UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 9"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 32
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Charles Jourdain
5.48 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.25 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.33 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
47.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Josh Culibao
3.41 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.04 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Charles Jourdain - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyler Phillips 0 36 of 77 46% 48 of 92 7 of 13 53% 0 0 7:13
Charles Jourdain 0 58 of 104 55% 88 of 142 1 of 4 25% 0 1 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyler Phillips 0 6 of 12 50% 14 of 21 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:51
Charles Jourdain 0 5 of 10 50% 15 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kyler Phillips 0 10 of 22 45% 12 of 26 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:36
Charles Jourdain 0 22 of 42 52% 38 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:21
3 Kyler Phillips 0 20 of 43 46% 22 of 45 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:46
Charles Jourdain 0 31 of 52 59% 35 of 57 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyler Phillips 36 of 77 46% 28 of 68 6 of 7 2 of 2 34 of 75 0 of 0 2 of 2
Charles Jourdain 58 of 104 55% 28 of 62 26 of 37 4 of 5 41 of 86 17 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyler Phillips 6 of 12 50% 5 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 2
Charles Jourdain 5 of 10 50% 3 of 6 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Kyler Phillips 10 of 22 45% 6 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 22 of 42 52% 8 of 22 12 of 18 2 of 2 13 of 32 9 of 10 0 of 0
3 Kyler Phillips 20 of 43 46% 17 of 40 2 of 2 1 of 1 20 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 31 of 52 59% 17 of 34 12 of 15 2 of 3 24 of 45 7 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-140); Phillips (+110)

Round 1
Once a fighter deemed on the rise at bantamweight, Phillips (12-4, 6-3 UFC) has fallen on hard times to reach his first career losing streak. Inactivity and inconsistent results have plagued “The Matrix” since his debut with the company in 2020, so he will try to take the wind out of the sails of high-flying Canadian Jourdain (17-8-1, 8-7-1 UFC). In this co-main event, referee Jerin Valel is on standby. The athletes gladly touch gloves before handling their business.
Phillips rushes forward to put his jab in the face of the Canadian and force him to fight off his back foot. Jourdain welcomes this so he can measure a flying knee, and he misses it by a small margin. Phillips shoots in on his hips to take the fight down, and Jourdain hops around on one leg and drops to his back. “Air” Jourdain sets up a triangle choke when put down, and Phillips springs out of it and positions himself in side control. Phillips jumps over into full mount, so Jourdain times twisting to his side to thwart it partially. Phillips get stuck in a partial half guard position, and Jourdain explodes back to his feet and puts his back to the wall to try to scrape Phillips off of him. Phillips completes a mat return, and Jourdain sits down to set up a kimura in hopes of sweeping. Phillips is wise to it all and smothers as he regains half guard, fighting off the bucks and shifts of the active Canadian.
Jourdain tries to fight back while on his back, slashing with elbows until he flirts with a guillotine choke while on his seat. Phillips leaps all the way over through it to get himself in a better position, preferring to stay on top rather than go for anything in particular. When Jourdain sits up, Phillips slings him down, and Phillips has to mind his P’s and Q’s as an upkick zooms right at his face. Jourdain hunts for a triangle choke, and Phillips is about to slam him out of it but lets go before the impact. Phillips controls with his wrestling, reassuming himself on top for mere seconds as Jourdain once more bucks and escapes. Jourdain leans against the wall to keep his balance, and he hunts for a guillotine choke. Phillips immediately abandons the grappling, and Jourdain points at him. Jourdain slings two huge punches, catching the American cleanly. Phillips attacks back with a vengeance, but it is Jourdain who swings more violently as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Phillips
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Phillips
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Phillips

Round 2
Jourdain goes right after his opponent as the round begins, backing off only when Phillips initiates a few jabs. Jourdain gets right back to crowding him after those sequences, and he boots Phillips in the gut. Phillips times the kick perfectly, sweeping the other leg to dump the Canadian on his back like a back of groceries. Jourdain scrambles and slithers his legs between Phillips to trip him up, where he briefly turns Phillips over. Phillips regains position, ignoring a possible guillotine from Jourdain to body lock him down to the floor. Jourdain on his seat thinks about another guillotine, but he does not have the leverage for it. Instead, Jourdain climbs back up even as Phillips holds his other limb, and he jacks Phillips in the jaw three times with vicious uppercuts. When Phillips adjusts his grip, Jourdain tries to actually get hold of that guillotine he is seeking, but Phillips is able to move well enough to force him back and reset. The two crash together like waves in the night, both slamming into one another with power strikes.
Jourdain misses on another jump knee, but his front kick to the stomach takes the wind out of Phillips’ sails a bit. Jourdain practically sprints at his man and belts him with a left, right and a left. Phillips kicks him in the side, but it has far less venom than before and Jourdain knows it. Phillips gloms onto the Canadian, who is looking for a standing kimura to readjust their position. They break free, and Jourdain is the aggressor, chasing “The Matrix” around and just missing with a spinning back elbow. Phillips hurls Jourdain to the mat, and Jourdain turns the tables, puts himself on his knees and threatens with a choke. There is no choke to be had, so they fight their way back up and proceed to recklessly duke it out. Phillips busts Jourdain in the chops with an uppercut and stays away from the crazy, flying moves aimed at him for the most part. Jourdain ends the round with an inaccurate rolling thunder kick.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 3
It is all offense, all the time as the two bruisers proceed to harm, damage, bludgeon and bash one another with anything they can find. Jourdain’s arsenal is a broad one, while Phillips wants to ultimately turn his attacks into ground control. As they go back and forth, Phillips finds an opening and trips Jourdain down. Jourdain stands even while Phillips is controlling him from behind, hands clasped around his waist, and he still turns Phillips around. Jourdain thanks him for the bit of grappling with an elbow on the temple and a high knee, and he keeps after Phillips with long punches. Phillips fires off an uppercut and a left hand to stun him for a second, but Jourdain does not need long to take a quick count of his teeth and leap at Phillips again with a flying knee.
When Jourdain goes to the well again with yet another flying knee, Phillips catches him in midair and slings him to the canvas. Jourdain wraps up Phillips left hand with a two-on-one wrist grip in hopes of sweeping Phillips off of him, but Phillips shuts it down with sheer force of will. Knowing Jourdain is about to stand, Phillips circles around to take his back standing. Jourdain keeps moving while pressed against the cage, spinning them about once before Phillips reasserts the controlling clinch posture. Jourdain trips Phillips to the floor, allows him to stand back up and belts him in the belly with his shin. Jourdain follows with a knee that busts Phillips’ left eyebrow wide open. Blood pours from the veritable axe wound on his face, and Phillips paws at it, knowing he suffered some real damage. He does not slow down, instead meeting Jourdain in the air with a right hand as Jourdain inevitably jumps. Phillips tries to throw Jourdain down one last time, but it is Jourdain who muscles him around and gives him everything he has to offer. The banger concludes with one last rolling thunder kick from Jourdain, this one banging into the back of his foe’s neck at the bell. The two bantamweights leave it all in the hands of the judges, likely about to become at least $100K richer for their back-and-forth rumble.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Kyler Phillips via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Angelo leans Charles Jourdain but is hesitant, noting Kyler Phillips is not a bum and has faced tough competition. He worries about Kyler's inconsistent cardio and Charles's lack of meaningful wins. He thinks Charles's experience and toughness give him a slight edge, but advises staying away from betting.

"I'm going to lean him here, very slight lean toward Charles. I am worried that he can be out-wrestled."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain, citing Kyler Phillips' poor cardio. He notes Phillips wins the first round but fades dramatically, as seen in fights against Oliveira and Font. Brady expects Jourdain to lose round one then turn it up, finishing Phillips by third-round knockout.

third round knockout
"I'm going to say Charles Jourdain wins this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Charles Jourdain, expecting him to win by decision after losing the first round. He notes that Kyler Phillips is a strong first-round fighter but fades, and Jourdain's high pace and guillotine threat will be key. He suggests live betting Jourdain after the first round.

over 2.5 rounds, split decision prop
"I do have Charles Rodane to win one way or another."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel loves Jourdain's move to bantamweight, noting he looks incredible and has been finishing fights quickly. He believes Jourdain's pressure and durability will overcome Phillips' tendency to fade after the first round. He predicts Jourdain will win and become a top-10 contender.

"I'm going to pick Charlan to continue the win streak, get the biggest win of his career, and establish himself as a true contender in the UFC bantamweight division."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
Charles Jourdain

Jourdain has a big advantage on the feet with high volume and power, and he is the aggressor. Phillips has poor cardio and is a point fighter. However, Jourdain's takedown defense is weak and he is easy to hold down. Phillips could grapple his way to a decision. Home advantage for Jourdain is a factor. Lean Jourdain but not confident enough to bet at these odds.

"Jourdain is a very tempting bet for a lot of reasons, but there's just one thing that gives me like that nagging doubt."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)

The host mentions the co-main event but does not make a pick. He only expresses excitement for the fight.

"I'm liking the look of the co-main event where Charles Jourdain is taking on Kyle Nelson The Matrix. That's going to be an absolute fun all-out war."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

James picks Charles Jourdain to win via finish in round three. He notes that Kyler Phillips is dominant in round one but fades, while Jourdain is strong in round three and has finishing upside. He sees Jourdain's trajectory and self-belief as factors.

Charles Jourdain wins in round three
"I pick Charles Jordane to win this fight via finish in round three."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The host thinks Charles Jourdain is the side here, noting that Phillips has cardio issues and struggles under pressure. He expects Jourdain to apply pressure, work Phillips down, and find a finish in round two or three. He highlights Jourdain's dangerous guillotine and improved BJJ, and believes Phillips will either slow down or get caught in a submission if he grapples.

submission round three at +2500
"I think after a competitive first round, we see Jordain really start to pull away. He's got to know that Phillips does not like pressure, and I think you will see him start to apply that pressure, really work Phillips …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Charles Jourdain. He highlights that Phillips wins first rounds but fades, and Jourdain's work rate will take over. He also likes the split decision prop and suggests live betting.

over 2.5 rounds, split decision prop
"Pre flop, the the pick would be Charles Jordane. I'm not getting overly invested in that. Um, haven't even looked at the prices for it, but uh the splitty props um split props on this one could be kind of …"
WIN vs Davey Grant
Submission R1 3:05 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 1 25 of 43 58% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Davey Grant 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 1 25 of 43 58% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Davey Grant 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 25 of 43 58% 20 of 35 5 of 8 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 0 8 of 12
Davey Grant 9 of 26 34% 3 of 14 1 of 3 5 of 9 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 25 of 43 58% 20 of 35 5 of 8 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 0 8 of 12
Davey Grant 9 of 26 34% 3 of 14 1 of 3 5 of 9 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Davey Grant vs. Charles Jourdain
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-170); Grant (+140)

