UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Age 42
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Tyson Nam
3.87 SLpM
33.0% Str. Acc.
4.97 SApM
65.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
87.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jerome Rivera
3.21 SLpM
33.0% Str. Acc.
2.6 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
40.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Tyson Nam - Fight History
LOSS vs Azat Maksum
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azat Maksum 0 81 of 213 38% 98 of 242 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Tyson Nam 0 46 of 189 24% 46 of 190 2 of 11 18% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azat Maksum 0 19 of 49 38% 19 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 18 of 60 30% 18 of 60 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
2 Azat Maksum 0 31 of 80 38% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 15 of 73 20% 15 of 73 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Azat Maksum 0 31 of 84 36% 48 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Tyson Nam 0 13 of 56 23% 13 of 57 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azat Maksum 81 of 213 38% 27 of 149 19 of 28 35 of 36 79 of 209 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 46 of 189 24% 33 of 167 12 of 21 1 of 1 46 of 183 0 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azat Maksum 19 of 49 38% 4 of 29 7 of 12 8 of 8 18 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 18 of 60 30% 10 of 50 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 57 0 of 3 0 of 0
2 Azat Maksum 31 of 80 38% 10 of 57 11 of 12 10 of 11 30 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 15 of 73 20% 10 of 64 5 of 9 0 of 0 15 of 70 0 of 3 0 of 0
3 Azat Maksum 31 of 84 36% 13 of 63 1 of 4 17 of 17 31 of 82 0 of 2 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 13 of 56 23% 13 of 53 0 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Azat Maksum

Angelo loves Azat Maksum, calling him one of the most talented new signings. He believes Maksum can touch Nam up on the feet and out-grapple him if needed. He notes Nam's age (39), recent knockout loss, and questionable chin. He says outside of a wild overhand, Nam won't win. He plans to parlay Maksum even at minus 300.

parlay piece
"I love azot here he is a parlay piece and the very second bet online allows me to Parlay him I will be doing that even at the minus 300 or whatever he is right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Azat Maksum

Big Brady picks Azat Maksum, believing he has multiple paths to victory. He notes Maksum is a good wrestler and grappler with power on the feet, while Tyson Nam relies heavily on knockout power and has low volume. He expects Maksum to take Nam down, breaking his 100% takedown defense, and likely find a submission in the second round. However, he refuses to bet at -415 for a debuting flyweight.

Submission in the second round; won't bet at -415
"I like maximum this fight down to the mat and probably find a submission here in the second round but minus 4 15 for a flyweight uh guy making his debut and not something I really want to touch this …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Azat Maksum

Cody picks Maksum, citing his youth, speed, volume, and wrestling. He notes Nam is 40, has low volume, and looked shot in his last fight. He acknowledges Nam's power and takedown defense but thinks Maksum's volume and wrestling will be too much. He considers a Nam by knockout prop at +650 as a long-shot but goes with Maksum.

Tyson Nam by knockout at +650
"I gotta go with youth speed agility volume is wrestling's okay maybe he's the first got to go out there and take NAMM down... not enough for me to go the other side so I got to go with the …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Azat Maksum

The host is high on Maksum, calling him a beast with a 16-0 record, patient striking, and relentless takedown chains. He expects Maksum to use in-and-out pressure, kicks from distance, and counters before taking the fight to the ground and finishing Nam via TKO. He notes Nam's age (nearly 40) and recent first finish in 10 years as factors favoring Maksum.

Maksum by TKO
"I expect Maxim to utilize very good in and out pressure utilizes kicks from distance counter-effectively but then get this fight to the ground and do good damage from on top and control where he might be able to eventually …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Azat Maksum

Paul picks Maksum, citing his solid all-around skills, quick hands, and light footwork. He thinks Maksum can win at any range and has enough wrestling. He notes Nam is older and has low volume, but has knockout power. He is unexcited by the -420 price but understands why Maksum is favored.

"I'll take maximum but you know me minus 420 is just like there's not much for me to do with that number"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Azat Maksum

The MMA Guru picks Azat Maksum over Tyson Nam, highlighting Maksum's undefeated record, regional dominance, and ability to rise to tough challenges. He notes Nam's recent KO loss to Bruno Silva and quick turnaround, questioning his durability. He predicts Maksum wins by KO or submission in the first round.

