UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor ·
Oct 06, 2018 ·
Lightweight ·
Completed
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Next Fight
Career Averages - Khabib Nurmagomedov
4.1
SLpM
48.0%
Str. Acc.
1.75
SApM
65.0%
Str. Def.
5.32
TD Avg
48.0%
TD Acc.
84.0%
TD Def.
0.8
Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Conor McGregor
5.32
SLpM
49.0%
Str. Acc.
4.66
SApM
54.0%
Str. Def.
0.67
TD Avg
55.0%
TD Acc.
66.0%
TD Def.
0.1
Sub. Avg
Khabib Nurmagomedov - Fight History
WIN
vs
Justin Gaethje
Technical Submission (triangle choke)
R2
1:34
·
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje ·
Oct 24, 2020
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 26 of 80 | 32% | 26 of 80 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Justin Gaethje | 0 | 29 of 45 | 64% | 29 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 23 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Justin Gaethje | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 23 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 3 of 20 | 15% | 3 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justin Gaethje | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 26 of 80 | 32% | 18 of 72 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Justin Gaethje | 29 of 45 | 64% | 12 of 26 | 2 of 4 | 15 of 15 | 29 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 23 of 60 | 38% | 15 of 52 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Justin Gaethje | 23 of 36 | 63% | 10 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 11 | 23 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 3 of 20 | 15% | 3 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justin Gaethje | 6 of 9 | 66% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogUFC Lightweight Title Fight: Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Justin Gaethje
Round 1
We made it to the UFC 254 headliner, in a rare title unification matchup as champion Nurmagomedov (28-0, 12-0 UFC) looks to keep his spotless record intact against interim titleholder “The Highlight” Gaethje (22-2, 5-2 UFC). This lightweight thriller for all the marbles will draw the assignment of referee Jason Herzog, and nothing more needs to be said to introduce what we are about to see here. The two men touch gloves to check in this top-tier fight, and we’re off to the races. Both men keep their distance early, with Gaethje leaning low and starting out with an inside leg kick. Nurmagomedov does not throw anything nor does he set up anything, and Gaethje thinks about another leg kick and lands it hard. Gaethje scores a right hand, and Nurmagomedov counters him with an overhand right. Nurmagomedov leaps up with an uppercut, and Gaethje is well out of the way. Nurmagomedov lands a jab and gets caught with a leg kick, leading him to rush in to a clinch. Nurmagomedov cannot get hold of him, and Gaethje swings wildly with hooks. He cracks Nurmagomedov with a right hand, and he scores two more heavy leg kicks. Nurmagomedov is chasing after him with long punches, and Nurmagomedov lands a body kick. Nurmagomedov jabs and rushes forward with a knee. Gaethje avoids a right hand and kicks the lead leg. Gaethje fires up a head kick, and Nurmagomedov shrugs at him after it gets blocked. Gaethje wings another leg kick, and Nurmagomedov scores a left hand and a body kick. The Russian leaps in the air with a flying knee, and he sticks Gaethje a few times with a jab. A few more jabs disrupt Gaethje’s movement, and the American gets off a leg kick. Two big left hooks score for Nurmagomedov, and Gaethje cracks him back harder. Gaethje smashes his leg into the thigh, and he nails Nurmagomedov with a left hand. The Russian charges in to close the distance, and he hits a double leg takedown with 30 seconds to go. “The Eagle” climbs to mount with ease, and he rolls for an armbar with seconds to go. Gaethje punches the body a few times as he is unconcerned with submission danger, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Round 2
Nurmagomedov starts the round with a few jabs and a follow-up right hand. Gaethje jumps at him to respond, and the Russian scores a leg kick of his own. Gaethje is on the defensive as he backs away, and Nurmagomedov is on him pressing the action. Nurmagomedov takes a left hand behind the ear, and he rushes in for a takedown but gets stuffed. Gaethje lands a leg kick to make his opponent stumble, and when Nurmagomedov recovers, he hits a takedown effortlessly. “The Eagle” slices to mount like a hot knife through butter, attacking an arm-triangle submission in the blink of an eye. Nurmagomedov sets up a mounted triangle choke, and he rolls to his back as he threatens with a triangle armbar. Gaethje is stuck in the worst position of his life, and try as he might, he can’t pull himself free. Gaethje lifts him up to slam him down, and he gets no space so he starts tapping out. Herzog does not see the repeated taps as Nurmagomedov tries to inform him that Gaethje submitted. Instead, Gaethje goes out, and Herzog finally calls a stop to the fight. Khabib Nurmagomedov is now 29-0 as a professional, and in the process, he unified his belts and ties the record for the most championship defenses in UFC lightweight history.