Round 1
Hold onto your hats, because Jourdain (16-8-1, 7-7-1 UFC) and Grant (17-7, 8-6 UFC) are about to trade leather. The bantamweights that tend to put on a show will be officiated by referee Jason Herzog. They opt to bump fists before jacking one another on the jaw.
Grant strides forward, and he catches an oncoming body kick. He releases it and lets fly a clubbing calf kick. Jourdain bounces off the fence and is just out of range from another kick to the midsection. Jourdain tags his man with a one-two, and Grant opens up with his own overhand right. Jourdain times a jump knee as Grant bears down on him, and he misses by a matter of inches. Grant hammers home another low kick, and he blocks a big knee. Jourdain lines up a straight left hand down the middle, and he whiffs on a looping left of his own. Jourdain absorbs a pair of punches and has to bounce on his heels to gets his bearings, and then leaps into action with a head kick and a powerful right hand. Grant grins at him and asks for more, so Jourdain obliges him. Grant throws back hard. Jourdain catches Grant with his jump knee, and Grant is tough but his forehead is split ever so slightly.
Grant calms himself and looses a heavy leg kick, and he gets blasted with another head kick. Jourdain finds the target with his flying knee, and Grant’s nose explodes in a bloody mess and topples to his back in a bad way.
Jourdain leaps on top and hammers the Brit with ground-and-pound, and Grant somehow survives even though his face is quickly transforming into a crimson mask. Grant turns over, and the Canadian sees his opening and snatches up his preferred move of a power guillotine choke. The moment that Jourdain, who has the grip clutched tight as can be, rolls Grant over, Grant taps out as fast as he can.
Even with Herzog getting between them in a timely manner, Grant appears to at least partially go out, as when he stands back up looking like a victim in an 80's slasher film, he finds that he is not quite capable of doing so on his own. The crowd goes ballistic.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Davey Grant R1 3:05 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Davey Grant

Angelo picks Davey Grant, citing his forward pressure, solid defense, and durability. He notes Charles Jourdain has cleaned up his wild style but may still be exploitable. Grant's age and chin are concerns, but his recent wins over Blackshear and a close fight with Marcos give confidence.

"I'm going to pick Davey Grant here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady likes Jourdain fighting at home and thinks the judges favor him. He notes Grant is 39 and father time is undefeated, especially at lower weight classes. He thinks Jourdain is getting Grant at the right time and picks him by decision, though he won't lay -170.

"I got to go with the Jordane side. Give me Charles Jordane to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Jourdain, citing his volume and unorthodox striking. He notes Grant doesn't wrestle much, which plays into Jourdain's strengths. Jourdain's takedown defense is a concern, but Grant doesn't shoot. Cody expects Jourdain to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I'm gonna go Charles Jordane on this one. Jump back on team Canada."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Davey Grant

Connor leans toward Davey Grant, citing Grant's consistent toughness, awkwardness, and ability to capitalize on retreating opponents. He notes that Jourdain can drift and have wrong ideas, and that Grant's pressure and durability could cause Jourdain trouble, especially given Jourdain's poor defensive wrestling and tendency to improvise. Connor also mentions the age gap (Grant is 39) but still favors Grant's reliability.

Grant opened at +170, dropped to -110, now +145; Jourdain opened -200, now -170. Connor notes the odds movement and suggests the line is influenced by age.
"I'm kind of leaning Davey Grant in this one."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

James finds this a tough fight to call, noting both fighters have struggled with certain styles. He leans toward Jourdain due to his better career trajectory and Grant's age (39). James mentions Jourdain's guillotine threat but expects a close fight.

"I'm going to end up going with Charles Jordane for my official prediction. I feel like his career trajectory is a little bit better than Davy Grant. Davy Grant is 39. At some point, he's going to fall off a …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The host thinks Jourdain's youth, speed, unorthodox striking, and dangerous BJJ will help him chip away at Grant, pull off a desperation takedown, and eventually snatch a submission victory.

win by submission
"I think it's going to be the youth speed, unorthodox striking, and dangerous BJJ game of Davy Grant, which eventually helps him chip away at Grant, pull out a desperation takedown, and eventually lead to Jordane snatching up another submission …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Davey Grant

Paul picks Grant, citing his value as a dog. He notes Grant is always game and has good volume. Jourdain's weight cut to 135 is a concern, and Grant can exploit that. Paul plans to bet Grant at plus money.

"you give me plus money on Dave David Grant. I'm not going to waste your time with two months. This is like plus 150."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Davey Grant. He initially considered Grant due to his underdog success but believes Jourdain's skills are superior. He notes Jourdain's ability to beat opponents to the punch on the inside and his guillotine threats. He predicts Jourdain will catch Grant with a straight shot and possibly finish by TKO or guillotine, citing Grant's neck surgeries.

TKO or guillotine submission
"I'm going to go with Charles Jourdain getting this one done. And I think he'll chin Davey Grant."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Davey Grant

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Davey Grant. He emphasizes that Grant is always tough and crafty, and that Jourdain often shows up with the wrong plan or no plan, resorting to wild brawling that doesn't work well. Zane acknowledges that Grant's success can't last forever at 39, but he still expects Grant to deliver.

"Yeah, I think I'm gonna pick Davey Grant here, too."
CANCEL vs Ricky Simón
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Angelo picks Ricky Simón because of his relentless wrestling and cardio. He believes Charles does not have good enough takedown defense to stop multiple shots. He notes that Ricky's losses are to top competition and he is consistent.

"This should be Ricky all day long."
WIN vs Victor Henry
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 3:43 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 39 of 73 53% 50 of 87 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:17
Victor Henry 0 24 of 54 44% 39 of 75 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 28 of 46 60% 38 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Victor Henry 0 18 of 34 52% 28 of 45 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:18
2 Charles Jourdain 0 11 of 27 40% 12 of 28 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Victor Henry 0 6 of 20 30% 11 of 30 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 39 of 73 53% 19 of 49 14 of 18 6 of 6 31 of 62 8 of 11 0 of 0
Victor Henry 24 of 54 44% 8 of 30 11 of 17 5 of 7 22 of 51 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 28 of 46 60% 12 of 27 13 of 16 3 of 3 21 of 36 7 of 10 0 of 0
Victor Henry 18 of 34 52% 5 of 15 8 of 12 5 of 7 16 of 31 1 of 2 1 of 1
2 Charles Jourdain 11 of 27 40% 7 of 22 1 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Victor Henry 6 of 20 30% 3 of 15 3 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Victor Henry vs. Charles Jourdain
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-125), Henry (+105)

Round 1
Meeting in the middle after plenty of time in different divisions, ex-featherweight Jourdain (15-8-1, 6-7-1 UFC) shifts gears down to 135 pounds in hopes of keeping that explosiveness. He greets former flyweight Henry (24-6, 1 NC, 3-1, 1 NC UFC) at bantamweight, with the two drawing oversight from referee Black Grice. Speed will be the name of the game in this one, and they intend on showing it off just as soon as they complete their expected glove touch. Jourdain slowly plods forward, hand-fighting Henry’s probing jabs. Henry lands a pair of low kicks as Grice issues a warning for outstretched fingers. Jourdain whips a kick up high that is barely blocked, and Henry gets busy with low and body kicks. Henry secures a body kick that splits the guard, and he absorbs a clean low kick that makes him recoil his limb. Jourdain leaps in the air with a knee, and Henry swats it away. The two trade low kicks, and Jourdain prods out a front kick that knocks Henry back a step. A Jourdain jab is met with a leg kick, and Henry walks his foe down and connects with a left hook. Jourdain looses another quick head kick, and he races forward and puts as right hand on the jaw of “La Mangosta.” Henry keeps striding forward, but Jourdain is pecking at him with low kicks and longer punches. Henry attacks the body and lead leg with kicks, and Jourdain comes out firing with a pair of looping hooks. Henry gets off a body kick, and Jourdain trips Henry up and dumps him to the floor. The well-schooled Henry does not show any concern when Jourdain grips hold of a guillotine choke, and he escapes and resets. Henry walks him down and trips him out, putting Jourdain on his back thanks to sheer pressure. Jourdain posts off an arm to sit up, and Henry slickly shuts him down. Jourdain still explodes to his feet despite Henry’s wishes, and he trips Henry to a knee but does not complete it. Jourdain stands, wraps up a guillotine, and releases it to nails Henry with a flush elbow on the forehead. Henry blinks it out and loads up on a pair of right hands, and he gets countered and clips. Jourdain’s power shakes Henry up briefly, but Henry keeps marching onward throwing punches. Jourdain uses a sharp front kick and a head kick to slow Henry, and he tries to time a jump knee but Henry is wise to it and waits to press forward into a clinch. As Jourdain looks to frame off of Henry’s face, Henry trips his legs out. Henry no-sells a guillotine choke until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 2
The two touch gloves before getting going, and Henry is quick to assert heavy pressure. Jourdain is lighter on his feet, swinging harder and landing cleaner. Jourdain clips Henry, forcing Henry to close in on him and trying to clinch. Jourdain shucks him off and rips an uppercut up the middle, and he chews up Henry’s lead leg and strafes to the side. Henry gives chase, pushing out a front kick and a body kick, and he gets caught with an uppercut moving forward. Henry keeps his guard high, allowing Jourdain’s offense to throw him off-balance. Henry wrangles Jourdain to the floor, and he wraps up his opponent with a body lock while fishing for a rear-naked choke. Henry rolls when Jourdain scrambles, and he hunts for a choke any time he can spot an opening. Jourdain defends well and keeps turning, eventually settling to lean his side against the cage. Henry is warned for an elbow to the spine, and he lets Jourdain turn over so he can slip an arm on the side of the chin. Henry moves into top position, but he is dragged back to the guard of “La Mangosta.” Jourdain snatches up a guillotine choke on his back, and Henry pays it no mind as it is not locked up. The Canadian hacks with elbows off his back, and he sits up and nearly works his way up. Henry stifles a guillotine choke without issue by remaining calm, and Jourdain uses the grip to work to his feet.
The choke is still wrapped around Henry’s neck, and Jourdain jumps guard to set up and lock down the guillotine. This time, it is exceptionally tight, and Henry does not have a way out. With no more options, Henry frantically taps out, surrendering for the first time in his lengthy career.
Jourdain sends a message to his new division with his stoppage win, while also showing off his new, impressive back tattoo.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Victor Henry R2 3:43 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Angelo is confident Victor Henry wins, calling Charles Jourdain 'just not that good' despite being fun. He thinks Henry has better technique and cardio, and will outwork Jourdain. He notes Henry is 37 but still looks good and fights smart. He placed a half unit bet on Henry at even money (minus 110). He acknowledges Jourdain has a fanbase but insists he is not an upper echelon fighter.

half unit on Victor Henry at -110
"Victor's going to be the pick and I actually threw a half unit on an even money at minus 110"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Big Brady picks Victor Henry to win by decision. He likes Henry's nonstop volume (8.5 significant strikes per minute) and notes that Jourdain is a slow starter and has struggled with wrestling recently. Brady thinks Jourdain won't be able to take Henry down and that Henry's pace will overwhelm Jourdain over 15 minutes. He is picking against another Canadian.

"I'm going Henry to win this fight just based off of you know just doing a lot more over 15 so Henry by decision for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Cody picks Victor Henry, citing his volume, wrestling, and experience. He questions Jourdain's weight cut to bantamweight and notes his recent KO loss and poor performances. He believes Henry's well-rounded game and durability will allow him to outwork Jourdain, especially if Jourdain struggles with the cut. He expects a close decision but favors Henry.