KO in the first round or submission
"I'm gonna have to go over as at Maxim getting a KO in the first round or a drop knocked down to a submission"
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:23 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 12 of 38 31% 12 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 1 23 of 45 51% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 12 of 35 34% 12 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 19 of 36 52% 19 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Bruno Silva 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 1 4 of 9 44% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 12 of 38 31% 6 of 31 3 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 23 of 45 51% 14 of 33 5 of 8 4 of 4 21 of 38 0 of 1 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 12 of 35 34% 6 of 28 3 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 19 of 36 52% 10 of 24 5 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 35 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bruno Silva 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tyson Nam vs. Bruno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-195), Nam (+165)

Round 1
Moving right along, flyweights take center stage as two of the heavier handed competitors in the division meet. Fresh off a first-round knockout last August, Nam (21-12-1, 3-3 UFC) at 39 years of age looks to prove he still has some life left, and he steps into the cage against Brazilian bulldog Silva (12-5-2, 1 NC; 2-2, 1 NC UFC). Aware that this one could end in a moment’s notice, referee Chris Tognoni is prepped and ready for what happens next. There is no thought of offering a glove touch, and instead the two want to engage. Silva introduces himself with a whipping leg kick, and Nam smiles at him as he walks him down. Nam hand-fights with his left hand outstretched, and he follows a pawing left with a straight right. Silva circles away as Nam gives chase, with Nam lining up his right hand. Silva darts forward with two hooks, doing enough to make Nam smiles again. The Brazilian fires off another nasty low kick, and his subsequent combination flusters Nam. Silva spins with a back fist that collides perfectly off the side of Nam’s head, and the elder statesman simply grins at him. Tognoni warns Nam for outstretched fingers, and Silva boots his foe in the body. Nam continues to walk Silva down, and they trade low kick for low kick. Silva slides a right hand around the guard, and Nam practically ignores it as he kicks the inside thigh in response. Silva shoots in suddenly for a takedown, and Nam tosses it aside and ducks a looping punch. When Silva aims a kick to the ribcage, Nam catches him with an overhand right. Silva backs off as the jabs from Nam aim at his face, and he connects with a clean right hand while backing away. Nam bears down on him with a short salvo of punches, and Silva is mostly out of harm’s way in time. Silva goes for a takedown to keep Nam honest when Nam backs him against the wall, but Nam keeps his forward momentum when there is nothing to the entry. Nam blocks a spinning back fist as he marches onward, and he eats a body kick when trying to throw hands. Nam gets off his own body kick and scores a few punches to follow before the close round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The bantamweights meet in the middle, but it is Silva that takes a backward step when Nam comes at him faster. Nam pushes out jab after inaccurate jab, and Silva times a spectacular front kick up the middle that smashes into Nam’s jaw and sends in crashing to the canvas. Silva leaps down on top in the blink of an eye into Nam’s guard, and he pummels a dazed Nam with ground strikes.
As Nam looks to escape and get his bearings, Silva slithers around to take the back as Nam is standing up. “Bulldog” snatches up a rear-naked choke without even getting a hook in, and Nam falls to the mat as Silva secures the back take. Silva gets his hooks in, and he crushes with his grip while Nam tries and fails to fight the hands and break the grip. As he is attempting to free himself from the submission, Nam goes out,
and Tognoni recognizes this and calls a halt to the match immediately. This is a big win for Silva, who may find himself with a number next to his name next week as he becomes the first man to submit the well-traveled Nam.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Tyson Nam R2 1:23 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo leans toward Bruno Silva because he has more ways to win, being well-rounded with power, wrestling, and submissions. He acknowledges Tyson Nam's one-punch knockout power but prefers the versatility. He suggests the best bet might be Tyson Nam inside the distance (decision no action) due to Nam's toughness and Silva's potential rust from a two-year layoff.

Tyson Nam inside the distance (decision no action) bet suggestion
"I'm gonna lean Bruno because he has more ways to win this fight and I can't be picking people just praying for a one punch knockout so Bruno's gonna be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva because he believes Silva will be the more active striker and has a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Tyson Nam relies on landing a big shot and doesn't grapple, and at 39 years old it's hard to favor him. Brady expects Silva to mix in takedowns and win by decision, as Nam's 100% takedown defense hasn't been tested by grapplers.

win by decision
"I think Silva does get the fight down to the mat mixing on the takedowns um being higher output on the feed and ultimately coming away with the decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Silva but is hesitant due to the two-year layoff. He acknowledges Silva's momentum before the layoff and his training, but notes ring rust concerns. He prefers a prop on Nam by KO if the price is right.

considering Tyson Nam by KO if plus 400
"I'll pick a dog to open the show but um don't love it may not even yeah probably won't even bet it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tyson Nam

Connor picks Nam, favoring his pressure and counter-striking style. He notes that Nam is comfortable in the pocket and accurate with his right hand, while Silva tends to become frantic under pressure and may give Nam the openings he wants. He acknowledges Silva's toughness and tricky entries but thinks Nam's experience and timing will prevail.

Silva opened +130, now -196; Nam opened -150, now +162. Connor is surprised Silva is such a heavy favorite.
"I'll favor nam just because I think he is very comfortable in those in that kind of fight like getting lots of opportunities to counter while getting to pressure."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

I think Silva's improvements in combination striking and his ability to take the fight to the ground will be key. He can avoid Nam's power by dragging him to the mat and controlling the fight there. Nam's decision-making is poor when he can't knock opponents out. Silva should win by decision, but be cautious of Nam's knockout power.

