UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
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Age 36
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 6' 4"
Reach 78"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Volkan Oezdemir
4.99 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.19 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.5 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Aleksandar Rakić
4.13 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
2.86 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.64 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
85.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Volkan Oezdemir - Fight History
KO R1 1:27 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 1 13 of 35 37% 14 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alonzo Menifield 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 1 13 of 35 37% 14 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alonzo Menifield 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 13 of 35 37% 12 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 13 of 35 37% 12 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alonzo Menifield vs. Volkan Oezdemir
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oezdemir (-240); Menifield (+190)

Round 1
With dueling finish rates right at or around 75%, a pair of fist-first light heavyweights meet for the first time despite a litany of experience in the Octagon thus far. “No Time” Oezdemir (20-8, 8-7 UFC) knows there is no time for a loss, as that would drop his promotional record to .500. Menifield (17-5-1, 10-5-1 UFC) is a long way away from that line, and he has put a pair of knockout losses last year in the rear-view mirror with two victories thus far in 2025. Someone’s fortunes will drop at the end of what should be a concussive matchup, one that kicks off in front of referee Marc Goddard with a sporting touch of gloves.
Oezdemir wades towards Menifield, but he ends up getting smacked with a surprise left hook on the entry. Oezdemir backs off to find another way in, and he jabs to set up twos and a body kick. Menifield bounces off the fence to shake it off, and he avoids a swatting right hand while strafing to the side. Oezdemir stays after him with punches that bounce off the guard, and he squares up to drill Menifield in the chest with a knee. Menifield fires back with an overhand right that is out of range, and another vicious knee from “No Time” crashes into Menifield’s chin. The Swiss fighter stands Menifield up with a barrage of fiery fists, knocking Menifield’s head around and putting him in jeopardy. Menifield sways and moves, but Oezdemir’s boxing is relentless and destructive.
Oezdemir stuns Menifield with a left hand and finishes the job with a bevy of brutal blows. Like a puppet that’s had its strings cut, Menifield slumps to his side and is kept upright only because of the fence next to him.
The lights are on, but no one’s home. Goddard recognizes that Menifield is dreaming of his ancestors and halts the fight, and he immediately tends to the wrecked Texan. The “boop” is back.

The Official Result
Volkan Oezdemir def. Alonzo Menifield R1 1:27 via KO (Knee and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Angelo leans Volkan Oezdemir over Alonzo Menifield, despite rooting for Menifield. He notes Oezdemir's leg kicks were effective against Carlos Ulberg and could neutralize Menifield's power. Both are similar aging vets with above-average striking and below-average wrestling, but Oezdemir is cleaner and has better cardio. Angelo calls the odds an atrocity and suggests value on Menifield.

Plus three and a half on Alonzo is not a terrible bet; Alonzo inside the distance decision no action is not a terrible bet.
"I'm gonna pick Vulcan Odeir. These odds are an atrocity."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Volkan Oezdemir by decision, noting his higher level of competition and defensive responsibility. He expects the fight to go the distance and favors Oezdemir's output and experience over Menifield.

decision
"Oezdemir by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Cody picks Volkan Oezdemir confidently, despite feeling it might be a trap. He notes that Menifield has only beaten green or inexperienced fighters and has poor takedown defense. Volkan has fought higher-level competition and has power. Cody believes Volkan's experience and power will be too much for Menifield, who tends to freeze against power punchers.

"I think Vulcan just stiffs him to be honest with you."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Connor picks Oezdemir, noting that Menifield lacks the tools to exploit Oezdemir's weaknesses. He explains that Oezdemir struggles against a good jab or aggressive ground game, but Menifield relies on power and size, which Oezdemir can handle. Connor cites Oezdemir's wins over similar fighters like Johnny Walker and Paul Craig.

"I just got to pick Vulcan Uzdimir here out of hand."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Lucrative James picks Volkan Oezdemir but with low confidence, calling it a close fight. He notes Volkan's technical striking and leg kicks, but acknowledges Menifield's athleticism and power. He thinks Volkan will win a decision by doing slightly more on the feet, but admits he may bet on Menifield as an underdog. He also mentions the over/under prop.

over 1.5 rounds mentioned as potential plus money play
"I'm going to pick Vulcan just because I think he's going to win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Oezdemir has power and can exploit Menifield's durability issues. Menifield is a live underdog with power of his own. The under 2.5 rounds is a better bet than the moneyline, as both have knockout potential.

under 2.5 rounds at -135
"I'm going to go Uzamir by knockout as my official prediction, but I do like the under two and a half most in this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Paul picks Volkan Oezdemir, agreeing with Cody. He notes that all metrics point to Volkan, and Menifield's wins are against lower-level opponents. Paul mentions that Menifield has been knocked out quickly by power punchers, and Volkan has the power to do the same.

"I mean, all the metrics, all the stats, you look at the two of these match these guys, everything points towards Vulcan."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

The MMA Guru picks Volkan Oezdemir over Alonzo Menifield, citing Oezdemir's experience and takedown defense. He notes Menifield's poor decision-making and believes Oezdemir will out-strike him. He predicts a second-round TKO win for Oezdemir.

second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Volkan Oezdemir. I think he'll sting Alonzo Menifield with hooks on the outside."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Oezdemir. He notes that Menifield's best chance is if Oezdemir has a bad night, but Oezdemir's pressure and aggression should overwhelm Menifield. Zane highlights Oezdemir's experience against higher-level competition and Menifield's tendency to lose to fighters who don't respect his power.

"I'm taking Uzdimir as well. Uzdimir is just not one of those guys. You can have a whole lot of faith."
LOSS vs Carlos Ulberg
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Ulberg 0 96 of 183 52% 96 of 183 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Volkan Oezdemir 0 98 of 204 48% 98 of 204 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Ulberg 0 29 of 51 56% 29 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Volkan Oezdemir 0 24 of 60 40% 24 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Carlos Ulberg 0 28 of 59 47% 28 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Volkan Oezdemir 0 29 of 60 48% 29 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Carlos Ulberg 0 39 of 73 53% 39 of 73 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Volkan Oezdemir 0 45 of 84 53% 45 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Ulberg 96 of 183 52% 51 of 131 17 of 24 28 of 28 95 of 182 1 of 1 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 98 of 204 48% 81 of 182 9 of 13 8 of 9 98 of 204 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Ulberg 29 of 51 56% 12 of 30 8 of 12 9 of 9 28 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 24 of 60 40% 18 of 51 3 of 5 3 of 4 24 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Carlos Ulberg 28 of 59 47% 11 of 40 4 of 6 13 of 13 28 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 29 of 60 48% 23 of 53 2 of 3 4 of 4 29 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Carlos Ulberg 39 of 73 53% 28 of 61 5 of 6 6 of 6 39 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 45 of 84 53% 40 of 78 4 of 5 1 of 1 45 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Angelo initially was very confident in Ulberg but became more hesitant after reviewing Oezdemir's resume and chin. He still picks Ulberg as the much better striker but acknowledges Oezdemir's takedown threat and experience. He notes Oezdemir hasn't been knocked out since 2020.

"I am still going to pick ulberg here I'm going to stick with my gut but the confidence took a little bit of a hit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Big Brady picks Carlos Ulberg to win by decision. He believes Ulberg is the better striker with more volume and power, and Oezdemir is unlikely to wrestle. Brady notes Oezdemir has looked like he's losing a step, citing the Paul Craig fight where he seemed slow. He expects Ulberg to outwork Oezdemir over 15 minutes in a competitive but clear decision.

"I like orberg to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision just doing more across 15 minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Cody picks Ulberg, citing his speed, power, and improved cardio and grappling. He notes that Oezdemir is a first-round knockout threat but fades in later rounds and has been taken down. Ulberg's diverse skill set and ability to mix takedowns give him multiple paths to victory. He expects Ulberg to win by decision or late knockout.

"I got alberg alberg a i Sav by decision I kind of think he could knock him out so I don't really like that I'll probably just play the money line"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Connor also picks Ulberg, but notes that Oezdemir could win if he pressures and lands big combinations. He compares Ulberg to Charbel Magomedov, saying he is fast but vulnerable when pressured. Connor expects a sticky split decision where Ulberg jabs from range and Oezdemir has moments of success, but Ulberg's speed and reach should edge it.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'll take Olberg as well, but it could easily be a sticky split decision where Olberg is getting backed up and touching Oezdemir up with jabs."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Daniel Vreeland is confident Carlos Ulberg will win, citing his superior athleticism, speed, and slick striking. He praises Ulberg's left hook and step-back counter. He views Volkan Oezdemir as a solid but limited gatekeeper who is too meat-and-potatoes for the new breed. Vreeland predicts a left hook knockout by Ulberg.

by KO (left hook)
"I think it's gonna be a left hook Knockout by Carlos olberg over Vulcan usir"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)

James does not give a clear pick for this fight, citing inside information from Ulberg's camp that he keeps private. He notes the odds seem based on recency bias and that Ulberg is stepping up in competition. He suggests the line may be off but does not reveal his lean.

"I'm not going to go into the stylist Stylistics of this matchup right now on this video"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 22, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Ulberg has superior striking speed and footwork. He will stay away from Oezdemir's power, chop away with his jab, and win on the scorecards.

"I believe Al's Superior striking speed and footwork will allow him to stay away from the big Power of usir chop away at him with his jab and eventually win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Paul agrees, highlighting Ulberg's speed and technical striking advantage. He thinks Oezdemir will struggle to land his power shots and may force a dogfight, but Ulberg's improved cardio and fight IQ will carry him. He notes that Ulberg's grappling is a question mark, but Oezdemir doesn't have the wrestling to exploit it.

"I think Goldberg wins um minus 250 seems a little bit risque but I he's got all the tools in the shed to to make this work"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Ulberg over Volkan Oezdemir, despite acknowledging Oezdemir's potential to fraud-check prospects. He notes Oezdemir's hype was built on not getting hit, but since then only has a KO over Johnny Walker and couldn't finish Paul Craig. He believes Ulberg is more talented, trains at a good gym (City Kickboxing), and is now or never at 34. He predicts a competitive decision win for Ulberg.

decision win, competitive 29-28
"I'm going to go with Carlos alberg getting this one done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Zane picks Ulberg, arguing that his jab and range control will frustrate Oezdemir, who struggles against kickboxers that sit on a jab. He notes that Oezdemir's poor defensive striking and fragile confidence will be exposed if Ulberg can stick him from distance. Zane compares it to the Rakic fight, expecting a split decision where Ulberg's jab wins rounds.

