The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Nov 30, 2018 · Women's Featherweight · Completed
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Age 33
Height 5' 7"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 33
Height 5' 7"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Leah Letson
3.06 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
3.84 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.51 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Julija Stoliarenko
2.74 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
0.78 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
1.4 Sub. Avg
Leah Letson - Fight History
LOSS vs Felicia Spencer
TKO (punches) R3 4:25 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Felicia Spencer 0 56 of 78 71% 227 of 275 4 of 13 30% 0 1 11:58
Leah Letson 0 17 of 36 47% 69 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Felicia Spencer 0 17 of 29 58% 75 of 95 0 of 3 0% 0 0 4:22
Leah Letson 0 6 of 13 46% 28 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Felicia Spencer 0 11 of 14 78% 71 of 77 3 of 6 50% 0 0 4:21
Leah Letson 0 5 of 8 62% 16 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Felicia Spencer 0 28 of 35 80% 81 of 103 1 of 4 25% 0 1 3:15
Leah Letson 0 6 of 15 40% 25 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Felicia Spencer 56 of 78 71% 44 of 65 12 of 13 0 of 0 5 of 17 39 of 45 12 of 16
Leah Letson 17 of 36 47% 10 of 27 6 of 8 1 of 1 13 of 29 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Felicia Spencer 17 of 29 58% 14 of 25 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 7 16 of 22 0 of 0
Leah Letson 6 of 13 46% 2 of 8 4 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 7 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Felicia Spencer 11 of 14 78% 6 of 9 5 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 5 9 of 9 0 of 0
Leah Letson 5 of 8 62% 3 of 6 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Felicia Spencer 28 of 35 80% 24 of 31 4 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 5 14 of 14 12 of 16
Leah Letson 6 of 15 40% 5 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Felicia Spencer

Angelo picks Felicia Spencer to win inside the distance, having placed a prop bet at +190. He notes Spencer's strong grappling and top pressure, and that Letson has a three-year layoff and holes on the ground. Angelo expects Spencer to ragdoll Letson and finish via TKO or submission.

Felicia Spencer wins inside the distance at plus 190
"i did grab one here i have felicia spencer wins inside the distance at plus 190"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Felicia Spencer

Big Brady picks Felicia Spencer but notes she is overrated and the line is too wide. He acknowledges Spencer's ground game is phenomenal (black belt BJJ) but her wrestling to get it there is questionable. He expects Spencer to take down Letson and get a submission, but warns that if she doesn't wrestle, it could be competitive.

Spencer by submission in round 2
"i'll take spencer to win by like a second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Felicia Spencer

Cody agrees with Paul's concerns about Spencer's wrestling. He notes that Letson has a long layoff and a poor resume. He thinks Spencer should win but is not confident enough to bet heavily. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"i'm not touching yeah i'm not touching let's and coming off of three-year layoff"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Felicia Spencer

Daniel Levi picks Felicia Spencer, citing her black belt jiu-jitsu and ability to get takedowns and control on the mat. He notes that Leah Letson has been out for three years and lacks the striking power to hurt Spencer, who has a proven chin against Cyborg and Nunes. Levi expects a submission or ground-and-pound TKO, though he acknowledges the price is steep.

submission or ground-and-pound TKO
"give me felicia spencer i just don't feel comfortable laying a price like that on her"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Felicia Spencer

Jacob picks Felicia Spencer to dominate, agreeing with the inside distance bet. He notes that Spencer had good moments against Nunes and that Letson is not on that level. Jacob thinks Spencer will get the takedown and finish.

"i'll probably that ride that uh inside the distance bet with you i think she absolutely uh dominate this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Felicia Spencer

Paul is worried that Spencer's wrestling is poor and she has a reluctance to grapple, as seen in the Dumont fight where she attempted zero takedowns. He thinks she should dominate on the ground but might make it harder by striking. He still picks Spencer but with low confidence.

"i'm gonna take felicia spencer but yeah i'm just a little bit worried"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2021 (fight day)
Felicia Spencer

The Guru picks Felicia Spencer by first-round TKO via ground and pound. He expects Spencer to take Letson down, advance to mount and back mount, and land heavy shots until the referee stops it. He compares it to a previous finish where a fighter pounded from back mount.

