks with a kimura and a guillotine but neither are there. Condit drops down to attack a leg of his opponent, and he takes Griffin’s back at the bell. This is going to be a close one.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Griffin (29-28 Griffin)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Griffin (29-28 Griffin)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Griffin (29-28 Griffin)
The Official Result
Max Griffin def. Carlos Condit via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Angelo picks Griffin despite rooting for Condit. He notes Condit is slowing down at 37, while Griffin is faster and stronger. He thinks Griffin's speed and power will overcome Condit's technical advantages. He has Griffin in his DraftKings lineup.
Big Brady picks Max Griffin to win by decision. He emphasizes that Griffin should use his wrestling, as Condit has been taken down in every fight where opponents attempted takedowns. He notes Griffin averages nearly two takedowns per 15 minutes with 51% accuracy. He thinks the striking will be close but the takedowns will be the difference. He mentions Condit's recent wins over Court McGee and Matt Brown but notes McGee didn't wrestle, which was a mistake.
Cody picks Griffin but prefers the submission prop at 20-1 on DraftKings. He notes Griffin's wrestling advantage and believes his best path is takedowns and submissions. He thinks Griffin can win by submission despite no UFC subs, citing Condit's vulnerability.
Daniel Levi picks Carlos Condit as a slight lean, acknowledging it's an illogical pick. He admits Condit is past his prime and that Griffin probably should win by decision using top control. However, he respects Condit's veteran savvy and believes he can do something sneaky to pull off an upset. He notes that Condit still has fight in him, as seen in the Oliveira fight where he almost got a submission. He is not confident in the pick.
Jacob picks Condit, citing his recent performances and value at 7500. He notes Condit has never been knocked out and has looked great against Matt Brown. He thinks Condit's experience and takedowns will be key. He compares Condit's potential run to Glover Teixeira's late-career surge.
I like Max Griffin here. Condit's takedown defense is terrible (35% defense), and Griffin has good pressure and takedowns. Condit hasn't submitted anyone in the UFC, and Griffin's cardio is good enough to grind out a decision. I expect Griffin to land takedowns and control the fight, winning by decision. The line might seem wide, but I trust Griffin to exploit Condit's weakness.
Paul picks Griffin by decision at +135. He notes Griffin's wrestling and volume striking, and Condit's durability. He thinks Griffin will use takedowns to secure rounds. He doesn't like the moneyline at -190.
The Guru picks Condit by 29-28 unanimous decision in an upset. He expects Griffin to win the first round by landing big shots on Condit's chin, but Condit's chin will hold up. As the fight goes on, Condit will invest in body shots, leg kicks, and takedowns, mixing in grappling and counter hooks. Griffin will become boxing-heavy and head-hunt, while Condit circles out and lands. The Guru sees Condit taking the second and third rounds with a more varied attack.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 39 of 88 | 44% | 157 of 209 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 4:52 |
| Matt Brown | 0 | 28 of 37 | 75% | 37 of 52 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 6:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 60 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:23 |
| Matt Brown | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 15 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:36 | |
| 2 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 21 of 44 | 47% | 58 of 83 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Matt Brown | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | |
| 3 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 39 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Matt Brown | 0 | 8 of 8 | 100% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Condit | 39 of 88 | 44% | 30 of 73 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 22 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 15 |
| Matt Brown | 28 of 37 | 75% | 13 of 22 | 11 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 8 | 9 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Condit | 6 of 22 | 27% | 3 of 16 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Matt Brown | 9 of 14 | 64% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Carlos Condit | 21 of 44 | 47% | 17 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Matt Brown | 11 of 15 | 73% | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Carlos Condit | 12 of 22 | 54% | 10 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Matt Brown | 8 of 8 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
Big Brady picks Carlos Condit to win inside the distance, specifically by second-round knockout. He notes Condit's 90% finish rate and that he has never been knocked out, while Brown has been knocked out three times and is weak to the body. He believes Brown's durability is not what it once was and that Condit can finish him. He also mentions that Brown has been submitted 10 times, but Condit's path is via knockout.