Oezdemir opened +217, now +202; Ulberg opened -245, now -235.
"I think that Olberg can offer the thing that will most likely prevent Oezdemir from doing what will win him the fight. He can stick a jab on him."
WIN vs Johnny Walker
KO (punch) R1 2:28 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 0 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 2 37 of 67 55% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 0 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 2 37 of 67 55% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 15 of 33 45% 6 of 20 3 of 6 6 of 7 15 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 37 of 67 55% 22 of 49 9 of 12 6 of 6 33 of 59 2 of 4 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 15 of 33 45% 6 of 20 3 of 6 6 of 7 15 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 37 of 67 55% 22 of 49 9 of 12 6 of 6 33 of 59 2 of 4 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

Angelo picks Johnny Walker, citing his size, athleticism, speed, and power. He thinks Walker's unpredictability and creativity will be key. He acknowledges Walker's chin issues and unreliability but believes the height and athleticism advantage will be too much for Oezdemir. He does not have a bet on the fight but notes the odds are close, making it a good value play.

No bet placed; odds close so potential value
"Johnny Walker is gonna be the pick I'll tell you right now I don't have a bet on this fight because I don't trust Johnny in that chin but these odds make it like these are the fights where you …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Volkan Oezdemir hesitantly, calling it a coin flip. He favors Oezdemir's durability and output over Johnny Walker's inconsistency. Brady notes Walker's tendency to be hesitant after knockouts and expects a close, possibly boring decision. He acknowledges that anything can happen in a Johnny Walker fight.

"give me uzir because he's going to be more durable which is not hard uh for Johnny Walker to for anybody to be more durable than him"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

Cody picks Walker, citing his improved fight IQ under SBG Ireland, using length and distance to outpoint opponents. He notes Oezdemir's reliance on power and low output, and believes Walker can avoid the big shot and win a decision or late finish.

"I'm going to take Johnny Walker"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

Daniel Vreeland leans slightly towards Johnny Walker, citing his unorthodox attacks and athleticism. He notes Oezdemir's gas tank issues and believes Walker can cause problems with range and unpredictability. However, he acknowledges Walker's chin vulnerability and the possibility of getting knocked out.

"I'm gonna lean slightly ever so slightly with Johnny Walker"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Jacob picks Oezdemir, citing his durability and power. He does not trust Johnny Walker's chin and believes Oezdemir will eventually land. He notes that Johnny Walker as a dog (+150 or more) would be worth a bet, but as a favorite he cannot pick him. He thinks Oezdemir's durability will be the difference.

"Johnny Walker just to me is not a a durable guy at this point I like vulcan's dur durability"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

JP picks Walker, citing his size, power, and unorthodox style. He expects a KO but acknowledges it could go to decision. He doubts Oezdemir's grappling ability. Brevan agrees, noting Oezdemir's experience and calf kicks but believes Walker's size and explosiveness will be too much. He predicts Walker by KO/TKO or decision, and mentions Walker's need for a comeback win after losses to Ankalaev.

Walker by KO (prop bet)
"I'm going Walker by KO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear winner pick but suggests the over 1.5 rounds as a play. He notes both fighters have become more methodical and that Walker's new style may lead to a boring decision. He doesn't commit to a side.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think the best play is probably the over one and a half"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

The MMA Guru picks Volkan Oezdemir over Johnny Walker, expressing frustration with Walker's lack of fundamentals. He notes that Walker has not learned to jab despite his reach advantage and often puts himself in bad positions. He believes Oezdemir is composed, has good recent form, and will likely catch Walker with a low kick heavy game plan and finish him by TKO. He admits Walker could win at any time but trusts Oezdemir's chin and discipline.

TKO
"I'm just going to go volcanos to here dude I'm just going to go vulcanos to me probably chins Walker [__] Johnny Walker dude I want him to win I root for Johnny Walker every time but every fight I'm …"
WIN vs Bogdan Guskov
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:46 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 1 26 of 46 56% 36 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:23
Bogdan Guskov 0 8 of 25 32% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 1 26 of 46 56% 36 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:23
Bogdan Guskov 0 8 of 25 32% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 26 of 46 56% 19 of 37 1 of 2 6 of 7 15 of 32 1 of 1 10 of 13
Bogdan Guskov 8 of 25 32% 7 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 1 8 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 26 of 46 56% 19 of 37 1 of 2 6 of 7 15 of 32 1 of 1 10 of 13
Bogdan Guskov 8 of 25 32% 7 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 1 8 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bogdan Guskov vs. Volkan Oezdemir
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oezdemir (-185), Guskov (+154)

Round 1
Given his consistently high level of opposition since debuting in the UFC back in 2017 against Ovince St. Preux, Oezdemir (18-7, 6-6 UFC) has seen his stock rise to heights of championship contention and fall to a .500 record in the Octagon. Having dropped three of his last four since the pandemic began, “No Time” has no time left to get back in the win column. Receiving a late replacement for Azamat Murzakanov, the Swiss striker now meets Uzbekistan-born powerhouse Guskov (14-2, 0-0 UFC), who celebrates 11 first-round finishes across his 14 pro victories. Violence and carnage are soon to be had for these two heavy-handed light heavyweights, but referee Marc Goddard checks the two in calmly as they touch gloves first. Oezdemir lands the first strike, with a leg kick, and Guskov responds with a missed punch. Oezdemir clips him with a short pair of punches, and he hops back from a straight left hand. Oezdemir snacks the thigh with a kick, goes after the calf, and then ducks away when Guskov tries to counter. Oezdemir clips his foe with a left hand, and he slams his shin to the thigh. Both men crash together throwing hands, with Oezdemir landing the flusher blow but getting tagged as well. Oezdemir ducks a punch and shoots for a takedown, and he lifts the newcomer off the ground and sets him down lightly. “No Time” lands in half guard, and he lands a pair of punches to the body and stacks Guskov up. Guskov manages to work his way to one knee, and Oezdemir drags him down again. Guskov explodes to his feet and gets cracked with a right hand, but he shakes it off and hammers Goskov’s lead leg with a few kicks. Oezdemir misses the mark with a front kick, and after an exchange, his nose is briefly bloodied up. Oezdemir drills the Uzbekistani fighter with a vicious left hook, and he gives chase and knocks Guskov off his feet. Guskov falls to the ground, and he turns to his knees as Oezdemir pounds on him.
Oezdemir easily claims full mount and blasts away with punches until Guskov turns to his belly. The Swiss contender quickly takes advantage of this position by flattening Guskov out and snatching up the rear-naked choke. Guskov is totally defeated and wastes no time before tapping
, and “No Time” has successfully landed his first submission since 2012.

The Official Result
Volkan Oezdemir def. Bogdan Guskov R1 3:46 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Bogdan Guskov

Angelo leans towards Bogdan Guskov, calling him the more dangerous guy with well-rounded skills. He notes Volkan Oezdemir has a weak chin and has fought top competition, but Guskov's power and patience on the ground could be key. He hopes for a 2.5 round line to bet the under.

waiting for round props to bet under 2.5 rounds
"I am going to lean danger I am going to pick the more dangerous guy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Oezdemir, despite acknowledging his recent decline and poor performance against Paul Craig. He views Guskov as a 'fraud' with poor cardio, striking defense, and competition level. He expects Oezdemir to finish Guskov early, likely by first-round KO, as this is the easiest fight of Oezdemir's UFC tenure.

Oezdemir wins by first-round KO
"give me Vulcan usdamir to finish Gus Gob and I think it probably happens early as well... give me Volcan ko1"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Cody picks Oezdemir but is hesitant, acknowledging Guskov's first-round KO power and the trend of debuting underdogs winning. He notes Oezdemir has struggled lately, with low volume and no knockdowns in four years, but has elite training and experience. Guskov is a wild card who has only faced regional competition. Cody thinks Oezdemir can point-fight to a decision but Guskov is live for an early finish.

"I guess I will go Vulcan who's Demir but again if you were forced to pull some underdogs here and there you know Gustav's a guy that's at least considered live in my opinion"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Daniel Levi picks Volkan Oezdemir, acknowledging that Oezdemir has shown regression but believes the experience gap is massive. He notes that Oezdemir has fought the who's who of the division, while Guskov is an unproven newcomer with a questionable chin. Levi admits Oezdemir hasn't finished anyone since 2019 and his takedown defense has declined, but he still thinks Oezdemir has enough to win. He is not confident enough to offer a bet, calling it a 'see how it goes' fight.

"I still think he's got enough to win this fight so I'm gonna pick him for that reason"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 2, 2023 (fight day)
Bogdan Guskov

Lucrative James is on Guskov moneyline, believing Oezdemir has been on a downtrend since the Jiri knockout, with worse reaction time and chin. He thinks Guskov has true power, shown by knockouts in multiple ways (elbows, jabs, straight hands). He notes Guskov's submissions are also good, and he has a prop on Guskov by submission at 20-1. He argues that heavyweights with knockout power can step up in competition more easily because they only need one shot.

Bogdan Guskov by submission (+2000)
"I actually bet bogged down goose golf so I'll say that straight off top... I think he has a lot of tools that can make Vulcan ozdamere pay."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

I'm picking Oezdemir here. He has a huge experience advantage and I expect a very pissed off version of him after his last fight. He should use his leg kicking game to slow down Guskov and then find his knockout power within the first 10 minutes. Guskov is a power puncher who finishes early, but when he faces resistance he struggles. Oezdemir's power and experience should be too much.

"I think we'll see Vulcan was the mayor use the combination of his Lane kicking game to slow down gooskov and then really start talking all with the strikes where he should be able to find that no time power …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Paul picks Oezdemir but is scared, recalling Oezdemir's poor performance against Krylov where he was mauled. He compares Guskov to Nursulton Ruziboev, a debuting fighter who crushed a veteran. Paul notes Guskov has first-round KO potential and is a low-owned DFS play. He won't bet the -180 but will pick Oezdemir.

"I'm gonna pick who's Demir with you but like it kind of reminds me of the situation with that uh nurse Sultan Roosevelt Guy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

The MMA Guru picks Volkan Oezdemir by late second-round TKO, noting that Oezdemir has improved technically and has gone to decisions with tough opponents. He acknowledges Guskov is dangerous but believes Oezdemir will weather early rough moments and find a finish as the fight progresses.

