UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Mar 07, 2020 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Age 36
Height 5' 7"
Reach 70"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 46
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Danaa Batgerel
5.38 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
4.21 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
0.52 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
62.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Guido Cannetti
3.44 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
2.84 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
2.27 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Danaa Batgerel - Fight History
LOSS vs Brady Hiestand
TKO (punches) R3 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brady Hiestand 0 45 of 81 55% 96 of 143 3 of 7 42% 0 0 4:09
Danaa Batgerel 1 41 of 134 30% 92 of 200 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brady Hiestand 0 15 of 28 53% 18 of 31 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:34
Danaa Batgerel 0 14 of 52 26% 28 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brady Hiestand 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 12 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:49
Danaa Batgerel 1 17 of 37 45% 54 of 89 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:00
3 Brady Hiestand 0 26 of 45 57% 71 of 100 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Danaa Batgerel 0 10 of 45 22% 10 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brady Hiestand 45 of 81 55% 29 of 58 11 of 15 5 of 8 41 of 77 0 of 0 4 of 4
Danaa Batgerel 41 of 134 30% 33 of 121 2 of 5 6 of 8 29 of 112 7 of 9 5 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brady Hiestand 15 of 28 53% 11 of 21 3 of 4 1 of 3 15 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 14 of 52 26% 8 of 43 2 of 4 4 of 5 14 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Brady Hiestand 4 of 8 50% 2 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 16 7 of 8 5 of 13
3 Brady Hiestand 26 of 45 57% 16 of 31 6 of 9 4 of 5 22 of 41 0 of 0 4 of 4
Danaa Batgerel 10 of 45 22% 8 of 41 0 of 1 2 of 3 10 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Angelo picks Danaa Batgerel, noting his striking speed, volume, and power. He thinks Batgerel will dominate the striking and if taken down, he will scramble well to get back up. He expects Batgerel to win but is not betting yet, waiting to see line movement or possibly betting on a prop like over takedowns on Brady.

No bet yet, considering prop bets like over takedowns on Brady.
"Dena's gonna be the pick here... no bet just yet I'm gonna watch that line movement."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Big Brady picks Danaa Batgerel to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Batgerel has incredible power and that Hiestand is very hittable with poor striking defense, having been dropped and knocked out before. He believes Batgerel will land a big shot early and put Hiestand's lights out, as Hiestand's path to victory requires a perfect fight. Brady also mentions that Hiestand trains with Marab and is a 100% wrestling style, but his chin is a massive liability against Batgerel's power.

first round knockout
"give me the not back hurry I'm going to take him to win by first round knockout I think his power is going to give a very hittable and green Brady he's stand a lot of problems"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Cody picks Batgerel, citing his power, volume, and takedown defense. He notes Batgerel has knockout power and good cardio, and has fought at Jackson Wink. He criticizes Hiestand as one-dimensional with wrestling, lacking striking and submission offense. Cody believes Batgerel will stuff takedowns and win on the feet, possibly by knockout.

"I gotta go with uh back Curry I think to get the job done he just seems like he's got a little more in his toolbox"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Connor picks Danaa Batgerel, noting that Hiestand has terrible striking and gasses quickly due to inefficient wrestling. He highlights that Batgerel is a devastating puncher with a good left hook and will put Hiestand on the back foot. Connor recalls Hiestand's knockout loss to Chad Anheliger as a template for how this fight could go.

"I really instantly favor Dana here because, uh, as much as, I mean, I think he himself has had some issues with gassing out, but he's a lot more directed in what he wants to do."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Brady Hiestand

Brady Hiestand is a strong wrestler with good control and a solid grappling base. He should be able to take Danaa Batgerel down and grind out a decision. Batgerel has power in his strikes but poor takedown defense and cardio. However, Batgerel has been training at Fight Ready and may have improved his wrestling defense. Hiestand may get clipped early but should recover and implement his game plan. Prediction: Hiestand by decision.

"I fully expect him to to get clipped early in this matchup but I'm hoping that his reactive response... is quick enough for him to get in on a double leg drag the fight back to the ground... grinding this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Paul also picks Batgerel, agreeing with Cody. He notes he will be adding money on Batgerel. He mentions the market is moving in Batgerel's direction, now minus 155. Paul had previously picked Hiestand as a dog in his last fights but sees this as a tough matchup for him.

"beckery Dena is the pick for me as well I'm gonna be adding some money on Bakery Dena"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel to win by KO in the first round. He acknowledges Brady Hiestand's decent grappling but believes Batgerel's size and power will be too much. He thinks Hiestand's striking is not yet developed and that Batgerel can shut down takedowns for a round and then do damage on the feet. He expects a vicious first-round TKO finish.

KO in the first round
"I'm gonna be leaning towards Dana batcarell here I think he gets this one done by KO in the first round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Zane also picks Danaa Batgerel, agreeing that Hiestand is an unfinished product with poor striking and a tendency to gas. He notes that Batgerel is a hard puncher who will pressure Hiestand and put hands on him. Zane mentions that Hiestand's previous fights were against opponents who couldn't hurt him, but Batgerel can.

