The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Nov 30, 2018 · Catchweight (148.5 lbs) · Completed
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Age 37
Height 5' 7"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 6' 0"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Kevin Aguilar
3.96 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
4.81 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.16 TD Avg
16.0% TD Acc.
78.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ricky Glenn
3.79 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
4.3 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.72 TD Avg
13.0% TD Acc.
69.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Kevin Aguilar - Fight History
LOSS vs Tucker Lutz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tucker Lutz 0 81 of 144 56% 132 of 196 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
Kevin Aguilar 0 99 of 177 55% 114 of 192 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tucker Lutz 0 25 of 41 60% 50 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 0 33 of 53 62% 43 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:19
2 Tucker Lutz 0 28 of 50 56% 37 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Kevin Aguilar 0 34 of 59 57% 35 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
3 Tucker Lutz 0 28 of 53 52% 45 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Kevin Aguilar 0 32 of 65 49% 36 of 69 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tucker Lutz 81 of 144 56% 45 of 98 31 of 39 5 of 7 72 of 135 9 of 9 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 99 of 177 55% 59 of 131 21 of 26 19 of 20 91 of 167 5 of 6 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tucker Lutz 25 of 41 60% 10 of 24 13 of 15 2 of 2 24 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 33 of 53 62% 17 of 33 10 of 14 6 of 6 29 of 49 2 of 2 2 of 2
2 Tucker Lutz 28 of 50 56% 16 of 33 10 of 13 2 of 4 23 of 45 5 of 5 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 34 of 59 57% 21 of 45 6 of 6 7 of 8 32 of 57 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Tucker Lutz 28 of 53 52% 19 of 41 8 of 11 1 of 1 25 of 50 3 of 3 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 32 of 65 49% 21 of 53 5 of 6 6 of 6 30 of 61 1 of 2 1 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Aguilar

Aguilar is the better fighter overall with phenomenal takedown defense (87%) and has fought tougher competition. Lutz is very hittable with poor striking defense. However, Aguilar's low volume is a concern; he got outlanded in recent fights. I think Aguilar lands the harder shots and is live for a knockout, but I'm not betting on him.

by KO
"I'm going to take kevin aguilera to win by ko but i really don't want to put my money on this guy so i'm going to pass from a vetting perspective"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tucker Lutz

Cody picks Lutz, emphasizing Aguilar's chin issues. He notes that Aguilar has been knocked out by lesser strikers and Lutz has good durability. Cody believes Lutz's wrestling and ability to take a punch will allow him to win a decision or late finish.

Monkey Knife Fight: double over on significant strikes.
"i am going to go lots um"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Aguilar

Daniel Levi picks Kevin Aguilar, hoping he looks better than his last fight. He notes that Aguilar's previous loss to Charles Rosa was disappointing, but if he can improve even 1%, he can win. Levi acknowledges that Tucker Lutz is a workman with good kicks, but thinks Aguilar has the experience edge. He calls it a pick'em and a dog-or-pass situation.

dog or pass situation
"i'm gonna go with kevin because i'm hoping if he can just look one percent better"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tucker Lutz

The host leans toward Lutz, citing his versatility on the feet and wrestling background. He notes Aguilar marches forward in a straight line and throws big shots but lacks diversity. He thinks Lutz moves better, mixes up kicks, and has a strong lead kick. However, he acknowledges it could be a close stand-up fight and is not ultra confident, predicting a decision win for Lutz.

Lutz by decision
"i'll ultimately be going with tucker lutz to win this five-year decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tucker Lutz

Paul picks Lutz, noting that Aguilar has a weak chin and has been knocked out recently. He believes Lutz's durability and wrestling will be key. Paul expects Lutz to take shots and keep coming, while Aguilar may falter if hit. He sees this as a fun fight that could go to decision.

Monkey Knife Fight: double over on significant strikes (43.5 for Lutz, 33.5 for Aguilar).
"i am going to go lots um"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Tucker Lutz

The MMA Guru picks Tucker Lutz over Kevin Aguilar, citing Aguilar's recent decline and poor performances, including a loss to Charles Rosa. He believes Aguilar has taken too much damage and no longer takes shots well. He sees Lutz as a rising contender with momentum and predicts a close unanimous decision 29-28.

"i'm going with tucker lutz here"
LOSS vs Charles Rosa
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Eye vs. Calvillo · Jun 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Rosa 0 69 of 173 39% 69 of 173 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 0 53 of 135 39% 53 of 135 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Rosa 0 20 of 56 35% 20 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 0 14 of 37 37% 14 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Charles Rosa 0 22 of 50 44% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 0 17 of 39 43% 17 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Charles Rosa 0 27 of 67 40% 27 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 0 22 of 59 37% 22 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Rosa 69 of 173 39% 33 of 119 15 of 26 21 of 28 69 of 173 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 53 of 135 39% 34 of 109 17 of 22 2 of 4 50 of 130 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Rosa 20 of 56 35% 5 of 34 5 of 9 10 of 13 20 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 14 of 37 37% 10 of 29 4 of 7 0 of 1 11 of 32 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Charles Rosa 22 of 50 44% 10 of 30 6 of 11 6 of 9 22 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 17 of 39 43% 11 of 31 5 of 6 1 of 2 17 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Charles Rosa 27 of 67 40% 18 of 55 4 of 6 5 of 6 27 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 22 of 59 37% 13 of 49 8 of 9 1 of 1 22 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Charles Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Charles Rosa, noting that he shouldn't be judged by his loss to Bryce Mitchell. He highlights Rosa's jiu-jitsu and striking, recalling that Rosa out-struck Shane Burgos in their fight. He believes Rosa will finish Aguilar by head kick, as Aguilar is coming off a KO loss and a short turnaround.

