UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · May 19, 2018 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 4"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Andrea Lee
4.62 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.91 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
1.65 TD Avg
52.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Veronica Hardy
3.06 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.24 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.82 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
51.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Andrea Lee - Fight History
LOSS vs JJ Aldrich
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 53 of 175 30% 66 of 192 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 74 of 137 54% 77 of 142 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 18 of 57 31% 18 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 21 of 43 48% 23 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
2 Andrea Lee 0 15 of 58 25% 18 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 25 of 46 54% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Andrea Lee 0 20 of 60 33% 30 of 74 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 28 of 48 58% 29 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 53 of 175 30% 13 of 109 25 of 44 15 of 22 52 of 174 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 74 of 137 54% 54 of 114 10 of 13 10 of 10 68 of 130 5 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 18 of 57 31% 1 of 32 8 of 12 9 of 13 18 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 21 of 43 48% 14 of 34 2 of 4 5 of 5 18 of 39 2 of 3 1 of 1
2 Andrea Lee 15 of 58 25% 3 of 35 6 of 14 6 of 9 15 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 25 of 46 54% 17 of 37 4 of 5 4 of 4 25 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andrea Lee 20 of 60 33% 9 of 42 11 of 18 0 of 0 19 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 28 of 48 58% 23 of 43 4 of 4 1 of 1 25 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee despite her five-fight losing streak, arguing that she is still a good striker with quality losses and close decisions. He criticizes JJ Aldrich as inconsistent and lacking in wrestling and striking. He sees value in Lee at +163 odds but warns against betting on this fight due to the unpredictability of both fighters.

Value bet at +163; do not bet heavily
"Andrea Lee at plus 163 are decent odds like this is pretty good ODS there's some good value there and it might be worth a step"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks JJ Aldrich but is hesitant. He acknowledges value on Andrea Lee at +170 but cannot pick her due to her five-fight losing streak and apparent decline. He notes Aldrich's takedown defense and striking should be enough, but expects a close split decision.

Aldrich by split decision
"I'm going to pick JJ Aldridge and I'm going to take Aldridge to win probably by a split decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host leans with Aldrich, believing she can use her striking approach to nullify Lee's kickboxing and shut down any grappling attempts. He expects Aldrich's combination style to earn her a decision win.

"I have to lean with the Aldrich side as I believe that she can go out there and utilize her striking approach to nullify the kickboxing of Lee shut down the grappling that Lee might might look to initiate and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Andrea Lee. He reasons that Andrea Lee is on a five-fight losing streak and declining, while Aldrich is more well-rounded and can get takedowns. He recalls Aldrich's performance against Erin Blanchfield before getting caught in a guillotine. He predicts a split decision win for Aldrich.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over Andrea Lee... she's a little bit more well-rounded than Andrea Lee and she'll probably be able to get a few takedowns in this fight."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Montana De La Rosa 0 75 of 152 49% 115 of 201 0 of 2 0% 0 2 2:08
Andrea Lee 0 70 of 180 38% 88 of 206 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Montana De La Rosa 0 27 of 50 54% 52 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:52
Andrea Lee 0 14 of 44 31% 17 of 49 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:10
2 Montana De La Rosa 0 31 of 68 45% 36 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 33 of 81 40% 37 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Montana De La Rosa 0 17 of 34 50% 27 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:16
Andrea Lee 0 23 of 55 41% 34 of 71 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Montana De La Rosa 75 of 152 49% 37 of 109 29 of 31 9 of 12 58 of 129 13 of 16 4 of 7
Andrea Lee 70 of 180 38% 53 of 156 12 of 17 5 of 7 62 of 161 5 of 16 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Montana De La Rosa 27 of 50 54% 16 of 38 10 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 31 11 of 12 4 of 7
Andrea Lee 14 of 44 31% 9 of 37 4 of 6 1 of 1 10 of 36 4 of 8 0 of 0
2 Montana De La Rosa 31 of 68 45% 14 of 49 11 of 12 6 of 7 30 of 65 1 of 3 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 33 of 81 40% 26 of 72 4 of 5 3 of 4 33 of 77 0 of 4 0 of 0
3 Montana De La Rosa 17 of 34 50% 7 of 22 8 of 9 2 of 3 16 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 23 of 55 41% 18 of 47 4 of 6 1 of 2 19 of 48 1 of 4 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee, noting that Montana De La Rosa is a wrestler but didn't use her wrestling in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He thinks if Montana doesn't commit to takedowns, Andrea will out-strike her. Andrea is a good striker with underrated skills, and her losses are to quality opponents. He is not confident Montana will wrestle, so he goes with Andrea.

"unless I was 100% positive that Montana Delarosa was all in on the wrestling I gotta go Andrea Lee"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Big Brady picks Montana De La Rosa with little confidence. He notes that Andrea Lee is on a four-fight losing streak and looks to be declining, while De La Rosa's striking has improved. He expects De La Rosa to get takedowns and control time. He says he is not betting on this fight and advises others to avoid it.

"I'm going to take De la Rosa with little to no confidence I'm not betting on this fight and God help you if you are betting on on this fight here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Lee, noting that De La Rosa has poor ring IQ and does not commit to her wrestling. Lee has improved her takedown defense and has better striking volume. Cody expects Lee to sprawl and brawl, outpointing De La Rosa on the feet. He also likes Lee by decision at plus money.

Andrea Lee by decision
"I got Lee and then if you want to get a little spicy with it uh lee by decision she's not knocking out delar Roa she's not submitting delar Rosa so if she's going to win she's just going to …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Daniel picks Lee as the better fighter despite both being on losing streaks. He notes Lee won their first fight and has faced tougher competition, but questions her motivation and slowing speed. He sees Montana as never assertive enough, so he expects Lee to win a split decision.

split decision
"I'll go Andrea Lee via split decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Andrea Lee

Jacob leans Andrea Lee, but with low confidence. He notes that both fighters are better than their records suggest. He worries that if Montana commits to wrestling, Andrea could be on her back for 15 minutes. However, he thinks Andrea is the better striker and can defend takedowns with footwork. He expects a close fight and goes with Andrea, but is not confident.

"I'm leaning Andrea Lee here I don't absolutely love it because if Montana does come in all in wrestling all of a sudden it's Andrew Lee laying on her back for 15 minutes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Lee is a skilled striker with an active Jiu-Jitsu game, while De La Rosa relies on grappling but lacks striking. Lee should land strikes and stuff takedowns, and may even catch a submission off her back. However, Lee can be flaky if she gets demoralized. Leaning Lee by submission, but passing on betting due to line movement.

submission
"I'm going to Le Lee in this spot... I'm going to say Lee by submission she might throw something up and catch T Roa in it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Paul picks Lee, noting that De La Rosa has not been dominant with her grappling recently. Lee has better striking and takedown defense. Paul expects Lee to win on volume and outpoint De La Rosa over three rounds.