"I'm going to side with the volume and Victor Henry."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Jourdain to win his bantamweight debut, citing the size advantage after dropping down. He believes Jourdain's movement, kicks, and range will trouble Victor Henry, who has been outclassed by faster opponents. Vreeland notes Henry's toughness but thinks Jourdain's experience at higher weight classes and finally being the bigger fighter will lead to a win, though he wants to see the weigh-ins first.

"I'm gonna go Charles a Jordan to come out here and win his bantamweight debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Henry is a very experienced and difficult opponent who has never been finished in his 30-fight career. He will put a pace, pressure, and volume that Jourdain is not used to, allowing Henry to grind out a win on the scorecards.

"Henry has never been finished in his 30 fight career and I expect him to go out there and put a pace pressure and volume that Jourdain is not used to allowing Henry to grind this fight out and win …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Paul also picks Henry, noting his superior volume and wrestling. He is concerned about Jourdain's weight cut and recent knockout loss, and believes Henry's pressure and grappling will be too much. He sees the fight as close but expects Henry to edge it out, possibly by split decision.

"I'm with you I'm going to side with the volume and Victor Henry."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Victor Henry, citing Jourdain's physicality and dynamic striking. He believes Jourdain's clinch work and knees to the body will be key, and he predicts a TKO finish from the clinch. He notes that if Jourdain makes bantamweight effectively, he will have a significant advantage.

TKO from the clinch
"I'm going to go of Jordan with TKO I'm going to say it comes from the clinch"
LOSS vs Jean Silva
KO (punch) R2 1:22 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jean Silva 0 23 of 46 50% 24 of 48 3 of 7 42% 0 0 1:17
Charles Jourdain 2 34 of 55 61% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jean Silva 0 20 of 40 50% 20 of 41 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:34
Charles Jourdain 1 25 of 45 55% 26 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Jean Silva 0 3 of 6 50% 4 of 7 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
Charles Jourdain 1 9 of 10 90% 9 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jean Silva 23 of 46 50% 6 of 26 11 of 14 6 of 6 17 of 39 5 of 5 1 of 2
Charles Jourdain 34 of 55 61% 26 of 47 7 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 31 16 of 19 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jean Silva 20 of 40 50% 4 of 22 10 of 12 6 of 6 16 of 35 3 of 3 1 of 2
Charles Jourdain 25 of 45 55% 21 of 41 3 of 3 1 of 1 11 of 27 11 of 14 3 of 4
2 Jean Silva 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 9 of 10 90% 5 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4 5 of 5 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Jean Silva (147.5: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-120), Silva (+100)

Round 1
An all-action battle originally scheduled at 145 pounds takes center stage next, as ultra-aggressive Canadian striker Jourdain (15-7-1, 6-6-1 UFC) runs into the 92% finish rate of “Lord” Silva (12-2, 1-0 UFC). The latter came in heavy by 2.5 pounds, and he has surrendered 20% of his purse to Jourdain. With three decision wins across their 27 victories, referee Marc Goddard better bring his A-game to this catchweight match. Silva offers an apologetic glove touch to get things started, and Jourdain accepts. Jourdain says hello with a loud body kick, and Silva responds with a Mortal Kombat-esque extremely low leg sweep. Silva bounces out of the way from a left hand, and he leans back as a head kick buzzes past him. Two more head kicks from the Canadian miss, and Silva offers him a high-five after an exchange. Jourdain connects with a heavy low kick, and a front kick lands as well. Silva again whiffs on the head kick, and Silva once more high-fives him. Jourdain pounds on the front leg, and Silva is walking forward but not throwing anything of note. Jourdain jumps forward with a high body kick, and Silva pounces with two punches but lets up. “Air” lands another big kick, and Silva eats a left hand and tells his opponent to keep throwing. Jourdain changes things up with a sudden double-leg takedown, and he shucks off a guillotine choke but cannot keep his foe down. Jourdain gets to his feet first, and he fires off a head kick that misses the mark by a matter of inches. Silva leaps forward with a hacking elbow, and Jourdain bounces off the fence to find another angle. Silva misses with a jumping front kick, and his looping left hook is just slightly inaccurate. As Jourdain crashes the pocket, Silva blasts him in the face with a left hand. Jourdain hits the ground like a sack of potatoes, and Silva drops to his knees to land strikes before standing up and motioning for Jourdain to follow him up and trade hands. Silva moves awkwardly to mess with Jourdain, who is still struggling on his feet, and he connects with a number of heavy strikes including a huge left. Jourdain tries for another takedown, and Silva blocks it and elbows him several times in the side of the head until Jourdain abandons it. Silva pursues his man recklessly, unafraid of the Canadian’s power so he can throw bombs. Jourdain catches a kick and puts Silva on his back, but he cannot do anything with it before the wild round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
Silva claps hands and hugs Jourdain to start off the round, and he wants to say something but Jourdain is more interested in fighting. Silva gets off first, landing power strikes and otherwise making Jourdain react from mere feints. Jourdain shoots in for a single, and he drags Silva to a knee but Silva bounces back up to his feet with his back to the wall. Silva hacks at his man with an elbow in the side, and he allows Jourdain to abandon the takedown and lift his head up.
At the perfect moment, “Lord” unloads an uppercut that completely knocks Jourdain off his feet, and it is a done deal. Goddard steps in to wave off the one-sided beatdown, with Jourdain clutching the back of his head after it rattled off the floor.
Silva, who will unfortunately sacrifice a post-fight bonus for missing weight, is the first fighter to knock out the durable Canadian. When Jourdain comes to his senses, the two fighters embrace, and Silva proudly dons his team’s black-rimmed glasses of the Fighting Nerds. He even draws a smile from the stoic Goddard.

The Official Result
Jean Silva def. Charles Jourdain R2 1:22 via KO (Punch)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jean Silva

Cody picks Silva, citing his speed, power, and game planning. He notes that Jourdain is inconsistent and has poor takedown defense, while Silva comes from a strong camp (Fighting Nerds) and has a clear game plan. Cody believes Silva's physicality and striking will overwhelm Jourdain, and that he can win by knockout or decision. He also mentions that Jourdain often chases bonuses instead of fighting smart.

"I'm gonna go with Jean Silva to get the victory."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel believes in 'paying your dues' and thinks Jourdain's experience and veteran tactics will be the separator. He notes that Jourdain's loss to Woodson was a bad stylistic matchup and that this fight is different. He expects a back-and-forth banger where Jourdain edges out a decision, though Silva may have moments and raise his stock.

wins by decision
"I think that Jordan... is currently slightly ahead of Gian Silva and I think he's going to Edge out a decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jean Silva

The host leans Silva as a slight underdog, citing his speed and power advantage. He expects both fighters to engage in a wild striking battle, and believes Silva's physical attributes will allow him to land first and potentially get a knockout. He notes Jourdain has never been knocked out but thinks this could be the first time.

Silva by knockout
"I do lean Silva as The Slight Underdog in this spot... I think it's going to come to the speed and power advantage on the Jean Silva side and I think it ends up seeing him get the finish here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jean Silva

Paul leans toward Silva, noting that the line has moved from Jourdain being a favorite to a pick 'em. He believes Silva will land the more impactful strikes and that Jourdain's recent performances have been disappointing. Paul acknowledges that Jourdain has experience but thinks Silva's youth and power give him the edge.

"I'll lean towards Jean Silva but I feel like you kind of missed the boat if you're waiting until Wednesday to bet this."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Jean Silva. He believes Jourdain is more technical and better under pressure. He notes Jourdain's submission skills and ability to finish. He thinks Jourdain's best work comes against shorter, wild opponents. He predicts a second or third round TKO for Jourdain.

second or third round finish TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Jordan... second or third round finish TKO"
LOSS vs Sean Woodson
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sean Woodson 0 60 of 156 38% 78 of 175 0 of 4 0% 1 0 1:58
Charles Jourdain 0 80 of 168 47% 102 of 193 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sean Woodson 0 18 of 51 35% 20 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Charles Jourdain 0 31 of 72 43% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sean Woodson 0 22 of 46 47% 27 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:08
Charles Jourdain 0 28 of 51 54% 41 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sean Woodson 0 20 of 59 33% 31 of 71 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:45
Charles Jourdain 0 21 of 45 46% 22 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sean Woodson 60 of 156 38% 19 of 98 20 of 32 21 of 26 52 of 147 8 of 9 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 80 of 168 47% 59 of 143 10 of 13 11 of 12 70 of 156 8 of 9 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sean Woodson 18 of 51 35% 5 of 35 1 of 2 12 of 14 18 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 31 of 72 43% 19 of 60 6 of 6 6 of 6 28 of 68 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Sean Woodson 22 of 46 47% 8 of 29 9 of 11 5 of 6 18 of 42 4 of 4 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 28 of 51 54% 23 of 44 1 of 2 4 of 5 23 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Sean Woodson 20 of 59 33% 6 of 34 10 of 19 4 of 6 16 of 54 4 of 5 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 21 of 45 46% 17 of 39 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 42 0 of 0 2 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Sean Woodson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-190), Woodson (+145)

Round 1
It’s a likely firefight at featherweight as Jourdain and Woodson take to the cage, with Jerin Valel there to make sure things stay nice and clean. Jourdain immediately goes for a head kick, perhaps to give the tallest man in the division something to think about. Woodson switches stances constantly in the opening moments, sticking out a fast, long jab from both sides. A minute and a half in, neither man has committed to much in the way of full-speed power shots. Woodson catches Jourdain cleanly with a straight from each side. Jourdain comes in with a low stance, shoulder-rolling, but can’t get off any punches before he is forced to retreat. Jourdain lands a hard leg kick, then a solid punch upstairs. Woodson goes southpaw and snaps Jourdain’s head back with a right straight. Jourdain moves in and tries to corner Woodson against the fence, but Woodson puts his hands on his foe and pushes him aside as he slides out of the pocket. Jourdain steps in and runs right into an intercepting knee from Woodson. Jourdain lands a slapping spin kick at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson

Round 2
Jourdain wades forward behind a trio of punches but Woodson steps back, evades and lands a clean counter on the end of it. Jourdain comes in with another combo that clatters off the guard of the taller man. Woodson lands an outside leg kick. Jourdain responds with one of his own a second later. Two minutes in, Woodson is beginning to flow, waving his hands and switching stances before launching long single punches. Jourdain drops for a single-leg and gets it, but can’t finish the takedown even after running Woodson to the fence. They end up in a stalemate, with Jourdain trying to hoist the leg as Woodson counters with an overhook. They disengage and Jourdain lands a glancing spinning strike on the break. Jourdain is back to stalking, but continues to have trouble getting inside against the lanky boxer. Jourdain drops for another takedown attempt, getting onto Woodson’s hips and driving him into the fence. Woodson defends calmly, and Jourdain gives it up, launching another spin kick in an attempt to surprise Woodson on the break. Jourdain lands a head kick right before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson

Round 3
Woodson stands his ground as Jourdain advances, tagging him with a couple of glancing short punches, before circling out. Jourdain, looking perhaps to change things up, rushes forward with a flurry of hooks, then throws a spinning back elbow that comes up short. They collide and clinch, and it’s Woodson who ends up on Jourdain’s back standing against the fence. Jourdain hits him with a hard shot on the break, then immediately pursues and charges forward. He’s landing more, his relentless forward pressure clearly making Woodson uncomfortable. At the midpoint of the round, Woodson is back on the outside, and he counters a kick with a long uppercut to the body. Jourdain throws a spinning back kick, then another, but he’s out of range both times. He throws a third, with similar lack of success. Woodson hits his man with a body punch. Jourdain grabs a snatch single-leg, but cannot finish, and the takedown shutout by Woodson continues. With 45 seconds to go, Jourdain is throwing haymakers and spinning attacks, looking for a moment of fight-changing offense. Woodson goes for a reactive takedown and Jourdain grabs a guillotine, falling to his back and closing his guard as he does so. The choke is tight but time is short, but Woodson pops his head out at the 10-second clapper and is throwing punches from top position at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Woodson)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)

The Official Result
Sean Woodson def. Charles Jourdain via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Angelo picks Jourdain despite acknowledging Woodson's reach and takedown defense. He believes Jourdain's pressure, chin, and ability to keep the fight ugly will be key. He notes that Woodson showed grappling in his last fight but Jourdain's takedown defense is poor, yet still favors Jourdain's doggedness.

