UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 Next Fight
Age 39
Height 5' 11"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 9"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Khama Worthy
4.18 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
57.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Devonte Smith
4.55 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.91 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
0.35 TD Avg
25.0% TD Acc.
85.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Khama Worthy - Fight History
LOSS vs Jai Herbert
TKO (punches) R1 2:47 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khama Worthy 1 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khama Worthy 1 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 11 of 21 52% 5 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 7 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khama Worthy 24 of 46 52% 21 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 11 of 21 52% 5 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 7 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khama Worthy 24 of 46 52% 21 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Khama Worthy vs. Jai Herbert

Round 1
Hold on to your hats, because a lightweight banger is on deck when “The Deathstar” Worthy (16-8, 2-2 UFC) seeks to become the ultimate power in the universe at the expense of “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (10-3, 0-2 UFC). Fists and feet are sure to fly, and referee Chris Tognoni may need to keep his head on a swivel from the exchanges that follow the glove touch. Worthy is jittery as he starts off the round, with his hands shaking back and forth as he tries to counter Herbert. With both preparing to counter the other, very little happens the first 30 seconds of the match. Worthy steps in with a punch to the body, and he blocks an overhand right that comes at him. The Brit fires off a body kick, and he steps out of the way from a prodding jab. Herbert slings a high kick that is blocked in time, and he chambers a body kick that collides loudly to the midsection. Worthy walks through a punch to try to land a heavy front kick, but he settles for a slapping leg kick instead. Worthy sneaks a right hand around the guard, and thumps a low calf kick to follow. As Herbert tries to pay him back, a low kick of his own gets checked. “The Deathstar” blasts Herbert with a heavy leg kick that makes Herbert do a little spin, but he gathers himself to start slinging leather. Herbert catches Worthy as he starts to unload with a brutal punching combination and a head kick in the middle. A right hand wobbles Worthy, and the continuous strikes of Herbert appear to have found the thermal exhaust port of his opponent, detonating one by one as Worthy’s legs betray him. The onslaught continues, and a left hook puts Worthy face-down down on the mat. As Worthy rolls to his side, barely grasping on to his consciousness, “The Black Country Banger” continues to bang with ferocious punches from on high. As Tognoni notices that Worthy may be out, he intervenes to stop the fight and award Herbert with his first UFC win in three tries.

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Khama Worthy R1 2:47 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Angelo calls this a razor-thin pick. He notes that Khama has power and a good counter-striking game, while Jai is technical but gets hit a lot (1.3 strikes landed vs 2.66 absorbed). He thinks the odds are wide due to recency bias from Khama's knockout losses. He's not confident and won't bet the round line, but he likes Khama by a hair.

won't bet the 1.5 round line; considers 'does not go the distance'; likes less on Jai, more on Khama for monkey knife fight
"i do like camera here but my god is it a razor thin pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Big Brady picks Herbert as the younger, more talented fighter with height and reach advantages. He notes both fighters have poor striking defense and chins, but believes Worthy's chin is shot after seven knockout losses. He predicts a first-round knockout by Herbert, though acknowledges Worthy's power makes him live.

first round knockout
"i've gotta pick herbert here because he is the better fighter he's younger he's going to have a height advantage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Cody picks Jai Herbert by knockout, citing Herbert's reach advantage and Worthy's notorious inability to take a punch. He notes that Worthy has been knocked out in seven of his eight losses, often in the first minute. Cody believes Herbert will find his range and land a straight right to knock Worthy out. He expects the fight to end inside one and a half rounds.

Herbert by KO/TKO; under 1.5 rounds
"i gotta go with jay herbert i think he's a talented enough guy he looked awesome in cage warriors where he was the welterweight champion"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jai Herbert

Lock picks Herbert based on technical striking. He notes Herbert is the better boxer and should be able to outpoint Worthy. He expects Herbert to finish later in the fight as Worthy fades. He likes Herbert inside the distance.