When the fight is over, Nurmagomedov is overcome with emotion, letting everything out on his knees in the middle of the cage. As Gaethje comes to, he goes over to console his former foe. Dana White wraps the belt around Nurmagomedov's waist, and Nurmagomedov pulls the tape off his gloves and gets his corner to help him remove it. Nurmagomedov retires in the cage, thanking everything for supporting him, the UFC for signing him, and his family for being there for him. He promised his mother that this would be his last fight, and he leaves his gloves in the center of the Octagon. If this is truly his final UFC bout -- and judging by his post-fight speech, it is -- he leaves behind an incredible legacy with 13 victories under the UFC banner, as arguably the #1 pound-for-pound fighter and one of the best to ever compete in the sport. It's unlikely we'll see someone like him in MMA again.
The Official Result
Khabib Nurmagomedov def. Justin Gaethje R2 1:34 via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke)
Round 1
We made it to the UFC 254 headliner, in a rare title unification matchup as champion Nurmagomedov (28-0, 12-0 UFC) looks to keep his spotless record intact against interim titleholder “The Highlight” Gaethje (22-2, 5-2 UFC). This lightweight thriller for all the marbles will draw the assignment of referee Jason Herzog, and nothing more needs to be said to introduce what we are about to see here. The two men touch gloves to check in this top-tier fight, and we’re off to the races. Both men keep their distance early, with Gaethje leaning low and starting out with an inside leg kick. Nurmagomedov does not throw anything nor does he set up anything, and Gaethje thinks about another leg kick and lands it hard. Gaethje scores a right hand, and Nurmagomedov counters him with an overhand right. Nurmagomedov leaps up with an uppercut, and Gaethje is well out of the way. Nurmagomedov lands a jab and gets caught with a leg kick, leading him to rush in to a clinch. Nurmagomedov cannot get hold of him, and Gaethje swings wildly with hooks. He cracks Nurmagomedov with a right hand, and he scores two more heavy leg kicks. Nurmagomedov is chasing after him with long punches, and Nurmagomedov lands a body kick. Nurmagomedov jabs and rushes forward with a knee. Gaethje avoids a right hand and kicks the lead leg. Gaethje fires up a head kick, and Nurmagomedov shrugs at him after it gets blocked. Gaethje wings another leg kick, and Nurmagomedov scores a left hand and a body kick. The Russian leaps in the air with a flying knee, and he sticks Gaethje a few times with a jab. A few more jabs disrupt Gaethje’s movement, and the American gets off a leg kick. Two big left hooks score for Nurmagomedov, and Gaethje cracks him back harder. Gaethje smashes his leg into the thigh, and he nails Nurmagomedov with a left hand. The Russian charges in to close the distance, and he hits a double leg takedown with 30 seconds to go. “The Eagle” climbs to mount with ease, and he rolls for an armbar with seconds to go. Gaethje punches the body a few times as he is unconcerned with submission danger, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Nurmagomedov
Round 2
Nurmagomedov starts the round with a few jabs and a follow-up right hand. Gaethje jumps at him to respond, and the Russian scores a leg kick of his own. Gaethje is on the defensive as he backs away, and Nurmagomedov is on him pressing the action. Nurmagomedov takes a left hand behind the ear, and he rushes in for a takedown but gets stuffed. Gaethje lands a leg kick to make his opponent stumble, and when Nurmagomedov recovers, he hits a takedown effortlessly. “The Eagle” slices to mount like a hot knife through butter, attacking an arm-triangle submission in the blink of an eye. Nurmagomedov sets up a mounted triangle choke, and he rolls to his back as he threatens with a triangle armbar. Gaethje is stuck in the worst position of his life, and try as he might, he can’t pull himself free. Gaethje lifts him up to slam him down, and he gets no space so he starts tapping out. Herzog does not see the repeated taps as Nurmagomedov tries to inform him that Gaethje submitted. Instead, Gaethje goes out, and Herzog finally calls a stop to the fight. Khabib Nurmagomedov is now 29-0 as a professional, and in the process, he unified his belts and ties the record for the most championship defenses in UFC lightweight history.
