UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019 · Middleweight · Completed
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Age 35
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - JunYong Park
4.64 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
3.82 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.69 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Marc-André Barriault
5.65 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
5.94 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
0.34 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
68.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
JunYong Park - Fight History
LOSS vs Ikram Aliskerov
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 0 91 of 134 67% 126 of 174 5 of 7 71% 0 0 6:07
JunYong Park 0 78 of 132 59% 91 of 151 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 46 76% 37 of 48 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:36
JunYong Park 0 17 of 43 39% 18 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 52 67% 46 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:05
JunYong Park 0 38 of 55 69% 42 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Ikram Aliskerov 0 21 of 36 58% 43 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:26
JunYong Park 0 23 of 34 67% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 91 of 134 67% 57 of 94 26 of 29 8 of 11 79 of 120 3 of 4 9 of 10
JunYong Park 78 of 132 59% 57 of 108 18 of 20 3 of 4 73 of 127 2 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 46 76% 17 of 25 14 of 14 4 of 7 33 of 44 1 of 1 1 of 1
JunYong Park 17 of 43 39% 13 of 37 2 of 3 2 of 3 17 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 52 67% 21 of 36 10 of 12 4 of 4 29 of 45 2 of 2 4 of 5
JunYong Park 38 of 55 69% 29 of 46 8 of 8 1 of 1 34 of 51 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Ikram Aliskerov 21 of 36 58% 19 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 1 4 of 4
JunYong Park 23 of 34 67% 15 of 25 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Jun Yong Park
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-258), Park (+210)

Round 1
It’s Russia vs. South Korea in this classic historical matchup at middleweight, with well-rounded Aliskerov (16-2, 3-1 UFC) repping the former against World Top Team’s Park (19-6, 9-3 UFC). The victor of this pairing could find himself vaulted into a ranked bout his next time out, so the two are taking it as seriously as referee Rich Mitchell. A high-five is shared before the athletes ply their trades against one another.
Park introduces himself with a calf kick, and he zips away from one coming at him from the Russian. Aliskerov kicks the inner thigh, and his foot slides up and bangs into the cup. Mitchell recognizes the accidental foul and gives Park time to get his bearings. Park takes under 30 seconds to shake it off, and when they resume, Aliskerov attacks the body. Aliskerov flicks out his jab, and Park retaliates with a one-two. Aliskerov pitches a kick the waist, and he checks a calf kick and sneaks in a left hand. Park scores at the end of a right hand, but it is one-and-done as he resets. Aliskerov walks him down and knees him in the stomach, pushing off the face as Park feels he was poked in the eyes. They do not pause, and instead Aliskerov corners park and jabs his way into a head kick. Park backs him off with an effective one-two, and Aliskerov reaches him with a low kick.
Park swipes out a left hand when Aliskerov jabs at him, and he goes to the body to open up a right hand upstairs. He does this combination again, and Aliskerov gets right back to jabbing. Park connects with a right hand up top, and the two jab one another in the face before trading calf kicks. Aliskerov shoots in in the hips and takes the South Korean off his feet, where he circles around to take the back. Aliskerov does not bother getting a hook in, so Park is able to get up after taking a few right hands and a kick to the back of his leg. Aliskerov jabs to the body and head, and he completes another double with ease all while pulling on Park’s shorts. Mitchell admonishes him of the foul, and Park stands back up and re-laces the tie around his waist. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov

Round 2
The middleweights touch ‘em up after five minutes of combat, and they resume where they left off with Aliskerov jabbing aplenty while Park offers other options including his one-twos and some effective calf kicks. Aliskerov doubles up on low kicks to fire one at the midsection, and Park loops a left at his sternum in response. Park drives home another right hand, and Aliskerov ties him up and knees him in the chest. Aliskerov slips when landing the knee, and Park lets him back up. Both men land short shots in the pocket, and Aliskerov steps back and boots Park in the face before stepping in to blast him with a left. Park wipes at his face and gets right back into the fray, and Aliskerov kicks him in the stomach as his heel scrapes down to bump into the groin cup. Mitchell tells the Russian there can be no more fouls, and Park uses a little over 30 seconds before resuming. Aliskerov jabs and slides out of the way of a one-two, leaning forward to land two power hooks. Park drills him back with a left hand and waves him on, and Aliskerov does not oblige in a brawl but is trading shots. Aliskerov does not appreciate the pressure, so he shoots for a double and dumps the South Korean to the floor.
When Park hits his seat, he checks to see that his nose is indeed bleeding, and he frames off to sit back up. Aliskerov drags Park back down, lacing his own legs around Park’s to stifle him. Park returns to a knee, and Aliskerov elbows him in the cheek. Park elbows him back from up close, so Aliskerov whips two short but effective hooks at him from close range. Aliskerov controls Park by clinging to Park’s left ankle with his right hand, and he is warned for grabbing the fence with his free hand. They proceed to trade strikes while on their knees, until Park powers his way back upright. With 30 seconds left in the round, Aliskerov shoots, and he is warned loudly to not grab Park’s shorts. Park stands him up and walks him down, busting him in the nose and opening a cut on the bridge of it. The round ends with Park mashing his man on the fence.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov

Round 3
There is a final glove touch to open the final frame, and Park is the one who immediately presses the action. The South Korean punches his way into a body lock takedown try, only for Aliskerov to break off and reset. Park walks down the fatiguing Aliskerov and jacks him in the jaw with a right hand and a quick left. Park’s momentum results in a brief clinch, and he fights out of it but is met with a Aliskerov double attempt. Park goes down and turns to his knees, so Aliskerov follows him and takes his back with one hook in. Park stands through it and elbows Aliskerov in the face from behind, and he turns his back to the wall so he can break away. Park punches through several jabs to work the body, and Aliskerov intercepts him with a knee. “The Iron Turtle” tanks the knee and walks Aliskerov down, bashing him with heavy swings.
Aliskerov gains a full head of steam and bulldozes Park over, completing the double and putting Park on the mat. This time, he gets his hooks in and wraps up the body triangle around the waist. Aliskerov allows Park to turn so he can smack him upside the head on either side, and Park is warned for tugging on the chain links to get free. Park sways, shifts and squirms, but the body lock is completely stifling him from escaping. Aliskerov slowly, methodically lands strikes while otherwise controlling Park. Park hand-fights before any maneuver can remotely be started, but his valiant comeback is totally nullified at this point. Aliskerov wraps up a neck crank with his left arm draped on the face of “The Iron Turtle,” and he squeezes it to use up what remaining energy he has until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)

The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Jun Yong Park via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting his superior striking and wrestling compared to Jun Young Park. He uses MMA math: Aliskerov knocked out Andre Muniz, while Park lost to Muniz via decision with 11 takedowns conceded. Angelo expects a decision due to Park's toughness but is confident Aliskerov wins.

I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is.
"Park's not the better striker, he's not the better grappler, and I don't think he's winning this fight. Ikram's the pick. I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady leans toward Park Jun-yong as a live dog, citing Ikram Aliskerov's untested cardio and durability. He notes Aliskerov has finished all his UFC wins in the first round and questions what happens if the fight extends. Park is durable, has good volume and cardio, and has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Park to survive early danger, take over in rounds two and three, and win a decision. He admits it feels like a trap and is staying away from betting.

Park by decision; staying away from betting
"I'm kind of leaning towards the Park side. It just this whole fight to me feels like a big trap. I'm probably staying away from this one, but in terms of a pick, I'm going to go Park here. I'll …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Cody picks Ikram Aliskerov, but notes that if the fight extends past the first round, he would live bet Park. He believes Aliskerov's power and early finishing ability will get the job done, as Park's durability and cardio are his only paths. Cody suggests that Aliskerov likely finishes early, but if not, Park could grind out a win.

"Ikram's the play for me, but another one of these guys maybe similar to Asamat Bakoev last week."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor acknowledges Park's toughness and pocket combination fighting but believes Aliskerov's athleticism and natural timing will be too much. He notes that Park often meets athletic walls where he gets stopped, and Aliskerov has the speed and power to find a kill shot. Connor also points out that Aliskerov, while not deep technically, has enough offensive craft to exploit Park's aggression.

Aliskerov is a solid favorite at -225; Park is +190.
"Jun Young Park is a guy who, he's my favorite kind of fighter... but it does mean that he will regularly meet athletic walls where he just gets stopped."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Daniel Vreeland is wary of Aliskerov's cardio and chin, but believes his early power and the Abu Dhabi setting give him the edge. He notes that Aliskerov has been finished by uppercuts before, but thinks he can win the first round and possibly the second before Park takes over. He picks Aliskerov but admits it could get 'sketchy' past round one.

"Because we're in the desert, I'm going to take the guy with the OV as the last two letters of his last name. And I'm going to take Iram Aliscerov."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov, citing his power and wrestling as a bad stylistic matchup for Park. He notes Park's poor takedown defense and tendency to walk into punches, while Aliskerov has the tools to exploit those weaknesses. He acknowledges Park's elite cardio and pressure, but believes Aliskerov's early power and takedowns will be decisive. He is less confident in the value at -270.