Silva by decision
"I'm gonna go Bruno bulldog logs over by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva, noting his improvements and durability. He thinks Silva's wrestling and chin will be too much for Nam, who is a one-dimensional banger. He likes the -200 price relative to other favorites on the card.

"are you still taking Bruno Silva absolutely"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva over Tyson Nam, despite Nam being the popular pick. He believes Silva is technical and has improved his boxing, making him dangerous. He notes Nam is 39 and questions his ability to get another KO win. The Guru predicts Silva will win by TKO finish.

by TKO
"I'm actually gonna go with Bruno Silva by finish over Tyson Nam by TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Zane picks Silva, believing his durability and power will be the difference. He notes that Silva is very hard to knock out and will create exchanges, while Nam's low output could be a problem if Silva pressures him. He thinks Silva will do a little more over three rounds, but acknowledges it's a close fight.

"I think I'm gonna pick Silva just because I think neither of these guys are gonna go to sleep all right I think he's just gonna do a little more than them."
WIN vs Ode' Osbourne
KO (punches) R1 2:59 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tyson Nam 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ode' Osbourne 1 13 of 25 52% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tyson Nam 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ode' Osbourne 1 13 of 25 52% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tyson Nam 15 of 41 36% 7 of 32 7 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ode' Osbourne 13 of 25 52% 7 of 15 3 of 6 3 of 4 12 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tyson Nam 15 of 41 36% 7 of 32 7 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ode' Osbourne 13 of 25 52% 7 of 15 3 of 6 3 of 4 12 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Angelo picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his power, range, and finishing ability at 125 pounds. He notes Tyson Nam is almost 40, has been inactive, and relies too much on power. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Osbourne at -220 and recommends it to premium members.

Moneyline bet at -220
"i gotta go with o'day here to stay busy threaten takedowns and get his third win at 125 pounds i got a money line bet on him at minus 220"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Big Brady picks Ode' Osbourne to win by decision. He notes that Tyson Nam is 38 years old, almost 39, and has been inactive for a year and a half. Nam is a heavy hitter but throws low volume (3.64 strikes per minute) and has poor accuracy. Osbourne is more active, has power, and good submission defense. Brady expects Osbourne to outwork Nam and win a decision.

win by decision
"i think oda osborne wins this fight and i think he wins it by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Cody picks Osbourne by decision, criticizing Nam's low volume and reliance on power. He notes Nam hasn't fought in two years and is 38. Cody believes Osbourne's reach and speed will allow him to pick Nam apart, and Nam won't land a knockout shot.

"i gotta take oday osbourne and uh i will give tyson in one thing dude's got some great durability on them so i'm thinking oda osborne would get it done by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Daniel Levi picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his length, unorthodox striking, and improved game. He notes that Tyson Nam is knockout-dependent with low volume, and while Nam has power, Osbourne should win a decision unless he gets caught. Levi expects Osbourne to get his hand raised.

"Give me Ode' Osbourne to come out here and win a decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Tyson Nam

The host picks Nam as the best underdog he didn't bet straight up. He thinks Nam's power could clip Osbourne late, especially in the third round when Osbourne slows down. He notes Nam is 38 but power is the last thing to go. He only put a small bet on Nam round three at +2200, indicating low confidence in the moneyline.

Nam round 3 at +2200 (0.1 units on PointsBet).
"i'll just tell you guys i put point one unit on nam round three at plus 2200 on points bet"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Paul picks Osbourne by decision at +240. He notes Nam is 38 and slow, while Osbourne is faster with a reach advantage. Paul thinks Osbourne will use his jab and volume to outpoint Nam, who is reluctant to let his hands go. He also likes Osbourne over 55.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Osbourne by decision +240; Osbourne over 55.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"audio uh od osborne by decision what does that pay what does that pay oh the osborne by decision that is that's that's tasty"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

The host picks Ode' Osbourne by first-round KO, calling it a logical bet. He notes Osbourne's youth and physicality advantages over the 38-year-old Tyson Nam, including a four-inch reach advantage. He compares their similar wins over common opponents and believes Osbourne's improvements will be decisive.