Herbert inside the distance +100, Worthy by KO +380
"i like herbert but it's going to be difficult for me to pull the trigger here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Paul leans towards Jai Herbert, noting his reach advantage and better cardio. He expects a high-variance fight where someone gets knocked out, and he believes it will be Worthy. However, Paul acknowledges that Herbert's chin is questionable and that he could get knocked out as well. He sees this as a firefight.

Under 1.5 rounds
"i think jai herbert probably wins on volume has better cardio i think from what we have seen and has a bit of a reach advantage so i will lean towards him here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert, citing Khama Worthy's recent KO losses and questionable chin. He notes Herbert's reach advantage, first-round KO power, and better competition faced. He believes Herbert's cardio and striking will be too much for Worthy, predicting a first-round KO.

first round ko
"i'm gonna trust joy herbert to get this one done by first round ko"
LOSS vs Jamie Mullarkey
KO (punches) R1 0:46 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 1 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Khama Worthy 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 1 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Khama Worthy 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 6 of 13 46% 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Khama Worthy 5 of 10 50% 3 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 6 of 13 46% 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Khama Worthy 5 of 10 50% 3 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Big Brady picks Khama Worthy to win by third-round knockout. He notes that Mullarkey is very hittable (4.60 significant strikes absorbed per minute) and has poor striking defense. He believes Worthy's power will be too much, especially as Mullarkey slows down from his wrestling-heavy approach. He also mentions that Mullarkey's takedowns may not be effective as Worthy is dangerous off his back and can reverse position.

Worthy by KO round 3; fight doesn't go to decision; under 1.5 rounds (but notes bookies were all over that)
"i'm gonna take worthy here i'm going to take worthy to win by a third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Cody leans towards Worthy, noting his tremendous power and that he is a live dog in any spot. He worries about Worthy's durability, as he has been knocked out six times, but thinks Mullarkey doesn't have the knockout power to exploit that. He believes Mullarkey will need to wrestle, but Worthy's grappling is okay and his takedown defense is decent. He calls it a 50/50 fight.

"i'm leaning towards it don't know if the fight's going to happen"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Daniel Levi picks Khama Worthy to win, likely by decision, but expresses hesitation due to Worthy's questionable chin. He notes that Mullarkey has knockout power and a lot of heart, and could catch Worthy. However, Levi believes Worthy is the more physical and well-rounded fighter, and if he stays conscious, he should win. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

decision
"i'm gonna go with kama worthy to to probably get a decision win here maybe not knock him out like i said malarkey is a very tough customer"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The host leans toward Jamie Mullarkey as a plus-money underdog. He notes Mullarkey's well-rounded game, durability, and ability to mix strikes with takedowns, as seen in the Riddell fight. He believes Mullarkey can close the distance, grind Worthy against the cage, and win a decision. He acknowledges Worthy's power and counter-striking but thinks his takedown defense and cardio are weaknesses that Mullarkey can exploit.

"I do lean malarkey here I think he's the better overall fighter"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Paul also leans towards Worthy, calling it a dogger pass. He notes that Mullarkey got hit a lot in his previous fights and that Worthy has power to capitalize. He thinks the fight is close and that the line has moved, making Worthy a slight lean. He is not confident and may flip-flop.

"i'll pick worthy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

The Guru picks Khama Worthy by split decision or 29-28, citing Worthy's cleaner technique and better cardio. He notes Worthy has fought tougher competition and has third-round finishes, while Mullarkey fades in later rounds. He expects a close, scrappy fight with Mullarkey possibly winning the first round on the ground, but Worthy pulling ahead in the second and third. He criticizes Mullarkey's sloppiness and cardio issues seen in previous fights.