Rosa wins by KO (head kick)
"Charles Rosa was beating shame Burgos on the feet. He's a jujitsu guy, he was clearly out striking Shane Burgos."
TKO (punches) R1 3:21 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 2 28 of 36 77% 28 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 2 28 of 36 77% 28 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zubaira Tukhugov 9 of 28 32% 4 of 22 3 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 28 of 36 77% 26 of 34 2 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 22 0 of 0 13 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 9 of 28 32% 4 of 22 3 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 28 of 36 77% 26 of 34 2 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 22 0 of 0 13 of 14
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Aguilar

Daniel Levi picks Kevin Aguilar, despite concerns about Aguilar taking too many clean punches. He believes Aguilar's takedown defense and get-up game are excellent, and that his output and cardio will be deciding factors in the later rounds. Levi notes that Zubaira Tukhugov's activity wanes as fights go on, and if Tukhugov doesn't knock Aguilar out early, Aguilar will take over and win a decision.

"I think that if Zubaira does not knock out Kevin Aguilar, that Aguilar is gonna take over in that second and third."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Kevin Aguilar

The host picks Kevin Aguilar, reasoning that if Tukhugov were special, he wouldn't have gone to a draw with Lerone Murphy on short notice. He notes Aguilar's only recent loss is to Dan Ige, who looked amazing. He likes Aguilar as an underdog to bounce back.

