Career Averages - Katlyn Cerminara
Career Averages - Alexis Davis
Katlyn Cerminara - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 66 of 152 | 43% | 99 of 186 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 84 of 150 | 56% | 122 of 189 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 29 of 40 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 31 of 48 | 64% | 46 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 24 of 56 | 42% | 40 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 35 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 20 of 64 | 31% | 30 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 31 of 54 | 57% | 41 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 66 of 152 | 43% | 44 of 122 | 21 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 43 of 124 | 23 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 84 of 150 | 56% | 59 of 121 | 18 of 22 | 7 of 7 | 44 of 107 | 36 of 39 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 22 of 32 | 68% | 9 of 18 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 16 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 31 of 48 | 64% | 26 of 43 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 24 | 20 of 22 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 24 of 56 | 42% | 20 of 50 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 53 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 22 of 48 | 45% | 12 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 42 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 20 of 64 | 31% | 15 of 54 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 16 of 56 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 31 of 54 | 57% | 21 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 41 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo slightly leans Maycee Barber due to her recent surge and well-rounded game, but warns that Katlyn Cerminara can drag opponents into a boring decision. He thinks Barber is too big a favorite. He suggests over 2.5 rounds as a safe bet.
Big Brady picks Maycee Barber to win, but is scared of the judges. He notes that Barber is younger, more physical, and has power, while Cerminara has zero finishes and low striking accuracy. He expects Barber's power shots to be the difference, but fears a split decision due to Cerminara's history of controversial wins.
Cody thinks Barber is overvalued and has shown poor takedown defense, while Cerminara is a smart fighter who can mix in takedowns and use her volume and movement. He believes Cerminara can win a close decision by outworking Barber.
Daniel picks Barber but has no confidence. He notes Barber has power and gets violent when she closes the distance, but she has had controversial decisions and can be held down. He sees Cerminara as a gatekeeper who can outstrike with volume. Daniel is not interested at the price and calls it a no-confidence pick.
Cerminara (formerly Chookagian) has a reliable style of staying on the outside, using her jab and kicks, and maintaining high output. She has been out for over a year but is still capable of veteran performances. Barber is on a winning streak but has had controversial decisions and can be taken down and controlled. Cerminara's volume and optics should allow her to win rounds on the scorecards. I expect her to touch up Barber from distance and win a decision. The plus money is appealing.
Paul agrees with the CF dog model but has some hesitation because Barber can be a brawler and has shown power. He thinks if Barber comes in aggressive, she could overwhelm Cerminara, but at plus money, he leans toward Cerminara.
The MMA Guru picks Maycee Barber, dismissing Katlyn Cerminara as not good and noting her inactivity (last fight in October 2022). He highlights Barber's youth (25), power, and strength, especially since moving to flyweight. He believes Barber's finishing potential and physicality will be too much for Cerminara.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 76 of 286 | 26% | 76 of 286 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 98 of 279 | 35% | 99 of 280 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 25 of 86 | 29% | 25 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 29 of 84 | 34% | 29 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 23 of 94 | 24% | 23 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 43 of 95 | 45% | 43 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 28 of 106 | 26% | 28 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 26 of 100 | 26% | 27 of 101 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 76 of 286 | 26% | 35 of 223 | 21 of 40 | 20 of 23 | 72 of 278 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 98 of 279 | 35% | 58 of 225 | 16 of 28 | 24 of 26 | 96 of 273 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 25 of 86 | 29% | 13 of 65 | 5 of 12 | 7 of 9 | 25 of 84 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 29 of 84 | 34% | 15 of 64 | 4 of 10 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 82 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Manon Fiorot | 23 of 94 | 24% | 12 of 74 | 5 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 91 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 43 of 95 | 45% | 29 of 76 | 7 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 43 of 95 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Manon Fiorot | 28 of 106 | 26% | 10 of 84 | 11 of 14 | 7 of 8 | 26 of 103 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 26 of 100 | 26% | 14 of 85 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 24 of 96 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo leans Manon Fiorot, citing her superior striking, power, and takedowns. He acknowledges that Katlyn Chookagian knows how to win decisions and could steal a close fight, but believes Fiorot should be better everywhere. He advises no money or parlays on Fiorot.
