UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020 · Flyweight · Completed
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Age 33
Height 5' 5"
Reach 68"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - David Dvořák
3.48 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
3.29 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
0.58 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jordan Espinosa
4.22 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
2.94 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
David Dvořák - Fight History
LOSS vs Steve Erceg
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Steve Erceg 0 53 of 114 46% 56 of 117 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:57
David Dvořák 0 54 of 140 38% 56 of 142 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Steve Erceg 0 20 of 46 43% 20 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
David Dvořák 0 16 of 56 28% 16 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Steve Erceg 0 23 of 49 46% 23 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:10
David Dvořák 0 18 of 51 35% 18 of 51 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:04
3 Steve Erceg 0 10 of 19 52% 13 of 22 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:47
David Dvořák 0 20 of 33 60% 22 of 35 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Steve Erceg 53 of 114 46% 26 of 77 10 of 19 17 of 18 46 of 102 4 of 7 3 of 5
David Dvořák 54 of 140 38% 28 of 101 16 of 26 10 of 13 46 of 131 7 of 8 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Steve Erceg 20 of 46 43% 8 of 31 3 of 6 9 of 9 20 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
David Dvořák 16 of 56 28% 8 of 41 1 of 5 7 of 10 16 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Steve Erceg 23 of 49 46% 12 of 34 4 of 7 7 of 8 19 of 40 1 of 4 3 of 5
David Dvořák 18 of 51 35% 11 of 40 6 of 10 1 of 1 15 of 48 2 of 2 1 of 1
3 Steve Erceg 10 of 19 52% 6 of 12 3 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 0
David Dvořák 20 of 33 60% 9 of 20 9 of 11 2 of 2 15 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
David Dvorak vs. Steve Erceg
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dvorak (-260), Erceg (+220)

Round 1
Across this $80 pay-per-view, just six of the 11 bouts on the billing feature at least one competitor with a number next to their name, with three on the main card. The first rankings-worthy bout tonight comes all the way down in the early prelims, as Dvorak (20-5, 3-2 UFC) looks to hold the line and turn things around at the expense of debuting Australian Erceg (9-1, 0-0 UFC). When the cage door closes, referee Mitch Cadlick takes charge. The fighters elect to clap hands to introduce themselves, and the fight begins with Erceg looking for his distance with range-finding jabs. Dvorak moves busily from side to side, and he lands a solid low kick to start his own tally. Erceg whips a head kick at his man that is circling away, and Dvorak is moving well enough to avoid the worst of it. Dvorak chops down the calf with a few more blows, and Erceg walks forward to throw hands and has his chin checked in an exchange. Erceg shakes it off and responds with a low kick of his own. Erceg dodges a punch and wings a left hand that tags Dvorak square on the temple, and Dvorak staggers to the side for a few steps before regathering his thoughts. Erceg does not overextend himself, and instead of makes Dvorak come at him. Dvorak cracks his foe with a solid right hand, and Erceg takes a funny step but is responds with two punches. Dvorak reaches him with a right hand over the top, and they keep hacking at one another’s calves. Dvorak dodges a big right hand and bounces off the fencing, and his calf gets kicked hard. “The Undertaker” does not let him off the hook, instead kicking right back at him. Dvorak whiffs on a heavy right hand and has his guard up just in time to block a head kick. Dvorak stutter-steps into a low kick and one to the body, and he feints and fakes to smack Erceg in the face with a pair of crisp fists. Erceg comes up short on a high kick, and he times a right hand as Dvorak is ducking. Dvorak goes back to the calf with another kick, and he spins with a kick that grazes the chest. The round ends as Erceg gives chase.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak

Round 2
In the start of the second round, Dvorak strides to the middle of the cage, but he gives ground and gets back to his circular movement. Dvorak digs a left to the body and a left to the head, and Erceg takes them both cleanly without issue. Dvorak is out of the way before he gets reached, and the two start trading jabs from a safe distance. Dvorak comes up short on a right hand and slams his shin on Erceg’s calf. Erceg checks it, but the damage is done as it landed with a thud. Dvorak gets tagged with a right hand when looking for a winding punch, and he gathers his thoughts and sticks Erceg with a straight right hand on the way out. Dvorak digs another left to the body and follows it with a head shot, and Erceg is just delayed enough to miss on the counter and get kicked when Dvorak escapes. Dvorak catches a body kick and knocks the newcomer back with a right hand, and Erceg gathers his balance and lashes out with a five-punch combo that is all guarded. Dvorak ducks into a left hand and dodges a subsequent blow, and he is low enough to allow him to stifle a double-leg entry from the Aussie. Erceg flicks out a jab, only to get met with a stern low kick. The kicks from Dvorak have forced Erceg to change stances, and he checks a kick and takes a funny step. Erceg misses the mark and eats a straight right hand, and he marches forward to cracks Dvorak with a right hand. Erceg follows it with a lightning-quick head kick, cracking Dvorak and hurting him badly. Dvorak is shaken up, and Erceg attacks for a standing guillotine choke to drag the Czech fighter to the mat. Dvorak drops down and slides his head out, so Erceg re-adjusts the position to lock it back down again. Dvorak again survives the choke, and he claims half guard with 30 seconds to spare. Erceg manages to get off an upkick as he finds some space, and he fights his way up to his feet and lands a right hand and a big left just before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Erceg
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Erceg
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Erceg

Round 3
The last round kicks off with a glove touch, and the pace is not as frenetic as it was when the previous frame ended. Dvorak flicks out several jabs, and he slides around a left hand to land a straight right. Erceg loads up on power shots, and Dvorak’s movement is back and he is evasive enough to avoid the worst of it. Dvorak eats a jab and a right hand, and he checks a leg kick but cannot block a stabbing body kick. Erceg absorbs a front kick to the ribs in an answer, and the two meet in the middle and throw hands. Erceg throws himself off-balance, allowing Dvorak to kick him hard. As the two crash together, Dvorak falls to his knees and Erceg takes his back. Erceg abandons the position instead of overcommitting to it, and they both stand up. Dvorak is quick to catch a kick and drive the newcomer to the wall, and he starts kneeing Erceg with stern shots. Erceg powers his way out of the position and they return to the center of the cage to slug it out. Dvorak shoot in for a low sing-leg takedown, and he grabs the leg as Erceg defends with a guillotine choke. Dvorak bails on it and stands up, and he reaches with a right hand and changes levels quickly for a double. The Aussie throws up a guillotine, and he has nothing this time as Dvorak snatches his head out of it and drops down a few elbows. Erceg scrambles brilliantly and stands up before Dvorak can follow up, and he succeeds in bowling “The Undertaker” over and threatening the neck. Dvorak hits a sweep to roll Erceg over, and the two power back to their feet in the clinch. Dvorak meets him with a knee before they split, and he succumbs to a takedown and is quick to reach the fence and stand back up. Erceg lands the mat return, but Dvorak is only down for a matter of seconds. Dvorak works his way up once more, and he eats a knee while Erceg hangs on him from behind. Erceg lands a knee to the body, and a few punches on the side of the head right before the final bell sounds. The close fight ends, and it could go either way. Regardless of the winner, Erceg impressed the masses with his skills, taking a ranked fighter to the bitter end on short notice.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Erceg (29-28 Erceg)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Erceg (29-28 Erceg)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Erceg (29-28 Erceg)

The Official Result
Steve Erceg def. David Dvorak via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Angelo picks David Dvořák, noting his solid striking, forward pressure, and takedown defense. He criticizes Steve Erceg's striking, calling it unimpressive with a wide stance and limited head movement. He believes Dvořák's experience and fundamentals will prevail, and mentions that if odds are around -175, he would bet on Dvořák.