"the pick is good going to be jordane because he is such a dog and he has a couple different ways to win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Jourdain, noting that Woodson is a boxer who won't take Jourdain down, and if he does, he risks getting submitted. He compares the fight to Woodson's loss to Julian Erosa, where Erosa pressured and broke Woodson. He believes Jourdain's power, grappling, and third-round mythical status will lead to a late submission.

third round submission
"give me Charles jordaine to win this fight and win this fight by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Jourdain, citing his power, cardio, and home-field advantage. He notes Woodson's lack of power and wrestling, and believes Jourdain will overwhelm him with volume and power. He sees Jourdain winning by KO or decision.

"I think Charles Jourdain wins this fight... my boy Air Jordan gets the win."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Charles Jourdain in a fight he sees as a 50-50 banger. He notes both fighters build into fights and have opportunistic submissions. He gives a slight edge to Jourdain's aggressiveness and the Canadian crowd possibly influencing judges. He expects a back-and-forth war with a close decision or finish.

"I'm gonna lean a little bit towards Jordan"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Woodson vs Jourdain.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

I'm picking Woodson to win this fight on the scorecards. He is the better technical striker with a significant height and reach advantage. If he can stick with his jab and stay on the outside, he can outvolume Jourdain from distance. Jourdain's unorthodox striking could allow him to crash the pocket, but Woodson's chin might be suspect. However, I think Woodson does a good enough job rolling with shots and sticking to his game plan. I don't think Jourdain can successfully take a grapple-heavy approach either.

decision victory
"give me Woodson to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Paul picks Jourdain but is hesitant due to the -220 price. He thinks the fight could be close and Woodson's reach could pose problems. He notes the line movement suggests sharp money on Jourdain but still sees value in the Canadian favorite.

"I think Charles Jourdain wins but the current price of minus 220 I am a little bit nervous."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, despite Woodson's 9-inch reach advantage. He questions Woodson's chin and level of competition, calling his opponents not UFC-level. He praises Jourdain's improved shot selection, patience, and submission skills. He predicts a TKO win for Jourdain in Canada.

TKO
"I'm going with Charles Jordan over Shawn Woodson I think this is a little bit of a no-brainer"
WIN vs Ricardo Ramos
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 0 of 9 0% 0 of 10 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:58
Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 9 88% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 0 of 9 0% 0 of 10 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:58
Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 9 88% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 0 of 9 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 8 of 9 88% 3 of 4 4 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 0 of 9 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 8 of 9 88% 3 of 4 4 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Ricardo Ramos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-135), Ramos (+114)

Round 1
Kicking off the main card is a potential banger at 145 pounds, as the wild and crazy Ramos (16-4, 7-3 UFC) throws down with a man in Jourdain (14-6-1, 5-5-1 UFC) that properly represents his nickname of “Air” any time he can. Referee Herb Dean will join the two high-flying, frequently spinning, hard-swinging and extremely exciting combatants in the cage, hoping to not be struck by errant blows. Before the violence ensues, the featherweights tap their gloves together. Jourdain snaps into action with a body kick, and he swats away a front kick. Jourdain aims another kick to the midsection, where he leans back from three head kicks – the third grazes off his guard. Ramos tosses out a low kick, and he gets sniped with a right hand over the top. Jourdain slaps a head kick up high, and he grabs hold of a guillotine when Ramos charges towards him for a possible takedown. Ramos jumps over the legs and is in Von Preux position with Jourdain still holding on with the guillotine, and he presses his shoulder down on Jourdain’s throat. Ramos pushes his weight down to keep Jourdain in submission danger, but he lets it go to re-posture himself. Jourdain keeps his left arm around the neck until Ramos wriggles his head out of it, and Ramos looks to sneak into side control while sitting comfortable in half guard. Jourdain turns to his side, and Ramos times this so he can pass.
Both men somersault in a wild scramble, and Jourdain recovers first to latch on with a guillotine choke and pulls guard. This time, the submission is extremely tight, and the Brazilian finds himself firmly entrenched in the danger zone. Ramos has no way out, and before going out on his shield, he taps out.
This is a huge win for the no-longer-.500 Jourdain, as he becomes the first fighter to submit Ramos since 2016.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Ricardo Ramos R1 3:12 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Angelo gives a slight lean to Ramos, thinking he can pick his shots and work in takedowns. He notes Jourdain is tough but not technical, and if Ramos avoids the chaos, he can pot-shot his way to a win. Not insanely confident.

"I'm gonna go slight lean for Ricardo here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain to win by third-round knockout, citing durability as the key edge. He notes Jourdain has never been knocked out in 21 fights, while Ramos has been finished in three of four losses. He expects a stand-up war and trusts Jourdain's third-round cardio and power. He acknowledges Ramos may have early wrestling success but thinks Jourdain will take over late.

third round knockout
"I'm going to take Charles Jordan to win this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Charles Jourdain, highlighting his doggedness and ability to thrive in tough fights. He notes Ramos's weight cut issues (missed by 9 pounds) and tendency to fold under pressure. Jourdain's volume and durability should overwhelm Ramos, especially if the fight goes deep.

"I think Jordan wins in either scenario so no Shoei bet out of Polish honestly but hopefully our Canadian brother goes out there and gets the win."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel picks Jourdain due to consistency and maturity, contrasting Ramos's flakiness. He notes Jourdain improves as fights go on, with high volume in later rounds, while Ramos tends to fade or get finished early. He respects Ramos's talent but questions his work ethic and mental fortitude. He thinks Jourdain's durability and pressure will be too much, and he can win by knockout or decision.

"I'm gonna go with Charles Jordan like I know what I'm getting out of Charles Jordan whereas I don't know I don't know if I'm gonna get the Phenom Ricardo Ramos"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Lucrative James leans Jourdain due to durability edge and pressure. He notes Ramos needs a perfect game with takedowns, while Jourdain can have big moments on the feet. He thinks Jourdain may drop Ramos if the fight stays standing. However, he hasn't fully taped the fight and wants to review Ramos's top control.

"I think Charles Jourdain is going to pile on the pressure a little bit more and probably get knockdowns."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The host picks Ramos (Hakaru Hokamura) as a plus 120 underdog, expecting him to use a grapple-heavy approach to neutralize Jourdain's striking. He notes Jourdain's takedown defense issues and that Ramos has improved his wrestling at Team Alpha Male. He believes Ramos will mix in takedowns behind his striking, control Jourdain on the mat, and win a decision.

"give me Hikaru how much to win his second straight fight and I think he gets it done by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Paul picks Ramos pending weigh-ins, citing his takedown-heavy game plan from the Bill Algeo fight. He thinks Ramos can control Jourdain on the ground, but is concerned about Ramos's weight cut. He would swap if Ramos looks sick at weigh-ins.

"pending he makes weight I'll pick Ricardo Ramos... I'm kind of on the fence about it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, acknowledging he is 'too fun to be good' but believes he has the skills to win. He notes Jourdain's recent win over Kron Gracie and his training camp for this fight. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for fading in fights and being wild, while Jourdain is durable and technical. He predicts Jourdain will catch Ramos in round two with crisper striking, as Ramos swings wildly and Jourdain counters.

round two TKO
"I'm going with Charles Jordan over Ricardo Ramos now I don't really think all that of Charles Jordan I think he's a little bit too fun to be good..."
WIN vs Kron Gracie
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 32 of 57 56% 171 of 216 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:43
Kron Gracie 0 80 of 168 47% 175 of 266 0 of 0 --- 0 0 6:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 12 of 22 54% 48 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Kron Gracie 0 21 of 46 45% 34 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:33
2 Charles Jourdain 0 10 of 14 71% 68 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Kron Gracie 0 21 of 47 44% 55 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:03
3 Charles Jourdain 0 10 of 21 47% 55 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kron Gracie 0 38 of 75 50% 86 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 32 of 57 56% 18 of 37 1 of 6 13 of 14 32 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kron Gracie 80 of 168 47% 59 of 145 14 of 16 7 of 7 54 of 138 16 of 20 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 12 of 22 54% 4 of 12 0 of 2 8 of 8 12 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kron Gracie 21 of 46 45% 19 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 40 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Charles Jourdain 10 of 14 71% 5 of 8 1 of 1 4 of 5 10 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kron Gracie 21 of 47 44% 17 of 43 4 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 35 4 of 7 5 of 5
3 Charles Jourdain 10 of 21 47% 9 of 17 0 of 3 1 of 1 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kron Gracie 38 of 75 50% 23 of 58 8 of 10 7 of 7 27 of 63 6 of 7 5 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kron Gracie vs. Charles Jourdain
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-180), Gracie (+155)