When the fight is over, Nurmagomedov is overcome with emotion, letting everything out on his knees in the middle of the cage. As Gaethje comes to, he goes over to console his former foe. Dana White wraps the belt around Nurmagomedov's waist, and Nurmagomedov pulls the tape off his gloves and gets his corner to help him remove it. Nurmagomedov retires in the cage, thanking everything for supporting him, the UFC for signing him, and his family for being there for him. He promised his mother that this would be his last fight, and he leaves his gloves in the center of the Octagon. If this is truly his final UFC bout -- and judging by his post-fight speech, it is -- he leaves behind an incredible legacy with 13 victories under the UFC banner, as arguably the #1 pound-for-pound fighter and one of the best to ever compete in the sport. It's unlikely we'll see someone like him in MMA again.
The Official Result
Khabib Nurmagomedov def. Justin Gaethje R2 1:34 via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke)
BI
Big Brady
Expert
Confident
picked Oct 20, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Big Brady confidently picks Khabib Nurmagomedov, stating he has never picked against him and never will. He believes Khabib's relentless takedowns and pressure will drain Gaethje's cardio, and that Gaethje's wrestling background hasn't been tested against someone like Khabib. He predicts a fourth-round submission.
submission, fourth round
"i'm gonna pick khabib to win here by uh give me a fourth round submission for khabib"
DA
Daniel Levi
Expert
Hesitant
picked Oct 23, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Daniel Levi acknowledges Gaethje's wrestling credentials and power, but ultimately leans with Khabib's consistent dominance and takedown machine style. He notes that Gaethje presents real threats with calf kicks and power, but Khabib's ability to set up takedowns with stand-up and his relentless pressure should prevail. He mentions that long-reigning champions sometimes lose when least expected, but he doesn't have the conviction to pick against Khabib.
Gaethje or pass from a betting perspective; Khabib was -165 vs McGregor and -250 vs Poirier, now -350 which may be adjusted correctly
"i'm gonna lean with habib nurmagomedov to get it done um but will i be surprised if geichi is the guy no i won't"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night
Expert
Confident
picked Oct 19, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Khabib Nurmagomedov
The host picks Khabib Nurmagomedov confidently, citing his dominant wrestling, pressure, and ability to wear down opponents. He notes that Gaethje's leg kicks could be a factor but believes Khabib's grappling will be too much. He expects a fourth or fifth-round stoppage.
Khabib by submission or TKO in rounds 4-5
"i do feel more comfortable saying i'm predicting kabir to win this fight probably by fifth round or fourth round stoppage"
TH
The MMA Guru
Expert
Confident
picked Oct 16, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Khabib Nurmagomedov
The MMA Guru picks Khabib Nurmagomedov to win by submission (rear-naked choke) in the first round. He notes that Gaethje's new style with more footwork will back him into the cage, and that Gaethje hates wrestling and hasn't used it in fights. He believes Gaethje will get back up a few times but eventually be taken down and submitted due to Khabib's superior grappling and Gaethje's lack of high-level ground experience.