"I think he's going to, he's going to pressure him. He's going to put hands on him."
LOSS vs Kyung Ho Kang
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyung Ho Kang 0 100 of 155 64% 100 of 155 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 109 of 284 38% 110 of 286 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyung Ho Kang 0 28 of 41 68% 28 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 34 of 84 40% 35 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Kyung Ho Kang 0 33 of 52 63% 33 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 43 of 100 43% 43 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kyung Ho Kang 0 39 of 62 62% 39 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 32 of 100 32% 32 of 100 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyung Ho Kang 100 of 155 64% 82 of 134 2 of 4 16 of 17 99 of 153 1 of 2 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 109 of 284 38% 68 of 223 19 of 36 22 of 25 103 of 276 5 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyung Ho Kang 28 of 41 68% 17 of 29 1 of 1 10 of 11 27 of 39 1 of 2 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 34 of 84 40% 22 of 67 6 of 11 6 of 6 31 of 81 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Kyung Ho Kang 33 of 52 63% 30 of 48 0 of 1 3 of 3 33 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 43 of 100 43% 27 of 75 8 of 15 8 of 10 41 of 97 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Kyung Ho Kang 39 of 62 62% 35 of 57 1 of 2 3 of 3 39 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 32 of 100 32% 19 of 81 5 of 10 8 of 9 31 of 98 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Angelo picks Kang as an underdog, citing his durability and grappling advantage. He worries about Kang's last performance but believes Batgerel may fade if he doesn't get an early stoppage, especially coming off a knockout loss. He notes Batgerel's speed and power are dangerous but thinks Kang can weather the storm and take over.

"i'm going to go kang he is a very very durable guy and i think dana might get frustrated if he doesn't get that stoppage early and then tired after the first round"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Big Brady picks Kyung Ho Kang as an underdog, citing his superior grappling and durability. He notes that Danaa Batgerel has poor takedown defense, as seen in his fight against Aletang Haili, and that Kang is a much better grappler. He expects Kang to take Batgerel down, control him, and grind out a decision, though he acknowledges Batgerel's power could lead to a knockout.

"I'm going in with another dog here I'm taking Kyung Ho Kang to win I'm going to take him to win and grind out a decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Cody picks Kang as an underdog, citing his wrestling and durability. He notes Batgerel's takedown defense is untested against grapplers and that Kang has a history of close decisions. He thinks Kang can grind out a win in Singapore.

fight goes to decision
"i'm gonna take a flyer on the underdog here the plus money on mr perfect"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Daniel Levi picks Danaa Batgerel but is not confident. He acknowledges Kang's scrambling and grappling skills but notes Kang's age and questionable fight IQ. He sees Batgerel's power as a game-changer and thinks if Batgerel can hurt Kang early, he can win. He is not betting the fight.

"pure pick I'll just go with the not bad Gary"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Batgerel has knockout power and should have the advantage on the feet. Kang is a grappler but has struggled to implement his game recently. If Batgerel keeps it standing, he can knock Kang out. However, I'm wary of picking slight favorites as it's a weak spot for me. I'll lean Batgerel but likely bet the under 2.5 rounds instead.

Under 2.5 rounds (+100)
"I'm more so on the batgerel side here as long as he can keep this fight in the standing position he should be able to really touch up kong on the feet."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Paul picks Batgerel, believing his power striking will be too much for Kang. He thinks Batgerel's knockout power is real and that Kang's chin may not hold up. He is not fully confident but leans Batgerel.

"backery is my my pick but again they're not matching them up the way i want them to match up"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

The MMA Guru confidently picks Danaa Batgerel to win by first-round KO. He believes Kyung Ho Kang is past his prime, citing a loss to an older Rani Yahya. He praises Batgerel's physical strength and size for bantamweight, and notes that Kang's grinding grappling style won't be effective. He mentions Batgerel's cardio could be a concern in later rounds, but expects a quick finish. He calls it one of the locks of the card.

first round ko
"i'm actually going to call a first round ko for dana batgirl"
LOSS vs Chris Gutierrez
KO/TKO R2 2:34 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
WIN vs Brandon Davis
TKO (elbows and punches) R1 2:01 · UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Oct 16, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danaa Batgerel 1 22 of 51 43% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Brandon Davis 0 7 of 27 25% 7 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danaa Batgerel 1 22 of 51 43% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Brandon Davis 0 7 of 27 25% 7 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danaa Batgerel 22 of 51 43% 20 of 45 1 of 3 1 of 3 20 of 43 0 of 2 2 of 6
Brandon Davis 7 of 27 25% 4 of 22 1 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danaa Batgerel 22 of 51 43% 20 of 45 1 of 3 1 of 3 20 of 43 0 of 2 2 of 6
Brandon Davis 7 of 27 25% 4 of 22 1 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Angelo picks Batgerel but is hesitant because the fight is closer than the odds suggest. He notes Batgerel is a sniper on the feet with speed and power, and his scrambling ability allows him to get back up if taken down. Brandon Davis has a path to victory via wrestling and jiu-jitsu, but his takedown offense is just okay. Angelo believes Batgerel's speed and power on the feet will be the difference, but he sees value in Davis if his wrestling has improved.