Round 1
Styles make fights, and that could scarcely be said more appropriately the UFC 288 main card opener. Submission master Gracie (5-1, 1-1 UFC), competing for the first time since October 2019, will be hoping to shake off any rust in short order. He will collide with high-flying striker Jourdain (13-6-1, 4-5-1 UFC), who aims to lift his UFC record to an even .500. The Octagon ranger for this featherweight matchup will be referee Gary Copeland, and the fighters do not touch gloves ahead of the bout. They meet in the middle of the cage but do not throw much of note, pawing out with occasional jabs and hand-fighting. Jourdain splits the guard with a few such jabs, and he chains a few sharp punches and powerful uppercuts together to get Gracie’s respect early. Gracie walks forward, and reaches out with a right hand simply to distract Jourdain enough to close the distance. Jourdain fights off a takedown attempt frantically, and when Gracie re-engages, the Canadian chucks his man down to the canvas. Jourdain intercepts the rushing Gracie with an uppercut, and he stays on his back foot as Gracie is committed to stalking him down and looking for some kind of level change. Jourdain stops this in its track momentarily with a fierce combination, and he slides away from the plodding Gracie. Jourdain cracks Gracie again and pushes him off when Gracie tries to tie him up, and his uppercut continues to split the guard. As Jourdain is moving and sticking, Gracie snatches him up just enough to pull guard. The Brazilian gladly lands on his back, and he slowly moves his guard up high to threaten with a potential triangle choke or armbar setup. Jourdain is wise to it, and he slowly slides his upper body out of danger and softens Gracie up with body shots. Jourdain leaps back to his feet and hops away before Gracie can trip him up, and Gracie scoots on his posterior until the crowd boos him. Gracie stands back up, and he meanders forward to close in and tie Jourdain up. The two trade short body shots until Jourdain breaks out, and he scores a few uppercuts when backpedaling. Gracie throws two naked leg kicks, and Jourdain tags him with a few punches that damage his nose before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 2
Jourdain opens the round up with a few quick punches, landing fast enough to quell Gracie’s never-ending forward movement. Gracie wanders forward into the fray, throwing little in the way of offense as he is singularly obsessed with just getting his hands or legs on his foe. As they clinch, Gracie pulls guard, and he succeeds in managing to bring Jourdain with him. The Canadian positions Gracie in a bad place with his neck up against the wire, and Gracie is quick to roll for an armbar as Jourdain opens up with ground-and-pound. “Air” resets on top and starts absorbing elbows to the top of his dome, but he is not in submission danger. Gracie puts a high guard up again and looks to isolate Jourdain’s left arm, and Jourdain maintains heavy chest pressure to not let Gracie get enough space to secure anything. Jourdain ignores offense coming from his adversary, as it is short and not particular effective, and more of a setup for Gracie to try a submission. Jourdain explodes out of the guard and gets back to his feet, and he backs off and knees Gracie in the body when Gracie bears down on him. Jourdain strings several punches together that get around the guard, and he whiffs on an uppercut that lets Gracie close in. Jourdain swings out with an elbow, and he gets tagged with an unexpected left hand before getting mashed up against the wall. Gracie pulls guard once more to force the fight horizontal, and Jourdain shucks off arm control to drop down a solid elbow. The round ends with Jourdain in no particular danger.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 3
The last round kicks off, and Gracie slowly lumbers from out of his corner. Jourdain dances his way in and out, ripping body shots and keeping out of reach. Jourdain lands an uppercut and takes one punch on the chin, with Gracie throwing a modicum more of offense but not enough to make a difference. Jourdain tags Gracie with a right hand, and Gracie attempts to pull guard. Jourdain drives him to the fence and slides him off, and Gracie crashes forward and bangs his head into his opponent’s. Jourdain releases clean combinations, rarely throwing single blows and landing en masse. Gracie takes them on the chin, generally, and succeeds to pull guard again. The crowd lets Gracie have it for this tactic, and he does not adjust his approach and hopes to secure a submission. Jourdain pounds on the ribcage with short punches and elbows, not concerned with the grappling chops of his opponent, and he stacks Gracie up briefly. Gracie hangs on from beneath, until Jourdain sees and opening and darts back upright. Gracie follows him while on his seat, aiming kicks to the knees, and Jourdain answers with slapping kicks. Copeland forces Gracie to stand up, and Gracie carries out his perpetual forward motion that is unable to lock Jourdain down and do anything. Jourdain breaks away thanks to a knee to the body, and he slams a shin into Gracie’s liver. Jourdain slips a few punches and tees off on Gracie, who is taking a beating but not slowing. Jourdain jumps in the air with a flying knee with seconds to go, and he lets fly a few more punches and kick until the lackluster match ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (30-27 Jourdain)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (30-27 Jourdain)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (30-27 Jourdain)

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Kron Gracie via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Angelo picks Charles Jourdain because he is the more complete MMA fighter. He notes that Kron Gracie has been away for four years and in his last fight against Cub Swanson, he didn't attempt to grapple effectively and was pieced up on the feet. Angelo believes Jourdain's takedown defense should be sufficient against Gracie's poor wrestling, and that Jourdain's striking and speed will be decisive. He sees the most likely outcomes as Jourdain by decision or Gracie by submission, but favors the MMA fighter.

"I've got to go with the MMA fighter here right like how do I not pick the actual MMA fighter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Kron Gracie

Big Brady picks Gracie despite a 3.5-year layoff. He notes Jourdain has poor takedown defense (48%), and Gracie only needs one takedown to submit him. He acknowledges the layoff is a huge risk but believes Gracie's path to victory is clear: take Jourdain down, take his back, and choke him out. He predicts a first-round submission.

First round submission prediction
"I'm gonna take Gracie massive massive layoff here but I'll take him to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kron Gracie

Cody highlights that Jourdain has 48% takedown defense in the UFC and gets taken down frequently by lesser grapplers. He believes Gracie's world-class jiu-jitsu can exploit Jourdain's wild striking style, which creates openings for takedowns. Despite Gracie's four-year layoff, he sees value at plus money because Jourdain's recklessness plays into Gracie's strengths.

"he shows career takedown defense in the UFC of 48 percent and he's taking on Crown Gracie and KRON Gracie's plus money that's good enough for me man"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Connor also picks Jourdain, citing the X factors of Gracie's long layoff and uncertainty about his training. He notes that Jourdain is a very good striker who can stop takedowns after the first round, and that Gracie's best chance is an early submission. Connor believes Jourdain's power and pressure will be too much as the fight progresses.

"I just got to go with Jordan here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Kron Gracie

The host picks Kron Gracie by submission in round one, hoping Gracie learned from his loss to Cub Swanson and will be more aggressive with takedowns. He believes Gracie's high-level BJJ will find a submission against Charles Jourdain, who has struggled against grapplers.

Gracie by submission, round 1
"give me Crone by submission round one"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kron Gracie

Paul agrees with Cody and has already bet Gracie by submission at +230. He notes that Jourdain is dangerous at range but gives opportunities to grapple, and Gracie's path is clear: get the fight to the mat. He sees the line moving and expects Gracie to find a submission.

Gracie by submission +230
"Gracie by sub I just snagged a little bit of it at plus 230"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Jourdain, citing Gracie's four-year layoff and Jourdain's takedown defense and ability to get back up. He believes Jourdain will use kicks to bust up Gracie's lead leg and set up a body kick KO. He predicts a finish in the first or second round via body kick.

body kick KO in round 1 or 2
"I'm actually going to go with a body kit KO for Charles Jordan I think he's going to get the hands up higher throw a couple of head kicks throw a couple of leg kicks mix it up high and …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Zane picks Jourdain, noting that Jourdain's striking improves as the fight goes on and that he has good takedown defense after the first round. He acknowledges the risk of Gracie submitting him early but believes Jourdain's power and fluid boxing will take over in later rounds. Zane also mentions that Gracie's long layoff is a concern.

"I'm going to pick him."
Josh Culibao - Fight History
LOSS vs Ricardo Ramos
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 1 70 of 127 55% 92 of 150 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
Josh Culibao 0 27 of 118 22% 39 of 134 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 10 of 21 47% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Josh Culibao 0 2 of 31 6% 3 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:41
2 Ricardo Ramos 1 34 of 61 55% 36 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:28
Josh Culibao 0 10 of 33 30% 12 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ricardo Ramos 0 26 of 45 57% 36 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Culibao 0 15 of 54 27% 24 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 70 of 127 55% 40 of 91 9 of 10 21 of 26 58 of 112 1 of 1 11 of 14
Josh Culibao 27 of 118 22% 16 of 92 6 of 11 5 of 15 25 of 116 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 10 of 21 47% 3 of 13 2 of 2 5 of 6 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 2 of 31 6% 1 of 21 0 of 2 1 of 8 2 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ricardo Ramos 34 of 61 55% 19 of 43 1 of 2 14 of 16 23 of 47 0 of 0 11 of 14
Josh Culibao 10 of 33 30% 5 of 28 2 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Ramos 26 of 45 57% 18 of 35 6 of 6 2 of 4 25 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 15 of 54 27% 10 of 43 4 of 7 1 of 4 13 of 52 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 11, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Angelo picks Josh Culibao but is hesitant, acknowledging that Ricardo Ramos is dangerous everywhere and a live underdog. He thinks Culibao is a bit chinny and has mediocre takedown defense, but trusts his cardio and toughness to survive early chaos and find his rhythm. He notes that Ramos was just submitted in the first round but is still very good, and suggests the under 2.5 rounds might be a good bet.

Suggests under 2.5 rounds might make sense
"I'm picking kulow because I think he can defend a few of those takedowns and he is just such a dog and I trust his cardio and all that butardo hamos is very good and I think he's a great …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision, but is hesitant. He believes skill-for-skill Ramos can hang on the feet and has all the grappling upside, as he is a BJJ black belt and Culibao has made mistakes on the mat. However, he is terrified because Ramos has a history of quitting and has been finished in all five of his UFC losses, including back-to-back guillotine submissions. He notes Culibao seems tough as nails. He expects a close, competitive fight with Ramos mixing in takedowns, but says he might not bet this one.

"I'm going to still go with Ricardo Ramos I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision mixing in the takedowns"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Cody sees Ramos as the more skilled fighter with good wrestling and BJJ, and notes that Culibao has poor takedown defense and has been controlled in recent fights. He acknowledges Ramos has been submitted in his last two but believes Culibao doesn't have the same submission threat. Cody calls it a dogger pass and takes the plus money.

"give me Ramos for no other good reason then he's plus money into a doger pass fight"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, believing he has a clear path to victory via grappling and back takes. He notes that Culibao gives up his back and that Ramos is the more talented fighter, though durability and mental toughness are concerns. Vreeland sees this as a dog-or-pass situation and thinks the line should be closer to pick'em.

"we go uh Ramos there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The host picks Ramos but with very low confidence, noting his gritty style and ability to dictate pace. He questions Ramos' technical advantages and recent performances, and also doubts Culibao's ability to thrive in wars. He expects a decision win for Ramos, but hopes Culibao wins.

"I am going to go Koli B I'm going to go Koli B by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Paul likes Culibao's brawling style and forward pressure, and questions Ramos' weight cut and recent performances. He notes that Culibao has been competitive in losses and that Ramos has been submitted quickly in his last two fights. Paul believes Culibao's volume and pressure will be enough to win a decision.

"for my money he's the guy to be backing"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

The MMA Guru picks Josh Culibao over Ricardo Ramos. He criticizes Ramos as a quitter who makes dumb decisions, such as rolling for legs and ending up on bottom, or jumping into guillotines. He praises Culibao as consistently good, with a good chin, pace, and rarely getting caught. He notes Culibao doesn't gas out or put himself in bad positions. He expects Ramos to make a mistake and get finished.