Daniel Levi picks Matt Brown as a slight underdog, calling it a 50-55 fight. He notes Condit's last win over Court McGee was unimpressive, while Brown has knockout power and a history of finishing fights. He expects Condit to try to point-fight, but Brown's pressure and body shots could be key. He admits low confidence.
Matt Brown's pressure style is a bad matchup for Condit, who struggles when opponents stay in his face and take away his space. Brown will push forward, use dirty boxing, and grind Condit against the cage. Condit's takedown defense is poor and he often relies on his back, but Brown is not a submission threat. Condit's best chance is on the feet with kicks, but Brown's durability and pressure should earn him a decision. The line should be closer to even, so plus money on Brown is value.
The MMA Guru picks Carlos Condit over Matt Brown, citing Condit's superior chin and striking. He notes Brown is losing his chin and coming off a TKO loss, while Condit has never been knocked out. He predicts Condit will win by third-round TKO once Brown gasses. He also mentions Condit's historical robbery against Robbie Lawler.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Condit | 1 | 88 of 230 | 38% | 88 of 230 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 84 of 182 | 46% | 84 of 182 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Condit | 1 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 31 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 30 of 71 | 42% | 30 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 43 of 121 | 35% | 43 of 121 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Condit | 88 of 230 | 38% | 50 of 173 | 17 of 34 | 21 of 23 | 87 of 228 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Court McGee | 84 of 182 | 46% | 9 of 73 | 28 of 51 | 47 of 58 | 84 of 182 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Condit | 15 of 38 | 39% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 31 of 63 | 49% | 3 of 22 | 11 of 17 | 17 of 24 | 31 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Condit | 30 of 71 | 42% | 17 of 54 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 26 of 56 | 46% | 3 of 19 | 6 of 17 | 17 of 20 | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Carlos Condit | 43 of 121 | 35% | 28 of 100 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 10 | 42 of 119 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Court McGee | 27 of 63 | 42% | 3 of 32 | 11 of 17 | 13 of 14 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He notes McGee's clear path to victory via takedowns, as Condit has poor takedown defense. He thinks Condit's only chance is a submission off his back, but McGee has never been submitted.
Daniel leans with Condit, reasoning that McGee's training camp was subpar (mainly drilling with his 13-year-old son) and that Condit has had moments of success against higher-level competition. He acknowledges Condit's five-fight losing streak but thinks this is a winnable fight, predicting a split decision. He notes that McGee's takedowns could be a factor but Condit might capitalize on submissions.
The host leans toward Court McGee due to Condit's poor takedown defense and McGee's durability, but he is not confident enough to bet at -135. He predicts a decision win for McGee but says he would only bet if McGee were plus money.
The Guru picks Carlos Condit, noting his good ground game and submission threats against Michael Chiesa. He believes Condit is naturally bigger and can push the pace, and predicts a submission by armbar in the second round or a decision. He sees nothing in McGee's game to suggest he can beat Condit.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Chiesa | 0 | 5 of 24 | 20% | 20 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:18 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 16 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 4:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Chiesa | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 19 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:18 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 13 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 | |
| 2 | Michael Chiesa | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Chiesa | 5 of 24 | 20% | 2 of 18 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
| Carlos Condit | 10 of 22 | 45% | 8 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Chiesa | 4 of 15 | 26% | 2 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 9 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
| Carlos Condit | 9 of 17 | 52% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | |
| 2 | Michael Chiesa | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Oliveira | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 42 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:52 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 22 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Oliveira | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 28 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:01 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 | |
| 2 | Alex Oliveira | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 13 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Oliveira | 12 of 18 | 66% | 6 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Carlos Condit | 9 of 23 | 39% | 8 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Oliveira | 5 of 6 | 83% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Carlos Condit | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Alex Oliveira | 7 of 12 | 58% | 5 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Carlos Condit | 8 of 17 | 47% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Magny | 0 | 37 of 112 | 33% | 64 of 140 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 32 of 114 | 28% | 64 of 150 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Magny | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 18 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 9 of 35 | 25% | 15 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 | |