"I'm gonna go volcanoes damir late second round TKO"
LOSS vs Nikita Krylov
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nikita Krylov 0 42 of 81 51% 108 of 157 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:47
Volkan Oezdemir 0 57 of 121 47% 171 of 251 7 of 20 35% 1 0 9:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nikita Krylov 0 27 of 50 54% 46 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Volkan Oezdemir 0 26 of 58 44% 31 of 64 2 of 7 28% 1 0 2:02
2 Nikita Krylov 0 11 of 18 61% 42 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Volkan Oezdemir 0 11 of 27 40% 54 of 78 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:28
3 Nikita Krylov 0 4 of 13 30% 20 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Volkan Oezdemir 0 20 of 36 55% 86 of 109 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nikita Krylov 42 of 81 51% 35 of 72 3 of 3 4 of 6 34 of 68 5 of 9 3 of 4
Volkan Oezdemir 57 of 121 47% 42 of 100 12 of 18 3 of 3 38 of 93 12 of 17 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nikita Krylov 27 of 50 54% 24 of 47 0 of 0 3 of 3 20 of 39 4 of 7 3 of 4
Volkan Oezdemir 26 of 58 44% 17 of 46 7 of 10 2 of 2 17 of 45 8 of 10 1 of 3
2 Nikita Krylov 11 of 18 61% 8 of 14 2 of 2 1 of 2 10 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 11 of 27 40% 10 of 24 0 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 23 0 of 2 2 of 2
3 Nikita Krylov 4 of 13 30% 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 20 of 36 55% 15 of 30 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 25 4 of 5 4 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nikita Krylov vs. Volkan Oezdemir
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Krylov (-165), Oezdemir (+140)

Round 1
An intriguing light heavyweight contest that virtually promises action and violence is coming over the horizon, as Oezdemir (18-6, 6-5 UFC) aims to keep his UFC record above .500 against proven finisher Krylov (28-9, 9-7 UFC) who has only gone the distance once in his 28 victories. The heavy-hitting pairing will be joined in the cage by referee Marc Goddard, and the fighters touch gloves before swinging them for the bleachers. Krylov pushes out a front kick as Oezdemir comes at him, but this does not slow Oezdemir from looking for a brawl. Oezdemir lines up several heavy punches, and Krylov is rocked early and circling on the outside. Oezdemir gives chase, and he drills Krylov again and again with destructive punches. Krylov shoots in for a takedown, badly hurt, and the Swiss fighter breaks off and confidently marches forward. Krylov again attempts a front kick, and he still does not have his legs beneath him. Oezdemir closes the distance and connects with a string of uppercuts, and Krylov again shoots in and drags Oezdemir to the floor for a second. “No Time” has no time for the ground game, as he springs back up with the wall at his side. Krylov attempts a mat return, and he clears his head as he leans on Oezdemir while landing knees to the thigh. Oezdemir bursts out of the clinch, and he allows Krylov to swing at him with his own barrage before sitting down on a calf kick. Oezdemir calms himself down and methodically approaches instead of rushing it, and Krylov gets loose. Oezdemir sprints in, and Krylov intercepts him with a crushing knee that rocks Oezdemir. “The Miner” digs deep and nails Oezdemir with a salvo of unanswered strikes, and he goes for a takedown only to fall to the ground. As Krylov keeps moving, he gets one hook in and then the other, and he isolates the neck for a rear-naked choke. The grip is around the chin and not under it, so Oezdemir grits it out and sits up. Oezdemir stands up, catches a high knee, and slings Krylov down to the ground. Krylov tosses out upkicks, keeping Oezdemir honest, until Oezdemir lowers himself into the guard. Oezdemir drops down a few hammerfists as he moves to side control, but he abandons it and stands back up. The horn sounds to conclude this thriller of a round, and judges have their hands full here.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Krylov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Oezdemir
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Krylov

Round 2
The light heavyweights meet in the middle to start off the second stanza, and Krylov strikes first with sweeping leg kick. Krylov crashes forward with a stream of punches, knocking Oezdemir back but not hurting him. Oezdemir keeps his right arm high to block the expected high kick, and it glances off the guard. Oezdemir kicks low a few times, and he pushes out a few jabs as Krylov appears the fresher man now. Krylov just misses a head kick, and he darts down to grab a double and plant Oezdemir on the canvas. Krylov moves to the guard, and he does work from on top as Oezdemir responds with elbows from off his back. Oezdemir works his way to his knees and surrenders his back, and Krylov takes this but cannot claim the dominant position. Oezdemir turns his back to the fencing, and Krylov trips him out to his knees. Krylov rips Oezdemir down to the floor again, but Oezdemir bursts upright and just dodges a head kick. Oezdemir connects with a clean right hand, and Krylov meets him with a knee up the middle. The knees turn to a takedown entry from “The Miner,” who digs down low to pull Oezdemir’s legs out and bury him on the floor. Krylov gets his wind back from the guard position, with light ground-and-pound but far more important control time given the energy expenditure thus far. Goddard tells Krylov to keep working as they stall out, and Oezdemir closes the guard and ties Krylov up to force referee intervention. Krylov continues his body-body-head strikes from above that are more stay-busy strikes, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Krylov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Krylov
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Krylov

Round 3
The seemingly spent 205ers greet with a touch of gloves to begin the last round, and both men score punches immediately. Krylov lands the cleaner of the strikes, backing Oezdemir up and getting off an uppercut and a knee. Krylov uses his forward momentum to go after a takedown, and his double sets the Swiss man on the mat again. Oezdemir appears dejected from getting grounded once more, and the ground control resumes from “The Miner.” Little in the way of offense comes from a fatigued Krylov, with the occasional punch to the body or head to remain active. Goddard stands them up at practically the midpoint of the round, and Oezdemir is energized and marches forward. Krylov keeps him at bay with a front kick, and he strings a one-two together that Oezdemir practically ignores. Oezdemir swings his fists like he is underwater, with Krylov appearing physically far fresher, and he is more active as he puts a one-two on the chin and follows it with a head kick. Krylov connects with a few more heavy blows, including a stunning right hand, and he secures a takedown to deflate Oezdemir completely. When Oezdemir defends with a triangle choke from his back, Krylov makes him pay by raining down punches that bounce his head off the floor. Krylov slowly, methodically works Oezdemir over, and he passes to the side right when the final bell perhaps surprisingly sounds. Should he get his hand raised, it will be just the second decision victory of Krylov's lengthy career.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Krylov (30-27 Krylov)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Krylov (29-28 Krylov)
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Krylov (30-27 Krylov)

The Official Result
Nikita Krylov def. Volkan Oezdemir via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nikita Krylov

Big Brady picks Krylov to win by first-round knockout. He notes Oezdemir looked off in his last fight against Paul Craig and is getting older. Krylov has multiple paths to victory: knockout on the feet or submission on the ground, with 27 of 28 wins inside the distance. He believes Krylov's pressure and finishing ability will be too much for Oezdemir.

first round knockout
"I think krilloff to win by I'll say first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nikita Krylov

Cody picks Krylov, noting his fast starts and power. He thinks Krylov can catch Oezdemir early and finish him. Cody acknowledges Krylov's poor decisions and gas tank but believes Oezdemir's best days are behind him. He sees Krylov as the better fighter at this point.

"I will go with Nikki to cry"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nikita Krylov

Daniel Levi picks Nikita Krylov to win, believing Krylov is showing the best version of himself while Volkan Oezdemir is fizzling out. He notes Krylov's improved submission defense and well-rounded game, and that he performed well against top competition like Magomed Ankalaev. Levi thinks Oezdemir is a traditional kickboxer who has declined, while Krylov blends punches, kicks, and takedowns. He does not see much value in the line but picks Krylov.

"I just see uh Nikita Krill out coming out here winning this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Paul leans Oezdemir as an underdog, citing his takedown defense and experience. He notes that only Daniel Cormier has taken Oezdemir down more than once. Paul thinks Krylov's wrestling is overrated and that Oezdemir will make it a slow fight. He is not confident enough to bet but picks Oezdemir.

"I'm leaning towards Vulcan as an underdog in this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nikita Krylov

The MMA Guru picks Nikita Krylov over Volkan Oezdemir, despite Oezdemir's win over Paul Craig. He notes Krylov was dominating Craig before getting caught, while Oezdemir looked slow and tired. He highlights Krylov's reach advantage, head kicks, and momentum from a KO win, predicting a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"I'm going with Nikki to kryl off over volcano's DeMent"
WIN vs Paul Craig
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 0 33 of 126 26% 41 of 136 0 of 15 0% 0 0 0:07
Paul Craig 0 72 of 129 55% 108 of 170 1 of 2 50% 0 0 5:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:07
Paul Craig 0 16 of 29 55% 26 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
2 Volkan Oezdemir 0 16 of 53 30% 23 of 62 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:00
Paul Craig 0 27 of 48 56% 47 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:09
3 Volkan Oezdemir 0 12 of 62 19% 13 of 63 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Paul Craig 0 29 of 52 55% 35 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 33 of 126 26% 18 of 102 10 of 19 5 of 5 32 of 120 1 of 3 0 of 3
Paul Craig 72 of 129 55% 45 of 101 10 of 11 17 of 17 50 of 97 6 of 6 16 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 5 of 11 45% 3 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Paul Craig 16 of 29 55% 8 of 21 3 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 19 4 of 4 3 of 6
2 Volkan Oezdemir 16 of 53 30% 10 of 44 5 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Craig 27 of 48 56% 21 of 42 1 of 1 5 of 5 17 of 35 1 of 1 9 of 12
3 Volkan Oezdemir 12 of 62 19% 5 of 50 4 of 9 3 of 3 12 of 58 0 of 1 0 of 3
Paul Craig 29 of 52 55% 16 of 38 6 of 7 7 of 7 24 of 43 1 of 1 4 of 8
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Angelo picks Volkan Oezdemir, noting his 80% takedown defense and that he has no desire to grapple, unlike Paul Craig's previous opponents. He says Craig's only path is a submission, but Oezdemir will defend takedowns and outstrike him. He also suggests a prop bet on Paul Craig to win inside the distance with 'decision no action' as a safety net.

Paul Craig inside distance decision no action
"the pick's gonna be vulcan betting wise though i think this is a solid paul craig to win inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Volkan Oezdemir to win by first-round knockout. He calls it a 'horrible matchup' for Paul Craig, as Oezdemir has elite takedown defense and no reason to grapple. Oezdemir has a massive striking advantage and power. Craig's path to victory is a Hail Mary submission, but Oezdemir should knock him out early.

Oezdemir by KO in round 1
"give me uzdemir to win who's the mirror to win by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Cody picks Volkan Oezdemir, agreeing that minus 150 is an excellent price. He notes Craig's wins come from opponents making mistakes and that Oezdemir has power and good takedown defense. Cody thinks Craig will shoot early, get stuffed, and then get knocked out. He also likes Oezdemir under 40.5 significant strikes because Craig either gets finished quickly or submits quickly.

Oezdemir under 40.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i just added minus 146. vulcan uzdemir moneyline"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paul Craig

Daniel Levi hesitantly picks Paul Craig, acknowledging that Oezdemir will likely dominate until he gets caught in a submission. He notes that Craig has a knack for pulling off triangle chokes, and his opponents often get carried away and fall into his guard. Levi points out that Oezdemir has looked lost in his last two fights and may not be fully invested. He admits it's a risky pick but believes Craig can find an opportunistic submission again.

"i would pick paul craig to lose the entire fight until he wins it so yeah"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Oezdemir has 80% takedown defense and Craig's takedown game is not solid. Oezdemir will keep it standing and find the knockout. Craig's Cinderella run ends here. Oezdemir finishes him in round one or two.

fight doesn't go to decision (decent spot)
"I think Vulcan will keep the standing I think Vulcan will find that knockout I think he'll put him out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Paul picks Volkan Oezdemir at -150, calling it a good value play. He believes Oezdemir can keep the fight standing and destroy Craig on the feet. Paul notes Craig's wrestling is not special and Oezdemir has good takedown defense. He thinks Craig's magic run will end eventually. Paul also likes Oezdemir under 40.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Oezdemir under 40.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i think minus 150 uzdemir is actually a pretty good value play on this card"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Paul Craig

The MMA Guru leans towards Paul Craig, despite acknowledging he often picks against Craig and loses. He believes Craig's offensive grappling has improved significantly, as shown in his second fight with Shogun. Craig is training with Tom Aspinall and will mix in takedowns. Oezdemir has power but Craig can pull guard and has submission threats. The Guru expects Craig to get a takedown and dominate on the ground.