"David Dvorak should absolutely get this done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Big Brady picks David Dvořák because he is a significant step up in competition for Steve Erceg, who is taking the fight on short notice. Dvořák has fought top flyweights and has good takedown defense and striking. Erceg has shown good grappling but is unlikely to take Dvořák down. Dvořák should win a decision by being the better striker and stuffing takedowns.

"I think it's a matchup where it's just a little bit too soon for Earth it gets a little bit too much of a step up... give me Dvorak stuff the takedowns keep it on the feet and just be …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Cody picks David Dvořák, citing his experience and cardio advantage. He notes that Erceg has mostly first-round finishes and faded in his only decision win. Dvořák has gone the distance with top-10 opponents and has better striking and wrestling. He believes Erceg's short-notice debut and cardio issues will be his downfall.

"I am going to take David Dvorak but uh one of these dogs are going to come through I think he's got a decent chance but uh I again I got to settle with the favorite got to go with …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
David Dvořák

Connor also picks David Dvořák, noting that Erceg is a good scrambler but his level of competition has been low. Dvořák is a much better striker and has solid takedown defense; Connor points out that Bruno Silva took Dvořák down three times but Dvořák spent only a minute and a half on the mat and had two sweeps. He thinks Erceg's awkward striking and tendency to get surprised by takedowns will be a problem against a well-rounded fighter like Dvořák.

"But still i'm taking dvorak dvorak is a very competent well-rounded fighter."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Daniel Levi picks David Dvořák, arguing that Erceg is a first-round finish or bust fighter who gassed against a 2-0 opponent. He notes that Dvořák has fought top-5 competition and shown toughness, surviving a Kimura from Manel Kape. He believes Dvořák can win in multiple ways and will take over if the fight goes past the first round. He sees Erceg's cardio as a major liability.

"my pick is Dvorak to kind of Welcome this guy to the UFC"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Steve Erceg

James likes the value on Steve Erceg as a +235 underdog. He notes Erceg has good grappling, back takes, and submission ability, plus a height advantage and momentum with a 9-1 record. Dvořák is coming off two losses. James acknowledges Erceg might gas but showed he can push through. He thinks if it becomes a grindy grappling affair, it favors Erceg. However, he still believes Dvořák should win, so it's a value play rather than a strong conviction pick.

"I like Steve ursic I think he can get the grappling going I think if this turns into a grindy grappling Affair it favors Steve ursig a little bit more so I'm gonna stay versing side here definitely for the …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Dvořák is a solid all-around fighter with good striking combinations and underrated grappling, but his recent losses show he may have a ceiling. Erceg is a dangerous debutant with an 8-fight win streak and a black belt in BJJ, but the step up in competition is a question. The odds are too wide at -285; only a sprinkle on Erceg or a play on Dvořák if the line drops to -150/-160. Prediction is Dvořák by decision, but low confidence.

Over 2.5 rounds, Dvořák wins by decision
"I think that Dvorak is going to be a little bit too strong in the grappling situations and I think he'll be able to land with a little bit more emphasis in terms of his striking"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Steve Erceg

Paul leans toward Erceg as a dog, noting that he is tall for flyweight and a decent counterpuncher. He thinks Erceg's grappling is opportunistic and could give Dvořák problems. However, he is not confident enough to bet him, citing Erceg's cardio issues and short notice. He ultimately passes on betting but picks Erceg for the show.

"I think it would still be a dog or pass situation but I think I'm going to lean towards a pass but ersek will be the pick for the purposes of the show"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
David Dvořák

The MMA Guru picks David Dvořák over debutant Steve Erceg, citing Dvořák's superior regional career and experience against top flyweights. He notes Dvořák submitted a dangerous opponent in the second round and has fought the best, keeping fights competitive. He believes Dvořák's experience will be the difference against a newcomer, predicting a 29-28 decision.

"I'm gonna go with David Dvorak not because I don't think Steve urseg is gonna be anything in his career"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
David Dvořák

Zane picks David Dvořák, describing him as a very competent, well-rounded fighter with solid striking fundamentals (volume one-twos, low kicks) and good takedown defense. He notes that Erceg is a fun scrambling grappler but has poor wrestling and gets taken down easily early. Dvořák has never been submitted and is tough to outmaneuver on the ground. Zane thinks Erceg will have to outwrestle Dvořák to get the fight to the ground, which is unlikely given Dvořák's skills.

"I'm taking to vorac. Yeah, I mean not it not a super easy guy to out wrestle."
LOSS vs Manel Kape
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manel Kape 0 33 of 94 35% 55 of 122 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:42
David Dvořák 1 58 of 119 48% 67 of 136 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manel Kape 0 6 of 15 40% 16 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:59
David Dvořák 0 2 of 9 22% 7 of 18 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:17
2 Manel Kape 0 14 of 33 42% 25 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
David Dvořák 1 37 of 63 58% 38 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
3 Manel Kape 0 13 of 46 28% 14 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
David Dvořák 0 19 of 47 40% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manel Kape 33 of 94 35% 17 of 68 6 of 12 10 of 14 31 of 91 1 of 2 1 of 1
David Dvořák 58 of 119 48% 33 of 85 19 of 26 6 of 8 44 of 99 5 of 5 9 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manel Kape 6 of 15 40% 2 of 9 0 of 2 4 of 4 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
David Dvořák 2 of 9 22% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Manel Kape 14 of 33 42% 6 of 19 5 of 8 3 of 6 13 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
David Dvořák 37 of 63 58% 22 of 45 14 of 16 1 of 2 24 of 44 4 of 4 9 of 15
3 Manel Kape 13 of 46 28% 9 of 40 1 of 2 3 of 4 13 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
David Dvořák 19 of 47 40% 9 of 33 5 of 9 5 of 5 18 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
David Dvorak vs. Manel Kape
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kape (-240), Dvorak (+200)

