Career Averages - Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Career Averages - Luigi Vendramini
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Magny | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 80 of 113 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 42 of 69 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 4:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Magny | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 29 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 2 | Neil Magny | 0 | 25 of 31 | 80% | 51 of 63 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 18 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Magny | 42 of 67 | 62% | 38 of 61 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 19 of 43 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 21 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 20 of 42 | 47% | 5 of 24 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 13 | 17 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Magny | 17 of 36 | 47% | 13 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 16 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 18 of 36 | 50% | 5 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 11 | 15 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Neil Magny | 25 of 31 | 80% | 25 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 21 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Connor picks Zaleski, noting that Magny has looked increasingly hurtable and gun-shy, while Zaleski still has power and violence in his game. He acknowledges both fighters may be declining, but Zaleski's underlying physicality and scrambling ability give him the edge. Connor doubts Magny can replicate his past comeback wins.
Zane also picks Zaleski, pointing out that Magny's recent performances show a decline in output and durability. He notes that Zaleski has historically struggled against rangy strikers, but Magny's current form may not pose that threat. Zane believes Zaleski's wrestling and scrambling will be too much for Magny to handle.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chidi Njokuani | 1 | 46 of 87 | 52% | 46 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 17 of 49 | 34% | 19 of 54 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chidi Njokuani | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 23 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 2 | Chidi Njokuani | 1 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 8 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chidi Njokuani | 46 of 87 | 52% | 17 of 38 | 16 of 32 | 13 of 17 | 36 of 71 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 13 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 17 of 49 | 34% | 5 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 16 | 13 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chidi Njokuani | 23 of 45 | 51% | 3 of 12 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 10 | 22 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 9 of 25 | 36% | 3 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chidi Njokuani | 23 of 42 | 54% | 14 of 26 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 13 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 8 of 24 | 33% | 2 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos over Chidi Njokuani. He acknowledges Njokuani is a better striker and younger, but he's concerned about Njokuani's volume being a one-off. Angelo trusts Zaleski's durability and wrestling, noting he almost finished Rakhmonov late. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside distance with decision no action as a possible alternative.
Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, noting that despite being 38, he still has good performances left. He highlights Zaleski's durability, cardio, and grappling advantage, and points out that Chidi Njokuani has a history of quitting when faced with adversity, especially when taken down. Brady believes if Zaleski gets on top or hurts Njokuani, the fight will end quickly. He predicts a second-round finish, either by KO or submission.
Cody picks Erceg despite the high price, citing his level of competition and size advantage. He acknowledges Ode Osborne's reach and speed could cause early problems, but expects Erceg to take over as Osborne fades due to short notice. He is wary of the minus 600 line but still sees Erceg winning.
Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Njokuani's desire to brawl in the pocket is exactly what Zaleski wants. He notes that Zaleski has a good chin and can outlast brawlers, and that Njokuani's range fighting is not his natural game. He also mentions that Zaleski can take the fight to the ground if needed.
Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.
The host believes Njokuani can replicate what Randy Brown did against Zaleski, using a distance striking approach and mixing in clinch Muay Thai. He expects Njokuani to land more damage and win at least two of three rounds on the scorecards.
Paul also picks Erceg, noting his superior technique and experience against top competition. He mentions Ode Osborne's power and submission threat but believes Erceg will outclass him. He considers an Ode Osborne KO prop but prefers Erceg on the moneyline.
The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani, citing his physical presence, 7-inch reach advantage, and nasty clinch effectiveness. He thinks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, a rangy kicker, will struggle with Njokuani's size and pressure. He notes Zaleski dos Santos often wins close decisions and is 38, while Njokuani is a slight underdog with good value. He predicts a 2-1 decision or a Njokuani finish.
Zane picks Zaleski because Njokuani is a phone booth fighter who wants to brawl in the clinch, which plays into Zaleski's strengths. He notes that Zaleski is durable, can out-grapple Njokuani, and has a path to victory if he mixes in takedowns. He also points out that Njokuani has poor takedown defense and is too content to play guard.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Zachary Scroggin | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Zachary Scroggin | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 11 of 35 | 31% | 7 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 29 |
| Zachary Scroggin | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 11 of 35 | 31% | 7 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 29 |
| Zachary Scroggin | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Zaleski but with low confidence. He thinks Zaleski has heavier hands and can get takedowns, but worries about his cardio. He expects Zaleski needs to win the first two rounds because he will likely lose the third. He might consider a plus 3.5 round bet on Scroggin if the odds are favorable. He understands people picking Scroggin due to his cardio and durability.
Big Brady sees this as a mismatch, with Zaleski being far more experienced and skilled. He notes Scroggin's low level of competition, poor takedown defense, and hittability. He believes Zaleski will win easily, likely by first-round knockout.