"i'm gonna slide with paul craig"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 66 of 108 61% 76 of 118 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:45
Volkan Oezdemir 0 48 of 102 47% 56 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 1 27 of 41 65% 27 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Volkan Oezdemir 0 16 of 36 44% 22 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 13 of 26 50% 23 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
Volkan Oezdemir 0 19 of 34 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 26 of 41 63% 26 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Volkan Oezdemir 0 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 66 of 108 61% 43 of 82 20 of 23 3 of 3 59 of 100 6 of 7 1 of 1
Volkan Oezdemir 48 of 102 47% 23 of 67 3 of 12 22 of 23 41 of 92 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 27 of 41 65% 18 of 32 8 of 8 1 of 1 23 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 1
Volkan Oezdemir 16 of 36 44% 9 of 27 2 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 29 5 of 7 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 13 of 26 50% 8 of 18 3 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 22 3 of 4 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 19 of 34 55% 6 of 16 1 of 5 12 of 13 17 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 26 of 41 63% 17 of 32 9 of 9 0 of 0 26 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 13 of 32 40% 8 of 24 0 of 3 5 of 5 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev to win a close decision. He notes Ankalaev is a good striker with a well-rounded game, but this is a step up in competition. Oezdemir is more hittable and has been finished before. He thinks Ankalaev will slightly edge out a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns. He hates the price tag but believes Ankalaev gets it done.

"I think it's be close guys uh but yeah i'm going to go with inca live to get it done."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody is fully sold on Ankalaev, calling him a well-rounded package with wrestling, pressure, cardio, and submission game. He thinks Ankalaev could be the best LHW after Jones. He notes Oezdemir has decent takedown defense (80%) but has been inactive (only 2 fights in 2 years) and coming off a knee injury. He expects Ankalaev to pressure, tire Oezdemir, and get takedowns in later rounds.

"i'm fully sold on him i think he does everything excellent"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel picks Magomed Ankalaev, noting his improvement and discipline. He believes Oezdemir hasn't improved and is too basic, relying on hooks and overhands. Daniel thinks Ankalaev will pick him apart and possibly get a knockout. He acknowledges Oezdemir's toughness but sees Ankalaev as the more complete fighter with more ways to win.

predicts knockout
"i think he's gonna make a statement here i think he's gonna knock him out like finish him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev is patient and disciplined, with excellent striking defense and takedowns. Oezdemir's volume could be a factor, but Ankalaev can win wherever the fight goes. He likely controls the fight and wins a decision, possibly with a submission if he grapples.

Ankalaev by decision +190, over 2.5 rounds +105, Ankalaev by submission +2500.
"My pick is going to be magamad on goliath uh and i'll take him to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul agrees strongly, saying Ankalaev has all the skills and on any given night could become champion. He thinks Ankalaev can beat Jan on his best night. He is not jumping off the Ankalaev train.

"i think anglais may be the best in the biz"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev over Volkan Oezdemir. He thinks Ankalaev is more technical on the feet and has great grappling to fall back on. He notes Oezdemir's recent KO loss to Prochazka and long layoff may affect his confidence and aggression. He expects Oezdemir to be hesitant, giving Ankalaev space to work. He predicts a close 29-28 decision for Ankalaev, possibly with Oezdemir winning the first round.

"i'm going to go with magamet ankle i have here over volcanoes to me i think he does get this one done"
KO (punch) R2 0:49 · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Jul 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 0 41 of 92 44% 44 of 95 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Volkan Oezdemir 1 33 of 73 45% 33 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 39 of 83 46% 42 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Volkan Oezdemir 0 26 of 60 43% 26 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jiří Procházka 0 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Volkan Oezdemir 1 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 41 of 92 44% 30 of 76 3 of 6 8 of 10 41 of 92 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 33 of 73 45% 29 of 67 3 of 5 1 of 1 33 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 39 of 83 46% 28 of 67 3 of 6 8 of 10 39 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 26 of 60 43% 23 of 55 3 of 5 0 of 0 26 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jiří Procházka 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Volkan Oezdemir by first-round knockout, citing his veteran experience and higher level of competition. He thinks Procházka is talented but this step up is too much, and Oezdemir can use takedowns or striking to finish him.

first round knockout
"give me uzdemir first round knockout ... i think this fight's going to be probably close until somebody gets knocked out and i think uzdemir is going to use that veteran experience"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Daniel Levi picks Volkan Oezdemir, citing his experience against top competition (Reyes, Smith) and power. He criticizes Prochazka's competition level (washed-up veterans) and notes Prochazka puts weight on his front leg, leaving him open to calf kicks. Levi believes Oezdemir will clip Prochazka and get a KO, as Prochazka is not ready for this level yet.

predicts KO in second round
"I got owes the mirror man I think he's gonna hurt this kid and knock him out to be honest"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Procházka is a big light heavyweight with heavy hands and a path to victory via wrestling if needed. Oezdemir relies on leg kicks, but Procházka can counter them. Expects Procházka to put Oezdemir on his back and finish him, likely by first-round KO. The line at +140 is appealing, but staying away from UFC debutants.

first round KO, line +140
"I like Jimmy here I'll probably say first round KO"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)

The Guru does not discuss this fight in the transcript. No pick is made.

Aleksandar Rakić - Fight History
SCHED vs Marcin Tybura
KO R1 3:11 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksandar Rakić 0 9 of 14 64% 13 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Azamat Murzakanov 1 3 of 8 37% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksandar Rakić 0 9 of 14 64% 13 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Azamat Murzakanov 1 3 of 8 37% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksandar Rakić 9 of 14 64% 0 of 3 3 of 4 6 of 7 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Azamat Murzakanov 3 of 8 37% 1 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksandar Rakić 9 of 14 64% 0 of 3 3 of 4 6 of 7 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Azamat Murzakanov 3 of 8 37% 1 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Aleksandar Rakic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Murzakanov (-118), Rakic (-102)

Round 1
The main card of one of the presumably final pay-per-views for the organization kicks off with a light heavyweight eliminator, although the elimination could be one’s job depending on the result. Having lost his last three, “Rocket” Rakic (14-5, 6-4 UFC) needs to record his first triumph since 2021. On a slow-moving rocket blasting towards him is Russia’s Murzakanov (15-0, 5-0 UFC), three years the elder but never having lost as a professional. This tale of two tides will be overseen by referee Rich Mitchell, quite aware of the implications this outing may have on the light heavyweight division.
Rakic quickly lets loose a range-finding low kick, and he skims the side of his opponent when lifting his leg higher. Rakic hammers the upper chest with a kick, and he ducks away from two looping hooks. Rakic prods at the front leg with his shin, and he scores another heavy body kick that Murzakanov partially leaned into. Rakic kicks up the middle and then hits the front leg, and he changes things up for a double-leg entry and bullies the Russian to the fencing. Murzakanov defends the first effort with his back to the wall, and he starts taking knees to the thigh while he looks off at the clock that reads three minutes remaining. Murzakanov pushes off and separates, and he lances a trio of punches down the middle at his foe. Rakic replies with a right hand to the waist, and Murzakanov gives him one back to think about. Rakic kicks the body, then the lead leg, and those two open up a single-leg entry.
Murzakanov times a counter to roll Rakic over, but this results in an uncomfortable position for both men so they abandon it and start back over on the feet. Murzakanov sits down on a short right hand, and it catches Rakic’s chin perfectly and separates him from his senses right as Rakic was rushing forward to engage. The Austrian hits the floor and turns over to his side to shell up, seemingly totally out of it and done for the day. Murzakanov seems almost surprised, and he rains down a few punches to punctuate the performance and keep his undefeated record that way. Mitchell waves the fight off, and in the blink of an eye the two went from trading blows to lights out. The Russian has landed his fifth knockout as a UFC light heavyweight, and less than a dozen men hold more in promotional history—Chuck Liddell’s nine in the modern era still leads the pack.

The Official Result
Azamat Murzakanov def. Aleksandar Rakic R1 3:11 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Angelo leans toward Azamat Murzakanov despite acknowledging Rakic's reach and technical striking. He notes Murzakanov has knockdowns in all six UFC fights and is powerful, but also small for the division. Angelo thinks Rakic is too low-volume and used to losing, and he might sprinkle a small bet on Murzakanov if the odds widen.

I might sprinkle sprinkle a little bit on him.
"I am still going to lean Murzakanov. I think Rakic is too safe, too low-volume, and honestly, too used to losing at this point. ... Azamat Murzakanov's the pick. We'll see if these odds widen or tighten, and I might …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Big Brady leans toward Aleksandar Rakić, despite Murzakanov's undefeated record. He notes Rakić has faced elite competition (former champions) and has a significant size advantage (4-inch height, 7.5-inch reach). Brady expects Rakić's superior cardio and leg kicks to be decisive as Murzakanov slows down in fights. He predicts a close decision win for Rakić, though he hates picking against Murzakanov.

Rakić by decision
"I'm leaning Rakić's way. It's very tough to pick against Murzakanov cuz Murzakanov just kind of looks like he's just kind of he's going to keep winning. But I feel like I got to go Rakić here. I'm going to …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Cody picks Azamat Murzakanov despite the size disadvantage, citing his undefeated record and knockout power. He notes that Rakić is on a three-fight losing streak and may have confidence issues, while Murzakanov finds a way to win. Cody acknowledges that Rakić is world-class and will have moments, but believes Murzakanov's power and finishing ability will prevail, though he expects a close fight.

"Murzakanov at some point finds the kill shot for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Connor picks Rakić, arguing that Murzakanov's level of competition has been low and his size disadvantage will be too much. He believes Rakić's reach and kicking game will keep Murzakanov at bay, and that Murzakanov's low output will cost him rounds. Connor thinks this is a step too far for Murzakanov.

"I'm going to pick Rockach here. I think that this is really just the point where Mirza Kannav's small, small, small guy who takes huge chances game just can't overcome."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Daniel Vreeland questions Rakić's confidence and durability, noting his tendency to fade and his recent losses. He believes Murzakanov's pressure, southpaw power, and ability to close distance will overwhelm Rakić. He predicts Murzakanov will walk Rakić down, get into punching range, and knock him out. He acknowledges Murzakanov's cardio issues but thinks he can finish early.

wins by KO
"I'm going to pick Mzakanov to extend his win streak and to come out here and knock out Alexander Rockic."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Lucrative James picks Aleksandar Rakić, but hesitantly. He cites Rakić's experience against top competition (Jan Błachowicz, Jiri Prochazka, Magomed Ankalaev) and his size advantage, which could make his head kicks effective. He notes Murzakanov's power and explosiveness but questions his cardio and level of competition. He believes Rakić can win the minutes and land kicks from the outside, but acknowledges Murzakanov's danger.