"I'm picking Ikram Aliskarov here. I can't say that there's much value on his money line currently."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host thinks Aliskerov will be exposed, struggling with Park's jab, pressure, and pace. He expects Park to take over in the second and third rounds and eventually find a finish.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I expect Park to really start running away with this matchup and eventually finding a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans towards Park as a dog or pass, preferring the under 2.5 rounds. He notes that Aliskerov is a one-round fighter who gasses if he doesn't finish early, and Park has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds, as seen against Islam Nurmagomedov. Paul believes that if the fight goes past the first, Park has a real chance to win by submission or decision.

under 2.5 rounds
"for me it's dog or pass. Like um I'm not laying chalk on a guy who seems mostly, at least in his UFC iteration, like a one-round fighter."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov by TKO, believing Aliskerov's finishing potential will be too much for Jun Yong Park. He notes that Park is getting older and relies on volume grappling, but Aliskerov has good takedown defense and power. He references Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker on short notice as understandable, but expects Aliskerov to put Park away in the first or second round. He also mentions that Park's lack of power on the feet will be a problem.

TKO in first or second round; also mentioned in a PrizePicks parlay for less than 2.5 total rounds
"I think Ikram Aliskerov's going to put him away by TKO, the same way he's put away near enough every opponent bar Whittaker."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Zane shares Connor's view, noting that Park's wrestling and grappling are his only safe areas, but getting there requires him to press into the pocket, leaving him open to Aliskerov's counters. He believes Aliskerov is good at finding openings and that Park will have success but will also be consistently vulnerable to a kill shot.

"I think he will also be consistently open to a kill shot. And Aliskerov is pretty damn good at finding them."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ismail Naurdiev 0 76 of 153 49% 84 of 164 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:25
JunYong Park 0 45 of 109 41% 92 of 187 2 of 8 25% 1 0 6:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ismail Naurdiev 0 52 of 105 49% 54 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JunYong Park 0 26 of 77 33% 28 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Ismail Naurdiev 0 19 of 37 51% 25 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:25
JunYong Park 0 9 of 13 69% 28 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:06
3 Ismail Naurdiev 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JunYong Park 0 10 of 19 52% 36 of 71 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ismail Naurdiev 76 of 153 49% 44 of 104 25 of 39 7 of 10 67 of 132 8 of 17 1 of 4
JunYong Park 45 of 109 41% 41 of 102 4 of 7 0 of 0 38 of 96 4 of 10 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ismail Naurdiev 52 of 105 49% 33 of 73 16 of 27 3 of 5 48 of 96 4 of 9 0 of 0
JunYong Park 26 of 77 33% 25 of 74 1 of 3 0 of 0 24 of 70 2 of 7 0 of 0
2 Ismail Naurdiev 19 of 37 51% 8 of 22 7 of 10 4 of 5 15 of 27 3 of 6 1 of 4
JunYong Park 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ismail Naurdiev 5 of 11 45% 3 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0
JunYong Park 10 of 19 52% 7 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ismail Naurdiev vs. Jun Yong Park
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Park (-180), Naurdiev (+150)

Round 1
Firmly back in the confines of the UFC roster after taking seven fights elsewhere, Naurdiev (24-7, 3-2 UFC) has a lot to prove and some time to do it as he will reach the age of 29 in August. The relative elder statesman in this middleweight match is Park (18-6, 8-3 UFC), who will be entering into his 12th bout as a member of the organization. For this classic matchup of Austria vs. South Korea, referee Lukasz Bosacki will be the third in the Octagon. The fighters bump fists, and Naurdiev resides in the center of the cage attacking the body. Park responds with an overhand right, but Naurdiev’s volume is consistent with jabs and low kicks and the occasional power strike. They tie up for a second, and Naurdiev breaks off and drills Park with three punches that make him flinch and have to blink it out. Park responds with power, but Naurdiev swarms him with a trio of fists that get his attention again. Park swings mightily, and the Austrian keeps his range and sways out of the way from the worst of them. A right hand from Park reddens up Naurdiev’s face, but he gives it right back and bends Park’s nose a bit. The middleweights trade blows up top, with Park headhunting while Naurdiev opens up with a right hand that the Korean rolls with. Naurdiev cracks Park with a flurry, and Park steels himself and pays him back. Naurdiev’s punches are accurate, quick and painful, but Park is an “Iron Turtle” slowly working his way forward. The nickname is perfect for Park, who displays durability and eventually gets through. Naurdiev eats a stern right hand that makes him back off, and he pushes out with his fingers outstretched and swipes Park in the eye. Naurdiev is immediately apologetic, and Park does not take long to recover after Bosacki calls it. Naurdiev opens up with two hooks when they resume, and Park works his way forward behind a jab. Naurdiev flashes out two punches and then a knee to the body, and Park knees him back and takes one to the groin. Naurdiev says he is fine, and Park walks him down and blasts him in the face. Naurdiev rips the body with a left, and he shakes Park up with a right hand. Park takes a deep breath and explodes with a right hand that staggers Naurdiev. This rock-em sock-em battle continues as Park puts his foot slowly but comfortably on the gas, no-selling Naurdiev’s biggest blows and tripping Naurdiev up and possibly dropping him. Whether the knockdown was a knockdown or a slip may weigh heavily on the scores of the round, which ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Park
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Naurdiev
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Park

Round 2
When the round begins, Naurdiev starts by pushing off with his left hand and jamming it into Park’s eye socket. Bosacki calls time and tells Naurdiev to watch himself but does not take a point on the second poke. They restart, and Park rushes forward for a takedown and walks through a flying knee. Park drops to a knee, and Naurdiev blasts him in the face with an illegal knee. Bosacki immediately calls that it was a foul, and Park’s left eye is shredded open as blood streams down his face. Park stays on his seat for a minute, and Bosacki is advised by referee Herb Dean of his options. Park cannot open his eye as he gets to his feet, and he crouches back down as the physician attends to the wound. After two-plus minutes, Park stands up, and he leans on the fence as he speaks to the officials through an interpreter. Bosacki asks the doctor to check if Park can continue, and they test Park’s vision by covering his good eye. Park still cannot open his eye three minutes into the break, but somehow he is cleared to continue as the doctor issues a thumbs-up. Bosacki deducts two points from Naurdiev, who expresses disappointment in learning that Park’s knee was down. Park is able to get going after all, and after over four minutes of recovery and Bosacki checking them back in, he is enraged and runs towards Naurdiev to take him down. Naurdiev defends with hacking elbows to the side of the dome, hopping on one foot while Park holds the other in the air. Park wants to keep things tight, and Naurdiev knees him in the face when tied up. Naurdiev leans against his opponent until breaking off with an elbow, and he aims two left hands on the damaged eye and backs off. Park wipes his eye and digs an uppercut to the ribs before pushing Naurdiev to the wall. Naurdiev turns the corner and drops down for a double-leg takedown, and Park defends properly but is still lifted and slammed to the ground. The Austrian takes Park’s back and gets a hook in, searching for a choke that does not come. Park scrambles, working his way to his knees and then upright. Park puts a knee down to prevent another knee on the melon, and he turns Naurdiev around and muscles him to the mat. Park uses his weight to drag Naurdiev from the side, sliding his own hook in and loops his left arm under the chin. Naurdiev has the other limb controlled, and Park smacks him with his free hand. Park goes after one final choke, but the round ends with Naurdiev needing a finish in Round 3.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-7 Park
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-7 Park
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-7 Park

Round 3
Park is a man on a mission, pushing the pace and drilling Naurdiev with punches up top and to the midsection. The body shots have taken their toll on the Austrian, as Park is able to back him up and work him down to the mat. Park is on the side of Naurdiev with a hook around his leg, looking for a choke but bailing on it to take mount for a moment. Naurdiev turns to surrender his back briefly, but Park remains in a dominant position wearing Naurdiev down. Naurdiev grabs the fence to adjust himself, and Bosacki grumbles at him. Park slowly bowls Naurdiev over, drowning him with short right hands and top control. Park reams his opponent with an elbow to the side of the head, and he softens Naurdiev up with punches until Naurdiev explodes to turn to his back. Park gladly takes his back and secures both hooks, and he irritates Naurdiev with punches to soften him up. Park hunts for a choke, and Naurdiev defends his neck but has little else to offer with about a minute left in the match. Naurdiev pushes his feet off the wall in hopes of freeing himself, and Park waves to the crowd while in dominant position. With a second left, Park wraps up the rear-naked choke, and if he had more time, he likely would have finished the job. Instead, they reach the final horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Park (30-24 Park)
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-8 Park (29-25 Park)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Park (30-24 Park)

The Official Result
Jun Yong Park def. Ismail Naurdiev via Unanimous Decision (29-26, 29-26, 29-25)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ismail Naurdiev

Angelo picks Ismail Naurdiev, citing his takedown ability and the fact that Park has poor takedown defense, as shown in the Andre Muniz fight. He notes that Ismail is a good striker and grappler, and at $7,500 he is a great value. He thinks Ismail will exploit Park's weaknesses and get the win.