| 2 | Neil Magny | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 28 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 6 of 23 | 26% | 27 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 | |
| 3 | Neil Magny | 0 | 17 of 61 | 27% | 18 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 17 of 56 | 30% | 22 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Magny | 37 of 112 | 33% | 10 of 69 | 10 of 21 | 17 of 22 | 32 of 103 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 32 of 114 | 28% | 14 of 83 | 13 of 21 | 5 of 10 | 24 of 102 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Magny | 10 of 31 | 32% | 3 of 20 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 9 of 35 | 25% | 3 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 3 | 6 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Neil Magny | 10 of 20 | 50% | 3 of 11 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 6 of 23 | 26% | 2 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Neil Magny | 17 of 61 | 27% | 4 of 38 | 5 of 11 | 8 of 12 | 17 of 58 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 17 of 56 | 30% | 9 of 42 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demian Maia | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Demian Maia | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demian Maia | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Carlos Condit | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Demian Maia | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Carlos Condit | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Lawler | 1 | 92 of 177 | 51% | 93 of 178 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 176 of 495 | 35% | 177 of 497 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 28 of 75 | 37% | 28 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Robbie Lawler | 1 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 11 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 17 of 71 | 23% | 18 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 22 of 78 | 28% | 22 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 4 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 47 of 98 | 47% | 47 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 53 of 92 | 57% | 53 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Condit | 0 | 62 of 173 | 35% | 62 of 173 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Lawler | 92 of 177 | 51% | 82 of 167 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 76 of 153 | 14 of 20 | 2 of 4 |
| Carlos Condit | 176 of 495 | 35% | 96 of 372 | 47 of 79 | 33 of 44 | 149 of 447 | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Lawler | 12 of 18 | 66% | 9 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 28 of 75 | 37% | 9 of 52 | 9 of 12 | 10 of 11 | 23 of 67 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Robbie Lawler | 10 of 23 | 43% | 8 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Carlos Condit | 17 of 71 | 23% | 6 of 49 | 4 of 11 | 7 of 11 | 16 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Robbie Lawler | 11 of 26 | 42% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 22 of 78 | 28% | 6 of 50 | 9 of 20 | 7 of 8 | 20 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Robbie Lawler | 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 47 of 98 | 47% | 27 of 73 | 14 of 17 | 6 of 8 | 39 of 86 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Robbie Lawler | 53 of 92 | 57% | 50 of 89 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 44 of 78 | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Condit | 62 of 173 | 35% | 48 of 148 | 11 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 51 of 148 | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
Court McGee - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Chiesa | 0 | 72 of 160 | 45% | 81 of 169 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 39 of 145 | 26% | 51 of 158 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Chiesa | 0 | 15 of 45 | 33% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 10 of 41 | 24% | 11 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Michael Chiesa | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 25 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 17 of 58 | 29% | 20 of 62 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Michael Chiesa | 0 | 33 of 58 | 56% | 41 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 12 of 46 | 26% | 20 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Chiesa | 72 of 160 | 45% | 47 of 128 | 25 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 52 of 132 | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 39 of 145 | 26% | 9 of 95 | 16 of 29 | 14 of 21 | 36 of 140 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Chiesa | 15 of 45 | 33% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 10 of 41 | 24% | 2 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Michael Chiesa | 24 of 57 | 42% | 20 of 53 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 53 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 17 of 58 | 29% | 4 of 39 | 4 of 9 | 9 of 10 | 16 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Michael Chiesa | 33 of 58 | 56% | 12 of 34 | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 36 | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 12 of 46 | 26% | 3 of 29 | 6 of 11 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Court McGee because he is all-in on fighting while Chiesa has outside distractions. He notes that McGee looked great in his last fight and is durable. He believes whoever gets the first takedown wins, and McGee is strong enough to avoid submissions.
Big Brady picks Michael Chiesa by decision but is hesitant, noting that Court McGee has great takedown defense and has fought tough grapplers. He believes Chiesa has a little left in the tank while McGee is older and has been knocked out recently. He expects a competitive fight despite the wide line.