Round 1
Flyweights grace the cage next in a surprisingly important matchup for divisional relevance, surprising in how low this fight is placed for one that will determine a top-10 fighter at 125 pounds. Dvorak (20-4, 3-1 UFC) currently resides within that range, while Kape (17-6, 2-2 UFC) aims to break in and likely hunts for a dramatic finish to get there. With only five decisions across their 37 pro wins, referee Keith Peterson expects no nonsense here. There is no bad blood, as the contenders touch ‘em up before aiming to knock the other’s block off. The fighters are tentative to begin, heavily respecting the power of the other. Dvorak stays on the outside well out of striking range, and he scores one calf kick before darting away. Kape lines up his heavy overhand right but does not launch it, as Dvorak strafes away. Kape begins to showboat by putting his hands behind his back, hoping that he will draw Dvorak into an engagement, and he switches stances to give chase. Dvorak sinks in another powerful calf kick, and Kape is quick to changes stances to protect that lead wheel. Kape walks into a kick, and Dvorak continues to move and do circles around the cage. When Dvorak goes after another kick, Kape springs into action with a few punches, and Dvorak escapes in the nick of time. Kape charges and scores an uppercut, and as he attempts to follow it, Dvorak intercepts him and hits a speedy takedown to land in side control. When “The Undertaker” looks to pass to mount, Kape drags him back to his guard and closes it. Dvorak exerts heavy shoulder pressure and tries to weigh heavily, and Kape throws a few strikes from off his back. Kape gets stacked up and cracked with a left hand, and he fights off a Kape triangle or armbar setup. Kape isolates the left arm for a kimura, possibly looking to sweep his foe, and Dvorak settles for elbows to the thigh and side to answer. Kape keeps cranking the arm, and he gets it out and puts it behind Dvorak’s back and rolls his foe over. Dvorak fights with all his might to tough it out, and Kape torques it to a nasty angle but does not get the tap he seeks. The round ends before he can achieve the submission, but it might have won him the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 2
Doctors check Dvorak between rounds to make sure his left arm has not taken any serious damage, as he held it walking back to his corner. He shows the medical staff he can stretch his arms just fine, and he is cleared to continue. The second round begins cautiously again, as Dvorak does not throw much from that hurt wing, but he doubles down with right hands when Kape comes at him. Kape waits for the perfect shot, staying in the center of the cage without using much offense, and springing into action every so often. Dvorak sees the blitzes coming and circles away from the power, moving laterally when Kape changes stances to chase. Kape bears down on his man and cracks him with two short punches, and he hops away when “The Undertaker” wings a right hand at him. Dvorak times a big right over the top, but it is one-and-done as Kape counters and misses. Dvorak thumps a calf kick home to prompt a change in stances, and he walks straight into a flying knee. Kape lines up a right hook and ducks straight into a head kick, but he eats it without issue and plods forward. Kape points at his damaged opponent and staggers him with a short salvo, doing enough to make Dvorak falls to his back. Dvorak aims upkicks while Kape attempts to finish the job, and he survives and even throws a wild kick off his back to nearly slap Kape in the face. “Starboy” calls him to stand back up, and he marches forward to rip the body with a pair of punches, Kape knows his foe is in trouble, and he bust him up with punches to the head and ribcage. Dvorak is tough, and he absorbs a clean spinning back elbow on the jaw and times the movement perfectly to shove Kape over, move on top and take Kape’s back. Nearly able to reach for a rear-naked choke, Dvorak elects to heel kick the side and posterior until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 3
Fists get bumped to start off the last round, and Dvorak’s movement and footwork is back beneath him after having the minute to clear his head. Dvorak swings and misses with two lunging hooks, and he dips back when Kape swats at him with a left hook. Dvorak begins to press forward, and he reaches up with spinning high kick. Kape dodges and showboats to look around and away, and Dvorak lunges in to strike. Kape intercepts him with a low kick and a short left hand, but Dvorak continues to move and throw in response. Dvorak gets a right hand over the top, and he closes in and gets uppercutted for his work. Kape is in his element, sniping with strikes and busting the Czech fighter’s nose open. When Kape leaps in, Dvorak pushes off with his fingers out, and Kape calls an eye poke. Peterson sees the possible foul, assesses that it was a legal but odd push-off, and restarts them. Dvorak goes low with a calf kick and scores a left, and Kape begins to start dribbling an invisible basketball. Dvorak races in with a takedown, knowing he is likely down on the scorecards, and Kape is too slick to get hold of him for long. Dvorak comes in with a jab, and Kape puts his hands behind his back and leans forward. When Kape attempts to set up a knee, Dvorak catches him with a left hook, but Kape does not mind. Dvorak lands again, and Kape gets caught but still continues to motion and make fun of his opponent. Dvorak gets hit on the way in, but he connects with his own punches until they crash together. Peterson checks to make sure the two did not clash heads, and he resets them in the clinch. Dvorak pushes off and swings with all his might, tagging Kape with a left and a right. Kape dances out of the way and swaggers off, with “The Undertaker” unable to catch him before the final bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)

The Official Result
Manel Kape def. David Dvorak via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Angelo picks David Dvořák, believing his technical soundness and leg kicks will neutralize Manel Kape's explosiveness. He expects a somewhat boring fight similar to Dvořák's last one, with Dvořák chopping down the tree and taking a decision. He notes Kape can be hesitant and lets opponents set the pace.

Plans to bet on Dvořák plus 3.5 (bet online exclusive) because he thinks Dvořák can win or at least lose a 29-28 decision
"I like Dvorak to chop down the tree and take the decision this is a striker for Striker but I do think it's gonna be a pretty boring fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Big Brady likes Kape to finish Dvořák, noting Kape's 94% finish rate as a flyweight. He acknowledges Kape can be low-volume and has lost decisions when he doesn't let his hands go, but in recent fights he's been more active. He thinks Kape's takedown defense has improved, and if he keeps it on the feet he'll land a big shot. He predicts a second-round knockout.

Kape wins by KO in round 2
"I like cop here I think is very dangerous I like him to finish Dvorak and I will say he does finish him in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Cody picks Kape, noting his dynamic striking and power. He thinks Kape has turned a corner with his aggression and volume. He notes Dvořák is durable but low output, and Kape's shots will matter more. He expects Kape to get the job done.

"sign me up from mental copy get the job done"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Connor picks Kape, citing his fight-changing power and athleticism. He notes Dvořák got rocked multiple times by Nicolau and Kape is faster and more powerful. He thinks Kape's pressure will be effective and that Dvořák's consistency may not overcome Kape's danger.

"I just can't really look at that nikolov fight in particular and see dvorak just getting rocked so many times without leaning towards mano cop"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
David Dvořák

Dvořák has many paths to victory if he stays safe. He was a -125 favorite against Nico last time, showing his potential. After one loss, Kape is now a big favorite, which doesn't make sense. If the fight goes the full 15 minutes, the +205 will look good. Dvořák needs to stay conscious.

1 unit at +205
"Dvorak has a lot of uh paths to Victory here if he can stay safe uh which is possible"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Paul picks Kape but is not confident, noting both fighters are low volume. He thinks the minus 235 is scary if it goes to decision. He sees Dvořák as the value side but picks Kape for the show.