"Lee Lee on on volume Montana Del la ro said for all of her faults she has always been incredibly durable so uh credit word credits do on that front"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

The Guru picks Andrea Lee because she does damage well and is a more physical specimen with less wasted weight. He thinks her age (35) and lack of children give her anger and aggression, especially in the third round. He notes Montana De La Rosa has a decent grappling game but Lee did better on the feet against Macy Barber. He expects Lee to do better on the feet and win.

"I'll go with Andrea Lee I think she can Implement damage more she's a more physical specimen out of the two of them"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 36 of 102 35% 59 of 126 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:42
Andrea Lee 0 66 of 136 48% 106 of 180 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:40
Andrea Lee 0 24 of 43 55% 31 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
2 Miranda Maverick 0 9 of 34 26% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Andrea Lee 0 23 of 48 47% 47 of 74 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
3 Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 37 40% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 19 of 45 42% 28 of 55 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 36 of 102 35% 14 of 72 13 of 19 9 of 11 32 of 96 3 of 3 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 66 of 136 48% 28 of 89 16 of 25 22 of 22 60 of 128 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 12 of 31 38% 4 of 20 4 of 6 4 of 5 9 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 24 of 43 55% 9 of 25 5 of 8 10 of 10 23 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 9 of 34 26% 4 of 26 3 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 23 of 48 47% 11 of 34 4 of 6 8 of 8 21 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 15 of 37 40% 6 of 26 6 of 8 3 of 3 14 of 34 0 of 0 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 19 of 45 42% 8 of 30 7 of 11 4 of 4 16 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 11, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick, citing her pressure, takedowns, and toughness. He notes that Andrea Lee has fought tougher competition but is on a three-fight skid. He cautions that the moneyline is juiced and recommends the over 2.5 rounds as a lock.

over 2.5 rounds
"I am going to pick Miranda Maverick here... I think the over two and a half in this fight is probably the lock of the card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win, citing her youth (26 vs 35) and physical strength as key advantages. He notes Andrea Lee's poor takedown defense (54%) and history of being taken down by lesser wrestlers, expecting Maverick to get the fight to the mat and grind out a decision. He acknowledges Lee's underrated striking but believes Maverick's wrestling and control will be too much. He mentions the line is moving but says he's probably not betting this one.

Maverick by decision
"I do like Maverick here to win this fight... Maverick by decision is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Lee, noting her high volume striking (100+ significant strikes) compared to Maverick's lower output. He questions Maverick's takedown effectiveness and believes Lee can win on the feet. He sees plus 170 as good value and picks Lee.

"Andrea Lee is the pick for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel picks Miranda Maverick but expresses hesitation about the betting line. He notes that Andrea Lee is physically strong and that Maverick's striking is her weakest area. He worries that Lee's strength could cause problems, but ultimately believes Maverick's grappling advantage will prevail. He says he is staying away from the line.

"I'm on Maverick here but I'm probably this is probably a line I'm staying away from."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Daniel Vreeland passes on this fight, noting Andrea Lee's decline and Miranda Maverick's inconsistency. He considered taking the dog on Lee but decided against it given her recent performances.

"Pass for me also."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Jeff picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Andrea Lee is on a three-fight skid and hasn't won since 2021. He believes Maverick is a younger, stronger fighter who can impose her will. He acknowledges Lee's physical strength but thinks Maverick's grappling and overall game will be too much. He is not betting the line, however, as he finds it unappealing.

"Maverick is is my pick here as well yeah you can't really put any any faith in Lee at this point in her career and she's going to have a big strong younger fighter on her case here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is younger, stronger, and will dominate in the clinch and on the ground. Lee may be the better technical striker but has a history of breaking under pressure. Maverick grinds out a decision win.

"I expect Maverick to be competitive in that realm but eventually drag this fight into the clinch position and to the ground where Maverick should be able to control it and suck the energy out of Lee"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Paul picks Lee, arguing that the line is inflated by Maverick's recent win over low-level competition. He notes Lee has fought tougher opponents and has better volume striking. He believes Maverick's wrestling is not as effective against higher-level grapplers, and Lee can outwork her on the feet. He sees Lee as a clear underdog value.

Lee by decision (suggested)
"it just has to be an auto bet on the underdog so I will take Andre Le to win by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her youth, improvement at Team Elevation, and full focus on MMA now that she's done with education. He notes Andrea Lee's frustration when taken down and lack of calmness on bottom. He believes Maverick's grappling will be key, though he acknowledges Lee's stronger strength of schedule and mentions he might advise betting on Lee if her odds become bigger underdog.

If more money comes in on Miranda Maverick and Andrea Lee becomes even bigger of an underdog, I might advise people to put some money on her.
"I think Miranda Maverick is the more improving fighter she's the younger fighter she's training at Team elevation... I think she'll be able to outgrapple Andrea Lee in this fight."
LOSS vs Natália Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Natália Silva 0 43 of 125 34% 43 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 70 of 174 40% 70 of 174 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Natália Silva 0 14 of 49 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 26 of 62 41% 26 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Natália Silva 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 22 of 50 44% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Natália Silva 0 11 of 34 32% 11 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 22 of 62 35% 22 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Natália Silva 43 of 125 34% 12 of 74 11 of 23 20 of 28 43 of 125 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 70 of 174 40% 34 of 111 17 of 43 19 of 20 70 of 174 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Natália Silva 14 of 49 28% 4 of 29 3 of 7 7 of 13 14 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 26 of 62 41% 13 of 38 6 of 16 7 of 8 26 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Natália Silva 18 of 42 42% 5 of 24 6 of 10 7 of 8 18 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 22 of 50 44% 8 of 29 9 of 16 5 of 5 22 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Natália Silva 11 of 34 32% 3 of 21 2 of 6 6 of 7 11 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 22 of 62 35% 13 of 44 2 of 11 7 of 7 22 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Natália Silva

Angelo is confident in Natália Silva, citing her well-rounded skills, power that carries into later rounds, and ability to turn fights into brawls. He notes that Andrea Lee is tough and technical but believes Silva is the better striker and grappler, and that Lee won't be able to take her down. He has Silva in a parlay and also suggests betting the under on Andrea Lee's takedown line.