first round TKO
"oh day osborne first round ko i think this is a logical bet to make"
LOSS vs Matt Schnell
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matt Schnell 0 85 of 214 39% 85 of 214 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 58 of 193 30% 58 of 193 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matt Schnell 0 19 of 62 30% 19 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 14 of 45 31% 14 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Matt Schnell 0 33 of 75 44% 33 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 22 of 69 31% 22 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Matt Schnell 0 33 of 77 42% 33 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 22 of 79 27% 22 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matt Schnell 85 of 214 39% 69 of 195 10 of 12 6 of 7 83 of 212 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 58 of 193 30% 36 of 164 10 of 15 12 of 14 58 of 193 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matt Schnell 19 of 62 30% 14 of 56 3 of 4 2 of 2 19 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 14 of 45 31% 8 of 38 2 of 3 4 of 4 14 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Matt Schnell 33 of 75 44% 27 of 69 3 of 3 3 of 3 33 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 22 of 69 31% 15 of 59 4 of 6 3 of 4 22 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Matt Schnell 33 of 77 42% 28 of 70 4 of 5 1 of 2 31 of 75 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 22 of 79 27% 13 of 67 4 of 6 5 of 6 22 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tyson Nam vs. Matt Schnell

Round 1
The final men’s flyweight tilt on the card comes with top-10 implications when “Danger” Schnell (14-5, 4-3 UFC) puts his higher position in danger against heavy-handed Hawaiian Nam (20-11-1, 2-2 UFC). Holding on tight will be referee Herb Dean, who will try not to get caught up in a flurry of feet and fists. There is no glove touch, as it’s time to strike. Nam aims his right hand, and Schnell kicks the body and topples over. Nam does not have any interest in playing the ground game, so he allows Schnell to stand up and land a trio of punches. Schnell strings together a few punches while Nam just stares at him, slapping away punches without concern and stomping the floor to draw a reaction. Schnell gets in a solid right hand when he absorbs a leg kick, and he lets loose another right hook as Nam kicks at him once more. Schnell bites down on his mouthpiece to sling a right hand, and he pops Nam a few times with strikes. Nam’s right hand is ready and rearing to throw, but Schnell is quick on the action and lands a few shots and escapes. Nam reaches out with a right hand and throws a leg kick, and when Schnell replies to him with punches, Nam smiles. Schnell takes a quick combination on the chin, and he slams his shin on Nam’s knee. The Hawaiian stalks his man down and sneaks up a left uppercut, but Schnell pays it no mind as he gets off a front kick up the middle. Schnell keeps away with a few jabs, and one jab is able to disrupt the big right hand from the headhunting Nam. Nam lands a pair of punches to the body, and Schnell backs off and flicks out a few more jabs. Schnell sticks and moves while Nam sits down on his right hand, and he is out of the way when Nam slings it. Schnell sees the right hand coming as he slips it, keeping punches going and tagging Nam. Nam absorbs the blows and throws back, but he appears surprised at the latest dangerous barrage from “Danger.” Nam races forward only to eat a few short punches, and Schnell’s combinations are doing work and damage on Nam’s face. A cut has opened around Nam’s eye, and he paws at it when the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Schnell
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Schnell
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Schnell

Round 2
Schnell picks up where he left off with fast hands as he peppers Nam with strikes. Nam sits on a few punches, and Schnell backpedals while Nam rushes towards him. Schnell puts a three-piece on Nam before the Hawaiian can react, and he slips a few long punches from Nam. Schnell lands a jab, but Nam cracks him with a pair of big hooks that land flush. Schnell appears cautious as he has tasted Nam’s power, and a right hand dislodges Schnell’s mouthpiece. Nam is bearing down on his opponent, hunting his foe and slamming his right hand into Schnell’s cheek. Schnell wears it well but his pace and volume has diminished as he took some of those heavy shots, so Nam keeps it rolling by putting two punches together. Nam flicks out a jab a few times, and a leg kick of his disrupts the return fire from Schnell. The Hawaiian grins as he walks down his foe, but Schnell has started to get his jabs working again. Nam wings a couple of huge punches, and Schnell beats him to the punch but still eats a left hook. Five crisp punches land from Schnell, and Nam grins and throws back his own combination that is largely blocked. A naked body kick from Schnell allows Nam to land with a right hand over the top, but he absorbs it and takes a step back. Twin jabs from Schnell temporarily pause Nam’s rush forward, but the Hawaiian is quick to stalk his man down again and land blows. Three punches of Schnell lead to four from Nam, who is finding his mark more often this round. He swings a big right hand that narrowly misses the target, but one that comes after does not miss. The two flyweights trade to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nam
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Nam
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Schnell