"I like Kevin Aguilar here to bounce back I think he's gonna get the job done over Jabara took a Goff"
LOSS vs Dan Ige
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Korean Zombie · Jun 22, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Ige 1 71 of 125 56% 92 of 146 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:07
Kevin Aguilar 0 33 of 104 31% 65 of 136 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Ige 1 27 of 47 57% 45 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:06
Kevin Aguilar 0 9 of 29 31% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dan Ige 0 13 of 14 92% 16 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:55
Kevin Aguilar 0 9 of 18 50% 32 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:05
3 Dan Ige 0 31 of 64 48% 31 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Kevin Aguilar 0 15 of 57 26% 15 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Ige 71 of 125 56% 52 of 102 12 of 16 7 of 7 44 of 89 6 of 9 21 of 27
Kevin Aguilar 33 of 104 31% 21 of 83 10 of 18 2 of 3 21 of 87 5 of 6 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Ige 27 of 47 57% 18 of 36 4 of 6 5 of 5 15 of 28 0 of 1 12 of 18
Kevin Aguilar 9 of 29 31% 6 of 23 2 of 4 1 of 2 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dan Ige 13 of 14 92% 9 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 9
Kevin Aguilar 9 of 18 50% 8 of 15 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 11
3 Dan Ige 31 of 64 48% 25 of 56 5 of 7 1 of 1 25 of 56 6 of 8 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 15 of 57 26% 7 of 45 7 of 11 1 of 1 10 of 51 5 of 6 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Aguilar 0 52 of 126 41% 53 of 127 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:30
Enrique Barzola 0 58 of 243 23% 58 of 243 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Aguilar 0 13 of 33 39% 13 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Enrique Barzola 0 18 of 70 25% 18 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kevin Aguilar 0 15 of 37 40% 15 of 37 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:09
Enrique Barzola 0 19 of 80 23% 19 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kevin Aguilar 0 24 of 56 42% 25 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Enrique Barzola 0 21 of 93 22% 21 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Aguilar 52 of 126 41% 28 of 96 9 of 13 15 of 17 50 of 121 2 of 5 0 of 0
Enrique Barzola 58 of 243 23% 36 of 208 20 of 31 2 of 4 58 of 240 0 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Aguilar 13 of 33 39% 3 of 19 4 of 6 6 of 8 12 of 30 1 of 3 0 of 0
Enrique Barzola 18 of 70 25% 9 of 56 8 of 11 1 of 3 18 of 69 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Kevin Aguilar 15 of 37 40% 8 of 30 3 of 3 4 of 4 15 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 0
Enrique Barzola 19 of 80 23% 14 of 70 5 of 10 0 of 0 19 of 78 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Kevin Aguilar 24 of 56 42% 17 of 47 2 of 4 5 of 5 23 of 55 1 of 1 0 of 0
Enrique Barzola 21 of 93 22% 13 of 82 7 of 10 1 of 1 21 of 93 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Ricky Glenn
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Nov 30, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Aguilar 0 74 of 187 39% 77 of 190 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:29
Ricky Glenn 1 86 of 168 51% 103 of 186 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Aguilar 0 18 of 53 33% 19 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Ricky Glenn 0 25 of 52 48% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Kevin Aguilar 0 28 of 72 38% 28 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Ricky Glenn 0 30 of 60 50% 31 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Kevin Aguilar 0 28 of 62 45% 30 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Ricky Glenn 1 31 of 56 55% 47 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Aguilar 74 of 187 39% 50 of 149 11 of 22 13 of 16 63 of 171 11 of 15 0 of 1
Ricky Glenn 86 of 168 51% 47 of 124 33 of 38 6 of 6 62 of 134 11 of 18 13 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Aguilar 18 of 53 33% 12 of 41 2 of 8 4 of 4 18 of 52 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 25 of 52 48% 11 of 37 14 of 15 0 of 0 21 of 46 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Kevin Aguilar 28 of 72 38% 20 of 60 5 of 8 3 of 4 22 of 65 6 of 7 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 30 of 60 50% 16 of 44 10 of 12 4 of 4 25 of 52 5 of 8 0 of 0
3 Kevin Aguilar 28 of 62 45% 18 of 48 4 of 6 6 of 8 23 of 54 5 of 7 0 of 1
Ricky Glenn 31 of 56 55% 20 of 43 9 of 11 2 of 2 16 of 36 2 of 4 13 of 16
Ricky Glenn - Fight History
LOSS vs Song Kenan
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Kenan 0 87 of 170 51% 113 of 199 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:48
Ricky Glenn 0 40 of 99 40% 67 of 127 2 of 15 13% 0 0 3:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Kenan 0 22 of 50 44% 37 of 68 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:05
Ricky Glenn 0 9 of 26 34% 30 of 48 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:17
2 Song Kenan 0 34 of 63 53% 37 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Glenn 0 14 of 32 43% 16 of 34 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:27
3 Song Kenan 0 31 of 57 54% 39 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Ricky Glenn 0 17 of 41 41% 21 of 45 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Kenan 87 of 170 51% 65 of 147 19 of 20 3 of 3 66 of 142 21 of 28 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 40 of 99 40% 15 of 65 11 of 15 14 of 19 33 of 92 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Kenan 22 of 50 44% 18 of 46 3 of 3 1 of 1 19 of 44 3 of 6 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 9 of 26 34% 4 of 19 3 of 3 2 of 4 7 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Song Kenan 34 of 63 53% 27 of 56 5 of 5 2 of 2 30 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 14 of 32 43% 4 of 19 3 of 5 7 of 8 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Song Kenan 31 of 57 54% 20 of 45 11 of 12 0 of 0 17 of 39 14 of 18 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 17 of 41 41% 7 of 27 5 of 7 5 of 7 12 of 36 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 11, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Angelo believes Song Kenan should steamroll Ricky Glenn due to his power and knockout ability, but he cannot bet on him at -200 because of Song's low fight IQ and history of poor decisions, like wrestling instead of finishing Ian Garry. He thinks the line is too high for a fighter he doesn't trust, so he leaves it alone despite expecting a win.

No bet due to poor value; would consider at -140
"He should steamroll Ricky Glenn... but Kanan song be a two to one favorite when we've seen him make poor decisions to give away fights in the past I can't do it."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Big Brady picks Song Kenan to win by second-round knockout. He is very low on Ricky Glenn, stating Glenn looks washed and has been knocked out in the first round in his last two fights. He notes Glenn is moving up to welterweight late in his career and has poor durability. He believes Song Kenan has power and solid takedown defense, and that the fight will stay standing where Glenn's chin is compromised. He expects Kenan to land a big shot and finish the fight.

knockout in round 2
"I'm going sonkan on here and I think sanan probably lands a big shot at some point and and finishes this fight so give me sanan to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Cody believes Song Kenan has power and durability, while Glenn is past his prime with a questionable chin and multiple surgeries. He notes Glenn has been knocked out in his last two fights and is moving up to welterweight. Cody expects Song Kenan to win, likely by finish.

"I gota go s Canan on this one"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Daniel Vreeland picks Song Kenan to win, citing Glenn's recent knockout losses and potential decline. He notes that Kenan has power and is durable, while Glenn may be washed and moving up in weight. Vreeland acknowledges that Glenn is the more skilled fighter but believes recency bias is justified here.

"I'm going to pick song to win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Song Kenan

The host picks Song Kenan but with low confidence, noting Song's power and striking rhythm. He acknowledges Glenn is a better overall mixed martial artist but questions his durability after recent knockout losses. He expects Song to win by knockout, but warns that Song is better as an underdog than a favorite.

Song by knockout
"I will still pick him to win this matchup and Win It by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Paul agrees, noting that Glenn's durability has left him and that he is likely just collecting a paycheck. He points out that Song Kenan has power and has knocked down Ian Garry. Paul expects Song Kenan to win by finish.