Parlay with Andre Petroski at -133; under on Andrea Lee takedowns if line is high
"This should be a Natalia Silva play all day long... I am confident enough in Natalia Silva to have a one unit parlay."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 12, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Natália Silva

Big Brady leans toward Natália Silva despite the wide line, citing her power advantage and elite takedown defense. He notes Andrea Lee has good volume and underrated skills, but Silva lands harder shots and may mix in takedowns. He expects the fight to go the distance with Silva winning by decision, similar to Lee's fight with Mayra Bueno Silva.

fight goes to decision
"I think this fight could be a lot closer than this line does indicate... I do have to lean to the Natalia Silverside... I think this fight does Go the Distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Natália Silva

Cody sees Silva as the complete package with good striking and fast hands, while Lee is slowing down and has a wonky training situation. He expects Silva to piece up Lee, but warns that women's MMA is unpredictable.

"I would think Natalie's still a big favorite women's MMA I would say don't do it I would take Natali Silva"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Daniel Levi picks Andrea Lee as an underdog, citing her experience and savvy. He notes that Silva is small for the weight class and has shown weaknesses when taken down, as Lee's grappling is better than Silva's previous opponents. Levi thinks Lee can win via grappling and that the plus money is valuable. He also likes the plus 3.5 spread. However, he acknowledges Silva is the real deal and is not going heavy on the bet.

Lee plus 3.5 spread; Lee by submission or decision
"I like her not gonna go crazy on it because I know Silva's the real deal but I'm gonna have some money on Lee"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Natália Silva

Lucrative James picks Natália Silva to win, citing her excellent distance management and takedown defense. He expects Silva to dictate the striking range and potentially get takedowns of her own, as Andrea Lee has historically lost when taken down and controlled on the ground. He sees the fight going to a decision with Silva edging it out 29-28 or 30-27.

"I do think she's gonna win I am picking Natalia silver to win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Natália Silva

Silva's movement and striking accuracy should be too much for Lee. She lands significant strikes from distance and has shown finishing ability. However, the moneyline is too wide given Lee's experience and potential grappling success. Prefer Silva by decision prop as a better value.

Silva by decision
"I lean Silva on this fight and I'm not too high on the chalky price tag... I would rather hone in on that Natalia Silva by decision line more than her actual money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Natália Silva

The MMA Guru confidently picks Natália Silva, calling her one of the rare good female MMA prospects. He highlights her stunning striking performances and dominant wins over Jasmine Jasudavicius and Tereza Bledá. He notes Andrea Lee has taken a lot of damage and is 34, while Silva is 26 and improving. He expects Silva to win by decision but thinks Lee will make it tough.

decision win 29-28
"I'm going with Natalia Silva getting this one done by decision win 29-28"
LOSS vs Maycee Barber
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maycee Barber 0 39 of 103 37% 57 of 125 5 of 5 100% 0 0 5:20
Andrea Lee 0 48 of 127 37% 66 of 158 2 of 2 100% 0 1 0:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maycee Barber 0 12 of 35 34% 16 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:06
Andrea Lee 0 17 of 45 37% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:00
2 Maycee Barber 0 15 of 38 39% 26 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:54
Andrea Lee 0 17 of 43 39% 24 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:02
3 Maycee Barber 0 12 of 30 40% 15 of 34 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:20
Andrea Lee 0 14 of 39 35% 20 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maycee Barber 39 of 103 37% 10 of 57 15 of 27 14 of 19 34 of 97 4 of 5 1 of 1
Andrea Lee 48 of 127 37% 31 of 97 9 of 20 8 of 10 38 of 113 3 of 7 7 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maycee Barber 12 of 35 34% 3 of 18 5 of 11 4 of 6 12 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 17 of 45 37% 11 of 35 2 of 6 4 of 4 11 of 38 1 of 2 5 of 5
2 Maycee Barber 15 of 38 39% 6 of 23 2 of 6 7 of 9 14 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 17 of 43 39% 11 of 31 2 of 6 4 of 6 17 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Maycee Barber 12 of 30 40% 1 of 16 8 of 10 3 of 4 8 of 25 3 of 4 1 of 1
Andrea Lee 14 of 39 35% 9 of 31 5 of 8 0 of 0 10 of 33 2 of 4 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee as an underdog, arguing that Barber is overrated and a decision fighter who can break mentally. He notes that Lee is a technical striker with improved grappling and has fought tougher competition. He believes Lee can keep the fight standing and out-strike Barber, and that Barber's takedowns may not be enough. He says no bet on this fight due to unknowns.

"I like Andrea Lee in this fight I do think she wins no bet here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Big Brady picks Andrea Lee as a dog, believing the fight will be closer than the odds indicate. He thinks Lee is the better striker with more volume, while Barber relies on physical strength and takedowns. Brady notes Barber's striking is still a work in progress and that Lee can work back to her feet if taken down. He predicts a split decision win for Lee, possibly a robbery, and expects the fight to go the distance.

Lee by split decision
"I'll go Lee here and lead by like a split decision maybe even like a robbery decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Cody does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup, noting Barber's youth and cardio advantage but also her lack of takedowns in recent fights. He sees a path for Lee if she can keep the fight standing and outstrike Barber, but he is wary of Lee's tendency to fatigue. He ultimately says he wants nothing to do with the line, finding it too wide.

"I want nothing to do with this line way too wide for my liking"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

Connor picks Barber because Lee has a history of crumbling under pressure and bullying. He notes Barber's recent assertiveness and willingness to clinch and use her strength. He acknowledges Barber's poor kickboxing but thinks she will force a clinch-heavy fight where Lee fades.

Mentions odds: Lee opened +165, currently +213; Barber opened -190, currently -268. Notes line trending away from Lee.
"I think it's too much of a situation where Barber just rushes at her and puts her on the fence and starts landing elbows and just starts taking the fight away from her. Lee will fade out of it."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

Jacob picks Barber but admits he is biased against Lee. He thinks Barber can get takedowns and wear Lee down, similar to how Viviane Araujo did. He warns that Barber is a decision fighter and should not be put in parlays. He acknowledges Lee is dangerous on the feet and that Barber's takedowns are key.

"I am going to pick Macy Barber because I just feel like I'm just way too biased to pick Andrew Lee."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

The host believes Barber's strength and grappling improvements at Team Alpha Male will be key. He expects Barber to assert herself early, counter Lee's combinations, and eventually get clinch situations where she can rough Lee up against the cage. He notes that if Lee gets into a flow state it could be trouble, but Barber's power and explosiveness should deter her. He predicts Barber wins by decision.

"I'm going to go Macy Barber here feeling pretty good about it as well and I expect her to go out there and grind out Andrea Lee on route to a decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

The Guru picks Barber, citing her improved grappling and youth (24 vs 34). He thinks Barber can take Lee down and slow her down as the fight progresses, winning the last two rounds via decision. He notes Lee's tendency to fade when wrestled.