Mentions $7,500 price point as very affordable; calls him one of the better dogs on the card.
"I am on the Ishmael side here. He's going to be the pick and I will have him in my lineup at $7500."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, citing durability and wrestling as key factors. He notes Naurdiev has been finished in four of seven losses and has poor takedown defense. Park completes takedowns at 47% accuracy and even took down Brad Tavares. Brady thinks Park can mix in takedowns if needed and has better cardio. He predicts a competitive decision win for Park.

decision
"I got to go Park here. I just think he's a lot more durable."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor compares Park to a less-athletic Chan Sung Jung, noting his aggressive style and reliance on grappling. He highlights Park's ability to break opponents with low kicks and body shots, as seen in the Duryev fight. Connor believes Naurdiev's measured pace from long range will allow Park to close distance and secure takedowns, leading to a finish.

"Yeah, and he can break any number of ways too. ... I think the openings for the takedowns will present themselves out of Park's pace."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host is a big fan of Junyong Park and thinks this fight perfectly showcases his advantages in pace, pressure, and grappling. He expects Park to put Naurdiev through the ringer and easily win on the scorecards.

"I'm a big fan of Junyong Park and I think this is a fight that he can perfectly showcase his advantages with his pace, pressure, and eventually his grappling as he puts Nordivia through the ringer and I think he …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks Park Jun-yong, praising his pace, striking, and composure. He notes Naurdiev's defensive grappling and submission threats but doubts his power and ability to dominate. He expects a three-round barn burner where Park's pressure in later rounds secures the win.

Fight goes to decision, Park wins by decision
"I'm gonna go with Yunyong Park over Ishmail Nerdy. I'm siding with Yunyong Park here, getting this one done, pouring on the pressure in the later rounds."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane acknowledges Park's limitations as a not-great athlete who relies on pocket exchanges and top control, but believes his wrestling and ground-and-pound will break Naurdiev. He notes that Naurdiev is a re-signing who struggled in Brave and only beat a broken Bruno Silva. Zane expects Park to find takedowns and break Naurdiev, though the fight may be scrappy.

Park opened -228, now -185; Naurdiev opened +173, now +163.
"I gotta think that Park can just wrestle, if he can get him down a couple times, he's going to break him."
WIN vs Brad Tavares
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 65 of 149 43% 73 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Brad Tavares 0 99 of 177 55% 124 of 210 2 of 6 33% 0 0 6:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 26 of 57 45% 27 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Brad Tavares 0 19 of 46 41% 21 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
2 JunYong Park 0 31 of 80 38% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Tavares 0 67 of 108 62% 68 of 109 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
3 JunYong Park 0 8 of 12 66% 15 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Tavares 0 13 of 23 56% 35 of 53 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 65 of 149 43% 55 of 136 2 of 3 8 of 10 62 of 143 0 of 1 3 of 5
Brad Tavares 99 of 177 55% 76 of 151 4 of 6 19 of 20 91 of 167 3 of 5 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 26 of 57 45% 21 of 52 0 of 0 5 of 5 23 of 52 0 of 0 3 of 5
Brad Tavares 19 of 46 41% 12 of 37 2 of 3 5 of 6 19 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 31 of 80 38% 27 of 73 2 of 3 2 of 4 31 of 79 0 of 1 0 of 0
Brad Tavares 67 of 108 62% 52 of 93 1 of 1 14 of 14 64 of 103 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 JunYong Park 8 of 12 66% 7 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Tavares 13 of 23 56% 12 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Angelo picks Brad Tavares, citing his experience and takedown defense. He notes that Park Jun-yong is not dangerous enough to finish Tavares, lacking one-punch power and nasty takedowns. Angelo believes Tavares will defend takedowns and land clean strikes for a straightforward win.

"I think Brad tarus wins this fight... pretty straightforward win here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong by decision. He thinks the fight will be close and go to the judges, but he cannot pick Brad Tavares due to his decline. Tavares has taken a lot of damage and looked poor in recent fights, including a lackluster win over Chris Weidman. Park was on a five-fight win streak before a close loss to Andre Muniz. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet and Park to do better work, though it could be a close decision.

Park by decision
"I'm sticking with my pick here it's it's Park I do think this fight is going to be close though"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor also picks Park but is hesitant, noting that Tavares still has great takedown defense and can strike. He points out that Park's best path is through grappling, but Tavares stuffs takedowns. Connor thinks Park can win a striking battle because Tavares doesn't throw combinations and is passive, but it's a risky fight for Park.

Same odds commentary.
"I trust him to win that scrap. Like I say he sets traps. He will work a low kick and work a jab until his opponent starts to provide openings."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Daniel highlights Park's well-rounded skills, pace, and wrestling ability, noting that he was close to knocking out RoboCop. He criticizes Tavares's recent decline, pointing out that RoboCop walked through him with zero respect. Daniel believes Park's physicality and durability will be key, and he predicts a knockout victory, citing that Park has been overdue for his first UFC KO.

by KO
"I think he's going to and I think he might even do it by knockout... I'm gonna go Jun Young Park the Iron Turtle to come out here and knockout Brad Tavares in Vegas."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Brad Tavares

Tavares is on a rough run but this is a winnable matchup if he keeps it in the striking realm. Park has decent power but not enough to catch Tavares. Tavares will land better strikes, leg kicks, stop takedowns, and win on the scorecards over 15 minutes.

"I think we'll see Tavares land the better strikes land some good leg kicks stop the takedowns and land the better shots over the course of 15 minutes winning this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The MMA Guru picks Brad Tavares, noting that Tavares cannot be taken down and has good cardio. He criticizes Park Jun-yong's striking and believes Tavares will out-strike him for a TKO or decision. He acknowledges Tavares has been KO'd recently but sees Park lacking the power to finish him.

TKO or decision
"I'm gonna say Brad tarez I don't see yunong Park having the power to put him away by TKO... I'm going to go with Brad tarez getting this one done by TKO on the feet or a decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane picks Park but is hesitant because Tavares has excellent takedown defense, which neutralizes Park's best weapon. He notes that Park's striking is crafty but he is short and gets hit often, and Tavares is a durable defensive striker who doesn't leave many openings. Zane trusts Park to win a kickboxing match due to his volume and trap-setting, but acknowledges it's a tough fight.

Tavares opened at +147, now +159; Park opened at -166, now -180. Zane thinks the line could be wider.
"I think in that weird way is kickboxing is best served when his opponent is not a comfortable striker at all. And otherwise the highlight of his game tends to be his wrestling game."
LOSS vs André Muniz
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 27 of 60 45% 52 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 2 2:58
JunYong Park 0 14 of 30 46% 35 of 60 11 of 14 78% 0 1 9:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 13 of 17 76% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:45
JunYong Park 0 3 of 4 75% 10 of 11 5 of 6 83% 0 0 3:07
2 André Muniz 0 6 of 12 50% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
JunYong Park 0 9 of 16 56% 21 of 37 4 of 4 100% 0 0 4:16
3 André Muniz 0 8 of 31 25% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:10
JunYong Park 0 2 of 10 20% 4 of 12 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 27 of 60 45% 21 of 54 3 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 25 0 of 0 16 of 35
JunYong Park 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 29 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 15
JunYong Park 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 André Muniz 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
JunYong Park 9 of 16 56% 9 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 André Muniz 8 of 31 25% 7 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 20
JunYong Park 2 of 10 20% 1 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park Jun-yong, citing his tenacity and cardio. He notes that Park is a go-getter who keeps coming forward and has solid striking and grappling. Cody is concerned about Park's tendency to give up his back when taken down, but he thinks Muniz's heart is questionable. He points out that Muniz has looked terrible in his last two fights and was outworked by Paul Craig. Cody believes Park will outwork Muniz and get a late TKO or decision.

"Park just at works you know he's in a couple bad spots here and there sure but in the end he's going to Tire him out he's gonna beat on him he's gonna land the bigger shots and he's either …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2023 (fight day)
André Muniz

Lucrative James believes the market is too low on Muniz after his recent losses, which he attributes to Paul Craig's unpredictability and a competitive fight against Brendan Allen. He highlights Muniz's powerful double-leg takedown and elite submission skills, noting that Park gets taken down in every fight and has given up his back. He sees a good chance of a submission in rounds 1-2, but acknowledges that if Muniz doesn't finish, Park's cardio could be a problem in later rounds. He agrees with the line movement and picks Muniz outright.

submission in round 1 or 2, points win if he doesn't finish
"I think there's a good chance that mun gets a submission in this spot if he doesn't get a submission yes it's going to be very very dangerous for him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul also picks Park Jun-yong. He notes that Park is looking better than ever and mixes in submission skills. Paul is a little worried about Park giving up his back against a grappler like Muniz, but he thinks Park's volume and cardio will be decisive. He mentions that Uriah Hall survived Muniz's grappling for three rounds, and Park is a better striker. Paul believes the fight on the feet is not close and Park will win.