plus 3.5 points on Brandon Davis, Brandon Davis wins inside distance/decision no action, less more on monkey knife fight
"I gotta go with dana as the pick but there is some real value with brandon davis if you think he's been working on that wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Brandon Davis

Big Brady picks Brandon Davis as an underdog, citing Davis's size advantage, reach, and takedown ability. He notes Batgerel has power but weaker competition, and Davis can mix in takedowns as seen against Giga Chikadze. He expects a close decision win for Davis.

by decision
"i'm actually gonna side with the dog again in terms of a pick and brandon davis to upset the knob backer"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Davis

Cody picks Davis as a live underdog, citing his durability, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Batgerel is an explosive banger who has not fought past the first round in two years, while Davis has fought high-level competition and has a never-say-die mindset. He believes Davis can weather the early storm and take over as the fight goes on.

"i'm gonna go with brandon davis as another underdog selection"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Daniel slightly leans with Batgerel because he has been more active in the UFC and handled lower-level opponents decisively. However, he sees Brandon Davis as a live dog due to his size (3 inches taller, 72-inch reach) and durability—Davis has never been knocked out. Daniel expects a competitive stand-up fight and suggests the line may be too wide, making it a dog-or-pass situation.

"i'm gonna slightly lean with the knob back gary just because he's been more active inside the ufc's octagon"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Davis

Davis has veteran savvy, a good chin (never KO'd), and a takedown advantage. Batgerel is a muay Thai striker but his overall MMA game is lacking, and Davis can mix in takedowns and submissions. Davis by decision is the main prediction, but a submission prop at plus money is also attractive.

Davis by decision +275, Davis inside distance +365, Davis by submission (hoping for +800 or better)
"i like his veteran ability to come in there and give a guy like tanabat grill some issues... i think that ace in the in his back pocket is that takedown and i do believe he will be successful in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Davis

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Batgerel has zero takedown accuracy and is primarily a striker, while Davis is a well-rounded generalist who can mix in takedowns. He thinks Davis's durability and experience against tough opponents give him an edge.

"i could definitely see brandon davis pulling off the upset here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Davis

The MMA Guru initially leans toward Danaa Batgerel but switches to Brandon Davis after reconsidering. He notes Davis's cardio, reach advantage, and ability to handle power, while questioning Batgerel's loss to Hiyala Teng. He predicts a third-round submission or decision win for Davis, but admits uncertainty.

third round submission or decision win
"i'm going with brandon davis to beat dang the batgirl because it's staring me in my face and every time i ignore these urges i lose"
TKO (punches) R1 0:50 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danaa Batgerel 1 7 of 15 46% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Kevin Natividad 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danaa Batgerel 1 7 of 15 46% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Kevin Natividad 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danaa Batgerel 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 4 of 7
Kevin Natividad 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danaa Batgerel 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 4 of 7
Kevin Natividad 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Big Brady picks Batgerel to win by second-round knockout. He criticizes Natividad's striking defense, calling it awful, and notes that Batgerel is a powerful striker who can crack. He expects Batgerel to land a knockout, as Natividad has been knocked out in both his losses.

Batgerel by KO in round 2
"i'm gonna take the knob bacarelle to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Cody also leans toward Batgerel but is not confident, noting his raw style and power. He thinks Natividad could have a wrestling advantage but expects Batgerel to win the striking exchanges. He passes on the -180 price.

"way back gorilla it's tough to get behind him at this price 100 minus 180 he's just very raw"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Daniel leans with Danaa Batgerel due to his volume and recent knockout, but he agrees the line is too high and calls it a dog or pass situation. He notes that Kevin Natividad is a straightforward boxer with power and could catch Batgerel. He would not recommend laying -200 on Batgerel.

dog or pass situation
"i'm going to lean with deny bat gary to to get it done but i would not recommend laying -200 on him at all"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

I really like Batgerel in this spot. He's a talented Muay Thai striker with power, and Natividad has shown durability issues, getting knocked out by Miles Johns. Batgerel should be able to stuff takedowns and wear on Natividad, eventually getting a TKO. I like Batgerel by KO at +245, and the fight doesn't go the distance at -115 is also a solid play.

Batgerel by KO +245; fight doesn't go the distance -115
"i really like that guerrilla in this spot i think he can light up kevin natividad on the feet"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Paul leans toward Batgerel, citing his aggression and power. He notes Natividad's poor UFC debut on short notice but expects him to look better. He thinks Batgerel's pressure and willingness to exchange will be key, but the -180 price is a pass. He sees Batgerel winning by KO or decision.