Round 3
Nam comes out aggressively, walking down his foe and throw leather. Schnell stays on the outside with crisp, straighter shots, and he ducks when Nam fires a big right hand that pulls him off-balance. Schnell puts three punches on Nam’s mug while Nam is coming at him, but Nam lands with his own shots in response. As Nam presses the action, Schnell gets off a check knee, and the Hawaiian is unconcerned as he clicks a left hand off the jaw. Nam blocks a one-two and absorbs a kick, leading Schnell to kick low as he backs away. A big right hand from Nam slides off the shoulder, and Schnell has his guard up when Nam comes at him with a fire and fury. Both men jab the other repeatedly, and Nam is beaming as he walks Schnell down but takes some shots. Schnell lands four before Nam can reach him, but Nam’s chin is study as he walks through them and gets off his own punch combo. An energized Nam walks Schnell down and lands heavy punches, all while Schnell greets him on the way in. Two big hooks shake up Schnell for a moment, but “Danger” gathers himself and jabs several times to back Nam off. Nam throws a two-punch combination so hard he almost falls over, and Schnell avoids the damage and gets off a few jabs here and there. Nam clubs him with a left hand, and he pushes in before clocking Schnell with a left hook. They trade it out to the bell, and this exciting kickboxing match is over. The scorecards could be very interesting in this 125-pound affair.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nam (29-28 Nam)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Schnell (29-28 Schnell)
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Nam (29-28 Schnell)

The Official Result
Matt Schnell def. Tyson Nam via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tyson Nam

Big Brady believes Tyson Nam's power will be the difference. He notes that Matt Schnell is chinny and brawls with his chin up, which plays into Nam's hands. He predicts a knockout win for Nam, saying Schnell will get his fourth knockout loss. He suggests betting Nam inside the distance, as he doesn't see Nam winning a decision.

Tyson Nam inside the distance; Schnell by decision prop also possible
"give me tyson nam to get the knockout win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Matt Schnell

The host picks Matt Schnell because of his crisp boxing, combinations, and higher output compared to Tyson Nam's head-hunting style. He notes Schnell's reach advantage and improved jiu-jitsu, but is concerned about his chin and recent fight pullouts. He thinks Schnell can win a decision or even submit Nam, but is not fully confident.

Matt Schnell via decision at +225
"i love danger in the spot i just think that he needs to avoid the power"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Tyson Nam

The MMA Guru picks Tyson Nam to win by first-round KO. He notes Nam's recent two KO wins (over Jerome Rivera and Zarrukh Adashev) and his power and accuracy. He believes Schnell's year-long layoff after a KO loss will backfire against a fast starter like Nam, and that Schnell's chin is suspect at flyweight.

first round KO
"tyson nam will get the job done here by ko in the first round"
WIN vs Jerome Rivera
TKO (punches) R2 0:34 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tyson Nam 1 36 of 72 50% 36 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Jerome Rivera 0 30 of 80 37% 31 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tyson Nam 0 20 of 48 41% 20 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Jerome Rivera 0 28 of 76 36% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tyson Nam 1 16 of 24 66% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Jerome Rivera 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tyson Nam 36 of 72 50% 27 of 58 7 of 12 2 of 2 18 of 47 3 of 3 15 of 22
Jerome Rivera 30 of 80 37% 9 of 45 2 of 11 19 of 24 29 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tyson Nam 20 of 48 41% 11 of 34 7 of 12 2 of 2 17 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jerome Rivera 28 of 76 36% 9 of 43 1 of 10 18 of 23 27 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Tyson Nam 16 of 24 66% 16 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 22
Jerome Rivera 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Tyson Nam

Big Brady picks Tyson Nam because he believes Nam's power will catch Rivera, who leaves openings on defense. He notes Rivera wants to take the fight to the ground but isn't great at getting it there, and Nam hits very hard. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he admits it's hard to bet on Nam due to low volume.

Nam inside the distance, Nam by knockout
"i do think mom's going to catch up maybe take a look at the nom inside the distance prop the num knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jerome Rivera

The host believes Jerome Rivera will be more active and offensive, using takedowns and cage work to outwork Tyson Nam. He notes Nam is a low-output fighter who relies on knockouts and rarely wins decisions, while Rivera has a solid chin and good movement. He expects Rivera to win by decision, as Nam is unlikely to finish him and will lose if he doesn't get a knockout.

Jerome Rivera by decision +305; Tyson Nam inside distance +125
"I truly think that this is Jerome Rivera's fight to win and I think he is going to win it."
KO (punch) R1 0:32 · UFC on ESPN: Eye vs. Calvillo · Jun 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tyson Nam 1 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Zarrukh Adashev 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tyson Nam 1 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Zarrukh Adashev 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tyson Nam 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Zarrukh Adashev 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tyson Nam 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Zarrukh Adashev 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Tyson Nam

The MMA Guru picks Tyson Nam, noting that Ryan Benoit has struggled since returning from a three-year layoff, losing to Jorge Vasquez and Heili Alateng. He believes Nam is a bigger guy and will get the jump on Benoit. He acknowledges the odds are even but favors Nam.