"I think it's Park Park who's looking better than kind of ever in his last few fights you know he's mixing in some submission skills"
WIN vs Albert Duraev
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:45 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 31 of 77 40% 35 of 83 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Albert Duraev 1 50 of 96 52% 77 of 138 0 of 1 0% 3 0 1:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 20 of 47 42% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Albert Duraev 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:17
2 JunYong Park 0 11 of 30 36% 15 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:55
Albert Duraev 1 25 of 42 59% 52 of 84 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 31 of 77 40% 18 of 57 7 of 8 6 of 12 31 of 76 0 of 1 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 50 of 96 52% 41 of 85 4 of 5 5 of 6 47 of 93 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 20 of 47 42% 10 of 31 5 of 6 5 of 10 20 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 25 of 54 46% 20 of 48 0 of 0 5 of 6 25 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 11 of 30 36% 8 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 2 11 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 25 of 42 59% 21 of 37 4 of 5 0 of 0 22 of 39 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Angelo picks Albert Duraev, liking his wrestling pace and takedowns. He notes Park is well-rounded with good takedown defense but is not dangerous enough to threaten Duraev. He is surprised Duraev is a plus-money underdog and plans to use the line movement tracker to bet him at the best price. He thinks Duraev can grind out a decision.

"I like albertareev in this fight ... I'm surprised he is a plus money Underdog right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, calling him underrated. He notes Park has good durability, cardio, and well-rounded skills, while Duraev has four knockout losses and slows down in fights. He expects a close decision where Park's volume and cardio edge him ahead, possibly mixing in takedowns late. He thinks -150 is about right.

"I think Jung Young Park is super underrated ... I still think Jung Young Park does just enough to get this done and get it done by decision minus 150 um seems about about right to me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody leans toward Park, citing Duraev's red flags: low takedown success rate (1/9 vs Coppola, 2/9 vs Buckley), gas tank issues, and being a low-output striker. He thinks Park's volume and durability will win striking exchanges, but acknowledges Duraev could win via takedowns or cage control. He expects a close, greasy decision and doesn't love the -150 price.

mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop at wide odds
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I don't love the price there because I could see it really going either way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host expects Park's pressure and cardio to wear down Duraev as the fight goes on. He thinks Duraev will have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Park to land damaging strikes and potentially get a late finish or decision. He notes the line is a bit steep but still sees value.

Park wins in round 3 or by decision
"give me either round three park or park by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park, noting Park's recent finishes via rear-naked chokes against grapplers, but thinks that path is off the table here. He expects Park to keep it on the feet and use his chin, while Duraev hasn't shown power. He thinks it goes the full 15 minutes and leans Park at -150, but acknowledges judging could swing either way.

mentioned over 44.5 significant strikes for Park on PrizePicks; also mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I like that to go over the over on that like Park's been finishing his last two fights"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

The MMA Guru picks Albert Duraev over Park Jun-yong, citing Duraev's win over Roman Kopylov, which has aged well, and his finishing potential. He criticizes Park's split decision over Eric Anders and notes his wins came against opponents with clear weaknesses. He believes Duraev is more dangerous in multiple areas and predicts a finish.

"I've got to go derive here I think he's a little bit more dangerous in more areas of the fight than Young Park"
Technical submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:05 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 25 of 38 65% 38 of 52 1 of 3 33% 1 0 2:58
Denis Tiuliulin 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 25 of 38 65% 38 of 52 1 of 3 33% 1 0 2:58
Denis Tiuliulin 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 25 of 38 65% 20 of 33 1 of 1 4 of 4 15 of 27 0 of 0 10 of 11
Denis Tiuliulin 8 of 22 36% 4 of 16 4 of 6 0 of 0 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 25 of 38 65% 20 of 33 1 of 1 4 of 4 15 of 27 0 of 0 10 of 11
Denis Tiuliulin 8 of 22 36% 4 of 16 4 of 6 0 of 0 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady likes Park's cardio, volume, and underrated grappling. He notes Tiuliulin is hittable with poor striking defense and a suspect gas tank. He expects Park to drown Tiuliulin with grappling and eventually find a submission in the second or third round.

second round submission
"I'm gonna take Park to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Cody picks Tiuliulin at plus money, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Park is prone to brawling and getting knocked out, as seen against Gregory Rodrigues. He expects Tiuliulin to land a knockout, especially if Park engages recklessly. He added Tiuliulin at +190.

"I'm tempted on the underdog here Cody in in Dennis chilulin... I'd be siding with Dennis to lulin on the money line at Plus 180"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor agrees, highlighting Park's ability to use aggression against Tiuliulin, running him into jabs and countering. He notes that Tiuliulin is heavily rooted and lumbering, making takedowns easier once Park establishes his jab. He has faith in Park's ability to figure out these matchups despite the physical disadvantages.

Odds: Park opened -245, now -214; Tiuliulin opened +185, now +174.
"I have faith in park, but uh, he uh, he certainly deserves matchups more worth the risk."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Paul picks Tiuliulin, calling him a greasy underdog. He notes Tiuliulin's power and improved takedown defense, while Park has a tendency to brawl and get knocked out. He expects Tiuliulin to win by knockout, especially if Park engages in a firefight. He likes the plus money.

"I think I'm gonna take Dennis to Lynn as well I don't want a ton of exposure on it but yeah we're gonna need a couple greasy underdogs this one fits the description"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane expects Park to win due to his crafty striking and excellent ground and pound. He notes that Tiuliulin is a reckless, aggressive striker who is hyper durable but lacks structure. He believes Park's takedowns and positional grappling will be effective, though he acknowledges that Park often faces physical challenges due to size disadvantages.

Odds: Park opened -245, now -214; Tiuliulin opened +185, now +174.
"Picking jen young park, but every every fight for him in the ufc is gonna be a nail biter."
WIN vs Joseph Holmes
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:04 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Joseph Holmes 0 18 of 33 54% 48 of 76 2 of 4 50% 2 0 4:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Joseph Holmes 0 12 of 24 50% 22 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:55
2 JunYong Park 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joseph Holmes 0 6 of 9 66% 26 of 40 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 20 of 40 50% 8 of 24 5 of 7 7 of 9 19 of 37 0 of 1 1 of 2
Joseph Holmes 18 of 33 54% 13 of 26 0 of 0 5 of 7 14 of 28 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 18 of 36 50% 7 of 21 5 of 7 6 of 8 17 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 2
Joseph Holmes 12 of 24 50% 8 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 6 of 9 66% 5 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.

Park wins by decision
"give me a Jen Young Park to win I'll say wins by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.

"I just think Johnny and park will eventually Break On Through break the guy down take his best shots wear on him Tire him out maybe even get a few takedowns of his own"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Yeah, it's very favorable looking for him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.

"I'm gonna go with John Young park with the kind of Veteran Savvy the tactics."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.

inside the distance decision no action for Holmes; Holmes value underdog
"my official pick is Park but I think Holmes is the much more dangerous guy and the minus 230 odds are insane"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.

Fight doesn't go to decision +120
"I feel very damn good about John Young Park here I think we're getting a very good price tag on him as well and I think he cruises in this matchup until he eventually gets that finish later on probably …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.

"I like Park as well but you know the market tells me it's buying this 220 for Park to win this fight which seems about right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.

"I'm gonna go with Park Hyun young here over Joseph Holmes"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.

Holmes opened +195 now +193, Park opened -230 now -240.
"It should just be a walk for John Park, basically."
WIN vs Eryk Anders
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 65 of 142 45% 75 of 155 3 of 24 12% 0 0 4:45
Eryk Anders 0 105 of 184 57% 108 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 16 of 30 53% 22 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:32
Eryk Anders 0 25 of 36 69% 26 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 JunYong Park 0 16 of 38 42% 20 of 44 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:36
Eryk Anders 0 31 of 52 59% 33 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
3 JunYong Park 0 33 of 74 44% 33 of 74 0 of 12 0% 0 0 0:37
Eryk Anders 0 49 of 96 51% 49 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 65 of 142 45% 45 of 112 17 of 25 3 of 5 56 of 131 9 of 11 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 105 of 184 57% 74 of 152 16 of 17 15 of 15 85 of 161 20 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 16 of 30 53% 12 of 22 4 of 7 0 of 1 11 of 24 5 of 6 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 25 of 36 69% 11 of 21 11 of 12 3 of 3 16 of 27 9 of 9 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 16 of 38 42% 9 of 29 6 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 31 of 52 59% 21 of 42 1 of 1 9 of 9 27 of 46 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 JunYong Park 33 of 74 44% 24 of 61 7 of 11 2 of 2 33 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 49 of 96 51% 42 of 89 4 of 4 3 of 3 42 of 88 7 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo picks Eryk Anders because he believes Anders's toughness, power, and wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Park is the better overall fighter but lacks danger in his striking or submissions. Park relies on trips and pressure for takedowns, which Angelo doesn't think will work against Anders. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Anders.