"sanan will also be the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Song Kenan

The MMA Guru picks Song Kenan over Ricky Glenn. He notes that Song Kenan has proven him wrong before, showing pop in his hands against Rolando Bedoya and a tough fight with Kevin Jousset. He criticizes Ricky Glenn as an old, slow fighter who moves like a robot and is falling off, citing losses to Christos Giagos and Drew Dober. He believes Song Kenan is still capable, even if not a top fighter, while Glenn is declining.

"I'm going to go with son Canan there's not really much I have to break down in this fight... Ricky Glenn moves like an old man who's not got it anymore"
LOSS vs Drew Dober
TKO (punches) R1 2:36 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drew Dober 1 30 of 53 56% 30 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Ricky Glenn 0 5 of 22 22% 5 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drew Dober 1 30 of 53 56% 30 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Ricky Glenn 0 5 of 22 22% 5 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drew Dober 30 of 53 56% 19 of 40 7 of 9 4 of 4 20 of 38 2 of 3 8 of 12
Ricky Glenn 5 of 22 22% 2 of 15 3 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drew Dober 30 of 53 56% 19 of 40 7 of 9 4 of 4 20 of 38 2 of 3 8 of 12
Ricky Glenn 5 of 22 22% 2 of 15 3 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Drew Dober

Angelo picks Drew Dober confidently, citing his technical kickboxing, power, and willingness to brawl. He notes that Ricky Glenn struggles when opponents bring a brawl. However, he expresses concern about Dober's chin after his knockout loss to Matt Frevola, wondering if it's the beginning of the end. He has Dober in a parlay with Kanako Murata, calling it risky.

Parlay with Kanako Murata
"I'm still squarely in the Drew Dober Camp here obviously some concerns about where the chin is or is not"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Drew Dober

Big Brady is very confident in Drew Dober, calling the matchup questionable and noting Ricky Glenn's poor performance in his last fight. He believes Glenn looks washed and has had long layoffs due to injuries. He expects Dober's power to be too much, predicting a first-round knockout despite Glenn only being knocked out once in his career.

first round knockout for Drew Dober
"I'm gonna take Drew Dober to win this fight I'm gonna take him to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Drew Dober

Cody picks Dober but is hesitant, noting that Dober's chin may be compromised after his knockout loss to Matt Frevola. He acknowledges Glenn's sneaky power and low activity, but believes Dober's experience and power give him the edge. He does not like the line and sees better value elsewhere.

Under 2.5 rounds, Fight time under 9.75 minutes
"I don't like the line I don't like the value... but I gotta pick the rifle winner"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Drew Dober

Daniel Levi picks Drew Dober, noting that Dober has always been a step ahead of Ricky Glenn in competition. He highlights Dober's power and his record for most KOs in the lightweight division, but also acknowledges Glenn's durability (only one KO loss in over 30 fights). He thinks Dober should get back on track but doesn't guarantee a KO.

"I think Dober should get back on track here I think that the odds indicate that"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Drew Dober

Lucrative James predicts Dober wins by knockout in round two or three. He thinks the line is wide but Dober should get the finish. He notes Dober has good takedown defense but struggles to get back up if taken down. He believes Glenn is slowing down and Dober will eventually crack his chin.

"I'm predicting out round two round three sweet"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Drew Dober

Dober has power and speed advantages, and Glenn has durability concerns after a long layoff and surgeries. However, Dober is unreliable as a heavy favorite and Glenn can also knock him out. The fight likely ends inside the distance, with Dober getting a KO, but the odds are too high to trust. I predict Dober by KO but won't bet the moneyline.

fight doesn't go to decision
"give me Drew Dober by KO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Paul picks Ricky Glenn as a value play, citing Dober's recent knockout loss and Glenn's volatility. He notes that Glenn has sneaky power and could catch Dober. However, he is not highly confident, calling it a high-volatility fight. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop as a safer bet.

Under 2.5 rounds, Ricky Glenn by knockout (YOLO play)
"I'll pick them for the purposes of this show because I just can't get to minus 420... it's just a high volatility fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Drew Dober

The MMA Guru picks Drew Dober over Ricky Glenn, predicting a TKO. He jokes about Dober's racially motivated power but seriously notes Glenn looked like an 'old age pensioner' in his last fight against Christos Giagos, slow and predictable. He believes Dober has decent takedown defense and will land body shots, finishing Glenn in the late first round. He also mentions Glenn stands upright, making him vulnerable.

late first round KO
"I'm gonna go Drew Dober over Ricky Glenn too old too robotic too rusty"
LOSS vs Christos Giagos
KO (punch) R1 1:35 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christos Giagos 0 2 of 11 18% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Glenn 1 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christos Giagos 0 2 of 11 18% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Glenn 1 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christos Giagos 2 of 11 18% 1 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 3 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 9 of 16 56% 4 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christos Giagos 2 of 11 18% 1 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 3 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 9 of 16 56% 4 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Angelo picks Ricky Glenn because of his superior striking. He thinks Glenn's striking will be so much better that Giagos will struggle to get takedowns. He also notes Glenn has solid submission defense if taken down. He is not betting due to both fighters being inactive and not having won in a couple of years.