first round submission (rear-naked choke)
"i'm going to go with khabib nurmagomedov getting the job done... sinking the rear naked choke in the first round"
WIN
vs
Dustin Poirier
Submission (rear-naked choke)
R3
2:06
·
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier ·
Sep 07, 2019
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 22 of 41 | 53% | 54 of 77 | 7 of 8 | 87% | 2 | 0 | 8:51 |
| Dustin Poirier | 0 | 12 of 39 | 30% | 30 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 22 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Dustin Poirier | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 26 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Dustin Poirier | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Dustin Poirier | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 22 of 41 | 53% | 16 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 13 |
| Dustin Poirier | 12 of 39 | 30% | 5 of 26 | 2 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 8 of 12 | 66% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Dustin Poirier | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 13 of 26 | 50% | 9 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| Dustin Poirier | 8 of 28 | 28% | 5 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Poirier | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
WIN
vs
Conor McGregor
Submission (neck crank)
R4
3:03
·
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor ·
Oct 06, 2018
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 70 of 119 | 58% | 104 of 157 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 12:14 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 51 of 81 | 62% | 96 of 128 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 18 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:08 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 39 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 41 of 60 | 68% | 58 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 17 of 39 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 44 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 11 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 70 of 119 | 58% | 58 of 105 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 45 of 63 |
| Conor McGregor | 51 of 81 | 62% | 34 of 60 | 16 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 35 of 65 | 10 of 10 | 6 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Conor McGregor | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 41 of 60 | 68% | 33 of 52 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 51 |
| Conor McGregor | 5 of 13 | 38% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 15 of 37 | 40% | 12 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Conor McGregor | 34 of 52 | 65% | 22 of 39 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 43 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 7 of 13 | 53% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Conor McGregor | 6 of 9 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
WIN
vs
Al Iaquinta
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–43, 50–43)
R5
5:00
·
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta ·
Apr 07, 2018
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 134 of 304 | 44% | 172 of 352 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 10:33 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 41 of 141 | 29% | 43 of 143 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 13 of 24 | 54% | 35 of 55 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:59 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 25 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 37 of 87 | 42% | 37 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 7 of 36 | 19% | 7 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 35 of 93 | 37% | 35 of 93 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 15 of 45 | 33% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 30 of 66 | 45% | 40 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 16 of 43 | 37% | 16 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 134 of 304 | 44% | 122 of 287 | 7 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 100 of 255 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 49 |
| Al Iaquinta | 41 of 141 | 29% | 27 of 117 | 11 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 41 of 141 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 13 of 24 | 54% | 12 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 21 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 19 of 34 | 55% | 17 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 22 |
| Al Iaquinta | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 37 of 87 | 42% | 31 of 78 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 37 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 7 of 36 | 19% | 4 of 29 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 35 of 93 | 37% | 32 of 89 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 35 of 93 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 15 of 45 | 33% | 12 of 40 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 30 of 66 | 45% | 30 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Al Iaquinta | 16 of 43 | 37% | 11 of 35 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
WIN
vs
Edson Barboza
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–24)
R3
5:00
·
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm ·
Dec 30, 2017
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 89 of 177 | 50% | 154 of 246 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 10:31 |
| Edson Barboza | 0 | 25 of 76 | 32% | 25 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 36 of 68 | 52% | 50 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
| Edson Barboza | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 31 of 60 | 51% | 59 of 89 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:28 |
| Edson Barboza | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 9 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 22 of 49 | 44% | 45 of 74 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Edson Barboza | 0 | 6 of 31 | 19% | 6 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 89 of 177 | 50% | 77 of 162 | 8 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 96 | 2 of 3 | 55 of 78 |
| Edson Barboza | 25 of 76 | 32% | 6 of 47 | 11 of 19 | 8 of 10 | 23 of 74 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 36 of 68 | 52% | 31 of 63 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 46 |
| Edson Barboza | 10 of 19 | 52% | 0 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 31 of 60 | 51% | 26 of 53 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 17 |
| Edson Barboza | 9 of 26 | 34% | 4 of 17 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 22 of 49 | 44% | 20 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 15 |