Chiesa's superior grappling will keep McGee in bad spots, likely snatching the back and grinding out a decision win.
The Guru picks Michael Chiesa by submission, noting Chiesa has been given favorable matchups recently (Tony Ferguson, Max Griffin). He expects Chiesa to take McGee down and get a submission in the first or second round, citing McGee's age (mid-40s) and Chiesa's back-take game.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 19 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Tim Means | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 19 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Tim Means | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 14 of 24 | 58% | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tim Means | 5 of 13 | 38% | 2 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 14 of 24 | 58% | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tim Means | 5 of 13 | 38% | 2 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Court McGee, believing the fight is 50-50 and McGee's wrestling and pressure can be the difference. He notes Tim Means is a 2-to-1 favorite, which he considers unjustified given both fighters are old and worn. He placed a small bet on McGee at +195.
Big Brady is hesitant on this fight, noting that both fighters are veterans and he doesn't trust either. He leans towards Tim Means because he believes Means still has a little left in the tank, while Court McGee hasn't had a finish since 2010 and has been losing to lower-level competition. He expects McGee to attempt takedowns but thinks Means will do better work on the feet and win a decision.
Cody picks McGee, citing his home-field advantage in Utah and cardio. He notes Means' tendency to gas and get submitted. He believes McGee can outlast Means and possibly win by submission.
Connor picks Means based on sentiment, acknowledging it's not a sound analysis. He notes that Means is old and has lost speed, but Court McGee is not a powerful striker and Means' craft might be enough. He wants Means to go out on a win.
Daniel Vreeland picks Tim Means, citing his slick striking and improved wrestling. He notes that Court McGee has slowed down drastically and was nearly beaten by Alex Morono. Vreeland expects Means to knock out McGee, though he is hesitant to lay heavy chalk on a fighter who has lost four of his last five.
The host believes Tim Means is the better overall fighter and will utilize his clinch with knees and elbows, as well as distance striking with kicks and long-range weapons, to pick apart Court McGee. He expects Means to win on the scorecards, noting that McGee lacks significant knockout power.
Paul picks McGee, emphasizing his durability and wrestling. He thinks McGee can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He sees value at plus 170 and expects a close decision or late finish.
The MMA Guru picks Court McGee over Tim Means, citing McGee's training at altitude in Utah as a key advantage. He notes both fighters are past their prime but believes McGee is less finishable and will employ a boring cage control game, failing takedowns but winning the pressure game. He predicts a decision victory for McGee, as neither fighter is likely to finish early.
Zane also picks Means for sentimental reasons, calling himself a long-time Dirty Bird fan. He acknowledges that Means has lost a step but notes that McGee is not a dangerous striker and Means' experience might carry him. He admits it's not a pick based on sound analysis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 0 | 60 of 160 | 37% | 78 of 184 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 38 of 141 | 26% | 42 of 149 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 12 of 50 | 24% | 12 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alex Morono | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 36 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:12 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 12 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alex Morono | 0 | 18 of 67 | 26% | 20 of 71 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 17 of 63 | 26% | 18 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 60 of 160 | 37% | 14 of 73 | 29 of 55 | 17 of 32 | 52 of 148 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 11 |
| Court McGee | 38 of 141 | 26% | 26 of 118 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 5 | 38 of 139 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 22 of 52 | 42% | 3 of 16 | 13 of 25 | 6 of 11 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 12 of 50 | 24% | 8 of 42 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alex Morono | 20 of 41 | 48% | 7 of 21 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 10 |
| Court McGee | 9 of 28 | 32% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alex Morono | 18 of 67 | 26% | 4 of 36 | 8 of 18 | 6 of 13 | 18 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Court McGee | 17 of 63 | 26% | 12 of 51 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 17 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alex Morono because he believes Morono is a step ahead everywhere in this fight and could potentially finish an aging Court McGee. He notes that McGee relied on his work ethic and chin, but at 39, that chin is gone and hard work alone won't get wins. Morono is somewhat unreliable himself, but Angelo thinks he should be good here.