"I'm still gonna pick Tyson am. I think he's gonna get the job done."
LOSS vs Kai Kara-France
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kai Kara-France 0 78 of 257 30% 78 of 257 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:17
Tyson Nam 0 50 of 153 32% 52 of 155 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kai Kara-France 0 19 of 78 24% 19 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 13 of 53 24% 15 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
2 Kai Kara-France 0 25 of 80 31% 25 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Tyson Nam 0 18 of 45 40% 18 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Kai Kara-France 0 34 of 99 34% 34 of 99 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 19 of 55 34% 19 of 55 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kai Kara-France 78 of 257 30% 51 of 218 9 of 17 18 of 22 72 of 246 5 of 9 1 of 2
Tyson Nam 50 of 153 32% 34 of 131 11 of 17 5 of 5 48 of 146 2 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kai Kara-France 19 of 78 24% 11 of 63 4 of 7 4 of 8 17 of 75 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 13 of 53 24% 10 of 47 2 of 5 1 of 1 12 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Kai Kara-France 25 of 80 31% 13 of 64 3 of 7 9 of 9 23 of 76 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 18 of 45 40% 11 of 37 6 of 7 1 of 1 17 of 43 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Kai Kara-France 34 of 99 34% 27 of 91 2 of 3 5 of 5 32 of 95 1 of 2 1 of 2
Tyson Nam 19 of 55 34% 13 of 47 3 of 5 3 of 3 19 of 53 0 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kai Kara-France

Daniel Levi picks Kai Kara-France by dominant decision, citing his higher output, ringmanship, and octagon experience. He acknowledges Tyson Nam's one-punch knockout power but believes Kara-France can avoid it and win the long game. Levi notes that Nam only throws hands and lacks variety, while Kara-France has a good right hand and better overall skills.

unanimous decision
"I'll go with Kai Kara-France by dominate decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Kai Kara-France

The host picks Kai Kara-France, noting his recent activity (three fights in 2019) and that his loss to Brandon Moreno is not a bad one. He believes Kara-France has a reach advantage over Tyson Nam despite Nam being bigger, and that Kara-France's younger, crisper striking will lead to a unanimous decision victory.

"I'm going to crack IRA France younger talent more crisp in a striking I think he's gonna crack Tyson Nam and hurt him a couple times for a unanimous decision victory"
LOSS vs Sergio Pettis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Sep 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sergio Pettis 0 96 of 253 37% 96 of 253 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Tyson Nam 0 40 of 170 23% 43 of 173 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sergio Pettis 0 17 of 57 29% 17 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 7 of 42 16% 7 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Sergio Pettis 0 32 of 91 35% 32 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 16 of 67 23% 16 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
3 Sergio Pettis 0 47 of 105 44% 47 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Tyson Nam 0 17 of 61 27% 20 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sergio Pettis 96 of 253 37% 76 of 224 5 of 13 15 of 16 90 of 245 5 of 7 1 of 1
Tyson Nam 40 of 170 23% 28 of 149 7 of 15 5 of 6 38 of 164 2 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sergio Pettis 17 of 57 29% 10 of 46 1 of 5 6 of 6 17 of 56 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 7 of 42 16% 4 of 35 1 of 4 2 of 3 7 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sergio Pettis 32 of 91 35% 29 of 86 1 of 3 2 of 2 31 of 90 0 of 0 1 of 1
Tyson Nam 16 of 67 23% 11 of 60 2 of 4 3 of 3 16 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sergio Pettis 47 of 105 44% 37 of 92 3 of 5 7 of 8 42 of 99 5 of 6 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 17 of 61 27% 13 of 54 4 of 7 0 of 0 15 of 56 2 of 5 0 of 0
Jerome Rivera - Fight History
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 2:02 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 0 10 of 24 41% 10 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:12
Jerome Rivera 0 11 of 40 27% 11 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zhalgas Zhumagulov 0 10 of 24 41% 10 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:12
Jerome Rivera 0 11 of 40 27% 11 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 10 of 24 41% 4 of 15 4 of 6 2 of 3 10 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jerome Rivera 11 of 40 27% 2 of 27 7 of 10 2 of 3 11 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zhalgas Zhumagulov 10 of 24 41% 4 of 15 4 of 6 2 of 3 10 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jerome Rivera 11 of 40 27% 2 of 27 7 of 10 2 of 3 11 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Angelo picks Zhumagulov, citing his toughness, power, and wrestling. He thinks Zhumagulov will close the distance, get takedowns, and dominate. He notes Rivera is not UFC-level yet and has lost three in a row. However, he warns against betting at -358 odds and suggests the under on rounds.

Under 2.5 rounds
"zalgas is my pick but uh like i mentioned i'm staying far away from it in draftkings"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Big Brady picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov to win by decision. He thinks Zhumagulov is the better fighter and can mix in takedowns. He notes Rivera has zero takedowns in the UFC and poor takedown accuracy. However, he is concerned about the height and reach disadvantages for Zhumagulov, and thinks the -358 line is too wide. He expects Zhumagulov to close the distance and get the job done, but not without difficulty.