Big Brady picks Fiorot to win by decision. He highlights Fiorot's power advantage and ability to mix in takedowns, noting she took down black belts Jennifer Maia and Mayra Bueno Silva. Cerminara has low striking accuracy (35%) and poor takedown defense (54%). He believes Fiorot can land the more impactful shots and control the fight on the ground if needed.
Cody is sold on Fiorot, calling her the best in the division not named Valentina. He notes her speed, power, and complete game, and that she has been rolling through opponents. He thinks Chookagian's volume lacks impact and that Fiorot is better in every aspect. Cody expects Fiorot to win and eventually challenge for the title.
Connor picks Cerminara, believing she has improved her boxing and ability to create memorable contact, making her a consistent round winner. He notes that Fiorot is often one-and-done with her striking and leaves openings, which Cerminara can exploit. He sees this as a natural gatekeeper role for Cerminara against a rising prospect.
Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He thinks Fiorot can match or surpass Katlyn Cerminara's volume while minimizing strikes absorbed, citing Fiorot's 70% defense. He notes Fiorot has takedown defense and has landed takedowns herself. Levi respects Cerminara's experience and ability to win decisions, but believes Fiorot is the more promising fighter with fewer holes. He does not see value at -215 but picks Fiorot to pass this test.
Fiorot does the same thing as Chookagian but with more power and efficiency. She has good takedown defense and can redirect momentum. Chookagian may try to grapple, but Fiorot is stronger in the clinch. Fiorot by decision at -110 is a better line than the moneyline.
Paul likely picks Fiorot but is not confident, noting that it could be a close striking battle. He mentions Chookagian's experience and that Fiorot is still improving. Paul thinks Fiorot should win but acknowledges it could be a split decision.
The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) by TKO. He believes Fiorot's stand-up is superior and that she will hurt Chookagian with body kicks, then swarm for a TKO. He notes Chookagian's tendency for close decisions and Fiorot's youth and improvement.
Zane picks Fiorot, citing her size, power, and ability to make Cerminara uncomfortable. He notes that Cerminara has struggled against good athletes who can get to her, and Fiorot's strength and reach will pose problems. He acknowledges it's a coin flip but leans on Fiorot's power and the fact that Cerminara's recent wins have been against smaller opponents.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 63 of 222 | 28% | 71 of 230 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 55 of 169 | 32% | 84 of 204 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 20 of 62 | 32% | 25 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 7 of 34 | 20% | 15 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 24 of 61 | 39% | 27 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 28 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 19 of 99 | 19% | 19 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 33 of 89 | 37% | 41 of 97 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 63 of 222 | 28% | 42 of 175 | 20 of 44 | 1 of 3 | 56 of 210 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 55 of 169 | 32% | 28 of 124 | 8 of 23 | 19 of 22 | 49 of 156 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 20 of 62 | 32% | 13 of 46 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 17 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 7 of 34 | 20% | 5 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 24 of 61 | 39% | 17 of 48 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 57 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 15 of 46 | 32% | 7 of 34 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 13 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 19 of 99 | 19% | 12 of 81 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 94 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 33 of 89 | 37% | 16 of 62 | 5 of 14 | 12 of 13 | 32 of 86 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Chookagian, agreeing she is a rightful favorite. He notes Ribas has been matched softly and showed limitations against Marina Rodriguez. He thinks Chookagian will out-volume Ribas on the outside, stuff takedowns, and win a decision. He mentions Chookagian's grappling has improved.