Big Brady picks Alex Morono to win by decision. He notes that Morono is six years younger, has better striking volume, and good jiu-jitsu. He believes Court McGee's durability is waning after recent knockouts, but doesn't expect a finish. He thinks Morono will be better wherever the fight goes.
Cody agrees, noting McGee's recent knockout losses to Matt Brown and Jeremiah Wells. He thinks Morono's volume and speed will be too much, and that McGee's pressure game won't work against a more technical striker. Cody also mentions Morono's competitive fight with Joaquin Buckley has aged well.
Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Alex Morono to finish Court McGee in the first round. He compares McGee to past veterans Morono has stopped, like Josh Burkman and Tim Means, noting McGee is 40 and slow. Vreeland believes Morono's speed, power, and vicious intent will overwhelm McGee, and even if taken down, Morono can pop back up. He predicts a first-round knockout or submission.
Morono is younger, more durable, and has better striking volume and power. McGee's chin is fading after recent knockouts. Morono's defensive grappling should be enough to keep the fight standing, where he can land damaging combinations. Expect a finish in the second or third round.
Paul is confident in Morono, citing McGee's age, declining durability, and recent knockout losses. He notes McGee's wins are over one-dimensional grapplers, while Morono has better footwork, volume, and takedown defense. Paul thinks Morono will outwork McGee and possibly knock him out, as McGee's durability is gone.
The host picks Morono based on output and commitment. He notes Morono looked amazing against Buckley and is better than Ventre. He criticizes McGee's recent losses to Matt Brown and Jeremiah Wells. He predicts neither will get a KO or dominate grappling, so Morono's higher volume will win a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brown | 1 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 17 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Brown | 1 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 17 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brown | 11 of 15 | 73% | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 8 of 31 | 25% | 2 of 21 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Brown | 11 of 15 | 73% | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 8 of 31 | 25% | 2 of 21 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Matt Brown, saying he thinks Brown will be the more durable of the two. He notes Court McGee is coming off a bad knockout loss and his chin is a question. He acknowledges the line movement tracker shows McGee went from +140 to -180 favorite, and that trend has been 7-1, but he goes against it. He is not betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Court McGee but expresses distrust after McGee's fight against Condit where he didn't attempt a single takedown. He believes if McGee uses the right game plan—wrestling and taking down Matt Brown—he should win easily. Brady notes Brown is 42 with poor takedown defense and cardio, and McGee has better cardio and wrestling. He predicts a third-round submission, but says he can't fully trust McGee after the Condit fight.
Cody picks McGee, citing his better gas tank and durability. He notes that Brown's chin and reflexes have declined with age, and that McGee's kickboxing is good enough to compete. He expects McGee to wrestle and control the fight, especially in later rounds. He mentions the 'died and came back' theory for cardio.
Connor leans toward Court McGee, acknowledging that Matt Brown could knock him out early but that McGee's durability and pace are likely to carry him. He notes that Brown's endurance has declined and that McGee's grinding style is antithetical to Brown's current capabilities. Connor expects McGee to win by decision, as Brown's recent fights show he fades.
Daniel Levi picks Matt Brown, admitting bias as he will attend the fight and is a fan. He believes Brown is historically the better fighter, having reached number five in the welterweight rankings, while McGee never cracked the top 15. However, he acknowledges Brown's age (42) and cardio issues, which could allow McGee to push the pace and mix in takedowns. Levi hopes Brown gets a knockout to tie the UFC record, but notes the pick is not based on a betting edge.
McGee has a cardio and pace advantage over the aging Brown. He will tie Brown up, use footwork to avoid big shots, and weaponize his cardio to take over in the later rounds. Brown has slowed down in recent fights and his wrestling may not be effective against McGee. McGee will grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks McGee, emphasizing his wrestling and cardio advantage. He notes that McGee can make the fight easy by sticking to takedowns and controlling Brown. He added McGee to a chalk parlay. He acknowledges the possibility of a 'gentleman's agreement' striking affair but believes McGee's grappling is the key.