Eryk Anders plus 3.5 round bet (buy a round on judge's scorecard) - available at BetOnline
"i'm on the honors side and honestly i think he's a perfect one you're this big of an underdog he's a perfect plus three and a half bet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision, favoring his higher volume and striking defense over Eryk Anders. He notes Anders is a low-volume, one-shot-at-a-time striker with poor striking defense. He expects Park to outland Anders on the feet and win rounds. He acknowledges Anders could have success with takedowns but doubts he can hold Park down.

"give me jungyeon park to win a buy decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park, citing his better pace, ground game, and consistency. He criticizes Anders for low volume, lack of urgency, and getting outstruck in many fights. He believes Park will come forward, outland Anders, and grind out a decision. He is confident in the moneyline.

"i gotta go with the logical thinking here and the logical thinking is park's just gonna come forward back him up outland him hopefully not get caught by anything and then uh slowly just grind away in route to what …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host is uncertain about this fight. He notes that it could be volatile and come down to who is stronger, with Anders being the stronger fighter. He finds the Park line too wide but does not have the courage to bet Anders at plus money. He passes on betting the moneyline and instead considers the over 2.5 rounds, which he thinks is around -160.

over 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"tough fight i'm passing man if anything i bet the over two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Park is the logical pick. He notes Anders' inconsistency and low volume, and that Park should be able to outwork him. He is with Cody on this one.

"i'm with you on that one bro"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park, citing his superior cardio, leg kicks, and combination striking. He thinks Eryk Anders is a simple fighter and may have less power after trimming down. He believes Park's grappling defense and pace will be too much, predicting a 29-28 decision with Park taking the last two rounds.

"i'm going to have to go of yoon yong park here over ericander's"
Marc-André Barriault - Fight History
CANCEL vs Brad Tavares
BI
Big Brady Expert picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Brad Tavares or Marc-André Barriault at all.

LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)

James does not discuss this fight in the transcript. No pick is made.

Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 140 of 221 63% 143 of 225 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:30
Marc-André Barriault 0 77 of 201 38% 79 of 204 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 47 of 73 64% 47 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Marc-André Barriault 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 41 of 68 60% 42 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 33 of 80 41% 34 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 52 of 80 65% 54 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Marc-André Barriault 0 25 of 67 37% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 140 of 221 63% 91 of 161 39 of 49 10 of 11 138 of 218 1 of 1 1 of 2
Marc-André Barriault 77 of 201 38% 57 of 178 16 of 19 4 of 4 59 of 173 18 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 47 of 73 64% 32 of 56 8 of 9 7 of 8 46 of 71 0 of 0 1 of 2
Marc-André Barriault 19 of 54 35% 9 of 44 6 of 6 4 of 4 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 41 of 68 60% 27 of 49 11 of 16 3 of 3 40 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 33 of 80 41% 28 of 74 5 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 60 12 of 20 0 of 0
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 52 of 80 65% 32 of 56 20 of 24 0 of 0 52 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 25 of 67 37% 20 of 60 5 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 59 6 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oleksiejczuk (-330); Barriault (+270)

Round 1
Every now and then, the matchmaking plans are glaringly obvious as to what the UFC would like from a particular pairing. This middleweight slugfest is one such bout, as Oleksiejczuk (21-9, 1 NC; 9-7, 1 NC UFC) vs. Barriault (17-10, 1 NC; 6-9, 1 NC UFC) is practically destined for a knockout. Referee Chris Tognoni is ready whether this goes 15 seconds or the whole distance, and he gathers himself as the combatants bump gloves together.
Oleksiejczuk moves himself to the center of the cage and slowly works his way forward, but Barriault strikes first with a hefty body kick. Barriault loops a right hand over the guard, and he gets countered when trying. Oleksiejczuk swipes out a few lefts to wrap them around the raised hands, looking to hand-fight to pull down one glove and open up a big right. Oleksiejczuk stings “Power Bar” with a hard left hand, backing Barriault up to the wall but not pouncing. He swats away a responsive left to chop at the lead leg with a kick, and he leans back to watch punches buzz past him. Barriault clips Oleksiejczuk when Oleksiejczuk loads up on power, and he tosses out a naked kick that has him get his jaw jacked. Oleksiejczuk hammers the body with a kick, and he loops a right hand upstairs to follow. Barriault advances, driving home a knee up the middle and peeling back.
Oleksiejczuk has a leg kick checked, and he nails the body with a resounding thud. Barriault probes out with his jab, trying to disrupt the power flying at his melon, and he zips in an uppercut to keep Oleksiejczuk honest. Oleksiejczuk walks through it to loose a leg kick, and he rolls with a left hook to put two fists on Barriault’s face. Oleksiejczuk keeps his guard up to knock Barriault back with a heavy fist, and Barriault is fighting defensively enough to defend the big stuff upstairs but his midsection is wide open. Oleksiejczuk kicks so low, it practically hits the ankle, and he goes to the body again. Barriault’s looping response is a few feet off, and he gets clubbed with two straight lefts. Oleksiejczuk bloodies up his foe’s nose with his big swings, and he hacks at the lead leg with an inside kick. Oleksiejczuk catches a body kick, lashes out with a left and hurls Barriault to the mat in hopes of pounding on him. Barriault ties him up as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk

Round 2
The middleweights touch gloves, and Oleksiejczuk advances as the initial aggressor. Both men paw out their jabs, and Oleksiejczuk briefly drops Barriault to a knee with a heavy inside low kick. He swipes a right over the top, and he takes a left on the chin that he no-sells. Oleksiejczuk racks up a pair of punches on the chin, and “Power Bar” is hanging in tough and very much in this fight. Barriault swings body to head, and Oleksiejczuk does the same, both men scoring strikes. Barriault keeps his right hand pinned to his melon, and he has his guard split with a jab. Barriault loops a right to the ribs, and he catches Oleksiejczuk at the end of a pair of hooks. Oleksiejczuk slips and rips with a right hand on the jaw, and he meanders out a follow-up right that leads to him getting countered. Oleksiejczuk drives home a one-two, backing Barriault up, and he connects with a body kick with a sound like a 2-by-4 hitting a side of beef. Barriault steels himself and comes out firing, getting Oleksiejczuk’s attention when he swings with everything he has.
Barriault starts landing cleanly on Oleksiejczuk, changing his strategy completely as he walks Oleksiejczuk down. Oleksiejczuk’s power appears to be fading as Barriault ignores blows that would have irritated him the previous round. Barriault loads up, seeing that Oleksiejczuk could be losing steam, and he pressures him relentlessly. Barriault goes to the body and lands an elbow up top that cuts Oleksiejczuk’s forehead. Oleksiejczuk swings wildly with body shots and the occasional one to the head, and Barriault is on top of him forcing him to react. Oleksiejczuk lands a left that may have hit the cup, and he has a spinning back fist glance off the side of the head. Barriault marches forward, not reacting to anything that lands on him while forcing Oleksiejczuk to backpedal. The horn sounds to end a close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barriault
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Barriault
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barriault

Round 3
The middleweights touch ‘em up before commencing the final frame, and it starts like the first round and not the second. Oleksiejczuk plants his feet and pins a one-two on the chin, shoulder-rolling to take some of the sting out of what comes back his way. He swipes out a one-two, and he digs one to the body. Both men are feeling it after their brawl, and Barriault comes out the cleaner as he backs Oleksiejczuk off with a short but effective barrage of punches. Barriault maneuvers himself to the pocket to trade, but this is where Oleksiejczuk wants to be, and he hurls back punches in bunches. Suddenly, the Polish athlete changes things up for a takedown attempt, and Barriault shuts it down as they reset in slugging range.
Both men proceed to trade leather, with Oleksiejczuk ripping body shots while Barriault headhunts. Oleksiejczuk strings three punches together, shooting in for a double behind it and bullying the Canadian to the wall. Barriault shucks it off and swings for the fence, but no one is there to be hit. Oleksiejczuk has backed away to re-engage, and they jab at one another until Oleksiejczuk pitches a high kick that bangs into the raised guard. The clinch tie-up results in a few body shots from Barriault, and a knee on the button freezes Oleksiejczuk. Oleksiejczuk takes a breath and flashes out his power punches, connecting effectively with his left to the liver. Barriault boxes back, and Oleksiejczuk kicks at his lead leg. Barriault lumbers out with a left hand, and they swat at one another with jabs out of range. Oleksiejczuk dips and clubs Barriault upside the head, and not to be outdone, Barriault kicks him in the face. Oleksiejczuk offers a high kick that hits the guard, and they proceed to throw punches, kicks and the kitchen sink at one another until we have—perhaps surprisingly—reached the final bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Oleksiejczuk)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Oleksiejczuk)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Oleksiejczuk)

The Official Result
Michal Oleksiejczuk def. Marc-Andre Barriault via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing his fast hands and power, with 8 knockouts in 9 UFC wins. He notes that Barriault's chin seems to be fading and that Oleksiejczuk hits incredibly hard. He acknowledges Barriault's wrestling could be a problem but thinks Oleksiejczuk's speed and power will prevail. He suggests under 2.5 rounds might be solid.