Paul is very confident in Chookagian by decision, calling it one of his first bets. He notes she out-volumes everyone, only gets finished by elite fighters, and Ribas's wrestling isn't good enough. He says 95% of her win probability is tied to a decision, and the decision prop at +120 is great value.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 72 of 177 | 40% | 81 of 188 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 52 of 171 | 30% | 60 of 180 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 24 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 20 of 51 | 39% | 21 of 53 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 15 of 49 | 30% | 17 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 36 of 85 | 42% | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 23 of 90 | 25% | 24 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 72 of 177 | 40% | 44 of 136 | 21 of 32 | 7 of 9 | 68 of 171 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 52 of 171 | 30% | 31 of 143 | 5 of 8 | 16 of 20 | 48 of 167 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 16 of 41 | 39% | 8 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 14 of 32 | 43% | 7 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 20 of 51 | 39% | 10 of 35 | 8 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 15 of 49 | 30% | 9 of 40 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 46 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 36 of 85 | 42% | 26 of 69 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 23 of 90 | 25% | 15 of 80 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Cerminara based on her volume and pace, referencing their first fight where she outstruck Maia even while on her back for half a round. He expects Maia to grapple more but believes Cerminara's takedown defense and striking output will win another decision.
Big Brady expects the fight to play out similarly to their first meeting, with Cerminara using her reach and staying on the outside to outpoint Maia. He criticizes Maia's fight IQ, noting she rarely shoots takedowns despite having good grappling. He thinks Maia could win if she wrestles but does not trust her to do so. He picks Cerminara by decision but is not touching the moneyline due to the close nature of the fight.
Cody picks Chookagian, highlighting her volume, speed, and improved grappling since the first fight. He doubts Maia's ability to implement a wrestling-heavy game plan, noting Maia's takedown success is overblown. He expects Chookagian to win by decision, likely 30-27 or 29-28. He recommends the decision prop at -120.
Daniel Levi leans toward Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) but is not confident. He notes that Chookagian's volume and movement at distance will likely edge two rounds, but Maia has a path to victory if she implements her grappling earlier. He mentions Maia's top control and that she won a round against Valentina Shevchenko. Levi thinks the line should be closer and could see Maia winning, but ultimately leans Chookagian.
The host expects a repeat of their first fight, where Cerminara's stick-and-move style frustrated Maia. He believes Cerminara's range and movement will be too much for Maia, who hasn't shown significant improvement since their last bout. He notes Maia's takedown success in the third round of their first fight but thinks Cerminara can escape similar positions. The host is confident in Cerminara winning a decision, citing her consistent performance against similar opponents.
Paul picks Chookagian, expecting a similar fight to their first where Chookagian's volume and reach advantage win rounds. He notes Maia's path is takedowns, but doubts she can secure them early and often. He mentions Chookagian's improved ground game and Maia's inconsistent wrestling. He sees a decision win for Chookagian.
The MMA Guru picks Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) to win by decision, citing her superior stand-up and reach advantage (68-inch reach vs Maia's 64-inch). He notes that Maia had a close fight with Jessica Eye, who is on her way out, while Chookagian has beaten Cynthia Calvillo and Antonina Shevchenko. He trusts Chookagian to keep the fight standing and out-strike Maia at range, and he values her activity and recent grappling improvement. He predicts a unanimous decision (30-27).
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 127 of 292 | 43% | 135 of 300 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 89 of 196 | 45% | 129 of 238 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 3:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 43 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 36 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 35 of 76 | 46% | 37 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 58 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:06 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 55 of 125 | 44% | 55 of 125 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 35 of 92 | 38% | 35 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 127 of 292 | 43% | 87 of 236 | 31 of 46 | 9 of 10 | 121 of 286 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 89 of 196 | 45% | 60 of 162 | 24 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 85 of 192 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 37 of 91 | 40% | 21 of 67 | 13 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 33 of 87 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 32 of 56 | 57% | 17 of 38 | 13 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 29 of 53 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 35 of 76 | 46% | 24 of 62 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 34 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 22 of 48 | 45% | 19 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 55 of 125 | 44% | 42 of 107 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 54 of 124 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 35 of 92 | 38% | 24 of 79 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 34 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Araújo is the better striker with higher volume and power. She also has takedown ability and a black belt in BJJ. Cerminara gets outlanded in most fights and relies on noise to sway judges, but with a crowd that won't work. Araújo's cardio is a concern, but she has been improving. I think she wins a decision.