"I am going to pick Rakage here, boys. I've decided I'm going to pick Rakage because I think he might be a little bit underrated coming off three losses to three of the best in the division."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The host believes Rakić can stay away from Murzakanov's power, chip away with calf kicks, and mix in grappling. He thinks Rakić's size and strength will lead to a knockout.

knockout
"I think that Rakage is going to be too big and too strong for Mzrizzakonov, which should lead to Rakage finding that knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Paul also picks Murzakanov but is hesitant, noting the size difference and Rakić's speed. He plans to wait for weigh-ins to get a better price, as Murzakanov may drift to plus money. Paul acknowledges that Murzakanov's cardio is a concern, but believes his power and the Abu Dhabi crowd support give him an edge.

"Murzakanov is the side for me. I'm going to wait until weigh-ins cuz I feel like you may get a better price."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The MMA Guru picks Aleksandar Rakić by decision, but admits he is hesitant. He notes that Azamat Murzakanov is undefeated and has KO power, but Rakić has a significant reach advantage and has trained with Jon Jones. He believes Rakić's low kicks and range management will be key, and that Murzakanov's shorter frame may struggle to land. He references Rakić's close fight with Magomed Ankalaev and his performance against Jiri Prochazka before getting injured. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with a scare in the third round.

"I'm going with Aleksandar Rakic. Sad, I know. I don't know why I keep doing it, but I can't [ __ ] help myself."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Murzakanov

Zane picks Murzakanov, comparing him to a wolverine who will not accept losing. He believes Murzakanov will absorb early damage from Rakić's kicks but then storm forward and steal rounds with crushing offense. Zane notes Rakić's tendency to fall apart under pressure and thinks Murzakanov's aggression will be the difference.

"I'm still going to pick Mirza Kannav here. I think, um, he's going to soak up a lot of damage, but I think there's enough of what we saw from Uncle I have against Rockach and Mirza Kannav that at …"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 0 55 of 114 48% 75 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Aleksandar Rakić 0 53 of 117 45% 59 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 19 of 34 55% 19 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksandar Rakić 0 22 of 45 48% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 23 of 50 46% 24 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Aleksandar Rakić 0 19 of 43 44% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 13 of 30 43% 32 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Aleksandar Rakić 0 12 of 29 41% 17 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 55 of 114 48% 20 of 72 22 of 29 13 of 13 50 of 105 5 of 9 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 53 of 117 45% 10 of 65 9 of 12 34 of 40 50 of 111 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 19 of 34 55% 7 of 19 8 of 11 4 of 4 19 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 22 of 45 48% 4 of 24 3 of 4 15 of 17 22 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 23 of 50 46% 8 of 33 7 of 9 8 of 8 23 of 49 0 of 1 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 19 of 43 44% 3 of 24 3 of 5 13 of 14 18 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 13 of 30 43% 5 of 20 7 of 9 1 of 1 8 of 22 5 of 8 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 12 of 29 41% 3 of 17 3 of 3 6 of 9 10 of 25 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Magomed Ankalaev vs. Aleksandar Rakic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ankalaev (-345), Rakic (+275)

Round 1
Austria has dual representation on the lineup, a rarity among UFC cards let alone ones that take place in the Middle East and not Europe. Russian title challenger Ankalaev (18-1-1, 1 NC; 10-1-1, 1 NC UFC) will try to grind, smash and press towards another crack at gold, but standing in his way is a recovered Rakic (14-4, 6-3 UFC). While Rakic is riding the first losing streak of his career, and has not won in over three years, he still serves as a solid test that Ankalaev has not already passed at the depleted light heavyweight ranks. Joining them in the cage will be referee “Shaolin” Vitor Ribeiro, who gets things started as the combatants decide against touching gloves. Ankalaev opens up wildly, hurling a huge left hand, only to slow down when Rakic fires a head kick at him. Ankalaev responds with a body kick, and they trade kicks to varied targets. Rakic comes up short with a right hand, and they hand-fight in alternating stances. Body kicks land with thumps on one another, and Rakic doubles up on it and tries to catch a low kick. Ankalaev digs another kick to the ribs, and Ribeiro asks for the fighters to close their fists. They don’t. Rakic chains a right hand into a head kick, and he scoots away when Ankalaev bears down on him. Ankalaev reaches his target with a straight left hand, and Rakic sits down on an inside low kick to retaliate. Ankalaev put a few fists on the midsection, keeping his guard up to block the inevitable head kick. Rakic scores a low kick and is punched in the face for his effort, and he times a head kick that nearly splits the guard. Ankalaev goes after a body kick after he leans back to dodge a punch, and Rakic chips away at the lead leg effectively. Ankalaev stalks him down, protecting his face when Rakic punches and kicks his way. Rakic kicks the front leg on the inside and outside, and Ribeiro keeps telling the fighters to close their hands to no avail. Ankalaev gets countered with a right hand over the top, and he eats a jab after landing his own left. Rakic beats on the guard with his shin, and he whiffs on a haymaker as Ankalaev comes up close. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 2
Rakic picks up right where he left off, feeding Ankalaev a steady diet of leg kicks. Ankalaev crashes the pocket and turns to smack Rakic in the face with a clever up-elbow, and Rakic wears it well. Both men whiff punches, and Ankalaev’s head kick grazes the beard. Rakic reaches out with a right hand, and he jabs the body with the ball of his foot. Rakic splits the guard with a solid right, and he leans back to bash Ankalaev in the face with an intercepting left. Ankalaev reaches his target with punches to the head and body, and he ends as labored combination with a body kick. Ankalaev jabs his way in, but a left to the body is his best blow, as Rakic keeps a solid poker face but might be hurt. Rakic backs off and measures with distant strikes, and the crowd works into a lather in support of the Russian, who is landing cleaner. Ankalaev digs a left to the body and fires off a head kick that is blocked just in time, and he strings a few punches together to get Rakic’s attention. Rakic snaps out several more low kicks, reddening and welting his opponent’s front leg, but not seemingly compromising him. Ankalaev’s forward movement results in a clinch, and he pushes the Austrian to the wall and holds on. They both swing fists at the break but miss the mark, and Ankalaev rushes after him and tags his foe with a straight left. Ankalaev stabs the torso with a left hand, and he has a left hook brush past the top of Rakic’s dome. Rakic kicks high to get blocked, and he looks for a right hand on the inside as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev

Round 3
The fighters get going immediately, trading hands and feet without fear of reprisal. Ankalaev lunges with a left hand, snapping the head back and whiffing on a follow-up right. High kicks from both men bounce off the other’s guard, and Rakic backs off and spins with a back fist as Ankalaev is after him. Ankalaev slams his foot in the liver of his opponent, and Rakic comes up hitting air on the counter. As Rakic lands a right hand, sweat flies, and Ankalaev responds with a left that makes more fly off his opponent. Rakic digs for a body shot and leans back to avoid a huge hook, and Ankalaev walks him down and busts him in the chops with a scooping left hook. Rakic backs off and absorbs a second cleanly, and he gets on his bike and strafes to the side. Rakic suddenly shoots for a single, and Ankalaev hops back to the wall to keep his balance and set his limb down. Rakic transitions to a single on the other side, and he succeeds in leaning against Ankalaev but can do little else with his wrestling. Ankalaev turns his man about in the clinch, working the body with punches and knees until Rakic surges into action and spins him about. Ankalaev plants a solid knee on the torso, and he measures another as Rakic leans over. Ankalaev puts knees on the body as Rakic gains enough space to dirty box, and the Russian holds him tight until the slow-paced contest comes to a merciful conclusion—with neither looking like a strong threat to claim the throne of Alex Pereira.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (29-28 Ankalaev)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (29-28 Ankalaev)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (29-28 Ankalaev)

The Official Result
Magomed Ankalaev def. Aleksandar Rakic via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo picks Magomed Ankalaev as the first leg of his 'villain parlay' with a full unit bet. He acknowledges Ankalaev is a good kickboxer with wrestling, but he dislikes him and hopes the parlay loses. He thinks Ankalaev should win because Rakić is coming off two losses and hasn't won since 2021, and Ankalaev has the technical striking and wrestling advantage.

First leg of a villain parlay with a full unit bet; hopes it loses.
"mag anv has the wrestling he's got the technical striking he's just as long anv should win he is the first leg of the villain parlay a parlay that I put a full unit on and I hope it breaks."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady slightly favors Ankalaev but thinks the fight will be close and competitive. He expects the striking to be competitive and the fight to go to decision. He notes that Ankalaev has a path to victory via wrestling, as Rakić hasn't faced many wrestlers in the UFC. He calls the line 'kind of dumb' but picks Ankalaev to win a close decision.

"I'll take ank live to win a close decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody picks Magomed Ankalaev, stating he is the uncrowned champion of the division and should roll over Rakić. He notes that Rakić hasn't looked good since 2019, has been knocked out in his last two fights, and lacks durability and volume. Cody believes Ankalaev's wrestling and striking will be too much, and that he will be motivated to make a statement to earn a title shot.

"ankle should in theory absolutely roll here"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Connor picks Rakić, mainly because he wants Ankalaev to suffer and because Rakić is a more powerful striker with better fundamentals. He notes that Ankalaev tends to fight at a slow pace and rely on his wrestling, but often doesn't use it. Connor believes Rakić's jab and counter-punching could give him an edge in a kickboxing match.

Ankalaev opened at -350, currently -361; Rakić opened at +288, currently +296
"I'm going to pick Rocketch mostly because though I don't think he deserves it in any philosophical sense, I do want Magomed Uncle Liev to suffer."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel Vreeland picks Magomed Ankalaev to win, citing his superior hands and ability to capitalize on Rakić's tendency to exit the pocket with his chin up. He expects Rakić to have early leg kick success but believes Ankalaev will make adjustments and either win by knockout or a 29-28 decision. Vreeland notes that Ankalaev is on a 12-fight unbeaten streak and that Rakić has been underwhelming despite his physique.

"I see ankle live winning this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Lucrative James picks Magomed Ankalaev to win but is hesitant due to Ankalaev's poor fight IQ and tendency to make fights close. He notes that Ankalaev is the better all-around fighter with grappling upside, but his low volume and lack of power could lead to a close decision. He sees value on Rakić as an underdog and expects a split decision type fight. He is not confident enough to bet on Ankalaev at -360 odds.

"I am going to pick anive to win... but his fight IQ is worse"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev's overall game is too much for Rakić. Many expect a grapple-heavy approach, but Ankalaev may unleash his striking to catch Rakić off guard, leading to a knockout victory. This would help him overcome the 'boring' label and earn a title shot.

Ankalaev wins by knockout
"give me anive by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul picks Ankalaev, agreeing that he is the best in the division and that Rakić is not a top-five fighter. He points out that Rakić has been outworked and knocked out in his recent fights, and that Ankalaev's wrestling and striking will be decisive. Paul also mentions that Ankalaev needs to put his foot on the gas to impress the UFC.