Under 2.5 rounds might be solid
"I'm going to pick McCall here because I think the chin's kind of fading a little bit on Mark Andre. McCall hits hard as hell."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing that Marc-André Barriault's chin has been cracked recently, with three knockout losses in his last four fights. He believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and power will be too much for Barriault, who has taken a lot of damage. He predicts a first-round finish.

by first round finish
"Mikuel Jose by first round finish."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody agrees, highlighting Oleksiejczuk's 8 first-round KOs in 9 UFC wins. He notes Barriault's history of being knocked out in the first round and his inability to change his game. Cody expects Oleksiejczuk to win by KO or decision, but is confident in the victory.

"He's either going to knock out Mark Andre Barry in the first round or he's going to win a split decision. But I think he wins in either case."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Oleksiejczuk is a good athlete who is not shot, while Barriault is past his prime and gets hurt easily. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will put it all on Barriault and likely hurt him early. He mentions that Barriault's only chance is if Oleksiejczuk's cardio fades.

Same odds discussion.
"I'll take a look at Sajak too."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Lucrative James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by KO in round one. He believes Barriault's chin is compromised and that Oleksiejczuk's power and early-round danger will be too much. James notes that Barriault's style of walking forward plays into Oleksiejczuk's hands, and he expects a quick finish.

KO in round 1
"My official prediction on this fight is Michelle Alex to KO Mar Andre Bariel in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, but notes the line is too wide at -350. He believes Oleksiejczuk's power will eventually find Barriault's chin, but warns that Barriault could make it tough if his chin holds up, using clinch work and cardio to wear Oleksiejczuk down. He suggests a live bet on Barriault in later rounds.

plus 285 on Barriault is worth a sprinkle; live betting Barriault in rounds 2-3
"So the prediction is going to be Ole Shuk by knock. I think he eventually lands that big shot and puts Bario away. But in terms of odds, minus 350 is just far too wide to be confident enough on …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, expecting a first-round knockout. He notes Barriault's recent durability issues and Oleksiejczuk's power, especially since joining Fighting Nerds. Paul believes Oleksiejczuk's improved patience and game planning will lead to an early finish.

"Mikey O knockout round one for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Michał Oleksiejczuk over Marc-André Barriault. He notes Oleksiejczuk has real power at middleweight and a resurgence since joining Fighting Nerds. He thinks Barriault has been on the receiving end of too many TKO losses. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first round TKO
"I think Michał Oleksiejczuk's dusting him up in round one by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Zane picks Oleksiejczuk because he is not physically washed and has a good multi-level striking attack. He notes that Barriault gets hurt too easily and is vulnerable, as seen in his fight against Shara Bullet. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will hurt Barriault quickly, though if it doesn't work out, it could become a hairy fight.

Oleksiejczuk opened at -225, currently -550; Barriault at +400.
"I think I have to take Michael Oksajuk."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 93 of 142 65% 103 of 153 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:57
Marc-André Barriault 0 39 of 77 50% 60 of 100 2 of 6 33% 0 0 4:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 36 61% 23 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Marc-André Barriault 0 5 of 17 29% 12 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:27
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 37 of 61 60% 37 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Marc-André Barriault 0 29 of 44 65% 39 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:47
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 34 of 45 75% 43 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Marc-André Barriault 0 5 of 16 31% 9 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 93 of 142 65% 42 of 82 27 of 33 24 of 27 58 of 93 30 of 39 5 of 10
Marc-André Barriault 39 of 77 50% 24 of 54 13 of 19 2 of 4 21 of 56 18 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 36 61% 5 of 15 4 of 7 13 of 14 19 of 30 3 of 6 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 5 of 17 29% 4 of 12 1 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 37 of 61 60% 19 of 40 14 of 15 4 of 6 20 of 40 17 of 21 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 29 of 44 65% 16 of 28 12 of 13 1 of 3 13 of 26 16 of 18 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 34 of 45 75% 18 of 27 9 of 11 7 of 7 19 of 23 10 of 12 5 of 10
Marc-André Barriault 5 of 16 31% 4 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sharabutdin Magomedov vs. Marc-Andre Barriault
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Magomedov (-600); Barriault (+425)

Round 1
The “featured fight of the night” promises to be a knockout-or-bust affair, with two middleweights that prefer to bash other people in the head repeatedly. Magomedov (15-1, 4-1 UFC) ran into a puzzle he could not solve in February when Michael Page outguiled him, while Barriault (17-9, 1 NC; 6-8, 1 NC UFC) is a few wins away from reaching the crucial .500 mark as a UFC fighter. Referee Jim Perdios knows that there will be fistic fireworks, and he steps back as the two sluggers opt against clapping hands.
Barriault gets right on the accelerator, chasing after the Russian while looking to set up his right hand. Magomedov stays on the outside chipping at him with low kicks. Barriault pulls back right before letting loose, keeping his guard up to block a one-two flying at him. Magomedov connects with a solid low kick, and he sways to avoid the worst of a left hand. Magomedov hacks at the lead leg with more kicks, with Barriault unable to pin him in place so he shoots for a double. Barriault succeeds in dragging “Shara Bullet” down, but Magomedov grabs the fence to pull himself up and is lightly chided for the infraction. When upright, Magomedov looses an unorthodox high kick, and he tries to time a jump knee when Barriault pressures him.
Barriault avoids the knee and ties Magomedov up, and he is soon turned around and starts eating knees and elbows. Barriault gets one knee back, but Magomedov’s is much heavier and forces a break. On his way out, Magomedov chips at the front leg a few more times. He sits down on one as Barriault is about to charge at him, messing up the Canadian’s momentum. Barriault pushes aside a front kick and keeps his guard high to block additional strikes so he can clinch up the Russian. Barriault leans heavily on his opponent, and he gets complacent and absorbs two elbows on the cheek before releasing his grip. Magomedov, with space, goes back to destroying Barriault’s front leg. Barriault hits air when going after Magomedov, and he barely blocks a capoeira kick but takes the brunt of a question mark kick before the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 2
Barriault again races towards his opponent to start off the round, pitching a front kick at Magomedov that Magomedov catches. Magomedov returns fire with a jump kick and then lands to plant a kick on Barriault’s front leg. They kick at the same time, and Barriault’s foot grazes the cup. Perdios checks on the Russian, who is good to go. Magomedov is quick to continue his methodical assault of low kicks while evading any arm swing aimed his direction. Barriault whiffs on a left hand and takes a right hand up top. He tries to tie Magomedov up, and Magomedov bops him with a short left hand and slashes open a cut on the top of Barriault’s head with an elbow. Magomedov nails Barriault with a hook kick, and he tries to follow it with a question mark kick. Barriault may be bloodied and unsuccessful thus far, but he steels himself and unloads a vicious right hand that shatters Magomedov’s nose. Barriault clubs his opponent with a few uppercuts and keeps working the body until Magomedov has to escape. Barriault bears down on “Shara Bullet,” who is leaking and badly wounded.
Barriault continues attacking his bloodied opponent, beating on him with clinch strikes when they tie up again. Barriault shoots for a double, clasping his hands and lifting Magomedov up in the air to dump him on his seat. Magomedov explodes to his feet, and Barriault stays tightly pressed to him. Magomedov lashes out with short elbows on the inside, and Barriault replies with several body shots. Magomedov frames off with knees, turning Barriault around in the clinch as the two let one another have it. Magomedov hurts Barriault with a particularly damaging knee, and he drills the Canadian with punches and body shots. Barriault is barely on his feet as he uses the fence to keep himself upright, and he survives to reach the bell. It will be interesting to see how that bloody round is scored officially.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barriault
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Barriault
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barriault

Round 3
Like before, Barriault is the aggressor immediately. He cannot catch up with Magomedov, who times a jump knee when Barriault tries to shoot. Barriault redoubles his effort on his takedown, and he releases it to lean on his opponent. Magomedov lands a knee before pushing off, and he drills Barriault with a hook kick after the break. Magomedov waves his arms around in circles while trying to potshot Barriault, and he ignores a low kick to shovel out an uppercut. Barriault reaches him with a right hand, but Magomedov hits him with three or four in the same stretch of time.
Magomedov peppers Barrriault’s front leg with another kick, faking a jump knee to draw out a reaction. Barriault sees it is coming and loose a left hand up top, and Magomedov settles down to jam Barriault in the jaw with a few elbows before they split again. Magomedov starts getting into his groove with flashy, high-risk high-reward kicks, and Barriault takes that away from him by clinching. Magomedov connects with short elbows to force a split, and he marches Barriault down and kicks him in the front leg and side. Magomedov then leaps at his opponent with a knee, and his head kick further stings the Canadian. Magomedov sets up a spin but does not go for it, telegraphing that a spin kick is in the tank only to shoot in for a takedown he bails on immediately. Magomedov drives a knee to the jaw, and he trips up Barriault and tosses him to the floor. Magomedov rains down punches en masse, punishing Barriault with a mean-spirited flurry as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (29-28 Magomedov)
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (29-28 Magomedov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (29-28 Magomedov)

The Official Result
Sharabutdin Magomedov def. Marc-Andre Barriault via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, noting he is the much better striker with power and a granite chin. He expects Shara to test Barriault's chin and light him up, as Barriault relies on empty forward pressure and volume but lacks power. He dismisses Shara's loss to MVP as a stylistic mismatch.

