Career Averages - Khama Worthy
Career Averages - Devonte Smith
Khama Worthy - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Herbert | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Khama Worthy | 1 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jai Herbert | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Khama Worthy | 1 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Herbert | 11 of 21 | 52% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Khama Worthy | 24 of 46 | 52% | 21 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 19 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jai Herbert | 11 of 21 | 52% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Khama Worthy | 24 of 46 | 52% | 21 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 19 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Hold on to your hats, because a lightweight banger is on deck when “The Deathstar” Worthy (16-8, 2-2 UFC) seeks to become the ultimate power in the universe at the expense of “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (10-3, 0-2 UFC). Fists and feet are sure to fly, and referee Chris Tognoni may need to keep his head on a swivel from the exchanges that follow the glove touch. Worthy is jittery as he starts off the round, with his hands shaking back and forth as he tries to counter Herbert. With both preparing to counter the other, very little happens the first 30 seconds of the match. Worthy steps in with a punch to the body, and he blocks an overhand right that comes at him. The Brit fires off a body kick, and he steps out of the way from a prodding jab. Herbert slings a high kick that is blocked in time, and he chambers a body kick that collides loudly to the midsection. Worthy walks through a punch to try to land a heavy front kick, but he settles for a slapping leg kick instead. Worthy sneaks a right hand around the guard, and thumps a low calf kick to follow. As Herbert tries to pay him back, a low kick of his own gets checked. “The Deathstar” blasts Herbert with a heavy leg kick that makes Herbert do a little spin, but he gathers himself to start slinging leather. Herbert catches Worthy as he starts to unload with a brutal punching combination and a head kick in the middle. A right hand wobbles Worthy, and the continuous strikes of Herbert appear to have found the thermal exhaust port of his opponent, detonating one by one as Worthy’s legs betray him. The onslaught continues, and a left hook puts Worthy face-down down on the mat. As Worthy rolls to his side, barely grasping on to his consciousness, “The Black Country Banger” continues to bang with ferocious punches from on high. As Tognoni notices that Worthy may be out, he intervenes to stop the fight and award Herbert with his first UFC win in three tries.
The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Khama Worthy R1 2:47 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo calls this a razor-thin pick. He notes that Khama has power and a good counter-striking game, while Jai is technical but gets hit a lot (1.3 strikes landed vs 2.66 absorbed). He thinks the odds are wide due to recency bias from Khama's knockout losses. He's not confident and won't bet the round line, but he likes Khama by a hair.
Big Brady picks Herbert as the younger, more talented fighter with height and reach advantages. He notes both fighters have poor striking defense and chins, but believes Worthy's chin is shot after seven knockout losses. He predicts a first-round knockout by Herbert, though acknowledges Worthy's power makes him live.
Cody picks Jai Herbert by knockout, citing Herbert's reach advantage and Worthy's notorious inability to take a punch. He notes that Worthy has been knocked out in seven of his eight losses, often in the first minute. Cody believes Herbert will find his range and land a straight right to knock Worthy out. He expects the fight to end inside one and a half rounds.
Lock picks Herbert based on technical striking. He notes Herbert is the better boxer and should be able to outpoint Worthy. He expects Herbert to finish later in the fight as Worthy fades. He likes Herbert inside the distance.
Paul leans towards Jai Herbert, noting his reach advantage and better cardio. He expects a high-variance fight where someone gets knocked out, and he believes it will be Worthy. However, Paul acknowledges that Herbert's chin is questionable and that he could get knocked out as well. He sees this as a firefight.
The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert, citing Khama Worthy's recent KO losses and questionable chin. He notes Herbert's reach advantage, first-round KO power, and better competition faced. He believes Herbert's cardio and striking will be too much for Worthy, predicting a first-round KO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mullarkey | 1 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Khama Worthy | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Mullarkey | 1 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Khama Worthy | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mullarkey | 6 of 13 | 46% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Khama Worthy | 5 of 10 | 50% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Mullarkey | 6 of 13 | 46% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Khama Worthy | 5 of 10 | 50% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Khama Worthy to win by third-round knockout. He notes that Mullarkey is very hittable (4.60 significant strikes absorbed per minute) and has poor striking defense. He believes Worthy's power will be too much, especially as Mullarkey slows down from his wrestling-heavy approach. He also mentions that Mullarkey's takedowns may not be effective as Worthy is dangerous off his back and can reverse position.