"Ricardo Ramos is a quitter um he puts himself in bad positions all the time... I'm going Josh kibba to win this fight"
LOSS vs Danny Silva
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danny Silva 0 87 of 202 43% 89 of 205 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:03
Josh Culibao 0 45 of 107 42% 56 of 119 4 of 9 44% 1 0 5:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danny Silva 0 32 of 80 40% 32 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Josh Culibao 0 11 of 28 39% 12 of 29 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:25
2 Danny Silva 0 27 of 55 49% 28 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Josh Culibao 0 11 of 30 36% 13 of 32 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:59
3 Danny Silva 0 28 of 67 41% 29 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Josh Culibao 0 23 of 49 46% 31 of 58 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danny Silva 87 of 202 43% 59 of 168 20 of 26 8 of 8 86 of 199 1 of 3 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 45 of 107 42% 28 of 82 11 of 18 6 of 7 44 of 106 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danny Silva 32 of 80 40% 23 of 69 7 of 9 2 of 2 32 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 11 of 28 39% 6 of 22 4 of 5 1 of 1 11 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Danny Silva 27 of 55 49% 17 of 44 6 of 7 4 of 4 27 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 11 of 30 36% 10 of 25 0 of 3 1 of 2 11 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Danny Silva 28 of 67 41% 19 of 55 7 of 10 2 of 2 27 of 64 1 of 3 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 23 of 49 46% 12 of 35 7 of 10 4 of 4 22 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Angelo is surprised the line is -170 for Culibao, but he thinks Culibao is the much better fighter everywhere. Culibao is a solid, aggressive striker who throws with heat and is always live for a knockout, while Silva has clean technique but is not dangerous and can be taken down. He notes Culibao looked terrible in his last loss but still expects him to win, and advises jumping on the line early as it may widen.

"he's the much better fighter everywhere Danny Silva has solid Bodywork good technique but he's not dangerous and can be taken down if he has success on the feet Josh is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Danny Silva

Big Brady picks Danny Silva to win by third-round knockout. He likes Silva's relentless pressure and high volume, and thinks he can break Culibao, who has been finished before. He acknowledges Culibao's power but believes Silva's chin and pace will be too much.

by third round knockout
"I'm going to take Danny Silva to win this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Danny Silva

Cody picks Danny Silva as the underdog, citing his high volume and durability. He notes Culibao has low output (career high 53 significant strikes) and no takedowns in the UFC. Silva throws volume and can outwork Culibao, though he may get caught. He sees Silva's activity swaying the judges.

"Danny Silva is the underdog and I I see a world where Danny Silva just out volumes them just scraps with them."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Josh Culibao

The host expects a firefight on the feet but believes Culibao will eventually drag the fight to the ground and implement a submission-heavy game. He predicts Culibao will snatch a submission and mentions that the under 2.5 rounds is likely the best value.

under 2.5 rounds
"I do think that it'll be koui who eventually drags this fight to the ground and tries to implement a submission heavy game which should allow him to go out there and snatch that submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Paul picks Josh Culibao, citing his experience and power. He is not impressed by Silva's regional competition and thinks Culibao can intercept Silva's recklessness with his own power. He acknowledges Silva's volume but believes Culibao's power and experience give him the edge.

"I'm in on a little Culibao because he's got a little more experience and maybe he intercepts Danny Silva being reckless on the way in."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Danny Silva

The Guru picks Danny Silva, impressed by his contender series performance and pace. He criticizes Culibao's recent wins as unimpressive, noting he was manhandled by Jai Herbert and struggled against low-level opponents. He believes Silva's body shots and power will be key, and that Culibao is 'soft-bodied' and vulnerable. He also mentions Culibao took a beating from Lerone Murphy.

"I'm going with Danny Silva over Joshua cibau... I think Danny Silva's got this one he's tough he's powerful he's got insane endurance."
LOSS vs Lerone Murphy
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lerone Murphy 1 59 of 109 54% 87 of 144 3 of 5 60% 2 0 7:38
Josh Culibao 0 23 of 59 38% 40 of 77 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lerone Murphy 0 18 of 37 48% 18 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:13
Josh Culibao 0 11 of 34 32% 20 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Lerone Murphy 0 12 of 23 52% 24 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:39
Josh Culibao 0 7 of 16 43% 14 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:48
3 Lerone Murphy 1 29 of 49 59% 45 of 69 2 of 3 66% 2 0 3:46
Josh Culibao 0 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lerone Murphy 59 of 109 54% 37 of 81 15 of 18 7 of 10 24 of 61 12 of 14 23 of 34
Josh Culibao 23 of 59 38% 16 of 48 5 of 6 2 of 5 19 of 53 4 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lerone Murphy 18 of 37 48% 8 of 25 5 of 6 5 of 6 15 of 33 3 of 4 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 11 of 34 32% 7 of 26 2 of 3 2 of 5 10 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Lerone Murphy 12 of 23 52% 6 of 15 4 of 5 2 of 3 7 of 18 3 of 3 2 of 2
Josh Culibao 7 of 16 43% 5 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 13 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Lerone Murphy 29 of 49 59% 23 of 41 6 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 10 6 of 7 21 of 32
Josh Culibao 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Angelo favors Lerone Murphy's fluid striking and power, noting that Josh Culibao gets hit often. He mentions Murphy's takedown defense is low but he scrambles well, and the judges seem to favor him. He has a half-unit bet on Murphy at -145.

half unit bet at -145
"I've got to go with larone here though his striking is insanely fluid he's got a ton of power"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Big Brady picks Lerone Murphy by decision. He notes this is a different matchup than Murphy's last fight against a grappler, as Culibao has zero takedowns in the UFC. He thinks Murphy's striking and volume will be key, and he has hometown advantage in London. He believes even if it's close, the judges will favor the undefeated fighter in London.

by decision
"give me Murphy give me Murphy by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Cody picks Murphy, noting his well-roundedness, accurate striking, and wrestling. He thinks Murphy's volume and home crowd advantage will secure a decision. He is surprised by the line movement and thinks Murphy is being disrespected.

"minus 130 seems very very fair for Laurel Murphy so he's a guy that I've had circled"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Daniel leans toward Lerone Murphy, primarily due to potential hometown judging bias in London. He acknowledges Josh Culibao is a tough, scrappy fighter who finds ways to win, but thinks Murphy's volume and well-roundedness give him a slight edge. He notes that if the fight were in neutral territory, he'd view it as a pick'em, but in the UK, he gives Murphy a slight advantage. He expects a close fight, possibly a split decision.

Daniel says 'I'm gonna go later on by split decision' and mentions the line: Murphy -130, Culibao +110. He does not bet.
"I'm gonna go later on by split decision"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

James leans towards Josh Culibao as the underdog side. He thinks the fight is close and likely to go to a split decision. He notes that Culibao may have some advantages like takedowns but is open on the feet. He mentions that Murphy has power but Culibao has good recovery. James says whoever is the underdog is probably the side, and at +130, Culibao has value.

"I think whoever is an underdog in that spot is probably the side so I'd say cool about the side here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The host leans with Lerone Murphy, citing his physical advantages, explosiveness, speed, and power. He expects Murphy to land big shots and possibly knockdowns to thwart Culibao's pressure. He predicts a decision win but says he'll likely stay off the fight for betting.

likely stay off it for betting
"I'm gonna lean on the Murphy side here I believe his physical advantages his explosivity his speed his power will allow him to land those big shots on [ __ ] bow and grind this fight out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Paul picks Murphy, citing his heart and ability to overcome adversity in his last fight. He thinks Murphy's jab and accuracy will win rounds, and that Culibao's level of opposition is low. He expects Murphy to chip away and win.

"I will take a little Murphy at home to get the job done"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy, initially considering Josh Culibao but reasoning that Murphy's poor performance against Gabriel Santos was due to short notice and injuries. He believes Murphy's composure and technical striking will outpoint Culibao, and notes the UK crowd advantage. The Guru also mentions Murphy's ability to find top position and his difficulty to finish.

"I've got to go with larone Murphy"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:02 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Culibao 0 16 of 45 35% 16 of 45 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Melsik Baghdasaryan 0 26 of 44 59% 26 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Culibao 0 11 of 31 35% 11 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Melsik Baghdasaryan 0 18 of 30 60% 18 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Josh Culibao 0 5 of 14 35% 5 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Melsik Baghdasaryan 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Culibao 16 of 45 35% 3 of 24 3 of 8 10 of 13 15 of 43 1 of 2 0 of 0
Melsik Baghdasaryan 26 of 44 59% 6 of 19 8 of 10 12 of 15 24 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Culibao 11 of 31 35% 1 of 15 1 of 5 9 of 11 11 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Melsik Baghdasaryan 18 of 30 60% 3 of 12 5 of 7 10 of 11 18 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Josh Culibao 5 of 14 35% 2 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 2 4 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Melsik Baghdasaryan 8 of 14 57% 3 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 4 6 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Joshua Culibao
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Culibao (-120), Baghdasaryan (+100)

Round 1
Featherweights take center stage next in a matchup where neither man has ever landed a submission, so fists and feet are sure to fly. Repping his home country, Culibao (10-1-1, 2-1-1 UFC) collides with one of Glendale Fighting Club’s few remaining members in a major organization, Baghdasaryan (7-1, 2-0 UFC). Chins are sure to be tested early and often, so referee Peter Hickmott has strapped on his hard hat and is ready for the action. Despite the bad blood that developed on fight week, fists are bumped before they are swung. Baghdasaryan leads off with a leg kick, and he fires off a second in rapid succession. Culibao loops a head kick back in response, and he comes up short. Baghdasaryan pokes at the calf with his shin again, and Culibao winds up to make him pay with two of his own. The two trade low kicks one after the other, and Culibao changes stances after taking a particularly solid one. Culibao goes up high with a kick that is blocked, and he gets spun around from a chopping kick from “The Gun.” Culibao tries to close in and swipe out with a left hook, but Baghdasaryan is out of the way before it reaches him. Baghdasaryan digs a kick right to the liver, and Culibao winds up with one up high to respond but is just short. Baghdasaryan kicks the body again, and he settles down with a right hand when recoiling. Baghdasaryan gest off a low kick before Culibao can catch him back, and Culibao peppers him with three more as Baghdasaryan nods and smiles at him. The two get fired up and launch big left hooks, and Culibao begins to start checking the kick. Baghdasaryan goes up top with a kick and pulls back before Culibao can reach him in a reply. The two are trapped in a form of a mirror match, where one lands and the other tries to give the same blow back almost immediately. Baghdasaryan connects with a clean right hand to draw a stream of blood out of the nose, and he checks an oncoming low kick to follow. Baghdasaryan times a low kick to launch a left hand over the top, and Culibao just barely rolls it. Baghdasaryan spins with a back kick, and the heel smashes square into the cup and Culibao hits the mat in excruciating pain. Hickmott splits them up and informs Culibao he has five minutes to recover. Baghdasaryan tries to signal that it was not a groin shot, but on replay, he is informed of the foul. Baghdasaryan goes to apologize, and Culibao, still in agony, recognizes it was not at all intentional and holds no ill will. Culibao signals that after about two minutes, he is good to go, and the doctor is ushered out of the cage. Upon restart, Culibao lets fly a head kick, Baghdasaryan does the same, and the latter uses the momentum to fire off a tornado kick right before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan

Round 2
Baghdasaryan offers a fist bump, and Culibao accepts it. Baghdasaryan comes up short by a matter of inches with an axe kick, and they crash together in an exchange and clash heads. Culibao protests, and Hickmott to tells them to fight on as Culibao reels. Baghdasaryan does not give chase, and instead appears to take a little time to clear his own head. Baghdasaryan reaches out with his right hand outstretched to hand-fight, and Culibao winds up with two kicks that make Baghdasaryan nod at him. They trade low kicks, and Baghdasaryan targets the body with his shin. Baghdasaryan kicks low, and
Culibao stabs out a jab and tackles him over to the floor to grab hold of his man in an instant. Baghdasaryan turns to his knees to stand back up, but this is the worst decision he can make, as Culibao takes his back and latches on to a rear-naked choke. The forearm begins to crush Baghdasaryan’s bottom jaw with the Californian’s mouth open, and Culibao sneakily slides it under the chin to cinch it up completely. Baghdasaryan does not need more than a second or two before he surrenders,
and Culibao has now landed the first submission of his career. The crowd goes wild, and Culibao leaps atop the cage and motions to the crowd to give him a beer. “Kuya” does not end up getting one in time, but he will likely be treated to many on the way out and more celebrating tonight.