The MMA Guru picks Matt Brown, citing his better recent performances and the fact that Court McGee is coming off a brutal KO loss. He believes Brown's toughness and aggression will be too much, predicting a KO in the second or third round.
Zane picks Court McGee because he believes McGee's pace and grinding style will overwhelm Matt Brown, who fades as fights progress. He notes that Brown is still dangerous early but lacks the endurance to keep up with McGee's constant pressure and wrestling. Zane expects McGee to win a decision, as Brown's recent losses show he slows down significantly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 1 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 1 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wells | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Wells | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McGee (-120), Wells (+100)
Round 1
Even though UFC experience and fight mileage both weigh heavily on “The Crusher” McGee (21-10, 10-9 UFC), he will come into this matchup on his first UFC win streak since 2013. The Utah native will clock in only two years the elder of Wells (10-2-1, 2-0 UFC), who surges into this contest on the heels of four finishes in two rounds or less. Referee Herb Dean might have his hands full for this one, as Wells is darting back and forth and does not engage to touch gloves. Instead, Wells shifts laterally back and forth, and McGee reaches out towards him with a jab to the chest. Wells keeps his range and switches stances constantly, lulling McGee into a rhythm. “The Crusher” simply remains calm and lands a heavy leg kick, and he blocks high when Wells crashes towards him with punches. Wells throws himself off-balance when swinging at him, and McGee blocks the blows and splits the guard with a one-two in response. Wells jumps forward to attack, and he pushes out a jab and a right that comes up short.
The Pennsylvania follows up with a left hook that connects right on the button, and McGee is out cold as he falls with his limbs frozen in rigor mortis down to the canvas. The back of McGee’s head collides with the mat, and when it does, Wells follows him down with two brutal punches, which are all that land until Dean can sprint across the cage to break them up and pull Wells off.
There’s something in the water here today in Austin, as Wells practically did the unthinkable by cleanly knocking McGee all the way out.
The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Court McGee R1 1:34 via KO (Punch)
Angelo picks Court McGee, noting his recent grappling resurgence and dominant wins over Claudio Silva and Ramiz Brahimaj. He believes McGee's takedowns and control will lead to another decision win. He acknowledges Jeremiah Wells' danger but thinks McGee's durability and cardio will prevail.
Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He believes McGee is the more experienced fighter with better volume and technical striking, and has shown improved wrestling. He notes Wells has power but lacks volume and cardio, and McGee is extremely durable with only one finish loss. He thinks McGee will be the minute winner on the feet and can handle Wells' grappling.
Cody picks McGee, citing his durability, wrestling, and experience. He thinks Wells will come out hot but fade, and McGee will grind him down in rounds 2 and 3. He suggests McGee by decision as a prop.
Daniel Levi is confident in Jeremiah Wells as an underdog, citing Wells' athleticism, power, and black belt jiu-jitsu. He notes Court McGee is 37 and has lost five of his last eight, while Wells is younger and hungrier. Levi likes that Wells is getting plus money and believes he will be too fast and strong for McGee. He is considering a bet on Wells.
Paul agrees with McGee, noting Wells' one-dimensional style and McGee's takedown ability. He thinks McGee can survive the early storm and take over. He suggests waiting to see how round one goes before betting.
The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells to win by KO, noting that Court McGee is 37 and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Wells is a freak athlete with explosive power and good grappling, as shown against Blood Diamond. He predicts Wells will catch McGee with a straight right and finish him in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 1 | 54 of 91 | 59% | 76 of 113 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 10:57 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 35 of 65 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 1 | 30 of 51 | 58% | 42 of 63 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Court McGee | 0 | 21 of 37 | 56% | 24 of 40 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 15 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 | |
| 3 | Court McGee | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 10 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:48 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 54 of 91 | 59% | 30 of 63 | 17 of 21 | 7 of 7 | 46 of 81 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 32 of 62 | 51% | 21 of 51 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 53 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 30 of 51 | 58% | 13 of 31 | 13 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 15 of 33 | 45% | 11 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Court McGee | 21 of 37 | 56% | 16 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 14 of 25 | 56% | 9 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Court McGee | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Brahimaj, citing his world-class jiu-jitsu and the blueprint from Sean Brady's win over McGee. He notes Brahimaj's tendency to strike instead of grapple but expects him to stick to grappling here. He believes Brahimaj will get takedowns and control McGee to a decision win, as McGee is incredibly tough to finish.