Cody leans towards Worthy, noting his tremendous power and that he is a live dog in any spot. He worries about Worthy's durability, as he has been knocked out six times, but thinks Mullarkey doesn't have the knockout power to exploit that. He believes Mullarkey will need to wrestle, but Worthy's grappling is okay and his takedown defense is decent. He calls it a 50/50 fight.
Daniel Levi picks Khama Worthy to win, likely by decision, but expresses hesitation due to Worthy's questionable chin. He notes that Mullarkey has knockout power and a lot of heart, and could catch Worthy. However, Levi believes Worthy is the more physical and well-rounded fighter, and if he stays conscious, he should win. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
The host leans toward Jamie Mullarkey as a plus-money underdog. He notes Mullarkey's well-rounded game, durability, and ability to mix strikes with takedowns, as seen in the Riddell fight. He believes Mullarkey can close the distance, grind Worthy against the cage, and win a decision. He acknowledges Worthy's power and counter-striking but thinks his takedown defense and cardio are weaknesses that Mullarkey can exploit.
Paul also leans towards Worthy, calling it a dogger pass. He notes that Mullarkey got hit a lot in his previous fights and that Worthy has power to capitalize. He thinks the fight is close and that the line has moved, making Worthy a slight lean. He is not confident and may flip-flop.
The Guru picks Khama Worthy by split decision or 29-28, citing Worthy's cleaner technique and better cardio. He notes Worthy has fought tougher competition and has third-round finishes, while Mullarkey fades in later rounds. He expects a close, scrappy fight with Mullarkey possibly winning the first round on the ground, but Worthy pulling ahead in the second and third. He criticizes Mullarkey's sloppiness and cardio issues seen in previous fights.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ottman Azaitar | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 16 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Khama Worthy | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ottman Azaitar | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 16 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Khama Worthy | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ottman Azaitar | 16 of 22 | 72% | 12 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 7 |
| Khama Worthy | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ottman Azaitar | 16 of 22 | 72% | 12 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 7 |
| Khama Worthy | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Khama Worthy, noting that Worthy has rejuvenated his career since moving up to 155 lbs and has a touch of death. He acknowledges that Azaitar hits extremely hard and has been rocked in fights, but Worthy's length and reach advantage could be key. He is not betting this fight but is looking at the under.
The host is not a Worthy believer and thinks Azaitar's power and activity in the first round can draw out Worthy's counters and land his own. He likes Azaitar by first-round KO and mentions the prop at +350. However, he is skeptical about betting Azaitar at plus money and would prefer a better price.
The MMA Guru picks Khama Worthy, noting that Ottman Azaitar has been fed hand-picked opponents and has a criminal past but hasn't faced someone with Worthy's experience. He believes Worthy's patience and experience against tough competition will allow him to survive Azaitar's early onslaught, then slow the fight down and eventually get a third-round submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khama Worthy | 0 | 38 of 77 | 49% | 40 of 79 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 | 0 | 4:13 |
| Luis Peña | 0 | 55 of 101 | 54% | 66 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 2 | 0:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khama Worthy | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luis Peña | 0 | 32 of 60 | 53% | 32 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Khama Worthy | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 11 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 3:52 |
| Luis Peña | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 16 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Khama Worthy | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 13 of 31 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Luis Peña | 0 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khama Worthy | 38 of 77 | 49% | 25 of 61 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 33 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
| Luis Peña | 55 of 101 | 54% | 20 of 61 | 18 of 22 | 17 of 18 | 51 of 96 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khama Worthy | 16 of 31 | 51% | 8 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Peña | 32 of 60 | 53% | 7 of 31 | 12 of 16 | 13 of 13 | 32 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khama Worthy | 9 of 15 | 60% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
| Luis Peña | 5 of 7 | 71% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Khama Worthy | 13 of 31 | 41% | 9 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 13 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Peña | 18 of 34 | 52% | 10 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Luis Peña confidently, stating he is the better fighter in every category except power. He notes Peña's durability, striking, and submission game, and thinks Peña can take Worthy down and submit him. He believes the line should be wider and sees value at -270. He predicts a first-round submission.