"I'm going with Macy Barber... I think if she does [get the takedown] we'll start to see Andrea Lee slow down"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

Zane picks Barber but notes it could easily be a fight where Barber flops around and Lee jabs her. He highlights Barber's physicality and willingness to make opponents deal with her strength. He also notes Barber's reliable third-round surge if things aren't going well.

Mentions odds: Lee +213, Barber -268. Notes line swinging wide.
"The only thing Barbara has shown her recent fights is a willingness to just make people deal with her physicality. Yeah. Make them deal with her athleticism and her strength and just grab ahold of them and throw them around."
LOSS vs Viviane Araújo
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · May 14, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viviane Araújo 0 39 of 79 49% 96 of 160 3 of 5 60% 2 0 10:40
Andrea Lee 1 47 of 82 57% 64 of 103 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viviane Araújo 0 18 of 34 52% 31 of 48 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:48
Andrea Lee 1 25 of 51 49% 29 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
2 Viviane Araújo 0 14 of 27 51% 48 of 83 0 of 0 --- 2 0 4:26
Andrea Lee 0 9 of 10 90% 13 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Viviane Araújo 0 7 of 18 38% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:26
Andrea Lee 0 13 of 21 61% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viviane Araújo 39 of 79 49% 25 of 63 9 of 11 5 of 5 32 of 66 0 of 0 7 of 13
Andrea Lee 47 of 82 57% 34 of 65 9 of 13 4 of 4 36 of 64 7 of 11 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viviane Araújo 18 of 34 52% 11 of 26 5 of 6 2 of 2 17 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 25 of 51 49% 19 of 42 4 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 34 6 of 10 4 of 7
2 Viviane Araújo 14 of 27 51% 10 of 22 3 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 18 0 of 0 6 of 9
Andrea Lee 9 of 10 90% 5 of 6 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Viviane Araújo 7 of 18 38% 4 of 15 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 1
Andrea Lee 13 of 21 61% 10 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Andrea Lee, noting her improved takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Araújo has cardio issues and fades in the third round. He believes Lee will push the pace, tire Araújo out, and win by volume. He mentions Lee's training with Tony Kelley and her social media showing hard work.

"i think this lead thing is the same thing like physically lisa as strong as anybody the technique's just not quite there in the takedown defense she shorted up a little bit and she still stops more takedowns than she …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul is cautious, warning that Araújo is more of a wrestler and Lee's takedown defense is her kryptonite. He says it could be a situation where Araújo takes Lee down and holds top control, making it risky. He advises not putting this on a top ticket.

"i would say cody just be careful don't put this all the way up but like ticket one ticket two because it could be a situation where arujo takes her down is able to hold top control"
TKO (corner stoppage) R2 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 47 of 154 30% 47 of 154 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:39
Cynthia Calvillo 0 84 of 210 40% 85 of 211 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 25 of 87 28% 25 of 87 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:39
Cynthia Calvillo 0 43 of 116 37% 44 of 117 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrea Lee 0 22 of 67 32% 22 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 41 of 94 43% 41 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 47 of 154 30% 18 of 99 21 of 46 8 of 9 47 of 154 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 84 of 210 40% 46 of 155 30 of 45 8 of 10 83 of 208 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 25 of 87 28% 11 of 62 10 of 20 4 of 5 25 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 43 of 116 37% 27 of 92 12 of 19 4 of 5 43 of 115 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Andrea Lee 22 of 67 32% 7 of 37 11 of 26 4 of 4 22 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 41 of 94 43% 19 of 63 18 of 26 4 of 5 40 of 93 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee, citing her polished striking and comfort on the feet. He notes that Calvillo looks uncomfortable striking and that Lee has improved grappling. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Lee at near even money and thinks she can control the striking exchanges.

moneyline bet at minus 105
"andrea leaves my pick and i do have a moneyline bet at her at minus 105 almost even money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cynthia Calvillo

Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo but is hesitant, noting Andrea Lee has superior striking volume and accuracy. However, he highlights Lee's poor takedown defense (57%) and that she has been taken down in every UFC fight except one. Brady believes Calvillo can win by wrestling, but recalls her fight against Chookagian where she didn't wrestle enough, causing doubt.

Calvillo by decision
"i will take alveo though and i will take alvey to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody has a gut feeling that Calvillo might lose. He notes that Lee has been working on her wrestling and that Calvillo is 1-2 at 125 lbs. He thinks if Lee can stuff takedowns, she can out-strike Calvillo. He calls it a 'dog or pass' and might take a small shot on Lee.

"i got a bad gut feeling that calvio's actually gonna end up losing this one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cynthia Calvillo

Daniel Levi picks Cynthia Calvillo, citing her dominant ground game and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents (Roxanne Modafferi, Lauren Murphy, Joanne Calderwood) and believes Calvillo only needs one or two takedowns to win rounds or secure a finish. Levi acknowledges Lee's striking volume but thinks Calvillo's grappling will be the difference.

"give me cynthia calvio to come out here and and probably win the decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cynthia Calvillo

Jacob picks Cynthia Calvillo, believing she will dominate on the ground. He thinks Calvillo will get in the pocket, take Lee down, and control the fight. Jacob is a big Calvillo fan and thinks the UFC gave her a winnable matchup after her loss to Andrade.

"i think she absolutely dominates this fight i i'm a big cynthia fan"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cynthia Calvillo

Paul believes Calvillo has a massive wrestling advantage and should spam takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee gives up takedowns to everyone. He thinks Calvillo can control the fight on the ground and win a decision.

"i think calvio is the side here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2021 (fight day)
Cynthia Calvillo

The Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo by unanimous decision (29-27). He expects Andrea Lee to win the first round on the feet, but Calvillo's takedowns and ground control in rounds two and three will secure the win. Calvillo will get a 10-8 in the third due to dominant ground and pound.

unanimous decision 29-27
"i'm going to be going with cynthia calvillo here and i'm going to be picking her by unanimous decision"
Submission (triangle armbar) R2 4:52 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 45 of 62 72% 88 of 108 3 of 3 100% 3 0 2:11
Antonina Shevchenko 0 23 of 41 56% 36 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 28 of 44 63% 43 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:31
Antonina Shevchenko 0 22 of 39 56% 34 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrea Lee 0 17 of 18 94% 45 of 47 2 of 2 100% 3 0 0:40
Antonina Shevchenko 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 45 of 62 72% 32 of 43 11 of 15 2 of 4 19 of 35 6 of 6 20 of 21
Antonina Shevchenko 23 of 41 56% 13 of 30 8 of 9 2 of 2 15 of 32 8 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 28 of 44 63% 15 of 25 11 of 15 2 of 4 18 of 34 6 of 6 4 of 4
Antonina Shevchenko 22 of 39 56% 13 of 29 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 30 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Andrea Lee 17 of 18 94% 17 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 17
Antonina Shevchenko 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Lee throws high volume (5.58 strikes/min) and has good striking defense. Shevchenko has poor takedown defense and has been taken down by strikers. Lee can mix in takedowns and control the fight. The line has shifted heavily towards Lee, and I think she wins a decision as a slight underdog.