The Official Result
Joshua Culibao def. Melsik Baghdasaryan R2 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Angelo leans towards Josh Culibao, citing his impressive striking defense in his last fight and speed advantage. He notes that Melsik Baghdasaryan has raw power but struggled against a short-notice opponent. He expects a close fight and suggests betting on the plus 3.5 points line for the underdog, as it's likely a 29-28 decision.

Bet on plus 3.5 points for underdog
"I'm gonna lean [__] bow here melsic is likely the guy with more raw power but [__] about should be faster"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Big Brady thinks this is a close fight and has no strong lean. He picks Baghdasaryan as the better striker with more tools on the feet, but notes Baghdasaryan's cardio issues. He expects a close decision, possibly split, and acknowledges Culibao's underrated skills.

"I'm gonna take the better Striker ... Mel sick bogus sorry in here I'll take him to win by a very close and competitive decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Cody picks Culibao, noting he is young (28) and has shown power and wrestling. He thinks Culibao can mix in takedowns and pressure, and has the crowd on his side. He is not confident because Culibao is even money and he doesn't like betting him at that price. He sees Baghdasaryan as one-dimensional and injury-prone.

"I think cool about Springs what I would say was the upset but it's even money so we just Springs the win I guess"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Connor picks Culibao, emphasizing that Baghdasaryan's kicks are not a great way to maintain distance and that Culibao can pressure him, put a pace on him, and work his boxing. He notes that Baghdasaryan resets after every strike, giving Culibao opportunities to counter. Connor also points out that Culibao has remarkable poise and determination, and that Baghdasaryan's fights often look closer than they should because he doesn't finish people.

"I think cool about has even more than a lot of these fighters a pretty remarkable sort of poise and a determination to his approach."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Baghdasaryan has heavy hands and good power. Culibao's pressure style could walk into a knockout. Baghdasaryan has shown discipline and patience, finishing Colin England in round two. Culibao is durable but has been hurt before. Baghdasaryan's power should be the difference early. If it goes longer, Culibao's pressure could cause issues, but Baghdasaryan likely lands a big shot in the first round.

"I do think though that coolibow is gonna walk himself into getting knocked out in the early goings of this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Paul slightly leans Baghdasaryan if the fight becomes a 15-minute standup battle, citing his more complex striking and higher volume. He notes Culibao's low output in recent fights. However, he is not betting the fight and rates neither fighter's wrestling highly.

"if this fight turns into a 15 minute stand-up fight I'll ever slightly lean towards Mel sic bag disarion"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan over Josh Culibao, noting that Culibao's success comes from opponents getting wild, while Baghdasaryan is composed and fundamental. He expects a tactical fight with Baghdasaryan winning by decision 29-28, landing more strikes without getting into scrambles.

decision 29-28
"I'm gonna go melt it back to Syrian by decision 29-28"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Zane picks Culibao because he is a prepared and disciplined fighter who sticks to his game plan. He notes that Culibao has a knack for creating gritty wins and that Baghdasaryan's kicking-heavy style is vulnerable to pressure and clinch work. Zane believes Culibao can crash through Baghdasaryan's range, take him down, or grind him against the fence, and that Baghdasaryan's finishing ability has dried up at the UFC level.

"I think this is a very winnable, you know, it's certainly a more dissectable opponent than Charles Jordain, who Koolabow fought his way to a very, you know, hard battled draw."
WIN vs SeungWoo Choi
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Culibao 0 46 of 163 28% 64 of 184 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:30
SeungWoo Choi 2 51 of 111 45% 69 of 132 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Culibao 0 17 of 62 27% 18 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
SeungWoo Choi 1 23 of 47 48% 35 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Josh Culibao 0 16 of 59 27% 16 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
SeungWoo Choi 1 19 of 43 44% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Josh Culibao 0 13 of 42 30% 30 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
SeungWoo Choi 0 9 of 21 42% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Culibao 46 of 163 28% 29 of 137 6 of 14 11 of 12 39 of 147 4 of 10 3 of 6
SeungWoo Choi 51 of 111 45% 40 of 97 7 of 9 4 of 5 40 of 95 6 of 8 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Culibao 17 of 62 27% 13 of 56 1 of 3 3 of 3 15 of 58 2 of 4 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 23 of 47 48% 20 of 42 3 of 4 0 of 1 17 of 36 2 of 4 4 of 7
2 Josh Culibao 16 of 59 27% 10 of 50 2 of 4 4 of 5 15 of 56 1 of 3 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 19 of 43 44% 16 of 39 1 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 41 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Josh Culibao 13 of 42 30% 6 of 31 3 of 7 4 of 4 9 of 33 1 of 3 3 of 6
SeungWoo Choi 9 of 21 42% 4 of 16 3 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Angelo picks Choi, expecting him to keep the fight technical and avoid a brawl. He notes Culibao is tough and has power but is willing to fight dirty, which could be dangerous. However, he believes Choi's technical striking and ability to mix in takedowns will secure a decision win.

"i like joining this fight i think he can keep it technical avoid that phone booth brawl and cruise to a solid striking showcase win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady picks SeungWoo Choi to win by decision. He notes that Choi is a very good Muay Thai striker with power, while Culibao has zero takedown accuracy in the UFC and is unlikely to take Choi down. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Choi has the advantage.

"I got to favor SeungWoo Choi here I think he's the better striker so yeah pretty simple fight to break down for me pretty straightforward pick here give me SeungWoo Choi to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Cody picks Choi, citing his length, Muay Thai background, and improved takedown defense. He thinks Choi's striking will be too much for Culibao, who is shorter and less technical. He expects Choi to win by decision or late stoppage.

"i think this is a good spot for him to jump back on track"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Daniel Levi picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his physicality, knockout power, and technical striking. He is not fully convinced about Josh Culibao's ceiling and sees Choi as the better athlete. He notes that Culibao's best chance is to win competitive striking exchanges, but Choi's advantages should prevail. He is not betting the fight.

"my pick is gonna be song and also the size difference here I'm very curious to see how apparent that is"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Choi is the better striker with range and power. Culibao wants to brawl, but Choi can stay on the outside and pick him apart. Culibao's chin is granite, so a decision is likely. Choi is a solid parlay piece. I think Choi wins by decision.

Choi by decision (+175)
"I think troy is the better fighter better striker and if culibao's chin wasn't made of granite i think he'd be able to knock him out here but i think he's going to style on him for the majority of …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Choi's length and striking advantage. He thinks Culibao's takedowns won't be effective and that Choi will control the distance. He sees Choi as the rightful favorite.

"choi is the rightful favor minus 235 seems like a high price to be paying"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The MMA Guru picks SeungWoo Choi by 29-28 decision, but warns not to sleep on Josh Culibao. He acknowledges Culibao's skills and close fight with Jordan, but believes Choi's superior stand-up, reach advantage, and Muay Thai credentials will give him the edge. He expects Choi to win the first two rounds clearly, with Culibao possibly taking the third due to volume. He rates Choi's chances at 6.5-7 out of 10, not higher.

"i'm gonna go sung wu choy but do not sleep on joshua calibal"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Culibao 0 53 of 104 50% 87 of 140 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:04
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 17 of 63 26% 23 of 71 2 of 14 14% 0 0 6:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Culibao 0 11 of 14 78% 21 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 6 of 18 33% 9 of 21 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:40
2 Josh Culibao 0 21 of 44 47% 34 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 5 of 21 23% 5 of 22 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:54
3 Josh Culibao 0 21 of 46 45% 32 of 57 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:02
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 6 of 24 25% 9 of 28 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Culibao 53 of 104 50% 34 of 82 1 of 1 18 of 21 51 of 101 2 of 3 0 of 0
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 17 of 63 26% 13 of 55 3 of 4 1 of 4 12 of 53 5 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Culibao 11 of 14 78% 6 of 9 0 of 0 5 of 5 10 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 6 of 18 33% 4 of 13 2 of 3 0 of 2 2 of 12 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Josh Culibao 21 of 44 47% 12 of 32 1 of 1 8 of 11 20 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 5 of 21 23% 4 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Josh Culibao 21 of 46 45% 16 of 41 0 of 0 5 of 5 21 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 6 of 24 25% 5 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 1 6 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Big Brady picks Culibao based on superior competition and a strong performance against Charles Jourdain (a draw he thought Culibao won). He expects a decision win but notes a knockout wouldn't shock him. He acknowledges Nuerdanbieke's solid wrestling and striking but questions his level of opposition.

Culibao by decision
"i'm going to take josh cole about to win i'm going to say by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Cody Saftic picks Josh Culibao, noting that Nuerdanbieke's record is built on low-level Chinese competition and that he looked out of place in his UFC debut. He believes Culibao's boxing and takedown defense will be enough to win, likely by knockout. Saftic is interested in the under 2.5 rounds at plus money, as he expects a finish.

under 2.5 rounds (+155)
"under under i'm gonna bet the under"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Daniel Levi picks Josh Culibao, noting that Culibao has faced tough competition in the UFC (Jalin Turner, Charles Jourdain) and has paid his dues training with Volkanovski. He believes Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is not ready for the UFC, citing the poor performances of Chinese male prospects and the difficulty of the long flight from China. He expects Culibao to get his first UFC win.

"i think that this is a fight he's going to come out here show off all his hard work he's been training with volkanovsky he's been doing the right things he's paid his dues come out here and take care …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Matt picks Josh Culibao by KO, but is not betting the fight due to the high price (-250). He thinks Culibao's toughness and pressure will be too much for Shayilan, who has faced weak competition. He notes Chinese fighters have not performed well in the UFC recently. He sees Culibao landing better strikes and possibly mixing in takedowns, and likes the KO prop at +350.