Cody is very confident in Zaleski, calling Scroggin a 'dead man walking.' He points out Scroggin's lack of power, poor wrestling, and weak competition. Cody notes Zaleski's experience, power, and ability to take down Randy Brown, and expects a dominant finish or clear decision.
Connor picks Zaleski as a lock, calling it a 'pick him fight'. He notes Zaleski's ability to outbrawl opponents and that Scroggin is a severely undercooked submission grappler with dreadful striking. Connor mentions Zaleski hasn't knocked anyone out in six years but wouldn't be surprised if he does here. He also comments on the odds being wide.
Daniel Vreeland picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, believing his experience and level of competition will be too much for UFC newcomer Zach Scroggin. He notes Scroggin's padded record and lack of tested skills, while Zaleski has fought top competition and has knockout power. Vreeland expects a rude welcome for Scroggin.
Scroggin is taking a huge step up in competition and despite his grappling, Zaleski should shut that down and use his striking advantage to find a finish in round two.
Paul agrees, noting Scroggin's short-notice debut and unimpressive regional competition. He highlights Zaleski's power and veteran savvy, and expects him to overwhelm Scroggin on the feet. Paul thinks the -500 line is fair but warns of banana peel pricing.
The Guru picks Nicholas Dalby, citing his high output and cardio. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos is 37 and hasn't had a KO since 2018. He expects Dalby to push a pace and break Zaleski over the fight, though he acknowledges Zaleski could win by TKO.
Zane picks Zaleski as a lock, describing Scroggin as a regional-level fighter with a submission grappling style and empty striking. He notes Zaleski is a really good opponent and that Scroggin has never faced a good opponent. Zane says Zaleski can go to war with anyone and it's up to him how he wins.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 0 | 67 of 141 | 47% | 89 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:42 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 26 of 76 | 34% | 42 of 94 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 5:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 0 | 34 of 71 | 47% | 35 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 9 of 34 | 26% | 9 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 15 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:32 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 19 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 3:52 | |
| 3 | Randy Brown | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 14 of 35 | 40% | 14 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 67 of 141 | 47% | 50 of 120 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 13 | 61 of 133 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 26 of 76 | 34% | 8 of 50 | 3 of 9 | 15 of 17 | 24 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 34 of 71 | 47% | 24 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 33 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 9 of 34 | 26% | 2 of 22 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 8 of 18 | 44% | 7 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Randy Brown | 25 of 52 | 48% | 19 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 24 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 14 of 35 | 40% | 4 of 22 | 0 of 3 | 10 of 10 | 13 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Randy Brown but with reduced confidence after studying Elizeu Zaleski. He believes Brown's length and range striking will keep him safe, and that Zaleski is chinny and can be dropped. However, he acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and ability to rally, so he leaves Brown out of the safety parlay.
Big Brady is fading Randy Brown, expecting the fight to go to decision. He thinks Brown won't shoot takedowns or get an early finish, and doesn't expect crazy volume. He notes if there is a finish, it likely comes from Zaleski dos Santos. He is comfortable staying away from Brown.
Cody picks Brown but is hesitant, acknowledging Zaleski's danger. He likes Brown's length, jab, and game plan but notes Brown has slowed down and his defensive grappling is suspect. Cody worries that Zaleski's power and forward pressure could sway judges. He plans to keep Brown low on parlays and might switch to Zaleski after weigh-ins.
Daniel Vreeland agrees with Jeff, emphasizing that Zaleski dos Santos relies on distance striking and leg kicks, but Brown's reach and takedown ability neutralize that. He sees Brown piecing him up from distance and potentially taking him down. Vreeland notes Brown is crafty everywhere and can adapt to any scenario.
Daniel likes Brown's recent confidence and footwork, and thinks Zaleski's chin is declining. He expects Brown to find openings with his jab and straight right, possibly getting a first-round KO. He laid -160 for two units.
Jeff Fox picks Randy Brown, citing his size advantage (4 inches height, 5 inches reach) and well-rounded skills. He notes Brown is sneaky good, has no real weaknesses, and can win on the feet or with takedowns. Fox believes Zaleski dos Santos will struggle to deal with Brown's reach and pressure, and that Brown can mix in wrestling to keep things interesting.
The host expects Brown to use his size, reach, and footwork to keep Zaleski at range and win a decision. Zaleski's inactivity and age are concerns, and his unorthodox style may not overcome Brown's disciplined jab and movement. Brown's recent improvements in range management should allow him to cruise to a decision victory.