"I'll pick cop for the purposes of the show but not a spot that I have very very much confidence in"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Manel Kape

The MMA Guru picks Manel Kape over David Dvořák, believing Kape should have beaten Matheus Nicolau and has looked impressive against Zhalgas Zhumagulov and Ode' Osbourne. He questions Dvořák's level, noting his close fight with Nicolau and lack of explosiveness. He sees Kape as more explosive with higher finishing potential and good work on the outside, where Dvořák operates. He predicts a 29-28 or 30-27 decision win for Kape.

"I'm going to be going with manil cap here over David Dvorak"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Zane picks Kape, noting he is a more dangerous, faster, harder-hitting fighter. He thinks Dvořák is consistent but Kape's power is rare at flyweight. He acknowledges Dvořák could find a back take in a scramble but expects Kape to hit him hard enough to prevent that.

"It is really just a simple athleticism pick like cop it's just a more dangerous faster harder hitting fighter"
LOSS vs Matheus Nicolau
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matheus Nicolau 1 36 of 81 44% 46 of 94 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:48
David Dvořák 0 39 of 110 35% 60 of 134 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matheus Nicolau 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
David Dvořák 0 12 of 26 46% 12 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Matheus Nicolau 1 17 of 35 48% 26 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
David Dvořák 0 19 of 48 39% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Matheus Nicolau 0 13 of 30 43% 14 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
David Dvořák 0 8 of 36 22% 28 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matheus Nicolau 36 of 81 44% 21 of 62 10 of 13 5 of 6 33 of 77 1 of 1 2 of 3
David Dvořák 39 of 110 35% 25 of 87 6 of 13 8 of 10 33 of 99 4 of 7 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matheus Nicolau 6 of 16 37% 4 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
David Dvořák 12 of 26 46% 10 of 21 0 of 2 2 of 3 10 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Matheus Nicolau 17 of 35 48% 9 of 26 5 of 6 3 of 3 15 of 32 0 of 0 2 of 3
David Dvořák 19 of 48 39% 10 of 36 5 of 7 4 of 5 17 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 1
3 Matheus Nicolau 13 of 30 43% 8 of 24 3 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
David Dvořák 8 of 36 22% 5 of 30 1 of 4 2 of 2 6 of 31 0 of 2 2 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Angelo picks Matheus Nicolau but says his brain and gut are split. He notes that while David Dvořák is more comfortable everywhere, Nicolau has better wrestling and solid grappling, giving him more ways to win. He calls it razor thin.

"the pick is nikolai but this is another razor thin fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Big Brady picks Matheus Nicolau as an underdog to win a close decision. He notes that Nicolau has fought better competition and is more well-rounded, with solid wrestling and BJJ. He is concerned about Nicolau's chin, as he has been knocked out twice, but believes he can mix in takedowns and win a competitive fight. He thinks the line should be closer to a pick'em.

"I'm gonna side with a dog here and nick allowed to win a very close decision in this one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Cody agrees with Nicolau, noting his adaptability and wrestling. He thinks Dvořák is talented but untested. He expects Nicolau to implement a good game plan and win a decision.

"i'm with you nikolao going on the card for yours truly"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Daniel Levi leans David Dvořák, citing Nicolau's questionable chin and confidence since the Dustin Ortiz KO. He thinks Dvořák's pressure and wrestling will grind out a close decision. He acknowledges Nicolau is a live dog and the fight could go either way, but slightly favors Dvořák.

"I slightly leaned to vorack here but i'd be happy if you talked me on the uh nickel out here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Dvořák

The host favors Dvořák, praising his disciplined striking, combination punching, and takedown defense. He believes Nicolau will be outgunned on the feet and will need to take the fight to the ground to have success, but Dvořák's takedown defense looks good. He expects Dvořák to win a decision, noting that Nicolau has a good chin but will be put on his back foot.

Dvořák by decision at +155
"i'm a big david dvorak fan um again combinations uh great discipline doesn't have really any wasted movement"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Paul picks Nicolau as an underdog, citing his talent and game planning. He notes Dvořák's lower level of opposition and potential grappling issues. He thinks Nicolau can expose Dvořák's weaknesses and win a close fight.

"i think the tooth nikon might be the guy to pull it off"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

The MMA Guru picks Matheus Nicolau as an underdog over David Dvořák, arguing that Nicolau is more well-rounded and has better performances against common opponents. He compares Nicolau's close decision loss to Manel Kape (who had a close fight with Alexandre Pantoja) to Dvořák's close decision win over Jordan Espinoza, favoring Nicolau's resume. The Guru also notes Nicolau's recent activity and age parity, predicting a decision win.

"i'm going to go with matthias nikolao over david dvorak"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:18 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Dvořák 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:23
Juancamilo Ronderos 0 11 of 32 34% 12 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Dvořák 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:23
Juancamilo Ronderos 0 11 of 32 34% 12 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Dvořák 9 of 28 32% 4 of 19 4 of 8 1 of 1 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Juancamilo Ronderos 11 of 32 34% 5 of 25 2 of 2 4 of 5 8 of 27 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Dvořák 9 of 28 32% 4 of 19 4 of 8 1 of 1 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Juancamilo Ronderos 11 of 32 34% 5 of 25 2 of 2 4 of 5 8 of 27 3 of 5 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Big Brady picks Dvořák, citing his superior striking output and defense. He notes Dvořák's high finish rate (79%) compared to Paiva's 35%, and expects Dvořák to outland him over three rounds. He sees the fight staying standing and predicts a decision win, though he'd have interest if the line drops further.

Dvořák by decision; would bet if line drops
"i'll take the vork to win by decision give me the vorak"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Juancamilo Ronderos

Cody Saftic picks Juancamilo Ronderos as a dog, noting that Dvořák's competition level is questionable and that Ronderos has more experience against better opposition. He believes Ronderos's pressure and awkward striking will test Dvořák, and that the fight is closer to 50-50. He likes the plus money value.

"i got it marked closer to 50 50 and so for that reason i'm going to label a dog or pass and go with rolly and payback plus 115"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Juancamilo Ronderos

Daniel Levi picks Juancamilo Ronderos (referred to as 'Holiyon Paiva' in transcript, likely a mispronunciation of Juancamilo Ronderos), citing his durability, brawling style, and training at Alpha Male. He acknowledges Dvořák's technical skills and positional advantages but is concerned about Dvořák's chin, noting he got wobbled in previous fights. He thinks Ronderos can edge it out but calls it a dog or pass situation.

"i'm gonna go with pivot to edge it out man i think it's a dog or pass situation and you know i'm rolling with my favorite flyweight prospect uh holly and piva"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Juancamilo Ronderos

Matt picks Juancamilo Ronderos (referred to as Holly and Paiva) as a strong dog pick. He believes Paiva's outside striking and movement will trouble Dvořák, who has fought more willing opponents. He notes Paiva should have won the Kai Kara-France fight and was competitive against Zhalgas Zhumagulov. He thinks Paiva's reach and technical striking will earn him a decision, and calls this one of his stronger dog leans.