"I'm gonna side with andrea lee here to get it done as a dog but i really don't think she's going to be a dog for soon here but i'll take andrew lee by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Lee, arguing that Shevchenko has no power and Lee's volume will be decisive. He notes that Lee's takedown defense is her weakness, but Shevchenko is not a wrestler. Cody believes Lee will win by decision, using her striking output.

Monkey Knife Fight: double over on significant strikes (59.5 for Lee, 35.5 for Shevchenko).
"i would agree with your assessment pretty much on all points and go with andrea lee here andrew lee by decision more specifically"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Antonina Shevchenko

Daniel Levi picks Antonina Shevchenko, citing Andrea Lee's cardio issues and decline since her breakup. He notes that Lee gasses out and becomes flat-footed, while Shevchenko is more disciplined and can clinch and knee. Levi thinks Shevchenko will dominate in the clinch and win a 30-27 decision. He also mentions Shevchenko's improved ground game.

"i'm going with antonina via 30-27"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Antonina Shevchenko

The host picks Shevchenko, giving her the slight advantage in striking. He notes she is the better technical striker and taller, which should help maintain distance. He acknowledges concerns about her grappling defense but thinks Lee is unlikely to implement a wrestling game plan. He predicts a decision win for Shevchenko but says he is not lock confident.

Shevchenko by decision
"i will go with chevchenko to win this fight by decision but by no means am i like lock the knight confident on it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Paul picks Lee, noting that Shevchenko is not her sister and lacks power. He believes Lee's volume and takedown defense will be key, though he is not confident. Paul mentions that Lee has been losing due to takedowns, but Shevchenko is not a wrestler.

"i'll pick andrea lee i don't feel great about it though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Antonina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Antonina Shevchenko, but with low confidence, admitting he flipped a coin. He thinks Shevchenko is slightly more technical on the feet and benefits from training with her sister Valentina. He acknowledges Andrea Lee has a grappling advantage but predicts a split decision 29-28 for Shevchenko.

"i'm going with antonina chefchenko"
Veronica Hardy - Fight History
WIN vs Brogan Walker
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 1 39 of 75 52% 53 of 94 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:36
Brogan Walker 0 22 of 60 36% 30 of 70 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 20 45% 23 of 39 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:36
Brogan Walker 0 7 of 15 46% 15 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:11
2 Veronica Hardy 1 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brogan Walker 0 8 of 25 32% 8 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
3 Veronica Hardy 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brogan Walker 0 7 of 20 35% 7 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 39 of 75 52% 31 of 65 2 of 4 6 of 6 32 of 65 4 of 4 3 of 6
Brogan Walker 22 of 60 36% 12 of 49 3 of 3 7 of 8 16 of 49 2 of 2 4 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 20 45% 8 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 6
Brogan Walker 7 of 15 46% 1 of 9 2 of 2 4 of 4 2 of 8 2 of 2 3 of 5
2 Veronica Hardy 16 of 29 55% 12 of 24 2 of 3 2 of 2 14 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
Brogan Walker 8 of 25 32% 5 of 21 1 of 1 2 of 3 7 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 4
3 Veronica Hardy 14 of 26 53% 11 of 22 0 of 1 3 of 3 13 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Brogan Walker 7 of 20 35% 6 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Angelo is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her a 5-to-1 favorite who should be 10-to-1. He highlights her Taekwondo background, good footwork, technical striking, and ability to cut angles. He notes she also has clean takedowns and high fight IQ, while Brogan Walker is described as not very good at fighting, with a gifted BJJ black belt and infrequent fights. He expects an easy win for Hardy.

"Veronica Hardy at more than a 5 to1 favorite taking on Broen Walker. Frankly, she should be a 10 to1 favorite."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her the second biggest favorite at -825. He notes that Brogan Walker is 36 years old, hasn't fought in two and a half years, and looked awful in her last two fights. He believes Hardy is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, and grappling—and that Hardy would have to try really hard to lose. He predicts a decision win for Hardy.

"Veronica Hardy should win this fight. I think she's better everywhere. She's the better striker. She's the better wrestler. ... Give me Veronica Hardy. Veronica Hardy by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hardy because Walker is uncoordinated and has not shown improvement. He notes that Hardy is a good athlete with a technical base, and even though she used to fall apart early in her career, she has become a more competitive fighter. He expects Hardy to win easily.

Hardy opened at -400, currently -825; Walker opened at +330, currently +575. Connor comments: 'You don't need Brogan Walker in the UFC.'
"I just have to assume she's kind of raised by Walker."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Veronica Hardy

Hardy is a heavy favorite at minus 800, but the host does not consider it bet-worthy. He expects Hardy to chip away at Walker and win on the scorecards, noting Walker's extended layoff of two and a half years.

not bet worthy at -800
"Hardy, even at minus 800, is just not betting bet worthy in this spot. I still expect her to go out there, chip away at Walker, and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, citing her technical striking and submission game. He notes that while she struggles against physical opponents, Brogan Walker hasn't shown enough to win. He expects a close 29-28 decision, with Hardy's technical kicks and submissions being the difference.

"I'm going to go with Veronica Hardy to start this off."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Zane picks Hardy confidently, stating that Brogan Walker is really bad and uncoordinated, and has not fought in over two years. He notes that Hardy is fast, technical, and has become a consistent round-to-round fighter with good conditioning and well-rounded skills. He believes Hardy will easily outclass Walker.

Hardy opened at -400, currently -825; Walker opened at +330, currently +575. Zane comments: 'You don't need Brogan Walker in the UFC.'
"I just have to assume she's kind of raised by Walker."
LOSS vs Eduarda Moura
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eduarda Moura 0 46 of 103 44% 61 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 26 of 76 34% 41 of 96 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eduarda Moura 0 13 of 39 33% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 35 28% 11 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Eduarda Moura 0 12 of 18 66% 27 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:02
3 Eduarda Moura 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eduarda Moura 46 of 103 44% 16 of 61 16 of 26 14 of 16 39 of 94 0 of 1 7 of 8
Veronica Hardy 26 of 76 34% 22 of 71 4 of 5 0 of 0 19 of 68 2 of 2 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eduarda Moura 13 of 39 33% 5 of 28 6 of 8 2 of 3 13 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 10 of 35 28% 8 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Eduarda Moura 12 of 18 66% 5 of 10 4 of 5 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 1 7 of 8
Veronica Hardy 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 2 of 2 5 of 6
3 Eduarda Moura 21 of 46 45% 6 of 23 6 of 13 9 of 10 21 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 9 of 28 32% 8 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Angelo picks Veronica Hardy, citing her superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Eduarda Moura is a grappler with sloppy striking who may lose the same way she lost to Denise Gomes—by being outstruck. He acknowledges that Moura may get takedowns but believes Hardy's striking will be too much. He also mentions Hardy's marriage to Dan Hardy as a positive for her fight IQ and evolution.