"if this stays standing back girl's got the advantage i think that he's got better cardio slightly better cardio but he's got more of this just like willing to win attitude"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel by first-round KO. He notes that Batgerel looks levels above his competition, while Natividad has scraped by cans and is coming off a KO loss. He believes Batgerel will finish him early.

KO in first round
"i'm going to go of dana batgirl"
KO (punches) R1 3:01 · UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Mar 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danaa Batgerel 1 17 of 33 51% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Guido Cannetti 0 11 of 23 47% 11 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danaa Batgerel 1 17 of 33 51% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Guido Cannetti 0 11 of 23 47% 11 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danaa Batgerel 17 of 33 51% 16 of 29 0 of 2 1 of 2 12 of 27 0 of 1 5 of 5
Guido Cannetti 11 of 23 47% 0 of 7 3 of 6 8 of 10 9 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danaa Batgerel 17 of 33 51% 16 of 29 0 of 2 1 of 2 12 of 27 0 of 1 5 of 5
Guido Cannetti 11 of 23 47% 0 of 7 3 of 6 8 of 10 9 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Daniel picks Danaa Batgerel to win, but with caution. He notes that Cannetti is explosive in the first round but tends to fade if he faces adversity. He believes Batgerel can take over in the second and third rounds and win a decision, but it's contingent on him not getting badly hurt in the first.

Daniel says from a betting perspective there's a certain price limit, and he thinks it's accurately lined. He calls it a pass.
"I'll pick Batgerel but I don't want to say I think it's a pass way man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Guido Cannetti

Both fighters are aggressive strikers; Batgerel is more technical, Cannetti is a brawler. The fight likely ends inside the distance. The host prefers betting under 2.5 rounds at plus money rather than picking a side. He picks Cannetti by TKO but is not confident enough to bet the moneyline.

Under 2.5 rounds at +102 to +110.
"I'd rather bet the under two and a half which is probably what I'm gonna do as long as I get that plus money on it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel based on his better UFC record (6-2) and youth advantage over the 40-year-old Guido Cannetti. He notes Cannetti is smaller with less reach and questions why he is still fighting at his age. He expects Batgerel to get the job done with his Asian power moves.

"I'm going with Dana Batgirl I think he's gonna get a job done Asian power moves are EV love EV"
LOSS vs Alateng Heili
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · Aug 31, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 0 36 of 89 40% 63 of 133 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:52
Danaa Batgerel 0 85 of 230 36% 119 of 269 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 0 14 of 32 43% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 21 of 74 28% 21 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alateng Heili 0 11 of 31 35% 11 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 31 of 88 35% 32 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Alateng Heili 0 11 of 26 42% 37 of 69 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:52
Danaa Batgerel 0 33 of 68 48% 66 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 36 of 89 40% 35 of 88 1 of 1 0 of 0 33 of 86 0 of 0 3 of 3
Danaa Batgerel 85 of 230 36% 74 of 202 6 of 17 5 of 11 68 of 202 5 of 11 12 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 14 of 32 43% 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 21 of 74 28% 17 of 62 1 of 4 3 of 8 21 of 73 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Alateng Heili 11 of 31 35% 10 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 31 of 88 35% 25 of 75 4 of 11 2 of 2 30 of 83 1 of 5 0 of 0
3 Alateng Heili 11 of 26 42% 11 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 23 0 of 0 3 of 3
Danaa Batgerel 33 of 68 48% 32 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 1 17 of 46 4 of 5 12 of 17
Guido Cannetti - Fight History
LOSS vs Mario Bautista
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:18 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mario Bautista 0 3 of 4 75% 5 of 6 3 of 4 75% 1 0 2:36
Guido Cannetti 0 2 of 5 40% 5 of 8 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mario Bautista 0 3 of 4 75% 5 of 6 3 of 4 75% 1 0 2:36
Guido Cannetti 0 2 of 5 40% 5 of 8 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mario Bautista 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2
Guido Cannetti 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mario Bautista 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2
Guido Cannetti 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Angelo is very confident in Mario Bautista, citing his youth, speed, wrestling, and grappling advantage over the 43-year-old Guido Cannetti. He believes Bautista will win inside the distance and considers that the most valuable bet. He notes the odds are wide but thinks Bautista should be a much heavier favorite.

Mario Bautista inside the distance bet suggestion
"Mario Batista inside the distance is probably the most value you'll get on him at these odds"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Big Brady is very confident in Mario Bautista, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He notes Bautista's wrestling and grappling look really good, and Cannetti has been finished four times by submission. Brady expects Bautista to get the fight down to the mat early and finish with a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Cannetti has power and Bautista's chin is in question.

win by submission in round 1
"give me Mario Batista to win this fight by first round submission and I think it makes it look pretty easy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Cody picks Bautista by submission, noting Cannetti's tendency to give up his back and get choked. He highlights Bautista's improved wrestling and Jiu-Jitsu, and thinks Cannetti's brawling style will lead to a submission loss.