"i'm going to say zagasumu gulab by decision but yeah the minus 358 just seems like a little bit way too wide for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Cody picks Zhumagulov, noting his experience and Rivera's poor UFC run. He thinks Zhumagulov's volume and takedowns will be too much. He expects a decision win but also likes the KO prop at +450.

Zhalgas by KO at +450
"zalgus by decision i think that's like everyone's gonna pick azalgus by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Daniel Levi picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov. He acknowledges that Zhumagulov has not been impressive and is a small flyweight, but believes he has beaten better competition on the regional scene. He criticizes Jerome Rivera for being timid and lacking confidence, despite having physical advantages. He thinks Zhumagulov will outpoint Rivera to a unanimous decision. He cannot back Rivera to win any UFC fight.

"i see zagat zuma gula out pointing him to a to a probably unanimous decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Jerome Rivera

Jacob picks Rivera as an underdog, citing his length and submission threat. He notes Rivera's losses are to top competition and he believes Rivera can keep distance and find a submission. He thinks the -358 on Zhumagulov is too high and likes the plus money on Rivera.

Rivera by submission
"i actually like jerome in in this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

I'm picking Zhumagulov to win, but I'm not confident. He is a point fighter with low finishing ability, and Rivera is a volume striker who could make it close. Rivera has value as a dog, especially by decision. I think Zhumagulov wins a close decision, but I wouldn't parlay him. The over 2.5 rounds is a better bet.

Rivera by decision (+560), over 2.5 rounds
"my pick ultimately is going to be zuma gulov but please don't go out there like parlaying him in all these tickets"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Paul picks Zhumagulov, noting Rivera's poor record and chin issues. He thinks Zhumagulov's experience and durability will prevail. He expects a decision win.

"i think zogus does get the job done this could be the end of the road for jerome rivera"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

The Guru picks Zhumagulov by 30-27 unanimous decision. He expects both fighters to trade on the feet in the first half of each round, with Rivera possibly having a range advantage. But Zhumagulov will stay patient, then walk Rivera down and take him down against the cage in the second half of each round, landing ground and pound. The Guru compares the takedown style to Alvarez-Poirier. He sees Zhumagulov winning every round with dominant top control.

"zalgasa magulov is going to get this one done as well ... i'll give it a 30 27 to zalgasa magulov"
LOSS vs Ode' Osbourne
KO (punches) R1 0:26 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ode' Osbourne 1 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jerome Rivera 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ode' Osbourne 1 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jerome Rivera 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ode' Osbourne 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5
Jerome Rivera 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ode' Osbourne 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5
Jerome Rivera 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jerome Rivera

Big Brady picks Jerome Rivera, citing his legit wrestling and ground game, and expects him to get takedowns and control the fight. He notes that Ode' Osbourne is a threat off his back with submissions, but believes Rivera's top game will prevail. He predicts a decision win, possibly a submission, but is wary of Osbourne's submission threat.

"I'm gonna go with Bondar here because I do think the takedowns are going to be coming from his side... I'm gonna say Bondar by submission."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Daniel Levi picks Ode' Osbourne confidently, comparing his style to Yuri Alcantara. He notes Rivera's lack of takedowns (0 in three UFC fights) and believes Osbourne's athleticism and striking will be too much. He expects a finish or clear decision.

"i'm going all day osborne shaq"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jerome Rivera

Rivera has good wrestling and submission skills, and Osbourne has shown poor takedown defense and cardio issues. Osbourne has only been to the second round once, so his gas tank is unknown. Rivera should be able to take Osbourne down and control him. I expect Rivera to win by submission in the second round.

Rivera by submission; second round submission
"i like uh i like uh bon derek here he could possibly pull off the submission as well too i'll go with second round submission for bonder"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Jerome Rivera

The MMA Guru picks Dennis Bondar (Jerome Rivera) over Ode' Osbourne, citing Bondar's calmness in bad positions and scrambling ability. He expects Osbourne to throw wild shots early, which Bondar will counter with takedowns. He predicts a submission win via arm triangle in the second round after Osbourne gasses.

submission in the second round via arm triangle
"i'm gonna go with dennis bondar getting the job done stepping up he's a very good fighter"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Figueiredo 0 29 of 53 54% 39 of 65 4 of 6 66% 0 0 7:07
Jerome Rivera 0 31 of 134 23% 85 of 199 0 of 5 0% 0 1 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Figueiredo 0 8 of 17 47% 16 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Jerome Rivera 0 12 of 35 34% 29 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:10
2 Francisco Figueiredo 0 13 of 18 72% 15 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:49
Jerome Rivera 0 5 of 33 15% 22 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
3 Francisco Figueiredo 0 8 of 18 44% 8 of 18 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:57
Jerome Rivera 0 14 of 66 21% 34 of 89 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Figueiredo 29 of 53 54% 11 of 28 7 of 11 11 of 14 20 of 40 4 of 4 5 of 9
Jerome Rivera 31 of 134 23% 12 of 90 8 of 20 11 of 24 22 of 112 9 of 22 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Figueiredo 8 of 17 47% 3 of 7 3 of 6 2 of 4 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 3
Jerome Rivera 12 of 35 34% 1 of 16 5 of 9 6 of 10 8 of 29 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Francisco Figueiredo 13 of 18 72% 5 of 9 2 of 3 6 of 6 9 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 6
Jerome Rivera 5 of 33 15% 3 of 22 0 of 4 2 of 7 4 of 29 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Francisco Figueiredo 8 of 18 44% 3 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 4 6 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jerome Rivera 14 of 66 21% 8 of 52 3 of 7 3 of 7 10 of 54 4 of 12 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jerome Rivera