Paul leans toward Zaleski as a dog, citing his forward pressure, damaging blows, and ability to land bigger shots. He notes Brown's style is conservative and may not impress judges, while Zaleski's aggression and power could sway them. Paul mentions Zaleski's age (37) but says he still throws heat and has good cardio. He sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown, believing his height and reach will trouble Zaleski dos Santos. He notes that Zaleski struggles against taller opponents and is older (37) with potential decline. Brown has good boxing at range and recent TKO wins. He predicts Brown by TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 1 | 87 of 186 | 46% | 109 of 216 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 4:25 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 75 of 152 | 49% | 115 of 211 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 1 | 37 of 61 | 60% | 47 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 27 of 73 | 36% | 32 of 78 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 23 of 52 | 44% | 30 of 63 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:29 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 43 of 68 | 63% | 76 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 87 of 186 | 46% | 50 of 144 | 11 of 16 | 26 of 26 | 65 of 156 | 7 of 8 | 15 of 22 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 75 of 152 | 49% | 47 of 113 | 17 of 26 | 11 of 13 | 57 of 129 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 37 of 61 | 60% | 17 of 40 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 15 | 21 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 21 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 10 of 34 | 29% | 5 of 25 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 27 of 73 | 36% | 15 of 57 | 3 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 24 of 70 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 22 of 50 | 44% | 12 of 38 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Rinat Fakhretdinov | 23 of 52 | 44% | 18 of 47 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 43 of 68 | 63% | 30 of 50 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 28 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 17 |
Angelo is very high on Fakhretdinov, calling him the pick done right. He highlights Fakhretdinov's non-stop wrestling, power, and pressure. He thinks the 36-year-old Zaleski won't have what it takes. Angelo has made money on Fakhretdinov in every UFC fight and likes him even more now. He considers Fakhretdinov safe to parlay.
Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by decision. He notes Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, controlling Brian Battle for 14 minutes and taking down Andreas Michailidis five times. He believes Fakhretdinov can take down Zaleski and grind out a decision, though he's not sure about a finish. He acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and BJJ but favors Fakhretdinov's wrestling and cardio.
Daniel Levi picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, impressed by his incredible stats: absorbs less than one strike per minute, 67% striking accuracy, over 5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and 100% takedown defense. He sees Fakhretdinov as a dominant wrestler who can control and finish fights. Levi respects Zaleski's toughness and highlight-reel kicks, but believes at 36 years old and coming off a suspension, Zaleski is in a tough spot. He expects Fakhretdinov to pressure, take him down, and possibly finish him.
James bet on Zaleski at +290, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Zaleski has much better takedown defense than Fakhretdinov's previous opponents and that if the fight stays on the feet, Zaleski is the more educated striker with nasty setups. He worries that Zaleski may be washed and can get hurt early, as seen in the Abubakar fight, but he also has Russian intel suggesting Fakhretdinov may be dealing with an injury and might strike more than grapple. James sees value in Zaleski as an underdog.
Fakhretdinov is a strong grappler with high-level cardio who chains takedowns together well. Zaleski may fend off takedowns early, but as the fight goes on, Fakhretdinov's pressure will be too much. He will accumulate top control time and win by decision. The line is a bit wide but Fakhretdinov should implement his style without too much resistance.
The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. He acknowledges Zaleski's underrated resume but notes his age and recent performances. The Guru highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant win over Brian Battle and his improving hands, combining grappling and striking. He believes Fakhretdinov's athleticism and pressure will be too much for the older Zaleski, predicting a decision or late finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 29 of 54 | 53% | 48 of 76 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 6:16 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 42 of 113 | 37% | 50 of 132 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 15 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 29 of 54 | 53% | 13 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 10 | 23 of 48 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 42 of 113 | 37% | 16 of 75 | 13 of 22 | 13 of 16 | 27 of 87 | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 12 of 16 | 75% | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 10 of 34 | 29% | 3 of 21 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 22 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 5 of 16 | 31% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 14 of 32 | 43% | 3 of 17 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 10 of 26 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 12 of 22 | 54% | 6 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 18 of 47 | 38% | 10 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 39 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nurmagomedov, citing the long layoff for Zaleski (1.5 years) and Nurmagomedov's wrestling pressure. He thinks Zaleski tends to lose to wrestlers and has been taken down by non-wrestlers. Angelo bet Nurmagomedov at +120 for a quarter unit. He acknowledges the line is tightening but still favors the active fighter.
Cody picks Nurmagomedov, citing Zaleski's poor takedown defense (67%) and history of being taken down by wrestlers. He notes Zaleski has never faced a wrestler like Nurmagomedov, and that his long layoff and past drug test issues are red flags. Cody thinks Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be enough to grind out a win, even if he's not a high-volume takedown artist.
Connor picks Zaleski despite acknowledging Abubakar's wrestling advantage, because he believes Abubakar's poor athleticism and tendency to gas will lead to a fade. He notes that Zaleski is a physical freak who doesn't fall apart easily, and that Abubakar's wrestling often leads to his own cardio issues. Connor expects Zaleski to rally after an initial tough round, possibly winning by KO as Abubakar tires.