Cody agrees with Paul, picking Chookagian. He emphasizes that Araújo has poor cardio and gives up takedowns when tired. Cody believes Chookagian's improved wrestling and defensive grappling will allow her to control the fight. He notes that Chookagian's volume and ability to stay on the outside will be effective.
Daniel Levi picks Viviane Araújo as a dog, citing her power, explosiveness, and footwork. He notes that Chookagian struggles when pressured and that Araújo can land big overhand rights. However, he is concerned about Araújo's cardio and whether she can maintain output for three rounds. Levi thinks it's a close fight and a dog-or-pass situation, but leans toward Araújo for a split decision.
The host is confident in Chookagian, citing her endless cardio, movement, and volume. He thinks she will stay on her bicycle, jab, and leg kick, making Araújo uncomfortable and causing her to gas. He notes Araújo's takedown defense is good but Chookagian's style should nullify her. He predicts a decision win and calls minus 135 a great line.
Paul picks Chookagian, noting that she only loses to the elite and has improved her wrestling and grappling. He highlights that Araújo has cardio issues and gives up takedowns when tired. Paul expects Chookagian to use her wrestling to neutralize Araújo's physicality and win the later rounds. He mentions that Chookagian's volume and defensive wrestling will be key.
The MMA Guru picks Katlyn Cerminara over Viviane Araújo, praising Cerminara's underrated skills and her performance against Valentina Shevchenko. He notes Araújo lacks finishing ability and believes Cerminara's grappling and range will be key. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 69 of 230 | 30% | 69 of 230 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 60 of 197 | 30% | 60 of 197 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 27 of 72 | 37% | 27 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 21 of 60 | 35% | 21 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 24 of 80 | 30% | 24 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 17 of 71 | 23% | 17 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 18 of 78 | 23% | 18 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 66 | 33% | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 69 of 230 | 30% | 45 of 190 | 11 of 22 | 13 of 18 | 68 of 227 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 60 of 197 | 30% | 31 of 134 | 17 of 46 | 12 of 17 | 59 of 196 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 27 of 72 | 37% | 11 of 51 | 7 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 27 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 21 of 60 | 35% | 11 of 42 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 21 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 24 of 80 | 30% | 19 of 71 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 17 of 71 | 23% | 8 of 51 | 6 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 17 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 18 of 78 | 23% | 15 of 68 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 66 | 33% | 12 of 41 | 7 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 21 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by decision. He notes Calvillo has good wrestling and Chookagian has poor takedown defense (48%). He thinks Calvillo will take her down and control the fight, though the line is too wide for a close fight.
Daniel picks Calvillo, citing her toughness, improved striking, and ground game. He notes Chookagian has been talking about retirement and was stopped in her last fight. He believes Calvillo is hungrier and will impose her will, especially if she gets top position.
The host picks Katlyn Cerminara to win by decision, seeing massive value at plus money. He believes her movement and range will cause problems for Calvillo, and that she can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the ground. He thinks the line is too wide and that Cerminara has a good chance.
The MMA Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Calvillo's takedowns will be the difference, as she has evolved and has good grappling. He notes Chookagian may be coming back too soon after a body shot loss, and that Calvillo has wins over top flyweights like Joanne Calderwood.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 19 of 53 | 35% | 27 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 1 | 28 of 43 | 65% | 62 of 79 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 19 of 53 | 35% | 27 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 1 | 28 of 43 | 65% | 62 of 79 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 19 of 53 | 35% | 7 of 35 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 41 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 28 of 43 | 65% | 11 of 24 | 11 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 28 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 19 of 53 | 35% | 7 of 35 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 41 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 28 of 43 | 65% | 11 of 24 | 11 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 28 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 6 |
Big Brady picks Andrade despite the size disadvantage, citing her superior wrestling and power. He notes Chookagian has poor takedown defense and is often out-landed but wins decisions due to volume. He expects Andrade to close the distance, get takedowns, and land harder shots, winning a decision. He is wary of judges favoring Chookagian.