Daniel Levi leans with Luis Peña, citing Peña's length, volume striking, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Peña has more answers stylistically, though he still has questions about Worthy's grappling and chin. Levi thinks Peña's training at ATT and wider array of techniques will lead to a close decision win. He acknowledges Worthy's power and experience but believes Peña's volume and durability will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Luis Peña, believing he will enforce his game plan and not stand and trade with Khama Worthy. He notes Peña's wins over Steve Garcia Jr., Matt Wiman, and Steven Peterson, and predicts Peña will take the back and dominate for a 30-27 unanimous decision. He acknowledges Worthy as a live dog but is not willing to bet on him, though he hints at a small parlay hedge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khama Worthy | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 1 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khama Worthy | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 1 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khama Worthy | 15 of 27 | 55% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 11 | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 21 of 51 | 41% | 9 of 30 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 16 | 18 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khama Worthy | 15 of 27 | 55% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 11 | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 21 of 51 | 41% | 9 of 30 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 16 | 18 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Devonte Smith - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 53 of 98 | 54% | 80 of 125 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Devonte Smith | 0 | 60 of 95 | 63% | 80 of 117 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 6:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 22 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:46 | |
| 2 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 32 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Devonte Smith | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 24 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:46 | |
| 3 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 26 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 0 | 29 of 43 | 67% | 34 of 49 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ľudovít Klein | 53 of 98 | 54% | 19 of 58 | 25 of 30 | 9 of 10 | 31 of 73 | 22 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 60 of 95 | 63% | 25 of 56 | 25 of 28 | 10 of 11 | 42 of 72 | 18 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ľudovít Klein | 17 of 29 | 58% | 3 of 11 | 8 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 11 of 22 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 19 of 26 | 73% | 7 of 14 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 15 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ľudovít Klein | 16 of 28 | 57% | 6 of 18 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 12 of 26 | 46% | 5 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 17 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ľudovít Klein | 20 of 41 | 48% | 10 of 29 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 32 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 29 of 43 | 67% | 13 of 26 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Devonte Smith, citing his power and timing. He notes Klein is the more technical striker but has weight concerns on short notice. He thinks if Klein falls behind and wrestles, he'll get exhausted and knocked out. He acknowledges Klein could win if in shape.
Big Brady picks Devonte Smith to win by first-round knockout, but he is hesitant due to Smith's questionable chin. He notes that Smith has all the tools—speed, power, takedown defense—but has been knocked out in all his losses. Brady acknowledges that Klein is dangerous with head kicks and has a high finish rate, but he believes Smith is the better fighter. He expects someone to get finished, as both have high finish rates, and he leans toward Smith getting the knockout early.
Cody leans Smith but is not confident. He notes Smith's explosive first round and power, but questions his cardio. He bet the under 1.5 rounds at +135, expecting an early finish. Cody thinks Klein's cardio is also suspect and the fight likely ends in the first round.
Daniel Levi picks Ľudovít Klein as the underdog. He questions Devonte Smith's heart and mental toughness, noting that Smith has folded under pressure and lost to fighters like Kamuela Kirk. He thinks Klein has similar issues but likes the dog value. He believes the fight should be a pick'em and that Klein has a chance if he doesn't get pressured.
Klein is a slick southpaw with knockout power, especially with his head kick. Smith has speed but has been finished in all his losses. Klein's low output could be a concern, but he should find an opening as Smith slows down. The fight likely ends inside the distance, and Klein has the power to finish. The 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop is also attractive.
Paul picks Klein but at a very low confidence level. He notes both fighters have cardio issues and are one- or two-round fighters. Paul thinks Klein's wrestling could be a factor if he can take Smith down, but he is not confident in either side. He calls it a dog-or-pass fight.
The MMA Guru picks Devonte Smith over Ľudovít Klein, reasoning that Klein's cardio fades in high-paced three-round fights, as seen against Nate Landwehr. He trusts Smith's speed, technical boxing, and composure, though he acknowledges Smith has been knocked out before (by Kamar Worthy). He predicts Smith wins a decision, outworking Klein each round, and notes that Klein's only chance is a first-round KO, which he isn't betting on.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 29 of 64 | 45% | 32 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 1 | 55 of 108 | 50% | 58 of 112 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 22 of 49 | 44% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 23 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 1 | 34 of 62 | 54% | 35 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mullarkey | 29 of 64 | 45% | 24 of 57 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 59 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 55 of 108 | 50% | 22 of 65 | 22 of 32 | 11 of 11 | 34 of 75 | 15 of 22 | 6 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Mullarkey | 22 of 49 | 44% | 18 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 21 of 46 | 45% | 8 of 28 | 7 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamie Mullarkey | 7 of 15 | 46% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 34 of 62 | 54% | 14 of 37 | 15 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 31 | 14 of 20 | 6 of 11 |
Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey, expecting him to use his grappling roots to set up takedowns and control the fight. He notes that Mullarkey has improved his striking training with Volkanovski and has a solid volume game, but Devonte Smith has 100% takedown defense in the UFC. Angelo is not in love with the pick and thinks Smith could land a big shot as Mullarkey commits. He likes the over on rounds and the more more monkey knife fight pick.