Daniel picks Abubakar, citing Zaleski's age (36) and recent PED suspension as reasons he may not look the same. He believes Abubakar is catching him at the perfect time and can outwork him with a grinding decision. He notes that Zaleski has historically been a violence king, but the suspension and age are major concerns.
Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his leg kicks and striking will neutralize Nurmagomedov's takedowns. He thinks Zaleski's performance against Saint Denis showed improved takedown defense. Jacob notes Nurmagomedov is flat-footed and not overly dominant in wrestling. He expects Zaleski to light up the lead leg and win by finish or decision.
Nurmagomedov has shown improved striking and a reliable grappling game. Zaleski is dangerous but coming off a long layoff and suspension. Nurmagomedov will land takedowns, control from top, and grind out a decision. Zaleski could pull off a submission or knockout, but the Dagestani wrestler is the safer pick.
Paul picks Zaleski dos Santos as a slight underdog. He notes the line movement to Nurmagomedov as favorite is undeserved, and that Zaleski is the more dangerous striker with freakish power. Paul mentions Zaleski's takedown defense is a concern, but he thinks if the fight stays standing, Zaleski has a significant advantage. He also notes Zaleski's long layoff and past drug test issues but still sides with him.
The MMA Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov, comparing the matchup to a knockoff Khabib vs Edson Barboza. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos throws a lot of kicks on the back foot and lacks pace, and hasn't fought since October 2021 (over a year and a half off). He believes Nurmagomedov's grappling, pressure, and pace will be the difference, though he acknowledges Nurmagomedov has had iffy performances. He thinks the grappling of Nurmagomedov gets the win.
Zane picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov based on his strong positional grappling and wrestling advantage. He notes that Zaleski has poor takedown defense, having been taken down six times by Nicolas Dalby, and that few opponents have tested his wrestling since. Zane believes Abubakar's takedowns and top control will be decisive, though he acknowledges Abubakar's cardio issues could be a factor if he fails to finish early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 149 of 259 | 57% | 167 of 279 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 0 | 67 of 148 | 45% | 80 of 162 | 2 of 14 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 21 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 94 of 160 | 58% | 106 of 173 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 37 of 76 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 3 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 25 of 46 | 54% | 30 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 22 of 39 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 149 of 259 | 57% | 96 of 200 | 37 of 42 | 16 of 17 | 112 of 207 | 32 of 47 | 5 of 5 |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 67 of 148 | 45% | 40 of 114 | 20 of 27 | 7 of 7 | 64 of 140 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 30 of 53 | 56% | 11 of 34 | 9 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 50 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 19 of 45 | 42% | 7 of 29 | 8 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 94 of 160 | 58% | 76 of 139 | 17 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 63 of 116 | 29 of 42 | 2 of 2 |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 28 of 67 | 41% | 22 of 59 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 62 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 25 of 46 | 54% | 9 of 27 | 11 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 20 of 36 | 55% | 11 of 26 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks the underdog Benoît Saint Denis, citing his wrestling style as a key advantage. He notes that Benoît's low-level takedowns and pressure on top can neutralize Zaleski's dangerous capoeira striking. However, he expresses concern about Benoît's inexperience at this level, as he is only 8-0 and this is a big step up. He mentions he would bet if the line moved to +170, but is hesitant at current odds.
Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos to win by knockout in the second or third round. He views Saint Denis as too green, sloppy, and making too many mistakes. Zaleski is a well-rounded veteran with good striking and grappling. He expects Zaleski to teach Saint Denis a veteran lesson and get a finish. He is confident in the pick despite Saint Denis's finishing ability.
Cody agrees, noting Zaleski's experience and wins over Sean Strickland, Lyman Good, Max Griffin. He thinks Saint Denis will have early success with wrestling but will fatigue, and Zaleski will take over. He compares Saint Denis to a Contender Series fighter who gassed when faced with resistance.
Daniel picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, citing his battle-tested experience and versatility. He notes Zaleski's wins over Sean Strickland and his submission game. Daniel believes there are levels to the game and Zaleski will catch Saint Denis on a sloppy shot, possibly by submission or flying knee. He respects Saint Denis's regional success but thinks the step up in competition is too much.
Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his striking and ability to get back to his feet in scrambles will be decisive. He acknowledges Benoît's wrestling but thinks Zaleski can hold his own on the ground and win the striking exchanges. He is not super confident and dislikes the -850 line, but if forced to pick, he goes with Zaleski.
Zaleski is the more experienced veteran with good takedown defense and striking. Saint Denis is a submission hunter who gives up positions; if he doesn't finish early, Zaleski will find a knockout on the feet. Zaleski should survive the early onslaught and finish in the second round.