Big Brady highlights that Brahimaj has a 100% submission rate but has never been past the first round, while McGee has never been submitted in 30 fights. He expects Brahimaj to slow down after the first round, allowing McGee's cardio and striking to take over. He picks McGee by decision, noting McGee's takedown defense and ability to get back up.
Cody picks Brahimaj, emphasizing his youth, athleticism, and grappling. He notes McGee's skills are outdated and his takedown defense is poor. He expects Brahimaj to win via decision, possibly with a submission attempt. He mentions McGee's cardio but doubts it will be enough.
Daniel Levi picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing youth and momentum. He notes that Brahimaj is a beast on the mat when fresh, but has cardio and plan B concerns. Levi believes Brahimaj can finish Court McGee, who is 37 and has shown signs of slowing. He argues that McGee's recent wins are over older opponents and that Brahimaj's talent will shine. Levi expects a statement finish from Brahimaj.
The host favors Court McGee due to his veteran savvy, cardio, and takedown defense. He notes Brahimaj's all-offense style and suspect cardio, expecting McGee to weather an early storm and take over in later rounds. The host highlights McGee's never-submitted record and ability to get back to his feet. He predicts a decision win for McGee, possibly with a late finish if Brahimaj gasses.
Paul leans toward Brahimaj, noting his youth, athleticism, and grappling. He expects Brahimaj to take McGee down and control him. He questions if Brahimaj can maintain pace for three rounds but thinks his submission threat will be enough. He mentions McGee's durability and cardio as potential factors.
The MMA Guru picks Ramiz Brahimaj to win, noting that he is younger, trains at a good gym, and has more finishing ability. He was initially tempted by Court McGee as an underdog but realized Brahimaj is actually the underdog. He trusts Brahimaj's grappling and striking in the early rounds, and believes his desire to return after the ear injury shows dedication. He acknowledges McGee's pressure and toughness could be a factor in later rounds, but thinks Brahimaj will win the early rounds enough to take a decision or finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 0 | 37 of 74 | 50% | 110 of 157 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 8:03 |
| Cláudio Silva | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 81 of 126 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 29 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Cláudio Silva | 0 | 6 of 24 | 25% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 2 | Court McGee | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 36 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Cláudio Silva | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 15 of 25 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 3 | Court McGee | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 45 of 59 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Cláudio Silva | 0 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 53 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 37 of 74 | 50% | 22 of 53 | 9 of 14 | 6 of 7 | 23 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 13 |
| Cláudio Silva | 21 of 56 | 37% | 8 of 36 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 19 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 10 of 30 | 33% | 4 of 19 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cláudio Silva | 6 of 24 | 25% | 2 of 16 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Court McGee | 16 of 25 | 64% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 10 |
| Cláudio Silva | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Court McGee | 11 of 19 | 57% | 5 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Cláudio Silva | 12 of 21 | 57% | 5 of 12 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks McGee, expecting him to survive Silva's dangerous first round and take over in rounds 2 and 3 due to superior cardio and output. He notes Silva's cardio fades, McGee's never been submitted, and his takedown defense and get-up game are solid. He predicts a 29-28 decision or late finish.
Cody Saftic picks Court McGee, expressing frustration with Cláudio Silva's ugly style but acknowledging Silva's ability to win. He believes McGee's cardio and durability will allow him to survive Silva's early takedowns and win the later rounds. Saftic notes that Silva has poor striking and takedowns, and that McGee is a good gatekeeper who should be able to sprawl and brawl. He suggests a live bet on McGee if Silva wins the first round.