"he's the uncrowned champ he's the best guy in the division"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The Guru picks Ankalaev by decision, despite acknowledging Rakić's technical skills. He believes Ankalaev's pressure and clinch work will wear on Rakić, and that Ankalaev will mix in takedowns to secure rounds. He notes that Rakić has struggled to finish opponents and that Ankalaev's boxing will become more effective as the fight goes on. The Guru also mentions that the odds are too wide in Ankalaev's favor, suggesting Rakić offers value as an underdog, but ultimately sticks with Ankalaev via 29-28 decision.

Odds comment: Ankalaev nearly 4-to-1 favorite, should be 2-to-1 at most; suggests Rakić underdog value
"I'm going with Ankalaev 29-28 decision very eerily similar to the Nikita Krylov performance."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)

Zane did not make a pick for this fight. He criticized the matchup as boring, noting both fighters are consistent, risk-averse range strikers who favor high-percentage low-power strikes. He expressed disappointment that the UFC booked this fight knowing their styles, and predicted Ankalaev will likely get a title shot anyway due to lack of other options.

"booking fights like uncle ayah versus below which and uncle ayah versus rackage you're just asking for lame you're asking for boring fights that nobody gets thrilled by"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Zane picks Ankalaev, expecting a slow-paced kickboxing match where Ankalaev edges out a decision. He acknowledges Rakić's power and technique but thinks Ankalaev will control the tempo and win a close fight, as he has done before. Zane is not confident but sees Ankalaev as the likely winner.

Ankalaev opened at -350, currently -361; Rakić opened at +288, currently +296
"And Uncle Liev will win 55 strikes to 51. That's really it."
TKO (punches) R2 3:17 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 0 69 of 118 58% 69 of 118 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:38
Aleksandar Rakić 0 58 of 109 53% 58 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aleksandar Rakić 0 36 of 69 52% 36 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jiří Procházka 0 53 of 80 66% 53 of 80 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
Aleksandar Rakić 0 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 69 of 118 58% 56 of 101 5 of 9 8 of 8 45 of 87 7 of 7 17 of 24
Aleksandar Rakić 58 of 109 53% 34 of 77 1 of 2 23 of 30 56 of 107 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 16 of 38 42% 10 of 29 2 of 5 4 of 4 15 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 36 of 69 52% 19 of 45 0 of 1 17 of 23 35 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jiří Procházka 53 of 80 66% 46 of 72 3 of 4 4 of 4 30 of 50 6 of 6 17 of 24
Aleksandar Rakić 22 of 40 55% 15 of 32 1 of 1 6 of 7 21 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jiri Prochazka vs. Aleksandar Rakic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rakic (-120), Prochazka (+100)

Round 1
In any other UFC event, this sure-fire light heavyweight collision would draw main card status or potentially serve as the headliner. Due to just how stacked UFC 300 is—along with the decision to throw a 5-0 hot prospect above this bout—it will instead serve as the final prelim. Former champ Prochazka (29-4-1, 3-1 UFC) gets back in the saddle in a classic matchup of Czech Republic vs. Austria when he faces Rakic (14-3, 6-2 UFC). High finish rates for both men mean that referee Herb Dean will likely be involved before time expires, while the judges might be able to sit back and just enjoy the carnage waiting to unfold. Ever the sportsmen, they try to bump fists and miss, before all hell breaks loose. They both reach long strikes at one another, with Rakic landing a few jabs and low kicks. Prochazka darts in with an uppercut, and Rakic tries to keep him backed off with jabs and right hands. Rakic comes up short with a heavy right, and Prochazka nods to Dean that he is fine after finger scraped his eye. Prochazka dances around with his hands down, absorbing a right hand and several more low kicks. Prochazka scores one punch, and Rakic stands him up with two punches and dings him with a calf kick. Welting has already began to develop just 90 seconds in on Prochazka’s lead leg, and he pays it no mind and switches stances back and forth to attack. Rakic times a stance switch to chop down the calf, and Prochazka shrugs them off as he powers forward. Rakic hammers the lead leg with a kick, and Prochazka’s balance nearly gives way. Rakic scores a left hand when Prochazka recklessly attacks to open up a cut on the corner of the eye, as Prochazka struggles to put weight on his lead leg. Rakic does not slow his methodical breakdown with his leg kick, and he shifts out of the way when Prochazka advances. Prochazka eats two more low kicks, and he tries to give two more back. When he throws out a body kick, Rakic beans him with a right hand over the top. Rakic opens up with an overhand right, getting the former champ’s attention but not making him back away one moment. Prochazka crashes forward and misses, and Rakic slides to the side. Rakic slips in a right hand, and Prochazka dips and ducks forward to plant a front kick on the abdomen and a right hand up top. Prochazka drives a knee to the jaw, and Rakic unloads with a counter right. Prochazka powers through with a huge right hand, hurting “Rocket,” but Rakic stings him back before Prochazka can pour it on. Rakic lines up a one-two down the pipe, and Prochazka walks through it and clinches up until they reach the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 2
The light heavyweights bump fists, and Rakic immediately picks up where he left off by chewing up the former champ’s lead leg. The kicks force a stance switch, and Prochazka absorbs the kicks on both sides to fluster him. Rakic connects with right hands after jab, and he stands Prochazka up with a right hand. Prochazka fights through it and launches a head kick that bounces off the raised guard, and he takes a calf kick that disrupts him again. Prochazka kicks up high again, and he grazes the top of the head and follows it with power punches. Prochazka connects with his heavy strikes, and Rakic scampers away to reset and launch his own head kick that lands under Prochazka’s arm. Prochazka measures and blasts Rakic in the face with his shin, and the two strikes proceed to bang it out with no regard for their defenses. Prochazka unloads with another head kick, and he slugs it out until he gets two punches through. Rakic stumbles from one side of the cage to the other, and Prochazka knees him hard in the head. Rakic fires back with everything he has, and Prochazka bites down on his mouthpiece and batters Rakic with anything he has to strike with.
Prochazka pushes Rakic over and clobbers him with elbows, and Rakic turns over to his stomach and turtles up. “BJP” unleashes a fury of punches, and Dean watches closely until Rakic is stuck and just taking unnecessary damage at that point.
Dean calls a halt to the fight, capping off a furious comeback from the former champion. The two immediately squash any beef they carried into their meeting, and they hug it out.

The Official Result
Jiri Prochazka def. Aleksandar Rakic R2 3:17 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Angelo picks Jiri Prochazka as the underdog, citing his relentless pressure and chaos. He notes Rakic is the more technical striker but has been out for two years and doesn't like brawls. He likes the +110 odds as juicy but may not bet due to conservatism.

Odds comment: +110 is juicy
"plus 110 Jerry is the underdog those odds seem juicy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Cody is confused why Rakić is a slight favorite. He lists many red flags for Rakić: a near 2-year layoff, coming off a leg injury, low volume, and unimpressive performances even before the injury. In contrast, Procházka is a former champion with dynamic striking, power, and a samurai mentality. Cody notes Procházka has a fifth-round submission win over Glover Teixeira and can wrestle if needed. He believes Procházka's pressure and power will overwhelm Rakić, who tends to avoid fighting. Cody picks Procházka as the underdog.

"I'm actually confused on this one I don't know why it's even money... got to go with yri."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Connor picks Procházka because his willingness to create chaos and take risks is valuable at light heavyweight. He contrasts Procházka's creative, reckless style with Rakić's neurotically technical, restrained approach. Connor argues that Procházka's ability to scramble and make fights uncontrollable will overcome Rakić's grinding, as Rakić has not faced someone with Procházka's level of unpredictability.

Odds: Procházka opened -100, now -103; Rakić opened -128, now -107. Connor notes the odds are dead even.
"I am going to pick Jiri Prashaska because I think despite the immense risk inherent to his game, that is a very valuable thing to have in MMA in general at light heavyweight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Daniel Vreeland picks Jiří Procházka as a slight underdog, citing his chaotic, unpredictable style and ability to force opponents into brawls. He acknowledges Rakić's athleticism and leg kicks but believes Procházka's offensive juggernaut approach and durability will lead to a finish. Vreeland notes that Procházka has been knocked out but expects him to make it wild and catch Rakić.

"I'm gonna go with the former champ Jiří Procházka"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He says he is excited to see how Jiří Procházka bounces back from his loss. He does not provide a prediction.

"Jiří versus Rakić I'm excited to see how Jiří bounces back"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Rakić will drag the fight to the ground where he can have success from top position. Procházka has struggled with opponents on top. Rakić will chain wrestling attempts and keep Procházka on his back, grinding out a decision win.

decision
"I think we'll see rage utilize that wrestling chain those wrestling attempts and then eventually keep rasa muzzled on his back and grind this fight out over 15 minutes winning this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Paul agrees with Cody, favoring Procházka. He notes that if it turns into an absolute fight, Procházka's pace and volume will be too much for Rakić, as seen in Procházka's fight with Dominick Reyes where he landed 77 significant strikes before a early third-round finish. Paul acknowledges both fighters have red flags (layoffs, injuries), but Rakić has been on the shelf longer and has bigger question marks. He emphasizes Procházka's samurai mentality and believes he will bring the fight to Rakić.

"I'm with I'm on Yuri as well... if it turns into an absolute fight you want Yuri."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The MMA Guru picks Aleksandar Rakić to defeat Jiří Procházka by targeting his lead leg with low kicks. He notes Procházka's weakness against leg kicks and that Rakić is comfortable backpedaling. He also mentions Rakić may mix in takedowns and predicts a finish or decision.

"Alexander rakic is going to chew up that lead leg of Yuri prasa."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Zane picks Rakić despite hating his fighting style. He believes Rakić will land leg kicks, take Procházka down, and grind out a win over three rounds. He notes Procházka's wildness could turn the fight, but Rakić's durability and grinding approach should prevail. Zane is hedging because he wants Procházka to win but feels Rakić is the safer bet.