TKO in round 1 via ground and pound
"i'm gonna go with felicia spencer via tko in round one"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Nov 30, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Leah Letson 0 57 of 158 36% 66 of 168 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:02
Julija Stoliarenko 0 73 of 179 40% 88 of 196 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Leah Letson 0 24 of 72 33% 24 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 35 of 75 46% 37 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
2 Leah Letson 0 15 of 50 30% 15 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 23 of 69 33% 23 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Leah Letson 0 18 of 36 50% 27 of 46 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:02
Julija Stoliarenko 0 15 of 35 42% 28 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Leah Letson 57 of 158 36% 39 of 126 7 of 14 11 of 18 50 of 149 5 of 7 2 of 2
Julija Stoliarenko 73 of 179 40% 40 of 137 19 of 26 14 of 16 66 of 169 6 of 9 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Leah Letson 24 of 72 33% 17 of 53 4 of 10 3 of 9 22 of 70 2 of 2 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 35 of 75 46% 21 of 56 7 of 11 7 of 8 31 of 71 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Leah Letson 15 of 50 30% 11 of 44 3 of 4 1 of 2 12 of 45 3 of 5 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 23 of 69 33% 13 of 55 8 of 11 2 of 3 20 of 63 2 of 5 1 of 1
3 Leah Letson 18 of 36 50% 11 of 29 0 of 0 7 of 7 16 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2
Julija Stoliarenko 15 of 35 42% 6 of 26 4 of 4 5 of 5 15 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriella Fernandes 0 59 of 114 51% 59 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 61 of 161 37% 64 of 167 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriella Fernandes 0 19 of 45 42% 19 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 49 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Gabriella Fernandes 0 23 of 38 60% 23 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 18 of 43 41% 19 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
3 Gabriella Fernandes 0 17 of 31 54% 17 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 24 of 71 33% 26 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriella Fernandes 59 of 114 51% 38 of 91 15 of 17 6 of 6 58 of 112 1 of 2 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 61 of 161 37% 28 of 117 13 of 20 20 of 24 56 of 154 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriella Fernandes 19 of 45 42% 10 of 35 9 of 10 0 of 0 19 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 19 of 47 40% 9 of 32 1 of 3 9 of 12 19 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Gabriella Fernandes 23 of 38 60% 14 of 28 4 of 5 5 of 5 23 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 18 of 43 41% 9 of 32 1 of 3 8 of 8 18 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gabriella Fernandes 17 of 31 54% 14 of 28 2 of 2 1 of 1 16 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 24 of 71 33% 10 of 53 11 of 14 3 of 4 19 of 66 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Angelo picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her powerful striking and decent jiu-jitsu. He notes that Julija Stoliarenko is a dangerous grappler but has sloppy striking and is either armbar or nothing. Angelo believes if Gabriella can defend takedowns, she will beat Julija up and potentially finish her. He started with low confidence but moved to medium confidence.

"I think Gabriella, assuming she could defend the takedowns here, is going to beat the hell out of Julia and potentially finish her."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Big Brady is confident in Gabriella Fernandes, describing Julija Stoliarenko as the most one-dimensional fighter in the UFC with only an armbar threat. He notes Stoliarenko has no striking, no wrestling, and has been finished multiple times. Brady believes Fernandes will dominate on the feet and can also do damage on top if the fight goes to the ground. He predicts Fernandes will knock out Stoliarenko in the second round.

second round knockout
"I like Fernandez here. I think she knocks out Ranken. I'll say second round knockout for Gabriella Fernandez."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The host highlights Fernandes' striking advantage and physicality, expecting her to keep the fight standing and pick apart Stoliarenko from distance. He predicts a headkick knockout, showing confidence in a finish.

by KO (headkick)
"I think the striking advantage and physicality of Fernandez will allow her to keep this fight standing where she'll be able to pick apart stolen from distance and eventually line up a headkick to produce a knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The MMA Guru picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her recent win over Wang Cong and her solid jiu-jitsu. He believes Stoliarenko is a finish-or-be-finished fighter but Fernandes has the grappling to avoid submissions. He predicts a first or second round finish for Fernandes.