"i think kamar worthy's got that savage in him he's got third round finishes in his career"
LOSS vs Ottman Azaitar
TKO (punches) R1 1:33 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ottman Azaitar 0 16 of 22 72% 16 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Khama Worthy 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ottman Azaitar 0 16 of 22 72% 16 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Khama Worthy 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ottman Azaitar 16 of 22 72% 12 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 5 6 of 10 7 of 7
Khama Worthy 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ottman Azaitar 16 of 22 72% 12 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 5 6 of 10 7 of 7
Khama Worthy 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Big Brady picks Khama Worthy, noting that Worthy has rejuvenated his career since moving up to 155 lbs and has a touch of death. He acknowledges that Azaitar hits extremely hard and has been rocked in fights, but Worthy's length and reach advantage could be key. He is not betting this fight but is looking at the under.

looking at the under
"I'm going to go with worthy here i think he's going to have he's going to have a three inch reach advantage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

The host is not a Worthy believer and thinks Azaitar's power and activity in the first round can draw out Worthy's counters and land his own. He likes Azaitar by first-round KO and mentions the prop at +350. However, he is skeptical about betting Azaitar at plus money and would prefer a better price.

Azaitar first round KO (+350); fight doesn't go to decision (-275)
"I'm gonna go with autumn to win this fight via first round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

The MMA Guru picks Khama Worthy, noting that Ottman Azaitar has been fed hand-picked opponents and has a criminal past but hasn't faced someone with Worthy's experience. He believes Worthy's patience and experience against tough competition will allow him to survive Azaitar's early onslaught, then slow the fight down and eventually get a third-round submission.

Third round submission
"i'm gonna go with kamal worthy getting it done moving on to the main event"
WIN vs Luis Peña
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 2:53 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khama Worthy 0 38 of 77 49% 40 of 79 3 of 7 42% 3 0 4:13
Luis Peña 0 55 of 101 54% 66 of 114 0 of 0 --- 1 2 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khama Worthy 0 16 of 31 51% 16 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luis Peña 0 32 of 60 53% 32 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Khama Worthy 0 9 of 15 60% 11 of 17 2 of 2 100% 3 0 3:52
Luis Peña 0 5 of 7 71% 16 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:32
3 Khama Worthy 0 13 of 31 41% 13 of 31 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:21
Luis Peña 0 18 of 34 52% 18 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khama Worthy 38 of 77 49% 25 of 61 6 of 8 7 of 8 33 of 70 0 of 0 5 of 7
Luis Peña 55 of 101 54% 20 of 61 18 of 22 17 of 18 51 of 96 1 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khama Worthy 16 of 31 51% 8 of 21 3 of 5 5 of 5 16 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Peña 32 of 60 53% 7 of 31 12 of 16 13 of 13 32 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Khama Worthy 9 of 15 60% 8 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 7
Luis Peña 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Khama Worthy 13 of 31 41% 9 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 2 13 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Peña 18 of 34 52% 10 of 25 5 of 5 3 of 4 15 of 30 1 of 2 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Luis Peña

Big Brady picks Luis Peña confidently, stating he is the better fighter in every category except power. He notes Peña's durability, striking, and submission game, and thinks Peña can take Worthy down and submit him. He believes the line should be wider and sees value at -270. He predicts a first-round submission.

Peña by submission in round 1; line -270 has value in a parlay; Worthy's only path is a KO
"I like Peña quite a bit... one of my most confident plays here... I'm gonna go Luis Peña first round submission."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Luis Peña

Daniel Levi leans with Luis Peña, citing Peña's length, volume striking, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Peña has more answers stylistically, though he still has questions about Worthy's grappling and chin. Levi thinks Peña's training at ATT and wider array of techniques will lead to a close decision win. He acknowledges Worthy's power and experience but believes Peña's volume and durability will be the difference.

Peña wins by close decision (29-28)
"I'm gonna go with him by a 29-28 decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Luis Peña

The MMA Guru picks Luis Peña, believing he will enforce his game plan and not stand and trade with Khama Worthy. He notes Peña's wins over Steve Garcia Jr., Matt Wiman, and Steven Peterson, and predicts Peña will take the back and dominate for a 30-27 unanimous decision. He acknowledges Worthy as a live dog but is not willing to bet on him, though he hints at a small parlay hedge.