Bautista by submission +100
"I go Batista Batiste to buy submission which is plus 100. not a good price tag considering it's a submission prop but what I would think is the most likely outcome"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Connor picks Bautista confidently, noting that Bautista has become an aggressive bully who overwhelms opponents with pressure and chain wrestling. He acknowledges Cannetti's early explosiveness but believes Bautista's durability and pace will wear him down, leading to a finish in the second round or later.

Bautista opened -350, now -1025; Cannetti opened +285, now +639. Connor notes the odds are too wide and suggests Bautista by TKO/KO at +1600 might be worth a look.
"So Batista has got to be the pick. It'll be fun though."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Bautista is on a three-fight winning streak and looking career-best. Cannetti is 43 years old at bantamweight, which is a huge disadvantage. Bautista's physical transformation and finishing ability should be too much. I expect a dominant finish within 10 minutes, likely by submission. This is a favorable matchup for Bautista to continue his rise.

Bautista inside the distance, by submission
"Bautista is looking career best and I'm expecting him to go out there and get another win especially my finish I think it looks dominant as well and I think it happens within 10 minutes of this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Paul picks Bautista easily, noting Cannetti's age (43) and Bautista's improvements in grappling. He thinks Bautista can submit Cannetti, who has a history of getting choked out. He mentions a YOLO bet on Cannetti by first-round KO but prefers Bautista by submission.

Bautista by submission +100; mentions Cannetti by first-round KO at +3000 (moved to +1600)
"Bautista I guess for the purposes of picking would be my pick to win this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

The MMA Guru picks Mario Bautista, noting he is a 10-to-1 favorite but believes he should win. He highlights Bautista's recent performances, including a submission win over Keller and dominating Benito Lopez. He thinks Bautista is in his prime and will submit Cannetti.

by submission
"I'm gonna go with Mario Batista getting this one done by submission I think he'll take down Guido get his back and Serb him"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Zane picks Bautista but is less confident than the odds suggest. He notes that Cannetti is a fast, powerful starter who could catch Bautista early, but Bautista's pressure and durability should take over as Cannetti fades. He compares it to Chandler vs Hooker, where either could win early but Bautista has the edge over time.

"I'm not that confident to be honest, it's like, this is basically Chandler hooker. ... I am going to take Batista because it's tough to pick the Kennedy knowing that despite all the success he could have early, he is …"
WIN vs Randy Costa
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 1:04 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guido Cannetti 0 8 of 13 61% 8 of 13 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:09
Randy Costa 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guido Cannetti 0 8 of 13 61% 8 of 13 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:09
Randy Costa 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guido Cannetti 8 of 13 61% 1 of 5 3 of 3 4 of 5 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Randy Costa 2 of 7 28% 0 of 3 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guido Cannetti 8 of 13 61% 1 of 5 3 of 3 4 of 5 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Randy Costa 2 of 7 28% 0 of 3 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Costa

Cody picks Randy Costa to win, citing his striking and power. He notes that Costa has looked good in recent fights and that Cannetti is 42 and has durability issues. He expects an early finish and likes the under 2.5 rounds. He also sees value in Guido Cannetti as a live underdog if Costa fades.

Under 2.5 rounds; Guido Cannetti by KO in round 2
"I think Guido's getting stopped here so I got the the under sure to God this place not going 15 full minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Costa

Paul picks Randy Costa to win, but is not confident in the -300 moneyline. He expects Costa to come out fast and finish early, but acknowledges Costa's cardio issues. He is interested in props on Guido Cannetti if Costa fades. He believes the fight will not go the distance and likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

Under 2.5 rounds; fight doesn't go to decision -400; Guido Cannetti round 2 KO at 25-1
"I think Costa wins I guess for the purposes of this show I'll pick Costa but I'm kind of interesting we'll see where the props land"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Guido Cannetti

The MMA Guru picks Guido Cannetti, believing he will knock out Randy Costa in the first round. He notes that both fighters fade after the first round, but Cannetti has power and Costa has a weak chin. He calls Costa 'wolf tickets' and criticizes the -300 price on Costa, saying anyone betting that has a gambling addiction. He expects a first-round KO from Cannetti.

first round KO
"Give me Guido Cannetti... catch him early and put him away KO. Randy has no chin."
WIN vs Kris Moutinho
TKO (punches) R1 2:07 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guido Cannetti 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kris Moutinho 0 28 of 44 63% 28 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guido Cannetti 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kris Moutinho 0 28 of 44 63% 28 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guido Cannetti 11 of 30 36% 8 of 24 1 of 3 2 of 3 11 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kris Moutinho 28 of 44 63% 18 of 31 5 of 7 5 of 6 21 of 37 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guido Cannetti 11 of 30 36% 8 of 24 1 of 3 2 of 3 11 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kris Moutinho 28 of 44 63% 18 of 31 5 of 7 5 of 6 21 of 37 7 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Kris Moutinho

Angelo leans toward Kris Moutinho due to his durability, noting that he absorbed 230 strikes against Sean O'Malley and kept coming. He acknowledges that Guido Cannetti is a technical striker but aging, and that Moutinho is young and tough. However, he admits he has no strong read on this fight and that Cannetti could win a decision.