Big Brady admits he could find very little tape on Francisco Figueiredo and what he saw was unimpressive, with poor striking defense and ground game. He thinks the -150 line is based on the name rather than skill. He picks Jerome Rivera, who has a good ground game and submission skills, but is not confident because he knows little about Figueiredo. He predicts a decision win for Rivera.

Rivera by decision; not confident
"i'm gonna take the underdog here in jerome rivera not all the confident"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jerome Rivera

The host picks Jerome Rivera due to his activity, height advantage, and jiu-jitsu, but is hesitant because of limited tape on Francisco Figueiredo. He thinks Rivera can overwhelm Figueiredo with volume and movement, but acknowledges the unknown factor of Figueiredo's game. He predicts a decision win for Rivera.

"i will pick jerome to win i do think he gets it done via decision but i wouldn't be surprised if we see some wrinkles from figueretto's game"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Jerome Rivera

The MMA Guru picks Jerome Rivera as an underdog, criticizing Francisco Figueiredo's performance in his last fight (a controversial draw against Eduardo Souza) and his reliance on his brother's name. He notes Rivera was beating Tyson Nam before getting caught, and has good takedown defense and offensive grappling. He predicts Rivera will pick Figueiredo apart on the outside and win a unanimous decision 30-27.

unanimous decision 30-27
"i'm gonna definitely pick jerome rivera here in an upset against francisco figuerado"
LOSS vs Tyson Nam
TKO (punches) R2 0:34 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tyson Nam 1 36 of 72 50% 36 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Jerome Rivera 0 30 of 80 37% 31 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tyson Nam 0 20 of 48 41% 20 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Jerome Rivera 0 28 of 76 36% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tyson Nam 1 16 of 24 66% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Jerome Rivera 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tyson Nam 36 of 72 50% 27 of 58 7 of 12 2 of 2 18 of 47 3 of 3 15 of 22
Jerome Rivera 30 of 80 37% 9 of 45 2 of 11 19 of 24 29 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tyson Nam 20 of 48 41% 11 of 34 7 of 12 2 of 2 17 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jerome Rivera 28 of 76 36% 9 of 43 1 of 10 18 of 23 27 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Tyson Nam 16 of 24 66% 16 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 22
Jerome Rivera 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Tyson Nam

Big Brady picks Tyson Nam because he believes Nam's power will catch Rivera, who leaves openings on defense. He notes Rivera wants to take the fight to the ground but isn't great at getting it there, and Nam hits very hard. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he admits it's hard to bet on Nam due to low volume.

Nam inside the distance, Nam by knockout
"i do think mom's going to catch up maybe take a look at the nom inside the distance prop the num knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jerome Rivera

The host believes Jerome Rivera will be more active and offensive, using takedowns and cage work to outwork Tyson Nam. He notes Nam is a low-output fighter who relies on knockouts and rarely wins decisions, while Rivera has a solid chin and good movement. He expects Rivera to win by decision, as Nam is unlikely to finish him and will lose if he doesn't get a knockout.

Jerome Rivera by decision +305; Tyson Nam inside distance +125
"I truly think that this is Jerome Rivera's fight to win and I think he is going to win it."
Expert Picks (2)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Tyson Nam

Big Brady picks Tyson Nam because he believes Nam's power will catch Rivera, who leaves openings on defense. He notes Rivera wants to take the fight to the ground but isn't great at getting it there, and Nam hits very hard. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he admits it's hard to bet on Nam due to low volume.

Nam inside the distance, Nam by knockout
"i do think mom's going to catch up maybe take a look at the nom inside the distance prop the num knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jerome Rivera

The host believes Jerome Rivera will be more active and offensive, using takedowns and cage work to outwork Tyson Nam. He notes Nam is a low-output fighter who relies on knockouts and rarely wins decisions, while Rivera has a solid chin and good movement. He expects Rivera to win by decision, as Nam is unlikely to finish him and will lose if he doesn't get a knockout.

Jerome Rivera by decision +305; Tyson Nam inside distance +125
"I truly think that this is Jerome Rivera's fight to win and I think he is going to win it."