"i do like paiva here uh i do think he ends up getting the decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul Shaughnessy does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup but does not state a preference, instead deferring to Saftic's analysis. He seems uncertain and does not offer a pick.

"yeah i don't know this one's got me bugged out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
David Dvořák

The MMA Guru predicts David Dvořák will win by third-round TKO. He expects Ronderos to come out aggressively in the first round looking for a finish, but Dvořák will defend and then invest in leg kicks in the second round. By the third round, Dvořák's cardio and accumulated damage from front kicks and leg kicks will lead to a TKO finish against the cage.

"david dvorak's going to win this one i think he's going to win it by third round tko"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Dvořák 0 50 of 162 30% 50 of 162 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 68 of 146 46% 69 of 147 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Dvořák 0 15 of 48 31% 15 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 David Dvořák 0 15 of 52 28% 15 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 David Dvořák 0 20 of 62 32% 20 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 31 of 51 60% 32 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Dvořák 50 of 162 30% 16 of 119 14 of 20 20 of 23 47 of 156 3 of 6 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 68 of 146 46% 30 of 90 8 of 19 30 of 37 61 of 135 7 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Dvořák 15 of 48 31% 5 of 35 3 of 5 7 of 8 15 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 18 of 41 43% 8 of 23 2 of 7 8 of 11 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 David Dvořák 15 of 52 28% 7 of 43 4 of 5 4 of 4 14 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 19 of 54 35% 9 of 38 2 of 5 8 of 11 17 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 David Dvořák 20 of 62 32% 4 of 41 7 of 10 9 of 11 18 of 58 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 31 of 51 60% 13 of 29 4 of 7 14 of 15 26 of 43 5 of 8 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Big Brady picks David Dvořák due to better cardio and a 14-fight win streak. He notes Espinosa tends to gas out and is chinny, while Dvořák has a good submission game. He expects Dvořák to win a decision, possibly with a submission if Espinosa shoots.

"i'm gonna go with dvorak in this fight due to the fact that he's going to have the bitter cardio"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

The host favors Jordan Espinosa's speed, mobility, and takedown defense, believing he will outpoint David Dvořák. He notes Dvořák's questionable competition and struggles against mobile fighters, while Espinosa has shown improved striking and defensive wrestling. He expects Espinosa to win a decision, using his quick jab and movement to frustrate Dvořák.

"I like espinoza in this fight i think he just outpoints dvorak here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

The host picks Jordan Espinosa over David Dvořák, citing Dvořák's lack of impressive wins on his record and Espinosa's experience and momentum from his last performance. He notes that Dvořák hasn't faced top competition and that Espinosa's recent win over Mark de la Rosa shows he's in good form. The host acknowledges he's rooting for Dvořák as a newcomer but doesn't see him getting past Espinosa.

"I'm picking Jordan Espinosa to win as weird as that sounds... I'm probably going to be going with Jordan Espinosa here getting the job done over David Dvořák."
WIN vs Bruno Silva
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Dvořák 0 45 of 97 46% 60 of 112 3 of 11 27% 0 0 1:32
Bruno Silva 0 67 of 133 50% 92 of 161 0 of 1 0% 0 2 1:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Dvořák 0 19 of 33 57% 23 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:51
Bruno Silva 0 14 of 38 36% 21 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 David Dvořák 0 8 of 21 38% 10 of 23 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:13
Bruno Silva 0 17 of 35 48% 29 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:05
3 David Dvořák 0 18 of 43 41% 27 of 52 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:28
Bruno Silva 0 36 of 60 60% 42 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Dvořák 45 of 97 46% 25 of 69 12 of 17 8 of 11 35 of 82 8 of 10 2 of 5
Bruno Silva 67 of 133 50% 35 of 86 24 of 37 8 of 10 51 of 107 14 of 24 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Dvořák 19 of 33 57% 11 of 23 3 of 4 5 of 6 15 of 26 2 of 2 2 of 5
Bruno Silva 14 of 38 36% 6 of 27 6 of 8 2 of 3 13 of 35 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 David Dvořák 8 of 21 38% 3 of 13 3 of 5 2 of 3 6 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 17 of 35 48% 8 of 21 6 of 11 3 of 3 12 of 26 3 of 7 2 of 2
3 David Dvořák 18 of 43 41% 11 of 33 6 of 8 1 of 2 14 of 37 4 of 6 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 36 of 60 60% 21 of 38 12 of 18 3 of 4 26 of 46 10 of 14 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. David Dvorak

Round 1
Moving down to flyweight, Silva (10-4-2, 0-1 UFC) tries to put Brazil on the board today against the debuting Czech prospect Dvorak (17-3, 0-0 UFC). Serving as the referee is Julio Catarino, and a touch of gloves kicks off this contest. Silva begins the bout by whiffing on a low kick, while Dvorak is similarly short with a jab. Silva times it with a low kick after changing stances, and then races in and is tagged with a jab while faking a spin. When Silva scores a low kick, Dvorak comes over the top with a left that marks up Silva’s eye immediately. The two load up and come together, and they do not gauge the distance correctly as they clash bodies together so they miss their punches. They do again, and this time Silva lands a left on the break. The Czech fighter takes a kick and then a punch from Silva, and eats a spinning back kick flush without any issue. Silva rushes in and the two clash heads, so when he backs away, Dvorak lands a few punches on the break. Silva shoots in and gets stuffed, so Dvorak makes him pay with some heavy punches. “The Undertaker” scores a heavy body kick, forcing Silva to consider a takedown, but Dvorak shucks it off and we return to the center of the cage. Silva closes the distance and Dvorak greets him on the way in with a few quick punches, leading Silva to back off. The Brazilian stings Dvorak with a right hand in an exchange, and cracks him on the chin with a front kick. Dvorak stumbles and is in a bad way, allowing Silva to crash forward and hit the takedown by practically bull rushing Dvorak over. Silva passes to half guard, but Dvorak protects himself from worse position by backing himself against the fence. Silva chains together a few punches to conclude the round, possibly stealing it back.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The two men both open up with front kicks to the body, and as Dvorak goes low with a kick, Silva considers taking a takedown. Dvorak fights it off and throws a body kick, before landing another that draws a reaction from the Brazilian. “The Undertaker” is pushing the pace now, and stuffs a quick takedown from Silva followed by some short knees up the middle. Silva rushes in, intent on landing a takedown, and Dvorak shoves him away. Silva tries to emulate the success of the previous round with a big front kick to the face, but Dvorak ducks out of the way. The Czech fighter stuffs another takedown, standing Silva up and landing a few punches on the way out. Silva spins himself into a fury as he misses with a spinning back fist, so Dvorak counters the momentum by scoring a front kick to the breadbasket. Silva lands a few punches that Dvorak shrugs off, and Dvorak loads up with a right hand and then a body kick. Silva returns fire with the similar combination, but only lands the kick. Dvorak commits to the body kick again, and this time Silva catches it and takes Dvorak down. Dvorak scrambles and reverses position, landing on top where he takes half guard while trying to smack him with elbows. The action stalls as Dvorak is unable to get punches off, but finally pulls his arm free to drop down two short elbows. Silva times the offense to shove Dvorak off of him, and the two trade quick punches until Dvorak leaps in the air with a flying knee. The knee glances off the target, and Silva clinches him up to ride out the remainder of the round against the cage wall.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak

Round 3
They touch gloves to clock in the final round, and Silva is the first to score in the round by thumping the body with a kick. Dvorak comes up short with an overhand left, while Silva aims at the legs with a few kicks. Dvorak nearly kicks the leg out, thereby forcing Silva to miss with a booming right hook. Silva tries to land a few more one-hitter quitters, and Dvorak is out of range so Silva changes tactics to pursue a takedown. He hits it, and immediately circles around to take Dvorak’s back. Silva tries to get his hooks in, but “The Undertaker” does not linger in the position as he spins about and gets on top. Silva kicks his way out of the position, and this wild exchange leads to the two back on the feet. They jab their way in, and Dvorak chains together a few punches ending with a right. They both target the body, and Dvorak lifts up a powerful knee and then a kick that Silva absorbs. Dvorak tags him with a left, and Silva is a standing target as Dvorak lands a few more punches and a kick right down the middle. They come together, and Dvorak scores a few knees before Silva has to push him away after eating them. Three solid punches knock the head back of Silva, but the Brazilian composes himself and shoots in for a takedown. He gets stuffed, but nails Dvorak on the break with a huge right hand. These guys are swinging ferociously with one minute left, and both score big hooks. A left from Dvorak hurts Silva, who appears stunned. He shakes out of it, and throws a few body kick but “Bulldog” is gassed. Dvorak nearly lands his own takedown, but they stay standing and clinch up. They throw wildly, with Dvorak intent on driving knees home while Silva is winging hooks in the clinch. The round ends, and again we may have a close one on our hands. Silva sports some mighty sunglasses with spikes covering them as we get to the official decision.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak (29-28 Dvorak)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak (29-28 Dvorak)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Dvorak (29-28 Dvorak)

The Official Result
David Dvorak def. Bruno Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Daniel picks the dog Dvořák, noting his size and length advantage. He thinks Bruno Silva has a suspect chin and that Dvořák might drop him. He also mentions the lack of crowd might help Dvořák think more smoothly in his debut.

"I'll take the dog I'll go the opposite side David I think that uh somewhere along the lines Bruno will get dropped"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
David Dvořák

The host picks David Dvořák over Bruno Silva. He notes that Dvořák lost his UFC debut at bantamweight on short notice but is now returning to flyweight, his natural division. He expects Dvořák to bring hype and win by finish in the second round.

finish in the second round
"I think he's gonna get a big win over Bruno Silva perhaps by finish in the second round"
Jordan Espinosa - Fight History
LOSS vs Tim Elliott
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tim Elliott 0 25 of 44 56% 91 of 120 4 of 7 57% 0 0 13:19
Jordan Espinosa 0 13 of 25 52% 22 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tim Elliott 0 6 of 14 42% 23 of 33 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:57
Jordan Espinosa 0 7 of 13 53% 9 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tim Elliott 0 7 of 10 70% 24 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:35
Jordan Espinosa 0 1 of 3 33% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tim Elliott 0 12 of 20 60% 44 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:47
Jordan Espinosa 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tim Elliott 25 of 44 56% 14 of 27 10 of 14 1 of 3 4 of 17 6 of 9 15 of 18
Jordan Espinosa 13 of 25 52% 7 of 18 4 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 15 4 of 5 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tim Elliott 6 of 14 42% 1 of 6 4 of 6 1 of 2 2 of 8 4 of 6 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Tim Elliott 7 of 10 70% 4 of 5 3 of 4 0 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 6
Jordan Espinosa 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Tim Elliott 12 of 20 60% 9 of 16 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 5 2 of 3 10 of 12
Jordan Espinosa 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 2 3 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tim Elliott vs. Jordan Espinosa

Round 1
Two exciting flyweights cap off the early preliminary card, prefaced by a battle for the ages between outstanding walkout music choices, when former title challenger Elliott (16-11-1, 5-9 UFC) takes on Espinosa (15-8, 1 NC; 2-3 UFC). Trying to keep up with what should be a fast-paced affair is referee Mark Smith, who bears witness to no glove touch before the madness begins. Elliott blocks a head kick that zooms at him, and he dodges a second one as well. Elliott charges in and gets shoved over, but he recovers himself to press in for a takedown. Espinosa stands him up and gets pressed into the fence, and Elliott embraces the grind as he threatens with trips but cannot set anything up. They separate, and Elliott chops at the calf and kicks the chest, but he blocks a head kick that comes right back. Espinosa scores a big left hand that prompts a takedown attempt from the former title challenger. Elliott cannot secure one, and gets off a shoulder strike and a knee to the thigh, but Espinosa pushes away and separates. Espinosa swings and misses with a big right hand, and when he fires off a head kick, Elliott barely dodges it and bullrushes Espinosa to the ground. Elliott gets a hook in for back control as Espinosa on one knee in a tough position trapped against the fence. Elliott sneaks his way to take full back control, and the only thing stopping him is the cage behind Espinosa. Elliott softens his foe up with several punches to aim for a choke attempt, and Elliott flirts with the choke while pounding on “The Gamer.” Espinosa rolls to his back and Elliott sucks his opponent’s legs out, so Espinosa latches on to a kimura to pursue a sweep. Elliott keeps Espinosa trapped on his back and ties up his own hammerlock, but Espinosa breaks the grip to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Elliott

Round 2
Elliott crashes forward to begin the round, throwing a left hand before diving down into a takedown attempt. Espinosa thwarts it, backs off, throws a head kick, and gets shoved to his back. Espinosa scrambles wildly and kicks off, pulling himself back to his feet using the fence. Espinosa tries to get off a one-two, and Elliott easily drags him back to the ground. Using a half guard, Espinosa keeps a tight leg scissor on Elliott’s leg to keep him there. The former challenger breaks through to sit up and start hacking down with elbows. Espinosa scrambles but gets put flat on his back, and Elliott grinds out his adversary while landing sporadic strikes. A frustrated Espinosa scoots to the fence and to one knee, but Elliott is on him and has one hook in to take the back. Elliott uses his forearm to squeeze Espinosa’s face, and Espinosa leans over and falls into a rear-naked choke attempt. Elliott cannot get his hands locked, as Espinosa breaks the grip, but Espinosa is trapped in defense-only mode. Elliott smothers his foe and starts dropping down punches, and Espinosa rolls to his knees as he continues to take punches to the side of the head. Espinosa tries to use two-on-one wrist control to sweep Elliott, but Elliott easily pulls his arm free and hops on top to elbow Espinosa in the face repeatedly. Elliott starts talking trash from his dominant position, threatening and using big words that get by the censors to intimidate him, possibly using the words "woman beater" as he shouts at Espinosa. The round ends with Elliott grinding his forearm on Espinosa’s neck.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Elliott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Elliott