Paul picks Zaleski, citing his experience (12 UFC fights) and striking advantage. He thinks Saint Denis is hittable and robotic. He notes Zaleski has BJJ black belt in case it goes to the ground. He expects Zaleski to use veteran craftiness to keep it standing and eventually finish or win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Benoît Saint Denis as an underdog. He highlights Saint Denis's great grappling, youth (25 vs 35), and activity. He notes that Zaleski has slowed down in recent fights, throwing less volume to conserve energy. He expects Saint Denis to pressure and stick to Zaleski with sticky grappling, taking him down repeatedly. He predicts a third-round submission as Zaleski fades.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muslim Salikhov | 0 | 46 of 138 | 33% | 46 of 138 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 40 of 88 | 45% | 40 of 88 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muslim Salikhov | 0 | 20 of 50 | 40% | 20 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Muslim Salikhov | 0 | 9 of 41 | 21% | 9 of 41 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Muslim Salikhov | 0 | 17 of 47 | 36% | 17 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muslim Salikhov | 46 of 138 | 33% | 23 of 98 | 11 of 25 | 12 of 15 | 35 of 124 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 10 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 40 of 88 | 45% | 23 of 64 | 8 of 14 | 9 of 10 | 38 of 86 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muslim Salikhov | 20 of 50 | 40% | 11 of 36 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 10 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 14 of 23 | 60% | 6 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Muslim Salikhov | 9 of 41 | 21% | 3 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 13 of 27 | 48% | 8 of 20 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Muslim Salikhov | 17 of 47 | 36% | 9 of 34 | 2 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 13 of 38 | 34% | 9 of 30 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In what could be a terrific battle between two high-flying strikers, it’s Capoeira vs. Kung Fu as Zaleski dos Santos (22-6, 8-2 UFC) comes to blows with Salikhov (16-2, 0-0 UFC). Hanging on tight is referee Herb Dean, who will have a tall task ahead in this welterweight scrap. The two flashy strikers touch gloves, and both paw out left hands that fall short. Zaleski dos Santos kicks low, and fakes to kick high, drawing a reaction from his opponent. The Dagestani fighter counters with a looping right, and Zaleski dos Santos evades it in time. Salikhov lands with a low kick, and Zaleski dos Santos connects to the body, which marks up Salikhov’s torso immediately. He slaps another body kick, so Salikhov counters with a right and follows it with a leg kick. Salikhov throws a low kick, avoids the counter and catches Zaleski dos Santos at the end of a left hand. Zaleski dos Santos charges forward with a salvo of punches, and lands a few in the process. Salikhov spins with a kick, and Zaleski dos Santos blocks it without much effort. When Zaleski dos Santos kicks to the lead leg, Salikhov times an overhand right that zings across the hair of his foe. Salikhov digs to the body with a spinning back kick, and this time Zaleski dos Santos is not quick enough to defend it. He comes back with a spinning wheel kick, and Salikhov blocks it, so Zaleski dos Santos charges forward with a few punches. Salikhov blocks them and fires another quick spinning back kick to the midsection. A powerful left hand from Salikhov stings Zaleski dos Santos, pausing the Brazilian for a moment. Zaleski dos Santos shoots in low for a takedown, and the Dagestani fighter stuffs it but gets tied up in a clinch. Zaleski dos Santos lifts a few knees up to the body, until Salikhov pushes himself free. Zaleski dos Santos wings up with a massive right hand, hurting Salikhov, so “Capoeira” chases after him with a few more. Salikhov shoots for a desperation takedown, and he lands it, but Zaleski dos Santos reverses the position and ends the round wailing on him with punches.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Round 2
Zaleski dos Santos opens up the round with a low kick, and a one-two finds its home as “King of Kung Fu” looks to back off and get in his own rhythm. Zaleski dos Santos stings him with a right, and Salikhov fires back with a powerful left that makes Zaleski dos Santos take a step back. Salikhov kicks low, and takes a few jabs and backpedals to avoid a blitz from the Brazilian. Salikhov kicks to the body, so Zaleski dos Santos spins with a wheel kick. Salikhov catches the kick in midair, and throws Zaleski dos Santos down to the ground like a sack of flour. When Zaleski dos Santos gets back up, the two laugh it off, until Zaleski dos Santos winds up with a massive right hand that rings his opponent’s bell. As he plows forward with offense, Zaleski dos Santos ties him up and tries to wrench the fight down with a body lock takedown. Salikhov staves it off, so Zaleski dos Santos delivers a couple knees up the middle. Salikhov pushes away, and the two take the center of the cage again. Zaleski dos Santos flicks out a few jabs, and follows one with a windmilling right hand that Salikhov sees coming from a mile away. Salikhov throws another spinning kick, and Zaleski dos Santos returns fire with an identical kick. Zaleski dos Santos chains that kick with a high kick, and Salikhov blocks it and fires a speedy wheel kick that just misses Zaleski dos Santos’s head. The Brazilian pops out a jab, and a one-two is delivered part and parcel. The two trade single strikes until we hear the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Round 3