"Shara Bullet is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, calling it a clear setup spot. He notes Barriault is likely washed and has a compromised chin, having been knocked out by lesser fighters. He expects Barriault to stand and trade, which plays into Magomedov's hands. He predicts a third-round knockout.

third round knockout
"I got Shara here. I think Shara knocks him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Connor believes Barriault's recent durability issues and tendency to stand and trade will play into Shara's hands. He notes Shara's incredible speed and creativity, and while Barriault could win by clinch pressure, he expects him to kickbox and get outclassed.

Odds are too wide; Connor says 'That's a little wide, frankly.'
"I got to take Shara, like Barrio is going to go out there and try to kick box with him and just be a step slower."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Although the host usually fades Magomedov at high chalky lines, Barriault cannot eat the shots Magomedov will throw. Magomedov will land big shots and find a finish within a round and a half.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"Look for Magov to land those big shots and find that finish within a round and a half."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, calling it a 'layup' and criticizing the matchmaking. He notes Magomedov's high-volume striking on the back foot and believes Barriault's pressure will play into his hands. He predicts a second or third-round TKO after breaking Barriault down.

TKO, round 2 or 3
"I'm going to go with Sharon Magamemedov getting this one done. second or third round TKO after breaking down Mar Andre Barry all in the first and second."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane agrees, noting that Barriault's best chance is to wrestle and clinch, but he expects Barriault to stand and trade. He points out that Shara's speed and power will be too much, and Barriault's chin is questionable after recent knockouts.

"Yeah."
WIN vs Bruno Silva
KO R1 1:27 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc-André Barriault 1 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Bruno Silva 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc-André Barriault 1 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Bruno Silva 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc-André Barriault 14 of 24 58% 11 of 19 3 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 10 7 of 10 3 of 4
Bruno Silva 6 of 12 50% 4 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 5 of 5 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc-André Barriault 14 of 24 58% 11 of 19 3 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 10 7 of 10 3 of 4
Bruno Silva 6 of 12 50% 4 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 5 of 5 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva (187: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barriault (-148), Silva (+124)

Round 1
Two skidding knockout artists will try to smash the other, with a pink slip very likely awarded to the losing party. What was a middleweight contest transformed into a catchweight affair as Silva (23-12, 4-6 UFC) missed weight by a pound after asking matchmaker Mick Maynard to give him one more chance. Barriault (16-9, 1 NC; 5-8, 1 NC UFC) also has his back against the wall, but he will have the crowd on his side at least. The two hard-swinging gentlemen do not touch gloves, as referee Luc Lefebvre watches on. Barriault sticks out his jab almost immediately, and he walks face-first into a right hand and fires back to make Silva clutch his eye. The Brazilian recovers and resets, lashing out with two punches that miss the mark and darting back to avoid the counter. Silva reaches out with a right hand and digs a knee to the body, switching stances to set up a kick that does not come. Barriault boots him in the body, and Silva catches the kick and knocks him over with swarming punches. Barriault climbs back up to his feet and jams Silva against the fence, where he unloads with titanic elbows.
His power bar maximum, “Power Bar” smashes Silva in the temple with elbow after ruthless elbow. Silva’s legs wobble and quickly give way, and he collapses face-first on the mat, totally done while Barriault finishes the job with four concussive punches
. The crowd explodes in favor of the Canadian, with “Ole ole ole” chants drowning out any other thought. Silva is still down, as medical officials tend to him. He slowly regains consciousness, but is completely disoriented and clutches his head while Barriault walks to the center of the cage and puts his hands in the prayer gesture. Silva rolls to his back, in serious agony, and Barriault’s celebration is tempered but emotional as he embraces his team. This marks the first time that Silva had ever been knocked out as a pro, and it is a rough one as the medical team tends to him and stretchers him out of the cage.

The Official Result
Marc-Andre Barriault def. Bruno Silva R1 1:27 via KO (Elbows and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Angelo picks Marc-André Barriault confidently, noting Bruno Silva is on a four-fight losing skid and looks like a shell of himself. He believes Barriault will win with sheer volume and that Silva will fade. He advises jumping on the -179 odds before they shorten further, predicting Barriault may become a 3-1 favorite by fight night.

"This has to be a Mark Andre pick. He's on his own losing skid, but it's very different vibes. His losses are more about skill and matchup. Mark Andre is just losing to better people."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Big Brady calls this the '1800 gambler fight of the week', comparing it to choosing between a turd sandwich and a giant douche. He notes Barriault has no chin and was brutally knocked out recently, but at least he wants to be there. Bruno Silva has lost 7 of 8 and admitted he doesn't want to fight. Brady leans Barriault because Silva's lack of desire is worse than a weak chin. He predicts a second-round knockout for Barriault.

Barriault wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm going to lean with the guy that can't take a shot in Mark Andrebario. ... I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 9, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Connor also picks Barriault, but with similar hesitation. He notes that Barriault's durability is a major concern after recent KO losses, while Bruno Silva has never been knocked out and still has power. However, Silva looks mentally broken and may not engage. Connor thinks Barriault's pace could overwhelm Silva, but he is not confident given Barriault's chin.

"I think I generally agree with that. But the more I look at the more I'm like... one of these dudes getting knocked out all the time right now and it's actually not Bruno Silva."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The host expresses low confidence due to both fighters being flaky—Barriault's durability issues and Silva's anxiety. He leans on Silva landing a big shot within a round and a half to get a knockout victory.

Wins by KO within 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to lean on Silva landing that big shot on Bario within a round and a half and eventually getting that knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

The MMA Guru picks Barriault, believing Bruno Silva has declined significantly since the Pereira fight. He thinks Barriault's pressure, volume, and grappling will overwhelm Silva, who lacks pop and aggression. He predicts a decision win, noting Barriault's consistency and Silva's recent poor performances.

decision
"I actually feel like Mark Andre Barry is going to get this one done. I think he's going to win it by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 9, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Zane picks Barriault, but hesitantly. He notes that Barriault has improved his striking and pace, but his durability is now questionable after being knocked out by Dustin Stoltzfus. Meanwhile, Bruno Silva looks mentally defeated and no longer wants to fight. Zane thinks Barriault's aggression and pace will be too much for the current version of Silva, but he is not confident due to Barriault's chin issues.

"I'm taking Barrio, but I wish I could be as confident as that other person was."
KO (punches) R1 4:28 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Stoltzfus 0 7 of 11 63% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Marc-André Barriault 1 13 of 20 65% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 7 of 11 63% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Marc-André Barriault 1 13 of 20 65% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Stoltzfus 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 7 of 9 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 13 of 20 65% 11 of 17 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 7 of 10 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 7 of 9 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 13 of 20 65% 11 of 17 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 7 of 10 4 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Angelo picks Marc-André Barriault, expecting him to weather an early storm from Dustin Stoltzfus and take over with volume. He notes Barriault has impressive striking volume (almost 6 sig strikes per minute) but is also hit a lot. He thinks Stoltzfus is dangerous early with power but has a questionable chin. He suggests betting the over if a 1.5 round line is available, as the fight could go long.

over 1.5 rounds if available
"Mark Andre is going to be the pick I think he can weather an early storm Dustin is dangerous and Mark was just knocked out but I think Joe pyer hits at like a completely different velocity than most other …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Big Brady picks Marc-André Barriault to win by decision. He likes Barriault's cardio, volume, and takedown defense. He thinks Stoltzfus's striking is not good and that Barriault will piece him up over 15 minutes. Brady expects Barriault to stuff takedowns and outwork Stoltzfus on the feet.

"give me bario bario to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Cody picks Marc-André Barriault, citing his pressure, power, and volume advantage over Stoltzfus. He notes that Stoltzfus relies on wrestling but has poor takedown success against strong grapplers, and Barriault's takedown defense is solid. He also mentions Stoltzfus's recent KO loss and potential psychological issues, and believes Barriault can finish him late or win a decision.

"I feel like bario should be one of them."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Daniel Vreeland picks Marc-André Barriault, citing his durability and tendency to get better as the fight progresses. He questions Dustin Stoltzfus's confidence and ability to handle adversity, noting that Barriault will expose any weaknesses in cardio or chin. Vreeland acknowledges Stoltzfus's skills but believes Barriault's toughness and pressure will prevail, though the price (-205) makes it a pass for betting.