| Edson Barboza | 6 of 31 | 19% | 2 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
WIN
vs
Michael Johnson
Submission (kimura)
R3
2:31
·
UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor ·
Nov 12, 2016
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 94 of 142 | 66% | 140 of 190 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 8:44 |
| Michael Johnson | 0 | 19 of 77 | 24% | 20 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 33 of 58 | 56% | 49 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Michael Johnson | 0 | 16 of 52 | 30% | 16 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 49 of 69 | 71% | 73 of 95 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Michael Johnson | 0 | 1 of 20 | 5% | 1 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 12 of 15 | 80% | 18 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Michael Johnson | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 94 of 142 | 66% | 93 of 141 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 88 of 120 |
| Michael Johnson | 19 of 77 | 24% | 9 of 51 | 7 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 19 of 77 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 33 of 58 | 56% | 32 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 52 |
| Michael Johnson | 16 of 52 | 30% | 7 of 32 | 6 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 49 of 69 | 71% | 49 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 45 of 57 |
| Michael Johnson | 1 of 20 | 5% | 1 of 15 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 12 of 15 | 80% | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 11 |
| Michael Johnson | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
WIN
vs
Darrell Horcher
TKO (punches)
R2
3:38
·
UFC on Fox: Teixeira vs. Evans ·
Apr 16, 2016
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 75 of 105 | 71% | 107 of 139 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:33 |
| Darrell Horcher | 0 | 6 of 27 | 22% | 18 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 27 of 44 | 61% | 33 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Darrell Horcher | 0 | 4 of 22 | 18% | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 48 of 61 | 78% | 74 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:12 |
| Darrell Horcher | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 75 of 105 | 71% | 73 of 103 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 71 of 94 |
| Darrell Horcher | 6 of 27 | 22% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 27 of 44 | 61% | 25 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 34 |
| Darrell Horcher | 4 of 22 | 18% | 2 of 18 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 48 of 61 | 78% | 48 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 47 of 60 |
| Darrell Horcher | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
WIN
vs
Rafael dos Anjos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27)
R3
5:00
·
UFC on Fox: Werdum vs. Browne ·
Apr 19, 2014
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 20 of 56 | 35% | 40 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 36 of 97 | 37% | 72 of 135 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 9:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 21 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 8 of 35 | 22% | 14 of 42 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 31 of 50 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 3:58 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 10 of 25 | 40% | 27 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 20 of 56 | 35% | 11 of 39 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 36 of 97 | 37% | 24 of 83 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 72 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 10 of 32 | 31% | 6 of 22 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 8 of 35 | 22% | 4 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 18 of 37 | 48% | 10 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 11 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 5 of 10 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 10 of 25 | 40% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 10 |
Conor McGregor - Fight History
SCHED
vs
Max Holloway
UFC 329 ·
Jul 11, 2026
LOSS
vs
Dustin Poirier
TKO (doctor stoppage)
R1
5:00
·
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 ·
Jul 10, 2021
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Poirier | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 36 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:18 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 27 of 38 | 71% | 43 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Poirier | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 36 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:18 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 27 of 38 | 71% | 43 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Poirier | 36 of 66 | 54% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 46 |
| Conor McGregor | 27 of 38 | 71% | 13 of 21 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 17 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Poirier | 36 of 66 | 54% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 46 |
| Conor McGregor | 27 of 38 | 71% | 13 of 21 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 17 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 11 |
AN
Angelo Bodetti
Expert
Confident
picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
Angelo flips his pick from the last fight, now favoring Conor. He notes that in the first fight, Conor landed everything with power and had Dustin in trouble multiple times, but didn't capitalize due to pacing. He believes Conor will have a plan for the leg kicks this time and will get the job done. He also placed a bet on Conor by KO/TKO for plus odds.
Conor by KO/TKO at plus odds
"I think conor wins the i think he wins this fight i'm flipping my pick from the last go-around"
BI
Big Brady
Expert
Confident
picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
Big Brady picks Conor McGregor to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Conor has the X-factor power, being the hardest hitter pound-for-pound, and that Poirier absorbs a lot of strikes (4.17 per minute). He expects Conor to make adjustments, stuff takedowns, check leg kicks, and keep the fight at range. He acknowledges Poirier's durability but believes Conor will land a knockout.
first round knockout
"i'm gonna say conor mcgregor does get a first round knockout here against dustin poirier"
CO
Cody Saftic
Expert
Confident
picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Poirier
Cody picks Poirier based on Conor's fading cardio after the first round, Poirier's durability and leg kicks, and the American Top Team camp. He notes Conor's power early but expects Poirier to take over late. He hasn't bet yet, waiting to see how the press conferences affect Poirier's mindset.