The MMA Guru picks Jéssica Andrade because she has fought at a higher level in strawweight and has the skills to pressure and beat Cerminara. He worries about Andrade's height disadvantage but believes she can take the fight to the ground and win the later rounds. He expects Andrade to win the second and third rounds, possibly losing the first.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 73 of 108 | 67% | 200 of 240 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 10:36 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 25 of 64 | 39% | 37 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 20 of 24 | 83% | 70 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 4:27 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 18 of 21 | 85% | 83 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:53 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 35 of 63 | 55% | 47 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 17 of 54 | 31% | 19 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 73 of 108 | 67% | 55 of 81 | 12 of 18 | 6 of 9 | 22 of 49 | 4 of 4 | 47 of 55 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 25 of 64 | 39% | 14 of 50 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 59 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 20 of 24 | 83% | 17 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 18 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 18 of 21 | 85% | 16 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 5 of 6 | 83% | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 35 of 63 | 55% | 22 of 43 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 20 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 18 |
| Antonina Shevchenko | 17 of 54 | 31% | 11 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Antonina Shevchenko to win a very close decision. He initially thought Cerminara should be the favorite due to her recent title fight, but after watching tape, he switched to Shevchenko. He believes Shevchenko is the better striker and will land the harder, more convincing shots. He notes that Cerminara has a path to victory if she uses wrestling, but she hasn't done that in the UFC. He expects a split decision and advises not to bet on this fight.
Daniel edges Antonina, citing her intel from training with her sister Valentina and her ability to control range with knees from the clinch. He notes that Chookagian has zero takedowns in the UFC and that the smaller cage will limit her movement. He expects a split decision.
The MMA Guru picks Katlyn Cerminara to win by unanimous decision. He notes that Antonina Shevchenko hasn't beaten great opposition and lost to Roxanne Modafferi. He believes Cerminara is longer, rangier, and will have a fire lit under her after losing to Valentina Shevchenko. He also mentions the narrative of beating her sister to get a title rematch.
Alexis Davis - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 85 of 120 | 70% | 171 of 218 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 9:09 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 56 of 113 | 49% | 93 of 154 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 22 of 26 | 84% | 63 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:52 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 20 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 38 of 60 | 63% | 38 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 45 of 96 | 46% | 45 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 25 of 34 | 73% | 70 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 28 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 85 of 120 | 70% | 55 of 86 | 9 of 12 | 21 of 22 | 41 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 43 of 55 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 56 of 113 | 49% | 40 of 94 | 14 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 51 of 108 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 22 of 26 | 84% | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 26 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 38 of 60 | 63% | 14 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 19 of 20 | 37 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 45 of 96 | 46% | 32 of 81 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 44 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 25 of 34 | 73% | 19 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 29 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 8 of 14 | 57% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Alexis Davis as the veteran with experience and fight IQ. He notes Davis is a busy striker with a one-to-one striking differential, but she loses only to top-ranked opponents. Stoliarenko has great jiu-jitsu but poor wrestling and striking. Angelo expects Davis to dominate with combinations and avoid submission threats.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Davis has better striking, pace, and ground game. He thinks Stoliarenko is not on Davis's level. He is confident Davis wins but acknowledges women's MMA can be unpredictable.
Daniel Levi picks Alexis Davis but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Davis is a veteran with experience, but she has lost four of her last five and is 38. Stoliarenko is known for armbars off her back. Levi thinks Davis should win but the -240 price is too high, so he advises passing or taking the dog. He picks Davis but says it's not a betting opportunity.
Lock of the Night picks Davis, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Stoliarenko's only path is armbar, but Davis is a tenured black belt. He expects Davis to win via decision or possibly finish. He likes Davis by decision at even money.
Paul thinks Davis has superior skills everywhere and should win easily. He notes that Stoliarenko's only threat is an armbar, but Davis is a veteran who should avoid that. He is confident Davis wins by decision and likes the Davis by decision prop.