"i will lean motino here just because of his durability i mean anybody who can take that kind of beating i just kind of lean on him there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kris Moutinho

Big Brady hesitantly picks Kris Moutinho, citing Moutinho's youth (13 years younger), height and reach advantage, and better cardio. He acknowledges Cannetti is the better fighter but only has one round of cardio at 42 years old. He expects Moutinho to walk forward, eat punches, and take over late to win a close, greasy decision. He is not betting this fight, especially with Moutinho as a favorite.

"i'm gonna take moutinho hesitantly i'm definitely not betting it especially as a favorite"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kris Moutinho

Cody leans Moutinho, citing his youth and pressure. He notes Cannetti's age and suspect gas tank. He believes Moutinho's forward pressure will overwhelm Cannetti.

"moutino is where i would pick here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Kris Moutinho

Daniel Levi picks Kris Moutinho, noting that Guido Cannetti is 43 years old and gasses out past the first round. He believes Moutinho's durability and volume will break Cannetti down, likely winning a decision. Levi acknowledges that Moutinho is not the best but thinks this matchup favors him against an aging opponent.

"i'm gonna go chris matino"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kris Moutinho

Moutinho is expected to land crisper shots down the middle and win via decision. However, the fight is highly volatile with many possible outcomes. Cannetti has leg kicks and power, but Moutinho's durability is a question. The host is not betting this fight due to volatility.

Over 2.5 rounds at minus 130 is mentioned as a lean; Cannetti KO at plus 500 is noted as a hedge.
"I believe it's going to be Moutinho landing the crisper shots down the middle. I don't think he puts out Cannetti. So, I do think that we see Moutinho go out there and win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kris Moutinho

Paul leans Moutinho, citing his youth and pressure. He notes Cannetti's age and suspect gas tank. He believes Moutinho's forward pressure will overwhelm Cannetti.

"moutino is where i would pick here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Guido Cannetti

The MMA Guru picks Guido Cannetti as an underdog over Kris Moutinho, believing Moutinho is 'garbage at fighting' despite his name value from the Sean O'Malley fight. He highlights Cannetti's underrated skills, including dominating Marlon Vera in the first round of their fight. He expects a grinding fight where Cannetti uses his grappling to take Moutinho down and win by TKO or submission. He plans to wait for better odds as money comes in on Moutinho.

TKO or submission; underdog bet
"i'm going to wait until i put some money on guido connetti as an underdog here against chris moutinho i get that he took punishment for three rounds against o'malley but he's absolute garbage at fighting"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Aug 28, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Leomana Martinez 0 79 of 157 50% 88 of 169 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:07
Guido Cannetti 0 66 of 109 60% 68 of 111 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Leomana Martinez 0 19 of 32 59% 21 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:14
Guido Cannetti 0 27 of 37 72% 28 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
2 Leomana Martinez 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Guido Cannetti 0 23 of 40 57% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Leomana Martinez 0 36 of 74 48% 43 of 83 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:53
Guido Cannetti 0 16 of 32 50% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Leomana Martinez 79 of 157 50% 35 of 98 31 of 44 13 of 15 72 of 147 3 of 4 4 of 6
Guido Cannetti 66 of 109 60% 21 of 57 13 of 19 32 of 33 64 of 105 0 of 1 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Leomana Martinez 19 of 32 59% 8 of 20 8 of 8 3 of 4 19 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Guido Cannetti 27 of 37 72% 5 of 11 6 of 9 16 of 17 25 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 3
2 Leomana Martinez 24 of 51 47% 8 of 29 11 of 16 5 of 6 24 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Guido Cannetti 23 of 40 57% 8 of 22 4 of 7 11 of 11 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Leomana Martinez 36 of 74 48% 19 of 49 12 of 20 5 of 5 29 of 64 3 of 4 4 of 6
Guido Cannetti 16 of 32 50% 8 of 24 3 of 3 5 of 5 16 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Angelo picks Martinez, citing his solid power, aggression, and constant stance switches that complicate things for opponents. He notes Cannetti is over 40, losing by stoppage, and needs to get the fight to the ground to win, which is unlikely. The only concern is Martinez's headspace after his coach died, but he still sees a mismatch.

Martinez is -350 favorite; Angelo suggests chasing a first-round stoppage for better odds.
"i just really don't see amanda martinez having an issue here other than i can i have no idea what his headspace will be like"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his power in both hands and aggressive style. He notes that Cannetti is 41 years old, has been knocked out multiple times, and looked old in his last fight. Cody thinks Martinez's takedown defense is solid and that he will knock Cannetti out early, likely in round one.

fight doesn't go to decision (parlay piece); under 2.5 rounds; Martinez inside the distance by TKO
"i'm expecting to see amanda martinez knockout uh probably in round one"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Jacob picks Martinez, emphasizing his power that hits like a middleweight and Cannetti's flat-footed movement and age. He expects Martinez to dominate and likely flatline Cannetti inside two and a half minutes. He plans to bet on a first-round stoppage for better odds.