"I'mma pick Mark Andre bario"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Lucrative James picks Marc-André Barriault, expecting him to dominate with pace and pressure in the clinch. He believes Stoltzfus will be competitive in round one but fade, and that Barriault will get a third-round finish or decision. He highlights Barriault's body shots and uppercuts in the clinch.

round three or decision
"I'm taking mab to survive T some type of storm to have a competitive round one but start to dominate round two and round three"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Barriault is coming back too quickly after a knockout, but if his durability holds up, he should put pace and pressure on Stoltzfus and finish him in the second or third round via TKO.

finish in second or third round via TKO
"I do believe if his durability hold up holds up here he should do a good enough job in terms of putting pace and pressure on Stoltzfus and finishing him in the second or third round via TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Stoltzfus's recent facial fracture and nerve damage may affect his performance. He notes that Barriault's constant pressure and power should overwhelm Stoltzfus, and he sees a potential late stoppage. He also suggests live betting Barriault if he loses the first round.

"I think bario but I'm going to avoid like the split decision kind of angle... I do actually think it's possible that barrier gets him out of there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

The Guru picks Marc-André Barriault over Dustin Stoltzfus, believing Barriault's pace and activity will be decisive. He notes Stoltzfus lacks finishing ability and cardio, while Barriault keeps a high output. He expects a decision win for Barriault.

decision
"I'm G to go against Dustin stsus shock twist I know and go of Mark Andre barel I just see this making it into the decision area"
LOSS vs Joe Pyfer
KO (punches) R1 1:25 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joe Pyfer 1 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Marc-André Barriault 0 0 of 5 0% 0 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joe Pyfer 1 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Marc-André Barriault 0 0 of 5 0% 0 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joe Pyfer 8 of 10 80% 4 of 5 1 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1
Marc-André Barriault 0 of 5 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joe Pyfer 8 of 10 80% 4 of 5 1 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1
Marc-André Barriault 0 of 5 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Cody picks Pyfer but is hesitant due to his cardio issues. He notes that Pyfer has heavy hands and usually finishes fights early, but if Barriault survives the first round, Pyfer may fade. Cody believes Pyfer will learn from his loss to Jack Hermansson and pace himself better, but acknowledges that Barriault's pressure and cardio could cause problems. He expects Pyfer to win a decision or get an early knockout.

"I am going to pick Pyfer... he is the play, I just think the number's way off."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Daniel thinks Pyfer has more power and is more physically imposing than Barriault. He notes that Barriault struggles against higher competition and lacks athleticism. He believes Pyfer learned from his loss to Hermansson and will come back better. He expects a three-round scrap where Pyfer's firepower makes the difference, whether by decision or knockout.

"I think the Firepower of Joe Pyfer is gonna make the difference here... I'm going Joe Pyfer to win this fight and get back on track."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

The host picks Pyfer by knockout but is hesitant, noting that Barriault's cardio and volume could cause problems if Pyfer doesn't finish early. He says the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Barriault. He suggests the knockout prop at +200 is a better way to play Pyfer, and also mentions Barriault's decision prop and round 3 prop as potential plays.

Pyfer by knockout at +200; Barriault by decision; Barriault round 3 at +1500
"I ultimately lean with The Knockout power of pyer as I do think he'll end up catching bario clean here I'm putting him out but the longer that this fight goes the more it plays in Bario's favor."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Paul leans toward Barriault as a live underdog, noting that Pyfer has cardio issues and that Barriault has a high-volume pressure style. He points out that Barriault has gone the distance with tough opponents and that Pyfer tends to slow down after the first round. Paul suggests betting Barriault live after the first round if he survives, as his odds will improve significantly.

"I don't mind Barriault... if you're looking for a dog, you could do a lot worse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

The Guru picks Joe Pyfer over Marc-André Barriault. He notes that Barriault has no power and is a grindy fighter who gets into brawls. He believes Pyfer's technical striking and takedown entries will be key. He predicts Pyfer will finish Barriault by TKO in the first round, as Barriault is hittable and has been KO'd before.

TKO first round
"I'm going to go Joe pyer... TKO first round"
LOSS vs Chris Curtis
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Curtis 0 140 of 258 54% 144 of 262 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 122 of 243 50% 124 of 245 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Curtis 0 23 of 48 47% 23 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 18 of 46 39% 18 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Curtis 0 51 of 99 51% 51 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 45 of 85 52% 45 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Curtis 0 66 of 111 59% 70 of 115 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 59 of 112 52% 61 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Curtis 140 of 258 54% 101 of 210 35 of 44 4 of 4 116 of 230 24 of 28 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 122 of 243 50% 77 of 189 33 of 42 12 of 12 105 of 218 17 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Curtis 23 of 48 47% 15 of 36 5 of 9 3 of 3 23 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 18 of 46 39% 8 of 35 4 of 5 6 of 6 18 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chris Curtis 51 of 99 51% 40 of 85 10 of 13 1 of 1 47 of 95 4 of 4 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 45 of 85 52% 28 of 64 14 of 18 3 of 3 45 of 84 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Chris Curtis 66 of 111 59% 46 of 89 20 of 22 0 of 0 46 of 87 20 of 24 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 59 of 112 52% 41 of 90 15 of 19 3 of 3 42 of 88 17 of 24 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Angelo leans Barriault, citing his forward pressure, toughness, and Canadian home advantage. He worries that Curtis's counter-striking style may not impress judges if he's backing up. He notes Barriault must avoid Curtis's big hook. He has placed a quarter unit on Barriault at plus 150 and may add more if the line moves.

Quarter unit bet at +150; may add more if line moves to +200
"I am G to pick Mark Andre here I'm going to lean Mark Andre here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Big Brady picks Barriault as a dog, saying the odds make no sense. He notes Curtis is a slow starter who gets outlanded in most fights, while Barriault has high volume and is fighting in Canada. He expects a close fight that goes to decision, with Canadian judges potentially favoring Barriault. He doubts either fighter gets a knockout.

split decision
"give me the dog here Mark andario I do not get this line whatsoever"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Curtis

Cody picks Curtis due to his higher level of competition and power advantage. He notes Curtis is a slow starter but has nasty power and volume. He expects a third-round TKO or decision win for Curtis.

Curtis by TKO in round 3
"I think it's going to be a third round stoppage for by TKO for Action Man or a decision win."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Vreeland picks Barriault as a home dog, noting his grappling and durability. He sees the fight as even but likes the plus money on Barriault. Vreeland acknowledges Barriault's cardio and durability as strengths, but doesn't elaborate on a specific path to victory beyond the value.

plus 165 dog money on home soil
"I'll go with bario I think it's worth a stab at at the dog money on his on his home soil um good Grappler doesn't doesn't rely on grappling very much better Striker but less power than than Curtis so …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Daniel Vreeland picks Marc-André Barriault as a live dog. He notes that Curtis often needs a knockout to win, otherwise he loses decisions. Barriault is durable, has nasty uppercuts and elbows in the clinch, and can crack. Vreeland expects Barriault to win by decision if he survives Curtis's early power.

by decision
"I'm actually gonna pick him to win this fight probably by decision"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chris Curtis

Fox picks Curtis, believing he is the right style to beat Barriault. He notes that Barriault's best weapons are cardio and durability, but Curtis doesn't overextend and stays within himself. Fox points to Curtis's defensive grappling against opponents like Brendan Allen and Nassourdine Imavov as evidence he can handle Barriault's grappling. He thinks Barriault gets hit a lot and isn't overly sharp on the feet, so Curtis should win if he doesn't get drawn into prolonged exchanges.

"I think Chris Curtis is the right kind of guy to beat Mark Andre bario uh if if you ask me what Bario's best weapon is I think it's pretty obvious it's disc cardio um it's cardio and his durability …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Curtis vs Barriault.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

I'm going with Barriault as an underdog. He is active, high pressure, high pace, and has great cardio. He can stick at distance, utilize kicks, and mix in the clinch. Curtis is reliant on a knockout to win, but Barriault's style should be tough for Curtis to overcome. I think Barriault puts together a better overall body of work and wins by decision.

decision victory
"as an underdog got to go with the guy bario here to go out there and put together their better overall body of workc to get his hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Curtis

Paul picks Curtis by KO, citing his power advantage and Barriault's chinny history. He thinks Curtis will land a big shot after a slow start, possibly in round 2 or 3. He notes Barriault's cardio but believes Curtis's power is the difference.

Curtis by KO at +225
"I think Curtis by KO is how I see this fight playing out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Chris Curtis

The MMA Guru picks Chris Curtis, citing his body work and pressure. He notes Barriault's tendency to get overwhelmed by volume and gassing, and believes Curtis's body shots will be key. He mentions Curtis's power advantage and the motivation from training with Sean Strickland. He predicts a TKO via body shots in round two or three.

TKO via body shots, round 2 or 3
"I'm going with Chris Curtis here over Mark Andre barot"