The two men touch gloves to start the last round, and Zaleski dos Santos introduces his foot to the side of Salikhov’s midsection. A few jabs from the Brazilian keep Salikhov back, until the Dagestani fighter rings home a right hand. Zaleski dos Santos digs to the body with a front kick, and keeps his momentum by spinning into a capoeira kick. Salikhov evades it and responds with an overhand left that gets Zaleski dos Santos’ attention. After a tepid moment where the two lazily throw out jabs, Salikhov misses with a leaping left hand. The two jab each other in the face at the same time, and Zaleski dos Santos works a low kick into a right hand that is inches short of full impact. Salikhov rushes in with a big punch, and Zaleski dos Santos catches him with a thudding counter, forcing Salikhov to take step backwards. “King of Kung Fu” is stalking down Zaleski dos Santos around the cage, with a leg kick and a few punches to try to make the Brazilian back away. A right hand from Salikhov connects, and when he sees a punch coming, he counters Zaleski dos Santos with a stiff right. Two punches swing by Salikhov’s head, so the Dagestani fighter comes back at him with a right. Salikhov jabs to the body as he avoids a foot to the face, but these two strikers are dwindling to single strikes. With no setup, Salikhov fires off a spinning back kick that glances off the side of Zaleski dos Santos’ head. Salikhov stalks him down but does not unload on him, and backs away while goading his opponent to come at him. “Capoeira” winds up with seconds to go with a spinning tornado kick, and Salikhov is well out of the way, applauding as the kick goes flying. Time expires, and this fight goes the distance.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (29-28 Zaleski dos Santos)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos (30-27 Zaleski dos Santos)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (29-28 Zaleski dos Santos)
The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by decision, believing he will outwork Salikhov with higher output. He thinks Salikhov's only path is a knockout, but Zaleski has a good chin and can also win via takedowns or submission. He considers Zaleski underrated and the slight favorite should be him.
Daniel Levi picks Muslim Salikhov, emphasizing his speed, accuracy, and power on the feet. He believes Salikhov will knock out Zaleski if they stand, and notes improved takedown defense. He criticizes the narrative that Zaleski can out-volume Salikhov, saying Salikhov's shots are fight-changing. He also mentions the location (Abu Dhabi) may favor Salikhov in a decision.
Zaleski is a better grappler and jiu-jitsu player. He can use his capoeira striking to set up takedowns and exploit Salikhov's flaws on the ground. The line at +115 is good value, as the fight should be closer to a pick'em. Picks Zaleski by second-round submission.
The Guru picks Zaleski dos Santos by TKO, saying he thinks he gets it done by decision or TKO. He does not elaborate further.
Luigi Vendramini - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Pimblett | 1 | 47 of 81 | 58% | 47 of 81 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 30 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paddy Pimblett | 1 | 47 of 81 | 58% | 47 of 81 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 30 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Pimblett | 47 of 81 | 58% | 29 of 62 | 7 of 8 | 11 of 11 | 46 of 80 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 25 of 51 | 49% | 14 of 40 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 45 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paddy Pimblett | 47 of 81 | 58% | 29 of 62 | 7 of 8 | 11 of 11 | 46 of 80 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 25 of 51 | 49% | 14 of 40 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 45 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Paddy Pimblett to win by decision, but is not confident. He thinks Pimblett's wrestling and strength will be key, as he can get takedowns more effectively than Vendramini (who has 8% takedown accuracy). Both are BJJ black belts, so submissions are unlikely. Brady favors Vendramini slightly on the feet but expects the fight to play out on the mat with Pimblett on top. He notes the odds seem off and should be closer to a pick'em.
Cody picks Vendramini as his first underdog, citing Pimblett's lack of activity, questionable competition, and reliance on grappling. He notes Vendramini's physical strength and decent grappling, which should neutralize Pimblett's best weapons. He expects a competitive fight and likes the over 2.5 rounds.
I don't rate Paddy Pimblett as a UFC-caliber fighter; his hype is overblown. He lost to Stevie Ray via heel hook and has only beaten low-level competition. Vendramini is a BJJ black belt with power in his hands and better striking. However, I have concerns about Vendramini's get-up game if Pimblett takes him down. But I think Vendramini's skill set is more translatable to the UFC. I lean Vendramini on the moneyline and like the over 2.5 rounds or goes the distance at plus money.