"Ricky's gonna be the pick because of that striking Gap... no bet here we got two inactive guys."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Big Brady picks Ricky Glenn to win by decision. He notes that Glenn has solid takedown defense and a very good get-up game, which will be a problem for Giagos, who tends to slow down as fights go on. Brady expects Giagos to have early success taking Glenn down, but Glenn will pop back up, and as Giagos fades, Glenn will take over in the second and third rounds. He trusts Glenn's cardio over Giagos's.

"give me Ricky Glenn here I'll take Ricky Glenn to win by decision I think he probably loses the first even but wins that second and third as Diego starts to slow down"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Cody picks Ricky Glenn, praising his cardio, durability, and striking volume. He notes Giagos is explosive but gasses quickly, often winning the first round but fading. Glenn has excellent takedown defense and submission defense, and he can get back to his feet. Cody believes Glenn will weather the early storm and take over in later rounds, possibly getting a late stoppage. He mentions a third-round TKO prop as a live play.

Ricky Glenn wins by TKO in round 3
"Rick Glenn and then if you want to chase those exotic props like a third round TKO is 100 live and play here so give me a rick Glenn"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Connor picks Ricky Glenn, noting that Glenn is a slow-starting fighter who builds into fights and has a history of comebacks. He highlights Glenn's ability to stuff takedowns and win scrambles, turning them into top position where he is fearsome. Connor contrasts this with Giagos, who is a physical bully but has a rudimentary wrestle-boxing style and tends to crumble when pushed back.

"I think he is going to beat Christos Geagos up."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Ricky Glenn is a solid all-around fighter with good cardio and defensive grappling. He should be able to stuff Giagos' early takedowns and take over in later rounds. Giagos has poor cardio and a limited striking game. However, Glenn has a history of hip injuries and layoffs, so his conditioning is a concern. If Glenn is anywhere near 80%, he should win by late finish or decision. Prediction: Glenn by third-round TKO.

Glenn by TKO in round 3
"I'm going to call it third round finish over Christos yagos... official prediction Ricky Glenn round three TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Paul agrees with Cody, saying he is in complete agreement and has nothing to add. He implicitly picks Ricky Glenn.

"yeah I mean I'm in completely agreement with yeah really nothing else to add to that one to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

The MMA Guru picks Ricky Glenn over Christos Giagos. He criticizes Giagos for losing to top-level competition and notes his wins are against low-level opponents. He praises Glenn's performances against good opponents like Dennis Bermudez and Gavin Tucker, and his short-notice majority draw with Grant Dawson. He thinks Glenn can out-grapple or out-strike Giagos and predicts a decision win, 29-28.

decision
"I'm gonna go with Ricky Glenn over Christos Gallegos Giagos is just like he's all right against non-top level competition but then he's one of those Fighters where when he does take that step up he gets smoked"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Ricky Glenn. He emphasizes that Glenn is never the faster or harder hitter, but he is undeterred by Giagos's early success. Zane notes that Giagos has never lost the ability to be shocked when someone he bullied early works back into the fight, and he tends to crumble. Zane feels relatively confident in Glenn getting the win.

"I feel relatively confident in Glenn getting this one."
LOSS vs Grant Dawson
Draw (majority) (29–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Grant Dawson 0 24 of 31 77% 71 of 85 3 of 11 27% 0 0 8:26
Ricky Glenn 0 28 of 41 68% 88 of 104 0 of 0 --- 1 0 4:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Grant Dawson 0 16 of 19 84% 39 of 44 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:14
Ricky Glenn 0 4 of 6 66% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Grant Dawson 0 7 of 10 70% 30 of 38 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:08
Ricky Glenn 0 1 of 7 14% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Grant Dawson 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:04
Ricky Glenn 0 23 of 28 82% 66 of 74 0 of 0 --- 1 0 4:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Grant Dawson 24 of 31 77% 12 of 17 11 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 7 2 of 2 19 of 22
Ricky Glenn 28 of 41 68% 19 of 26 7 of 12 2 of 3 8 of 19 1 of 1 19 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Grant Dawson 16 of 19 84% 9 of 12 6 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 14 of 16
Ricky Glenn 4 of 6 66% 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Grant Dawson 7 of 10 70% 3 of 5 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 6
Ricky Glenn 1 of 7 14% 0 of 2 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Grant Dawson 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 23 of 28 82% 18 of 23 5 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 6 1 of 1 19 of 21
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Grant Dawson vs. Ricky Glenn