Peña by unanimous decision (30-27); small bet on Worthy as hedge
"Luis Pena wins this one by a dominant 30-27 unanimous decision... as far as live dogs go I'm not willing to bet on it I might bet on it secretly"
WIN vs Devonte Smith
TKO (punches) R1 4:15 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khama Worthy 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 1 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khama Worthy 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 1 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khama Worthy 15 of 27 55% 3 of 13 2 of 3 10 of 11 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 21 of 51 41% 9 of 30 2 of 5 10 of 16 18 of 46 0 of 0 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khama Worthy 15 of 27 55% 3 of 13 2 of 3 10 of 11 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 21 of 51 41% 9 of 30 2 of 5 10 of 16 18 of 46 0 of 0 3 of 5
Devonte Smith - Fight History
LOSS vs Ľudovít Klein
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Mar 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 53 of 98 54% 80 of 125 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:14
Devonte Smith 0 60 of 95 63% 80 of 117 0 of 2 0% 0 0 6:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 17 of 29 58% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 0 19 of 26 73% 22 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:46
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 16 of 28 57% 32 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:14
Devonte Smith 0 12 of 26 46% 24 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:46
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 20 of 41 48% 26 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 0 29 of 43 67% 34 of 49 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 53 of 98 54% 19 of 58 25 of 30 9 of 10 31 of 73 22 of 25 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 60 of 95 63% 25 of 56 25 of 28 10 of 11 42 of 72 18 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 17 of 29 58% 3 of 11 8 of 12 6 of 6 11 of 22 6 of 7 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 19 of 26 73% 7 of 14 10 of 10 2 of 2 9 of 15 10 of 11 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 16 of 28 57% 6 of 18 8 of 8 2 of 2 8 of 19 8 of 9 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 12 of 26 46% 5 of 16 4 of 6 3 of 4 7 of 17 5 of 9 0 of 0
3 Ľudovít Klein 20 of 41 48% 10 of 29 9 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 32 8 of 9 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 29 of 43 67% 13 of 26 11 of 12 5 of 5 26 of 40 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2022 (8 days before fight)
Devonte Smith

Angelo picks Devonte Smith, citing his power and timing. He notes Klein is the more technical striker but has weight concerns on short notice. He thinks if Klein falls behind and wrestles, he'll get exhausted and knocked out. He acknowledges Klein could win if in shape.

"i'm gonna go with davonte smith here but ludovic is a high level striker"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Devonte Smith

Big Brady picks Devonte Smith to win by first-round knockout, but he is hesitant due to Smith's questionable chin. He notes that Smith has all the tools—speed, power, takedown defense—but has been knocked out in all his losses. Brady acknowledges that Klein is dangerous with head kicks and has a high finish rate, but he believes Smith is the better fighter. He expects someone to get finished, as both have high finish rates, and he leans toward Smith getting the knockout early.

Smith by first-round knockout
"i'm gonna say smith does knock out ludovic klein"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Devonte Smith

Cody leans Smith but is not confident. He notes Smith's explosive first round and power, but questions his cardio. He bet the under 1.5 rounds at +135, expecting an early finish. Cody thinks Klein's cardio is also suspect and the fight likely ends in the first round.

Bet under 1.5 rounds at +135
"i'll lean towards devonta smith but i do quite like the under"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Daniel Levi picks Ľudovít Klein as the underdog. He questions Devonte Smith's heart and mental toughness, noting that Smith has folded under pressure and lost to fighters like Kamuela Kirk. He thinks Klein has similar issues but likes the dog value. He believes the fight should be a pick'em and that Klein has a chance if he doesn't get pressured.

"i'm going with ludovic klein just because he's the dog i want to be shocked if devonte won"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Klein is a slick southpaw with knockout power, especially with his head kick. Smith has speed but has been finished in all his losses. Klein's low output could be a concern, but he should find an opening as Smith slows down. The fight likely ends inside the distance, and Klein has the power to finish. The 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop is also attractive.

Fight doesn't go to decision at -175
"rather than taking the plus 150 on ludavid klein i'd rather be okay on both sides and take that fight doesn't go to decision which currently hangs around -175"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul picks Klein but at a very low confidence level. He notes both fighters have cardio issues and are one- or two-round fighters. Paul thinks Klein's wrestling could be a factor if he can take Smith down, but he is not confident in either side. He calls it a dog-or-pass fight.