Josh Culibao by KO (+350)
"i'm gonna go coolibao ko uh as my official prediction for this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Paul Shaughnessy picks Culibao, echoing Saftic's concerns about Nuerdanbieke's level of competition. He notes that Culibao has fought tougher opponents and that his boxing looked improved in his last fight. He believes Culibao will win by knockout or decision, but prefers the under 2.5 rounds as a bet.

under 2.5 rounds
"under is what i'm drawn to right now what's your take here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Josh Culibao

The MMA Guru predicts Josh Culibao will win by first-round TKO via a straight right hand. He believes Culibao will be too fast and powerful in the opening round, and that Nuerdanbieke's only chance is a first-round finish. Culibao will land a straight right down the pipe to put Nuerdanbieke down and finish him.

"joshua khalibal is going to win this one first round tko"
Draw (split) (30–27, 28–29, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 44 of 101 43% 68 of 126 0 of 0 --- 3 0 2:51
Josh Culibao 1 46 of 124 37% 51 of 130 0 of 7 0% 0 0 2:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 7 of 14 50% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Josh Culibao 1 10 of 34 29% 10 of 34 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:10
2 Charles Jourdain 0 16 of 43 37% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Josh Culibao 0 21 of 55 38% 21 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Charles Jourdain 0 21 of 44 47% 37 of 60 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:59
Josh Culibao 0 15 of 35 42% 20 of 41 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 44 of 101 43% 17 of 63 10 of 19 17 of 19 34 of 81 0 of 0 10 of 20
Josh Culibao 46 of 124 37% 19 of 78 22 of 40 5 of 6 40 of 115 2 of 2 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 7 of 14 50% 0 of 4 2 of 5 5 of 5 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Culibao 10 of 34 29% 4 of 17 3 of 14 3 of 3 7 of 30 2 of 2 1 of 2
2 Charles Jourdain 16 of 43 37% 4 of 24 5 of 11 7 of 8 15 of 42 0 of 0 1 of 1
Josh Culibao 21 of 55 38% 9 of 37 12 of 17 0 of 1 21 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Charles Jourdain 21 of 44 47% 13 of 35 3 of 3 5 of 6 12 of 25 0 of 0 9 of 19
Josh Culibao 15 of 35 42% 6 of 24 7 of 9 2 of 2 12 of 30 0 of 0 3 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Joshua Culibao

Round 1
Churning right along to a featherweight contest between two men hungry for a win, massive favorite “Air” Jourdain (10-3, 1-2 UFC) takes on Culibao (8-1, 0-1 UFC) in a scrap that has only seen them go the distance three times across their 18 wins. Referee Jason Herzog is charge of the cage for this one, and a glove touch precedes the action. Jourdain embraces his nickname by flying out of his corner with a flying kick that would make Liu Kang proud. Culibao evades it and backs off, and Jourdain is on him throwing kicks and a flying knee. Culibao grabs hold of him as he blocks part of the knee, pushing the Canadian into the cage and pursuing a trip takedown. Jourdain keeps his balance as he hops around while Culibao locks up a knee, and the two push off. Culibao throws up a head kick that gets blocked, and “Air” Jourdain slaps the lead leg with his own kick. They punch at the same time, and Jourdain targets the leg again. Culibao fires back with kicks to the body and head, and Jourdan walks through them but takes another kick to his waist. Jourdain hammers a leg kick that makes Culibao stumble, and Culibao blasts Jourdain in the face with a right hand to send the Canadian crashing to the ground. When Jourdain stands up, he gives up his neck and Culibao snatches on with a choke. Jourdain stands up as his nose is busted, and Culibao pushes him to the cage. Jourdain defends it by sprawling and fishing for a guillotine choke of his own, and Culibao pulls his head out and falls back into the same place. Jourdan wrenches him down and locks up the mounted guillotine choke before rolling to north-south position. Culibao scrambles wildly, bucking and yanking his neck out of danger. Jourdain gets up and allows his foe to stand, where he fires off one last kick to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Culibao
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Culibao
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Culibao

Round 2
Jourdain attacks the body in the early going, landing a few shots and avoiding a flying strike from the Aussie. Culibao connects with a right hand, and then a left-right catches Jourdain on the chin. Jourdain lures him in and leaps forward with a knee, but Culibao evades it in time. Jourdain switches to a pair of body kicks, and Culibao comes back at him with a lunging left hand. Culibao sticks out a few jabs and gets kicked in the leg, where Jourdain follows through with a left to the gut. Jourdain fires off a head kick and ducks a left hand, and he commits to another left head kick. Jourdain pushes off, and Culibao clutches his eye. When the action pauses as Culibao rubs his eye, Culibao admits that he poked himself in the eye. A surprised Herzog restarts the fight immediately, and Williams charges in and throws a few kicks. Culibao is ready waiting for him with a few thumping body kicks, and Jourdain presses forward but gets countered coming in. “Air” Jourdain lands another leg kick, and he barely blocks a one-two that comes screaming at his face. Culibao jumps forward with a few punches, and Jourdain slings a wild left hook. Three punches from Culibao end with a punch to the body, and Culibao stumbles and falls forward. Trying to turn this into a takedown, Jourdain latches on to the neck and turns Culibao over. Jourdain cannot sink the choke in as Culibao gets back to his knees, so Jourdain stays content to work the body until the horn halts the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Culibao
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 3
When the third round begins, Culibao kicks the body and pushes forward to press Jourdain into the cage wall. The Aussie pursues a body lock takedown, but he cannot secure it and the Canadian frees himself from his grip. Jourdain bites down on his mouthpiece and wings a right hand, where he hurts Culibao. Jourdain pours it on as he swings with reckless abandon in the form of wild punches and flying knees. Culibao backs to the fence and turtles up, where he waits for Jourdain to stop striking so he can unleash a few punches. Culibao manages to get him backed off, but Jourdain kicks at him a few times. Culibao lands a kick to the groin, but Jourdain is amped up and asks to keep going. Culibao shoots in low for a takedown, and Jourdain goes hunting for the guillotine choke again. The Canadian jumps down with the choke on top, but it is not tight, so he breaks the grip and lands some punches from half guard. When Jourdain tries to get off some more strikes from on top, Culibao recovers full guard and defends against most of the strikes that come his way. Jourdain postures up after scoring a few punches to the body by landing some huge shots. Culibao rolls over in pain, and Herzog thinks it might have been an illegal blow so he does not stop the fight. Jourdain hops on top to grab hold of an armbar, and while he is looking to secure it, he hammers Culibao on the top of the head with elbows. Jourdain tightens up his legs to turn the submission into a triangle armbar, and Culibao powers his way out and miraculously gets to his feet. Jourdain stumbles a little as he might have gassed his legs, and Culibao comes out firing. Jourdain leaps and misses with a pair of flying knees as Culibao points to the center of the cage to embody Max Holloway. The two oblige, trading right to the final bell to end this close fight with a flourish.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Culibao)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain vs. Joshua Culibao is ruled a Split Draw (30-27, 28-29, 28-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady confidently picks Charles Jourdain to win by knockout. He highlights Jourdain's durability, power, and technical striking, while noting Culibao was dominated by Jalen Turner and is not UFC caliber. He sees Jourdain as better everywhere.

knockout
"give me charles jordan to win by knockout here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel picks Jourdain, citing his higher level of competition and flashy striking style. He expects Jourdain to either stop Culibao or style on him, noting that Culibao will look better at featherweight but Jourdain's pace and spirit will take over late. He mentions Jourdain's wrestling defense is shaky but believes his striking will be the difference.

"i'm going to go with air jordan and get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The host acknowledges Jourdain's skill advantage but is concerned about his poor takedown defense, which could be exploited by Culibao. He predicts a first or second-round KO for Jourdain but finds the -440 line too steep to bet. He suggests inside the distance at -140 as a better option.

Under 2.5 rounds -145; Jourdain inside distance -140
"i still will go with jordan to win this fight via tko... but uh yeah i'm a little skeptical of that -440 line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Charles Jourdain, praising his last performance against Andre Fili and his improved wrestling defense. He criticizes Culibao's competition and believes Jourdain will win in dominant fashion, predicting a TKO in the second round.

Prediction: TKO round 2
"i'm going to be going with charles jordan getting it done against joshua khalibal by being a little bit too switched on"
LOSS vs Jalin Turner
TKO (punches) R2 3:01 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 0 55 of 91 60% 90 of 129 0 of 1 0% 3 0 4:21
Josh Culibao 0 12 of 28 42% 12 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 0 22 of 39 56% 25 of 43 0 of 1 0% 2 0 2:53
Josh Culibao 0 8 of 18 44% 8 of 20 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
2 Jalin Turner 0 33 of 52 63% 65 of 86 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:28
Josh Culibao 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 55 of 91 60% 38 of 65 17 of 25 0 of 1 14 of 37 9 of 15 32 of 39
Josh Culibao 12 of 28 42% 7 of 21 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 23 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 22 of 39 56% 9 of 19 13 of 20 0 of 0 7 of 19 6 of 11 9 of 9
Josh Culibao 8 of 18 44% 4 of 12 3 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Jalin Turner 33 of 52 63% 29 of 46 4 of 5 0 of 1 7 of 18 3 of 4 23 of 30
Josh Culibao 4 of 10 40% 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

Daniel Levi picks Josh Culibao for the upset, citing Jalin Turner's questionable chin and takedown defense. He notes that Turner has been knocked out multiple times and takes unnecessary hard shots. Levi believes Culibao, despite being undersized, has knockout power and can exploit Turner's defensive flaws. He predicts Culibao will get a knockout win and possibly a Performance of the Night bonus.

knockout, Performance of the Night
"I'm actually gonna go as far as picking him for a shock upset, so I'm gonna pick Josh Culibao to come out here upset Jalin Turner."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Josh Culibao

The host picks Josh Culibao, initially unsure but after learning Culibao is a featherweight, he sticks with him. He calls Jalin Turner 'complete trash' with an 8-5 record, and believes Culibao will get the job done despite being smaller.

"Joshua Kelly Bao is gonna get the job done over Joe Lynn Turner"
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady confidently picks Charles Jourdain to win by knockout. He highlights Jourdain's durability, power, and technical striking, while noting Culibao was dominated by Jalen Turner and is not UFC caliber. He sees Jourdain as better everywhere.

knockout
"give me charles jordan to win by knockout here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel picks Jourdain, citing his higher level of competition and flashy striking style. He expects Jourdain to either stop Culibao or style on him, noting that Culibao will look better at featherweight but Jourdain's pace and spirit will take over late. He mentions Jourdain's wrestling defense is shaky but believes his striking will be the difference.

"i'm going to go with air jordan and get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The host acknowledges Jourdain's skill advantage but is concerned about his poor takedown defense, which could be exploited by Culibao. He predicts a first or second-round KO for Jourdain but finds the -440 line too steep to bet. He suggests inside the distance at -140 as a better option.

Under 2.5 rounds -145; Jourdain inside distance -140
"i still will go with jordan to win this fight via tko... but uh yeah i'm a little skeptical of that -440 line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Charles Jourdain, praising his last performance against Andre Fili and his improved wrestling defense. He criticizes Culibao's competition and believes Jourdain will win in dominant fashion, predicting a TKO in the second round.

Prediction: TKO round 2
"i'm going to be going with charles jordan getting it done against joshua khalibal by being a little bit too switched on"