Fernandes wins by finish in round 1 or 2; also bet on Fernandes fight time under 10 minutes as part of a parlay
"I think she will find the finish in the first or second round here."
LOSS vs Luana Carolina
TKO (punches) R3 4:52 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 66 of 136 48% 138 of 230 2 of 3 66% 0 0 5:27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 16 of 59 27% 21 of 68 1 of 5 20% 3 0 3:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 12 of 32 37% 35 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:04
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 25 24% 6 of 26 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:46
2 Luana Carolina 0 25 of 55 45% 43 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Julija Stoliarenko 0 10 of 28 35% 14 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:12
3 Luana Carolina 0 29 of 49 59% 60 of 89 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:25
Julija Stoliarenko 0 0 of 6 0% 1 of 7 0 of 2 0% 3 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 66 of 136 48% 41 of 96 15 of 26 10 of 14 28 of 75 13 of 20 25 of 41
Julija Stoliarenko 16 of 59 27% 7 of 40 6 of 10 3 of 9 11 of 51 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 12 of 32 37% 6 of 20 3 of 7 3 of 5 7 of 27 4 of 4 1 of 1
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 25 24% 2 of 17 1 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luana Carolina 25 of 55 45% 13 of 38 6 of 9 6 of 8 14 of 36 4 of 6 7 of 13
Julija Stoliarenko 10 of 28 35% 5 of 19 5 of 6 0 of 3 6 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 29 of 49 59% 22 of 38 6 of 10 1 of 1 7 of 12 5 of 10 17 of 27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.

No bet advised; warns against betting on Stoliarenko despite picking her
"I'm going to pick Julia to win because Lena Carolina has been taken down many times... but there's not a world where I spend money on that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.

first round, submission (armbar)
"give me stoia Rano it's weird seeing her as a favorite ... I'll say she does get that armar in the first round and gets the job done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub is the play"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.

Under 2.5 rounds is plus 120 and could cover a Carolina finish, but host expects Stoliarenko by submission.
"I like sto Reno here I wish he was the underdog cuz you know I don't really like to invest too much into a fighter that only has that One path to Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub plus 205 at one book right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.

likely as an underdog
"I'm gonna go with Lanna Carolina over J Juliana Julia steno... I'm going to go with Lanna karolina I reckon she's got some time to improve herself as a fighter... likely as an underdog."
WIN vs Molly McCann
Submission (armbar) R1 1:55 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo is extremely confident in Molly McCann, calling this a showcase fight. He believes she will win, possibly by stoppage, and suggests she could be parlayed. He notes the odds are -400 but thinks she could be even more favored.

suggested as parlay piece
"Molly McCann's going to win this fight I don't know if it's gonna be by stoppage but she's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by first-round knockout, but predicts Stoliarenko will miss weight. He notes Stoliarenko is dangerous on the ground with armbars but has no striking or wrestling. He thinks McCann will keep it standing and knock her out. He calls it a setup fight for McCann in London. He is concerned if the fight goes to the mat.

first round knockout
"Molly McCann first round knockout my goodness"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody thinks McCann wins by out-volume and avoiding takedowns. He notes Stoliarenko's path is submission only, and the sub prop at +350 is too short for him. He would only bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better.

would bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better
"I think Molly meatball McCann out volumes out Tufts uh uh solo renko she just has to avoid getting taken down and subbed in this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel is very confident Molly McCann will win, calling Stoliarenko 'one of the worst fighters on the roster'. He believes Molly is better on the feet and can take Stoliarenko down as long as she avoids the armbar. He expects a highlight-reel finish and notes the line at -190 is good value to fade Stoliarenko. He dismisses comparisons to high-level grapplers like Erin Blanchfield, stating Stoliarenko is not on that level.

Daniel says 'it's less than minus 200 to fade one of the worst fighters on the roster' and expects a highlight-reel finish.
"I think Molly is gonna bust this girl up gonna get a highlight real finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The host picks Molly McCann, citing her speed, striking advantage, and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges the danger of Stoliarenko's armbar but believes McCann can avoid it. He predicts a knockout win and mentions waiting for a better price around -200.

by knockout, waiting for better price around -200
"give me model McCann by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul sees this as a setup for McCann, noting Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the UFC and her only win is over a retired fighter. He thinks McCann is popular in the UK and will be re-motivated after a loss to Blanchfield. He expects McCann to roll, though he jokes about a first-round armbar loss.