Round 1
At long last, we have reached the co-main event, which comes in the form of a lightweight collision between acclaimed teams Glory MMA & Fitness and Team Alpha Male. Dawson (17-1, 5-0 UFC) represents the former, while Glenn (22-6-1, 4-3 UFC) fights out of the latter. Marvelously mustached referee Mike Beltran draws the charge for this co-headliner featuring the biggest betting favorite of the night (Dawson at -450), and there is no interest in a glove touch to kick it off. Instead, Glenn takes the outer edge of the cage to land a pair of slapping leg kicks. Dawson goes up high with a head kick that just gets blocked in the nick of time, and he aims a low kick and evades the counter. Glenn slows things down with a calf kick, and one to the body collides loudly. Dawson does not love this strike, and he crashes forward to hit a takedown. Although “The Gladiator” fights his way back up, Dawson successfully lands a mat return to get into side control. Glenn is able to defend himself from any harm, as Dawson is content to keep this position while holding Glenn down. From this position, “KGD” lands a few knees to the side, and Glenn rolls to his stomach and gives up his back. As Glenn scrambles and gets back to his feet, Dawson throws him right back down to the canvas while securing his back. Dawson hooks up a tight body triangle, and he starts softening the TAM fighter up with punches. Glenn turns to the side to break up the leg grip, and Dawson starts slamming his fists on the side of Glenn’s head. A few punches may go errant as he is letting them go, and Glenn does not complain but is getting controlled completely. Dawson considers rolling Glenn over so he can capture mount, but instead goes back to the crushing body triangle from behind. Glenn continues to roll, and try as he might, “KGD” is going nowhere, with the leg grip secured. This painful position remains tight until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Dawson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Dawson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dawson

Round 2
Glenn leads the dance with a body kick, and he backs off quickly when concerned that Dawson might want to take him down again. Dawson returns fire with a head kick, and then dives forward into a takedown try. A torrid scramble ensues, allowing Glenn to somersault through the position and somehow getting back to his feet. Instead of getting off an illegal knee while Dawson is grounded, Glenn backs off and lets him stand. “KGD” appreciates this, and he thanks him for it by lifting Glenn in the air and throwing him to his knees. Although Glenn gets back up, and he fights off subsequent try, Dawson hits a sweep and puts Glenn on his back. Like the first takedown in the opening round, Dawson instantly secures side control. Glenn is able to scramble enough to retrieve full guard, and he tries to scoot his way towards the wall to walk it up all while Dawson pulls him the other direction. Glenn pulls on the fence to get his way there, and Beltran warns him for this infraction. Glenn signals to Beltran to stand them up as Dawson is doing little but landing sporadic ground-and-pound with no interest in passing. Glenn’s frustration leads to Dawson jumping back and over to the side again, and Glenn is none too thrilled by this development. When Glenn thinks to sit out of it, Dawson pulls him back down by his neck. Beltran asks the two to work as a stalemate ensues in this position, and Dawson elects to hold his shoulder down to crush Glenn’s jaw but do little else. Dawson has a few more knees to the side land, and he grinds his forearm on the chin until picking his arm up to punch “The Gladiator” in the face. The round concludes in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dawson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dawson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dawson

Round 3
Glenn wants to get his hands going to start off the round, and he slaps away a body kick. Less than 15 seconds in, Dawson shoots for a takedown. Glenn pushes him off, and then stuffs a second try that immediately follows. As Dawson doggedly pursues yet another takedown entry, this time, Glenn bowls him over as Dawson falls to his back. Glenn sits up and starts landing heavy hammerfists on the nose, and Dawson sits up and tries to land a takedown. Once again, Glenn is the stronger man, and he pushes Dawson over to start landing punches to the side and face. Glenn in half guard just clings to the position, and he uses his shoulder to keep “KGD” down. Not doing much more than Dawson in the last round, Glenn rides out the position before flirting with a brief arm-triangle choke. There is nothing to the choke, and he fights off Dawson pushing off so that he can flatten Dawson out and stop the scrambles. Glenn starts letting elbows go, thumping Dawson’s dome off the cage floor. When Dawson tries to upkick and push his way up, Glenn nudges him back over. Glenn opens up with right hands, and he turns to a brabo choke with seconds left in the fight. Dawson keeps his thumb up in the air for the remainder of the round, signaling that he is not out. When the bell sounds, Glenn points to his fallen foe and claims Dawson is indeed out, and Dawson’s coach James Krause urges Dawson to get back to his feet. There is no 5:00 finish, and we go to the judges. This could be a close one, depending on how this last dramatic round is scored.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Glenn (28-27 Dawson)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Glenn (28-27 Dawson)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Glenn (28-28 Draw)

The Official Result
Grant Dawson vs. Ricky Glenn is Ruled a Majority Draw (29-28, 28-28, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Grant Dawson

Angelo is very confident Dawson wins. He notes Dawson's relentless wrestling and top game, and that Glenn's forward plotting style plays into Dawson's game plan. He expects Dawson to duck under punches and take Glenn down repeatedly. He plans to bet a -3.5 point spread on Dawson at -120 instead of the moneyline, meaning Dawson must win all rounds or by finish. He likes the less/less on the monkey knife fight (under 73.5 combined strikes).

plans to bet Dawson -3.5 at -120; likes less/less on monkey knife fight; will spend 9300 on Dawson in DraftKings
"i like grant dawson to win here i love him at 9 300 it's a ton of money i do think he'll get that done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Grant Dawson

Big Brady is confident in Dawson, citing his improvements and Glenn's 66% takedown defense. He expects Dawson to get multiple takedowns and control the fight, winning a grinding decision. He notes Glenn is capable off his back but hasn't been submitted in the UFC.