The MMA Guru picks Alexis Davis, calling her underrated despite her record. He notes she has had close fights with top fighters like Viviane Araujo and Jennifer Maia, but often loses due to being cut by bigger shots. He dismisses Julija Stoliarenko as 'hot trash' and predicts a 30-26 decision win for Davis, with a 10-8 third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 124 of 249 | 49% | 124 of 249 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 132 of 251 | 52% | 147 of 268 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 49 of 82 | 59% | 49 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 42 of 84 | 50% | 50 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 37 of 83 | 44% | 37 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 44 of 82 | 53% | 50 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 38 of 84 | 45% | 38 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 46 of 85 | 54% | 47 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 124 of 249 | 49% | 99 of 210 | 24 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 122 of 246 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 132 of 251 | 52% | 95 of 211 | 12 of 15 | 25 of 25 | 125 of 239 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 49 of 82 | 59% | 38 of 66 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 47 of 80 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 42 of 84 | 50% | 30 of 71 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 10 | 41 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 37 of 83 | 44% | 29 of 69 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 44 of 82 | 53% | 32 of 69 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 8 | 40 of 75 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 3 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 38 of 84 | 45% | 32 of 75 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 38 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 46 of 85 | 54% | 33 of 71 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 44 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Alexis Davis as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and top control can be the difference. He notes Davis has faced tougher competition and has a black belt, but she needs to consistently go for takedowns. He is concerned about Kianzad's recent winning streak but sees value in Davis if she implements a wrestling-heavy game plan.
Cody slightly favors Kianzad, citing her jab and takedown defense. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and outbox Davis. He notes Davis's toughness and BJJ but believes Kianzad's striking will be the difference. He is not betting it.
Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad, noting her improved takedown defense and boxing volume. He respects Alexis Davis as a vet but thinks Kianzad's size and striking will be too much. He expects Kianzad to keep the fight standing and out-volume Davis, leading to a clear decision win.
Kianzad has superior striking and can use her jab to stay on the outside, while Davis is slower and relies on grappling. Kianzad showed she can survive takedowns and come back in later rounds, as seen in her last fight. However, Davis is durable and could grind out a win if she gets takedowns. Kianzad likely wins a decision if she fights disciplined.
Paul passes on this fight. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance, but the line doesn't offer value. He notes Davis's grappling threat but is not confident enough to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her superior striking, underrated takedown defense (85% defense rate), and youth. He believes she can replicate Sabina Mazo's success on the feet against Alexis Davis and avoid takedowns. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 128 of 196 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 8:50 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 64 of 165 | 38% | 71 of 173 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 39 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 40 of 60 | 66% | 50 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 47 of 118 | 39% | 48 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 39 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 49 of 83 | 59% | 8 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 37 of 41 | 46 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Sabina Mazo | 64 of 165 | 38% | 50 of 149 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 64 of 165 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 13 of 38 | 34% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 40 of 60 | 66% | 5 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 33 | 39 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 47 of 118 | 39% | 36 of 106 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 47 of 118 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.
Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.
Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 68 of 137 | 49% | 134 of 213 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:47 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 67 of 148 | 45% | 79 of 162 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 26 of 58 | 44% | 26 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 35 of 65 | 53% | 35 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 67 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:50 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 20 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 23 of 43 | 53% | 41 of 64 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 17 of 50 | 34% | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 68 of 137 | 49% | 33 of 88 | 20 of 33 | 15 of 16 | 53 of 110 | 6 of 15 | 9 of 12 |
| Alexis Davis | 67 of 148 | 45% | 52 of 128 | 12 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 64 of 145 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 26 of 58 | 44% | 8 of 33 | 11 of 18 | 7 of 7 | 25 of 51 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 35 of 65 | 53% | 24 of 52 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 19 of 36 | 52% | 14 of 28 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 12 |
| Alexis Davis | 15 of 33 | 45% | 14 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 23 of 43 | 53% | 11 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 18 of 36 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 17 of 50 | 34% | 14 of 44 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 72 of 122 | 59% | 107 of 174 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:14 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 60 of 128 | 46% | 70 of 142 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 33 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 34 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 41 of 66 | 62% | 43 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 26 of 58 | 44% | 26 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 72 of 122 | 59% | 16 of 54 | 28 of 37 | 28 of 31 | 50 of 94 | 21 of 27 | 1 of 1 |
| Alexis Davis | 60 of 128 | 46% | 44 of 112 | 12 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 49 of 113 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 21 of 35 | 60% | 3 of 13 | 9 of 12 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 12 | 18 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 26 of 42 | 61% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 30 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 10 of 21 | 47% | 3 of 11 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Alexis Davis | 8 of 28 | 28% | 4 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 41 of 66 | 62% | 10 of 30 | 14 of 18 | 17 of 18 | 38 of 62 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 26 of 58 | 44% | 23 of 55 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 70 of 201 | 34% | 77 of 208 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 62 of 202 | 30% | 62 of 202 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 24 of 73 | 32% | 24 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 17 of 65 | 26% | 17 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 27 of 67 | 40% | 27 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 24 of 69 | 34% | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 19 of 61 | 31% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 21 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 70 of 201 | 34% | 24 of 141 | 10 of 17 | 36 of 43 | 66 of 196 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 62 of 202 | 30% | 50 of 188 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 61 of 201 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 24 of 73 | 32% | 7 of 53 | 4 of 7 | 13 of 13 | 20 of 69 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 17 of 65 | 26% | 14 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 27 of 67 | 40% | 7 of 42 | 5 of 7 | 15 of 18 | 27 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 24 of 69 | 34% | 17 of 61 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 19 of 61 | 31% | 10 of 46 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 12 | 19 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 21 of 68 | 30% | 19 of 65 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 23 of 63 | 36% | 132 of 182 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 5:51 |
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 49 of 71 | 69% | 191 of 215 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 26 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 70 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 72 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 65 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 34 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:14 |
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 20 of 31 | 64% | 56 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 23 of 63 | 36% | 10 of 44 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 9 | 7 of 39 | 9 of 15 | 7 of 9 |
| Liz Carmouche | 49 of 71 | 69% | 29 of 46 | 13 of 15 | 7 of 10 | 20 of 40 | 12 of 13 | 17 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 9 of 16 | 56% | 2 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Liz Carmouche | 16 of 21 | 76% | 8 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 6 of 22 | 27% | 3 of 15 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 13 | 1 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
| Liz Carmouche | 13 of 19 | 68% | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 3 | 8 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 8 of 25 | 32% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
| Liz Carmouche | 20 of 31 | 64% | 10 of 21 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 9 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 51 of 123 | 41% | 115 of 192 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 2:44 |
| Cindy Dandois | 0 | 47 of 146 | 32% | 100 of 212 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 6:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 26 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:25 |
| Cindy Dandois | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 27 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:31 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 31 of 66 | 46% | 55 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Cindy Dandois | 0 | 28 of 82 | 34% | 35 of 89 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 13 of 45 | 28% | 34 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cindy Dandois | 0 | 12 of 51 | 23% | 38 of 81 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 51 of 123 | 41% | 21 of 88 | 17 of 21 | 13 of 14 | 35 of 104 | 9 of 9 | 7 of 10 |
| Cindy Dandois | 47 of 146 | 32% | 34 of 125 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 13 | 28 of 114 | 8 of 18 | 11 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 7 of 12 | 58% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Cindy Dandois | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 31 of 66 | 46% | 13 of 44 | 9 of 13 | 9 of 9 | 24 of 59 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Cindy Dandois | 28 of 82 | 34% | 17 of 66 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 9 | 20 of 66 | 6 of 12 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 13 of 45 | 28% | 2 of 33 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Cindy Dandois | 12 of 51 | 23% | 10 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 42 | 2 of 6 | 3 of 3 |
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