"I think this is an absolute setup for Molly McCann to go out there and roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, noting Dana White's investment in Barstool fighters. He praises McCann's toughness, chin, and scrappy style, and believes she can keep the fight on the feet. He criticizes Julija Stoliarenko's recent losses and lack of success unless she gets the fight to the ground. The Guru predicts McCann will win a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.

"I'm going with Molly McCann over Julius dolorenko"
TKO (punches) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chelsea Chandler 0 12 of 27 44% 20 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Julija Stoliarenko 0 38 of 70 54% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chelsea Chandler 0 12 of 27 44% 20 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Julija Stoliarenko 0 38 of 70 54% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chelsea Chandler 12 of 27 44% 5 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 38 of 70 54% 34 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 43 0 of 0 21 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chelsea Chandler 12 of 27 44% 5 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 38 of 70 54% 34 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 43 0 of 0 21 of 27
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler vs. Julija Stoliarenko

Round 1
In a pre-planned catchweight affair at 140 pounds, proud Lithuanian Stoliarenko (10-6-2, 1-4 UFC) wants to keep her modicum of momentum going after winning her first UFC appearance after five tries. She faces off against promotional newcomer Chandler (4-1, 0-0 UFC), plucked from the Invicta ranks but with the Diaz brothers in her camp. Referee Jacob Montalvo watches on as the two decide not to touch gloves, and instead they want to go after it early. Chandler lands a kick, and when she lines up a punch, Stoliarenko plods forward and takes her down. Within seconds, Stoliarenko shifts right into full mount, and she transitions into her favorite armbar setup. Chandler is wise to it, and she flips Stoliarenko over and breaks up the armlock before it is secured. The Stockton, Calif., native unloads with ground-and-pound when she is safe from submission harm, and she hammers Stoliarenko with several powerful blows. Stoliarenko kicks off the fence to get out of the bad situation, and finds her way back to the feet. Chandler catches her with a clean right hand as Stoliarenko resets, and Stoliarenko staggers back and looks to get her feet back beneath her. Stoliarenko is marked up from absorbing strikes, and slightly wobbled on the feet, and Chandler is loading up on heavy strikes. When Stoliarenko shoots in for a takedown, she drops to her knees and is bowled over. Chandler moves immediately into mount, and she makes Stoliarenko pay for the takedown try. Stoliarenko bucks and lifts her legs up high, and in doing so, she forces Chandler to climb back upright. Stoliarenko desperately shoots for a takedown, and Chandler hip tosses her to the mat and raises her arms up in typical Diaz-esque fashion. Stoliarenko stands up and backs off, and when she attempts another takedown, Chandler easily pushes her to her back and moves to mount.
Sensing that the Lithuanian is starting to wilt, Chandler turns it up to 11 and starts battering Stoliarenko with heavy punches. The shots are getting through and Montalvo is right there paying attention. Chandler keeps bombarding her doomed opponent with relentless fists, and Montalvo steps in to rescue Stoliarenko from further harm.
The Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu product has just announced herself to the promotion in a big way, putting away a woman that had not been stopped with strikes since 2014.

The Official Result
Chelsea Chandler def. Julija Stoliarenko R1 4:15 via TKO (Punches)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody leans towards Julija Stoliarenko, noting her dangerous armbar and improved striking. He is concerned about Chandler's size and the catchweight, but believes Stoliarenko's submission threat is real. He prefers the submission prop but may wait for weigh-ins to assess size discrepancy.

Stoliarenko by submission +300
"I'll lean towards her ever so slightly the plus 350 like you said on the submission makes the most sense"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Julija Stoliarenko by submission, noting her specialty is the armbar and she has shown improvement in her overall game. He acknowledges Chandler is bigger and has some jiu-jitsu, but believes Stoliarenko's experience and ability to capitalize on mistakes will be key. He suggests waiting for a better price on the submission prop.