Paul is also on Vendramini, calling it a clear dogger pass. He notes Pimblett's hype and inactivity, and believes Vendramini has advantages in power and physicality. He has been waiting to bet Vendramini and is trying to get the best price.
The MMA Guru picks Paddy Pimblett to win by first-round submission. He praises Pimblett's submission ability, stand-up, kicks, and cardio. He predicts Pimblett will use judo to take Vendramini down, take his back, and secure a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Vendramini's toughness and power but believes Pimblett's chin and experience will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farès Ziam | 0 | 39 of 121 | 32% | 43 of 125 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 34 of 95 | 35% | 50 of 116 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farès Ziam | 0 | 14 of 42 | 33% | 14 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 7 of 26 | 26% | 7 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Farès Ziam | 0 | 18 of 61 | 29% | 18 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 10 of 32 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Farès Ziam | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 33 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farès Ziam | 39 of 121 | 32% | 24 of 106 | 8 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 37 of 118 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 34 of 95 | 35% | 19 of 73 | 11 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 26 of 83 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farès Ziam | 14 of 42 | 33% | 9 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 7 of 26 | 26% | 3 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Farès Ziam | 18 of 61 | 29% | 11 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 10 of 32 | 31% | 3 of 23 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Farès Ziam | 7 of 18 | 38% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 17 of 37 | 45% | 13 of 31 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 9 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Switching gears to the lightweight division, two finish-happy fighters that have gone 1-1 in the UFC will toe the line as “Smile Killer” Ziam (11-3, 1-1 UFC) tries to kill the smile of Brazilian-Italian prospect Vendramini (9-1, 1-1 UFC). Drawing the assignment is referee Mike Beltran, who observes the two touching gloves before throwing down. Looking to find his range early is a Ziam, who has the frame to utilize his jab effectively – he does so. Vendramini crashes in to clinch and take the distance away, and Ziam shoves him away and gets back to a jab that has already marked up the nose fast. Ziam’s fakes and feints are freezing Vendramini, but the Italian successfully scores a kick to the knee. “Smile Killer” pierces the guard with a few jabs, breaking up a combination and getting out of the way of looping shots in time. A quick leg kick from Ziam lands, and Beltran tells Ziam he needs to close his fingers when striking. Vendramini looks for a left hook to counter, but Ziam sees it coming and is ready with a few jabs to the head and body. The crowd grows restless as the two measure one another from afar, and Ziam walks through a kick to get in several jabs and a quick left hook to follow. Ziam makes his opponent walk into a right hand, and a kick to the thigh follows suit as Vendramini is unable to get in his rhythm. Vendramini tries to win shots at him, but Ziam is light on his feet as he hops back out of danger. Ziam’s jab continues to get the job done as Vendramini is attempting to power through and throw big strikes, but those strikes come up hitting nothing but air. Ziam kicks the leg and gets popped in the nose, but he responds in kind with a sharp jab up the middle. A high kick glances off Ziam’s shoulder right before the round ends, and Ziam is proud of his work early on.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Round 2
The Frenchman picks up where he left off with several jabs, and Vendramini is changing his approach as he rushes forward to throw bombs. When Ziam backs away, he slips up a front kick that collides off Vendramini’s chin, and Vendramini falls forward into a takedown attempt. Ziam stuffs he and circles away against the fence, before the two return to the center of the cage. Vendramini attacks with a single leg takedown, and Ziam stifles it and wings an elbow that is inches shy of his intended target. Ziam keeps his jab going intermittently, and Vendramini has decided to stop eating them and charge like a bull. This plays into Ziam’s hands, who darts out of the way and counters on the outside. A left hand high and a one to the body come together, and Vendramini is taking damage as Ziam’s left hand is poking holes in him. Vendramini scores a single inside leg kick, but Ziam ignores it to get off a pair of punches in response. Vendramini has a leg kick checked, and Ziam absorbs a second one. The range of Ziam is allowing him to land strikes from afar, and his head movement protects him from harm as Vendramini is selling out to throw bombs. A few big punches from Vendramini turn into a double leg takedown attempt, and Ziam impressively shucks him off after getting driven into the cage. When the two separate, Vendramini wants to do some damage, with several wide shots that all come up short. Ziam sticks him with jab after unanswered jab, and he changes it up with a stomp kick to the knee as the crowd is getting bored. The Frenchman does not notice the unrest and does not change up his gameplan, with his jabs flowing right to the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Round 3