"I think Veronica Hardy gets it done she will probably be taken down one or two times on the way but the Striking is so good it's so fast it's so powerful"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks the underdog Eduarda Moura, citing Veronica Hardy's poor takedown defense (60%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground. He notes that Hardy has been taken down and controlled by nearly every opponent except Juliana Miller, and believes Moura can use her physicality to get the fight to the mat and win minutes on top. He acknowledges Hardy's striking advantage but thinks Moura's grappling will be the difference, predicting a decision win.

"right off the bat here I'm going to be taking the the underdog in edwarda Mara"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Veronica Hardy, citing her speed, footwork, and improved training with Dan Hardy. He notes Moura is a weight bully moving up who has missed weight and has poor takedown efficiency. Cody expects Hardy to counter-strike and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.

"I took some Hardy a little bit early in the week when it was minus 125 I still think she wins"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Connor agrees, noting that Hardy has become a good fighter under Dan Hardy's coaching. He mentions that Hardy's anxiety issues have improved and that she is now a fast, powerful athlete. Connor thinks Moura's toolkit is only effective against bad athletes and that Hardy will win.

"Yeah, also is probably just another instance of getting to a point where you have a real camp because I think despite being a good athlete. She was also out of shape early in her career."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland leans towards Veronica Hardy via decision, citing her speed, footwork, and improved takedown defense. He notes Moura's one-dimensional grappling and tendency to gas. He acknowledges Moura's strength and submission threat but believes Hardy can avoid takedowns and win on the feet. He calls it a 'lean' and not confident.

decision
"I'm gonna lean towards Hardy with with the speed with the footwork"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Veronica Hardy

The host expects Hardy's matured game plan to come through, citing her speed and agility on the feet to touch up Moura. He also notes Hardy's active guard off her back could allow a submission in the second or third round, but officially picks her by decision.

"I'm expecting Hardy's matured game plan to come through here as she has showcased over her last three fights her Speed and Agility on the feet should allow her to touch up Mora and her active guard off her back …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Veronica Hardy, agreeing with Cody. He notes Hardy's three-fight winning streak, improved training, and speed advantage. Paul expects Hardy to use her range and counter-striking to win a decision, possibly by outworking Moura.

"I would think Veronica Hardy goes out there and continues the win streak"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, noting that Eduarda Moura is big but lacks skill. He mentions Moura took Denise Gomes to a split decision, but he still favors Hardy's overall ability.

"I'm going to go with Veronica Hardy here... she's actually pretty decent eduard Mora is big I will say that she's a big woman um skill uh doesn't seem to be much of that going"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Zane picks Hardy, impressed by her recent maturation and athleticism. He notes that Moura is slow and one-dimensional, relying solely on takedowns. Zane believes Hardy's speed, power, and improved confidence will allow her to stuff takedowns and punish Moura on the feet.

Odds: Hardy opened -153, now -142; Moura opened +137, now +127.
"I think I'm gonna pick Hardy here. Yeah, I think I've been pretty impressed with Veronica Hardy."
WIN vs JJ Aldrich
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 27 of 63 42% 38 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:09
JJ Aldrich 0 36 of 78 46% 69 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 24 37% 10 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:34
JJ Aldrich 0 14 of 24 58% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 35 42% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 21 47% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 19 36% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 27 of 63 42% 19 of 51 8 of 11 0 of 1 15 of 47 8 of 9 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 36 of 78 46% 22 of 60 3 of 6 11 of 12 30 of 68 6 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 24 37% 8 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 19 4 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 14 of 24 58% 10 of 19 0 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 18 44% 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 35 42% 10 of 28 2 of 3 3 of 4 12 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 10 of 21 47% 6 of 14 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 1 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"the slight lean is going to be JJ Aldrich"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.

"as far as a pick I'm going to go Hardy just because she's younger I think she's going to be more likely to be making improvements"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.

"I think Veronica Hardy keeps the momentum going keeps the win streak going"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.

by decision
"I'm going to go Veronica Hardy to win this decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.

"I'm going to lean Hardy here and I think we see her go out there touch up JJ Aldrich over the course of 15 minutes and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.

"Hardy was the first bet that I made this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.

"I'm actually going to go against Veronica Hardy here... I think JJ Aldridge is a step above her recent competition."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 43 of 101 42% 61 of 122 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:34
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 43 of 87 49% 74 of 125 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 16 of 34 47% 16 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Veronica Hardy 0 13 of 33 39% 19 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:51
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 7 of 21 33% 23 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:43
3 Veronica Hardy 0 13 of 31 41% 25 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 20 of 32 62% 35 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 43 of 101 42% 29 of 86 11 of 11 3 of 4 30 of 81 13 of 20 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 43 of 87 49% 16 of 49 20 of 26 7 of 12 23 of 59 20 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 17 of 37 45% 12 of 31 4 of 4 1 of 2 12 of 31 5 of 6 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 16 of 34 47% 5 of 17 6 of 8 5 of 9 12 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 13 of 33 39% 10 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 26 5 of 7 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 7 of 21 33% 0 of 12 6 of 7 1 of 2 4 of 16 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 13 of 31 41% 7 of 25 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 24 3 of 7 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 20 of 32 62% 11 of 20 8 of 11 1 of 1 7 of 13 13 of 19 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Veronica Hardy vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hardy (-112), Horth (-108)

Round 1
Women’s flyweights get the ball rolling, as Hardy (7-4-1, 2-4 UFC) takes on the undefeated Horth at 125 pounds. The 33-year-old Horth (6-0, 1-0 UFC) has finished five of her first six opponents. Mark Smith draws the officiating assignment. They touch gloves, and we are underway in the Texas capital. They spend the first 45 seconds sizing up one another. Horth slips on a kick and eats a right hand for her troubles. The Canadian has a significant size advantage. They trade body kicks, and Hardy circles on the perimeter. The Venezuelan lands an inside leg kicks, and Horth returns fire with one of her own. Not much in terms of meaningful offense from either women in what has been a tepid start. Hardy unleashes and overhand left, setting off a brief flurry between the two. She then pins Horth along the fence and scores with punches from both hands. Hardy initiating a majority of the exchanges. She sits down an off-balance Horth with a one-two, then engages the Canadian in the clinch. Hardy complains about an eye poke, and Smith decides to pause the action. Horth declines attention from the cageside physician, and the two women get back to business.
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Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy

Round 2
Hardy pumps out her jab in a bid to gauge distance, then fires a few left hands over the top. Horth not doing much to maximize her physical advantages. Hardy darts in and out of the pocket, punctuating a combination with a kick to the body. Speed a definite factor in the Venezuelan’s favor. Hardy gets in and gets out with punches before the Canadian can answer. Horth pulls guard, but Hardy lifts her back to her feet and engages her in the clinch. She lands a close-range elbow over the top but absorbs a few knees to the body. They continue to jockey for position in the clinch, then separate. Horth closes the distance and completes a takedown, setting up shop in full guard with a minute to go. She scores with body-head combinations from the top but not yet connecting with anything significant. Horth stands up and absorbs a upkick to the chest that knocks her off-balance for an instant. She finishes the round in top position.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy

Round 3
Hardy steps into a two-punch combination from her southpaw stance, then fires a kick to the body and another to the leg. Horth lands an elbow over the top that gets Hardy’s attention, then sticks the Venezuelan with a right hand. Hardy follows a body kick with a left hook. Horth turning to elbows in the standup exchanges, making her first noticeable adjustment on the feet. She once again ties up Hardy along the fence, fires a knee to the body and separates. They both connect on the break. Hardy slams another kick into the Canadian’s midsection. Horth closes the distance, plants an elbow upstairs and moves into the clinch. They trade knees to the legs. Hardy doing everything she can to stay upright. Horth hacks away with elbows to the head and eats a few punches. She drops an off-balance Hardy with a stepping elbow, but the Venezuelan gets back to her feet. They engage one another in the clinch. Hardy counters a takedown into top position, and they scramble back to a standing position, trading along the fence to close it out.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)

The Official Result
Veronica Hardy def. Jamey Lyn-Horth—Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady believes Jamey-Lyn Horth is being undervalued after the line flipped from Hardy being a big underdog. He notes Horth has a three-inch height and reach advantage, plus a strength advantage, and should be able to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Horth is the better striker and can stuff takedowns or get her own. He predicts a decision win for Horth.

"I like jam Lin horth here to win this fight win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy as an underdog. He thinks Hardy's speed, footwork, and game plan with Dan Hardy can overcome Horth's size. He notes Hardy looked great in her last fight after a layoff. He believes if Hardy uses lateral movement and mixes in takedowns, she can win. He acknowledges Horth's strength but thinks Hardy's technique and game plan are key.

"Hardy will be the pick for me horth is the pick for you the markets are insane on that one"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Lucrative James picks Veronica Hardy, citing her improved striking and speed advantage. He notes that while Jamey-Lyn Horth is a decent fighter with good wins, Hardy's in-and-out movement and early-round success should carry her. He acknowledges that Horth may grow into the fight later, but believes Hardy will have enough gas to win the early rounds and secure the victory.

"overall I think hard's gonna win the fight I feel like she's going to have enough gas to last and she's probably going to win the early round so I'm going to give her the edge for that reason"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Hardy's lateral footwork, speed, and striking from distance, combined with improved grappling from training with Dan Hardy, should allow her to exploit Horth's weaknesses on the ground. Horth is undefeated but has shown vulnerability when put in bad positions. Hardy's fight IQ and cardio will be key to wearing Horth down over three rounds. The plus 155 underdog price is seen as a good value spot.

plus 155 underdog, decision win predicted
"I see Hardy around plus 155 right now I think that's a damn good Underdog spot here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Paul picks Horth, citing her size and strength. He thinks she can grind out Hardy. He notes the line movement is strange but he's going with the Canadian. He acknowledges Hardy's speed and game plan but believes Horth's physicality will be too much.

"I'm a coward so I'm go with the Canadian girl hor"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

The MMA Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Veronica Hardy, citing Horth's physicality advantage and post-30-year-old female rage. He acknowledges Hardy may be more technical but believes Horth's size and reach will be decisive. He expects a close decision, likely 29-28, and goes with the larger fighter.

decision likely, 29-28
"I am going to be going against Veronica Hardy here and I'm going to be going with Jamey-Lyn Horth... she's a lot larger than Veronica Hardy as well... I think she's going to have a big physicality advantage."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 30 of 79 37% 49 of 98 0 of 3 0% 3 0 1:19
Juliana Miller 0 62 of 77 80% 78 of 95 4 of 4 100% 0 0 7:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 19 of 45 42% 25 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Juliana Miller 0 26 of 35 74% 32 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 20 40% 12 of 24 0 of 2 0% 2 0 0:19
Juliana Miller 0 16 of 19 84% 20 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:45
3 Veronica Hardy 0 3 of 14 21% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Juliana Miller 0 20 of 23 86% 26 of 30 4 of 4 100% 0 0 3:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 30 of 79 37% 20 of 63 9 of 14 1 of 2 22 of 65 7 of 9 1 of 5
Juliana Miller 62 of 77 80% 39 of 52 12 of 14 11 of 11 32 of 43 5 of 6 25 of 28
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 19 of 45 42% 12 of 35 7 of 9 0 of 1 14 of 39 5 of 6 0 of 0
Juliana Miller 26 of 35 74% 19 of 27 1 of 2 6 of 6 18 of 27 5 of 5 3 of 3
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 20 40% 7 of 18 0 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 4
Juliana Miller 16 of 19 84% 14 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 12
3 Veronica Hardy 3 of 14 21% 1 of 10 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 1
Juliana Miller 20 of 23 86% 6 of 8 9 of 10 5 of 5 7 of 9 0 of 1 13 of 13
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Angelo acknowledges Juliana Miller is ferocious and has impressive scramble skills, but he notes she is not very polished and only has four professional fights. He is wary of betting on women's MMA after JJ Aldrich's loss and refuses to lay -450 on a fighter he considers not very good. He sees this as a setup win for Miller but is staying away from betting.

"Juliana Miller is not very good she's not polished she's a little wild she is tenacious she will go out there she will fight for your money but she's not very good and there is not a world where I'm …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Big Brady picks Juliana Miller, noting she made improvements in her last fight against Brogan Walker, especially in wrestling. He is concerned about Miller's striking defense and hittability, but believes she can take the fight down and finish. He is not confident enough to lay -450, but sees Miller's path to victory via TKO or submission. He mentions Hardy has not fought in three years and looked awful in her last UFC stint.