Stoliarenko by submission +300; may wait for better price
"stinko sub is uh is is my plan of attack on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

The MMA Guru leans toward Julija Stoliarenko, noting her specific skill set of armbars and judo. He thinks she can take Chandler down and control her on the ground, possibly submitting her. He is less confident because Chandler is untested and has a thyroid issue affecting weight cut, but he believes Stoliarenko has faced better competition. He calls it a pick'em fight.

"I'll take Julia I guess... she has brought some good people."
Submission (armbar) R1 0:42 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 9 of 16 56% 6 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 9 of 16 56% 6 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her slick striking and evolving grappling. He notes that Stoliarenko has zero wrestling and poor takedown accuracy, making it unlikely she can get the fight to the ground where she is dangerous. He believes Clark's cleaner striking will allow her to cruise to a decision.

Moneyline bet at -140
"I absolutely love jessica rose clark in this fight i already snatched up a moneyline bet at -140 on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant due to Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He notes Clark is the better striker and should implement a wrestling game plan like Alexis Davis did, but worries about Clark's submission defense. He expects Clark to win by decision if she avoids the armbar.

Clark by decision
"give me rose clark to win i'm gonna take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody thinks Stoliarenko is better on the feet and has submission threats. He notes Clark's takedowns could lead to armbar opportunities for Stoliarenko. He picks Stoliarenko but isn't confident enough for a Shoei bet.

"I'm gonna take Julia Sterly estenko and I'm not even confident enough to be like chewy bet on this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Daniel Levi picks Jessica-Rose Clark, believing she is better everywhere except against the armbar. He notes that Clark has a history of making mental mistakes, such as in her last fight where she did the one thing they trained not to do. He is wary of Stoliarenko's armbar specialty but thinks Clark should win if she fights smart. He does not bet due to recency bias and lack of trust.

No bet; burned before on Clark.
"the pick is jessica rose clark but i am not betting it at the betting window"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko is a submission specialist with 8 of 9 wins via armbar. Clark can be sloppy on top and Stoliarenko will threaten submissions from her back. Clark's win over Sarah Alpar may be overvalued; she was exposed by Stephanie Edgar. Stoliarenko's armbar is a live threat at plus money.

submission prop at +350
"i'm gonna bank on another stoliorenko armbar victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul leans toward Stoliarenko, noting her submission skills and striking. He thinks Clark's best path is to clinch, but Stoliarenko can win on the feet or via submission. He recommends taking the moneyline rather than props.

"I would take the under one and a half uh takedowns for jrc all lean towards her on the money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her improved grappling training at AKA and her ability to use it against Julija Stoliarenko, who has been outgrappled repeatedly in the UFC. He notes Stoliarenko has nothing off her back and expects Clark to cruise to a 30-27 unanimous decision with top control.

"i feel as though jessica rose clark is going to be too good on the feet maybe it'll be equal on the feet but i reckon her grappling is going to get her to win here"
LOSS vs Alexis Davis
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 85 of 120 70% 171 of 218 1 of 1 100% 0 0 9:09
Julija Stoliarenko 0 56 of 113 49% 93 of 154 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 22 of 26 84% 63 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:52
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 3 100% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 38 of 60 63% 38 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 45 of 96 46% 45 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 25 of 34 73% 70 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:17
Julija Stoliarenko 0 8 of 14 57% 28 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 85 of 120 70% 55 of 86 9 of 12 21 of 22 41 of 64 1 of 1 43 of 55
Julija Stoliarenko 56 of 113 49% 40 of 94 14 of 17 2 of 2 51 of 108 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 22 of 26 84% 22 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 22 of 26
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Alexis Davis 38 of 60 63% 14 of 33 5 of 7 19 of 20 37 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 45 of 96 46% 32 of 81 13 of 15 0 of 0 44 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 25 of 34 73% 19 of 27 4 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 21 of 29
Julija Stoliarenko 8 of 14 57% 6 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Angelo picks Alexis Davis as the veteran with experience and fight IQ. He notes Davis is a busy striker with a one-to-one striking differential, but she loses only to top-ranked opponents. Stoliarenko has great jiu-jitsu but poor wrestling and striking. Angelo expects Davis to dominate with combinations and avoid submission threats.

"i gotta go with the vet here i'm going with alexis davis to use her experience and use her fight iq to grind out what i think will pre a pretty one-sided win for her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Davis has better striking, pace, and ground game. He thinks Stoliarenko is not on Davis's level. He is confident Davis wins but acknowledges women's MMA can be unpredictable.