Jacob will place a bet on Martinez, likely a first-round stoppage prop for better odds than -350.
"i honestly think that martinez should and will uh dominate this fight and probably flatline uh guido inside of two and a half minutes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Lock picks Martinez by KO at -110, expecting a violent fight. He notes both fighters have finishing ability and poor cardio, leading to an early finish. Lock likes the under 1.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision props. He thinks Martinez's power and durability give him the edge, but acknowledges Cannetti can crack too.

under 1.5 rounds -105, fight doesn't go to decision -260, Martinez by KO -110
"i do think it's ultimately going to be martinez who gets the knockout here uh minus 110"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul picks Martinez, agreeing that he has power and that Cannetti is old and faded. He notes Martinez's wins over Ricky Turcios and Jose Johnson, showing he can finish good opponents. Paul thinks Martinez's takedown defense will keep the fight standing and lead to a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Martinez inside the distance.

under 2.5 rounds; Martinez inside the distance by TKO
"i think mana martinez is the clear and obvious choice here right he should go out there and he should be able to get the the first round knockout"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)

The Guru picks Mana Martinez, citing his youth, momentum, and knockout power against the older Guido Cannetti, who is coming off a KO loss. He expects Martinez to start fast and finish by TKO in the first round. The Guru notes Cannetti's age (41) and history of being finished as key factors.

Martinez by TKO in round 1
"i'm gonna have to go with mana martinez here getting a finish i'll say he gets it done by tko in the first round"
LOSS vs Danaa Batgerel
KO (punches) R1 3:01 · UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Mar 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danaa Batgerel 1 17 of 33 51% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Guido Cannetti 0 11 of 23 47% 11 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danaa Batgerel 1 17 of 33 51% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Guido Cannetti 0 11 of 23 47% 11 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danaa Batgerel 17 of 33 51% 16 of 29 0 of 2 1 of 2 12 of 27 0 of 1 5 of 5
Guido Cannetti 11 of 23 47% 0 of 7 3 of 6 8 of 10 9 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danaa Batgerel 17 of 33 51% 16 of 29 0 of 2 1 of 2 12 of 27 0 of 1 5 of 5
Guido Cannetti 11 of 23 47% 0 of 7 3 of 6 8 of 10 9 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Daniel picks Danaa Batgerel to win, but with caution. He notes that Cannetti is explosive in the first round but tends to fade if he faces adversity. He believes Batgerel can take over in the second and third rounds and win a decision, but it's contingent on him not getting badly hurt in the first.

Daniel says from a betting perspective there's a certain price limit, and he thinks it's accurately lined. He calls it a pass.
"I'll pick Batgerel but I don't want to say I think it's a pass way man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Guido Cannetti

Both fighters are aggressive strikers; Batgerel is more technical, Cannetti is a brawler. The fight likely ends inside the distance. The host prefers betting under 2.5 rounds at plus money rather than picking a side. He picks Cannetti by TKO but is not confident enough to bet the moneyline.

Under 2.5 rounds at +102 to +110.
"I'd rather bet the under two and a half which is probably what I'm gonna do as long as I get that plus money on it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel based on his better UFC record (6-2) and youth advantage over the 40-year-old Guido Cannetti. He notes Cannetti is smaller with less reach and questions why he is still fighting at his age. He expects Batgerel to get the job done with his Asian power moves.

"I'm going with Dana Batgirl I think he's gonna get a job done Asian power moves are EV love EV"
LOSS vs Marlon Vera
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:31 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Nov 17, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marlon Vera 0 24 of 42 57% 37 of 56 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:48
Guido Cannetti 1 24 of 35 68% 36 of 48 2 of 2 100% 2 0 1:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marlon Vera 0 21 of 35 60% 34 of 49 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:32
Guido Cannetti 0 8 of 13 61% 20 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:53
2 Marlon Vera 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Guido Cannetti 1 16 of 22 72% 16 of 22 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marlon Vera 24 of 42 57% 11 of 25 8 of 10 5 of 7 8 of 23 8 of 11 8 of 8
Guido Cannetti 24 of 35 68% 13 of 18 10 of 14 1 of 3 3 of 10 17 of 19 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marlon Vera 21 of 35 60% 9 of 19 8 of 10 4 of 6 6 of 19 7 of 8 8 of 8
Guido Cannetti 8 of 13 61% 0 of 3 7 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 3 6 of 8 1 of 2
2 Marlon Vera 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 1 of 3 0 of 0
Guido Cannetti 16 of 22 72% 13 of 15 3 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 7 11 of 11 3 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marlon Vera vs. Guido Cannetti