"I like Juliana Miller here I like her to finish this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Cody picks Miller, citing her grappling advantage and Hardy's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Miller's striking is poor but if she gets the fight to the ground, she should win. He worries about Miller's mental lapses and the crowd atmosphere, but thinks she is the better fighter. He says minus 450 is scary but Miller should roll.

Juliana Miller by submission
"I gotta go with Juliana Miller but again like minus 450 screams big favorite and we're confident and love it and it's going to be up there and she may go in there and look like a minus 10 000 …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Connor picks Miller, citing Hardy's inefficiency and poor fight IQ. He notes that Hardy burns energy quickly and makes bad decisions, while Miller is relentless with her wrestling and top pressure. Connor believes Miller will take Hardy down and grind her out, despite Miller's own technical flaws.

"Miller is a huge favorite... she's going to get to strong positions and just slowly break Veronica Hardy."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Jacob thinks Juliana Miller should win but has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Veronica Hardy has been away for three years and could look great or rusty. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money because Miller should steamroll Hardy, but he is not betting the moneyline.

under 2.5 rounds at +100
"I think that under two and a half is pretty good value at even money because Julian Miller should hypothetically come in and just kind of steamroll Veronica."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Miller's grappling is her calling card, but her striking is technically deficient and leaves openings. Hardy has a long layoff and is poor off her back unless she throws up a Hail Mary submission. Miller's relentless pace and top control should lead to a finish in the latter half. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.

fight doesn't go to decision
"what I'll be looking at Target is actually the fight doesn't go to decision with Miller likely getting her hand raised with that top control"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Paul picks Miller, noting Hardy's strange career path and long layoff. He says Hardy is surprisingly only 27 but has been doing broadcasting and may not be fully committed. He thinks Miller's tenacity and grappling will be too much. He says minus 450 scares him but he sees more upside from Miller.

"I'm picking Miller as well... Hardy is surprisingly still only 27... I see more upside from a uh Prospect uh standpoint from Julianna Miller"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

The MMA Guru picks Juliana Miller over Veronica Hardy, citing Hardy's lack of commitment and long layoffs. He notes Hardy has not been active and seems to treat MMA as a hobby, while Miller has more recent experience including fights on The Ultimate Fighter. He predicts Miller will win by decision, acknowledging Hardy's dangerous submission game off her back but favoring Miller's mindset and activity.

Miller wins by decision
"I'm gonna go with Juliana Miller to hustle when she needs to and win herself this fight by decision over Veronica macedo"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Hardy's taekwondo-based style leaves her vulnerable to pressure. He points out that Hardy gasses quickly and cannot manage distance well. Zane expects Miller's aggressive wrestling and top control to be too much for Hardy, who has no answer for a relentless grappler.

"She just has some fundamental issues that she cannot iron out."
LOSS vs Bea Malecki
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bea Malecki 0 93 of 258 36% 106 of 271 0 of 9 0% 0 0 0:12
Veronica Hardy 0 130 of 247 52% 190 of 326 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bea Malecki 0 37 of 112 33% 37 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 36 of 81 44% 36 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bea Malecki 0 24 of 70 34% 28 of 74 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:02
Veronica Hardy 0 48 of 87 55% 84 of 139 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:54
3 Bea Malecki 0 32 of 76 42% 41 of 85 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:10
Veronica Hardy 0 46 of 79 58% 70 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bea Malecki 93 of 258 36% 67 of 213 14 of 30 12 of 15 90 of 246 3 of 12 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 130 of 247 52% 92 of 191 34 of 50 4 of 6 107 of 214 11 of 13 12 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bea Malecki 37 of 112 33% 19 of 83 10 of 21 8 of 8 36 of 106 1 of 6 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 36 of 81 44% 25 of 59 9 of 20 2 of 2 35 of 78 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Bea Malecki 24 of 70 34% 18 of 61 3 of 3 3 of 6 24 of 67 0 of 3 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 48 of 87 55% 35 of 70 13 of 16 0 of 1 32 of 64 6 of 6 10 of 17
3 Bea Malecki 32 of 76 42% 30 of 69 1 of 6 1 of 1 30 of 73 2 of 3 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 46 of 79 58% 32 of 62 12 of 14 2 of 3 40 of 72 4 of 4 2 of 3
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Bea Malecki

Daniel sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the dog. He notes Malecki's size advantage and Muay Thai skills, and thinks she can keep the fight at range. He's not confident in Macedo's ability to take over in the third round, so he sides with the underdog.

"I actually think my Leki's gonna come out here with their one a no record and pull off the upset"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The host picks Veronica Hardy (referred to as Veronica Macedo) over Bea Malecki. He notes that Malecki was destroyed by Duda Santana but managed a Hail Mary submission, while Hardy has fought better opponents and is 6-3. He expects Hardy to win by unanimous decision.

"Veronica Macedo is gonna win this fight she's six and free but she has some decent wins she's fought better opponents"
WIN vs Polyana Viana
Submission (armbar) R1 1:09 · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:04
Polyana Viana 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:04
Polyana Viana 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Veronica Macedo vs. Polyana Viana

Round 1
Kicking off the
Ultimate Fighting Championship's
debut in Uruguay is a flyweight fight between two women desperately seeking a win in Macedo (5-3-1, 0-3 UFC) and Viana (10-3, 1-2 UFC). Our referee for this first contest is Keith Peterson. Viana comes out with a body kick to start off the night, and then scores one more. Macedo tries for a spinning back kick but misses and ends up on her back, where Viana takes half guard. Viana advances position by trapping Macedo's arm under her knee for a moment, but Macedo slips out.
Out of nowhere, Macedo throws her legs up to snatch an armbar, and Viana rolls to try to defend it but ends up on her back, and Viana has no choice but to tap out!
Macedo earns the first win of her UFC career, and in the process becomes the first fighter to ever finish Viana.

The Official Result
Veronica Macedo def. Polyana Viana R1 1:09 via Submission (Armbar)
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:27 · UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Santos · Feb 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 23 of 41 56% 35 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 2 1:50
Veronica Hardy 0 5 of 8 62% 10 of 14 2 of 4 50% 1 3 4:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 19 of 33 57% 27 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 2 0:46
Veronica Hardy 0 5 of 6 83% 7 of 9 1 of 2 50% 0 2 2:55
2 Gillian Robertson 0 4 of 8 50% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:04
Veronica Hardy 0 0 of 2 0% 3 of 5 1 of 2 50% 1 1 1:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 23 of 41 56% 21 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 25 2 of 2 13 of 14
Veronica Hardy 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 19 of 33 57% 18 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 19 0 of 0 13 of 14
Veronica Hardy 5 of 6 83% 5 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Gillian Robertson 4 of 8 50% 3 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0