Ziam picks up right where he left off with sharp jabs, and Vendramini is not playing around anymore as he surges forward with enormous punches that catch Ziam standing tall. Vendramini sprints ahead, throwing everything he has into these strikes, and a few of them manage to connect and send Ziam flying. Vendramini’s foot firmly on the accelerator, Ziam can do nothing but run away, and Vendramini catches up with him. As Ziam retreats, he stumbles, and Vendramini blitzes forward and tackles him to the ground. Quickly and methodically, Vendramini climbs on top and advances his position. “The Italian Stallion” steps over to half guard and then mount, all while landing strikes from above, Ziam gives up his back for a second to regain his position, but Vendramini backs off and returns to half guard. As Ziam sits up, Vendramini snags his neck and tries to hook up an arm-in guillotine choke. When Ziam defends it, Vendramini recaptures mount and slams his fist into the side of Ziam’s head. Ziam manages to get his foe back to his guard, and he tries to sit up against the fence. Vendramini postures up when he does this and smashes his elbow into his opponent’s face. Ziam is shocked as he tries to kick off, and with a sudden explosion, he powers back to his feet and shoves Vendramini away. Ziam appears no worse for wear as he sticks out his jab, keeping Vendramini at bay. Ziam is fully on his bike, escaping from any time Vendramini charges recklessly. Ziam takes a punch when circling away, but Vendramini locks him down against the fence and blasts him in the face with a few punches. Ziam bounces off the fence and continues to strafe back and forth, fully in survival mode as his offense has dwindled almost to nothing. Vendramini tries one last-ditch effort to attack, but Ziam ties him up and holds on tight until the final bell. It will be interesting to see how judges score this round, and as a draw is not outside of the realm of possibility.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vendramini (29-28 Ziam)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Vendramini (29-28 Ziam)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vendramini (29-28 Ziam)
The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Luigi Vendramini via Majority Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
Big Brady picks Luigi Vendramini, citing Ziam's poor takedown defense (taken down 8 times in 2 UFC fights) and Vendramini's black belt BJJ. He expects Vendramini to close the distance, take the fight to the mat, and secure a submission. He notes the line movement is surprising and sees value in Vendramini.
Cody leans towards Vendramini, citing his wrestling and grappling advantage. He thinks Vendramini's takedown ability and power could be decisive, but he has cardio concerns. He sees it as a pass situation but picks Vendramini gun to head.
Daniel Levi picks Luigi Vendramini as the underdog, noting that he has been more impressed with Vendramini's performances, including taking Elijah Zaleski's back and a vicious knockout. He acknowledges both fighters are young and green, but sees more upside in Vendramini. He suggests the fight should be a pick'em, so the plus money is valuable.
Ziam has a stick-and-move striking advantage, able to keep the fight at distance and debilitate Vendramini with kicks. Vendramini is stronger and has a good ground game, but Ziam's movement should nullify the clinch and takedown attempts. Low confidence due to Ziam still being green and Vendramini's submission threat. The most likely outcome is Ziam by decision.
Paul leans towards Ziam, citing his technical striking and reach advantage. He thinks Ziam can keep the fight standing and outpoint Vendramini. He sees it as a pass situation but picks Ziam for the show.
The MMA Guru picks Luigi Vendramini, citing his more understandable loss (to Alessio Di Chirico on short notice) compared to Ziam's loss to Don Madge. He highlights Vendramini's KO ability, versatility on the feet, and submission skills, noting he can win by decision, sub, or KO. He questions Ziam's grappling defense after being held down by Jamie Mullarkey.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luigi Vendramini | 1 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jessin Ayari | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luigi Vendramini | 1 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jessin Ayari | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luigi Vendramini | 13 of 23 | 56% | 11 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 |
| Jessin Ayari | 2 of 10 | 20% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luigi Vendramini | 13 of 23 | 56% | 11 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 |
| Jessin Ayari | 2 of 10 | 20% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Luigi Vendramini to win by submission. He notes that Vendramini is a BJJ black belt with a 100% finish rate, while Ayari is low volume and not a finisher. He believes if Vendramini gets a takedown, he will submit Ayari, and that Ayari's only path is an ugly decision.
Daniel picks Vendramini, reasoning that his moment of success against Zaleski (taking his back and almost choking him out) was more impressive than Ayari's split decision loss to Stevie Ray. He admits it's not a confident pick because both have been inactive for two years, but he favors Vendramini's potential finishing ability.
The host notes a lack of tape on Luigi Vendramini, making it difficult to assess his takedown success. He favors Jessin Ayari's striking and range management, predicting a decision win, but admits low confidence due to insufficient data on Vendramini.
The Guru picks Jessin Ayari as an upset, arguing that Ayari has faced much better competition than Vendramini, who has fought 'absolute cans'. He notes Ayari is only 28 and still has his career ahead, and that Vendramini's recent loss to Alessio Di Chirico on short notice is a concern. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Ayari.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 1 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 7 of 21 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 1 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 15 of 32 | 46% | 8 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 4 of 17 | 23% | 1 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 8 of 17 | 47% | 3 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 7 of 15 | 46% | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Luigi Vendramini | 3 of 9 | 33% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
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