"gotta go with my girl uh the alley gator alexis davis"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Daniel Levi picks Alexis Davis but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Davis is a veteran with experience, but she has lost four of her last five and is 38. Stoliarenko is known for armbars off her back. Levi thinks Davis should win but the -240 price is too high, so he advises passing or taking the dog. He picks Davis but says it's not a betting opportunity.

"the pick is davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Lock of the Night picks Davis, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Stoliarenko's only path is armbar, but Davis is a tenured black belt. He expects Davis to win via decision or possibly finish. He likes Davis by decision at even money.

Davis by decision +100
"i think davis absolutely wipes estolia right quick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Paul thinks Davis has superior skills everywhere and should win easily. He notes that Stoliarenko's only threat is an armbar, but Davis is a veteran who should avoid that. He is confident Davis wins by decision and likes the Davis by decision prop.

Davis by decision (even money)
"davis by decision is even money i think that's a pretty solid bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

The MMA Guru picks Alexis Davis, calling her underrated despite her record. He notes she has had close fights with top fighters like Viviane Araujo and Jennifer Maia, but often loses due to being cut by bigger shots. He dismisses Julija Stoliarenko as 'hot trash' and predicts a 30-26 decision win for Davis, with a 10-8 third round.

decision, 30-26
"i'm going to go with alexis davis here... i think she's going to win the first two rounds outland uh julius dollarenko in those first two rounds dominate her get the takedown"
LOSS vs Julia Avila
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:19 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Jun 26, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julia Avila 0 48 of 91 52% 107 of 163 1 of 4 25% 1 2 3:31
Julija Stoliarenko 0 40 of 94 42% 60 of 115 1 of 3 33% 0 1 3:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julia Avila 0 29 of 58 50% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Julia Avila 0 17 of 30 56% 42 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:28
Julija Stoliarenko 0 10 of 24 41% 21 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:34
3 Julia Avila 0 2 of 3 66% 36 of 46 1 of 2 50% 1 1 3:03
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 5 60% 12 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julia Avila 48 of 91 52% 31 of 72 11 of 13 6 of 6 42 of 84 2 of 3 4 of 4
Julija Stoliarenko 40 of 94 42% 27 of 73 5 of 9 8 of 12 37 of 88 3 of 5 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julia Avila 29 of 58 50% 21 of 49 7 of 8 1 of 1 28 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 27 of 65 41% 18 of 49 3 of 7 6 of 9 27 of 64 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Julia Avila 17 of 30 56% 8 of 20 4 of 5 5 of 5 12 of 25 1 of 1 4 of 4
Julija Stoliarenko 10 of 24 41% 6 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 3 8 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 1
3 Julia Avila 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Angelo picks Julia Avila, reasoning that Stoliarenko will accept being on her back, throw up submissions but not get any, and end up losing a decision. He notes Avila is a heavy-handed brawler who is aggressive on top. He advises staying away from Avila in betting due to high price but likes the over on strikes.

over on strikes (more/more)
"in my opinion i think avila is the is the play here because i think stoliarenko will accept being on her back throw up tons of submissions not get any of them and end up losing a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Big Brady picks Julia Avila to win by KO, citing her massive striking advantage and strength. He warns against going to the ground with Stoliarenko, who has eight armbar wins, but believes Avila can keep it standing and finish. He notes Stoliarenko's poor wrestling and that she has been finished by strikes in half her losses. He would not bet Avila at -400 but expects her to win.

by KO, would not bet at -400
"i'll take a villa i'm actually going to take her to win by ko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Cody picks Avila, noting her athletic background and well-rounded skills. He criticizes Stoliarenko's level of competition and one-dimensional armbar game. He thinks Avila's striking and top game will be too much, and Stoliarenko's only path is pulling guard, which plays into Avila's strength. He is confident but acknowledges the price is high.

"i'm gonna go ahead and say i'm going with julia"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Jacob picks Julija Stoliarenko, citing her judo throw into armbar that she has done many times. He mentions that Joe Todora says Avila is his girl so he will stay away from her. Jacob is confident Stoliarenko finds a way to get the submission.