Daniel Levi picks Cláudio Silva, citing Silva's aggression, opportunistic style, and world-class jiu-jitsu. He notes that Court McGee's style hasn't evolved, he's been getting dropped in fights, and he's 3-7 in his last 10. He predicts Silva will take McGee down and submit him, possibly becoming the first man to submit McGee. He also thinks Silva could win a decision if it goes three rounds.
Matt picks Court McGee by decision, but with very low confidence, calling it a stay-away fight. He notes McGee has looked past his prime, while Silva has a poor gas tank. He thinks McGee can nullify Silva's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet as Silva fades. However, he acknowledges Silva's elite jiu-jitsu is a threat, and McGee has never been submitted. He mentions a possible third-round finish for McGee at +1600 but is not confident.
Paul Shaughnessy agrees with McGee, noting that Silva is frustrating to watch and that McGee has better cardio and durability. He believes McGee will win the second and third rounds after surviving Silva's early grappling. He mentions that Silva's wins are often close decisions and that McGee is the logical choice.
The MMA Guru predicts Cláudio Silva will win by split decision in a very close fight. He expects McGee to outstrike Silva on the feet, but Silva will time takedowns and have close submission attempts that sway the rounds in his favor. He compares it to the Bobby Green vs Thiago Moises fight, but with Silva winning this time.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Condit | 1 | 88 of 230 | 38% | 88 of 230 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 84 of 182 | 46% | 84 of 182 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Condit | 1 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 31 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 30 of 71 | 42% | 30 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 43 of 121 | 35% | 43 of 121 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Condit | 88 of 230 | 38% | 50 of 173 | 17 of 34 | 21 of 23 | 87 of 228 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Court McGee | 84 of 182 | 46% | 9 of 73 | 28 of 51 | 47 of 58 | 84 of 182 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Condit | 15 of 38 | 39% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 31 of 63 | 49% | 3 of 22 | 11 of 17 | 17 of 24 | 31 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Condit | 30 of 71 | 42% | 17 of 54 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 26 of 56 | 46% | 3 of 19 | 6 of 17 | 17 of 20 | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Carlos Condit | 43 of 121 | 35% | 28 of 100 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 10 | 42 of 119 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Court McGee | 27 of 63 | 42% | 3 of 32 | 11 of 17 | 13 of 14 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He notes McGee's clear path to victory via takedowns, as Condit has poor takedown defense. He thinks Condit's only chance is a submission off his back, but McGee has never been submitted.
Daniel leans with Condit, reasoning that McGee's training camp was subpar (mainly drilling with his 13-year-old son) and that Condit has had moments of success against higher-level competition. He acknowledges Condit's five-fight losing streak but thinks this is a winnable fight, predicting a split decision. He notes that McGee's takedowns could be a factor but Condit might capitalize on submissions.
The host leans toward Court McGee due to Condit's poor takedown defense and McGee's durability, but he is not confident enough to bet at -135. He predicts a decision win for McGee but says he would only bet if McGee were plus money.
The Guru picks Carlos Condit, noting his good ground game and submission threats against Michael Chiesa. He believes Condit is naturally bigger and can push the pace, and predicts a submission by armbar in the second round or a decision. He sees nothing in McGee's game to suggest he can beat Condit.
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He notes McGee's clear path to victory via takedowns, as Condit has poor takedown defense. He thinks Condit's only chance is a submission off his back, but McGee has never been submitted.
Daniel leans with Condit, reasoning that McGee's training camp was subpar (mainly drilling with his 13-year-old son) and that Condit has had moments of success against higher-level competition. He acknowledges Condit's five-fight losing streak but thinks this is a winnable fight, predicting a split decision. He notes that McGee's takedowns could be a factor but Condit might capitalize on submissions.
The host leans toward Court McGee due to Condit's poor takedown defense and McGee's durability, but he is not confident enough to bet at -135. He predicts a decision win for McGee but says he would only bet if McGee were plus money.
The Guru picks Carlos Condit, noting his good ground game and submission threats against Michael Chiesa. He believes Condit is naturally bigger and can push the pace, and predicts a submission by armbar in the second round or a decision. He sees nothing in McGee's game to suggest he can beat Condit.
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