264 to 1 odds on first round KO via DraftKings promo; suggests live betting Poirier after round 1
"my pick for the purposes of the show right now is dustin poirier i haven't put any money on i want to see how the press conferences go"
DA
Daniel Levi
Expert
Confident
picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Poirier
Daniel Levi picks Dustin Poirier to win the trilogy. He emphasizes Poirier's superior cardio, output, and durability, noting that Poirier has the most knockouts in UFC lightweight history and has shown he can overcome adversity. He points out that since 2016, Poirier is 7-1 while McGregor is 1-3, and that McGregor struggles in deep waters and has diminishing durability. He predicts a submission win for Poirier, citing the check right hook, calf kicks, takedowns, and clinch work as key factors.
Poirier by submission
"i'm going with dustin poury i'm gonna say this time by submission"
JA
Jacob Lines
Expert
Confident
picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
Jacob initially favored Dustin but switched to Conor after rewatching the first fight. He notes Conor landed everything in round one but paced himself too much. He thinks Conor will blitz early to avoid calf kicks and finish in the first round. He also mentions a possible staph infection on Conor's elbow, which could affect cardio and push Conor to an early finish.
Conor wins in round 1
"i think conor wins this fight um so i've gone all the way back and i think conor does it i think he does in the first round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night
Expert
Hesitant
picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Poirier
I'm going with Poirier here, but I have no real confidence. I think Poirier's durability and cardio have improved at 155, and he can eat McGregor's shots now. McGregor might have a new game plan, but I expect Poirier to take over in the later rounds and finish him, probably in the third or fourth round. I'm not betting this fight myself, but I like Poirier inside the distance and the fight not going to decision.
under 3.5 rounds, under 4.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision, Poirier inside the distance, Poirier round 3, Poirier round 4, Poirier round 5
"i'm going to ultimately be on the poirier side here... i think poirier has the confidence now... and really start to put on mcgregor himself and then eventually finish him late in this fight probably in the third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy
Expert
Confident
picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Poirier
Paul picks Poirier, citing Conor's durability issues and long layoffs. He notes Conor's power early but believes Poirier's durability and cardio will prevail. He mentions the distraction of Conor's trash talk and the Colby Covington sparring video, but still favors Poirier.
suggests betting Poirier live after the first round
"i'm not i wouldn't rule mcgregor out but we got to go party that would be the logical pick especially at this price"
TH
The MMA Guru
Expert
Confident
picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Dustin Poirier
The Guru predicts Poirier will win by TKO in the third round. He expects McGregor to start strong, winning the first two rounds with good striking and body work, but Poirier's calf kicks and clinch work will wear McGregor down. By the third round, McGregor will fatigue, and Poirier will land a big elbow and follow-up shots to finish him against the cage. The Guru notes McGregor will have a more impressive performance than their first fight but the outcome will be the same.
Poirier wins by TKO in round 3
"poirier gets it done but i'm praying for mcgregor to win but i think poirier's gonna get this one done it'll be a more impressive performance by mcgregor but the inevitable outcome will be the same"
LOSS
vs
Dustin Poirier
TKO (punches)
R2
2:32
·
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 ·
Jan 24, 2021
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Poirier | 1 | 48 of 91 | 52% | 53 of 98 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 29 of 66 | 43% | 52 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Poirier | 0 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 22 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 15 of 34 | 44% | 38 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:07 | |
| 2 | Dustin Poirier | 1 | 31 of 54 | 57% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 14 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Poirier | 48 of 91 | 52% | 30 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 21 | 46 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Conor McGregor | 29 of 66 | 43% | 23 of 60 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Poirier | 17 of 37 | 45% | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Conor McGregor | 15 of 34 | 44% | 12 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dustin Poirier | 31 of 54 | 57% | 22 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 10 | 29 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Conor McGregor | 14 of 32 | 43% | 11 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
BI
Big Brady
Expert
Confident
picked Jan 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
Big Brady picks Conor McGregor to win by first-round knockout, similar to their first fight. He notes McGregor's power and accuracy as key advantages, and believes Poirier's cardio won't be a factor because the fight won't go deep. He acknowledges Poirier could be a live dog but ultimately sides with McGregor's striking superiority.
first round knockout
"i think conor mcgregor is going to do the same thing he did in their last fight i don't think it's going to be as early but i do think he's going to knock out dustin poirier"
DA
Daniel Levi
Expert
Confident
picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
Daniel Levi picks Conor McGregor to win early, citing McGregor's devastating power and ability to finish fights in the first round. He acknowledges Poirier's improved chin at lightweight and his path to victory if he survives the early storm, but believes McGregor's power is too much. Levi expresses personal rooting interest for Poirier but makes a logical pick for McGregor.