"i think we all picked story renko last time and and we're pretty confident about it listen joe todora says that avila is his girl so i'll stay away from her i got respect for joe tadora what's up man …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Avila should keep the fight on the feet and overpower Stoliarenko. Stoliarenko is dangerous off her back with armbars, so Avila must be careful. Avila will look for a knockout via ground and pound after dropping her. The under 2.5 rounds is intriguing as both are live for finishes. However, Avila at -345 is not a betting recommendation.

Under 2.5 rounds plus 135 to plus 155
"I'm actually gonna go with uh avila by second round tko probably by ground and pound after dropping her... the only spot that i'm going to be looking at is the under two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Paul picks Avila, noting Stoliarenko's poor UFC debut and limited skills. He thinks Avila's wrestling and striking are superior. He is not excited about the -360 price but sees Avila as a safe play. He mentions that Stoliarenko passed out on the scale in their previous booking, which is a red flag.

"avalo was supposed to like there were some offers and stuff i believe from like some bigger camps for her to go train"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Julia Avila

The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila, noting her better record, competition, and technique. He highlights her hands and combination punching, referencing her first-round finish of Gina Mazany. He also points out Stoliarenko's severe weight cut issues (fainting on the scales twice) as a major red flag, making Avila the safer bet.

"i'm gonna go with julia avila i went with her the first time she's got a better record fought better competition"
LOSS vs Yana Kunitskaya
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yana Kunitskaya 0 43 of 57 75% 209 of 254 1 of 2 50% 0 0 13:16
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 26 23% 30 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yana Kunitskaya 0 8 of 12 66% 64 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:22
Julija Stoliarenko 0 2 of 8 25% 18 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
2 Yana Kunitskaya 0 23 of 26 88% 92 of 108 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:44
Julija Stoliarenko 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Yana Kunitskaya 0 12 of 19 63% 53 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:10
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 16 18% 10 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yana Kunitskaya 43 of 57 75% 20 of 34 20 of 20 3 of 3 8 of 19 29 of 32 6 of 6
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 26 23% 5 of 23 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 23 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yana Kunitskaya 8 of 12 66% 3 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 4 7 of 8 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 2 of 8 25% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Yana Kunitskaya 23 of 26 88% 11 of 14 10 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 1 18 of 20 5 of 5
Julija Stoliarenko 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yana Kunitskaya 12 of 19 63% 6 of 13 6 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 14 4 of 4 1 of 1
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

Big Brady picks Kunitskaya but is not confident enough to bet her. He believes she is the better striker and can win by staying off the ground, but worries she might take Stoliarenko down, which plays into Stoliarenko's submission game. He compares it to the Balbina vs Jojua fight where a similar mistake led to a loss. He predicts a decision win for Kunitskaya.

"i'm assuming kunsa kaya is smart enough to not do that but at this point we just don't know with women's mma so uh kunzakaya by decision but you know big big big pass um from a betting perspective there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Daniel Levi picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by submission, specifically an armbar. He acknowledges that Yana Kunitskaya is the better fighter overall but believes she is prone to getting submitted, as seen in her past fights. Levi notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with many first-round finishes, and he expects her to pull guard and secure the submission at some point during the fight.

submission by armbar
"i'm actually going to go with the upset i think that julia stoliarenko gets a fluke arm bar"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

Kunitskaya is technically superior with good kickboxing and range control. However, she struggles in the pocket and can be pressured. Stoliarenko is a brawler with devastating elbows and a dangerous armbar from the clinch. The line at -235 is too wide; Stoliarenko offers value at +200. Kunitskaya likely wins by decision if she keeps it at range, but Stoliarenko could finish.

Stoliarenko moneyline +200, Stoliarenko inside distance
"I'm going to take Kunitskaya to win by decision but the value side by far is Julia here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

The MMA Guru picks Yana Kunitskaya because she has good clinch control and can hold opponents against the cage, as seen in her fight with Aspen Ladd. He notes that Julija Stoliarenko is taking the fight on short notice and went to a split decision against a lesser opponent. He believes Kunitskaya's clinch work will be the difference.

"i believe that yana kunitskaya is going to win this one julia stoliorenko has beaten some good girls outside the ufc but went to a split decision"