"i like dawson here though glenn did surprise a lot of people"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Grant Dawson

Cody picks Grant Dawson despite the steep price, citing Dawson's wrestling, cardio, and ability to grind out wins. He acknowledges Dawson's vulnerability in striking exchanges but believes his grappling will be the difference against Ricky Glenn, who has historically struggled with takedown defense. Cody notes that Glenn's recent knockout of Joaquin Silva was a flash KO and that Glenn has many unknowns after a long layoff. He trusts Dawson's consistency and James Krause's coaching.

Dawson fights for my dollar; trusty five
"with grant dawson i've never bet against this kid once in the ufc he's usually a big favorite so and this is another case if he is a big favorite but he uh he fights for my dollar"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Grant Dawson

Lock favors Dawson due to his takedown volume and cardio. He thinks Dawson's control game is much better than Glenn's and expects Dawson to win by decision. He notes Glenn is durable but Dawson should dominate on the ground.

Dawson by decision +120
"i like dawson in this dawson by decision will probably be the way that i go"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul is concerned about the steep line and Dawson's vulnerability in striking exchanges. He notes that Ricky Glenn has a significant striking advantage and that Dawson's takedown-heavy approach may not be as effective if Glenn's takedown defense has improved. Paul does not make a pick, calling it a 'dogger pass' and expressing reluctance to lay the -365.

"for me right now i kind of feel like it's dogger pass i don't really want to lay the minus 365 on grant dawson"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Grant Dawson

The MMA Guru picks Grant Dawson, trusting his grappling. He acknowledges Ricky Glenn's toughness and KO power but believes Dawson's wrestling and control time will be decisive. He references Dawson's win over Leonardo Santos as evidence of his grappling ability.

"i'm gonna go with grant dawson obviously but rick glenn's tough and he's got ko power and grant dawson if anything is a tiny bit chinny so i do worry about this a bit but i'm going to go with …"
WIN vs Joaquim Silva
KO (punches) R1 0:37 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Glenn 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 2 10 of 17 58% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Glenn 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 2 10 of 17 58% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Glenn 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 10 of 17 58% 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Glenn 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 10 of 17 58% 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 10
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Angelo picks Joaquim Silva, citing his knockout power and ability to close distance. He notes that Silva's power is always present and that he doesn't give up. However, he is hesitant due to the long layoff for both fighters. He does not have Silva in his DraftKings lineup and is not placing a money bet.

"joaquim silva wins this fight and joaquim silva is my pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Big Brady is hesitant due to long layoffs for both fighters. He notes Silva hits hard and Glenn is hittable, but Glenn has never been knocked out. He expects Silva to land harder shots and win a decision, but recommends staying away from betting.

win by decision
"I'm going to say that you know silva does win a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Cody picks Silva, citing Silva's power and experience at 155 lbs. He notes Glenn's long layoff (almost 3 years) and move up in weight, which could be problematic. Silva's power and pressure should be too much for Glenn, who is not a big hitter.

"i would go with joakim silva but uh looking at the line which is 135"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Levi picks Joaquim Silva, citing his power and durability. He notes that while Ricky Glenn has better technique, he is defensively vulnerable and marks up easily. He thinks Silva will bruise Glenn up and possibly get a knockout or decision. He also mentions Silva's black belt in jiu-jitsu as an additional threat.

"i'm going to go with joking silva man um and i'm not worried about the big layoff on either side"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Jacob also picks Joaquim Silva, but with low confidence. He worries about Silva's cardio and notes that Silva's last loss was to a southpaw, and Ricky Glenn is also a southpaw. He sees both as counter punchers and expects a slow fight. He is not putting Silva in his lineup and would not bet on it.

monkey knife fight: less on Silva, less on Glenn (or less more)
"i'm going with silva but i'm not i don't feel good enough about it to put him in my lineup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The host is confident in Joaquim Silva, citing his heavy Muay Thai striking, power, and ability to capitalize on Ricky Glenn's wild, open striking. He notes Glenn's low takedown accuracy (13% in UFC) and that Silva has put cardio concerns to rest with third-round finishes. He expects Silva to land damaging blows and predicts a second-round knockout, as Glenn's durability may be tested by Silva's power. He mentions Silva's body work and that Glenn's layoff and hip surgery could be factors.

Fight doesn't go to decision at +160 mentioned as a bet; Silva by second-round knockout predicted
"i'll go with silva to win by a second round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Paul picks Silva, agreeing with Cody. He notes Glenn's layoff and weight class change, and Silva's recent competition. Paul thinks Silva's power and durability will be key.