"i'm going to end up taking ludovic klein but very low level very very low on my on my list of things that i want to commit big money to"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Devonte Smith

The MMA Guru picks Devonte Smith over Ľudovít Klein, reasoning that Klein's cardio fades in high-paced three-round fights, as seen against Nate Landwehr. He trusts Smith's speed, technical boxing, and composure, though he acknowledges Smith has been knocked out before (by Kamar Worthy). He predicts Smith wins a decision, outworking Klein each round, and notes that Klein's only chance is a first-round KO, which he isn't betting on.

"i'm going to go with devonta smith via decision again maybe 30 26 or something like that"
LOSS vs Jamie Mullarkey
TKO (punches) R2 2:51 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 0 29 of 64 45% 32 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 1 55 of 108 50% 58 of 112 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 0 22 of 49 44% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 0 21 of 46 45% 23 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:24
2 Jamie Mullarkey 0 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 1 34 of 62 54% 35 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 29 of 64 45% 24 of 57 2 of 4 3 of 3 26 of 59 3 of 5 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 55 of 108 50% 22 of 65 22 of 32 11 of 11 34 of 75 15 of 22 6 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 22 of 49 44% 18 of 45 1 of 1 3 of 3 20 of 46 2 of 3 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 21 of 46 45% 8 of 28 7 of 12 6 of 6 20 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jamie Mullarkey 7 of 15 46% 6 of 12 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 34 of 62 54% 14 of 37 15 of 20 5 of 5 14 of 31 14 of 20 6 of 11
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey, expecting him to use his grappling roots to set up takedowns and control the fight. He notes that Mullarkey has improved his striking training with Volkanovski and has a solid volume game, but Devonte Smith has 100% takedown defense in the UFC. Angelo is not in love with the pick and thinks Smith could land a big shot as Mullarkey commits. He likes the over on rounds and the more more monkey knife fight pick.

over on rounds, more more monkey knife fight
"i do have malarkey winning i'm not in love with it i have malarkey winning i think the the growth he's had in the striking department will help keep him alive on his feet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Devonte Smith

Big Brady picks Devonte Smith to win by knockout, confident in Smith's massive striking advantage. He notes Smith lands 5.64 significant strikes per minute with 55% accuracy and positive strike differential, while Mullarkey absorbs 4.65 strikes per minute with poor 43% striking defense. Smith hits hard and Mullarkey is very hittable. The key question is takedown defense: Smith has 100% TD defense in UFC but only defended 3 takedowns. Brady believes Smith will stuff takedowns and knock out Mullarkey.

Smith by KO
"give me davonte smith to win and give me davonte smith to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody picks Mullarkey as a dog, noting that Smith is a one-round fighter with questionable durability. Mullarkey has good cardio, pressure, and grappling. He expects Mullarkey to survive the first round and take over in the later rounds. He also mentions that Mullarkey trains with Alexander Volkanovski and has a strong team.

"jamie malarkey i think i'm gonna throw him on to uh be the third one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Devonte Smith

Daniel Levi picks Devonte Smith, acknowledging his higher ceiling, athleticism, and power, but worries about his tendency to underperform. He notes Smith showed improvements in his ground game in his last fight. Mullarkey is a tough, gritty journeyman who will push the pace and test Smith's durability. Levi thinks Smith can win if he stays composed and doesn't gas, but he is concerned about Mullarkey making it a dirty fight.

"i'm gonna go with devante smith it's just that my big concern it's not necessarily that devante smith is gonna gas out per se it's more so that he's gonna underperform"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

I initially leaned Smith but after rewatching, I think Mullarkey's durability and pressure will be too much. Smith has a speed and power advantage but is fragile and has questionable cardio. Mullarkey will push forward, land takedowns, and make it ugly. I like Mullarkey by decision at +380 or inside the distance at +280.