Round 1
Vera pushes Cannetti backward with a body kick, but the “Ninja” comes back at Vera with a Thai clinch and a knee to the body. Vera turns the tables with a quick takedown; Cannetti throws up an armbar, then jumps back on his feet when Vera lifts him for a slam. After tagging Vera with a combination, it’s Cannetti’s turn to score a takedown, slamming “Chito” to the floor at the base of the fence. Vera slowly works his way back to his feet, and the bantamweights disengage inside the three-minute mark. Vera is forced to cover up again as Cannetti blitzes him with wild punching combinations and body kicks, unconcerned with any of Vera’s attempted counters. Cannetti misses on a punch to the body, allowing Vera to wrap him up and push him to the fence. Vera stomps on Cannetti’s feet, but it’s the Argentine hitting an outside trip to put Vera on his back a second time. Cannetti spends 30 seconds trying to break Vera’s posture and find an opening for some ground-and-pound. Eventually, Cannetti stands up and kicks at the legs of Vera, keeping the Ecuadorian grounded until the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round 10-9 Cannetti
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Cannetti
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Cannetti

Round 2
Vera attacks Cannetti with clinch knees, first to the body and then one to the head that sends “Ninja” to the canvas. As Cannetti stands up and drives on Vera’s legs, the Ecuadorian sizes him up for a guillotine and jumps guard. Cannetti frees himself from the choke, but after escaping to his feet, Vera keeps him trapped on the fence to tee off with more knees and punches. Vera reaps the leg of Cannetti and trips him to the ground, then
attaches himself to Cannetti’s back with a body triangle and forces him to tap out
with a lightning fast rear-naked choke.

The Official Result
Marlon Vera def. Guido Cannetti via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R2 1:31
WIN vs Diego Rivas
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · May 19, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guido Cannetti 0 22 of 46 47% 26 of 50 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:04
Diego Rivas 0 25 of 53 47% 44 of 75 1 of 3 33% 1 1 5:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guido Cannetti 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:20
Diego Rivas 0 13 of 19 68% 25 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:37
2 Guido Cannetti 0 3 of 5 60% 6 of 8 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:00
Diego Rivas 0 4 of 6 66% 11 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:15
3 Guido Cannetti 0 16 of 37 43% 17 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:44
Diego Rivas 0 8 of 28 28% 8 of 28 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guido Cannetti 22 of 46 47% 10 of 23 7 of 17 5 of 6 8 of 31 13 of 14 1 of 1
Diego Rivas 25 of 53 47% 12 of 35 6 of 11 7 of 7 10 of 32 7 of 12 8 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guido Cannetti 3 of 4 75% 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 1 3 of 3 0 of 0
Diego Rivas 13 of 19 68% 9 of 14 2 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 3 5 of 8 7 of 8
2 Guido Cannetti 3 of 5 60% 1 of 1 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Diego Rivas 4 of 6 66% 1 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Guido Cannetti 16 of 37 43% 9 of 22 5 of 12 2 of 3 6 of 26 10 of 11 0 of 0
Diego Rivas 8 of 28 28% 2 of 19 1 of 4 5 of 5 6 of 24 2 of 4 0 of 0
LOSS vs Kyung Ho Kang
Submission (triangle choke) R1 4:53 · UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · Jan 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyung Ho Kang 0 3 of 11 27% 28 of 36 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:38
Guido Cannetti 0 19 of 39 48% 22 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyung Ho Kang 0 3 of 11 27% 28 of 36 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:38
Guido Cannetti 0 19 of 39 48% 22 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyung Ho Kang 3 of 11 27% 3 of 9 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 2
Guido Cannetti 19 of 39 48% 12 of 29 4 of 7 3 of 3 9 of 29 5 of 5 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyung Ho Kang 3 of 11 27% 3 of 9 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 2
Guido Cannetti 19 of 39 48% 12 of 29 4 of 7 3 of 3 9 of 29 5 of 5 5 of 5
Expert Picks (3)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Daniel picks Danaa Batgerel to win, but with caution. He notes that Cannetti is explosive in the first round but tends to fade if he faces adversity. He believes Batgerel can take over in the second and third rounds and win a decision, but it's contingent on him not getting badly hurt in the first.

Daniel says from a betting perspective there's a certain price limit, and he thinks it's accurately lined. He calls it a pass.
"I'll pick Batgerel but I don't want to say I think it's a pass way man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Guido Cannetti

Both fighters are aggressive strikers; Batgerel is more technical, Cannetti is a brawler. The fight likely ends inside the distance. The host prefers betting under 2.5 rounds at plus money rather than picking a side. He picks Cannetti by TKO but is not confident enough to bet the moneyline.

Under 2.5 rounds at +102 to +110.
"I'd rather bet the under two and a half which is probably what I'm gonna do as long as I get that plus money on it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel based on his better UFC record (6-2) and youth advantage over the 40-year-old Guido Cannetti. He notes Cannetti is smaller with less reach and questions why he is still fighting at his age. He expects Batgerel to get the job done with his Asian power moves.

"I'm going with Dana Batgirl I think he's gonna get a job done Asian power moves are EV love EV"