Odds: Rakić opened -128, now -107; Procházka opened -100, now -103. Zane mentions the fight is dead even in odds.
"My feel bad vibe is that I'm going to take Alexander Rocketch. I think he's going to land a lot of leg kicks. I think Proshaska is going to start lunging in and getting really aggressive. And Rocketch is going …"
LOSS vs Jan Błachowicz
TKO (knee injury) R3 1:11 · UFC on ESPN: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · May 14, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jan Błachowicz 0 31 of 71 43% 53 of 94 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:01
Aleksandar Rakić 0 27 of 85 31% 61 of 125 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jan Błachowicz 0 25 of 53 47% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksandar Rakić 0 12 of 52 23% 12 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Jan Błachowicz 0 1 of 3 33% 23 of 26 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Aleksandar Rakić 0 10 of 19 52% 44 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:33
3 Jan Błachowicz 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Aleksandar Rakić 0 5 of 14 35% 5 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jan Błachowicz 31 of 71 43% 8 of 31 9 of 21 14 of 19 31 of 69 0 of 2 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 27 of 85 31% 14 of 60 2 of 9 11 of 16 17 of 70 0 of 0 10 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jan Błachowicz 25 of 53 47% 7 of 24 6 of 14 12 of 15 25 of 51 0 of 2 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 12 of 52 23% 1 of 32 1 of 8 10 of 12 12 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jan Błachowicz 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 10 of 19 52% 10 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 15
3 Jan Błachowicz 5 of 15 33% 1 of 6 2 of 6 2 of 3 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 5 of 14 35% 3 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jan Blachowicz vs. Aleksandar Rakic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rakic (-180) Blachowicz (+155)

Round 1
For a probable light heavyweight title eliminator, the lead-up to this fight has been somewhat subdued, but none of that matters once the cage door closes on Blachowicz, Rakic and referee Mark Smith, who draws the final assignment at “UFC Vegas 54.” Both fighters are in orthodox stance. Blachowicz lands a hard calf kick. Blachowicz with a jab and missed right cross, then another low kick. They exchange flurries of punches. Blachowicz with a nice left to the body, but comes away bleeding from over the left eye. Blachowicz lands a low kick and another left to the body, but he is clearly distracted by blood dripping into the eye from that cut. Blachowicz catches Rakic with a right hand that rocks him, and Rakic grabs a body lock for a takedown. He can’t get it, but seems to have recovered as they disengage. Rakic steps inside a body shot and drops for a takedown, but can’t get it. Blachowicz comes up short with a calf kick at the 30 second mark. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz

Round 2
Blachowicz’s cutman has momentarily stopped the bleeding over the left eye, but that will certainly bear close watching as the fight goes on. The former champ lands a glancing low kick. Rakic drops levels for a takedown, and he gets it, hoisting the leg for a big finish, but dives right into a triangle choke. Blachowicz clears the arm and tries to cinch it up, but Rakic escapes and sets up in Blachowicz’s full guard. Blachowicz closes his guard and works to control Rakic’s wrists, while Rakic throws short elbow strikes to the body and head. As the halfway point of the round passes, Blachowicz briefly opens his guard and looks to hip out, but gives up on the attempt. Rakic is heavy on top, chest to chest, staying busy but not doing too much damage. They scoot to the fence and Blachowicz sits up, but Rakic has the legs laced and arms locked behind him. Rakic moves to one side and uses head position to pin Blachowicz’s torso up against the fence. Blachowicz stands just as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 3
Rakic is active with his jab in the opening seconds, reaching out to touch Blachowicz twice and backing him off. Blachowicz steps in and lands a combination, then another Rakic jab dislodges his mouthpiece. He pops it back in, and seconds later he lands an outside low kick to Rakic’s lead left leg.
Rakic steps back and unexpectedly, the right leg buckles under him completely. The Austrian goes down in agony, cradling the stricken limb.
Blachowicz steps in, but sees the fight is over and refrains from inflicting any unnecessary harm. A moment later, referee Smith arrives to wave it off, a surprising and disappointing end to fight that had been building towards something good.

The Official Result
Jan Blachowicz def. Aleksandar Rakic R3 1:11 via TKO (Leg Injury)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Cody leans toward Rakić but is hesitant due to the price. He notes that Jan Błachowicz has a good body of work, striking, and takedown ability, but is concerned about a potential neck injury from the Glover fight. He thinks Rakić is young and hungry, but the value isn't there at -195, and he can't pull the trigger on the dog because he believes Jan is damaged goods.

"I think I would have to go wreckage but uh I'd like to put main events on my top ticket right and his wreckage a top ticket guy I just explained that I think that the value is not really …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul is undecided, calling it a dogger pass. He acknowledges a case for Rakić's wrestling not being tested and Jan's fantastic chin and cardio. He wants to wait for weigh-ins and interviews before making a pick. He leans toward Jan as a live dog if he drags Rakić into deep waters and takes him down multiple times.

"there could be a case to be made that rakic's wrestling hasn't been tested and yawn historically fantastic chin good cardio volume is okay volume is better than what we've seen from rackets i mean if he drags this kid …"
WIN vs Thiago Santos
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksandar Rakić 0 49 of 97 50% 61 of 109 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 36 of 89 40% 50 of 103 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksandar Rakić 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Aleksandar Rakić 0 11 of 31 35% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 15 of 35 42% 24 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
3 Aleksandar Rakić 0 23 of 39 58% 28 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 7 of 24 29% 12 of 29 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksandar Rakić 49 of 97 50% 10 of 41 23 of 33 16 of 23 35 of 82 14 of 15 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 36 of 89 40% 8 of 47 13 of 16 15 of 26 29 of 82 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksandar Rakić 15 of 27 55% 1 of 8 8 of 11 6 of 8 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 14 of 30 46% 3 of 16 3 of 4 8 of 10 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aleksandar Rakić 11 of 31 35% 3 of 16 6 of 10 2 of 5 5 of 25 6 of 6 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 15 of 35 42% 3 of 17 8 of 9 4 of 9 8 of 28 7 of 7 0 of 0
3 Aleksandar Rakić 23 of 39 58% 6 of 17 9 of 12 8 of 10 15 of 30 8 of 9 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 7 of 24 29% 2 of 14 2 of 3 3 of 7 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Thiago Santos vs. Aleksandar Rakic

Round 1
Officially the heaviest bout of the night at a solid 412 pounds, two light heavyweights who vastly prefer the knockout come to blows in the main card opener. Brazil’s Santos (21-8, 13-7 UFC) will be attempting to get back to title contention and defuse “Rocket” Rakic (13-2, 5-1 UFC) on the way back up. Keeping his head on a swivel will be referee Herb Dean, as fists and feet will soon be flying in all directions following the glove touch. Rakic slowly and patiently advances, sticking out his jab early and avoiding a counter right hook. Santos pushes out a front kick and lifts his leg to avoid a leg kick, and rushes in to attack. Rakic deflects the strikes and he takes a kick to the knee, but there is no major damage done. Both men score leg kicks, and Santos winds up on a big left hand. Rakic is able to avoid the bomb and throw a kick back, and Santos returns fire with one of his own. Rakic slings a head kick that the Brazilian is barely able to block in time. Santos delivers a big body kick and has one glance off his torso as he backs away. Santos once more scores a heavy body kick, and he takes a kick square on the knee that nearly makes it buckle. “Marreta” throws a hammer of a right hand that crashes into Rakic’s jaw, but the Austrian wears it well and kicks the leg on his way out. Rakic pressures forward and slaps a leg kick off the mark, and Santos replies with a kick. Santos swings with a massive left hand, and when it misses, he barely ducks a head kick that brushes past his cleanly shaven head. Santos whiffs on a massive punch to the body, but he does kick the body to make Rakic exhale sharply. Neither man is willing to pull the trigger on anything of note, and they trade leg kicks and body kicks. Santos jumps and misses with a flying knee, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 2
The light heavyweights touch gloves, and Rakic resumes his pressure to make Santos back away to the fence. Rakic sticks Santos with a low kick and a jab, and the Brazilian tries and fails to counter effectively. Santos comes up short on a superman punch, and he looses a head kick that Rakic easily blocks. Rakic slowly advances and throws a long left jab and a leg kick that makes Santos turn about. Santos responds with his own leg kick, but the two are largely throwing single strikes and not engaging often. Rakic chops at the leg, and Santos charges at him but hits air as he has his lead leg hacked at once more. Santos pushes into a clinch, and Rakic easily reverses him and lands a few knees on the inside. The Brazilian gives him a few back, as they stall out against the cage wall. Santos breaks and scores on the end of a left hook, and when he backs off, he checks a kick to make Rakic recoil it sharply. Rakic kicks the chest, and Santos gives Rakic a heavy reply with a slapping kick to the knee. Santos charges but pulls back before throwing a strike, and Rakic plants his left hand on the chin to no effect. Santos jumps in with a switch kick, but it gets blocked and he is countered with a stiff left hand. Rakic nails Santos with a flying knee, and the two clinch up to end the slow round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 3
There is a final glove touch to open the last round, and Rakic starts things off with a head kick that is easily blocked. Santos punches the thigh, and “Rocket” starts rocketing out several stiff jabs to keep Santos at bay. The Brazilian walks through them to charge in for a takedown, and Rakic stuffs it without breaking a sweat and turns Santos around into the wire. Santos fights out of the clinch but cannot land any of merit on the break, and he takes a jab to score a leg kick. Both men kick at one another’s knee, and Santos kicks the leg once more to draw a smile from his opponent. When Rakic rushes in, Santos belts him with a spinning back kick to the body, and Rakic keeps a solid poker face by not showing that it hurt. Rakic pokes and prods at Santos with a few jabs, one-twos and low kicks. Santos loads up on a head kick, and Rakic sees it coming and pays it no mind. Santos narrowly misses a blazing fast left hook, and Rakic tries to fire one back but also comes up short. Santos slams his shin into the body, and Rakic stays patient on the outside with sporadic jabs. The jab does enough to slow an advancing Santos, and Rakic makes Santos bounce off the cage wall with a kick. Rakic ducks an overhand left to shoot in for a takedown, and Santos defends with several elbows to the side of the head. Rakic does not like these strikes, and he bails on the attempt to put himself in a better position away from those damaging shots. Rakic grinds on Santos against the fence, mashing his man into the chain-link as precious seconds tick off the clock. The Brazilian finally pushes off, and he takes a hard leg kick on the inside. Santos comes back with one, and the two swing and miss until the tepid fight mercifully comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Santos (29-28 Rakic)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos (29-28 Rakic)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos (29-28 Rakic)

The Official Result
Aleksandar Rakic def. Thiago Santos via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Big Brady picks Aleksandar Rakić, favoring him on the feet and heavily on the ground. He notes Rakić has been dropped before (by Devin Clark) and is hittable, while Santos has one-shot power. He recommends a ground game plan and predicts a TKO ground-and-pound finish in the second round, but passes on betting.

"i'm going to take rakash to win i'm going to say he wins by a tikiyo ground and pound finish in the second round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Daniel picks Aleksandar Rakić to win, citing his well-rounded game, wrestling, and smart game planning. He notes Santos' submission defense issues and believes Rakić can mix in takedowns and possibly finish on the mat or win a decision.

"i'm gonna go with rockets here uh to edge this one out man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Rakić is younger, stronger, and has a wrestling advantage. Santos is 37 with knee injuries and poor jiu-jitsu off his back. The host expects Rakić to use his kicks and takedowns to control the fight and win by decision.

"i'm going to take rockets to when this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The MMA Guru picks Aleksandar Rakić over Thiago Santos. He highlights Rakić's dangerous leg kicks and improved grappling, and notes Santos has no ligaments in his legs. He believes Rakić will chop at Santos's legs, inhibit his movement, and win by 30-27 unanimous decision, possibly mixing in takedowns.