McGregor by early finish
"i'm gonna have to go with mcgregor here to get it done early unfortunately"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night
Expert
Confident
picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
McGregor has the precision and power to replicate his first-round knockout from their first fight. Poirier is durable but has been knocked down by lesser power. McGregor's takedown defense is solid, and he should be able to keep the fight on the feet. Poirier's cardio advantage may not matter if McGregor lands early. I see McGregor winning by first-round KO.
McGregor in round 1 (+175), McGregor in round 2 (+350), under 2.5 rounds (-175)
"I'll go with McGregor to win this fight by first round KO."
TH
The MMA Guru
Expert
Confident
picked Jan 17, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
The MMA Guru believes Conor McGregor's improved boxing, especially his left hand, will be too much for Dustin Poirier. He notes that Poirier has not thrown many kicks since his hip surgery and will rely on boxing, which plays into McGregor's strengths. He predicts McGregor will land a big left hand in the first round, knocking Poirier out cold around the four-minute mark, similar to the Michael Johnson KO. He dismisses the idea of a 60-second KO but is confident McGregor wins.
KO in first round, around 4-minute mark
"mcgregor's gonna be out landing poirier poirier is gonna get frustrated with losing the round he's gonna come forward with with a big exchange and when he does that he's gonna get ko'd the same way he did against michael …"
WIN
vs
Donald Cerrone
TKO (head kick and punches)
R1
0:40
·
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy ·
Jan 18, 2020
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 1 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 20 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 1 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 20 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 19 of 26 | 73% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 16 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 19 of 26 | 73% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 16 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
DA
Daniel Levi
Expert
Confident
picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
Daniel picks Conor McGregor to win by knockout, likely in the first round. He notes that McGregor's left hand is a huge factor and that Cerrone has historically folded under big lights. However, he questions McGregor's motivation and fatigue issues, but believes this is a tune-up fight for McGregor.
first round knockout
"I think McGregor is gonna come in fresh... I think he gets the win by knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night
Expert
Confident
picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
The host picks Conor McGregor to win by first-round KO, citing McGregor's range, speed, in-and-out movement, and left hand as key advantages. He believes Cerrone will struggle to deal with these attributes and that McGregor will set up a trap and land a clean left hand. However, he notes that if Cerrone's odds reach +300, he might place a small bet on Cerrone due to value, but his official prediction remains McGregor by first-round KO.
If Cerrone hits +300, might take a bet on Cerrone; under 1.5 rounds at +105 considered; McGregor by KO at -210 considered too steep; official pick is McGregor by first-round KO.
"my official pick'em my prediction is gonna be cornered by first round KO"
TH
The MMA Guru
Expert
Confident
picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Conor McGregor
The host strongly favors Conor McGregor, citing his first-round focus and accuracy against Donald Cerrone's lack of head movement and slow starts. He notes Cerrone's recent KO loss to Justin Gaethje and the short turnaround (4 months), which raises chin concerns. He believes McGregor's takedown defense is underrated and that Cerrone's wrestling won't be effective. He predicts a first-round KO by McGregor.