Big Brady picks Devonte Smith to win by knockout, confident in Smith's massive striking advantage. He notes Smith lands 5.64 significant strikes per minute with 55% accuracy and positive strike differential, while Mullarkey absorbs 4.65 strikes per minute with poor 43% striking defense. Smith hits hard and Mullarkey is very hittable. The key question is takedown defense: Smith has 100% TD defense in UFC but only defended 3 takedowns. Brady believes Smith will stuff takedowns and knock out Mullarkey.
Cody picks Mullarkey as a dog, noting that Smith is a one-round fighter with questionable durability. Mullarkey has good cardio, pressure, and grappling. He expects Mullarkey to survive the first round and take over in the later rounds. He also mentions that Mullarkey trains with Alexander Volkanovski and has a strong team.
Daniel Levi picks Devonte Smith, acknowledging his higher ceiling, athleticism, and power, but worries about his tendency to underperform. He notes Smith showed improvements in his ground game in his last fight. Mullarkey is a tough, gritty journeyman who will push the pace and test Smith's durability. Levi thinks Smith can win if he stays composed and doesn't gas, but he is concerned about Mullarkey making it a dirty fight.
I initially leaned Smith but after rewatching, I think Mullarkey's durability and pressure will be too much. Smith has a speed and power advantage but is fragile and has questionable cardio. Mullarkey will push forward, land takedowns, and make it ugly. I like Mullarkey by decision at +380 or inside the distance at +280.
Paul leans towards Mullarkey but wants to see the weigh-ins. He notes that Smith is explosive but fades quickly. Mullarkey is durable and has good cardio. He thinks Mullarkey could be a live dog if he can weather the early storm.
The MMA Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey as an upset, citing Devonte Smith's chin problem. He notes that Smith was KO'd by a weak check hook from Kamal Worthy and has been wobbled in other fights. Mullarkey has KO power and trains with Alexander Volkanovski. He predicts Mullarkey will catch Smith with a lead hook and finish him in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Smith | 0 | 34 of 65 | 52% | 46 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:08 |
| Justin Jaynes | 0 | 11 of 27 | 40% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonte Smith | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 27 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Justin Jaynes | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Devonte Smith | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 19 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 |
| Justin Jaynes | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 10 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Smith | 34 of 65 | 52% | 25 of 54 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 45 | 5 of 8 | 8 of 12 |
| Justin Jaynes | 11 of 27 | 40% | 6 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonte Smith | 25 of 51 | 49% | 19 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 43 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Justin Jaynes | 9 of 24 | 37% | 5 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Devonte Smith | 9 of 14 | 64% | 6 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 12 |
| Justin Jaynes | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Daniel Levi picks Devonte Smith confidently, citing his calf kicks, jab, and straight right. He notes Smith's 8-inch reach advantage and expects him to weather Jaynes' early storm and finish him in the second round. He mentions Smith's bounce-back potential after a torn Achilles and personal issues.
The MMA Guru picks Alex da Silva (Justin Jaynes) with hesitation, noting the fight is very close. He was impressed by da Silva's performance against Brad Riddell, showing good striking and grappling. He worries about Devonte Smith's chin after a KO loss to Kamal Worthy and thinks the threat of takedowns will make Smith gun-shy. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for da Silva.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khama Worthy | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 1 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khama Worthy | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devonte Smith | 1 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khama Worthy | 15 of 27 | 55% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 11 | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 21 of 51 | 41% | 9 of 30 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 16 | 18 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khama Worthy | 15 of 27 | 55% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 11 | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Devonte Smith | 21 of 51 | 41% | 9 of 30 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 16 | 18 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Smith | 1 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Dong Hyun Ma | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonte Smith | 1 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Dong Hyun Ma | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Smith | 19 of 43 | 44% | 14 of 34 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Dong Hyun Ma | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonte Smith | 19 of 43 | 44% | 14 of 34 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Dong Hyun Ma | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Smith | 1 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonte Smith | 1 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Smith | 13 of 19 | 68% | 9 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Julian Erosa | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonte Smith | 13 of 19 | 68% | 9 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Julian Erosa | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
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