"i'm gonna go with alexander wreckage i like thiago santos you've got no ligaments in your legs and wreckage has the best leg kicks i've ever seen"
WIN vs Anthony Smith
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksandar Rakić 0 9 of 21 42% 40 of 53 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Anthony Smith 1 44 of 57 77% 141 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 12:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksandar Rakić 0 5 of 11 45% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Anthony Smith 1 17 of 21 80% 39 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:22
2 Aleksandar Rakić 0 4 of 8 50% 18 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Anthony Smith 0 9 of 12 75% 61 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:31
3 Aleksandar Rakić 0 0 of 2 0% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Anthony Smith 0 18 of 24 75% 41 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksandar Rakić 9 of 21 42% 5 of 16 0 of 1 4 of 4 6 of 14 1 of 2 2 of 5
Anthony Smith 44 of 57 77% 16 of 28 7 of 8 21 of 21 25 of 34 2 of 2 17 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksandar Rakić 5 of 11 45% 1 of 6 0 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 17 of 21 80% 5 of 8 1 of 2 11 of 11 14 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 3
2 Aleksandar Rakić 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5
Anthony Smith 9 of 12 75% 5 of 8 3 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 1 of 1 2 of 3
3 Aleksandar Rakić 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 18 of 24 75% 6 of 12 3 of 3 9 of 9 5 of 8 1 of 1 12 of 15
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Anthony Smith vs. Aleksandar Rakic

Round 1
We have reached the headliner a little earlier than expected thanks to the coronavirus, and this late-notice marquee matchup is scheduled for just three rounds at the light heavyweight division. Former title challenger Smith (33-15, 8-5 UFC) tries to put “Rocket” Rakic (12-2, 4-1 UFC) on his first career losing streak, and referee Herb Dean will be holding on tight for what could be an all-action fight – these two have only gone the distance seven times in 62 combined fights. They touch gloves, and it’s on! Like so many fights earlier tonight, the first strike of the bout is a leg kick – from Rakic. Smith replies in kind. Rakic loads up with one that lands with a resounding slap. Rakic takes one back, but he delivers a body kick to Smith’s midsection. They keep trading leg kicks early, and both men are putting everything they have into these thudding kicks. Rakic goes up high with a kick this time, and the two start trading with punches now. They kick legs at the same time, and Rakic cracks the lead leg and makes Smith’s knee buckle. Two more take Smith’s legs out from beneath him, and Rakic climbs on top to start pounding on Smith’s body. Smith pushes his way up and tries to take take the Austrian down, but as Smith ties him up, Rakic stands up. Smith leaps on to his back to serve as a backpack, but Rakic shucks him off and uses a guillotine choke to frame up. He bowls Smith over and hops on top, where he gets off a couple of punches as Smith clings to him to tie him up. Smith uses a butterfly guard to try to kick Rakic off, but opts to use a rubber guard and flirts with an omoplata before Rakic stands up out of it. The Austrian comes back down as Smith keeps a high guard, and Smith lifts his left leg up but abandons it when there is nothing doing. Smith looks to Dean for a standup, but it does not come as Rakic shoulder checks him a couple times. Smith swings hard with a left hand while is trapped against the cage, and Rakic smiles and lands a few punches until the horn blares. Any concerns about Smith’s leg health are instantly abated as he strides back to his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 2
They touch gloves and Rakic instantly fires at that leg. Smith closes in and gets kneed in the face to back off. Rakic bestows to him a few body kicks, although Smith stings him back with a few punches. Smith crashes forward to pursue a body lock takedown, and Rakic reverses the position to throw Smith down and land on top in guard. “Rocket” stays busy on top with punches, and fights off a triangle choke attempt from Smith. Although the former title challenger attempts a few elbows while he has his back flat on the floor, Rakic’s strikes are more frequent and likely more impactful. Rakic keeps grinding him and is well out submission danger as precious seconds tick off the clock for Smith. “Lionheart” tries to push away with his toes in the fence, and Dean admonishes him for it, halting Smith from using the technique to turn around or attempt a submission. Smith manages to sit up as Rakic pounds on him, and there is no way up to his feet for Smith until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 3
Rakic re-introduces himself in the round with a devastating leg kick, and Smith is already compromised. Rakic cracks him with a head kick and a few punches, and Smith is wobbling around the cage on baby deer legs. “Rocket” blasts in and knees him in the face, battering Smith against the fence. Smith tries to tie him up and take him down, and Rakic muscles him over and plants Smith on his back again. Dean asks for Rakic to work, as Rakic is just occasionally landing left hands on top while Smith is trapped in an odd position against the wall and ground. Rakic lands a heavy punch when Smith gets to his knees, and he knees Smith in the body a couple times. The Austrian keeps his full body weight pressed on Smith as he traps the former title challenger in a grounded position. Dean reminds Rakic that he needs to work, so Rakic obliges with a slow but steady diet of knees to the thigh to keep from standing them up. Smith powers up to a crouch, but Rakic tosses him back down with minimal effort. For the umpteenth time, Dean recommends that Rakic keep working, and he lands a few short punches and knees to little effect. Smith kicks him off with 10 seconds to go, and Rakic walks away while the clock is still ticking left with his hands in the air; unfortunately for Smith, he is too fatigued to do anything about it. Rakic turns back to him, and shrugs him off as he knows Smith cannot reach him before the disappointing round – and fight – ends. If it's any consolation, there is another UFC card next week.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic (30-27 Rakic)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic (30-27 Rakic)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rakic (30-27 Rakic)

The Official Result
Aleksandar Rakic def. Anthony Smith via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Big Brady picks Rakić but thinks the line should be closer. He notes Rakić's superior striking volume and takedown defense, and expects him to win the first round strongly. He is concerned about Smith coming back too soon after a brutal beating, but acknowledges Smith's toughness and ability to take a shot. He predicts a decision win for Rakić.

"i think racket wins this i think he wins by i'm gonna go by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Aleksandar Rakić

Daniel Levi leans with Rakić, citing that Rakić is fresher, has more room for improvement, and will likely hit Smith with hard shots to the body and chin. He acknowledges Smith's experience and ability to come back late if Rakić fades, but believes the timing is right for Rakić. He also notes that Rakić was dropped by Devin Clark twice, which raises durability concerns, but still favors him.

"i lean with rockets man i feel like you know he's a little bit fresher right now he's got more room to make improvements he's probably going to hit anthony with some hard [ __ ] to the body into …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Rakić is a strong wrestler with a top game that can crush Smith. Smith is good but not great at anything; Rakić should mix striking and grappling to control the fight. I expect a cautious approach leading to a decision win for Rakić, though the -275 line is a bit steep.

over 1.5 rounds -160
"i like rockets to win this fight i do think he gets it done via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 23, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The host picks Aleksandar Rakić because the fight is only three rounds. He believes Rakić will outrange Smith with kicks and win the first two rounds comfortably, then survive the third. He notes Smith's wide stance leaves him open to leg kicks and body kicks, and that Smith has taken recent damage. He thinks if it were five rounds, Smith would win, but in three rounds Rakić's striking advantage prevails.

29-28 decision
"i'm gonna go with alexander rakich going out there winning the first two rounds comfortably on the feet... i think rakic goes out there outranges smith outlands him"
LOSS vs Volkan Oezdemir
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 0 63 of 144 43% 118 of 199 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Aleksandar Rakić 0 75 of 147 51% 87 of 162 1 of 9 11% 1 0 2:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 0 12 of 39 30% 19 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Aleksandar Rakić 0 23 of 47 48% 24 of 49 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:47
2 Volkan Oezdemir 0 21 of 40 52% 42 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksandar Rakić 0 22 of 39 56% 28 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:31
3 Volkan Oezdemir 0 30 of 65 46% 57 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aleksandar Rakić 0 30 of 61 49% 35 of 68 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 63 of 144 43% 28 of 105 14 of 18 21 of 21 47 of 122 16 of 22 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 75 of 147 51% 49 of 116 16 of 18 10 of 13 57 of 126 18 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 12 of 39 30% 4 of 30 2 of 3 6 of 6 8 of 32 4 of 7 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 23 of 47 48% 12 of 35 9 of 9 2 of 3 17 of 40 6 of 7 0 of 0
2 Volkan Oezdemir 21 of 40 52% 6 of 23 4 of 6 11 of 11 17 of 35 4 of 5 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 22 of 39 56% 12 of 27 4 of 5 6 of 7 18 of 34 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Volkan Oezdemir 30 of 65 46% 18 of 52 8 of 9 4 of 4 22 of 55 8 of 10 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 30 of 61 49% 25 of 54 3 of 4 2 of 3 22 of 52 8 of 9 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Volkan Oezdemir vs. Aleksandar Rakic

Round 1
Rakic comes out with power punches immediately before transitioning to a guillotine. He puts on the squeeze for a few seconds before Oezdemir escapes. They continue to jockey for position against the fence. Both men swing wildly on the break. A hard body kick lands for Rakic, but Oezdemir pressures, swinging heavy leather. Nothing connects. A short left lands for Oezdemir. Oezdemir moves in but he is countered by Rakic. Rakic goes low for a single leg, dodges a punch and trips the Swiss fighter to the canvas. Rakic maintains a body lock as Oezdemir returns to his feet. Rakic presses Oezdmir into the fence and absorbs some elbows to the side of the head. Oezdemir lands a knee and they separate with heavy punches. Rakic lands an uppercut-left hook combination. The light heavyweights trade low kicks. A right from Rakic counters an Oezdemir flying knee and the round ends. 10-9 Rakic.

Round 2
Oezdemir with a hard low kick to begin. Rakic answers with one of his own. A right hand snaps Oezdemir’s head back. Rakic has some unusual swelling below the knee on his left leg as a result of the low kicks. Rakic throws a left high kick that lands on the chest of his opponent. Raick with a glancing right hand and then he tries for a single leg, attacking with punches as Oezdemir attempts to escape. Rakic presses Oezdemir into the fence and Oezdemir lands some elbows to the side of the head. Rakic lands a short right hook on the break. Rakic catches a low kick, but he can’t do anything with it as Oezdemir demonstrates good balance. Rakic jabs and avoids the follow-up offering from Oezdemir. Oezdemir kicks at the leg of Rakic again. Rakic with an inside leg kick. Oezdemir steps in with a punch to the body. Oezdemir taunts Rakic with hands open, but Rakic doesn’t engage in a brawl at the end of the frame. 10-9 Rakic.

Round 3
Rakic lands an uppercut in an exchange. Rakic counters with his back to the fence and then secures a body lock. The Austrian presses Oezdemir into the cage. The light heavyweights trade big punches on the break. Another low kick from Oezdemir. Rakic lands a left jab. A right uppercut momentarily backs up Oezdemir. Rakic tries for a takedown but Oezdemir shrugs him off. A short left hook is clean for Rakic. Rakic jabs to the body and then throws a right hand. Oezdemir ties up his foe and lands an uppercut and knee in close. Rakic lands a right and Oezdemir nods him on. Rakic blocks a high kick. Rakic changes levels but Oezdemir defends the takedown, landing elbows with his back to the fence. Rakic hangs on as time winds dow. Oezdemir lands some more short elbows and they separate before the horn. 10-9 Rakic (30-27 Rakic).

The Official Result
Volkan Oezdemir def. Aleksandar Rakic via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00