Mullarkey by decision +380, Mullarkey inside the distance +280
"I'm kind of leaning jamie malarkey here man jamie markey by decision is obviously the way i would go here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Paul leans towards Mullarkey but wants to see the weigh-ins. He notes that Smith is explosive but fades quickly. Mullarkey is durable and has good cardio. He thinks Mullarkey could be a live dog if he can weather the early storm.

"i could be talked into the dog again here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey as an upset, citing Devonte Smith's chin problem. He notes that Smith was KO'd by a weak check hook from Kamal Worthy and has been wobbled in other fights. Mullarkey has KO power and trains with Alexander Volkanovski. He predicts Mullarkey will catch Smith with a lead hook and finish him in the first round.

Mullarkey by KO in round 1
"i'm going with jamie malarkey by ko in the first round in an upset win against devonta smith"
WIN vs Justin Jaynes
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 3:38 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Devonte Smith 0 34 of 65 52% 46 of 78 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:08
Justin Jaynes 0 11 of 27 40% 19 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Devonte Smith 0 25 of 51 49% 27 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Justin Jaynes 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Devonte Smith 0 9 of 14 64% 19 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:06
Justin Jaynes 0 2 of 3 66% 10 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Devonte Smith 34 of 65 52% 25 of 54 5 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 45 5 of 8 8 of 12
Justin Jaynes 11 of 27 40% 6 of 21 3 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Devonte Smith 25 of 51 49% 19 of 43 2 of 4 4 of 4 20 of 43 5 of 8 0 of 0
Justin Jaynes 9 of 24 37% 5 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Devonte Smith 9 of 14 64% 6 of 11 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 12
Justin Jaynes 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Devonte Smith

Daniel Levi picks Devonte Smith confidently, citing his calf kicks, jab, and straight right. He notes Smith's 8-inch reach advantage and expects him to weather Jaynes' early storm and finish him in the second round. He mentions Smith's bounce-back potential after a torn Achilles and personal issues.

second round knockout
"i got devante smith here second round knockout weather this early storm and you win the fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 30, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

The MMA Guru picks Alex da Silva (Justin Jaynes) with hesitation, noting the fight is very close. He was impressed by da Silva's performance against Brad Riddell, showing good striking and grappling. He worries about Devonte Smith's chin after a KO loss to Kamal Worthy and thinks the threat of takedowns will make Smith gun-shy. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for da Silva.

unanimous decision 30-27
"i'm going to give the edge to alex de silva purely because he has an option to change things up"
LOSS vs Khama Worthy
TKO (punches) R1 4:15 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khama Worthy 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 1 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khama Worthy 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 1 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khama Worthy 15 of 27 55% 3 of 13 2 of 3 10 of 11 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 21 of 51 41% 9 of 30 2 of 5 10 of 16 18 of 46 0 of 0 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khama Worthy 15 of 27 55% 3 of 13 2 of 3 10 of 11 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 21 of 51 41% 9 of 30 2 of 5 10 of 16 18 of 46 0 of 0 3 of 5
WIN vs Dong Hyun Ma
TKO (punches) R1 3:53 · UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · Feb 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Devonte Smith 1 19 of 43 44% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Dong Hyun Ma 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Devonte Smith 1 19 of 43 44% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Dong Hyun Ma 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Devonte Smith 19 of 43 44% 14 of 34 1 of 4 4 of 5 15 of 38 0 of 0 4 of 5
Dong Hyun Ma 1 of 9 11% 0 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 4 1 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Devonte Smith 19 of 43 44% 14 of 34 1 of 4 4 of 5 15 of 38 0 of 0 4 of 5
Dong Hyun Ma 1 of 9 11% 0 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 4 1 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Julian Erosa
KO (punches) R1 0:46 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Devonte Smith 1 13 of 19 68% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Julian Erosa 0 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Devonte Smith 1 13 of 19 68% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Julian Erosa 0 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Devonte Smith 13 of 19 68% 9 of 15 2 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
Julian Erosa 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Devonte Smith 13 of 19 68% 9 of 15 2 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
Julian Erosa 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0