Round 3
Smith warns Elliott on his language between rounds, and Elliott is amped up and ready to go wild. When the round begins, Elliott advances recklessly and nearly winds up taking a flying knee on the chin. Elliott defends against it and hits a takedown with ease, where he takes a half guard position as Espinosa is already stuck flat on his back. Espinosa rolls to his side and gets punched in the side repeatedly, so Elliott returns to mount and throws strikes from on top. Espinosa tries to give him a few back, leading Elliott to elbow him several times. Espinosa defends off his back with a few elbows, and he slashes the top of Elliott’s head open and starts an immediate flow of blood. Elliott bleeds directly and intentionally into Espinosa’s eyes, blinding his foe and grinding his head into Espinosa’s. Espinosa pulls for an armbar and Elliott stands up to free himself, and he may be slippery because of the massive blood flow. Elliott climbs back on top, where he sits in side control and sets up an arm-triangle choke. The former title challenger continues to rack up control time as Espinosa is practically completely defenseless, as Elliott aims for another arm-triangle choke. Espinosa links his toes in the cage to push off, and Smith stops him from doing this. Elliott smashes his man repeatedly with elbows and punches at the 10-second clapper, trying to finish the fight in a fury. Elliott even attempts an axe kick to the body – stomps to the body are banned in some jurisdictions – as the two go wild in the final seconds. The fight ends with no reconciliation between the two, and we have gone the distance for the first time this evening.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elliott (30-26 Elliott)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Elliott (30-27 Elliott)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Elliott (30-26 Elliott)

The Official Result
Tim Elliott def. Jordan Espinosa via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tim Elliott

Big Brady picks Tim Elliott, relying on Elliott's wrestling advantage (4 takedowns per 15 minutes) and Espinosa's questionable 90% takedown defense against weak competition. He notes Espinosa has been submitted 4 times and has underwhelming UFC wins. He predicts a submission win for Elliott but admits he doesn't love the pick.

"i'm going to take tim elliott here don't love it but um i'm gonna say he wins by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

Daniel picks Jordan Espinosa to win a decision, citing his speed and athleticism. He notes that if Espinosa stays focused for 15 minutes, he should win, but acknowledges that a finish would favor Tim Elliott.

"if jordan espinoza can just stay focused on his game for 15 minutes he's going to come out here and win this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tim Elliott

Elliott's awkward movement and unorthodox style could trouble Espinosa, who struggles against grapplers. The host likes Elliott's submission threat and predicts a second-round submission, but is not confident enough to bet himself.

tim elliott via submission round two
"i'm going elliott i'll go either first or second round submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Tim Elliott

The MMA Guru picks Tim Elliott over Jordan Espinosa. He notes Elliott has fought better competition and shown more grit, while Espinosa tends to fade. He believes Elliott will pressure, clinch, and win by 29-28 unanimous decision.

"i'm picking tim elliott here evens on odds i think he's way better than jordan espinoza"
LOSS vs David Dvořák
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Dvořák 0 50 of 162 30% 50 of 162 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 68 of 146 46% 69 of 147 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Dvořák 0 15 of 48 31% 15 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 David Dvořák 0 15 of 52 28% 15 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 David Dvořák 0 20 of 62 32% 20 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 31 of 51 60% 32 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Dvořák 50 of 162 30% 16 of 119 14 of 20 20 of 23 47 of 156 3 of 6 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 68 of 146 46% 30 of 90 8 of 19 30 of 37 61 of 135 7 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Dvořák 15 of 48 31% 5 of 35 3 of 5 7 of 8 15 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 18 of 41 43% 8 of 23 2 of 7 8 of 11 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 David Dvořák 15 of 52 28% 7 of 43 4 of 5 4 of 4 14 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 19 of 54 35% 9 of 38 2 of 5 8 of 11 17 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 David Dvořák 20 of 62 32% 4 of 41 7 of 10 9 of 11 18 of 58 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 31 of 51 60% 13 of 29 4 of 7 14 of 15 26 of 43 5 of 8 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Big Brady picks David Dvořák due to better cardio and a 14-fight win streak. He notes Espinosa tends to gas out and is chinny, while Dvořák has a good submission game. He expects Dvořák to win a decision, possibly with a submission if Espinosa shoots.

"i'm gonna go with dvorak in this fight due to the fact that he's going to have the bitter cardio"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

The host favors Jordan Espinosa's speed, mobility, and takedown defense, believing he will outpoint David Dvořák. He notes Dvořák's questionable competition and struggles against mobile fighters, while Espinosa has shown improved striking and defensive wrestling. He expects Espinosa to win a decision, using his quick jab and movement to frustrate Dvořák.

"I like espinoza in this fight i think he just outpoints dvorak here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

The host picks Jordan Espinosa over David Dvořák, citing Dvořák's lack of impressive wins on his record and Espinosa's experience and momentum from his last performance. He notes that Dvořák hasn't faced top competition and that Espinosa's recent win over Mark de la Rosa shows he's in good form. The host acknowledges he's rooting for Dvořák as a newcomer but doesn't see him getting past Espinosa.

"I'm picking Jordan Espinosa to win as weird as that sounds... I'm probably going to be going with Jordan Espinosa here getting the job done over David Dvořák."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Eye vs. Calvillo · Jun 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jordan Espinosa 0 126 of 185 68% 188 of 254 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:22
Mark De La Rosa 0 37 of 118 31% 43 of 127 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jordan Espinosa 0 49 of 66 74% 98 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mark De La Rosa 0 6 of 29 20% 7 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:37
2 Jordan Espinosa 0 38 of 65 58% 47 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mark De La Rosa 0 17 of 52 32% 18 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
3 Jordan Espinosa 0 39 of 54 72% 43 of 61 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:22
Mark De La Rosa 0 14 of 37 37% 18 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jordan Espinosa 126 of 185 68% 93 of 149 16 of 17 17 of 19 69 of 117 39 of 46 18 of 22
Mark De La Rosa 37 of 118 31% 14 of 80 12 of 19 11 of 19 32 of 102 5 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jordan Espinosa 49 of 66 74% 39 of 56 3 of 3 7 of 7 26 of 38 23 of 28 0 of 0
Mark De La Rosa 6 of 29 20% 1 of 22 1 of 2 4 of 5 4 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jordan Espinosa 38 of 65 58% 24 of 49 7 of 7 7 of 9 27 of 53 11 of 12 0 of 0
Mark De La Rosa 17 of 52 32% 9 of 38 5 of 8 3 of 6 16 of 48 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jordan Espinosa 39 of 54 72% 30 of 44 6 of 7 3 of 3 16 of 26 5 of 6 18 of 22
Mark De La Rosa 14 of 37 37% 4 of 20 6 of 9 4 of 8 12 of 27 2 of 10 0 of 0
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Espinosa, citing his four-inch reach advantage at bantamweight. He notes that Mark De La Rosa is coming off a KO loss and a quick turnaround. He predicts Espinosa will catch De La Rosa on the chin and put him out cold in the first round by TKO.