first round KO
"I think Conor McGregor gets it done in the first round by KO viciously viciously"
LOSS
vs
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Submission (neck crank)
R4
3:03
·
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor ·
Oct 06, 2018
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 70 of 119 | 58% | 104 of 157 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 12:14 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 51 of 81 | 62% | 96 of 128 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 18 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:08 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 39 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 41 of 60 | 68% | 58 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 17 of 39 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 44 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 11 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 70 of 119 | 58% | 58 of 105 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 45 of 63 |
| Conor McGregor | 51 of 81 | 62% | 34 of 60 | 16 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 35 of 65 | 10 of 10 | 6 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Conor McGregor | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 41 of 60 | 68% | 33 of 52 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 51 |
| Conor McGregor | 5 of 13 | 38% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 15 of 37 | 40% | 12 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Conor McGregor | 34 of 52 | 65% | 22 of 39 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 43 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 7 of 13 | 53% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Conor McGregor | 6 of 9 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
WIN
vs
Eddie Alvarez
TKO (punches)
R2
3:04
·
UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor ·
Nov 12, 2016
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 9 of 41 | 21% | 12 of 46 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Eddie Alvarez | 3 | 32 of 84 | 38% | 40 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 6 of 29 | 20% | 6 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Eddie Alvarez | 2 | 18 of 57 | 31% | 20 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:52 | |
| 2 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Eddie Alvarez | 1 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 9 of 41 | 21% | 2 of 27 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 4 | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eddie Alvarez | 32 of 84 | 38% | 24 of 71 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 24 of 67 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 6 of 29 | 20% | 1 of 18 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eddie Alvarez | 18 of 57 | 31% | 15 of 51 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 10 | |
| 2 | Conor McGregor | 3 of 12 | 25% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eddie Alvarez | 14 of 27 | 51% | 9 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
WIN
vs
Nate Diaz
Decision (majority) (48–47, 47–47, 48–47)
R5
5:00
·
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 ·
Aug 20, 2016
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 166 of 343 | 48% | 252 of 435 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 5:50 |
| Nate Diaz | 3 | 164 of 286 | 57% | 197 of 322 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 25 of 73 | 34% | 25 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nate Diaz | 1 | 34 of 58 | 58% | 34 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 37 of 76 | 48% | 51 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Nate Diaz | 2 | 34 of 70 | 48% | 36 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 49 of 87 | 56% | 79 of 117 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 37 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 4 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 36 of 63 | 57% | 48 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 46 of 76 | 60% | 56 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 5 | Conor McGregor | 0 | 19 of 44 | 43% | 49 of 77 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 34 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 166 of 343 | 48% | 107 of 256 | 50 of 71 | 9 of 16 | 88 of 227 | 77 of 112 | 1 of 4 |
| Nate Diaz | 164 of 286 | 57% | 98 of 212 | 26 of 29 | 40 of 45 | 137 of 253 | 27 of 32 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 25 of 73 | 34% | 11 of 49 | 6 of 11 | 8 of 13 | 25 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nate Diaz | 34 of 58 | 58% | 14 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 19 | 34 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Conor McGregor | 37 of 76 | 48% | 22 of 58 | 14 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 24 of 54 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 1 |
| Nate Diaz | 34 of 70 | 48% | 19 of 54 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 11 | 31 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Conor McGregor | 49 of 87 | 56% | 40 of 72 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 42 | 31 of 45 | 0 of 0 |
| Nate Diaz | 26 of 45 | 57% | 17 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 22 of 41 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Conor McGregor | 36 of 63 | 57% | 22 of 45 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 36 | 19 of 27 | 0 of 0 |
| Nate Diaz | 46 of 76 | 60% | 30 of 59 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 33 of 58 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 1 | |
| 5 | Conor McGregor | 19 of 44 | 43% | 12 of 32 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 22 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 3 |
| Nate Diaz | 24 of 37 | 64% | 18 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
LOSS
vs
Nate Diaz
Submission (rear-naked choke)
R2
4:09
·
UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz ·
Mar 05, 2016
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 0 | 61 of 140 | 43% | 66 of 145 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 77 of 152 | 50% | 89 of 169 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 28 of 74 | 37% | 32 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:35 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 23 of 62 | 37% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 0 | 33 of 66 | 50% | 34 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Conor McGregor | 0 | 54 of 90 | 60% | 63 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Diaz | 61 of 140 | 43% | 47 of 117 | 7 of 11 | 7 of 12 | 56 of 133 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
| Conor McGregor | 77 of 152 | 50% | 65 of 131 | 9 of 13 | 3 of 8 | 62 of 133 | 10 of 12 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Diaz | 28 of 74 | 37% | 18 of 58 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 10 | 26 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Conor McGregor | 23 of 62 | 37% | 16 of 50 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 6 | 23 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Nate Diaz | 33 of 66 | 50% | 29 of 59 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 30 of 62 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Conor McGregor | 54 of 90 | 60% | 49 of 81 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 39 of 72 | 10 of 12 | 5 of 6 |
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