"i think i'm gonna go with joakim silva"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Ricky Glenn

The MMA Guru picks Ricky Glenn to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Glenn's size and strength will be too much for Joaquim Silva, despite Glenn moving up from featherweight. He expects Glenn to land good shots on the feet early, mix in takedowns, and use his range with kicks. He thinks Silva won't have the strength to deal with Glenn's pressure and grappling.

"i'm gonna go over rick glenn here... 30-27 unanimous decision"
LOSS vs Kevin Aguilar
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Nov 30, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Aguilar 0 74 of 187 39% 77 of 190 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:29
Ricky Glenn 1 86 of 168 51% 103 of 186 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Aguilar 0 18 of 53 33% 19 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Ricky Glenn 0 25 of 52 48% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Kevin Aguilar 0 28 of 72 38% 28 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Ricky Glenn 0 30 of 60 50% 31 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Kevin Aguilar 0 28 of 62 45% 30 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Ricky Glenn 1 31 of 56 55% 47 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Aguilar 74 of 187 39% 50 of 149 11 of 22 13 of 16 63 of 171 11 of 15 0 of 1
Ricky Glenn 86 of 168 51% 47 of 124 33 of 38 6 of 6 62 of 134 11 of 18 13 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Aguilar 18 of 53 33% 12 of 41 2 of 8 4 of 4 18 of 52 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 25 of 52 48% 11 of 37 14 of 15 0 of 0 21 of 46 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Kevin Aguilar 28 of 72 38% 20 of 60 5 of 8 3 of 4 22 of 65 6 of 7 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 30 of 60 50% 16 of 44 10 of 12 4 of 4 25 of 52 5 of 8 0 of 0
3 Kevin Aguilar 28 of 62 45% 18 of 48 4 of 6 6 of 8 23 of 54 5 of 7 0 of 1
Ricky Glenn 31 of 56 55% 20 of 43 9 of 11 2 of 2 16 of 36 2 of 4 13 of 16
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: dos Santos vs. Ivanov · Jul 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Glenn 0 42 of 114 36% 56 of 132 6 of 14 42% 0 0 4:19
Dennis Bermudez 0 48 of 137 35% 59 of 151 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Glenn 0 17 of 54 31% 17 of 54 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Dennis Bermudez 0 23 of 67 34% 23 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Ricky Glenn 0 11 of 33 33% 14 of 38 4 of 4 100% 0 0 1:34
Dennis Bermudez 0 17 of 48 35% 20 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ricky Glenn 0 14 of 27 51% 25 of 40 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:45
Dennis Bermudez 0 8 of 22 36% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Glenn 42 of 114 36% 25 of 87 13 of 22 4 of 5 29 of 95 5 of 5 8 of 14
Dennis Bermudez 48 of 137 35% 32 of 110 13 of 20 3 of 7 41 of 126 2 of 5 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Glenn 17 of 54 31% 8 of 40 7 of 11 2 of 3 16 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0
Dennis Bermudez 23 of 67 34% 14 of 53 7 of 11 2 of 3 23 of 66 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ricky Glenn 11 of 33 33% 5 of 25 4 of 6 2 of 2 8 of 26 0 of 0 3 of 7
Dennis Bermudez 17 of 48 35% 13 of 40 3 of 4 1 of 4 13 of 42 1 of 2 3 of 4
3 Ricky Glenn 14 of 27 51% 12 of 22 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 16 4 of 4 5 of 7
Dennis Bermudez 8 of 22 36% 5 of 17 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 18 1 of 2 2 of 2
LOSS vs Myles Jury
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · Dec 30, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Myles Jury 0 41 of 83 49% 56 of 100 2 of 3 66% 0 1 4:44
Ricky Glenn 0 14 of 83 16% 29 of 102 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Myles Jury 0 15 of 32 46% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:50
Ricky Glenn 0 5 of 23 21% 5 of 24 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:31
2 Myles Jury 0 8 of 19 42% 12 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:13
Ricky Glenn 0 3 of 17 17% 12 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
3 Myles Jury 0 18 of 32 56% 21 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:41
Ricky Glenn 0 6 of 43 13% 12 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Myles Jury 41 of 83 49% 27 of 56 14 of 24 0 of 3 29 of 67 7 of 8 5 of 8
Ricky Glenn 14 of 83 16% 6 of 53 4 of 21 4 of 9 10 of 76 2 of 5 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Myles Jury 15 of 32 46% 9 of 16 6 of 14 0 of 2 13 of 29 1 of 2 1 of 1
Ricky Glenn 5 of 23 21% 1 of 11 1 of 6 3 of 6 5 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Myles Jury 8 of 19 42% 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 1 5 of 15 1 of 1 2 of 3
Ricky Glenn 3 of 17 17% 2 of 13 1 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 13 1 of 2 2 of 2
3 Myles Jury 18 of 32 56% 13 of 26 5 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 23 5 of 5 2 of 4
Ricky Glenn 6 of 43 13% 3 of 29 2 of 12 1 of 2 5 of 40 1 of 3 0 of 0