Espinosa wins by TKO in round 1
"Jordan Espinosa is gonna get the job done. I think he's gonna catch him on the chin and put him out cold in that first round."
LOSS vs Alex Perez
Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 2:33 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. dos Santos · Jan 25, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Perez 0 2 of 13 15% 2 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 2 of 9 22% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Perez 0 2 of 13 15% 2 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Espinosa 0 2 of 9 22% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Perez 2 of 13 15% 1 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 4 2 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 2 of 9 22% 0 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Perez 2 of 13 15% 1 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 4 2 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 2 of 9 22% 0 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jordan Espinosa vs. Alex Perez

Round 1
Switching to the flyweight division, a pair of top-15 fighters in the division lock horns as Espinosa (14-6, 1 NC; 1-1 UFC) faces off against Perez (22-5, 4-1 UFC). Our Octagon steward is referee Dan Miragliotta, who will be keeping a watchful eye on the action. A touch of gloves leads to a fast leg kick for Perez, and Espinosa throws back but Perez lands another. On the break, Espinosa accidentally lands an eye poke, and the action pauses for a brief moment before Perez blinks it out and they continue. A leg kick from Espinosa lands, and Perez rushes forward to take the fight down. Perez does exactly that, grounding Espinosa and holding him down in half guard. Instead of strikes, Perez searches for an arm-triangle choke, but seeing he cannot secure it, he throws a few punches to the body and elbows to the thigh.
The Team Oyama fighter goes after the arm-triangle again, and Espinosa defends it by keeping his arm tight to his head. Perez stays in the same place, atop his man in half guard while pushing heavier on top, and Espinosa goes to sleep.
The commentary team had just explained that Perez was in the wrong position, but Miragliotta notices the fighter is unconscious and calls a stop to the fight. Perez may be welcomed into the ranks of the top-10 of the division with this quick win, and he uses the post-fight opportunity to call out Askar Askarov.

The Official Result
Alex Perez def. Jordan Espinosa R1 2:33 via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 24, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

Daniel picks Jordan Espinosa as a live underdog, citing his speed, explosiveness, and potential to catch Perez. He notes that Espinosa has been disrespected by the odds and sees value at +225. He acknowledges Perez's cage-cutting and wrestling but thinks Espinosa can win a decision if he avoids mistakes.

by decision
"I'm gonna take him on to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 20, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Espinosa, citing his long reach and TKO power at flyweight. He acknowledges it's a tough fight to call but believes Espinosa's reach advantage on the feet will be key. He mentions Espinosa's loss to Matheus Nicolau by triangle choke but still favors him.

"I'm gonna bet on Jordan Espinosa I really am just the reach on the feet is gonna be an advantage especially when you swing punches like him TKO power a fly away all day every day"
LOSS vs Matt Schnell
Submission (triangle choke) R1 1:23 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Lawler · Aug 03, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matt Schnell 0 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:25
Jordan Espinosa 0 3 of 12 25% 3 of 12 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matt Schnell 0 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:25
Jordan Espinosa 0 3 of 12 25% 3 of 12 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matt Schnell 5 of 6 83% 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 3 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 3 of 12 25% 2 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matt Schnell 5 of 6 83% 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 3 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Espinosa 3 of 12 25% 2 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jordan Espinosa vs. Matt Schnell

Round 1
A pair of ranked men's flyweights take the Octagon now, with Espinosa (14-5, 1 NC; 1-0 UFC) facing Schnell (13-4, 0-0 UFC). Our referee is Gasper Oliver. The two leap forward and Espinosa lands hard on Schnell's face. Schnell fires back immediately, landing a low kick that sends Espinosa spinning. Schnell counters a body kick from Espinosa with a right hand of his own. Espinosa shoots for a takedown and lands it, but ends up into a guillotine attempt from Schnell.
Espinosa escapes, but falls into a triangle setup. The choke is incredibly tight, and Espinosa has no choice but to tap out.
This is a huge win for Schnell, who has now recorded back-to-back triangle choke victories and pushes his win streak to four. With the win, both fighters with the nickname "Danger" have won today, as Granger prevailed earlier.

The Official Result
Matt Schnell def. Jordan Espinosa R1 1:23 via Submission (Triangle Choke)
WIN vs Eric Shelton
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jordan Espinosa 0 25 of 81 30% 25 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eric Shelton 0 47 of 105 44% 47 of 105 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jordan Espinosa 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eric Shelton 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:14
2 Jordan Espinosa 0 8 of 30 26% 8 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eric Shelton 0 17 of 40 42% 17 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
3 Jordan Espinosa 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eric Shelton 0 15 of 34 44% 15 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jordan Espinosa 25 of 81 30% 18 of 69 1 of 3 6 of 9 25 of 79 0 of 2 0 of 0
Eric Shelton 47 of 105 44% 19 of 63 10 of 14 18 of 28 46 of 102 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jordan Espinosa 6 of 16 37% 5 of 13 0 of 1 1 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Eric Shelton 15 of 31 48% 1 of 12 5 of 8 9 of 11 14 of 28 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jordan Espinosa 8 of 30 26% 5 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 2 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eric Shelton 17 of 40 42% 9 of 24 2 of 3 6 of 13 17 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jordan Espinosa 11 of 35 31% 8 of 29 0 of 1 3 of 5 11 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
Eric Shelton 15 of 34 44% 9 of 27 3 of 3 3 of 4 15 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Big Brady picks David Dvořák due to better cardio and a 14-fight win streak. He notes Espinosa tends to gas out and is chinny, while Dvořák has a good submission game. He expects Dvořák to win a decision, possibly with a submission if Espinosa shoots.

"i'm gonna go with dvorak in this fight due to the fact that he's going to have the bitter cardio"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

The host favors Jordan Espinosa's speed, mobility, and takedown defense, believing he will outpoint David Dvořák. He notes Dvořák's questionable competition and struggles against mobile fighters, while Espinosa has shown improved striking and defensive wrestling. He expects Espinosa to win a decision, using his quick jab and movement to frustrate Dvořák.

"I like espinoza in this fight i think he just outpoints dvorak here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Jordan Espinosa

The host picks Jordan Espinosa over David Dvořák, citing Dvořák's lack of impressive wins on his record and Espinosa's experience and momentum from his last performance. He notes that Dvořák hasn't faced top competition and that Espinosa's recent win over Mark de la Rosa shows he's in good form. The host acknowledges he's rooting for Dvořák as a newcomer but doesn't see him getting past Espinosa.

"I'm picking Jordan Espinosa to win as weird as that sounds... I'm probably going to be going with Jordan Espinosa here getting the job done over David Dvořák."